Fantasy Golf Pod DraftKings PGA DFS picks & strategy for the 2024 Valspar Championship
#PGADFS Show Agenda:
– Criteria for Clicking
– Weather
– Ownership Projecting
– Breaking down the price ranges
– Free Squares
– Clown Clicks
– Making Lineups with the spin wheel
Join the $2 – Top 2 paid DK contest for this week:
https://www.draftkings.com/draft/contest/159747233
1:35 – $100 House Bet (2x)
4:15 – Things to know about the event
9:00 – Free Squares
12:30 – Clowns
13:52 – Weather
17:20 – Strategy
18:45 – Ownership Projections
21:59 – $10k range
24:45 – $9k range
26:39 – $8k range
28:24 – $7k range
30:50 – $6k range
35:50 – Spin Wheel Lineups
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Hey everybody I’m Chad Eckard and this is the fantasy golf pod it is uh Wednesday morning this time I am solo I am doing all of the for fun out of the goodness of my heart please like And subscribe rate and review do you subscribe because if you
Don’t subscribe you are voting to not have me do this anymore because I am gonna have to have 100 subscribers to continue doing this after the Masters we’ve got a couple more weeks to achieve that goal we’ve got about 80 subscribers so we’re not that far away so if you
Haven’t subscribed like And subscribe um I’m excited for this week actually the Valero or no valo I keep calling it the Valero the valpar um it is a paint company headquartered in Minnesota it is a tournament that actually um I’ve had some success at over the years been doing this podcast
For six years on the second time Paul Casey won I used him in my oneand done and I had him as a betth the next time uh the next tournament there was guy named Sam Burns started the tournament 90 to one and I had a dollar on him that
Was the greatest thing ever winning $90 off of what $1 back in 2021 last year year holy crap I forgot to load this look what I did last year guys uh I had a mega profit of $1,250 actually somehow um because I had a bet on our
Guy Taylor Moore as well so I I’m successful at this tournament you guys need to listen to my picks but then I don’t really know what to pick so what I’ve done now is I’ve added a $100 house bet to our wheel have you guys been watching the last couple weeks we’ve
Been spinning the wheel at the end and actually now last week we didn’t win any money off of the three entries we’ve been doing we lost I think I had $9 in and got $5 back so I lost four so I think we’re still up money on
The three entry uh spin wheels but I I you know I think that the wheel may know things more than I do I am going to feed this wheel 10 names and then out of the 10 names that I fed them fed it sunjay cam young Nick Taylor Keegan Cole Keith mountgomery
A baa Danny Berger and Billy horel out of one of those I’m gonna put a $100 on one of those names and that will be considered the house bet for this week um we got a little bit of a weather Factor so I’m kind of like I don’t want
To act like I know what’s going to happen or like act like I have a you know hunch on a bet like I don’t have a Windom Clark feeling like I did last week so I got a feeling on these 10 guys I got a couple more bets outside of
These 10 that I actually you know more comfortable with but I didn’t want to put a $100 on Tony Fen now because I’ve already got like 20 on him so no I just added these names all right so how it works is I’m going to just spin it and
I’m gonna bet but I can’t BET live on myo realy email or email Wi-Fi because it doesn’t allow me to go look at betting websites all right so here you go ready $100 that’s kind of a weak spin burger oh my God am I GNA win 10 grand
On Burger all right there it is 10 10 grand on Burger should I do it again should I do two $100 bets all right we’re doing two $100 bets because that oh my gosh Taylor Mal Monty oh goodness all right so there you have it burger and
Monty we’re going long shots let’s do that oh my gosh all right what am I gonna do okay so here’s what you need to know about this tournament it’s the Val barar it’s inis Brook Resort and Copperhead course it’s in Palm Harbor in Florida we’re still in
Florida and then we’re going to Texas after this there’s 155 human dice it is a cut event uh it is sneaky long I’m told it is a par 71 you need to have approach play need to play good on hard courses so that’s kind of how I was winning that
$1,420 last year or not 14,250 uh is because I did the narratives and a lot of the narratives uh around this course have like you know it’s eight under par wins or you gota kind of like a major type feel like greens are smaller harder to hit so you
Got to scramble good you know uh off the te is not necessarily reward I don’t know so it’s kind of like um last week a little bit and uh that way but Paul Casey winning it back to back and then uh and he was Mr total driver
So I feel like having your ball in the Fairway as far out as possible it will help you every single week but especially this course and then Sam Burns he did get hot with the Putter and he loves this type of grass Bermuda but I don’t know I’m a little nervous that Sam
Burns did more with the putter than he’s able to do on a normal basis so I’m not sure that like his backto back correlates as much as like the total driving like because he’s Burns may have won it with a putter I don’t know so
It’s a little scary uh you got to avoid some bogeys here I think that’s really much uh that’s correlates to success everywhere like Scotty Sheffer is the best at avoiding Bogies so he wins like and I do think that there’s holes here that you can blow up on you can uh find yourself
Into some trouble so maybe it’s like the don’t crumble Factor you have to have a wind tolerance Factor oh my gosh it’s going to be windy so uh we’ll get to the weather in a moment here but you got to putt well from inside 10 feet have you heard this
Because you want to save yourself a par or you want to get yourself an opportun if you have an opportunity for bird you got to convert because it’s few and far between I’m told what surprised me the most is that I read that chess and Hadley is making 93% within 10 feet I
Don’t even know if that’s right but PGA Tour site that I look at had that Aaron battley is putting well this guy named Whitney guy named last name Whitney and then T Taylor Montgomery is a good putter so I’m glad the house bed is on Taylor Montgomery because maybe you can
Just putt his ass around Doug gim apparently putting really well and saving himself having a great season happy gol lucky gim we’re gonna get to him in a second because he appears in both the optimals can you believe that uh I’ve listened to a couple of things that have referred to rambling as
An important stat for this week to look at uh so I’m not really sure how what that means even so uh I think you need to be good at making par despite not having a green in regulation which you can do that in a variety of ways like
Punching out to 180 from your shitty drive and then somehow locking into a par that’s scrambling technically versus the guy that’s missing the green just off of it let’s say he’s still using his putter but he’s not on the green and then he two putts to make par well
That’s technically scrambling too so I mean I don’t know I’m a little nervous that scrambling is important like I said wind is going to be a factor our guy Ryan Nan we’re GNA talk about him and who he told us to click in the weather Factor portion of the pot in a
Minute um but you want to know who the optimals are in the optimal for bet spurts that is a JT start and you have Doug gim with an olison huni and Mac messener that’s SPS is drunk but whatever these optimals have been drunk and people pay for them I don’t
Know optimal at data golf you got Xander and IM IM and gim so you got gim and both like I mentioned uh uh data golf wants you to click Glover shank and hajes so Xander and gim we’re you know finding the same names on both these websites optimals and it does
Kind of sometimes lead to answers but ultimately like three or two or three out of six guys are just going to be good and three out of the six guys are going to be shitty and like so they’re just doing what we do and we’re just guessing and it’s somehow an optimal I
Don’t know like I mentioned last week I’ve uh unsubscribed from day to golf I like it it’s not necessarily worth the money and um bet Spurs was like five bucks for the whole year so I don’t really need to unsubscribe to that okay uh I have discovered some free squares
However I’m a little concerned about these free squares because what I’ve noticed is free squares are turning into actual landmines unless though you’re a top 20 player in the world or you’re considered like uber class of player like when we saw will zalatoris still at
$7,900 at the course he liked uh we were like well what’s up with that and he wasn’t even 20% on so we’re like okay that’s a free square and that made sense and he paid off just like last week with Brian Haron at $7,900 you kind of
Thought well he is playing good fits the course 79 what the hell so that turned into a free square that paid off versus if you got the guys that are 73 72 even you know someone tells you that a 6K guy is mispriced that’s probably not true because DraftKings knows what they’re
Doing and it feels to me like the $7,100 and Below free squares are normally landmines uh who do you want this week you want Xander Burns and JT those are the threee squares at the top how could you go wrong with Xander Mr make the cut
He’s made like 42 in a row however he’s playing the proam today or he’s doing something and Nagle Bagels was able to take a picture with him so I don’t know does that Jinx him or does that help him I’m not sure uh Brian Haron is also a lock because
He’s in the 9k range and how could he be bad Baden hoot actually surprisingly is the one that everybody wants he’s in the AK range and then Doug gim definitely he will keep it going I don’t know actually Doug has the good attitude I like his attitude he
Like shows up to the course and he’s happy to be there versus some people are like annoyed or like doing the actual Act of playing golf that they prefer to do anything because this is like their job quote unquote but I feel like Doug gim is happy to play golf okay you want
Some landmines aka the scary free squares that is sep straa I’m um I don’t know maybe people think like oh sneaky sep he’s better than his price and he should find it someday here soon so then he’s sneaky but he’s also going to end up sneaking into like close to 20% and then
Would you want that I don’t know and then Luc is clover getting chalk do you ever want to chalk Lucas Glover uh yikes uh shank because he played well last year he likes hard courses he putts well I could actually eat some shank but I’m a little nervous
About that and then I also wanted to like and use Joel Damon this week but unfortunately he’s reaching over 10% I don’t know I don’t know Jil old Damon at 10 11 12% I could just bet him and be good with it I know it was Gino’s birthday a couple
Day or yesterday actually and I tweeted that I would want to see that because it’d be fun to watch and that story would be cool but at 11% yo what about Matthew neith I’ve heard his name and he finished TW twice top 25 here or something Pat Mayo said to Joe
Idoni I watched that pod that was pretty good actually the best bet show with Joe idoni was on with Joe uh Pat Mayo um yes clowns this is the more important thing because that actually the clowns are paying off the clowns are the ones you actually want to click you need to
Include a clown into your six-man parlay last week’s King clown so I’m declaring like the biggest clown each week last week it was Matt Fitzpatrick how could he be good he was so bad the week before nobody wants him and he end up finishing Fifth and we learned that he like had a
Weight in his driver which makes him even more of a clown it was perfect and then we had clown top 20 the week before Brian Harmon so I had clown Harmon he was like nobody wanted him at Bay Hill because he couldn’t drive it long and he was top 20 paid off clowns
This week include Jordan spe might be a clown Min wo Le is now a clown Bo hosler is a clown Patrick Rogers olison Billy hell always a clown uh Fox Ryan Fox technically a clown Baka Eric Barnes never heard of him or I have but I haven’t you know no I haven’t
Heard of Evan harling herling he’s apparently wanted or not wanted but could be a clown anyway the King clown this week the one that you don’t want to play that I know you don’t want to play is Bo Hustler why would you want to play Bo Hustler so he will be your King
Clown let me present to you what is also the second most well maybe the first most important factor outside of ownership weather so who’s going to get ruined by this weather look it it’s kind of changed even since I tweeted about it so on Thursday the start of the
Tournament it’s nothing looks like fine tomorrow actually a PM wave could be advantageous because then you do wake up on Friday hold on let’s get the super forecast so I’m using windfinder.com uh I don’t pay for this I’m too poor to pay for weather reports uh but you got
Wednesday that’s today we don’t Wednesday report we need tomorrow 13 in the morning or actually 777 7777 all day the next day Friday gets a little dicey in the morning there’s some weight the the rain is going to come at some point I believe they’re going to get called
Off the course there’s probably going to be some lightning storms 37 gusts like uh these pampered FS are not gonna be playing I guarantee you so they’re GNA push these people so I think it’s tough to say but it looks like maybe the am wave doesn’t even get a chance to finish
On Friday even though it looks like Friday afternoon’s getting a little bit less scary so maybe the AM PM like you kind of go maybe you get 10 12 holes in on the PM you finish your round on Saturday morning which the super forecast only
Gives us three days out so we have to go back to the normal forecast and see on Saturday morning it looked a lot worse yesterday so this is kind of funny that it’s actually the weather changes it was supposed to snow in Minnesota and that
It’s not even good to snow at all that just happens all the time uh so my suggestion for what you should do is you should probably not care for one a you could do that or You’ take you’d make three lineups in one of the lineups you stack
Amm in the next lineup you stack PMA and the other lineup you mix them all that’s how it works now you may think like oh it’s going to be windy AF so should I factor that into my equation and maybe you should I don’t know how you’re going
To find the stats out I ask who leads Strokes gain windy AF and Ryan Nan our guy at bet spurts gave us this list of names now I don’t want Aaron Wise because I think s he’s like had surgery or he’s had some sort of injury that’s I
Don’t trust these stats there’s a reason he’s 5900 this week could he show up and become the Aaron Wise he once was maybe but I don’t I’m not gonna risk it with that but Tony feno leaning the way here at uh $9,300 in the number one Strokes
Gain total and wind over 18 miles hour whatever this is 19 miles an hour he played well at the 3M open we know it gets a little windy out at TPC Blaine we’ve been there and then uh he played well at the Mexico a couple weeks ago
When it was windy we know Sun Jays won at the Honda Classic before in a win Fest so he’s $9,400 he’s third and uh total and win and same with AA batia won a couple of uh Caribbean courses maybe those were the times where he was
Popping during 19 M hour winds and then you got Keith Mitchell um I asked who is bad and uh who we should fade and Nunan was like yeah Min Le doesn’t have good stats in wind and neither does Maverick mcney so you could try to maybe um fade
That okay we’re 17 minutes in holy C all right what else do I need to tell you ownership is vital into this world that we play because like do you think should I should I do my strategy thing real quick so I’m doing strategy every week
And I want to talk to you about how you got to embrace risk ownership is very important to know because you want to know who is not owned not necessarily who’s owned because like everybody’s kind of owned in the the better play like 20% owned isn’t that big a deal in
The 10K range but if it’s 20% in the 7K range we got some uh red flags I twe I tweeted a poll I was wondering if people were gonna be thinking that you know safe plays are are rewarded safe plays save me and I don’t that was not true my poll was do
Risky C clicks reward more than safe clicks save and everyone’s like safe clicks do not save you ever risky rewards you way more so I think we need to embrace this risk we need to go after the risky names and what does that mean we need to go after a name that nobody’s
Even telling you to click because this is golf people show up all the time out of nowhere and are good outside of contest selection now again again you’re playing cash or whatever like ownership is not necessarily an important factor or depending on if you’re in like a 100
Man contest you probably eat some chalk there in 7K range you get more comfortable with your clicks but we no even then NE you’re never rewarded with your safe click you’re always rewarded with risk and embracing the crazy so who’s the crazy because we don’t care who is
Wanted let me show you this uh data golf projection now uh I’ve already canceled my data golf subscription or whatever I I listen pay 25 bucks great but I think I’m gonna will pay 25 bucks for like a specific like Draft Kings uh pay walled thing you know
Like a business that straight up is all about drafting data golf they’re like all about you know betting and other things and projecting top tens and 15s and whatever else and I don’t I think that they’re not so focused on actual DraftKings ownership and giant gpps like
Right now their most owned names are uh Ander and burns which I guess it makes sense and JT and Harmon now they do kind of warn you that Doug gam is getting ownership at 18.9% if you want to click Doug gim you probably won’t win I’m
Sorry like you can’t you can’t win with Doug gim I used to say you can definitely win with Doug game just get different with your five other clinics but it’s like I still I think you’re wasting a roster spot by being conservative I think you literally cannot win the short game with 30,000
Entries if you’re going Xander gim Zaden hoot like [ __ ] you or Joel Damon now was up to 11.8% I already said that earlier it made me concerned and that’s even grown since last night when I wrote that down Maverick mcne is being clicked shank’s being clicked Seth stro
Is being clicked those are uh scary clicks and then Glover like I mentioned Sam Ridder oh no I mean I you know last week I saw that video and I tweeted it out I saw Sam Ryder being interviewed on the practice range at the Players saying oh
I do love living around this area now it’s like a home game for me and I didn’t use them he scored the most birdies he’s ever had will he continue to do that that is a good question at 73 is that a landmine price range be careful I think it is Victor
Perez in the 6K range and Matthew n Smith and Andrew Novak Grayson Sig at $6,300 he’s only 6% so 6% Sig 63 it’s close I really do think that there is no difference between the $6,300 Sig and anyone else in that range so going after the one that’s at 0 percent it’s fine
But I heard Tambo say on his show this week that the that nobody is clicking the zero percent guy that’s why he’s 0% so he’s really not actually helping anyone get any advantage in that contest whereas like if you click the Sig you probably don’t necessarily hurt yourself so badly
Because you’re gonna you need to pair it with two other guys that are gonna ultimately Vault you so like having the six% $6,300 Sig like going out of your way to go after like the stupid zero perc play like I I think you’re fine eating a 5% Sig if you liked
It does that make sense sorry all right so um yeah pivoting is important but in the 10K range should we talk about DraftKings um the DraftKings pricing I have a contest this week it’s $2 to enter and two people get paid that’s every week I do
That um in the 10K range you have Xander shafley is the tpg the top priced guy he’s $11,200 you have Sam Burns at 10,900 JT’s also here at 104 and his buddy Jordan spe 102 there are flaws with all of these golfers are there maybe I’m actually not
Sure there’s any flaws with Xander he’s pretty consistent in all stat categories he’s never uh bad he makes the cut he’s made like 40 Cuts in a row I’m a little worried about his heartbreak and having to get the energy back up for this valpar after the players last
Week but again I don’t know would you be surprised if Xander showed up and all of a sudden he’s doing the same exact thing that he’s done all season and he’s like up there at top five top 10 on Sunday I don’t know I wouldn’t be actually so Sam
Burns the guy at 109 he saved some money there uh a couple hundred bucks uh I’m a little worried that he’s Sam blowup Burns because he’s had one round each tournament that he kind of screws his whole finishing position and then he kind of has that millionaire
Attitude a little bit where like about two years ago he would have grinded the hell out of every single event and pushed for every single shot but then now you’re seeing Sam Burns realize he’s got six wins or whatever he’s got a ton of wins and he’s got millions of dollars
So like will he get out of contention at the Val Spar and then decide who cares I think he may so I’m a little concerned about that for him Justin Thomas probably the best play ultimately in this price range with the savings off of Xander and I think you do like the fact
That he got some rest he’s a little angsty kind of guy if he misses the cut he gets pissed and he will grind I I this is how we’ve kind of known JT to be I don’t think he wants to miss the cut at the Players he has had this string
Now where he’s had a 12th miscut 12th miscut so then he’s obviously gonna finish 12 so I’m liking that maybe at 104 but driver concerns putter concerns motivation concerns speeds ultimately uh back here as the gpp play like he was last week and then he was bad so maybe we try it
Again this week because again all these golfers EB flow e flow we’ve seen him EB when will speed start flowing this is kind of the time last year where he started flowing we know he likes to flow in late March to early April for a reason okay 9k range okay
You got 9k names you got Brian Haron birdie Bryan at a par Fest $9,800 coming off of a probably even more of a disappointment than Xander just H gosh about 9,800 he’s probably a good price my favorite play though is Cam young at $9,600 this is the tournament where we’ve had
Some firsttime winners in the past hear this 2011 Gary Woodland won his first event ever uh here stman won his first in 2013 here hadwin at 2017 got his first win here Sam burns like we said we knew that 2021 at 90 to1 got his first
Win you got Taylor Mo last year first win so maybe a first win kind of thing we know with these small greens and how this goes you don’t necessarily need to be the ultimate greatest putter to win here it does definitely help and vaulted Sam Burns a couple years in a row but
You can get away with it and cam young if he’s playing the same way off the te and on the irons is ball striking then maybe he’ll find the Putter and do it or you go to sunjay 94 Tony feno Mr wind he’s at 93 but I’m afraid he’s going to
Get that Mr wind title and then it’s going to carry another 5% ownership that we don’t want on him and I mean I personally like if I’m already going cam young can you go cam young Tony feno in your life you’re gonna shoot your brains out by Sunday
Afternoon because you’re just gonna be like oh yep here we go we’re going you know we need a five-footer for a birdie streak and E three putts you know so just frustrating to click some bad putter sometimes so maybe you click good Putters like Nick Taylor at $99,100 I
Like that too and I like the Nick Taylor um president cup narrative that people are talking about how the Canadians are playing the President’s Cup in Canada so go factor that into your modeling in the 8K range Keith Mitchell is at the top of the 8K range $8,900 bazan’s getting some
Love why is B I mean he’s had some good finishes and stuff like that we like bazay and hoot’s story because he ate that rat poison when he was a kid and almost died and he’s just fun to root for but I tried I’ve put the house on
Baz and Hoot before I’ve waited for his win and then I wanted to do it here but he’s 45 to one like what okay I didn’t like that as much so I didn’t do it so I didn’t bet it and I don’t think I’m gonna click the chalk Bez maybe I’ll go
With Cole you you could see Cole coming through couldn’t you seems like a coal course potentially uh Keegan like Keegan at 86 Aaron Ry wow 85 for Ry and 84 for gim can you believe that if I were to you know kidnap you put you in a solitary confinement for three months
And right after uh Cole wins Rookie of the Year and Keegan gets snubbed for the r cup I throw you guys at the Val bar and I go hey what’s up here’s the AK range you got Cole Keegan Aon Ry dou Bo Hustler had one you’d be like excuse me
The guy that was supposed to be on the r cup that just won like three times in the last year and a half maybe only two how many times have Keegan won a couple times so actually Kean my favorite play in the AK range I just talked myself
Into that or you go on to the MAV guy at $8,100 Maverick mcneel last week he emerged I think he’s he is who he is he’s good and he’s not hurting anymore so maybe you try that out maybe he’s going to ride it or you go to the 7K
Range who do we like in the 7K range I’m not going to do sta if it includes chalk so I don’t want that I’m going to do Taylor Moore though I’m g go back to him because he is my guy he helped me win Fort what did he win last year $1,250 on
DraftKings and I also bet on him t uh Adam put or Andy putnam’s here but I’d like olison okay uh I don’t know what it was last year like I just thought let’s go with these cheeky Euros or whatever kind of thing um in this tournament alone so we
Were on Jagger last year and he did okay and we that kind of started his little run olison he’s been all over the place in pricing and I think you could have seen olison at like 89 and just bad not bad at an eye and he’d still get 10% own
So I think at olison if no one’s wanting him I like that as a gpp option and then you got Taylor Montgomery we’re putting the house on Montgomery I guess is that what we did Burger and Montgomery so maybe I gotta go in on Burger and Montgomery or I fade them in DraftKings
Do you guys hedge yourselves in DraftKings and in your bets I don’t know Billy horel at 7,400 you know I like horel always so I could talk myself into horel but my favorite plays though are at the bottom of this range I like btia at $7,100 Baka has that
19-year-old motivation Factor where uh he would rather be a YouTube Star than win The Masters or some [ __ ] he said which blew my mind I don’t know if he’s serious though like he kind of you know says stuff for Content but at the same time bakas $7,100 would you be surprised
If you saw him like he and MAV last week I had as in the I said on the Pod like MAV back to you would you be surprised if one of these guys shows up in the top 15 and literally it was MAV so I’m kind of having the same feeling
Here and we’re saving A1 thousand do getting back to you and then you got Davis Thompson at 7,000 who is an actual good golfer named after Davis Love the third so I mean how could he be bad if he was named after Davis Love no uh my favorite play
Is might be horel actually because based on the ownership and you got to be aware of the the Bermuda grasses and so I think I could talk myself into hor especially if you’re gonna get Glover love and Ryder chock and yeah I don’t know 6K range there are
People in this range that are in the swing five a guy named Springer and Stanger Jerry Stang Jerry Springer Jimmy Stanger he’s somebody and I like him so he’s at $6,900 who else did I say oh yeah Eric Barnes Victor Perez where is Victor Perez is he at the top yeah he’s $6,900
I clicked him last year at this tournament if I consult my guy smart golb bets.com Mike Miller where was Victor Perez last year so I use this website smart golf bets.com he’s at smart golfino on Twitter I’m really not sure maybe he was bad Maris Perez this is good
Content I don’t even see him geez sorry um where was I I got a lot of tabs open okay we talked about weather talked about oh we’re talking 6K range nobody really needs my names in the 6K range do you Bryce carnett he’s in the swing five still Joel Damon oh
God he’s $6800 like I was saying okay he’s being more serious lately so maybe you can go after Joel Damon because he wants to play well because he’s broke this is what happens check out the money list from like two or three years ago see the dude make eight million check
The money list now see the dude’s only made 1.2 well guess what you make eight you start spending eight you make 1 .2 you go shoot I need to make 6.8 more to get to where I was so that happens although if everyone is thinking that I’m a little scared about that okay
Underpriced in the 6K range I tell you some names and they’re going you got to scroll down a little bit you got to get to Bud colie at $6,400 like why isn’t he chalk why was he not $7,400 he’s had some good finishes so far he’s got a newfound Resurgence after having taking
A long time off to get healthy so I like Bud collie at $6,400 Grayson Sig like I mentioned he’s getting some uh love but if you’re into that which I am I think that’s underpriced you could eat a six% Sig $6,300 Carson young keeps showing up always shows up like cup making Carson
It’s 63 do it Chan Kim uh I could see Chan Kim putting four rounds together and finishing top five I could also see Chan Kim having like a 63 and then following it up with the 75 so I’m a little nervous but he’s $6,200 so that’s decent and I think people are going
After Bryce Garnett which is the same price try that out or Dylan woo $6,200 he’s every other event finding it again we kind of liked woo because no one likes D woo they like be woo and when we were thinking about it we’re like D and
B are basically the same people so why not just click $6,200 dwo who had his best approach week last week since last year’s Pebble so I mean he finished t19 last week and he’s $6,200 this week so I’m into that after a 204th at Mexico for Dylan woo and then Springer so you
Got Hayden Springer at $6,100 how is he any different than Stanger Jimmy Stanger what was the guy’s name Hayden Springer got her up $6,000 that’s interesting Schmid Schmid was alive last week for a minute Michael Kim oh V and Wy 5K range I didn’t even oh I wrote a couple things
Down Parker Cy’s at the top of 5K range I bet a bet on him I put five dollars on Parker Coy to win because I don’t know $ five on a 2001 Parker cooe what about Aaron Wise what happened to him I’ll have to figure out why he’s been
Out I forgot uh Nico’s down here ataria I like him $5,700 he makes a lot of birdies maybe maybe that doesn’t help you here this Justin low though lower lower power power low at uh $5,700 there was something on Twitter PJ tour account tweeted about how Justin laow was talking about his
Dad or like some emotional thing that then I was like oh that’s sweet I am into that like he’s gonna try this week and then I didn’t click him because I thought why not just use stats Strokes gain stats aren’t telling me low and that emotional video that doesn’t mean
Anything and then low was good so I’ve been kind of following him ever since then because I think I don’t know he’s got a little chip on his shoulder trying to be motivated and he does make Cuts he’s six to eight on this list right here or Charlie Hoffman or champ look at
That battle’s putting well who else is down here Zack Blair has been a guy minute Harry Hall I haven’t consulted Josh Bennett’s model yet but sometimes there’s a 5k name that pops in his model okay stop sharing that so at the end of each pod we’re Building a Dream together
Nothing’s going to stop us we’re using the spin wheel it’s helping because nothing matters do you guys know nothing matters so that’s why we’re trying the spin wheel out to make it seem like it’s just to prove that nothing matters it’s kind of a dick thing to do because
Yes pay for those subscriptions use those optimals try really hard do all the research consult the ownership look at the weather do the stacking and guess what this damn random wheel is gonna beat you because it doesn’t know [ __ ] and it doesn’t matter 10K range so I do three lineups and we
Go through each one of them here we go so the first name and the 10 lineup number one Xander Xander hold on let me close some tabs here I’ve confused on where I am 10K range 9k range are you in the chat are you chatting along I’m sorry I didn’t even
Look at any chats $250 bets oh hey sweet spots EFS is in the chat I watched sweet spots video my gosh he does a really good job going over the past gpp optimal lineups from the past years at this tournament each week and it’s about 20 minutes into his uh Tuesday night pods
You should go check out sweet spot DFS how much did I make last week Ed hedging oh good question so I had uh Windam Clark for 4 $200 and by Sunday I had basically covered the entire board so that like no matter what I was going to win a couple
Hundred bucks so I think if um Harmon won I would break even Xander won I’d pretty much Break Even but uh at one point I got an extra another hundred bucks on Scotty so I ended up making like 300 total last week hedging so hedging is a good
Idea um Excuse me while I close things I where am I oh yeah okay 9k range sorry for my xand Xander shley and it’ll pair it with Taylor um I’m doing this on the other screen while I do this on this screen the 8K range so we like to try to do a
10 name seven and the six is kind of the uh the goal building Ry great talk [ __ ] about Ry and of course the wheels like in your face I am taking Aaron Ry okay 7K name Xander Taylor Ry it’ll be M mountgomery we’re calling him mountgomery because that’s intentionally
Mispronounced I don’t know it came in my brain last year some point uh the 6K so I broke it down I tried to keep it so it’s like 64 to 69 is like 30 24 names I did the 59 to 63 is 28 name I mean because there’s like how many
Goddamn names are there so here we go okay so the top of six 6850 left it will be Novak Novak leaving us 7,000 so I’ll just stay in this little uh same little pocket the table that’s a good idea oh gosh Davis Riley that’s a name that I that is your
Um z% owned so I’ve got $600 left on the table if I have Xander Nick Taylor Aaron Ry Taylor Montgomery Andrew Novak and Davis Riley go back to the 10K range for our first click for the second lineup it will begin with Sam Burns Sam B will be paired with a 9k
Name 9k name urno uhk name dog so the names that I’m talking [ __ ] about the uh wheel has not heard it he says what do you mean chalk I don’t care this lineup has Sam Burns Tony feno Doug gim and Billy horel funny okay um let’s go back to the sixk
Range web oh my God this is awesome because I love web $7,300 let’s go back to the low 7K range we haven’t had a problem yet where the the wheel kind of does know it’s going to pick the right price we’ll see and our final pick oh God horel horel what is horel
Wait a second I already played horel whoops it really wanted me to pick horel because I picked it twice on the same lineup that’s crazy Thompson good that’s who I like perfect so uh I’ve not had the wheel pick the same name twice that is uh pretty cool out of
15 names so maybe there’s a sign there okay so that lineup would be Sam Burns Tony feno Doug gim Billy horel web Simpson Davis Thompson so we have one more lineup to create and we’ll use the 10K range to start this lineup again uh first lineup used Xander second
Lineup used Burns third lineup uses Burns okay and burns for this guy’s 9k lineup name birdie Bryan $9,800 birty Bryan Haron 8K name the final lineup is Burns Harmon and Keith Mitchell the 7K guy with these three guys is shank okay 6650 remaining so let’s should we go to the low 6K
Range no I’m keeping with the system because 64 and Below it’s like fun who are you okay Novak Novak making an appearance because he’s Mr top I guess he missed the cut last week so he needed that rest okay we have $6,600 left is it gonna know 6600 or less
Name know what’s Hodes hes is 66 it knew it spent all the money oh this this little wheel smart Okay so that last lineup that I just made oh wait that’s not it I’m good at doing this the last lineup I just made was Burns Harmon Mitchell shank Novak Hodes
Crazy otherwise you have the opportunity no that’s the same one you don’t even need me to do this this one is Xander Nick Taylor Aaron Ry Taylor Montgomery Novak Riley the idea behind this is that win one of these Mega profits and we all have to like and we’re like what the
Hell I’m gonna splice this together and I’m going to put it on the internet and go you and your optimals uh Burns F now horel web Davis Thompson okay all right so I putting $100 on Daniel burger and Taylor Montgomery now actually if you do that and then they
Get into contention you can do what I did on Scotty sheffler and on Xander last week is you can start taking profits from that $10,000 and go um let’s put it over here let’s put it over there let’s put it on here and now in hindsight I would I really wish I would
Have done a lot more on like Saturday night on uh Scotty shuffler because he was like 10 to one but anyway so what I meant by do you know so if those two idiots get into contention somehow maybe they’ll turn out to be a really good bet because I’ll actually be
Able to profit so the idea is to for me to get out of that week if I don’t think windom’s going to come through ultimately the house bet isn’t going to cash then I need to get out I need to get back most of my funds and get out
Now I I’ve done this for about 15 years like live betting I remember it coming out like it was like brand new and I was like I’m in and I was betting Kirk in the 2013 tournaments and stuff either way so you can get into some trouble doing this
Now this is very concerning for me to even tell you to do this because you a can get addicted and B lose all your money like easily and I’ve done this I thought Harris English was a shoe and he was like three holes to go or four holes
To go I put like $1,500 on him one time and he [ __ ] lost the tournament and I was at zero so keep in mind that that could happen um okay I am trying to go it’s basketball season I realize this so in these next two tournaments this
Tournament and then the two Houston open Valero whatever it is they are bad tournaments ultimately or not the heart of the Season not Signature Events and we’re leading into the Masters so I’m going to try to go solo or do less over the next few weeks um like And subscribe though I
Need your subscription because if I don’t get 100 subscriptions the last podcast for the fantasy golf pod will be on the Masters it’s really easy to click like And subscribe all right where I thing where is this file thanks guys Bye
1 Comment
2 $100 Bets! In this economy??