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Does A Big Contract Mean Worth Drafting? | 2024 Best Ball Draft No. 33



2024 Best Ball Draft – Chris Spags streams his 33rd 2024 best ball draft with the Underdog Big Board out, his SEVENTH WEEK of drafts! Spags will talk everything rookie and NFL Free Agency related as he tries to build a sick team in a 2024 Best Ball draft! If you want to understand the world of a 2024 best ball draft, this stream is for you!

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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro

#2024bestballdraft #bigboarddraft #underdog #nfl #2024fantasyfootball

Free agency continues to go wild including Calvin Ridley getting 50 million guaranteed so the time is to ask the question does the big contract you know guys actually work drafting is and is Calvin Ridley in particular is he worth drafting is he in a better spot a

Worse spot let’s talk about it I am already in a draft room here of course Underdog’s Big Board 200k to first place Underdog presenting the show as well promo code there if you want to double your deposit up to 100 bucks but a good day of free agency obviously the Calvin

Rley move a bit of a surprise one coming out of left field AFC South tearing each other apart you hate to see that uh besides that though who are the winners and losers I do want to establish that up top here so I’ve seen some stuff out

There in one person I will call in particular because I like this person quite a bit um been very kind to me uh almost actually offered me a role in his company much before uh it became a real thing Matthew Barry I think actually one of the greatest guys in the fantasy

Industry in terms of how great he is to a lot of conent creaders obviously know his relationship with Pete you’ve seen him be on this show before you might not know he’s been very kind to me off stream as well because he followed my

Work back at barol back in the day um so has been a I wouldn’t say a mentor but definitely somebody I can turn to if I have a question if I need a connection kind of thing um so for him he tweeted out like oh yo Calvin Ridley big big

Move to the Titans but it’s GNA be a lower pass rate offense like it’s not a good move for him on that front and I think this some people are missing where Cincinnati last year finished second overall in pass R over exitation Jags were still top five as well well

Cincinnati had about 3x the pass R over expectation cincin uh that Tennessee had so or ex that Jacksonville had so Tennessee were expecting to import a lot of things from Cincinnati it’s Brian Callahan the Cincinnati offensive coordinator who’s gonna be the coach coincidentally enough um we do have I

Believe it’s Jacksonville as the import there offensive coordinator who’s going to be the guy who’s going to be the OC now for Tennessee so I think we see a couple similarities there that lead me to believe this actually is gonna be a better situation for Calvin Ridley and

I’m not like a huge Calvin Ridley guy I I personally you know took him where he was going uh pretty much with the field last year I’m okay with him uh certainly had some concerns I could see the logic and having a lot of concerns about him

Last year coming off the Hiatus coming off you know frankly a not good year the last time he actually was playing but he had a 0.1 EPA per Target last year 23% Target brout run rate uh accumulated about 111 air yards per game he did what

He had to do he’s he’s not great also what is going on here what is am I am I in a Bizarro Splash play room all right we got maccaffrey Bree Hall be John Gibbs Barkley going in the first round sequan at pick nine no no no no now 80 picks higher

Than where DeAndre Swift was going last year if few people did not like my DeAndre Swift comp in terms of adps for saquon Barkley but he is not this good guys he is not I mean he’s not even jir Gibbs good I don’t think he’s better than Kiren Williams I don’t think he’s

In a better situation than kir Williams either like what is jayen Herz gonna suddenly go yeah you know what man I’m done with this running thing like and people believe that hush push is going to be less effective with Jason Kelsey gone they be less effective they’re not

Going to they’re not going to not try it like it’s coaching it’s a coaching Ming it’s not that Jason Kelce is a magical man who’s the only one in the world who can do it uh batshit start here in this room and I guess you know AJ Brown feels

Like he’s getting a little bit less valuable to me with the saquon signal Devon Parker also obviously not a big Target earner but he is a target earner um I’ll still take AJ because I think I’m a little bit mentally biased against him and I probably shouldn’t

Be do I just let this room running back themselves to death I really don’t take a lot of Garrett Wilson and I suppose I should end that my brain is saying just go get Marvin Harrison have some fun but that’s can’t draft the same kind of team

Always we will take Garrett Wilson here and hope that he’s useful and I hope our guy Robert Griff the turn if he is somewhere seeing this at some point uh he will know that I hate this I hate doing it at turn but doing it friends and family draft again Troy

Franklin 100 just doesn’t feel right yeah a lot of people comenting on yesterday’s stream where I happened to hop into a room where I was the last one coming in um on Underdog right before the stream started and ended up being a situation where I had probably one of

The best drafts I’ve had on stream in a while was still fairly unique still got all the things that we wanted to hit there um but yes and I also have to say uh for actually the first time this year I I’ve done some little board drafts had

Not done a big board draft off stream I did do one last night off stream and and in fact had a wonderful time in that one as well besides somebody for no fucking reason sniping me on will Levis I took the Calvin Ridley DeAndre Hopkins double stack yesterday and in that draft off

Stream I was like you know what this seems like a fun one I’ll try to get Levis late I’ll get Bryce young maybe too because deonce Johnson I was a guy I had to get because it was a two RB start for me in that one I know a full piggy

Mode but I went with my my the one that I do like if you’re G to take a two ARB start Kiren Williams I think Devon Anan two guys analytically were very good and viously still young enough there should be one more level for them to hit in

Terms of improving of across EPA metrics that I look at and swear by for sports info Solutions but also in generalized players um so oh my God Drake London 18 this room this room is what is going on I I I’m always glad to have regulars here

As I’ve talked about you know I’m happy to have people following my advice happy to have people being in these rooms our drafters here in general in Splash rooms very sharp that said like I just don’t think Drake London’s going an 18 in an Normy room I have to feel that is the

Case with Drake London at 18 here there was a guy yesterday in that Draft today tonight who took Kyle Pitts at pick 54 because he really won to get the Falcons full stack he got bejan got Drake London and then it was like I can’t possibly

Let Kyle pittz go 20 picks later right than right now at his normal 80P uh so the Falcons hype is real I think the Falcons team like we’ talked about a lot recent bias of drafts is one of the biggest things that has been incredibly markedly pronounced so far in 2024

Anything that just happened is going to make people react whether it be they like the move they don’t like the move they’re going to immediately start to hammer that aggressively in that direction and um people really like the Falcons and you know I get it I get it like London better than Garrett

Wilson I kind of do too but adps exist for a reason especially in tournament that’s half filled and Drake London’s going for half for half those teams was going in the late 30s early 40s but you could do you can do what you want it’s a little bit

Nuts uh Drake London 18 makes as much sense as the Harrison price sure sure actually don’t disagree with that so Terence you’re on you’re on way you’re way back into my heart but yeah no I mean look none of the prices really Mak sense ADP is a construct anyway I don’t

Know if you really want to nickel and dime everything like wide receivers being this froy overall doesn’t make a ton of sense like there should be a little bit more balance uh but what do you want to do do you want to take Elite QBs I don’t think Josh Allen at 22 makes

Sense he’s not 20 spots better than Lamar yesterday I got Lamar 30 spots after where Josh Allen goes um I don’t think that’s correct so you know you can pull on the threat all you want but ultimately ADP is ADP take guys at that ADP or not uh but be mindful of the

Construct of ADP is a big part did I know that Xavier leg it is a country accent no I did not know that but um I like him even more I don’t know if you guys have seen the memes or I guess I don’t even know what they are at

This point like the the Tomboy girl who people I guess are conservative people are posting is are like this isn’t a woman like she’s who like women are beautiful and delicate and this woman who’s like hot but like does like yard work in the South or whatever and she’s

Got like a like a Southern accent and I was like and then I guess part of the critique of that was that oh the southern accent is like a masculine trait that women should never have I’m like I disagree with that I think Southern Accents are cool on on women I

Think for Xavier legot too if he’s going to sound like Cowboy Troy sure like go I’m I’m down for that Xavier Le that actually would only increase my love for him we we need like a black guy football player who wears cowboy hats I think that would be so

Sick and not like sillly like Juju Smith Schuster does like like he’s dressing like Woody from Toy Story I want guys that are like you know about that life give me some country boys we need it it’s time we’re ready for it let’s see his interviews that a very

Randy Moss Vibe jumped up the board a few spots are we talking about legot legot had a very Randy Moss Vibe I mean we all know the Randy Moss of the classes in Frack Troy Franklin uh the homeless man’s Randy Moss but yeah look

I I leg get AJ Brown I mean I’ve said that enough times here I think I was probably one of the earliest people to be saying that now a lot of people have said it so I’m definitely glad to get that reinforcement but leg it like he

Plays well out of the slot he’s got a big body um strong guy obviously fast like some of the plays you’ll see from legot they’re the most impressive is just him running away from guys downfield where they’re in range and then they are not in range and that’s

You know against legit competition at South Carolina so um for legot I think there’s a lot of good ceiling for him and certainly you know if he lands somewhere well or somewhere good rather I he’s gonna play well all right we’re on the clock again here

Oh well at this spot I don’t know how I don’t do this we’re going to do the herd Devante thing got AJ Brown we might as well get this Philly stack and I’m happy to make a bet that’s not Sake One at pick nine so Jaylen Herz AJ Brown Garrett Wilson

Devon Smith the start am I the only one falling out of love with h Brian Thomas I I’ve fallen in love with him because the athletic profile plus his EPA metrics as I talked about great downfield receiver um guy who really showed that uh the question for me is

That like I agree I don’t know that he’s the most refined route Runner but he does find ways to get himself very open the question I had when watching some of his stuff um including one uh one cut up short game was like is he really getting himself open or his malake neighbors

Getting him open slash the threat of Jane Daniels running getting him open and I kind of think it was a lot of the ladder too where uh but that doesn’t mean that Brian Thomas isn’t good it just means that he took advantage of what was there so that’s that is part of

Your NFL skill set as well is taking advantage of what the opportunities that other players around you create and obviously that’s going to come more from a coaching level than it is a players a Player’s Choice level Brian Thomas you know I think did what he had to do in

That offense and was really good with it so um should have earned targets more that’s like the big critique but if Malik neighbors is great and I think Malik neighbors is great um and if Jay Daniels is great and as great as a rusher then it kind of makes sense a

Little bit more how the target share wasn’t that high but you know it being where it was for him I mean again 23% would be behind a l of guys hean ad night Mitchell 22.9% for him those are not great numbers when you have Malachi Corley getting 35% obviously low a do

Targets Malik Washington same thing 35% Marvin Harrison getting more deep targets at 35% but Neighbors at 31% Odun 29% even Keon Coleman at 27% uh Thomas and AD I Mitchell were not great Target earners so that’s really the big flaw shout out to Kell Moore yeah we’re

Hoping we’re hoping big time for Kell Moore I mean for what it’s worth Kell Moore I think you know helped Kean Allen who was most productive year in a while and and gave him a shot to um the open Score thing uh Keenan Allen was the most

Open wide receiver in football last year I don’t think that’s because he got a lot faster as a as a 40-year-old I think it’s because Kell Moore used into to the best of his capabilities so for AJ Brown for Devon Smith that would be my hope

For these guys but you do add Devonte Parker who is gonna be more Target competition than Julio Jones was and frankly Julio Jones last year took just enough off the table for these guys where you had a two touchdown game or like it wasn’t great even though Julio

Himself wasn’t great uh so you know less targets less concentrated offense for Philly does worry you but with how Mike Williams and how Keenan Allen got used by Kell Moore last year gotta think he’s gonna use these guys well and feed them well at the same time Lamar’s stock should be going up

Why because of Henry I don’t see how that would help him helps him a little bit in the RPO maybe but I don’t know that helps him you got to give Henry his go line touches that means less for Lamar anything that makes something less unless it’s going to make everything

Else more efficient um but I think that creates less volume you shouldn’t be stoked about but I like Lamar I agrees too cheap um in general like I got again I got him yesterday in the 50s um in a draft where it was just random people

Not as many of The Savvy drafter that we get here in a splash play room but um you know I think that 50s for Lamar too cheap 41 for Lamar feels about right I don’t think the split should be that big I think it should be like Jaylen Herz

Josh Allen Lamar in one pocket right here would be what I would say would be this uh three four area I believe is where they all should go but people are really enthusiastic about Josh Allen uh he did run a little bit more with uh Joe Brady taking over his offensive

Coordinator so I Get It Wide Open running Lanes he only scored four five yeah because I mean he’s he’s getting older and making a business decision with his big contract um I I don’t know man I I don’t think it’s ever going to be a great thing to

Have a back that can get 20 touches and five goal line touches in a game when you have a QB who does derive a good amount of especially ceiling value does derive that from you know having the ability to run for touchdowns having the ability to control the goal line you

Know it’s GNA hurt them both equally um the offense will get better for it but I don’t think that’s going to necessarily uh get you upside for fantasy points all right coming up at a pick here of course we got two on the turn again no opposition to taking a

Thumbnail guy like Calvin Ridley we’ll see what Carlos does here he takes Calvin Ridley so thanks Carlos for the ruining the thumbnail now Carlos canav Ridley of course I knew the second I said it out loud that was done um taking AR here just doesn’t feel viable with the fact

That we have jayen Herz but what what am I who Who Am I who we know who I am I’m the AR guy I’mma take an AR jayed Herz we’re gonna fucking blow teams out of the water at QB in this room if nothing else uh so fine done QB off the

Board Jordan Addison Jordan Addis going to get Sam darnold and looking more likely to be getting JJ McCarthy um in a trade up it looks like McCarthy followed the the star receivers for the Vikings followed Jordan nen followed Justin Jefferson so we’re going to go there I’m

Going to read the team but first before we read the team you know the ritual guys I guess we haven’t seen it in a while because AR’s ADP is now too frothy especially in Splash play rooms Anthony Richardson back in Pocket doing it team so far at QB Jaylen Herz and

Anthony Richardson wide receiver AJ Brown Garrett Wilson Devonte Smith and Jordan Addison I’ll tell you what guys I think if we go into week 17 with Garrett Wilson against the Aaron Rogers seems gonna be feeling pretty good with Jaylen Herz and AR so the real AR Anthony

Richardson so we we’re back we’re back in the Jersey now now we’re doing sexy Dan feels good pray I believe is it do it the people wanted it good finally here live and getting some heavy discounts thanks for watching your streams oh good okay um I think that sounds like a good thing

Like I was like wait a minute is this an insult no that’s that’s a good thing so I’m glad to hear that of course glad to hear new uh see new faces in here in the chat appreciate all you guys being here getting we’re doing drafts here every

Monday to Friday at 11: amm uh so please do subscribe down below please hit that like button again your likes help out a lot your likes get these videos more Impressions which that allow more people to see the videos get recommended to more people and that’s the goal here is

To keep Splash play moving upwardly especially as we get into the real heart of draft season so help me out here help me with all the work I’m doing every day here to make sure you guys have good good info and certainly if you agree or

Disagree I’m G do my best to present the case as best I can so that is the promise here on Splash play along with drafts every day get Monday to Friday 11: am and and frankly again best community in football um they ruin draft rooms with being too good at

It but they they are the best community in football I will say that maybe even all betting I don’t know always a better draft with a money time hat on yeah I mean I forgot yesterday because I was wearing my Underdog hat and I just kept it on

Because like I was like I’m not gonna go put the Hat on but this is the brand I was thinking about it where it’s like yeah yesterday I did a really good draft while wearing the underdog hat but it’s like yeah Superman saves a person dressed like Clark Kent uh you know like

Superman it’s still not Superman you know like cool great job Clark you you flew through the air and you you save somebody but if you’re not wearing The Branding you’re not Superman so this is what makes me Superman I guess that’s how I’m going to justify it if nothing

Else not the hyper fragile build of old running backs I was expecting yeah you know what that’s unfortunately not going to get those a lot in the Stream though I do want to be again a little more RB friendly um in in drafts this year where

I I was so zero RB last year and then ended up winning the tournament so you make the case that I shouldn’t dial that back um but I do think in general um just because I think in particular this year the top seven RBS are either Christian mcaffrey or they’re young

Exciting fun un ascendent offenses so like I don’t not want shareds of the top running backs year the the markets have figured out oh yeah let’s not put Derrick Henry there let’s put and Derrick Henry at 55 cool like I’m fine with that too um I think running back

Prices for the most part have found their depth enough that like I can try to balance it out the tough part for me is just like I don’t want to pass up the best wide receivers because I want the best of the thing that I think is the

Most important part of football so that’s a trade-off Troy Franklin even even a guy who takes saquan at pick nine cannot avoid Troy Franklin 81 this guy though getting all the Rooks Romo dun at 33 Brian Thomas at 57 the the Lyall kitten housee draft stream I’m sure it’s popping off Aaron

Jones Minnesota top 10 RB finish top 10 might be hard top 20 is in range top 15 is in range I think um he’s got to stay healthy though he’s old enough uh you would want them think to take care of him in some respect but

He’s probably going to get the best play calling he’s gotten in a while and you know he’s going to this seemed like got a little weird last year for him I don’t really get what happened the usage wasn’t there for parts and it seemed like they were slow to bring him back in

Or he was slow to come back in um so there was some weird things going on that I think we’re not the best all right we are at a very RB potent spot for sure James Connor we’ve talked about do you think a little bit undervalued I’m

Going to go with him here and well you know what I think DeAndre Swift keeps coming up and I think he should um he him being attached to a Chicago offense I really do want shares of Chicago’s offense moving forward uh you know having the same head coach not great but I think

We’re going to get enough if an improvement for the offensive situation with Caleb Williams there with them really going out of their way to build a team that does seem Caleb Williams friendly and has weapons that can make the most of what he’s going to be able

To do um I very much believe that’s their commitment and I think the contract for DeAndre Swift showed that most fully so um Swift and Connor Connor again inertia keeping him in Arizona uh but really played well last year uh some metrics on these guys because we do talk

About that stuff a lot here Connor was a no come on James James Connor was a 09 EPA per rush so very good positive EPA in the Run game for a guy with that amount of volume a very good sign 07 for pass so positive in both metrics uh earned

Earned targets at a good rate 27% Target for run rate um actually no excuse me that’s Josh Jacobs wow Josh Jacobs earned a lot of fucking targets James Conor was 21% though still very good for a running back um so Connor feel very good about him Swift I think was a plus

EPA rusher no he ended slightly negative negative 01 EPA per Rush negative3 EPA per pass but had a no only a 133% avoid a tackle rate so for Swift we’re really buying in on the situation and I guess to fit the theme of the video contract

Money for him the intent from Chicago to re to kind of recommit to the offense to make it a different one to improve who for whoever they’re going to take and have it QB next year AKA kale Williams um I think that I’m the most comfortable with that and that’s where too for

Calvin rley like what’s the unifying theme with him and DeAndre Swift in terms of making me feel good about these guys who got big money in a free agency is that there’s also will you know things about improving the offense improv the situation that another parts of the team where Calvin

Rley got that money for that Mike Vel team no bad situation even though AJ Brown you seen the comps out there that they had AJ Brown could have signed him for basically the same guaranteed money as what Calvin Ridley got um ultimately it was a different GM now the current GM

Has to pay the tax for the past GM and that tax is Calvin rley had that much money U but you know again you’re bringing an offensive coordinator who threw the ball a lot in Cincinnati who schemed Joe burrow to probably be as good as he could be and maybe there’s

Another level he hit but I think Joe burrow we we’ve seen the ceiling and I think a lot of that came yeah at the hands of Brian Callahan so that’s a pretty big part of that um and again for Swift it’s that committing money to the offense committing draft Capital to the

Offense clearly aware of the fact the offense has not been where it needs to um I think we’re seeing that pretty well so those are the guys I buy in on where there’s like a lot of signal around the team just improving these things and then also the money going to the particular

Guy wonder why all the wide receivers are already gone and then I saw spags in my draft look I only took four I’ve not been the one going crazy here but yeah you know there’s everybody else blame blame blame Mr Drake London and 18 vaporware it’s these guys

Fault Josh Allen at a tier above Lamar and Hertz TBH I don’t know I agree with that but like Herz in particular no like Herz ran more Herz was the top spags ring scobb last year so like because he ran the most he was the most efficient um yeah

That’s really the main things he threw deep the most uh I think Allen is right there like he’s one to one with those guys but I don’t think he should be going 12 picks higher unless you’re going to take you know Allen and and Diggs on the turn and

I think that could be part of a slightly artificial inflation there but I I just don’t think that that’s I don’t think there’s that big of a gap and frankly QB there isn’t that big of a gap like what won last year Jordan love you know it’s

Just not that big of a gap what Advanced a lot of teams last year Derek Carr and Jared gof QB is as I’ve talked about a lot here like Elite QBs inherently kind of aren’t worth the price tag obviously I’m going against that here they’re worth it you know like I still want

Exposure there but I don’t want to go crazy on them because like you could beat Jaylen Herz with Kyler Murray at 102 you could beat Jaylen Herz with Jaden Daniels at 130 you could beat Kyler Murray and you can beat all these guys with Drake May at 150 like that

That’s where QB is because QB allows you the most upside and the most Flor oh respect yes we’ll do the Little Derek Jeter tip of the cap thing great Le QB isn’t worth it but that’s just how I have him ranked okay fair enough again like you could have

Him ranked one two three I just don’t think it should be you know 14 picks to Hertz 19 to Lamar it’s like I I just don’t get where Josh Allen gets all this from like I personally but that’s me and I said that somebody Josh Allen was my guy on

Drafters last year and he carried me pretty well but you know whatever uh 2240 getting a little thin at wide receiver do think that one guy who’s going to come up who for a team like ours needs a little more certainty I think for the fifth wide receiver spot

I’m going to take Tyler locket here is one of my picks the second one Styles SCD going to have a Renaissance really disappointed me last year I feel like Goddard also had a I ly kind of came back down to earth only a 07 EPA per Target compared to 33 the year

Before H I guess if we’re paying if we’re paying for Jaylen Herz we should try to assume that he’s gonna have the best year of his career and that would mean feeding these guys a little bit more so I’ll take Dallas Goddard H kind of feel like it’s a little bit of an

Over sack a Philly in a chalky way but it’s okay team still works Jaylen Herz Anthony richon at QB James Connor Deandre Swift at running back wide receiver AJ Brown Garrett Wilson Devonte Smith Jordan Addison Tyler locket and a tight end Dallas Gard don’t hate the team obviously no

Rookies here not like a fun like a fun spry team in that respect but I do think one that has good floor definitely has ceiling and frankly even though I did take that that extra pick extra deviation for Anthony Richardson I don’t like to see him that weaker for that so

I feel okay about this where think Tai’s ADP lands for BBM 110 maybe late 100s but he’s he’s coming down um in the room I was in last night I think he fell 35 spots I I feel like 110 to me feels about right but could be a little

Bit earlier good pick thank you it’s tough It’s sometimes tough to like really don’t want to be as over stacky this year but if you’re making a bet on Herz at this point you know and also too like we just want because we don’t have AR stack so we really just

Want Jaylen Herz plus one pass catcher to be able to make a lineup or herts creates enough value for that pass cater to make a lineup I can do that talk about Josh Allen here number one QB multiple years recently that’s okay but like what’s the gap between one

And two it’s like we talk about with NFL teams in their draft Capital it’s like what are you giving up to replace Jared stinum with Justin Fields what are you giving up to replace qba with qbb like is it worth the tradeoff and I think for

Josh Allen I just don’t think it’s worth the tradeoff even though you get a little more security because it’s still about it’s still about that week to week variability like for a drafter format for trying to win a regular season prize yeah Josh Allen probably has more value

There because you have a certain certainty he’s going to be top three if not number one uh but I just think that that’s a steep price to pay for baseball so difference between like guys being good over the course of a year and guys being good enough over the course

Of a year but being able to give you the upside when you need it and doing that at more reasonable prices and frankly all the QBs in this range will do that for you at a lot cheaper with more logical Stacks with cheaper Stacks like it makes the lineup work better even

Though Allen himself is a better play like the stream you Scoundrels I do enjoy people calling people Scoundrels here but yes please hit the like button here again really does have a material effect on me trying to build this channel up and make this a viable

Revenue source and a thing that can grow in a business and like you know the more it works out for right now just a fucking YouTube channel that makes not enough money it’s really the main thing uh but if we keep working at it we keep

Showing up every day and you hit that like button uh that we’ll be we’ll be moving in the right direction that’s all I gonna ask talk about Fields being third fourth round trade as a backup QB Baltimore oh honestly at this point it’s getting worse Indianapolis now gone as well that

Was one spot that some of the betting people on Twitter I feel like we’re we’re pushing for for fields to be the backup for Anthony Richardson which would be also not great I think Denver is still live for him that’s his best shot start uh Seattle maybe a little bit

More live Drew lock is gone uh Drew lock now a giant uh so probably will be in the hunt to start maybe a game um depends if Daniel Jones starts on the pup list or not obviously but um I expect Danel Jones to not go on the pup

List but there is still the faint chance that Daniel Jones could be a post June one cap cut uh so that’s the case there’s an opening there and maybe the Giants would take a shot at Fields as being honestly why why wouldn’t the Giants do that now like I agree that

They shouldn’t cut uh Jones because of the Dead cap but like Fields is a better Daniel Jones right at least the Running part and the pass game is probably break even if not a little bit in favor of fields so I I would take that shot why do you think ketts falling

Because the Bears signed another tight end didn’t they um thought that was the yeah Gerald Everett yeah that’s why just people they sign another guy that’s it I agree he shouldn’t fall like he shouldn’t fall because it’s the same situation they’re still paying him a ton of money and his

Situation’s upgraded but people see that other tight end coming in and they go oh no you know the volume of it and doesn’t matter that much anyone else in a frozen fast draft right now I hope not I hope not M mine’s moving here we’re humming when did that happen uh two days

Ago I think ever it signed it was a quiet one but Gerald Everett yeah going to the Bears so he’s the new Robert tanion as a guy that hurts the theoretical value of K but doesn’t really hurt it that much all right coming up here do have

Cole KT but no correlation there that we need seeing some picks I’m perfectly fine with on the board to shore up some positions so chuba I’m okay with again Carolina could be a willful running team possible they add somebody else there but they’ have talked positively about

Chba enough we’ll to take him at this range for right now and then shars we can play the upside for Seattle ambiguous backfield with a new coaching staff coming in Jerome Ford same coaching staff who liked him a lot last year I think with how we went late

At running back and I also think because we have a good correlation here at like we have a nice team I’m not gonna fuck it up I think Jerome Ford is a better pick for not fucking this up team so far Jaylen Herz and Anthony richon of course why would the Jersey be

On ARS on the team uh James Connor DeAndre Swift chuba hubber Jerome Ford AJ Brown Garrett Wilson Devon Smith Jordan Addison Tyler Lockett at wide receiver and tight end Dallas GD one case you could have made for shanet would be that micro correlation with Tyler Lockett which I do think is a

Valuable thing to have weaved in across your teams uh but we’re not going to do that today go Jerome Ford I guess it’s an issue Frozen on desktop or Frozen on a on the app because I’m I’m on a you know I’m obiously on a laptop right

Here has Deontay dropped much with the trade no he’s coming up uh Deontay was see he went 75 here I think his 80P is 80 or it was as of yesterday no 8 86.3 so yeah he’s coming up he’s coming up as he should he is uh he shouldn’t come up too

Much like he shouldn’t come up to the 60s 50s I don’t think uh but he should be in the 70s I think he should be probably I’d put him ahead of jsn at this point probably wouldn’t put him ahead of Addison think he’s pretty close to Godwin I’d put him ahead of

Godwin would not put him ahead of Watson look Deon said a good situation man uh Dave Canalis was a great play caller who schemed a great offense for Tampa Bay last year obviously the results are the results but like uh really I I could be more impressed with

What you know I thought of that situation where I thought they were a team that could have been like the Cardinal and the Cardinals too were pretty feisty for what it’s worth obviously the results were still pretty bad uh but you know they didn’t go limp

Like some of the other teams like the Panthers did so I don’t hate it like the team thank you oh on the app fren all right it’s possible it’s possible that the apps having some glitches which not great not great for sure move to your laptop if you can

Honestly might be plus EV if you just move to your laptop instead of doing it on your phone then because the people are who are like oh no it’s frozen they’re just the picks are going and probably autoing for him canalo also boosted the interior offensive line yes that’s true they did

Do that they’ve committed to again they want to be stubborn about the Run they want to use that to take the pressure off of Bryce and Bryce himself can move around a little bit um Baker ran again a little bit more than people realized last year ran about five times a game

Bryce I think can run seven he’s small you don’t want to take him big hits but he’s pretty good at avoiding contact so I’d be okay with that people are saying for Frozen contact support they will help you and give you a credit okay here’s the advice oh five big boards refunded I’ve

Only had the one only the first draft you did on stream here is the one that we had kicked out nothing else so far that I’ve done has been kicked out thanks yeah Bryce ran for his life there were a lot of plays where sometimes he ran for

His life and then like didn’t actually run past the line of scrimmage he would stop and try to pass it’s like dude just keep running like there’s lanes for you so I think he could prove as a runner and you know frankly he showed me enough

Able to escape a lot of stuff in the pocket to Bryce like he’s he’s more close to Kyler Murray than people want to give credit for it obviously Kyler started a lot harder out of the box um but I think there’s a lot of similarities there and you know Kyler a

More willing deep ball passer Kyler a little more creative as as well but Kyler in a scheme I mean uh excuse me Bryce and a scheme I think can be a good thing and that was what I said last year in the and even going back to the

Preview video is I kind of saw his numbers and was like this feels more like bam a scheme than it does like Bryce’s own Talent um some guys are system QBs Bryce young I think is a assistant QB and now he’s get a good system so great good for

Him when you join late us spags got his qb1 yeah look you see the AR Jersey on SPO alert right away but Ross even better I got I mentioned it earlier uh we got of course Garrett Wilson at the one two turns that one just goes for our

Pal Ross we we have debated Garrett Wilson quite a bit but sometimes you guys got to take Garrett Wilson and frankly I don’t need to make the bet on Aaron Rogers with it even though the bet is kind of correlated uh we’re cool without ar ar the the secondary AR was

On a conspiracy theory podcast as well I saw on awfulannouncing.com I did not get to read the article but apparently three-hour conspiracy theory podcast for Aaron Rogers which for what it’s worth I’m glad he’s having fun like I’m not a big Aaron Rogers guy but seems like he’s doing what he

Enjoys all right 2451 here oh my goodness Xavier legot right here look at me in the face come here bud come on down you Southern draw having Beautiful Bastard Xavier leg It 2 461 now I don’t know this is a price point to hand cuck Roshan Johnson Pat

Friou we are getting an Arthur Smith upgrade for tight end probably believe in Michael Mayer the most and do you think Michael Mayer gets a pretty big boost getting Gardner mchu and Michael Mayer you are my pick here though fouth I think that’s closer than it seems and

You can make the case I should have taken the discount on fouth but I didn’t let’s give this team a read Jaylen herzon Anthony Richardson at QB at running back James Connor DeAndre Swift chuba hubard and Jerome Ford a wide receiver AJ Brown Garrett Wilson Devonte Smith Jordan Addison Tyler Lockett and

Xavier leet and then it’s tight end Dallas SCD and Michael Mayer I like what we got going I think that honestly I think I’m on a very good tear of very solid drafts on stream so you know hey you hope you get something from it if nothing else

I’m just glad that I’m not drafting shit teams even in rooms that are a little more Splash playay friends and family think we’re putting up good squads so I’m happy with it fouth is interesting with no Deontay look it’s an upgrade it is an upgrade you definitely make the case I could

Have taken him over mayor I just believe in mayor’s Talent a little bit more and also I don’t know Russ did not do great with tight ends last year does does that matter that much has he ever had a great tight end that he’s fed very aggressively I

Think he looks at boundary guys a little bit more slot guys a little bit more so that’d be my one thing if he’s gonna be the starter there and I don’t think that’s a sure thing either could we pick it again and pick it and verou probably

Have the second best connection on the team I think that pickin’s number one with with picket and then um fouth would be number two and Deontay that’s I think it’s part of why he’s leaving um so yeah if it’s picket or Wilson I guess I don’t know we’ll

See hope Garner wins that job yeah I mean that’s the bet here but if not if Garner doesn’t win the job I think whoever is GNA be QB whether it be a no Connell whether it be some rookie that they somehow stumble upon in the draft I

Think they’ll be able to feed Michael Mayer and I think it’s gonna be a priority to get Michael Mayer going not going as well as Devonte Adams for sure but it’ll be a prior to get Mayor going and also not having Josh Jacobs gonna help the Red Zone share for

Mayer Mayer the one thing I remember very vividly from his rookie data he earned Red Zone targets at a rate like people do not earn um so him being a guy that can get some more especially his attention kind of pushes towards Devon Adams I think it’d be a great thing for

Him an over bull tight ends IMO I I don’t agree with that I think an’s just a dude I mean Baker’s back I think he kind of rode the way with Baker but I and he also to benefited from them not getting Rashad white enough targets late

Um like when they did make that big push down the stretch and then into the playoffs so you can make the C face I don’t know not I’m not big on him I think it’s a little resy wow kitten house hasn’t even reached once in the draft uh did you see

Him take saquan Barkley at nine I think I think he reached pretty well for himself but Lyle kitten housee somehow both the best and worst name on Underdog I feel you can talk about your wallrus balls and all that all you want but Lyall kitten housee makes me

Uncomfortable even though it’s not yeah it’s just not not good not good hates it over the middle I mean look that’s that’s been the rust thing but you know again doesn’t matter like shouldn’t shouldn’t make you not take fouth but you know fouth benefits from no Deon it’s probably at least makes it

A watch that Russ doesn’t Target tight end enough but it is odd that Russ has never had an outlier tight end is really the main thing oh you’re being sarcastic oh okay I didn’t realize I’m not paying that much attention a ly here because again the name makes me

Uncomfortable I don’t like it NOC Gusty wild kitten house 2462 here could make the case for a third tight end I wouldn’t hate that running back is pretty much dead right now though does feel like Rico dle has not had any sort of popup at all even though you know he is technically

The starting running back right now to take TZ Walker though for a seventh wide receiver I like that as a pick Gil Herbert needs to get out of Chicago I I just don’t trust that situation Rico dle I think has got to be it we’re a little thin at running back

We only have four guys in there and even though I like these four guys it is still just four guys R dle come on down uh Team so far Jaylen herz’s he’s free agent is he I mean who the fuck’s nobody’s going to steal R dle so I think

It’s more like Dallas seeing where else they’re going to go and if they don’t find anything better they’ll I do think the Cowboys are live for audre Esme I think they’re the kind of team that would see audre G’s highlights and go whoa like look at that that’s the kind

Of guy we need um so that’s you want to talk yourself back in audre esime I that’s how you can do it anyway team so far Jaylen Herz at AR at QB and running back James Connor DeAndre Swift all right currently not under contract well at least the good

News he’s available so he’s gonna get a good landing spot hopefully in Dallas that’s the Hope here it’s no it’s never du Von season it’ll never be de Von season running backs James Conor DeAndre Swift chuba hubber Jerome Ford Rico dle guess that explains why people aren’t

Steaming him up AJ Brown Garrett Wilson Devonte Smith Jordan Addison Tyler Lockett Xavier legett TZ walker and a tight end Dallas Goddard Michael Mayer the thing is I still feel like even with d not under contract I’d probably take him over all these guys still especially

Given that we have chuba so I don’t have to make the contrarian bet on my sanders to win the Carolina backfield so I’m okay with that as mego number two heing a lot uh maybe a couple weeks ago that was the thing that I thought does seem like within the

Last week odds have moved towards Shane Daniels going number two a little bit more and Drake May going to New England does feel like a good fit actually a good watch if you want to try to sell yourself on Drake May a little bit more um the scheme video that uh Josh Norris

Did with uh with Colt McCoy and and Drake may very good video I had not watched that until yesterday really enjoyed that one and Drake May very very smart guy clearly knows how to play play the position well and definitely a guy that has learned his craft well in a way

That look I like Jay Daniels more um I know some people feel differently I think it’s hard to go wrong with the top three guys really Drake May though the one big floss we talked about yesterday only on target 61% of the time on his throws uh which is really not great for

A guy who again seems really smart has a big arm moves around the pocket well is mobile so may having that as a flaw you know worries me but J having that as as a strength is why I like Jen Daniels more uh am I the only one who doesn’t

View this QB class super Elite I I mean I think that they are as well positioned as any class of QBs um since I’ve been really looking at this aggressively I don’t have the frame of reference like I’m sure there are better classes historically but the top three is really

Good um there’s there are flaws for the top three like Caleb Williams meaningfully regressed this year too Drake may as I’ve talked about he ran less this year because it’s a business decision I think more than anything uh but he ran less like Caleb Williams less successful I think because of the fact

That he played a little bit too loose and frankly he he won his Heisman um once they out of title contention and and part of the reason I think we were out of title contention was the awful defense but it was Caleb Williams not being as good as last year uh so his

Accuracy stuff worries me a little but with Caleb you see the Momsy tools that drives you there uh for Jane Daniels he is AR plus Stroud as I’ve said enough times here that’s you’re never going to Spook me off that Drake May is a josh Allen hybrid on the spectrum of guys who

Run guys who throw it deep a lot and willingly that’s a great skill to have so you know and those are traits too for all these guys where these are not just fantasy traits they’re real life traits as well that should help these guys win games and I also like I

Like B Knicks I like J.J McCarthy these guys ran offense as well they’re not the upside guys who you put in a on a playground and expect them to make plays but I think that they are guys that and honestly McCarthy might be more than we

Know because he had the governor on him fully at Michigan but like McCarthy and Knicks can run an offense so you have now five QBs that I think should be starters if not immediately for some of them but you know soon could see them all not being great

I mean that’s everything that’s every draft it’s possible they fail but you know based on the stuff I look at I would not view that as the most probable outcome but you know that’s obviously me your mileage may vary make it throw deep the Patriots have no

Deep threats that’s why they were trying to get Ridley uh would not be shocked by the way Patriots coming over the top for Maris Brown very much in play now they need a downfield guy all right who do we go to next definitely still need some

RBS all right good I was really hoping that Carlos would not take our beloved tank bsby making the bet against Travis ATN once again already signal from Doug Peterson they do not want to give him the same work we’re going tank bby’s way think a third tight end would not be

A bad thing Here I don’t even know like am I gonna take galani Woods I don’t even know if jalani Woods is going to fucking play can’t be out an entire year with your hamstring and that be a good thing AJ so here’s the thing with AJ Dylan and

Why I’m taking him here a lot of things on social media with AJ Dylan in Dallas do I think that’s a good pick no but at this point with my running back room I’m just trying to get somebody that might end up in Dallas so I’m taking a shot on

AJ Dylan AJ Dylan was awful last year if they did bring him in I think it’d be foolish uh they should take estim should take Bucky Irving they should take Jonathan Brooks they should take two of them honestly take two of the rookies because Brooks is gonna be hurt to start

The year you know we have to ramp up after the ACL tear um they should do that that said if AJ Dylan goes to Dallas he’s going to be he’s gonna go in the top 75 and it would be insane so AJ Dylan come on down it’d be such a Dallas

Move I agree that’s what I saw somebody tweet about I’m like are you fucking CS that’s okay that’s a logic to take AJ Dylan Dobbin still also live I you know Tony Pard better Tony Pard is is Dobbins that maybe not quite as good in the past

Game but I if you’re Dallas you can talk yourself into that but I think the most likely outcome is Dallas gets two of these guys um you know like two guys whether it be one free agent one rookie two free agents two rookies I think it’s

All kind of in play for them and you know they could bring back D too um that wouldn’t be a shocker there because just have some consistency but you know we’ll see such a cowboy people are agreeing here bensson three down back right uh he should be with that speed he was better

As a pass catcher than as a rusher at FSU again did not impress me as a rusher analytically but he was a top athlete in the class so yeah know you gotta take him if he were good so just people guess because I don’t really say this out loud

For frame of reference like guys who fit my analytic profile like guys who hit the EPA metrics in the way that I want to see hit the target PR run rate if you’re a running back have the avoided tackles and all that that that’s like

The main thing that I look at guys who have the Athletic score stuff I assume we’re going to get better draft capital and then I tried to bounce it out against the analytics if Benson were as good analytically as he was athletically he would be my top running back in the

Class the issue is he just wasn’t that good in the analytics um didn’t avoid tackles that well was a plus EPA running back so things that are not great but he was close enough to zero that you you make the BET based on the athleticism and the talent um and the fact too

There’s not a lot of great running backs in the class but for me I’d rather personally I think ese is a better player I think uh Bucky’s a better player I think Brooks is a better definitely a better um that’s how I feel about Benson but

Too fast too good soon wall we’re going drafted yeah the the retirement risk is too big plus the fact that you know Daniel Jones Daniel Jones either gonna have to be a pocket pass a little bit more coming off the ACL te or Daniel Jones

Not gonna be on the team um which you know could make it better for a Waller but if you’re Waller coming back and you don’t know the QB is going to be I don’t know still I think he comes back though because he’s coming off a divorce I

Don’t know like do you really want to be divorced and then losing maybe some money to a WNBA player who probably did not make enough to to hit the threshold that you don’t have to give her half I don’t know I don’t know about that but that’s me that’s that’s probably vaguely

Misogynistic rumor in inuendo FSU would have won The Natty this year because benon was fasty FSU fans very delusional the IR is like some of my best friends in life are FSU fans which I would not have guessed but people I’ve met in New York throughout the years my former coach co-founder of

GM Cass FSU fan one of my closest friends Chelsea also an FSU fan and lovely people but you know I was a little bit delusional about FSU I get it good call spags I agree I like you say about anything I’ve said here on stream today any day no no

No like we’re always gonna get some things wrong that’s the main thing here but you know also quick plug uh I shouldn’t be doing it right before my pick comes up but let’s get the plugs out of the way because we got two picks coming up um so first of all probably

Again my baby here the results are probably again like the funniest thing that’s ever happening we’re up 25 units in March it’s been it’s been 13 days in March and also by the way I don’t do content on the weekends one losing day was me placing some half-ass parlays I

Wanted to try to Win $5,000 on five so that’s that’s what I lost money on there point being though for probably the data has never been better right now with March Madness coming up I think you’re really going to get good Returns on it so check it out for yourself if you want

To support directly 50% off for the prom code Splash that means you get first month for under 10 bucks a year for under 100 bucks but also there’s 7-Day free trial going on the app store which I will link in the pin comments as well and last call once again on Friday

Giving away the guest hosting spot for spash playay so if you leave five stars and review for probably on the App Store you’ll be entered to win a guest hosting spot on Splash playay so that’s coming up pretty fast here on Friday today I guess tomorrow fuck the week is flying

By all right we be doing that every month as well uh 2772 here I do like at Perry we got to get some correlation for AR Alec Pierce moving to unemployment based upon ADP but he is still on the roster so he will take a shot at him here and frankly well

You know what I do like the three tight end build a lot and Davis Allen being here I just don’t think Davis Allen should go undrafted I’ve said that enough times he’s a much better version of Tyler higgy and I don’t think that Kobe Parkinson upsets things for Davis

Allen Davis Allen is a pass catcher who can block Co Parkinson is a blocker who will occasionally catch a pass so Davis Allen to me is still a big steal at this point in the draft all right final team here QB jayen Herz Anthony Richardson a running back uh we

Do have James Connor DeAndre Swift chuba Hub jome forward Rico dle tank bsby and AJ Dylan really trying to win that Dallas starting job with somebody who can just lock into the role of a lifetime a wide receiver AJ Brown Devonte Smith Garrett Wilson I shouldn’t have flipped the order there but of

Course G with the Philly stack with Jaylen Herz Jordan Addison Tyler Lockett Xavier leot TZ Walker Alec Pierce felt good at wide receiver but I think I really stuck The Landing at wide receiver two guys athletic freaks like it I like analytically TZ Walker less so

But he is a downfield target guy who should have some spike days you would hope if he land somewhere good and he should based upon his athletic profile Dallas GD Michael Mayer Davis Allen at tight end I like the team again I’m GNA like the team tomorrow probably even

More because you know what guys tomorrow is zero RB Friday so come back for that one of course the day where I am legally committed to not draft a running back early on so I’m going to do that tomorrow of course PR Cod Splash Underdog double your deposit 20 bucks

For your new signup get a mystery pick him as well for that which is a great thing uh stochastic 50% off on there I’ve seen you guys some people signing up for NASCAR some people signing up PGA MMA another great one I don’t think there’s UFC this weekend but in general

MMA Sims really good I recommend that product NBA I used it yesterday had too much smone F Teo even though the Sims put me on a lot of Jaylen Duran based off my projection so Jaylen Duran was a play you needed H but not having demard

De Roa not having having too much F Techo tough uh double whammy there but the tools make you feel alive and that is the main thing I ask for of any DFS product just making me feel like I have a shot to win if I do the right things

Stastics tools do that so check it for yourself from a good Splash on there or check the link in the description to get 15% off any package data Sims whatever you want all these people have helped me put on the show today and you two could be

One of them hit the join button down below $499 a month you’ll be able to uh help me do things keep growing the channel keep putting things towards it and also frankly right now this is my job so pay bills quote unquote so whatever you guys do to support the

Channel helps me out here and these people have done that better than you I don’t know what to say man but tomorrow the reading of names comes up so we will update the graphics follow me at Chris bags follow the show atplay pod and come back tomorrow drafts every day

Monday to Friday at 11 am so join us on that Journey here I will be here giving you info reading everything I can researching talking about it and I appreciate you guys being along for the ride so I’ll see you guys again soon enjoy your days good luck Bye a

9 Comments

  1. I was your draft neighbor in your off stream draft at 9 spot. I certainly was shocked at your first 2 picks, knowing your love for zero RB!

  2. Just got to say, Drake London and Marvin Harrison Jr. aren’t even close to the same thing.

    The reason is simple as well. London has 2 seasons where he scored basically 140 .5 PPR Fantasy points in NFL, while Harrison has no track record in the NFL.

    People will say that since London’s situation has improved, we really don’t know his upside.

    However, I am of the opinion that people heavily overrate situational impact for WR. It’s not that situational improvement doesn’t help WR’s, it’s just that people expect it to impact WR’s more than it does.

    Christian Kirk is the last WR I can think of whose situation improving helped him beat his previous best, but even he had a solid last season in Arizona and only got 30 more .5 PPR his 1st season in Jacksonville. A.J. brown got helped by his trade to Philly, but again in his best season at Philly, he only scored 40 more points than his best season with the Titans. And what greater situational improvement is there than moving from the Titans to an all-star Philly team?

    Which brings me to London. Yes, he should expect a jump, but he is going around/ahead guys who scored 200+ .5 PPR points last season. That means his cost has the built in expectation that he will score close to 60 more .5 PPR points this season than he ever has before. If this was enough to make him be better than everyone around him I’d be all for taking him early, but that’s just to get him to what you expect from a 3rd round WR.

    Bonus: IMO there’s an entire discussion to be had around situations mattering a lot more for RBs than WRs, and how people like to blame being wrong on prospect as him just being in a poor situation.

  3. You and I are in violent agreement on Garrett Wilson. That ADP is way too high, but as volume drafters, we gotta get our shares here and there.

    When the RFK, Jr. presidential campaign fires up and Aaron Rodgers is on a 'sorry-not-sorry' media tour in response to his Sandy Hook trutherdom (fuck that guy!!), Garrett will settle behind DJM/MHJ/Nico. For the Big Board, we'll miss that dip, but for BBM and other millies, I'll wait for August to get my 3-5%.

  4. Agreed with all you early picks, but in the Conner/Swift batch I would've reached for Downs instead picking Swift. Then the next turn you could've taken Brob over Lockett. I understand you are high on Swift because of his contract, I'm just worried because will still be in a committee on a much worse team. Honestly surprised you are this high on Bears offense. I think they will be a work in progress with Caleb and Eberflus is possibly a complete bozo. But I love your team besides that one very small nitpick 😚

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