THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson | Fantasy Golf Preview & Picks, Sleepers, Data – DFS Golf & DraftKings

The TOUR heads to TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas for THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Rick uses data to breakdown the courses, field and much more!

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SHOW INDEX
0:00 Intro
0:49 Course Preview
11:31 10K Range
16:08 9K Range
23:53 8K Range
28:12 7K Range
33:10 6K Range
35:27 Custom Model
37:30 Outro
______________
#cjcupbyronnelson #tpccraigranch #PGATOUR #DFS #Golf​ #FantasyGolf #PGA​ #OneAndDone ​#RickRunGood​​ #draftkings #underdogfantasy

what’s up guys Rick here with your
preview for this week’s the CJ cup Byron
Nelson yeah probably now the worst name
on the schedule just doesn’t make a lot
of sense doesn’t roll off the tongue
they combined two events the CJ cup and
now the AT&T Byron Nelson or the Byron
Nelson I don’t know don’t get me started
on this one but we are going to dive
into this field this golf course we’re
going to use data we’re going to use
logic we are going to use reason and
I’ll show you the tools that I’ve built
to do just that it feels good to be back
to a full field uh individual play event
I I like the team event I like uh
anything that’s a little bit quirky but
it is it is good to be back I’d be lying
to you if I said I wasn’t excited about
this and U let’s go to my website rickun
good.com here we’ll start with the
course and the course key stats so this
is TPC Craig Ranch this is a golf course
that we have only played three years on
so starting in 2021 is when this event
was moved to TPC Craig Ranch and while
this event has a ton of really good
history uh right I mean it goes back to
like
1934 you can’t use
long-term course history or long-term
tournament history because we only have
three years with TPC Craig Ranch playing
host so um U I’m blanking on his name
right now KH Lee excuse me uh won the
first two years and then Jason day won
the third year and uh I want to talk
about the the the breakdown of this
course in a second like the the the
scoring by whole but I’ll just show you
the correlated stats of success here and
there are probably a ton of other
courses that have a better correlation
than TPC Craig Ranch just because the
lack of data that we have over only
three years it it doesn’t make for a
great regression model but here’s what
it pops out um driving accuracy approach
play and a little bit of putting and I
think that makes sense uh driving
distance has not been highly correlated
to success um it’s 48th there’s only 52
courses that I rank so driving distance
has basically been not correlated at all
to success at TPC Craig Ranch there are
um some anecdotes about why a driving a
accuracy would be more important which
is it ranks 11th because there are some
holes out here that get you in trouble
if you if you miss off the te I think
there’s water in play on ooh I don’t
want to quote the number
incorrectly 13 holes is the number that
water comes into play on four water
hazards 13 holes which water comes into
play not all off the tea but uh that
that would be why accuracy could be more
important than uh distance the other
thing is approach play which approach
play is always a uh highly correlated
stat to success but there’s only one
other course in which Strokes get gain
approach is more correlated to success
than here at Craig Ranch there’s
probably a couple reasons for that one
uh larger than average greens 6700
square feet on average it’s a wise cough
design and you have to be able to make a
bunch of birdies here the other thing
that you’re going to see because the
winning scores have been deep into the
20s under par is the high upside stats
are strongly correlated approach play
and putting ranks second and ranks
eighth um respectively and then when you
look at some of the other kind of noisy
stats and how they correlate it it’s a
ton of scoring stats and a ton of
approach stats approaches from inside
100 yards total birdies from 50 to one
from 50 to 75 approaches back nine
scoring consecutive birdie streak
consecutive holes below par etc etc etc
okay so so when you start seeing a bunch
of those point in the same direction you
want guys that can keep it in play off
the te Dart throwers guys that can get
hot with the flat stick guys that are
going to make a lot of birdies that is
the key to success for this week we talk
about that high upside uh ability
approach plus putting quite often that’s
probably something you’ll hear me talk
about as the week goes on if you take
all of that information and look at the
last 36 rounds and you say okay uh
here’s the correlation here is uh each
what each golfer does well Tom hogi
coming off of a pretty big
disappointment last week with Maverick
mcney gets the best adjusted fit number
um makes sense he is one of the best
approach players not named Scotty
shuffler on the PGA tour this year and
now he is getting a golf course that um
rewards that at a very extreme rate
Keith Mitchell Henrik norlander Alex
norren and Adam Scott round out the top
five of golfers who get the best
adjusted fit here lurking just below
that seventh Jordan spe will’ll talk a
lot about him this week and then you
have guys who did play well last week
like Mark hubard coming in right behind
Jordan Speed you get Mac misner a little
bit further down the list so um those
are the guys that are getting some of
the best uh uh adjusted fits now let’s
talk about this golf course for a second
because it
is like the scoring aage it’s a very
easy golf course and the scoring has
been very good here but what you’ll kind
of notice is it’s not like there are 18
holes that are going to play under par
there are six one two three four five
that are going to play significantly
underpar and then you’re going to have a
couple more that are going to be getable
and then you actually are going to have
some uh holes that’ll that’ll you know
six or seven holes will play over par at
least did did last year so I I I it’s
not like every hole is a scoring
opportunity the par 3s are all or most
of them three out of four of them are
over 200 yards they all play over par
where you have to get this golf course
is is certainly on the par fivs so these
three par fivs cuz it’s a par 71 played
at least 044 Strokes underpar each last
year so 18 played 04 underpar five
played 054 half a stroke underpar and
nine the easiest played nearly 610 of a
stroke under par so what does that mean
if you um if you play the par fives to
field average and you par every single
other hole you’re going to shoot six
under this week okay so there’s like
your your Baseline there then you got to
be able to take advantage of the short
par four six 351 yards that’s going to
play nearly somewhere between a third
and and a half stroke under par and then
the same thing on 14 that’s another
short par 4 about a third of a stroke
under par so so right there th those are
the five you should be licking your
chops on um you that’s that’s your
Baseline and then we’ll see where we go
from there the thing that I wanted to
pull and I want to start doing more of
this I have all the data there’s a
billion different ways to uh uh split it
up filter it out and all that stuff is I
pulled and you’ll see this a little bit
of a teaser a little bit of a preview
this is going to be my newsletter this
week so go go to rickun good.com
newsletter it’s completely free I
deliver a bunch of uh stats and nuggets
and screenshots and things like that for
for the golf tournaments that week
um I pulled the list from the database
of the best golfers in this field on
easy par fivs so the way that I defined
an easy par five was a par five that
played to a
4.6 scoring average
or better right so to 46 4.5 whatever
that might be so an easy par five and
then I looked at who is gaining on those
specific holes do it since the start of
2023 and you get this list thorbjorn
olison so the way to read this is
thorbjorn olison on easy par fives
gains. 23 Strokes to the field that
doesn’t mean he’s playing them 023 under
par it means he is actually beating the
field average on these easy par fives
Jimmy Stanger is second he has a smaller
sample size because he’s a PGA Tour
rookie Davis Thompson Robert McIntyre
and Kevin Chapel are the top five but
Chapel is tied with Norman Jong and
Johnny Vegas you can see some of the
other names on this list if you’re
watching on YouTube this is pretty
closely correlated with uh good drivers
of the golf ball that’s kind of what I
think when I look through this uh which
which makes a ton of sense but then you
do get at least one interesting outlier
like MacKenzie Hughes who’s probably
10th or 12th on this list Mackenzie
Hughes is not a bomber uh McKenzie
Hughes takes more of the Zack Johnson
approach to par fives which which is get
it up uh you know near the Green in two
and then rely on your short game to get
up and down for birdie or play back to
your favorite number and then hit a
wedge close and make the putt um so he
is a little bit of an outlier there
which I which I think is interesting but
I want to start doing more of this kind
of breaking down individual holes those
scoring averages if you like this let me
know and of course uh go check out the
um the the Rick run good newsletter for
this week and and every week it’s it’s
100% free I think that’s
basically the gist of the data H well
here’s here’s the off the te stuff you
can see you do not have to be long at
all there are some average drives around
here um that are that are you know 277
yards and there’s not a huge reward for
long drives outside
of two of the par fivs and some of those
shorter par fours right the the scoring
holes so the scoring holes obviously do
reward you for long drives if you’re not
a long driver you can make it up in a
couple of different ways and then you
are getting because it is a par 71 and
7,400 yards on the scorecard it is kind
of a long course you see the approach
buckets where guys are hitting shots in
from you know 150 and out quite
frequently at least compared to PGA Tour
average um but we know that uh distance
is not a detriment on the PGA tour uh it
just hasn’t hasn’t been probably never
will be um so I thought that that was
that was noteworthy and then here’s the
here’s the putting boost stuff so these
are pretty close to PGA Tour averages
these are where uh expected birdie
ranges are coming from 48 ft is
basically on par with PGA Tour average 9
to 15 basically on par uh where you
actually do get and this makes sense
because of the the larger greens um you
do get more birdie opportunities whether
they are made or not uh from basically
you know 27 feed and Beyond right those
longer birdie putts so that’s why you’ll
see um this putting Boost number it will
give uh a nudge forward to guys who are
better from that from those longer
ranges who make more of those make more
of those putts from from you know 27
feet and farther uh also based on how
many opportunities we expect them to to
to get and how many the frequency of
those him being in those positions so
there’s a lot going into that but that’s
that’s kind of what’s what’s happening
okay um we’ve done the course let’s talk
about the field all right the cheat
sheet on rickun good.com and I’ve got
the last six starts fired up those are
all Global starts I’ve got the history
loaded in and let’s rock and roll with a
very small $10,000 range 10,900 for
Jordan spe 104 for Jason day and 10,000
even for will zalot torus what in the
world do we make of Jordan spe who has
had a lot of great success around this
golf course but he’s playing arguably
some of the worst first go that we’ve
seen him play in quite some time he’s
lost Strokes in four out of his last
five on approach which is something he’s
never excuse me that’s not true uh he
has done that before in his career and
it was usually it was it was during that
slump that he went through a couple of
years ago the thing that he’s never done
before in his career is this column
right here losing five uh losing Strokes
around the green and five straight so
not even that short game speed magic is
there I understand he’s got the good
course history but that wasn’t enough to
spark it at Augusta National it wasn’t
enough to spark it at Harbor toown and
now he is 12 to1 the shortest odds he’s
had since the
2023 AT&T Pebble Beach proam an event
that he finished outside the top
60 boy that is a pretty Grim case that I
just laid out for Jordan Speed uh I
understand that he has made a career
of defying all logic and reason but this
is a very tough look and that does not
even get
into the potential wrist injury right
smacks his Club up against uh the
bulkhead there at Harbortown and and his
wrist popped out or whatever he says
says it’s something he deals with kind
of regularly there there’s just so much
going on here I don’t know how with any
confidence uh you could be clicking that
that name at the at the top unless
you’re running a bunch of lineups and
trying to get
significantly overweight on a guy that’s
probably going to be pretty pretty low
owned Jason day and wills Al Taurus are
next day’s been okay t18 at Harbortown
T30 at the Masters he won this event
last year he’s played at times good
enough golf to get me excited about his
chances for this week but there’s still
just something that I’m not really
thrilled with and the something is the
second shot uh hemorrhaging Strokes on
approach he is losing at least a stroke
on approach in each of his last five
starts often up to four and a half
Strokes on approach we know this golf
course demands or rewards you for being
a really great second shot player let’s
go back he just won this event last year
let’s go back and look at his form
leading into last year much better on
the second shot right he was gaining two
or three Strokes when he was losing it
was small loss is a completely different
version of himself before he went out
and gained 6.3 Strokes on Approach at
TPC Craig Ranch last year last year uh
could you imagine him gaining six
Strokes on approach this this year that
would be three times better than any
start that he has had since then so I
think we might be 0 for two in the 10K
range how about will zorus well uh in
theory we know uh good iron play player
the putter we’ve documented has cooled
off significantly now he switched to the
the the longer putter the broomstick I I
do think it is generally a better thing
for him but he’s lost Strokes putting in
four
straight I think that he’s probably the
most interesting uh he’s he’s he’s by
far the best ball striker of the of the
top three he is capable of being a
positive Putter and I think that uh the
the cut at the Zurich Classic just means
nothing to me
right I mean he and he and sah didn’t
play poorly will from what I saw played
fine he was it was good enough you
missed the cut at that event I I don’t
really care so I’m I’m I’m getting
warmer as we get to Zur who’s only gone
miscut t17 in his last two so it’s I
don’t think we have a ton of really
really great viable options at the top
of this board I think there’s a lot of
lineups that are going to skip the 10K
range Al together and start building in
the 9k I’m not sure I’m ready to do that
yet it’s early it’s only Monday as I
record this but um I think that that’s a
route a lot of people are going to get
to because they’re going to see sewu Kim
who finished runnerup last year and
who’s been one of the best ball Strikers
on the PGA tour something that I I’d be
pretty hard pressed to uh disagree with
I’ll pull up his stat profile but I’ll
also give you somebody who uh might be a
little bit comparable for cheaper and
for likely a a a lower ownership um and
that’s Tom hogi right so let’s just
compare these two seiw at uh 99 excuse
me 9800 Tom hogi at 9100 SEIU will
probably be at least in one in duns
early in the week he’s projected to be
about three times his owned two and a
half times his owned we’ll see what the
DFS projections come in with there but I
wouldn’t be surprised if it was
something uh similar to that both of
them have been knocking the cover off
the ball right approach numbers are
insane uh for SEIU he’s even driven it
beautifully Tom hogi has not driven it
as well but has been much better on the
second shot Tom Hog’s putter is lapping
the field uh with with sewo right now
SEIU has been bouncing back and fourth
between models he’s lost Strokes putting
in five of his last six uh we know
you’ve got to make a lot of putts we
know you have to go low here th this is
not a stat profile that I’m super
thrilled with I’m I’m warm with it not
super thrilled I think you take the
discount and you go to Tom hogi who’s
gained you know throw out D zert Classic
miscut there with maveri Maverick mcneel
and we don’t have The Strokes gain
numbers he’s gained 13 Strokes putting
in his last uh in his last three
measured starts and has only lost once
with the flat stick dating back to the
Sony Open so this feels like a pretty
good opportunity to deploy Tom hogi if
you want any of the other narratives uh
yes SEIU what plays out of Dallas but
hogi is a Texas guy as well I mean
whatever whatever route you want to go
there so that’s kind of the top and the
bottom of the 10K range the
middle I think is pretty meaty as well
um I want to look at Adam Scott and I
want to look at Alex noren also will
probably pull
up Benny on I mean Benny on missed the
cut of The Players missed the cut at the
Texas open still has really good metrics
finished 14th here last year maybe it’s
a jagger week I mean literally the the
middle this entire 9k right this this is
another reason why I think the guys in
the 10K range are going to go pretty
overlooked because there’s a lot of good
options in the 9k range we didn’t even
we haven’t even gotten to Tom Kim yet I
got to show you Sun JM here in a minute
but let’s go Adam Scott and Alex noren
and we’ll kind of just pair
these pair these guys off and see what
we can find here Adam Scott who’s
2023 ended well and then he kind of got
off to a pretty decent start in 2024 has
continued to play well excuse me I’m
showing Alex norren stat profile right
now which is
all all of that still applies he had a
great fall he finished third at at
Shriners he finished runner up in
Bermuda he played in punana what was
that last week was that last week or two
weeks ago that
was last week or two weeks ago geeez uh
last week was his ZK um and finished t23
there he has now gained at least four
strokes to the field in five straight
events that runs the gamut of punana and
Players Championship right both of those
and includes cognizant Houston open the
Texas open so we’ve got we’re we’re
checking off everything here weak Fields
strong Fields um deep Fields short
Fields we’ve got Florida we’ve got Texas
we’ve got I mean we’ve got everything
here okay this is a very very impressive
stat profile for Alex norin he has gone
uh 35th 21st and 12th the 21st and the
12th we the two at Craig Ranch I’m in on
that Adam Scott
is very difficult to figure out right
now did not hit it well at the Players
made the cut finish t-45 was very
reliant on the short game didn’t hit it
well at the Texas open had an even
better finished T14 was even more
reliant on the short game he gave us a
better stat profile at the Masters where
he gained four strokes on approach and
finished t22 it’s a smaller field and
it’s a golf course that he has had
obviously success at in the past so is
that fool’s gold is that something
that’s that’s just like yeah there’s
this magic around Augustin National and
XYZ right guys just can can snap off and
and flip a switch there I think I
probably lean that way he’s been okay
here at at this event I I’m probably
like a four out of 10 on Adam Scott I
think there’s a little bit of of of risk
there let’s do Stephen joerger real
quick
because Stephen Jagger is probably the
most improved player of the year um I I
know I know like the PJ tour doesn’t
have an MVP or anything like that but
like in terms of value like True Value
what you thought Steph Jagger was going
to be prior to the year and what he has
turned into he might be the quote most
valuable golfer right because he has
just been piling up top 20 finishes he
wins in Houston misses the cut at the
Masters no problem don’t care about that
whatsoever and then bounces right back
t18 at the RBC Heritage he too has
question marks there is no one in this
field devoid of question marks four of
his or excuse me five of his last six
he’s lost Strokes putting and some of
them pretty
significantly he has played well here in
the past though t38 and
t11 let me throw another name in the I’m
I’m just going to cover this whole range
here right and then I’ll put a bow on it
sun JM has not had the year he’s wanted
absolutely no
surprise the good good news is he played
better at Harbortown finished 12th there
he just won a kpga event last week that
does not show up Rick run good I have I
have six tours uh
PGA live DP World Tour corn fairy tour
Senior Tour Asian tour but I do not have
the Korean PGA yet uh if I did you would
see a one in his in his column
here how many people are going to
realize that how many people are going
to Care does it matter I don’t know but
Sun JM was 6 and a half% owned at
Harbortown he was 4% owned at the
Masters he was 6% the players he was 5%
at API he has been in single digits
nearly every single start this
year um I think that that
continues and he might be a really good
pivot so here’s where I’m at on this 9k
range which is very difficult to figure
out I think that hogi is probably a
better option than SE wo based on price
and projected ownership we’ll know what
that ownership’s going to be closer on
on Wednesday uh 300 p.m. Rick rung good
live chat Rick rung good YouTube channel
if they end up being closer in ownership
projections than I think the Gap then
starts to lessen and probably swings
back towards SEIU Alex norin awesome and
has answered every question that has
been asked of him at a lot of different
venues step joerger and sun J might
offer an opportunity
for kind of flying under the radar a
little bit maybe Jagger not so much but
but Sun
JM almost certainly so really good range
here and again probably going to be
filled up with a ton of ownership
because of what you get in the 10K and
what you get in the 9k that takes us to
the 8K so let’s do this before we jump
into the 8K real quick let me show you
the Strokes gained uh Trends metrick so
this looks at every golfer’s last 100
rounds and Compares it to whatever
number of rounds that you want I have 35
loaded in right now um Thomas dietry is
the first one to pop up in this 8K range
he is uh playing he’s actually not even
playing that significantly over his 100
round Baseline that alone is good enough
in this field to be like a top six
trending player if you’re looking for
golfers who are playing Just strictly
well over their Baseline you can sort by
total heat here and you’ll see it’s a
lot of the it’s a lot of the 6K guys
Smotherman Alexander um Harrison
Endicott Wesley Bryan when you start
getting into more expensive guys who are
playing over their heads that’s when you
things really start to show up we’ll
talk about Davis Thompson in a second
but the first 8K guy that shows up is is
Keith Mitchell so it’s Keith Mitchell
and Maverick mcney we already talked
about McNeely who missed the cut last
week um with Tom hogi at least we
mentioned that Miss cut again I don’t
care about that uh what I do care about
is putting what I care about is the
second shot MCN is one of the better uh
Putters on the PGA tour second shot it’s
a little bit iffy it’s been it’s been
better but he’s been driving it great
he’s been a hair off on those second
shots that worries me a little bit Keith
Mitchell though this is such kind of
like a Keith Mitchell spot right this is
such a Keith Mitchell spot to to pop off
and and and um uh you know have a lot of
success so uh the putter is a problem
for Keith the good news is he at the
Texas open uh did gain Strokes putting
right ju that’s his last start the three
before that were miserable now maybe and
I’m not even saying maybe he is like a
seemingly a better putter in in uh in
Texas let me pull up what he’s
done at this event in the past so 76
last year and he put it to a zero that’d
be great 26 the year before and gain 2.6
Strokes putting at Craig Ranch so he’s
overall a positive putter can we get
either one of those putt two a zero or
gain two with anything close to what
he’s been doing over the last couple of
months ball striking he gained eight at
the Texas open ball striking 11 at the
valpark 10.7 in Mexico there is there
are very few golfers on the PGA tour who
are capable of gaining eight Strokes
ball striking in a single event and he’s
done it like four times this year so we
do need one of those plus one or plus
two putting weeks that he is capable of
here uh I I think that that’s that’s
really fair to say spoke about Mackenzie
Hughes earlier in the show and why you
know he he was a a kind of a weird
outlier of uh guys that play the easy
par fives really well and you know
because it’s
probably easy part fives are probably
shorter part fives he can get up and
around the green and two and then he
gets up and down for uh birdie he is
very relling on the short game but he’s
gained Strokes on approach in four of
his last five I think he is an
interesting option in this AK range how
many people are going to go to khle and
should you go to khle twice a winner at
this event uh he won each of the first
two years that they moved it to Craig
Ranch he has not really played well um
well I shouldn’t say that he finished
fourth at cognizant he finished fourth
at valpar and then he had an 11th at
cich but it it’s been a lot of really
bad play um over the course of the last
couple years uh I think that’s fair to
say and I’m not sure that this stat Pro
like like watch me just scroll through
this if you’re watching on YouTube just
like to get a sense of the direction
things are going in green green green
Green we’re back in you know early 2023
green okay more red more red more red
more red it’s just there’s a couple of
good ones here recently but man it it is
definitely a significant change between
uh the last couple of years and I just
think that when you’re a a two-time
defending Champion you’re going to
capture probably a lot more ownership
than you than you should the 7K range uh
you know I’m G to be interested in Davis
Thompson no it was not a good weekend
for he and Matt or um Andrew Novak last
week but they played well for a couple
of rounds he shows up on the trends tool
he is uh long younger than average he is
straighter than average he is a very
good T to Green player’s just very
well-rounded in general gains with the
flat stick uh has has a couple of top 25
finishes here in his last four starts
he’s got three of them played here last
year finished 70th but hey first time
out let’s get a little of experience
going three straight top 20s for Sheamus
power at this event and now he’s
starting to play better golf but I’m
looking down here a little bit farther
um there’s a couple of names in the mid
to bottom range of this 7ks so you’ve
got Doug gim who has kind of wred the
ship a little bit after a couple after
back-to-back miscuts at the Houston open
and the Texas open finished 19th here
last year very accurate off the te
doesn’t hit it far we know that that’s
not really a problem he has putted
better uh and he’s a very very good
second shot player thorb
olison he showed up on those par five I
mean if you can beat the par fives if
you can beat the field on par fives this
week you are eight under okay now you
got to figure out a way to get another
15 to 20 but he’s playing better golf he
can spray it a little bit that’s fine
just take take care of the fives and see
what else can come Peter Quest might be
the most interesting so Peter Quest
probably you you’ve probably not been
tracking so I’ll I’ll do it for you here
and uh pull up his his stat profile so
so he has played uh five events on the
corn fairy tour in 2024 and two events
on the PGA tour so he doesn’t really
have full status anywhere as far as I’m
aware um his corn Fairy stuff was was
miserable he missed F uh six out of
seven five out of six five out of six
but look at this recently so his two
starts in April he
gains seven strokes which was very
evenly split basically three and half
ball strike in three and a half short
game at the Texas open and finished 10th
then he goes to punana where we don’t
get The Strokes gain breakdown but he
finished T9 there and gained another 8.8
Strokes to the field so now we have uh
two back-to-back weeks of really good
golf or two back-to-back starts of
really good golf he played this event
last year finished 14th he hits it far
he hits a lot of uh greens and
regulation he’s a very good
his his second shot historically
probably needs to improve but there’s
enough good stuff going on here at $7500
to to to get me all fired up and in the
bottom of this range um you know look at
these back-to-back Starts Here Grayson
Sig back-to-back top 10 uh Taylor
pendrith back-to-back top 11s Charlie
Hoffman a fourth and an 11th now each
one of those guys um does get credit for
a that finish at the Zer classic which
listen if if I’m going to write it off
for not mattering if you miss the cut I
also am not going to put a lot of weight
on it for moving forward I don’t think
that all of a sudden Ryan Bram and uh
Patrick Fishburn and uh who else Zack
Blair are all of a sudden guys that you
need to be playing every single week
it’s just it’s just worth worth noting
mty Schmid $7,200 is is routinely
mispriced we talk about him every single
week here uh the really the only bad
result that he’s had recently is the
miscut at the zerk do not care about
that he was 11th in pakana and I think
he got off to a slow start he did he
closed on the weekend like an absolute
Banshee which which you love to see
let’s do the Max graser uh Deep dive
here so he played with uh niik etaria
last week they finished fourth but look
at what they’ve done or look at what he
has done prior to that Texas open wasn’t
good he lost throughout the bag but he’s
made every other cut most other Cuts in
in in 2024 at least the ones uh since
since March’s been playing a ton of golf
7th at the Houston open generally very
good ta to Green numbers I I think that
this is uh a guy who’s finding his game
right now he is in Rhythm he is
certainly a lot to play for I mean these
are you finish inside the top 10 you get
another start you’re trying to get into
like the swing Aon swing whatever to to
get into the Signature Events there
there’s there’s a lot to play for for
guys like him and he should be licking
his chops in this field with the form
that he enters with I don’t know if I
showed the bottom of the list but uh
Parker is one of the worst on Strokes
gained easy par fives not that that’s an
an end all Beall stat but I I did want
to point that out because he is um uh
very bad in that category the 6K range
uh you guys know that I stand for Jimmy
Stanger uh which is you know something
I’m going to do each and every week but
let’s do this let’s sort this a couple
different ways um so I’ve got this
sorted by Strokes gain total so as I
look through this I’m going to look for
a couple things I’m going to look for
accurate drivers of the golf ball then
I’m going to look for guys that gain on
their second shot so uh and this is
going to be an order of uh best Strokes
gain total over the last 36 so we’ve got
uh Stanger norlander cook all are are
good drivers of the ball accurate but um
Stanger and norlander are the only two
that that putt well uh 32 in this field
is Jimmy Stanger seventh is Henrik
norlander Henrik norlander might be a
very very viable option in this field
let’s see what else we’ve got I want
green green uh Kelly craft a ton of fair
ways fifth in this field and 20th in
putting he is uh 32nd in uh Strokes gain
total over the last
36 rounds where else do we want to go
here accuracy and putting I want green
green Jorge campio 40th in accuracy 53rd
in putting that’s green green in this
range then we start to you know get
outside the good stuff here although
this is still top 50 in all three
categories Strokes gain total Strokes
gain accuracy or driving accuracy and
The Strokes game putting Ben Silverman
is in the top 50 of all of those that’s
where we drop out of guys that are
inside the top 50 of all of them I want
to go back to sorting by salary
here and see what else I can find I want
to go to the bottom of this range and
see
how bad it might
be it’s pretty
bad yeah this is uh like I’m not all of
a sudden thinking that Ryan Bram at 6200
is a good
idea boy yeah this is pretty ugly craft
Callum
Taran would probably probably be the
cheapest I would go I think they’re
$6,300
each that feels that feels about right
let’s see what the model says so we’re
going to run a model Rick rung good.com
let’s do this let’s do
um couple of items here we are going to
do driving accuracy for 20 we are going
to do strokes gained
approach last 36 for like 35 I mean it’s
the biggest it’s it’s always the most
important and that’s the that’s the
biggest one we’re going to do strokes
gain putting last 50
for 20 we’ve got 25 left we are going to
do an upside one which just a little bit
though we’re just going to do upside
for uh gaining four or five Strokes five
each that leaves us with 15 we’ll put
the final 15 probably on course
history uh what am I looking for TBC
Craig r 15 that makes our number one
golfer oh
boy
wow that kind of weak
huh our number one golfer is Alex
norin Tom hogi is second Mark Hubbert is
third Ben Martin is fourth the only
thing Martin doesn’t do well is the
upside
stuff he’s 118th in gaining four or more
Strokes he’s 10 or’s 67th and gaining
five or more
Adam Scott is fifth Jordan spe is sixth
Doug gim Henrik norlander Kelly craft
and Daniel Berger round out my top 10 so
first off they just reiterates the love
that I have for Nori and norin and hogi
it is uh also pointing at uh norlander
as being a pretty good option he does
lacks the upside but if he can get me to
the weekend at 6,500 bucks if he can get
me inside the top 20 i’ probably be
thrilled with that wow very very
interesting okay well here’s what we’re
going to do we’re going to run it all
back on Wednesday 3 p.m. Eastern Rick
run good YouTube channel we’ll answer
questions we’ll chat this there’s a live
golf event there’s a DP World Tour event
um a lot of stuff going on love it love
it best of luck this week guys talk to
you soon