Dial it up in Detroit with our PGA DFS preview & best bets for the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic!
Can Tom Kim (12-1) bounce back from a playoff loss at the Travelers Championship, or will Cameron Young (16-1) file away a win at Detroit Golf Club?
PGA Tour analysts Conor Coughlin & Bo McBrayer cover course notes, core plays, outrights, props & more for the Motor City on “The 19th Hole (S4 E25).”
⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:28 2024 Travelers Championship Reaction
03:33 What Are We Drinking?
06:05 Rocket Mortgage Classic, Here We Come!
08:14 Caddie Notes: Detroit Golf Club & Tournament Breakdown
14:42 Club Twirls: 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic Picks & Best Bets
35:20 No Trunk Slams: 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic DFS Core Plays & Fades
45:08 Final Picks + The Hat Pick
47:13 Plugs & Outro
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🏌️♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS)
🏌️ Bo McBrayer (https://twitter.com/Bo_McBigTime)
good evening ladies and gentlemen and welcome back to the 19th hole we are live on in between media make sure you like this video subscribe to the whole damn Channel and make sure you jingle that Bell for notifications we have reached the rocket mortgage challenge classic Championship I don’t even know what they call it rocket mortgage something in Detroit the Motor City home of the metal pan pizza with sauce on top let’s go it’s a bomb and gouge course it’s going to be easy peasy lemon squeezy in the scoring site again for the second straight week this field not great but we’re going to dive into it because I think there’s a lot of edges there’s some long shot buck shot approaches we’re going to take this week if you like money you’re going to want to stick around after the drop [Music] [Music] [Music] who Mama 19 TOS back back another week another near Long Shot winner or semi long shot winner we didn’t have quite enough to beat the best in the world quite again six times this year he’s kind of burned us I mean one of those times we kind of got a we pulled a fast one on the live betting scheme but we uh Are Thankful Connor that Scotty shuffler is going to take a few weeks off before the open the rocket mortgage challenge uh it’s uh usually a Tony F out track but he’s he’s sitting out what the hell’s going on I don’t know I kind of wish he was here it’s like the one time a year that I get pumped to play it I don’t hey and I I don’t know I I called for a Scotty LOL last week I yeah that regret that yeah so the kids are saying that he’s good yeah he’s uh he’s lit No Cap no Fleek on fleek No Cap busing for real for real we’re both way too old to be saying [ __ ] like that um but yeah in all seriousness kudos to Scotty sheffler that’s just I mean that’s the Pinnacle of golf right now six wins uh first time since Tiger Woods a little known golfer Tiger Woods uh 2009 he did it six times which is that’s that’s how much how far behind like on a legacy spectrum that Scotty shuffler is because yeah he did it one time this season and and this is a this is a one sixth of what Tiger Woods did during his prime uh it’s it’s insane to look back at those years and think that oh yeah when tiger didn’t win six it was weird Tiger Woods yet not familiar with his work I’ll have to I’ll have to look him up later his real name is eldri ah you know what that rings a bell maybe maybe that’s why I haven’t seen him around yeah Detroit Detroit that’s where we are are you drinking tonight are you abstaining I’m about to I didn’t get any sleep last night it’s been too hot and humid here we we’re used to 105 and dry uh the last couple days have been 98 and humid which is way worse I don’t recommend it zero out of 10 yeah our uh our entire tri-state area is underwater so it’s a it’s been a little touch and go up here in the great North it’s a sue rainfalls right straight yeah well I’m pouring the rest of this uh Evan Williams bottled in bond so I’ll have to go to the store and spend another 20 bucks for my camping whiskey cuz I’m finishing this [ __ ] right now well so far in the last five weeks the only week I’ve won is when I’ve been fueled by this so we’re going back hoping for a little luck yeah you got 99 proof I got 100 Proof we are getting litty tonight yeah winning bets ain’t one apparently yeah and I’m back on the winning streak winning ways I had an outstanding week DFS wise I didn’t get skunked on the betting side thanks to placement bets on Patrick Klay and oxay batia we do have to give a shout out on DFS for the first time we had a we had a listener Dethrone us I think it was the first time in four or five weeks that we’ve done a listener SL you and me uh DK league with four of us and timi got the win beat me at the LA on the last day uh I was winning until o batia last few holes and Timmy Burke came through with the big win [ __ ] we we congratulate you for not letting us take your money last week great job buddy yeah we’re just not we’re going to move on it was a good week for him I had a great week other than that I was I was pretty happy that I won pretty much all my other things at least cashed in almost every tournament I was in I was up to 37th out of 7100 in the single entry DK tournament which was awesome until AA batia kind of faltered at the end and I fell to I think 300 and something out of 7,000 I’ll take that that was that was a good 5x payout so Friday I was uh 28th in the uh $5 50k and then I W it happened I won zero by the end of the weekend in that tournament so that’s fun looking good for a minute yeah but a prophet’s a prophet we’ll move on to this week rocket mortgage uh are you’re drinking the Ezra I’m drinking the Evan and shoot man I’m so out of it let’s uh I say we got all kinds of people talking to us we got Burke’s here Royal slate is back Toronto Dave uh Chelsea’s in the chat our fearless leader Seth there we go there’s Chelsea pearly whites Connor oh yeah he’s got his braces off how long were those train tracks on your face there Conor about as long as you’ve known me so uh I know I think year one you didn’t have braces your teeth were just mangled and crooked and you probably had an uneven bite for the first year the of this show and then the last two years I think you’ve had braces right three uh three and a half actually holy [ __ ] dude I he looks great doesn’t he ah well yeah I’ll be on the show maybe one or two more times my modeling career is going to be taken off soon so yeah Ain for hand modeling I’m officially the better looking of the two of us now so that’s fine damn it I gotta get my Invisalign going all right Toronto slay everybody’s even our fearless leaders watching the show today great shout out to Seth Royal let’s go shout out Calgary Alberta Toronto Dave working on a swing it’s looking better buddy keep it up keep it up I that it is looking use those big muscles your core stability be an athlete on that swing let it rip sucker let’s go and Tim is Tim is gloating he’s he’s he’s being cordial here in the chat but I just know he’s grinning ear to ear with his winning ways well let’s take Let’s uh let’s win some bets and take down some DFS this week I think I’m feeling good I’m feeling bad that he was the only one I lost to I’m I’m pissed about that too you’re you’re going to you’re going to feel my Vengeance this week out for all right let’s talk about Detroit Golf Club after the drop Connor wants to wax poetically about probably the easiest golf course on the PGA tour and one of the newest ones shout out putting contests [Music] come on Royal the snow melted already keep it keep it light I don’t know if you’re hitting on Connor this early in the show but the snow has melted you can go outside now there’s sunshine in Canada still you slide in my DMs later how long does it take to walk from Calgary to soue Falls I’m I’m to Google Map that right now well right now you can just raft on down just catch one of the over yeah actually Royal’s probably still happy that the Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton or the Edmonton Oilers at the Stanley Cup Final last night shout out to the Florida Panthers in Fort Lauderdale but he thinks you’re handsome I guess you pass for a 10 in Canada good for you sou Falls four Canadian boom I I’ll take it California three and a half we’re moving up maybe a two especially when the sun’s out man yeah I’m a little pasty all right so uh without further Ado the least exciting tournament that I think we cover all year uh rocket mortgage classic Detroit Golf Club power 72 7370 yards bent Fairways PA overseed bent and po greens it is a uh birdie Fest on a really easy course the fairways are wide easy to hit they’re going to be soft uh especially given that we’re going to have some moisture pretty much daily uh the rough is inconsequential the greens though they’re small are uh really easy to hit and hold pretty much everyone will be in the Fairway pretty much everyone will be on the green um bombers are definitely going to have a bit of an advantage here uh bomb it be good with wedges um be good at putting like both said this does tend to turn into a bit of a putting contest if nothing else putting is a differentiator but outside of that like I said we’re going to have a little bit of moisture in the uh forecast pretty much daily uh wind is going to be pretty well sustained 10 to 15 mile mile per hour throughout the whole deal with u maybe gust around 20 on the weekends nothing crazy guessing the guessing 25 to 27 under for the winner and maybe cut around four under yeah so I do have to ask because inquiring minds want to know is who posted your bail on Sunday when you were tackled on the 18th green at River Highlands you know I have a strong uh strong take on some things sometimes you got to protest yeah maybe maybe spray paint and uh stuff when you’re protesting petroleum maybe not smart I thought you were smarter than that uh you know I and then you kicked the flowers over on your way out which was like the dumbest thing I’ve ever seen well the whole thing was absolutely stupid but yeah I was I was I mean I was with everybody else cheering for them getting their face put into the ground pretty hard I liked hadwin’s tweet at least when I got tackled I didn’t spill my beer yeah yeah poor guy dropped his paint bag darn so yeah I agree with you this is a this bombing gouge Central there’s no penalty to anywhere there’s hardly any water hazards there’s hardly any rough there’s hardly any bunkers this is just if you’re good you’re good and if you’re not you’re still pretty good yeah and I think I think it kind of lends itself to being like a really hard maybe a really hard field to pinpoint exactly who should or could win like we said bombers are going to have like an advantage but a lot of the proximities and a lot of the like accuracy parts of the game like there’s a lot of dudes in this field that can definitely hang even though they’re not the longest to hitters so oh yeah I I I really think it’s going to turn into one of those just like whoever gets that hot putter these greens are a little tricky I mean they’re not going to they’re not going to be overly complicated but compared to everything else from te to Green I think you’re going to find that the guys that are better at reading greens who are good at finding the pace early on and finding that Groove that’s going to be really important because you’re not going to see very many Big Score there’s not going to be crooked numbers on this course you might see guys go on a par streak where they’re not making putts and they’re going to fall behind quickly we are returning to a full field 36hole cut uh top 65 in ties I believe that’s that’s going to be it’s going to be tough for some guys to make enough birdies and we’ve seen we’ve seen a couple of these favorites that we’re going to preclude where they’ve at times struggled to make enough birdie putts and they’re getting really short numbers because there’s no Scotty here there’s nobody in the top 20 here interesting that like with the birdie rate like I I put a lot of emphasis on scoring stats this week and uh opportunity stats things like that just just spots where guys are going to be able to rack up birdies um part kind of to your point I think the Carnage comes in the way of like par streaks not necessarily like Bogies um so it’ll be it’ll be interesting but uh yeah we can uh we can definitely flip over and get into it I don’t have a whole lot of exciting things got do one thing real quick because I almost forgot I saw a name on here that I need to eliminate by putting on opportunities gained that’s that’s what I love about you and I we just adjust this [ __ ] on the Fly opportunity’s gained we’re gonna eliminate Alex norin bye-bye Alex it’s been real it’s been fun but it has anybody who thinks that you and I like talk a lot before the show we don’t we never know what we’re about to go he actually leaves me red quite often and vice versa that’s fair all right yeah let’s bet on some golf club Twirls incoming [Music] I saw Thad Monday qualified so he’ll be he did he he checked three beers in between the 18th and the playoffs which he did win good job uh Nick Benz I think is that his name I’m pretty sure it’s Ben I I didn’t know who he was I don’t know if you did yeah nobody knows who he is he’s a Golf Galaxy employee shout out Golf Galaxy losing things in our favor all the time yeah we wish we won’t go into that but no we won’t need to but yeah Golf Galaxy employee uh is never qualified for anything he really doesn’t play very many events because he works full-time at Golf Galaxy but ended up shooting a 65 seven under par at the qualifier on Monday and made a playoff won the playoff qualified for the rocket mortgage we also have the debut of 15-year-old miles Russell who it does not have a betting line uh if you can find him it’s going to be like a th to one or more uh if you can find any kind of line on him it’s going to be like cut made but I don’t I don’t know he he looked really good on the courton fery tour a couple weeks ago but uh let’s get right into the favorites it’s been the talk of the golf betting industry all week since the lines dropped uh disgusting the top of the this board is disgusting the shortest odds you’ve ever seen on guys who have no business having short odds but the they’re just following the money a lot of money is coming coming in on cam young after his 59 last week a lot of money’s coming in on Tom Kim who is the betting favorite right now at 12 to1 12 to one for Tom Kim is that where we’re at Connor I I like Tom Kim I really do and he’s played better each of the last six weeks he’s playing his ninth event in a row uh that should tell you everything you need to know about where where where I’m going with my betting card and it ain’t that way yeah and I I I heard an interesting stat about Tom Kim and and not that Tom Kim’s playing bad golf but Tom Kim played out of this world this past week like just to be clear he literally matched Scotty in every Strokes gain metric almost metric to met which is no offense to Tom Kim not out of character out of character yeah so I don’t think that we get lightning uh in a bottle here I think I think Tom Kim probably competes this is a lower lower Talent field but I 12 to1 for Tom Kim is not worth the risk in my opinion uh on the cam young front I am a little interested in him uh for reference Tom Kim is 11th in my model but Cameron young is fourth and other than the 96th and putting that he’s coming into this field with which is uh not great um he an out he is an outstanding uh birdie maker he is extremely long off the te very good on approach uh he’s just got to make some more putts he made a ton of putts last week that’s what gives me encouragement that he can he can hang and uh obviously score with anybody in this field this uh this is a kind of a cam Young Thing 16 to1 seems okay for him I’m not in love with it I’m going to start my aggressive betting a little lower but I think I want a little piece of Camy young because he played really well last week where I didn’t expect him to um interesting though I think we both expected him to play better than maybe you’re letting on I mean I had in 40% of my DFS line right I didn’t expect him to win though no no and he didn’t he never does and I and I think that’s where I’m at with Cam young right he never wins 16 to1 is incredibly short for arguably one of the most volatile players in the field oh yeah so no I I don’t I don’t like that number if he was a little longer maybe if he was down in like the Oe pendri with Jagger yeah maybe but yeah that’s the sweet spot right now 20 to 35 yeah that and that’s kind of where I start out too so I kind of let’s talk about him let’s talk about AA baa since um we were damn near on fire with him last week he he played out of his mind until Sunday he was only he shot two under on Sunday which doomed him but we’re we’re talking he was almost another wire to wire winner because he was right there with Scotty and Tom the entire tournament he just had a bad day on Sunday where he couldn’t make a putt and uh he almost made us look like a genius again this year 20 to one for him that’s actually pretty solid with the way he’s playing yeah I don’t I don’t hate it I just like I’m just not in love with the course fit for him and every time every time I say that about AE he somehow manages to figure it out but there’s just there’s something about the the lack of distance and the inconsistencies with the putter like putter is better but that’s his weak spot for sure and the the distance and and honestly the opportunities gain like his approach game is okay it’s not great and he doesn’t tend to hit it real close he saves himself with his putter so a lot of things have to come together for OE for him to to win here like if you can get a decent number on a top 10 or top 20 even I mean that’s probably more where I’m at with AE I’ll have some DFS but I’m I’m probably out betting you know who I’m I’m betting heavy on is it something you shower in Jager Bombs or cashmir Keith I am all over cashmir Keith yeah but Jagger bomb Stephen joerger he won the Houston open uh over Scotty sheffler that that was another birdie making Paradise event uh he’s fifth in my model uh other than putting has not been great for him his approach on short distances hasn’t been great but other than that This Guy’s in the top 10 of every category and I just think that he he’s the bomb and gouge specialist that we’re looking for this in this kind of event so give me Steph jger at 25 to1 currently and yeah I am all in on Keith Mitchell cashmir Keith third and my model he is only outside the top 40 in uh wedge approach or like pitching wedge range 125 to 150 if you go 125 and under he is actually uh way better 15 in this field fifth in driving distance 20th in Opportunities off the T fourth overall Bird’s eighth this guy is just checking all the boxes if he can make some putts cashmir Keith this is what we wait for cashmir Keith to do let’s go yeah over the last 24 he rates out he’s number two in my model behind Tom Kim and like I already alluded to that that stats gonna be skewed for Tom Kim based on a Unreal performance last week so Keith Mitchell probably in reality is playing better golf than Kim um he’s first in t to Green he’s second in Opportunities gained we know that he kills it off the T not only is he long but he’s accurate the putting is terrifying but I love that that I love that second opportunities gained so to your point he’s gonna be closer if we can just get that putter to be flattish I mean guess what guess what on POA bent surfaces he’s 40th if only it was Bermuda well Bermuda he can’t put he he he’s he’s like I I ran it for like no no particular service he was 110th I ran it for Bermuda he’s like 80th I ran it for poab bent which is this this week’s surface 42nd that’s much better so this is his best surface to put on even though he’s a better overall player on Bermuda because that’s that’s his deal as a Georgia Georgia Bulldog guess I bet you can’t guess who number one in my model is I got I got nothing our guy friend show Willie Z will zuris number one in my model ball striking off the te Birdie’s making Greens in regulation putting in this par in my parameters 55th which is a lot better than all the other parameters I ran uh fourth and opportunities top 10 in both of our yardage buckets 18th in driving distance I think wiie Z has is ready for a Renaissance can we get a can we get a 35 to1 Wily Z Victory this week man this is why sometimes I’m thankful thankful we don’t talk about our models before the show he’s not even in my top 25 I don’t know what but um I think you know I I run a lot of filters though I run a lot of filters we we differ in that way that’s true that’s true um I’ll say this I was surprised to not see him pop up and it’s mostly because like he is still one of the one of the better iron players around um in general I’d say the putter which has been historically what we always get worried about with him like I’d actually say that it’s been pretty improved this year so I think it’s hard to know exactly where wi Z is at um what a number that’s what I love I think it’s a really good number so I I kind of get where you’re coming from he he’s not going to make my card this week but 35 to one seems like a good number on him I’d rather play him than Aaron ryot 30 I’d rather play MAV McNeely than both of them but yeah let’s talk about MAV MAV is eight of my model so definitely in the pool definitely getting some love 28 to1 is where I have him currently but different books yeah 28 30 35 if you get a MAV mcne line uh number one in birdie or better percentage that’s pretty good we’re looking for that he’s also number two in putting that’s pretty good too he’s a great Putter and he’s uh not a not a Shor hitter 39th in the field and driving distance that’s solid we’re we’re looking at 305 to 310 off the T that’s solid we can we will definitely take that and run mad McNeely kind of fits the golf course he really does well and the bird your better rate with this guy even though he hasn’t necessarily had great form this year I mean it’s a good thing we didn’t filter for bogey avoidance yeah as you might guess I did not put that in here this week I didn’t either but you know he’s 10th overall te the green and like I said it’s it’s a little less than Stellar form out of him this year this is just a course that makes a ton of sense for MAV I hit it accurate off the tea hit a good approach shot be handy with the wedges which he is and make a few putts I mean it just it makes way too much sense like of of anything that we’ve got left in the season like this is probably the best place to fire up some math so I bid farewell to Alex snorin don’t bet him at 31 if you’re betting outrights on Alex snorin just quit quit quit golf betting yeah if you’re dying to play Al Alex nor and work him into some DFS at 28% projected but yeah no so that’s uh that kind of rounds out up there I I probably don’t I’ve got some interest in Davis Thompson at 35 to one and solid yeah I I know there’s a lot of five killer the par five killer and there’s a lot of love for guys in the 50s but like I don’t know Ryan Fox is super volatile I get why people like it fit because he’s a bomber yeah he h the absolute [ __ ] out of the ball that’s why people like him and Ricky Fowler like I defending Champion Ricky F get it right defending Champion Rick you picked him last year I know that one one of the many hits we had last year um I think the deal with Ricky Fowler is yes he played well last week yes he’s the defending champion and as it did last year this course sets up good for him this year I just worry that he’s been so up and down this year that I 50 to1 I think is a good number to reflect the risk but I just I’m more tempted to go after like a top 10 or a top 20 on him he looked really good last week he’s number six in my Model 50 to1 for number six in my model means Ricky fowers in the damn pool and Ricky fowers getting a bet don’t fure for it at all yeah uh I’m going to skip Fox I’m going to skip dead to me Adam senson thanks but no thanks uh Nikolai hoard usually a friend of the show not not this week he’s been awful this year Chris Kirk is a little bit better at 60 to1 that’s that’s kind of getting up to speed here but my entire life has been waiting for Michael thorbjornson who opened at 60 to1 as a second Professional Event now 75 75 to one Michael thorbjornson run don’t walk to the window because when this kid hits his prime you are never going to see a line that short ever again this guy is a prodigy is the future of golf he is absolutely the future of this game Michael thoron is so good and you guys have no clue this is that this guy is that good and I’m excited I’m GNA bet the absolute [ __ ] out of him every time until he gets shorter and then I’ll kind of ease off him and wait around but I have a feeling it’s not going to be very long where before the whole golf world knows that this guy is for real interesting comment from Royal because that ties into exactly what I was going to say I the minute I saw the the tea time pairings Thursday and Friday I think I fired it off to everybody I know oberg and Thor Thor bjornson together oberg letting us both down last week I didn’t even care like I think they are the future Golf and that was the first parlay into watching the two of them battle it out a little bit and they they played they I mean thorby oron’s on was it Saturday it’s sh 64 and you’re like But to answer Royal’s question no Mr oberg is not nobody in the top 20 is in this field so but no I’m 100% with you on uh on Mikey Thorne so get him get him while he’s get him while he’s uh 75 to one that’s ridiculous that’s so nice you can make an argument right there that our old firm Rio hassaun at 80 to1 has arguably the right fit for the course yeah but that we start getting start getting long yeah and I I think at this point after Thor bearnson is when I start just firing off Buckshot long shots like uh bomb and gouge Specialists there’s going to be some guys like Chris gup here at 100 to one that are bomb and gou Specialists who can putt pretty well got her up 47th in putting obviously one of the longest hitters in the world and Luke list I hate it but this guy’s putting has been better it’s still not his strong suit but he’s a great approach player he’s a great off the te player and if he can get hot on a course like this watch out and same thing for Sacramento native shout out NorCal Cameron Champ this is the kind of event like Mexico like punana where you get the guy who’s that good off the tea he’s an outstanding short game player obviously but he makes a lot of birdies he makes a lot of mistakes he’s one of the worst approach players in the world if I think if Cameron Champ can figure out a little bit of an approach game he can make a ton of birdies he hasn’t proven me wrong yet I’ve been very selective about where I play him this is the kind of week where we play Cameron Champ at 120 to one you can do a lot worse I’m a let you ride or die on that one that is not that is not my boy I do not share your opinion on him but I get I get Point what about Bud collie let’s talk about our old friend Chandler Phillips who we were incredibly quick forget about apparently who R my model 100 yeah 100 to one on Chandler Phillips so um i’ rather Play Jake knap so Jake nap’s on my list as well um talking about Chandler Phillips real quick he’s in the top uh top 12 for every approach and scoring metric that I look like despite being 116th in this field for driving distance so he also is number six over the last 24 rounds for uh opportunities gained so uh not only is he in the top 10 for overall approach but he’s hitting it close he’s scoring well um yeah I love Chandler Phillips at 100 to one I like him Jake naap uh the thing I like about Jake knap is inconsequential off the te accuracy and uh also we all like Jake knap a little bit better where it’s it’s a lot more like touch short iron play uh he’s kind of proven that that’s about the only spot that he’s got accuracy from that’s true so um I do like how Jake knap sets up here as well and let’s see my long shots board here I have it written down Garrick higo 200 to one great putter great long hitter Rico hoey 250 to one friend of the show Ric hoey 250 to1 that’s nice and I’m going to throw some shekel out there for our guy Nick Benz who chugged three beers to get over the nerves 5,000 to one I’ve done a lot Dumber [ __ ] with one [ __ ] dollar than that I straight up I uh Mr Golf Galaxy Nick Benz is getting a dollar I was just about to say I will be making a trip to the uh to the sports book to adjust some bets just so I can get some action on that watch out Iowa because this is the kind of course where anybody can go out there and shoot 65 and if he makes the weekend you could have a like what his line for making the cuts got to be 30 to one 50 to one I think 35 yeah yeah that’s just that’s just silly like why not why not Galaxy better sponsor this guy you and I were thinking the same thing though that guy’s getting at least a couple bucks out of me um but there are a couple other guys here Buckshot Long Shot season um we got a lot of them I’m not even gonna mention all of them I was just gonna mention a couple that actually rate out well uh Jacob Bridgeman um rates out surprisingly well Kevin Dy somebody that we’ve bet before uh long ball guy just need a little bit of putting out of them and then uh we’ve got a couple down at the bottom here again these are these are like Buckshot 510 bets Max um where the hell did he go I was just looking at him Callum Taran is not Callum Taran [ __ ] it ought to be probably Shout It Out shout out se he was 30th in my model so I mean Callum Taran could be one he’s not one of mine but he could be oh uh it’s a Kelly craft who rated it out really well for me not not necessarily the prototypical guy but is playing surprisingly good golf and he’s 250 to one so Y and that actually slid because I think he was like 275 or 300 something like that and uh I ran an early model and one guy popped at 500 to1 he’s at 400 to1 now uh but I ran my new model and he is uh towards the very bottom Franchesco Molinari uh I just I just like saying his name but you are a certifiable crazy person Kisner’s 50th on my model you’re your guy kiz I’m usually a sucker to throw a couple bucks at kiz you know did you see K’s tweet about Nick Benz he wants to play with him PGA pair them with me that would be a great pairing hell yeah I gotta figure out if he did 2:22 PMS are out so we can look we can check 222 and 160 and they’re not in the same group that’s [ __ ] yeah they’re they’re like three groups apart though well should we should we knock down some DFS at this ever exciting tournament yeah let’s let’s try the leverage will be easy uh no trunk slams like our friend Connor last week it’s cute the CL is well this would be a wrestling [Music] well Connor uh you got the leverage up in front of you there let’s say Tom Kim wolof he doesn’t make that many birdies other than last week last week you just I I don’t had him in any lineups I didn’t play Tom Kim last week and I’m I was okay with it I still wanted a ton of money without him I don’t need it I don’t need you Tom I like you I just don’t need you yeah I think to be to be honest I may not have anybody above 9k I like they are all in the 20s to mid 30s like yeah I don’t know if I’ll have a lot of those guys but I’ll have some cam young I’ll have a sprinkling of Min Le just to feel something I won’t have any norn cuz he sucks I’ll have a little bit of ox but he’s not really a DFS kind of guy pendrith y bombs pendrith is the highest projected ownersh never then never mind yeah that’s that’s that’s the easy fade that’s your no I I wasn’t saying it to take a shot at you I was saying disbelief like that I made the vomiting sound with Taylor pendrith I mean he’s 2 what’s joerger joerger’s okay Jagger’s projected somewhere between 15 and 18 so that I mean there’s probably leverage playing Jagger 9600 or 9,400 for Jagger I’m going to be heavy on Jagger but I kind of like the idea of going starting at Fowler like honestly I I not that I necessarily think Fowler is gonna win but here’s the thing at 9k he’s projected at only four% which means virtually no one is playing defending Champion Ricky Fowler I so if I start at Ricky I can go Ricky MAV Keith Mitchell Thorne bson and I’m still in the low sevens to finish out my roster it’s so easy it’s so easy to make money this week guys do not skip out on DFS this week you can absolutely rope it in because guess what 95% of the people you’re going to be competing against don’t have a clue who 80% of these players are that’s where the edge is is watching the show you get acquainted to L lesser known players and what they are capable of in a c in a tournament like this it’s I mean it is one charm Charming piece of this show is you know every week we’ve got some odd odd Oddball things that the uh the big names in the world will zalatoris 9200 I’m gonna be very overweight on him number one in my model yeah and he’s again a prime example of what I just said with fer at at 99200 they’re projected at each of them is projected between 4.1 and 4.5 good Lord and the nice thing about that low n salary is you don’t need either of them to win to return um way more so um yeah I love that it’s a awesome way to Red Rum cashmere Keith um Mitchell Keith Mitchell 8500 yeah I think I think the problem the thing with Keith Mitchell is I want to play him but I want to do something different with the rest of my lineup because he is going to be a little chalky so I like him and I like Davis Thompson but they are they’re very very chalky in comparison to the rest of the eight nines and you didn’t you said you’re playing Thor yson but are you what’s his what’s his number looking like only about six and a half I’m gonna have some we’re gonna have some very unique lineups Connor and if this hits it’s going to hit gigantic like last week when I won it was because cam young was only 5 six% that’s where like I I can’t stress enough all DFS Sports Leverage is the most important thing no matter what sport you’re playing you’re playing Esports DFS like Connor does you’re playing MMA like I do football it’s all about leverage if you have the guys that pop off and nobody else has them you are going to win serious money at DFS and in PGA especially in a tournament like this where there’s a cut where there’s uh a lot of long shots that are going to come out of the Woodworks and and create value at a very low ownership percentage this is where we make our hay this is where we snowball that bank roll and I just am so excited to see these ownership percentages projected single digits for all of our favorite guys go heavy deposit as much as you can this is going to be fun I it is kind of the nice thing for us this week is we we have different models but we we’re on similar guys which is usually a good sign and then on top that on top of that the roster ship projection on the guys we’re talking about is so um kind of getting into the eights a little bit more um or I’m sorry into the sevens rather I’m looking a little bit at uh Kevin Yu who we love gonna last year I went back and read our notes we were all over Kevin U he can’t putt but he’s his TD green game is so much fun yeah and I he stripes the ball God he hits the ball hard man yeah he’s he’s a stocky boy like us too and he’s you know he’s another guy that’s a 5% projection buried in amongst Nikolai hoard and Cam Davis fade fade yeah so easy pivot down to Kevin Yu who’s got got some game and then hea is even lower at 6,900 so again similar type of volatility to Kevin U but another good leverage point and then Davis Riley right below um Rio huni is actually been playing pretty good golf um another dude that just kind of sets up models out really well here ton of ton of salary savings if you skip a lot of the chalk that’s in the seven going down to some of these guys so yep and you got Phillips there 6700 love that luk list uh just like all these guys that have upside that are going to be barely owned it’s just so nice even Alejandro toasty and DFS has got some upside uh just because any if he makes the cut he he’s usually missing the cut by getting blowing up or he goes and gets catches fire and you can’t stop him like what what happened at that tournament where I nearly won 400 to1 on him cuz he was just completely Bonkers hot uh that’s that’s the kind of guy that he is he’s he’s volatile Jake Jake nap’s only 6,400 in this field that’s stupid yeah I Jake knap is another guy that’s going to be pretty heavy in there I I actually like Christ I like Bridgeman who’s playing better golf rates out way better and saves 100 bucks um the biggest thing with Bridgeman that I like over nap birdie your better rate he’s six in this field over the last 24 rounds nice he’s number two in DK points average over the last 24 rounds yes so Bridgeman at 6,300 I it’s a really good play down here um couple other guys down here in this range um Kelly craft who I already talked about um number one in this field over the last 24 rounds in approach that’s good pretty crazy number three in Opportunities gained seven in three putt avoidance seventh and overall Tia green like Kelly craft 5700 I know that he’s a volatile guy and not a not a big name by any stretch but like he’s a real golfer with real tour experience he’s playing good golf this year so I mean it’s pretty big misprice yeah then I’m going to take a couple shots at our boy Hayden Springer at 5400 who we’ve talked about before great from that 75 to 150 range on approach and then uh one or two lineups with the with the uh teenager miles russle in them just to just to see what happens yeah I G throw I’m G throw a few more names out there in the value range just so people can fill out their player pools I’m going to throw obviously we got Cameron Champ who’s on my board for this type of event only Garry Woodland same thing no short game to speak of a great ball Striker Bud collie who can’t putt but he does everything else well uh Ben Kohl’s seems to do well at these types of places only uh even though choke City and Pearson cudy is on my board uh we’re going to go back to the well with Sam Ryder a little bit Trace Crow and of course Kelly craft 5700 that’s an incredible value with how he’s playing Vincent Norman big bomber big bomber let’s go big bombers [Laughter] uh Rico hoey I mentioned him earlier let’s see there’s one more down here Eric Barnes Eric Barnes what are we gonna do with Eric Barnes I know I thought about that one too I think my problem with him is he was Josh Teeter two guys that were on the cusp but like the guys I’m I’m the guys that rate out better for me down there have low enough roster ship I don’t need to worry about trying to take any long longer shots like so they just barely missed but I they were good for me too and I’ll have one lineup with the kid and then uh probably another feel-good lineup with Nick Benz oh you got to get got to get Nick Benz in there yep well who wins who wins who wins I say uh Jager Bombs God Jagger bombs huh I really love them I’m gonna [Music] go I’ll take MAV I’ll take MAV mcney that’d be nice shout out NorCal yes he is from Pebble Beach oh God I hope he doesn’t win I can’t hear shout out NorCal 800 times next week hey there’s there’s a few in this field I mean you got you got you got him and you got obviously cam champ so yeah you got rep we’re repping we’re repping you got a few in there yeah there there’s there’s some possibilities uh obviously MAV is a lot better odds than cam champ of winning but that’s that’s baked in all right the Hat you have the Hat SoMo the Hat has arrived all right got get my model up here pull last time I don’t even remember it was somebody good though I forgot already me too that just tells you the hat did not win oh the Hat’s not gonna have a good week the Hat has selected Number 96 in our models woo that’s going to be deep 96 hey it’s a familiar name not one we’ve talked about recently but uh go ahead with yours Kevin TW oh he he got drawn on my end a couple couple months ago didn’t he yeah he did okay he he made the cut last week so maybe Kevin toy will make the cut and make us make the hat look smart there’s no way my number 96 is uh the five best rappers Dion dialon dialon and dialon Dylan woo from Southern Oregon shout out 96 of my model he does have some stats that look okay but he’s not having a great season I will be honest I would uh I’d ride your hat pick this week yeah Kevin Kevin TW is a rough pick hat son of Bob well I have nothing more of value to add to this wonderful Fielder tournament all right well from Connor Coughlin I’m B who what’s next week what’s next week uh next week is the um I just looked before we came on air too uh it’s something terrible isn’t it it’s not good I we have like a nice two we stretch of not exciting golf John Deere like the yeah oh the John Deere that’s fine I’m okay with the John Deere um well then it goes Scot I like Scottish open and yeah yeah I like the Scottish at new baric then we got the open at Royal trune we got some good TR I love TR okay join us next week this is the 19th Hole live as always thanks Tim you’re going to go down this week down [Music]
