The 2023 NBA Draft Looks Completely Different 1 Year Later

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The 2023 NBA Draft Looks Completely Different 1 Year Later

the 2023 draft class came in with a ton of excitement surrounding it and for the most part despite the wild expectations it had to live up to that excitement and hype seems well warranted now with that being said not everyone’s lived up to that in fact some haven’t come close to their expectations so knowing what we know today if the draft happened again right now what would happen at the very top we saw the San Antonio Spurs originally go with the consensus no doubt number one Prospect 7 fo4 freak of nature Victor wanyama someone that was truly being looked at as a once in a generation Talent someone as far as to label him the best Prospect in NBA history to add even more pressure to the shoulders of womman Yama most weren’t just excited for his ability to one day grow into being one of the faces of the league they were expecting him to come in and dominate immediately most of us would fold under that amount of pressure but somehow he was in phas in fact there is no question about it he exceeded the consensus expectations coming into the year Vegas had his line on his averages at 17 points a game and just over eight rebounds numbers wiim Bama crushed as he finished the season with averages of over 21 Points 11 rebounds four assists and nearly four blocks absurd his best 20 game stretch of the Season came from January to March where he was averaging 23 points 10 rebounds four assists two Steals and four four blocks a game while shooting 49% from the field and 40% from three obviously not the efficiency we saw all season but runs like that were more than enough to instill fear into the rest of the league for what’s ahead if it wasn’t already obvious the number one pick stays the same watching the NBA Playoffs so far has been a ton of fun but what’s been making it even more exciting than it already is is sweating out some entries on today’s sponsor prize picks it’s a pick on platform legal in over 30 US states that’s super more or less on different player stats and you can win up to 100 times your entry for tonight’s game they’ve got Jaylen brunson’s Point square at 37 and a half I don’t think I’ve ever seen that now it makes sense he’s gotten more in each of his last five games he’s in the middle of a four game streak scoring at least 40 points which is just absurd but eventually that hot streak is going to come to an end and I got a feeling that that’s tonight I’ve got the same logic for my other Square Pascal cakam who needs at least 20 points something he hasn’t done in the last five games those are the squares that I’m confident in tonight but let me know in the comments below what you’re going with and if you haven’t checked out prize picks yet if you click that link in the description and use the promo code Jimmer when you sign up they will actually match your first deposit all the way up to $100 thank you prize picks for sponsoring next on the clock is the Charlotte Hornets a team that made a relatively polar decision on draft night deciding to go with 6’9 Alabama Wing Brandon Miller what made this such an unpopular pick at the time wasn’t that Brandon Miller wasn’t an elite Prospect or this was a massive reach but just solely due to the decision to select him over scooted Henderson someone mini had in a separate tier in between Victor Wim and Yama in the rest of this draft class but now a year later most of that crowd that was super critical has been awfully quiet through the air you got to be so smooth you got to be so smooth all signs are pointing to Brandon Miller being the right decision at two like wimy he destroyed his preseason expectations Vegas had his over under at just 14.3 points per game but he ended up averaging over 17 four rebounds two assists while shooting 44% from the field and 37% from three those numbers also don’t represent the player that he was come the end of this season over his last 41 games exactly half the season he was averaging over 20 points shooting 37% from three on over eight attempts a game he’s a dynamic three-level scorer knockdown shooter with future star written all over him if this wasn’t a crazy year for rookie production where you’ve got guys like Chad holgren and Victor Wiman Yama what he did this season would be making headlines so two picks in we’ve got no change but here at three where we’ve got the Portland Trailblazers things start to get interesting originally they went with scoot Henderson a selection that many looked at as incredible value especially for a team that was expected to be hitting the reset button since that selection however this sentiment surrounding Henderson hasn’t been nearly as positive now with that said very few have given up on scoot reaching his potential even less would go as far to suggest he’s already a bust but that doesn’t mean there’s been much to get excited about so far he averaged 14 points across the season while shooting less than 39% from the field and 32% from three that is terrible of the 154 players with a decently sized role this season that’s the worst field goal percentage in the NBA of all the player shooting with similar or higher volume from three he had the seventh worst three-point percentage the worst of any guard these struggles also reflected in the team’s output while he was on the court the team had a-3 net rating the worst of any player that was playing at least 22 minutes a night there is no way around it scoot Henderson was one of the least productive players in the entire league so while the potential still hasn’t gone anywhere and it’s way too early to ride a mo with the chance to redo this selection they end up going elsewhere instead they go with a player that was originally the very next selection am Min Thompson someone who definitely doesn’t go without his own concerns but displayed plenty to get excited about going forward on the season he averaged 10 points s rebounds and three assists while shooting 54% from the field nothing absurd but as the season went on a lot changed for men for the first half of the year he had a pretty limited role and missed nearly 20 games with injury it really wasn’t until shenon went down that a in really looked like that player the Rockets were so excited to bring in with the fourth overall pick despite losing their top offensive producer up until that point the Rockets would end up going on a tear to end this season over a 14 game stretch they went 13-1 at the time we saw a lot of the credit a lot of the attention going the way of Jaylen green rightfully so he was playing out of his mind but because of those insane scoring performances he was putting up some of the other performances at the time were being overlooked including am in Thompson he was vital to their success at that time while he’d come into the draft at the point guard position we were getting the chance to see his versatility on full display once he was inserted into the starting lineup he was out on the wing whereas Elite size allowed them to not sacrifice anything defensively and because they had gone from a pretty unimpressive athlete in shanon who was also the team’s primary playmaker to a hyper athletic point guard playing the point forward role he was able to crank up the Rocket’s pace and Domina in transition over that stretch he was averaging 14 points eight rebounds including over three offensive rebounds a game and three assists while shooting 59% from the field man is quickly proving himself as one of the most positionally versatile players in the entire league right now switching this selection the Blazers really aren’t sacrificing much upside while simultaneously giving them a lot more options with how to approach this roster going forward now again there is still a major concern with a in while there is so much to be excited about with this game it is completely Justified to question his true ceiling with where his jump shot is today in the present it’s pretty much non-existent he barely attempts them right now and when he does they’re going in at just a 14% clip his form also doesn’t give you much confidence this is going to change in the immediate future there’s definitely more polished options here at three for the Blazers but that’s not the route they decide to go at this stage in their rebuild at four is the Houston Rockets a team that’s obviously going to be making a different selection as a player they originally selected is already off the board luckily though after seeing so much promis with a in at the end of the year they’re able to select someone with a very similar skill set in fact someone that is nearly identical his twin brother assar Thompson someone who originally went with the fifth overall pick to Detroit right now very little separates the positives and the concerns for the two brothers but between the two Amin does project to be able to manage much more volume as a scorer while it looks like assar has a chance to be a defensive player of the year level Defender at some point in his career now the main concern for the two is definitely the exact same they both can’t shoot the ball this season on extremely low volume assar shot just 19% from three obviously not what you’re hoping for and it will have to improve in order for him to hold on to his place this high in the draft but the potential right now is just too much for the Rockets to pass on Detroit at five is where things get really interesting they could grab the upside of the falling scoot Henderson they could take a lot of immedate value with guys like hame hakz Jr and Brandon po jimsky a strong case can be made for a guy like G Jackson who originally went in the second round however ultimately they actually decided to go with someone that many originally expected them to take here but in what was easily the most surprising turn of of its on draft night fell all the way to the 20th pick Villanova 6’7 forward cam a Whitmore someone that pretty much immediately made the rest of the NBA regret letting him fall that far at the time he was selected he was only 18 years old but just 2 weeks later he was taking home Summer League MVP he led Houston to the title game while averaging 18 points five rebounds and nearly three steals over the course of this past regular season he was once again showing how ridiculous his draft fall was he finished the year averaging 12 points and four rebounds shooting 45% from the field and 36% from three production that also needs more context he had an up and down role All Season adjusted per 36 he was averaging 24 a game the second highest per 36 average of this rookie class only trailing Victor wiim Bama Whitmore has come out of the gate more polished than pretty much anyone expected even when he was being projected as a top five selection in the draft because of where his shot creation and scoring beyond the perimeter is right now he has forced us to re-evaluate his long-term potential the magic at six are a pretty interesting spot as it was our first team that managed to make the postseason they improved their win total by 13 wins compared to the season prior an incredible jump but also one that had very little to do well really nothing to do with their decisions from last year’s draft despite having two Lottery selections originally at 6 they selected Arkansas point guard Anthony black someone that had incredible size for the position had great ability and instincts both as a playmaker and Defender there were however some serious questions about his scoring questions that haven’t gone anywhere despite a solid role throughout the season playing 17 minutes a night he averaged less than five points and one assist he shot with really solid efficiency of 47% from the field and 39% from three but that’s a little deceiving especially the three-point efficiency that was on extremely extremely low volume just around an attempt a game there’s just as much to take away from that as there is to take away from his 61% at the line now to be clear Anthony black still had a pretty solid rookie year all things considered he still has a chance to bring a ton of value in the league but while that might be the case the fit in Orlando Is Not Great the glaring struggle for this team right now is their complete lack of shooting up and down the lineup they were towards the bottom of the league in both three-point efficiency and volume this season once we got to the postseason it only got worse over their seven game series with Cleveland they shot just 30% from distance the series was capped off by the team going just three for 15 from three in the second half of game seven so here at six with a chance to remake this selection while there’s definitely a lot of routes they could go they decide to grab someone that brings a lot of the same positives that Anthony black brings to the table while simultaneously bringing them a lot more offense the original 19th pick to the Warriors Brandon PO jimsky on the season pods averaged N9 points six rebounds and four assists while shooting 45% from the field and 38% from three now the magic could have gotten more upside here but for a team looking to continue ascending up the Eastern Conference as soon as possible they grab someone whose impact can be felt immediately someone whose confidence and grid also makes them the perfect fit with this group especially alongside a guy like Jaylen Suggs in the back court we see a pretty similar scenario for the Pacers at 7even originally they made a trade with the Washington Wizards to go down one spot where they selected Houston for jerus Walker this time neither of those things are happening now jarus Walker is still a really promising young player in the league just go watch what he did in the G league but outside of the G League we just didn’t get to see much from him this season shortly after he was selected the Pacers brought in Obi toppen then when it became clear the Pacers had legit playoff hopes they jumped on the chance to trade for All-Star four Pascal cakam Ave that only made it tougher for Walker to find a role with this team so knowing what we know today they decide to go with someone they know can bring immediate value hame hakz Jr originally the 18th overall pick to the Miami Heat hakz was the early favorite to be the steal of this draft if we had done a redraft earlier in the year it wouldn’t have been unreasonable to have him come off the board inside the top five it only took him a few games to really ramp up his role and he eventually would go on a 32 game stretch where he averaged 16 points four rebounds and three assist shooting with Incredible splits 52% from the field and 38% from three he wasn’t looking like a rookie he brought versatility on both ends and shocked a lot of people with how polished his scoring was he was showing off a skill set at all three levels and even back to the basket things however didn’t go quite as well over the second half of the Season where he averaged just 10 points but it should definitely be mentioned and it’s probably not a coincidence that in the middle of those two stretches was a five-game since dealing with a groin strain while hakz is one of the oldest players in this class and likely doesn’t have an absurd ceiling to his game very few rookies from this class are as safe as he is to project in the short term so because of where the Pacers are right now as a franchise they grab someone whose value exceeds his contract from day one then we’ve got the Washington Wizards at 8 a team that likely has the longest path in the NBA out of their current rebuild the original selection here was balal kulali someone I’m a huge believer in longterm he’s got a crazy physical profile a super bright future defensively and a level of coordination that gives me a lot of confidence about where his offensive game will be one day I liked the pick then and I still like it today but while that is the case there’s now some options here that weren’t there before they shoot for upside and take the falling scoot Henderson with the hopes that he can get back on track to being that player that many suggested would be the number one pick more years than not right now Washington should be taking calculated swings for the fences so that’s exactly what they do here now if things don’t turn around in a big way for scoot soon man would the duo of him and Jordan pool be something to witness then the ninth overall pick where we originally saw the Utah Jazz go with UCF power forward Taylor hendris someone that at the time looked like one of the safest prospects in the class a decision that made a lot of sense with Utah ahead of schedule on their rebuild and still having a ton of future draft Capital coming their way now Hendrick had a fine rookie season he didn’t play much to begin the year but that changed as the season went on over the final nine games he was averaging 9 points in six rebounds as a 42% three-point shooter it still looks like a fine selection but with everything we know today they just can’t pass on the chance to get GG Jackson who was somehow still on the board he could have easily gone much higher than this but because of that run of teams looking to improve a playoff group The Jazz end up getting amazing value at least it appears that way G Jackson was one of the biggest surprises of the Season while he came out of high school two years ago as a top recruit and was definitely in the conversation for the 20123 draft oftentimes mocked as a lottery pig that wasn’t the case by the end of his freshman year at South Carolina where he had shot just 38% from the field and 32% from three now despite the clearly disappointing efficiency there was still some Intrigue from Scout he had an elite frame with clear Talent on both ends of the ball he just needed to put it all together something he was going to have plenty of time to do he was the youngest player in this draft class by the time the NBA season tipped off he was still only 18 years old he’s younger than most prospects in the 2024 draft pretty crazy to consider when you look at the start he’s gotten off to on the year he average 15 points and four rebounds shooting 43% from the field and 36% from three over his final 18 games he was averaging 25-2 a run that was caed off by a 44o performance against the Denver Nuggets now again it wasn’t a super efficient year but for someone that was deemed such a raw player with what we’ve seen from him especially as a shot Creator and as a volume shooter from distance he is turning a lot of heads however when it comes to this redraft I am a little torn on GG Jackson there is no question he would go way way way higher than he originally did I think a legit case can be made for him to come off the board inside the top five but I also think we could be getting a little deceived here the level of opportunity Jackson had this season is just not available to many rookies every year we see performances and statistical outputs that really don’t paint the full picture more often than not it comes from teams tanking for a top selection in the draft while that was never the intention for Memphis this year they were destroyed by injuries that’s not an understatement they set an NBA record by playing 33 different players this season another record for 51 different starting lineups and another record for the most games missed to injury a whopping 5 178 that’s really what makes GJ Jackson such a tough player to place he was undoubtedly impressive he had some of the best box score numbers from this class that’s often a product of opportunity his efficiency as mentioned was up and down I can’t help but think about what some of the other rookies would have done in a situation like his a guy like Jordan Hawkins someone we already saw is capable of big scoring performances when the Pelicans were dealing with tons of injuries to open the year even a guy like jarus Walker someone who has mentioned had a lot in his way in order to Shell out a big role in Indiana but when we saw him go down to the G League absolutely dominated he was averaging an absurdly efficient 23 points a game I definitely don’t think this situation with GG Jackson is cut and dry I think it’s completely reasonable to have him go much higher with what he’s already proven at such a young age but I also still think it’s reasonable to have him go significantly later than this even behind guys like jarus Walker or Taylor Hendrick whose production doesn’t stack up however just a year ago were deemed far superior process BS but haven’t had close to the same level of opportunity as Jackson then we’ve got the Mavericks at 10 a spot that didn’t originally make a selection and said they trade it down to 12 with the Oklahoma City Thunder this time that’s not happening they stay put but they still end up taking the same exact player Derek Lively someone that’s really been a match made in heaven in Dallas from day one he got on the core and his impact was felt having a pick and roll presence a lob threat rim protector and someone attacking the offensive boards is exactly what Dallas needed Lively made that so clear they doubled down on that mold trading for Daniel Gafford at the deadline over the course of Lively’s rookie season he averaged 9 points and seven rebounds shooting an absurd 75% from the field obviously to some degree that’s just a product of his attempts which were mostly dump offs and lobs right at The Rim in fact he took just three shots out of the paint all season right now it’s clear that his game is pretty limited offensively but what makes him such an interesting player from this class is that could be subject to ch at least to some degree he has ridiculous speed for his size and a solid looking jump shot something we saw in high school and consistently throughout the pre-draft process I wouldn’t get too optimistic with his struggles at the free throw line but let’s remember he is an Elite Talent profile he came out of high school as the number one player in the country while today with the Mavericks he’s really just bought into this Rim running role which is working I’m still slightly intrigued about where his game could go as his rle is expanded the Orlando Magic are back on the clock at 11 and this is a really tough one they went po jimsky at six but now there’s a ton of routes they could go here originally they had gone with jet Howard they’re not doing that again they could double down on the back court with guys like Cas Wallace or Jordan Hawkins additions to the front Court like jarus Walker or Taylor Hendrick would also make sense but because of the safety that came with the selection of poysky early here I think they go with upside and take balal kulali then it’s the Oklahoma City Thunder at 12 who are completely shocked and relieved that somehow their original selection Cas Wallace is still on the board he could have easily come off the board as high as the magic at six but things broke just right and OKC still gets their guy someone who came into the draft being looked at as one of the top perimeter defenders in the class someone that while he had showed some promise as a shot rater there were widespread concerns about the reliability of his shot and raising his volume in any significant way pretty funny looking back considering perimeter shooting is where most of his production is coming from right now he averaged 7 points two re bounds and two assists on the season while shooting 49% from the field and 42% from three obviously he doesn’t have a huge role in OKC’s offense but he’s without a doubt been one of the more positive contributors from this rookie class so far what’s so fascinating about the timeline for case Wallace over this past year is just how different his skill set is being used the combination of prey and dagnal has given OKC a special ability to completely ignore everyone’s perception of a player while a year ago most were just looking at case and Wallace through the lens of the point guard position OKC just saw the skill set and pretty much from the very beginning of the Season he was slotted into a three and D roll where he’s absolutely thrived I don’t think anyone expected there to be a situation where Wallace ended up shooting over 100 Corner threes this year the Raptors are a really tough one at 13 they originally went with Grady dig But A lot’s changed since then Brady had an up and down year there’s a bunch of new options now on the board and this Toronto team looks a lot different than when they made this pick the first time they ended up Trading away both OG and anobi and Pascal cakam which in the process brought a lot of new faces to the back court because of that they decided to go a different round they decide to address the loss of their two forwards and are choosing between two guys they didn’t get the chance to choose originally jerus Walker and Taylor Hendrick I think it’s close but having the chance to see a little bit more from Hendrick so far ends up being the Difference Maker with the final selection of the lottery we have the New Orleans Pelicans a team that originally win with the best shooter in the class Jordan Hawkins someone who really impressed to open the year when New Orleans was decimated with injuries but as the team got healthier and healthier he really struggled to Shell out really any role At All by the end of the season but because he’s still being looked at as such a promising piece for this team the only way they’re making a change here is if there’s someone they know can step into a role immediately so with who’s on the board what arguments can definitely be made for guys like keontay George jerus Walker Trace Jackson Davis they stick with Jordan Hawkins for now