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Cowboys-Lions Best Bets + Today’s Bowl Game Picks! | AB3



In today’s episode of the AB3 we break down Saturday’s best bets from the College Football Bowl Game slate PLUS how to bet the Lions at Cowboys tonight!

#SportsBetting #BestBets #CFB #CFBPicks #CFBPlayoff #Cowboys #DallasCowboys #DakPrescott #Lions #DetroitLions #JaredGoff #NFL #NFLBetting

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What is up welcome in to the ab3 my name is Alan Bell and we have a fantastic show lined up for you this wonderful Saturday towards the end of December and I’ll tell you what let’s not waste any time let’s jump right into it let’s get into these college football bowl games

So we have four on the Slate today go aad and get to it all right Old Miss Penn State we’re going to take both teams to score 17 plus points we’re also going to take the under 63 and a half I thought about going with Penn State on

The money line instead of the 17 plus points but man you just never know like these both b games man are wild especially when you throw Lane kein and James Franklin in there these two know each other uh yeah I don’t want to mess

With any of that but I do want to play 17 plus points under 63 and a half for anybody new these bets are available at bet MGM all right second College bow game here Auburn and Maryland all right we’re just going to take both teams to

Score 20 plus points that’s it plus 100 even money let’s go let’s double up here you look at Auburn and you look at what h freeze has done this year a much better season than people thought that they would have kind of same thing with Maryland now fell off a little bit

Towards the end but again this team can score points Auburn can give up points and Auburn can score points on you as well so let’s keep it simple 20 plus points and get it all right Georgia Florida State the game that no team cares about so they say the interesting

Part about it is this you look at Florida State so many opt outs players going to the NFL and everything that happened with the college football playoff and not getting in now you could say hey is their locker room dead well you know what maybe but I don’t know

They seem pretty fired up about it and not to mention Florida State you’re gonna have a lot of backup players now yeah that’s not always great because they’re backups they’re not starters but then again you know what these guys are fighting for starting spots next year so

You’re going to get Max Max Max effort out of them and Georgia I mean again you know they’re loaded all right too deep third string you name it five stars everywhere they can place we’re going to take Georgia money line we’re g to take Florida State team total over 12 and a

Half that’s it get it at plus 120 I don’t want to mess with anything else but I think these two are solid and then the final game Toledo and Wyoming both teams have score 20 plus points at plus 140 nope I’m not gonna lie to you and

Act like I can break either of these teams down uh just exceptionally well I mean we’ve watched him obviously not in lar me baby but 20 plus points plus 140 it’s on bar stool uh they’re calling the game so you know what should be fun let’s take that one and go okay now

Those are our college football plays so we also have the NFL tonight and let me pause real quick and say if anyone can’t find all right these bets on BET MGM let me know tweet me put it in the YouTube comments wherever we’ll find them for

You but for the most part pretty simple um you uh you know for the two or for the the games that we have two plays just click same game parlay boom Georgia money line and then go to scoring with teams scroll down and you’ll see home

Team away team take the home team there Florida State and uh there you go real simple okay let’s get to the NFL and let’s get into the No Fly zon so we have the Lions and the Cowboys tonight here is what we have and just a preface of

Where we’re at okay the Cowboys absolutely have to win this game no questions nothing they have to win this game McCarthy needs it Dak needs it every single player on the Cowboys roster they have to win this game it’s at home and I think that they handle

Their business so we broke down the film of both quarterbacks so let’s take a look and walk through the no-fly zone as well as Best Bets on this game so first off let’s bring up Jared gol okay so you see the Cowboys secondary top left that is their defensive completion percentage

Rankings across the NFL all right short left 11th across the league short Mid First Short right second deep left seventh deep mid 26 deep right 22 below that you’re going to see am man R st Brown his route chart and we’ll get to that in a second of why it makes sense

Okay so now take a look at the right this is Jared gof essentially an amalgam of a per game attempt or a per game look at what his passing chart generally looks like all right 27 touchdowns 10 picks on the season almost 4,000 yards passing 68% completion percentage 98

Passer rating pretty good season all right now take a look at what you have from Jared G and again veteran so they can adapt this passing offense to what the defense can’t do but for the most part he’s going to stretch you five to 15 yards specifically on the leftand

Side pay attention there not only with the running backs but obviously Sam leapa we’ll get to him in a second and the running backs Jamir Gibs all of them as well but Jared’s having a hell of a season he can he can mess you up man he can hit you deep he

Can hit you short you even see behind the line of scrimmage here he can get after you but again what you want to pay attention to are five are five to 15 yard passes uh air yard passes that’s generally where his comfort zone is now

He could go deep for sure and the C Cowboy secondary deep will give up plays so we’re going to get into correlated plays for the Lions here in just a second pay attention again Red Zone 16 touchdown passes zero picks so oh sorry what was that pick picks okay so you’ve

Got running backs for the lions that obviously could score but G has the green light down there as well now let’s take a look at his noly zone so by bottom left you see Sam leapa and pay attention that’s a route chart for him you see how it goes left shading deep

Right okay that’s where Jared gof really really hurts you especially when they’re using the Run game to force your linebackers in secondary to cheat in just a bit and he could go right over your top about five to 10 yards and take it 80 okay now the nfly Zone trouble

Areas for Jared go are here deep left problems notice all right leporis uh route tree um you go back to Jared G in his passing chart he’ll hit you deep right doesn’t hit you deep left all that often now he’ll flood you with you know uh volume passes to the left hand side

You see short left right past the line of scrimmage 10 yards and in uh 123.3mi about 89 right so dude go golf he’ll get you his volume right there and he’ll hit you across the middle short and to the right but deep left intermediate to deep middle because

Again they don’t really throw there too terribly much unless it is designed and ready to go if you can force him flush him out of the pocket give him to make a mistake that’s where you’re going to get him also short right okay again right is

Where gol hit you deep left is where he volumes you to death short right could get a route jumped watch out for that in this game so those three areas right there are the trouble spots now let’s jump to correlated plays for both Jared G and Lions wide receivers and running

Backs so it looks good longest completion could be a solid bet for you today also pay attention longest reception for Lions wide receivers uh again uh golf is going to uncork a few especially if Dallas gets up early pay attention to that one longest completion could get you nice pass completions

Again we just talked about it uh he can volume you and especially if they’re playing for a negative game script in the second half of the game yeah he’s gonna have so many opportunities to hit short passes complete them and go down the field because quite frankly if

Dallas is up I mean we see it across the league the defense will give you seven yards and in right like they’re going to force you in the middle of the field though especially in the fourth quarter keep that play or keep that clock running so I like pass completions also

Like running back receptions um pay attention there you could get some really nice small numbers if you’re looking for just a couple extra plays or maybe something for a a nice parlay running running back receptions could be solid for you all right potential prop risks for Jared G and the Detroit Lions

Passing yards again let me say I don’t hate passing yards however you could find yourself in a weird spot here and especially with the Lions not really like if this game gets out of hand they’re not going to put Jared gof in Risky compromised positions because obviously they’re going to the

Playoffs and they have bigger fish to fry pass attempts again do not hate it but just pay attention to the game script and how this thing is going again I’m not saying don’t play either of these I’m just saying just be careful make your make sure that you get

Yourself a nice number so Jared G 81% percentage we have him to throw an interception today is he going to do it hell yes he’s throwing a pick Jared G is absolutely putting one up in the air today and I will get to how to play that

If you want to look at a couple extra ones but just if you want to play just like one prop bet on the interception yeah man G’s putting up a pick today that Cowboys defense is going to be live getting after it so yeah golf welcome to

The no fly zone definitely going to happen now let’s jump over to your boy Dak Prescott okay again lion secondary here not as good as the Cowboys here you see it 21st 25th short right first in the NFL which is fascinating deep left 24th uh deep mid 18th deep right

13th okay below it CD lamb notice that passing chart okay it’s very similar to what the Lions do and you notice Dak Prescott his passing chart here I think dak’s going to have a big day you look at what he’s done I mean he’s fighting

For the MVP right now 30 TDS to seven picks this year uh 3900 passing yards 68% completion percentage 104.2 pass rating Dak definitely having a big big season and again we mentioned it Dallas has to win this damn game they have to they absolutely have to win this game so

I think Dak is GNA have a big day today uh look at his passing chart look familiar to you yeah it’s very very similar to Jared G why these guys are veterans and they play not that they play it safe but they know their pockets of where they can have success and again

Short left volume deep right hit you that’s exactly what the Cowboys like to do Red Zone Zack Prescott 22 TDS to only two picks yeah he did definitely has the green light in the red zone to throw tutes all right let’s take a look at his

No fly zone chart here and we’ve broken down Dak obviously a lot this season in take a look middle of the field all right deep mid intermediate mid trouble areas it’s the same thing with Dak every time very similar to Josh Allen in if you flush him get him to make one minor

Mistake they can compound that mistake and throw a pick and Dak has done it multiple times not as much as he did last year but again it is there now intermediate right take a look at Deep right Dak Prescot 143.at a massive massive number one of

The best in the NFL at throwing deep right but again force him flush him all right you look from intermediate to deep okay from that you know 10 to 20 yard line 20 plus beyond all right one little mistake footwork throwing off his back foot putting a little you know pressure

On him hand on the face hands up he can throw you a pick there I mean we’ve seen it before a ton but you have to force him to do it so middle of the field for Dak intermediate right for Dak that’s where he can get into trouble but if

They’re playing from a positive game script today and I do think he’s going to have big big numbers I mean look at the left hand side Dak is going to crush you like on the sidelines he loves to throw uh you know uh Corner routes specifically deep to where it’s an over

Theb back shoulder pass and it’s either going to be completed or incomplete he doesn’t give safeties Corners really any area to kind of pick that off unless as we just mentioned you force and flush get him to make just a little little minor mechanical mistake and you’re

Looking at five yards less of a pass or so that’s when he gets into trouble when he’s feeling it boy he’s feeling it left right deep he will get after you so let’s take a look at some correlated plays for Dak and the Dallas Cowboys wide receivers all right positive

Potential correlations passing yards love it for Dak I think Dak has a big game today pass completions same deal I like this number where it’s at and I think Dak is going to have a good one and even if they are up he’ll go even more to the short pass game and just

Rack you up completions there uh quarterback rushing attempts we’re gonna get to this in a second but I love it number sitting at three and a half we are definitely getting all over that quarterback rushing yards for Dak as well uh the number as we sit right now

Is at 16 and a half rushing yards solid I like it potential risks not many like like there there’s nothing on the board for deak that I hate um pass attempts the only reason I put it there again I don’t hate it but the only reason I put

It there is that generally big numbers right 34 35 36 37 right you have to have a ton of volume and a little not luck but a little bit of the right game script so again I’m not saying I hate it I’m not even saying I dislike it I’m

Just saying be careful if you play it or put it in a parlay get that number low all right the no fly zone here for Dak Prescott 84% to throw a pick yeah look dak’s having a big day but he’s putting one in the air as well I think that this

Is going to be an interception game for both QBs so I say that to say this let’s get this recap screen up on the board and take a look at our plays for lions at cowboys tonight first one all right and again you can find this uh at bet

MGM Cowboys money line and both teams to score 17 plus Points Plus 105 simple easy no five and a half six point spread Cowboys to win the game both teams to score 17 plus plus money why wouldn’t we second Dak Prescott we mentioned over three and a half rushing attempts all

Right I not only like it for designed runs and flushed runs but as we as we’ve mentioned before don’t ever count on this but it can be a nice little cap in your feather here kneel Downs to win the game those count as rushing attempts too

So take it over three and a half and then finally interceptions you can take either quarterback solo if you’d like to don’t hate it at all obviously but I’m gonna hedge myself here Dak Prescott and Jared gof combined for over one and a half interceptions at plus 100 you can

Also get this at bet MGM and what this means if you never played it is this Dak could throw two You’re Gold cashed it goth could throw two You’re Gold cashed it they could throw one and one cash it it doesn’t matter they just have to be

Two from either of these quarterbacks so those are our three now I’ll tell you what let me pull myself back up not that anybody wants to see this ugly mug but we will pull up the college football plays with more time to get this on the

Recap so we can all see it Old Miss Penn State both you score 17 plus points under 63 and a half plus 115 Auburn Maryland both teams score 20 plus points plus 100 Georgia Florida State we’re going to take Georgia money line Florida State team total over 12 a half at plus

120 and then a fun one Toledo Wyoming both teams to score 20 plus points at plus 140 all right it’s all the damage we could do for today have a wonderful Saturday uh we will be back Sunday break down the NFL we will definitely get this thing rolling for you and a big

Announcement coming next week maybe even sooner than that and I might not be the one making that announcement but I think that you will enjoy it so everyone we will see see you Sunday morning get these bets in for the NFL college football get it all set up and we’ll go

Back over the college football playoff in our Best Bets if you missed that one but until then everybody first off have a safe and Happy New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day again be safe Uber lift hell call me text me I’ll come get you do not

Drink and drive take care of yourself take care of everybody else and have a good one enjoy it you deserve it It’s Been a Good Year it’s G be even better one next year but all right until Sunday everybody best of luck let’s cash these tickets we will see you tomorrow Thanks [Applause] oh

30 Comments

  1. And Just like that, all seems right again….listening to AB break down some football games…cheers to 2024 and excited for what the future brings.

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