2024 Pebble Beach Pro-Am Best Bets, Odds | Final Betting Card | Updated Weather Report Pebble Beach

Pat Mayo, Degenerate75, and Cam Stewart give their 2024 Pebble Beach Pro-Am Best Bets with their Gold, Silver and Bronze Selections. Plus, Mayo’s Final Betting Card and Updated Weather Report for Pebble Beach.

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INDEX

00:00 Intro
3:37 Gold
15:39 Silver
33:15 Bronze
38:22 Outright Picks
43:48 Weather

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I was at a wedding the night before and I I I literally was like absolutely tuned and I turned on the TV my girlfriend’s like didn’t you bet on Kim I’m like yeah there’s a lot of Kims out there honey she oh it’s Tom Kim and he

Had like a five shot lead and he won that tournament man we made box cars when when he won experience experienceat Experience bat experience experience welcome to the pat Mayo experience a brand new show on the pat Mayo experience because there’s no football this week so we have the PGA Pebble Beach Best Bets the gold the silver the bronze if you good people out there have not played in the pat Mayo

Experience DraftKings listeners League there’s 400 spots remaining go get that right now there’ll be a newsletter free newsletter coming out on Wednesday evening with all of the final plays another weather update because that is really the story of this week is are we going to finish by next Wednesday who

Knows with how the weather rain and wind is going to go at Pebble Beach we’ll wait and see on that front smash like to the episode download the show Apple podcast Spotify yeah it’s all there turn on your auto downloads and rate it five stars that can always go a long way to

Helping out the show but I brought in well cam is usually on the best bet show however the degenerate 75 James you are also joining us for the PGA P we need a bit more energy than Piza and someone who actually knows golf so this is perfect welcome to the show hey thanks

There’s not too many guys there’s probably like 10 people in this world that I would get up at 8:00 a.m. for and it just happens to be that two of them are cam and Pat so uh that just let you know how special this show is to me CAM

Are you ready to talk some golf wow I don’t know this J James is like I we got to work together because I’ll tell you I don’t I don’t get this much love from everybody it’s usually you got shows to tape screw off what your invoic is up

150 yeah Pat you’d be proud of me though i’ I’ve never felt better I’ve been taking this stuff and these guys aren’t paying me I know we’ve done stuff for Omaha Stakes but I went to the Healthy Planet you know that’s kind of opposite

Of what I do but I found this uh Super Beat stuff like this beets and I hate beets it’s the only food I don’t like but since I’ve been taking it I’m going to tell you like I feel like I can like literally have sex with a rhinoceros

Like I feel a hundred times better than I am and I met this Uber driver and he’s telling me about remember I told you about the mythical powers of oysters you know to give you a sex drive I found some new thing it’s uh clove like I got

I got some uh Indian Colgate with clove and I feel great and I bought a wooden stick it’s a stick that you put in your mouth and basically like a natural toothbrush I don’t know what the hell’s going on now know why you see East Indians like living to 120 because

That’s what they do and they breed and they have good like you know what I mean low blood pressure so I’m actually feeling better these days for a change Pat ready to rock so you got cloves you got beets and a wooden spoon and now you’re just perfect no wooden stick

Wooden stick basically it’s it’s a toothbrush without the BR because bristles fall off it’s just your you just put it in your mouth and it’s made of clove and the guy was right like I I’ve been doing it for like literally a week and I’m starting to feel better

First couple days I’m like yeah this sounds like BS this [ __ ] but no it’s working and uh I didn’t really know cloves were the east Indian oysters like the it’s good for your sex drive just for tip for everybody out there yeah I mean we got free bets those are mostly

Losers but we have cam with free tips on your sex drive sounds like it’s a winner to me it’s a damn winner Pat and last week we need winners after Baltimore sunk my ship I got to tell you betting against Kansas City at a spite [ __ ]

That’s stupid I got to stop doing that but I’m probably going to take the ners in the Super Bowl because I’m a stooge so if people are unfamiliar with the best bet show because they don’t watch during NFL season which a weird I don’t know why you wouldn’t be doing that but

B we do our best bet our second best bet our third best bet and it’s not really I mean you can go to the outright Market it’ be really tough being like here’s my best bet it’s 75 to one we have the outright show for that and listen I’m

Going to make my outright bets this one is focusing more on head-to-head matchups placements top 30s whatever it might be for by the the discretion of me or the guest whatever they want to go to so I will start things off for the gold pick right now I’m going to the very top

Not the very very top of the board but I’m taking Patrick Klay top 20 minus 140 I will have a show that’s coming out in a few weeks time uh I did it with the model Maniac where we broke down the most profitable bets and the most profitable golfers over the course of

The last 12 months and which markets are actually a bit underpriced despite the fact that they don’t seem that way and the one thing that really jumped out to him when we were going through it James was these high-end golfers at you know minus odds minus 140 because people who

Bet golf don’t want to bet minus anything because they’re used to I’ll bet someone at 100 to one but the top 20 market for elite players even in Elite Fields uh turns out to be quite profitable as it turns out yeah like every week I always give all my members

I I do a thing like percentage of the time they’ll finish in the top 10 and it’s frequent that guys like Z or shefer Rory will be well over 50% to have a top 10 rate and if you know that they’re going to get over that 50 60% of the

Time you can lay a little bit of negative juice and still make it profitable especially in these like uh you know limited Fields where there’s only 80 people this week it only increases their chances of getting those top 10 so it is a good way it’s not you

Know everybody wants those big hits at sports betting but a lot of times you’re going to be better just taking those nice singles every week and uh I think it makes it much more sustainable so the fantasy National redesign is almost complete there’s still a few things trickling over like the rolling report

That’ll be back very soon you can custom adjust your percentages again but the simulator is back on the market as well uh I took a look at Xander Xander had a 61% top 20 rate in this tournament but he was like minus 170 so I went with

Patrick Klay who’s right around 55% for a top 20 I actually think in a field this small cam with only 80 players it’s probably even higher than that and the reason that I took Klay is cu he’s actually one of the few people who plays in this tournament every year he is used

To the proam he’s used to these courses and we have seen course history play itself out at Pebble Beach over the years great call too Pat I talk about you know the top 10 and 20 Market only one guy’s goingon to win the damn tournament like look at me last week

With Nasty Nate Lashley he almost like for one minute I’m like oh my God can this guy make a couple more birdies and I can win like I was going to win like 20 grand I had him at 500 to one but you know that never happens I didn’t expect

The Frenchman to win for the first time since 1907 pavon hey got to hand it to him but uh yeah you guys are absolutely right how many times have you taken that guy 26 whatever you take the big dogs cha chaffle is having a good year he

Just can’t close the door that’s the problem with that guy he’s a top 10 machine he just has problems winning the tournament great call on Klay too I think he has the type of Personality where nothing will rattle him it doesn’t matter if he’s playing with some stiff

Like owner of GE or you know another guy I don’t know which rich guy he’s playing with but that he he he’ll be the same guy regardless he’ll just power his way through the tournament I like Klay a lot this week as well I always found it

Strange because of the pro and the proam is only the first two rounds instead of the first three rounds like it normally is at Pebble Beach James and can’t lay play so slow anyway same as Jason day like Jason day plays so slow can’t lay

Play so slow these are two of the guys that have the most success at this tournament year-over-year maybe it’s just the pace that they want to play at I mean I’ve always been a big proponent of uh Strokes skting psychology and when these guys get to courses they feel good

At or they’re playing at a pace they play at whatever it may be as long as it gets them in their good mental spot that’s when I want to be betting on guys putting money on guys and I’m down for a narrative that Patrick Klay plays better

Because he’s playing in a slow you know environment where he feels more comfortable so you you don’t have to sell me on that I’m in Patrick Klay is playing with Egan Durban I don’t know who that is [ __ ] sounds like what is this guy Irish yeah he sounds he sounds

Like an Irish uh kind of Egan what do you think Pat What’s the guess well he is the the he joined he’s the co-ceo and managing partner of Silver Lake now I need to figure out what Silver Lake is it’s a technology Golf Club it is a technology management

Company why don’t they just get like anyway I don’t want to get in this like remember like it’s the same dudes too like the [ __ ] old guy from you know like I love I love Brent sneer he always plays with the guy who went to Vanderbilt as well like you know what

Would be nice in this tournament to get some fresh blood like to get some new guys in there like we all know hey it’s the same old story Here Comes Bill Murray with the exploding golf ball like I’d like to see somebody else and you know there’s probably a lot of young

Like different people just for people that are really into golf but I don’t know that’s the way they do it it just uh new rotation would be nice well they got rid of all the celebrities this year it’s basically just a few athletes and these CEO types like the Bill Murray’s

And Larry the Cable guys they’re gone this year yeah Larry the Cable Guy yeah who’s the other guy the country singer Toby Keith Red Solo cup he’s there yeah Bill any football players or like athletes Like Larry Fitzgerald he’s he’s pretty cool dude but uh anybody like

That there this year I’m not sure yeah we got Fitzgerald Alex Smith Josh Allen Tom Brady Aaron roders and pow gasou it looks like interesting and Steve Young so guys so Allen will probably be with Keith Mitchell correct aren’t they buddies that are they is that how it

Works I’m just I remember from the last time they played golf together I just I kind of put that’s my guess like if I I I like Keith Mitchell and Josh Allen I think are buddies yeah this is this is a grouping it’s Keith Mitchell and Josh

Allen and Keegan Bradley and Tom Brady yep you got it New England ties and then that see Pat do we’re figuring it out already on the Fly good stuff so any that’s my gold pick is going to be Klay top 20 minus 140 James you are up for

The gold pick real quick how do they how do they make those pairings is it like like because I’m I’m sure some guys want to be with a better players like I imagine like getting with Scotty uh is or a Rory or somebody like that is probably a pretty hot ticket they’re

Like is it like based on how much money you give or how does this work I I I think call I think that the tournament does it like an amateur can request a player to go play with but I do think that someone like Rory like whoever his

Biggest sponsor is he probably has to play with like that CEO that makes sense yeah I was going to say like a guy like Mr Burns who wants to just beat his buddies and throw the more money on the pile would be like yeah give me Sheffer give me Rory like

One of those guys right so makes sense Pat you’re you’re absolutely right whoever gives you the most D you’re probably going to have to hack it up with for sure yeah so Rory is playing with a guy named Jeff rhods who is I have no idea who he is no relation to

Dusty roads or Cody roads I can that yeah but by the by the look of him no he is not related to any of the roads family he is a co-managing partner at tpg Capital whatever they seem to be CD collection yeah they they seem to be investing in Rory mroy is

Amongst okay so he is investing with this Jeff rhods guy in like Royal trune and like revamping some European courses so like they’re Pals I guess okay just always wondered that I never know any of that stuff uh all right you get you bronze pick I’m going

To go I’m going to go right gold pick gold gold gold give us yeah see like me I usually P you’re learning quick my friend got we starting with the best all right well then my gold pick is going to be a head-to-head matchup and it’s going

To be Justin Thomas versus old ludig Iceberg and the reason’s simple right I I just I I think uh icebergs uh ceiling for the future is great I think that he is going to be an incredible Talent top five player in the world written all

Over him but he’s not there yet and I’m just not convinced that he uh is going to be rolling in putts on this POA I don’t think this is a great course fit uh for what he does the best and honestly I can’t believe I’m gonna say

This I think Justin Thomas is finally unbroken and he is playing incredible incredible golf right now and the fact that I’m getting basically even money at minus 110 against Iceberg at a course that Justin Thomas has seen before a part of the country he is used to

Playing at I feel pretty confident that Justin Thomas is going to beat Iceberg probably about 60% of the time in a head-to-head matchup that’s uh that’s about as good a value as I’m ever going to see at ah head to head so I’m going to be taking Justin Thomas there I do

Worry that Justin Thomas will do if you had money on Justin Thomas in the final round at the AMX and you’re like oh you could have most definitely won this tournament except you kept putting the ball in the water it just like but I mean Pat remember Nick Sabin Nick Sabin

Line one I’ll tell you when I play in cash tournaments I love Justin thbs meanwhile this guy dunlap’s coming out of nowhere and Thomas puts one off the Rocks I’m like thanks that was great remember that he like picking up Justin Thomas I’m like this is great kiss a

Death mush Larry lemon yeah we were done Thomas that week Sabin talked about how much composure Justin Thomas has he puts in the water and starts slamming his Club on the other part of like the two box and the the commentators just don’t reference it whatsoever no they don’t I

Love that pick by the way I love that pick I actually have a match up Pat just to keep things rolling right now I got Fitzpatrick over Oar or whatever you want to he’ll always be aerg or Iceberg to me good call I like Iceberg but he’s

Going to be Wicked one of my favorite players but I’m going to go with Fitzpatrick plus 105 over aerg I think Fitzpatrick is going to have a really really good week and it’s tough because they have a matchup bet with Fitzpatrick and Fleetwood and I kind of like them

Both this week we’re expecting weather and uh I think Fitzpatrick’s the type of guy and he has the demeanor to get through this he’s played well at this course before no a mixed bag he’s also had a Mis cut but I’m gonna tell you I love I like Matthew Fitzpatrick I like

His game and I think he’s going to do real well actually I like him outright Pat at 35 so why wouldn’t I take him over Oar in a matchup bet at plus money so give me Matthew Fitzpatrick the young skinny Englishman still got got braces

Yeah 105 plus 105 against a a bear he he doesn’t have the braces anymore the braces are gone great teeth the all teeth team Charles Hal III Fitzpatrick Bob Seager uh great Shoppers Charles schwarzel oh yeah Schwarz great yeah that was that was Brian blessing’s joke cor the cob in

Contest schwarzel versus Fitz Patrick I’m think yeah no schwarz’s got nice guy though great yeah he’s got huge teeth huge hey I bet Charles how I third on the Liv tour this week amazing are you serious yeah how’s he been how’s he been doing over there that always be my guy

He’s actually pretty good he’s okay Chucky thre sticks yeah I I bet him and Danny Lee at like 250 to one wow what a price Danny Lee let me down now who’s the other guy Pat that I used to bet I’m not even sure Curtis luck I used to take

The guy the ponytail the Aussie with the ponytail no he’s never cashed a ticket did you take 250 to one and I like a 48 man field yeah that’s amazing insane it really is it did I couldn’t like Charles I was 33 to one and I was like oh yeah I

Always like Danny Lee at mayakoba I’ll like scroll down and find him like 250 to one it’s like maybe he’s like Danny maybe he lost good Danny Lee he can win like Danny Lee is one of those dudes that like you know he’s garbage garbage garbage but when he finally when it

Flips on like he’s a guy you want to have he’ll go win you a tournament I believe they both won on live last year so they can do it right so hopefully they can one of them can do it again this year and then we’re GNA be rolling

You hit a bomb like that Pat we haven’t had a b bomb like that since T bur olis and Snakes on a Plane uh what was he 250 to one back in the day I like that guy too and he know what the best is didn’t

He win last week the week I’m not on him because there so much football and stuff I’m like great now now thunderbear wins when I have no money on him I bet him every week it’s funny because I had bet him the week before and did not bet him last

Week thank you Pat exactly you’re reading my mail silver selections for Pebble Beach uh I have a head-to-head matchup that I’m going with and it kind of goes along the same lines of what you guys were talking about fading Oar it’s not that I’m like fading Rory that I

Think that Rory is going to have a bad week but when I think of Rory uh ludig obar and Nikolai hoard like the the one thing that those three share is that they’re prodigious players off the tea like they can bomb it they can hit it accurately and that’s the big skill

That’s mitigated at Pebble Beach so you’re forced to lay up there’s really wide Fairways here yeah you can bomb and gouge it into the rough if you want but you don’t hold a distinct advantage over Andrew putam off the tea this week where you would at basically any other course

On tour so I’m kind of fading all of those guys and then I took a look at BO Hustler’s odds I was like well there’s zero chance I’m going to bet him at 50 to one to win this tournament and if he was like 150 to1 sure sign me up for Bo

Hustler I know that he played pretty well last week he has some good course history at Pebble be over the years but like he’s he’s not in the same class of player as the other Bo hosler at 50 and Hideki at 60 doesn’t quite meet in the

Middle for me when I’m looking at outright winning odds but I think this is a market where I do like hostler I like hosler over Nikolai hoard minus 110 in the head-to-head matchup yeah I love it pat I’m gonna tell you something Hustler I think is

Like a good top 10 20 bet I know he has problems sometimes you know getting that win but he’s there sometimes it’s not sometimes it’s every time every week every time I’ve had big bu Hustler you’re right but the thing no what he does he collects paychecks that’s what I

Know he’s a good top 10 top 20 player and I kind of agree with you I was actually looking at Hustler too to win but I looked at the odds the best I found was 55 but he’s going to make the top 20 market for sure yeah I I think

The top top 20 top 30 is probably where you want to play him it just in terms of just legitimate value like you’re taking a look at the betting board like Tom Kim is 50 to1 who’s won three times in two years years and is that a great course

For him is there a chance that Bo hosler has a better like average finish than Tom Kim at this tournament probably but if we’re talking about who’s going to win James it’s probably Tom Kim over Bo Hustler oh for sure yeah Tom Kim’s got that upside that Bo Hustler just doesn’t

Have but I will say that you know I’m I’m not breaking any news here but the weather looks pretty suspect this week it’s going to be cold it’s going to be wet and it’s going to be possibly windy three of the four days and to me I think

That that is you know is something you want to lean into when picking some of these bets that’s why I really lik his Fitzpatrick over over old Iceberg a minute ago is because we know that Fitz can grind his balls off when he gets tough out there and we don’t really know

That yet about uh old ludvig so uh playing that angle and really getting some guys that can grind I think is a great way to maybe catch a little bit of an edge uh in the Betty Market this week what about the the Irish bear Shane

Lowry he seems that he’s one at the the Open Championship he’s kind of one of those guys isn’t he is even here he’s not in the field yeah he is no he’s not in thei he’s not in the field no the Irish bear is not in the field holy gez

I thought I was I thought I saw him at like 50 to one huh interesting okay I must be losing my mind Pat I I’d say low would play well this week but uh yeah he he would strike he would he would strike

Me as kind of the type to do it but you bring like where it’s only 80 players and it might just really come down to what like what day is going to be more windy when the players are playing Pebble Beach because if it’s super windy one of the days that they’re playing

Pebble Beach that might be a huge disadvantage where it’s spy glass you might be protected from the wind a little bit then the next day it’s completely off and you have a good day at Pebble like the rotation of the courses might play a significant factor

Here as I mentioned off the top when I went through my outright bets that it’s I just played five long shots and I I’ll probably do some internate betting I still might get to Fitzpatrick because he was kind of my favorite from the top end guys cam like you but like the the

The highest guy on my card to kick things off this week was Ben an at 55 to one that’s so funny I have bet for a top 30 Pat I’m going to take him like literally 20 30 40 I can’t I I just think he he fits the bill this week I

And his name kind of popped out at me I found like I don’t know how you guys feel about Scotty Sheffer this week I know like it’s hard to go against this guy any week but like he’s in a matchup bet versus maroy and he’s like plus

Money on my site plus 102 like I was thinking like I don’t know how you guys feel about sheffler this week but I’m trying to find ways to fade Rory even though that’s probably pretty stupid you can get sheffler plus money versus Rory I would take it

Yeah it’s on uh one of my sits Pat it’s got a plus 102 and I told you I got fits over Iceberg there so yeah I’m I’m actually gonna bet that too so those are things I like I love your bet on pick by the way I think he’s gonna have a nice

Week I think I think we need to get the the benan on Pat Mayo experience uh uh going we need to get that movement going in the in The Ether listen if the if PGA Tour players want to come on the pat Mayo experience I am here at any time

During the day to talk with them and whatever they want to say but James do you have a silver pick I do I’m going to go this one’s I think this will be my first kind of off theboard one I can I can already I I don’t know if Ander cus

Would be uh um turning over in his grave with this one or if this is going to make his day but I really like this uh will there be a hem one no is plus 140 this week I went and did some research and this this tournament usually does

Give up a hole of one and I think what the books did is they just went and looked at the past several years and just said more often than not people are making a hoem one let’s make this a um you know a negative bet if you’re going

Yes but what they’re failing to realize is the majority of the Hem ones came on the course that they’re not playing this week right montere Peninsula the two courses that give up the fewest ones are actually Pebble Beach and spy glass where they’re going to be playing the

Two of them right and I know I’m very familiar with the seventh hole the little short wedge shot it’s like a 100 yards but with the wind with the cold conditions and I actually think the soft greens makes it quite a bit harder to make a hole in one on that and then

Lastly don’t for forget there’s only 80 guys in this field so basically there’s only half as many shots coming from the pros that could be a hole in one right so with all those things I I feel pretty good about getting plus money I would have almost taken it at even money but

The fact that I’m getting plus 140 uh on no hoem one uh I I feel pretty uh good about that one I like I like that one I like that a lot I I I like I like that research yeah go I go hey the dominoes are falling North Carolina just

Legalized sports betting it’s about to happen in Texas and then right here in the great state of Oklahoma so uh I I’ve really started to get to be a sweaty try hard at sports betting are you a sooner I am golden hurricane oh you’re a sooner

That’s funny I work with uh Joe reneer he’s a he’s a cowboy but we still get along shout out to sooner Lisa who likes all the programming we we got a lot of good good people of Oklahoma man great uh a lot of people in Oklahoma like to

Gamble so that’s good for the state we’re good and simple people here in Oklahoma a good there there was a few head tohe heads that I found like I’m on draftking Sportsbook right now Cam and they have the Sheffer versus Rory head-to-head and it’s sheffler minus 120 wow I can’t believe look maybe

People are betting at Pat but I saw plus 102 but that was I think on I think it was FanDuel Ontario and they have they had some crazy stuff let me tell you for football they posted like a mcaffrey MVP at plus 480 and it was three something

At other places I’ve really noticed Pat They jack up lines for like the Raptors Leafs can and like the National Hockey League for favorites but when it comes to golf and stuff you can find some pretty good numbers if you shop around he got as we talk about fetting is like

The grocery store I get my Meats at this place I get my canned goods at this place right you got to have multiple books because uh a lot of them have different numbers and you need a good cheese place you always got to have a

Good cheese place G oh I love cheese yes yes I like cheese big big cheese guy yeah me me too you can tell you probably tell by looking at us me and cam aren’t skiing over exactly yes I should be from Wisconsin I love man I’m craving a

Poutine and it’s what is it 9:50 in the morning oh they pat nice nice gravy and cheese curds right now some fries let’s rock see that’s why I’m taking super beats now that’ll medigate the cheese it’s it’s a pick them and a push I hate poutine so much you really gross you’re

The you’re the best can a Canadian say that is that even legal like is that to do whatever he wants he’s kind of like he has more of a French pallet than a than a munic Canadian pallet for sure poutine is French actually it is it is

French that’s well fries and gravy and cheese curds yeah I guess it’s it is it’s from Quebec but uh they do it and what do they do in in the states I think they call it wild fries or whatever when I went down like me Mory were doing

Something down there and they had like it was just it wasn’t called poutine it was just basically poutine but it had a different name like crazy fries I’m like okay yeah gravy and cheese curds I get you James have you voted in the have you

Voted in the cies yet I have not I’m uh I I know I should I’m a I’m look I always I’ve I’ve told you this before Pat I always [ __ ] about these people that like you know won’t do these basic things and then I look at me as a viewer

CU I watch all the shows and everything and then I don’t do it so like I’m no better than the people I [ __ ] about it’s a fact jerk too see I bring this up because listen I can be very much the same way uh when it comes to I’ll listen

To a show that I really like and they’re like hey can you fill out this survey for us it would mean a lot to the show it’s like there’s no [ __ ] way I’m doing that but like I really need people to do that for certain things like

Rating and reviews sign up for this join the newsletter [ __ ] that takes like literally 15 seconds or something like that nothing out of my day would change whatsoever if I went and did this and it would probably be beneficial to me this is why I bring it up so often you can

Vote in the cies right now it is down in the description the listeners league is right next to it and the free newsletter is right next to it too you can bang out the I mean the cussies you probably want to read through it some people spent

Someone told me they spent three hours reading through the cussies because the choices were too tough for them wait was that Tim that did that that sounds like something Tim would say I doubt Tim I mean Tim probably just clicked on it voted for Jeff and went on

His way although his his Tim’s meme campaign Tim released a meme that no one understood and he hasn’t released a meme since so he’s uh he’s he’s turtling in the corner right now he thinks that Jeff’s coming at him yeah no they’re both they both have

Major issues and you could throw me like in the most like Pat I I got I got major problems as well but some of the things cus says like being an astronaut and [ __ ] like it just it’s it’s un it’s unbelievable actually like his carts for grocery shopping like I love the though

I’ll tell you one thing about Tim he’s he’s a really cool dude oh yeah Pat by the way I’m with you with surveys I got one Barb remember I told you about Barb property manager she’s out they want me to do a survey and uh I need a proxy for

This vote for the new uh condo manager tonight sounds like a Seinfeld episode I’m like what the [ __ ] are you talking about like I got shows to do I don’t give a [ __ ] about this condo meeting but yeah I need a proxy and I basically I I

Go I have none like they need me to know a neighbor I don’t know the guy’s name or anything like that that’s involved in this condo stuff I’ll tell you though real Shi Shifty real Shifty the fees keep on going up we need to do an investigation on these things we’ve

Talked about it I know these guys are siphoning money I just can’t prove it well maybe if you went to the meeting you’d be able to prove it well well played Patrick yeah I just I do a lot of stuff you you know we’re busy I’m with you though on surveys they

Wkak so absolutely re there there is a head-to-head matchup at draftking sports book right now James morawa and spe morawa is minus 140 and spe is plus 120 I found that really surprising I like it’s shocking just in the fact that everybody loves speed at this course I

Would think they would know that the market would just inherently want to bet spe over Mor coward just based on course history and you know spe being associated with Pebble Beach and him saying it’s his favorite course uh I have to imagine that’s going to be one

Of the biggest uh uh uh leans towards one side of a bet you’re going to see this week I cannot believe spe is that big of plus money against morawa who’s coming off of this cut well may maybe it’s just people are waiting so long in

The week to do this but cam wouldn’t that just tell you that the money’s actually coming in on morawa yeah I I gotta be honest with you Pat I had morawa a couple times and it’s just one of those things he’s got a loose round in him and he’s a hard guy

To bet at his numbers right now I don’t care is he gonna win like I’m not going to be on him I I I prefer speed you’re gonna give me plus money at speed versus morawa call me a sucker like I feel like it’s almost like a fish line but I don’t

Care like I I I like spe better all right well where are you going to go with your silver pick cam it’s funny we already mentioned this guy and I’m going to take the top 30 Market but I want more I want Big B Hustler top 20 plus

175 I think uh you know and it’s so funny I I like Justin Thomas as well he’s plus 110 but I’m G to take Hustler for the money so give me plus 75 he’s in great form right now we know the the viser is probably not going to win this

Tournament but I think he can just you know I think he’ll be on page one and two of the leaderboard and on Sunday I wouldn’t even be shocked if he was close to the leaderboard and just faded a little bit just need him to stay in the

Top 20 in great current form right now and I think he’ll do fine at Pebble Beach so I’m going to take Hustler plus 175 for a top 20 Pat I really like the pick well if you go to draftking Sportsbook right now C I’m going to save

You some money here you can get them at plus 190 at draftking sports what the hell w i see grocery stores I obviously shopped at the wrong one it’s funny I I recorded a show with Piza and Jeff last night for when I’m away so it’ll come

Out probably in two weeks and it was called if you could change if you were the Zar of sports betting like what were the first things you could change and Rob was talking about Price shopping and kind of pointed out it’s like people will not price shop when it comes to

Betting and look for Value here but they would wait an hour in line to save four cents a gallon on gas yeah or or at the grocery store when there’s a lineup of 20 when the automatic things are taken and some idiot’s price checking right oh

That store has it at that do we price match honestly Pat like there’s got to be a special Lane for that like we have things to do like I get I you know what I mean like we’re in this business where we’re cutting videos all day it’s like

Come on like I got ladies like 20 30 minutes like negotiating I saw these planters penuts for $299 at the other place and we’re sitting there going yeah like that see Pat that’s a good idea the price check line and then other lines instead we’re just sitting there like

Morons all day at the at the grocery store it’s ridiculous if I could just add to that I would say that like being a long-term sports betting profitable player is a very small minority of people and really about the only way you’re ever going to

Do it is to be Price shopping and be doing you know and and finding line value Edge and if you’re not doing those two things just know that you’re losing but the good news is for sports books I think a lot of people just want to throw

Their 20 bucks on a bet and don’t really want to put in any effort but if you’re trying to become a long-term sustainable player you got to be line shopping like that hole in one uh play a lot of places had it at 1110 I had to do a lot of

Shopping to find that plus 140 number uh and that makes a massive difference if it hits 50 cents that’s a great that’s a huge gap that’s nuts yeah and that that was that was piz’s whole point that like instead of now having to hit at a 54%

Rate if you shop long enough maybe you have to hit at a 51% rate to break even or be slightly profitable that it’s worth it to go you would you would price shop in every other facet of life yet people don’t want to do it in gambling absolutely true man I don’t

Know what I do Pat but these Lo remember we talk about props like what would you do to change a sport know what I would do uh more bonuses that’s that’s my thing like if you’re a heavy player like we are like you know sometimes 20 bucks

10 bucks 50 bucks whatever like for long-term members it’s kind of like I want like deals over time I want like more like keep me as a customer I’m donating tons of money and depositing in your book like I want real bonuses and ones that don’t don’t have a tag where

You know I got to hit the casino with 20 spins or do something like you know what I mean Pat we’ve been doing this stuff for like 30 years we’ve been gambling since we were children so something like like a lifetime longevity member like they do in Vegas you know for the

Seniors they have the over 50 Club you get the $5 breakfast even with inflation that’s something to say we appreciate you as a customer not here we’re just here to vacuum up your money well I I think you’ll see that once the sports books mature a little bit more CU right

Now they are really playing towards new customers and building up that base and they like your whale customers who are spending like hundreds of thousands of dollars on a weekly basis at these places so the people who are as Jeff kind of called himself a you know high-end casual entertainment better

Where he’ll bet enough money on it but he’s not a whale but he’s also not like a a noob when it comes to sports betting that there’s just nothing in the current legal Market that takes care of those people no you’re absolutely correct and yeah we we’ll see this stuff and you

Know you know what it is Pat I had a conversation with my brother about this and you know I just find it it’s we’re bombarded with this stuff now right and sometimes people just want to watch a game instead of every commercial being gambling commercials but it’s a very

Simple concept since Co who’s got the money to like throw commercial you know like it’s just it’s gambling companies it used to be alcohol right so that’s what’s happening right now a lot of these places went under and you find a lot of kids who don’t even know what

The hell they’re doing like my brother’s kids don’t even know they’re I’m gonna put like a hundred bucks on the Flames with money that grandma gave me and stuff like that it’s just hey I choose to be a gambler and I’ve got rocked before but it’s kind of this we’re

Getting bombarded with this [ __ ] and it’s kind of getting it’s it’s really annoying right now yeah it’ll it’ll even itself out over time I think once people get too sick of it let’s move to the bronze picks see what we got here I will lead off I have I bet Nick Taylor outright

Just because for whatever reason I’m addicted to betting Nick Taylor these days I bet him top 30 at plus 165 he’s Nick the Dennis Taylor I like it pat you’re you’re in there yeah soan opens the man so he won here in 2020 and he’s picked up top 20s at this

Tournament each of the past two years so he has a good course history he’s been one of the better Putters at at Pebble Beach on these surfaces over time and he’s actually playing pretty good golf at the moment he missed the cut at the American Express but it was like a

Terrible final hole like he had a bad 17 that he couldn’t Birdie the easy 15 misses the cut on the number what are you going to do but he had a pretty good Sony Open as well where he made a charge on the final day I think this is a

Really good course for him there’s only so many good Nick Taylor courses this is one of them and granted this is against a much better field than we’re used to seeing Nick Taylor playing against at Pebble Beach but James I do think that we’re going to see players with a lot of

Reps in this style of tournament at the these course conditions where you’re going to have like your Rory and your Sheffer who are just going to play well no matter what that these type of guys who have the experience at this course are going to come through yeah you don’t

You don’t ever have to sell me on Nick Taylor I’m a I’m a Nick Taylor [ __ ] and I’m fully I’ve accepted that um and I will just tell you that Nick Taylor like is a dude that’s like he has that ability in these in these reduced fields

To really sneak up and get those top 10 and top 20s and stuff like that because you know like for if you go just look at the the second tier of Players let’s just get away from Rory and Sheffer and those guys just go look at that second

Tier of player the difference between Nick Taylor and those guys is not a very big gap and if he just has his you know a minus or B+ game this week that Gap is gone and he is just as good as those guys if not outperforming them so uh ni

Nick Taylor had of course that kind of reminds me of uh you know like maybe it’s the conditions almost kind of remind me of his Canadian open win last week which I still get excited about thinking uh about that uh I’m in on Nick Taylor with you all right so James bronze

Pick all right I there’s this new young upstart that I don’t know if many people have heard of Scotty schner or something like that and uh I I think he’s pretty good at golf and I am seeing uh that he I can get him at minus 110 to finish in

The top 10 this week yet when I’m running my model on the back in for what I’m doing what I give out to all my members I have him at like 68% for a top 10 this week so if you’re going to get a 68% projection that he’s going to finish

In the top 10 and you only have to late minus 110 well that starts to become about as good of a bet as you can get plus once again not breaking any news I think it’s going to be a little tough out there this week and the tougher

Conditions get the the the more a guy like Scotty shefner really starts to take off and his value really starts to increase in my opinion and so with that uh uh a bet that I will probably put be putting too much money on will be Old

Scotty shefner at minus 110 to top 10 this week I mean could that felt like the most I think the most profitable bet that you could have made last year down the line for every tournament cam was Xander Schley top 20 in a tournament based on his odds I think the second

Best one you could have made was Sheffer top 10 it’s a great call that’s the thing shley is in really good form this year and every week it’s just leaderboard no win top 10 no win top five you know it’s just one of those things like don’t betting against

Shuffer is just a recipe for disaster if you’re getting a pick them price with the juice it has to be done it’s an order it’s not even a request like just you you do it that’s the that’s how good this guy is all right one more from you Cam bronze

Pick oh there’s so many Pat I got I just want to pick the right guy in my top 30 Market um I kind of like kittyy bazou andout uh what about tagala this week you guys have an opinion see this is what I do every week James I drive Pat

Nuts I got like seven things that I can’t narrow down and usually pick the wrong one well I I buy the Nar I buy The Narrative that t gallet is kind of like uh a younger spe and if this is a course where spe has great course history I’m

Buying the narrative that maybe this is a good fit for tala too then about tala is he sprays it and you know what I mean like he maybe he’ll be forced to lay up and do some smart things and once he gets that putter hot like he’s a pretty

Good price like he’s plus 110 for a top 30 and to me that sounds pretty damn nice so you know what I’ll go with tagala others I also like baz hton I know Pat you were on kittama I think so if I think tagala can actually be like

Top five or 10 I’ll definitely take him top 30 at plus 110 so it’s funny the three names that you plus 115 at draftking Sportsbook by the way I I saved you five cents you know what Pat just put all my stuff at draftking sports book and I’ll get an extra $5

Like on every to 10 on every play thank you it’s time for me to actually get an account I got five and you know I I got to deal with Johnny Knuckles sometimes when I got a head hedge off action still got to have my street book wink wink

Nudge nudge you know you lose you get a case of wine tomato sauce or a lasagna that’s I like the Personal Touch so I keep one of those but yeah I gota I gota I got to get an account there those prices are great so I’ll talk about my outrights for the

Week because I have six of them my winning six-pack as I mentioned before the highest guy that I have and I actually got a a profit boost on him so I bet benan at 55 to1 but I got it boosted by 3 by 30% so I believe it’s up

To 70 to1 for him but I’ll put it as 55 because that’s what the number is out there for people to get so benan 55 to1 and here’s but you’re going to like cam the gala 70 to1 with a top five each way I have Nick Taylor at 80 85 to1 no each

Way uh Christian Baden Hout 100 to1 with a top five each way Kurt kyama 150 to one with a top five each way and Maverick mcne 150 to one with a top five each way I I’m just taking a bunch of bombs I’m I might end up getting to

Matthew Fitzpatrick because I did bet Alex Fitzpatrick on the DP world tour at 25 to one this week I mentioned ch3 and Danny Lee on the live tour so that’s where I’m going with my outright selection I can’t believe this like we have some of the same guys I don’t have models I

Literally like have a pat NOS like James I’m a caveman I write things down like when I’m watching sports I like what this team did take them as a dog next week or you’re the next game and like I’m kind of old school that way I I used

To stay at the El Cortez when they use like piles and a a marker to do their sports book uh stuff so I don’t run simulations I leave that up to Pat but I watch a hell of a lot of golf all tours like I bet on the senior tour as well so

Pat we have some of the same guys I like Fitzpatrick at 35 what do you guys think about Eric Cole I can’t get off this guy if he wins this week and I don’t have him I’m going to lose my mind I just worry about the

Wins and maybe the length but do you guys like Cole I like tagala I like bazett Hout and Brendan Todd kind of fits the bill as well yeah the toddfa uh in my short-term modeling from fantasy national.com Mayo to get yourself 20% off uh Eric Cole’s number

One he’s yeah Cole Cole’s this is a great course fit for Cole uh and I think that uh I think you’re getting slightly better ODS than you should this week just off of his miscut last week at a course that was a horrific course fit

For him wow I feel good I got Pat like I’m literally like I we have the same picks like I might take bazon out at like 125 pit pitch Patrick is one of my lower guys like out I like I wouldn’t call it chalk at 35 to one but he’s my

Horse this week that I’m gonna ride yeah like I said I I am more likely I am more than likely going to make an Inplay bet on like Klay was the one that I was looking at but I do like that top 20 at minus 140 Xander spe Justin Thomas like

I couldn’t really decide between any of those guys then I looked at the weather and I was like I don’t know how this is going to come out I’d rather just have I I would I want to see if I can leverage myself with some long shots get one or

Two of those guys into the mix and then I can make an educated decision coming down the stretch based on what I’ve watched so far and what the stats tell me at the same time let see if I can fuse those together or maybe you know

Baden H runs away with it and we hit I mean pavon shouldn’t have won last week at Tory Pines CU that’s not a course where you would ever expect him to be good but he had a good Sony he had a good AMX he just had some good current

Form coming in boom he makes all the putts he pops he ends up winning bayen out has some pretty good form coming in that’s why I ended up going with him I couldn’t agree more and out of the big guys I was going to ask you like I think

If the weather does play I gotta like Thomas More just his ability to play in tough conditions like we’ve seen him before remember he always seems to get the bad end of the draw and I’ve seen him put together minus rounds where guys were shooting 7778 that’s the thing like I like little

Spey and and the rest of the crew but out of those guys I got to take Thomas because I think he has the power the shots to do better in in conditions than the other guys so if I’m gonna take a chalk player it’ be Thomas yeah Thomas

James was the guy who rallied from the bad end of that Players Championship two years ago when cam Smith won he was in like the [ __ ] wave when like Brooks was having a laugh hitting into the water on 17 and Thomas just grinded through the terrible conditions yeah I remember I remember

That pretty well this is I’m telling you I’m pretty big on Thomas this week which is funny because just a month ago I was talk about how broken he is and how he’s never going to be back and now I’m like buying all the Justin Thomas stock I can

Uh then I look at these conditions and it just makes me that much more I mean that’s why he was my gold pick this week I’m pretty high on Old Justin Thomas this week H so maybe I don’t get to fits maybe Justin Thomas ends up becoming my

Bet I I do I’ll have it in the newsletter later on on Wednesday if I do decide on someone but I think after talking it through with you guys it’s down between Thomas and Fitz we’ll see how that ends up going how do you guys feel about Fleetwood this week no to win

A tournament no thank you is is Pebble win a tournament in America he’ll no he wins just not in America is Pebble Beach in the Middle East did it get moved like it’s funny because fleetwood’s gonna get his win in America but it’s only G to have to be at the

Time when literally no one is on him yeah he’s minus 120 to bet versus Tom Kim and I was considering betting it Tom Kim’s good man I love oh trust me I was on Tom Kim when he won Pat like I remember that time remember where I was

At a wedding the night before and I I I literally was like absolutely tuned and I turned on the TV my girlfriend’s like didn’t you bet on Kim I’m like yeah there’s a lot of Kims out there honey she go oh it’s Tom Kim and he had like a

Five shot lead and he won that tournament man we made box cars when when he won so no I always love Tom Kim he’s got a free role with me but I just think Fleetwood will play pretty good and if it gets windy and stuff like that

He’ll he’ll handle it but you’re right Pat he’s a hard guy to trust to win well I’m just looking at the up updated weather right now just to give people an update um and again I’ll have the update in the newsletter later on because maybe like there’s flood warnings uh high wind

Warnings going on for the area like later on on Wednesday Wednesday evening there’s going to be a ton of rain and 46 m per hour winds now fortunately no one’s playing in that and there doesn’t seem to be any wind whatsoever on Thursday but there’s a bunch of rain so

I don’t know if the tea times are going to get push back if guys are going to go out at the times that they’re supposed to go out so that becomes the really difficult part for me and then I look at Sunday James and it’s just a [ __ ] show

With rain and winds up over so at some point it’s going to be 60 m per hour wins like they’re not playing in that I gotta tell you I’m like already looking at this nobody gets off the weather more than the big guy and I I don’t think

It’s going to be crazy that they might try to start some round four Saturday like they might try to squeeze in 27 I don’t think they can get 36 holes in Saturday but they might try to squeeze it in knowing that they are going to get have minimal playing time on Sunday and

Uh that the people are going to need to get the hell out of there to get down to the waste management and uh I mean Sunday looks almost unplayable between the the rain and the wind like the balls won’t be able to stay on the on the greens they’ll just be rolling

Everywhere so uh they’re going to have to come up with something and I know that they’re probably already factoring this in and if they don’t you could be looking at a Monday afternoon finish even if it’s Monday afternoon like Monday looks not quite as unplayable as Sunday but it looks pretty

Unplayable yeah I I see right now at four o’clock they’re projecting a quarter inch of rain which is a [ __ ] ton in an hour yeah so yeah maybe it’s a three-day tournament that that would be if I had to guess uh if they can’t condense it because I don’t know how much they’re

Going to be able to play Thursday and Friday maybe it’s fine I guess the one benefit to all of this is that it’s only 80 players I would love a three-day tournament because every [ __ ] Sunday my guy pisses and shits himself Pat I would if golf was a one to three round

Tournament like the first round leader things would be different we’d be living on a golf course like I can’t get any guy to close on Sunday it drives me [ __ ] nuts like it’s just I’m looking at my guy wow look at my leaderboard it’s great and then I just sit there

Depressed every Sunday going what are we betting on in the NHL now great so cam I will see you next week for the Super Bowl Best Bets you will Pat I might be on the road uh nobody vacations in Buffalo but cam Stewart and Lisa that’s

What we do I’m going down to niagar Falls New York uh don’t walk there at night friends it gets a little bit stabby but I got some friends down there and I’m probably going to be at senica Pat gambling my ass off and uh I need to

Get out of this house it’s becoming a personal prison uh so yeah I think I’m going to be going down there but anything for you buddy I’ll do the show and I’ll make sure I get good Wi-Fi if I have to pay extra money I hope they have

It but I’ll be there well I I appreciate your dedication to being a professional cam James what do you have going on this week uh yeah just uh if you if you are uh wanting to know a little bit more about the weather updated tonight I do a

Stream at 7 o’clock uh uh it’s more DFS focused but I will but a lot of it can be used for betting come check it out on my YouTube channel degenerate 75 and you might enjoy it it’s probably not like most of the streams you watch that’s

True 75 because you’re born in 75 James no I’m born in 84 75 is just my old high school football number oh okay sorry I didn’t mean that see that was a I’m born in 75 you’re a hell of a lot younger than me and more I’m more beat down I’m

Sorry I I didn’t realize c p sport betting will do that to you it wear you down yes it will reminder to everyone to smash the like and sub to the audio podcast turn on them Auto downloads that’s something that I actually do do for shows and that takes like 5 Seconds

To do so please do that on Apple podcast and Spotify Phill up the listeners league and that will do it for us thank you all for watching I’ll see you next time experience experience