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Oh yes yes yo you don’t stop Big John come rocking the short shot we are back again moving a million miles an hour as always racing towards the 2024 season actually remembered by video intro welcome back mail media Big Johnny stud coming at you we are live right now we
Jumping right into the draft and already started we’re winding up the Dinger here turn $10 into 100K baby baby if that don’t get you going I don’t know what will hopefully I’m getting a little better at this stream stuff I’m Gonna Leave the board up for you I’m gonna
Make my picks on the side who am I it’s the gam sugar Big Johnny stud coming to you worldwide from brooken New York coming out the chairs always b b Johnny stud baby you know it poet you didn’t know it okay I think this is the third live stream we’ve done thank
You to everybody that has watched and put up with this stuff um yeah you gotta play this on the dog right now is really the time where at like 95% f are right at the very end there really is a Unique Edge to playing at the end of beste
Balll if you’re unfamiliar right beste ball is no moves man I should I should hold on I get to that in a second basetball is no moves right no trading and no waivers or anything like that so basically the earlier you draft right the more theoretical value that there is
But the flip side would be uh play gets hurt and you know they’re and there’s only 20 slots very hard to take zeros maybe impossible to take two zeros so there you know if you waited you don’t really have to feel like you’ve missed a boat on this one whatso
Ever and yeah I’m push I’m pushing for I’ve been playing throughout and that’s probably one of my big assessments is as much as I love the early on of course I was able to build some teams I wasn’t able to before I got the first pick number 11 the audio
People I’m not sure if we have audio people so if you’re not looking at your screen I have the 11 get used to the first 10 picks all being outfielders which they were I’m going to Pivot we’re going to go to sper Strider right there’s just a huge separation between
Strider and the field I feel like you really have to reach for the next outfielder which is usually Kyle schwarber this one went ad dois Garcia I’m going to go the other way I generally put back push back infielders a little bit I’m trying to
Think how we attack this one you know at my ranks you can’t see them I have Olen Bryce Harper but I’m thinking about mebe going with Luis Robert no let’s go with the best player man let’s go with Olsson I don’t think I have a bunch of Olsen
Because again if you looken to the other ones if not I mean there’s probably a bit to pull from them the very first one we talked about a lot of macro strategy I I probably started the stream too early and so we were bsing for a while
Before the drift popped off that porge was too cold uh this one I popped off was already going maybe it’s a little bit too hot the last one might have been right in the middle right we started maybe two or three people we get to talk about how we use the format our
Advantage and then really the player pool so just briefly because this stuff does really matter and I really want to hammer at home 20 rounds three positional baskets infield Outfield pitchers no relievers so Outfield doesn’t really change much right you’re starting three infielders three outfielders a flex
Three pitchers what I’m getting it is a lot of fantasy Leagues play with three outfielders there are three outfielders in real life so that is kind of the reason why they can push up because amalgamating where combining catch a first second short third all together that put them all on the
Blender opens up the player pool to Everyday plate appearances in the very last rounds of the drafts if you’re drafting infielders now I may have taken that a bit too far at first going purely uh infielder or purely pitching uh at the end always pushing up outfields always to front I have
Multiple drafts from my first like six see I was going to say seven outfielders there’s probably a little bowl to spin right or spinning bowls when we have to stop for a second to kind of rebuild the argument in Branch if you don’t know what I’m talking about remember the gong
Show the circus movie is playing guy his name is Eric Bren spinning bows on sticks the idea being providing you come back to the Bowl you can keep it spinning for as long as you want but you have to come back and the same thing for
Ideas so you can kind of leave them spinning but you got to come back so you’ll see this second round littered with with infielders Austin Riley Bryce Harper those guys are Big Time Players and I see playing in this format again its points not really standard though I
Ran a lot of the correlations in it kind of is really like an Ops thing so you talking Ops again Harper Austin Riley are goats so it is okay to go with the big infielder in the second like I just did but what ends up happening you
Got to leave some spaces right so I went too hard drafts that were all six then where I was getting at seven outfielders that’s the mistake not to say having seven outfielders is a mistake but if you go six up front you got to cut it in
Fact there might even be an argument that if you were to go first five you should probably cut it because of the flex and all the injuries I Ted not I always want seven pitchers which leaves what 13 hitters which means six and seven there’s your answer why if you go early outfielders
That should be six now if I end up with another infielder the next two or three picks kind of unusual for me then maybe that would be different you slant the other way but if you’re G to put your chips in the middle the outfielders fill in with
Volume on the other side pitching I don’t know you can have enough pitching and I’ve taken other route maybe the next time we’ll do that where oh I guess you know what maybe we’ll do it this time let’s do it on the Fly we’ll do it this time so we’re going
To go this is last time was a hitter build right I’m not even sure if we pulled it off at outfielder build did I go old pitches at the end last time maybe we did that bu was it say where you could let’s say you wanted to earn quote
Unquote the extra pitcher if you could cut down the hitter right go 668 to compensate for pitching injuries then you really probably want all those hitters really up like almost probably 10 to the first 12 now me having Strider and olon right this is way off my usual path of Outfield the
First and then pitching but you got to go with this different ways I do all my own ranks a lot of fantasy work you check me out on Twitter John Lea like is there a thing for that is probably gonna go over my face probably I don’t know I’m still
Learning I’m not that smart I think I I think I I think I sound smarter than I anyway my name is John the gay J hn L hzza and that’s a Twitter handle X you know hit me up pin tweets got all kinds of information I I like to think I have
A lot of good stuff it’s kind of my D self-made and you know bad jokes and stuff like that all right we are back on the clock I got Brian Reynolds up top then wheeler and Lopez so you can see where I listen strer is
An animal all to his own but you can see why you can wait on a little bit of pitching because plus wheeler and Lopez are such goats I’m going to go with my ranks and kind of go with the auto here I’ve got Brian Reynolds queued up he’s had a great
Spring he’s a really good hitter you know he does a lot of the things that we that we want right you want to important point I walk through all the scoring we don’t want to do that every single time but walks count the same as hits so
On base matters BR has a great average anyway but like homers and Steels I actually think that lineup is about to get a huge boost where back on the clock I almost if it looks like I’m not paying attention that’s fine I’m okay with that because my these ranks are constantly
Updated again you get part of my data pack if he wants 10 bucks for the year but I’m not trying to shill anything like that we do want you to sign up for Underdog the promo code M MN Max the first 100 bucks hop in a couple dingers
They have a couple of3 drafts going on I like that I’ve got wheeler then Lopez I want I don’t want I can’t say no I’m gonna stick with the ranks I got wheeler up next you know so we could just call this the uh the best player draft the you know is that
That’s a football Community thing right draft of good players have TI Adam and those boys doing a some work at ETR B Deo man Superstar stuff going on over there all right so we’re looking pretty good decent balance got in Reynolds I’m outside of firmly outside of my comfort
Zone I want you to see it happen not to say I’m sacrificing this draft because we don’t know but I am going to keep an eye on outfielders because you know I’m not pushing them up for my health and I’m not even pushing them up honestly because the projections happen so far
Ahead that’s not the case it runs out and it runs out fast I think the last draft we did by around 16 people are drafting like part-time platoon players okay let’s be let’s be very very very clear about this I said it’s an Ops league right we mentioned like balance
And roster construction and stuff like that all those things absolutely matter right there that’s be stupid to say they don’t like but but but but but like big shaking but right like the garden hose and the soapy water and like the you know Southern rappers and stuff but you’re not going anywhere with
Parttime players in this game you’re not going anywhere with parttime players maybe maybe I’ll entertain I’ll entertain a few kind of like outliers at the very end of here we’re here giving names you know me you know Patty we don’t H we put the contact out front man
It’s rough slug man Nelson vasqu to the Royals he’s a master right those kind of guys again that could score in spikes because in basketball no waivers no traits the scoring is kept on a weekly basis resets computer optimizes all the best scores so players that are spiky
Are great right even better than some flat players but God like velas excuse me one second or guy like Matt Wallner of the twins yeah these guys can B and get you the nine home runs in a week that’s going to be huge but they’re real threat of losing
Pas I think I like wner more than I like Velasquez he’s one of the buried names Circle him as Elite outfielder maybe rafhaela who looks like he’s gonna get the job who looks like he earned a job in Boston excuse me he’ll probably be the everyday center
Fielder that might take some Pas away from a guy like O’Neal I don’t know he struggles with injuries already the more you think about it right going back to what we mentioned earlier on 30 teams three outfielders 90 outfielders however right b b get the what happened to that pointy
Um how many of them are legit Stars right how many of these how many of the 90 are you know every single day and that’s it just runs out much faster than you think because we’ve had you know the Inception of platooning utility guys kind of moving in and out
Ends up shrinking that pull down from 90 we’ve got 12 people in the draft room right we saying everybody’s going for six outfielders 6 * 12 72 so I didn’t answer that number at first because that was up to you to answer now you could say like wait
What what if your answer was 68 or 69 69 dude what if your answer was 69 so there’s only 69 like viable everyday kind of starters right start worthy hitters again there are guys that got St Riz that get drafted this I’m not touching St Riz with your mother kid me no
Than so right off the bat even that pool the pools pool you know Get shrunk down again why outfielders are always kind of pushed to the four not say you got it cut out of the box with six I’m not doing it here but we are going to we are
Going to have focus on it I think I’m getting better at this drafting stuff you’re seeing I’m knocking down one at a time again um more just again we’re on the clock I like my my rankings I’m I do provide these as part of it you can
Upload them and you’re just got to walk away and you’re going have one of my teams I don’t know why I did that but I did because I like to overd deliver man it’s a really tough world I also I come from nothing so like I know it’s it’s a
Lot to answer people for money so we’re we have um Nick castanos absolutely love that you know he like a 35 hog 12 steel kind of guy he was pretty good last year and that’s the bounce back right after a big contract so I think C could be excellent good
Outfield to what I wanted to get at it was the pitching right so had you waited on pitching right if you’re saying to yourself what if I wait on pitching what does that look like well we’re at the very end of the fifth we’re technically in the sixth remaining pitchers Tyler
Glass now George Kirby Blake Snell those are my top guys on my pitching list so there’s pitching here that’s why I think you could wait again I think shrider is the unique scenario looking back maybe I could have passed Zack Wheeler I really love Zack Wheeler I think he has a
Chance to be the number one overall and that’s why you need different builds again this is a $10 draft what if it’s a 100K baby baby baby you know hop on in use the code mmn Mayo media Network they’re gonna match you 100 bucks man I wanna I GNA go off okay my
Next one so I’ve got a couple of cubs I’ve got seya Suzuki up next he’s looked really good this spring and I think again you hear me talk about that a lot um right we talk about expectations and trajectory I actually like the show because it’s so fast moving that I don’t
Get to go into my spreadsheets where all the nerdy stuff if you want that we’ll be here with this show Monday through Friday thank you Patty thank you other dog we be rocking and roll with baby baby baby baby getting paain in the shade laid like an egg you know what I’m
Saying doing Underdog par and then again we’re gonna just so the show will be not like my other ones where I covered every game a million miles an hour what this will be is we’re gonna I’m gonna piece together a parlay but we’re gonna highlight you know all the stuff dark
Sheep up in the room yo man what’s going on thank you for jumping in live I’ll tell you what if you can we could link up again there’s only a couple days but anybody not following dark sheep make sure you follow him and Kuma and all the
Underdog crew you know me I’m here to kind of I like LV so do sheep doing great work and my man get up in the Twitter DMS if you want to jump in for one Dinger is running out but I’m down for a bullpen if you’d like anytime hit
Me up on schedu it and we got Brad wgm John on the end you love to see it Brad thank you so so much man really do appreciate right right back by popular demand i’ like to think we have a very kind of engaging audience I you know
What is yo I just don’t BS people right you’re not getting it for me I’m real I play I study I work really hard at the work the the games but then at the conentration part of St you know to really open up and try and give people digestible entertaining and interesting
Stuff to go with and you know man enough people got those comments says how you do it man you know pressing like buttons stick your cortoon finger right up inside me you know what I mean you’re pressing Bells you’re pressing buttons you’re just smashing stupid things on a
Screen and it matters because we’re in like this algorithmic world where again I honestly mean this Brad says he subbed last year wer wire pick worth it alone thank you very very much that also was part of the D I pump you get all this like data and ranks I have translations
For all the best ball sites so you can go all my stuff you get Underdog projections per plate appearance and total I also have my own Underdog rankings you can upload but yeah comes in waiver stuff I think it’s a big one to have listen this is what I do you
Just have somebody that’s got their ear to the ground that you get an email every week and it’s like yes you know you’re not gonna miss on those big picks and some weeks you’re good like I get it you know a lot of people are in 10 12
Team leagues and you’re not always adding but we all know especially if they’re competing when you lose a player and you need to fill in I like to think I’m right there you know again M filling the Bo so what do we got promo code is MM it’s up there in
The corner that’s in a match 100 bucks don’t spend it all on draft people because we want to we want to make some money in the uh in the in the prop M you know we’re going to do these parlays we’re gonna watch we’re going to do a lot we’re
Going to do a lot of learning we’re going to do a lot of understanding and hopefully we’re going to do a lot of moneymaking I have found I love scitech Underdog they liow to Parlay remember they allow to Parlay without like OD are not really
Adjust so they give you a set parlay so those picks have a price the reason that matters that gives you a benchmark to beat so we kind of have the price know it going into the store all right we are back on the clock again if you’ve
Noticed I have not done much stressing at all why I have my own personal ranks they’re available as well but I this this game moves very very very fast so you don’t want to overreact you want to understand the landscape I said where the outfields are going to go and how
We’re going to pick up on them again what does the pitching look like Bobby Miller still good Logan Gilbert Zack eth still really good but now the outfielders are going I’m gonna take the top player on my board outfielder Jordan Walker for the Cardinals looking for a step up right I mentioned trajectory
Earlier on yes we all love projections use projections I’m back on the clock James outman went who I also really really like man I’ve got I’ve actually got a bunch of pitchers in here now I think that’s going to go they’re just really they’re just too good Bobby
Miller I can’t say no I can’t say no to Bobby Miller so right now we’re looking pretty strong we we’ve got Strider Zack Wheeler Bobby Miller as far as pitchers I want to make a point right here right spinning balls the call music is playing we are spinning balls on sticks there’s 20
Freaking bows fly and run around again I I sometimes I could be say BR I can always be Brash I’m always like kind of obnoxious that’s another point you want to come in steadfast right have an understanding of the player pool and the construction how I want my positional
Stuff the lay out because I know that there are a lot of infielders available at the end that’s a piece of information that you just can’t you just can’t iroll now at a point there’s a couple interesting pictures then again don’t put your too much faith in these fantasy
You know helium guys I love them too you don’t I love cter Crawford I do I think Joe Bole could be awesome again we don’t want to rely on these guys savali is available at the back end he’s probably a little more of a steady Eddie right
There are good pitchers there are good outfielders H infielders excuse me there are good pitchers and good infielders there are no outfielders at all but here’s that the ball that we were just on having a pitching St like that’s like I really landed on I I mean I know I
Ranked them I’m supposed to like my ranks but Strider wheeler and Miller have a chance to be the one two three that’s also how I like to draft pitchers I don’t I say I don’t like distance guys quality starts matter wins matter Logan web frame Val is looking at you but I
Really would rather the impact especially when they come on really good teams right Braves are gonna win games for Strider the Phillies is gonna win games for wheeler the Dodgers is gonna win games for um Miller you know that that stuff absolutely matters again in this one something I should have
Mentioned earlier with the pitching scoring there’s no there’s no punishment J I gonna get you right now there’s no punishment for base runners just for earn runs and once you hear that immediately means Dylan C Blake snow right can go up we mentioned it last time lack of
Control can end up stunting the possibility of getting to the six innings in the quality start but when you’ve got the Stanky filth like they do and they go late enough it’s okay Jen Joseph says Birdman did a mad job did my first dress last night loving the breakdown Jen Joseph touching me
Right there and look the comics popped up and move me out of the way look at me you think I know what I’m doing here appreciate it man you know very few people bring bring it like I do and I know that it’s that again but we do life
Lessons as we’re doing understanding right so there’s always that bowl is always spinning to it means a lot to me that the information and the lessons that we talk about are the types of things that may resonate outside of a draft room when we talk about opportunity cost and paying premiums and
What it means to sacrifice for later on for a bigger picture of you right the things that really really really matter these are the things that will help you make better decisions in your real life which good going make you a better player and lead you more money but it’s
GNA make you better decision make you make better decisions outside which will load up that account number you know which is really what it’s all about at the end of gener really that stuff matters so so much to me I know you know get up in the comments let us know how
We’re doing take Patty on social media let them know how we’re doing it you’re having a lot of fun with these drafts I mean who else fills the air time Like I Do by themselves it’s insane right just absolutely love it let’s get back to the draft for people follow like I thought
We were trying to make money at Underdog w we we we are we are and hopefully we’re gonna I love the $100 match from the first deposit people be smart right watch one or two of our drafts here look at the boards you can always hit me up
You check out my ranks I’m I’m here for you right and again I’m or I’m the type if you show the extra effort listen I’m not here to take you out I’m I’m gonna help you right that’s how I do and the one thing I do ask though sometimes if
You if you have good questions some people has bad questions if you have good questions you hit me up on Twitter in public that’s it’s not that I don’t want to put my time into you it’s just the opposite if it’s beneficial we we want to share it with everyone right
That’s the idea I mentioned the rising Tides all right so where in a few picks again I I was sweating my own pitching staff ster wheeler Miller looking really strong the one infielder Matt Olsen which again I like if you know that there are infielders at the end that
You’re gonna be able to build around you still want to really have a superstar up front so I’ve been leaning towards that though I am backloading I’m not putting it all off because let’s not confuse Matt Olson is better than Ty France I mentioned Ty FR
Because he’s a guy that I like in the last rounds number three h went the drive line good team plays every single day right all the things that we’re looking for in the last round pick we’re at three pitchers one infielder four outfielders that’s Reynolds castanos Suzuki Jordan
Walker I’m gonna go back I’m gonna go back we’re gonna go back to the outfielder well again I’m just deciding I’ve got Jung Huli ELO jenez and Jaren Duran I want to add some hul Lee to my portfolio and I’m I’m hoping one of the
Other two Eloy or or Duran make it back now I wanted to bring it up I told I told myself I wasn’t going to do we weren’t going to do any stats this is not like the time of the place but I I can’t help it because I I thought he was going
Nuts yeah Jung hul Le is batting batting 414 with a th000 Ops he’s got a homer and two Steels again um think what you want about homers in spring training Steels kind of matter we also want to make sure this guy’s not overmatched they paid the Giants paid him they’re
Looking to be competitive so like jul Le could be an everyday leadoff guy that you’re getting pretty late the player at the turn went with Marly so we’re get one of our guys then went Monty we get a choice ELO jenez with the big ceiling jiren Durant probably a little more of a
Steady Eddie we’ve got Reynolds castanos Suzuki Walker juli the reason I mentioned right you always want to see if you when you’re making these coin flip decisions if you can pair right there’s nothing wrong with that all right I get I GNA go J and dur
I’m gonna go with Duran I don’t want I’ve been this is just personal I’ve been drafting um Eloy so it’s not that I necessarily have to ran much further than him but we all know the thing with EVO he already missed games you know a guy like him is so enticing it’s so
Tempting to be like if we get the 600 plate appearance season from Eloy he’s got the tools to be the League winner right that’s that’s a fact we need to look at them in it’s way all right let’s take a second while running the bases I’m gonna still run my mouth but I’m
Gonna pay some pay some bills or I’m not because I don’t doing there I am no that’s not that’s not what I was trying to do oh yeah what the heck man all right let’s see if I can figure this thing out oh here we go there it is all right there it
Is you must be 18 to play present in present in aate where Underdog operates terms apply make sure you’re checking all that stuff call 1800 Gambler if you have a problem I actually got a little um a little ticker I think here I thought I was gonna do all right so
There we go just um want to make sure again you know it’s funny in this age of gambling now you know and like legalization and availability that’s important that we we stop all the time and and talk about that sometimes right that I hate all that I hate all the the
Tropes right because that’s a good way to get yourself into trouble to like think you know because you memorized a couple of like phrases you know uh only gamble what you could lose something like that again it’s you know it’s a good idea but I feel like the challenge he a little
Bit further so let’s just talk about risk really quick people you know and this even goes for Underdog right so you signed up you put in the 100 they match the 100 you’re look at at 200 very easy to just say all right I’m gonna blow two
Drafts was it different ways to approach it right you could watch look and study first have a plan maybe before you do the $10 Dinger for the 100K maybe you jump into the $3 Bullpen I think the winner is 2K 5K might be 5K the pool is much smaller
It’s 16 weeks of the regular season everybody the top two teams Advance which again why answers a lot of if you were wondering like a lot of the assertions I made before are answered by that you know what I mentioned be wearing uh platoon players right or Guys Without
Ceilings pitchers that are not going to get quality stuff to wins you know the needle moving stuff is uh is really big I’m sorry I lost my P thought for a second I about um preparation before execution is more important than telling people don’t just you know don’t if you
Don’t care about the money like you could just kind of lose it and and that really should never be the case Mar what’s going on man thank you so much for joining on the Stream here may medet I remember seeing a player win a million he proed to max out a lot of
Contest later he disappeared stuff happens that stuff happens I I believe it or not you know well listen I’ll be the first person to tell you money does not buy happiness I’m much happier with that’s weird like I have less I’m not flashy I wear like black t-shirts and
Stuff drive like M’s car but like I ow everything that I have right don’t I don’t live in debt you probably get that from the way that I talk and act and for young people especially or people in trouble that’s the first thing you should do a decent
For the rist stuff right about understanding before you execute let’s make our two draft picks and we’ll do my my favorite wrist lesson absolute favorite R lesson so let’s see we’re at three pitchers and infielder and six outfielders because we didn’t get an outfielder until pick 35 this could be a seven outfielder
Team but I see my boy uh Tanner BBY is up there and that’s where I think I’m going to go I really like BBY I’m going to keep solidifying pitching staff again right Cleveland very good at developing young pitchers by becoming off a really good season really strong
Season I’m hoping I I didn’t want to say over I didn’t want to say it I didn’t know if the guy the cor was listening but it got me I W that’s where I was gonna go was Bailey obber that was the next on mine I was actually
Deciding now I’m actually looking I’ve got next up I’ve actually got the going the last outfielder we’re g to go captain Jack swinsky I mean you know this is like a right again I said everyday potential 35 homers he also want steel 15 bags he’s also young and
There’s room for growth right again tying in all the trajectory stuff so here’s the rest lesson most important thing you can do little harder to apply with Drafting and basketball drafts but a $3 price point for Bullpen when you get1 for dollar is is manageable but this to the betting stuff
Props I’m trading right I have a that’s kind of where I come from if you’re familiar I have a background in derivatives trading we started a Futures Trading Company a long time ago it’s the fun but it’s it’s very highp speed so it’s highs speeed cash leverage you know fully liquid market
And it’s just lightning fast and you understand a lot about leverage really quick man I lost more money than I care to admit in uh in just a second Jen really up and coming one of my favorite listeners right now says bankr management is so underrated check this
Out let’s see if you’ve heard this one before okay when you ask yourself why did the the big Casino hire like these total meatballs and morons yeah why because they what your freaking money yo you not honestly and I be honest I’ve had this conversation in behind the
Scenes that you know I’ve been told they’re not really interested in the kind of better I’m going to bring in right books are not interested in the kind of better I’m going to bring it right somebody that’s okay Killers right we’re killers and we’re happy about that
Right we we’re degenerate in the best way right we’re thirsty for knowledge we’re obsessed with success we back test we’re plus EV betters and we have a a risk plan so what I like to do Jen is called the combine John C I see you thank you so much you can’t see me
Um is the combine and I learned this as a young man in derivativ trading and it goes to sports betting times 10 all the feed comments and advice I’ve ever given is probably the one that’s gotten the most positive feedback is just before you go live and
This we can do right because remember the the promo C we don’t want to treat we’re happy we appreciate it mmn is the code up there in the core but it’s not to be lost like we’re going to treat it as money right you got to be careful
Some people write easy come easy go we don’t want to be that way we want to we want to cherish it right we wanna that money counts okay we’re going to treat it as if we put in 200 but what you should do before you
Put a single dollar of any of your owny is one come up with a plan and then two try and execute that plan notice no mention of funding an account okay because sports betting is very hard right there’s also a million opportunities so there’s no rush it’s
Like stop you have to rush oh my God you don’t have to get in the market it’s here tomorrow it’s here the next day literally infinite opportunities okay so what you should do is prove to yourself prove to me right like who cares what I
Think what I think at 250 gets you on the bus over here but you prove to yourself that you can be profitable okay and the the problem is the push back again is like it’s like what if you what it’s like what if you make a million
Dollars the first week guess what you’re not gonna make a million dollars first week the chance are you’re gonna fall flat in your face the first like five times that’s generally about the average of challenge yourself can you be profitable over 14 days or 30 days on
Paper pen and about cash right $100 Yankees one 10 mL Lind strike out whatever whatever the hell it may be and after a week if you could show you a profit then you say I’m go live guess what it’s negative reset negative it’s reset and that’s usually what
Happens is it takes people three four five worlds and they come back to me and go dude you just saved me three binds now it’s not just the money again I don’t want the money that emotional confidence that you get look I’m looking at the board right now I’m talking over
This draft totally but man Matt McLean you got to fix your you got to fix your your ranks my friend Matt McLean you can’t be a 12th round pick he’s gonna miss a ton of time Cody s cannot be a 13th round pick he’s gonna miss a ton of
Time as well all right we’re up in a couple picks let me address John’s question John actually asking a relevant question like what you doing trying to keep us on topic here what’s the matter what you doing Johnny thank you so much man appreciate you Johnny says what’s been your favorite roster construction
I’ve been landing on a lot of s s6s this is fantastic we we covered this in detail so I’ll just do it quickly I think you I almost okay the number should depend on the how you put the capital I find you always want seven pitchers because they’re always hurt
Meaning like even if you were to draft six pitchers up top I you’re still GNA get injured so yeah I I also have done normally seven six sens but for me the seven isn’t automatic pitchers the 764 the hitters is where I differentiate depending on where I
Invested oh I’m starting to see my rankings get used against me a couple of guys I have ahead of the market just went so krien Hayes one of the infielders that I really really like Isaac Fred is one of the infielders that I really really really like both off the
Clock both off the board in front of me while I’m on the clock oh sigh but you remember right you can’t get upset oh I actually got a good one for you right here I this was more something we covered briefly on the last one now the idea of infielders consolidating because it’s
Just ANF position of all those positions consolidating and giving you more options which is why there are more infielders later on I was bashing catchers but but but again the birden what happened to that boy what happened to him he got diseas out the guard knows his car is bouncing fing
Distance soapy water everywhere you there are some catchers but it’s got to come down to Plate appearances so again it’s not like I’m like oh well you could take the top three catchers no no TJ fredel just went TJ fried’s be out for a while I don’t
Think I would have gone that route but I think it also speaks to the weakness of the alfers right so I’m really stoked I’m getting my I’m getting my guys let me just make sure I’m gonna go with another yeah I’m gonna go with another infielders we at we’re at four top pitchers
Are Harrison F Miller Gore beo all right we going to go one more infielder just because where we kind of see this as a starter I’m gonna go with Jake Burger bers so to the catcher thing you generally do not want to draft catchers in this format
But if they have a pathway to 600 plate appearances via the DH then you can so people Love Will Smith in this format I do not I have no Will Smith zero why the dodg has brought in sh Otani and I don’t think he’s going to get the necessary plate appearances to
Get there it’s going way too high I drafted William conas bit of a different story number one he’s an on base machine two great hitting environment number three though he’s likely to DH on his off Bas so if you can get a player like that he’s every bit as good as you know
He’s a better hitter than most of the second base bit let’s say so just a little now I like to cover my contradictions right you talk as much as I do you’re eventually gonna go against yourself outfields again now you seen this last PCH this is what I mentioned
Earlier on I had said I said round 16 earlier we’re right now in round 14 and I feel like it’s it’s happening which is gosh for done I’m gonna we’re done we that’s what I mean we we have our we have our seven you know so obviously I’m not
Worried but I want to give you an idea of the outfielders are the left I mean it’s Chris Bryant listen I I I understand like the dream on Chris bran I get it but right wrong side of 30 it’s been a while the injuries are crazy the
Hitting environment cor is there I give that then it’s n Bar banged up I mean and St Louis is kind of crowded and story reiz they’ve even mentioned just recently the most recent piece of news was his role could be uh in Jeopardy the next one I had just went that’s Parker
Meadow so this is a perfect example of how players move Parker Meadows was like a last round pick or worse now he’s going in the 14th there he was one of the last kind of Oasis is back there let me get the Mark’s comments Mark lighting up the
Board um 5050 last year in NBA yeah it could be tough at DM you gota be careful you know I like to go with volume if I can I also like to predetermine this another good risk lesson people get in trouble with units because when they
Like more bets in one day than they did the other they tend to bet too much right so if you were a $100 better and you like three bets on Tuesday and eight bets on Thursday that’s a tremendous disparity I don’t really like to have that much disparity in a more of a
Fluent uh fluid system so I like to assign a percentage risk percentage of total right so if you assign a unit as a percentage of risk well you can never lose 100 units because at 100 units you have you know your things are tied up in a bandana and you’re carrying bag of
Oranges on the side of the freeway right when you see I’m down 300 bet 50 units well 50 units in my world would be half of your stack you’re never going to do that for baseball in case we want to plug in some real numbers I know people
Come here for helpful stuff hopefully I don’t like to go beyond two and a half percent even lower 2% two listen you get wax on 2% it’s a lot so for me it’s between one and a half and 2% and then you divide backwards right so where people people find plays and
That’s the amount that they bet of course I do everything backwards I I like to set the amount and then work backwards so in the for example let’s say we’re pay a unit so if we had um ,00 right 1% is $10 if you had two plays unit five on
Each you know so I want to have that number set and then that way I mean now listen it can be tough to be a volume better if you only have $10 this is a reality right that part I can’t really help you with because places have limits
You see the cut the pictures I was naming starting to fly off the board and there’s a ruce and Verdugo the outfielders no thanks but Kyle Harrison Brandon fought are now 15th round picks and it’s getting really really tough you know it’s getting really really tough in these streets people are people are
Watching these videos or using my ranks and I get it I get it I make these things to be used against me you know to a certain extent but the cream ends up really kind of continually Rising um to the top so yeah working backwards from a daily a lot of risk is
A very good way to succeed in sports betting Marque a 20K lineup in May beautiful baby you know sometimes especially in this hold on we’ll get back to you in a second there’s really good stuff that you’re you’re touching on so our in outfielders are closed which I love right because we’re Tak
Care of the time beo and Miller went in front of us I want to pull my freaking hair out because that was like a lot of the back end of my pitching that I was hoping to rely on is going but again you know we we
Kind of knew that that could be the case so I’ve got McKenzie Gore up next we’re gonna go McKenzie Gore and look for a breakout with the swing and M stuff but again we’re reaching but I’m gonna need my guys because I invested early Strider wheeler and Miller would to need them to
Do a lot of heavy lifting right Mackenzie Gore is not like an every week’s lockdown kind of starter it’s not really like that for him right now so you have to hope for for the pop starts which again he could get because he’s got a lot of Swing stuff really highly
Tattered Prospect coming off for healthy season like a lot of things in place right we saw that from GTO we saw from Robbie Ray there are pictures Robbie Ray Bubba my buddy Bubba made that c I want to give him credit for that so up next they gonna be a five pitchers three
Infielders that’s where I think I want to go I’ve got a few guys up here I think we got on base machine Luis Aras and then noan Gorman I’m gonna go the other way go with the upside of Gorman right Gorman went what 25 and
Seven last year he’s got a chance to go 3010 he’s the fourth infielder right so there’s kind of how we look at it right so we invested early in Olen now because you spent so much capital on Olen means you may not need to get that seventh infielder right so I
Have the seventh outfielder in this case because I didn’t take one early on so that was kind of to Mark’s question what you were mentioning before a lot of people ask about roster construction my if you’re asking me my limits are set at 767 but like I said how that those the
Shell game right how those cucks get maneuvered will depend on where I’ve drafted earlier on cter Crawford just went me was a guy that was available in the 20th round or undrafted for the majority of draft season and that’s the tradeoff from not playing early you know why you can’t have everything people
That drafted in January when this contest first opened had access to lots of players that they don’t know the problem is if you had Cody s and Kyle bradish guess what you’re in a lot of trouble if you’re like me and you have Yuri Perez on every single team you’re a
Lot less excited because you have guys that could be out for a long time I had a ton of Matt McLean and Yuri Perez so you know I understand the two sides of the coin here know I totally get that where you want to be early you want to
Beat the clv you want to beat the market but at the same time the board and the pool is so finite it’s very difficult to eat zero where you’re almost better up against tougher clv a tougher Market but knowing that you could draft 20 healthy players now again if we looking at the
Outfield I’m not trying to trash anybody in this room there’s a lot of players in here that are smaller than I am the thing oh man AJ puck just went so all of the final guys that you’d be hoping to get to wrap up that we were going to be
Looking at are gone I wanted to look at the outfielders perfect example of my gosh Mitch hanar I you can’t rely on Mitch hanar an underdog best ball it’s not that’s not there you know I think that those days have passed the Giants keep bringing in more players and
They’re obsessed with platooning I think Lee is the only one that is going to play every single day maybe Chapman on the Giants also the defense will keep him he’s an excellent Defender at 30 but really tough sledding if you wait on Outfield then again it’s the pool is
Small and then you have it you know got people like me that are pushing people up so far again remember the higher up you take the higher players the less of an overpay it is so I’m almost accept so I’m kind of accepting a premium
Market but by the time I’m out I’ve left the true premiums behind because you still need to fill up so you have to you just drafted lawence Newar you just drafted Brian Del Cruz you just drafted Joe mineses these guys have have floors that are zero right Newar is constantly hurt
Newar is also at risk of of getting like platoon in the Cardinals have you know um Victor Scott R is knocking on the door Edmond is going to be back and if Gorman’s good at second and wi Mason wi is good at Short Edmond’s gonna find his
Way back into the Outfield it just becomes crowded right why we were prioritizing every day every day every day bats right every day bats with Ops I actually had when I took Nolan gourand it was over a Henry rarez who was the next infielder after me so let’s see if we could divide
A plan we’ll see how this comes out we have five pitchers and four infielders and against seven outfielders so that bin is closed you can’t go to eight righte even if you didn’t pay up up up in the first round you don’t want to go to eight this maybe the mark
Question below man I gotta thank everybody for in the comment section this is really really cool Jen don’t worry about it give you give up on NFL you stick with us MLB we’re gonna have a fantastic time wait till just follow my work wait until we get into this the
Under strikeout market so I don’t anyone saw this I I’ve had multiple professional betters multiple professional betters tell me the ticket that I posted was the biggest parlay hit by odds they’ve ever seen by far I think and the mod the the market itself was
Only like a couple weeks old so I drew up a quick model again I used maybe a different wave sign wave than the books do the books are not that smart when it comes to baseball prop betting they’d rather put out a bad line have smart
People bet it limit you and change the number or pull down then like put the work in to make a CH anyway was it 11,000 to one right I think I th a dollar into 11 11k I honestly don’t even recommend that kind of play I was built again I was
Building a new model you put in all this work the thing spits out 11 names I could have even thrown the 11 names in a garbage or I could bet a dollar on them and if they hit that night you know betting on players to not strike out
There are some players that get uh plus 200 to not strike out really awesome stuff okay so where we’re up again four infielders and seven outfielders so pitchers I’m looking at pepio I’m gonna actually go the other round I’m gonna go with infielders I got my boy
Edward Jen for the twins I actually really like uh Julian right so we got some Prospect shine kind of a 2020 guy throughout the miners he’s also a 300 career hitter throughout the miners the twins traded Jorge palanco away and Julian’s having like a like a monstrous
Spring right now we don’t want to overreact to it but but we do like we like that they traded you know we do like that they traded uh palano yeah he’s batting 333 two homers and a steel tons of walks he’s always on base again
This is that’s a good one for this one so we’re up again five five pitchers infield this we can go either way I’ve got either Andrew vaugh in the infield or pepio I think that’s the route we’re gonna go I think no no let’s go with one
Again top three every day the more the more I’ve looked at pepio the more worried I’ve been I am really starting to get cons Ser with volume again I was trying to I keep telling myself I more like doing stats and I’m the first person to fly in
The face of like injury projections and ining projections but they they matter a little bit right they matter a little bit so pepio had 64 Innings last year total Triple A and the majors 120 before that 90 before that and 23 before that so there’s not a lot of work there and
If he does stay healthy for rays who are waiting for pitchers also to come back right Shane BOS is on the Shelf they go gu is coming back there’s a chance pepio just gets played around with you know you got to be realistic again I I’d love to say oh
Look at the stuff they you know they’re going to run them out there every five days yeah for the beginning of the season the reason teams do this say I know there’s such a high percentage of guys getting hurt and they’ll like deal with it afterwards but a lot of these
Teams do actually have a plan on paper like if pepio gets near a buck 40 or a buck 50 we’re probably gonna C you know especially Rays have a playoff expectations and hopes so you got to do that put that stuff in the calculus my God the pitching is getting really
Really really ugly really ugly SK drafted he’s not going to start with the club if you have a really good team and you think he’ll be up he could be the shot of arm that makes it through the playoffs like I understand the pick but
You still got to be number two to get there right in order for him to help you in the playoffs you’ve got to be second Josiah gray man home run machine Walker bu he’s on the Shelf Lance Lane’s had his struggles edu Rodriguez he’s on the
Shelf JP Sears with the A’s I like JP SE how many wins and quality starts are you going to get with the A’s I’m not sure I like I like Ser but it’s a tough sell and we’re really really seeing the uh the difficulty in this in this Mark right
How tough these drafts become at the end just trying to find like great players right we just what we really want is um so I like to think we’ve done a pretty good job of that right when I told you the outset we were going to it
You had to play every day you had to be the top three we’re hoping for a good offense you know Matt olon check William contras brers check Jake berer check Len Gorman check although noing Gman may not be top of the order it’s G be interesting to see um how that plays out
I’m not exactly sure I Pro man for me he’s probably well projectly is three that’s what I was I was goingon to say maybe five but yeah he could be in for five dark sheep our boy on ber I’ve been loving stashing ber if I have a solid
Other six pitches at the price see I that’s kind of what I was alluding to um sheep obviously super sharp knows the stuff where I think we need to build off it though is right I guess I guess right they gotta be really really good so the part
He mentioned that I agree with is you need six pitchers that are good the other thing that I want to say is I don’t think you can have another stash meaning not even a hitter stash right so I wouldn’t have ber and Jason Dominguez let’s say if there’s a he’s kind of the
Hitter stash that comes to mind I’m not really looking to Stage anybody and I I get it like I totally get it because because everybody I said if you get your team into competitive spot and you get a shot in the arm with a highend pitcher as other people are losing them you’re
Adding them that could definitely be the thing that gets you over the top but for me one one in one only and that’s like if I get to one she would probably agree you know you got to be very careful again if you’re not following him and uh
Baseball but baseball and espanol b i s b o you got to follow these guys super sharp really really helpful and uh baseball particular the graphs and stuff is out of control but they’re very best ball under Underdog Centric and just listening to other people that understand and play the game will really
Help you kind of form your thoughts all right I should probably get looking at my player list because again it’s not as um no these drafts are not as automatic as they used to be you know I quite literally used to um put on auto and kind of walk away
Again you know check me on Twitter John the Gaza joh the Gaza pin tweet one of the parts of the data is I have all the forat and stuff I also color coded it with their wony colors but the idea is you could just upload it and run it and
I’m messing with it every day so I’m const I’m pulling out all the injuries I’m dropping all the losers guys that are losing jobs or losing all these guys really really helpful again I am obsessive compulsive at least a little bit you might have tendencies I get
Really upset like Auto picking a a loser is for me the whole draft like a waste even though it’s not the case like like sheep said you could get an auto pick on an injury guy and who’s to say now again he notice he mentioned price which I
Think is very important the price he paid for buer is not the price that person paid for Matt McLean which is way too early for a guy that could be out for months and has now shown uh real kind of you know struggles to stay on Logan o Hoy gets drafted he’s another
One of the catchers that I probably think about I that my thing is I think trout gets the the DH appearances hoppy is the qu kind of quality hitter that could but again right you’re really not looking for catchers so we’re at five pitchers six infielders seven outfielders so our infield is closed
Right that was why I wanted one because I wanted to close my infield and we could just go with pitchers now let’s see um I’ll just breed him out I give you an idea of like the L round guys and I kind of like pepio had lasted us a look right
When is there’s no better feeling than uh waiting on a player would have to come all the way around but from the 11th slot what are the chances they go around the long way so pepio goes right in front of me I’m looking at Andrew
Abbott big upside on a per game basis of course we don’t like half the starts in Cincinnati but the big the stuff is there I got canning I’ve got Aaron savale okay I’m going to actually go outside my rankings I’m going savali the reason I’m going saval I have the
Topside stuff there right know Strider is the tops side Bobby Miller tops side even Mackenzie Gore right playing for the spikes savali is more of a quality stalk guy right so I’m hoping that again you’re not going to be able to figure this out you can’t quantify it to the point
Of you know the point of um you’re going to know that’s a going throw a quality start on the weak that St is not good but you’re that you know guys that are solid six inning types with a good team and a good organization he shown a little bit and I don’t know
If you anybody saw this the book on um okay let me take my last guys I was looking at Abbot or canning or I’m gonna go canning over Abbott and avoid the ballpark hopefully the winged lion Griffin canning come so that’s it we’re wrapped up with our
Picks let me just see a couple of um the comment our boy baseball appreciate the shout out John love seeing you back on UD streets you I mean I told you know I didn’t know you were in in there but I I I try to make it a habit to really
Really Elevate right not like I’m I’m not doing nothing for your following I’m not doing I’m not that helpful but but but I mean it right the people that care are part of that whether you call the community or the industry or whatever whatever it is just this thing of ours
Right that they understand you know I don’t I don’t want to knock you like in theor Rec competition I don’t know maybe I don’t care I just don’t care to me life is better right and in part you probably all agree with sheep because you guys talk about this stuff elevating
The game right we want the game more popular when the game is more popular it’s going to reach the other hundreds of millions of people there and there’s enough for everybody you know what I’m saying that’s always how I’ve been if we the rising tide lifts all the ships and
We go from there all right let me just take a couple looks at the at the board uh Brad said drops on guys like Williams Verlander EOD has been nice again I like G Williams a lot I really like him a lot he was a guy who’s drafting a ton of
Yeah yeah again if he’s your one that’s the thing I won’t budge on I I can’t budge on that if you he’s your guy if you’re like yo Williams is the guy that I like that’s you know heard whatever yo that’s the kind of guy that you are sure
I’m fine with that becomes an issue if you Stock B these guys I don’t think you could stock ball them because it’s so funny we’re like three days away from the season and we we all all of us might lose a player right all of us there
Might be 10 injuries between today and Thursday and we’re like oh my gosh I why did I take a zero when I just wanted anything again through 16 weeks you got to be a top two team it just could come back and bite you in the r a lot of us that have
Played fantasy know a lot of times these freaking Seasons come down to the last day you how is this possible Man play for six months and come down to a run how could we be separated by run or strikeout it really is insane but it
Always seems to be the case so we just look at the back of the board and we’ll get everybody out of here um again right you’ll see it’s funny this is so this is like understanding and perception becoming reality if you look at the board right of the
Last three rounds up there’s only four outfielders in the last 306 picks Colton cower he’s a zero off the bat though if he’s your mid-season ant that’s fine he’s the type excellent ceiling I think I like Dom mingz because he’s already done it the Yankees like know that both
Were a little more crowded a difference it’s fine though it’s fine that’s you know splitting airs Nelson blast who I mentioned possibility to be great on a spike week he’s a very good outfielder if you push outfielders all the way up and you’re tagging him on the outside
And you need him to hit a couple bombs the weeks you know that uh whatever F tatis or jrod suck that’s a good one Jared kelik I don’t think you could play kelik I know he’s got he’s got a lot of you know fans but I don’t think I could
Go there so when you’re seeing the big face means it’s time to get out of here so from Patty Mayo and all the lovely ladies and gentlemen at the Mayo media Network thank you so much for picking up where’re putting down from all the people in the comments section the
Failings right we is 300 baby right we give the books nothing we take from them everything we are stronger as a unit going back to what we were talking about with with baseball and sheep is Right building the failings right one Shield protects the other one spear protects
The other yeah and Underdog you and I are technically playing against each other but if we Elevate each ourselves as we Branch out individually right we become stronger and then when we get into the beding streets we’ll be here first day of season every Monday through
Friday I’m going to do all the things that we do man I love we’re going to watch it’s just we’re show off that’s what we’re going to do we’re going to show off we’re going to put on a freaking Clinic every single day is what
I do the thing that we do you know me and you the male media crew baby and we’re gonna get through a a paray and then it’s you and I against the book and that’s like where really becomes important to be valuable share be a
Sponge so that’ll do it for the big man with the big mouth for the Big Apple Big Johnny stud man you know I love doing this get up in the comments it matters more than it should if you want the show all season and Beyond get up the
Comments just say hi go on Twitter tag P say hi tag Underdog say holy crap that was awesome other than that sign up to Underdog Dakota’s mm you see the warning down below be safe be smart and one last thing remember when you work this hard
If there’s a lot less like luck yo we’ll be back soon see you soon
