2024 RBC Heritage Picks, Bets, One and Done | 2024 Masters Final Thoughts | Corales Puntacana Picks

Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 RBC Heritage Picks, bets, and One and Done selections, Corales Puntacana Championship odds preview and final RBC Heritage Thoughts.

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SHOW INDEX

00:00 Intro
2:30 Scottie/RBC Heritage Final Thoughts
14:05 Top Odds
20:55 40-80
28:30 80+
37:30 Quick Picks
39:01 One and Done
40:12 Corales

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national.com Mayo the Master’s app was
kind of a disappointment buddy they
spent the first two days under cam young
showing Adam Scott
video it was tilting I I it Wast I I do
like that this is the complaint that we
get to have from those though and our
expectations were so high it’s like when
the PGA changes a commentator for a week
our expectations are so low that they
say something insightful we’re like
they’re the greatest ever the Master’s
app was so high our excitement was so
high we spent months comparing every
flawed app to the Master’s app so when
it wasn’t ready for the week it was a
bit of a oh that kind of sucks well
we’re talking about the RBC Heritage
today we did our master’s recap already
that’s out on the Pod feed review
subscribe rate review all that fun stuff
smash a like while you’re here and out
on the video we did it live with Joe
then Joe jumped on a red eyee got back
to Florida and went straight to work
from the airport he’s at work right now
Hey Joe Joe Joe Joe is a champ we did do
the recap last night a lot of fun stuff
there um also it was before we saw
Scotty’s press conference which makes me
like no like if I thought yesterday I
wanted a Scotty sheffler scandal after
that press conference I want a Scotty
Sheffer Scandal like times infinity it
started out so nice too I was he’s like
I hate losing and he’s like I can’t lose
because I have the Lord on my side like
that’s going to appeal to a lot of
people I agree it just does not appeal
to me whatsoever it sounds like you who
the only people in my life that talk
like that recovering
addicts so maybe that’s the the cheff
for Scandal down the road who knows uh
and you know looking at this week’s
board it does feel like the prices the
books almost know he’s going to withdraw
cuz these prices feel like they’re in so
they won’t almost drop when withdraws it
feels like they’ve already cut them
knowing he’s withdrawing well if we just
talk about it off the top we can jump
right into the pricing because we
already did the recap we’ll just talk
about RBC Heritage he’s four to one to
win this tournament he was four to1 to
win The Masters last
week yes so something is off with this
although I will say that harbort toown a
course where anyone can kind of be
competitive if they run a hot putter
where that’s just not the case with the
Masters yeah and he doesn’t like he
hasn’t won that the at RBC Heritage and
yeah we’ve seen a lot of plotters go out
there our Jim furick our Matt cooers
right like they’ve made he so much hay
over the year at Harbor
Town you wonder you wonder if Scotty had
beaten Jagger would he be more inclined
to play Jagger uh just with like a true
um a straight withdraw like a nelly
Corda streak going on right there well
Paul’s Paul’s losing it over here what’s
going on Paul we’re still live at out
guess we’re shooting this live it’s not
live but we still are at the Circa Hotel
we’re catching our flight a little bit
later on the stadium swim is not bumping
at 8:30 in the morning it seems no the
music isn’t the Bas the base isn’t
hitting the sold you don’t feel the uh
the floor vibrating on you anymore the
Reverb is not hitting us this morning
although there are parts of my body that
are giving off a bit of a Reverb as a
postmaster’s hangover always hit Jeff
locked himself out of his room maybe
more than once more than once which is
okay he that’s an easy fix you lock
yourself out of your room you show them
your ID they give you a new card the big
problem friends is when you lock
yourself out of your room and you don’t
have ID and then they have to bring
security up with you and it’s a whole
trip they also did a wellness check on
my on me
yesterday what
when in the afternoon it was really
creepy someone just knocked on the door
and and they’re like yeah you’ve had
your privacy sign up for like over 2 and
a half days so it’s a mandatory wellness
check and I’m like H I’m here I’m doing
okay I threw the Privacy tag on my room
the first day I got here we’ve been here
for five days no one came for a well
this check on maybe just don’t care
about me well maybe they’ve gotten
reports I don’t know I don’t know they
yeah so let’s just say they did a
wellness check on me as well Pat but I’m
doing good it’s post hangover I will say
it is very
what’s the word like my equilibrium is
totally thrown off not I I’m truly
talking through golf bets having no
ability to make them at the moment it’s
really tough and like I’m going to land
back home 14 hours from it’s a long trip
back to Helifax from here Paul Paul and
I are going to be on multiple planes
throughout the course of the day but I’m
going to open up my app when I go home
and be able to bet and have like I have
like 24K in my account that’s the thing
even if I yeah it’s the most I’ve ever
had in a gambling account at one time it
has gone well it has gone really well
and I’m excited to get home and see the
accounts that I can’t open here and see
that there’s nice money in there and
part of me has already acknowledged I
have like I did pretty well those
accounts are bumping that even if I lose
some points on a golfer I like because I
want so much money I’ll just I can like
just put a few more bucks on those
golfers to make up for some some lost uh
points I’ve kind of been on on the
internet seeing who’s been popular
having no ability to make the bets but
that could be a good thing like to truly
get like a well listen you’re coming in
hot ish is you you you hit Jagger you
hit oxe and then you had second place to
Scotty in the other three tournaments
second place yeah Xander players I had
what was that no it was second place
Mady with Cam young and then second
place with ludig so silver silver gold
gold silver we are swimming in the deep
end every week friends I’m swimming in
the deep end and that’s even come with
some card discipline so I got want to
find something else hit hit Fitzy here
last year um ready to fire I was a
little upset with some of the numbers
this morning one of the highest rated
tournaments of last year well it’s a
speed three hole playoff that’ll get you
every a speed three hole playoff during
dinner will get will win every time he
oh he burned a couple edges in those
playoffs didn’t end it early and then
yeah Fitzy got him was watching it with
my wife my friend and his wife in a
Cabana in Napa love that love that it
was not warm at this time of year in
Napa by the way no it’s listen it it was
like I don’t know 60° in the morning and
night’s here like I have found out the
hard way how cold it gets in the desert
when that sun goes down wouldn’t really
say de nap is the desert oh but I mean I
was referring to to here Fair are you
going to bet Scotty this week make it
your one bet no but what about about as
I was you know just enjoying myself at
Circus swim on Saturday wouldn’t be the
greatest content play so that would
probably prevent me from doing it but
the thought of truly taking the next
year just banging ludvig single bullets
with each
way I think you’d come home I think
you’d get home safe I mean that I mean
that what does this guy finish worse
than ever ever on these places his first
ever major on like the course where it’s
not even supposed to fit him why
wouldn’t why wasn’t supposed to fit him
like just no you’re right cuz he’s long
he’s straight he fits every course but
just the intricacies of Augusta that
like takes some runs are you bummed that
he’s long and straight that means you
have no
chance I wish I had a chance uh I I’m
like yeah I wish I had a chance but the
thing is I worry he seems like he
without the Lord
stuff if he is as truly dominant as it
seems he could be
he is just as boring as Chef yeah but
here’s the other here’s the other side
of the coin to that though if he if
ludvig is currently like and goes on a
Scotty es run he’s basically Drago that
you can you can build you can build up
the Americans to come and beat him and
then the American audience I’m dead
serious about this like being like a
villainous European guy is is good for I
I don’t think that he is a villain but
if he’s a European who starts dominating
and he kind of looks like Drago to begin
with that he doesn’t say much he just
kind of smiles shakes things off and is
just basically the Terminator that if he
started winning all this stuff you could
build build people around him it’s like
sort of the opposite of what happened in
the 80s with the WWF where you’d have
Hulk and they’d bring in these monsters
King Kong Bundy or whoever it might be
build up Andre and turn him heel so he
can fight Hulk Hogan you build up these
monsters that Hulk Hogan can conquer
that’s the way that you get sheffler
over the edge you build up like a
villainous oberg and then Scotty can
take him down and then all of America’s
on Scotty’s side I guess if we think
about it from I mean you might as well
think about Golf and wrestling terms at
this point he’s a
cleancut kid who went to college in
America like I don’t know that’s going
to be a hard spin see I I disagree like
it’s hard to spin it for Rory being a
villain because Rory is legitimately my
size like no one’s like Villain Like
unless he was like super sneaky like
Patrick Reed which he doesn’t seem to be
but are you really going to be sweating
this like 58 Irishman who weighs 165
pounds ludvig just he looks like a
monster he looks like he was a robot
built to dominate a golf yeah it was so
cool um you like him this week you’re
going to bet him at 14 to I say I had my
big 100 to one not as big as bar offs
who uh had an enormous one you were
walking on this ledge back here me Paul
and Joe were watching you from in here
and you were just pacing looking at your
phone looking up at the screen looking
back down pacing back and forth like a
lunatic that’s what I do on Sunday’s
juring Majors I’m pacing and I’m not in
front of like a 300t screen with 17
different feeds on it
it was a sensory overload while I was in
a bit of a sweat that kind of never
really felt like a sweat but to think
that it never felt like you were going
to win no but to think that ludvig beat
every human
golfer was nice by three Strokes who who
didn’t have the Lord on their side do
you think God is helping Scotty cheat
like is that something that we should be
factoring in here no God is on his pull
out no I don’t think so I don’t like
he’s the type of guy that some of us is
I don’t think the baby’s well maybe the
baby’s going to slow him down because he
seems like a I don’t want to I don’t
want to throw any shade at like some
dads but he seems like a dad that like
might need to be overly involved like me
it’s why I can’t do certain things I’m
overly involved I’m just there yeah and
it does and like for a while it did take
away from like some of the content that
I was doing I didn’t do as much yeah
like he seems like a dad that’s like you
know like he seems like the dad that
could a will hire one less Nanny because
he wants to do it even though he could
afford 15 nannies yeah he wants to be a
good dad yeah yeah he does strike me as
someone who would want to be a good dad
he seems like a good dude yeah no so I
like maybe he will like practice a bit
like a a bit less I don’t know that it
will matter I mean but you can always
tie it to that narrative as well I mean
let’s not forget Scotty it’s not quite
the run that he’s on right now but he
won four times including the Masters two
years AO ago then he didn’t win again
until the players the next year I I know
but that was like Scotty we’re like in a
2.0 now it it feels different but it’s
not all that dissimilar to his run from
Phoenix through the Masters two years
ago you’re right and the baby could put
him on a totally different summer track
and we’ve seen it guys that win The
Masters don’t win again just the rest of
their year is kind of like a write-off
at this point yeah we R Rah has not won
a tournament period correct um Scotty
you mentioned that whole run took a year
and he was coming like top five and
everything and didn’t DJ even after his
crazy run go on a long hius yeah and he
won like three times going into the
tournament and then you know he I don’t
think he won again till live so yeah in
that in that respect maybe it gives us
something to glom on to what’s annoying
about this week though is I feel like at
least the odds that are up now you know
being on the west coast I wasn’t part of
like the 6: a.m. drops I I I can tell
you I mean I’m looking at all the
numbers now I I because I didn’t look at
the numbers when I first woke up I
assume Fleet would open bigger than 20
and everyone bet him but it was like 25
good call on that one Tommy it was like
25 28 it wasn’t even like something
amazing no but still I mean Fleet would
looked good kentley too kentley got
touted big this morning he was in the
mid 20s and he’s gotten crushed I think
this morning okay well I’ll take a
double pass on those guys no but that’s
what I mean so it’s in a sense that I
normally like i’ probably have two or
three bets right now thinking oh want to
get the number little clv blah I mean
there’s one guy that I woke up that I
wanted to bet and I saw he was at 90 to1
it was Tom Kim now he’s down 66 to1 he
absolutely annihilated he was actually
over a hundred gross I’m hoping I got
some friends with an account that did me
a favor I think I did but it wouldn’t
have been big enough because they maxed
out themselves but I appreciate all
favors you are correct though that these
odds are indicative of a Scotty sheffler
withdraw yeah but do you think they’ll
have they’ll even knock them more yeah
they will they’ll knock them a touch
more but they’ve already knocked them
fully expecting him not to be here um um
I mean maybe that’s not the case maybe
that’s not true because this is no
different really than what we saw at
bill I guess it feels really stacked it
feels really crunched I don’t like much
so the favorite obviously four to one is
Scotty and then we go Xander and Rory 11
and 12 ludvig 14 to one Klay 18
Fleetwood 20 Fitz 22 defending Camp H 22
morawa 25 Z 20 that could be me morawa
25 no
Z I don’t know if I love Z on a putting
contest this tournament’s putting
contest yeah I guess you’re right furck
coocher even even Fitzy super small
greens at Harbor Town like being on
point like it’s irons and it’s no
different than any of the other Pete di
courses who’s been winning just uh
kizner won here right now kizner came
second here to furick I believe Kar
ended up winning at Colonial well this
was your biggest weekend ever before
this past weekend Kad I actually think I
won more with kadra cuz I won 20K but
that was us so that was really like
especially at the time that was like 30k
that was a Crusher cuz i’ had see wo
missing those four footer I was happy
for my friend I had sewo as an outright
that
week it’s funny how that works speaking
of Market’s cornered uh I’ve got 2third
of my Halloween costume now with my
Circa hat I’ll have my Nautica shirt and
I’ll all I got to do is get a notebook
So speaking of cornered
markets I was the what you just said
about ludvig earlier the single
bulleting ludvig with an each we I was
thinking about just doing that with Cam
young another top 10 five five and eight
Majors I’m not going to lie I saw the 33
and it’s out of sight that also offers
an enhanced so when we’re done I might
be texting someone at home to see if
there’s a even a Juiced up from that 33
and I was looking there were some 40s on
cam to win the PGA Championship and
people will make fun of me if I do it
but I I feel like I’m in now folks I I
might actually go back to the gala here
at
40 he didn’t have a good week he didn’t
have a bad week he have a good week so
we’re gonna keep this going based on the
fact that what this is also whose course
who loves it here spe so to if you can
if I know it didn’t work last week but
to keep stretching that that thread this
would work here it’s funny because spe
didn’t like love this course until it
became a signature event he was second
last year he won it the year no it
wasn’t a signature the year that he won
but he beat Klay we won a bunch of money
on that that was nice uh in the playoff
that year when remember Klay got like
fried egged on the playoff hole and he
just couldn’t get it out of the bunker
but before that like he was not good
here so I don’t know what we do with
that Klay has historically been very
good except for 2021 when he missed the
cat Cam Davis another one I assume
everyone bet him this morning I don’t
know what he started at but I’m sure he
was popular but what about dudes that
just good players that miss the cut
hasn’t that been a nice thing to go on
that Heritage it it was before it became
a signature event or before all the good
players actually made the cut well spe
and Thomas and spe and Thomas missed the
cut I guess Lowry ended up making the
cut where’s L okay Lowry’s best in
number Best in Market is 60 I would do
that again this week remember when Lowry
should have won this tournament and he
like puted himself out of the tournament
on Sunday I mean to your point you bet
Lowry at 50 to1 to win The Masters you
can bet him at 60 to1 to win the goddamn
Heritage where he’s played really well
yeah and Shane Lowry lost eight Strokes
putting last week at Augusta that’s now
his is Tia green and especially his
approach numbers were super enhanced
because he same as Klay it’s like if
people are looking into oh the metrics
from last week of the Masters you’ve got
to go to Klay dude jar it from the
middle of the Fairway twice like going
to enhance your approach numbers to a
point where they’re not realistic any
anymore because you made you gain so
much on Two Shots it’s like if someone
makes a hole in one during the course of
a round like their Strokes gained
approach numbers just fly off the chart
you’d be better off dropping the best
dropping the bottom and just see how
they actually played throughout the
course of the week so with L I’d want to
dig into that a little bit more but I
think what you said is true
that 60 to1 I bet him at 50 last week
Bad Bet by the way wasn’t immune to some
bad like all my outrights were pretty
bad last week I’m glad I got bailed out
I hope if you hit the make the cut
parlay that was in the Mayo media
newsletter leave it down in the
description I heard from a ton of people
on Twitter about it so that’s awesome
there’s nothing more that’s the one
thing that I really like about betting
over DFS we can just all win it’s nice
when we can all win and like you got to
give that
warning don’t think you’re running it
back at the PGA Championship no it’s
just the Masters and even the like I had
even said that the merket at the master
the only reason I did it was someone’s
like well can you just make one I was
like yeah I mean I might as well and I
would walk through the process there’s
like and it’s funny cuz VJ ended up
making the cut and olalo ended up making
the cut and usually it’s like well
there’s like 10 Duds at the bottom of
the field who aren’t going to make it so
it’s really top 50 in an 75 person field
coming and that didn’t actually turn out
to be the case because so many of the
bigger names Vic Thomas and spe ended up
missing Windham Clark ends up missing
would you go back to Windham Clark here
because it feels like he is underpriced
as well yeah potentially I I will circle
around all those highend names who
missed the cut I’m not not really here
for Justin Thomas anything and I don’t
care much for the spe but yeah so that
would be Windam Clark would be the best
player of that group for me or Sam Burns
if that’s something you needed seiw is
only two events away from the sewo slam
and Henley’s getting pretty close too
for like the Pete Dy and adjacent course
slam so you get Windam and you get Sony
which is not a Pete die course Colonial
would be on that list Saw Grass is on
that list this one is on this list I’d
say that AMX is the other one that’s on
the list as well
you just blindly like they know people
want to blindly bet SEIU at 40 it’s
there for the taken it’s too short right
it feels too short but is it like
really even Harmon at 50 is Harmon the
guy who missed the cut who comes back
out or did he Peak and now he’s done he
is that he’s perfect for this he is the
profile of the player that we would
probably in the nonelevated Years be
like circling around those player
profiles yeah accurate putter Putter and
if he plays well it’s not like he’s
gonna be hitting a bunch of 220 AED
approaches on par fours this week like
he was last week now he’s going to get
into like relative wedge range try to
hit some small greens and make some
putts Kirk would be another one I’d look
at here maybe benan benan 75 to one it’s
funny that Chris Kirk or uh Cam Davis
gets steamed I assume he got steamed
because he’s at 66 to one when he most
definitely should not be and Tom Kim
gets steamed I understand the Tom Kim
stuff cuz people who have one Windom uh
the Windom Championship have done really
well at this course as well like even
someone like JT Poston CT pan is another
one and Ben an’s been in the mix of both
these for a while I think bam would be a
bet for me here at 75 to one he’s
playing lovely and you’re right he’s not
getting because he never truly peaked on
the leaderboard like cam young or sorry
like uh Cam Davis he just sort of
loitered in 10th to 20th Place it felt
like all week that he’s not getting the
bump that guys who actually got to the
true first page at a moment feel like
they may have gotten this week Denny 8
to1 course fit you know what that might
be a play I mean I never bet the Joe
Vibes I don’t know yeah Joe I didn’t
realize Joe and Denny were like best
friends Joe’s like friends with his mom
and sister now or something so good on
you um yeah no Joe there would have been
years Pat where we been like I’m
constructing my card with that player
like Harman Denny a full card of that
guy but I I think that that’s where the
value was going to lie this week unless
you really do think it’s going to be the
better version of those players like
Fitz and Tommy cuz that’s what that’s
that’s what Fitz and Tommy are they’re
the better ver morawa the better
versions of like the kind of jabronies
that we like to bet on a week- toe basis
but I do think at this course in
particular that everyone’s kind of alive
like is Bryce Garnett in this field no
but toasty is I’m pretty sure Bryce
Garnett is in this field by the way he
is there he is 500
to1 500 to1 okay do you think it’s kind
of weird that Sheamus power is 400 to
one what about Mr Heritage himself web
Simpson just are these guys complete
just write offs yeah web’s an
afterthought he’s like a ceremonial
golfer now what about your guy e root I
don’t mind that Miss cut had a tough bit
of a go dri 150 um even Taylor Moore
hitting those small greens he finished
20th Place he did I I I like Taylor
Moore better at a place where scrambling
means something thing cuz he is a bad
Iron player bad Iron player how much can
I get for Cory
Connor he’s 50 to1 that’s not horrible
based on what they price him at weekly I
I agree but can he win a putting contest
[ __ ] the putting but maybe I mean these
greens so there’s the few I think it’s
the fewest amount of three putts I’ve
done less research for this week because
I didn’t do the research show than I
normally do because we were you know
watching the Masters doing live Master
stuff hard to do uh the research y from
here but I know these are very small
greens some of the fewest amount of
three putts on the PGA tour to go along
with it mainly because the greens are so
small it’s hard to three putut them so
there is a premium more on greens and
regulation great iron play and can you
just step up and make some 15f Footers
cuz that’s like think about the guys
when when we hit Webb as a winner here
coming out of Co that could really was a
big thing for the pat Mayo experience
and us because I think we hit three
winners in a row we hit him DJ at The
Travelers the next week and then Mor
at the work day I didn’t have morawa but
I had two three I remember having morawa
here one year too when steuart sink
absolutely put him in a body bag on
Sunday oh yeah and that was the week
after the May that was the Crazy Dave
Tindle to yeah that like some stat of
yeah if you came 17th at something
whatever it
Wasing think about like the the Cory
Connor’s path to Victory here is the
Stuart sink bath like steart sinks a
terrible butter but all he did was just
step up he hit every Fairway and it’s
not even necessarily A about Fairways at
harbort toown it’s understanding where
to put it on the hole like sometimes
it’s much better to be in the right
rough than it is on the left part of the
Fairway because you might have trees in
your way on the left part of the Fairway
and you take on too much so angles mean
a ton at this course for one thing and
just step up and hit everything to 20
fet and maybe you’ll make some putts
because if you do start missing green
scrambling is a little bit difficult
here it’s just so many people H so many
greens of Regulation it’s almost I mean
oet isn’t a terrible look here either no
not is not a terrible look you’d mention
um Henley there’s a whole group of
players but at the same time with it
being
elevated does that translate because it
hasn’t can like I’m going to name two
players who I might be looking at but
can like the ludvic Camy young types who
like maybe bully this place and have a
lot of success we have seen we saw a
little bit of that in 2020 coming out of
covid because Brooks kind of did that
Rory kind of did that but they didn’t
end up in the top 10 like listen Scot
can come out and dominate this course
that’s kind of what you’re hedging
against I’m not really worried about
anyone who’s not Scotty just coming out
and laying the wood to everyone yeah I
would if Rory is on Sunday and it’s Rory
versus I don’t know Chris
Kirk who’s Al Chris Kirk Brendan Todds
like yeah I feel like those guys are
live against Rory on a Sunday here I
mean I would give the lean to Rory as
with the odds book but I don’t feel like
I’m dead where it felt like hom ludvig
and morawa were like dead after five
holes against Sheffer
yesterday it’s a it’s a different
feeling of those players like I know
fleetwood’s in a bit of a different
category but like I can’t believe people
are lining up to bet Fleetwood at 20 to1
it blows my mind wait have you learned
nothing over the past 10 years Fleetwood
uh and hey you can’t even blame me I
haven’t been able to bet so it’s not me
someone else I mean I get it he’s cuss
one and
done okay what fleetwood’s in a bit of a
different category but do you take like
how much like H and
morawa clearly found something last week
that we’ve been hoping they like find
for a while mhm are you will it’s I’d be
more willing to go to morawa like this I
like the Pete Dy collection of courses
always felt like the best morawa courses
because he would just hit Fairways and
just iron everyone to death and he’d
make enough of the putts that it
wouldn’t matter the funny thing is
people are like a the people that came
in like the Saturday night 17 to On’s
like drunk guys in the casino we were
talking to who wanted to get in on the
golf they were all in on the morow they
thought that was the best value they
probably watched Sunday being like this
[ __ ] guy couldn’t hit a putt not
respecting the fact that like he hit
every putt it felt like for two days
like his putting stats were clearly
positive last week right it’s the fourth
year in a row I believe at the Masters
morawa has gained across all four
Strokes game categories like he’s got
that place kind of figured not enough to
win yet but it’s no different than like
looking at what ROM’s leadup was until
he won you just see it’s like oh it’s
Fourth and Ninth and eighth and seventh
and then a win Mora’s stat sheet is
starting to look like
that
yeah
Burns he looks I no not for me his
wife’s closer to the baby than even
Scotty yeah that was untalked about last
week is actually in danger of leaving
the course and having to withdraw he did
leave the course I just it’s it’s still
he did leave the course pretty maybe
that’s why maybe he knew he’s like I
gotta get out of here I’ll shoot 85
overpower don’t worry about it I can’t
believe people didn’t bet on tiger to
make the
cut I was surprised I mean he was the
Lynch bin of that to make the cut parlay
was Tiger well yeah he turned he doubled
it up essentially yeah anyone from
deeper down here like this always felt
like a really good hadwin course to me
and I feel like hadwin’s odds used to
always get crushed here over and over
and then everyone would bet him at like
35 to one he’d miss a cut or something
like that kittama is another one there’s
sneaky good week at the Masters Coastal
course where we always like kittama and
he played really well at Pebble as well
another like shorter type course um and
there is one name that I most definitely
will be betting PEB that is beyond 100
to1 because I just saw I assumed his
odds be much worse than this I mean not
a whole lot of respect for Lucas Glover
who won the Windom championship last
year and just played pretty well at the
Masters yeah he got it to two under on
on Saturday yeah there’s a couple guys
back here shank 110 Pon P maybe I I
prefer Glover to all these guys panon is
like I don’t know he’s a player Pon
played really well I mean you saw the
Tory stuff come out this week hoard
played really well pavon played really
well even nap ended up making the cut
and playing pretty well tiger commented
one of the best swings he’s ever seen
who nap really I I missed I mean you see
it when he hits it well you’re like whoa
who’s this guy and then obviously ludvig
ends up inside the top 10 at Tory he
played really well Max is
w at Tory Pines morawa was inside the
top five of the US Open at Tory Pines so
we always think about Riv and I do think
that Riv is more of a direct coraly to
this but I wouldn’t I mean tiger won so
many Masters he won so many Tory Pines
as well never never want it RI in his
life crazy never want to Riv I don’t
know we can go like super deep we going
go let’s I I feel like this is just a
different way than we normally structure
the show of going through the top and
bottom because there’s certain Pockets
that I wanted to talk about here I’m
good like from the top I don’t know who
the hell I want if I want anyone like
I’m good with taking a few like five
shots from Lowry at 60 to1 Beyond this
week like do I really need to have a 22
to1 Matt Fitzpatrick I mean if he’s the
winner I would most definitely want have
him no you don’t need to but like Clark
Clark looks like a good number to me at
28 weird the gala at 40 might be the
number for me or even feno can he putt
he can’t putt really been he’s really
been in a weird way um I know people
probably be annoyed that I’m going to do
this again not just to bring it up in
conversation but we didn’t go with this
angle isn’t Camy young like historically
been very strong on short courses feel
like he’s been historically good
everywhere he just doesn’t win like
cognizant Val spot like he’s been very
good at putting it in the right place
and you know there’s always not enough
birdies out there for him to win but I
feel like you you assume the game fit
like obviously fit so well on like huge
tracks but his ability on on the shorter
courses I feel um and maybe to your
point it’s every course maybe to your
point it’s every course I feel like
that’s the ludvig thing ludvig I mean he
just played really well with the Masters
and Tory Pines but I it always seems
like his best numbers have come at
shorter courses he wins the RSM which I
mean the same basic location as this
place so if you’ve done well with the
RSM that’s that’s when the Kisner won
too by the way yeah and he lost to streb
in a playoff pissed me off yes he did
piss off let’s see yeah cognizant fourth
Valspar second I mean although the
valpar is sneaky long Masters long
Phoenix
long yeah John Deere cam young was sixth
master was seventh I know he wasn’t
great at the Canadian open last year
which was short he was third at the
Heritage two years
ago I might be 33 to1 I might be just
jumping in and get made fun of on
Twitter I don’t care yeah but from this
point on let’s say you were new to cam
young betting and you just bet him at 33
to1 every single week you’re going to
get you’re going to get your money
you’re going to get home you’re going to
get home he’s going to win once in the
next 18 months he has
to but once he starts getting to be like
18 to one is when I would cuz I mean I
kind of had the 40 number cuz I ended up
betting him last week at 66 to1 so kind
of had the thing of if he’s 40 to1 or
above I’m good with it anything lower
than that although this is a condensed
field so maybe I kind of want to do it
but maybe I won’t get there just I I
would you rather cam or Windom Windom I
think the answer to that has to be
Windom I guess it’s hard it’s hard it’s
hard for me to make a factual argument
on that other than something I want to
happen so yeah it’s maybe a bit both of
them well to to look at it this way for
some perspective on this so the best
number on marketing is 33 for cam young
most numbers are 28
to1 just keep that in mind so let’s say
28 to1 we double that up that’s 56 to
one would you rather have Cam young or
would you have rather have two of lowry
Tom Kim Davis btia Kirk Connors day
Heron so you have two of those guys or
one cam young I think I’d rather have
the two guys at this course and just
hope one of them puts well like Herman
and Lowry for
example do you see what I yeah no I I
definitely see what you mean I don’t
know that that’s um what about Harris
English doesn’t he seem like a tpe like
he shockingly good Masters as well very
sneakily had a decent
Masters you know I put the odds in front
of us so you didn’t have to be just
staring at your phone the now looking at
the one book I could actually maybe make
a bet and I don’t even see where Shane
Lowry is did he withdraw from this
tournament you probably have to go down
they probably have him at like 33 to one
or something oh they better know yeah I
don’t see him there
i g to refresh that it’s okay you don’t
need to make bets during the course of
the show we’re almost done I’m excited I
get that maybe it’s good for you to take
a day off that’s you can make bets in 6
hours when you land back home how about
that 50 to one 50 to one on that book
the book I can get we’ll wait we’ll fly
we’ll fly you’re going to be okay yeah
I’ll be
great do we give too much up on is this
okay so now I want to reverse engineer
this a little bit cuz I just noticed a
name that I hadn’t really considered for
this course I wonder how he’s played
here over time I’m not that torn to
course history here because guys have
popped up with poor poor course history
and done really well about Ricky Fowler
no I’m not talking about Ricky Fowler I
can assure you that is he even in these
elevated events I saw he was in the
field Tom hogi yeah he’s been who drives
hits irons and putts just literally
chips himself out of every tournament
could this be the type of tournament
where that doesn’t make a difference
yeah know he would fit that list like
that profile of list of
um I don’t want to call him a plotter
but he has missed the cut fourward of
the past five years and has a top 25 not
his Jam here but that might not stop
me like I’m really digging this like 50
to 150 range far more this
week than I would be in a normal
elevated event because I do still think
that this out of all the elevated Events
maybe pebble is a little bit different
but we only got three rounds at Pebble
that I think there’s more variance at
this for lesser talented players because
driving is less of a skill here
potentially like maybe if listen if Rory
comes out and gains seven strokes on the
field and drives three greens which is
unlikely then yeah sure then driving is
going to make a big deal but all those
other guys who have great iron play
great around the greens and are great
Putters are at less of ADV at an
advantage than they are at Bay Hill or
they are at Memorial where driving at
335 is kind of necessary
I I just thinking back of all the names
that we’ve kind of thrown out here
because I can’t make any bets either
unless they post them at Circ although I
don’t want to come like fly back down to
cash a ticket just wait till I get home
I think I like Denny yeah he is the
that’s never good I I’m making fun of
people for betting on Fleetwood I’m
going to bet Denny like what am I
talking about
here we haven’t done the show together
in so long by is the profile Denny is
that Classic Heritage profile
non-elevated field who you’d absolutely
be betting
who has shown an ability
to play I don’t
know he’s been in the hunt and some big
things hogi gained six Strokes on
Approach at the Players game he gained
five on the greens and lost almost 10
off the te but even his approaches yeah
and green and the putting’s been good
has been insane in Texas he was putting
lights out and could he had to put
lights out because he left every chip to
30 feet
away and this is just isn’t that type of
of course where it gets that difficult
around the green
so yeah hogi Denny these are the type of
names that I’m gravitating towards maybe
Harmon maybe Lowry maybe Chris Kirk like
oh benan was another one that I gave a
shout to that I don’t mind here so
that’s probably the range that I’m going
to be in there is one name who kind of
sticks out like a sore thumb you dropped
your uh your mic clip there um sunj 75
to1 he does seem broken but like this
would have been a a short Bermuda course
yeah this is like where we used to love
sunjay yeah he’s broken though he’s brok
he’s broken he’s Matt Hardy of the PGA
Tour yeah he’s broke Glover is the other
one so yeah I I think Quick Picks wise I
mean I can’t really give you the Quick
Picks I have no bets in so far but what
the strategy that I’m looking at here
for an elevated event is going to be
Lucas
Glover Tom hogy Denny McCarthy Shane
Lowry benett
like those five I think I mean that
starts at 60 to1 so there’s plenty of
room for others here you yeah for me
it’s closer willly Z cam young um I like
Connor’s Denny Lowry that I think is
where I’m looking and the Ben an shout
who I don’t think is getting the dip
that other guys who who played just as
well as him last week and have gotten
but he’s been playing more consistent
extendedly but I trust him probably less
than anyone to actually win like TR less
than anyone that would be a very
interesting Power Rankings trust less
than anyone yeah let’s do it good good
players like good players that you just
don’t like Eric Cole has to be on that
list like if he’s in contention he’s
just not going to win I mean Denny is
the king of this maybe he can break that
this week and cash us check I think if
Denny and Ben got into a playoff I’d
lean
Denny I don’t know you know might just
hit in the water buddy four feet at son
for a win or [ __ ] he can’t beat
Undisputed champion of the world Grayson
Murray it’s too tough can’t do it should
we talk about corales man he’s probably
like no one and done for the week cus is
taking Fleetwood you hit Sheffer last
week so that’s good you’re back in the
race with me now you might even be
winning I’ll take Lowry if I haven’t
taken a me I don’t have the list in
front of me we’ll uh I’ll I’ll message
the guy who keeps track of this for us
and I’ll reup in the newsletter on
Wednesday when I do the show with Tambo
there’s no golf show tomorrow cuzz it’s
a travel day still like we don’t land
until like 3:00 a.m. or something but
there is a brand new cuss Corner coming
out tomorrow so stay tuned on the feed
then I’ll be back in studio Wednesday
with Tambo and I’ll have the final bets
the final one and done for everything
but I’m leading Lowry right now you are
leaning still worth a lot of money here
like Fitz I think is goingon to be the
most popular
guy I didn’t use him yet I’m just GNA
I’m not betting him I’ll take sewo take
SEIU yeah so we’re all leaving like big
big names at the top here I don’t want
to take kley maybe I should be taking
kley but I don’t want to what you going
to save him for Memorial I don’t know
more consistent like a true sign that
he’s
fine very you think like players like
kley Mora they’re so good that one good
start should mean they’re fine but I
don’t know I mentally not there how is
Nikolai hoard not in the Heritage I
don’t know he’s at coralus let’s talk
caralis very quickly if you thought I
mean if you were someone who’s like
Tommy Fleetwood 18 to one take my money
cuz he’s going to win do I have the
sucker bet for you of the year of Alex
noren 14 to1 to win at
corales you’re not laughing you want to
bet that don’t you no I was looking if
MAV McNeely was playing Coral no he was
here we saw him on the weekend yeah but
that Summerland yeah but he was getting
ready for corales they don’t travel on
Friday to a golf tournament the next
week I traveled to Dominican Republic to
make sure all my stuff was there but I’m
a warrior like that your boy Maddie
Schmidt I’m seeing 60 that’s that’s
where was going to lead like he’s just
when was the last time you looked at a
leaderboard through 3 days and Matty
Schmidt wasn’t on it yeah
um I Wen the Davis Thompson wagon no I
don’t I don’t it’s funny cuz I feel like
I was one of the first people on Davis
Thompson and I just gave up like I went
through it’s like nah not doing that
anymore I don’t know God I don’t know
how these guys are playing so I feel
silly shouting them out what do you mean
like I don’t know is gup horrible right
now gup is up I mean all these guys are
up and down there’s a reason that
they’re playing in corales this week
Justin s but now I’m just naming the
players we saw we saw at the course
practicing yeah like to look at
it Nate Lashley just played like do you
just go back because Bryce Garett won
the other one right and Bryce Garnett’s
been like the king of the island courses
throughout the past 10 years does Nate
Lashley just pick one of these off he’s
good in Puerto Rico he’s good at
Dominican he’ll be good at the other one
that comes up
Ben Martin has been top 10 here each of
the past three years I I believe the
last time we saw him at Valero like he
came inside the top 10 very sneakily as
well like Vic Perez has been playing
some pretty good golf yeah Ben Martin
was seventh at
Valero so maybe
interesting like what are Ben Martin’s
odds like Lashley Perez Ben Martin Ben
Martin’s 40 to1 I don’t want to bet that
like I’m not going to bet I’ve been
betting bud colie at a 160 to1 I don’t
super want to back him at 45 to1 so for
me
man people were betting Joel Damon at
like 45 to1 two weeks ago in like a real
event and now he’s 55 to1 people were
like nah can’t do that so that seems
strange to me Sam Ryder car but I got no
VI I’m I’m on a master’s hangover to
think about the beat the the SE crew
right now Schmidt is the first one that
just jumped out to me immediately of
like those long of odds at this course
he played really well in Puerto Rico as
well that might just be the play for me
I I would put I would be one of those
suckers who would probably go back on
Davis Thompson so Davis Thompson and
Maddie would probably be the two guys
that I’m looking at Thirsty Lawrence and
Alex Fitzpatrick are playing in this
field thirsty is 66 to1 Alex Fitzpatrick
is 80 to1 and Taylor pendrith 70 to one
in this
field I might do that just blind but
he’s been not been um not been good not
been very good parkeri oh Rico H there’s
a guy I’ve been betting too Rico H he’s
he’s 100 to one I think he might have
also been I don’t know Scott was saying
he might have been at Summerland I’m not
sure R Who Uncle Rico yeah Scott piery
was there we saw piery missing 10 foot
putts like it was his job it is what
what Wilson fur there’s some guys in the
back end of this field your cooties both
of them or just one of them I think I
like Parker cie over P cie might have to
do this uh Adrien Dumont d as well at
275 wasn’t he like eighth in Puerto Rico
yeah blindly betting him these monster
numbers I think we’ll work out one day I
maybe it will work out this week so I’ll
have all of this broken down in the
newsletter on
Wednesday um yeah and the show that I do
with Tambo on Wednesday as well I’ll
release all the stuff I plan to be like
a ton of money on corales but I do think
that there are some big numbers like
even Nico etaria he’s been playing well
he’s been playing all right he’s 150 to
one in this field it seems too big if
Alex noren’s going to be the favorite
and how is norin the favorite over
Nikolai that’s a good question I do not
have did you do that did you like do you
have secret norin bets not a chance
secret noran Futures at corales not a
chance not a chance no one has come
through less as the favorite in the he
offset tournaments than Alex noren like
over our history of doing the shows
benan Denny or
noren and you can’t count as Euro wins
cuz benan won at Wentworth yeah but he
won a so did norin and norin won a lot
on Europe he won like five times I think
it was like close to like seven but how
many of them were the nordia
Masters I would take norin over benan in
a like most to yeah I trust norin to win
more than benan I think benan is just
like he’ll be over the Putt and he’ll be
thinking about drafting the
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versions it was fun to do the show in
person with you it’s been a while it’s
been a while I guess our next big event
will be the custies yeah looking forward
to that I hope and then President’s Cup
yeah you nervous I I haven’t seen the
results yet so I don’t know what you’re
up to there G fineberg 17 on Twitter at
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next time
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