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Derby Tips & Preview with Andy Holding



The Derby is here! The oddschecker Betting Show cover all bases from the action at Epsom with host George Elek joined by our very own Andy Holding on the hunt for some winners this weekend.

The duo give their expert tips and opinions ahead of the racing at Epsom and offer their picks and rationale for this classic.

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hello and welcome to the odds Checker betting show this is your Oaks and Derby preview at Epsom I’m your host George edic delighted to be joined uh by Andy holding Andy how are you away on your your your early summer holiday yeah just come to Angley every now and again we’ve got placed luckily down here and um it’s a nice little Haven for um sort Beach walking and dog walking and stuff like that so it’s um just a nice to get away and relax and chew the fat sometimes and um yeah we’re going to do a preview from a different location but hopefully it’s not going to change the results and we were meant to record this about 45 minutes ago but you’re in the pub well I was having a bit of lunch really it’s it’s the uh it’s the bar in the in the in close close by where we are so um yeah menu ah just a just a tun and um tun and cheese Panini something very very light and very quick um so yeah I was mindful that i’ got to come and do this yeah fair enough okay well we won’t keep you too long on your holidays thank you very much for taking the time to join us we’re going to go through the card on Friday and on Saturday from Epson we’ll get cracking immediately because we’re recording this 24 hours and 13 minutes before the first race gets underway at Epsom on Friday and that is of course the woodcut Stakes um and we’re recording this because recording early afternoon on Thursday means we have all the draw information and everything else so if you have already heard Andy are racing weekly go through his Darby and Oaks thoughts um you know we obviously have a bit more information now to to to go go to battle with but kicking off with the 2:00 and this is a a race that I would say is right up handy Street in terms of most of these have had one or two runs we have the wood cut where um you know taking the prices from the odds Checker grids and therefore these are either the best prices well these will be the best prices with bookie offers free bets up in the grids as well including Andy’s tips and the best place terms as well new Charter is the N9 to four wave ahead of uh meth uh megalithic at 130 TJ and Ender story both 11 and two uh taner is 10 to1 assertively 16 to1 28 to1 BOS who comes out on top in terms of the speed figures yeah an intriguing race um obviously a lot of these t- rolls um are still inexperienced so the handling the hustle and bustle and hurly Bly of a race of this nature is going to be alien to them um we had a about this race on on um racing weekly um with Steve Steve Ryder who was quite keen on of Richard hannin um who I think was the actor now sha Levy was already jocked up to ride the actor and there was no jockey on new Charter and I just happened to play Devil’s Advocate with Steve because he he kind of liked the actor and I said what about new Charter I just threw it out there and um he quickly batted it back saying well yeah the jockey booking suggest that the actor is going to be the number one representative for Richard hanon but lo and behold come the Declaration day uh the is nowhere to be seen and new Charter is um the representative and not only that she’s a very very warm order she was actually s to one anti poost and I did look at that thinking oh should I take a chance i’ be a fool if I if I took the took the price and um she wasn’t going to you know wasn’t going to run and the actor did run but as it’s turned out I’ve missed about because I think we’re staring down a barrel around about 5 to two for for new Charter is that is that correct nine to4 nine to4 him short to goodness me well I think she got the best form in the book George to be perfectly honest so she’s going to be the selection regardless of the price um cuz that run uh at HQ on debut was um a race and performance full of Promise she was the only one to sort of Chase home and offer any resistance to the winner Moun Bru who by and large is perceived to be the best two-year-old six Fong Philly this side of the RC I think fairy Godmother’s probably the number one candidate over there in Ireland and it be a good clash between the two now doubt in the ALB Stakes so new Charter is obviously going to fly the flag for that form and I like the way she finished off her race as well she looked to thoroughly likable type that will improve marketly for the run she went through that raceing new market like a decent horse the time figure was very good and because she’s gone down into the dip and come out of the dip the other side at New Market that does give you some kind of hope that she might handle the undulations of Epsom um you know not exactly a carbon copy but there are similarities between um you know the gradients there um and from a good draw as well still three it’s it’s a good platform for her to pull up a decent resistance in this first I think end of story is probably the danger Carl Burks s who won first time out at thirst the form of that race has worked out particularly well I’ve noticed quite a few horses in behind um that um CAU by Bungle in the jungle have gone on to win since or run well since so if you’re looking for an e2a alternative then may be him but new chart is the pick you charted 9 to4 that’s a bet 365 and William Hill Ender story 11-2 that is also with 365 uh the 235 handicap over the extended mile kooi is the 11-2 favorite ahead of Alma beer at 13-2 dancing magic 7 to1 fantastic Fox fins charm both 10 to one bani 12 to1 blue for 12 to1 notra Bel bet and Orban and Ben and Dutch decoy or 12 to1 as well 16 to1 by those 16 Runners here and Sky back going six places plenty going fight wow yeah six places um I think I think if there’s some horses in this race you think well we do well to for them to finish out the first six and one of them is Alba here who um I thought I’m really nicely at York that race that was won by P liners at on the on the nasar always a strong run every single year they go good clip and the form usually by and large backs up quite nicely and I thought you know William Hagg far ran commendably considering the ground probably dried out a little bit as well I think they roll the dice and ran in there because he’s run well at y before and that probably had been one of the early season targets um it wasn’t quite to be on the day it was a race game that was developing very much in favor of those down the front end of the field and now here being held up horse was always likely to be struggling from where he was at halfway but you know he kept on quite well he got beat six length in the end which wasn’t a bad return prior to that he finished second um in a good race at leer should have won that day to be fair and a lot depends on him with the ground it was probably a bit too quick for him at yor but good to soft ground and if they get one or two showers which are still forecast for the epim area by the way in and around tomorrow then um the more the chance of Alba here’s prospects improve so yeah Alba here six to one I I think you said five six places I think um he’d be the way I’d be um looking in that second race yeah I’m up here 13-2 best price uh that’s with Hills uh bet Victor Coral 888 and a couple of others as well but if you want those six places you’re going to take six to one uh with Sky Bet um on then to the coronation cup the 310 where Emily up John is the 5 to four favoritee of Luxembourg 7-2 feed the flame 4 to1 aish 9 to1 time lock 12 to1 Andy yeah I’m quite surprised because I thought um covering this race on Tuesday with the lads at Emily upjn wasn’t a bad price at 5 to six some J I am now because we get five to four there’s only five Runners um I don’t think that’s a really good price Because unless this race turns into a bit of a tactical mess and Kieran schark completely M misjudges it I think she’s got the best form in this race by m i mean Luxenberg in the hands of Ryan Moore could be a thorn in her side or a flying the O if it is going to be tactical because I can probably see him being the only possible front runner um but hopefully Kieran will track Ryan Moore anyway and Luen Bergen Prov too strong in the latter stages she comes out of a good race last time out in in um in maidan when she finished fifth of rebels romance uh and we’ve seen that form already stacked up quite nicely by not only by the winner but by Pon Londale who was six um I think there’s been another one that’s come out that right one as well further down the field so it’s a strong piece of form we know she handles Epsom she won this race last year when beating West over uh been looking not to be two for two with her running the O the previous year and it’s just the natural Target for connections isn’t it they know she handles his track um and she comes here fine FAL brother looks at that running in in maidan so um yeah the any possible threat would be um a pedestrian Gallop that suited the mile and a quarter horse Luxembourg um but other than that I think um Emily upjn has got strong credentials here yeah spirit dancer I think it might be who won a group two out in rad that’s the one good spot yeah I know there was another one I should have done my research like you did yeah Emily up John five to four uh drifting that is with William Hill spreadex and Sporting Index the selection there for Andy uh the 345 is the handicap over Marin 2 furong City streak is the 5 to1 favorite head of bolster 11 to2 Liberty Lane 6 to1 Derry lad 15-2 I still have faith 8 to1 sweet reward 12 to1 Kings code 12 to1 haunted dream 12 to1 14 to1 by those yeah shag Muhammad D mum’s got a really strong hand here by running the first two in the market close to that and Sh Liberty Lane who won well at New Market most predominantly bolster horse that really sprung to age last time out Pont Frack first run for new connections having his first run for 283 days traveled really nicely in the hands of P luig Jan in the front at Pont and just get Len In in way going through the fractions and in the end I thought won really decisively more to the point we got a really strong time figure for that race so with a similar kind of tactical ride you’d like to think from stall three a very good low draw um it could be quite difficult to Peg back um from the front so yeah without over complicated matters here I want to be a horse on a horse who arising good Nick capable of running a good time and he’s likely to be out of trouble so bolster fits that criteria yeah bolster 11 to2 best price that’s with hills who are four places Sky Bet five places go nine- two about bolster there for Andy onto the big one on the cards uh on Friday it is of course the BET Red Oaks where elang Lang is the nine to4 favorite ahead of aalia at 9-2 Ruby are red 13-2 forest fairy 15-2 secret satire 12 to1 you got to me 12 to1 treasure 6 16 to1 dance sequence 20 to1 33 to1 courau you looking and then three 66 to1 seawood making your dreams and actually wartimes is available at 100 to one here Andy so who is your selection you know you now know that the draw as well after Monday who’s your selection to win The Oaks well I went for langang langang um when I did my original version um or my preliminary version anyway of what I thought might win The Oaks on Tuesday unfortunately L’s the draw store 12 which is not ideal um probably better than being drawn store one because with store one you end up getting pinned down the inside but at least Ryan Mo’s got nothing on his right outside and a clear run of things to perhaps get over and across from store 12 and there is only 12 Runners so it’s not like there’s a maximum field and you know it’s going to be um every man for himself um I think he’s he he should be able to ride a race out from the outon and leang langang but overall profile I think he’s just probably the strongest anyway way um I’ll probably stick with her just because I thought I running the 1,000 guins of s catching we’ve already seen how strong that renewal is this season with the win with the eight Fallen Angel going on to win um of course the Irish version and dar Nation as well winning the German version um over the weekend and that and that and that was um probably a little bit unexpected if if if if um If you’re sort of like looking at it in a carn of coldhearted way so I think it’s a really strong reenal this year the 1,000 guins it was run at a good Tempo and Lang Lang hit the line really strong she just looked as though a she mod just needed the run or come on for it be further than a mile a pedigree certainly suggested that and a runell suggested that last season so she’s got a Touch of Class about proceedings even she does St the extra half mile which is anticipated um she’s got very much the want to be I actually think St companion rubies already is the most likely threat he was a huge eye catcher in the um excuse me in the um lingfield Oaks trial coming from a long way back um hopefully she’s learned plenty from that run um because I think she’s very much a work in progress on the day looking as though um The Experience would do her good um it’s hard to see her not being in the first FL so if you are of an eway persuasion like I am then that five to one we could be very very tempting um on that front so I actually think for once a now Brian has got a really really strong hand he’s had strong hands in all the guine and the classic so far this season he hasn’t managed to strike but I’m sure it can’t be too long before uh the master Balor does come up trums and I think he’s got two very strong candidates here so langang Lang rubies are red are my idea of the first two home in the Oaks this year yeah Lang Lang is a nin to4 that standout best price with William Hill Ruby are red same firm 13-2 but if you want the extra plac that’s that’s three places um and I’m guessing I probably want to be backing each way so maybe the uh 11 to2 on offer with four places or even the 5 to1 an offer with five places with skybet um could be more appealing depending on how you want to play it but elang Lang and Ruby are red um are the two selections for Andy Aiden O’Brien if you are watching I’m surely absolutely delighted I can’t imagine he is on to the 510 now the penultimate race the listed race on the card on Thursday where zoom zoom is the 5-2 favorite ahead of balara at 7-2 Pandora’s gift 9-2 Native American 7 to1 evade 15 to2 Bachi 14 to1 16 to1 Heritage House seven Runners Andy yeah shame we’ve only got the seven Runners but either way I do quite like one a price here um not necessarily one of The Outsiders but certainly not down the front end of the market um finished eighth this horse did in that race won by jrb at New Market on the rally Mar which has worked out incredibly well Native American um I think that’s a really strong for now he got drawn out on the wing on that occasion in stall number one and he raced away from where the main action took place he got a little bit tired late on over that extending mile one um I just was left the impression that perhaps that experiment over that trip didn’t quite work out for him um but I think dropping back in distance here should really suit um and I think he’ll come for the run as well his time figure for that race actually Stacks up really well in the context of today’s race and we know how well that form has worked out the locks of cavar heights jlb slightly fluffy his lines at chest admittedly um but there um ambiant um friendley was in that race as well of course he wanted to win the lingfield Derby trial so it’s a really really strong piece of form I’m I’m G to stay loyal to it and suggest that Native American was better than the finishing position suggested because of the draw the trip last time and I think we’ll see the more like the Native American we saw last year as a two-year-old in this race on Friday so Native American 7 to1 best price that’s with Patty’s uh bet Fair sports book spreadex and you’ll be delighted to hear that some firms have feel sorry for us each way Bandits and have gone three places um so 365 three places 13-2 Hills three places 11 to2 888 sport three places six to1 a few others in know as well bet Fred B MGM Live Score bet bet UK we going three places so there are ways to to back Native American each way and get the well say the full ACC compliment of places but with seven Runners you’re getting an extra place in in reality uh on to the lucky last um we’ve got the Seven fur long handicap where mission to moon is the 4 to1 favoritee of Dark 30 11-2 Darkness 6 to1 Spanish star 8 to1 Ross colen 10 to1 ears 11 to1 14 to one by those and the 12 Runners here pretty much every FM on on the o Checker grid going four places who’s your selection uh second favorite here Dark 30 um he’s just a really nice likable manner about him and really strong form lines that that race at New Market won by Noble Destiny was a very strong one of its kind run at a sound Tempo he just got caught out like many horses did uh with his run style strike tactics that day when he was held up towards the back of the field you know it’s been well documented that that meeting back in the early part of May was very much dominated by Front Runners given the conditions so anything that ran well from the back of the field has got to be kind of upgraded which I’ve been prepared to do with him and as we saw the other day at hok I think it’s a really strong piece of form George an English Oak trained by Ed Walker um who was second in that race he absolutely trotted up at hok at the weekend um so it’s it’s it’s a quality piece of for and D 30 was running down English Oak in the latter stages he’s got plenty of tactical speed he’s he got four six furlongs of course he won first time out at the same venue um but I do think seven furlongs is his trip so draw nicely store six um from a teaming great form a very uncomplicated horse um yeah I like Dark 30 Hy there in the in the in the concluding contest Dark 30 5 to one uh sorry 11 to2 best price with hills and spreadex and Sporting Index there we go that is Friday’s racing covered off incredibly quick by Andy’s desperate to get back to the pub um so we’ll hit we’ll hit epsom’s uh Saturday card the D anyone anyone who knows me knows that that is definitely not true he desperate to get back so he can watch what racing have we got today um yes my first horse runs at 20 P two so you could use I could use as an excuse yeah that’s more like it 14 minutes right um yeah the first race on the card on Saturday um is the leester pigot handicap over mile 2 Portsmouth is the 15 to4 favorite with perser at 9-2 bubbles wonky 7 to1 Blake 11 to1 cool Legend 11 to1 whiskey Pete 11 to1 prep school 12 to1 uh 12 to1 Golden West as well 14 to1 baros um as we say we are recording this a five past two so especially these kind of handicaps that bookend the card um these are pretty early prices but Andy how do you see the opener yeah this podcast is um becoming a little bit of a rich Hing loving show um TI quite a few Richards um throughout the course of the two days and I’m going to stay LA to persa similar colors as well to Dark 30 runs in the last race on Friday which we’ve just covered but again I’m just trying to stick to really strong form lines in the early part of the Season then they’re now beginning to gather up the these races are beginning to work out well and The Time figures um are very much pointing um the horses in in or sort of speed figure Merchant in the right direction um and persa running that Kings G the race the other day the London Gold Cup now that race is always traditionally known as a very hot heat and I’ve got no reason to believe that this year’s Ral won’t be the same um I thought he ran really nicely to finish and never near a fourth in that the case look the winner looks a real real top notcher in in the making he was R 93 going into Kings Gambit he’s come out rated 106 so the handicapper thinks he’s a group horse and I think there’s been quite a few chunky bids going around for that Kings Gambit as well I think I think we’re looking at north of a million quid I think a million and a half has been put on the table for that horse so you know he’s got beat by a horse who’s going to be costing a million and a half for anyone who wants him like the Australians do or or whoever gets old of him maybe wam racing might have him um so to only get beat five lent by a horse like that I don’t think he’s any disgrace um and that followed a good run first time out behind the most notably notable speech we all know that form line don’t we George notable speech beating Brazilian of course in he W in the in the 2000 guins so whichever way you strip it down persa has got by from for me and by far the a country mile the best form lines and he’s only R 92 you know he’s run against a horse who was rated 106 and a horse now rated in the 120s on his first two runs so he’s incredibly well handicapped um bani a track that’s the only thing we don’t know but persa is definitely the one to be here for me pers the one to PE persa 9-2 with paty power and bet Sportsbook and also vbet as well four places patties and pet fair sports book on to the princess Elizabeth SES um over an extended mile where running lion is the 7even to four favorite ahead of Sparks Fly 4 to1 Bree 13-2 sheet col Coline 10 to1 sea of Thieves 10 to1 11 to1 roal dress astral B uh 14 to1 glimps 20 to1 25 to1 Julia austa nine Runners here Andy yeah a little bit unoriginal here but I do like running lines claims um she actually touched 101 in running um on a reappearance at New Market I should know that because I I tipped that day following the running Mark is know I didn’t lay at 101 uh I was actually surprised she wouldn’t short to that because she hadn’t got the race totally um signed sealed and delivered and as it turned out that proved to be the case she ended get be three and a half lens you you should have to think the people that took 101 on a horse that got beat three and a half lens what they on Earth they were think thinking but it did look going down certainly into the two F on marker that she she was the most likely winner um but then she she just didn’t quite get home or you could say she was just beaten by strong stay on the day in the sh star alert um but look it was still a good return from um jonath D Goen Char regardless of what price he took to him running and she was a beaten favorite and all that you just look at the Race Face Value it was a strongly Run Race and she travel at the best Philly in it um but I think dropping backing trip should play to the strength of a horse obviously that’s got a good cruising speed um so yeah it’s she’s very much the the class actor of the race for me she’s got the highest rating she got the best form she got a run under a belt um and I I think probably oi Murphy can ride it with plenty confidence knowing that perhaps she’s not going to hit the wall like she did first time out yeah seven or four with every single firm on the odd cheer grid about running line there and the selection frandy the correct favorite in his mind on to the uh next uh the diamond Stakes where Mesto and Highland Avenue are the 4 to1 joint favorites with Regal reality 9-2 uh epic tus epic tetus is 8 to1 Royal Scotsman 9 to1 sha 10 to1 silver sword 12 to1 Royal D 12 to1 so a really congested Market here at Andy um with the eight Runners as it stands a bit of disagreement certainly around the price for Highland Avenue ranging between 3 to1 to 4 to1 how do you see this what prices and best I get again Geor I missed that uh and besto is 4 to one pretty much across the board yeah I’d probably Chuck him up um I mean whether you wanted to back that each way is very much down to personal choice but it’s hard to see him not going well here in bestto again another horse that I quite liked first time up I took a bit of a punt with him on my column and even though that didn’t work out I was left thinking that on on another day with slightly different tactics um and obviously they got the head gear on as well that that might just help him next time out he just raced a little bit too exuberantly too keenly first time out obviously he’s fresh off the back of not a run for 200 odd days uh and he got stuck out on the wing as well he was drawn he was drawn towards the stand he got no cover James door couldn’t get him in and get him to drop his head and he raced rather with a choke out for the thick end of six to seven furong and in the end his run kind of just flattened out a little bit he did look threatening I must admit whe just have fell to run I thought oh he might be okay okay but once he met the rising ground he was a busted flush um and James Rather looked after him but he’s now back to a mile he’s got the hood on um again similar to running line I think a horse that dropping backing trip with the runner new B I think we’re going to see a different story for what we saw first time out and don’t forget he was a real massive improver last year in besto um he rose to the ranks and win in a couple of early races at Yarmouth and Doncaster to run third to nostrom uh sorry second to nostrom in in the quality race at neyar and he DED with Mighty UL as well at SS in a quality in a decent race I still think there’s plenty more to come from this fell he’s only four um and now now he’s had that run under his belt um I’d be more inclined to be a bit more confident about him than I was first time out yeah and bestto four to one pretty much with every firm only one firm 365 going 7 to2 there uh over to the dash now the three sorry the 310 where due for luck is the seven to1 favor ahead of grand lad at 15-2 Nicks 10 to1 Mart 12 to1 Mardi 12 to1 Blue Storm 12 to1 starlon and Billy Webster also 12 to1 mcloven 18 to1 as is Vince lore Rogan forer always a tough one to predict this Andy 20 Runners as it stands now um and skybe going seven places a couple of other firms going six what’s your view um well yeah bit of a strength in the horse’s mouth selection here for me bit of bias um as well attached to it Billy Webster from the George Scott table runs here um horer I’ve had quite a few lenty discussions about with George over the last year or so where to place him he’s always been the the most difficult um topic that we’ve we’ve discussed with him um because he’s he’s had a little bit of a meteoric rise we ran him at um at New Castle a couple of runs ago and I thought he quitted himself really sorry lingfield a big he quitted himself really well from from a high draw he’s drawn I think he’s drawn 12 or 12 that day told Callum to kind of like drop him in r a race and he did exactly what we said but he was just too far back no no fault of callums that was just the way the race panned out um and again the other day at um chesta things just didn’t quite pan out for him he got a modest sort of draw in Stall nine he was towards AA and he was making some really nice Headway when kind of like didn’t get the cies to run through but I think that was a strong race of it’s car the other day um at on on the Rudy the second horse al-shabab storm ran a blindly the day Goodwood I think the winers a nice horse Garfield Shadow it’s just full of chalk chalk full of inform three old sprinters um he’s dropping back to five which is a little bit of a not say necessarily unknown but he is going back rather than um going upwards and You’ never know how they react when they when they drop back down a f but he has got plenty of pace and apparently the blinkers have worked really well with him at home just to sharpen him up a little bit just to get him into the race a little bit better than he has done the first two times you got a good draw um you know George would be happy with that said if we get a draw close towards the stands side ra or you know not too far off it that that’ll be um ideal so double figure draw is pretty good so yeah 12 to one for him um if he gets a nice run through I don’t think he’s too far behind some of the ones that are ahead of him in the market so Billy Webster nice strong Hy pick there 12 to one that is uh with hills B Victor and coral they are all five places so if you want the extra place you probably want to go to bet 36 5 who are six places and 11 to1 or Sky Bet who are seven places and 10 to one so a couple of ways you can play that one uh for Andy’s mate George to hopefully win the dash um and then we got the uh got the dash handicap next up the race that comes before the Derby uh where silky wilky is 11-2 favorite claron house 6 to1 looking for Linda 7 to1 democracy dilema 7 to1 live in the moment 12 to1 night on earth and one night stand chipon all 14 to1 lethal nymph 16s as is alligator Aly dream composer um and then the Bell conductor 20 to1 18 to1 and 20 to1 by those yeah I’m quite keen on Democracy dilemma here H has got Brazen early speed um seemed a good effect at Chester um early on in the season when he beat copper Knight a trap that really does suit him um and then he tried to repeat the dose of the day wins excuse me he just came unstuck he got run out of it in the latter stages by jumbo but again another race it was very very strong on the time figes one of the strongest times of the entire week last week when I did like a dossier of of numbers that the lad sent me uh there was any I think two quicker times throughout the entire week white bur was one of them when he won that grade um two race um or group two race at the Kur over the weekend uh and I think there’s another one as well which was right up there um M I think it was Ro Ryme in the BG J that wasn’t that was a very strong time so you’re looking at handicapped being the third best time of the week to shows you what what we’re dealing with here um and I thought democracy dilemma ran a Blinder in the three old vers sorry the yeah the three-year-old version uh of the dash last season when he was drawn in St one um he wasn’t in t to really be involved in the Finish drawn store one as we know High numers very much favored at Epsom when there’s a double figure field so to run as well as he did from a bad stall he’s now got a better draw not absolutely terrific you know eight of 15 but it’s better than one of 15 like it was last year and because he got so much early speed as I said um he should be able to get over towards towards the St side rail so everything about domy dilemma looks right the time figure so far this season his General well-being and more importantly track for yeah so democracy dilemma we’ve got at 7 to one in the as you say the the main Dash three or Dash coming in the in the 310 7 to1 with B 365 with William Hill with coral quinnbet and lad Brooks back good win there as well uh on to the big race on the card the big race of the weekend city of Troy is 4 to one joint favorite been drifting probably unsurprisingly over the last few days and especially now Jordan St one uh with Los Angeles who’s also 4 to1 ancient wisdom 6 to1 bit of a drift there Jordan St 11 ambient friendly 13-2 dancing Gemini 11 to1 McDuff 14 to1 Voyage 20 to1 Bellum Justin 22 to1 Daren mile is uh 25 to1 euphoric 33 to1 Dallas star 33 to1 66 to1 by those 16 Runners as it stands again Sky leading the way for Place terms going five places Andy what is your Derby selection now you’ve seen the draw yeah I’m going to stick to the one I went with when I covered this race on Tuesday with the lads and and that’s de’arra M um I think he’s the same price 25 to1 as you just quoted there 22 to I think you can shop around and get sort of slightly bigger here then everywhere depending on the play terms but I’m I’m prepared to roll the dice with him I’m not quite sure why he’s got cheek pieces on for the first time um I mean that could really help him who knows and um I’m sort of get my nickens in the twist for no reason as far as I can see he looks a fairly straightforward horse love the way he quickened it winds um he BS a useful horse castle in the wind who ran ran quite well at um chess the next time out I don’t think it’s necessarily the form line of that race that’s the inra was just the way conducted himself the way quickened time figure was very good um and then you add on top of that the fact that I thought he ran exceptionally well for an inexperienced horse and not particularly well fancied horse um in the Futurity last season behind ancient wisdom I looked at ancient wisdom and thought well how can he be five times the price based on that run um on on Town Mo um I think he’ll handle the ground absolutely fine he’s going to be R up his street can’t see it been any worse some good good to sof in places on satday looking at the forecast which would be ideal for a horse that travels and quickens he’s got an okay draw it’s soon to be higher than lower um yeah look it’s just a price thing with me I thought I wanted to take on City Troy on Tuesday when I did the first preview I said night of four was a cly price and um he’s going to end up probably going off a much more um realistic price in comparison to how he ran in the guins um I got a huge amount of time for Los Angeles I think he’s a proper nice hor in to making he should stay his only problem similar to Daren Maron I don’t want to contradict myself but I think they’re both by Camelot which given camelot’s overall record in the derby is not particularly good does kind of like temper month year ASM A little bit it’s going to be be enough to put me off back in Los Angeles at a short price I don’t mind backing de’arra M 22 to 25 to one four five places because at least you’re getting a bit of bang for your book and you think well okay if he doesn’t win he might still finish third or fourth and whereas I think you probably got a back Los Angeles win only which doesn’t leave you a great deal of scope um and on beond friendly is the other one I need I need to mention I think we all need to respect him you know his his victory in the lingfield derby trial was exceptionally good the way he went through the race the way he quickened P figure he achieved and you know he’s run behind jrb in one of the best early season form lines for three has worked out incredibly well with cavier Heights um going on to subsequently win along with himself so I think he brings quite a bit to the table on beond friendley he’s got a lovely draw yards in great form I mean we’ve discussed everyone’s discussed the jockey bookings which is a little bit sad I feel more sad for Callum than I do frustrated that you know that the need for change as it were or whoever’s riding now Robin I got no no issue with him and I don’t think anyone who’s back in Oni friendly could point the finger and say oh a a terrible choice but it’s just kind of that well why would you it’s like scoring two goals in the FA Cup semi-final and then getting put on the bench for the final um it just doesn’t make any sense but look yeah I still wish the horse well and um if you’re backing down be on friendly then hopefully you’ll get maximum assistance in the saddle but the way you’re playing it is just just L about on on on derile De mile I’m beond friendly I’m very not backing two each R horse in the race but I’m be friendy was like seven eight to one of the day with a game four five place I might love a look at him as well but B already about de M so I’m only a situation where I can sit tight on that bet and maybe fiddle around with something on the day um but i’ be hopeful that ow B’s horse could certainly out run his odds that 25 to1 is there I was wrong so 25 to1 with hills four places Coral 20 uh 25 to1 three places bet Fred four places Quinn bet four places so a few ways you can bat Dar marle way now and still get that [Music] hopefully a bit of Stardust on the day yes indeed 13 to2 with Patty power and the batfest sports book only a couple of firms out with this as we say because we’re recording early afternoon on Thursday um finally the the last race on the card uh is the six furong handicap with Mr wagu in and Ali dancer the um oh no Mr wag’s 13-2 Ali dancer and Apollo won both 15-2 second favorites Mr Gray 8 to1 russet gold 9 to1 albarez mom’s Tipple both 10 to1 12 to one bar those Andy take us out in the final race on the card wouldn’t it be amazing if Dark 30 and pers have already already won for Richard Hannon and um Maran Lions um the owner of both of those two and then they’ve got Mom’s Tipple to um to count on in the final race he he’s a horse that’s been hugely un looking at least two or three of his last runs um he should have won at um lingfield early on in the season when was a massive eye catcher things distinct plan out for him at to Kempton two runs ago and again he caught the eye the other day in a race one by desert C I think that’s a really strong piece of form all those big sort of like 20 run a handicapped class two races at New Market over the guine weekend were exceptionally good both on um the time and just by the strength in depth and once once again mums Tipple performed really well from a terrible draw he’s drawn one of the 20 old strong field um so you know when you when you’ve got a horse like that that’s caught out in the wing that likes to be held up you always feel for fitting ground which he did uh but he came on very high catching the key team is fast ground if he dries out come Saturday that is the forecast uh the better the ground the better his chance so let’s stick with continuity and go with Ms tiple for M Hannon and the same owners as Dark 30 and pers lovely stuff what a weekend it’ll be for them if you are right M’s tiple 10 to one that is with William Hill who are five places as short as 7 to one elsewhere um thank you very much Andy for taking the time out of your holiday to speak to us and share with us your thoughts ahead of the Oaks the Derby weekend it all gets underway in about 24 hours time um so you have a good rest of your holiday see you guys at home have a great weekend enjoy the racing uh make sure you download the O cheer app where you can get the best prices bookie offers free bets and Andy’s tips even when he’s on holiday sometimes um straight to the app every morning of racing have a great weekend and please please do ensure that you’re gambling responsibly

5 Comments

  1. Emily upjohn might have the best form but when she won last year the ground wasn't anything like it will be today and it had frankie riding . Personally i cant back anything shoemark rides and gosden is hardly banging in the winners . Ive already layed emily upjohn. She wont get the pace to aim at and if ryan moore turns this into a sprint she could be found wanting in the final stages of the race .

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