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MLB Picks for EVERY Game Tuesday 5/28 | Best MLB Bets & Predictions | Lindy’s Locks



⚾ Lindy’s MLB Best Bets, Picks, and Predictions for Tuesday (5/28)

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⚾ BEST MLB BETTING PICKS TODAY ⚾

0:00 Best MLB Picks, Predictions & Bets (5/28/2024)
1:28 Dodgers @ Mets Game 1
2:29 Dodgers @ Mets Game 2
3:18 Red Sox @ Orioles
4:49 Pirates @ Tigers
5:58 Cardinals @ Reds
7:21 Athletics @ Rays
9:01 Nationals @ Braves
11:17 Cubs @ Brewers
13:17 Royals @ Twins
14:56 Blue Jays @ White Sox
17:02 Diamondbacks @ Rangers
18:08 Guardians @ Rockies
21:43 Yankees @ Angels
23:05 Astros @ Mariners
24:32 Marlins @ Padres
25:30 Phillies @ Giants

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#MLBPicks #MLBPredictionsToday #MLBBets #MLBBettingPicks #MLBPicksTonight #MLBPredictions #MLBBestBets #FreeMLBPicks #BaseballBets #MLBPicksToday #MLBBetting #MLBBettingTips #MLBPlayoffs #MLBPostseason

what’s going on everybody Eric linquist stochastic here on the OD Chopper Channel coming to with another edition of lendy BL likes locks hit that like button subscribe button notification Bell goes a long way for me on this video goes a long way for you that way you become a priz whenever great content is going live here at our Little Neck of the YouTube Woods hopefully everybody’s allergies are doing okay mine are kind of miserable today uh it’s kind of a phenomenon across the United States here if you’re up in Canada o it still maybe chilly in some spots I I that was not Canadian at all we got bmgm we’ve got odd Chopper hey you know morning and afternoon baseball get to actually recap some stuff and look at stuff and have more props available to us although it’s weird I didn’t love a lot of the props that were posted here for Tuesday slaya Monday Baltimore yay they win Kansas City they lose went for the plus money there and oh that did not go well Milwaukee of course they won I didn’t bet them because it was a lean like told you you should so congratulations to everybody St Louis Cincinnati goes way under we had uh marcelo’s in denak Kyle Tucker can you go yard he got walked in his first at bat there I saw and San Francisco money line we got that W so overall kind of Meandering my way through the entire day went two for eight on the Home Run round round robin we are having so much fun there in that premium Discord again I’ll talk about that a little bit later here but we got a massive 16 game slate here double header to start things off Dodgers Mets postponed moving to Tuesday so two games from that one producer Jacob hi hello let’s get to the picks all R A begins with two spots now obviously things change when it comes to double headers I always throw that out there I also tell you to pay attention to news because you never know these lineups always can uh well the Dodgers have lost a lot in a row now five in a row coming into this one uh the game gets postponed probably a good thing for them to take the day off in New York City and hang out order some room service kick back and figure [ __ ] out but Tyler glass now he’s really good at pitching that’s why you’re seeing minus 215 there obviously he just had a ridiculous loss the other day but Tyler McGill on the other side of things want to start with him because I do think him pitching in this first game so long as he is pitching in this first game He’s listed as the pitcher absolutely everywhere here so moving to this one we’ve got McGill sitting at four and a half strikeouts right from the get-go it is minus 145 over on bmgm and I’ve got this closer to minus 160 so hey a prop to start things off in game one against the Dodgers yeah sweet that’s fun anyway next play here that we’ve got game two from this one I’m looking at the money line and the minus one and a half here on the Dodger side Gavin stone versus Jose canana canana think you know by now not my favorite back uh ever like legitimately ever used to be good once upon a time but the Southpaw having to face this Dodgers lineup and I’m like minus 150 minus 160 I mean it’s starting to rise up a little bit here already only reason I haven’t bet this yet is I would like to get confirmation that we’re going to get the normal Dodger starting lineup there I don’t think the books are going to change that number all that much now people might bet it up and then I’ll just pass at that point so game two always be paying paying attention to what can happen with those lineups and then see what that Bullpen usage is from the first one I’ll be in the premium Discord covering that one hopefully we can find something definitely for game two but game one Tyler Migel under four and a half K that’s the like play there the half unit to get our day rolling it’s opposite day now obviously I’m happy with Baltimore got the day off to a winning start on Tuesday but or sorry on Monday happy Memorial Day hopefully everybody enjoyed that but we’re on to Tuesday St here that’s the next day that’s how days work Grayson Rodriguez versus Brian beo and beo used to be one of my backs used to be one of my boys 4.25 expected ra would be the highest though of his three-year career at the big league level and the strikeups have never shown up 20 a half% k rate in 2022 19.8% 2023 actually up to 21.1% friends this is Baltimore you do have some weather once again it’s starting to get nice out and about here balls going to start flying and I know beo calling card had been a ground ball rate still sitting there with 51.6% ground ball rate but 436 expected slugging 41.1% hard hit and unlike Mr Irvin where we backed him there in Baltimore uh he is not a soft tossing Lefty Brian beo somebody who’s just not even soft just not a very good pitcher here at this point in time League average basically in my opinion actually the ground ball rate probably elevates him a little bit but Grayson Rodriguez much better in terms of form and uh don’t find the Red Sox lineup as imposing 42% hard hit 26.6% K rate is the really useful thing going up against these Red Sox so yeah fall to more money line I don’t know how you don’t like it here at minus 150 minus 155 it’s up to minus 158 some spots but again uh if you get yourself in now before it gets to minus 165 yay put it on the card don’t have a lot to cover in this one because these two pitchers are awesome but there’s one big caveat here the wind is blowing out ever so slightly and there’s rain in the forecast I’m not saying you should be taking unders on these pitching props right from the getg go but they’re live if there’s going to be an in-game delay that’s something I can’t tell as of right now leading into tomorrow afternoon it is too early to tell one of my like Nifty crafty little tricks though is that I think you can get some really nice prop exposure on some unders of pitchers with weather incoming because if there’s a delay obviously they come out of the game if it’s long enough they don’t return so always something to keep in mind there not that books aren’t aware of it but you’ll see Sharp money coming in on some of those unders from time to time and they’re Hefty numbers for Jones and scoo ball here as they should be two of the better pitchers in baseball thus far uh under seven the really the only play showing up here Jones 29.4% G rade 31.2% for sco ball sco ball coming off of a lost Cole Reagan we actually backed Reagan so that’s okay under seven just a lean pay attention to the weather in this one again it blown out otherwise I’d be I’d probably be betting the under of seven I will bet this though St Louis Cincinnati it’s Kyle Gibson and as soon as I saw that I was like what’s the price what’s the price what’s the price and sure enough no whammies no whammies no whammies stop minus 115 at open okay I’ll just take Andrew Abbott who is the way better pitcher 31.2% hard hit 266 exova compar that to 42.9% hard hit 368 xoba I don’t understand this Andrew Abbott not even like a strikeout guy here this time around but doesn’t matter his stuff has been pretty darn good and pretty darn effective 2.72 expected ra one of the best pitchers in baseball with that kind of a mark there even with just an 18.8% K rate so uh I think the Reds they would rather there not be run creation there they don’t really give a crap about his strikeout rate as long as he’s getting you know the the pro like I don’t know they care about his strike right 26.1% last season you put that next to him now that would be outrageous kind of picture you’re looking at but there’s no way that Cincinnati should be this price here right now this is going to be north of minus 120 or I’m feel like I’m taking crazy pills I get it it’s great American smallpark it’s Paul gold Schmid and Nolan arado against a lefty once again Paul gold Schmid ended up backing him in that home run uh home run round robin but I I just don’t I don’t see any way around it ciny money line I’m a chalk donkey this one’s quick we’ve got Oakland we’ve got Tampa Zack latel and then yeah Spencer we’re probably looking at a spot where you know I don’t even really like anything going on in this game whatsoever I mean lel’s been the better pitcher mean a lot better pitcher 34.1% hard hit really good 23.6% K rate really good yeah but Mitch Spence 360 expected slugging 293 exova he’s good I don’t know I have no idea what the numbers are because they’re not posted and uh we have the starting pitchers do you guys want to post to line maybe Oakland I guess isn’t completely confirmed that it’s Spence but it’s going to be it’s going to be Mitch Spence Tampa Bay minus one and a half let’s talk OD shop something I would bet on any of the top positive EV props that exist over at odd Shopper if you’re an illegal State awesome opportunity to fire up the top props in that positive EV tool to utilize the parlay Builder and in the event that you’re using Underdog prize picks other great pickup sites in order to play your prop exposure friends we have the fantasy Optimizer and DraftKings pick six Optimizer oh there are some improvements coming down the pipeline very very soon for you peer-to-peer folks checking out DraftKings pick six you can use promo code Lindy if you’d like to check out such things but if you use promo code Lindy over at odd Shopper bang 20% off that becomes $12 for your first week to just try out the expert picks the Discord the premium tools everything we have to offer here at odd Chopper at your disposal great opportunity at the link below sign up now using Code Lindy to do so so let’s get back to the picks this is one of the weirder baseball games that I’ve seen in one here’s the thing Max fre is incredible absolutely phenomenal stuff but we’re starting to see it heat up across the country starting to see some humidity show up here in Atlanta and Jake Irvin out here not very good but the one thing he is he is right-handed why does that matter well Atlanta just a 106 WRC plus against right-handed pitching and of course Ronald dunia or ACL out for the season gigantic deal to this lineup now it was not the best of starts to a season for Ronald aunia but anybody who’s replacing him is a stark drastic downgrade plus aunia well I’ll give him a little bit of leash his ability on the base paths to just create recklessness and just stupidity from pitchers trying to pick him off or catchers trying to you know just Target him all the time the guy was a differenc maker he’s just one of the best ball players on Earth so now Jared Kellick was in against a lefty today now it’s going to be better going up against a righty and Jake Irving here but gotta say this is one of those sneaky spots where I think you want to be early to the party on not not a drastic downgrade because I mean there’s still incredible bats that exist in this lineup and Ronald auno is one of them you know an Aaron judge they would obviously miss him in uh New York but you still have want so to stand you still have Matt olssen Marcel auna Austin Riley just got back here it is going to be very very interesting to see these lineups on a day-to-day basis but a lot of righties that you’ve gotten nazuna Riley darno Murphy Michael Harris probably going to be moving up maybe two hole three hole I’m going to look at his props early in the morning before that lineup comes out because I think we might be seeing him up higher than like sixth seventh in the order I know ninth once upon a time there but Jerry Kellick another guy might look at some props but Washington plus one and a half is currently my best play here it’s the r tee minus 102 and I thought about it stared at it for a long time this technically would be a lean like because supposed to be a play here ever so slightly but Washington plus one and a half I’m not going to do it if you’re feeling so bold and inclined go ahead and fire it up but I got another lean light coming up next and I did bet this one now on these 16 game slates I know a lot of you in the premium Discord we’re going to have prop exposure I’ve been firing up you know the the total bases along with the home runs in a couple capacities over the last couple days has been feeling good about the reads on some of those didn’t have any of them on Monday but going back to last week Thursday Friday we’re starting to intertwine some of them because I’m feeling pretty good about just back testing some of this but any who a lot of talking let’s just get to the damn thing Brown and Peralta just like I talked about on Monday Milwaukee spoked to be a play for me but I just can’t figure out this lineup so what I did was I got Willie adonis’s home run in that round robin felt good about that when he came in but was against lighter and a lighter Jr who and Bullpen arm we saw really good stuff from both starters there Justin steel pitched awesome for the Cubbies so probably got lucky to be able to get that W for all you Milwaukee folks and Freddy paral is the much better pitcher but Brown he does get swing and Miss stuff I still am not in love with the Milwaukee lineup without ree Hoskins in it although yellow hitting way over 300 Jake Bower is a great platoon guy William contas one of the best hitting catchers and if they can get Willie adamus rolling he does have a 464 expected slugging and 344 XA he does not suck is my point so the 249 average which is actually the best in the last three years for him 7 762 Ops I think we might start seeing more showing up here and hey eight stolen bases for him on the season already surpassing five that he had in 2023 so nice to see running be a part of his repertoire as well all of this is fancy because I’m just saying that Milwaukee I have a small play on them this time around but it is the last play in for me if you’re somebody who’s going to be in that premium Discord firing up props firing up everything else which I tend to think can be a little bit more positive EV because we can beat them at the source of it I think you keep this off your card so I got a little bit dicey wanted to be there this time around so surely Freddy Peralta about to get murdered we got Kansas City in Minnesota up next didn’t go very well there my plus 140 ticket out into the Optimus spere but any who we’ve got Kansas City now the favorites and I just don’t see any way around this one either Cole Ragin is a wagon he is our dude I’ve been kading him been betting him at the opportune times and I think this is just another one of them here pay attention to weather yet again it was a little bit dicey today although uh Joe Ryan pitched really really well I thought maybe we would get an in-game delay to get him out of it but again as a twins fan sweet but I like money I’m here to make you money that that’s the goal is not to sit here and cheer for my team so we’re going back to the Kansas City side of things here going for our lost dollars here Cole Reagan one of the best pitchers in baseball 30% carry 292 xwen Simeon Woods Richardson not very good and he’s a Fly ball pitcher and the winds ever so slightly blowing out to right field here 5 to8 miles per hour at first pitch 41% hard hit 18.2% K rate if you’re not missing the bats of Bobby Whit and S Perez and Vinnie pastino and Mel Garcia and MJ Melendez eventually will start getting there 420 expected slugging shocked to see MJ Mendez not having results here in the early going of the Season Kansas City money line has to be on the card there’s again I’ve said this now three times on summer No Way Around It Maybe maybe just like I said yesterday I wish I had gone Baltimore money line with the over there should have packaged them together Baltimore money line with this money line I don’t have any locks on the card for today but have a lot of plays hopefully we can be on the positive side of the we hit a lot of likes yesterday it was good Kevin Gman Mike clemer in this one and fascinating spot in some regards I can’t believe that this is actually the best play on the sheet for it but Kevin gausman somebody that I do think is going to start turning it on sooner rather than later we kind of saw it against Detroit there he’s very good friends it’s going to start coming the splitter the splitter is one of the best pitches in baseball just throw it all the time Kevin Cowman people can’t figure it out and it’s starting to not get completely lit and rocked but we’ve seen this guy over a decade now in Major League Baseball or exactly a decade it is I think it’s exactly a decade but anyway the splitter 216 batting average against uh that’s out of his three primary pitches the best number and best Mark we’re getting there so just keep throwing it cool sounds great glad we had that talk but Mike CER on the other side I I don’t want to back the under eight and a half because I do think Toronto I mean bats been quiet to start off this season but there’s a lot of power with Vlad and Dennis David Schneider now batting lead off Bo bashet Danny Jansen feel like I’m just listing off baseball teams today at some extent but whatever it’s my job under eight and a half it’s a lean not going to be on the card for me but pay attention to props going to be something to mine out of this one and something for you to mine out of this one as well go to the video description box below and sign up for B MGM if you haven’t already all you have to do deposit 2550 100 up to $1,500 that is and that first bet you place up to $1,500 gets your money back in bonus bets in the event that it loses if it wins keep the money congratulations you just won your bet but get your bonus bets friends take advantage take a big swing because again it increases your expected uh expected value coming back in your pocket by taking a plus 300 plus 320 type dog maybe Washington kind of think plus 200ish Washington might actually make some sense for your first bet safety net here so take advantage of this offer down at the video description box below only for 21 and over if you have a gambling problem please call 1 1800 Gambler back to the picks we go going to step on and go real fast as we head to Texas only one pitcher here Brandon fat I think D Dunning ends up being the guy that’s why he’s at the top of your screen but at the same time there’s some options D is so bad guys he is so so bad so bad 50.5% hard hit 497 expected slugging oh boy that’s not good now Brandon Fat’s been awesome 279 XO but 365 expected slugging 23 and. half% K rate but the 17.3 degree average launch angle 28% flyball percentage hi Cory Seager so nice to meet you went double dong on Sunday against my Minnesota Twins up 28577 expected slugging 13 degree launch angle off the bat 46 half% hard hit Cory Seager to home run I feel like I bet it every single day it’s been on the card a lot it’s been on round Robbins a lot of course Seer to home run should probably be on the card tomorrow we’ll take a look anything better than plus 325 and well against Brandon fat I’d be shocked if we didn’t get better than plus 325 will Brennan friends will Brennan I want to just highlight star talk about platoon and what we’re looking at here because this is one of those small spots where you’re going to get people who they’re like Eric just give us the plays just do no I want to talk process about one thing that you should be doing every single day to try to find an edge now fan graphs they do an amazing job with roster resources in the top right side of the column you can just basically I use it to just take closer depth charts and copy paste them into a sheet so that I can see usage and one thing that always stands out to me on certain teams is when they don’t have one side hand out of the bullpen now the Houston Astros they have one Josh hater you have spots that exist like this you have Jacob Latz the only uh Lefty that’s coming out of the Texas pen here at the moment so those are two teams where off the top of my head I can tell you who it is but the Colorado Rockies are a glaring example of trying to take advantage of certain things when the handedness stuff lines up for your batters Jaylen beaks he ended up coming in and playing he was a co- closer kind of him and Kinley have been the two closers here but Jaylen beaks was the only Lefty in this pen until they called in Josh Rogers he ended up out of the middle of nowhere pitching five innings in relief against Cleveland today and screwed up a lot of Lefty props that existed there fortunately we were on David fry and a switch hter to Jose Ramirez they covered those in the first three Innings if you ended up firing those up from the lean section great stuff there we also had the Home Run props but it did screw up the Josh Naylor side of things a little bit even though Naylor has been murdering lefties as well this season hasn’t been as good of late but only lefties Jaylen beaks Josh Rogers both of them pitched today it is all righties Unless somehow someway they find somebody in Triple A before tomorrow morning starts up and I don’t think that that is going to be the case here I don’t think they have anybody even in the Triple A selection that I could see coming up as like a lefty to take away anything from a platoon situation so Ryan feltner is going to be up there friends and Ryan felner I’ve been backing him more than I would like to admit this season Colorado has actually been kind of a wagon considering they’ve been type money but all of that talking basically is for this will Brenan I have major platoon issues with him where I think there are tons when that Rodriguez fellow that they just called up or other righties are going to get called into relief now Kyle manzardo he’s a first base guy DH basically uh he is going to be from the left side as well so this can kind of apply but we haven’t really seen him hitting so far at the big league level will Brennan has a 40 % hard hit so far a 252 expected batting average and his low low props at open here have me interested in fact I bet one already and I think you should tail it at anything better than plus 120 it is currently plus 130 over a draftings plus 126 at B MGM we’ve got will brenon over5 RBIs he batted seventh today I bet he moves up a little bit in the order against Ary and then I repeat an entire Bullpen of rties not a lot of situations where I think they would ever be pinch hitting for will Brennan in this spot think he sees the full four bats and this is not factored into that number should be evish money or again plus 120 would be the worst number I would want to be betting but plus 130 currently a DraftKings all righty y’all well we had a really good talk about that one uh let’s just talk super quickly about how good Aaron judge and wano are and how bad Griffin canning is Griffin canning giving up crazy amounts of power and it’s going high and far 18 degree average launch angle off the bat 35% flyball rate 42% hard hit 468 expected slugging and did you know Aaron judge and Juan stto both hit baseballs very very hard and far now I can’t believe that this is actually a break even number on a baseball player but Aaron judge I have is a fair value of plus 195 it’s now been about a year and a half since I’ve seen the Aaron judge numbers on my sheet showing up inside of the plus 200 as a break even number that being his true odds if you’re looking over at the odd Chopper screen and I think you want to be betting him at anything with a plus two in front of it I’m shocked I’m shocked that this is the case but again it is what it is want so to give me better than plus 240 these are ridiculous numbers but Angel Stadium one of the top five ballparks in baseball for home runs over a three-year rolling average on baseball Savant no reason that you don’t want to have these two on your card give me one of the two for a w I’m sure some of you are just going to Parlay this now it is what it is I I’m around robing home runs now so I don’t even know who I am anymore three games to go hit the like button subscribe button notification Bell is we just got news before this program Christian Javier at the top of your screen is going to be on the 15-day I with forearm issues so we’ve got Hunter Brown who’s going to be getting the ball going up against Luis Castillo I ran everything in the background here so producer Jacob luckily it’s the same damn play so over seven and a half is going to be on the card it was going to be on the card with Christian Javier is the guy as well but just be on the lookout because Hunter Brown is worse than I think Christian Javier longterm was going to be Hunter Brown 261 expected batting average 333 XA now the one thing that Seattle do strike out ad nauseum against anyone any right-handed pitcher it just is it’s just insane highest in baseball nearly 30% but Luis Castillo is a decent enough back sometimes not against the Houston Astros team with Juran Alvarez and Kyle Tucker at the height of their powers well Kyle Tucker Juran Alvarez needs to come along for the ride here at some point had a really hot like two weeks earlier in the season here’s what it is he needs to start picking it up but I absolutely love the over of seven and a half here if you made me pick my favorite play on the board with Hunter Brown now starting there and this at minus 110 yeah this is the best one this should be juice minus 120 or higher or I would be betting this at eight even if you were me even money so people ask I I would bet that at even money haes Lo lazardo going up against Matt Waldren and Matt Waldren it’s been really really good Jesus lazardo starting to turn it on starting to look like his former self which I’m excited about because he’s an exciting Southpaw has electric stuff the K rate 25.3% K rate 302 xwo but does give up some hard hit and it’s high and far Fernando tatis looking at you can you start doing the things that you’re supposed to do from time to time could you would you I don’t know Matt walren 32.4% hard hit just is what it is now walren he’s really good so far I I don’t know just didn’t see this one coming San Diego money line like it Miami’s lineup’s terrible I don’t know what else to do other than back Matt Waldren here even though I like Jesus Lardo so it is what it is I should probably just go to the last game now Zack Wheeler’s pitching we don’t know who’s pitching for the Giants in any way shape or form tried to find any AAA call-ups maybe maybe into the Wii hours or tomorrow morning we’ll be able to find that out that would be useful the useful Motes but for the time being we just know Zack Wheeler is outrageously good and the Phillies are going to be big favorites no matter who it is that they roll out maybe it’s going to be a bullpen situation I don’t know Bly On The Run line also Zach wheeler might be looking at some K props just throwing it in there for the people just throwing it in there for the people and that does it for another edition of Lindy’s leans likes and locks hit that like button subscribe button notification Bell as you get out of there head to the video description box below let me know how you did on Monday always like to see the results here uh start to carry over we’ve had the likes on point we’re going to to keep the likes on point didn’t end up locking that over a seven and a half potentially might put a little bit more on that with Hunter Brown out there next to Luis Castillo there Luis Castillo back at home always freaks me out a little bit to just go over the top there but feel good about the play feel good about the card and feel good about the prop exposure that we’ve been getting down in that premium Discord if you want to join in on the fun head over to odd Sho or sign up using promo code Lindy get yourself that 20% off your first week or first month thank you producer Jacob check out NBA Lindy as well for game four my Timberwolves until next time friends I’m Eric liquis best of luck in the MLB streets on Tuesday

26 Comments

  1. My parlay, thoughts on this? Help me😢😢😢

    Rockies ML
    Royals ML
    Brewers ML
    Rays ML
    Tigers vs pirates UNDER
    Mariners vs astros OVER

  2. What happened with kyle tucker? I watched him bat and he hit but the prop didn't hit what am I missing?

  3. Is it Megil over or under?? You talk like over but graphic says under. Chc ml feels like I was robbed

  4. Eric, where are you doing HR round robins at? Draftkings Sportsbook and BetMGM don't allow me in NY

  5. Eric is 14-15 on locks for the year after Thursday choosing correctly Min ML and incorrectly Philly -1.5 (I think this is correct but idk was gone all weekend in a state with no sports betting allowed 😢)

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