Golf Players

THE WIMBLEDON DRAW BREAKDOWN presented by Ozlo Sleepbuds



Andy Roddick and Jon Wertheim bring you a full breakdown of the Wimbledon draw. Feel the energy and get ready for the ultimate grass tournament as they analyze both the ATP and WTA matchups. Who will end up as Champion? Andy and Jon pick all the winners.

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0:00 Welcome to Served
0:30 WTA players to watch
10:49 Women’s Wimbledon Draw
49:46 Men’s Wimbledon Draw

[Music] hey everyone welcome to the draw breakdown Wimbledon Style presented by Oslo sleep buds they will be our presenting sponsor through Wimbledon in its entirety we are happy to have them on board we’re going to tell you uh more about the product uh later in the show uh but let’s get to it uh I left the last show basically saying that I wanted to talk about the women’s draw first because there are so many women that could make a dent in this tournament in this draw and I haven’t looked at the draws so uh just a reminder if you saw our Roland garos uh draw breakdown we do it a little differently um I think Mike’s probably looked at it I think uh our guy John wory I think he has looked at the draw I have not looked at the draw so I will look at it for the first time uh right in front of you I have this one that says women’s and this one that says men’s and I have not seen them yet so uh I’ll just tell you quickly like who I’m looking at and the question that I’ve been asking is uh JW I want your thoughts on this too is igus fatek uh the most dominant player uh on Earth uh right now you know with with Novak kind of not getting off to the year uh the start of the year that we’re accustomed to that we feel entitled to uh frankly that were spoiled uh as tennis fans uh from him with his consistent level of of quality quality but shatek has kind of jumped into that role uh you know five slams already young age rolled through roling gas again is she one of your top four favorites on the on the women’s side we should back up and talk about why we are even having this conversation as as you say here’s a player she I think she she’s 45 and four on the year she’s lost four matches all year she’s number one she won the previous major rolling away she’s a former wimon junor champ and we’re having a very legitimate discussion about isy among the top four or five contenders uh the short answer is yes but I think there’s a larger discussion here why are we all so skeptical what is it about her game that makes us all so skeptical because on paper it should be EGA versus the field and yet a lot of people the two of us included are sort of saying well she’s in the mix but I wouldn’t necessarily make her my first choice why is that surfaces right everything that she does well naturally in her game right that heavy ball flight on her forehand side uh the ability on clay and on hard to get out of the corners especially on Clay where she slides and then turns back she’s already got a step closer to back to the center uh when she goes for those kind of big slides on grass she has to either run through it the movement’s not awkward or not great for her uh when she split steps and uh I talked to like one of the most revered coaches a couple weeks ago and he brought up a great point he basically said that uh some of the players that thrive on clay have like a high split step so they pop up and down pretty quickly you need that low center of gravity uh on grass right think of like a like a Leighton huitt or Novak jokovic or a Roger Federer they’re always kind of sunk into the court IGA uh for all her greatness and her footwork kind of has that like Pogo jump uh which makes it tough to break to the edges uh with her movement uh the second serve is attackable you can beat her I mean this is all relative right when I talk about the greats and the way that you have to play them it doesn’t mean that there’s a weakness it doesn’t mean that it’s a slight they but the game plan is you have to run traffic hard through EA’s forehand side Gras the ball gets through the court a little bit more you can attack that forehand side and she can’t just switch directions meaning High lofty one up to the back end or turn it over uh physical back to the forehand side so basically everything in her game gets better as soon as she steps on a clay Court naturally right doesn’t have to make adjustments the adjustments the adjustments that she makes are purely strategic based on who’s on the other side of the Court whereas at Wimbledon she has to adust her movement she probably has to adjust her ball flight especially on the forehand side a little bit more than she wants uh second serve is extremely getable especially on the surface you can attack basically where you have to go to make her a little bit weaker is way more open on grass right so it’s not a mystery how you beat her and it is easier to execute you don’t get that skid lowball flat deep through the court on a clay court and she can back up right she can give herself space where at at Wimbledon she’s going to have to play a little bit more up on the Baseline and then you mix that with I’m looking at kind of just a lazy list of names written down uh Koko uh will be good on grass sabalenka game is made for grass rabaka has already won Wimbledon Jess Pula You could argue grass’s you know maybe her biggest upside is on the service Von josva obviously won Wimbledon last year uh Jiang is going to be able to serve through the court on Jabor uh it’s her best surface so you combine uh the ego of things as far as style and then you bring in the other players who you know there’s six or seven here in the top 15 that you could make the argument that grass is their best surface so those factors combined are why we are talking about EGA like we are at those tournaments not as if we forgotten that she’s great we haven’t just if me saying she’s more vulnerable on grass it might not be one of the top three or four favorites doesn’t mean I completely I didn’t forget her Legacy I’ve been you know on on the front end of saying I think she’s going to be one of the best women’s players of all time you know I could even be convinced that she wins Wimbledon you know someday for sure but it’s going to be the toughest slog for sure you know Danielle Collins I’m looking at another name she steps up in the middle court and starts tagging that forehand with her pace of shot that’s a tough matchup Madison Keys a lot tougher matchup AAP Peno a lot tougher matchup Kalin skaya a lot tougher matchup fidelina tougher matchup CIA kova Alex androv there is so much depth on the women’s side uh for this event um it’s just I’m looking at the top 30 ranked players and that’s before we get to the bolters and the you know one miss emanu has entered the conversation uh this week by playing well beating Jess Pula and finding some form just in time for wimon so uh all that to say I think it’s going to get weird uh during this draw there’s going to be a lot of high quality matches uh on the women’s side um still some some some really uh big names on the men’s side that I want to see where they end up uh bartini is one that nobody uh wants to play first round I see your smile which means he dropped someone he’s going to play Someone first round it’s like this ver of Rafa of of rolandas but you don’t want to see him John Leonard stru is another one that like nobody wants to see right he can come forward he’s basically Michael uh with a two-handed backend plays the the exact same the body type uh is similar so this is what’s fun about these draw shows is that you want to see where the sleepers uh kind of end up Jordan Thompson’s another one that is well versed on grass that no one wants to you know not as intimidating not the big serve like bartini can’t take the racket out of your hands uh but just a nuanced player who once he gets on a Grass Court uh is is instantly better um so without further Ado Mike what are we Producer Mike am I doing the women’s or the men’s first uh I think let’s go with the women’s first let’s go with the women’s though where where where are you oh sorry I am in Rome I uh I actually am looking out uh to my left we are traveling um I can see right here if I I bend down so I’m looking out to my left straight away I can see the top of the stadium for the Rome Masters right out to my left as we’re having this conversation you’re a few weeks late yeah that’s hence me me with me with Clay that’s that’s that’s try of one um just just trying to stay on brand uh what else are we looking for or what else were you curious about you’ve already seen you you uh have solved for your biases um but what what was exciting you before you actually saw the draw uh this week JW well I think some of the mystery and it hasn’t you know it’s we’re let’s Tim stamp this it’s Friday morning the draw just came out and I think we’re all waiting to see are the players that are on our draw sheets are they going to stay in the draw are there going to be some uh some late withdrawals that are going to change things a little bit um it looks like Novak is officially in I think Murray’s a bit of a question mark as as you and I speak right now yeah and I just want to clear something up real quick because I’ve been catching Strays um for the last week me saying so when I said Novak if he was really hurt uh he should pull out before the draw is made that doesn’t mean if he has a chance to play you pull out right Mike literally said when would he pull out when we were dealing with a knee surgery uh you know etc etc and I said okay if he’s really hurt and knows he’s not going to play he’s going to pull out before before the draw is out um not the same as Andy Murray this is a largely he he’s never ceremonial in the way he approaches a match but this is his last Wimbledon he wants to say goodbye to the home crowd uh if Novak was playing his last tournament and he was 90s something uh in the world you would also want him to play regardless of hurting himself further uh X Y and Z Murray’s not worried about future damage to his body he wants to get on the court uh and take that Victory celebration the two couldn’t be further apart right now one is the number two seed where if you pull out late it’s your prerogative I’m just saying if he knew he wasn’t going to play on a Tuesday he would have pulled out before the draw it’s that simple no reason to get emotional about it that’s the way it’s always been done it’s the classy thing to do and by the way it’s what he said this week right he said I’m not going to play if I don’t think I can win and if I know I can’t play he goes I’m going to pull out earlier because I want to make a spot in the draw for someone else he literally pared exactly what we were talking about but yet still catching Strays and uh we can’t do we can’t do right on this show uh you know one way or the other but Murray and no like completely different scenarios uh I am going to turn over the women’s draw and take a look at it for the first time but first we have to take a break got it and we’ll be back right after this apparently all right welcome back hopefully uh Producer Mike Will butt out um not sleep butt out uh I’ll tell you I just had a beautiful plate of Capra pasta you know what sucks about Italy and their offerings for food and beverage not much but you know what sucks what’s that I can’t see any I don’t see any alipop oh and it’s it’s could have used one um all right I’m going to turn over uh this women’s draw and then we are going to start filling out uh the brackets so I know I’m gonna see eish fatek oh Kenan that’s not easy that’s a tricky one kenan’s game translates to Grass really well hard flat through the court can switch directions um I’m not gonna I’m obviously I’m not going to take her over EGA you’ll recall uh recall the first round last year that’s kenan’s got some rough draws coming her way um sometimes she overcomes them sometimes not that’s a that’s a rough first rounder though for two former major Champions don’t often get that yeah that’s that’s a that’s a that’s a rough one and also remember EA hasn’t played a match a competitive match on grass like come out of the gates it’s easy to drop serve once you’re down 230 like that’s she needs a good start in that one and it’s it’s not as if she has seven weeks of clayt tennis behind her and she’s going into roling so I like March in that second round I like EA I have EA through to the third round oh Putin sa a Kerber that’s a good one that’s a good one huh Putin sa I didn’t mention her in the sleepers and I feel bad now um because you said something really interesting why why don’t we why don’t we do it right here in like 30 seconds but you you made a You made a really good point that you don’t have to necessarily be 6 foot1 in a big server to succeed on grass and here in Putin sa a cbers these are not two physical Giants but they both are good on the surface why don’t you explain why uh it’s an oversimplification to say height is good the the the laziest way to analyze grasscourt tennis in my opinion is Big serve good on grass and I actually don’t think that’s the case I think being able to knock down returns uh like iser doesn’t hold any more on grass than he does on a normal surface but he doesn’t have time to set up right he hits one return and you can switch directions on him right away and he’ll tell you this much anyways fast twitch muscles right where you can react quickly that pays dividends uh on a Grass Court slow and Dopey doesn’t really pay many dividends no matter how hard you serve it’s not going to help you hold anymore and you have to be able to to break so the lazy analysis were like that’s a big server he’s automatically gonna be great on grass doesn’t always hold water now if you’re a big server like Becker and you can come in and you can make a bunch of returns and you can slice and get in and same with Pete like they were great on grass you know their serves are always great but the sum of the parts were better on grass Pete could get forward he could chip and come in he had the skill set to make his service games even better so uh Putin SAA again low to the ground Kerber for wbl Champion low to the ground can both get it through the court I I I don’t know who I like in this one um I think I’m going to take Putin sa just on like a recency bias um I’m basically just gonna take her because she won uh oh Saka that’s Putin savea is a brutal second round uh I like sakova okay now that’s the popcorn one we’ve come to our first impass is sakaba IGA that’s not a good that’s a good upset pick huh e EA has a tough draw yeah exactly tennan is really good I think she I think Maric I think she can handle that sakaa is that’s one to Circle huh that’s a big one I think that’s a big one um Garcia all right uh blinkova poova okay Garcia poova I like poova to the third round no no Bernie perra big Lefty serve uh all right no no poova played pretty she played all right last week she won some matches um tomanovich AA Penco who do you like in that one JW that’s a good that’s a repeat that’s that’s that’s one for the YouTube uh remember they played at Wimbledon and had had words um tomanovich on the nice see she got a wild card bad luck with injuries I I think I gotta go as to Peno um but that’s uh that’s a good there’s some history there I like AA Peno through to the third round poova I mean EA’s draw is like brutal she does not like the matchup against AA Peno is she 0 and four against her or did never beat never beat NOA Peno no never beat AA Peno 0 and four against AA Peno oh my gosh I hate I I I I hate this draw for EA and I realized even though I went off on why I don’t like her on grass as much as the other surfaces I still have a really hard time picking against her exactly um all right Danielle Collins I like her moving through against to losing uh losing record at Wimbledon I just saw but that’s surprising I think you’re right but isn’t it isn’t it yeah I and maybe that’s just a movement thing like where you’re not a fluent mover where maybe she slips and stuff but I still like I mean she’s hitting the ball great well she’s had some time off she hasn’t played uh Sheree I still have cins thirdd round um even with that uh Camilo Oar I was like Georgie no she’s not playing um maybe ever um I guess I like had I guess I like Hadad through against Collins there’s not like a huge favorite in that section honestly that’s kind of the weakest little one so far I’ll go Collins just friend of the show right Danimal um over yeah Hadad May is one of those players that everybody likes and then she seldom brings it at the big events if and also I I have this thing where like if they played first round I might view it a little bit differently but if they play third round that means danals gotten two matches in and when she gets a like you know when she has win behind her she’s a completely different player so if they play third round um this isn’t on like just a head-to-head basis this is if they play I did the same thing with Novak or Roland garos like I all of a sudden I had him in the semis I’m like well if he’s in the semis then he’s turned into Novak again so it’s a completely different scenario than him playing you know same matchup first round um you got to give credit to uh to the the players that can find form um in a hurry uh Kika she’s falling off sakova has a higher singles ranking than kikiva just little side note dyakova is good on grass I’m just telling you like she can she can absolutely play uh on grass okay to play Collins I like I’m Gonna Save You So we move it along here I like vrava I like V vroa I keep thinking I’m gonna pick an upset of EA and then I just can’t do it exactly which says something um yeah it’s like a testament to her greatness because I don’t like any of the match ups for her but I’m not gonna pick against her so I don’t know if you saw the slip that vosa had which looked really bad um I don’t know I mean every everything is Case by case but I’m curious how much of this injury withdrawal is preventative and PR cautionary and precautionary and how much of it do you think these players are coming dinged up um I think a lot of it’s precautionary I think we saw a lot of PR uh precautionary stuff um in Berlin um rightfully so um you know if you you take a slip but the the thing with Von drva and with a lot of the other players who kind of had those slip and then withdrawal is they they all walked off um it didn’t look like she had a limp so hopefully it’s one of those things where you tweak it you know ice anti-inflammatory uh volaran everything all these things where you can reduce inflammation um I don’t know I haven’t heard much about her um because other stories have been taken up all the oxygen but I haven’t heard much about her uh coming into this tournament but I love I I thought it was so good for her Wimbledon prospects that she played well at rolling gals and finally just found a little bit of Rhythm and a Cadence and you know to be in a tournament for 10 days the same tournament not having played two tournaments in 10 days like she has for the rest of the season I thought was a really good sign so I have ea vova uh in the quarters Racha another one of the uh Berlin uh casualties retiring down 3-1 it looked like it was stomach issues sounded like it was more this is this is a chronic thing with her this is this is a players really struggle to stay healthy yes and it’s weird and she’ll she’ll be defending tournaments so Indian Wells Rome uh miss both of them um kind of on the eve of the tournament um but I just uh I like you know who I really like I like Lea Fernandez on this this uh Waki slow down Waki Parks is a good one huh yeah Parks has that big serve there it is though John Waki is gonna find a way to hit behind her she can Direction I like wo in that one I Waki Fernandez is a good one um I’m I’m going to take Lila through to the third round I’m going to take raka it’s just so hard raka you don’t know what you’re going to get but you can’t bet against her on the surface I mean her her her game and maybe sabalenka are kind of like made uh for the service I have Rak going through to the fourth round um okay now we’re gonna get fun uh I am taking in the next quarter uh Ken skaya bukova bukova is interesting because she keeps the ball down um kind of has that you know the Czech ball flight normally is a little bit flatter and through the court which is great on grass I don’t like samsa um she kind of needs some time on that forand side almost has like a little delay where she can kind of lay it off and create a bunch of speed but also like it’s tough to catch up to um on a Grass Court I like I’m gonna go Ken Sky Rach and in the fourth round uh Jabor I think the people’s favorite for this event obviously having made the finals the the last two years and just coming up a little bit short um Heartbreak Hotel against vono last year where she was probably the heavy favorite in Von droso outside of the top 40 um SPID Alina semi last year if I’m not mistaken memorable run ne ne had a nice run two years ago but she’s falling off a bit Yeah spinga semis last year all right I oh I don’t I don’t like doing this but Jabor I just there’s a lot she was another one of the casualties in Berlin that like she lost the first set to Coco 76 and then took a pass it looked like it was a neck issue which if you’re playing a set it’s normally stiff and you’re just kind of making it worse by trying to serve so that felt very precautionary I have SPID Alina in the fourth round yes um you you have your board through on that section John I guess she she sure can’t complain about her draw but um I I do not think she makes her third straight final if that’s jumping ahead uh but yeah I do have jabber through okay I don’t hate I don’t hate that at all oh this is a this a tough section Bolter and pagou crash course let’s just let’s just pencil them in in the third round Bolter uh ex obviously having the best year of her career um I think last year she was probably 70 or 80 in the world at Wimbledon now she’s top 30 has really made a lot of you know big big big stries that’s a tough one because that’s going to be on Center Court for sure uh in Great Britain um I I got to do it though I’m taking Pula to the quarters who really and maybe yeah and maybe that’s my heart but I just no no Ashlin Krueger love um no I mean tons of it I just just pula’s five in the world and is really good on grass no there’s no disrespect and uh don’t you and probably benefits from this Hiatus she took um I don’t read much into her losing to Raku having won a title last week no no I don’t I don’t I don’t think I I don’t know if she benefits from it but I think as we talked about in the last po I think she needed to win that tournament she needed to beat a big competition uh took out some massive grass cor players like sakaba uh golf and then Ken skay saving four match points uh in the final so I’ve I’ve been outspoken the last couple weeks about loving Jess pula’s game on grass so I guess I have to put uh you know M where my mouth is [Music] um and so true to form who do you have through so we’re going to go we’ll fill through to the quarters and then we’ll come back and finish it on the on the women’s side eiga vroa raka a Pula but like I have no confidence in this in this in this half like a million upsets uh just waiting to happen I mean Putin sa sakova is a monster second round sakova IGA that’s a big like and sakova has played like big matches even you know doubles Court eight slams IGA has a brutal draw Kenan great on grass I think she’ll get through the second one sakova really good on grass AAP Peno or poova really good on grass vro OFA really good on grass ‘s got a brutal draw and it’s like the resp back tax means you can’t it’s weird like I could have her in the semis and also I I might take 51% that she doesn’t get there you know what I’m saying like she she’s like the most likely but this is a this is a tough draw like this is a really really really tough draw for uh for EA I mean she plays fourth round she’s never beaten aeno like tennis’s matchups and that match like easier aeno just fires through the court yeah we we haven’t I mean let’s just be clear too this is a player who’s never been beyond the quarters she she won Junior Wimbledon um but this is a player who’s never been beyond the quarters I I just I don’t know how much we we can’t really quantify you you say or attacks um I mean I just I think there’s got to be something on both sides of the net both her own confidence and then the opponent as well there’s there’s got to be something to say this is the world’s number one player who won the previous major who’s winning 90% of her matches and only gets better as a tournament goes on but I think you’re right it’s it’s I think I think you nailed it it’s it’s kind of a combination of a brutal draw and yet in a vacuum I’m not sure I would pick against Egan any single one of these matches exactly and that’s the problem with just throwing out things is like again I could see her losing three times along the way to the semis but it’s like do you bet she’s still in my mind the most likely to make it there um it’s kind of you know what it is it’s kind of like it’s kind of like Rafa uh on grass back in the day like great like one Wimbledon twice so conversation and one of the best Grass Court players ever and also if you were ever going to try to take his lunch it would be on that surface right like so it’s just he has to make more adjustments on that surface you know return position going after the first ball a little bit little a little bit sooner a little bit faster um you can get through he doesn’t break serve at a 53% clip like he does on other surfaces and it’s kind of similar um for EA so all right let’s let’s flip to the uh the bottom half Queen W like her a lot I like her Taylor Townsen PA aenova I like I like when through to the fourth round I like her draw agree live live up to her seating I mean I don’t I don’t know uh I see a wild card ratanu lurking um who shown some form of late but yeah I mean if Alex and drove is legit that’s a brutal first round draw for Raku yeah against a seed yeah exactly yeah you’re right alexandrova can she won did she win Berlin last she won something on grass leading into Wimbledon last year I think she beat she beat Coco at Berlin last year right she beat Coco yeah that’s right um that’s a t oh gosh I don’t even know who I’m who do you like there JW I don’t know who I like that’s that’s popcorn I I always it’s as much uh hard overhead we we always like Taylor Townsen especially uh on a fast surface that rewards net play um this is an interesting little pocket here though I mean I guess I guess uh man I’ll tell you gosh that’s a draw alexandrova and then second round whoever wins that Rono alexandrova has Mertens second round who’s really capable also yeah that’s a nice that’s a t i don’t think I don’t think Saker gets through that section coming off a first round loss at her previous major yeah love kakina not on grass this isn’t what’s what state is the land of opportunity that like Arkansas or New Mexico there’s a lot of big opportunity here in this little pocket I don’t know it’s someplace that alexandrova has never been um I’m man I don’t know who to choose choosing this alexandrova Raku match but whoever how do we feel about uh ratanu and the The Crucible of Center Court and uh sort of young young British player coming back to the scene of the crime this is where her 2021 run got its momentum is that a plus or minus the shoulders are heavier now with with with weight of expectation and eyeballs didn’t play last year um so this is like a two-year buildup um I think uh I I’m gonna go with alexandrova uh to the fourth round oh all right she hasn’t been high on confidence so this section is really confusing to me agree and because I have no idea who’s coming through that little little section that little alexandrova rakano Merton’s socer section because I don’t know who’s coming through there I’m taking uh Queen W to the quarters I think on numbers you have to wa this is a this is a very strange pocket of the draw though isn’t it yeah a little soft yeah this is this is in this next little pocket kind of opportunity knocking because K Kina it’s probably her worst service um she can’t really flatten out that forand it’s just not her shot shape [Music] um but I don’t Bosa mava would normally be like a layup here but she just hasn’t played any tennis she’s coming back from injury and and reinjured this week unfortunately you’re talking mova right yeah is she even gonna play I don’t yeah exactly um what’ she say she’s she’s ready to uh she’s ready to inflict some damage she told the WTA website but now she’s injured again this is this is a very talented athletic player who’s had deep runs at Wimbledon who just cannot stay healthy muha an an has been in the finalist at rolling also knows how to play these big events right I mean this is I don’t know how Andrea is on like we don’t have a lot we don’t have a huge sample size here okay um I’m going KET Kina at least to the third [Music] round I think Bosa if muhaba plays I still I I still think I’m taking Bosa I think it’s a huge as to come out and just all of a sudden play well um Andrea I guess to the third round do we feel this is this is the first event and no doubt not the last at which Andrea seated but she plays a Young Junior rival right off the bat it doesn’t Bo I don’t think that’s a huge deal I I think it’s more just server specific and playing in majors and she I have kazakina and draa I’m taking kazakina to the fourth round even though I don’t really like yeah we we we we don’t know I mean Andrea had a nice run on the clay last year and didn’t really do much in the gra we don’t I I just don’t I think I think she got to Middle weekend and then she smacked her racket in the grass and got in trouble with the adults but uh who who hasn’t gotten in trouble for that yeah exactly all right let’s I’ll takea but keep keep going yeah yeah I don’t you could be right maybe I hate that um sabalan I mean let’s just sabalan is in the quarters yeah I think she’s at full health yeah I think she’s without looking at the matchups and only knowing what I know so far I think she’s my favorite um just based on playing style uh and question marks around raka and her health and short of matches coming in uh yeah I think she I think sabalenka is my favorite um all right Pini is gonna get through the third round I have her right there in that little pocket with cereus tmmo never never never won a match at Wilton yeah that’s fun not not often you see a top eight seed who uh has it’s but like more than any but way more than any other any other tournament like The gooa Quon you know rule of being seated three and everyone hoping you’re in that section of the Casper Roode situation like more than any other tournament you see good players relegated to mediocrity on grass very quickly um uh oh I know okay upset special what do you got I have andrescu in the fourth round Bianca andrescu in the fourth round yeah I can see that what’s what’s the upset over over palini to get there no just that entire section when you haven’t played much tennis and you know however long unseated um yeah so Pini in the third round which is not really it’s an upset on paper but right um it’s more just like someone unseated that we’re that I’m punching in I’ve gone I’ve gone chalk for a lot so far uh cuk Maddie Keys tricky little one against trevisan [Music] um kak what do you I’m trying think kak on grass she does she have results on grass she has she has athleticism but I don’t know if she has I’m I’m forever getting uh I’m I’m still on the Madison Keys train I got to tell you maybe not to win events but there is just so much power I don’t think she’s losing eight players Bunch next to her do you no uh keys and drcu that’s what I that’s where I’m at that’s a repeat from last year yeah that’s good andresco I watched her play that match against Osaka a couple weeks ago she played pretty well like she’s she’s kind of her re-entering the conversation winning a bunch of matches at Roland garos like and playing well straight away off of her latest injury has been pretty impressive now I want to pencil her in potentially to the quarters I just don’t know if her body can take that many matches that’s always the question yeah more matches in a short week when your body hasn’t but it’s a day off in between all right I’m upset special BB in the quarters whoa all right wait it was Keys Andrea last year yeah you said yeah yeah yeah you’re right so you have andrescu our uh little 2019 magic okay that’s good I have andrescu in the quarter somehow take it um Ozarka played pretty well last week Ozarka Sloan first round in there okay I have all right now we’re getting fun yeah this is this is a good section here what do we got I have aaka via round match up match up match up match up via second serve Osaka can go after it if Osaka’s in the third round that means she’s found form I have Osaka in the fourth round whoa that that would be her that would be her career best Wimbledon showing I think I know I by the way I hate all of my picks just just wait wait we we got PK a for former finalist and number one player P’s not getting through asanka she too solid like there’s a like there’s recency bias but it’s just if Osaka wins two matches and she’s got some momentum yeah the rank I don’t actually I’m gonna leave I’m gonna leave that one open and come back to it because I have so much respect for Via um all right Crista Coco Coco Coco Coco Coco all right I don’t see anyone bothering her doah height is a is a decent it’s a pretty good first round matchup for her because she basically tops out on the forand all so I don’t know that she can again similar to spatech you go through that forehand side on Coco like flat through that side that’s the plan and dolah Hy can rip but the the shot shape is is a little spinny uh for this for this deal Coco Osaka man I’m this section’s going to get me in trouble I’m gonna look like an idiot when uh yeah right when when Dion Perry and her one banded backhand uh um we hav talk Emma Navaro top top 20 American player I love her she lost first round in Berlin I don’t know grass yeah I think it’s second Wimbledon I think on the on the grass don’t a lot of times I you just don’t know on grass it’s such a specific service and if someone doesn’t have a track record it’s hard to bet on that versus someone who does KOCO Osaka do you don’t who do you have do you have via through in that fourth round I do that’s tough I do I I scribble it down and now I’m looking at it I don’t know um I mean I do think just just big picture between you know Koko loses first round last year and that was the low E of her career perhaps yeah comes back now so she’s defending nothing not that she really cares about that she’s got the EA Kryptonite thing but EA’s on the other side of the draw and and grass is very different by the way grass is very different and yeah and she’s on a a preferred surface and now I’m looking at Koko’s draw and boy she she’s coko has nothing to complain about at least week one um yeah I get I think you’re probably right I I think on grass experience in form I think Azarenka probably beats I don’t know um co coco beats Coco beats I’ll with you co coco beats aarka um I like God I don’t know if I’m for some reason I want to take Osaka but I need to remember that like she doesn’t she doesn’t have she never record on grass she was number one in the world been to a third round then again she doesn’t have much of a record at roll garos either and she came within a point of beating the champion yeah all right just because she’s the person I want to bet against the least I’m gonna go Coco semis and now I’m going backwards yeah so let’s let’s reset so we we gotten through the quarters tell us your quarters real quick all right so we’re going to reset here quickly we we’re going through the draw uh top top of the food chain I have IGA vroa um but like the EA’s draw again is just so rough like starting with kenon uh sakova third round ostapenko fourth round who she’s never beaten I just have so much respect for EA like I it I know the surface doesn’t warrant this but I GA in the semis I have raka Pula in this next thing and I’m thinking about doing something crazy I’m doing it Pula gets to her first Grand Slam semi-final ever her first major semi-final ever uh wow that’s uh yeah first gr yeah geeez quarters and that’s there’s some tissue there like get brought up a lot that’s that’s all right P I don’t I don’t like this what I’m about to do I think I’m betting with my heart here I think I’m betting with my heart [Music] here P to beat EA this is a good this is a this is so stupid this is a good chance to plug our redraw show so basically all the John and I all the picks that John and I [ __ ] up we’re gonna come early second week and basically make fun of ourselves and then do a redraw uh from I don’t know round of 16 or Quarters on whatever produc Mike decides yeah it’ll be it’ll be we’ll record it next Monday put it out quickly pula’s in the final guys oh my wow you’re so you’re so triggered by that call this remember how much [ __ ] you gave me for uh the The Good Vibes of Rafa beating zov and going with with Karma and heart overhead um I I think there there’s a real you ever see the stat where like if you’re an 80% free throw shooter right pretty good four out of five shots go in if I give you three free throws the odds are better than 50/50 you’re going to miss one and I feel like that’s a little what’s going on with EA like you can’t keep I I think she wins each one of these matches independently but there’s enough of a there’s enough of a Mis um I I gotta e get through though I gotta say I mean I piula in the final and I think she’s like 5545 to be Bolter in the third round so I don’t know how works when you actually when you’re not when you actually write out a draw like we’re doing and it’s a live thing you have to fill in each section and you’re not just lazily going pick a winner pick a Darkhorse like every other analyst on Earth and that’s how they do their show it’s really easy to sit here and go like that I can do but when you actually fill out the the balls and Strikes of tough third rounds tough fourth rounds tough quarters it becomes a lot more complicated and you end up with picks where you’re like how did how did I get here exactly exactly’s never been past the quarters and I have her in the finals of wimon like how does this work well and and and there’s the variable of injury right I mean that’s why I have Rob like is she gonna show up is she I am a crazy person for not taking Racha but it’s like is she gonna get to the quarters is she gonna like’s what’s her state of mind how are we doing this I have Pula in the final I have pul in the final all right all right what about the other side wait sabala’s in the final I have sabalenka beating pagul inal that’s that’s it uh so I have Jen sabalan up top yeah seriously man that was frush what all right talk us through it talk us through what’s your yeah what’s your other nothing to talk through I have Queen Wen and Sabal Lena in the quar this part is like so you’re hearing like my the angsty picks also unlike most analysts the ones I’m not confident in I think I talk through more as opposed to I I like sabalenka going through I think she’s the favorite against anyone she’s the the most I think she’s the most bankable name in this draw currently um played a match against kazakina in Berlin crushed her and then said listen I’m mentally fried like I need to just take a bit take a minute before uh Wimbledon let my body reset which I think is a mature decision like I’m not GNA take anyone over her I think she has a decent draw to get to the quarters against Jen and then I just like her up there I I like the matchup against I have Koko in the semis against beating andrescu in the quarters and then so I rush through it because I’m it’s like one of the ones I’m that makes sense to me as I’m looking at it on the draw maybe more so than any other part of the draw that I’ve looked at I like sabalenka through I I I think sabalenka is gonna win Wimbledon this year uh JW who do you who do you have on the bottom half there um I just I I hate the variable of injury so sabalenka complained about a shoulder we we don’t like shoulder plus tennis is a bad combo but I don’t know if she’s just resting it for uh for 10 days I really like Coco in part because of her draw I also think I mean tell me I’m reading too much into this but there’s one player that really bevils her and that’s EGA I mean this is like Serena Sharapova stuff I mean this is really a bad head-to-head sure I don’t know what you mean does it not well I mean there’s one player in the draw who really yeah exactly but does it not give her some Solace knowing I am not going to play this player that that got super a when he was saying that didn’t it little bit we’re talking women’s tennis here I don’t know I I think uh I mean you know again let’s also back up and do note that last year the player that won this event was unseated had a losing career record at the tournament so uh no one knows [ __ ] about [ __ ] but I think um I I really like KOCO to get to the final wow so you have Coco eego are you GNA do the thing are you g to put Coco in the final to have her upsetting ego in the finals of wimon precisely you don’t crit don’t criticize me for betting with your heart and then do this like literally roll back the tape here this is where you edit you do the Wayne’s World thing where you go back in time Mike and then you play what he said where he was just ripping on me for betting with my heart and then he just did that goo’s gonna have a nice first week she’s gonna get her teeth into this tournament Brad’s going to get in her head and give her the pep talk she’s relaxed doesn’t have to play EA if she plays her at all it’s not going to be until the trophy is on the court then all she has to do is win 12 games you know what I’ve realized boom doing these draw shows with you you know what I’ve realized is that you start at the story that you want to write whether it’s whether it’s Rafa the semis whether it’s Rafa in the last one you start where you work backwards from it blows the roof off of tennis if Coco oh how do we make it even more dramatic let’s let her beat EGA who is her mental like you know taking up a lot of brain space all right I’m cooking popcorn for this John I love it giv you’re giving up the game here that’s that’s the key to uh media you don’t root for players you don’t have you root for storyline and Coco forwarding EA in the final doesn’t get better than that true but I I I like but I have a one-word counter sabalenka all right one word counter so so actually like Mike I don’t know if we can release this I think I’m embarrassed by all of our picks so you got sabinka over o over pugula I have sabalo over Pula and then JN as uh Coco on grass um all right we got a redraft show in a week so we can uher over thisg right I I need a break before we go on to the men’s yeah let’s let’s take a break I need to like come terms I need to I need to come to terms with uh our decision we will be right back with more served presented by Oslo sleepbuds all right welcome back to serve presented by Oslo sleepbuds um unfortunately after uh after those picks I think they’re going to dump us um I think they’re so embarrassed by what we just did in the last segment that I think we I think we used to be presented by Oslo uh sleep buds I will tell you something like in in luckily we’ve gotten a lot of interest uh for sponsorship from companies that we love their product or are excited about their product uh Wilson ollipop etc etc uh so I was dialed right Oslo sends me this beautiful package of which I think John was just holding it up and we traveled overnight flight first time our kids have been on you know a to Europe so make making sure they’re sleeping kind of rattled leaving 18,000 uh suitcases as we’re leaving the house um and what did I do Mike hayen I needed it I needed the sleep Buds and what did I do I I put him in my checked bag like a [ __ ] and guess how many without those sleep buds guess how many minutes I slept on the flight guess if you said one you guessed too high it was a big fat zero Burger you were missing out on the on the builtin uh noise cancelling wonderfully relaxing Babbling Brook sound effects as I told uh as I told our friend when we were getting through this deal is like I sleep next to a Babbling Brook every [Laughter] night and I hope she doesn’t listen to this uh or I hope she’s in the Next Room I hope she doesn’t hear me doing the show uh but you guys have used him right JW did you yeah I I am not merely Clairvoyant I’m not just Clairvoyant but well rested no it’s awesome there there’s an I mean seriously here I’ll hold the do you have yours Mike you got yours yeah I got mine uh they do have a Babbling Brook I it also Bluetooth into your favorite podcast uh I went to bed last night you know with the ever relaxing served with Andy Ric it was it was so relaxing put me you know what’s not relaxing is John’s picks those aren’t relaxing speaking of PS I don’t like my pics either to be fair all right let’s get to the let’s get to the guys uh thank you uh to Oso sleepbuds for giving us some swag and at least giving two out of the three of us some sleep the other one is a [ __ ] who packed in the wrong um but I will not make that mistake again all right let’s get it let’s see I know who the top seat is I know who I’m going to look at first yanic center humman oh my God Barian Center second round oh that’s the one you that’s why you had that [ __ ] eating grin on your face oh that’s a big one all right obviously Center I mean I’m not listen I love bartini on grass I think he’s two-time Queens winner wimon finalist like great great grass Corp player but like I obviously can’t pick against center off of the heels of Hol being number one in the world I just but that’s not that’s not the second round that that Center’s team wanted to see I’ll tell you that much right um can we just stop to uh note sidebar what an absolute star model bartini is now that you’re in Italy you’re going to see this guy and I’m always thinking 99 out of 100 people that walk by the Hugo Boss billboard or see this guy on a bus with a fancy Hugo Boss watch do not realize this is a former top 10 player in wimon finalist so if if he doesn’t make it past the second round at least he has a lucrative modeling career but uh yeah imagine being uh the you know the the stallion stalwart and you you reached the wimon final and you’re feeling healthy and you’re finally back and then you find out you have to play the other wimon the other uh Italian who’s the number one seed in the second round that’s a it’s a rough draw for both of these guys you know who’s bigger in Italy is Center um you know it’s so funny you were going through that thing with bertini’s Mod Ling career and the only thing I had in my head as you were going through it is uh actual fan of the show uh Ben Stiller and zoland are going bartini is really really really really really goodl looking well played uh all right Greek Spore through to the third round uh there is some Scar Tissue there they played first round of Hol and Center lost the first set GRE sport tends to get leads against uh guys in the top five and then he hasn’t beaten a guy in the top five uh Center Center chicken dinner through to the fourth round uh Nico jari your guy what’s that sound I hear it’s it’s the upset whistle yeah well I don’t I don’t did you learn your lesson from Roland gal because you were kind of uh I’m down on uh my my passion for Chileans now runs as thin as the country is itself uh I’m I’m this I’m over I’m over Chile I’ve had it with those guys I’m going shappo over Shao former semifinalist at Wimbledon altm that’s not going to do anything Lloyd herods uh mikkelson Alex mikkelson can play on the surface uh mikkelson I have mikkelson shappo in the third round I’m taking mikkelson in Ben Shelton section I don’t like doing it I love Ben Shelton but he is not showing us enough on the grass first round of Queens another very ordinary loss um last week yeah as well yeah which who’ never won a match on tour I don’t think before at tour level um so sh Mickelson I don’t know who I like in that one yet I’ll go I’m going I this is probably just a homer pick like fellow American I’m going Michelson the fourth round and I’m going Center obviously through that one uh demitro manarino is normally really good on grass and he hasn’t won many matches so far this season he’s playing the uh this is this is the men’s 35 Championship here this is this is the this is the Laray Club Championship exactly against manino right they’re gonna have cocktails on the 17th green afterwards um I’m taking manarino I’m taking demitro through the Section though like demitro I have in the fourth round um liovic gin W rinka um Manor I like man manarino demitro I like Dem off in that section um you don’t you don’t like the career slam for Stan he’s only one wimbl in away no I don’t I don’t oh this is a tough one man this is a really tough second round too as we look down to this next the triple z um and he played great uh in uh where was it Hall I think um trip Z and Stuy second round two sleepers huh yeah I just don’t know enough about triple Z like I saw him when he was playing uh he played Eubanks Eubanks serve for the match but Eubanks is a grass quarter who you think of he come he transitions into the net a lot he doesn’t actually Ser Vol a ton um maybe situationally he he does a little bit curious to see how triple Z I don’t know how he he fends off S valers like quick return quick Off the Mark passing shot um I go I’m going stru third round upset triple z um this is it I’m going you guys are going to think this is nuts denil who you know I love meev Müller okay so I have meev stru I’m going stru to the fourth round that’s an upset pick it is that’s probably dumb so I have demitro stru um I’m going to take demitro just because I feel like he’s more likely to get to the fourth round not because in that individual matchup but I think he’s most likely to get to that fourth round because Stu obviously has meev triple Z that’s a that’s a pretty big cuse but I have CER demitro uh on the top uh the chuckster this is this is second quadrant we’re starting now right this is yeah this so I’m going uh second second uh quarter uh alcaraz is just going through that’s a that’s a pretty comfortable draw um I don’t know Le laal that much qualifier from Estonia but I don’t think that it will matter um tifo obviously has been struggling as a seed in that section is normally very good on grass uh has had I’m sure he would tell you he’s had a bad year um by by his standard right you’re a victim of your own shadow sometimes uh and then got hurt in Queens um so arnaldi even that one like I I don’t I don’t know if I like Francis I don’t know how healthy he is I don’t even know how well or naldi plays I just know that that’s kind of that’s a little bit of a struggle M go right now uh chorich um I I guess I’ll take chor the third round even though he hasn’t been playing well Al alcarez is is is in the he’s that’s a nice draw right for a defending Champion that’s a comfortable that’s a comfortable draw um who normally is streaky on Fast courts I haven’t heard his name in like six weeks um he played okay at Monte Carlo and then he’s kind of been a little bit slow since then oh there’s one okay we got him o nak uh so sorry uh B de bz I’m in that next little section down I have alcarez in the four that’s an upset pick right that’s an up Nakashima can play on grass by the way yeah exactly almost beat curios the year that curios uh in the round of 16 was it yeah two years ago yeah two years ago yeah round of 16 he he lost a ciros in five um but then he plays Jordan Thompson second round that’s a tricky little section that those are two really good GR score Players bear I’m there about three or four Aussies to keep an eye on I would say and Jordan Thompson is one of them gosh it’s tough I’m go okay this is you you guys are gonna hate this Umar is gonna get through I have I’m taking this is you guys are gonna like this I I hate this so much I really don’t like these shows they stress me out I gotta be honest they stress me out I hate doing these shows we got a mulligan coming the read I don’t like a mulligan man that’s not real life um alar I have Naka uh you like Thompson over Nakashima there yeah I think so and then do you like do you have Umar through or Thompson through I don’t I mean so look at look at him bear who’s not a great Grass Court player um which is shocking because his game should be good on grass yeah right right and it’s sort of the what about um I don’t even know if he wins that first match V xandum is apparently halfway you know he’s he sort of talked existentially about how he doesn’t know if he even wants to keep playing tennis so I’m not sure what we read there Liam Brody nice guy but a wild card I don’t know what we read there this this is an interesting boy if you’re if you’re Carlos alcarez you uh you owe a fruit basket to the tennis Gods this is you’re defending Champion you’re coming off winning the previous major and you can I mean what a nice nice work week first tennis Gods mention tennis God I like alar in the quarters I think CS are getting Harry and Davids um all right who do you got on the quarters yeah I’m trying to think I think I’m gonna go Nakashima in the fourth round again to beat Jordan Thompson all right yeah I don’t feel good about it but I don’t know it’s probably a homer pick honestly okay I mean this this draw for alcarez as I’m looking through now I’m now I’m down to the so the Tommy Paul section I like Tommy Buck’s not easy but I’m gonna take Tommy Paul the fourth round Tommy Paul in the quarters against alcaraz is is is is that section that section is that’s exactly what I have that’s not I’m Casper Roode Casper Roode with two career grass two two career Wimbledon wins to his record no he it’s a short trip to London for him I most years um and I love Casper but um Navone who’s seated in that section I I I think I read that he’s never won a a two or level match on anything except for clay clay yeah so Sono Sono can play okay Sono Sono plays naon he’s gonna win that that’s like the big like that looks that’s not an upset that’s like Sono is gonna be a five to one favorite in the match against the seed Sono can actually play Sono is gonna be in the uh in the fourth round Sonic go Paul uh Tommy Paul Tommy Paul though Tommy Paul right Tommy Paul yeah I think he’s playing great so Pedro Martinez Ma I mean Max pcel is a little weird because he comes in on everything but I think Tommy returns well enough Zuzu Berg Kazo I mean Buck is brutal like he could be nasty on grass but he could also lose first round of men ex Paul’s by far the most reliable Choice uh in this section sonico can play on grass though watch out for him I I like him in the fourth round all right I’m flipping over to the rublev section um I mean all of a sudden I’m looking at musetti like the grass quarter after Queens in that ruet one hander Nice Slice wait you were giving me [ __ ] for musetti last week I I think M’s got real chance here I don’t I don’t trust rublev anymore I like how you’re I like how I like how your grasscar bifi were just you know one-hander he’s got a nice slice just got wait he he just got to the final of Queen Club I yeah all right um I have Ru look at oh I didn’t see this one wait look at uh Corda davidovich fokina I know I’m I’m are you m to the fourth or are you MTI to the fourth run or you rublev grud I’m a grudging grudging rublev which is uh part for the course you know what I’m not a rub full believer but you what what you got got rubl second serve your boy grasscourt musetti was knocking down one handed returns grassetti was knocking down one one-handed returns I’m gonna have more faith in your guy than you do that’s what I’m gonna do I’m gonna flip your guy on you big MTI fourth round all right good man uh okay [Music] um davidovich faka like sneaky beat herot first round who’s one of the top five or six grass score players that low center of gravity situation we were talking about he has not been playing well um this year okay I got my my second like kind of upset controversial situation um what you got I think CPAs gets more credit on grass than he deserves I don’t think he returns first serves well at all um I don’t think if he can’t lean back and Elevate that that that back in um I don’t know that I like it I think there’s been some turnover his trainer publicly calling him out for basically basically like the worst thing someone could say about you if they leave your Camp is that I’m leaving your Camp because you don’t work hard enough that’s brutal that would that would cause me so much stress um I like sub quarter in the quarters AR Taylor Fritz render Kesh Taylor Fritz does this make you nervous this Taylor Fritz match OK Connell no Lefty I don’t know the Lefty thing is really is really problematic for guys that don’t have a strong left hand on their backhand side right like you’re serving someone pulls you wide and if you can kind of like and especially that flat ball like I like playing lefties even though my backhand sucked because at least it was flat and Punchy so I could return I actually returned lefties better on my backhand side on that wide one than I would on my forehand side where I kind of had to like grind a forehand return and like it was easier square up I think Taylor has that thing he has a really strong left hand he doesn’t get beat for Pace on his backand very often he gets beat for movement but um I like that doesn’t for the for the record Chris I was thinking one for for the record he’s he’s a righty but uh one-handed backhand got it oh well one-handed back I knew there was something yeah right um nice to see uh nice to see render NES remember this is the guy who uh had to retire when he kicked the Courtside signage leading the match in in Paris nice nice to see that has not prevented him from playing the next major all right I have this is going to be a quick section for me um tabilo great job in Rome Dan Evans is another person who fell at Queens uh okay uh Taylor Fritz oh this is going to get really I’m going to bet with my heart here on this one coming up okay so Taylor Fritz I have him through to the fourth round the next section Jack Draper o lot of heat second round Battle of the Brits Jack Draper cam Nori very interesting cam Nori that’s Lefty Lefty that is you know Jack Draper number five one of the boards I saw number five with the odds makers that’s absurd absurd right I mean nice ABD nice run up nice game got a title it’s because they’ve been reading John War’s mailbag about Jack Draper that’s because they’re that’s because they’re they’re Brits uhing the you’re juicing the numbers there right do you like Draper over Nori I do though yeah I do okay and then nory’s had a rough rough here so I’m assuming you have Z through in his little section uh Mar can play on grass but I don’t think he’s gonna beat z uh okay Zev Draper Zev you think yeah Draper is is really good um returning first serves consistently and also I worry about his body like he’s never played extended five set tournaments before his body kind of goes sideways sometimes I’m not totally confident in this Fitness level three out of five set format Zev now this is a big one Zev Taylor Fritz on grass what do you think about that one JW too I I think my uh irrational and seldom uh seldom reciprocated love of Sebastian Corda makes it so I don’t have to answer that but no I I think that’s an opportunity for Fritz I just don’t know if that match happens Z Vera Fritz on grass I think I might go Fritz is that crazy no well also I’m more worried about Draper than anyone Fritz is gonna have to go through all right guy I mean I have all of my let’s just Fritz for fun and like this I’m doing the war time thing where I’m writing my story backwards uh Corda Fritz this would be amazing by the way this would be so much fun where Fritz would be fun yeah I’m going Fritz to the semis his first major semi yeah and that can be said about a lot of people these days to be fair it’s true can be said about our boy rublev can be said it can Okay so let’s take it this way the only person in this SE there’s two guys in this section that I think have been to a semi of of a major oh no Nish cor’s in there never mind didn’t see him tucked in there um but I was going to say it was it was uh zov and then sneaky cam Nori at Wimbledon a couple years ago all right I have Fritz in the semis apparently Ritz in the bottom section uh huby herot uh he’s going Murray we don’t even know if Murray’s gonna play okay I have huie through to the third round I have selo mahot like I don’t I don’t know I don’t think it matters as much mahot it’s a huge ball and he’s not a huge guy yeah I’ll go I’ll go him I I huie either way like he’s he’s in the I like him in the fourth round in that section regardless plays o o Alim is another guy who uh fell in holla and tired uh FAA demure uh okay I like I like the demon in the fourth round against huby herot and I need to think about that one first let’s look down at the bottom uh which means let’s check out Novak Novak has a nice draw I was gonna say no Novak can’t he and Carlos can both go to Harry and Davids uh novx owes someone a fruit basket too look at this he he doesn’t play a top 100 player until the third round yeah Novak okay I’m I’m gonna pencil and obviously Eubanks is then there um very capable in Grass we’ll we’ll give Banks some love uh hogar Runo searching searching searching searching [Music] um yeah but oh okay well Karen hatchin off is in going to be in the fourth round beating you think beating Eubanks I have Eubanks in there but that could just be because I really like Eubanks right um but and also he’s really good on grass okay so I’m Gonna Save uh everyone some time on this next section ET a very great player Novak I like Novak I mean I maybe he has one leg I don’t know and I still have him I have Novak in the semis if he decides he’s going to play Novak do you have demon demon herot if you have them in the fourth round who do you like there I I do and I have demon I I just I don’t trust herot I know big big game success on grass I just don’t trust him especially in a tight match and I think demon especially coming off a very nice rolling garos but also he’s a really nice grass player and the the the movement in the speed yeah exactly the second week player last year here and uh well I’ll tell you this if you’re if you’re Novak’s crew and you get someone who plays you know kind of through the court flat on each side moves well or you get like the biggest server potentially on Earth you’ll take you want if you’re Novak you want that match up against demon I think because demon can’t take the racket out of Novak’s hand and herot herot can make it to where it’s like all of a sudden we’re playing we’re playing sets from four all and a breaker right he can do that to players and then it’s like kind of you know you you trim the margins and you get a shorter shelf life uh all right so I’ll I’ll I’ll work backwards from the bottom half wait real real quick I I do have a question you know say God forbid Novak is is is hampered or unable to continue he does play but then is unable to continue with the knee who do you see coming out of that and how does that affect the lead up to the semis I think I like herot if if Novak’s not there um he got a bunch of matches in I I don’t hate what John’s saying as far as just trust versus you know demon Etc I just think he just thumps he just throws bombs and he’s GNA get looks at demon second serve hatching off I think it’s a pick them honestly hatching off is capable make makes run at Majors can play the longer format um but I think Novak if even close to healthy is GNA find his way through this tournament I think big big deal is that the first week right which you’re looking at first round second round third round I don’t see that those match is dictating that he’s going to be on the court forever if he’s even close to healthy it doesn’t look like the types of matches where he’s going to be pushed four or five hours um on that knee which is obviously a bigger deal now I’ll say something controversial when you have surgery you don’t want to play long matches crazy right funny how that works yeah uh no Novak herot 7 Z head-to-head but um for Novak but uh yeah I think but but I think Mike’s Mike’s question is a good one is basically we’re we all have great faith in uh Novak and his track record speaks for itself but if this injury is makes him a non-starter where he plays 15 minutes has a bad slip and says you know what I want to play the Olympics no Moss it’s a whole different conversation so and also if you give me one name who I think will be in the final from the bottom half because Novak is projecting strength and health you know practicing with sinner you don’t take on a practice against the one player in the world um if you’re not feeling okay because there are some psychological things in play um so if you’re asking me assuming Novak is even close to healthy and he’s obviously going to play which is crazy considering where we were two weeks ago where I said something nuts and said that’s a short timeline three weeks from surgery to first round wible is a short timeline and that got me in trouble because that was apparently a [ __ ] stupid thing to say um that’s your West your West bias um where does that where does that leave us you you’ve got a Rome pool to get to where does this leave us I have Novak in the final um I have alcarez alcarez Center um who do you got Center Novak final and I have Center winning the tournament not because I think he’s better on grass than Novak I just think he’s more likely to be there no I’m I’m I’m Dam I just want to do a redraw now now just I was gonna say it’s exactly I was gonna say we want do the redraw show 20 we’ll do the redraw show in 20 minutes cast after hours everyone hasn’t have an ollipop we’ll do the so here’s what I want to say I want to I’m gonna like [ __ ] out of this Center alcaraz call a little bit because I do want to see them play like it does matter like it’s so you can’t how am I picking a m i mean this is this this is why it’s dumb and we’re just guessing it a certain point CU I’m going to have 11 or 12 more days of intel if we actually get to this match so at Roland garos I picked Center at the beginning of the tournament and then by the time the semis came I’m like I think I like alcarez in this given match right so listen it all changes I think the most bankable person coming into this most matches good leadup is Center um but I also think alcaraz’s draw is uh a lot more straightforward than than Yanik cers um I you know dealing with bartini dealing with a guy he barely beaten three sets in in in greeksport demitro uh versus you know I I I guess Center but I’m I’m reserving the right to change that based on the it test and what I see uh for the rest of this tournament but I like I like whoever I choose between C and alcarez I like winning just because of Novak’s kneee I have him in the final but does that mean he’s healthy does that mean he gets there there is I’m going to say another thing there is a more than zero chance that that knee will bother him and it will affect the tournament maybe that’s crazy is that is that just [ __ ] nuts Producer Mike the the 37y old with knee surgery uh might be affected by the knee three weeks later man you are filled with hate today Andy R oh dude it’s coming for me I feel I feel Block City coming I’m gonna be like Matumbo on Twitter just blocking fools yeah take take John’s advice finally yeah it’s like I say something crazy like three weeks is a short turnaround we just don’t know about no vaccine they’re like your kids are [ __ ] I’m like all right cool awesome so so John that seems like the same John does that does your quarter semis Champion align with Andes it does not but that’s okay that’s why we do this tell us what tell us what tell us what I miss we have a uh we have a defending champion who also won the previous major who beat CER to get there CER who has a tougher draw he plays a fellow Italian potentially in in round two uh this sounds silly and gossipy but it’s logistically his his girlfriend is a seated player on the women’s side I just don’t know why girlfriend is a seated player on the women side gotta sit in a box ask Alex dor about the SE player at the French Open when when I mean like was she a Seer Australia like has he done this before is this his job I’m just trying to figure out why why things would change if if alcaraz beat CER at a semi-final on clay when Center won the previous major why would the I think Al I think alarz I think alarz is significantly better I think he’s better than Center on Clay I think that’s Center’s worst service and it could be alcarez his best surface um I don’t know what in what in the script would have flipped where you wouldn’t it’s like momentum investing why why pick against Nidia when it’s on like I don’t have a good obviously I’m I’m so I I’m not against you all of your points are valid past logistical even even the girlfriend I think I think he’ll be fine um I don’t think that’s a factor at all um but I I I don’t know between C and alcaras if we get there I want to see the eye test you know we’ll we’ll we’ll see but um I don’t know I do these shows or redo these shows and these live lookin and I feel incredibly insecure by the end of them with my picks always um and they weren’t horrible um at Roland garos but you know then wor time does his picks and I feel pry wait wait all jokes aside I mean I always try to make this point like look you you can pick a winner it doesn’t make you a genius you can pick uh it doesn’t make you a [ __ ] but um for the record I I think we actually did pretty well at Ron gas no yeah you you had a rough first three days but then your your guys held strong after that Chile um we here how’s this for a segue we we have dipped our toes in this draw but I want to see your kids cannonballing into the pool in five minutes the kids will be cannonballing uh very shortly that I am confident in what I am not confident in is pretty much everything that wor time and I have said over the last hour and a half as I’m looking at my sheets uh I have lots of regrets um JW final thoughts when are you heading over to uh London and what’s your program over there um leaving in about 24 hours um I’m getting too old for these red eyes but uh tennis channel will have a sixh hour show uh some people in Santa Monica some of us in uh in Wimbleton always a fun time of the year always a fun tournament and you know I mean part of uh part of what we love about sports is the fact they’re unscripted so don’t take any of these picks personally all right well let’s uh I can’t wait to see you in our uh Walk of Shame through the redraw show that’ll be f I’m sure we will have plenty of tax text B so as much banter as you give wor time and I on Twitter like you can’t match what the shtick we give each other when someone’s pick loses like it just just so we’re all clear we’re all in this together and we do the exact same things that you’re doing just maybe we’re not quite as personal um anyways but thank you for for watching uh listening to serve we uh we feel lucky that you choose to spend time with us and uh we’ll see you later on on uh during Wimbledon this is served presented by Oslo sleep buds which I am definitely using will not make the mistake of putting them in my check luggage yeah John don’t don’t put them in your luggage John yeah seriously make sure you have those in your backpack all right this has been Ser presented by Osa sleepbuds thanks for watching [Applause]

21 Comments

  1. Struff has a very tough 1st round in Marozsan. I would love to see Struff get to the SF

  2. Great analysis as always really enjoying your takes and picks but HOW did you not say the name Diana Shneider?!? I feel that's an oversight. She should beat Pliskova and could streak to 4th round and further. Pliskova Shneider is one of the picks of the 1st round matches….

  3. At Roland Garros draw breakdown Andy devoted more time and analysis to pick winners of matches between non-elite players, which was interesting and added value to his analysis in general. Viewers could then follow results of those matches and see how those reflected the initial predictions. Andy got some really good picks there. This time he just breezed thru the non-elite matches and it looks like in some round 1 matches he didn’t care whom to pick as a winner just because this player doesn’t advance much further. To me this decreased the value of the show, because in round 1 and 2 it is actually more interesting to follow matches between more evenly ranked players.

  4. Do the same breakdown for the doubles draw. It will make some people follow doubles and increase the popularity of heavily underappreciated doubles tennis

  5. Just to confirm Muchova is playing she said her team told her dont put too much on the wrist the two matches she got was good and she will be ready for Wimby. So no disrespect to Paula but I got Muchova

  6. Wow I never heard so much contention & standpoint from Roddick regarding this draw‼ His consensus can be applied to every Major! Bottom line there are matchups for every single player in the draws that give them trouble‼That means there's depth on both sides of the game now.

  7. I have been a Stricker fan since last year's US Open when he beat Tsitsipas and I think landed in the quarters. He has had an injury that kept him out for months, but I am hoping he at least gets past Fils.

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