Join Veteran NASCAR driver Brendan Gaughan and Las Vegas Motor Speedway Public Relations Director Jeff Motley for the ultimate NASCAR betting show.
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And welcome in everybody gone racing another lovely Edition I am back this week and feeling much better than I was feeling at the end of last week and of course the lovely Jeff mle not as lovely as what filled in for me last week though uh well no uh Alex white filled
In for you last week we really app appreciate having Alex and and Vinnie and Vinnie filled in I called Vinnie just you know I called Vinnie to say hey I you know I need my guy but there was another little thing going on the first day of March Madness and we’re asking a
Sports book guy to sit in and he had’ already done the the previous show right so uh it was great though everything worked out well we we uh educated Alex in the world of of NASCAR and and we were also were able to talk about North Carolina started sports betting and
Vinnie was very well versed in that so oh yeah Vinnie’s definitely well versed in that one and Alex I heard Alex found some great value last week too which was nice you know she she looks at it like a better which I know a lot of our fans aren’t
Traditionally Sports betters which is why we you know sometimes have to slow it down on the betting side but she was great get showing some value to people yeah and she actually said she was going to go make a couple of bets after the show so we need to find out if she
Actually cashed a ticket or not because I’m not I can’t I don’t know who she B on hey speaking of cashing tickets who cashed the tiet you know we have a four segment show here yes and we discuss success and failure in the fourth segment three who the host today who is
Hosting today me or you yes sir Mr G that’s right don’t you forget it I’m going to talk about how much I kicked your butts again and and Ann reminded me as I walked in I’ve said it 15 times the cream has once again risen back to the
Top of our standings how many races have we run we’re like oh I love this show we are still professionally unprofessional and we did a couple of those last week too by the way we had some professionally unprofessional moments that’s that’s what makes us special though that’s what
That’s what what we love here that’s what that’s why people love us although apparently they love Alex better because one of our most viewed shows was with Alex it was yeah we need to bring her back Apparently one of us needs to leave more often we need to start calling Alex
In I guess um but last week we did have a a I gotta say Jeff I let’s not talk about the gambling side for a second just a uh eh race it at Kota for me um you know just stage yellow caution just stage cautions look I love the track it
Was a great racy race it just did not give us a lot of the drama that we but we’ve listen I think we’re getting spoiled this new car has brought so much drama we have I good race just and look I think one of the things that probably
Prompted the the lack of cautions Was Nascar moveing the restart Zone that was big because you no longer had all 30 cars piling into turn one at one time and I think that certainly made a huge difference because I think that’s where we saw a lot of the Calamity in years
Past now throw out the first first year when the track was wet that doesn’t countet the yearing the monsoon doesn’t count but you know it’s it’s still and I think we also had the race that was pretty crazy where Bowman and almond Dinger and Chastain were all battling
There on the last lap and and who knows I mean if Christopher Bell actually catches William Byron which he was really close to I mean another couple laps maybe he catches him maybe then we’re talking about what an incredible finish it was between those guys but hey
Kudos to William Byron a guy who I think is he one I think it’s his first road course win well certainly first one at Austin we talked about an off air there’s a guy named Max papis a lot of lot of the fans don’t know I know we
Talk about betting here but Max papis is his little driver coach and Max is a former the former One racer Indie Car Racer sports car racer NASCAR racer Max been everywhere but Max is Max I love me some Max Milano papy uh he’s married to to Emerson fal’s daughter and he has two
Sons that one of them is racing and Max is his driver coaching especially road racing and uh got to give Max a little credit he’s definitely trained Byron up and done pretty darn good with it well you know who else is really happy is anybody who bet any bets on William
Byron last week William Byron was a 12 to one to win the race so a great return if you bet him to win even his top three was a plus 275 can’t knock that one uh group a was plus 325 he was in the head-to-head versus Elliott at plus 110
Uh Chevy was the plus 130 which is no longer the favorite so I mean that you got you know some some numbers there uh Championship odds is we open at 700 down to 600 you and I talked about this there was no the best time was at the start of
The Season cuz we think his numbers are just going to keep shriveling as they go this W be his last win of the Season no I don’t think it will either uh and then the top 10 um small numbers but one of those paid off well for me uh William
Byron once again 12 to1 and 275 Chris forbell top three 275 um no shocker there Chris forbell was absolutely one of the favorites I got him on my top three that was one of the guys I picked and then Tai Gibbs plus 300 Tai really
Jeff you bit him as your as your uh breakout guy this year and man you that is the early season pick of the year so far but some great names in the top five the Dinger still comes back with a great top five finish or top 10 finish Ross
Chastain who’s so great there still there my man Chris bercher still cashing tickets and to Chris bucher’s credit had to start dead last and starting dead last at a road course is a big difference in starting dead last at Dayton at Taladega even Las Vegas or
Charlotte yes and Kyle B Kyle bus a little uh little miffed with old seabell after the race had a little couple dust ups and still came home with a top 10 finish yeah they had a little run and in turn one and I think that was probably
One of those things where they probably could agree to disagree I if you go and look at the replay you know there was raying I mean B’s not trying to wreck Kyle Bush and I think and I think Kyle knows deep down inside Christopher Bell’s not trying they used to be
Teammates I agree I don’t I think he I don’t think he he tried to wreck him it just was a racing gig Kyle came down Chris went up a little it looked like it was more of two guys met in the middle so to speak um but not a bad you know
Overall finish some other guys ran pretty well you know early in in the day we saw Todd Gillan again scoring some stage points now stage points were a little weird in this race but still him and Michael McDow Michael McDow God dang man yeah well Tower steering goes out
They kill him you know one name we don’t see on that list he came across the Finish Line in the top 10 but he got disqualified after the race was Justin Haley he had an incredible run I mean Justin Haley is a guy that seems like every week that team’s been getting
Better and better uh got disqualified some found some stuff wrong on the car after afterwards but uh a really strong run for Justin Haley on a road course and the guy that we all talked about a ton the last couple Seasons SVG Shane Van gban uh 20th Place did not really
Have a a good day going on no and I and and and uh you know the interesting one was uh I believe it was the second year that Stenhouse and Kobayashi had have had a run in and somehow I’m thinking K Kimi shows up once a year and and he
Can’t get out and Sten Sten house keep finding each other on the racetrack no that’s pretty impressive but let’s look at our current standings for the minute Jeff because you know once again playoff standings versus versus point standings there’s differences here but William Byron is your point leader uh with
Because he has the two wins but he’s not the point leader as far as points that is Denny Hamlin or actually it’s Martin TRX Jr right now having a good season but he’s down in sixth with no wins so the the playoff standings that cutoff line way early to start looking at that
Cut off line super super early uh it’s early but there’s one name above it okay who I think is has me completely shocked and I’m happy for him is John Hunter n yeah and I was that was what I was going to is jhn is doing is you know pretty
Darn strong coming right out of the box but they’ve got some guys who are below it there’s a lot of Joey loano to me stands out and I know we’re saying okay it’s early it’s early it’s early but keep in mind we only run 26 races in the
Regular season we’ve run six now right we’ve run six Joy Lano is 100 points to bra kazasi is 134 20% the way through and we also know road courses are not necessarily his strong suit and there’s a lot of road courses in these next 20
Races yeah but I still I think I I don’t see Joey Lano not winning when I look outside the top 10 I see Austin Dylan down there in 29th I see Noah greggson with that penalty way down there in 34th uh and had a bad run this week didn’t
Help him um you know I see some guys but you see I mean got Brad keslowski and Chris buer right now both RFK cars in the top 10 when we talk about those Championship odds you know those are right now that have some pretty deep odds that could be a great little Hedge
For you right there to jump on maybe one of their numbers early yeah and a little surprised right now to see Bubba Wallace outside the top 16 cuz I feel like he’s run fairly well but he really he’s had a couple of rough results now road coursing we know we know road courses
Are not his his thing and and I made the joke last week that I asked him one time his favorite turn at Sona and he said it’s the one TR when I’m leaving the RAC track so um yeah so I can appreciate that a little bit but certainly you know
We’re going to start coming up on some tracks where he got to feel like he needs to run well and and and Joey loano is another one who I mean like we we know we’re not too far away from going to do if that’s a place that Joey Lano
Doesn’t run well at do I’m start getting worried about start wor about joy and Texas we got Texas and do coming up see and to me that you know we all talked early in the season I think it was a kind of a all of us a spot on lock of
The Rookie of the Year we we jumped on oh you know Josh Barry Jo Carson josar still leading the way I mean six races in who would have thought spy Motorsports and Carson josar is the leader in the clubhouse for the Rookie of the Year so far absolutely and you
Know we’re starting to see some better runs out of Zayn Smith as well so I think this rookie situation is is going to be wide open way tough way tougher than we we had given it credit for and right now I don’t know that I’m seeing a
Win by a rookie this year you know if a rookie gets a win they pretty much are going to win rookie of the year because of the way the points are done now you know I don’t know that I see a win coming the only thing I say with Carson
Hostar leading it that would be definitely a long shot we cuz Carson is a long shot to win the only thing is Rodney chers is an xfactor in that Rodney chers is Rodney chers and that four with Josh Barry Rodney chers finds you know hits hits that button just
Right I think that that’s kind of The X Factor for that four team you know we’ll see how he fares with the road courses now he actually was able to do the Goodyear test this past week at Sonoma oh was he so Josh Barry and Chastain and
Trux are up there doing the Goodyear test at Sonoma this week so we’ll see if that helps them when it comes we know how good Martin and Ross are on the road courses so let’s get to the next couple races before we get to the
Good stuff on the show and and of course next four we have this weekend we’re going to be talking pretty soon about all things Richmond Raceway and Richmond Motor Speedway Richmond Raceway not Motor Speedway uh at the Toyota 400 um and you all know my feelings on Richmond
We’ll leave that one alone Mr Motley then we head to Martinsville for the cookout 400 then the Echo Park AutoTrader Echo Park Automotive 400 wow Texas sure knows how to put mouth F out there again wasn’t that the bushy MCB race at Texas no that was Kansas that’s
Right uh but Texas Motor Speedway then the Geico 500 Talladega and then the worth 400 at do that’s our upcoming schedule so once again diverse set of tracks two short cracks then the mile and a half then a super speedway then the concrete monster it is but you know
The one thing we don’t do in the schedule anymore and I really I kind of miss it a little bit because I just always just love the irony in it remember how they used to always do Martinsville and the very next week they would go to Talladega I did so you would
Go from the shortest slowest track to the biggest fastest track and I always thought that was just a great you know just awesome to have those two back to back now there’s a little bit of Separation in there you got Texas in between the two um but you’re right the
Diversity of racetracks coming up um but what I do do see is three somewhat short tracks your Toyota you’re trying to make hay right now because these Toyotas a mile and below the Toyotas look to be the car to beat listen the odds have flip-flo for the manufacturer prop since
The the start of the season right Toyota was was sitting there second now they’re the favorite in the clubhouse so they won’t be at Texas they won’t be at Texas but they are the favorite this well maybe foreshadowing are they still the favorite at Richmond we’ll see and we
Come back we’re going to give you who’s been great at Richmond and start with our odds and some really cool news on jeffan one of the favorite things I like is the head to heads really cool numbers on those when we come back from the South Point
Studio The Perfect Blend of sports but I think the ners are going to wear them down Detroit Pistons lost their 36 games comedy see over under on that relationship lasting I’m going to put mayo in the coffee I am beautiful a whole lot of Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh pburg Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh join Ryan McCormick that’s at least two picks outside of our own in the first round next year or and host Frank nicaro I look at the clock I go watch punchlines live at noon every weekday once you’ve satisfied your hunger get ready for more of the hottest casino
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Today guests can also get in on the action at our one-of-a-kind race and sports books two separate rooms designed to maximize your experience and comfort our sports book with over 400 seats puts you right in the middle of the action 24 hours a Day and welcome back in brenon gone Jeff m and gone racing and we are just getting into the good parts of the show which is time to give the odds and all the fun stuff for Richmond and Jeff you want to talk about some guys that have
Been really good here I think if we show this stat right here it won’t surprise me and you but might surprise some fans at home you really think so anything with Kyle Bush and Denny Hamlin success is surprising anybody yeah but but the amount of success that’s the difference
That the the look I raced for a long time and I was great at Texas Vegas I was great you know I’ve got not at Richmond not at Richmond no no not at Richmond not at Richmond I got some great stats at a few places Kyle Bush 36 races at
Richmond 28 top 10s did you ever want to ask him for pointers I did you could give me all the pointers you wanted I tried to summon Tim Richmond one year I’ve I’ve done Voodoo do we had Joe Buu in our pit one year trying to do
Something I I I you know you were you were defeated when you pulled through the tunnel no and that’s the I I say that all the time about the guys at Talladega that that was my that was me at Richmond I I we used to joke about it
At marsville but I liked it but the real place was Richmond and when Dennis BCM was there I used to just crush him on that stuff but Kyle bus 19 top fives six wins and 28 top 10s in 36 races you realize that’s a 55% top five rate that’s that’s phenomenal at any
Racetrack for any driver those are phenomenal num ridiculous but let me ask I want to ask you a question as a person who used to drive at RCR yes are the cars as good as they need to be for Kyle right now I don’t know if
They are or not but this is a place that Kyle can make up a little bit for it so so whether they are or not this is where Kyle Bush is going to be able make up for it and at the bottom of that graphic though Jeff you got the guy that’s been
There 36 times the guy that’s only been there seven times Christopher Bell has four top five no wins yet but four top fives in seven races I like the fact that you said yet because if you’re going to bet against Christopher Bell this week I say do so with your own
Peril do so at your own Peril there’s no don’t lines on Christopher Bell this week I just don’t think that is a smart move by anyone but some guys in the middle there you know that that Brad kazlowski good there’s guys that have been good but but still to me that Chris
The top and bottom you know Denny Hamlin Kyle Bush at the top C at the bottom and let’s think about how good Toyota has been at this track as well keep in mind Kyle Bush all six of those wins in a Toyota Denny hamlins four wins Toyota
Truex three wins there I’m going to guess at least two of those are in the Toyota well and who’s who’s the best Still Still you always do what have you done for me lately even what have you done for me lately last 10 races nine top 10 seven top fives three wins Martin
TRX Jr average finish 4.2 average finish 4.2 in 10 races now what is his odds for a top three well whatever it is it’s not probably not big enough to keep me off it well and I think the thing with with TR X is you
Know his he just seems to kind of be up and down and up and down because you remember last year he went or so let’s go two years ago he was terrible and then last year he went to a point where was not very good and then next thing
You know like the guy to beat every week and we the playoff historical crash and burn so right now I feel like he’s in a pretty good spot and he’s not as dominant as he was in the middle of the season last year but he’s also not
Running as poorly as he ran during the playoffs last year either so he’s a guy that I just think boy it’s hard to go bet on Martin TRX Jr cuz you just you don’t know what you’re going to get yet but if you if you can get ahead of that
Curve when he gets that hot streak you ride it and you’ve done some stuff so let’s get to the oddz to win and and the favorite of course right off the bat Denny Hamlin but how about the co-favorite for this race the guy we just talked about Christopher Bell
They’re both plus 400 Martin TRX next at plus 700 Kyle Larson next at 800 then you got Ty Gibbs 10 Chris berer Brad keslowski William Byron all at 12 uh Tyler rck 14 Ryan blay Chase Elliott Ross Chastain at 20 Kyle Bush 25 and Joey Lano 30 to1 so two things that jump
Out at me on this Brendon number one is the fact that Kyle Bush is 25 to one talking about his success and again I’m a lot of that success was done at Joe Gibbs Racing so but the other one that gets me and he’s not in a in a Toyota
But you’re going to give me double digit odds on William Byron and I know hasn’t won at richond but he’s hot but he also hadn’t won at Austin but he’s hot he’s hot and I honestly think so there’s certain guys that you say oh they’re really good at this racetrack William
Byron is has now become that guy along with a Christopher Bell and a Kyle Larson that I expect them to be good every week I don’t care if we’re at Richmond Martinsville Talladega Austin or where we’re at they’re you know we’ve talked the last couple years about
William Byron and Alex Bowman the dis The Fading lies right the dis they and Alex Bowman still has that tness to wither away and then he’s back William Byron we said kind of was doing not anymore William Byron now to me has established himself no matter what the
Race track it’s it’s the old Jimmy Johnson days Jeff Gordon days he is now no matter what track he he is going to be a player him and Kyle Larson over there doesn’t matter what it is there’s a bullseye on the back of his car now absolutely every week absolutely and if
I go to the stats you you talked about how bad 16.3 average finish last 10 races there two top 10 that’s it and we’re talking 11th 24th 25 first some bad finishes so this is not a track that is good for him but I do believe there’s
A different era here of William by and we talked about how many bad finishes Christopher Bell had at Phoenix and he went out and won the race won the race and William Byron has a third place though he’s been good there and he knows how to get around there I mean I think
Some of it’s been victim of circumstance just been here’s the deal 12 to1 is a heck of a for for the guy that’s been dominating this season he’s got two wins in what we’ve run six races now he’s got two wins so I like that and I I really
Do like the uh the Kyle Bush 25 to1 he finished third there in the playoff race so it’s not like rcr’s been bad there in recent history so I do like that number let’s get to the second page real quick and we got Oz Finish First Bubba Wallace
50 Alex Bowman Chase Brisco 60 Mike mcdal Josh Barry Noah greggson Daniel Suarez Carson hostar all at 100s then you got John Hunter neek at 200 with Eric Jones Ryan priest in the field at 20 to1 I did the math there are nine cars in the field uh these are from the
South Point um come on Chris hey you CH you can make that as big as you want I a we love you chris1 field you can put that a thousand to one I ain’t betting a buck on that um nobody right now the only one I might look at maybe I could
Jump on a on a Alex Bowman but I still to win the race and he’s got to make that comeback for me yet and he hasn’t made it and I think that the key there is win the race because because I sound like a broken record when I talk about
The success that the Toyotas have had and I see a 50 to1 Toyota I see a guy who’s in above the cut line on the points a 200 to1 in a Toyota and I see his teammate also at 200 to one I think when you start looking at top threes
When we get into those numbers I think you might say wow there’s some value I think winning is is asking a lot of those guys but running top three and let let me go back to Alex Bowman he’s one here correct Alex Bowman has a w here so
In 21 he won in this race so it’s not like Alex hasn’t done well here but you want to talk about the whole disappearing and coming back first 12th 8th 20th 8th 18th it it’s you oh so we should get a top 10 this time so it
Should be a top if you go off of that number it should be a top 10 yeah yeah win 12th eighth he’s on the ultimate roller coaster right there me go okay so this is the this is the race he runs well sure right sure is that what we’re saying okay if you
And then he Fades away for six weeks and you don’t talk about he’s in group D and he’s in group C and D and then all of a sudden he wins when you hit the week that he’s back you get a number like an
11 to one do you jump on that number I don’t but I mean the two guys I think I like the most is first off you’re G to give me William Byron plus 300 for a top three h and the other one Tyler reic I
Do like that 400 I do like the Tyler reic 400 I don’t dislike the blani 400 year I don’t I and I don’t either cuz but reck and blay they’re going to run well I mean it’s very similar to Phoenix there’s some similarities there we know
What blay did last year at Phoenix he clinched the championship there he was one of the strongest cars at Phoenix this year and one thing we saw about Phoenix is we saw all the manufacturers run well we just saw that the Toyotas were the best with Christopher Bell and
What about that Chris berer number I mean Chris got two top fives here in the last 10 races and a win you know Chris won the won the playoff race here last year he’s our most recent winner at Richmond um do do you do you like Chris
Buer that remember that was that stretch that Chris bercher went on ter winning everything so yeah and and I’m I’m trying to see if the if RFK has that Mojo carried over from last year you know bucher’s had some good runs this year but he’s had some not as good runs
This year some of that’s not been his own fault I’m just not sure I guess I want to see a little bit more strength out of the RFK cars before I’m ready to go and got put my money on them gotcha let’s get to the second page real quick
It kicks off with Josh Barry at 16 to1 with Chase Brisco there 22 to1 is Noah greggson Michael McDow Daniel Suarez 25 to ones Ryan priest John Hunter Eric Jones Carson hos ofar and Austin Dylan Austin syri 30 lejoy 50 Stenhouse Jr 70 Todd Gillan 100 Zane Smith Ty Dylan 130s
Um want to go back to talk about the first page I think the only guy really I could see that maybe could sneak in there maybe would be John Hunter um as a possibility only because I do like the toas or Suarez you know Suarez is one of
He’s one of those things where when he pops he pops right when he’s running well and and you just you kind of just never know with with Daniel so that’s not a bad number at all on Daniel there at 22 to1 I personally am not going to
Pick I mean let’s put it this way if I lose all five picks this week it’s not going to be because I went down picking a top three page two guy yeah and and I’m just I’m trying to find something somewhere that gets me to say ooh you
Know I’m trying to look at maybe an Austin Dylan who’s having a terrible season but he’s got six top 10 in the last 10 races L finished 11.9 you know okay but you’re talking about having a terrible start to this season I mean goodness gracious again you’re talking
About putting money you really want to go there that’s all I’m saying top three is a far difference from a top 10 but guess what it’s still you’re still paying the same amount to buy the ticket and you’re winning less no that’s what I’m saying I mean it’s it’s tough I I
There’s not many on this page I like but when we come back Jeff we have some stuff to talk we have some fun stuff in the head to heads so we’re going to get to the Head heads when we come back and we’ll see you in a second because it’s
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Professional bowlers the South Point is also home to a separate tournament bowling Plaza and welcome back in Bren and gone Jeff Molly we’re on segment three here and this is where we start off with some of our favorite stuff at least for me this is what I’ve been kicking your butt
On for the last two seasons but the head-to heads this week Jee I I don’t know if we’ve ever had a week that I’ve seen such large numbers and how about the names with large numbers well the driver head-to-head it’s so many weeks that we gloss over them and we spend
About 30 seconds on them and we just move on and and part of that’s because we see so many of these plus 11 10 to 110 so there’s really not a lot of value and this week I mean we’ve got when you guys tough competition though when
People like Kyle lson and Ty Gibbs are getting plus 15 wow Elliot for nothing right now until he proves to me that he’s back in Chase Elliott form and he hasn’t he’s been running top 10 you know he’s he’s decent in points he’s you know he’s it’s not
Like he’s down he’s ninth in points I mean I just I can’t bet him yet you know he’s got four top 10 four top fives last 10 races I’m not I’m just not on the chase La bandwagon and you’re giving me Kyle bus the guy who has the greatest
Stats in the history of mankind at this place at a plus 115 number come on I got to jump on that well and see the guy out there who I am not going to be shocked to sit up here next week and us talking about him getting his first career
Victory okay and Ty Gibbs yeah is sitting there he’s plus 150 to Bell okay that’s a toughy but he’s plus 150 to Denny Hamlin and plus 125 to Martin trck Jr now I understand that’s his three teammates yeah but you know Ty Gibbs has not been the worst Gibbs car this year
No no has not been by far been very strong this year I like that against the Martin shx Jr one I mean the the one 25 to Martin TRX Jr that’s the one I like the best I like that I I like both the don’ts on Martin even though he’s so
Good here I just right now I I I like the Gibbs versus Martin and part of that is the value yes I mean if it was closer say plus 110 then maybe we’re not as excited about doing it but you get these plus 12 125s that makes a big difference
That makes a big huge difference in the head to head so I think I I I might have two this week might have two well you’re trying to nickel and dime me while I’m trying to nickel and dime you back back uh once again this is my show uh I am in
The who’s the only one positive in the it wasn’t your show two years ago when you were finishing dead last first year of the new car I needed a year to figure out the car but once I figured it out I’m like a hendrik car baby I’m up front
Every week I’m gonna be a Gibb’s car before it’s all over pick crew oh trust me we heard about it for a long time it was the first year of that new car since then though yeah it’s all back in the driver’s hands they’re a
Boeing 737 in the air right now is what they are oh did I say that ooh o ooh ooh that hurt all right well let’s just go over that one let’s get to let’s get to our get to our group matchups which is the other thing we love I guess we
Know one group we won’t be approaching for sponsorship of this show so group a wow is this a new record anybody remember is this the highest number we’ve seen in a group matchup uh for the long shot it’s pretty big but you know it’s interesting we got all
Four Gibbs cars and like I said this this is this a group a is a group a the guys at the Westgate definitely have a sense of humor here Christopher Bell is your favorite a co-favorite with Denny Hamlin at both 205 Martin shx Jr is a plus 320 which is normally a massive
Number in a group and then you go to plus 45 for Tai Gibbs the problem is he’s up against Christopher Bell Denny Hamlin H but is plus 415 enough of a number to entice me in a fourman horse race H and what what are his odds to win
The race Brandon uh Gibs is 10 to one to win the race or I can get a 415 on a fourman but a 415 in a very good likelihood that the winner is going to come out of that group I’m thinking if you want to bet Ty Gibbs in this
Situation bet him to win the race if because 10 to one and and I think that’s some of the stuff that Alex last week was probably pointing out as where to find that value you’re 415 for a four-man horse race but we do think the probability of one of the winners coming
Out of this group is high anyway and he’s 10 to1 to win the race so I I’d say go back him 10 to one to win the race as opposed to taking a 415 in this group I can’t disagree because the Chevrolets did not look good at at uh at Phoenix
Did not look as good as not as Toyotas so I I do agree if you’re going to take it take that hard to pick this group for me um that’s three of the four you know maybe I’m a little low on Trux but I’m still high on you know I mean I’m not
Low on Trux just I I I kind of like that let’s get to Group B and Group B has William Byron your favorite at 235 then the three guys Chris berer Brad keslowski Tyler reic all at 280 I’m kind of bummed that Chris is all the way up
To Group B here um because I won me with some Chris bercher money last week I like that Tyler reic as a dog though me too big time I I like the fact that he is the only Toyota in this group and he’s a and he is a competitive Toyota in
This group now William Byron William Byron being in group b is is very is the one thing that makes me go oh wish William Byron wasn’t in this group but you’re going to give me plus 280 on Tyler reck in group b when he’s the only
Toyota there I love Tyler reck yeah but you know in the in the fall during the playoff race Brad kazlowski six Chris bercher wins them four you know RFK was good there but I need to see RFK showing that to start this season I I don’t think that now they’ve been good but
They haven’t been a winning car yet they haven’t really competed for a win yet I agree I I just I man I do like that Tyler reic but but having both Chris bercher cashes tickets man and betting against Chris bercher just seems so he cashed one for you last week I believe
He’s C we we talked to Chris there’s nobody that’s cashed more tickets in the history of our show than than Chris berer I mean he is and the pressure we put on him every we do we tell just so everybody knows we tell Chris told that
That you know that he he absolutely but up in Group B I mean come on Westgate put him back down in D I mean maybe not F but give me a d for berer bet him every week that’s why hey they’re not stupid I
Do I do like reic here I do I do still like reic though it’s I’m torn I like reic I’m torn I don’t know if I’m going to bet it but I like it Group C though has one that I really do like Jeff and Group C starts with Chase Elliott at 250
Ross Chastain 265 Ryan blay 265 and the dog in this group yes the dog at plus 290 Kyle bus well I’m hinting that the way you’re talking about it you love the dog in this group I actually like Ryan blay in this group um I again I’m
Comparing this track a bit now the one that makes me most nervous here is Ross chest Dayton has what we remember we always talk about Ross’s stats you got to do you know kind of two eras of Ross but still he has a third place finish in
This race the spring race last year other than that nothing to write home about at Richmond even in the current ERA of when he’s got some gassis and better cars in there so I’m that the Chase Elliott thing I know everybody’s high on Chase Elliott you know four top
Fives nine races la la la I still don’t see it I you know Ryan blay Brian blay stats Jeff at this place three top 10 last 10 races average finish 15.8 so you don’t like blay either I don’t like blay at all see I just well I I’m trying to
Kind of compare this a little bit to Phoenix now and I think that’s why I like blay here I think some of what he’s done at Phoenix he can translate that over here to Richmond I don’t disagree with that a little bit but man I that
290 at Kyle Bush I’m it’s going to be hard for me to group C we might be going head to-head in that one it sounds like I like it I like it all right let’s get to Group D in group D we kick off with Daniel Suarez and Michael McDow your co-
Favorites or like I like to call them Michael McDougall my co-favorites uh Josh Barry 270 Noah Gregson 270 tough one here to handicap to me Noah Gregson is probably been running the best of these guys not finishing the best running the best Josh Barry has certainly been the the weaker of the
Four in this group and Daniel of course has a w this year but well you know where where who what when where why type thing this to me is the group that I can’t make a bet on it’s a throw up the X huh this this
Is my ex this week Group D is my ex group I can’t I can’t find who I’m going to say I like to to say oh here’s a stat that sticks out that says McDow Josh no I can’t find a stat the only guy that would win this group that would surprise
Me would be Josh Barry right now the other three winning this group would not surprise me at all and and I think that’s the reason why we’re seeing it so close we got a pair of 265s and a pair of 270s because it is that close so I’m
With you I I certainly wouldn’t bet this group this week um so if you really just feel like hey I’m somebody that’s got to go bet every group I’m sorry I can’t give you one I can’t give you one in this one uh but group E we have this is
Some fun names here it’s going to be hard to handicap but there’s some fun names here Carson hos ofar already worked his way out of group F he’s in group E plus 260 John Hunter n Eric Jones and Ryan priest all at 270 surprises me Ryan priest is you know 270
With Stuart hos racing but he really hasn’t done anything for us right I mean Ryan just hasn’t kind of hadn’t showed up honestly I like I know you like neek I know you’re going to go right to neek I like josar how he’s been running I
Just I like either with the Legacy cars I agree hos ofar has been running well um I I do I think he’s been averaging a 15th to 20th Place finish Improvement that Toyota’s made to the short track program and I Jones though never been good here I it doesn’t matter
If he was with Gibbs never been good here yeah and John Hunter has run well there in the other series before so like I’m trying to find Eric and oh Eric average finish 23.7 10 races zero top 10 like I said if you got to take somebody I’m taking John
Hunter I’m not but we’re allowed to disagree all right guys we got our final segment where we give you group F our props and our picks and uh I get to tell you once again who’s in the Lead South Point is also proud to provide a variety of relaxing amenities for the guests who want to be pampered soak up the sun and let your stress melt away in our lagoon style Paradise Swimming Pool a relaxing getaway where you can bask in the desert sun and enjoy
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Texas holdom and Mississippi Stud so get out of your room and come join in the fun Welcome back the two youths the two ofas as Anne says an just got transported to Brooklyn or something or the Bronx the two Utes uh Jeff molley Bron gone back in the what a back in the South Studio I love that the best movies my favorite movies my cousin Vinnie my
Cousin Vinnie is the and we have my cousin we have my cousin he was on the show last hanging out the South Point Studio right in front of of course the South Point sports book and Mr Molly we are our last segment where we are just
Getting ready to wrap up group F and group f is normally one that we we like to group F has kind of always been one of our favorites right I me it’s it’s an old favorite on the show we used to call it the Ron flatter group for in an Ode
To our former co-host here on the gone racing show Mr horse racing that’s right Mr horse racing uh we kick off group F Austin Cedric at 260 Todd Gill Cory lejy Ricky St Jr all at 270 um the only thing I can say is Austin syndric is actually running
Better Todd Gillan is running better Todd Gillan has been running phenomenally not finishing phenomenally Cory Le Joy is another one running much better not finishing and Cory normally knows how to finish but you know I I just it’s this I mean if I had to pick somebody here I’d say Stenhouse is
Probably the guy that but but then where is Sten house on here uh let’s average finished 20.4 last 10 races Cory Joy average finished 27 well I think that there’s one conclusion that we’re reaching here Brendan and that is group is pi group F this week group F not our group this
Week group F just not not going to quite cut it for us so sorry group F that’s we we’re out on you uh our last pick of course is our prop bet and this week we have uh the once again though Toyota Chevrolet not the favorite in our prop
Bet this week um Toyota still the favorite at plus 120 Chevy is plus 140 and then Ford at plus 350 is that enough enticement to jump on the forign badwagon no who would you pick if you could pick a Ford because we didn’t talk about Jo
You know who we didn’t talk about once today Joy L well we talked about him not being in the top 16 in points that’s about it that’s about it honestly if I were going to pick a Ford it would probably be Ryan blay but I don’t know
That I see ran blay winning and and what’s funny is we went through this whole show never gave any love to Joey who who has in the last 10 races remember that’s the stats I I always have the 10 races he’s got five top five seven top 10s average finish 7.2 just I
I guess I need to see something from that team right now I mean it’s they’re a little they’re a little know it’s in there I mean we know it’s in there I’m looking back to Phoenix cuz we think this is a little like Phoenix and Lano
Not had an accident not running good at Phoenix um hasn’t been great I mean he’s you know runs well just not great right now so I think that 350 on Ford is definitely deserved I and I honestly think that Chevy should be about a plus 180 well look who are the four favorites
To win the race the four Gibbs cars Gib and they’re all Toyotas so to me I don’t think that the odds are really actually that fair on Chevrolet if you want to know the truth I think if you’re going to bet anybody here go with the favorite
The plus 120 and and try to take that I but it’s it’s such a small return the manufacturer prop is a tough one this week it is a hard one this week um so I’m I’m kind of on the same boat with you I just I I it’s tough and let’s face
It you don’t want to talk about manufacturer props because you can’t wait well actually we got I can do the championship OD I can slow I can slow roll it one second I mean I can I can at least wait one more second to Pat me on
The back again I mean my arms kind of hurts from you know Brendon will miss the next two weeks for rotator cuff Sur that he has received from patting himself on the back you know I came from the I came in the in the trunk two weeks
Ago to the front just saying I mean the guy has no voice in Mexico a week ago and he’s he all he did when then think about this Brendan not being able to talk and then and then you so what did you do you spent your time researching
And making picks for the race last weekend in Austin and you kicked all of our butts you know should have been five for five but uh right now the odds haven’t changed a lot we just said William Byron went from 700 to 600 so it hasn’t moved a whole lot there still a
Lot of value on this page to me though I believe Chris Bucher I’m I’m a Believer you know believe in berer and at 25 to1 I think that’s huge Ty Gibbs who you’ve been we talked a ton about this show Tai Gibbs 20 to1 Tyler reic 14 to one those
Are names to me that just scream value value value on the championship odds jump on them now I agree but the one thing that they’ve got to start doing though is they’ve got to start compiling some playoff points because if they don’t start compiling some playoff points even when they make the playoffs
As we found out with Harvick a couple years ago you know and as we found out with with with Martin TRX last year being able to survive the abysmal run that he had because he had all those playoff points going in so at some point Ty Gibbs is is good in his consistency’s
Been he’s got to get some he’s got to start getting some playoff okay let’s stop talking about that let’s talk about last week’s results um last week was a uh mediocre week for Mr Motley a a situation normal week for chher Bell won for everybody by the way C Bell did win
Um and the P crew came with a A minus .25 with Cel so I mean you know can’t can’t knock that one um they they at least they’re only they’re a poultry minus 2.5 on the season Mr Motley you got yourself a a win with a l a uh with
Cell yeah with cell that’s right cell won for every three of us got a winner so you’re you’re minus 6 point you’re bringing up the trunk of the field but Brendan gone your winner in the clubhouse on this I had quite a few good ones uh I almost had almond Dinger too
Almond Dinger was only a couple spots behind Tai Gibbs mind you I just I was right there with almond Dinger I could have won that one uh Larson beat SVG uh Kyle Bush in the top three that was he was running good enough but him and cell
Kind of got into each other but I got my cell top three and uh I got my my Chris Bucher gave me thew for the uh I I I can’t recall being more disinterested in a segment of the show than I am right now I’m that’s my show today I’m hosting
So I get to talk about it a lot see you should have hosted this week then you could have just skipped by this one gone right to the pick but somehow I don’t think you would have allowed that I mean it’s it’s our show we share congratulations I love you like a
Brother you know it for the season I am now back on top plus 7.3 units uh and we go worst to First here and that would be the P oh no okay Mr Motley gets to kick off the uh betting picks this week I get it
Okay I’m actually going to go into a top three GNA give me William Byron at a plus 300 for top three as run as he’s well as he’s running I’m going to take William Byron there to plus 300 I’m going two driver head-to heads um Kyle
Bus over Chase Elliott plus 115 and Ty Gibbs he he is not going to be the worst car in the Gibbs camp this week I got it Tai Gibbs plus 125 over Martin tricks Jr and then I’m going to go into the groups uh Tyler reck being the long shot at
Plus 280 in group b and maybe the one I feel the least confident about I’m going to go Ryan blay at plus 265 five in group C see that just between me and Jeff I feel confident about all my picks and those of you who are listening
On SiriusXM and see that silence it’s because I have no response for it and Brennan is just sitting over here laughing silently I’m having fun right now Mr mle I think you need to read the pit crew picks okay I’m G read the pit crew piics
Pit crew is uh they do not believe in the in the uh Martin shx Jr having a bad day so they are going with Martin shx Jr versus Christopher Bell plus 130 in the head to heads they’re all they’re going on a bell don’t line what did I say
Don’t bet the Bell don’t line I am not on thatw I’m just saying Larson versus Bell at plus 150 then they’re giving bush in the top three at plus 400 I do like that one they got Chevy at plus 140 and Suarez my my muchachito at plus 265 in group
D interesting picks on that good luck very very interesting very who am I who am I say anything I’m in last place yeah I mean now so me I’m taking a different approach this week um no I’m not I’m going the same way I’ve been going I got
One top three and I am on the Jeff Motley bandwagon here Ty Gibbs top three I really really do believe the kid is showing some some strength right now he’s showing Poise he’s running really well and for a top three he’s plus 250 I like it when we do our social
Media clip can that be the social media clip when Brendan says he’s on the Jeff mle bandwagon Jeff mle bandwagon I think that should be our social media clip this week and listen you as I had the worst pick ever last year with Martin Tru being the disappointment I was wrong until the
Playoffs you are so far 100% right with still got a long way to go but a good start uh then I’m going two head-to heads uh I I just Larsson at plus 150 was sitting there screaming about seel but I like seabel too much so I’m
Going Larson versus TRX Jr at plus 125 I um I I think that Martin is just even though Phoenix didn’t work out quite though all I I don’t see hendrik having two bad races in a row like that so I got Larson over Trux and I’ve also with
You Kyle bus over Chase Elliott I I just Kyle’s running way too so much better than Chase even though we’re talking about the RCR being down so there’s my two head to heads then I got two groups kicking off first Kyle Bush in group C I’m on the Kyle Bush bandwagon at Plus
290 versus the guys right there I got him in a head-to-head and I got him in a group versus Chase lot lot of confidence on got a lot of confidence in KY Bush I’m going to call him after this and tell him don’t let me down or he’s
Paying for Michaels next time and I am going to start putting my money on where my mouth is with this [ __ ] host of Carson host of our kid I just I like what I see I mean I Spire Motorsports not the biggest team in the world but you know what this kid
Is is showing some some uh some Next Level skills here a rookie I’m going Carson josar group E Carson Carson josar group e no I like and I like hos ofar and I think yeah you’re right he look he Pro proved himself the quality racer he
Is in the lower Series yeah I I just he’s done well and and I I wasn’t expecting a lot out of that Spire Motorsports car but you know what that they’re looking they’re top 15 15s and 20s that wins this group well look there’s a lot of guys out there with a
Lot better equipment than him that he’s been be he’s been kicking their butt every week from week to week so no I I I I like the host of our thing I I didn’t have the guts to pick it but when you’re leading you can I got I I like it I just
The kid I hope we can maybe we can start calling him our next Chris bercher where you know he stays in that those lower groups and gets those picks for us well Molly we have we have uh professionally unprofessional our way through another show amazingly enough another show now
We get to go through Richmond your least favorite RAC track on the I might have to be sick next week and we should say it is your least favorite racetrack to race on yes you didn’t hate going you just didn’t like racing it and and
They got it is the fan fley track I mean they they’ve got you know great racing it’s 34 wide you think I would like it because it’s similar to Irwindale which I dominated Irwindale on the west coast but I just never could get around that
Joint um so it it uh when Dennis BP was in charge I used to have a lot of fun messing with him one thing our better should watch out for we’re going to be in Iowa this year very similar racetracks supposed supposedly very similar to to Richmond built Richmond
May help you get an idea of what’s going to how things are going to go at Iowa I’m just saying I just all right well that’s our show for today thank you guys very much hopefully uh you can go to the beted encounter like I have every week
Right now and make cash them tickets or listen to mle I’m just saying you got two choices thank you guys we’ll be with you next week break down what we did at Richmond and lead into uh Martinsville thank You
