2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic | PGA DFS Preview
Who’s Your Caddy? — the PGA DFS show from Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF (Women of Fantasy Football) — is back! Kelly Singh and Adam Hallas are your caddies for the 2024 PGA Tour season, and they’re here to help you win some money playing DFS! 💰💰💰
It’s episode 55 of Who’s Your Caddy, and Kelly and Adam are previewing this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic!
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00:00 Intro
01:41 Welcome, Adam!
02:15 Protestors arrive!
03:25 Welcome to Detroit Golf Club
07:32 Top DFS plays heading into the Rocket Mortgage Classic
08:20 Davis Thompson
11:54 Cam Young
12:40 Tom Kim Prop Bets
15:13 Adam Svensson and the best remaining values
18:50 WTF Picks of the Week!
21:15 Outro
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oh we’re live chop that bit off the front maybe welcome to who’s your caddy a weekly PGA DFS talk show I’m your host Kelly Singh and while there are plenty of shows articles tools lots of advice out there for you we are here to share news and information that might be missing from your research and help you to finalize your picks are you [Music] ready I don’t know if I’m ready if you can’t tell I’m not at my normal home studio I’m not even set up like usual but here we are in the trophy smack photo studio I’ve got some sort of lighting going on I know that my co-host Adam has a tiny ring light because he told me I don’t judge him by his ring light though tonight on who’s your caddy we’re talking about the rocket mortgage classic we’ll discuss everything newsworthy that you might need to know about this week what you can expect in our top three core picks for your builds including our WTF picks but before I get too far let me bring in my co-host the fries to my shake Mr Adam halis hello and it’s not the size of the Ring light it’s how you aim it that’s what you said Adam what’s been going on what’s going on this week did you well why am I asking you did you catch it did you see that crazy finale to last week’s tournament yeah the protesters uh in a real life golf league and uh my partner was like I hope we get protesters tomorrow I was like uh we can ask a nearby rollerblader come by with some orange pixie dust and spray the green with it I you know I’ve always had a question how did the protesters get to the golf course to the fly do they drive everything it takes oil anyway I’m not sure I was just a little annoyed because it’s a huge disruption and then somebody made a a great point that I don’t disagree with protests are supposed to be a disruption but when you don’t know what the cause is without having to dig deep and do a lot of research you’re just making a big mess and looking like an a-hole on television yeah if you’re going to protest [Music] go protest that’s that’s right and wonderful yeah but if you’re going to protest and you have to go to a subreddit thread to figure out what you’re protesting you got some marketing problems so for sure I saw several different causes that were taking responsibility or just irresponsibly being shared but this week we’re traveling to the Detroit golf club and guess what I don’t think Detroit puts up with that kind of stuff yeah I don’t think there’s going to be any protests um is there blue collar working working class uh no protest there no protesting you get an ass whooping but in everything I’m reading this week Adam it looks like we’re looking at guys with some distance off the tea and a great approach what other things stand out to you what are are some key items we should be looking out for this week what is the Detroit golf club like so uh I’ll start with it’s gonna be similar to what we saw this past tournament at uh Travelers um yeah yeah and so like it’s gonna be similar birdie Fest right so it’s not going to be like the resort cber Fest for like panas we like in minus 28 uh but it’s it be a similar style so there’s no real punishment for hitting into rough um you know so bombers and approachers will do well this course the separator is putting now this is one of the more flat courses it’s a Donald Russ you know 7300 yard um par 70 let me look my notes that’s why I wrote notes uh 2 course 7,300 yards designed by Donald Ross I was right um you know the the the the official bio of the course will say it’s Tree Line Fairway strategic strategically plac bunkers and challenging grains all that’s not true um so like you’ll you’ll have some Tre line Fairways uh the Fairway accuracy here is uh a little bit above average than the average um PGA Tour Tournament um some of the things I’m also going to be looking at are like driving accuracy here is far greater it’s like five to 10% um higher than average two average and then Greens in regulation percentage is like 7 close to 75% when your average is around 65% you’ll be scrambling a little bit more here there’s some yeah strategically plac bunkers but I don’t think they’re going to be in like side greens um that they’ll see at the open here in a couple weeks even next week um and so I I think there’s um you know average three pluss round is a little bit less than average here driving distance is five bar greater here than it is at the average Tour event I think here it’s around 300 average Tour event is 285 um so what I’m looking at is I need a a birdier um I need somebody that’s going to be able to approach and not get close to the hole um on these flat greens I don’t think we’re going to have a lot of on ligh and greens so approach knock it towards the stick and be able to make those three putts um so I think it’s going to be one of the easier courses that we’ve seen to play and Ricky Fowler last year made that historic um kind of like comeback story Cinderella Story oh yeah comeback so I don’t think he’s going to do it again here he played okay at Travelers kind of snuck up there in the top 10 for a little bit um I don’t know just like me he’s gotta clear some head space when he gets on the course so that’s okay yeah I’m looking at BIR your better percentage I’m looking at somebody that does well at par FS I’m looking at somebody that gains putting um and that is a fairly good at getting Eagles um so I’m looking all those factors I like it I had a hard time um kind of deciding who I wanted to talk about today because I feel like there are there’s a lot of recency bias that’s going into this week’s um fantasy projections I feel like which for me that makes it really difficult because they raise the prices on guys that you wouldn’t necessar expect them to be so pricey um but then I found that there’s kind of a good middle spot um I know I didn’t necessarily put this in the notes but we both were looking at uh one player in particular the same that was Davis Thompson 8.3 on Draft Kings and um you also had Davis Thompson something that I liked about Davis Thompson was cam young Keith Mitchell and Davis Thompson all look very similar in the prediction model over at um uh data golf which is something that I’ve been using and so I thought Davis Thompson I hadn’t really thought about him in ever but I see that you have him on your list what do you like about Davis Thompson yeah so trying to because I like the top two people that you had I won’t you know spoil it for um your picks but so I was trying to like what else outside of those can I pick that are pool so I went Davis Thompson here’s why he’s long off the te 308 yards average 7% Greens in regulation so I know he can Bomb It Off the te no real threat either side on you know on the on the rough or Fairway what have you so if he can knock it on his chances are significantly improved right putting it’s up and down now granted his last uh few included the US Open which uh we know was a little tough on the the old Putters um so what I like also like about him is that um you know on these like a little bit more open courses Coral spanis he came in 18th um Phoenix Open came in 15th sha 17th those are the type of courses I’m looking as uh familiar or more like what we’re going to be seeing this weekend US Open came in 9th which is great um but it’s not the type of course we’re be looking at for this week at all as far stretch by imagination the only thing who brings me a little pause is that putting towards like the RBC Canadian and he missed the cut at the Byron Nelson which typically is a more easier type uh tournament so all the things I put in the notes I was like he’s great off the good greens regulation good on approach his putting is suspect it’s the one thing I said could be differentiator here at the tournament but I’m still gonna add him in because everything else he’s 75% a great player so that’s cool yeah the the reason I came up with him was I like to look at the prediction models and I like to look at uh previous course history I like to look at the odds and in looking at the odds he stood out as one of those outliers that I’ll typically um say you know cam young I love cam young he’s very pricey he’s 10.7k on DraftKings and if you’re planning on paying up for other players it’s going to be really hard to play cam young so I start to look at the Camy young model and Davis Thompson came up Keith Mitchell came up um and that’s kind of where I came up with Davis Thompson so I wasn’t really exactly sure how I wanted to approach this segment but basically I landed on cam young he’s 21st in Strokes gained off the tea 10th in total driving he’s got a great approach game but as I mentioned 10.7k on DraftKings so if you’re looking for a replacement you can pick up a Davis Thompson or a Keith Mitchell in the mid to low eights which could work out better for you if you’re playing Tom Kim so I’m glad to hear you are on the same page as me but I don’t know if there’s a universe where we wouldn’t be playing Tom Kim this week um he’s rounded he’s so impressive in his driving stats and even more impressive in his approach and I looked at the bets that I’m going to place prop bets I usually will hedge my bets and do like a top 20 maybe a top 10 but I’m actually GNA get pretty adventurous this weekend and I’m G to put Tom Kim in a prop bet for top five because the probability is quite High 20% um that he’ll end up in the top five and just for perspective in these prediction models that’s the highest when they break it down across the field right now he has the highest probability of being in the top five so I really like Tom Kim if you can’t tell but he’s also 11,000 on DraftKings so pairing him up with other pricey players gets a little harder what else do you like about Tom Kim or Cam young well on Tom Kim’s side of things uh he played well last weekend and I think he’ll do it again this weekend um about let’s call 300 driving distance average greens regulation is fine his putts per round is fairly low um he loves easy courses he’s kind of like one of those players that loves the birdie type Fest tournaments um and so so you know when we talked about the other side of things with Davis Thompson you know he has that up and down where you know depending on if he shows up or not um Tom C came in second obviously Travers but then he came in fourth RBC Canadian um so you start looking at some of these like birdie Fest Shriner’s children’s opening came in first Pebble Beach 31st Phoenix Open 17th not really birie Fest but um RBC Heritage 18th so I think overall in his past Trends uh he’s up there and I’m gonna ride him while he’s hot yeah and so his approach is he gains five Strokes um on his approach lately and let’s call his putting even um but overall he’s probably one of the better golfers in the field and it’s probably why he’s priced at the top of the range very very true um there’s no doubt about it I just think that when it comes to cam Young I do while uh there is you know he’s got the stats to back it up I do feel like there’s some recency bias in there being that he also played pretty well this weekend and then I looked at Adam Fenson I don’t even know if I love Adam spencon but at 7.6 um he’s I think he’s gonna hang in there and make the cut he tied for 40th last year he tied for 24th in 2022 he’s had a season I don’t hate it I don’t love it so why don’t you tell us who else you love besides Tom Kim cam young Davis Thompson yeah so um I like MAV Neely at 8,900 has been a good train upwards in beenin wost since he’s missed a cut at 303 yards average um and 68% screens in regulation uh I think he’s pretty good pick at9 he’s pretty neutral on the p on green I’ll even take them at the ridiculous overly leveraged 20% ownership wow yeah it’s fairly High that’s as it stands right now it could change up and down blah blah blah um but um for mag McNeely in my model he comes in six for birdies Fifth and birdies or better gained um 10th overall TD green which is kind of like the average Benchmark that you look at like are they okay and he’s one of those players that likes easy to average courses so I’m taking him he’s been playing fairly decent so that’s why I like M and uh apparently so has everyone else um so I outside of that I like Robbie McIntyre um and so at 304 driving distance his accurac 56% I could give a uh if you’re going to hit in the back summons back lawn it doesn’t matter here greens regulation 66% um putting’s been okay actually his putting has been fairly Stellar um last five events he’s gained four strokes putting his approach is a little suspect um but what was called neutral overall um he came in 16 of Travelers won he won the RBC Canadian ging eighth at the PGA Championship um 33 of the vpar so he’s been up and down I think he’s trying to figure it out like what he can do um but at his prize point and I’ll say I think let me look at the ownership Trends here um he’s fairly decently lower owned I’m GNA guess nine let’s see here Robbie McIntyre yeah he’s at 10% so so people are catching on yeah I mean it’s not like nobody’s rostering him right but I like when we see those kinds of picks though because it means other people are doing their research and we could be on to something yeah and that’s the thing is like I you want to like invalidate like am I off of him am I really but like calculated ownership through toai is at 10% but people are marketing him into their lineups at 19% so other the people that favor and then want to own him a lot of people were putting him into his lineups um so that’s one thing to look at as well for sure well last but not least let’s talk Wild Card who is your WT this week Troy Meritt and it’s only going to be based on course history like he does well here that’s the only thing he’s decent off the off the T driving accuracy 70% greens regation 70% uh his trend is up and down it’s okay but he just seems to like the rocket mortgage one like let’s go back to try Merit last year um so of last year 2023 let’s call beginning of January and he played one two three four five six seven eight nine 10 11 12 13 14 14 events prior to the rocket mortgage guess of those 14 events how many of those he made the cut 14 no he missed all 14 cuts and then he came in 17th at the rocket mortgage well there you go and let’s go back to 2022 he came in 14th at the rocket mortgage and he almost missed a cut in the prior prior events as well he just likes this course that’s the only reason I’m picking him like there’s nothing else to it at his price that’s fine well I think surprisingly enough or unsurprisingly enough that’s exactly how I picked my WTF this week JJ spawn also has great course history going back for years and years at the rocket mortgage classic in Detroit and for 6.4k I’m gonna need I’m gonna need somebody like JJ spawn after I’ve spent my um all of my salary cap so there’s that JJ spawn Let’s Get Lucky yeah good luck with that one I know he’s had a terrible season but I’m thinking you know what if he’s ever going to play well this will be the week he’ll play well yeah he seems to like it there this is it this is it well thanks for tuning in everyone tonight and every week big thanks to Club Fantasy and women of fantasy football for supporting this labor of love and to my co-host at for always putting up for putting up for me putting up with me putting up with me word is this is this that game show password um yes so anyway thanks again and uh if you have any questions you can find Adam MRIs you can find me Kelly and Phoenix on the app formerly known as Twitter and we’ll uh see you around bye bye [Music]
