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All right well we’ve got uh we got some interesting news coming out here with who’s not playing tonight in the NBA that might uh make you change your mind just a little bit on some of these teams and who you might want to play and the
Good news is well we got two guys here they’re going to help us navigate through it with Andy Lang the prop God as well as Mr Rob Vino ready to roll don’t call me Matt payer we are all set here uh gentlemen in what is uh actually
One of the better cards here I think tonight uh that we’ve had uh in a little while yes we’ll have some double digit favorites because the NBA hates us uh and will force us to be uh to watch some of these games uh that the Toronto
Raptors continue to play but like we saw last night the contrarian gods were on Portland on this show yesterday I mentioned it yesterday Rob Vino I forwarded that information to those uh joining us and literally got laughed out of the chat room that I bet how could
You look at Portland oh my God no well needless to say uh not a lot of people in the chat room were laughing last night now were they now the good news is contrarian gods have an even more disgusting play uh tonight that we’re going to take a look at here in
Just a minute but welcome to those that are stopping in here on uh on today’s show uh let’s start with the latest who’s in and who’s out the injury news that we know and the latest of course is going to be with the Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks uh
Derek Lively has been ruled out with a knee issue for sure uh there will be uh he that will be they’ll miss him but this was a game here you know that opened up uh like a pickham I mean it was minus one I think last night we saw
Golden State Warriors it’s a pick them now still the total uh still hovering around 232 here I know Dallas would love to have him banging around grabbing a few boards he’s certainly an exciting player for them but does it make you change your mind about this Mavs
Warriors game uh right now knowing he’s out well it could change it um in the uh let’s go from the perspective of Defense Joe because the Mavericks defense if folks haven’t noticed has been outstanding last 10 games they’re the second rated defense in the NBA they
Haven’t given up over 107 points in nine of their last 10 and Derek Lively of course is a big part of that um the two-headed Center that they’ve created there in uh Dallas with the acquisition of Daniel Gafford back at the trade deadline has come into play and I think
Um it was noted to me that PJ Washington is also a huge part of this defensive effort PJ Washington now being recognized as the best defensive three they had since they traded Dorian finy Smith out of there to New Jersey so you have a front line with that features
Three of those guys inside the rotation and all of a sudden yeah if Dallas is going to hold teams to 107 or less Joe they’re going to win an awful lot of games they have a chance to win the West if they’re going to do that because we
Know that they can score Lucas bouncing balls off scoreboards and off backboards and into the hoop so they’ve got enough offense um but Lively does affect the defense it’ll be interesting here tonight when he’s not on the with him not being on the floor whether or not
They can um hold True to this 107 or less that’s been going on nine of last 10 I Like the Way Dallas is headed right now they’ve been a really good road favorite they’re not in that role tonight but they’ve been excellent as a road favorite Golden State actually guys
Returning home after an extended road trip we always like to fade those so there’s still reasons to like Dallas I think if um where Lively comes into play might be a little more toward the total but the way Dallas is going I still think this might be an under
Yeah it it’s kind of hard I mean know we really want to step in in front of this Dallas uh this Dallas train I mean they’ve been playing phenomenal right Golden State and correct me if I’m wrong here guys but isn’t Golden State better on the road than they are at home it
Feels like uh it feels like it’s been one of those what’s up is down what’s what’s left is right kind of years with uh with golden state but no Derek Lively uh in this one Andy from a prop betting perspective we’re still waiting to hear on kaminga by the way still a question
Mark in this one which is obviously pretty important to Golden State but I would imagine uh all other parties involved will be ready to go here uh how were you looking at this game here tonight this is a really tough one uh there’s only one that kind of stands out
It’s it’s a little bit of an obscure one but I think it’s worth playing that’s Dante exom will have a three-pointer tonight it’s minus one but yeah it’s minus 160 but he’s been hitting a lot recently um what is it 22 out of the last 30 Games he’s hit uh
Away he’s been really good six in a row in the last couple games he’s hit three two and two and they’re only asking us to get one tonight he was three of three against Houston two for five against Sacramento two for three um against Sacramento so getting around three
Attempts if he gets three we only need him to make one so yeah without knowing what to do with kaminga it looks like Clay is probably going to play but um there’s not a lot of props I like in this game so but Dante X him sometimes
You only need one one kind of simple easy one he’s been shooting the ball pretty pretty good so um I mean just overall from the field goal he’s averaging almost 50% the last few games so decent amount of minutes too kind of a he’s averaging 18.6 minutes this month
So gets enough minutes we only need him to hit one that’d be the best prop in this game I love it all right so we’ve got uh we got Golden State obviously with Dallas is a big one here tonight uh also a pretty big one uh with news that we just
Uh we got just within the last hour regarding the Los Angeles Clippers on the road taking on the Sacramento Kings and this was a big line flip here once we learned that kawhai Leonard out tonight as well for the uh Clippers which makes this a uh an interesting
Game three and a half is what we saw an open up it last night with the Clippers I am seeing two and a halfs now the other way for the Sacramento Kings the total ironically enough has kind of Stood Still 221 221 and a half is what
We are seeing there so uh Rob Vino no Kawai is it no clippers for you or is this a complete overreaction once again with a star player going out and the market flips at what six points five and a half points yeah I would treat it that way
Joe the latter as a complete overreaction because you know I guess it’s just whatever you hear Last is where you run with your money um but Sacramento is still without Malik Monk and Kevin herder for the rest of the season basically I mean you start looking at their depth in that back
Court and it’s minimal for the Sacramento Kings when they come off the bench it’s basically dve on Mitchell and that’s it they’re trying to work Chris Duarte in he hasn’t really played all season now they’re going to try and shove him in there but other than that
There’s not a lot for the Kings the one thing we can say about the Clippers is they are a deep team um they can still go eight nine Deep Off the Bench and not worry about it Norman poell is going to step in for kawhai certainly not the defensive player but Norman Powell
Capable of 20 plus On Any Given night I think the bigger problem that I have with the Clippers is just their recent performance covering point spreads right they have one three in a row straight up which is basically all they’ll need to do here which is another reason to like
Them but against the point spread one and five over the last six two and seven over the last nine it’s not an impressive point spread Mark but a lot of that um as a favorite so I think here in this role Joe now accepting points even without kawhai you have to look
Clippers because I think that the loss of herder and monk combined just hurts Sacramento a little bit more than it does the Clippers they they’ve played enough without Kawai this year to know how to do it yeah well it’s you know that’s we’re at that point in the season here aren’t
We though that uh it’s down the stretch here they have kind of been dragging to the finish line here the Clippers have I know there was uh a whole lot of non- clipper backers uh in the uh in the chat rooms and in the comment section uh
Yesterday not a lot of big fans here of the Clippers long term uh but uh Andy when you look at this game here I mean the Kings have also burned a lot of money uh like you know at home laying points this year this has not been a uh
Light light ass cuz they ain’t a lighting no beam in that building here this year it has been light your cash on fire because that’s what’s happened here when you’ve backed him at home uh how are you looking at this one here tonight uh I’m I’m I’m out on the
Clippers for the rest the regular season I they’re the last 15 games the worst defensive rated team is the Utah Jazz makes sense they’re tanking uh second worst is the Toronto rappers Raptors Mak sense they’re tanking the Clippers are third third worst in the last 15 games
This is a team that has given up on defense it does kind of make sense you’ve got Paul George and Kawai and Harden like like why are we going to burn these guys legs playing hardcore defense let’s save it for the playoff so I’m actually in on the Sacramento Kings
Tonight uh this is our same game parlay of the day uh gets plus 194 so call it plus 200 on this one we’re going back to our old favorite Terrence man will make a three-pointer tonight it’s it’s it’s pretty Juiced it’s minus 180 but he’s
Made one in 13 straight games 23 out of 30 and now that there’s no Kawai tonight there should be a couple more attempts he’s hit at least one three in the last four Road games without kawh Leonard so this has been client play for me um with
With Terence man just to hit a three-pointer and these are great because if he hits one in the first quarter no sweat you know you’re you’re you’re great but then I’m G to add in the uh Sacramento Kings team total and I’m going to go aggressive with this one
I’m going to take over 113 and a half this is a Kings team that struggled to score points against Dallas but they come out at home against Utah and they put up 127 again we’ve gone over that Utah’s bad on defense Utah’s not that much worse defensively than what the
Clippers have been over the last 15 and you got the Clippers who are wrapping up a road trip uh they beat Philadelphia 108 107 Orlando 197 but then Charlotte puts up 118 on them I just kind of feel like that Sacramento kind of cruises in this one and then you’ve got the
Clippers who play Denver on Thursday possibly little bit possibly a little bit look ahead I don’t know I just feel like the road game the situation for Sacramento lines up really nice and we we’re getting two to one on that one I’ll take it so uh Terrence man will
Make a three-pointer and then we’ll throw the Kings over 113 and a half on their team total that by the way they played they played not too long ago and Sacramento uh well February 25th but uh Sacramento scored 1123 I know rosters are a little bit different but they’ve
Had recent success against them I love it yeah H big shout out to uh to dck 764 in Instagram by the way big flipper fan there sending a shout out uh to the Clippers Kawai know Kawai still likes him in this spot here uh tonight and of
Course I know jave in the chat room wants nothing to do with the Clippers uh he wanted nothing to do with them last night uh would have rather just threw uh harden off the team if at all possible uh but give it time The Season’s not uh
Over yet here uh gentlemen if you are joining us in fact uh the contrarian gods yesterday came in uh and told you Portland who the hell was Orlando to be laying 16117 points uh at home and you got uh kind of got scoffed at but the good news is they are on another
Disgusting team here we’re going to give you in just a second uh but go ahead and hit that like button if you can do it certainly if you’re joining us for the first time uh welcome in here to wager talk TV uh if you hit that subscribe button you’ll get notified of course
Every time we uh we send out and post some uh some great content all week long daily and weekly content across the board for you here so become part of that wager talk TV family and hit that subscribe Button as oh boy Veno I hope you’re sitting down I think you are
Which is a good thing here because this is some ass right here the contrarian Gods called earlier uh they are riding uh straight from Portland last night and that dumpster fire right into the Utah Jazz here tonight but can I tell you as I’m looking at the the odds right now
This line has been crashing towards uh Utah too which is interesting now we know also Donovan Mitchell ruled out coach’s decision obviously maintaining some minutes there marinan is out for the rest of the year we already know that because of a shoulder injury uh so he won’t be sniffing the court so what
We’ve got here is a whole lot of very young talented Utah Jazz players here that have been fighting uh to say the least here you know they certainly I you know I wouldn’t call what Toronto has been doing fighting but uh you know when you’ve got sensah out there has been
Really really good for them you know these are guys here George has been phenomenal these are guys that are trying to make a name for themselves right now for Utah tough place to play still at home right uh if you are Cleveland without Donovan it it was 11
And A2 it’s now 9 and A2 the contrarian gods are all aboard taking those points here uh what do you think about this matchup tonight yeah it’s uh you know you come here once a year you would think Donovan Mitchell would give it a go in his old
Stomping grounds but obviously too hurt to do so here so he won’t play in this one um you know for Utah you’re right Joe it’s a full-on youth movement right in fact there’s a little quote here from s boss since you mentioned his name he said for us rookies to be playing 30
Minutes of starting together and all of that stuff is really important to us he hit five threes in his last game he had never had more than two in a game before that Larry Markin and of course out for the season so you have basically Colin
Seon and Walker Kessler and then a bunch of guys who are just getting minutes here um to fill out the season however you know these guys aren’t necessarily playing defense um for Utah it’s a long string of games in fact it’s of their last 17 where they’ve allowed
At least 114 points in a game um they’ve lost nine consecutive games straight up there two and seven against the number and the losses Joe six of the seven against the number have been by 10 plus which would make you not want Utah in any way shape or form however you know
You talked about the game being a little bit on the uh smelly side to start this because Cleveland hasn’t done a thing against the spread either right they’re two and five against the number uh excuse me two and five straight up one and six against the number last seven so
It’s you know which side would you rather have here I would tend to think that Utah’s defense which ranks last in transition points allowed which ranks last on the season in three-point defense which ranks second to last in defensive efficiency over the last 10 and Andy mentioned they’re the worst
Over the last 30 um you know you can’t help but score points and actually Cleveland games have been getting up and over the total they’ve been involved in five consecutive overs the question is can you trust Utah to score with them because Cleveland’s a much better
Defensive team in all season long I had been a proponent of Jazz home team totals up and over at one point they were averaging almost 124 per game at home but that numbers come crashing down because they just don’t score like that anymore with the rookies trying to mesh together
And um them will hardy peac mealing a lineup each and every night so I think if I had to play it I would go against the contrarian Gods here in play Cleveland they’re in that playoff fight um to hang on to their seed I believe
They’re only a half a game ahead of the Knicks for the third seed right now so a win here in a winnable game is probably a must whether or not they can win by margin is the question but I’ll side with Cleveland um since the Jazz have
Been losing by double digits on a regular basis yeah no well they they both these what’s the word I’m looking for Andy uh suck uh that’s basically what both these teams have actually done down the stretch I mean I get it for Utah because Utah’s listen they got it’s a full-on youth
Movement I think Veno is absolutely correct uh these kids have been playing uh pretty hard although what is it nine straight now it’s not been great but there I mean what’s Cleveland’s excuse uh I mean my goodness here now knowing the kind of effort you’re going to get
Here and knowing that won’t have Markin or any of those guys here as usual uh are we honing in on any one particular player here from a prop betting perspective um Andy or maybe even I don’t know a dead under in this one here as
Well yeah we’ve got a prop in this one and it isn’t under it’s keonte George under his points rebounds and assists um most books have 26 and A2 there’s a few that have 27 and A2 take the under uh this is a guy that’s gone under a n St
Games he’s not shooting the ball well he’s getting volume um but that’s about it he’s shooting around 33% from the field not just three-pointers like from the field um he’s not getting a ton of rebounds and assists he’s just not putting it together in all three categories and the books keep hanging
This big number on there I I know he’s playing minutes but he’s really not getting that close to this number and Cleveland for all their faults they’ve been good against guards in the last 30 days number one against point guard scoring number seven against shooting guard scoring so you’re to get over this
Number you’re asking konay George a to shoot way better than he has been the last nine games and you’re asking him to also throw in a bunch more rebounds and assists and also with this Utah team there always is the potential for a blowout they got blown out against
Sacramento so maybe he doesn’t play a a ton of minutes so it’s yeah it’s a messy game I wouldn’t want to have my money on the spread or or an under but Keon George we gave out a free play uh against Sacramento like talked about it
Today on wager talk today I think it’s kind of one of those if it ain’t broke don’t fix it he’s not getting close 2213 2317 the books have his p number 27 and a half feels way too high for me yeah no I uh I agree I mean what was the uh the
Term we got in the chat room uh here was it Eric going slop prop under all day in this disgusting game and uh that is correct there that’s where you make uh the money in exactly uh games like this which is also a Veno why I gotta believe
Laker fans are salivating a little bit here uh tonight because I don’t think it’s a a problem uh if you are laying double digits against the Toronto Raptors since everybody else has and has had no problem covering I mean they are just total disgusting here Lakers on the road 11 and a half
12 I think is what we are still seeing in this one uh still 12 234 actually the total is starting to creep up here a little bit here you’re looking like Quigley and Barrett are probable uh so I guess maybe that’s a pretty good reason
To want to go up and over the total here which is why it’s being pushed uh but LeBron shocker and Anthony Davis both questionable but I don’t wouldn’t scare me to lay this kind of number against this Raptor team would it scare you well it wouldn’t scare me to go over in
Some capacity Joe because we know whenever Emanuel quickley has been at the head of the engine here or the key to start the engine so to speak for the Raptors they just fly up and down the floor um without him and RJ Barrett they’ve been in a little bit of an
Offensive slide they’ve obviously uh they started their tanking long ago they don’t care to play defense wa Andy I’m oh wait hold on one second v i just we’re we’re getting uh it’s coming out now that we got no jayen Williams no SGA tonight for Oklahoma
City uh for uh the sixer game here so it looks like we know embiid is out and now there’s some uh it looks like there are some reports that Maxi might not be playing in this one either so it looks like they took it off the board here in
Some spots uh that changes the whole dynamic I would think of how people were going to look at this game so uh just a uh a caution here as we’ve got that uh coming out now and that line will be moving we’ll have more on this here in a
Minute voo but uh go ahead over for you all day long here with the Lakers Raptors not expecting a whole lot of Defense I don’t think from either of these two teams no not at all Joe and I mean we won’t go through the Lakers over numbers
But they have been excessively over the total over the last month and a half um and the Lakers are up in the top five in team for quite a while now they do go up and down um and the Raptors are going to go with them as I was saying before
We got the OKC News so you know I understand the push T over uh I don’t know I probably I’m trying to think of a way that I would try and talk somebody off of an over but I don’t know where Joe unless Emanuel quickly and RJ
Barrett come out and start a little bit slow as far as shooting is concerned Maybe you want to avoid first quarter over first half over I don’t know if you want to avoid it in the case of the Lakers you could you know kind of zero
In and focus on them first half total over but full game looks like an over Laker team total would look like an over once the Raptors get it going I mean the whole thing looks like an over by the time it’s said and done but I would
Maybe be a little skeptical of the outset with Toronto since quickly and Barrett have been out for quite some some time and are getting back on the court here maybe early they don’t have the scoring ability that they had before they you know exited the lineup yeah we
Are also are hearing too that uh there could very well be no LeBron James in this game uh tonight too which would be very uh interesting not that I think uh not that I think it would matter outside of uh having to play maybe more d’angel
Russell props there Andy and by the way down to minus one OKC with the Sixers now uh so that has come crashing down almost uh six points here from 5 and a half down to minus one uh is OKC on the road no SGA no Williams and the total is
Crashed from 225 a half to 219 uh and a half and uh Andy with this Lakers team I mean Heck if I’m not getting LeBron I can probably count on D’Angelo Russell uh to pick up some slack here uh in a game that looks like it’s continuing to get pushed up I think
It’s the highest total on the board is there anybody worth taking a look at in this one oh man I hope we don’t get LeBron D’Angelo Russell over his rebounds and assist keeps cashing when LeBron when LeBron is out of the lineup it is it’s rinse and repeat just Yep this keep
Cashing even if LeBron plays so you’ve got a non-competitive Toronto team uh this has D’Angelo Russell written all over it uh I’ll take over at half two and a half three-pointers um I just love him uh he’ll he’ll light it up against uh non-playoff bad defenses uh against
Brooklyn he made four of them Memphis five of them Philly four of them Atlanta six of them against Sacramento one against Minnesota two so so anytime you have just these really bad teams yeah yeah D’Angelo Russell’s your guy but in all seriousness if LeBron is out D’Angelo Russell rebounds and assist I
Believe that is hitting eight out of the last nine games without LeBron um and then when LeBron plays obviously there’s a lot more stats that are going so yeah D’Angelo Russell but obviously tread lightly make sure you know what the lineups are going to be before you play
This one it may come down to an hour before we certainly have seen that in the NBA this season yeah if it ain’t broke don’t fix it Annie we’re big Believers on that uh here that is for sure uh we do have now Veno looks like it’s still crashing we’re down to I
Wouldn’t be shocked if this thing becomes a pick them here at some point uh from and a half now down to minus one even that total has crashed 2252 to 2192 here with the Sixers it’ll be interesting to see what happens if if Maxi in fact is also uh ruled out here
Almost feels like this is just a we’re hitting the reset button here guys but no SGA no Jen Williams no Joel embiid back here tonight voo do you have these two teams uh as currently conru rued here tonight at a pick them price somewhere in that
Ballpark well we could go over it here Joe real quick I mean for OKC it looks like you’re starting obviously if sgaa doesn’t play Josh giddy can play point guard so he takes over right you have Lou Dort um in place of jayen Williams you have Gordon
Hayward and you have Chad holgren the other question is who will be the fifth guy in I would think that it would probably be Isaiah Joe who they use an awful as a shooting guard if giddy’s going to play the point then Joe would probably be your shooting guard in this
Case against the team of course of guards as well where Philly is concerned so you kind of have a really smallish game the two bigs would be hren and moamba um it it’s interesting Joe just from a long-term perspective that we hear an awful lot about oh Joel’s embiid
Is coming back he’s coming back he’s coming back he’s not even at shoot around he’s not coming back back um it even in the position that Philadelphia’s in I think that and just hearing what I hear outside the Philly area here they’re way more concerned they they
They really don’t care about being in a playin they’ll go to the playin as long as they can get Joel healthy because this would have been a good game to bring him back it’s not like he would have to go down low and bang with anybody Chad Hol is not gonna bang um
But they decided not to so I think Philadelphia’s playing the long game here which is probably smart for KC we’ve known that SGA has been banged up since last week they said they were monitoring it they choose tonight not to play him um Williams off a big game
Hurts his ankle he doesn’t play either so I don’t know how to figure this game honestly Joe Oklahoma City needs it because we often talk about that three-way Collision out west between them Denver and Minnesota and Denver and Minnesota are both in action tonight uh so Oklahoma City could lose that number
One seed if they don’t win this game I think the best way to look at this would be wait till you see what happens with Tyrese Maxi um he was at shoot around today but we don’t know if he’ll go if he goes could be a Philadelphia game um
Always talk about Oklahoma City’s depth and athleticism and they do have it and we talked earlier their starting five is still pretty good but um I don’t know it’s it’s an interesting matchup one that I probably will not get involved in one way or the other yeah uh it’s uh now
It’s now that we got some sort of uh clear review here uh Andy on this on who’s in who’s out and yeah I would think maybe giddy should be uh should be a focus here but no jayen Williams no SGA in a game that is pretty still
Important for these teams I I don’t know that Kyle Lowry’s going to get as many minutes now also um I think it’s going to be important that him and mbid try to get on the same page uh when he eventually comes back here so uh the whole idea that embiid was everyone was
Pegging tonight’s game is being the spot when he would come back yeah looks like uh he maybe he’s just not uh he’s ready to come back here at this point and OKC is not exactly a physical team so I’m kind of shocked that this would have
Been the uh this would have been the game I really did think he’d be back tonight but uh not yet and what does that leave for us to look in the prop betting market right now uh leaves us Josh giddy under one and a half made three-pointers when uh
SGA is not in the yeah when SGA is not in the lineup he becomes more of a facilitator doesn’t take M nearly as many attempts he’s played three games without SGA this season he’s made one total um and even when you go back a couple years uh just I mean I think
Total for his career he’s played 15 games without SGA and he’s he’s only gone over one time so you know look for giddy to just be a distributor with the ball and you’re getting a great price at minus 135 so um yeah Josh giddy under his one and a half three-pointers giddy
Was they used to have his total at just 0.5 so all he had to do is make one and he kept hitting and hitting and hitting and hitting and then they moved it to one and a half and then he went started going under anyway so you got
You got a nice Trend going with this one but yeah the numbers tell you uh gidd is going to be passing the ball and not shooting the ball nearly as much tonight shout out uh to uh Desmond Castro joining us uh via his uh mobile and YouTube shorts OKC outright I got no
Problem with that uh Veno you’re a filling guy I got no problem taking them here at this price uh you had mentioned it’s interesting here I wouldn’t I couldn’t talk anybody out of saying just give me OKC on the money line I’m good to go here
Tonight yeah I could see like like we were saying Joe it is an important game still if they want to maintain that number one seed and I think that’s real important to them it’s important to Denver it’s important to Minnesota it’s important to all three of them and as I
Mentioned the other two are in action tonight and the other two are both favorites in games at home that they should win so for OKC you know to have this Philadelphia game here you really want to win that one and stay ahead um so we’ll get effort the question is will effort be
Enough here against the group of Sixers and I would say that without Maxi it certainly is and if you don’t think Maxi’s gonna go you probably bet it now right because Line’s gonna change if Maxi doesn’t go so yes sit here and wait and time ticks um a lot of this becomes
We talk about in the NBA every afternoon late in the afternoon like this it’s always a little bit of guesswork um but he was at shoot so we’ll see how that goes a difficult matchup but Oklahoma City does definitely need it and I don’t know again I I’ll repeat this one more
Time I don’t think that Philadelphia actually cares to get into a six spot and be in playoffs rather than a play in as long as embiid is healthy they’re happy just getting the play in y yep yep I I I agree 100% I I think and this
Tells us right that they’re much more interested in the long game than just trying to roll and beid back out here uh for ticket sales or anything along uh those lines here we do have a uh a poll question up here today we uh we focused
On what I believe a lot of people think will be uh the best game of the night and it could very well be because I’m not seeing anybody ruled out for these two teams which is unusual at this particular Point uh I am seeing Caleb
Martin is a go for the Miami Heat right now Mitchell Robinson still questionable from what I understood this morning though he was at the shoot around so it looks like uh I would believe Mitchell Robinson is going there so we do have uh a couple of thoughts on this game here
And we asked how many of you uh thought the Knicks uh would go are we taking the Knicks money line we taking the heat money line here and it’s about 5050 well not anymore s Warriors in there voting 150 times so apparently Miami’s getting a lot more love uh right now because s.
Warrior is botting his way to that poll question there but I do think it’s going to be uh a pretty good game and one that both of these teams find themselves in in interesting spot here as far as the playoffs coming and seeding uh this is the healthiest that Miami has been uh
Tyler herro they’re hoping we’ll be back by the playoffs here but for the most part everyone else is available and ready to go Andy was there anybody in this you usually have focused on uh Jimmy Butler in some spots here uh in the past uh over the season at home here
Anybody you looking at from a prop betting perspective here with Miami and the Knicks yeah actually it’s a roll of the dice I could look very foolish or or like a genius hey Heywood heith um they have his point total very very low like four and a half
And you look at Heywood High Smith and here’s his minute totals over the last few game 29 28 30 25 so easily flying over his totals there but then five minutes five minutes 8 minutes five minutes five minutes and I can’t really figure out the correlation because he’s
Played big minutes when Caleb Martin is in there and then he’s played like low minutes when Caleb Martin is I I I really truly can’t figure out why if he plays the 22 25 30 20 minutes like he’s going to go over everything if he plays five minutes he’s going under everything
I don’t know I guess I guess I figure he’s probably gonna they’re they’re going to need him they’re I know they’re getting healthy but they’re still not there so I I guess Haywood heith would be the role of the dice like I said it’s either easy over or or easy under I
Think I think I lean more towards the easy over on this one so it’s it’s interesting uh V I thought about you this morning there I I did a uh I did a Morning Show uh today and the first thing that stuck out to me was this is
The lowest total on the board right I think it’s now down to two it was too 207 207 and a half I think it’s down to now uh 206 206 and a half and you know at first glance you can go listen get it Miami and New York are the two slowest
Paced teams in the NBA get that they’re not going to be in a rush to go anywhere especially with uh New York uh going a little smaller uh now that uh if they haven’t had Robinson or anobi and they’re not in a rush to go uh anywhere
Either but if you look at the last four or five games here for the Knicks I mean I’m not seeing anything below 110 I mean 113 points I think somewhere in that ballpark uh and it looks like Miami now some of their results over the last couple of weeks have really centered
Around the fact of them not having any of their Sharpshooters not having they didn’t have Duncan Robinson right they always they had one or the other didn’t have them both and it was like they were just we’re going to grind this thing to
A halt and try to win 98 to 95 I don’t know that that happens here tonight it feels too low to me and if the Knicks are going to get me 110 points I I know know we’re getting over this total here tonight yeah and I actually Joe I went
To the home side I mean I’m always big on Miami team totals right because I always think Miami’s undervalued by the oddsmaker and this year as you mentioned with all the injuries they haven’t really given me a reason to play them over but it is like the great Collision
You laid it out pretty good New York is not the same team defensively when they don’t have Anon Obi when they don’t have Robinson there’s no doubt about it they tend to give up many more points as you described and Miami is not the same team when they don’t have their Shooters when
Those three-point Shooters are in they obviously score more so the 104 and a half that we’re given here as a team total for Miami is certainly based on season results and reputation New York’s defensive reputation the slow pace reputation of both the non-offensive reputation of Miami all comes together
In that 104 and a half which may not be the case here tonight these games we talk about them all the time there’re situational their matchup based I think Miami gets to 106 here Joe to tell you the truth at home they’re trying to beat the Knicks for the first time this
Season they’ve lost two to the Knicks already um at home looking to make that playoff stretch run it’s hard to take anything at all statistically that we see from Miami this year and apply it now right because they’re just different all the time so many injuries so many
Different lineups how do you apply that stuff all those numbers to what they have on the floor at this moment where Terry Rosier has now integrated pretty well into that lineup so I like the Miami team total over I couldn’t argue people off of the full game as well
Jaylen brunson’s liable to have a big game um but I like the heat I think they’re just undervalued at 104 and a half yeah uh well you know what the team thoughts a great look there uh too you know I kind of like that that team total
Uh angle and I think it’s it’s correlated listen if you like the Knicks tonight what we should be looking at their team total over no voo I mean it’s if we like Miami should be doing the same thing I think both of those bets uh
As well we can just stack them and go give me the give me the Knicks give me the team total over give me the game over because I don’t see a scenario where the under is correlated in either of these teams if that would be the case it would be an absolutely disgusting
Game and would not uh they’d have to be shooting 20% from all over the place and I don’t see that happening Veno no it shouldn’t I mean Miami is in the playoff mindset now as you mentioned they got most of their guys back it’s time to go it’s the last seven eight
Games of the year and they’ve shown it I mean they scored 142 against Portland just a couple of games ago right and then they came back with something in the one teams um against a bad defensive team but again I’ll just say that when OG an anobi came to the Knicks they were
Playing lousy defense and Tibido was going crazy on the sidelines before they got him they got him the defense picked up he got hurt the defense went South and now he’s not playing again it’s it does correlate OG and an Obi and nicks allowing the other team to score is a
Real thing so I I think Miami team total over might be the best of all the looks uh shout out to uh Mr Ritter there as well as uh Philly pix and the Kraken in the house on Instagram we appreciate you guys stopping by don’t forget uh if
You could hit that subscribe button if haven’t done so already we certainly appreciate it uh shout out to those of you joining us via uh our YouTube channel as well as uh our live vertical feed there on YouTube shorts we appreciate it guys give us a thumbs up
We’d appreciate that as well I am seeing some San Antonio Spurs uh questions and love and I get it given the fact that they’re getting what 16 now against Denver and as I’m looking Jamal Murray still question able uh soan kin Johnson Devin vassel all out web Bama looks like
A go here boy is that kind of a big number there 16 uh points uh are you leaning that way Veno one way or the other I mean San Antonio has done a fantastic job of cashing tickets for backers with big points just like this with this team yeah and San Antonio becomes
They’ve been this way for the last couple of years Joe they’re very very interchangeable even back to when Derek white was on this team um with these guys they were just you know a couple of guys would sit a couple of guys would step in they’re basically the same team
All the time now wanyama obviously makes a difference without him they’re slightly different but the fact that Devin vasel and Jeremy soan are out for the season I think was soan it probably takes away a little bit from their defense you step in with guys like s
Osman and and Malachi brandom and they just they’re like nine of the same guy on this team so I don’t know how much it affects them over the Long Haul the problem I mean the simple question is the point spread is a great equalizer right Denver’s gonna win this game
Denver needs this game they’re off the blowout of Cleveland the other night after two really poor performances where they had not scored 100 points and either then they come back against Cleveland rack up 130 Jamal Murray had been hurt last week um seem pretty good on Sunday they seem healthy but with the
Nagging injuries that they have because joic is even playing hurt he said he’s just playing through the pain right now no big deal um but if they get the big lead in the third then those guys sit down or maybe let’s let’s say they don’t
Even get a big lead in this game even still does Michael Malone go all out and play these guys 38 39 minutes probably not yeah and so the bench comes into play and then the 16 and a half comes into play so I think even though I I
Fully believe Denver is going to win the game what’s the big rush to win by 17 there probably is none they know OKC’s down a couple of guys tonight real quick y um and Minnesota probably wins as well so they need to keep Pace San Antonio’s probably the right look yeah from that
Perspective yeah it would be San Antonio or pass in in that spot here uh just at this point in the season I don’t think Denver is interested in anything I’d be shocked if Jamal Murray is still questionable why why go at this point you got to pick and choose your spots
Give them a little extra rest here at this point I’ve done my best to try to avoid any Houston Rockets talk because I have a feeling that our producer is just going to shut us all off uh if we’re not on Houston here tonight but this is
Actually I saw this as eight last night and then I saw the the line the money start coming in uh on Houston to drop this thing down to 7 and a half so we still know obviously cat is still out uh cam Whitmore back active for Houston
Other than that I’m not seeing from an injury perspective anything that scares me in this game the number scares me the total is dropping 216 to 24 and a half I mean Andy Rockets against the Timberwolves here uh you know the total is coming down here does that mean we
Should be looking maybe to fade a guy or two in this game I don’t know what to do at this game I’ll just I’ll just be honest I I don’t I can’t really discover a a prop in this one that I really like I mean I guess
You could look at uh a green he he’s coming off kind of a he’s coming off a bad scoring night what 12 against Dallas but before that 34 37 27 41 so he was due for a clunker it’s just is he going to rebound uh from that you know it’s
It’s a it’s a good defense Minnesota I wouldn’t say it’s as good as was you know earlier in the season but there’s there’s too many questions I think the numbers are pretty dialed in so I I just I’ll be I’ll be completely honest and say this game’s a pass for me I just
Can’t discover any good Trends or any good feels I think there’s too many other props that I like on the board better than anything in this game all right so hold on there that was a fantastic Swiss ass flag uh remark uh by you there andy we haven’t gotten one in
A while I’m just saying we haven’t gotten one it was very nice though we got the Swiss flag out absolutely stepping on nobody’s toes nobody’s toes uh with that one there so we certainly do appreciate it there uh Veno I know you don’t have that kind of
Uh Grace in you so uh tell me exactly uh how we’re betting the Minnesota Timberwolves here and uh and how we should approach this game or do we look at the do we look at Houston well we know we’re probably going to get 48 minutes out of both
Sides here Houston’s fighting for their play in lives right and it’s slipping away they lost the other night they’ve lost two in a row now um so it’s kind of slipping away gold state and you know if you’re of the conspiracy theory you probably believe that no matter what the
NBA would kick the Rockets behind Golden State anyway and not let Houston in the playoffs but that being said um they’re they’re playing hard they’re going to come here and play hard what’s interesting to me and the most fascinating Joe is the way Minnesota just continued to cover numbers last
Game not withstanding without Carl Anthony towns they they really haven’t missed a beat without him they’re seven and Two Against the Spread last nine that they just lost their last game so Houston enters off of two losses Minnesota enters off of one loss I talked earlier about how OKC Denver and
Minnesota are all striving to get that number one seed it’s important to all three so full effort out of both um Houston wants that running game right they want to push that pace and I just don’t know that Minnesota allows it here so I I don’t know that I could pick the
Side in this game and the total to me probably the correct movement I always believe that the home team can dictate Tempo part which means that it would probably stay under um Minnesota’s just that way priding themselves on defense now nothing that I played myself but if
I had to look I’d probably look under in this game shout out to just a Hebrew in the chat room uh telling us that Houston we got a problem uh and I think we might have a problem here tonight I do think you are spoton uh with that also seeing
By the way to Kings once again we’ve got a line we got a line move here uh guys uh and it looks like three and a halfs are starting to uh to pop up across the board here uh in this game with Sacramento uh and the Clippers now if
You’re just joining us the Clippers no kawhai Leonard’s been ruled out uh but I’m not seeing anything beyond that and the market is absolutely crashing on this as well as no SGA and no Williams for OKC that went from five and a half to minus one now for OKC and I’m also
Seeing 28s starting to pop up so the total is also crashing in on this one here and Andy you mentioned uh a couple of other places you would look for a uh for a prop or two here give us one of the other games maybe uh that you’ve
Looked at here that you think is worth a uh is worth a look see oh I’ve been playing this one uh for clients uh take a look at Aaron Gordon if Jamal Murray is out uh play is over three-pointers it’s just half he just needs to hit one Jamal Jamal Murray’s
Been out the last three games and he’s had one in each of them when Jamal Murray is in uh he doesn’t hit one it’s very strange uh I you would think with Jamal Murray in he would be he would maybe hit more but it’s the opposite
It’s less so uh I’ve been playing that one for clients as well uh free plays all over the place so I would take a look at Aaron Gordon over threes but you got to wait until Jamal Murray news that’s the key you got to wait and know
If deal Murray is in or out um I man we’ve covered so many things on there I think that’s the only big one that I have for tonight that one and ni Keon George under were my uh were my two favorite ones um in this one especially
The konay George that’s a free play that’s loaded up on wager talk right now oh get it done there I kind I’m with you on there I think uh I think we’re going to get we’re going to get some uh some points here uh tonight in a few of these
Spots voin are you shocked with any of this line move here really starting to come in for Sacramento here and I I don’t see anything else outside of Kawai but that’s about an hour old and uh the money is starting to roll in here now are you surprised it’s uh we’ve got this
Far little bit Joe you know the only thing I can add to that game that might affect the Clippers that we didn’t talk about earlier is it’s kind of a weird road trip right they spent the first three games on the East Coast they fly
All the way back home but it’s not to go home it’s to go to Sacramento and finish the road trip which is kind of weird three East Coast games and one West Coast end it you know it’s possible that you know the Clippers haven’t been playing well anyway right Andy talked
About how bad they’ve been defensively um so it’s possible that fatigue is said and and the way they’ve been playing Joe I’ll tell you if we go back to that Philadelphia game last week where they got the referee call at the end to win that one up until that point
It looked like they didn’t care much about winning games it was kind of heads scratching that they’re in that four five battle and they kind of didn’t even seem like they cared much about getting into a home floor uh seed so I don’t know this a lot of love for Sacramento
Here I just don’t know that Sacramento’s the same without her or in Monks so that it wouldn’t get my money laying three and a half I’d be more Happ to play the underdog but perhaps taking what Andy said into consideration um total would be a good way to look kawai’s the best
Defender on the team maybe just look over at this point in time yep uh still waiting on kaminga too as well for Golden State still hovering around minus one for Golden State here tonight I think we’re all in agreement here that we’re going over the top here with three
And a half uh with Sacramento though with the Clippers they’ve got depth if they have anything uh they’ve got some depth there uh also up and available right now at wager talk.com talk to me Andy Lang what do you got lock loaded ready to roll here
Tonight uh we got an MLB and NHL pack that is uh number one in NHL for the season for you units for Roi for winning percentage and an MLB we’re very low volume uh but we’re on a 4-0 uh stretch so uh we won our last two bets of the
Year last year one of our first two bets of the Year this year so just put a couple plays up and uh I I I do have to keep telling everybody next week is the Masters it’s a huge week for us at tea time and uh you know here at wager talk
It’s probably the biggest golf event of the year we got some really really big things planned looks like we’re going to be doing a couple shows a lot of extra things to get people ready for that so for tonight MLB and NHL but next week uh we’re going to do the Masters upright
And get everyone ready for a big big week of golf bets yeah um yeah I can’t wait for that too and it’s going to be awesome uh we K Dog Marshall in the chat room Vino uh this is right up our alley too here talking about the New York
Knicks under 52 and a half in the first half I am thinking he might be he might be on to something good old K dog be sniffing around something there ven what are you thinking yeah I mean I listen I’m not going to talk him off and Miami no as I
Mentioned is trying to avoid a season sweep and with all their guys back there’ll be some intensity on that side of the floor I you know my main focus in this game was on the Miami team total for the full game to get up and over just
Because I don’t like the fact that ogan and Obi isn’t in the lineup to defend but yeah 52 and a half is a lot to ask and um maybe that could be right I mean I can’t I can’t talk him off it let’s put it that way listen if it’s raining threes good
Luck uh I still think it’s a dead over this game here and and for either team I I really do I still think it’s going to be a dead over even if it’s a little slow to start the game still think it’s going to be a dead over when it’s all
Said and done uh just a Hebrew just loving his Clippers he said get over it everyone the Clippers are still going to keep the four or five spot no matter how much you hate on them they’re still coming here and the Clippers well they’re going to have to do it tonight
Without Kawai Dallas is going to have to do it without Derek Lively uh it should be a very interesting very interesting uh game here tonight a good uh card here in the NBA uh not something we’ve had a lot of here over the final week here as
We get ready for just about seven eight more games another two weeks in a regular season that of course it’s playoff time there will be won’t be a whole ton of uh questions there we’ll have uh a whole lot of content surrounded about who to play who not to
Play I know who s. Warrior is playing tonight uh and it ain’t the Knicks I will tell you that right now shout out to all of you guys joining us in the chat room shout out to uh those that are joining us on Instagram we certainly
Appreciate you there as well as X and of course uh those in the YouTube chat both uh on our page and on YouTube shorts watching us on their cell phones in the vertical feed uh do us a favor if you could guys don’t forget to hit that
Thumbs up hit that like button uh and of course hit that subscribe button if you haven’t done so already and become part of the wager talk TV family we’ve got you covered from every sport here like you said check out Andy’s golf coverage Masters coming up here uh Rob Vino’s got
You covered Major League Baseball it’s uh it’s a fun time of year and certainly hope you guys will come back and join us again as we do it uh for the Wednesday Edition tomorrow until then on behalf of Andy and Rob best of luck with all the
Plays here tonight guys crush it we’ll uh we’ll see you again tomorrow good Luck oh
