Pat Mayo and Tyler Tamboline discuss their favorite 2024 RBC Heritage Bets, DFS picks, debate the best roster construction for the week and project ownership for DFS guaranteed prize pools (GPPs). Plus, they review the DFS Ownership and pivot plays.
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:10 1st Thoughts on Pricing
7:17 Underdog Draft
16:01 Bets
21:30 One and Done
23:12 Weather
26:05 No Cut vs Full Field
29:20 Rory LIV
36:55 DraftKings/Lineups
59:54 Scoring
1:01:14 Comp Courses
1:17:33 H2H DK Draft
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Rory’s playing it with his boy Lowry why
is Rory playing in the zc I have no idea
he wanted to maybe that’s why he wanted
to go to live he’s like oh my God I
committed to this terrible tournament
get me off the stupid tour ENT B
experience
experience
[Music]
experience P
experience experience welcome to the pat
Mayo experience presented by Underdog
fantasy use code Mayo at Underdog
fantasy right now and get yourself a
match deposit of up to 100 bucks Tambo
and I will be drafting a pme classic
team live on the show here in a little
bit tambo’s in the studio Masters went
both great for me in terms of how much
money I got back but not because of
DraftKings or Underdog for that matter
just I didn’t get wiped out but it just
wasn’t a good week yeah similar I got
more back than I thought I would it
turned out okay had a couple spots there
but you know Bryson fell back some on
the board we were kind of higher on him
had a great week for the community at
chiv Nation we will have the Millie
maker win Winer on the show today with
hoop and I he’s going to come back he
had a single bullet from a satellite and
then won the Mega 2222 for cool million
bucks so that’ll be exciting his name’s
Chris met him at the 3M last year should
be good all right yeah you can use
fantasy national.com get 20% off get
access to the leaderboard app which I’m
sure that everyone will want to be using
if you’re already a fantasy National
member you can just put yourself on the
list and get the app it’s for Android
it’s for iPhone now so it’s for everyone
and we’re still in the beta testing
version but it works pretty well so I
highly suggest that you go do that it’s
the best way to track golf I’m excited
to be back from Vegas right I think that
the viewers are excited I’m back from
Vegas as well because they can like hear
me now and I’m not popping my Peas I
need to get better microphones for when
we go on the road is what I determined
now you know I was going to say though
it looked like a fun time and before
that what’s funny last week the Master’s
app just going back to Fantasy National
for a second was not as good I well it
wasn’t and I but it allowed me to get
one step further on getting the fantasy
National stuff downloaded because I was
like oh there’s nothing else really
going on I’m just sitting there on the
couch watching the Masters so made it
one step further Pat so I’ll be in on
the tracking this week we have I mean
it’s a hangover week oh I’m ding second
in the underdog draft I’m always on I’ve
never got better than fourth yeah you
get the turn at least you get the turn I
think I’d rather have the turn than go
fourth depends on how you feel about
Scotty sheffler this week well I mean if
you don’t have number one what’s the
difference that’s what I mean I I’m just
say I never get I never get first I mean
Scotty’s going to go number one but it
doesn’t seem like that’s going to be
this the way on DraftKings this week
we’ll see I don’t think he’ll end up
being the highest owned is what I’m
saying right agree but I think he will
be higher than what he’s currently being
projected at I agree with you on that
yeah we talked pre-show on that like I
said people are trying to think he’s
going to be like 10 or 12% because of
this stuff just not happening there’s
zero chance I’ll take over 20 to anyone
who wants it so I mean he should be over
20 he should be more yeah it’s again
it’s it’s a limited field it’s no cut
like I again I think that’ll just all
resonate with people as the day goes on
today and we’ll see Scotty up there
again I mean I understand the Merit in
not playing him if you don’t want to but
even the fantasy National simulator has
him at I think a 15% win equity in this
field which would make his like true
odds 7 to1 or something like that and
he’s 4 to1 so it’s not that far off I
mean it is percentage wise considering
it’s four to1 and 7 to one it’s almost
double that’s still a pretty it’s also
like this is your spot I’m excited for
the show you’re up anyway I’m up all
right I I’ll make some picks here and
then we can get on the get on the
go um as we continue yeah what I was
going to say is this is your spot
obviously you know the S Satoshi kadra
as we’re listening on PGA live radio
back in the day I think it was back in
like 2018 or something it was it was on
my birthday that day okay um although
Masters fell on my birthday this year
which was nice yeah but there was like
weather concerns in the afternoon so
they pushed all of the tea times up and
then kadra ends up in the playoff with
SEIU and I’m thinking that I need SEIU
to win because I have an outright ticket
on sewo and it turned out that I needed
kadra because that won me all the draft
still the most Mone I’ve ever won on
draft G I remember that you were trying
to figure out which one would pay more
and then you figured that out so that
worked good but what I was going to say
is you also know the course so well and
like the back to the sheffler thing for
two seconds like place it out there hit
greens but wait they’re small so you
need to kind of have a decent around the
green game Guess who’s been crushing it
around the greens him the only thing you
would actually maybe worry about is when
he does have to chip it up close to the
pin and have those little two Footers
because that actually has been a problem
lately for him but still well just even
to talk about the course a little bit
more H It’s All About Angles here like
sometimes you’re better off in the right
rough than you are in the left side of
the Fairway just being able to attack
the hole there’s overranging overhanging
trees in a lot of spots but I like this
tournament and I guess the one reason
that you would I don’t want to say the
reason to fade sheffler but if you
wanted a reason to fade sheffler is I do
think that although there’s only 69
players in the field I think they’re all
kind of live this week I mean obviously
they’re not all live but any skill set
plays here like you just see so many
short hitters if they just run hot with
the irons and putter like they’re just
as dangerous as anyone else somehow
Patrick Klay fell to me here good so I I
guess even though I don’t love it I’m
just saying I’m not going to not take
him so I’ll take him and then I guess
the bigger decision comes up on if I
want more do you like morow or Fitz I
like Fitz I know we’re in the same draft
but I’m just curious what you’re
thinking early on so yeah I think I’m
still going to go well what what do you
make of some of the popular people this
week and I I think that the underdog ADP
is kind of showing this a little bit
like people are kind of in on moraa
they’re in on Cam Davis they’re in on
Tom Kim like these are all guys Lucas
Glover is another one I bet Lucas Glover
we’ll get to the bets here in a minute
but I bet him at a bigger number like
when I went when we Jeff and I did the
show in Vegas we weren’t able to bet as
of yet like on the accounts that I have
and there was a 90 on Tom Kim he’s like
45 to one now like pass yeah this is uh
you know Master’s hangover week it’s
clear the the stuff even when we get to
it later with DraftKings like the the
betting cards listen I did the tidbits
yesterday it’s like almost time to
retire them like everyone’s on the same
card this week everyone has all the same
bets it’s some combination of Klay
theala straa it’s literally all Cam
Davis it’s all the exact same dudes so I
get it that’s you know there’s group
group think but I think part of it is
because it’s the week after the Masters
and for DraftKings that can make for a
lot of fun later on when we get to it
because I was saying to you pre-show
there’s guys that you know you’re
looking at it and it’s like oh Rory and
you know cam young and some of these
other guys that maybe people aren’t
talking about as much and then you got
your zalatoris your Lowry’s your your
Connors Burns there’s just lots of guys
that are still in this field that you
could see fine their way through so I
think it’s going to be a fun week for
that my betting card I think is going to
be slightly different because it’s weird
not being as a part of the like I didn’t
do the research show this week we did
the show live in Vegas before we left
but weren’t able actually to get money
down so we couldn’t commit to any of the
bets and then when I got back like
there’s a lot of guys I still liked like
someone I wanted about like Denny
McCarthy when he was 85 or 70 or
whatever like the the best I can get him
at now is like 60 maybe without in each
way like I don’t know if I want to do
that and everyone’s betting Tommy like
no thanks at 18 to one right I’d be glad
to see the dude win I think last week
was a product of the local caddy
remember the two guys him and Hatton
that everyone’s like oh they they got
this new cadd hatton’s with his buddy
and fleetwood’s got this local guy they
both go out and have a great week maybe
Roy should get a new caddy maybe or
maybe they were just you know Hatton had
played pretty well at Liv Dural and we
we talked about that too those two guys
like they were definitely guys that were
part of that underpriced group remember
the last lineup we built for the Masters
well you played it in the head-to-head
against me I beat you because I think
Thomas missed the cut for you JT that
was again JT was horrendous those last
four holes or whatever but again funny
enough if you look up the board it was
like the max homas the zotus if you like
8200 Bryson was under the average price
like a lot of those guys outside of
obviously Sheffer getting the job done
it was a lot of those guys that we
talked about in that play the guys that
you think are under pric just because
it’s a major they’re they’re sort of
pushed down the board so let’s recap the
draft so far I think this is the easier
way to do is we can have a discussion
about these players as we go along and
then we’ll recap every few rounds Scotty
did go first obviously I had pick number
two I took Xander I think I I think I
like Xander more than ludvig here
especially from listen Xander doesn’t
have to win it’d be nice if he won then
but this is a Thursday only draft I
think he can come out although the
Thursdays have been a bit weaker for him
he kind of grinds to the end that’s how
he gets all those backo top 10 and just
this is a spot where he’s played pretty
well over the years he was a part of
that lineup with kadra by the way that
ended up winning me all that money
that’s when I faded the entire 10K range
and went with Xander bill hos and I
think Klay as
my 9k guys and then drop down the rest
no it was Bryson Bryson was the one who
in it I think either way it was a long
time ago so Sheffer Xander ludvig Rory
Fleetwood can’t lay to you then you took
Fitz Patrick on the wound and then SEIU
goes next so se’s ownership is going to
be out of control this week yeah it’s
pretty condensed I think sew is
definitely part of that group for sure
you mentioned earlier like the Cam Davis
the Taylor Morris the Tom Kim some of
those guys Glover down low I threw a 2v2
up last night actually which we’ll get
to it later but like Scotty Glover or
oberg
Fleetwood I think I still think I like
Scotty Glover
yeah it was uh when I last looked it was
almost 700 votes last night and it was
70 to 30 on the oer Fleetwood side oh
really yeah it’s not my pick is it oh
it’s almost my pick there we go so with
my second pick I took Windam Clark who I
almost bet this week I just I don’t it
just comes down once again to I think
his odds are like why is he behind cam
young in on the betting board he missed
because he missed the cut last week okay
he’s he’s aw he’s awesome major winner
winning in Signature Events like showing
up in Big Time ones like the players and
the API this year already and a much
smaller field it’s almost like when
people called him mini Brooks part of
that Brooks mentality wasn’t just what
he did to win the majors in the events
but it’s going up against smaller fields
that he can just cut off dudes in his
mind and say I’m better than these guys
so it really comes down to like a 10-man
tournament in his mind I think that’s
kind of how windham’s been doing things
and it didn’t work last week but first
time out at Augusta National Golf Club
it’s not going to work for everybody
that way so and I mean he didn’t even
have that poor of a date one he lost it
a little bit coming home and he said
like a lot of people had a terrible day
two which really benefited me in a big
way but I took him over the gala and cam
young because those were the wraparound
picks after I picked so it went morawa H
Windam Clark to me then the gala and cam
young and then I got Shane Lowry on the
rap round now when I get to the bets I
did bet the gala at a bigger number than
Windom Clark was I just I toyed around
with just like man 33 to one’s a good
number I and I I think starting
DraftKings lineups this week Scotty
Windam Clark might be the way to go if
you can make it work yeah one two the
one two punch that we’ve seen multiple
times season already so give me give me
some Tom hogi with my next pick I bet
hogi as well I thought that he would be
wildly popular this week it does not
seem to be the case seems like people
mentioned him at the start of the week
maybe you’ll uh be able to see it in
fantasy National when you break it down
that’s where I kind of saw it yeah you
think I think at the start of the week
people were a little bit more interested
and then maybe
as the week went on they’ve decided just
to land on these other guys so the round
three picks went it cam young with the
first one then I took Lowry spe zotus
Henley Sam Burns uh you were the one who
took Sam Burns so you like Sam Burns
this week or you just getting off the
board a little bit best on the board at
that point I don’t mind him yeah were
you surprised that spe fell so low to
33 yeah I thought I I feel like again
it’s a product of realizing that The
Field’s stronger than people are seemed
to make again because everyone’s on the
group think it’s like you’re just not
hearing enough of these other names spe
was definitely in that mix I was talking
about earlier like Rory moraca spe some
of these guys the field is much stronger
than just what people are saying of
oberg Fleetwood Scotty up top Xander
like what we know so it does feel like
people are just heavily going all in on
the same guys so you’re getting more
dudes down below I got Burns and Anne on
the wraparound there on top of earlier
getting can’t L fits and now I still
have options like Cam Davis Denny
McCarthy Tom Kim like you can get a
pretty good squad here on Underdog this
week when he gets to you I do think that
as it pertains to DraftKings with spe I
think I like spe as a guy that everyone
is forgetting about over someone like
Rory simply because the opportunity cost
of taking Rory means that you don’t get
one of those big studs that everyone
kind of likes whereas with spe what do
you give it up can’t lay okay sure no
big deal yeah like if kley beats me then
he beats me fine whatever but spe has a
win and a second place finish the here
the past two years I get that he looks
out of sorts but we do see kind of a
hard reset like we see a hard reset when
everyone goes to Florida and then we
usually do see a hard reset after the
Masters as well like you can kind of
divvy up the season and I don’t know if
that plays in the players’s minds or
they try to Peak for austa it doesn’t go
right or it goes great like with Sheffer
he’s never won a tournament after the
Masters in the course of a year I don’t
know why that is exactly
but yeah maybe speed kind of gets it
back together now goes both ways I think
you’re right because it’s like part of
it is how do they handle it and more
experience probably helps but a guy like
spe one you that’s a let down but is he
really going to let have a let down
bother him that much or is he just going
to get back to it now he goes back to
course he knows there’s way less stress
about the RBC Heritage than there is for
the Masters so maybe that helps him and
obviously got a little bit of extra time
to to practice up as well for some of
the like another guy earlier too
speaking of speech JT you mentioned him
just crushing you know the you know and
I talked about how bad his last four
holes were that’s another guy he’s here
this week like nobody’s talking about it
because he sucks now Rory sucks JT sucks
be sucks these guys are all terrible at
golf never play them that’s really what
the sentiment seems to be and it does
seem like a week to go all like just if
you could be like you said because of
The Hangover everyone’s on the same
betting card everyone’s on the same
whatever it might be the same DraftKings
plays the same constructions that if
there is a week to go off the board you
might lose all your money because the
the proper and chalk plays come through
but it does feel like a week where a
little bit of Leverage is way more than
it usually is because far fewer people
seem to be doing the work and paying
attention myself included I just think
it’s for everybody and that’s fair it’s
so you know everyone said it before like
have the what was it like skip a week or
have the RBC before whatever it ended up
being like don’t have a signature event
the week after but yeah exactly everyone
does and I get it but maybe it’s a
chance for us to capitalizing I think
part of it’s going to be what you said
and just when we get to DraftKings
especially avoiding some of that stuff
and just hoping that it doesn’t always
get there like it doesn’t get there like
it seems to always get there so my final
team goes Xander in the first Clark
Lowry top three picks and again it’s
only it’s Thursday only so the strategy
is a little bit different you do want
some birdie makers on your team to pile
up that one day they don’t need to win
the tournament then I went OE hogi and M
Hughes who was second to ludvig at the
RSM same part of the country and I’ve
just you’ve seen flash rounds from him
where he just starts making everything
we saw it the valpar I think it was
Valero he kind of did the exact same
thing I don’t think he can keep it
together for all four rounds but if it’s
the hot Thursday for mck Hughes then I’m
G to win yeah first round leader bet and
for this especially but I do think that
is interesting he did pop a little bit
for me as well and we’ve seen some of
these Canadians pop up lately no bias
just saying it like a lot of them now
yeah but even what we’ve seen from what
is it like five wins in the last year
and a half or something from them and
then you got the Nick Taylor stuff
hadwin Hughes we’ve seen Silverman even
at certain tournaments not this one but
just to say like there’s a lot of
Canadians popping up here and there and
Connors is in this field again another
guy 8,300 bucks on DraftKings we’ll get
to later but yeah your team is good it’s
better than mine I got Klay Fitz Burns
Benny Anne Tom Kim and Denny McCarthy
more of like a balanced strength than a
any up like can’t lays there but who
knows it’s one day only though and then
I got five other guys that are pretty
decent but nothing I don’t see like pop
rounds here as it pertains to Tom Kim do
you think that everyone who wanted to
bet him bet him on Monday and now people
are like me where they see his number
they’re like no chance that I’m going to
bet this guy at the same odds like at
worse odds than like Lowry or something
like that just because he had a very
good final day at Augusta which is
granted like I I that’s why I had the
initial interest in him but is that
translating over to DraftKings betting
market now that everyone’s kind of out
on him cuz everyone who wanted to be in
got in now they’re all out agree on the
betting side for sure no one wants that
people just can’t take it right it’s
always like the betting the clv the
number everything matters it does matter
I’m saying but like that’s why I think
people would be out at 45s but for
DraftKings there’s different scenario
because it’s all about what he’s who’s
around him and in this case we have
Taylor Moore and Cam Davis who are both
getting love as well so let’s talk about
the bets this week that I put in I got
four under 100 then two bombs and I went
to Coralis
nice so I bet the gala at 40 I bet Lowry
at 50 two guys that I bet last week
Lowry was best in approach of all
players who made the cut Nick dlap was
actually number one of all players maybe
someone to look at this week potentially
make birdies too no no cut I don’t mind
it yeah he has not been good in strong
Fields though he’s only made Cuts in
like the crappy Fields like MX he was
good at Valero anytime you get all the
best players together he’s been abysmal
so keep that in sample size massive too
sure but I mean I think that does kind
of stick out to he does have talent it’s
shown more when it’s a less talented
field when the most talented people are
there for sure he’s kind good news
pricing matters and scoring matters so
it’s like yeah it can still rack up and
hopefully that keeps people off him I
think it will I don’t see any ownership
on him at all so the Galla and Lowry 40
and 50 Ben Anne and Lucas Glover 66 and
75 those two guys were played with five
places as well good call there’s no way
that I’m betting benan and not having a
top five at least I still remember
sedgfield and he just puts it in that
bush on the late and you’re like man I
thought that was his win but yeah I mean
that is the course to look at this week
it is is Sedgefield like just so much
crossover between this course and the
Windom Championship it’s kind of unreal
even guys like JT Poston and CT pan and
guys like that just they show up at
these two and end up doing really well
like you mentioned benam was 71 Holes
without a bogey I think so I think at
the window and he finally made one and
lost oh horrible man so those two Anning
Glover 66 and 75 then the two bombs that
I took were Tom hogi 100 to one with
five places and Kurt kittama 100 to one
with five places his ball striking has
been sneakily very very good I like him
at these shorter courses weirdly enough
and it being no cut he’s either going to
come like dead last or he’s going to
finish top five th those are kind of his
two ranges of outcomes lately so two
things on that I love that you brought
that up because one is we’ve had these
good conversations around guys like AA
batia similar sah thala similar kittama
would fit into this mix as well SEIU
fits into the mix it’s like look we get
it they can blow up and explode and miss
the cut in this case he can it’s a no
cut but in those events or finish dead
last but that the point of it is to get
the spike round and the other thing I
like Pat too about Kitty AMA is I don’t
think anybody thinks short courses are
good for him I think everybody thinks
Kitty AMA is oh you g want to bomb it
out there long hard tracks all this
stuff it’s like man he’s going to be
just fine and we’ve seen other guys that
people didn’t think that remember the
first year cam young came here that’s
not a good setup for cam young and he
was first round leader and finished
third or something on the week which is
what else is new for cam but just to say
it like that’s the setup here so I do
think that’s interesting when we get to
kyat cuz he’s 6900 which is right above
Glover and it sounds like the secondary
there would be someone more like Grio or
dropping down than maybe Kitty amama so
I don’t mind him at 6900 when we get to
DraftKings so for corales I’m in on
three andless you want to sell me on
someone I bet forchan Chan Kim 50 to1
Matty Schmidt who I think everyone’s on
the number that seems too big for a guy
who’s constantly in contention 55 to one
for me there were 60s earlier in the
week I think it’s dropped even more now
but once I landed back on like from
Vegas back to here I could open up my
apps and start betting again it was the
first bet I made I was like I I got to
catch this number before it gets crushed
because I saw everyone talking about it
and I bet lonto at 90 to1 sneaky ball
striking on lonto if he just get the
putter rolling which was never really a
problem for him he just seemed like too
good of a player to be almost 100 to one
in an alternate field where there’s some
like real goobers at the top of this
board you got like noren and hoard
that’s great but when like Nate Lashley
is is the fourth favorite in your event
it’s not a strong field yeah that’s
right he’s expensive too the DraftKings
contests were out and he’s like 102 or
something for Nate Lashley but um I
don’t really have anyone to sell you on
I forget what event it’s at this week
but I thought you were going to say when
you flew back you joined the pack did
did you get in on your guy John no I
didn’t lot lot of people are on JN this
week what is is it John pack and corales
or John pack on corn fery I think it’s
on corn Ferry oh see I I can do that
double check that but I think it was 100
to one bar off sent it over to me and
was like he got to get in and then I
realized I think he retired the diamond
studs so then I was like damn I maybe I
shouldn’t be in on this guy used to be
our boy but I went back and showed it we
had tweets from like 2018 on this guy
making fun of that so I was like I I got
to be in on this guy and then the
pictures that people had showed it
sounds like he he got rid of the
earrings so I’ll have the full update of
anything final in the newsletter on
Wednesday evening you can sub for free
down in the description right now get
the sub stack sent to you if you had
followed it last week you got a 84 to1
winner and 41 to1 winner so that was
good huge
what was the biggest one you saw uh
someone had 250 bucks on it wow so they
doubled me up so it was like 22,000
bucks I think sick was it I only had 120
I had 125 on that one and 200 on the
other one so I ended up clearing like
almost 20K which was nice it’s the best
Masters I’ve ever had better than Danny
Willet Masters want to buy my window
coverings St me no I I might I actually
have to replace the windows in my house
as well so I had to prepay it up front
like 6 months ago they’re finally going
to come around and when the weather’s a
little bit nicer so I guess the second
half of that payment can come out of
those winning always fun when you can
allocate money that way hey all this
free money oh why we spend it on new
windows for the house Master’s money
baby let’s go so Kim Schmidt lantto 50
55 and 90 I went with Lowry and the one
and done Jeff went with see Kim and cus
took Tommy Fleetwood oh that’s gonna end
well yeah so in the actual one andone uh
I’m falling down the board very very
much how far in the big one to time I’m
still inside that I’m six 94 oh you’re
fine for my business is not fine I’m
like 3100 well you’re bad bad that’s not
good yeah so I’ve used Scotty I’ve used
Rory I have Xander Windam ludvig H
Harmon Fleetwood cam young moraa eala
Henley like those are the guys that I
have left I’ve used Fitz I’ve used Klay
I’ve used havin who’s not playing Rory
and cheffer I was thinking about using
Windam
Clark try to get a piece of this sweet
sweet elevated event money yeah it’s a
good way to do it and what’s his uh
remaining 85% but I just don’t think yes
Paul Windam didn’t leave for like live
or something while I was talking did he
no he hates like he made the the jokes
about live and now Tim hates him yeah
Tim for that oh
yeah you know what I I might I’m going
to bet Windam Clark this week too 33 to
one I’m throwing that on I found a
4750 is an offshore
though well I’ll have to I don’t think
anyone’s betting him this week so doubt
I don’t think anyone’s really playing
him or interested or doing anything with
him but I mean he just wanted Pebble
it’s not like he I mean he did make
every putt but it happens I I I’m going
to be interested when we get to it the
Scotty Windam lineups like you said I
think that’s very interesting because I
think it’s Scotty and a 9k guy it’s not
Windham that’s being put in there and
then if it’s Scotty and dropping way
down it’s you’re on a completely
different build anyway it’s a noon I I
was surprised that Lowry wasn’t more
popular this week or is he popular and
I’m just not seeing it I think you’re
just not seeing it it’s somewhere in the
middle though is is it that he’s popular
on draftking but people aren’t betting
him is that still a couple cards with
him that I had that I usually check so
um I mean if you were one of the idiots
myself included who bet him at the
Masters why wouldn’t you bet him here at
the same number or
better seems crazy got brought up a few
times I think that’s interesting too but
yeah it looks like because he’s at that
sort of mid price range that 8,500 uh
when people are going balanced it’s kind
of more we’ll get to it but I think this
people are playing multiple guys from up
top or like a Scotty and a drop down
type situation so you’re just not going
to see very many people get there you’re
GNA be able to find leverage on most
guys that you want did you well there’s
not really much of a wave Advantage this
week with it being 69 players which is
nice and everything but there’s no cut
guys are just going to kind of filter
out onto the course much like we saw API
maybe like some very very early versus
very very late is a way that you could
go but that even gets jumbled on day two
so it’s really a onday strategy if
you’re trying to do Underdog pick them
or Showdown or something like that first
round leader same same thing but I see
no weather to really be concerned about
at all maybe a little bit on Sunday but
that’s I mean from now from Wednesday
morning to Thursday morning it’s going
to change a ton I don’t really want to
project out well it looks kind of windy
on Sunday it’s like that’s great if I
have guys in contention that hit the bad
wave that means I’m doing okay just get
your guys there and let whatever happens
happens you don’t have control over that
but I think yeah it’s going to be much
more of a roster construction week it’s
going to be much more of a uh how do we
beat the laziness of people just playing
the same thing which will lead to
certain roster constructions and then
remembering that it’s no cut which I
think is important because you know I
said it multiple times everybody knows
it but for some reason doesn’t seem like
they’re willing to apply it like I said
in that one example people just
naturally choose two big names that had
good weeks last week versus the other
side of it and it’s like they’re not
understanding that there’s certain guys
in that 6K range that do fit this course
setup quite well that do get to play all
the holes that everybody else gets to
play and that matters in golf it’s not
like uh you know people talk about in
Showdown all the time give another
strategy piece is like The Showdown
slate everyone’s playing 18 holes today
when they you go to round two Showdown
they’re all getting 18 holes one guy’s
12K one guy’s 6K their chances of them
being close are really are much closer
than usual though in football we do a
ton of NFL showdown stuff shout out run
the Sims we do all that stuff you’re
you’re begging for a guy like me last
year for Jawan Jennings I need Debo
Samuel to get injured for Jawan Jennings
to be valuable at $5,000 Less in golf
that’s not even close to the same
they’re getting the same holes no matter
what but people are somehow swaying the
skill level Way Beyond what it actually
is when they’re getting the same amount
of golf holes similar in a no cut they
are going to get to play usually the
risk is the miscut that’s not happening
here so the skill is different but not
as much to sway it as much that’s my
point I would like to mention I think
it’s a travesty that this is not a full
field cut event the Heritage should be
should not be an elevated event this
tournament is fun as it is it does not
need all these guys here I mean they can
all play if they want to that’s great
fix it yeah but I want to see 144 guys
on this course I love it so the
Counterpoint is I guess and I’m with you
kind of but also want to say it the
other way is like I said this about the
Honda for example which is now the
cognizant or whatever you know what I
mean like I do want to see the best of
the best go play on that course on the
you know but I want the full field of it
too I want my K can eat it too I think
the same thing here I love that we’re
getting all the top players on a course
that we love we talk about you love it
like we we go on about this one all the
time it’s great we know it everybody
knows it I like that but then when it’s
only 69 guys and no cut it now takes
away from the excitement on their side
at least for me everyone can hate on
that or or do their own own thing bash
it whatever but I would prefer still to
play this course steal all these guys
but then add in the rest too let let’s
play it 120 or something especially at a
course like this where I do think if you
expanded it to 144 like it used to be
you just make so many more people live
like you might see Brian Stewart battle
it out with sheffler down the stretch
because it’s this stupid course yeah it
would be much better I want to see these
best players on these courses that we
talk about all the time that we’re like
H we get five or six guys show up for it
but then I want more I want to be a cut
event I want everything else to go with
it so yeah it’s one of those things and
even to look at it I don’t I I thought
the original idea maybe this change and
I just didn’t pay attention of the
Signature Events was to roll them around
to give more pub to some other
tournaments like why are we doing the
Heritage two years in a row why are we
doing Travelers two years in a row I
guess they moved it from Tori to Pebble
like that was nice but we can’t move
this one to the Byron Nelson or we can’t
move the travelers to John 3M or
something like that rocket mortgage like
just change it up a little bit I I just
don’t like it the week at because I
think that it’s what coming up we have
Wells
Fargo is it Wells
Fargo Memorial PGA Championship Memorial
US Open Travelers there’s two majors and
three signature events in like seven
weeks or something that’s a nice run and
everything but maybe space them out a
little bit I also like your take too I
guess I don’t know what people’s opinion
would throw in the comments but I think
if if you gave like a John Deere or a 3M
or a rocket mortgage where and let these
guys dice it up let’s go let’s let’s
find that 35 under out there and see if
it exists I don’t know like it’s
exaggerated but I’m saying maybe it can
you know I would love to see that for
force them out and it’s a signature
event Big Boy prize an area that you
would never normally see all these
players go help out give it to the fans
and then they say they want scoring
let’s go get it and let’s get cameras
out there and have it ready to roll and
just firing away and Eagles birdies
everything flying I I would love that
that’d be a great great event it’ be
like the I think it was the deuts bank
the when it used to be four rounds of
the FedEx Cup playoffs I always think it
was leg to when it would go to Boston at
TBC Boston I think DJ was Chef shot a 59
one year there and wasn’t even I think
Dustin went by 12 he was likeus 3 it’s
not for everyone and it’s not great all
the time but it’s no different like so
we want Carnage some weeks that’s great
we’ll take it it’s like again I’m tired
of like gimmicks and [ __ ] more than I
would like to see still throw him out on
a golf course that has a cut that is a
normal event but yeah if the pins are
very getable and it’s going to be low
scores that’s awesome for that week but
we just never get to see it like you
said it’s always like why are we back at
the RBC Heritage again with a 69 man
field with this there’s always going to
be complaints I guess my point would be
there is other ways to do it and I’d be
excited about that did you buy into to
this Rory going to live stuff no because
I I’ve been hearing rumors about this
for a while yeah but I assume they were
all when there’s unsubstantiated rumors
like this it’s usually derived from like
one person to begin with whether it’s
true or not I have no idea and then it
gets out to like one or two people and
then like people hear about it for two
months or six weeks or something and
then when it comes around it’s like oh
I’ve been hearing about this for a while
it’s most definitely true it could have
just been seeds planted ages ago there
was more seeds like that chubby guy or
whatever that supposedly mentioned he’d
heard about it over there and then there
was like Rory moving back home like
overseas Rory going off the Players
Board and Jordan spe stepping in him and
spe having text battles and left the
text group like there’s all these things
that apparently are legit and whatever
exists out in the world of golf but I
would say that Rory like a lot of guys
went back on their word said one thing
and then went and joined live sure but
Rory’s would be quite the heel turn
because he really was adamant I know
that the PGA hung him out to dry and the
J monan I know all this stuff following
it I’m saying it just seems like it
would have been a lot versus I actually
said and Kenny and I were on fantasy go
J was talking about ROM very early on I
said I think he’s like throwing a number
out there he’s saying if the format
could change he’s talking about that now
on live if you say 400 million wouldn’t
change our life I don’t think then he
gets that type of offer it’s like I felt
like he was almost like a Feeler and
then when you got guys like Phil and
Sergio and them easy to sort of get
brought into the mix and now it seems
like he regrets it a little bit but is
what it is he’s got the bank account
Rory I felt like it would be a really
big walk back of everything that he said
and stood for and he’s already got all
the money man it’s not like you know I
mean it’s you can change it’s hard to
say like I just don’t see him doing it I
I just wouldn’t see it I didn’t see it
either but but it it seemed like just
everyone’s like yeah he’s most
definitely going to go he’s most
definitely going to go he said he didn’t
even get an offer that was the one I had
a harder time believing cuz he went on
the interview yesterday when uh Todd
Lewis went out and talked to him was
like we heard this can you clarify he’s
like I haven’t even talked to them
before really I know he’s like not good
with Norman and them but like really no
offer even they didn’t even try and get
him over I mean his agent might just
said pass I don’t care what it is
possible so therefore there is no offer
that actually comes in because nothing
was officially off or the technicality
of that side correct yeah you’re right
okay technically lie Without Really
lying about that cuz there was also
rumors that like Victor was going to
leave this week too I I feel like that
would be more likely to happen to be
honest than Rory I would agree but I had
heard nothing about that but same we’ve
been waiting on the Klay Xander combo
pack I could give them to live I don’t
need these guys on the PGA tour great to
ship them off to Siberia it’s fine was
your Takeaway on the same topic quick
and we’ll keep on it but it kind kind of
ties into the Masters remember I told
you how hyped I was for it and excited
like everybody was but like the fact
they’re all back did did you think it
was great lackluster like what was your
overall Takeaway on the Masters now like
letting it rest in and we’re here on a
Wednesday the following week it was
difficult for me not being in my regular
setup and being in Vegas you know trying
to set up stuff having to meet people
trying to prep shows well like
everything was going on so I didn’t
really get the full Masters experience
that I normally get which was kind of
disappointing which is one of the main
reasons I don’t love traveling to do the
show it’s because I miss out on a ton
like it’ll be easier when we do
President’s Cup because because football
was on the weekend and that’s three days
of golf like I’m not missing anything on
a Tuesday right like I’m doing my show
and like we’re doing it all together
throughout the course of the week and
everything will remain static like that
but it’s not like I’m trying to watch
eight hours of golf and do shows and
prep and set up equipment and get
Logistics done like it was just a lot
and traveling in itself is inherently
more stressful than being in the regular
location where you watch stuff but I
thought for
3.75 rounds it was an amazing tournament
and then once like as soon as it wasn’t
really Scotty’s fault it was ludvig
morawa and H all just gassing up within
20 minutes of each other it’s like oh
it’s over that was my line the back nine
is usually when it starts this is when
it ended soon as those guys hit that
hole it was pretty much over and gifted
it to Scotty I was going to say I agree
with you the 3.75 Factor was kind of how
I was thinking in my mind still an
amazing tournament all the excitement
was there I thought a Liv let down
caused for what could have been like
obviously like Brooks didn’t show up Rah
didn’t show up like these guys were gone
it was fine as long as Bryson had
remained in it and he took himself out
late on took himself out too and I’m not
the biggest Bryson guys like DraftKings
wise and playing him and I get all that
stuff but it wasn’t like he wasn’t the
same I would want to see the ROM Scotty
situation then obviously it led to the
super awkward uh Butler cabin with ROM
sitting there was almost like Spees of
how his face looked in there and they
didn’t really give him much cred for the
previous year they gave him oh you won
on sevy’s birthday that was amazing
you’ll always be a great Champion all
right back to it like they know they’re
not supposed to give him a bunch but it
was kind of interesting from that
perspective the the Neil Shipley guy
quite an interesting dude as well did
did you see him in the the left look
that he does for the the tiger note and
then again in in the cabin I just
thought that he was kind of awkward yeah
and some some people he’ never been on
that sort of stage before sponsor his
ass ship it yeah they set it right on
the broadcast so we’ll have to get him
involved maybe get his caddy a hat if he
wants to get back in the mix but there
you go I guess will he be back at the
Masters next year top am does top am get
reinit it if you remain an amator I
forget I don’t most guys turn pro yeah
yeah that’s what happens I don’t know
that that ruling but yeah either way
solid Masters we’re happy we’ll uh we’ll
have a bunch of events coming up like
you said we got couple signatures coming
up in the next couple of weeks and then
we got the PGA Championship and then
Memorial you talked about we’re going to
roll it out from there so a lot of good
golf coming up what if we just got rid
of the Zurich definitely turn this into
a by week and then just push the
Heritage to next week yeah wouldn’t that
be much easier for everyone and like
people would be excited well there that
you reminded me I think yes they would
and that is what people called for that
I actually really liked was make the
Zurich the week after it’s a hangover
week anyway if some of these guys that
played in the Masters still want to go
out let’s say uh you know matd Fitz with
his brother it’s fun you’re chilling
with your brother try and win it if
you’re in the mix go hard if you’re out
of it enjoy the week with your brother
and move on you don’t have to come back
until the signature event the next week
you can kind of just take it easy and
have some fun I don’t know anything
about their stress levels or whatever it
is down the stretch it’s obviously very
important to some people to win that
event because what it means remember
John ROM Dragon Ryan Palmer along back
then and stuff like that no no different
than you still see Davis Riley and Nick
hery in some of these events like how
the hell are these guys on tour oh yeah
they won this last year yeah so it
matters but a lot of those guys weren’t
in the Masters so that’s why it also
would make more sense I’m with you a th%
I just think that’s the flip flop that
you do make the Zurich the week after
everything goes well and you get back to
a signature event then it’s the Byron
Nelson then it’s the Wells Fargo the
Wells Fargo heats up for the major we
had Valero heat up for this the major
this year and Valero was really good
this year to watch solid and it had what
like five good guys like five quote good
guys in it yeah I didn’t love it as much
but it was like again it’s a better ramp
up than what some of these other
tournaments would be well swo will be
really good leading into the PGA
Championship which should be awesome we
saw a bunch of guys at Summerland when
we played uh Scott piery was there
Justin Sue was there mad mcney was there
I think it was mad
mcney Scott Pi is missing putts from
everywhere course on the practice screen
no no different than me I had eight
three putts when you haven’t played in
six months like the ball striking wasn’t
bad but I couldn’t hit a wedge I
couldn’t chip and I could not Putt and
Jeff almost had a hole in one oh what
I didn’t I missed that part yeah nice he
was pretty good Joe drove 16 I think it
was 15 or 16 Joe’s Joe could pound the
ball very good yeah very good at golf
let’s maneuver over to DraftKings right
now like Sheffer Rory Xander ludvig Klay
morawa All Above
$10,000 what do you think is going to be
the chalki start here Xander
ludvig something that starts with them
or is it both of them or is it one of
them then Fleetwood I think it’s Xander
Fleetwood but if people need the 400
bucks oberg is right there as well it’s
hard to tell where the where it’s going
to land between Xander and and oberg but
I think people are just in on ludvig now
so do you want to try ludvig Fleetwood
then yeah we can start there what I
guess is the qu the biggest question for
me is like what you think happens down
low I think it’s definitely some of
those $7,400 guys and Glover but like
where does that’s what I want to find
out does that land you on these two
dudes and then we know like if you go
Glover who was the $7,400 guys you said
you said Tom Kim Cam Davis but maybe it
won’t be maybe it won’t be those guys
everyone’s going to use Glover that
leaves you with 76 and then I think
you’re back in like the Bez Brian Herman
range yeah I guess I don’t know it’s
tough to say I could see like the first
one I got to was oberg
Fleetwood Russell Henley and then it
goes to Glover with your choice of the
two $7,400 guys if it’s Tom Kim and
Davis or Taylor Mor Davis or it it looks
like it might be Taylor Moore I think so
that’s Taylor Moore Cam Davis you said
Henley and who yeah so there’s the
starting point so it’s it’s projects
insane ludvig with Fleetwood and then
you could drop down to Henley in the 8K
range Davis and Moore in the 7K range
and Glover at
6,800 easy to change it up I’m just
saying that’s pretty much where it
starts yeah so the the first thing that
I would do just to get I mean yeah Davis
or more could be Tom Kim like you said
cuz he’s also $7,400 cuz this leaves
$100 on the table right yes so option
one just to make this completely
different turn Davis or more into Harris
English
immediately I think would be the move
yeah that’s a natural pivot I again part
of it is what I said earlier like this
is the construction this week is the key
we so we nailed this last week we told
everybody multiple 6K guys were like cap
your sevens it ends up being one 7K guy
in the optimal and I believe most the
winners as well and that was sort of the
setup and I honestly think this week
doesn’t look that much different because
the chalk is all in the 7K range whether
it’s to get Scotty or to use some of
those upper guys it’s it’s basically the
rest of it’s going completely overlooked
yet we have a really strong field still
a smaller field and they’re going to get
to play every hole so I’m not exactly
sure where all the ownership ends up
coming in but from the upper half of the
sevens it appears like Herman and Bez
will likely be the most popular but that
could be flopped with OE Denny and Kirk
who all seem to be I bet you if we put
Scotty into this lineup you can fit like
four of those guys in with him that’s
the Scotty ones start for sure it’s
going to be like Scotty two of those
$7,400 guys one of Bez or you know Denny
or something like that there that you
mentioned I think um think I think Denny
and Ox AE remember gets the love no
matter what as he should yeah and so
that’s gonna I think that’s going to
continue we’ll see here’s the lineup
right here what do you got um I just
need one more lower sevens guy like low
low sevens so I’m seeing
Glover pavon hogi are probably the three
most popular of like the seven in below
although ecro seems to be getting some
love as well which I was surprised about
maybe that’s a fantasy National thing no
I think he’s still in the mix so let’s
throw eot into this if he’s going to be
the most popular guy below Lucas Glover
so what do you got so if we go Sheffer
Glover eot that leaves a
$7,800 and then you’re like
Harmon baa
and then you got 8,000 bucks seiw
SEO I think you’re going to see lineups
of this ilk now whether Herman and baa
are Kirk and benan or something like
that it might be yeah the interest at
least for this one you you feel like
you’re getting a little bit different
because you have lower owned guys likely
in some of them but uh this would be the
prime example where I
believe I think it’s 100 bucks off but
yeah you can go to uh
ludvig and then take Glover up to yeah
you’re 100 bucks shy was there a guy at
6,300 you like I thought there was
someone at 6300 I like
63 yeah let me see D tree that’s who it
was and Hodes is there too mind you I
like I like D Tree better I like D Tree
so this is the one so it can be if
you’re good with drie Harman OE and SEI
wo it’s that’s where it becomes the
Fleetwood oberg or Scotty and
Glover but you know what would be
interesting in this lineup you mentioned
it earlier I kind of like this one now
kittama and Scotty so Scotty kittama dri
Harmon baa sewu that feels like it’s got
some upside there and no ownership yeah
well as soon as you replace Glover with
kittama like your lineup’s different
yeah yeah I think that’s for sure I
agree like that’s one of the things I
note though all the time is like it’s
you know pivoting is saving you on
ownership it’s dropping everything down
for you from that perspective total
ownership your product ownership all
these things are things we talk about
but the construction the same like
that’s what I think people do right they
build that first lineup that you and I
have which we also nailed the chalki
lineup of the week when you we had the
the balanced version of that Xander Dei
whatever it was so when people build
that and they’re like oh I’ll just
change this guy to that guy and that guy
to that guy and I’m Different you are
you put two different guys in then the
two that are the most duped but people
confuse being unique with being unique
construction so what I’m saying by that
is like they’re yeah you end up with a
unique lineup or a less duped lineup
because of that swap but your
construction is [ __ ] it’s still the same
as everybody else is so you’re 2v2
against the world you’re boxed out in a
lot of cases and needing a lot of things
to go your way still even though you’re
unique on those two two specific players
so I’m going to leave $100 on the table
so I’ve configured this around a little
bit to get to a lineup that I like a
little bit better so it’s still Scotty
kitama drie so we get rid of Glover and
we get rid of ecro basically turn Glover
and ecro into kitama and Thomas drie and
then that range where I had
seiw what was it
SEIU her Herman and baa I turned those
three guys a 3v3 and leaving $100 on the
table into Lowry benan and hogi so the
the no putt All-Star team right now with
the
Heritage yeah and this is much better
and I’ll talk about it but you said hogi
was the guy round it out leave 100 bucks
yeah okay and you could use shank or
Todd if you wanted to but I like this is
a great example CU IT projects like
eight points less than what our best one
was at the beginning that is nothing
projections again just something to look
at to know the ownership is insanely low
on this with hogi and we’ll see if like
I said Lowry may end up 15% that’s fine
though because then you still have
dietry and kittama with low to nothing
and then Scotty whatever he comes in at
is probably more in check than what you
would expect for a typical spot like
this so there’s that but really you have
Scotty with an 8K guy you don’t you only
have two 7K guys not three or more and
you don’t have any of the
7877 or $7,400 guys you went high low
and then you did not go to Glover which
a lot of Glover lineups will be Scotty
lineups or oberg Fleetwood style or
Xander obber Xander Fleetwood like
somewhere in that combination to make
that work so that’s why I’m saying
there’s some of the same guys you mostly
pivoted but you have a completely unique
construction all around the board and
this uses guys that I like and still
almost hits the original projection if
you are classifying that in there as
well so let’s throw that in let’s try
Scotty Windham yeah let’s do the Scotty
Windom it’s pretty easy to do like if
you’re comfortable with d Glover and
kittama and those guys we just throw dri
in right away we’re back up to 71 I want
to do your dri kittama and see and even
if we do hogi CU that leaves us off the
73 7,400 guys still no it puts us back
in that range though because that’s it
ends up at 7,300 you like uh sunjay
Keegan straa or Steven
Jagger probably
Jagger I’m fine with that so this
projects Five Points better than so
three off the original and you got
Scotty Windam Jagger hogi kittama drie
who are the guys in the 6K range that
you do like let’s see here so right now
like do we want to use Dunlap in one of
these lineups kyama Dunlap McKenzie
Hughes uh drie who you mentioned I’m
gonna take some shots on web 6200 just
just his course yeah and I still have
him a little bit better than the guys
you know some of the guys at least
around him for a setup wise so of course
fit likes him a little bit I’ll go there
well sheima power was the interesting
one to me for like no money whatsoever
like dude can’t drive to save his life
right now but the Iron’s been really
good really
good better than the rest of his game
which is what you would need at this
course and I think um Hodes and putam
would just be two guys that I always
play so like I feel like good about some
I guess my take will be when we get
there and some of the stuff I’ll do over
at chiping Nation just the 6K range is
definitely solid to me like I I really
don’t care about the difference of
everybody just going to jam the same
$7,400 guys there’s definitely going to
be guys in the 6K range that smash them
I wonder and I can do this on fantasy
National pretty quickly if I just sort
by
scoring let see distant short game
driving and putting scoring my my custom
scoring model see how that works
out birdies are better gained let’s see
who’s down there Dunlap is fifth over
the past 12 rounds so let’s use him who
else you got who else El is low Grayson
Murray is 13th I don’t love that one D
Tree D Tree let’s get him in there
hadwin is anyone bringing up hadwin no
another guy7 I brought this up on Monday
with Jeff that every year it felt like
we came into the Heritage to be like
perfect course for Adam hadwin I think
he was always a disaster what’s his
betting number I don’t know no idea had
can win see that’s the thing what is the
uh never finished better than 22nd at
the Heritage over the past 10 years what
are type okay let me I think I have it
here any what are some of his finishes
26th 22nd 30th I mean those are one or
two strokes away from say he’s got three
top 10 sure a lot of a lot of miscot on
that board um who are now in this
birdy’s barrage you got if I just I’m
happy with hadwin dietre and Dunlap who
are some of the sort of guys up the
board that pop in the upper range Scotty
Clark and cam young
Scotty Clark how much is Cam young this
87 wow so do you what about uh anybody
like SEIU an Harmon SEC here so we had
Dunlap drie and who hadwin dietre and
hadwin and we try to jam in Sheffer do
we leave Sheffer off of this one well if
you go yeah let’s leave sheffler off for
a second where does uh actually we can
we can do this pretty easy n we’re so
close to getting the three dudes you
said that it’s like we got to just find
it uh Ben an is the next high like the
one that fits because Burns is fourth
Fitzpatrick is there as well what’s Ben
an’s rank he is e he’s just he’s just
behind so you get Scotty Windam benan
with those three dudes yeah and you got
a pivot off of Glover and you got to
line up with one 7K guy and three 6ks
which is definitely different and the
ownership’s the lowest yet and it’s
about 12 points less which is than the
original which is nothing when we’re
saying we’re looking for Spike runs the
other thing people don’t factor in
because it’s hard for um the variance
with it of like the streaks and the
birdie bonuses and the all four under
70s or whatever else could be out there
that’s tougher to ask but I mean that
that difference is a birdie streak from
one guy right and so when you’re
building a lineup like this that’s built
around scoring the way I see it at least
is that well there’s lots of things that
get baked into projections that you
don’t want to double count there’s the
variance to all of that that that can
change the game very quickly in a game
like PGA DFS so when you have guys like
this there’s actually multiple of them
that can account for it that is going to
exceed obviously they can blow up too
but you know lineup construction matters
but I think this is uh overall pretty
solid lineup and no 8ks no none of the
other guys up top like xan or oberg or
Klay so no no 10 is a thing this week by
the way we never talk about this like
skipping the 10K range I I told you when
I won big here that’s what I did but
when you’ve got Xander oberg Klay and
morawa coming off one of his better
weeks it’s like there that actually is a
thing this week going with Scotty or
Rory or both and then dropping down why
don’t you just build this lineup
Fitzpatrick spe Windam Clark 39K start
definitely unique and then do you want
your boy Kitty in there yeah I’d say we
throw in like kittama maybe diet Tre see
what we’re left with yeah what’s dri do
for us I think we can get back up to oh
are we cam Young Money No we’re 100
bucks short F Lowry though are you going
to use Justin Thomas because the way
that we’ve constructed these lineups so
far that the the number one thing that
jumps out to me is that it’s going to be
very difficult to a get to the homos
speeds and fitzpatricks of the world
because you’re going to want to have
ludvig Xander or Tommy like two of those
three or Scotty which then takes all
these guys out of the question the
craziest thing though Pat and then you
end up with like fow and Justin Thomas
like how can you play those guys that’s
the thing but it’s all generated off of
last week everything we’re talking about
oberg is a super Talent not necessarily
him but like the fleet the Fleetwood
stuff the morawa out they all are
talented but the price is adjusted for
that I think even on this lineup I I
just filled out with Lowry and saved it
but if you just put in spe and Clark to
start your lineup okay just going right
back to what we did last week it was
very it was close JT at
8,400 who makes a ton of sense at this
course now granted he can’t putt right
now which is an issue but maybe he can I
mean I bet on Lowry dude can’t dude lost
eight Strokes putting last week he
finished 16 Strokes behind ludvig on the
greens ludvig gained eight Lowry lost
eight you just to get Lowry to putt like
ludvig he wins the Masters and also to
the smaller greens so maybe for JT that
can help him out because if he’s not
hitting the greens he’s he’s goingon to
have to get it up to the green and
probably make these shorter ones some of
the other stuff that’s not going down
but I guess he would definitely seem
underpriced to me Sam Burns I guess
would seem underpriced to me as well and
we’ve seen him show up at Scotty spots
in the past plenty of Scotty spots so if
you really like Scotty here and you
weren’t playing and we’re not in this
lineup now you land on 7,400 but you
have the most unique construction we’ve
done yet so who are the guys that you
would say are underpriced Tom Kim I
think you said is 45 to1 he is I I would
actually go with Harris English here who
I thought played pretty well last week
and just he’s getting zero buzz like
what did Harris English end up finishing
he was oh you got the perfect lineup he
was t22 last week get everyone wants
every other single guy who came inside
the top
25 they they want all them you want Cam
Davis alth what did he end up finishing
like 12th man this is the nut this is
the one right here you can finish with
Harris English s JM I was going to say
Keegan but they’re both you could do
either or I’m obviously going sunjay for
who’s underpriced in this range but
Keegan would count in that too J
actually makes the most sense because
the perfect style of sunj course and he
does well here yeah yeah but he’s broken
he’s definitely I think it’s actually CU
he got skinny I agree yeah sunj slim is
the real thing well slim sunj I mean it
works one of two ways I I can’t remember
if I brought this up with you or who I
brought it up with but he and SEIU got
their military service taken off and
since sj’s been like don’t care he came
like fifth the event after though that’s
cuz I remember that take at the time I
was like that’s the one century when he
fired at every pin he broke like the
birdi the birdie R had like 33 birdies
or so 36 was something insane but my
point is yeah the the slim factor I
don’t know if that’s what it is but uh
it’s definitely not been good for sunj
lately I know he had Willie Wilcox on
the bag and everyone saying that and
like just hasn’t been good with it but I
think he’s working on some swing stuff
heavy I can see it do you want to build
a Rory lineup yeah how much of Rory do
you think that you’re G to get here
versus The Other Guys above
10K um I’m definitely going to attack it
because like will you have as much Rory
as
Scotty I will not I won’t no SC I’ll
more Scotty than Rory but I might I
might have more Rory than those 10K guys
more than Xander more than ludvig yeah
like I don’t even think I built a Xander
lineup yet and he’s he’s great I’m just
saying it’s like that’s part of the
thought process here this week is that
everyone’s going to build very similar
so I’m going to build against that I
think if you’re going to use Rory you
might as well you know might as well
have to do it like you can play some of
the chalk guys obviously because Rory’s
going to come in lower owned especially
if we do think that Sheffer gets that
kick that the projections aren’t showing
like the big
swing the other way is going to be Rory
it has to be yeah it’s just why I don’t
believe the sheffler thing cuz what the
projections the ownership projections
aren’t showing it because people are
generating them themselves for the most
part and they’re subjective or whatever
it might be the actual projections are
jamming Scotty everywhere and that’s why
I would take the over 20% on him when
many seem to think he’s 10 to 15 or
something so fantasy National right now
and this is just based on what is it
6,000 lineups that have been generated
so far it’s 15.5% Scotty lineups six%
Rory lineups I could see Rory being like
sub five like who the hell wants to play
Rory especially in a lazy week if you’re
going up there you’re either going to
Scotty or you’re playing Xander L Klay
whatever you’re right like that’s why
Rory is the leverage play here it’s just
whether or not he shows up and does
anything and then in the nines H spe and
z and the gala to a lesser extent too at
89 yeah the gala always gets the little
boost at the end it’s harder to play him
this week though yes the Best Buy
pricing in the 8K range at 8900 but
tougher to get to that 8K range in
general or land there most people aren’t
Landing there is is a better way to say
it so that’s kind of the point cuz I’m
I’m seeing Lowry spike a little bit in
terms of ownership I still even find
that pretty hard so who are the 8K guys
speaking of uh you know what you could
start with speaking of Rory and Lowry
Partners next week at the zurk classic
are they actually yeah Rory’s playing it
with his boy Lowry why is Rory playing
in the Z I have no idea he wanted to
maybe that’s why he wanted to go to live
he’s like oh my God I committed to this
terrible tournament get me off off the
stupid tour Shane Lowry man him and but
that would be a different build if you
liked who do you like in the akk range
that’s the better way to ask I like
Lowry okay and who sorry who else do you
like I like seah I like
Lowry that’s no different than anyone
else
and why not
feno like were we really troubled by how
he played last week I thought he played
fine no I’m just trying to build the pat
lineup that I just found so sewo should
be in there then well I was going to put
him but I didn’t know if there was a guy
oh yeah I found it this is good we can
see who in there but this one I think
you’ll like Rory thala
lry Harris English hogi kittama oh yeah
I like that I mean I don’t I I don’t
like Rory but no for a Rory lineup for a
Rory lineup just I if I’m going to build
lineups then this is what I’m do I think
that’s one of the things too especially
most people watching this probably are
playing limited lineups and so they
either just take what the optimizer
gives them if we’re talking like a 20
Max for them or they’re hand build and I
don’t have a problem with when you’re
building a handu lineup with a guy like
Rory which you’re not loving Rory you’re
saying let’s build one why not put him
with your guys with a construction
that’s different you’re not you know
what I mean like I think that’s what my
point was earlier Pat tying it together
now a lot of people are just going to
take their best sheffler lineup drop
Rory down they’re it’s a chalky sheffler
lineup already they’re going to take
sheffler drop him to Rory and find out
one guy they can upgrade and say boom
I’m Different no you have four of the
same dudes that were just in the Scotty
lineup now instead you’re leveraging
that because you have a completely
different roster construction and unique
guys I just loaded back in the first
Sheffer lineup that we built so what was
it again um it was we we did amend it
already so we took Glover out of it and
we got off of that like 74 and 78 range
so it’s like Lowry benan hogi kittama
dri like the way that we had built it
out but let’s just as an exercise take
out sheffler and turn him into Rory and
just try to see how that looks you get
an extra 2200 bucks so you can either
upgrade
Lowry to
Xander or you can take kittama and
dietre and turn them into like mid
eights or high eights
guys yeah I think you can get like Rory
Xander
hadwin Rory Xander yeah you turn hogi
yeah you turn you still have those
kittama into hadwin yeah not far off way
lower owned completely different
construction two guys up top with no
Klay morawa oberg or sheffler or you any
of those guys really and then you didn’t
hit that mid 7K range that everybody’s
on you maxed out at 2 7K guys and in the
6ks you didn’t use that extra hundred
bucks to get Glover mind you if you were
playing something higher dollar smaller
field I think you could just Skip
hadwood and go to Glover here because if
you like him I’m saying because you’re
not it’s going to project better you’re
still in good shape here and it’s not
where you just did the Scotty Glover
thing to Rory Glover it’s you still have
Xander in the mix with Rory you have
Benny Anne hogi and dri like you’re way
off the board so I I turned hadwin into
Dunlap okay and I turned Ann into
Henley yeah like that’s that’s fine too
or you could turn Henley into Burns if
you really wanted to but it leaves $100
on the table this way kind of like the
uh thought process of like a Rory Burns
lineup and you’re saying if no it’s
really an if no Scotty spot because if
no Scotty maybe Rory if no Scotty maybe
Burns does his thing and be Scotty for a
week like when he wins tournaments that
Scotty’s supposed to win at if that’s
the mentality that we’re going to do
let’s go Rory Windam Birds because right
now it’s been if it’s either if Scotty
Doesn’t win it’s Windam Clark who comes
in second yeah this is a good call and
then that leaves us we have a hogi to
Lowry hogi to Lowry and it lands on
Dunlap and dietry to round out so wait
did you put it wait who do you have in
here Rory Clark Burns low Dunlap drie I
was I was on the same build you already
had up on the screen I that’s too many
people so Rory Clark that’s seven people
you listed low Burns oh it doesn’t have
hogi is what you’re saying right we had
to take we took out hogi and we’re able
to get up to Lowry okay leaving Dunlap
and drien there it is and you don’t have
anyone near the Glover range and no 7ks
no 7ks at all and it’s about 10 .5 off
the original so yeah same
thing amazing for a no cut week I’m
trying to think in single entry or three
max let’s say where you’re just entering
like trying to build like a higher
Stakes lineup what do you think that the
build should be for that like would you
if it was just you and you had your 150
bucks or 200 bucks hey I need to jam a
lineup in here do you think it makes
sense to play Sheffer in those lineups
I’m still playing Scotty y okay I just
don’t I’m not afraid of it this week I
mean we kept talking about the baby
thing all last week and he kept coming
out and putting up solid rounds at
Augusta National Golf Club I think he’s
going to be just fine I I do find it
funny that the The Narrative shifted on
him so quickly that because it had to be
a talking point because I think that the
broadcast felt like Scotty is just going
to tune everyone on Sunday that we need
to come up with this narrative that’s
completely it’s not that it’s not true
it’s what he was three weeks away meith
was three weeks away from giving birth
MH like come on now and first in a first
like I would get that he would leave if
it happened it’s just not likely that
she was going to go into labor and they
were like it’s basically 50/50 it’s like
no it’s not he even said on Saturday
night they did the interview he was like
if I get he agreed that if he gets the
call before the round starts was his
wording I was like see the guy’s even
covering his ass for that no phones out
a gust now I obviously someone would get
through to him but I’m s he ain’t
leaving up four on the back nine I don’t
care what anybody says they’ll hold her
they’ll do whatever he’s going to finish
out his nine holes and go home people
probably disagree I don’t care I just I
don’t think it happens however not a
narrative this week that I’m hearing
about yeah oh I think at the start of
the week that’s why some people for some
reason thought this 10 to 15 I know
everyone’s coming around on it now but
my point is it’s like it’s not it wasn’t
a hot take for me to sit here and say
he’s going to be over 20% it’s he’s
projecting off the board’s going to be
owned I thought that he was going to
withdraw because he just didn’t want to
play that’s what I expected but also he
said he was going home and then went to
the local bar which was pretty
incredible he kept saying I just want to
get home I just want to get home and the
pictures he’s at the bar chilling with
all the same gear on just changed his
hat so yeah Scotty man he’s getting the
job done but I I would still start with
Scotty and I just look to get different
Scotty Burns baby swag lineup because
remember Burns was on this watch too
it’s just he wasn’t in contention so no
one cared I think people are going to
overlook this this week and I’m not
scared of it at all but like Scotty Ober
bang slam it in how do you do that 6600
left we like drie already like you can
drie Dunlap
hadwin I don’t it eventually gets there
where you don’t even need that cuz dri
Dunlap already puts you up to yeah or
sorry there it is hadwin and it’s glover
but hadwin Glover
but how many people are playing Scotty
Glover lineups with two with sorry with
three other 6K guys with four other 6K
guys GL yeah you’re right but same same
same yeah that’s what I’m saying though
is where most people are going to Scotty
or I don’t want to play him I’m going to
drop down to oberg and balance it out
what about doubling up and then just
Landing in there they’re all getting the
same holes man like 7,400 or 6300
they’re playing 72 holes of golf and as
I keep pointing out this is a course
where the back end can compete in a
weird way that these lineups actually
make more sense this week over at Quail
Hollow I was going to ask you that I’m
glad you brought that point up too
because that’s so you know the course
well you’re better at this stuff than me
like people in our Discord asking us
about these comp courses I don’t focus
on it a lot I think right and so I was
going to say I like if I’m building a
comp course lineup like I think everyone
at the you know Masters everyone that
played this course well has done good at
the Masters I can build a lineup like
that but I don’t really just rounded out
with one guy for a course comp that was
some of the discussion we had who are
some of the guys in the 6K range
that you would com you would say outside
of who we like for scoring in the no cut
Factor who are some of the guys that fit
the course the best that you could see
popping up like web is my example but I
guess like who else down there fits this
course in your mind that you could see
having a great week web and kizner are
the two guys kizner is like insanely bad
though yeah but so is web so yeah I
don’t know what what has kizner done
nothing if I just sort by web just made
a couple web’s made five of his last six
Cuts yeah what’s his best finish doesn’t
matter he’s 6200 no he’s not going to
miss the cut anyway right I’m just
saying K’s not going to miss the cut
either no but I agree I know I just said
they all play the same H I’m talking
about who at least has somewhat uh some
semblance of form if I had to go there I
guess I just was trying to find out who
are the guys at the bottom that fit the
course
Paul sounds like you guys need to do a
web versus kizner bet oh yeah I’m up 100
right now on that so I mean I don’t love
that you need you like Kiss I mean you
basically just wrote off
as like he’s the worst player in the
world where Webb is not that far behind
so then you should be interested in a
even bet well I think it was more my
point that give me an over under of
DraftKings points scored and I will take
the under on web Simpson like where does
he finish out of 69 players you were you
were standing up for your guy Kevin
kizner I was more saying that Webb is
more like kizner than you seem to think
I would prefer to play Webb over
kizner okay would you give me uh Five
Points Five draftking Points no it’s a
birdie oh come on
no fun Paul I’m with you no fun here all
right so who who would fit the course
you know this course so you know best
players P if we just look at Windam
let’s just start right there Tom best
player per round at the Winden
championship of players who are in this
field over the past 12 rounds Tom Kim
Henley web Ben Anne sewo Burns kizner M
Cam Davis ludvig Eric Cole Taylor Moore
Brendan Todd dietry Glover Denny so Eric
so if you just go web kiss Eric Cole
those are like three dudes that I could
see I’m not trying to put this cuz I
don’t even like ker I just wanted to
show something off here was that’s your
okay you’re Scotty who’s the other guy
we said
ludvig and then you land on there was
somebody who said at 7300 that fit I
think oh was Tom Kim I’m a 100 bucks
short okay was there another guy at
6600 or
65 67 Eric Cole 63 dietry Glover at 68
66 Justin Rose okay Justin Rose I’m
going to take Cole to Rose okay just to
show this off it’s not like the best
line I just want to show like and then
you mentioned Tom Kim okay Cam Davis or
Tom Kim fit to round it out so Sheffer
oberg and then you got Tom Kim or Cam
Davis with Rose web kizner the lineup is
horrible this is to explain a concept
not say this is a good lineup it’s to
explain what you said that I think is
really true here however people want to
get there whether they’re doing Windam
lineups course fit lineups birdie maker
lineups whatever could you see a world
because of the course that we’re playing
on Pat where these guys do show up and
as boring as it is and all the people
that put out the screenshot that says
nice tournament when you see these dudes
at the top it’s because they’re on a
course where they can make their bread
and then Scotty and obber just do Scotty
and oberg things and you can make it a
little bit better by moving oberg to
Clark or whatever and change out your
kizner play but my point would be people
seem to be forgetting that when they’re
going to cap at one or two 6K guys Max
when these guys are going to get all the
same holes and they this course better
than a standard setup it’s not a US Open
where we’re trying to Jam these guys in
it’s a 69 man field everyone gets 72
holes and they fit the course way better
than a majority of setups out there
that’s my point why you shouldn’t be
afraid of these types of constructions
pick your own guys and your own ways
that you’re going about it but I would
bring that up like if you swap out
kizner and ludvig and go to your guy
Clark who you mentioned you save a bunch
of money that gets you up to
73 um you get very very close man you
have Keegan
Bradley yeah who it doesn’t seem to be
on anyone’s radar yeah there you go Paul
you bet and
Keegan okay well let me ask you this I
even looked at him so yeah what what did
we say about Keegan East Coast yeah yeah
it’s usually Northeast Northeast that’s
right but here would be one then so
Scotty Clark Tom Kim Keegan Bradley
Justin Rose and web Simpson
it’s not that insane to imagine that
being on the leaderboard on a Sunday IT
projects only like 10 or 11 points off
the original and you have two 6ks two
sevens a nine and Scotty but you skip
all the tens you skip all the eights and
you only really have one guy in the
sevens and honestly Davis or Andor
Taylor Moore might be more popular than
that spot anyway so I made a little
collection of courses here and looked at
the past 24 rounds of courses I would
throw in sort of this cycle M so it has
Sony
Windam Heritage Colonial and I put s
grass in it as well just to get some of
the better players into it because it
does usually like when we when I think
about Saw Grass I think about those
courses at the same time Al be it
because there’s so much water the stats
can get really wonky with it so we can
look at it both ways we can look at it
this way and Scotty ludvig Henley Harmon
burns are the top five Fitz benan sunjay
Xander SEIU are next and like the worst
players are Grio
G’s interesting haval but that’s only
six
rounds and putam so Grio and putam E
root also tracks well in these but
that’s with the players we take sass out
of this which is the other one that I
wanted to look at take out the huge
water course of this bunch and then over
the past 24 rounds it’s pavon Henley
Burns Klay benan so a lot of burns a lot
of Henley this week in terms of what’s
sticking
out Burns hen amongst the courses spe
does really well Tom Kim Cam Davis fow
matd Fitz again Poston is one we didn’t
really discuss at all like these courses
are kind of his
Jam yeah I was trying to find this other
lineup here but it didn’t work so Poston
you said yeah all right what about 76
what about this one that does it that
actually closed it out and wow projects
better than I much better than I
expected
Scotty this a good construction Scotty
Burns Henley
Scotty with two low 8K guys then you get
your guy JT Poston who’s up there from
the $7,400 range that everybody’s on and
down from the baa and the $7,800 guys
and Harmon and Denny and those dudes and
it lands you on putham and ecro oh putam
and ecro that’s a nice lineup too I like
this better than the the web kiz type I
didn’t like the web kiz I wanted to show
off what people like what people are
missing here for some reason saying
these guys suck forgetting that it’s a
limited field they get every hole and
there’s it’s a course that anybody
that’s in this field could actually show
up on and not surprise you because it’s
a special it’s a special type of course
it’s not it’s no different then we go to
the US Open we say well here’s our
betting list it’s down to these 15 guys
maybe 10 and that’s what our betting
card should be based off of in DFS at a
no cut event at a course like this with
a limited field you shouldn’t be cutting
all these guys off because they’re all
there is guys in that 6K range that will
be in the
mix head to head head tohe head let’s go
you won again I got a six to six last
week although like half the field got a
six to six so that was brutal by the way
that was one other thing that really
pissed me off I really liked it I
cheered for car we all been waiting for
Carnage so I was okay be careful what
you wish for I get it to go from a four
to the five was fine to go from the five
to the six was it I was talking about
you because I was saying here comes
patan willing this [ __ ] to the Finish
Line like Joel Damon that week that
killed me I I also don’t want to hear
[ __ ] from people because I saw the Six
coming like I saw it like with the way
that the scores were going it’s like
well data golf says it has a .1% chance
time itn’t that an it is right now so
you have to adjust because their numbers
are going to run off like what has
happened throughout the course of the
day so if it’s playing harder and
obviously their numbers are going to
adjust but all of a sudden like the
switch flipped and guys went from either
par or bogey to Bogey at best double
basically all the time like that’s going
to affect the cut line it brought all
the chalk and you are the best at being
able to to see [ __ ] and you know the
courses well enough and OB that’s the
course that everybody knows but you you
can see what’s going on you’re very good
at reading the board and just factually
saying look guys it’s not as crazy as
you think because of abcxyz and then
what ends up happening is people start
to get pissed at you because like here
comes Pat getting it right again and
he’s bringing all these chalk losers
back in and then everyone’s mad
including me and I’m like God Pat just
has this ability to will at home and get
his guys there and I didn’t want it was
like Henley SEI Wu matama every chalk
dude was sitting there at 6 and my best
guy was three and I was fine when it
went from four to five five to six did
suck the the other thing when looking at
the leaderboard to see which way that
it’s going to go that I don’t think
enough people factor in is the quality
of player that needs to drop now
obviously Thomas and Hideki were the big
ones that got us there you didn’t expect
that but everyone was just freef falling
at that point but when you saw some of
the other losers who were like plus four
with two holes to go it’s like oh
they’re they might not even make the cut
yeah because they’re bad that’s again
that’s part of what you’re good at
reading that stuff and recognizing that
different than someone just sees in a
percentage say there’s no chance we’ve
seen multiple times this year that
number flip from 90 to the opposite way
so it’s it’s just the way it goes yeah
and a lot of it is usually due to
weather that can’t like just in real
time can’t be factored in it’s like oh
this course is going to get way harder
over the next 45 minutes or way easier
and it can flip the other way and then
boxes out what you thought that the cut
was going to drop to all of a sudden
these guys play it a little bit easier
so it works both ways obviously and I’m
not trying to say I’m getting this right
all the time no you’re just tilting
people because when you see as soon as
you kind of like chime in uh not so fast
all I say is it’s not when I say it’s
not dead I mean like there’s a
possibility that it could happen not
that it’s going to happen it’s like a
reverse cust it’s like we know when you
do it it’s going to go that way that’s
what ends up happening maybe but a lot
of the time it’s like when people say
that there is no chance all I’m saying
is that no there is a chance that this
is going to happen it’s an unlikely
chance I’m not saying it’s 50/50 it
might be 9010 but it’s still within the
range of like the realistic I’m a
realist so I’m I’m with it I make fun of
it more because it’s been right where
it’s killed me a multiple times but I do
think it’s what you said and I’m a
realist I like to think of it that way
it’s it’s definitely a possibility stop
just going off of a number on a page
when there here’s the quick scenario for
you that does turn the turn the corner
and just to look at it like this is
something I’m actually I wrote it up for
the newsletter this evening because I
did some work last night I was wasn’t
wasn’t a hung over because I wasn’t
drinking like and I don’t think I had to
drink the final 2 Days in Vegas so it
wasn’t a hangover but like we got
delayed coming back like we flew from
Vegas to Toronto then we had to fly from
Toronto to here our flight got pushed
back like an hour then an hour and a
half and then we got stuck on the TAC
for like we we landed here like 3:30
a.m. or something like that like
yesterday I was just zoned out just 4H
hour time difference getting back at
like such a crazy time and I’m still
kind of now that we’ve been talking like
I’m starting to get all my energy back
this is great I can go work out after
this too just I had no I was dead to the
world yesterday like I played with my
kids for a bit that I had to go back and
lay down like as soon as they went to
school took a nap again but but hogi was
one that I wanted to bring up here
because if you go and look at Tom hogi
right now I’ll clear my filters on
fantasy National to make this easy that
if you take a look at where his off the
te game is right now and you just looked
at the straight numbers for it uh past
24 rounds in this field Tom hogi off the
te ranks 55th out of 69 players he is
bad off the te well if you click on Tom
hogi you will notice he has gained
Strokes off the tea in five of his last
six starts he just happened to lose nine
Strokes at the Players Championship so
it’s really one tournament that is
preventing him from being at the top of
all these models yes that sometimes you
need to look into it a little bit more
and that was sort of my comparison to
when you look at the leaderboard to see
if guys are going to go up or gonna or
fall like who are the guys who need to
make the cut line work is it Scotty
sheffler well I don’t think he’s going
to make a boogie is it Rico H then yeah
he’s probably going to make a Boi or
Worse yeah exactly that just look
looking at it a little bit deeper rather
than just looking at the number and I’m
guil I’m as guilty of it as everyone
else is but this is one that I really
wanted to break down because I liked
hogi this week I was like this makes a
ton of sense for hogi smaller greens you
would think that means you have to chip
more or because I just very vividly
remember this happened to Graham DEET at
the Heritage one year he had hit se he
hit 54 or 54 Greens in regulation
through three rounds and he was winning
I think it was the year that Wesley
Brian storm back to one that was another
thing at this tournament too that there
was always a bunch of comeback winners
going into the final round and then the
moment that he stopped hitting Greens in
regulation was all over for Graham DEET
he started making like double Bogies
everywhere The Yips but what we’ve seen
from hogi is outside of that one
tournament where he couldn’t drive
gained like I said five of six off the
te he’s gaining I mean he had a down
down week in Houston where he only
gained two strokes on approach before
that it was six eight five seven like we
know the irons can get hot he’s been
gaining he’s gained stroke spotting in
eight of nine events he just can’t chip
but it was no different than baa at
Valero where it was if he can just lead
ingredients in regulation you know the
bad chipping is mitigated in that way I
know these are smaller greens but hogi
can still be so precise with his irons
that I think he can take chipping at a
play a lot here if he’s going to run his
irons hot he’s going to run his putter
hot and drive okay just even break even
gain a little bit if as long as he can
take the chipping out of it and we saw
Stuart sink who can’t chip just putt
from off the green Air so there’s that
variable to this course as well that’s
why I ended up liking hogi so much yeah
I’m two bets I’m taking away one I’m
betting hogi right after we hop off the
show and then I’m betting Mackenzie
Hughes those are the two bets to take
away from everything we first round
leader huge yeah we’ll hit those I might
put Dunlap on there too cuz I guarantee
way down and on let’s do that Dunlap
McKenzie Hughes first round leader if
you don’t have the hogi outright ticket
Pat already has it but I’m G to add that
one as well it’s 100 to one you can get
it with five places yep taking I’m
definitely taking five places yeah got
to take the places with hogi yes yeah
head toad DFT yep you’re uh you no you
get to go first or do I get to no you do
you won you get the option no I think
winner just goes winner just goes first
yeah you owned it you win it oh what do
I want to do here I’ll take sheffler
there we go that alls that what am I GNA
do then I’m gonna go
with
man I just wanted to take schaffler I
guess I I’ll try Rory out oh really
you’re not do like the Xander ludvig no
okay
interesting oh you get two picks I got
to go
twice so so who you pairing Rory with
I’m gonna do the Rory Burns that we
talked about earlier okay people don’t
like your head-to-head lineups against
me yeah people have to realize I like
it’s we we’re also doing a show here
yeah it’s it’s what also that like we
you know it’s a you know a head-to-head
on a show for free picks there’s Pride
to it for sure but at the end of the day
there’s a lot of stuff on the line that
I’m going to go home and work on tonight
that I take a lot more pride in and have
to get it right for you know my money my
family the company all these different
factors so uh I’m taking it serious but
I’m usually looking to like battle
against you I’m not just looking to play
the best plays I’m trying to take my
guys too here I’m gonna take dri and
Dunlap with Sheffer I’ll round out the
63 and 65 with Scotty sheffler right and
so like just quickly because we just
don’t care what we’re talking about
already it’s like that’s I think people
would say that strategy wise we haven’t
done the best either cuz why are you
taking your 2 6K guys which you’ll
probably get in the late rounds here
that those are the two 6K guys I want I
want you to take them you want your
lineup to build out that’s we also can’t
use the same guys in these lineups right
that’s another Factor I’m going to use
uh Henley
MH and then I’m going to
use let me see here one thing Henley I
said Burns Henley and then I’m going to
drop down to
oh
man I think I’m gonna take my guy Jagger
Jagger bombs
okay so I’ll take Lowry and Harris
English at 85 and
75 okay and that’s I did not mean to
click Jason day I’ll take him out not
playing Jason day this
week poor guy look like a cigarette pack
on the course hey my uh $250 sweater
vest didn’t come in yet I already got
that one no I did not you see they put
out for sale right away that’s what it
was 250 bucks 250 American good American
dollars I’d rather get that Anthony Kim
live hat I actually wanted that someone
was at the live event I was like can you
pick me that up I I’ll rock that hat
with the AK on it with the the card what
about um you didn’t take cam young did
you I did not
know gosh can I get this to work I don’t
think so but I’m double checking I know
who I want at the bottom already so just
to make it work oh yeah it works perfect
I will take I’ll round out my lineup
with theala and putam oh okay and I will
take benan as my last pick so this is my
head to head let me do mine and I’ll get
yours so I can put them against each
other for points even though it never
seems to matter I have Rory with three
8K guys theala Burns Henley I got my guy
stevenh Jagger none of those $7,400
dudes OR7 77 78s and land on putam and
you have Scotty Chef it’s funny I’m
going to reject you just cuz I have
Scotty Sheffer we’ll see about that
Sheffer dri Dunlap yep Lowry English
benan talk about a guy that knows how to
list does it in the order he picked them
even all right I’m also reading it off
the screen in front of me yep you that
Ben and rounded out yeah oh I got you by
13 points perfect means I’m going to win
by 40 it’s been the case it has been the
case but easy game fired up man for this
week more than most people are probably
this got me back into I need to be ped
out of my malaise I feel everyone’s
doing the same thing this week we’re
winning that’s going to be the
difference because everyone’s just going
to do the same everyone’s doing the same
thing losing will be winning that’s what
we got to do have to get Charlie Sheen
on the show next week we had good we we
really pulled it together last week it
turned out to be a huge week so I think
that was good just you know well it’s
just playing it from many different
angles and I think that’s the one thing
like people talk about diversifying
their portfolio as it pertains to
DraftKings like oh I need to play this
much of this guy and this much of this
guy sometimes it can work as a big loser
in one way although since I’ve started
playing and joined Underdog code mayo
and Underdog Fantasy by the way between
Underdog betting and DraftKings like
I’ve been basically winning two of the
three every single week and like when
you win big like Underdog is usually
like kind of tread water type thing or
I’ve had a couple really good weeks on
Underdog mainly thanks to Kenny giving
away like yeah here’s a 50 to one it’s
like sure like the betting was a
struggle for a while cuz the long shots
kept winning but now that’s turned
itself around you hit a huge make the
cut that pays for everything like that
pays for the entire more than the entire
season of golf for me yeah you’re good
for a long time yeah so yeah that’s the
key diversifying it up and then like
this show I think that’s why people love
it as the the basis always get good
feedback on it is we’re not talking
about just picks and plays it’s we’re
talking about how are we using them and
what does that look like roster
construction going in in- depth on the
actual tournaments that we’re playing in
where you’re trying to level up and win
a million dollars like I said had the
million-dollar winner Chris Ern will be
on the show later today with hoop and I
so it’s going to be awesome just get his
take on how he broke it down and how he
does his process and gets into it and
he’s a founding member at ship and
Nation First first day member first day
member joined got the annual pass I met
him at the 3M last year really good dude
so he’s going to be on the show we’ll
he’ll get some of his breakdown on how
he got to the lineup but he’s probably
like I listen to Pat Mayo I we’ll see
what he says he’s probably not going to
say that but I do think it matters we
talked about it last time but it’s the
same thing is when you know people
listen to the show we go through a lot
of stuff getting involved in a community
where it’s not just picks and plays and
people are actually talking through it
to your point it helps bring these data
points together with fantasy National
there’s some Underdog slips in there
people are doing that we’re talking
about actually beating the tournaments
that we’re in not focusing on boots on
the ground and things like that like
we’re focused on how do we win the
tournaments to actually go up and get
the job done and that’s that’s the main
thing one new tool at Fantasy National
as well that I totally forgot uh at the
very top there’s an over under type
thing and it’s basically any pick them
slip that you want to play there’s uh
Strokes birdies are better Bogies are
worse Fairways hit and green regulation
moose built a simulator for each of the
days it gets updated you type in your
player you type in the line and it’ll
give you the percentage of that being a
winner so if you do want to do your
Underdog slips that’s what I’m going to
be doing this week uh to really test it
out I was at the Masters but I was out
of a legal place to play so I couldn’t
play so now that I’m back going to
really hammer down on that so just
another new tool yeah at Fantasy
National is that that’s kind of like run
the Sims has same for during NFL season
like you can do it that way and you get
your mainly was for prize picks I think
when it first started but you could get
a real good setup there for how it loads
up against it but Underdog is the key
well I mean that’s what I’ve been I’ve
been using Run The Sims for UFL and
printing mhm yeah under not the key was
not getting too greedy for UFL yeah the
first week I saw your Underdog slip was
like five Five Guys right out of the
gate he’s all in it’s like but you got
to test it what if yeah what if I mean
I’m not saying don’t play the five I’m
just saying don’t make your entire week
the five the one slip for Five Guys make
the slip you know I endend the second
week I ended up doing like two or three
five pick ones they all lost but I won I
think 18 of the 22 two mans that I did
that works out much better it’s a way to
do it then you can pair it all together
get the Run get run the Sims get
Underdog use the code Mayo for him pair
them up and then like I said maybe just
don’t get as greedy or you know Kenny
style of like oh it’s free money let me
just go all in it’s like yeah it’s
worked so far he’s in good shape too but
just to say like that’s the key
sometimes just tone it back a little bit
and do some sort of round robish stuff
with them that way because you can do
that if you want any uh fomo on fantasy
golf degenerates
no I love it good for Byron it’s awesome
obviously a good dude I’ll jump back in
on some of the major shows think we’re
actually going to do a three-man booths
just to keep the mix right that’s
awesome and I love the favorite South
African versus the favorite everyone’s
favorite Canadian just switch it up that
easily obviously a good show this week
and Kenny tried to figure out how to
pronounce his name but uh it’s
definitely a good thing I think it’s
always good what you know sort of how I
I got to go on that show be on it for
five plus years great run Focus now on
shiping Nation some personal stuff and
then obviously being on this show here
with you we still get to cover a lot of
the angles and and talk about Golf and
and do what we love to do so it’s good
for everybody all right you got a final
show coming out on Wednesday at chiping
Nation we do yeah hoop and I’ll be
recording it’ll be a little bit of an
interview a interview I’m trademarking
that if anyone hasn’t already a mini
interview at the start where we’ll go
through with our guy Chris Hearn who won
the Mega Millie last week for a million
dollars we had a huge week last week use
the code Mayo get 10% off if you want to
join the community and check it out and
get in on some of these discussions of
beating these tournaments leverage
correlation roster construction all the
things that actually help you win at DFS
versus the picks and plays and last week
was round one uh Main main tournament
someone won it round two Mando Mondo
whatever his name like I don’t know how
he pronounced it but he won 125k off 200
bucks and Showdown round two Showdown
round three our guy Matt won 100K for
the main gpp and then round four Chris
drops his little screenshot and oh did a
thing yeah million dollars and that’s
what he turned it into so lots of good
stuff going on nothing can guarantee you
guys winners but being in a community
where they’re talking about how to win
and surrounding yourself with similar
like-minded individuals definitely the
way to go ship Nation code Mayo off over
there code Mayo at Underdog fantasy will
get you that deposit match of up to 100
bucks fantasy national.com Mayo 20% off
all the tools you get that leaderboard
that pick them tool that I just
mentioned plus all of the DraftKings
tools including lineup Builder ownership
projections and the entire stat database
to go along with it along with Musa
Simulator for the single round and the
full tournament as well corales is up
there too if you want to check it out
smash the like will you are here sub to
Mayo media Network and I will see you
next time Mayer
experience
11 Comments
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SHOW INDEX
00:00 Intro
2:10 1st Thoughts on Pricing
7:17 Underdog Draft
16:01 Bets
21:30 One and Done
23:12 Weather
26:05 No Cut vs Full Field
29:20 Rory LIV
36:55 DraftKings/Lineups
59:54 Scoring
1:01:14 Comp Courses
1:17:33 H2H DK Draft
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Toe taggin money baggin💰🚀let’s go
Welcome home Pat
T Fleetwood 30/1 R Henley 40/1 C DAVIS 70/1 T Kim 90/1
N HOJGAARD 16/1 J Suh 66/1 C Gotterup 80/1 B Wu 90/1
My bets for both tournaments
Sometimes I get a free golf ticket on draftkings. When I do I pick the 5 top ranked Asian guys first and then the most expensive white guy I can after that. Why? Because I don't know anything about golf. This strategy is going to pay off big for me one of these days.
The memorial should be a signature event
Aaron rai is due to win
J Knapp 300-1
what do you mean. i enjoyed the Britney Spears look. Plus Geoff progressed from withdrawals early in the week to leveled by monday.
Tambo if you need window coverings I sell them brother
Take the morning guys because the wind is gonna pick up this afternoon.