Mallorca, Eastbourne ATP 250 Predictions – Final Wimbledon Tune-Ups for Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz

Anything can happen in the week before a major. Sean Calvert & Nigel Seeley look at the draws for Mallorca and Eastbourne ATP 250 events in the final tune-ups for Wimbledon. Can Taylor Fritz or Ben Shelton find any form heading into the major?

00:00 Sean on location in Mallorca
04:00 Eastbourne ATP 250 Preview
07:52 Eastbourne Futures Market
12:53 Marcos Giron Vs Francisco Cerundolo
16:16 Billy Harris Vs Jacob Fearnley
21:10 Mallorca ATP 250 Preview
24:40 Mallorca Futures Market
29:12 Luca Nardi Vs Rinky Hijikata
32:46 Jaume Munar Vs Sebastian Ofner

hello everyone it’s me Nigel cely and welcome along to a new week of betting Weekly game bet match number one tennis betting podcast brought to you in association with bet Rivers your hometown Sportsbook joining me as usual on a Sunday is our senior ATB tour handicapper looking ahead to this week’s T sections it’s Shan Calver over in a bad internet connection it looks like there’re Shan over in meor in Spain it is a bad internet connection I’m having to stream this off my own phone’s mobile connection because uh the Wi-Fi here is Dreadful I did go down to reception and ask them you know if you got an office bit that I can use or any better internet no was the was was the answer in one word so uh I’m streaming this off my uh mobile network so it might it might go a little bit up and down unfortunately from my experience when you go to these hotel rooms and say can you help me out and they say no usually when you put things things called euros into their hands or dollar bills they tend to S tend to find some with but what what can they do they they either have an office room or they don’t they’re not going to they do they do have an office room every every everyone has an office room but the thing is they don’t want to help you unless you actually put bit of readies in their hands I’m not sure that I don’t think that would work here they look they’re so sour I don’t feel kind of of a mind to give them any more of my Euros to be honest it’s a decent hotel it’s nice and that but the problem with these hotels they they they give you they say all free Wi-Fi and stuff yeah it is but you can all all you can do is web browsing you can’t you can’t really do anything else on it like stream a video or or whatever I mean lean’s not happy he’s just had an epic meltdown cuz he can’t do anything oh it’s not the video is not the internet’s not quick enough for him to play fortnite so he’s not happy about that and he’s moaning about YouTube the pool’s too cold honestly it’s like it’s it’s you know what to do next leave him home leave him home well I’ve said that and he’s like going to learn how did you take him out listen how did you take him out of school it’s an insect day it’s inset day oh you’re back the school no the the school has an inset day on Friday and they got an inset day on Monday so he had Friday Saturday Sunday and Monday off he’s not back at school till Tuesday so Natasha and lean are here until um Monday and then they’re flying back Monday evening so he’s back at school on Tuesday doesn’t miss any school if the South End Council are watching um he’s not he’s school then the holiday starts then the holiday properly starts for me yeah yeah well I wouldn’t call it a holiday but yes it’s uh it’s it’s a great I love this tournament I absolutely love it I mean I’m not happy about the field this year it’s not it’s not the highest quality but this this tournament it’s great it’s an ATP 250 in the sun um hardly anybody there you can you can sit down relax you can have a whole stand to yourself it’s excellent brilliant that is what it’s all about the cues we don’t like the cues the weather is the most important thing and luckily enough I’ve got the Hawaii shirt on today look I’ve got the U it’s my birthday this week my internet well I suppose everything looks like this shirt on your internet it’s all bit but it’s a sunny day here it would be when I’ve gone away it’s always sunny well it looks like the summer has has arrived and that’s good for eastborn this week which is the final these are the two final GRC events for wimbl so the build up to wiland comes to a conclusion this week and then the action starts next week the draw is made on Friday myself and Shan will be giving you uh shows all the way through wimon fortnite and we’ll have everything cover for you yeah you’ll be there as well Benny weekly Studios is the place to be for your wimble and bets on YouTube and make sure you subscribe to that and obviously follow us on our socials at because we win on Instagram and on Twitter follow sha over inor and also follow sha at wimon next week so it’s a real busy time for tennis betters uh and and betting content in so in General on our channels obviously with Euro 2024 in Germany okay that’s all to come this week it’s eastborn and over in mior where short and we’re going to start off in eastborn the weather is nice would it continue for the week Sean that’s the big question um hang on man I’ve just got to just got to get the draws up the other problem I’m having at the minute I don’t know whe you you probably noticed this as well you can’t download the drawers anymore from the ATP site it just keep saying download pending and and nothing actually happens so normally I would have a sheet in front of me wouldn’t I with with the drawers nicely printed out so I can look at them I’ve got to do this on my phone now because the ATP for whatever reason at the minute aren’t letting me download things now I’ve got got the drawer on my uh on my phone so I know what I’m doing so weather uh it says about 20° all week bit of a chance of rain um it doesn’t look like a particularly bad week it all looks like there might be some rain you do get quite a bit of wind in eastor we’ll just talk about the conditions it’s it’s kind of a medium pce grass C in eastborn it’s kind of similar to Wimbledon really not not too fast if anything slightly on the slow side does get very windy here as I’ve said cuz as you know yourself n it’s right is right by the coast isn’t it so you do get um quite a few gusts of wind there on occasion it averages 81% holds 72.4% first of points one that puts it slower than Haler Queen stockart and Ros Maron um as far as court paac is concerned tie break matches 43% of the matches have featured a tie break here slight Trend to the unders in terms of total games under 22 and a half 53% of those in the last uh five Editions now we talked a bit about over 10 and a half games didn’t we if if people remember from the stutgart show over 10 and a half games was getting up towards sort of 45 50% wasn’t it in stutgart here it’s 29% so you’d want odds of around 3.4 uh plus 240 for over 10 and a half games if you’re betting that um in East born quite quite a decent one for Underdog uh backers has been over the years averages 37% Underdog winners and round one averages four 40% so that’s that’s the low down for eort very high uh now you would expect that obviously a week before a major and a week before wimon as well players have had a long season there’s been a couple of more high-profile grass tournaments and obviously coming to this week with two 250s you would expect more of a chance for The Underdogs we Sean will’ll come on to some uh Betsy likes on the match betting a little bit later on in the show but we’re going to concentrate on the draw here in eastor and obviously it’s the top four seeds are seeded through to the last 16 it’s a 32 man draw and the top four seeds are seed through to the last 16 and in the top half we have Taylor Fritz a two times Champion here uh he is in number one seed not playing very well he’s already seed through in his section he has CH the Argentinian Alexander bublick who’s number three seed who’s also seeded through and we have as David obic send dulu the defending Champion he’s in the top half of the draw so the top half of the draw is Fritz and bck alongside ET and serend dud with Fritz and bck already guaranteed a place in the last 16 in the bottom half of the draw we have davidovic Vina the number eight seed Sebastian baz is the number four seed he’s seeded he’s through to the last 16 as well by being number four naone is number six seed uh and we also have Tommy Paul who’s doing well through to the final uh today over at the Queens Club uh which could be a could be a bit of a factor in there looking at those seeds a lot of players there you wouldn’t give a chance on on grass courts uh incl including Sebastian baz who through to through to the last 16 the four seed and a lot of Argentinian seed today you wouldn’t really fancy looking around for Dangerous opponents there’s not really many that you could sort of say you know he’s going to be a danger it’s looks a very weak Draw to me and obviously it’s the dangers of a week before a major and the wimon is a big factor let’s have a look at the outright prices because I’m interested where you’re going to come here because there doesn’t seem to be to me an an outstanding or a or a glaring bet here Taylor Fritz is the favorite at $3 as I said he’s won it twice before in 2021 and 2019 send Duda defending Champion uh Tommy Paul at four to one uh he would have a chance here but could he be coming here as the the Queens Champion which is going to be a bit of a a problem for him to win back toback Gras thas he doesn’t want to burn out before wimon Alexander Buck is six he’s good bet but not when he starts early cam norri I’ve didn’t mention him but he’s having a terrible year at the moment he’s unseated 12 davidovic forina 16 Lorenzo SEO 16 Jang 16 Sharon dulu defending Champion 18 to1 looks a big priz that one caboi 18 to1 marus jiron 18 to1 K manovic 20 RIT 22 kany shakori uh 25 to1 Liam bro 28 to1 Sao will 28 to1 and leslo Jerry 33 to1 it isn’t a great tournament this one it is fair to say uh and I thought I think it’s quite difficult to find some value the first bet that looked a bet to me just looking at them prices with s dudo 18 to1 but um I’m not quite sure where you’re going but give us your thoughts on that draw I’m going the opposite to that actually but um I’ll just I’ll just quickly talk about the trends um because it’s quite interesting here only one number one seed’s ever won this tournament which was Novak jovic in 2017 uh four of the last five winners were priced between 14 and 28 to1 and four of the last five Runners up were priced between 16 and 50 to1 so it’s not been a tournament where it pays you to to take the uh the short price favorites or specifically the number one seeds just looking at the draw it does look a great draw for Tommy Paul doesn’t it the the problem the obvious problem being which you touched on there is he going to be interested after winning or being a runner up in you know at Queen’s Club he depends how he feels if he feels like he’s got another week in him he’ll he’s got a great chance of winning this tournament if he doesn’t he might not even show or if he does show he might not show with any real enthusiasm so he’s the obvious choice as far as the bottom half of the draw is concerned this is the same as mior you’ve got a lot of play quarters here just just playing purely for the a little tune up for Wimbledon they’ve got no intention or or real hopes or prospects really of winning this people like Bez you wouldn’t have thought eter these sort of guys um they’re not likely to win this tournament I’ve got a bet actually that I really do like actually but he’s in he’s in the I’m trying to trying to find the thing on my screen yeah he’s in the top half I’m I’m taking Marcus gear on here at 18 to1 I’ve been I’m going to talk about him again in a minute as far as the match bets are concern but I’ve been really impressed with him this Grass Court swing I mean he’s he’s beaten some really good players already he’s hitting the ball beautifully um I fancy him to beat send Delo in the first round I don’t know whether you remember last year send Delo was pretty lucky to win this tournament last year he was miles behind McKenzie McDonald I think he was somewh like a a set and 51 down or a set and 52 down something like that and McDonald as McDonald does ended up choking it and then Sendo beat Tommy Paul who fell over and injured himself in the final I remember that we run to win it w we I’m sure we were Tommy P to win his tour because I was there wer he fell over s He Slipped over didn’t he yeah and injured himself so send Delo had quite a bit of look there I’ll talk more about the serenda match in a minute but if gon beats serenda he’ll probably face bubl in the quarterfinals and he’s beaten bubl three times out of four and lost the other one in a final set tie break the service points wion and return points win Turtles of that matchup 106 to 94 in favor of gear on so it’s a a matchup against bubl that he’s definitely enjoyed and and I would expect will enjoy again the way he’s playing bbl’s not not fired so far this grass season he had a bit of an injury problem as well then he’d go on to the semi final against Fritz as you said Fritz isn’t playing well on the grass this summer he didn’t play well on the grass last summer either um and geon’s beaten at least an equal quality of player already this Summer that likes a REV um and bartini that he’s already beaten so I think it’s an inform gear on here 18 to1 I think that’s um I think that’s definitely the bet that hanging going to take uh in eorn definitely for sure yeah Marcus Geon I did look at Saran Zulu and just thought he was a big priz to defending Champion he broke it down perfectly there the reason why if you look at jir Jon’s defeats this year hcash beat him in the quarterfinal and H who’s into the final Jack Draper beat him in stot who won the tournament so he’s only getting beaten by proper grass quarters are big players big servers and this tournament doesn’t really lack much quality and Z on 18 to1 is Shan’s pick he opens up against uh the serenda the defending Champion we’ll come on to that match and win it but if he does win that he’s going to be single figure price for sure remember head out to bet R’s website to check these outright markets out and also the match bets as well this tournament starts at 500 a.m. eastern time and if you do have a bet on any of Shan selections on the match betting Market you’ll be able to bet live and watch live on the BET Rivers app okay let’s move across the two matches and we might as well start with that markco xiron match xiron up against Francisco serend dulu xiron is minus1 12 to win this match sendu isus 112 the spread forget the spread because it’s a biger match and the total is 22 a half uh with over a let have a look over is a slight favor at minus 121 under minus 106 sha has said this match this these matches here on this surface do not produce the amount of games as you would have had it at stutgart so be careful if you’re betting on the overs in these matches they’re not like last week with the over 10 and a half pretty much cash in every single match this one might be a little bit different jiron uh like gone give you his record there his last record this season he’s only been beaten by the best and uh you look at serend he comes in here really cold he got one match against Carlos arres got beaten fairly comfortably and he also got lost in round 16 at the frch open to jovic but he did play well in a five Setter but that might have taken a lot out of him so he’s defending Champion he’s up against our pick I pretty much know where you’re going to go here and and I’m looking at the odds here I don’t think the minus 112 will last long I’m not sure it’s even there anymore is it um it was when I initially wrote this but I’m not sure I haven’t got the live odds on my screen but I think geon’s been better a little bit here I’m not surprised it’s he’s been superb This Grass Wing as I’ve already said um started off in stutgart when he beat Andy Murray um then he took an inform Draper to three sets then he beat then he moved over to to Hala beat Andre rublev and then bertini in Hala then he was very close um to her cash in terms of terms of stats um in the quarterfinals there herk Cas just edged that 102 to 98 in the service points one and return points one titles I think herk Cas won five more points in the match which were basically Aces um so the level he’s playing is excellent if just if we just break down that slightly further what he’s done so far this season on grass gearon service points W and return points win title of 101 and 55% of second serve points won and that’s in matches exclusively involving Andy Murray Jack Draper Andre rublev matio bertini and ho herh so he’s got those stats having Place having played those five players it’s it’s excellent form it really is um I don’t think San Doo can match that on the grass I said I think he was lucky to win here last year he’s not he’s not played the same way coming into this this year as he had last year you know his former certainly taking a dip this season um I think Geon this is a match Geon should be winning on on everything that we’ve seen from him so far on the grass so the odds have moved a little bit but I would take gear on minus one and a half games here minus 102 with bet Rivers I think if he wins this he’s you would imagine he would cover the the minus one and a half so yeah in for a penny in for a pound with gear on yeah the money’s CH the money Line’s changed minus 129 for gear on and the spread is what Sean just says there minus was itus 109 minus one and a half – 102 yeah yeah- 102 in deal yeah jiron has moved uh I’m rightly so given the stats there and his form on the grass here and do the defending Champions got to play well here but he’s up against an inform American in Marcus jiron and Marcus jiron is our bet here minus one and a half so to cover the spread the next match we’re going to speak about is two Brits and now a lot of people may not have heard of these two young players but well they’re not young actually one of Billy Harris isn’t young at all one of them is yeah one of them is the other one isn’t uh Billy Harris uh well he’s Young by our standers but not by tenis standard Billy Harris had a breakthrough week last week when he made the quarterfinals at Queens Club and he’s up against Jacob Fernley player ranked at 274 in the world but he’s just won the not Nottingham Challenger winning seven matches to win the notam challenge coming through qualifying so both of these are in great form heading into wimon uh both of them want to play well in front of a home crowd and it’s an interesting betting match because Billy Harris is minus 103 and Jacob Fernley is minus 121 again when it’s a close match the spread is pretty much irrelevant but if you want to play the spread it’s uh – one and a half for Harris plus 125 and plus one and a half for Fern is- 162 and the totals are one higher than the jiron match 23 and a half these two have never met on the ATP Tour or the Challenger event but they probably know each other growing up in the UK playing tennis so I’m not quite sure their record there but both of them in form um but everybody knows now Billy Harris he’s had a lot of media attention last week got through the quarterfinals a lot of people watching him and you know what I like when someone has a sort of big up like that it’s only one way to come down and play in a hungry Fernley who’s in good form what do you think of this one I was a little surprised that it was priced up as as dead even given that Harris is much more experienced player and he’s he’s just come from the quarterfinals at an ATP 500 um as you said Fernley won the Nottingham Challenger as a qualifier a week ago um but the only ATP level player he beat in that run was Jerry Shang who drifted massively in the betting ahead of that match Shang was a favorite for that match 1.69 he went out as far as 3.4 Shang wow before that match and then settled at about 2 to one on the off so huge drift on Shang he obviously wasn’t fit and and lost I think 7575 in a reain effective match um he’s very inexperienced Fernley I mean he’s only played one other Challenger match apart from that that one in Nottingham American viewers will probably be familiar with the team that he plays for in college tennis he plays for TCU the Texas Christian University in the NCAA the American college tennis he helped them win the um the team championship title there so he’s he’s been playing college tennis he’s played mainly sort of Futures and as I say just just the two Challenger tournaments just one before Nottingham so this is a real real big jump up for him um Harris vastly more experienced at Challenger level and now he’s got that experience at Main level as well when this was priced as a pick him I was I was more than happy to to take Harris he beat ET very last week we had a bet on him to be didn’t we then he beat the D very dangerous and pety pericard in straight sets he was competitive against Masti so he’s he’s shown that he can play at this level on this surface Fernley may be able to but we’re really not sure um Harris here for me just just on experience I think this is this is all going to be very very new for Fernley it’s he’ll either take to it or it’ll be very nervous and it’ll be a problem for him I would take Harris at these odds why is the market so keen on Fernley I mean he’s 12 places below his opponent here he’s won a challenge as you said he hasn’t beaten anybody and Harris has come through to a quarterfinal of a 500 event is it the fact that the people are the betters and you know the book makers as well thinking what I’m thinking thinking well he’s had a big high and he might be exalted doesn’t want to put it all in before Wimbledon he’s you know but surely it doesn’t make much sense why f the fav I I don’t understand it well no it makes no sense to me I mean it’s just they’re just basing it on what they’ve seen in the notam Challenger I didn’t watch too much of that tournament as you can probably imagine but must have beened we’re all over that well it’s on at other time when we’ve got main level stuff to look at at that time haven’t we Queen’s Club and and all the rest of it so it’s it’s a bit difficult to do but yeah I mean they’re just impressed with what they’ve seen obviously Harris is quite you know he’s not a young guy they probably think Harris is we’ they’ve seen the best of Harris they’ve seen what he can do he’s not going to get any better they obviously think they obviously rate Fernley quite highly they may be right but not for me at these odds yeah very very strange uh betting Market there uh Harris what he shown last week is definitely deserves to be the favor of this one at least even the other way aroundus 121 andus 103 there may be some money for Harrison to build up to it but currently with bet Rivers it’s minus 103 head across there now uh this is Sunday you better get this match is scheduled for for tomorrow 5:00 a.m. eastern time and this is uh the start time for the matches tomorrow over in eastborn so it’s a very very early start so make sure you get your bets on now we’re moving to the other 250 event um not really much caliber here either over in meor CR the tournament where sha is at last year it was won by Christopher Eubanks the year before it won by sit pass and it was also won by Medford so two big big name players there isn’t really many big name players there this time around Sean before we look at the draw before we look at the betting you’re there hot I can imagine looking good or week um what’s the conditions like and what the trends here yeah it was hot yesterday I got burnt yesterday even with my factor 30 on so you got burnt on your face you’re s of your face no my face doesn’t get burnt my face and that’s just the lighting in here um my chest and that got and the sort of the back of my neck got a bit burnt but um no legs never get burnt I don’t know why I bother putting sunscreen on my legs they never get burnt even at like 35° temperatures whatever they don’t they don’t ever get burnt but as far as the weather concern is concerned it’s it’s a little cloudy today um but it’s going to be between 25 and 30 all week no problems with the weather in mayorca as far as the conditions are concerned it’s it’s a little bit quicker than then e Bourne these are grass courts that are laid on top of the existing clay Courts at the mayorca Country Club it’s it’s a clay Club as you can probably imagine for 51 weeks of the year or 50 weeks probably and then they lay the grass on top of it so it’s a hard base and it it is quite bouncy here uh it averages 85% holds of serve and 75% first serve points one which is about the same as Haler so it is quite it is on the quicker side quicker than eastor 47% tiebreak matches no real Trend as far as the overs is concerned I think it’s under 22 and a half games is 51% so no real Trend there over 10 and a half games in set one here is 3 2% slightly higher than eastborne but nowhere near as high as as stutgart so you’d want odds of around 2 to one if you do if you playing over 10 and a half games in set one in this tournament again an all right tournament pretty good tournament for underdogs averages 36% Underdog winners um not too many Trends in this one because there only been three editions so there’s not really a trend to speak of in in in such a a non-story tournament if you like uh but qualifiers have made the semi-finals in the last two years but it’s not a great field as you can say as as you said I’m I’m not not wild about the field this year let’s have a look at that field uh it’s the mker event there it’s the same as the Queen soorry the the Queens it’s the same as eastborne where you have the 32 man draw the top four seeds qualify through to the last 16 and those top four seeds are number one seed Ben Shelton who’s having a terrible run of form everyone expected a big year from Big Ben it hasn’t materialized especially at the time of the year that you would thought he’ do well he’s not playing well at all well he’s a number one seed uh in his section is Jordan Thompson obviously did well at Queens Club he’s number seven then scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals manarino is the number three seed he’s through to the last 16 uh tarder is the number five seed talking about the clay cour specialist he’s in he’s in there against the Spaniard martinz in round one in the bottom half the draw the defending Champion Christopher Yanks is number eight seed he’s got to get past menik already threw to the last 16 is the number four seed tabilo Gale m is the six seed he’s got probably the tie of the round one against Dominic team and then we have Ugo and uh the big serving Lefty he’s the number two seed and he is through to the uh last 16 let’s have a look at the betting and the betting suggests that Ben Shelton is going to put his run of bad form to an end he’s the favorite plus 450 ugan be is $5 Jordan Thompson 7 Christopher Eubanks 850 to win this tournament back to back manarino 12 Gman Feast 12 Batista good the Spaniard leading Spanish hopes at 14 tarder 16 Rich rinky ichigata 16 Tabo 18 hanman 20 menic 25 nichelson 25 ofner 25 chevchenko 25 and Dominic Team 25 to1 also as you say sh not the greatest tournaments uh Shelton and unbe are probably the best two players in the tourn well they are the best two players in the tournament and the betting suggest that top two in the betting but it is a week before a major sh ‘s in terrible form andbe has got the capabilties to win this but not playing that great either so it’s another tricky little draw here yeah I mean it’s it this is a tournament given the draw that humbear should be winning really he’s in the bottom half of the draw and there’s there’s not a lot I’m just scrolling through it on my phone here you got the likes of fog Nini team mon kareno Buster kabas Baya I mean it’s it’s it’s a it’s a very very winnable tournament for home bear but is he going to win it would you want to bet home bear at plus 500 week the week before major or anytime you know he’s not coming here in the best of form he lost to arnaldi at Queens Club and araldi wasn’t playing well at all on Aldi then lost to hij Carter um if you’re Ugo home you should be looking at this tournament looking at this draw saying right I’m going to win this and then I’m heading into Wimbledon in great spirits whether that happens or not who knows but Shelton I couldn’t back either you know he’s shown absolutely nothing on grass at all so far in his career doesn’t seem to have taken to it which is quite a surprise given the style of of game that he has you would think sooner or later it’s going to click for him maybe this will be his week um I certainly wouldn’t want to back him at plus 450 for that to be the case but the bottom half is is weaker if you are one of the sort of market leader backers home looks like he’s your man but I wouldn’t trust him at that price um I’m going to take a chance on on hij Jakarta here at 16 to1 he’s got comparable stats very compar fact they’re almost identical grass stats to hbe and Shelton so there’s no advantage to the Shelton and hbe over hijara based on the statistics on grass except hijak carta’s three times the price he’s showing what he can do numerous times we were unlucky with hijak cart when we backed him the other week against poyin he got a good start and then there was several rain delays and it it to put him off and and typically the week after um or two weeks after he he started to show his his better um grass form obviously made the quarter F I’ll talk about him again in a minute CU we’re again it’s like gear on we’re going to talk about him again in a second but 16 to1 here jakara is is the one I’m going for there are a couple of other real sort of wild card options I think tabelo can play on this surface he’s already won on Hardcore um Orland start of this year he can play on the quick surfaces he has said he likes grass he said his game is suited to Grass he played pretty well um Queens Club last week as well lost to Tommy Paul beat davidovic forina before that so he’s one that could potentially uh go quite deep uh the other one I was thinking of mikkelson is has the potential on grass hasn’t really showed it more last year than this year if he finds his form again he he could be interest in at at 25 to one the others I’m not convinced about Jordan Thompson is an obvious choice but too short for me at plus 700 again EU Banks not playing as well this summer as he was last summer he looks to be the main danger to to un bear in the bottom half of the draw manorina looks gone completely um been absolutely Dreadful This Grass Court Season at his age you would think that you know the end is is coming close for manarino same for Moni same for team it’s it’s a difficult one isn’t it it’s a disappointingly poor field I mean we’ve had people like sit pass meddev Kiros all these guys here in mu Yorker in recent years but this isn’t a great field I’m I’m taking hijar so I think he’s the one that looks like the value to me 16 to1 rinky hakara to win uh in mua head across the B Rivers website those prices will be available until the action starts tomorrow at 5 a.m. eastern time two matches and again we’re going to start with our pick karda up against Luca Nardi ring kard isus 136 here Nardi is plus 108 the spread is 1 and a half- 107 for each to nardy plus 1 a half – 120 total 22 A2 nardy not playing very well lost his two last two grass CT matches kenaki seen qualifying for queens and cter in the round of 16 in Heros he did beat Goffin but Goffin is coming towards the Twilight of his career hitch Carter obviously played well in the quarterfinal exit against Sebastian cord after playing a very strange match against alal in the last 16 Queens which you were in attendance to Sean um I’m judging we’re going to get with Al man here in some capacity but the money line at one US 136 doesn’t look like a Calver kind of price it was a calat kind of price when I wrote this because it they opened up is even money um which immediately kind of had me had me interested um the problem we’re doing some of these shows at the times that we do them is the lines can move a most unfortunate time sometimes they move while we’re doing the show don’t they so it does or just before so that’s the bugging device bet RI that’s the bugging device that bet Rivers have placed in this office that’s what that’s why they the lines move is that what it is it’s definitely do like a sweep of the room to see if there’s you know somewh in there yeah I’m not quite sure technology nowadays I find it hard to click the link to get the video started don’t let me don’t let me go do things like that no probably not probably best not um so this this could be the similar one to gear on you could you could take the handicap here I mean hcard has got much more experience on grass than Nardi has um Menard’s played two matches at Main level won one lost one service points won and return points W total of 97 difficult to to really read from the stats after only a couple of matches hij cart has 10 matches uh six and four win loss service points won 10 points w t 102 which is very respectable and I would suggest good enough to put him well in the running to win a a weak tournament like this I mean Nardi played pretty well on in the matches that he has played on grass that match that you talked about against Gotham was was ridiculous because it was it was the first day of rosar and when there were 30 30 mph plus wins and constant rain so it the match that Gan match was on off on off when they came back on it was it wasn’t a tennis match the win was so strong they were just trying to keep it in court and it was just who could keep it in court longer um that happened to be nardy on the day so that that match you can’t really talk about it too much um hijara as I said before we talked about the the poyin match a few weeks ago he is a very capable player on this surface it does suit him I’d suggest it’s probably his best surface and now he’s coming off the back of a quarterfinal at Queens Club beat TFO all right it was a little fortunate TFO slipped and and hurt himself but tifo wasn’t in Tio wasn’t you wouldn’t say he was on top anyway then he’s beaten arnaldi and then he’s taken the opening set off quarter uh an in quarter and lost that one in three sets for me that form is more than good enough for him to beat nardy uh and cover a minus one and a half game handicap minus 106 of bet rivers that would be my lean here I also think think it’s good enough to put him in with the sh of winning the tournament y h got all the way- 136 on the money line- 107 on the spread about 28 different markers available bet Rivers Head across there you might want to bet him to win 2-0 you might want to get with to win whatever Market you like but we expect victory for rinky hit Carter uh next match the final match on the podcast xia munar up against Sebastian ofner ofner minus 190 to win this match of the minus 190 on a on a Gras wouldn’t touch that with counter uh plus 150 for xia Muna spread is 2 and a halfus 117 for ofner plus 109 Muna minus 109 plus 2 and a half total 22 and a half over -18 under – 108 very interesting stat here they’ve played three times previously all on Clay as you could imagine moar has won the lot and ofner hasn’t even come close to looking like taking a set off him uh the moonar comes here without any grass C experience in 2024 he’s obviously play grass C events before not to much success only two wins from 11 uh OFA has the better career record on grass but only two wins from 11 for xia Munos but this year often has played two Cross Court matches and he hasn’t won a match he’s lost in the first round of stutgart in the first round Hala um moonar will have some support not many people supporting the the Spanish but he have some support but I’m I’m guessing there might be some support from uh a certain Mr Calver cheering moonar on in this match to some degree yeah um I said we are scraping the barrel some of these matches they’re not they’re not the best quality are they in eastor and um and mayorca unfortunately uh hopefully it’ll get better as as the week goes on but this one interested me because it’s two players with with poor records on grass as you’ve said at this level I mean ofner did make the final of what was quite a weak ilky Challenger last year 2023 but at Main level he’s three and six win loss although the caveat to that is he has had some some tough draws in those nine matches very tough draws looking at moonar as you said poor record on grass but he beat John Isner at Wimbledon last year um and he was two sets to one upon cam Nori at Wimbledon 2022 so when he feels like it he can play on grass he’s not completely um a novice at it he he can play on grass equally as well as as ofner the obvious the obvious reason why ofner is favorite is cuz has much more of an aggressive game moonar more of a grinder but when moonar when the mood takes him moonar he can he can play offensive T he just doesn’t really like to do it I don’t think if you look at their all-time grass um stats at Main level there’s nothing in it really much moonar service points one a return points one turtler 95 ofner 96 so very little in it there the head-to-head is perhaps the most interesting I know they’ve all been played on Clay but service points W and return points W titles moonar 17 ofner 83 so massively in favor of munar you would expect ofner to turn that around on the grass um but you wouldn’t you wouldn’t put a lot of money on it I don’t think not at minus 190 he’ll probably win but this this has got overs written all over it to me when munar does show up um on on any surface really and he he’s in that belligerent mood where he’s if you are going to beat him you’re going to have to play a really clean match cuz he’s going to get a ton of balls back he can he can play good offensive T he can hit his serve and he can come into the net when he wants to munar and he might be forced to on the grass because his normal style of play isn’t going to work on this surface so I think we’ll see a more aggressive moonar than than we’re used to seeing um and I think it’ll pose problems for for oftener so over 22 and a half would be would be the way I’d approach this one over 22 and a half moonar total games in the match against offut at minus 118 is sh bet so is it two official pick Sean in a couple of lanes I’m just taking the one official pick today I think this is a very very difficult um a very difficult card in both tournaments as far as value is concerned so do you want me to run through the bets yes please yeah so I’ll take gear on minus one and a half games at 1.98 minus 102 bet Rivers is my match bet in eastborn the outright there is is the same player um eight 18 to1 wasn’t he gearon each way yep I think he was 18 I think he was 18 to oneor I’m just taking the outright which is yeah which is hij Carter at each weight 16 to1 the others are leans it’s it’s not it’s not the most appealing of uh of round one cards in all honesty no and the GRC seon gr season has started a bit slowly for us we’ve actually gone a little bit behind on our picks minus 13.16 units so uh a little bit of recovery to do but I’m sure some of them yeah Ian a new transition the new this we we’ll kick on again uh no pressure at all but good week expected this weekend and obviously Wimbledon next weekend at Wimbledon we’re going to have loads of shows loads of content here on B weekly Studios the draw is made on Friday I believe at wimon and that’s my birthday Sean Friday I’m away for my birthday so we we’ll do the draw on Friday special thank you very much I’m I’m only going down to the coast in Yukan going to Devon I’ve rented an Airbnb with a family and going to Deon for three or four days have a little bit of relaxation so very nice yeah looking forward to it so there’s a lot of action but we myself and Sean will be back on Tuesday and Wednesday giving you the updates here in newor and in Eastport and then obviously the countdown to wom starts with our previews coming at the end of next week which will be able to get by downloading the podcast Ben Weekly game bet match on your preferred podcast provider subscribing to Ben weekly Studios on YouTube or following us on Instagram and Twitter on our handle at because we win remember Euro 2024 coming to the business end knockout stages just around Corner some great content some great numbers as well thank you very much for everyone coming across and watching the show tell your friends keep subscribing and give us a comment uh we’ll ask any of your questions on the comment box below okay that’s it for today uh Sean thank you very much enjoy the rest of your holiday or your break have some fun enjoy the weather enjoy the tennis let’s cash some tickets and we’ll be back again on Tuesday looking at the later stages here of the gr tournament the countdown to wimon starting now