UFC St. Louis Lewis vs Nascimento Predictions & Betting Breakdown | Weigh In Recap Show

UFC St. Louis Lewis vs Nascimento Predictions & Betting Breakdown | Weigh In Recap Show
On today’s episode I breakdown the entire UFC St. Louis fight card giving my prediction and betting breakdown for every matchup after the weigh ins! Important note Jousset vs Gooden has been canceled.
This card features Lewis vs Nascimento, Buckley vs Ruiziboev, Menifield vs Ulberg, Cortes-Acosta vs Despaigne & much more!

Become a Member to unlock exclusive perks & livestreams!
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNEqku73qMTwpPedkC_TUMA/join

Make sure to LIKE & SUBSCRIBE!
Let me know in the comments what you guys think!

Follow my social media
Instagram @mma_experts @ajdevitofitness
Twitter @ajmmaexperts
Tik Tok @mma_experts

Intro 0:00
JJ Aldrich vs. Veronica Hardy 0:38
Jake Hadley vs. C. Johnson 3:44
Trey Waters vs. Billy Goff 6:52
Tabatha Ricci vs. Tecia Torres 10:19
T. McKinney vs. E. Ribovics 13:32
Chase Hooper vs. V. Borshchev 17:41
W. Cortes-Acosta vs. R. Despaigne 21:09
Alex Caceres vs. Sean Woodson 24:25
Diego Ferreira vs. M. Rębecki 26:59
A. Menifield vs. Carlos Ulberg 30:18
J. Buckley vs. N. Ruziboev 34:32
Derrick Lewis vs. R. Nascimento 37:35
Parlays 41:20

UFC St. Louis Content Schedule
Sunday – UFC Predictions/Livestream QNA
Monday – Moneyline 11PM ET/Livestream QNA/News Video(If any)
Tuesday – Livestream QNA/News Video(If any)
Wednesday – This Weeks Best MMA Bets/Livestream/News Video(If any)
Thursday – Late Night Live/News Video(if any)/Members livestream
Friday – Weigh In Recap Show/Livestream QNA/News Video(If any)
Saturday – UFC Fight Companion Livestream/UFC Recap

#ufc #ufcstlouis #mmabetting

[Music] UFC St Lewis this is the weigh-in recap show full card predictions and the betting breakdown I’m looking forward to talking about each of the matchups on this card after seeing the fighters on the scales so make sure you guys smash the like button if you’re new to the channel subscribe turn the post notifications on and make sure you share the video as well and also note I’ll be live for the entire UFC St Louis Fight Card Saturday 400 p.m. eastern time don’t miss the fight companion and let’s get into our first fight on the card ladies going after it we got Veronica Hardy versus JJ Aldrich I’m GNA pick Veronica Hardy she’s consistently improving and I honestly think JJ Aldrich is like incredibly average tier not that Veronica Hardy has looked exceptional by any means but at 28 there is a potential for farther growth than alrich who’s 31 now the scales I’m not anticipating are going to play much of a serious factor in this fight both girls were on weight Battle of southpaws I think Hardy’s going to win I think she gets it on the cards we will look at the ladies on the scales let me shrink myself down so I’m not obnoxiously large here and let’s check out Aldrich first I mean she’s in good shape I can’t really say say much bad about her I got no roast for JJ Aldrich she’s the first fight of the night it’s a women’s bout Veronica Hardy on the other front uh you know representing Dan Hardy here she’s uh kind of getting led to water and actually drinking as far as her skill sets going like you know she’s got a good mind in her uh you know husband’s fight skills and knowledge and it seems like she’s evolving well aldrid is nothing special and that’s the truth to be told here if Hardy’s going to do anything in the UFC she’s going to have to win this fight here I’m going to predict that she does so we’re going to pick her let’s go face off though damn you know what Aldridge is a little bit bigger she got a little bit of those love handles on the side she’s a little thick she could get down to 115 if she uh you know what I’m saying started to jump on a maybe a slightly cleaner diet here I’m seeing the love handles gang now I’m roasting a hard but serious note the fight goes distance the fight goes Hardy by decision I think that’s what’s going to happen here ladies fight to start the night if you’re betting on it best of luck to you the odds are favoring Veronica Hardy at minus 144 on the other side aldrid plus 124 aldrid is pretty experienced in the UFC and that’s why like I went over as the high confidence but my God what are we doing over what do we got minus 500 for the over two and a half rounds what are we doing with that nothing we’re doing zero with it unfortunately uh it’s even kind of crappy in a long shot parlay but I guess more in your longer shots uh Hardy to win by a decision minus 110 the official pick is going to be Hardy by decision I think she can beat JJ Aldrich is Hardy jumping me up and down as a prospect no and I think this fight here is kind of like a measuring stick last time it was jamim Lin HTH who’s inexperienced it’s not a great bet on Hardy I don’t think it’s a close money fight I think the line deserves to be even and now you’re throwing down minus 140 for Hardy and what a minus 110 fight I’m picking Hardy to win let’s jump to the next one man [ __ ] rambling about this damn fight I want to get to the next damn fight on the card the next fight we have Jake Hadley versus Charles Johnson interesting I’m picking Charles Johnson I think the underdog is going to win this fight here I like his chances of success I’ve been picking them all week long I like the standup game I like the take down defense I like the Striking skill set the pro boxing and kickboxing experience Jake Hadley on the other front if he’s an overrated Brit started uh you know coming into UFC what 80 and the wins are not impressive cellario and Malcolm Gordon they don’t impress me as far as wins go I think Charles Johnson from the outside will find success I think he has a physical strength Edge and could even uh get on top of Hadley I do think Hadley’s going to look to restle a little bit but Johnson’s going to be pretty hard to deal with as far as takedown defense goes now let’s check him out on the scales and let’s see is there anything to know is there anything that looks you know menacing here well there’s something that looks menacing holy [ __ ] the [ __ ] missing tooth over here now I got to shrink myself but you guys can still see the teeth and that’s what it’s really all about forget the physique holy [ __ ] the uh the missing front tooth look man I would have kept in the fake cap bro I would have kept it in I wouldn’t have flexed out looking like that he he looks he looks about as British as it gets with that missing tooth right there so so uh next one where’s Charles Johnson at where’s our guy we had Charles Johnson on the ceremonial scales up top but we’re not looking at that we’re looking at the official scales Charles Johnson looking solid and you can’t see his haircut here so that should give you more confidence there’s no rat tail flying from the side but it is there I’ll let you guys know the bad haircut is just The Charles Johnson specialty now as far as the faceoffs between these two let’s bring it up let me get this for you guys here where is is it at we got the face off we got Cowboy Charles Johnson rocking the uh the Hat with the camo look for Jake Hadley what is the scales telling us here that the fight’s going to go how I thought of it going on paper it’s going to be a Charles Johnson close decision three hard rounds the underdog should be the winner I’m sticking with my original pick there’s no change in the confidence there’s no Wilt we’re going Charles John Johnson to win now it’s plus 108 for Charles Johnson the lines come down a bit it was up at plus 125 and then Jake Hadley on the other front minus 128 I think that we’ll see a win for Charles Johnson by a decision over rounds is minus 260 for the flyweights I’m anticipating over Johnson by decision is plus 200 yeah we’re going Charles Johnson to win there’s no shift in my confidence after the weighs or anything like that there’s no uh anxiousness coming my way on Johnson really I mean I think I’ll be nervous when the fight’s commencing as a good Underdog call uh but I don’t think Jake Halley’s very good he’s got a real wide stance maybe even we’ll see Johnson attacking the legs a little bit here so we’re going Charles Johnson to win feeling good about it let’s keep on running up our next fight on the card we got Trey Waters versus Billy gof I’m going with the underdog lock this week with Billy gof I had to go dog savagery man I had to ride with an underdog and I’m happy that I did because a high confidence pick for me was Kevin Jet and that fight’s canceled so Billy gof to get it done I think TKO is live here I know that he’s going to be at a fair disadvantage of size with Trey Waters and you’ll see it in a moment uh we’ll look at him on the scales first and then I will bring up the face off but Billy gof look jacked he looks sick man trust your gut he’s got the Savage tattoo and you know what I’m trusting my gut and pick picking Billy G to win this fight he looks like an absolute chatted up dude kind of got like a uh more classy version of the mullet how could you not be on his side if I didn’t shrink myself down which I didn’t my apologies my apologies all right Trey Waters he’s given me Ryan spam Vibes bro he’s looking a little sleepy here I don’t know how to describe it he looks a little tired and he’s 65 at 170 that’s absolutely crazy granted he’s not the only 6570 pounder on the card it just makes no damn sense to me now let’s check out the face off between these two and let’s see how they look going face to face nose to nose I think you know what the fight is going to go how I’m anticipating it you can see Billy G more jacked stockier shorter but really not stocky in a negative he’s wellb built on the other side you got Trey Waters who’s real Slim and long the problem with Trey Waters is simple guys he’s a point fighting style right he’s going to be trying to tee up Billy G for three rounds and sniping him from range whereas Billy G is going to find the opportunities to close the gap and make this a very dirty fighting close and that’s where he’s going to absolutely Thrive and I think Trey Waters is getting folded man I think we’re going to see Billy G get a finish I’m going gol KO TKO now as far as the odds for the fight gof is plus 145 as a dog and he’s kind of you know held steady around this line at open he was the favorite but it flipped to the plus money I think Billy G’s a good Underdog I think people are falling into the he 65 Trey Waters mentality right so yeah there’s a bit of a height difference but like you saw them going face to face little bit of an overhand I don’t care if you’re 6’5 your chin is not above 510 5’11 and I think Billy G is going to find a lot of success in this fight and I think at plus 145 he’s a tremendous Underdog call on my front and I’m feeling damn good about it under 2 and a half minus 175 I’m going golf money line best call I do think we’re going under golf by KO the official predictions sitting at plus 325 damn more than three to one action on that I think Billy gol takes it home for us good prospect on the come up I think Trey Waters is going to try to dance with him from the outside and G is going to turn it into like a a brawl a Barn Burning type swanging and banging slugfest type fight and that is exactly what I want from him that’s what I’m looking for so we’re going with Billy G to get the win I think he should look pretty badass in this fight and I think that he’s uh taken out the side of Trey Waters let’s go let’s go let’s keep on running up the card next fight on the card we have it between Tabitha Richie and Tisha Torres now listen T Tor is in a prime hell to deal with for a ton of these ladies including a prime version of Tabitha Richie issue is T tus recently had kid she’s 34 nearly 35 Tabitha’s on a roll so I’ve been picking Tabitha Richie by decision all week long but I don’t think Tabitha Richie is like Elite tier by any means and Tisha Torres has fought some of the best in the world in the women’s straw weight Division and I think she’s a hard fight for Richie so to me cautionary tale if you got it all down on top of the Richie as far as the scales let’s check them out let’s see everybody’s looking let’s see how these Savages are looking here all right where is Tabitha Richie where are you there’s Tabitha Richie listen you know what great shape stylish hair great look you know what you get with Tabitha Richie she draws a lot of male attention in the fight game a lot of the eyes are drawn on her and she’s uh most single dude’s favorite fighter now on the opposite side you got Tisha Pennington Tisha Torres who’s now married to UFC bantamweight champ Raquel Pennington she’s had kids but you know what to be fair it doesn’t look like her frame is substantially different I don’t know how the internals will go I don’t know how it’ll end up going on fight night but she is still pretty jacked I want to look at this face off this side to side because I think this will help us a lot to determine what’s going to go down here at least in a sense not to necessarily tell you that I got the answer key just from the face off but Tisha looks [ __ ] jacked she looks shredded and she had a kid recently that’s crazy Tabitha Richie looks dra Jack shredded too this is going to be a good fight I think it’s a close one man really close I’m gonna say Tabitha Richie takes it 2928 on the judges scorecards but Tisha Torres is still pretty game good [ __ ] I’m excited for this fight yo as far as the odds for the matchup here the odds for this fight right we have Tabitha Richie minus 140 is the favorite Tisha Tores plus 120 Tisha toras is not easy to deal with man that’s the truth to be told McKenzie dur Split Decision lost last time I know it was two years ago but she’s a tough out for a lot of these girls Richie by decision plus 110 taures by decision plus 160 I think we’re going over two and a half but it’s minus 400 I’m going to say Tabitha Richie 2928 that is my official pick um but Tisha Torres is tricky man fast hands physically strong girl good wrestling defense explosive has fought some of the best in the game it’s just she’s no longer primed at least on paper they literally have the same height and reach so good fight I’m going to go tabi the Richie by decision let’s keep on running up let’s keep on running running this card through next fight on the card we got Terrence mckin versus estaban reix I’m going with Terence mckin to win in the first round I’m taking him as an underdog here I do think he can beat EST rovix but like we always have to worry about Terrence McKinna because the gas tank is always a problem uh the mental span of like attenion is low and he ends up uh you know kind of mentally fatiguing and fights and taking fat was not saying he has a great gas tank either but he falls apart after the first round esan rovix was in bad spots on the ground round one with kamuela Kirk dog that should tell you something that should tell you something that should tell you that Terence mckin has a very live chance to finish this fight in the first round I’m going with Terence McKinna to get it done I know his last two wins are against me TI at best and estabon last time F Kirk who’s mad and it’s a decision dog eston rix’s minus 165 if Terence McKenna’s got anything left in his UFC career he’s gon to get a finish in this fight let’s let’s find Terence McKinna here he’s got to beat estabon all right where’s estabon all right estabon you’re up to the bat first okay estabon reiv viix is in real [ __ ] good shape man he’s got the menacing light eyes which is concerning man I don’t know uh I hope that Terence McKinna isn’t intimidated bro because eston rovix is chatted up man he’s a Hispanic Chad he’s like a [ __ ] Julio and then we got mckenny I don’t know how to describe it he just doesn’t look great to me not that the physique isn’t great just something looks off about him something doesn’t look great I hope that come fight he does I don’t know you guys see what I’m saying I got to shrink myself a little more and let me bring up the face off but you see what I’m saying or am I am I Delirious let me know in the comments Terence mckin looks weird here something’s off I hope that he proves me wrong but it looks like he lost his magic like you seen Austin Powers when they stole his Mojo that’s what I’m feeling with Terence McKenna so if he gets beaten in the second round I won’t be shocked there’s honestly reix has way bigger arms it’s kind of crazy looking at him side by side you wouldn’t think that just looking from the front I don’t think rovix is that good man if Terence McKenna has any hope left in his UFC career he beats eston if he loses wash my hands bro the Terrence mckin hype is gone forever plus 130 for Rex Terrence McKinna minus 155 for estabon rovix the under is minus 220 I think mckin and round one which is plus 220 but upwards of plus 300 reix in round two plus 450 maybe that’s your bet you going round one McKenna reix round two then Terrence mckin somehow gets a [ __ ] decision mckin by decision is plus 12200 they don’t believe that he can win a decision at all the money Line’s not bad though for the plus side at plus 135 McKenna these wins are not good opposition to be fair like his best UFC wins for Terrence McKenna unfortunate to say like they came here at the early run frivola and xam are big wins but that was in 2021 and early 2022 that was a long time ago then you see the losses here darck Min loss that was a terrible loss but he went on a good role though to be fair he had a good streak going for himself losses are against decent guys though Drew Dober bone and sidikov uh there’s not a ton of shame in losing to those guys and I do think that he can pull it off against estan rovix how many decision wins we got from McKenna zero never won by decision never lost by decision no he probably gets a first round finish I’m going to say sub because I saw the success that kamell Kirk had taking the back of estabon he’s just not good enough obviously to get the Finish I think that Terrence mckenny can win by finish I think submission or knockout but mcken to finish the fight I think mcken in the first round under dog Terrence mckin call let’s jump to our next one which is the featured prelim of the night we got Chase Hooper versus vaslav barev I’ve been picking vaslav barev to get the win over Chase Hooper I really think that he could knock Chase Hooper out this there’s not a substantial size difference between these two as far as the height goes Chase Hooper is now up at 155 lbs barev hits really [ __ ] hard and I think Chase Hooper lacks the wrestling skill set to absolutely starch control and and work borchev and Bev’s loss to Mark jaesi ja’s a jacked takedown artist at this point I know Jai was always known for his striking but he’s a [ __ ] grinder at this point and then Mike Davis is jacked as well and he’s a pretty good fighter too masate win draw with sadikov it’s not a terrible draw there uh the Jordan levit submission was impressive but again levit is a slow twitch wrestler only style Nick fjor is not very good uh he’s okay and he had some grappling moments obviously Steve Garcia chindam and Stephen Peters in decision he beat the the late Philipe Karis rest in peace but that was down to 45 let’s look at the scales here let’s see what we’re looking at let’s see what we can see let’s see let’s find our guy Chase Hooper up to bat all right so to be fair there is evidence of a little bit of muscle tissue being put on with Chase Hooper but to me like he looks like the friendly kid in high school like you would never have thought he would have been a pro fighter you’d expect him to be the guy helping you with Calculus homework not helping you kicking someone’s ass so respect to chase Hooper for going against all stereotypes here and uh becoming a pro fighter I respect the grind and then on the other side vaslav barev so from the neck down he looks in pretty good shape and he’s ready to go from the neck up he looks like a damn homeless crack addict holy [ __ ] uh the extra long beard is out I don’t know man even maybe like a slight pirate look for him not a great look right now for VL barev I personally uh would recommend you know trimming the beard a little bit I don’t know it gives bum Vibes with that that Dusty looking beard and uh I’m telling you if you saw sitting outside of a [ __ ] Home Depot I don’t know you probably think you would be homeless now let’s look at the faceoffs between the two not a big height difference not much of a size difference I know barev kept the uh shirt on it don’t really matter here Chase Hooper’s not known for the physique H I think barev finds the chin I don’t think Chase Hooper would be successful in subbing him Chase Hooper he’s trying to thicken up and I respect it but he’s still only 24 barev is literally putting all his [ __ ] time into improving these subpar grappling skills and I think he should be able to knock out Chase vlot barev is minus 137 the favorite Chase Hooper is a plus 117 Underdog uh barev by KO plus 110 I think it’s pretty live I think barev rocks Chase Hooper on the feet and knocks him out Hooper by sub plus 215 if you’re on that side uh but I do think barev is going to win I think he wins by KO I don’t think Chase Hooper can take a real clean shot from barev Hooper does not respond well to punches and barev is going to punch him in the face really hard so we’re going barev by Kale all right let’s keep running up and let’s jump to our main card opener if you guys haven’t yet make sure you smash the like button if you’re new to the channel make sure you subscribe we got Waldo Cortez aosta versus rebellis Des Spain in this fight right here I’m picking rebellous to Spain and I have been all week I think he can knock wears Waldo out I do think the Spain’s a nasty Prospect still I know some people have kind of like stepped away from the hype train and thought well no Waldo’s a GU to beat him he’s 11 and one I don’t buy it man Waldo’s been knocked out in boxing it’s time for him to get knocked out in MMA this is the truth be told man all right where’s our Guy Where’s Waldo where’s where’s Waldo he’s at the top where’s Waldo is up first here I mean not a terrible frame from him but he does look really [ __ ] angry on the scale he reminds me of uh your uncle who just got yelled at by youran at the barbecue he’s that level of [ __ ] angry he’s pissed off I think he’s coming into this fight mad maybe it’s because he’s a dog I don’t know he looks like an angry Waldo Cortez a Costa maybe he’s mad he lost fans after disrespecting our guy orlovski then on the other side we got rebellous Des Spain very good shape kind of uh Kevin randomman Esh like blend Kevin randomman a little bit of Michael Jordan in there to give him the height in like I don’t know some unknown Cuban and then boom the baby of that equals rebellous to Spain I think he’s going to look good man I’m a rebellous to Spain believer I got to [ __ ] shrink myself absolutely covering it I’m a rebellious to Spain believer though I think he can pull this off I think he’s jacked and in great shape and ready to go I think he can beat where as wall though I think the hype is pretty real I don’t think he’s going to be the bust of the century man I’m going to have faith and when you look at them side by side you already know it’s a big reach Advantage but you see the height advantage rebellous of Spain is just a much larger human I’m going with rebellous by knockout I think he can put where’s Waldo to bed here as far as the odds rebellous is a minus 250 favorite where’s Waldo is a plus 210 Underdog note that I’ve picked where’s Waldo every time in the past and I’ve only been wrong once and I’m picking against him here with rebellous to Spain I think rebellous to Spain is going to find that chin um it’s as far as the odds the Spain kale minus 17 [ __ ] the Spain first round minus 120 but you do get maybe plus 115 somewhere the Spain by KO TKO first round again I’m seeing the negative minus 115 favorite status I think rebellis to Spain is going to knock Waldo out that’s my prediction in this fight I think he can do it I think he can sleep Waldo weights here 262 on both sides but obviously Waldo carrying substantially more body fat and holy [ __ ] this picture of Waldo versus how he looks now it’s kind of [ __ ] insane it’s not even the same guy he looks like holy [ __ ] that’s Waldo now that’s like this this is like Tinder reality over here with Waldo that’s funny as [ __ ] oh my God all right so the pick rebellous to Spain for the W I think he’s knocking where’s wallo out let’s keep running up next fight on the card we have Alex Bruce Leroy casseri versus Shawn the sniper Woodson I’m going with Shawn the sniper Woodson I like the Striking from distance I like the reach advantage that he’s coming in in this fight and I also feel like the prime is on Shawn Woodson’s side he’s been rising with momentum as of late and I do think he’s goingon to out strike caceras over the course of three rounds caceras chose to strike with Giga chiad who is a world class kickboxer I think he’s probably going to choose to strike here with Shawn Woodson as well and I am going to shrink myself down we’re going to check out Shawn Woodson holy [ __ ] Shawn Woodson skinny if you’re talking about some of the freakiest looking fighters in the UFC Shawn Woodson’s probably on the top of the [ __ ] list looks like a damn legit exoskeleton holy [ __ ] but uh listen I still think he wins the fight this is always how he looks it’s not like this is a new thing not like he’s cutting down for the first time then we got quirky ceris per usual pretty decent shape looks very young for his age but I think he’s taking a loss my brothers I think so I think we’re going to see Shawn Woodson pull it off on the scorecards we’ll check out the face off though we’ll look you’re going to see the height difference here I mean it’s doable but I think Shawn Woodson it’s a good matchup for him because caceras is not a powerful puncher caceras is not heavy-handed by any means and Shawn Woodson is just clearly the better boxer and he has way longer arms and I think he’s just more primed with a speed advantage too and I think he’s going to win the fist fight now as far as the odds Shawn Woodson minus 225 not a bad tag I mean nah it is [ __ ] it it’s wide it’s ugly it opened at minus 110 but like if it was minus 185 I wouldn’t be crying minus 230 is a little uglier plus 195 ceras I just don’t think ceras is going to win and I know the line’s a chalky call for Sean Woodson he’s like a chalky locky territory though minus 280 for the over I think we going over Woodson decision minus 105 I think he’s getting a decision I expect Shawn Woodson to land pretty good strikes in this fight more significant shots touch up caceras slip and move on him and uh make him chase a little bit and get the win so you know what cheers to that I’m drinking some [ __ ] iced coffee over here cheers to Shawn Woodson getting it done let’s go Shawn Woodson I’m hyped for him I’m hyped for him I’m a Shawn Woodson fan let’s keep on running up we got more fights to talk about we got more savagery than the next fight Diego Ferrera versus mat rheski if you’re not picking rashki what do you do that’s it that’s the that’s the breakdown peace out no I’m [ __ ] around I’m gonna actually get into it but ravesi should definitely win if he doesn’t beat dieo Ferrera then he was the biggest bust of all time Diego Ferrera is okay don’t get it twisted but he is 39 now we’re going to check them out on the scales because I did notice something about Diego Ferrera and I gotta you know sometimes I got to be pretty positive I can be an [ __ ] once in a while but overall you guys know it’s mostly a positive vibe up in here from me and I got to say credit where it’s due this dude looks like he’s somehow Aging in Reverse this is the best I’ve seen Diego Farah look in a while shaving off that corny afro was also a good move as well and I’m talking [ __ ] but look at these curls but still I think it was a good move for him Diego Ferrero looks very good and I think that you know maybe it’s a misread by us no I really don’t think it’s a misread I still am confident that the little tank Mr uh [ __ ] muscle rashki is going to dominate the fight I believe in my guy okay I haven’t seen the receding hairline look this badass since Tony Soprano okay that’s what we’re dealing with here with the little mini tank I’m going with rashki I think he gets a finish KO win for him let’s look at the face off though let’s give uh let’s give forever a chance to impress us for a what are you bringing to the Face Off you bringing some animalistic Behavior are you trying to intimidate with something crazy no he’s not he looks like a 2007 skateboarder nah I’m not impressed I don’t know Diego ferera lost me now on the face off like you can see the sags in his skin he looks 46 on the side if rheski doesn’t destroy him I don’t know man retire from MMA veski is going to work him dog it should be oneway traffic ass whooping Central that’s the truth to be told about this fight it shouldn’t be competitive at all rashki should beat the [ __ ] out of him for lack of a more sophisticated term cuz [ __ ] a sophisticated term here he should beat the [ __ ] out of him as far as the odds though rashki they told you to f off minus 510 get the [ __ ] out of my face plus 385 for a plus7 what the [ __ ] man the line has gotten so bad like earlier in the week dog if you played it if you played it early in the week even minus minus 265 in a parlay minus 235 but now [ __ ] minus 450 is the best you’re going to find I think we are going under minus 175 rashki inside distance minus 150 rashki KO plus 115 the truth be told though if he ends up winning a decision would I be that shocked no because he took [ __ ] Nick F the distance and Nick f is kind of mid he’s okay but he’s kind of mid bro he’s mid he’s been finishing lately though and he’s normally a finisher and that like come on it was a UFC debut against Nick fure I think reesi should finish the 39-year-old Diego Ferrero for last time kale Michael Johnson his eyes were shut and he threw an overhand and it landed flush so that’s the [ __ ] fight game for you give me the side of our guy mat rheski for the win all right let’s jump to our next fight on the card it is our featured bout of the night we got Alonzo Manfield versus Carlos alberg I’ve been picking Carlos alberg to win all week long I do think he gets it but I think menafield could be harder to deal with than maybe anticipated cuz he is pretty [ __ ] heavy-handed he’s a physical presence for sure and I think alberg might be a tad overrated I mean the dun Jung fight didn’t get me saying wow you get what I’m saying like I was like like d Jung I don’t know man not that I’m comparing matchups but like Dustin jakobe destroyed daun Jung with relative ease and then Alonzo menifield did beat Jacobi on a competitive decision not using MMA math Carlos alberg also lost at one point to en zaku who [ __ ] also lost to un Jong I don’t know man I think alberg by decision makes more sense than anticipating him to destroy Alonzo manafield but if alberg lost I wouldn’t be surprised let’s look at the scales for these guys where our guys at here all right all right let’s find them we got menafield first all right Alonzo menafield field he’s a [ __ ] jacked Carlton from Fresh princh dog like he looks in great [ __ ] shape and he looks ready to go he’s not a technical fighter though but technical doesn’t always mean victory in the UFC man it’s like the style of his game kind of works for him slapping shots weird hooks good durability men Field’s ready like menafield is not coming into this fight with low confidence to lose to Carlos alberg he’s not like looking at car alberg as the next uh word of God Prospect we got alberg down here Carlos alberg looks good I don’t know how to describe it though with alberg something about him I just worry I don’t know he’s in good shape he’s got everything going for him but I don’t know I’m still picking but if you’re on metfield I don’t think he’s a bad Underdog for the line we’ll look at the lines in a sec let’s just pull up the face off first where’s our face off here all right here’s our face off respect between these guys menafield alberg big height Advantage for alberg manafield kind of being submissive at the damn weighs I didn’t really like that he was a little too friendly I think that alberg decision makes a lot of sense and I think it’s going to go over one and a half rounds that makes a lot of sense looking here alberg is a minus 265 favorite though I don’t get it like beating daun Jung ehor poteria Nikolai nego mariu tafan chuki and iio shirat that gives you this tag like yeah some of them are impressive but over menafield who’s coming off a win over Dustin jacobe it’s just almost like I want to [ __ ] go Underdog bet line because of the [ __ ] blatant disrespect it shouldn’t look like this it should be minus 150 for alberg so I think alberg could be risky if you got him in all your parlays I’m picking him to win still but I don’t know man Mena Field’s a game [ __ ] bro over one and a half minus 160 makes sense to me menafield decision is plus 650 you could steal a decision man he could steal a decision I’m going to pick menafield or excuse me I’m gonna pick olberg but now [ __ ] [ __ ] hell is this the universe trying to get me to pick flip oh the universe might be trying to get me to pick flip man I don’t want to pick flip though I wasn’t guys I never wrote down yo pick flip it I never came here to pick flip I’ve been doing real good with pick flips but I just can’t do it but I’ll tell you this I don’t think Alonzo manafield is a bad Underdog I think that he is a tricky fight for alberg but I am going to anticipate alberg to win a decision I’m going to say this fight looks harder and closer than a minus 275 tag so I’m going stick with alberg but you know the confidence on the B of alberg side is not there it’s more of a 5050 fight to me I give a slight lean towards alberg getting it done though that’s where my head’s at with this fight next fight on the card is our Kain we got walkem Buckley versus Nur sutan Rizzy boov and I’ve been talking a lot of [ __ ] I’ve been saying Rizzy boov no way he’s making the weight he’s coming in over I guess I didn’t say no way but I said I wouldn’t be surprised if he was over I’m like how the [ __ ] six weeks ago he’s fighting at 85 now he’s 170 dude’s a [ __ ] freaking nature because he made 17.3 and he’s 65 dog I don’t understand and he’s got way more muscle than Trey Waters who’s also 65 and 170 I’ve been picking Buckley all week though I think he’s getting disrespected let’s look at this here let’s look at this here where’s our guy where’s where’s [ __ ] Rizzy boov Rizzy boov is the real life Flat Stanley the dude’s about as flat as you can get it doesn’t even make sense to me he’s not human how the [ __ ] did he shrink down to 170 lbs at 65 I know he’s skinny but still holy [ __ ] he made the weight respect him making the weight that blew my [ __ ] mind that he came in so smoothly now on the other side walkem Buckley you know they used to say he look like Tyler the Creator and like Nick Cannon have have a baby like I don’t know I don’t see it right now I see Bubba from Forest Gump is the look alike for him and I’m telling you you see it now you can’t unsee it that’s Bubba from Forest Gump to me and listen some good things are coming to Bubba this [ __ ] Saturday I’m picking him to win by knockout third round or decision to be honest I’m kind of [ __ ] being arrogant as [ __ ] saying knockout for sure nah I do think Buckley can beat Rizzy Bo I know Rizzy boy may wait I know he’s looking slender I just don’t believe I don’t believe I don’t believe brother I don’t think because you’re 6’5 you’re a lock Buckley could catch him over the top for sure Rizzy Bo was looking okay striking with Dumas but Dumas got his eyes [ __ ] clawed out I’m going to say Buckley Wis thing and keeps the momentum going in his favor I’m believing in Buckley bro I believe in Buck I believe in [ __ ] Bubba waim Bubba Buckley at minus 133 is my official pick Rizzy boy of plus 113 I think Buckley’s going to beat him over 1 a half minus 145 pretty sensible uh Buckley by decision all the way up at plus 425 with a KO only at plus 130 Buckley in round three plus 750 but upwards of plus 900 I think Buckley could get a later stoppage or I think Buckley could win it by a decision here I know a lot of people saying Rizzy Boy by sub he’s going to take him to the ground and Destroy Buckley but wae Buckley is not a slouch on the floor look at this zero submission losses to be fair like I know Rizzy boy have got a lot of sub wins but against salamis dog against no-name Fighters wae Buckley can beat in Sal and Rizzy boy if an he’s at home in St Louis he ain’t losing at home give me Buckley for the win I’m going against the EV in this fight still no pick flip from me walking Buckley to get it done baby let’s go let’s jump to our main event of the evening if you guys haven’t yet make sure you smash the likes and if you’re new to the channel subscribe we have Derek Lewis versus Rodrigo nasimo I’ve been picking Derrik Lewis to win all week I think Derrick Lewis is gonna absolutely starch Rodrigo nasimo I think he’s in a knockout probably the first round nasimo shouldn’t even be in there with him I think Nasim is not good he’s M at best he he’s low tier like come on man win over dant’s decision not impressive iler latifi Split Decision in [ __ ] a year ago not impressive Tanner Boer split never really impressive here if you trying to fight top caliber like Derek Lewis The Bod no contest but he did win uh Chris daas laid him out he’s a victim of Chris dcas and you know Chris dcas still has nightmares about drik Lewis so I think that Derek Lewis wins by KO now we’re going to check him out in the scales note actually let’s read the weights off 264 and 265 so lwis is actually a pound lighter than Nasim Mento Nasim Mento he’s like the fat kid at the pool he doesn’t take his shirt off we’re analyzing the damn ways I need to see what’s under there I’ll tell you what’s under Jello gelatin my man show the titties bro sugar tits show them to us all right come on come on bro [ __ ] shirt on the whole time I don’t know that shouldn’t even be allowed you shouldn’t be allowed bro because what if I don’t know what if he’s got staff infection I don’t know what if he’s [ __ ] looking fatter than ever before we need to see what we’re working with betting wise they should force it strip them strip him down and then on the other side we got D Derek Lewis looking like a [ __ ] gorilla size bro thick ready to rock not as shredded maybe as other fights but it’s n Mento he won’t need it I think Derrick Lewis is going to devastate him I’m going de Derrick Lewis by knockout if that doesn’t happen my God I might cry I might cry I might cry if du loses man and he’s not going to lose to Nasim Mento Nimo is not good man and look at them face to face Derek L was the bigger dude intense at the face off I think nasimo knew he’s going to be a victim of a Derrick Lewis knockout CU I saw him looking terrified at the damn face off he didn’t look confident he didn’t look confident at all he look terrified and I think Derrick Lewis is going to punch a hole through his damn face Derrik Lewis knockout let’s look at the odds for the fight Derek Lewis is minus 156 as the favorite Nasim Mento plus 136 as the underdog I’m going with Derek Lewis to win uh knockout win for du currently sits at minus 145 best is minus 135 so plus plus 190 for Lewis in round one and then plus 450 for Lewis in round two I mean that’s not bad at all that’s not bad at all I think he’s got a real good chance to win I’m going with drik Lewis to devastate nasimo and I think first to second round KO I think minus 160 is a fair money line I’m going Derek Lewis via knockout nento striking is eh at best his grappling is not very good it’s okay I mean it’s decent compared to heavyweight MMA but like as a whole landscape it’s not impressive and he’s not going to be the guy to be Derrik Lewis he’s not coming from the bottom tier of the heavyweight division or bottom rankings and then taking out legendary D I think du still got some sick Knockouts left in him even at 39 because the last thing to go is that power and he’s not going to lose to Nasim Mento so we’re going Derek Lewis to win the main event and I’m calling knockout those are the predictions for UFC St Louis but I ain’t done yet okay because the post- weigh-in parlays have to commence and we lost the fight unfortunately Kevin J who was a confident pick for me uh his fight with Jared Gooden got canceled good and not medically cleared fight will not go forth but J made wait hopefully he gets a quick turnaround maybe he stays State side we can get him into a fight soon if not at least pay the dude his full purse all right so who are we going to put in to a parlay well I do think that rashki should definitely win where’s that guy rashki at like if he’s losing come on minus 500 though are you kidding me I think we go rashki here I know he’s five to one but bear with me for a second and then I think that I’m looking for favorites I’m not looking for an underdog Onslaught here I think that from here I’m might have to pull the [ __ ] sniper shot I want to do a heavyweight I want to do rebellous but I’m almost thinking Shawn Woodson might be the fill in for ju at minus 130 here Shawn Woodson should win the these two together I do think hit now if you don’t like Shawn Woodson for whatever reason or maybe just add to him him and rebellis plus 150 for those three I think those are winners as well rashki seems like a staple piece for all the parlays like he seems like a sure winner here the over rounds for the ladies what do we got minus 214 what if we did double ladies overs I mean what are the odds they get finishes you know minus 136 for rashki with two overs with the lady fights not a terrible idea now if you are looking for The Knockout parlay maybe you’re going rebellous Des Spain via KO which is minus 170 which is actually kind of [ __ ] but it’s fine Derek Lewis by KO as well which is minus 135 you do get plus money for both of them to win by KO which is their most likely methods of victory in all actuality and if you threw that in with potentially throwing uh the side of rashki now it’s plus 233 with the over and this lady fight you got the plus 306 it’s 3 to one is better than nothing but it’s not great I understand Underdog call time okay so Underdog call time if we go with Underdog Billy gof in a parlay and let’s say we put him up with uh rheski what are we getting plus 188 okay what do I want to add in I mean this is [ __ ] you chance your whole game on it you go mcken plus 5 90 but what if you’re sick what if you’re sick in the head you go where’s mckenny first round McKenna wins in round one plus 280 available now you got plus 994 if mcken wins in the first round with this one rashki golf mckin then you throw the over in the ladies fight this is degenerate as [ __ ] I’m not even recommending anybody think about this but I had to do it I had to see what it was at and then you leave it all do you leave it all on Derrik Lewis at the top plus 2,000 damn son that’d be crazy plus 275 very risky not saying to throw your life savings on it the safe calls like an alternate to the earlier uh high confidence would be like Woodson Lewis for plus 140 and then boom rashki plus 190 but if you don’t like d like I know some people are not crazy about Derrick Lewis they worry about him at this point in his [ __ ] fighting career and I guess it’s understandable per se maybe you throw an underdog in the mix Woodson rashki Johnson plus 29 maybe you have Billy G on your lineup then you’re riding with plus 325 maybe you’re going double dog plus 835 you’re a Savage there I wish ju was still in the mix you could go veslav barev could throw him in but I don’t know man something’s telling me be cautious with this fight especially especially with this one the money lines on Richie Torres risky man I think the over is better the over in this one Woodson rashki and the over here you still get plus 116 that’s a money call it’s like the more I talk about it it’s like the parlays just get better and better Golf Plus 419 I’m goingon to go rebellis I’m gonna have faith plus 635 D at the top plus 1,097 what if you just said [ __ ] it I’m going against the grain give me menafield then you got plus 3,000 yeah plus 1,097 Fair the Buckley fight that’s going to be a game fight see how good rzy Bo of looked on the scale not to say Buckley isn’t I mean it lost the confidence that I had earlier in the week earli in the week I was like bro Buckley going to lay him out for sure it’s a [ __ ] dog fight and in a long shot parlay would be more for the risk rather than the confidence be cautious with your parlays man better intelligently the safer the safe calls the Two fighter plays are your most high likelihood for Success playing some overs in your lineup or maybe you’re like yo do I just go under here we go under two and a half with mcken Reber viix over with the ladies here and then [ __ ] another ladies fight we go over or Charles Johnson’s over what if we go all overs over and under savagery only let we go Richie go the over plus 136 for under in the mckin fight over in the Richie fight over in the Johnson fight and over in the Hardy Aldridge fight three straight fights going this or no two straight going distance and then there be a finish probably in the Billy golf fight this is a Savage call man all four but bet intelligently it’s it’s a little degenerate but there are some over unders that are live here in these matchups guys UFC St Louis I hope you guys enjoyed the breakdown definitely show some love and smash the like button if you’re new subscribe to the channel I appreciate you all for tuning in Daily content coming so don’t miss it keep it locked in got the uh full carard fight companion tomorrow I can’t wait for it thank you guys all so much W’s in the comments if you got nothing to say but definitely let me know what you thought of the picks down below and let me know if you got any pick flips did anything after weigh-ins change your mind even though I’m still riding steady with the early picks I know some of you Savages might be pick flipping so let your boy know thanks guys see you all on the next one peace out [Music]