2024 The Players Championship | Golf DFS Preview

2024 The Players Championship | Golf DFS Preview

Who’s Your Caddy? — the Golf DFS show from Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF (Women of Fantasy Football) — returns for a new season! Kelly Singh and Adam Hallas are your caddies for the 2024 PGA Tour season, and they’re here to help you win some money playing DFS! 💰💰💰

This is episode 44 of Who’s Your Caddy, and Kelly and Adam are previewing this week’s The Players Championship!

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Join Kelly and Adam every Wednesday morning at 9a EST! And as always – Please gamble responsibly. xo

00:00 Intro
01:25 Adam joins Kelly to talk about The Players Championship!
02:35 Course background on TPC Sawgrass
03:41 Water and sand aplenty. Because, Florida.
04:20 Is Scottie Scheffler primed for a repeat?
06:50 Could Justin Thomas make a run this weekend?
07:25 Mid-Tier players ($8k-$9k on Draftkings)
09:52 Chris Kirk as an outlier this week? Unconventional, but it could happen!
12:01 Russell Henley has been as consistent as they come
13:35 Is anyone interested in Tommy Fleetwood this week?
15:20 Si Woo Kim is on the rise this week!
19:42 Adam’s favorite value players
25:14 Apologies for missing last week’s episode
26:20 Outro

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welcome to who your caddy I’m your host
Kelly Singh in this episode we’ll be
discussing the players championship and
my co-host Adam will give us some
background on the course and both of us
will share some of our favorite picks
with you for your DFS lineup this week
so let’s get into
it
[Music]
hello this podcast is meant to help you
take your DFS golf game and maybe some
of your prop bets to the next level so
whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned
Pro we hope that you’ll find this
podcast helpful I am uh working in
California this week so is my luxurious
bedroom but before I start rambling
about how lovely the weather is right
now in California let me bringing my
co-host the cheese to my
crackers
Mr Adam halice Mr halice how’s it going
it’s going pretty well how you
doing good we have the players huge huge
it is
huge one my favorites why is there your
favorite I don’t know I just really like
it I like I like the field I like the
excitement the
players
did I like oh that’s a great
explation
the uh I like players is I was at my
parents this week and my dad goes I love
the PLAYERS Championship is like the one
I look forward to outside of the
Masters and atbc Sass how can you not it
is the gentleman’s version of the
Phoenix Open of T TBC
Scottdale because we are not very
gentlemanly and ladylike in
Phoenix no uh that
was yeah I’m still scarred from that
um but we have TPC s grass we have the
the story course of whole number 17
island green we have hole number 16 part
five which is the easiest ho I would say
on the almost on the PJ tour but we’ll
see um we have it is quite a perplexing
course while it
is um I would say in the middle the
range of hard to easy um we have water
in every hole um so yeah water is in
play on every hole so if there’s a
player that you think you’re like ah I
just don’t know I don’t know if I’m you
know should I go back and forth just
putting your back of your head does this
person play well around water are they
like a
gremlin do they turn horribly wrong when
they get wet and do they not feed after
night um those are all very good
questions which kind of plays into why
accuracy is such a big deal this week is
but there’s more there is
more it is and not only do we have water
hazards on a lot of the holes 100% of
them we also have 92 sand bunkers
92 um so there’s going to be a lot of
sand play this weekend um so if your
player is good at
scrambling um blow them in um so
yes
yes I like it should we get into the
should we get into the players we can
get into the players okay that
works I mean there are a lot of key
players that are over 10K this week um
including Scotty sheffler who I will say
Happ has been on fire but at 12
something I’m like holy smokes at 12
something you’re you’re hoping he
wins yeah if he doesn’t win and you’ve
paid up like that yikes but um when I
look at that top tier of 10K plus the
only one that I super feel any kind of
emotion over might be former players
champion Justin Thomas at
10.6k but the thing that I don’t like
well here’s the things I do like former
champion and he’s played well every
other year on this course that he was
not the former
Champion but when we look at his
play
progressively and going into this season
and bringing in this season stats his
projections are just lower than I would
like to see in comparison to the rest of
this field I mean you have players in
the uh low eight high sevenk range that
are on par when we look at projections
for this tournament with Justin Thomas
at 10.6k so how do you feel about that I
like Justin Thomas uh probably for the
same reasons uh he’s done well in this
course uh this course or this tournament
has been played here for quite some time
and so it is a pretty sticky course
meaning that course history does tend to
play a bigger Factor than all the others
um so I like JT uh the other guys I like
are kind of around in this I would say
pricing space if you want to call it
that are uh Xander Schley and Victor
hoglin um so the way I did my model was
ball striking accuracy off the
te um par five scoring par for scoring
boogy
avoidance um just a name a few but how
do you feel about Justin Thomas and His
projections
like being on par with somebody that’s
two to 3,000
Less in salary cap yeah I could see that
but his floor is a lot higher than those
people
78 um and his ceilings probably higher
than those within that same price range
so that’s why he’s given a little bit of
Edge on the cost
ratio so okay all right I can buy into
that I’m looking more I have like a
whole bunch in the more like the middle
tier that I’m liking a whole lot better
than the super
expensive um my most expensive that I’m
really liking so far as Shane Lowry 9.1k
on
DraftKings he’s uh 10th in the field for
total Strokes gained fifth in the field
Strokes gained um approaching with his
approach his accuracy he’s eighth in in
the
field um he’s so well-rounded this year
he’s been playing very well in this
tournament he’s uh placed eighth tied
for 13th tied for 35th last year so he
plays well on this course and going into
this tournament playing well and having
course history I feel pretty good about
Shane
Lowry I I did too I have him in my pool
as well um at 91 his ownership right now
is at 16% which is probably going to be
one of the higher uh owned golfers out
there um but he does well putting on
this type of greens which are like POA
greens um he does well on aish difficult
courses and it’s in Florida so there’s a
chance to win so he does well in windy
courses um he did great last week um and
I think you know he’s one of the hotter
players on
tour so I think Shane Lowry’s probably a
pretty good bet to have it I mean his
last two tournaments he’s been in the
top five Arnold Palmer in a classic I
mean it’s hard of his approach he’s been
getting between uh four to six Strokes
on his
approach and his overall TD green is
between uh five and 10
Strokes um so he’s playing out of his
mind he has been playing out of his mind
I was just looking at um roster ship on
most of my
pcks um and it looks like I’m kind of
half and half I don’t have any like
super outliers they’re going to set you
way apart but that’s very hard to do in
this tournament actually I have one um
and I could talk about him now jump all
the way to the bottom of my list and
we’ve got Chris Kurt and the reason I’ve
got him on here is because he is a very
well-rounded player he has every tool in
his toolbox that is needed to
win this
tournament he’s playing well he’s on the
rise but he is terrible he has terrible
course history I don’t know that he’s
made a cut but he’s 7.6 6K he’s going to
end up around 4% rostered can he get
over The Yips what do you think about
this so it goes back to my earlier
statement um does he feed after midnight
and does he turn into Gremlin if he gets
wet
probably um I mean some courses turn
that into us like we turn into Gremlins
on certain courses um and so this might
be his his Gremlin course
um hope that’s great advice because I I
mean as silly and funny as it is it is
really great advice because if you look
at everything other than his cour this
specific tournament course history
you’re like what the heck why hasn’t
this dude
won and grin it now the odds could be in
his favor this year like right you the
odds of him actually making a cut
because he’s not made the cut for so
long
true it it has to turn around at some
point in time that’s true it’s a small
percentage small percentage that is my
one like outlier everybody else is
around eight or % roster ship and then
14 to 15% roster ship uh because you
know a lot of people look at the same
stats that we’re looking at and want to
get on the same page because we all want
to win
um we’ve got Russell Henley 8.6k on
DraftKings this dude he’s winning six
events made six Cuts one of them was a
top 10 two of them top 25s I believe
tied for 13th tied for ninth last year
in this tournament his
accuracy chef’s kiss uh Russell Henley
looking really good in my book um but
when we talk again roster ship everybody
loves Russell Henley this week as
well um
and you have already said like you’re
looking at maybe players who aren’t
aren’t on everybody’s radar do you still
like Russell Henley or no I I like
Russell Henley um I like like I said
mentioned before I like hogi and like
he’s still in my pool for uh multi entry
form
and so I’m
like yeah I’ll still stick with hogy um
and so I I like H I like H I’m on the
fence of Fleetwood um I know on your
list I don’t think he made it into my
pool and let me look at
my initial projections and the Fleetwood
ranks on my particular pool that doesn’t
mean like everyone has to have the same
thing in the
pool um
he is way down there um I know I am on
the fence of Fleetwood as well we both
agree Henley we both agree hogi hogi
happens to be
7.8k which I really like and I think
that’s why everybody likes him really
great value um he has the most
consistent and it’s it’s a great course
history I mean tying for third last year
prior to that he’s coming 33rd 27th 30th
those are that solid finishing numbers
and he’s first in this field on approach
so Tom hogi being at
7.8k no wonder everyone’s on board that
train but when we look at
Fleetwood in
contrast we’re not talking about first
and anything in this field in fact his
stats against this field are pretty
abysmal however he’s a very well-rounded
player and he plays well on this course
the last two years it
was um 27th and 25th and then he was cut
and then I think I have a typo but I
know it was a better number than what I
have there so um he plays well on this
course he’s a well-rounded player but
his stat in general this season have
really been
abysmal
gross gross so I’m on the fence about
him to 8.8k that’s kind of pricey to not
be very sure about somebody I’d much
prefer Russell Henley at
8.6 um and then we come to
seim se
SEO um man he’s uh when you look at
Strokes gained he’s definitely On The
Rise um he’s placed ninth in 2021 he had
to withdraw in 22 tied for 27th in last
year’s tournament he’s not terribly
overpriced I feel really good about
seim I don’t know do you like sewo I
don’t mind sewo I look up where you on
my model and again not to say my model
is to end
all uh but SEO is down there I think
with Fleetwood oh that’s
rough well here’s why I like seawood
sewo um this little segment that I do
every now and then so far this year was
if you’re gonna
spend why spend this when you can spend
that so if you’re going to spend 10.6k
on JT
why not spend 8K on sewu Kim SEIU has
better odds to make the cut 71% chance
of making the cut to Justin tommen’s
68% to make the cut and you may say
that’s not a big deal but that Trend
continues across top 20 top 10 and even
but once we get to winning if they
overcome those odds they both have a 2%
chance of winning which all the players
in that top tier end up around the same
between a two and four% chance of
winning because if you make the cut and
you make the top 20 then you all kind of
even out there at the
end right he’s also projected to bring
in more fantasy
points than Justin Thomas
um and that to me is a little
disturbing if I’m gonna pay all this
money make me some points
yeah I mean the guy can win and we still
don’t get enough fantasy
points um that’s a fact if he’s not he
can still win and not have enough
birdies or not have enough sand saves or
have too many you know Bogey and his
points suck so if I’m going to pay up I
really want
points that is true then I’ll go back to
the ceiling and floor method
okay I agree with you but I’m I’m going
back to the ceiling of Flor method that
uh um JT just probably has a little bit
higher ceiling than the
seiw
um and that’s why that’s in there I can
agree I just I just feel like it’s so
gross his his points total is so low
that
virtually like you can go down like
three or four tiers and still find
people that could outscore him
theoretically um and this is all models
based off of data all numbers it has
nothing to do with heart or how they
feel that day or anything like that or
even if they’re like on the rise and
doing well it’s it this is all like
straight numbers but when you look at it
it’s
like look we just need him to show up to
the first te that’s
all like like Lucas Glover who’s like oh
I missed my text I missed my tea time
round one um so I think just showing up
is half the battle and so I think if JT
does that he’ll be good okay all right
I’ll buy in uh you have some other guys
on your list and I’m really happy to see
some of them because some of them happen
to be on my
fsga
um League team and I happen to be
currently in second place so seeing
these names makes me feel really good
about maintaining that second place tell
us who else you want to talk about this
week well I broke these two out into
kind of
uh like the more I would say more
expensive but they’re they’re pretty
inexpensive um so I have Harmon EVR and
theala um now seala doesn’t have the
greatest driving accuracy but he does
have good greens and regulation he does
have pretty good po uh
putting um on his particular type of
green so I
think think he’ll do okay um and so I
you know given that method on his
approach and the way he’s been playing
lately he got sixth in the Arnold Palmer
he was 37th in Genesis fifth in uh the
Phoenix Open um he hasn’t missed the
cuts since uh the start of the year year
we’ll give him that it’s beginning of
the season um but even before then he
was second as the century so I think
he’ll do well here and at his price
range
of 8,700 I think it’s a good
buy uh next I have Harmon Brian Mr Brian
Harmon driving accuracy
65% greens and regulations
66% and then puts around at 28 so I
again he does well these type of greens
his putting has been
fantastic um Brian Haron hasn’t missed a
cut since June of last year oh wow so uh
yeah I’ll pay in for whatever his prices
at
7900 um so and he’s got goodish course
history here um uh he’s been putting
pretty decently he’s not going to get
you in the top 10 but if you’re paying
up for Scotty and you got a couple of
expensive guys in your um pool he’s
gonna be nice round out
individual um he’s he’s gonna be Mr
Switzerland he’s not gonna up but
he’s not gonna get you much either so um
going harm and then we have EV again
driving accuracies just a titch under
60% greens regulation 71% you can’t beat
that um his putting’s been a little bit
on
a little
bit um but I he can definitely get it
going when he wants to um he didn’t he
did okay he lost a stroke at the Arnold
Palmer he came in second the classic
eighth of the Mexico open which is just
a glorified putting contest um overall T
green he’s been gaining three Strokes
his last 10 he’s been gaining three
Strokes um and he’s
only missed cut once and it was a
phoenix and it’s probably drunk um other
than that he hasn’t missed a cut since
August so
right you can’t ask for more than that
no and I got some Cheapo guys in there
too I got chess Hadley is my you I like
him too what the pick and 70%
Greens in regulation driving accuracy at
60% has great course history here chess
on Hadley at 50 what was he at
5900
5700 but you know what there’s 4% people
that have ownership on them um and so I
think the those uh
outliers um know what’s up he’s got good
course history here um he hasn’t he
missed the cut at the Phoenix Open again
I he’s probably drunk uh but he’s been
in the top 30 for most of his
play um his putting’s been okay he
hasn’t lost anything from TD green he’s
been pretty neutral um and at 5900 again
if you’re paying up for Scotty and let’s
say you’re putting in Xander
JT Hadley’s your
guy so yeah that’s rightley I thought
you were like finishing a sentence they
said Hadley’s a guy and I was waiting
for the rest of that Hadley is your
guy Hadley is your guy um I like chest
and Hadley I have chest and Hadley I
have theala I have van royan so I love
seeing those all on your list because it
makes me feel really good about my odds
there and not F League um if you’re
playing in any leagues you can
definitely um take these pigs weigh them
out if you don’t have a bench like I
have a league where there’s no bench you
just choose the players you like best
your favorite
three um definitely feel free to use our
evaluations and any of those
instances and man I really hope we have
some some good luck last week I was sick
I had zero voice which was amazing I
sent you a lovely recording where I was
like
hello I know I was trying to listen to
it in the conference I was like you
doing
they’re like why is he listening to that
sultry
ASMR
yeah and you are in Vegas in your
conference um did you eat any good food
I went to Galler at the New York New
York pretty good uh steak and seafood
place it was okay um we went to Mari
Moto’s um Sushi which MGM Grand which
was fairly good um but we didn’t go to
like any m star
restaurants you gotta like go down to
like Arya for something like that yeah
that’s okay I think you did well for
where you were
situated yeah the lexer is not exactly
uh popping and
VI so
funny okay well I really enjoyed our
show today I hope everybody else I hope
you did too good luck out there
and uh we’ll see you next week I
guess
[Music]
bye