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hello ladies and gentlemen welcome to calls calls this is the 2024 US Open DFS tactic show we have a forecast to check out we have projected ownerships to provide for you all uh and all of the last minute information that you need to optimize your lineups for the US Open this week at Pinehurst number two got a fun show for you all so let’s dig right into it all statistics provided tonight and every night are from fantasy national.com it is the best golf Analytics tool out there for your money go check out fantasy national.com you will not regret it in the description of the video there are links to all of the social media first off my ex and Instagram where earlier this week I posted some research around the past 12 winners of the US Open dating back to 2012 the patterns that those players uh share in common leading up to their win at the USL and the players in the field this week who match that pattern so if you want to see the weekly research that I do on the PGA tour then give me a follow at your preferred social media site X is also where I place my weekly betting cards and my top player usage in the DFS contest I play that comes out every Wednesday evening after the DFS tactic show so that’ll come out later tonight if you want to see those pieces of information then give me a follow over at X lastly for social media gab’s handle is in the description he writes a very good article called The Fringe it’s a great way to start your week of preparation and he continues to update you throughout the week in terms of course history in recent form and if you are a subscriber to his article you’re going to be able to join us in his substack chat every Wednesday night after calls calls as we continue the DFS talk over there we talk about Game Theory our favorite areas of the price board players were fading confidently and not so confidently um it’s a great discussion every week so the only way you’re going to be able to join us again is if you are a subscriber to his article so go ahead and do that it is free to do by the way and show him some support follow him over on social media finally for this intro we are live chat’s open I’ve typed up the poll question would love to hear the community’s thoughts on it so I’ll get into that uh who’s your winner this week uh what do you think the winning score is going to be who are the players you’re targeting who you fading away from do you have any 5k plays do you have any 6K plays uh when we get to the reveal of my rankings I have not one but two 6K players in my top 10 so you’ll definitely want to see that uh as we get into the rankings and examine the price board later on in the show so without any further delay let’s figure out our strategies and our tactics for the 2024 US Open and we’re going to start over at the super forecast over at windfinder but before we cover that as promised I have the poll question typed up and I’m going to see how evil you people are the poll question for the week what do you want the winning score to be not what do you think it will be what do you want the winning score to be do you want it to be even or Worse do you just want comp uh pure Total Carnage do you want it to be minus one or -2 -3 or -4 or do you actually want to see quite a few birdies or maybe some Eagles you want it minus five or better so there is the poll question for this week would love to hear the community’s thoughts on it let’s see how evil you all are let’s turn to the super forecast here at windfinder it’s going to be hot highs in the 990s but no rain and very little wind looks like quite a um the most wind that we’re going to see throughout the week happens to be tomorrow and it’s not much um sustained winds in the single digits uh gusts maybe maybe into the mid mid teens but not a whole lot uh and you see by Friday very little wind just hot hot I imagine probably humid baking um all of that so very little wind no I I don’t see a half of the draw to favor while you do have the least amount of sustained winds in the morning you’re also you also have the the biggest gusts in the morning so I think that evens out between morning and afteron tomorrow and literally nothing in the forecast for Friday if we zoom out take a look at the weekend Saturday might have a little bit in the morning maybe and then Sunday looks great as well highs again in the upper 80s or 90s so no wind no rain to me no wave Advantage um I I just don’t see it particularly with Friday being no wind at all in the forecast again I I don’t see an advantage tomorrow even though the calmer winds are in the morning they’re also dealing with the higher wind gusts so I just don’t see an advantage I just don’t so with that we’ll move to Fantasy National and the players in the field for the US open at Pinehurst uh let’s bring this into the last two years one of the things that we have talked about quite a bit this week is that this is a dawn Ross design uh this is his shining Jewel if you will now not a lot of rounds on the PGA tour especially in the last two years Don Ross known for East Lake and for Sedgefield uh East Lake of course host of The Tour Championship Sedgefield host of the Windom he also has Detroit Golf Club which is the host of the rocket mortgage so those three tournaments in the past two years are the consistent courses on the PJ tour and you see only 20 rounds as a maximum from sunj and Taylor Moore with that your top performers on Don Ross designs the past two years Stephen joerger Russell Henley Cam Davis Xander Lucas Glover Tom Kim Colin morawa wendham Clark Ben on and sunj those are your top 10 in terms of total performance on Don Ross designs you want to continue on down just a little bit Victor hin Nikolai hoard Taylor Moore JT Poston I think I skipped pendri uh so pendri havin hoard Taylor Moore JT Poston there’s your top 15 you can see the rest of the top 25 or 30 or so there on your screen the other end of the spectrum players who have not played well on Dawn Ross designs McKenzie hug Milano Grio Zack Blair Jim Herman Nick Taylor SE toala Austin ekro Bo hosler s Kim batia but do note that these are very very minimal in terms of rounds uh due to the fact that it might be one tournament at most maybe two with two M Cuts just not a whole lot of data here but if you want to put an emphasis on Don Ross designs there is your top and worst or best and worst performers on Dawn Ross designs but one thing that we definitely know other than this being a dawn Ross design is that this is going to be difficult it is the US Open uh the USGA generally uh is right on the border of playable and and and not um so win rounds are difficult relative to par your top performers have been Scotty Rory Xander Windham Clark cam Smith Tommy Fleetwood Terrell Hatton Russell Henley ludvic Oar and matz Patrick continue on down Victor hin Klay moraa CZ Ben on there’s your top 15 you will note that I skipped John ROM so in case you have not seen uh or have not heard John ROM has withdrawn from the US Open if you have submitted lineups already make sure you go change your lineups John ROM has withdrawn so if you have used him or we’re planning on using him make your adjustments John ROM has withdrawn there’s your top performers when rounds are difficult relative to power the other end of the spectrum players who have not been good Nico etaria Harry higs Sun Kang Ben Kohl’s Franchesco Molinari zinon Eric Van royan Nick Taylor Zack Blair Justin Thomas has not been good when rounds have been difficult obviously with his struggles um 18 months to about 6 months ago he’s played a little bit better obviously but uh has still struggled when it’s difficult uh Jim Herman Eric Cole Burger naap so on down there’s your uh worst performers when rounds are difficult all right with that that’s enough review let’s just go ahead and get into the condition model that I’ve made for the week and then we’ll start talking about the rankings and the price board so my mixed condition model I went back a little bit to Basics um if you were here last week for the memorial you’ll note that or you’ll remember I had about 13 metrics in the mixed condition model I just really really leaned into the difficult relative to power uh narrative and filter and and while did certainly play very difficult at the memorial I wanted to bring or Center myself a little bit I just wanted to focus on a few key aspects for the US Open so we start with 5% off the tea when scoring is difficult um I mentioned how these Fairways are pretty easy to hit so I don’t think they’re necessarily needs to be a premium on accuracy the more I thought about it I don’t think there necessarily needs to be a premium on distance either considering that this course is so baked out it’s so fast so firm the shorter hitters are going to be able to get run out uh due to the course conditions so instead I just kind of wanted to look at off the tea in general no no emphasis on distance no emphasis on accuracy just off the tea in general but you only you see it’s only at 5% I didn’t want to put a heavy emphasis into this I do think this is the least important of the four shot types this week 20% in approach uh this is my preferred statistic this is the types of players that I prefer to focus and and Target in um DFS golf uh and in waiters in general now there might be a slight Mitigation Of ball striking here at Pinehurst just due to the severity of the greens the runoffs and and How firm and lightning fast they are they are but I still think approach is going to be a pretty integral part in who plays well so 20% in Strokes G approach in the last 3 months I just want to see who has been hitting their irons very very well lately 10% around the green when scoring is difficult relative to par again there is no rough around pine her first You could argue to put uh sand saves in here with all the sand and the bunkers waste areas I just wanted to look at around the green because I think I think a lot of players are going to putt around uh the greens here um I that’s just my lean and we’ll talk about that here momentarily 10% around the green I do think if anything I’m a little bit light considering how severe and how difficult these greens are going to be to hit but um I did want to make sure I focused on a few key aspects so only have 10% around the green if anything I think it’s a little light but 10% around the green when scoring is difficult relative to par 10% in putting on Lightning Bermuda greens uh these are obviously Bermuda they are Champion Ultra Dwarf Bermuda to be exact um and there are a couple of other uh courses on the PJ tour that have Champion Bermuda um s field actually another Dawn Ross design has Champion Bermuda TPC South Wind host of the uh St Jude the Country Club of Jackson host of the Sanderson Farms also has Champion Bermuda um but I just wanted to look at lightning Bermuda greens this would include places like Saw Grass this past year that were lightning uh you’ll get places like the Honda and the Arnold Palmer places with just a lot of lightning speed greens maybe a little bit too heavy here but I ended up not looking at 25 ft Plus in terms of putting um that that percentage I would have put in there ended up going into the around the green making it 10% so 10% in putting on Lightning Bermuda greens maybe a little bit heavy here uh maybe you just want to look at lightning speed greens or or Bermuda in general but I’m very confident these will be lightning Bermuda 15% in Greens when scoring is difficult this is a US Open if players are able to hit the greens they’re going to be gaining uh a massive amount of an advantage over other players so I just want to focus on um that um shot type or or that metric that uh skill if you will uh this week I want to see players who will just hit the middle of the green that’s essenti what I’m going for um so 15% in green gained when scoring is difficult relative to par 5% in birdies gained look there’s only two um par fives there are a few short par fours but none of them are drivable and with the greens the way they are I just I don’t see Eagles there might be five eagles all week would be my guess so I am just looking at Birdie’s gained when scoring is difficult relative to par I’ve mentioned this the past month or so how even with the most difficult of circumstances difficult of layout and course conditions and all that players still have to get birdies and that’s how you gain points at least in draftking scoring so 5% in Bird’s gain 15% in bogey avoidance it is the US Open uh if players just simply can’t avoid a bogey they’re not going to make the cut anyway so 15% there 15% in power fours you’ll note that I did not separate out any length um because there are several Power fours that span the uh range buckets if you will we have two or three that measure under 400 we have one or two that are from 400 to 450 now the majority of our par fours measure 450 to 500 but we also have some that are 500 plus so it it was a fairly even distribution among the range buckets so instead of trying to figure out which one’s going to play the most or try to figure out what percentage I want to put in those let’s just look at all par fours 15% in all par fours and we looked at this Monday night and how important par 4 performance is at us opens 15% there to finish out the mixed condition model three putt avoidance on Lightning Bermuda greens this all ties in with you know the fact that I think players are going to be putting uh around the green a lot uh players are going to be aiming for centers of greens they’re not going to be flag hunting often if at all uh so three put avoidance is going to be a a pretty big deal as well uh and I wanted to see who were good three put avoiders so there’s a look at the mixed condition model hopefully I’ve given you the insights as to why I’ve use the metrics that I have why I have the percentages in there the way I do areas I could weak you know I I I really do think around the green will be a little bit more important than 10% just kind of ran out of percent um if distance matters or any facet of off the te I’ll be a little bit weak to that since I think it is the uh shot type that is the least important this week at Pinehurst number two uh if any particular range of par 4 matters or let’s say par five’s par three matters I’ll be weak so I did not factor that in uh in terms of My overall rankings I’ll certainly look at par three performance uh particularly long par three performance you know as tie Breakers uh when I make my lineups but just for a a visual or a to get a snapshot of relatively where players are rating I didn’t factor in any part 3es or part fives and of course if players aren’t putting as much as they I think they will then I’ll be weak cuzz I have quite a bit in putting hey waken thanks for jumping in chat much appreciated hopefully we’re ready for the US Open um it’s been a roller coaster couple of weeks at least for me in terms of the PGA was very good or you know pretty darn solid I can’t say very good it was pretty solid then the Charles Schwab was a disaster came back to the RBC Canadian which was fine last week the memorial was pretty bad so if we’re going to follow the pattern this should be a good week having said that we’re going to knock on wood and hopefully we’re going to find the right players to use this week for the US Open but thanks for jumping chat much appreciated good to see you this evening there is the mixed condition model for the US Open that I’ve made this week let’s go ahead and go to Microsoft Excel the reveal of my rankings soon as I bring it over to the correct page for or as a reminder to those of you who are returning viewers for your information if you are new viewer my rankings go on three criteria the FC rank which is a straight numerical ranking based on the mixed condition model that we just went over in fantasy National the you know the metrics and the uh percentages I have in them course value which is normally normally um the value Associated to a player a how well they have played that course in The Last 5 Years of course pinez number two hadn’t been seen since 2014 so this course value this week is performance at us opens going back to 2012 so that’s why you see the Dei has such a strong number ludic Ober is blank he hasn’t played a US Open uh Xander seven us opens averages a Seventh Place finish he’s got the best course value etc etc and as the third uh portion of my rankings or the third thing that make up uh where players are ranked we are playing DFS we’re trying to find unique options so projected ownership per fantasy National is also a factor into my rankings so my rankings go as such Xander is my number one player this week when you factor in everything you see Scotty is number one purely by the analytics he’s just the most popular so he’s getting hurt a little bit Xander Ro Scotty Victor hin and Tommy Fleetwood are my top five Matt Fitzpatrick wendam Clark Hideki 6200 sez is ninth and 6,500 sep straa rounds out my top 10 so there’s the two 6000s that make or that made it into my top 10 ahead of players like Max hom and oar morawa fenale I mean CZ and sep straa rated sixth and seventh just purely by the Numbers despite the fact they’re getting a whole lot of ownership they’re still staying in the top 10 tells you how high I am on them with that um probably the only surprise other than the fact that you know these two 6ks made it into my top 10 probably the biggest surprise is Windam Clark or at least it was for me but look the analytics just loving that’s why I was high on him at uh at the memorial didn’t work out you see he’s getting really um catapulted in my rankings due to the fact that he is one of the most unique players uh and probably is the most unique in the N9 and 10ks but the metrics love him I mean this 46 and approach is his worst statistic of the metrics that we put in the mixed condition model so despite the lack of of results he’s actually played pretty well especially in the last 3 months and of course when we’re talking about difficult relative to par I mean he is the defending US Open Champion he played the players extremely well um yeah I mean it wasn’t too long ago we were wondering if he’s the next coming of of Big Game Hunter on the PGA tour so let’s go ahead and on the price board figure out where our fellow contestants seem to be going on the price board and then uh let’s find some useful pivots off of the chalk in these areas with John ROM’s withdrawal we have five players in the five digits or in the 10ks Scotty at 13 Even Rory at 121 Xander at 115 Bryson at 10-1 Brooks at 10,000 even you see all uh five of these players rid out you know pretty darn well in my rankings any of the live guys are going to be artificially low just due to the fact that I only collect PGA Tour stat so the fact that Brooks is 34th is telling you quite a bit um you know one of the best courts values of course two-time US Open Champion doesn’t have a bad statistic across here 20th in par 4 7eventh and around the green when it’s difficult he usually does not rate out well so the fact that he’s in the top 25% in my mixed condition model tells you Brooks is somebody to be um be cognizant of Bryson another Liv player I was very high on hidden at the PJ Championship that worked out very well for me um you know I’m pretty darn high on M in uh seems like this would be a decent fit although he has you know his worst thing is around the green when it’s difficult that that does concern me a little bit of course Scotty in the heater he’s on Rory getting helped by the fact that he’s a little bit unique uh and I I really really like Xander and we’re going to see a lot of Xander throughout the night uh and you’ll see him on my top player usage and and all that I really like Xander this week so for me it’s really really hard for me to call anybody in the 10ks of fade I think I have to by definition call Scotty a fade in the sense that I I won’t have 20% Scotty Sheffer um the price I have found to be pretty prohibitive considering I’m not too terribly comfortable with the 5Ks there is one player I will recommend to you all uh but I’m not really comfortable going into the 5Ks and without that unless you’re willing to double dip in the sixes maybe even triple dip in the sixes Scotty gets pretty difficult to fit um look all of these are number one essentially on the stats I mean the first five metrics We Gather first first first first really it’s it’s the putting on Lightning Bermuda which his Putter’s gotten better so he’s actually gaining Strokes against the field the past couple of months it’s a that’s very very dangerous uh for everybody else um fade him at your own risk I will fade him because I’m willing to try and G uh gain that much leverage on my fellow or on our fellow contestants I accept that this is a huge risk uh I just accept that um and if and if Scotty wins I’ll lose but I’m willing to take the chance that he might not perform up to Scotty’s standards you know maybe he falls out of the top 15 and I’m just going to gain so much by not playing him all that much if he does that not likely to happen but I’m willing to take that chance so in the 10ks I mentioned I really like Xander now I’m not picking him to win by any means but I mean the fact is he’s never finished outside the top 15 at the US Open he’s played seven times he’s averaged averaged a Seventh Place finish I just feel like his floor is so high that I I I I wanting the security of Xander and the fact that he is not terribly widely owned I would have thought he’d have been closer to 20% or so at least members at Fantasy National if they’re up into the 115 they’re just trying to find that much more more for Scotty um it looks like he’s getting squeezed a little bit would be my guess cuz uh members of fantasy National they might be just tiptoeing into the 10ks for one of these two or they’re going to Scotty I really do think that Rory and Xander might get squeezed in terms of of ownership so I really like Xander for that reason on top of all of the other things I just mentioned his US Open performance uh the perceived very high floor I think Rory’s fine um I think Rory’s fine but again I’m just so very high on Xander that I can see myself squeezing Rory out uh in ownership so if you want to be technical I guess these two are Fades I know Scotty will be cuz I won’t have 20% of Scotty I’m G to have him don’t don’t get me wrong I’m I’m definitely not going to full fade Scotty but I’m just really high on Xander Scotty’s price I feel is prohibitive because I don’t want to go into the 6ks more than twice uh and the fact that I’m not in the 5Ks which we’ll talk about um means that it’s really hard to build Scotty lineups Bryson’s fine I’ll use him uh I’ll be happy if he’s 133% I think he’ll be a little bit more than that Brooks is fine he’s always going to rate out the low for me since he moved to live it’s a US Open it’s extremely difficult you got to you got to be cognizant of Brooks so in the 10ks I’m going to go Xander number one probably go Bryson second um pretty close for me between Brooks and Scotty um I’ll probably say Brooks Third only because the price is easier to work with like you might be able to fit a Bryson and Brooks If you want to get really greedy a Xander and a Brooks whereas I don’t think you’re going to be able to do that with Scotty and I like Rory um he’s just going to get squeezed for me because I’m so high on Xander and I am going to cover myself make sure I have a little bit of Scotty so that’s a look at the the five digits the 10ks we’ll move to the nines Victor ludvig o col moraa kley and Windham Clark If I like a lot in the 10 that means I’m not terribly high on the nines um Victor write it out extremely well I do have a lot of concern with the around the green um this place is going to be despite the fact that I’ve put so much emphasis on greens and approach this is the US Open guys are going to miss greens and with that I really am concerned about Victor hain’s short game now his putting on Lightning Bermuda has been excellent so that helps him a little bit I wouldn’t be surprised if Victor takes the Martin kimer route and putts a lot um around Pinehurst but if he doesn’t have that ability like if he’s in the in the waist area I could see him struggling a little bit uh thinking Scotty Brooks lineups but problem is can’t really get hii rather go Brooks morawa I do like Brooks here yeah so that that just again speaks to the fact that Scotty and Brooks is just going to be really hard to squeeze in and we’ll talk about Hideki at at uh at 8,000 uh because I like him as well um the problem with morawa is that he’s so popular so let’s go ahead and talk about K morawa because he’s been excellent in his in the past six weeks or so maybe two months um we all know about his struggles with the Putter and you know those concerns are still valid but even the around the green game has been fine the irons have been back to um Colin more cabik um I like it but he’s the second most projected own player on the Slate so I would be if you’re going to if you’re using Colin I would be very wary of using hii as well awaken but we’ll get into that hey Zach thanks for jumping in chat need five names for a pool um I I what are what’s what’s the what’s the criteria what’s the boundary of this um um pool if you will um is it is it best score are you trying to find the winner of these five give me a little bit of specific around that be more than happy to help you out but really appreciate you jumping in chat um elsewhere in the 9ks um Oar look it depends on what you feel about with his injury um uh trying to find a reason to fade a Dei I’ll give you I’ll give you some it has nothing to do with Hideki the player it’s the fact that I think there’s a lot of good plays in the eights Oar depends on what you want to think about the knee um if you’re not worried this should be a decent fit for him you know long straight I do worry a little bit around the with the around the green but he played Memorial okay so should be fine he’ll be popular morea will we talked about look I really wanted to like I really liked kley last week and he loves the memorial and he missed the cut something is wrong with kley I I don’t know what it is the irons are bad he’s not been good on with the putter on especially on Lightning Bermuda like something’s not right with Patrick kley like if you’re willing to take this risk that is a a lot of uniqueness that you’re gaining I just can’t do it especially since I won I backed him last week I wanted to believe in him at the memorial at a place that he has traditionally played extremely well and he did not play well at all wiam Clark much the same the difference is you can see the difference in the in the analytics here wiam Clark in the top 10 purely by the Numbers kley barely scratches the top 50 wam Clark I think is worth a flyer I would not go overboard with it I went overboard with kle and Clark last week and it bit me that’s why my Memorial was not very good so I think Windam Clark is worth the look I mean the guy is second in Birdie’s gain when it’s difficult he will get you points the problem is will he avoid the Bogies enough he’s been good in the past lately see last week hasn’t been that great so I’ll I’ll make sure to have him in a lineup or two but I definitely won’t be as high on him as what this suggests or or and or what I was last week at the memorial so in the 9ks like I I do worry about Victor I also don’t think he’s he’s going to be 11 and a half% he’s a pretty popular player I imagine a lot of people will gravitate to Victor they’ll probably do something like a Brooks and a Victor maybe a Bryson and a Victor I don’t think he’s going to sit at 11 and a half% If he if he does you probably want to think about it a little bit more I just think he’ll be more popular than this so I’m a little cautious on Victor Oar depends on the knee um should be okay Mora is fine just extremely chalky extremely chalky so if you if you’re going to go col morawa you’ve got to find some uniqueness whether you’re dropping into the 5Ks um or you know finding some uniqueness elsewhere like I mentioned awaken col morawa and Hideki are going to be way too popular to put in a lineup together I think so from Zach best total score as a team win so I can pick anyone in the field they have to make the cut No Boundaries so that right there meaning that they have to make the cut so like it one last question before I give you some names to consider like if you if you have one player missed the cut are you eliminated um um similar to what Rob Bolton does um in the contests that he posts on Twitter um or X or whatever uh if it’s that if that’s the case then yeah I can definitely help you with that yeah okay perfect so um I for me I don’t know how you don’t start this with Xander I really don’t um just because of the safe floor that he has he might not be the tournament winner but I’m just extremely confident that he’s going to play well God it’s really hard not to pick Scotty in this five names that you know won’t miss the cut with that being the case I’ll go Scotty Xander this won’t be unique by any means I imagine depending on how large your your pool is I imagine this will be pretty common but looking for best total score Scotty Xander uh like I want to like Brooks but man he’s he’s not been good lately and particularly with the two majors that we’ve seen him the Masters and the PGA he wasn’t particularly great you feel pretty confident that he’s not going to miss the cut beyond that he has struggled a little bit so he’s somebody I would consider let me go through a little bit more of the price board maybe let’s give you some ideas but I would definitely start Xander Scotty those two and I’ll keep thinking about it as we go through go through the um go through the price board here um and then of of course you know feel free to to put some some names that you’re thinking about as well but let’s move to the eights and I really like the tens and I don’t like the nines I like the eights a lot uh really there’s only one player two players in here that I’m not really gravitating towards the first is JT like I mean I understand he played the PJ Championship well was whatever at the memorial the irons are back but man the putter is horrendous on this surface he actually hasn’t been gaining birdies when it’s been difficult all that much uh if if if I lose to Justin Thomas I accept that um I’ll just lose to Justin Thomas but not not there with him Xander morawa straa and oberg I like that I think straa might be a little bit of a gamble but I do I do like Scotty Xander morawa I mean if and if you’re not worried about Oar this seems like it would be a great fit so if we’re going to try to find some unique maybe if you’re trying to find uniqueness in that office pool let’s see if we can’t find somebody on Shaka um even though he did rate out 10th for me I do have one big concern with him but I do like where I I like your concept there um the only other player in the eights that I’m not really gravitating towards is Will zorus um look I just don’t know how healthy or if he’s completely healthy the par fours have actually been pretty bad too um the putter is always um scary uh it can be good but it’s it’s generally scary so those are the two players that I’m not on in the 8ks everybody else I really really liking the 8ks um talk about Cameron Smith like he is one of these Live players that will rate out a whole lot lower for me because I don’t collect Liv stats the irons weren’t good at the Masters in the PGA but my goodness you’re talking about a tournament and a course that really emphasizes on the green hello cam Smith is that guy uh I again the offat te could be worrisome but I do think it is the least um uh least important shot type of the major four shot types I really like cam Smith so for example Zach I I think I would me personally if I was doing this office pool I I would TR probably trade Oar for cam Smith because I I I just think cam Smith fits um here but I think oberg’s fine as well I really like cam Smith I am going to be extremely overweight on cam Smith you’re going to see him on my betting card you’re going to see him in a lot of my lineups or at least the top player usage uh whenever I post that to social media later tonight really like cam Smith H’s fine if he’s indeed 7 and a half% that’s a very good bargain on a good player so be be mindful of Max hom especially since he can avoid Bogies the issue with Max hom is like I’ve mentioned this week his major performances have been really bad and then he’s played well this year Masters he played really well PGA was fine he’s been really really bad at the US Open in the past that is a concern so until he proves it you might want to be you might want to take a wait and see approach on maxom but he has played better Fleetwood is going to be good you know probably can pencil him in for a top 20 but he’s going to be very popular so that’s why I’m going to cam Smith because I think he’s going to be much less owned than Tommy Fleetwood but fleetwood’s a fine play and Zach you mentioned Fitzpatrick I think that’s a fine play as well um you know none of the metrics that we gathered here are pink or or red um Fifth and bogey avoidance Sixth and around the green when it’s difficult putts lightning Bermuda very well first and three put avoidance Matt Fitzpatrick is a fine Choice as well um so in the 8ks uh let’s go ahead and talk like fenale fine as well I do worry a little bit about the bogey avoidance with Tony um and hii third most projected owned player in the Slate behind Scotty and col morawa everybody likes Hideki it’s fine um probably a good play but just extremely popular so because of that I’m going to be off of Hideki a little bit I’m sure I’ll have him I’ll be off of him a little bit um I talked about hom it’s it’s fine you got to worry about his lack of US Open performance so until he does it you probably want to take a wait and seee approach having said that he had never played the Masters very well and he what top five top 10 did this year so if he truly is 7 and a half% that’s a very good bargain on a player the quality of Max hom I am worried about his Us open past performance so in the 8ks no Thomas no zalatoris and I’ll be using at least a little bit of everybody else in the 8ks I’m going to be extremely overweight on cam Smith I’m extremely high on him this week moving into the upper sevens again a few players here that you know I don’t mind Hatton should be fine Shane Lowry any anytime it’s tough you want to think about Lowry I’m actually out on sahit tagala um the irons have been better which is surprising he doesn’t hit a lot of greens he hadn’t avoided Bogies and he’s supposed to be an around the green type player and he’s around the green game has been really bad lately particularly when it’s difficult so seital is a full fade for me if he plays well I’ll lose I’m out on cam Young no thanks uh just show me some kind of form before I go to you spe kind of like zalatoris I don’t even know if he’s 100% healthy this feels this this should be a good fit for Jordan spe with his around the green Majesty um but the irons have been really bad lately I don’t realize I don’t know if people realize how bad his irons have been lately so I’m I’m off of that so Hatton and Lowry in the upper sevens it’s fine U but I I just I love the eight so much that I’m just not up here much moving into the low sevens somebody mentioned Min Le I like it the irons are worrisome but I do like minm Le particularly the fact that he has been he’s two for two at us opens average finish of like 16th he putts Bermuda particularly lightning Bermuda very well so I do like minw Le I do think he might be a little bit popular I think he might rise into the 10 to 11% if he doesn’t great I would fire him up no thanks on DJ he just seems disinterested anymore uh if he plays well I’ll lose whatever I like Tom Kim um normally I try to focus on Tom Kim when it’s shorter but I mean he’s played very well lately on some long and difficult courses so I guess I’ll back Tom gim which means you probably should jump ship but I’ll pack some Tom Kim I think I think it’s probably a decent fit I really like Sam Burns this week I really like Sam Burns a lot it’s Bermuda Burns one of the best Putters on Bermuda irons are fine I’m not worried about the off to te it’s I think it’s mitigated here avoids Bogey’s fine or plenty enough I think his the greens will be fine and if he does Miss greens he’s actually pretty good with his short game so I’ll be extremely overweight on Sam Burns if Cam Smith at 8700 does not play well if Sam Burns at 7200 does not play well I will lose I’m going to be extremely overweight on those two guys Cory Connor rated out extremely well I am quite worried about Connor much for the same reason I’m worried about Victor hin these guys are Elite ball Strikers no doubt about it but they’re going to miss greens it’s the US Open and you see Cory Conor’s US Open course value or tournament value is bad he is not a good short game player now the around the green has gotten better but it’s still not good he is not a good putter I don’t want any part of Cory Connor this week if he plays well I’ll lose no thanks um Sun J probably okay but he’s getting some ownership now that he’s played well so I hope youve I hope you jumped on sun Jay you know at the memorial uh and was it the maybe the PGA he played okay cuz he’s starting to get some ownership now and I think we might have missed our chance fortunately I used him a lot at the PG or at the memorial when he was really good so that’s a look at the low sevens I’m much more in the low sevens than the upper sevens um I have my concern awaken whether minwu will truly be a pivot I do I do think he might get upwards of 10% but um if you don’t yeah I I mean I think it’s a pretty good fit for him moving into the uh the approach yeah I I’m not he’s he’s better with irons than than this I’m not terribly worried about it but it it it could be a concern moving into the sixes there’s a quite a few players in the sixes I like let’s start with Russell Henley yeah he’s going to be extremely popular but probably for good reason the only thing that’s holding him back is the putter 12th in approach top 25 in Greens gained top 15 in bogey avoidance I like a lot with Russell Henley I just don’t like the ownership you can take a look at Adam Scott I mean the guy just generally plods along in US Open you might not get you a top 10 but you know probably pretty safe to make the cut uh so that’s somebody else you could maybe think about Zach if you wanted a lot of uniqueness I don’t think a lot of people are going to be looking at Adam Scott he’s generally pretty safe in a US Open noren’s fine going to be a little bit popular I like sewo um I like sewo quite a bit Adam Scott has hurt me in recent weeks J top 10 when no one plays I’ll be using a little bit of Adam Scott don’t worry I’m not going to say that I’m going to be massively overweight on him but I’m going to make sure I have him in in some lineups uh you mentioned Keegan he’s played well I have some concerns the irons are fine doesn’t avoid Bogies particularly well and I generally look at at Keegan on bent although his lightning Bermuda has been pretty solid I generally look at him on bit so the combination of my concern with his bogey avoidance and the fact that he is getting some attention as a 6K makes me a little bit cautious I’ll use him I’ll use him but I’m not going to have double exclamation point on Keegan CU I think he’s I don’t think he’s going to be as unique as you think he will be elsewhere in the upper sixes take a look at Dean burmaster his US Open performance is not not great but he’s in pretty good form lately at least you know from the PGA he played extremely well whatever live results you want to focus on has been okay I like Dean burmester he should be pretty unique um you can take a look at McCarthy for the simple fact that he is three for four in US opens if you’re talking about short game and scrambling and pars being good scores hard to ignore one of the best Putters in the world but the irons are scary because of that the greens aren’t good so you know take what you will with that the person I want to highlight in the upper sixes at least is Harris English and I understand he rid it out at the at the bottom for me you know 120th out of 156 players look at this course value the guy is eight for8 in making the cut at us opens since 20128 for8 now having said that I probably just jinxed him but there’s something to be said about consistency in very difficult conditions around the green really good he’s from Georgia he knows how to putt Bermuda power fours are fine I’m playing a little bit of Harris English I’m not going overboard with it but I’m playing a little bit of Harris English knowing that he’s eight for eight at us opens this is his kind of tournament just plot along make your pars make a birdie or two and you’d be fine so I like Harris English moving into the mid to low sixes let’s talk about SE straa very really quick since uh you had him uh Zach in your um office pool look all of these metrics are great again sixth per fantasy National the only thing I’m I’m going to caution you on two two things I want to caution you on is US Open performance has generally not been very good um and while you know the US Open venue rotates they’re generally the same type of test they’re long they’re difficult he’s not performed well in them yet and his around the green game has been pretty bad so I would I I would caution against sep straa for that reason because a miscut will eliminate you if this were a you know if the miscut didn’t eliminate you I think it would be fine I would probably still try to point you somewhere else but with a with I think there’s a decent chance sep straa could miss this cut and with that just flat out eliminating you I don’t want to take that chance if I were in your shoes um good evening Derek thanks for jumping in chat much appreciated um what lineups would you do with Rory getting and I think you’ll be extra motivated whatever narrative you want to use with that we haven’t made lineups just yet um we’ll get into that here momentarily we still got a little bit of the sixes and the 5Ks to talk about but we’ll make lineups after that um I got to admit to you Rory is a fade for me only because of who else is around him he’s just getting squeezed out for me part of that is the price part of that is the players around him I like him he rided out second for me he’s just getting squeezed because I want to make sure I have some Scotty and I’m really really high on Xander uh but good to see you in chat thanks for uh thanks for jumping in chat there Derek much appreciated elsewhere in the low sixes uh Glover is always going to rate out well for me because I always focus on irons and that’s his game what about Ry ry’s going to be very very very popular R is going to be very very popular and yes that putting is oof o so I think it’s I I think I think it’s a fade because of the ownership and the putter um good evening uh P thanks for jumping in chat we got a full house much appreciated for you jumping into the chat hopefully you are ready for the US Open um like Ryan Fox Gary W I do I do want to mention um Ryan Fox uh no apologies necessary P you supported the channel for a very very long time I’m just grateful that you take time out of your evening to jump into chat and watch whenever you can so no absolutely no apologies necessary I do like Ryan Fox a little bit you see he rid it out fairly middling irons okay they’re better than this they are um kind of like Min woi they’re better than this uh the US Open performance hasn’t been very good he putts well on Bermuda I like it I I wouldn’t mind it to say a one-off in some of your lineups wouldn’t go crazy with it let’s see I mean do what you want with Tiger Woods um he’s never going to rate out well just because he doesn’t play very often uh do what you want with tiger I’m not necessarily in on Gary Woodland but I can understand why with the irons uh in the ball striking I just I think ball striking is is mitigated around Pinehurst CZ going to be very very popular this is some chalk I’ll eat trying to squeeze in my greedy lineups if I do go up to a Scotty if I play a Rory if I play a z or playing Xander and a Brooks maybe I’m going down to CZ quite a bit and I’m going to find some uniqueness elsewhere but it should be a pretty good play I mean raid is out seventh also don’t overlook Stephan joerger I do want to highlight Stephan joerger for the simple fact that he’s generally pretty good around the green all right and then finally I’m not comfortable going into the 5Ks very much but there is one player I do want to highlight fre you all if you’re going very very deep uh into the uh down in the price board you can take a look at Mac Meisner um the irons haven’t been great no but generally avoids bogey pretty well and the around the green is pretty solid so you can think about MC Meisner that’s about the only player in the 5Ks that I’m considering I’m trying to stop at CZ whenever possible maybe a Jagger but I’m not going into the 5K Sam Bennett has made every US Open Cut he has played dunlap’s interesting I I I Can’t Get Dun I can’t get to Dunlap I just can’t like I understand he won earlier this year I just can’t I can’t do it cuz there let’s see dunlap’s here he just hadn’t played well other than I think it was last week um yeah I just can’t can’t get there malady this doesn’t feel like a very good Peter malady course I think he needs shorter courses to play well and then I’m assuming that means Matt coocher I actually don’t hate coocher despite the fact that he raided out terribly I actually don’t hate it the fact that he generally is pretty good around the green par fors are are decent I think he can plot his his way long to a made cut but I’m just again I’m just nowhere unless it’s MC Meisner because I’m I’m trying to squeeze in you know Scotty Brooks morala that’s a that’s an exaggeration but I’m just trying to emphasize unless I’m trying to get extremely greedy up top I’m not in the 5Ks all right we’ve been going for an hour we still need lineups to make so I’m going to get through this um hopefully that gave you some ideas Zack on some other names other than sep straa it’s F I think sea is fine I just worry about the miscut Flatout eliminating you that’s that’s where I that’s where I would probably try to focus on somebody maybe that’s a little bit more popular but just won’t flat out eliminate you all right let’s make some lineups we’re going to start with tears contests for those who play tier contests tier one Scotty Rory Xander really can’t go wrong in here I’m going to take Xander for the safe floor and I think he’ll be a little bit unique off of Scotty but if you take Scotty I I I don’t blame you one bit at all I’ll just take Xander try to get a little bit of uniqueness off of Scotty tier two Bryson Brooks Victor and morala um H col War C was clearly the most owned in this tier I actually probably going to choose between the two Live players here either Bryson or Brooks give me give me Bryson in tier two but it’s fairly close problem is I like all these guys and they surely have a good week GB they’re going to top 10 probably not yeah that’s I mean that’s that’s if you’re able to find it that’s how you get all the money awaken that’s how you get it but yeah give me Bryson in tier two tier three Oar kley Windham Clark Justin Thomas maxom uh G God I don’t like tier three at all that was Victor hin right in your course rating with his poor chipping havin rated out fourth because of all the ball striking but as you mentioned his clear worst statistic is is around the green so because of that me personally I would not have him fourth he’s getting he’s rated fourth you got to understand he’s rated fourth because I got 20% approach 15% greens which he’s very good at he’s also getting helped by the fact that he is only 11 12% per fantasy National I think he he’s going to be a little bit more popular than that so I me personally I would not have him fourth just understand why he is fourth cuz I do worry about the on the green you’re right Derek um gosh dang tier three is bad GH I’ve taken enough uniqueness that I don’t think I need to go to maxom so I might be willing to take a chance on Oar or if you want to get really unique you can think about wendam Clark he is the defending US Open champion after all but Manny is not in very good form gim me Oar if you did if you went maybe Scotty in tier one or maybe you went morawa in tier two you might think about wiam Clark in tier three but because I went Xander and Bryson I can afford to take a little bit more chalk I’ll take Oar in tier three tier four cam Smith Tommy Fleetwood zator Fitzpatrick fenal Hideki and Hatton as much as I hated tier three I love tier four we give me CAM Smith I I we’re going to see him on the betting card later this evening you’re going to see him in in you know a lot of my DFS lineups or maybe at the top of my player exposure love me some cam Smith the only player that I would not be inclined to take in tier four is zot Torres everybody I mean literally everybody else cam Smith Fleetwood Fitzpatrick fenale Hideki and Hatton I’d be happy to roster in a tiers contest but give me CAM Smith in tier four tier five spe Lowry tagala cam young J day Dustin Johnson m m Le well no thanks on DJ no thanks on cam young and sahit tala is one of my fades for the week so already we’re between Lowry spe and minwu Lee or J day I didn’t talk about him when we went through the price board it’s really about the irons he is one of the worst and I mean literally one of the worst rated irons in this field everything else is pretty solid spe I just don’t know if he’s fully healthy cuz his irons have been pretty bad too and despite his short game Wizardry you look at the around the green at least recently when it’s been difficult not great which again could be the fact that he hadn’t been fully healthy so I think I I think I’m off on speed because the iron’s been really bad really bad so in tier five I guess I’ll go with minw Le but if you have a strong feeling on a if you have a strong feeling on jday go ahead even Lowry for that matter even Lowry should be fine Lowry just doesn’t put Bermuda very well but anytime it’s difficult it should be okay like he’s generally okay when it’s difficult despite the fact that he shot a Nick number because that’s about what I would shoot on a regular course because it was bad um so yeah tier five I’ll go Min Le I don’t hate jday Jane Larry’s Fine if you have a strong feeling on spe okay but no thanks on DJ no thanks on cam Young no thanks on tagala lastly tier six Sergio tiger Phil Mickelson web Simpson what is this 2005 zinon kimer and Molinari this is all 2 like 10 all over again um um why not I mean web Simpson could be interesting but why not take Tiger have fun I think he’s he’s one of the two better ones in in this tier for me I’d be between web Simpson and tiger so give me tiger why not so this tier’s construction goes Xander in tier one tier two I’ll go Bryson uh tier three I’ll go ludvic Oar tier four we’ll go cam Smith but really anybody but zot tus in tier four I like a lot but I’m really high on cam Smith tier five I will go minw Le and tier six why not because I I never playing let’s go with a big cat why not all right let’s start making some classic lineups figure out where our fellow contestants are going in the big gpps and how we can maneuver around all the chalk so the first question you always have to ask yourself are you playing Scotty or you going to avoid him so let’s make two lineups one with and one without Scotty um Scotty and then in the 6ks we’ve got a couple of options CZ and 15% per fantasy National so this could be different but CZ at 15% Aaron Ry at close to 12 sep Shaka close to 13 I’m going to go to CZ and I love CZ this week I’m going to be using some CZ but combining sheffler and CZ is going to be pretty darn chalky and I imagine this is some of the problem with going to shler you might have to do a double six maybe this is Aaron Ry SE straa maybe they maybe they come up to a Keegan or an Alex nin at 6,900 either way you’re going to have to double six if you’re going to Scotty I think unless you just completely overload the low sevens but if our fellow contestants are going into this double six with Scotty now they’ve got some wiggle room here uh they don’t have to go to a sunj they can come up to hii at 8,000 gosh dang it they can come up to hii at 8,000 F now fits Tommy Fleetwood would absolutely fit in this but let’s try and see if we can’t get a Colin into this Colin just to highlight the Absurd ridiculous amount of ownership that these two players are gathering by the themselves look at that close to 20% on both of them so they’re going to have to jump off of this a little bit considering I don’t want I’m trying not to give them three 6ks I’m just highlighting the insane amount of ownership that that these players are generating instead of morawa we’ll go let’s go Tommy Tommy hii and then 78 hatton’s not getting a whole lot Burns maybe they come down to sunj that leaves them 700 92 kl’s no cam Smith maybe yeah well Hideki is the most chalky yeah whatever this leaves quite a bit on the on the table maybe they don’t use a double six maybe they move off a sunj come up a little bit to a Sam burn turns maybe but there’s a 16 165% projected match in your gpps this lineup is going to get duplicated a bunch just because of Scotty and Hideki and CZ sep straa is not all that unique either so I like all of these players really you just can’t put them all together that’s that’s the more of the story here if your fellow if our fellow contestants aren’t going to Scotty it looks like and maybe let’s try to build a balance line up here with Colin uh we use Tommy so let’s not do that let’s go Fitzpatrick hii shoot we can go do even more than that this is Tommy this is hii uh um at the bottom of this would probably be Sam Burns yeah I mean you can go Tony fenale even and 88 Cameron Smith like I I went a a lot further down just trying to highlight the Colin and Hadi route but 15 and a half% I mean that’s going to be pretty pretty popular as well more than likely this would be something to the effect of like Brooks Colin Fleetwood Hideki of that nature so more so probably looking like this Brooks Colin uh probably can squeeze in one more other than Hideki Sam Burns they might drop into the six yeah they might drop into the upper sixes maybe for like a Keegan or an Alex Alex noren’s getting a lot too um this again is you know Sam bur sunj let’s throw sunj into this I guess 86 100 off of of Cam Smith if you think that he’s going to be playable another 16% lineup here just horribly horribly popular not going to be able to combine these guys in these lineups if you’re wanting to be if you want to rise on your big gpps now if you’re playing 50/50s um or the payout structure is the same whether you finish first or barely make the cash then you know some of these lineups might work but if you’re really trying to gain a whole lot in these um what I call you know General gpps the priz structures that are so topheavy you’re just not going to be able to climb in those with all this ownership what’s the average ownership of the winning lineup in the million-dollar contest heard it’s best to have at least two players and try to get lucky yeah I mean that’s what that’s what it takes that’s that is what it takes you have to find like you said one if you’re really really confident in a player that’s like four or 5% owned you can probably get away with just that one unique play it takes one or two um and you can’t you can’t use like the four the four chalki guys you can’t use a Scotty I know this would be way overpriced but you can’t use a Scotty Colin Ai and then find one guy you’re not going to you’re not going to rise on the on the leaderboard enough because you’re going to be too chalky you have to find one or two guys and it being extremely unique So speaking of that let’s see how we can maneuver around all of that chalk that’s going on I’ve told you I’m in the 10ks quite a bit so let’s try to build a balanced lineup cuz I am I’m generally not in in the 9ks much at all maybe you’re not afraid of Victor hin he’s I mean he’s still a premier player in the world I have a little bit of concern but he’s certainly unique compared to Oar and especially compared to Colin moraca uh no I am not taking Patrick canay at all hey Gabe thanks for jumping in chat as you can see it’s it’s running a little bit over we we’ve got a full house uh this evening so thanks for jumping in chat and thanks for providing that ownership there Gabe uh and just for anyone who is watching if you’re not following Gabe over on social media you really are missing out he writes a very good article his social media handle is in my in the description to the show so if you’re not following him and subscribe to that article I I highly suggest you do so uh cuz he he he puts up a lot of good stuff um let’s try to complete this balance lineup here real quick and then we’ll make the lineups that I’ve been building so we’ll go Victor Look I I’m okay with maybe experimenting with a Windham Clark he is certainly very very unique I’m not going to do it a whole lot but it you know I wouldn’t mind doing it a time or two maybe this is a maxom as well um and then you know as we move down here into the eights you know find a player that you really really like um you know Hideki is very common but we are unique enough you could probably take keki Fitzpatrick should be fine let’s throw Tony fow into this I like Tony this week I think it should be pretty good what was the cul ownership at the Masters thought I saw the winning line had oberg and Sheffer I I don’t remember I’ve slept since then um and then here we don’t even have to to even flirt with the the sixes at all uh let’s do like a Terrell Hatton who should be pretty good um couple people mentioned Jay day you can actually throw him into this um and you’re at 7900 like maybe you’re not afraid of spe I’m not there minw Le is an option like you’re leaving quite a bit of money on the table with this but I’m just highlighting here how unique you really can get off of some of these other other uh players I understand Windham Clark is not in great form I I’m just highlighting the uniqueness here you got plenty of money to play with maybe you bring this up to Colin morala I mean even so you’re still only at 11% which is acceptable you’re going to get duplicated more than likely with this lineup but not not to the extreme that we saw 16% 15% um with the Scotty Sheffer lineups Tony F now seems like he’d fit this course very well Terell Hatton anytime it’s a major anytime um pars are good scores toell Hatton generally pretty useful so there’s a look at a Balan is type lineup that you can build and be pretty unique but I’m going to uh wrap up the show at least wrap up my lineups showing you the the the way I’ve been going um before I forget because I saw Taylor Moore do you know what his price is cuz I don’t I have not been there he is so you can see why I why I don’t know cuz he just raided out so terribly um for me like GH approach hasn’t been good greens boy avoidance like the putter is fine but that’s a lot to ask of your putter if all of this is going to be bad so I’m not there with Taylor Moore personally again i’ I’d much rather go to 100 more and go to Harris English especially because I know he plays us opens well uh but the lineups that I’ve been building most often again I’m just extremely high on Xander and I’ve mentioned a few of the 6K plays that we can get off of sez chalk we all I’ll eat some CZ chalk absolutely but we can get off of the sez chalk we mentioned Ryan Fox could be worthwhile um I mentioned Harris English who I’m going to use McCarthy’s not terrible burm is not terrible I’ll throw Harris English into this we might have to do a double six I’m trying not to but Xander Brooks ER Bryson I think Xander morawa might be a little bit too chalky so let’s go Bryson into this um definitely going to have to probably do a another six here uh just because there’s so many players in the eight that I like and we only have 7200 um another six you can think about McCarthy Dean burmaster I mentioned Adam Scott I don’t hate at all let’s thr Adam Scott into this if we’re we’re going to go with the with the 8 for8 narrative on Harris English I mean Adam Scott is like 10 for 12 generally pretty safe to make the cut so now we have 7,400 we can go sunj I I saw somebody mention Ben on I’m not in love with Ben on but he certainly rid it out okay sunj again I’m not terribly close with Cory Conor i’ really like Tom Kim or Sam Burns this is more than likely Sam Burns for me but let’s thr Tom Kim into one uh who’s been playing very very well we got 7500 left Cameron young I’m out there that’s jayday it’s Min Le Sam Burns Let’s do let’s do Min Le I like men wo more than J day you’re at a 10 and a half% with arguably one of the favorites for the tournament two of the favorites of the tournament Min Le is a little speculative but I mean plenty of length sixth in putting on Lightning Bermuda greens he’s two for two at uh major CH at us opens excuse me Tom Kim and the form he’s in he’s two for two at us opens these two have been great at us opens this is a lineup that I’m probably going to write down and and submit in one of my contests I like that lineup quite a bit and you can maneuver it around a little bit cuz you have 200 to play with so those are the kind of lineups that I’ve been building most often I try not to do double sixes too often I’m okay with doing it but I’m I’m really high on Xander um I’ve been kind of ignoring the 9ks I’ll I’m sure I’ll have some more aawa I might have lud VI a little bit I’ll have Windam Clark a time or two just because I mean he’s at 4% but I’m really more so in the eights so instead like we could go Xander cam Smith Fitzpatrick or you know around that that area you have any round one Showdown lineups you recommend if I ever do Showdown it’s generally like weekend or round three and round four I generally and that’s why I don’t do first round leader like first round leader Market I’ve I am so focused on entire week um that I just generally don’t leave myself time for first round type stuff um the one thing that I would do and I and and especially for the US Open I don’t see it based on the forecast like a lot of times in show a first round Showdown you could try to like gain the advantage by wave stacking I don’t see a wave Advantage uh tomorrow even though the um lower sustained winds are in the morning I we also saw that the gusts were higher in the morning so I just don’t see I don’t see a wave Advantage tomorrow or I mean or at all Thursday and Friday um hey David I don’t know if I um said hello to you I think you kind of got mixed in with uh everybody else’s chat but uh thanks for jumping in Brian Harmon’s always solid Brian Harman wa raided out well for me as well I do worry the fact that he generally doesn’t play the longest courses the best and his around the green has been a little suspect but you see I mean he rided out 12 just due to the fact that he’s played us opens well fairly unique so I don’t hate it um I don’t hate it by any means um but thanks to you jumping in chat I’ve got some questions to answer and I’m I’m going to be over in gabes substack chat here momentarily but I have awaken and Zach and Derek P David and G Gabe so thanks to all of you all for jumping in chat it was a full house this evening love it uh enjoy interacting with you all let’s see the poll question let’s see how evil you people really are what do you want the winning score to be I see the majority of you all answered minus three or minus 4 which is probably where about where I’m at I want it to be difficult but I want it to be fair minus five are better there’s a couple of you all that or there’s a few of you all that seemed evil even or worse I don’t know if I want if I want that uh my answer would probably be-3 -4 or maybe minus5 or better I want it to be tough but fair I want you to be rewarded for good shots and sometimes the USGA just sets it up to where it’s um just blatantly unfair I don’t want that but as long as people are rewarded for good shots I’m I’m genuinely happy so there’s my answer to the poll question last thing is one and done uh I was in first going into the memorial I I picked sunjay who finished top 10 so I didn’t think I would lose that much but several people picked Colin morawa at least in the division I’m in so I fell to third or fourth I’m still right there uh within Striking Distance this is the US Open I’m going take Xander he might be he might be the chalky US Open pick don’t care I’m very confident that he is going to put up a good performance he might not win I’m just very confident he’s going to put up a good perform good performance Xander Schley is my oneand done pick so thanks to all of you all that jumped in chat thanks to everyone else out there who tuned in watched listened supported the channel by liking the videos commenting and subscribing I always appreciate it love what I do taking an in-depth look at sports statistics uh giving you a statistician and data analyst view of what he sees and trying to help us all win a little bit of money little bit of money in the process some weeks I do some weeks not so much um reminder that gab’s social media handle is in the description he writes an amazing article every week you really are missing out if you’re not subscribed so go follow him over on social media and subscribe to that article because if you do you’re going to be able to join us in his substack chat uh here moment as soon as the the stream stops I’ll be jumping over into his substack chat we’ll be continuing the DFS talk trying to finalize some lineups over there it’s always a a very fun discussion over in his chat as well so thanks to everyone for all the support for all of the Wagers you have made for the US Open for all the DFS contests you play this week for the US Open for this weekend and every weekend may all your bets be profitable
