2024 The Players Championship | Golf DFS Preview
Who’s Your Caddy? — the Golf DFS show from Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF (Women of Fantasy Football) — returns for a new season! Kelly Singh and Adam Hallas are your caddies for the 2024 PGA Tour season, and they’re here to help you win some money playing DFS! 💰💰💰
This is episode 44 of Who’s Your Caddy, and Kelly and Adam are previewing this week’s The Players Championship!
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00:00 Intro
01:25 Adam joins Kelly to talk about The Players Championship!
02:35 Course background on TPC Sawgrass
03:41 Water and sand aplenty. Because, Florida.
04:20 Is Scottie Scheffler primed for a repeat?
06:50 Could Justin Thomas make a run this weekend?
07:25 Mid-Tier players ($8k-$9k on Draftkings)
09:52 Chris Kirk as an outlier this week? Unconventional, but it could happen!
12:01 Russell Henley has been as consistent as they come
13:35 Is anyone interested in Tommy Fleetwood this week?
15:20 Si Woo Kim is on the rise this week!
19:42 Adam’s favorite value players
25:14 Apologies for missing last week’s episode
26:20 Outro
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Welcome to who your caddy I’m your host Kelly Singh in this episode we’ll be discussing the players championship and my co-host Adam will give us some background on the course and both of us will share some of our favorite picks with you for your DFS lineup this week so let’s get into it Hello this podcast is meant to help you take your DFS golf game and maybe some of your prop bets to the next level so whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned Pro we hope that you’ll find this podcast helpful I am uh working in California this week so is my luxurious
Bedroom but before I start rambling about how lovely the weather is right now in California let me bringing my co-host the cheese to my crackers Mr Adam halice Mr halice how’s it going it’s going pretty well how you doing good we have the players huge huge it is
Huge is one my favorites why is there your favorite I don’t know I just really like it I like I like the field I like the excitement the players did I like oh that’s a great explation the uh I like players is I was at my
Parents this week and my dad goes I love the PLAYERS Championship is like the one I look forward to outside of the Masters and at TBC sass how can you not it is the gentleman’s version of the Phoenix Open of T TBC Scottdale because we are not very gentlemanly and ladylike in
Phoenix no uh that was yeah I’m still scarred from that um but we have TPC s grass we have the the story course of hole number 17 island green we have hole number 16 part five which is the easiest ho I would say on the almost on the PJ tour but we’ll
See um we have it is quite a perplexing course while it is um I would say in the middle the range of hard to easy um we have water in every hole um so yeah water is in play on every hole so if there’s a player that you think you’re like ah I
Just don’t know I don’t know if I’m you know should I go back and forth just putting your back of your head does this person play well around water are they like a gremlin do they turn horribly wrong when they get wet and do they not feed after
Night um those are all very good questions which kind of plays into why accuracy is such a big deal this week is but there’s more there is more it is and not only do we have water hazards on a lot of the holes 100% of them we also have 92 sand bunkers
92 um so there’s going to be a lot of sand play this weekend um so if your player is good at scrambling um blow them in um so yes yes I like it should we get into the should we get into the players we can get into the players okay that
Works I mean there are a lot of key players that are over 10K this week um including Scotty sheffler who I will say Happ has been on fire but at 12 something I’m like holy smokes at 12 something you’re you’re hoping he wins yeah if he doesn’t win and you’ve
Paid up like that yikes but um when I look at that top tier of 10K plus the only one that I super feel any kind of emotion over might be former players champion Justin Thomas at 10.6k but the thing that I don’t like well here’s the things I do like former
Champion and he’s played well every other year on this course that he was not the former Champion but when we look at his play progressively and going into this season and bringing in this season stats his projections are just lower than I would like to see in comparison to the rest of
This field I mean you have players in the uh low eight high sevenk range that are on par when we look at projections for this tournament with Justin Thomas at 10.6k so how do you feel about that I like Justin Thomas uh probably for the same reasons uh he’s done well in this
Course uh this course or this tournament has been played here for quite some time and so it is a pretty sticky course meaning that course history does tend to play a bigger Factor than all the others um that’s so I like JT uh the other guys
I like are kind of around in this I would say pricing space if you want to call it that are uh Xander Schley and Victor hoglin um so the way I did my model was ball striking accuracy off the te um par five scoring par for scoring Boogie
Avoidance um just a name a few but how do you feel about Justin Thomas and His projections like being on par with somebody that’s two to 3,000 Less in salary cap yeah I could see that but his floor is a lot higher than those people 78 um and his ceilings probably higher
Than those within that same price range so that’s why he’s given a little bit of Edge on the cost ratio so okay all right I can buy into that I’m looking more I have like a whole bunch in the more like the middle tier that I’m liking a whole lot better
Than the super expensive um my most expensive that I’m really liking so far as Shane Lowry 9.1k on DraftKings he’s uh 10th in the field for total Strokes gained fifth in the field Strokes gained um approaching with his approach his accuracy he’s eighth in in the field um he’s so well-rounded this year
He’s been playing very well in this tournament he’s uh placed eighth tied for 13th tied for 35th last year so he plays well on this course and going into this tournament playing well and having course history I feel pretty good about Shane Lowry I I did too I have him in my pool
As well um at 91 his ownership right now is at 16% which is probably going to be one of the higher uh owned golfers out there um but he does well putting on this type of greens which are like POA greens um he does well on aish difficult
Courses and it’s in Florida so there’s a chance to win so he does well in windy courses um he did great last week um and I think you know he’s one of the hotter players on tour so I think Shane Lowry’s probably a pretty good bet to have it I mean his
Last two tournaments he’s been in the top five Arnold Palmer in the classic I mean hard of his approach he’s been getting between uh four to six Strokes on his approach and his overall TD green is between uh five and 10 Strokes um so he’s playing out of his
Mind he has been playing out of his mind I was just looking at um roster ship on most of my pcks um and it looks like I’m kind of half and half I don’t have any like super outliers they’re going to set you way apart but that’s very hard to do in
This tournament actually I have one um and I could talk about him now jump all the way to the bottom of my list and we’ve got Chris Kurt and the reason I’ve got him on here is because he is a very well-rounded player he has every tool in
His toolbox that is needed to win this tournament he’s playing well he’s on the rise but he is terrible he has terrible course history I don’t know that he’s made a cut but he’s 7.6 6K he’s going to end up around 4% rostered can he get over The Yips what
Do you think about this so it goes back to my earlier statement um does he feed after midnight and does he turn into Gremlin if he gets wet probably um I mean some courses turn that into us like we turn into Gremlins on certain courses um and so this might
Be his his Gremlin course um hope that’s great advice because I I mean as silly and funny as it is it is really great advice because if you look at everything other than his cour this specific tournament course history you’re like what the heck why hasn’t this dude
Won and grin it now the odds could be in his favor this year like right you the odds of him actually making a cut because he’s not made the cut for so long true it it has to turn around at some point in time that’s true it’s a small
Percentage small percentage that is my one like outlier everybody else is around eight or % roster ship and then 14 to 15% roster ship uh because you know a lot of people look at the same stats that we’re looking at and want to get on the same page because we all want
To win um we’ve got Russell Henley 8.6k on DraftKings this dude he’s winning six events made six Cuts one of them was a top 10 two of them top 25s I believe tied for 13th tied for ninth last year in this tournament his accuracy chef’s kiss uh Russell Henley
Looking really good in my book um but when we talk again roster ship everybody loves Russell Henley this week as well um and you have already said like you’re looking at maybe players who aren’t aren’t on everybody’s radar do you still like Russell Henley or no I I like
Russell Henley um I like like I said mentioned before I like hogi and like he’s still in my pool for uh multi inry form and so I’m like yeah let still stick with hogy um and so I I like H I like H I’m on the
Fence of Fleetwood um I know on your list I don’t think he made it into my pool and let me look at my initial projections and the Fleetwood ranks on my particular pool that doesn’t mean like everyone has to have the same thing in the pool um
He is way down there um I know I am on the fence of Fleetwood as well we both agree Henley we both agree hogi hogi happens to be 7.8k which I really like and I think that’s why everybody likes him really great value um he has the most
Consistent and it’s it’s a great course history I mean tying for third last year prior to that he’s come in 33rd 27th 30th those are that’s solid finishing numbers and he’s first in this field on approach so Tom hogi being at 7.8k no wonder everyone’s on board that train
But when we look at Fleetwood in contrast we’re not talking about first and anything in this field in fact his stats against this field are pretty abysmal however he’s a very well-rounded player and he plays well on this course the last two years it
Was um 27th and 25th and then he was cut and then I think I have a typo but I know it was a better number than what I have there so um he plays well on this course he’s a well-rounded player but his stat in general this season have really been abysmal
Gross gross so I’m on the fence about him to 8.8k that’s kind of pricey to not be very sure about somebody I’d much prefer Russell Henley at 8.6 um and then we come to seim SEO sewo um man he’s uh when you look at Strokes gained he’s definitely On The
Rise um he’s placed ninth in 2021 he had to withdraw in 22 tied for 27th in last year’s tournament he’s not terribly overpriced I feel really good about seim I don’t know do you like sewo I don’t mind sewo I look up where you on
My model and again not to say my model is to end all uh but SEO is down there I think with Fleetwood oh that’s rough well here’s why I like seawood sewo um this little segment that I do every now and then so far this year was if you’re gonna
Spend why spend this when you can spend that so if you’re going to spend 10.6k on JT why not spend 8K on sewu Kim SEIU has better odds to make the cut 71% chance of making the cut to Justin tommen’s 68% to make the cut and you may say
That’s not a big deal but that Trend continues across top 20 top 10 and even but once we get to winning if they overcome those odds they both have a 2% chance of winning which all the players in that top tier end up around the same between a two and four% chance of
Winning because if you make the cut and you make the top 20 then you all kind of even out there at the end right he’s also projected to bring in more fantasy points than Justin Thomas um and that to me is a little disturbing if I’m gonna pay all this
Money make me some points yeah I mean the guy can win and we still don’t get enough fantasy points um that’s a fact if he’s not he can still win and not have enough birdies or not have enough sand saves or have too many you know Bogey and his
Points suck so if I’m going to pay up I really want points that is true then I’ll go back to the ceiling and floor method okay I agree with you but I’m I’m going back to the ceiling of FL method that uh um JT just probably has a little bit
Higher ceiling than the seiw um and that’s why that’s in there I can agree I just I just feel like it’s so gross his his points total is so low that virtually like you can go down like three or four tiers and still find people that could outscore him
Theoretically um and this is all models based off of data all numbers it has nothing to do with heart or how they feel that day or anything like that or even if they’re like on the rise and doing well it’s it this is all like straight numbers but when you look at it
It’s like look we just need him to show up to the first te that’s all like like Lucas Glover who’s like oh I missed my textt I miss my tea time round one um so I think just showing up is half the battle and so I think if JT
Does that he’ll be good okay all right I’ll buy in uh you have some other guys on your list and I’m really happy to see some of them because some of them happen to be on my fsga um League team and I happen to be currently in second place so seeing
These names makes me feel really good about maintaining that second place tell us who else you want to talk about this week well I broke these two out into kind of uh like the more I would say more expensive but they’re they’re pretty inexpensive um so I have Harmon EVR and
Theala um now seala doesn’t have the greatest driving accuracy but he does have good greens and regulation he does have pretty good po uh putting um on his particular type of green so I think think he’ll do okay um and so I you know given that method on his
Approach and the way he’s been playing lately he got sixth in the Arnold Palmer he was 37th in Genesis Fifth and uh the Phoenix Open um he hasn’t missed the cuts since uh the start of the year we’ll give him that at beginning of the season um but even before then he was
Second as the century so I think he’ll do well here and at his price range of 8,700 I think it’s a good buy uh next I have Harmon Brian Mr Brian Harmon driving accuracy 65% greens and regulations 66% and then puts around at 28 so I
Again he does well these type of greens his putting has been fantastic um Brian Haron hasn’t missed a cut since June of last year oh wow so uh yeah I’ll pay in for whatever his prices at 7900 um so and he’s got goodish course history here um uh he’s been putting
Pretty decently he’s not going to get you in the top 10 but if you’re paying up for Scotty and you got a couple of expensive guys in your um pool he’s GNA be nice round out individual um he’s he’s gonna be Mr Switzerland he’s not gonna up but
He’s not gonna get you much either so um going harm and then we have EV again driving accuracies just a titch under 60% greens regulation 71% you can’t beat that um his putting’s been a little bit on a little bit um but I he can definitely get it
Going when he wants to um he didn’t he did okay he lost a stroke at the Arnold Palmer he came in second the classic eighth of the Mexico open which is just a glorified putting contest um overall T green he’s been gaining three Strokes his last 10 he’s been gaining three
Strokes um and he’s only missed cut once and it was a phoenix and it’s probably drunk um other than that he hasn’t missed a cut since August so right you can’t ask for more than that no and I got some Cheapo guys in there
Too I got chess Hadley is my you I like him too what the pick and 70% Greens in regulation driving accuracy at 60% has great course history here chess on Hadley at 50 what was he at 5900 5700 but you know what there’s 4% people
That have ownership on them um and so I think the those uh outliers um know what’s up he’s got good course history here um he hasn’t he missed the cut at the Phoenix Open again or he’s probably drunk uh but he’s been in the top 30 for most of his
Play um his putting’s been okay he hasn’t lost anything from TD green he’s been pretty neutral um and at 5900 again if you’re paying up for Scotty and let’s say you’re putting in Xander JT Hadley’s your guy so yeah that’s rightley I thought you were like finishing a sentence they
Said Hadley’s a guy and I was waiting for the rest of that Hadley is your guy Hadley is your guy um I like chest and Hadley I have chest and Hadley I have theala I have van royan so I love seeing those all on your list because it
Makes me feel really good about my odds there and that F League um if you’re playing in any leagues you can definitely um take these pigs weigh them out if you don’t have a bench like I have a league where there’s no bench you just choose the players you like best your favorite
Three um definitely feel free to use our evaluations and any of those instances and man I really hope we have some some good luck last week I was sick I had zero voice which was amazing I sent you a lovely recording where I was like
Hello I know I was trying to listen to it in the conference I was like doing they’re like why is he listening to that sultry ASMR yeah and you are in Vegas in your conference um did you eat any good food I went to Galler at the New York New
York pretty good uh steak and seafood place it was okay um we went to Mari Moto’s um Sushi which MGM Grand which was fairly good um but we didn’t go to like any Mich star restaurants you gotta like go down to like Arya for something like that yeah
That’s okay I think you did well for where you were situated yeah the lexer is not exactly uh popping and so funny okay well I really enjoyed our show today I hope everybody else I hope you did too good luck out there and uh we’ll see you next week I guess Bye
