Golf Players

Top 100 Prospects for 2024 Mailbag



Intro: 0:00
Splits: 9:41
Brewers: 14:34
Mariners: 21:50
Zac Veen: 30:10
Brandon Sproat: 34:08
Calaz/Murphy: 37:38
Brailer Guerrero: 43:20
Carson Williams: 46:05
Pirates: 51:25
White Sox: 58:00
Draft Prospects: 1:01:0

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top 100 mailbag episode of the call up I’m arum Leighton he’s Jack McMullan and we fielded your questions on Twitter mostly a little bit of Instagram a little bit of everywhere thank you so much for all the questions that were fired away I’m G to spend some time later today getting to the questions on Twitter uh and Instagram that maybe we didn’t get to in the episode because I do want to answer as many as we can on this top 100 update since there was so much movement and there were so many new faces of course as always the episode or the the article is linked in the episode description Jack there’s one thing I want to start with before we get into the top 100 and it’s Southern League numbers again I didn’t think we’d be talking about the doublea southern League uh which is one of the smaller leagues but it’s only eight teams and last year because of that I think they figured oh this is a great place to to I think treat the players as guinea pigs so they Ed the tax baseballs as you may remember last year uh through the first half of the Season spit out some egregious numbers uh that we would get from Fast balls induce vertical break all that good stuff quickly they realized this is not going to work we didn’t hear about it and they haven’t really done anything with it since there was a total drop off in K’s when they pulled the ball out of circulation I believe it was like July 9th no words on anything ball wise this year right like there’s as far as we’re concerned it’s back to normal normal stuff but I noticed something weird and I’d had some people tweeting at me like hey I’ve kind of noticed that some of the players in the Southern League like have a 760 Ops and their WRC plus is like 130 uh and then I was looking at like Matt Shaw and like Matt Shaw is a guy that if you look at the slash line seems like he’s struggling but if you look at the WRC plus he’s doing just fine so I dove deeper into it we got some weird stuff Jack so since 1988 I went and pulled all of the lowest slugging percentages by individual teams eight teams every year since 19 88 three of the teams on this year’s league in this year’s League have the lowest slugging percentage since 1988 Mississippi at 305 Rocket City at 308 deluy at 316 five of the eight teams are in the bottom 11 since 1988 it’s early we’ll see but it’s pretty weird yeah uh fully coincidence let’s move on how is it not to do with the baseballs like they’re going to do some weird [ __ ] to the southern league and I feel so bad for southern League prospects and you know like again we’ve we had such a disclaimer with Southern league pitching prospects it sucks it sucked like you can’t properly assess and we gave Owen casy bonus points for hitting 290 with tack balls for half the year and we gave Jefferson Carol bonus points for holding his own as a young and with tack baseballs for half the year are we giving guys bonus points for a 670 Ops now in the southern League we need this stuff to be readily available to us and it took a essentially a tell all from baseball America breaking the news that they were using Tac Baseballs in the southern League yeah it was not announced it was a ba article I wanted us to the bunch and and they’ve been doing it they mixing them in for a little bit before that too like I had had players tell me year before that every once in a while they’d get some weird balls mixed in that were different and we were I think we were gonna do it Baseball America of course because they’re on it and they’re the gold standard vas and and they had a whole detailed amazing piece on it that really opened our eyes to another degree too but after that and the Optics of that I I don’t want to put the tin foil cap on but like would you be surprised if they said hey let’s keep is closer to our vest we don’t tell anybody the pitchers aren’t going to know the difference and let’s try a different baseball here uh that maybe I don’t know what the difference is here but clearly it’s not flying as far I just find it hard to believe that slugging is down across the whole league and I know that uh I know you got a really good pitching staff over there in Birmingham I don’t think that they’re uh calling everybody across the entire league um yeah like do you think it’s conspiracy theorists to say that they’re using some dead baseballs out there or do you think that it’s just a slow start and coincidental in the league I when I see four or three of the lowest since yeah 1988 like consecutively three you know if it was like mixed in there like the first worst and the sixth and the eighth like maybe it’s just a slow start this year and the pitching’s good in the league but when it’s one two and three and then like five and 11 it it’s something’s up I would be curious to see kind of a dive into to eeve and launch where balls are ending up like hey you know this ball was hit 108 at 29 and it didn’t get out like that that’s really where i’ would be sounding the alarms I think yeah um so I’d be curious about that kind of data in the southern league but I I think like the historical significance you bring to this makes me think it’s far beyond a coincidence yeah it’s oh you know three of the bottom what eight since 1988 like when when you have to go back that far and it’s that drastic that passes any level of coincidence it’s it’s three of the bottom three since 1988 and then you got five of 11 um the last thing I’ll mention is you got a slugging percentage of 341 in this league right now it’s a 652 Ops The League average Ops is 652 and some of these environments are really favorable to hit in I look at buuy and buuy that’s Place we’ve seen that place be a LaunchPad especially to to left field and Buu’s one of the lowest slinging percentages we’ve seen in the League’s you know history since we’ve been tracking this thing 700 Ops last year a slugging percentage of 400 last year so 60 points lower pretty weird so I would say we don’t totally know what’s going on but for whatever reason I would take some of the offensive output with a grain of salt uh from some of these guys there and that is an Edgar Caro you know that that has not produced the same way this year as he did last year though he has been heating up that is a Matt Shaw I think that is some of the other guys in that League a Jacob Marc a Nathan martarella who started to struggle the second they left the other league and I think that’s an interesting case study too um both of them are swinging it better now so I think that is an interesting Wrinkle in it but we’ve got a lot of questions to get to so we might as well jump right into them Jack do you want to lead us through the questions you want me to lead us through them how do you want to go about it I’m happy to lead us through uh real quick what did you say The League average Ops was in the southern League 641 695 in the eastern league or sorry it’s 652 excuse me 695 in the eastern league you shouldn’t yeah you should not see a 45o drop off in Ops from one quote unquote pitcher friendly league in daa to the other quote unquote pitcher friendly league in doua yeah how many runs a game you have that in front of you um 4.48 3.81 dude that’s for dou a what’s the slug the slug is 341 yeah 370 big difference huge difference that’s weird stuff we will be digging I will be doing some investigated journalism here and figure out what the hell is going on also how about the two most Electric call-ups in Major League Baseball history before we get into these questions DJ hers and Duke Ellis DJ hers of the Nats got CAU up yeah TJ hers is up for the gats um he’ll his major league debut I assume as a starter um he had a good start last week I he might have had two good starts last week and then Duke Ellis the breaking news report James Fegan who is at socks machine sources confirm the White Sox are calling up outfielder Duke Ellis from daa 26y old hitting 258 341 308 but is a speed and defense Merchant called him a merchant Merchant yeah I know 34 for 35 and stolen bases on the season well he is in the Southern league so cut him some slack yeah in the slugging Department he flies uh but making that jump from double A is pretty absurd I thought he was an or guy to be honest yeah he’s a big Le I’m really happy I mean that is awesome for him another so rare instance where and not that rare I guess on the cape but technically a kuit Kier on that 2019 team so another big leager on that 2019 team but he did get cut and then go to Brewster for the second half of that season but that is another another uh Peter flarity created Masterpiece over there another big leager out of that 2019 kou kers ball Club so there we go oh congratulations to Duke Ellis and I mean who would have thought so that’s really exciting and then hers let’s see what happens man like you know what can happen when he’s on uh the stuff is is crazy I haven’t seen what he’s done lately oh well he’s coming off of a start against St Paul where he went five in a third one run two hits 10ks so I’m pumped let’s see what he can do it’s with where the are at I think it’s a great time to give him a shot 100% all right let’s jump into this mailbag here I’ve got 11 questions between X and Instagram uh first one comes from X this is Charlies with a four instead of an A on X love the work so hey how about golf clap arm love the work how much do you guys analyze potential split issues in prospects analysis more for left-handed hitters than right-handed hitters just because they see less lhp and miners uh we see team’s platoon players now even top former top prospects he cited Lux batty Evan Carter torque got option because of struggles versus right-handed pitching excellent question I I think this bakes into the conversation that you and I have been kind of actively having as we continue to try to kind of conceptualize the way we want to approach prospects analysis and rankings and things like that and it’s the role aspect so I think it really dep depends on the player and what their role is going to be for certain players when we’re talking about Tanner showel of the twins yeah that’s everything because he needs to demolish lefties because that kind of seems like the role he would be in he’s not gonna if you look at it cumulatively against lefties and righties he’s not going to be a guy that slugs a ton he might not hit enough to be an everyday player but if he can absolutely Mash lefties then there’s a rule for him as a versatile infielder a James Wood who’s a left-handed hitter who would be crushing the dominant uh you know larger sample of of what he’s going to see even even though you’re going to see more lefties in Major League Baseball he’s so good and so talented in the ceiling is so high that I think it would probably be a a 10% consideration if that because there’s so many really good players that are so dominant against righties that the shorter side of that platoon as long as they have good plate disciplin and get by you can make that happen and you can survive just fine so I think it depends on the player and it depends on on what they do so like if it’s a guy with great plate discipline I won’t be as worried about the splits because as you always say Jack walks don’t slump so if you’re gonna hit 150 against lefties but you get on base at a 320 clip that’s fine is if you’re pulverizing righties so I think it’s very Case by case uh but I also think it’s it really depends on the role if it’s a hit tool driven guy I don’t want to see splits yeah you know that’s that’s a big part of it if it’s reverse splits or you know again it’s it’s it’s a right-handed situation where you know you’re not hitting as well against guys that you’re going to see more of that’s of course going to be a factor but left on left I really don’t care to Too Much unless it’s a very hit tool driven guy I mean even though Luis Aras doesn’t have the best splits against lefties and you know I think that doesn’t really hold him back much right I I feel like it’s something that you know you take into account yeah I feel like the only time you you know dock a guy for splits is if if it is like egregious and you are an absolute liability and you know there are very few guys especially in the top 100 that are absolute liabilities against one-h handedness of pitching um if you’ve got a left-handed hitter that you know is Ops under 500 against left-handed pitching then you start to sound the alarms but I I feel like if it’s you know 150 Point drop off in Ops or something and a guy like hey he’s got a 900 Ops against right-handed pitching but he’s down to you know 690 or 700 it’s something to monitor but he’s not a liability yeah I think that’s a great uh Wrinkle in it as well is it can’t be egregious right it can’t be a situation where because and it can be like he could still be a top prospect but you have to evaluate the role like jock Peterson extremely talented player extremely valuable has made a lot of money and has accumulated enough war and and you know is is a successful big Leaguer but you have to adapt what maybe that role will look like as a big leager because you know you can’t put him left on left so that means he’s taking the bulk of a uh and that capses his upside from a war perspective and and just an overall value so that doesn’t mean he’s not a top 100 guy but that would maybe hold him back from the tier one and I think you really start to split those hairs when you get to the top top top tier players and I think that’s where um you know you can start to see that matter a little bit more because we’re separating guys within you know a couple percentage points of of things at that point but I think it’s a really good question and and ultimately it is Case by case but when guys are able to keep it from you know being egregious like you said it’s mostly worth putting up with maybe some struggles left on left 100 per. all right next question that we’ve got comes from at dinga 34 um I think he has red hair also David Ortiz fan 34 right he asks this was on X by the way uh what do you see the best move for the Brewers to do with Jefferson Caro since they have a top three catcher in baseball locked up for the next few years similar question to black as it seems like he’s blocked at the moment should they wait it out until there’s more clarity at first base again that’s dinga 34 on X Twitter Carol I think is a fascinating conversation black I don’t know like I I feel like that’s the kind of guy because he’s middle back end of the top 100 you figure out a place to get his Bat in the lineup Koo so much of his value is defensively he won the Minor League go love last year and you’ve got a guy that you know is running with adley Rutman as the best catcher in baseball at the moment in William Contreras who I think just hit arbitration it is a fascinating question the Brewers can put it on the back burner because Carol’s out for the entire year next year he’ll open in Triple A because he only has what like five six games in Triple A under his belt or maybe even less than that I know I I don’t even know if he got to Triple he did he s he got hurt in triple A oh true true true so it would have been two games it was two games like second a game and a half there you go so second game of the season so he will open next year in Triple A but they’re going to hit a decision around the allstar break next year and how do you think they should approach that decision that’s a I mean man I I think black it seems like there’s a more direct path to abs for uh when you look at the the situation especially when you’re probably going to lose I couple infielders in general and and we’ll see you know just how they decide to go about some of the things in this offseason black I think is a pretty easier you find a spot for him and and he’ll find an opportunity I think next year Koo is an interesting one because you don’t find catchers like this often where you have Elite def defensive potential above average power the guy makes a lot of contact and that’s why he’s been a top 30 Prospect for us for a while here like he’s his special talent but at the same time where does he fit in now that William contras has also turned into a really solid Defender uh do do you split time there and and get contarus off of his you know out of the Crouch a little bit maybe but Koo as you mentioned is a guy that gives you so much value by playing consistently back there and and giving you just defensive ability period so I I think the good news is is that they have another year now to sort this out out of something so bad with the shoulder issue and and he’s going to come back next year and then he’s going to need to play you know that during the year and still prove through a full season that he’s ready but let’s operate under the assumption Jack that he does that right he comes back his shoulders right and and he ends up playing really well and we’re in July you obviously call him up to help you know make your push and you have two really talented catchers and we saw that you know happen in in Toronto we also see in Toronto how quickly things can turn on their head I don’t think that happens with a William contras but you know he could get hurt you never know what can happen and then the drop off is so dramatic because the the difference between starter and backup catcher in Major League Baseball is probably as dramatic as any position in the sport and you know the teams that have a guy waiting in the wings like that always have the edge and and it’s a different level of depth that nobody can really match you want to have that but how do you get any value out of caro if he’s not catching four days a week so I wish I had an answer but I don’t really know I I think part of it probably has to go with do they feel like they can extend William conteras because think about that you’re gonna have this another year here of of control eaten up and then you’re going to have another year next year eaten up so like Carol can be in that backup role for a year or two or a year and a half and you’ll you’ll find ways to filter him in knowing that he will be your guy next because you can’t pay William conteras I think that’s going to ultimately be the the way they go about it and I think we’ll start to see canas catch a little bit less DH a little bit more and it’ll be frustrating that Caro does not catch as much as he should but it’s just going to be the the circumstance and I think ultim that’s going to be what they do because it seems unlikely that they pay a contras maybe they do knowing that the the yellich deal will starting will be starting to come to an end there all their other guys are very controllable they’re they’re pitching you know they didn’t pay Burns maybe that’ll be the way they go about it but I think that makes the most sense to me man I don’t think they pay William I think your thinking is spoton I I think when he gets too expensive and he’s making the minimum right now or a little bit over the minimum he’s at 7669 at this point um but ARB one is next year and Carol you think can spend at least half the year in Triple A when he’s back healthy next year if he comes up he shows well you can start to survey the market going into ARB 2 for contris but he’s gonna get too expensive he’s gonna come in at a very high number in ARB one next year and he’s gonna get that very high number because he is a top two top three catcher in the game I think they are going to get priced out of him much similar to how I think it’s going to go with Devin Williams I think they’re going to get priced out of Devin Williams in ARB three next year and I think that this offseason is the one that they move Devin Williams in because he’s going to be a very expensive ARB three and they’re not going to pay him at free agency I think the Brewers operate a lot more similarly to the Rays than many may you know expect and many may want to think but I do think that they end up trading contras at some point and Carol is the guy but you know like I I don’t want to say it bought them time Carol getting hurt kind of did kind of got him a year it did and I think ultimately too Carol is gonna be a better Defender like you’ve seen contos come so far defensively and it’s it’s really awesome to see and he was he graded out really well last year but I think ultimately especially as you know contus gets closer to 30 there’s going to be a big difference I think in what Carol is going to be able to bring to the table from a receiving and and and just I every component there of the game and look at what Gary like their their DH and the guy that they’ve been kind of rolling out there a lot is Gary Sanchez a guy that can still catch too and uh isn’t really catching so I I think it could be that type of role and it’s a bit more of a time share behind home plate uh but you at the end of the day the biggest thing with with contras is the bat and they’ll keep that in the lineup and then I agree I think they cash in later on similar to like what we saw with the Corbin Burns there and and they got Carol right there waiting in the wings um it’s unfortunate that that’s the real of it but if you’re if that is your reality having Edgar Carol waiting in the wings and I think it can make it a lot more tolerable for Brewers fans to put up with or sorry what did I say Edgar oh Edgar Jefferson Carol Jefferson Carol yes can’t keep confusing the Carol catchers man no not related not related which is I mean they don’t look very related but you know I I think it is wild that you got two guys in the southern League that they were last year were both in the southern League named Carol and catchers and were the two best catchers in the league too uh which is which is pretty cool but uh another good question though yeah uh next one comes from uh Alex Lions the guy on X justor Lions on X are the Mariners the most underrated system in Major League Baseball and how close was Logan Evans to making the list two-parter let’s start with the back question how close was Logan Evans Evans is doing right now is is is awesome and I know Alex has been in my reply about Logan Evans nonstop nonstop and I get it because he’s like already quickly become the best pitching Prospect in that system now all of a sudden pretty much right unless I’m forgetting somebody like it’s it’s wild how thin the Mariners are pitching wise and you know the way that he’s been able to just emerge and be such a solid arm for them I think you’re seeing really good pitch ability and I think you’re seeing a guy that’s a high floor high probability Big leue Arm kitchen SN type of approach I just don’t know if the stuff is enough for me as a top 100 guy it is Javier aadish though and so like Assad’s the kind of guy that you never put him in a top 100 because you just you’re skeptical that it plays at the big league level and then he has the pitch ability to make it happen I think Logan Evans can do that but when I look at like a sheer stuff perspective I just don’t know if I see a top 100 guy just yet maybe through more starts and maybe just to be honest I got to watch him pitch more something will stand out to me a little bit more I mean the guy throws a slider a sinker a fast ball a curveball a cutter and a change up and he throws them all for for a strike at a pretty decent clip doesn’t get a ton of whiff does get a lot of ground balls and strikes out more guys than you think because of the way that he can kind of get guys looking and sequence and just keep them off balance I think even since we’ve done the Mariners top prospects he’s climbed for sure but just probably not possessing the stuff that I would look for in a top 100 guy but sometimes those are the guys that end up never making the top 100 list and end up being better than a lot of the arms in the top 100 list it’s just I don’t know if I see enough stuff there at this point yeah well it’s also a matter of like this is year one of the Excellence sample you know like maybe he had a brief Cameo what at the end of last year but this year has really been his breakout so you know how much stock are you placing into two months at this point and it’s really tough to place that stock into two months when you have minimal pedigree like what you have with Logan Evans it’s a different thing when you’ve got you know a couple million dollar intern National free agent like celan or with or with Starling cabba that you know made their way into the top 100 it’s another thing when you have a popup College arm that is having an out of- body experience or two months like I’ve seen plenty of those in high and doua I know you’ve seen plenty of those in high and dou a and you know like it’s hard to keep that sustained through the minor leagues up to the big leagues now what I will say is Bryce Miller was not a firstr talent at A&M and he’s turned into a good major leue starter Brian woo was at St Louis abiso he was not thought of as a first round arm whatsoever and he’s kept that going to the big league so if there’s any organization where those guys Thrive it’s in Logan evans’s situation but you know like we need to see more than two months and those guys were top 100 prospects pretty quickly because I saw some characteristics in their stuff that I thought would translate to big leag success especially with the fast balls right you saw some very unique components and and ridiculous whift numbers and those tied in when I look at Evans the Sinker is unique enough to where I think he can be a guy that that gets out to the big league level uh getting 18 inches of horizontal is great but below average extension the velocity jumped which is nicer than it’s gotten right to the point where it’s it’s just about average but then all the other stuff it’s like it’s a bunch of average pitches and and he can mix and match those and and that’s a solid potential back end the rotation arm I just struggle with the upside and you know there’s always risk that he doesn’t locate as well as he gets to the higher levels and things like that and then all of a sudden he’s fighting to try to get into a rotation there’s a risk with anybody but considering that risk I want to have some upside to offset that and with Logan Evans it’s like what is the upside at that point Beyond this I think he’s a big league starter I think he’ll probably be closer to a four or five starter uh but yeah just just not enough there yet I’m open-minded though I’m I’m I’m excited to watch him keep throwing and maybe something will stand out to me as I watch some more starts but at this point um just just not enough there just yet but the the Mariners did it again they found another good one and I do think will’ll be a good piece for them now part one of that question are the Mariners the most underrated farm system in Major League Baseball so I mean let’s look at just the the top 100 list here and we got six top 100 from the Mariner system I think top 60 does anybody else have that many besides the Orioles uh Cubs I think have one two three four five six so I I mean they’re they’re up there I guess Define underrated I like what do they get any any coverage like do people not give them respect at this point I guess I guess they could be underrated from the respect that people aren’t on farelo and ceston as much but I feel like glm is pretty big following Colt Emerson has become like uh I think almost overloved at points where people are like highlighting him as you know the next number one guy potentially and then Cole Young you know we’re we love him as much as anybody and and he’s the 21st ranked Prospect for us so but at the same time everybody has Cole Young he’s a consensus top 50 Prospect so yeah I don’t know if it’s underrated but I do think that maybe there’s a level of of upside throughout this system that does potentially get overlooked because we’re not even talking about you know Tai Pete who’s extremely talented uh that we’re not even talking about a Jonathan class and some of these other toolsy fun players a Jeter Martinez things like that I I think I’d probably go in another direction for most underrated but I do think that people don’t give the Mariners quite enough love farm system wise but I mean everybody knows about Cole Young Colt Emerson Harry Ford and and Lazar montis I feel like yeah I think they’re properly R is one of the best that’s that’s my thing and our conversations about the Mariners is it’s a very topheavy farm system like once you get that outside the top 10 you’re kind of grasping its straws I feel like and you know that that is where I think an organization pushes to underrated where like hey the 20th best guy in that system is still a damn solid Prospect I don’t know if that’s the case with Seattle right now but their top eight is so good it’s so strong and I feel like they are properly rated as one of the better Farm systems in all baseball I could see it getting there to the point where that the depth starts to shine through and they become underrated if you look at like Ben Williamson keeps doing what he’s doing um we just talked about Logan Evans another guy that you know is obviously doing some really good things uh and then you know ageta Martinez starts throwing the way that you know we know he’s he’s potentially capable of yeah then I think I could start to see it more but yeah I do think that people are kind of aware of their guys and and they are a little bit topheavy a little bit too topheavy to you know quote unquote underrated I guess yeah uh question number four this comes from at Daran bust Man 2 on X um no Zack van question mark been out a couple weeks but has looked rejuvenated do you want to how do you want to share how long he was in the top 100 he was in the back end for like a week we uh he was spot it was like in actually until when so article was published I want to say like noon on Monday he was in the top 100 until midnight on Sunday yeah maybe um yeah right around then they we there’s been no information on the injury by the way that I can find anywhere it’s been weeks now with which is weird I never realized how rough of a defender in the Outfield he is and that one that’s really what kind of nudged me off there’s it’s a culmination of things we have 28 game sample where he looks good he looks like Zack V has looked in the past uh and and that’s exciting and that’s 100% elevated him but it’s 28 games he’s still running an inzone contact rate of 73% in that stretch he’s still putting up big whiff and Chase numbers against breaking balls uh and I mean nothing’s jumping off the page from an exit velocity standpoint or anything like that uh he’s hitting the ball harder and he’s elevating which is the part that I really like and there’s again he there’s a lot of things that I like here that that have him rising up and that’s why he was right on the list until the very end but we’re talking about a guy here that still has some big struggles with breaking balls still I think the underlying contact rates Point towards you know maybe that normalizing a little bit more as as the season progresses another injury as he’s been out for a few weeks and we don’t know what it is and the defense put me over the edge like I was willing to tolerate all of that and throw him in the back end then I watched every Fly ball that he has fielded this year or not fielded and and last year and like it wasn’t Gabriel Gonzalez bad but you can start to understand why a guy with Elite Speed is not playing center field yeah because that that’s what really sent me down that rabbit hole I’m like this guy’s Elite Wheels gazelle out there potentially why is he not playing center field until you you literally just can’t try it anymore he’s already he’s 22 to already move as such a speedy guy out of there and and he was playing mostly left last year yeah that was kind of telling the reads are are like it’s Happy Feet right like he looks super uncomfortable um drifting losing balls double turning around I was shocked to see how uncomfortable he was out there and maybe he’s just a guy that is not going to be able to track baseballs that well um that hurts a lot for a guy of his profile now he’s for sure a corner he’s got a slug we’ve already established that he’s not going to slug the way that we had once hoped but he he’s starting to tap into more okay well then he needs to hit we already established that he’s not going to hit the way that we had once hoped either so if it’s average hit average power plus speed in left with average plate discipline is that a top 100 Prospect to you no that’s ultimately where I landed it killed me to disappoint you like that too I know you P he might be really good I don’t know that’s just what I see right now is what that’s what I see yeah no you pissed me off so we’re done we’ll do the second part of the mailbag tomorrow yeah uh we’ve got a Brandon spro question before that quick break okay so at McAdam Pat on X asked one of the 510 Brandon Sprout questions we got love seeing Sprout Skyrocket to 50 any shot we see him Scott and Tidwell all in the 2025 rotation for the Mets I’ll save you the answer yes they’ll all be in the 2025 rotation for the Mets we were talking is that on the call up yesterday when we said Sprout could be up at the end of this year I think I think it was it might have been on the just baseball show but I I 100% believe Sprout’s gonna be up by the end of this year college arm now pitching as efficiently as ever we talked about the three consecutive seven inning starts only four walks in that span as opposed to 24 strikeouts I cut up the highlights by the way I tweeted out I just before we we went live so I’m excited for you to go watch that after we record that that outing on on Sunday comical comical stuff we talked about it but like really cutting up all the video again the swings on his spinker the swings on his fast ball that touched 102 touched triple digits several times and just should be throwing strikes the way that he is he’s going to be up soon and and he’s obviously special special arm I think it’s just about can he stay healthy and can he continue this trend of throwing strikes Tidwell it’s it’s the same question can he you know continue his trend of throwing strikes and his Trend hasn’t been as dramatic I don’t know if we’ll see Tidwell this year but we’ll for sure see him by next year uh turns 23 in like four days actually he’s been throwing really well really really well overall I think he’s probably he definitely is going to be the last guy to get up there yeah but I think what we’re seeing from Tidwell is is pretty impressive too the walks have have jumped a bit in Triple A but he’s managed them well we got two starts and trips 11 and twoth thirs innings eight walks but only two earned runs five strikeouts which is weird uh so unique stuff there but he’s been throwing well Tidwell is the only one that like he’s gonna have to be performing and we’ll see uh he was another guy that was considered for the top 100 but just just not quite except that there’s some similarities to mcder mcder has a little bit more back record of just getting outs at the upper levels but I do think that Tidwell could ultimately be better uh there’s just you know a lot of dependency on the slider cutter right now uh but I think no doubt we see all three next year imagine singing happy birthday to a guy named blade happy early birthday blade but like happy birthday dear blade that’s crazy shout out you blade it is a cool name happy early birthday it’s um what is it laser Blazer um dodgeball right I feel like blade fits into dodgeball with glob also if you’re if you’re a pitcher that throws hard and and just has nasty stuff name blade it’s yeah that’s sharp I like it yeah couple of tough names James outman is a very tough name and Grant ball for yeah Bal is tough um Aaron bummer is a really bad one for that um there was another one oh man I’ll think of it I don’t know not right now um let’s jump to a two-parter for from at up next MB on X and they ask two questions I feel like they’re both kind of quick answers here was Robert kalaz on the just missed list and two was Owen Murphy’s TJ a big reason for putting schwell and Bach ahead of him or do you just like SS that much Spencer schwellenbach that much let’s start with the kalaz one uh kalaz is what big money Rocky Robert kalaz yes yeah yeah hits the living crap out of the ball so definitely was considered I don’t know if it was like a just just miss but he was probably like a just miss from the just missed I mean there’s a lot to like there and and he’s super super toolsy massive power potential I mean we’re talking about a guy that’s already popping 111s at the complex at 18 years old but just a lot of whiff and a lot of slack to the swing and I like a guy that I think people are gonna get really excited about they’re gonna see the numbers they might see a couple the EVS from the the Rockies development account although I don’t know if I’ve ever seen if they even have one they might be one of the few teams that doesn’t have the Rockies player development or team player development Twitter account unless I’m mistaken uh but he he’s super super loud and it’s exciting but when you have those kind of lift numbers at the complex and and and really seem to struggle to recognize breaking balls I just I can’t bet on a hit tool that right now looks like a a 20 or 30 so I I that’s the reason why he he didn’t quite make the cut but hitting the ball as hard as pretty much any teenager in professional baseball so that part is exciting but when I’m whenever we put these complex guys in that that do make the the rankings it’s largely based on the mechanics of the swing and whether I think and then the underlying data and whether we think that that’s going to translate to Lowa success and I just don’t know if I see that with Kass just yet it could get there and then you know he can make some adjustments in the offseason and be there and then all of a sudden boom he explodes but at this point that swing just doesn’t look like it’s going to play in Lowa and he’s going to probably face some adversity and and have to make some adjustments it feels like there needs to be a perfect storm for a guy of the complex to make the top 100 and there are what like three guys where the stars truly align and it becomes a perfect storm for them and you know there needs to be value really in like all facets I feel like for a complex guy to be you know fully a top 100 Prospect I I know kind of like a big name is that a big name in the card Market or just a big name in The Niche Prospect Circle on Twitter that I’ve found myself now what Kaz yeah think a little bit of both um I think yeah and I think just people start to catch when to the EVs and see some of the tape measure shots and then became a little bit of both I think Dynasty people are excited about him too because you have a guy that’s hitting 111 you know 111 M hour shots at 18 and you know that the goal is to ultimately play in you know course field so I think people get very excited about that but yeah I love the point that you bring up is like Kaz like initially signed as a center fielder already playing right uh yeah so he’s gonna have to really Mash whereas staling cabba is one of the best defensive Short Stops I’ve seen at the lower levels uh with Fel celon it’s the same story and a switch hitter with with plus speed like those are the guys that are that are getting in even a Brer Guerrero big power as well similar EVS but he also is rarely swinging in through fast balls and already showing the ability to recognize Spin and I like the swing mechanics better so and also a little bit more athletic in the Outfield so those are the things that I think kind of go into it can’t transition to Brer Guerrero just yet we have to answer question two from up next milb on X Owen Murphy’s TJ big reason for schwellenbach ahead of him I I feel like both those guys could have ended up in the top 100 if if Murphy didn’t blow out yeah I mean it would have been a it would have been a conversation for sure um I Murphy was going to be in like and I we we talked about it like every time I watch that guy throw I text you and I was just like this is this is crazy this fast ball is and we were talking Bryce Miller earlier like when I pulled just what that would compare to at the big wi level was Bryce Miller Christian Javier level of of of you know I think what his fast ball does characteristic wise uh her characteristically we saw him dominate with that in hiy but at the same time it is Hy and this was a 60 to 65% fastball usage we’ve seen precedent of of that working when you’ve got that kind of unique fastball and it has helped that his velocity jumped at least even one tick uh this year before before unfortunately going down the slider being better helped I I just I think with schwellenbach you have a little bit more of a complete Arsenal here um I think it would have been very close where they would have just been one a one b and I would have had to really dive into it I would have had three more ow and mury starts to dive into from him this year and I might have leaned towards him just because of the age uh but yeah so that the the Tommy John like you have to also think about this while Murphy wasn’t throwing for three weeks Schwan Bach put put together a couple of the best starts of his career and then put together a quality start at the big league level uh whereas Murphy was not pitching and then went down with TJ so it’s a little bit hard to to think about what where I would have been uh had Murphy not gotten hurt but I’d like to think that I probably would have been leaning towards Murphy assuming that he was continuing to do this and maybe even got a couple starts in double because of the youth he’s still just 20 years old fastball characteristics and the improvements we’ve seen with the slider but it is two pitches there whereas schwanen Bach can come at you with with five uh and and and all of them are pretty solid so it would have been really really close uh but I I could have really see myself go either way on that one and unfortunately the decision was kind of made for us with with the uh news of of Murphy going down yeah um all right next question from at Mike 82 m288 124 on X you prepared that for sure you you you wrote those out you had to no way you pulled that like immediately knew that was a million dude look at the iPad I there’s no commas or anything in there can you see that it’s 82288 one24 I would not know that that was you just work backwards man you work backwards in clumps of three so you know like where start 12 fours the hundreds 288 is the thousands and then 82 so 82 million yeah I was thinking on the Fly give me a little bit of credit you think that’s his favorite number 82 million to I was just going to Rattle it off real quick yeah it probably is we could try calling it after this if we want um do you think brailer Guerrero could be a top 20 guy by next year given his age power and speed again braa Guerrero uh got his way onto the top 100 list he is at the complex for Tampa top 20 is lofty yes that is lofty um yeah I I don’t know about that um I wouldn’t say it’s impossible anytime you got a guy that’s talented uh you know anything can happen but I do think it’s lofty because he’s gonna have to do a lot and he’s gonna have to get pushed a lot and if we know one thing about the Rays they’re not gonna push so he’s probably gonna finish the year in in low way get a little bit of run there and and I just don’t know if there’s GNA be enough there and then you know next year he’ll he’ll play again in Lowa he’d have to really go crazy crazy crazy and he could but 20 is lofty I think it would be similar to a Lazaro Montes type of Ascension yes he gives you some more value otherwise but also as montis I think is gives you a little bit more upside offensively from what we’ve already been able to see and now that the the way the hit tools come along so I think he’s a guy that could be in the top 60 but I think when you think about top 20 most of those guys you got to look at the proximity aside from you know Ethan Solus Ander J players and the Walker Jenkins most of them either are are closer or have at least a track record of of mashing in full season ball for a little bit uh I think it’s going to take a little bit more time than that but I do think that to the point of the question he does have the skill set to be one of the big climbers in next year’s top 100 and and and be one of those you know biggest leapers uh in that group next year with with what we’re already seeing from him and um and you know the skill set that he has yeah and I mean think about mon like montis is up with 50 spots he’s still in the 40 area so exactly yeah I mean 20 is is huge but like a 50 spot climb is not out of the cards at all for a guy like Brad Guerrero so no especially start 100% 100% And especially if he shows that he can potentially have an outside shot at sticking at Center or that he can play an above average Corner then all of a sudden I think that really elevates you know the outlook on him too yeah another raay question here this is Carson Williams related what do you anticipate is the ceiling for Carson Williams after the improvements this year with the bat brv mte on Instagram go follow the Instagram it is a budding presence a young presence but we’re trying to grow that thing and uh good question asked on the Instagram the ceiling of Carson Williams it’s a fascinating fascinating question very hard because he’s so unique in the fact that he was so raw of high school and just just you know perform still at the same time and now we’re seeing him just grow and grow and grow um and also so much of the value comes from the glove uh and and then I like are we thinking like player comp ceiling or are we thinking just like statline and War I don’t know if there’s a player comp because he’s so good defensively the hit tools of question like I’m thinking about the best defensive Short Stops in baseball that’s really their Val like just their value and then you have a Bobby Wht Jr who is like a generational talent and Carson is not that respectfully but Bobby Wht has a hit tool that Carson would dream of like it’s a guy that can hit the ball really hard and play really good defense but like is he gonna hit 250 that kind of thing yeah probably even with the improve like the improve the improvements I think I’ll have him hitting around 250 260 and walking at a great clip so I mean I’m trying to think of like an offensive guy like if if Matt Chapman was playing shortstop and I’m not saying he’s gonna win like all of the gold gloves like that but yeah I’m trying like it’s it’s gonna be like a Matt Chapman type of offensive game I think maybe a little bit less aggressive so like I’m it’s really hard to like I’ll just try to say what I would see him potentially being as a player it’s like I think it’s 30 home runs maybe sometimes even more than that if he has you know if he hits enough I think it’s 240 250 batting average and then I think he walks at a 10 12% clip which is going to help that OBP and it’s going to just be phenomenal defense that can get him to you know four to five wins annually like I look at how how Dan and of course if he’s doing all those things it could be six six seven wins when he’s really really having a great season so the potential there from a war perspective is you know one of the most valuable shorts stops in baseball um you know from a traditional stats perspective it might not look as sexy and and that’s where I see like the Dan V Swanson similarities I’m not calling them similar players but where Dan V Swanson nothing is jumping off of the page when you look at the slash line but because of the defensive ability and because he still shows up to the ballpark every day and provides average offense for the most part or slightly above you’re GNA finish the year with with four plus wins I think he’s an elevated version of that and a more volatile version of that at the same time so I think the ceiling is five five six wins you know several years but there’s also that volatility aspect to it like does he hit enough and all that stuff does it end up looking more like Willie adamus offensively and if it does still the defensive value is going to keep him at I still think a multi-win player every single year so um I don’t know if I can like Define the ceiling but it’s probably 30 home runs uh below average batting average solid OBP and Elite defense and he’ll mix in some bags and I think that’s going to be a extremely valuable player in the middle of your order yeah and Dansby had a 27 Homer season in 21 and 25 in 2022 so like I feel like that is probably the closest comp that we more homers less average yeah I think so and you like Dansby you probably a better separation of OBP like Dansby doesn’t walk with the best of them I think what career walk rate is just under 9% so you know right around League average he’ll walk slightly above that like I I don’t know I think Swanson is probably the closest comp that you can get but that’s a damn good player that got what 170 million dollar 100% And I think like yeah it’s gonna look totally different but to the point of like the Ops might not be too too different in in like the median outcome I think offensively I think ultimately there’s a lot more upside and then if the question’s more geared towards the ceiling I think the ceiling is six wins right like because he’s hitting 30 if you’re hitting if you’re getting on base let’s say if you’ve got a WRC Plus at like 125 which I think he could easily achieve you’re hitting 30 home runs and you got no PS you know above above 800 or right around 800 and playing the defense that he plays like that’s it’s gonna be a 56 wi player so I think that is kind of the ceiling uh what I do like about him now though is it seems like the floor has gotten so high too relative to what we thought it once may be because even if he’s a 220 230 hitter he’s still going to be a guy that I think ends up accumulating war with you know because of the position and because of defensive value and Bas Bas dealing getting better and all those little things so um I’m I mean that’s why he jumped all the way up to 11 on our list uh it’s it’s the fland ceiling uh and I’m excited about what he’s got going on and seems like there’s a good runway for him to take over that position in in Tampa relatively soon 100% all right uh three more questions this one from an indie F that actually comes to the ballpark a good bit Brian bosma won on X two Pirates questions wants to see these guys in Indianapolis I’m sure have you seen a drop off in the stuff for Bubba Chandler or do you believe his struggles are more injury related also any hope that solomo can bounce back and become an impact starter in the major leagues so Tarter both about guys that are arms in doua for the Pirates Chandler fell I think about 101 15 spots and solo fell off the top 100 yeah I’ll start with chor he came out what was it he came out cu of the walks right was it an injury scare on but he also had I think it was like a like forearmed tightness or something but he was like he skipped a start I think and then he was back skipped a start came back and it was 96 whereas you know he’s been more 97 and a half this year 97 in a quarter so I wouldn’t be too alarmed to that you especially after skipping a start and maybe he was you know guarding himself a little bit I don’t see an issue with the stuff in terms of the arm speed how much it jumps out of his hand the fastball quality all that good stuff I think the stuff problem is the secondaries the the only secondary that’s looking like it can be a viable pitch for him right now is is the change up the change Up’s great but because of command challenges he’s been pitching from behind and he had to throw his fast ball 70% of the time Jack yeah 70% so the change up feel has actually been great but he’s only thrown 55 change UPS this year in as opposed to 360 fast balls he’s thrown 91 Cutters and 51 of them have been balls so the cutter has been unusable 44% strike rate and even when it’s in the strike zone has not performed well and then the only other pitch is the change up that he’s just not throwing much so he’s 70% fastball it’s a great fast ball but we know especially once you get to double a like you go fastball heavy guys are going to start to clip you and he’s survived because the fast Ball’s that good but you can’t pitch that way so I think that’s that it’s been a combination of the command which is I think conflated with the the fastball dependency yeah what do you like 70% fastball usage like it’s unusable in the big leagues like you cannot throw your fast ball 70% of the time in the major leagues unless and and Chandlers is as close to being somewhat able to do so as there is in minor league baseball because it’s just so damn good um but man like I don’t I really don’t think anybody can get away with 70% fastball usage so you know seeing that change is like very important but also you know he just hasn’t really been finding the strikes on that well this year problem I think that’s important if you’re throwing 70% fast ball you should not have command issues and the problem is he’s having command issues throwing 70% fastball I see a lot of reliever risk here man and that’s that’s part of it and I mean the fast Ball’s so freaking good though that he could be a closer and a good one I mean we’re talking 19 inches of vert with crazy Spin and uh from a 58 release and and a flat flat flat attack angle like that he could go fast ball only and out of the bullpen and and succeed and mix in a couple change ups but yeah as as as Bubba Chan are the starter and we’re not talking about like oh he’s 19 anyway he’s going to be 22 so like and I’m not I’m not saying that in the L of like clock’s ticking but I’m saying in the lens of if you’re 22 and throwing the fast ball 70% of the time and not having a field to spin something at that by the end of this season we’re going to start to look at like what is the long-term Outlook and and and do they start to maybe shift what he’s trying to do out there and that’s why he he slips a little bit I still think he’s gonna be a valuable arm for the Pirates one way or another and that’s why he’s still in the top 100 on solomito it’s it’s 100% just the the velocity and we talked about it the other day he off of the top 100 because of that I’d love to keep him in there but when it’s when it’s 88 like the reason why he jumped into our top 100 was through the first half of the Season he was throwing 93 threw more more Innings than he had ever thrown so when the velocity slipped to 91 90 at the end of the year wasn’t too worried about it because you’re still getting outs 888’s a different Beast you no matter how funky you are you can’t get outs at 88 and what I’m concerned about is they haven’t even had him throw a lot of innings so far this year I know because I think they’ve known that the v’s been down through the bull he’s only been throwing in three and four inning spurts and even in those three and four inning spurts last time out two innings he averag 88 with the fastball I don’t know if they need to like shut him down or you know what the plan is here but even the short ending spurt thing is not working and and they they even tried it where he threw one inning on the 29th and then two innings on the on the first and it didn’t work he was still down a full two ticks uh the next two days so that’s conc concerning I think they pushed him way too hard last year way too hard for a high school arm and a lefty like that and and once you saw the velocity go from 93 to 90 right about middle of August he should have shut it down and instead he was still through still threw another 25 Innings and by the end of the year he was down to 89 so I I am a little bit worried about that for sure I still think talent wise absolutely he could be a big league arm and a good one the slider is disgusting He commands the heck out of it that ball plays great in the low 90s and and the shape and the the deception built in but yeah I can’t I can’t have a guy throwing sub 90 on on the top 100 list no last three outings at this or last six outings pardon just duration of the last six outings 333 one one2 and in his last 10 Innings he’s punched out three and he’s walked seven in his last 10 Innings you can’t punch out three in 10 Innings and land on a top 100 list in 2024 no I hope the V comes back though because it’s I think it’s 100% just tied to that yeah uh two more questions here we’ll jump in with our guy who’s been kicking ass on the social front Elijah Evans he sent me his question and he sent our uh our social media group text the question I think he really needs it answered because he knows the answer is going to be a good one if they trade Luis Robert parenthesis and fety copc other obvious ones could the White Soxs push for the best farm system in baseball or at least top three Elijah ev8 on X go follow him he is an excellent follow for White Sox stuff and Prospect stuff in general again he has been doing awesome stuff he has been doing an awesome job on the uh on the callup social front like the answer is yes and that’s what he wants to hear Elijah are you happy that the answer is yes like they can be a top three system in baseball if they move Luis Robert they have what Five Guys on the top 100 yeah you got CA Montgomery at 17 Noah Schultz at 32 Drew Thorp at 43 hyro yarte at 52 and Ed Gro at 66 so that’s five Lon yeah Gonzalez looks really good like love the swing adjustments he’s made um they’ve got other guys in that system still and then yeah I mean lob with that with the control and everything it’s not free ARB control so it’s it’s not going to be game breaker in terms of of the package like like it’s not gonna be stto but it’s going to be really freaking like strong package multiple top 100 guys so they’re gonna have at that point what one two three four five they’d have like seven top 100 guys and then probably 10 guys that would fit into the top 150 that’s going to be a top three farming baseball and that’s not even including Copic and you know those will be filler guys that give them depth in that system yeah um yeah that’s going to be a top that’s going to be a top system and that’s not including the fact that they’re going to go draft in the top five this year too yeah I think they pick five yeah so from that lens too it it could be the best farm besides the Oriol I guess but the Orioles like with the graduations that they may be having too although mayo and bah won’t graduate and Mayo might we’ll see what happens how they how they handle the second half of the year but you know say holiday and mayo graduate socks would have the best farm system in baseball I think yes I can’t think of a better one yeah I think they would the Cubs and socks would be up there as like two of the three or four best farm systems in all of baseball yes which is wow a lot of talent coming up to Chicago that’s cool and it worked for the Cubs last time it didn’t work for the White Sox last time you’re essentially agreeing to a three-year $55 million extension with Robert after this year he makes 15 next year and he makes 20 the following two years on Club options and I don’t see any world where either of those Club options are declined so three for 55 that’s that’s going to be a steep price to pay last one that we’ve got for you is a draft related question and I thought this was kind of a good one to wrap on this from at 402 cons on X where do you see the top draft prospects slotting in so I’m going to throw you four names bizana con Burns who I is Burns clearly pitcher one no I don’t think so I mean like I lean Burns at this point I’m gonna do a lot more research to you know fully get my and we’re gonna put like a big board together soon especially now that we’re done with this uh I don’t think like from what I’ve gathered I there’s a lot of people out there that like Hagen Smith more okay so interesting so I’ll I’ll throw you piter one whether that be Burns or Hagen Smith and then I’ll throw you Connor Griffin as well for a high school guy just mixing the high school guy so let’s start with bazana but where does bazana slot in to like this top 100 is currently constructed if you to do it right now as currently constructed three really you and I would have a long conversation about Travis bazan versus Jackson Holliday geeez and that’s again it’s not an indictment on holiday no he’s just that good it’s just that holiday may not be the consensus consensus you know Unstoppable number one guy uh and he’s still very close but bisan on what he’s doing and his proximity and the speed now that he brings to the table I do have some questions about like defensively but I think if they start running him out in in center field or something he looks good there that would be really exciting I I it would be really close between him and and and Jackson holiday I think think um and I might still lean holiday it would be right there as either 3A or 3B I would say the slash is absurd this year 57 games in the Pack 12 baz slashed 419 580 951 it’s a 1531 Ops and this you know smaller in stature second baseman had a 28 Homer season for Oregon State like that’s the thing he’s got more power than holiday I think too so it yeah and also he’s only a year older than Jackson holiday there you go so I he’d probably SL in at three got you uh Condon where do you see him the defensive thing is you know again I think it’s better than it should be considering he’s barely played college baseball and uh it’s only his second season and he’s he’s bounced around and he’s six six but there still is some long term questions defensively and I I’m not quite sure you know where he he ultimately would play yeah and that does make things a little bit tough I would like to say somewhere in the like Mayo is gonna have the edge over him I think I went to 10 sliding in between Jason and and yeah that’s pretty much where I’m looking I was looking right in the 9 to1 range between Jason I think Jason just also what he’s doing right now on rehab is crazy this guy’s been itching Jason get back on the field he’s been ready um I I think I think Dominguez is so underrated at this point um I’d probably put him in at 10 okay at 10 but although we haven’t talked too much about it and you know we’ll probably do another little segment on the next episode just briefly talking about some of the big climbers and why but Emanuel Rodriguez like I’ve just watching the defensive video and seeing that he could stick in center and what he’s done offensively like he’s jumped a lot in my opinion so I think it would either be right before Emanual or right after okay um piter one whether that be Burns or Hagen Smith I was just kind of like laying the groundwork for you in my head before I even asked you ske is ahead obviously job is ahead obviously then we get to what Andrew painer at 16 I’ll take painer over any of these two arms Burns or Smith and then you get to Christian Scott I take Scott over those guys really I think so i’ go to Kade Horton as like kind of the one that it Stacks up with I personally without like you know any data in front of me just like watching both these guys throw several times here this year I would say Burns gets the slight Edge over Horton because it’s 100 because that slider is nasty and like he can lose the strike zone at points and he’s had a homer problem at points this year Smith it would be a tossup for me between Kate and Hagen Smith I yeah I I agree with you I’m probably taking both over Horton from an upside perspective Smith is a tough one for me because I mean you see the angle that he creates as a lefty see what he can do but with the pitching prospects I just I I need to see them do it professionally because so much of of what maybe works for them in you know in college may not work to the same degree at the at at the big league level and I I don’t have the exact amount like I don’t have nearly as much information datawise as as I do with the minor league guys so it makes it a little bit harder that said from from the left side there and and the whiff that he gets on the fastball and the slider and I wish I wish the change up flashed a little bit more but at least he’s been willing to throw it a little bit uh I would put those guys over Horton just because of the upside the stuff they just got pitches that are just better than what Horton has to offer uh but I do think it gets really interesting with Christian Scott um if you start to think about it though like what Christian Scott’s fastball angle what he creates I think compensates for the Gap in velocity and the velocity is not even that big of a gap he’s already done it at the big league level yeah I think he would slot right behind they’d both slot right behind Christian Scott for me but just ahead of uh Kate Horton yeah I think so and then the last one I mean you want to talk about lack of data High School guy Conor Griffin where’s he he’s toed up um I would say him and Rainer kind of packaged them together here uh I again guys I need to see a little bit more of to be fully transparent yeah it’s like how do you compare that to to cson Montgomery I don’t I don’t think there is a way to compare it I’d probably say right in the like Max Clark right like I I think if I like what I’ve seen from from Conor Griffin as I do more of a dive in the next month which I’m assuming I will and I you know Clark’s good he’s 19th overall here I’d say right in that area like the the 15 to 19 range where you have Lawler painter Coulson Montgomery Ethan Salis Max Clark I kind of look at the Ethan Salis Max Clark Range as as a spot where I I could see them um both kind of slotting into there yeah those are great questions yeah and I’m excited we’re gonna dive more into the draft and again for transparency sake like updating the top 100 here that’s where my focus has been so I’ve not been doing my you know as much research and and watching of the college guys and high school guys I should so that’s kind of going to be the next thing for us here and I’m excited to do that as we continue to turn out the team top prospect list of course go check out the full top 100 uh if you have any other questions on Twitter I’ll try to get to those and we’ll probably talk a little bit just probably spend 10 minutes on just some of the big climbers and and and why uh we saw those guys make a huge climb but thank you for all the amazing questions if you could leave leave a rating help us grow the show leave a quick review that would be great um or if you’re on Spotify all you have to do is just click the little five star thing subscribe on YouTube uh we are putting stuffff out on there consistently and we’ll have some player interviews coming up uh I know we we so we’re we’re supposed to have a potential fun Royals pitcher I don’t want to say anything now because just some sometimes things come up and I don’t want to promise but the one thing I can promise is we’re gonna we’re gonna shoot the [ __ ] with Griffin on Monday um Griffin conine I will make sure he he no matter what is on on Monday he’s not getting out of this one uh can’t wait to ask him about how 109 at like 24 degrees didn’t get out to center field um so we can test him about that but I I actually am very excited to get into a bunch of different topics with him uh that you know we probably wouldn’t get into as much with some other players uh because we want to talk more about that player uh with Griff like don’t really need to talk about his career and his training we’ll get it’ll bake into it but I’m excited to talk to him about like he’s been diving into the bat speed stuff on Savon and like some of the things that he pulled away from that um ABS questions like I I’m just excited to be able to ask I think peel back the curtain a little bit further than we normally do um and kind of just shoot straight with uh with someone that you know I could literally ask him why’d you strike out so much last week and give an actual thoughtful explanation as to why um so like that stuff like that is is always fun so look out for that episode on Monday and you know we might even try to field some uh questions that you might have as it pertains to like the minor leagues development things like that that I know Griff will be happy to answer uh any final thoughts Jack I don’t think so this was a great assortment of questions from our friends on Twitter and on Instagram so uh we really appreciate that like we we’re really appreciative of you know every time you guys come out and ask a question because in reality like we don’t talk into the microphone about prospects if if you don’t have questions that are burning and like usually we you know have those internally and we talk about them but it’s way more fun to answer the questions directly you said it you nailed it there and I mean I’m seeing the comments on YouTube and just the engagement and the conversations that maybe spur out of this o other people that are listening to the show then have a conversation about something that we talked about and like I love seeing the interaction I the prospect Community is just a very has a very special place in my heart and it’s just people that truly love it I think everybody you know that that listen to the stuff likes baseball but when it comes to like the the prospect stuff you could tell it’s just a different level of of love that kind of matches ours and um it’s a cool connection to feel with you the listener so um I really appreciate those who have taken the time to ask questions and taken the time to comment and give us feedback and if you don’t you just listen all the time I appreciate the hell out of you too but um you know we just don’t know about you uh other than other than the numbers but I appreciate everybody and uh it’s been always great interacting and we’ll continue to field as many questions as we can uh when we do these mailbag episodes and of course if you want to make sure you get your questions answered you can subscribe to the bonus episodes in the episode description we will talk prospects with you later this week

10 Comments

  1. Love your content and analysis guys, thanks for the great work!
    Do have to say, don't agree with De Paula's tools grades. 114 Max EV this year with a 94 avg at 19 is 60 power right now, potentially 70 considering the age, don't agree with the 55 grade considering the EVs
    This year hit tool has taken a bit of a step back but power is way up

  2. Hey guys, there's a couple of arms in Japan not named Roki that are pretty good (Shumpeita Yamashita, Shoki Murakami, Ren Fukushima, Hiroya Miyagi) and another high contact kid in the KBO (Kim Do Yeong, or americanized as Do Yeong Kim). Where would any of them fit in prospect rankings if they were in MLB farm systems? I don't think most of these guys would be throwing at the MLB level quite yet, but some of them have stuff that could play. And Kim's stats, were they at AA ball, make me feel like he would be a top 50 prospect if he were stateside (600 PA across his last 2 seasons while batting over .300 and slugging over .500 as a 20 and 21 year old. 14 home runs in just 57 games so far this season).

  3. Logan Evans just got moved to the bullpen today, and it’s reported that Jerry Dipoto told him he wants him pitching in the majors around the All-Star break. So the org thinks his stuff is at least good enough to do that.
    There have also been multiple quotes from Mariners execs saying that they picked him up largely because his raw stuff jumped out at them. His extension is great, his fastball is upper 90’s, and his slider gets 15” of movement, what more can you ask for?

  4. Appreciate the work you guys do, compiling the top 100 and the mailbag that follows. The JBB show and Call Up help make my days at work go quicker listening to Jack, Aram and Peter talk ball all the time!

  5. Mariners prospect system was violently underrated pre season and up until about a month ago, I think that’s where that Q came from

  6. I have a couple suggestions for upcoming episodes , hopefully you guys see this comment
    1. A 2nd prospect mailbag since you guys just updated your top 100. That way you can get to more questions
    2. Talk about prospects that came into the Minors as high draft picks/high expectations that are really struggling and what you need to see from them going forward . I keep looking at Elijah Green, Jacob Berry, Kevin Parada. Guys like that have huge issues right now.

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