Fantasy Golf Pod DraftKings PGA DFS picks & strategy for the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic
WE GOT LIMITED! WHAT!? The books are aware of the wheel, and they are scared! Who will the wheel land on this week?
#PGADFS Show Agenda:
– Betting the House
– Criteria for Clicking
– Weather
– Ownership Projecting
– Breaking down the price ranges
– Free Squares
– Clown Clicks
– Making Lineups
– Spinning Wheels
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it’s another week it’s another pod here we [Music] go hey everybody I’m Chad Eckard and this is the fantasy golf pod I am live from my studio a oh no I forgot to change internet this could be problematic uh we’re g to go with the what we’re going to go with we’re going to go with my uh Wi-Fi hotspot you know any DIN realy uh the the Wi-Fi din realy they don’t allow me to go on the betting websites that I like to use or DraftKings uh so whatever oh uh if you’re new here hi we’re new or we’re not new actually uh I’ve been here for like six years doing this I don’t know why I’m still doing it but I’m doing it so uh if you are a fan of the product of the program if you like the wheel like And subscribe become a fan of the product this week there are 12 names I got a diry dirty dozen this is how I do it AE is the highest name on the list of names he’s 18 to one in this tournament um pendrith I’m going to go to pendrith even though we were able to hit him at 100 to one we’re at you know a couple weeks later almost a month later and he’s 22 to1 uh Maverick mcney 28 to one I like him he’s due to win a tournament I’m going to go with that Jagger 30 to1 feels like a course fit Davis Thompson also 30 to1 I gotta bet him or I gotta put him in the wheel who else did I use uh Bob Mack we won on Bob Mack we got a 100 was like 90 to one on Bob Mack and now he’s here where is he 45 to1 you got hoard at 50 to1 Fox at 55 to one Ben Griffin 70 to1 due to win a tournament I think also EVR at 70 to1 I’ll go with that if that happens be fun toasty 80 to one Jake knap down to 90 or 80 to one now I think I got him at 90 or 100 to one I already bet Jake knap um I bet Schmid but I didn’t use him as my one of my wheel names I bet Gary Woodland um the wheel is a dangerous for bookies this thing has won twice in the last you know six eight weeks to the point hey I’m winning on my let me let me show you look at this so since I can do this let’s show you this dude you guys you see this number up here $3600 boys and girls we’re making some we’re making some bets look at all these bets I’ve made already for the rocket mortgage look at all these bets because I don’t care I’m just spraying dollars so let’s spray some more dollars let’s do do the wheel you fan of the wheel the wheel knows um should I put myself over here or over here or over here or over here either way I’m spinning the wheel you guys sorry all right who will be the house bet for the week there’s one house bet this will be the bet it will be $100 because like I just you have $3,600 it’s insane spinning the wheel ready set hike it’s spinning around it’s going and flashing the colorful wheel it’s the Roy G Biv red orange green yellow purple blue and it’s going to toasty the gator or the Gopher EVR Eric Van Ruan you kidding me love it love it EVR how do you not like EVR and why is he 70 to1 does he suck now here’s the truth um I haven’t done a lot of research yet so we’re going to do this other on the Fly okay let’s go over to my bookie here these people eliminating me um I don’t suggest betting a lot of money on names how much money should we oh we’d set a 100 uh [ __ ] it but we have to we have to have some sort of uh 4209 because this is this has been good luck to me all right so the house B 104 $100.6 wins me [Music] 7,420 okay sweet all right what else do I need to show you uh DraftKings no you guys I don’t know what I’m doing let’s do this let’s share the entire screen let’s put me back over here let’s go okay let’s start with my notes here okay weather oh yeah weather okay windfinder.com Detroit Michigan we are at Detroit Michigan you’re going to see on Thursday tomorrow winds up to 15 M an hour when they tea off at 8 amm potentially 21 in the morning yikes not fun but as the day goes along and kind of chills out in the midday goes um oh yeah whoops I was like it’s not saying I’m sharing the screen I’m sharing the whole screen we’re a YouTube product uh okay so then as the end of day goes It goes back up to 10 miles an hour but that’s nothing so it feels like PM am so far but let’s look at this so the am also getting a tiny bit ruined for Friday’s round June 28th Friday’s around uh pretty normal pretty steady pretty even celed throughout the day is there a wave of advantage do you see any difference between these two pictures except for the 7 am. I guess H it’s GNA be less humid on Thursday and it is on Friday I don’t know how to how to tell you what to do with this information I guess I don’t want someone that’s going off right in the very earliest part of the morning I’d prefer someone that’s I definitely want pm on the first day it looks like but then they’re getting ruined oh just pick whoever the hell you want what the hell are we talking about okay that’s fine weather who putted too well last week that’s something we look at so okay we use fantasy national.com tour junkies or pme and get you a discount um so the tournament Was Won by Scotty shefer in overtime against Tom Kim if you didn’t watch the tournament it was a good tournament the best putter in the field last week was Patrick Rogers are you kidding me and Ricky Fowler holy crap who’s playing in this tournament that we need to worry about o 4.6 Strokes putting last week Bobby Mack holy buckets Bob Mack lost on approach 4.4 and was gaining on putting damn pendrith puted well didn’t really do well otherwise okay well then let’s look and see who did on well on a approach but bad on putting look at this ludvig holy buckets was ludvig the worst putter he was can you imagine L vivon and then Ben Griffin was bad putting that’s not good I don’t like seeing that because I liked Ben Griffin and it makes me concerned because these are the these are the same green surfaces this week that were last week Steph Jagger bad with the putter but good on approach will alot torus look at this nap and got up bad God ROP was God awul he’s back to being God awul how did he win a tournament I guess I don’t know what you can take away from this maybe you take away nothing that doesn’t help us um okay who puted I don’t know what else are we going to look at oh our friends at shipit nation.com they have this thing called The Stone um I have uh I use this usually to try to make sense of the field and try to see what’s going on with the ownership projections too so maybe we could start by this descending order whoa Tom Kim is at 32% that’s weird I was just listening to Rick rung good and he said that he did not think that that was going to be the case he thought that Cameron young might come in more popular and now it looks like cam young is at 24.5 those are high owned percentages wow there’s a lot of people over 20% have you guys noticed this is there’s 10 names over 19.3% owned in a a birdie Fest should we be concerned that this is all donkey uh they give green chalk to noren which is at 20.1 but he’s 102 but did norin lose it because I’ve also heard that norn might have lost it so we go over to um fantasy National you know sometimes we like to see what they did and how they lost it and if they’re able to find it see who was doing so well look at these finishes 9th the March 19th 11th 14th 203 3rd I’m like holy crap this guy’s got it going on he’s finishing 24th and then this and then we go to the RBC Canadian open miscut yikes with gain Strokes butting Memorial yikes well actually 20 seconds good but he did it all with the Putter and then the US Open yikes lost with the putter so he’s kind of lost it he hasn’t been this bad since the last US Open stretch but he did finish Ninth at the mortgage rocket mortgage last week huh do you guys use fantasy National to help you make decisions I’ve tried to do that where’s my rocket mortgage thing here who else is concerningly high owned will we look at the 7K range Wallace yeah out of your minds I did hear on the preferred lines podcast that Joey dony was going to use Matt Wallace on his betting card I think his statistics popped which is concerning because he is he’s been known around the fantasy golf po as a King clown because he’s Matt Wallace uh he’s owned that’s scary and then Adam svenson’s owned I could see hoard because you can make a case like why is Nicola hoard 7300 that’s strange to me that’s too cheap same with Ryan Fox at $8,200 that’s fine he’s 9.5 I love that here’s our house bet $7,800 EVR 8.9% your Doug gim everybody like people are idiots okay thorbjorn okay I could see it but now we’re getting to a point where in the 6K range and all these names I thought they’d be more bubbly and bubbling up but maybe DraftKings did a good job of trying to figure out oh wow let’s put every single name in the five and eight and sixk ranges and then good luck choosing because like Schmid I had a little love for it he’s 2.4 who cares that’s nothing got her up got awful last week Jake knap 5% owned why is Jake knap 6,400 do we not realize what kind of course this is that’s annoying because it’s like he should should he should be owned look at this is Joey bram’s the name I like where’s my guy Gary Woodland no one wants I know we I know Gary Woodland will become Gary Woodland at one point and this could be an easy opportunity for him to become Gary Woodland because he can spray the [ __ ] out of it everywhere uh he doesn’t have to be the most elite putter here and um could get away with it uh okay so then maybe we go through the price price ranges on DraftKings real quick is that what I said I was going to do yeah and go through like my most owned least owned free squares stuff like that so we just looked and we established that the pivot and the good ownership is going to norin so we want norin to start our lineups but I think norin lost it so there’s a reason people aren’t clicking him which is also a reason why ownership exists ownership projections is a power ranking potentially for the week so if you look at the ownership you rank it out and you’re like wow everybody’s on Tom Kim well he’s only 11,000 in a field with $5,000 names people for some reason are talking themselves into mini apparent oh my God all he does is top 26 that’s a lot of top 26s in a row look at this t22 t24 t26 t24 t21 but at 105 in the rocket mortgage t21 doesn’t pay off especially if the dudes in the 10K range are good I have a feeling that you don’t need one of these names this isn’t like this isn’t like the last few weeks I think you can skip this 10K range I I’ve I’ve been saying you know Hammer these names in do two of these names but that’s in an elite name field where this is like Scotty and Rory we’re talking about Tom Kim playing his eighth week in a row is that right or ninth week uh look at all these one two three four five six seven eight nine 10 that can’t be right this is 11th week in a row or did he take a week off good God he’s 20 21 22 I don’t know yeah just turned 22 he’s just a baby boy but at the same time at 11,000 is you know off of a playoff against Scotty playing pretty much perfectly like can he carry that over that’s why I’m going to Baka if I’m gonna do it because I’m saving it you know what is that almost I can’t do math $1,200 and you was just 16th 22nd look at he’s trending and he won a tournament the Valero Texas open after having a great little run there valpar and children’s open so maybe he’s finding it he has a good putter look at these finishes to start the season 14 13 this is what I did boys and girls uh last week before the before the week even started I went over to my um look at this 420 on OE at 150 to one to win the open can you see that so I think AE to win the open much more than 18 to1 here here what’s his number at at the open right now because I saw a guy bet down a 80 to one boys and girls and we got 150 clv closing line value boys and girls let’s go let’s go back to the DraftKings board um so yeah vaka or pendrith or Jagger see see do oops Yeah do these three to start Baka pendrith Jagger you may even be able to do MC Neely and that is like a starszy deep not stars and scrubs not necessarily peppering the AK range but it feels like you’re you’re stealing almost taking these discounts on Baka pendri Jagger mcney and if I didn’t see those stats on Bobby Mack I would think that this is a Bobby Mack course maybe if you’re not into the people who played last week into contention and got tired and were in a final group maybe you go down and you try Bob Mack and Davis Thompson you definitely don’t do zorus or Fowler I guess those are bad names those are Clowny Fowler is playing horrible so King clown since winning this tournament I mean I guess The Travelers last week he had a good tournament these people find it so maybe he found it but I don’t know I’m not going to trust that a $9,000 when I know Bob Mack just had a win Thompson dude finished runner up at the Myrtle Beach we’ve seen him do this we watched him we wanted him look at this 15th 24th 21st 18th 2nd 17th he’s 83 the cost of a roster spot so Davis th Thompson just should be uh pretty much autoloaded into your lineup and if you did that you’re all the way up to 6,900 so if you skip back TOA and you go pendrith Jagger Mack Davis Thompson then you’re left with $6,900 each and if you go EVR you left with 6,000 and then you can have anybody in the 6K or the 5K range and we already know there’s some names there like the cooe Bros Paton kazy my guy so this is a lineup that you could use gpp wise now I do think that there’s a lot of okay we have let’s not get there yet let’s res Let’s uh check in with the stone real quick and see if uh how we’re looking because uh sometimes in now the 7K range they’re just not using as many names when they add the 5K range so this 177 names in the 7K range usually it’s like 40 so when you have 17 names they got to price people in certain ways so it’s really like what’s the real true difference between these names low sevens and these like mid eights I mean hard to say like they don’t know anything pricing is an illusion but here’s how I have used the Stone from shipit nation.com promo code fgp1 or fgp get you 10% off try fgp1 uh DM me if you want a discount on that so here’s how I’ve been using the stone as I look over here at the top 20 win Equity Cuts made percentage that they’ve come up with somehow and then I go to the 7K range and I kind of say okay which one of these names looks better okay 61 8% own Lee Lee Hodes 64% Luke Canton CL Luke Clanton now I know he’s a rookie or he’s like a part of the Corn fairy or one of these dudes because this is the time of year that all these people start doing this this Clanton Clayton dude is like really long off the te there’s like a 15-year-old in the field this week you got this Thor Bjorn Olsen Thor bjornson not Olsen Thor not Thor Bjorn olison Thor Boron he’s at 8,000 he drives the [ __ ] out of the ball but he they don’t like him as much so uh 48% to make the cut Thor beorn versus this dude at 7,000 Luke CL Clanton dude click Clanton appear a genius but I don’t know if I like that as much what about the 66% senson but that’s chalk 11% so what about Rogers 60.6 so I’ve tried to kind of like come up with this and typically Ben Griffin has been one of the names that has shined through so maybe we go with to 27% there for that guy who’s that Adam senson 24.9 for Cam Davis I know what does this mean not much that’s why I don’t know pricing is an illusion you can do anything you want try out the 6K range but who’s the who’s the King clown the 7K range besides Matt Wallace is always a King clown Hustler you want Hustler why is Sam Stevens $7,200 remember we Oh my he just got a second place on the corn Ferry tour last week or a couple weeks ago okay Charles Schwab Myrtle beu is 10th he’s making Cuts kind of I don’t know Luke Eric Cole is a clown now yeah holy crap he lost it he hasn’t sad he had a chance at the Genesis oh no no he showed up to Cognizant as the guy like this is his chance Florida guy cognizant perfect course fit shot a 78 literally dead now he’s dead so Eric Cole King clown um now I have not the leaderboard I have been looking at the stats to try to figure out like why who’s a course fit and um you want bombers so you want to go to off the tea look at Kevin dhy number one off the te he’s like $5,600 this week you want to do driving distance maybe uh percentage driving distance look at these names see when Le Kevin D that’s a name to consider G up oh [ __ ] shoot I mean don’t listen to my swear words Gary Woodland toasty Vegas is here U Kevin U I just was looking at him Pearson cudy wow Carl Yuan pendrith you need some of these names or more or less like probably everyone’s good at driving the ball long these are the names that you don’t want don’t want Brendan Todd Kohl’s who’s in the field Ryder uh gim apparently gim is popular but can’t drive it more than 290 yards like I drive it 20 I literally could probably maybe drive it with some good wind downhill not 290 he so is Doug gim these are names to maybe consider fading like Aaron Ry Alex noren he’s 136 134th hubber Ben Griffin bad hunni bad you know they’re all they’re shorter than sunj boys and girls so we gotta be careful on a bomber Paradise oh also Gotta Have birdies so you gotta be a birdie boy so birdie average should we do total birdies birdie average how about birdie average it’s right there so birdie average is that is the number of birdies per round I’m guessing uh tour average is 3.7 you’re need to score birdies Michael Kim scoring birdies on average kazy this is why I was like what is kazy 5800 on Twitter I said that because I saw his his birdie numbers he likes to bomb it he’s playing some decent golf um during the shitty Fields Keith Mitchell likes to make birdies Maverick mcne likes to make birdies Tom Kim here Kirk cash game Kirk where is he is he a clown I just saw it what is Kirk’s price 8100 holy crap that’s why he’s a clown too because he’s 8100 Kirk hasn’t been doing anything has he 63rd 26 cut cut cut 43rd 10th 16th those are tournaments he should play well in because they’re in Georgia where he lives he somehow won the Sentry Tournament of Champions okay back to the stone actually no 7K range 6K range sorry I’m trying to make this fast Doug gim no thorbjorn didn’t he just shoot a 61 the other day yeah he shot a 61 at the Myrtle Beach I don’t know maybe Davis Riley just won a tournament three tournaments that he played ago he won the Charles Schwab challenge where he had to have 21 birdies so uh he’s 6,800 let’s go through all the names that I would consider yeah I would defin actually [ __ ] that let’s go to mamic let’s go through the names that IID said I was gonna want and I’ll click because I have decided to play like 150 lineups or like more 190 lineups because I’m doing the 50 Cent 150 Max because I’m like oh I love all these names I’m going to play all the names look at that okay so I’m G to click those names I think I’m gonna fade the 10K range get away from all this chalk this chalk is insane 30% chalk 25 26 20 27 I mean if I’m gonna start with pendra or Jagger I even thinking Baka [ __ ] my yeah okay well we’ll see okay how about AK guys besides mcney I want Bob Mack even though I don’t like the stats I like Davis Thompson I like Fox I thought I liked Ben Griffin shoot maybe I do I’m gonna click him anyway everybody’s on these guys can’t do that I like donl I guess I clicked him already hoard sure Cam Davis won won this tournament once Lee Hodges is popping for me Luke Clanton pure genius sure King clown Eric Cole I don’t know if I could even do erle how many names am I up to 29 what the heck how do I have 29 names oh I already started clicking people in the sixk range I can’t do Cole kidding me can’t do olison could do Riley can’t do Montgomery he’s lost it too do you guys ever use fantasy national Miss two cuts in a row he putts himself into things and he used to be good at other SP parts of his game but now he sucks Andy Novak Chandler Phillips remember him did we just you know I used to be a fan of Michael Kim but then I know I’m not because of his Twitter it’s obnoxious so even though he’s birdie guy when did he get all those birdies though see this is what’s wrong with the looking at the stats because this is from the whole season and maybe he died because people die deaths he oh fiveo Strokes on 5.5 on Approach at the Canadian but this is followed by a couple Mis cots punana don’t have stats there are we doing Michael Kim no good thing we looked that up we are doing EVR for the house but let’s look at uh Luke list maybe I think I like Vegas and toasty you know I like web but this does not fit webs webs course history or course fit it’s not good sh Kim people are telling me to click this guy guy should I do that listen to people or Sig Sig was playing well but see I let’s check sh Kim in the 6K range his ownership we’re going back to the stone what was he oh uh 4% no that’s not owned at all lower is owned toasty is owned Phillips is owned Novak is owned people are going shank has AI olison got gim way more than the dude that won three tournaments ago you can explain that to yourself they’re double the ownership on Doug gim you guys use Davis Riley um who other ones are wanted ma come on Troy Merritt somehow messener mesner Jan Kim I like Jan Kim okay let’s go back to here now when you’re you do realize this is roulette so these are just numbers on the board and the wheel will Spin and things will appear and then all of a sudden you can go oh yeah I knew it but you don’t know [ __ ] we don’t know [ __ ] these guys that are in this range don’t know how well they’re going to play they’re going to show up and they’re going to be good or bad they don’t know no idea like Charlie Hoffman like some days he’s the best player on tour when was he did he die his candle went out yeah he was second at his tournament and then he was fourth at the punana somehow again they find it Joel Damon what a what a sad Fall From Grace remember when Joel said he was gonna start trying again and he was crying did he start trying again I guess he’s making Cuts he’s not God awul he’s got some green okay I’m in I’m going back to Joel give him a shot I’m going to Gary Wood because he’s a bomber going to bombs away TW remember Kevin TW had him going for a minute where’s TW look at he’s made one two three four five cuts in a row okay bombs away TW remember we used to say that what tournament did he win remember when Kevin TW literally won a tournament it was the fortnet he used to be good okay what about anybody else now we’re in the 5K range this is where it’s stupid that they even made a 5k range every single golfer in this tournament should be 8,333 and they should just let you choose whoever the hell you want because the smart people would go with one guy up in the top and then they would go with any you know randoms and then those teams would do well because we know we’ve seen it the winners of the gpps they’ve got the 10K guy that goes off that’s not the most popular maybe it could be doesn’t matter then they got the 9k guy that’s pretty good but he’s not the most popular maybe he is doesn’t matter when it’s in the N9 or 10K range and then they got the 8K guy that just is the sleeper this clown that does well and then they got a couple maybe even a one 7K maybe 2 7K depending on the week and then they if they paired him with the top guy and he’s Scotty sheff he’s 125 then they’ve got to reach into this 5K range and that dude’s dominating and appearing in the gpp winning lineups so you do have to go 1098 776 or even 10 9765 it’s like insane so building lineups with a 5k name go for it do it it’s probably going to be helpful and maybe not all people do it I think people are going to end up peppering that upper 10K range 9k guys they just love that 39K name thing like I just did so let’s say if you go like I can’t not do these two I love Tom Kim and Camy young so much and I saw all three of these people do things last week how could they be bad and I can’t not pick Ry my model is showing Ry oh I can’t 4,800 uh I love Patrick Rog he’s so cool and he putted well last week so now I’m 5500 the cies oh they’re 59 actually let’s let’s consult the stone in the 5K range because the stone actually we don’t even need to look at the names of this let’s just look at what this column looks like okay 49 looks good 51 looks good 49.7 49.9 these are to make cut percentages o 48.6 48.2 who are these names Blair and Kevin dhy my guy 5500 that’s what you would do then you would go over here and you didn’t even think you just looked and you thought oh wow Kevin dhy Zack Blair winning gpps so you can actually pepper upper 10K names if you are peppering the 5K names but I don’t know I think what you really do want to do is you want to get lucky with your one click in the 5K range I would go with more of a 99987 six and just go with one name one five when I set up these rules on Moose’s site moose uh is a guy and he has a website called fantasy National and you have a chance to make lineups this is called a lineup generator so you take the names you clicked oh [ __ ] let’s go let’s just do it why not so you take the names you all click make sure I got the other ones I want cies Hardy Nick Hardy was a guy grick higgo didn’t he doesn’t he like to bomb it Stuart sink is better than you think on the senior tour Bobby shells has been mixing and likes to bombit Carl Yuan likes to bombit but he’s been so bad um I don’t know much about any of these other people skins and fur Tyson Alexander see you just talk yourself into some of these names and then it’s just like you’re so annoyed that you did it they shouldn’t even they almost shouldn’t include these names do you want the Golf Galaxy guy I think he works at Golf Galaxy Nick beny Ben B beans Ben okay so I clicked 32 names which is fine because I’m making 190 lineups like I probably need more than that honestly but we’ll do is we’ll make 20 just so I can show you through Miss Moose’s website you make 20 lineups you have a Max salary of 50,000 you have a minimum salary of 49,7 Max shared golfers per lineup four and then I do I create a core I want one of at least uh pendri Jagger MAV Davis T EVR I want one of at least one of those three or five one two three four five and then I only want one of only want one of these 5K randos and maybe even these 6K randos actually I’m okay with that so yeah so then I put these six names that I only want one only feed me one and then I generate and it’ll make me 20 lineups it only made me five that is concerning how about Max shared is four these rules might have screwed me over 17 okay uh now you’re experiencing what I’ve always experienced on fantasy National when I’m making these lineups I can’t get what I want and I don’t know how it comes up with these things so then I just don’t even do anything with rules or I have to add more people you know take more people away but 17’s pretty good actually so then I export these uh go back to my DraftKings and I’ll do that later but whatever okay so you can see that uh you make lineups what was I talking about oh yeah pepper the 5K range have fun do whatever you want bet aund $100 and6 on EVR you guys what’s funny is I want to bet on EVR once already he won a tournament uh should we do one more house bet take away EVR yeah sure let’s put $42 on this guy $42 will’ll be going on to this is like a semi house bat it’s a mini house toasty Ben Griffin are you kidding me Fox how fun that’s good actually because one of the first bets I made of the week was these bad bets remember when uh where’s Ryan Fox I made a bet on Ryan Fox right away yeah Ryan Fox 50 to one I bet $840 how much did I just say I was going to do another 42 oh this is the open go to Rocket mortgage classic Ryan Fox is now 55 haaha Sportsbook will it let me do 42 let’s see oh it will wow okay good to know so we’re into uh Ryan Fox for a couple thousand bucks if he wins um that’s all I got thank you for watching liking subscribing rating and reviewing you guys have been great join this contest on DraftKings the contest has a potential player pool of 200 or 200 entries single entry um I bet you might get to a hundred bucks for the winner uh like And subscribe rate and review thanks for watching see you next week [Music]
