PGA The Players Championship | March 13, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Mike Petta (hoop2410) and guest break down their favorite PGA DraftKings and FanDuel picks and plays for The Players Championship. They also give you some strategy and process for how they plan to attack the slate.

#PGADFS #DraftKings #FanDuel #PGA #DFS #FantasySports #PGAPicks #SHIPIT #ThePlayersChampionship

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All systems go clear for Lift Off What’s going on everyone welcome to the shipet nation PGA show for The Players Championship fifth major I guess is what they call it but either way the contest on DraftKings are massive that’s all I care about I don’t give a whether it’s the fourth fifth sixth major big

Contest all around the industry very excited to dive into it and yeah Tambo not here he’s on the beach um but we upgraded this week we got our guy Pat subbing in first question to you out of the gate will we get a Tambo video topless picking winners on the beach yes

Or no I hope so like the week that I did it I hit a winner so I don’t see why tampo would it’s like he’s leaving money on the table not doing it really yeah yeah I’m waiting I’ve got my fingers crossed I’m hoping we get the Tambo

Shirt I mean obviously you and him are very close I mean he saw the success you had with that video inant it was Jake knp right Jake knp got the job done that was the guy yeah yeah Jake knap and man uh I tried tried Jake nap last week did

Not work out did not work out so well might be time to hop off that uh that train well maybe it’s time to jump back on the train now that everyone’s jumping off the train it’s a good point it’s a good point we’ll see we’ll go through

We’ll talk all about it um obviously appreciate all the support one big announcement right out of the gate is our guy degenerate 75 is back tonight on his channel doing his emergency stream so excited to see him uh back in the saddle doing some PGA content so he’ll

Get that out I believe it’s 8 Eastern uh tonight so very excited to see him back and um yeah toss it over to you you got that new partnership that new deal with Underdog and I know you got the big uh drawing coming up pretty soon so talk to

The people about that yeah I’m with Underdog fantasy now you’ve probably heard of it if you do not have an account at Underdog fantasy go to Underdog fantasy.com type in code Mayo get yourself a match deposit of up to $100 that helps support the show and listen I you know supports me supports

Tambo keeping our show going over on Network the Mayo media Network and if you hit my newsletter which is completely free it’s got a ton of info in it as well uh or one of the descriptions of the shows or podcast there’s a survey in there now you need

An underdog account to do it so code Mayo sign up if you don’t have one now go take the survey it’s a 15-second survey if you do the survey you are then entered in a $5,000 draw there’s going to be five winners $11,000 each and we are given out the winners on Sunday

Evening this week it’s a my introduction to Underdog it’s a Players Championship bonus for everyone that I I work it into my deal that they have to give away like $20,000 to my viewers throughout the course of the year so this is one4 of that right

Now I like that payout structure too by the way uh you know not 5,000 to one person you know five winners of ,000 dollar we were talking about it before the show DraftKings done a phenomenal job this season on the payout structure for their PGA contest your deal with

With Underdog very nice pay structure there get get five people a chance to win $ thousand dollars I like that yeah and all you need is an account so even if you live in a state where you can’t actually play pick him or anything like that you can still sign up with an

Account under code Mayo by the way um and still get into it and like if you don’t have the ability to bet in California or Texas or one of these other states that you can go in and play the pick them or do the drafts with this

We’re doing a bunch of beste ball major drafts I’m G to do a few players drafts what time is DJ stream tonight did you say uh8 Eastern 8 Eastern I know uh you guys have that other time zone so what it would be uh nine your time right yeah

Yeah we’re in the Atlantic time zone out here you know closer closer to Europe than everyone else but I am actually live on my channel uh the hour before that so starting at 7:15 PM eastern time so that’s sort of like the pregame show to the return of dgen so I will happily

Hop off after 45 minutes and throw it over to James on his channel yeah very excited to have him back make sure you guys get in the underdog promo helps us out as well I mean uh you’ve been you know probably the the biggest Ally to the shiping nation Community since we

Launched so that’s definitely helps everybody so make sure to get in there uh and get that Underdog account use the code uh in terms of ship it Nation content we have our promo going uh Masters 15 uh if you use that code it gets you all the way through the Masters

Like tambo’s a marketing genius he has all the set up 15% off any package and it stays with you for life as long as you do not cancel uh that package at any point gets you all our content you can do PGA only you can do uh all the

Sports all access you can do a six Monon a weekly uh a monthly whatever you want so there’s a bunch of different options uh over there so use that code Masters 15 and then we’ll be taking one person that selects a six month or an annual package and give them their money back

So it’s a hell of a deal if you’re on the sidelines waiting now is a good time to get in I know uh some marketing uh tilts people really really hard like they’re coming here for PGA but got to understand like we’re doing these shows

For free so you got to get the marketing stuff out there I mean that’s just that’s how this business works you know free shows got to generate some Revenue somehow so hit the marketing we’ll get the PGA stuff anything else you want to touch on before we kind of dive into

This yeah it’s always just best not to talk about it if we’re going to talk about what a genius Tambo is for his marketing strategy and his planning it wasn’t such good planning having your wedding anniversary on players week now was it yeah well the only thing he can

Do to correct the situation again is I’m going to go back to the opening I want a topless video of his ass putting out his core like he I know he has to be tuning in at some point Tambo we need a shirtless video of you talking about

Your core plays at least one or two you don’t want to give away all your cores one or two core plays topless just has to be done that’s the only way to make up for missing the players right I mean I think that’s the I think that’s a fair

Substitution or not and just save the people from anything like that someone in the chat asked if Underdog is available in Louisiana pickham are not but I believe that drafts are very similar to Pennsylvania if you live in Pennsylvania where you can’t play the pick them uh actually let’s see no

Louisiana’s not even on the standard fantasy list either so yeah Louisiana tough break for Louisiana for playing Michigan as well I don’t get it can’t do well I I know the Michigan thing because that that’s they it’s a lot like an Ontario they conflated gambling law with

Fantasy law because I run the the Mayo cup the race for the one and done so we were trying to get into each of these states to make sure that that contest was legal the fees to be in Michigan were astronomical like they don’t even make sense didn’t you said Ontario is

The same yeah man I used to SP my spot too by the way uh 19 and 20 like every single person I’m about 30 minutes from the border so like every Friday Saturday night you’d hop over the Border get hammered and then come back and it was a

It was a fun ride for two years Ontario uh I can’t remember the name of the street there’s like a street with just a ton of bars and it was a spot to go just popped in my head but uh long time ago now I’m old you know all right well I

Got some losers to give out let’s do this all right let’s hop in first thing weather you seen anything weatherwise I know on the show we always talk about it Tambo does a phenomenal job of you know playing these uh wave Stacks regardless of the weather for me you know I don’t

See anything this week in in terms of weather um so I’m not playing any sort of advantage that way do do you see anything different so no uh although the winner has come from the am wave 13 of the past 15 years although the top 10 56

44% and really we’re trying to get guys inside the top 10 along with the winner in this tournament now I did my show with razza earlier today over on my network and one thing that I’ve been doing with Tambo all year long on that show is I’ve just been blindly playing the

Wave stacks and Ben and I were talking like Tambo and I have talked it through before Ben and I were talking it through and I’ve won four gpps on DraftKings this year like I’m up a lot of money playing golf almost as much as I’ve been

Down the past seven years trying to get digging my way back up to even here but it’s been a really good run for me and I’m not doing anything really different now uh Tambo helped me with my tournament selection that’s been a lot better for me but the one thing that

I’ve been doing is that every single week I am just blindly playing Am Pm stats and PM am stacks and it’s not so much that you might just get lucky with the weather that’s great so then you have these pockets of players that are all clustered together and the other

Thing that it does it takes away a if you have like one of the things that I used to really come into a lot of issues with would be taking like the same three guys at the bottom of every line was like oh you know I have a

Diverse three guys in the 6K range I’ll just sprinkle these guys at the back end of any lineup and inevitably if one of them misses the cut then you’re absolutely screwed what this does is take three or four guys and put them into Pockets down there as well so they

Can only technically be in half your lineups at Max and then the other set of lineups doesn’t have them in them it gives you a unique lineup almost instantly because you know at most people just aren’t even thinking about doing that especially on non super like very clear weather weeks and it gives

You a different pool of players you have fewer decisions to make like if you’re between that guy or that guy well let’s just cut out half the field to begin with and then start making lineups from one half and I feel like the lack of decision- making and me trying to stress

Over this guy or this guy or how much of this guy or how much of this guy as Tambo says play them both but this way I don’t have to that decision’s already made for me and it’s really helped me yeah a couple things that you touched on

There which I think make a ton of sense you’re immediately different than the field at that point because even when there is a distinct weather Advantage like you see it you know we see it from time to time throughout the year where you know to load up on amm or you know

To load up on on PM Thursday guys nobody goes all in with it even when we have these extreme weather advantages so without the extreme weather advantages that everyone knows about if you do something like this you’re immediately different than the field and you see it

All the time where it looks like the wind’s going to be the same all day long but for some darn reason the am guys shoot a stroke and a half better than the PM guys and it’s kind of unexplainable well that way by building this way you’re immediately hitting an

Advantage that no one knows exists that’s the first thing and the second thing that you touched on that we’ve been talking about a lot on these shows finding the contests that fit you best and um you know I made a change personally in the contest that I play um

As well you know last year I was really focused in on on 150 making you know 150 teams and going that route starting this year talked to Tambo on this show a lot like I switched to really focusing in on 20 entries which I had a ton of success

Years ago kind of went back to that and similar to you I’m having my best start to the PGA season that I’ve ever had um and uh you know the results have been good so two things I mean just look at the contest you’re entering look for different ways you can get yourself

Different than the field and you know obviously goes the long way and it work so you always need to re-evaluate kind of what you’re doing as a player I think it’s very important yeah and the amm wave I mean I would say that there

Probably is a bit of a lean to the PM am um if you were to pick one although there doesn’t seem to be a distinct Advantage only because towards the end of the day on Friday as it stands right now it looks like it’s going to get a

Little bit cloudy and there is rain coming at night that those guys might just get like if the range just shows up three hours earlier because it’s Florida then you know those guys are just sitting there you know twiddling their thumbs waiting and then they have

To come back out on Saturday it doesn’t look like that’s going to be the case but that could be the option or you could spin it the other way and be like oh that’s great that means these guys get to rest come back out in ideal conditions the next morning with wet

Greens and just fire at every pin and start making some birdies so it’s goes back to the whole I don’t know if I knew who was going to win I wouldn’t be here talking to you I would be owning a private island with all of my winnings

Every single week so what are the things that I can control ownership I can somewhat control at least within a range the weather I can’t control the weather I can look at a forecast but now I’ve situated myself where I can play Both Sides a little bit which no one else is

Doing and as uh again just looking at the chat as someone pointed out it was Devon in the chat said you know ironically all the PM am stack guys this week has 90% of the players I like that’s everyone you go look at the guys garnering all the ownership this week

They’re all pm am guys so just naturally building AM PM means your lineup is so much different than everybody else’s yeah I mean again it’s just an immediate way to to get different without having to really dive into ownership and you know is this guy really going to be 30

Or 20% like none of that stuff matters you’re immediately different than the field in terms of roster construction you know outside of weather this week another thing that kind of stands out to me which I was curious to get your opinion on is yes you know Scotty

Sheffler is going to get some ownership this week I mean the guy is phenomenal we talked about it last week that the putter change I kind of made the joke and I don’t even know if it was a funny joke or not but I was like I don’t give

A if this guy’s going to like a little tight plastic putter set like it’s got to be better than uh what has been happening with the Putter and sure enough he went out put it well won the tournament he’ll get some ownership but outside of him it looks like really

Spread out ownership from what I’m seeing are you kind of seeing this the same thing yeah but I think clusters will emerge like Scott like what do you think Scotty comes in in either the big 25 or the big five over if I said over under 30% what would you say I’m goingon

To say under and we’ll kind of talk about a little bit more I think people end up selling themselves on this balance build this week because there’s a lot of reasons a lot of question marks in this upper tier which we’ll kind of talk about all these 10K guys there’s and

That’s typically not the case and then you throw in the the 128 price tag Which is higher than we’ve seen for the ceiling price I personally think it comes in a little bit lower now I mean is he going to be 18% I don’t hell no I

Mean he’s going to probably be like at the lowest like 25ish but I think it it it has a good chance of coming in below 30 so I I think it’s going to be right around there and if that’s the case I think you’re right that if it does come

In below that means Justin Thomas probably gets up around 22 25% as well because he becomes the next very logical option to take to start your lineups with because no one really likes Rory this week no one really likes Xander no one really likes Klay uh and no one

Really likes holand people will play choffle like all those guys are going to be played but not to the extent of sheffler then Thomas then those four in terms of an ownership tier or they play Thomas and just fade all the 10K guys then you have like zot Taurus and Hideki

And then you go to like you know Burns and Lowry at the lower nines like those four guys in the nines seem to be the one that everyone is gravitating around so I do actually think that Sheffer comes in higher than that just in the face of the other options that no one

Likes like I’m looking at Fantasy National right now uh and just it’s our user base that’s generating all of this there’s been over 10,000 lineups generated so far now our ownership projection on Scotty right now is around 20% but when you look at the actual amount of lineups he’s been generated in

That people are potentially exporting to CVS’s and uploading 32% so I think that people everything I’ve heard about this week is just how Scotty can’t lose and if people do think that once we start getting the general populace in that they’re just going to take Scotty and

Live with Scotty hogy and gim those three guys on a team are going to be like the majority of teams it feels like yeah yeah I mean they definitely stand out I mean the one I’m glad DraftKings put this price at 128 I mean if they

Come in and put Scotty at like 12K 119 118 somewhere in that range he’s definitely getting massive massive ownership because people are going to look at the other options in this top tier and they’re going to say man I’ll just find the money to get to Scotty

Well to find the money to get to Scotty I mean you’re paying a premium I mean it’s almost 13,000 which you can definitely make it work we have the 5K range uh as well this week which DraftKings brought back which I think should kind of be a main stay in my

Opinion I like that 5K range I mean entice people to go down there and play some of these risky options but yeah I don’t know I think people end up going with a balanced build more times than not and I could see Scotty coming in a little less than that 30 number we’ll

See but a lot of it is because of those question marks you got guys like you know Rory who hasn’t been in the greatest form Shuley expensive price day 113 for for Xander is higher than we seen I guess we’ll just kind of hop into this tier Justin Thomas is the next guy

That people feel pretty comfortable with the game has been phenomenal outside the one week what was that the Genesis when he played with tiger and played like absolute Klay you know one good week basically in a month and then Victor hin has been a disappointment basically all season long so yeah I

Think it’s Scotty I think it’s Justin Thomas and then I could see like Rory Xander Klay hland averaging maybe like 11 12% for for all four of them do you think that makes sense yeah I think that Rory and Klay actually come in below 10% I wouldn’t be surprised yeah I’m and I

Mean I I like Rory the best like if you’re going to take the shot take the shot on Rory the game’s been rough I mean it has not been hold that’s not true he just let everyone T to Green two weeks ago he won in Dubai earlier this year just

Because he doesn’t where did he finish in that t green where did he finish what two weeks ago that that when he led the field in TD green I think that he was 14th okay yeah but like you need him to be 21 sorry 2 yeah I get I get that I

Get that you need him to be good but his like floor I mean he finished 66 at Pebble Beach after he got that stupid penalty which was just nonsense and then he’s finished 21st 21st 24th before that it was fourth fourth third sixth first seventh and then through the Middle East

Earlier this year he was first and second against good Fields like if he’s gonna come in with nothing and the only thing that’s holding him back is that he’s a putter well did you not play sheffler last week because he’s a Putter and Rory we know is a better putter than

Sheffler so you you you like little Rory I mean I if he’s under 10% like I’m going to I’m going to try to get some of him and I’m with you I think he has a chance to to be in that range like and he obviously is a guy that can just turn

It on and win an event but it’s it’s been a little rough no no listen I I’m saying he’s not Peak Rory at the moment but we’re trying to construct some lineups here like he is the captain of the AM PM stack the good thing about the

PM am stack that sheffer’s in it and so is Thomas the great thing about it if you want to make your lineup somewhat unique by just taking the guys from P PM am all of the chalky guys that just kind of fit with Sheffer down the list if you

Go Sheffer like 7K 7K High 6K guy and then back up into the eights are all in the am so uh if you do the PM am you’re just naturally going to be a little bit different because you have guys like hogi is in the AM H who else Adam Scott

Is in the AM you have CZ is in the AM Grio is in the AM EVR is in the AM uh Doug gim is in the PM so he would actually go along with him but a lot of the guys that are frequently paired with shefford this we are all AMT time so

Just by doing the PM am stack using Sheffer that way it will make your lineups far more unique than just taking hey these guys all raid out really well yeah yeah does make sense yeah I’m with you so we talked a little before the show and I told you about the new

Segment uh the keeper cut segment the chat loves it interactive first guy keeper cut list in this range get put it in here so people can see it is going to be Victor havin so give me your thoughts on havin he’s kind of the last guy in

This range I’m deciding and I like to Make Some Cuts I don’t want to play every one uh Victor havland um is the keeper cut option what do you think cut he’s my fate of the week cut really yeah feel good about it huh no but I’m doing

It yeah yeah yeah I’m kind of with you I don’t want to man I could honestly see myself just playing Scotty in this range then just being dumb actually JT I gotta play some JT as well um because he do you think there’s anything to that like

The one bad week was was playing alongside tiger like as a distraction you buy into any of that I mean I buy that guys have bad weeks it’s golf yeah yeah yeah hard game yeah I get it so all right well so havin I’m putting it down

You get oh as the co-host you get two uh votes so you get two votes to the chats one vote so it’s looking like a lot of cuts so looks like havlin might be out of the player pool this week so yeah basically anyone in terrible form coming

In and listen I’m not saying go 100% Rory here but if he is single digits and as a part of that stack that I was talking about am I’m like I’ll end up with a little Rory a little havland a little those guys as a part of me

Building lineups that way but when I go and I like I’m not building every lineup those ways so when I make my like combined wave Stacks like both those guys aren’t making it yeah all right I’m going to pull up see if I can do this

And not uh let’s see we need I’m going to pull up the projections here and kind of walk through it that way a little easier there we go all right so got the solver up with the shiping nation projections you guys can follow along as

We walk through the 9k range is uh I think pretty loaded top to bottom and kind of make the case for most guys uh in this range from zelot torus all the way down to Lowry zorus obviously guy that plays well on tough courses great form fourth and second Hideki uh did you

Buy into the whole back thing last week with hcky because I mean I didn’t end up playing him but he looked fine yeah I mean he claimed he had a numb lag I bet against him in head to heads I fed him first round took him out of DraftKings

Lineups that was dumb I just want to acknowledge something here sexy beast in the chat says Rory gets top two to win every tournament and he’s not even close more like top 60 just about like that’s not even close to true this perception of Rory is insane that if he

Doesn’t win every tournament he sucks it’s really weird no other player gets that like I I don’t understand it well in terms of fantasy when you’re I get what people say like oh if I pay this much for a guy and need him to finish

Like top five that is like not true like you it’s more important what the other guys do around him in this pricing structure so if if Rory goes out and finishes six you might be disappointed from a fantasy perspect perspective but if Scotty finishes 15th Xander misses

The cut JT finishes 10th Klay finishes 40th and havin finishes 30th then Rory is going to be an excellent play in Fantasy and you’re G to be live to win fantasy contest so the important part is can’t go in and say I need this guy to

Finish in X place it’s what the other guys do around him in the pricing structure if that’s what he was kind of referring to to in terms of fantasy sure but but he I mean Rory has a top 10 finish in 14 of his past 17 events like yeah

But yeah I mean if he’s coming he’s going to be lower own there’s no doubt about it I mean and if it’s single digits again I’m I haven’t decided what I’m doing with his ass this week but man if it’s going to be 7even eight% and I

Can play 13 and be close to doubling the field like that might be something I’m interested in uh and the price tag 116 is Gonna Keep people off of him because he’ll just find a way to Scotty so yeah it’s interesting but I did fall for

The hii thing as well I faded him last week and he looked perfectly fine um Windam Clark at 97 H 96 good what good uh finishes here the last couple years spe morawa Oar Burns Lowry young I mean you can make the case to play all these

Guys for me my favorites are zalot torus um Sam Burns I’m G to keep playing uh he’s one of those guys that hot or cold he runs hot and cold and he’s hot right now I mean opened up round four was a triple I believe last week and just it

Totally took him out of contention prior to that triple he was right there I’m interested in Burns and I’ve been playing a lot of Cam young I’m gonna stay on him so those are kind of the three or four guys that I’m focused in um focused on what what are you what are

You liking here in this 9k range H I got the three that I really like I like Hideki I like Burns and I like ludvig as the three uh like and then know I’ll really be building around those guys as peripheral pieces around Scotty and Justin Thomas a lot like you and then

I’ll probably add in Windam Clark Shane Lowry and cam young I feel like I should be playing more aawa but he just he hurts my feelings too much every year at this course oh it’s painful because on paper I mean this should set up well for

Him right for his game like this should be a good good track um perfect it is the perfect course for morawa and Tom Kim and just they don’t got it right now yeah I mean it seems with morawa he’ll have like this this one really

Good round and then it will all kind to go to like last week it looks like I mean it seemed like he almost just gave up and said I’m done I’m out I mean it it did not go well for him last week I mean what what he shooting that round

Two was a crazy high number wasn’t it yeah he was like two under going into the day he was the one playing with Rory shot 80 on Friday yeah 80 insane absolutely insane um all right so in regards to this range uh I know what your answer is going to be because you

Already said you’re on this guy and it’s going to be hidek the keeper keeper cut auction uh I’m assuming you’re gonna say to to keep him and uh I I can get down with that I think I could keep him in the player pool this week and feel all

Right about it yeah it feels like he’s gonna be super high own but I just think sandwich like right in between Clark and zotus he’ll be higher than Clark but I think zot Taurus will come in higher and havin will always Garner more ownership than you think whatever you project him

For he will be higher just like Fleetwood will inevitably just be higher than whatever the projections say because people just love clicking those names every single time but with Hideki I feel like listen I’m going to play him I bet him to win so I’m in on Hideki but

I do feel like this is the week where he gets us all back after last week after we all faded him because of the injury news that he pulls out one minute before his tea time I would not play him in a single entry yeah I think with Hideki I

Think there’s a chance not that he comes in low on but I think it could be lower than projected for one reason and this it’s kind of like the highest price tag we’ve seen on him in a while I feel like people are price sensitive when they’re

Playing Hideki like if he’s in the 8K range they’re in if he’s in the low nines like maybe close to 10K I think people could could say yeah no thanks I think zalatoris gets more than him I think H gets more than him um so I think

He has a chance to maybe get squeezed a little bit at 9,800 yeah H’s a really interesting one because the results are really good but they’re all chipping and putting based like he gained with his he gained 0.1 Strokes gained on his irons at Riviera that is the only time this year since

The century sorry since the Tournament of Champions where he’s gained with his irons lost off the te like significantly in three of his past four like that’s not well the results are good the form isn’t it’s sort of like the anti- Rory in a weird way where he’s putting his

Way out of bad play now maybe that means he’s hot with the chipper with the chipping and the putting and the ball striking will return usually that’s not how it happens and the putter just goes away and it’s a really terrible scene so that’s why I’m off home if anyone’s

Wondering yeah and then the other interesting guy and I think you touched on Shane Lowry I mean we were paying you know peanuts for him recently well back toback solid WIS he’s in this 9k range um again a course that should fit his game pretty well um initially this week

I was like no I’m not paying 91 for for L Lowry but I I’ve kind of come around on him a little bit I think he’ll be in the player pool for sure what what are your thoughts on him I’m in on Lowry just don’t play him on Sunday

Showdown yeah gosh that was a disaster play him Thursday Friday and Saturday just don’t play him for the final round don’t play him round four yeah it’s not a bad option there that’s for sure all right so it looks like we are oh let’s see the votes for Hideki a lot of cuts

Cut keep cut keep lock cut keep keep pretty 5050 but you’re going to go ahead and split that tie we are gonna g to roll with our boy hii this week he’s gonna stay in the player pool and Hoops player pool this week going into the AKs

Uh in terms of perception I think it kind of falls off a little bit um you know a lot of these guys in the 9k range going to be appealing going to get ownership then like the first name you see Jason day uh is a guy that people don’t love playing Fleetwood a

Lot of people last week with what do you have like a 10 on the the six hole hit in the water twice and you know you do that you’re done 8,800 but has played well at this course uh theala at 87 got Russell Henley playing well and

He’s a guy that I do think gets ownership people feel comfortable with him he can find Fairways uh Tony F now question mark sunjay kind of bounced back a little bit uh Cory Conor continues to make Cuts but a lot of middling finishes Fitzpatrick’s playing like you touched on Tom Kim should

Fit him well here but man he’s been a disaster I think the bottom of this range you know the three names at the bottom benan like I’ve been playing a lot of benan um I’m not going away from him minwoo at 8K then your boy SEIU Kim

All the way down there at $8,000 so um I don’t know it’s kind of a polarizing range I’d say I think a lot of the ownership is going to be at the bottom like Benny on SEIU Kim potentially Cory Connors but uh there’s a lot of volatility in this 8K range with guys

Like feno the gala you know even even Fleetwood so what are your thoughts here in the 8K range I love feno and I I mean I bet Henley but I understand that he’s probably going to come in I mean I maybe he ends up getting squeezed because

People just be like oh I could save money if I play benan instead and get up to a better guy in the nines or something like that so maybe he comes in a little bit lower than you think and like I said I always think that Fleet

Would comes in a little bit higher than people think so maybe that evens itself out a little bit so phenow is my favorite play then it’s Henley and then it’s probably Cory Connor uh just for the absolutes like you know just kind of

Like lock him in for a top 30 and if he actually Mak some putts this week that becomes a top 10 like that’s a pretty good it’s a lot like Henley in a way he’s like Henley who can’t putt but is a slightly better ball Striker is that you

Rely on these guys to hit Fairways and not make 12 at this course which oh it just get what do you think the six to six percentage this week is going to be because his historically it’s very very low at this course it’s got to be very

Low I mean I I think it it just has to be the volatility here is insane you can chalk up you know quite a few bigname favorite guys missing the cut and as soon as that happens the six of six just completely tank so I mean it has to be

Low yeah I mean I even recommended a uh I took the top seven guys on the board to try to make a miss the cut parlay to round robin I don’t think that all seven of them are going to miss the cup but like the top two price guys here last

Year Rory and ROM both missed the cut and Rah was playing Amazing coming in then he misses a cut then he goes to live but he won the Masters in a month’s time afterwards anyway so it really didn’t matter but we see so like it’s so volatile like you said like Scotty has

Better OD longer odds to miss the cup this week than he does to win the tournament like that’s actually insane like that that doesn’t Pro probabilistically that doesn’t make any sense no it’s crazy just goes to show how well he’s playing how the public perceives his ass I mean it’s that is a

Pretty wild statistic there not statistic but odds odds or nuts to to think about it in that manner I agree with you though uh Cory Connor is probably my favorite in this range I always like Cory Connor I you know the game is not far off obviously just needs

To make a couple pots like just be decent um the ball striking has been great and um I agree with you like I see a top 30 35 floor with man if he can make some pots he’s a guy that can contend at Major so I really like him a

Lot he’s a a main piece of what I’m doing this week but the keeper cut option is going to be Mr Tom Kim Tom Kim you kind of said the course fits him well but he hasn’t been playing well that’s for sure so what should we do with Tom Kim

$8,100 he’s a cut for me unfortunately I I’d really like to i’ mean he might come in at like 2% because literally no one wants anything to do with him at this point but I if you want to be a contrarian you can do it for me he’s a cut for my my

Main build yeah see and the ownership is definitely going to be low like you said I mean these guys at the bottom like benan sew Kim even Cory Connor like we talked about definitely get some ownerships I I think you know if deciding between those guys and Tom Kim

People are going to those other guys Tony fow is an interesting one for me um I don’t know what I’m gonna do because I don’t know if the course necessarily sets up well for him but again he does have that uh winning upside 8,500 what’s

The uh own ship looking like on on feno I’d say probably right around 10 would be my guess but just because the results really haven’t been there although I do think he’s been top 20 in his past three events it’s just he’s putted so in the

Field over the past 24 rounds he’s 135th in putting however he’s third in approach fifth in ball striking and fourth Tia green he’s actually having his best ball striking run of his career in 2024 but dude is missing four foot putts by like five feet to the left like

It’s insane how bad he’s been putting the first time he had gained Strokes putting was actually last time we saw him which was in Mexico of all places on these slower greens it’s a bit wet in Florida right now so maybe they can’t get these greens up to the speeds where

He had been missing so many I mean that’s the dream right that he continues the ball striking and all of a sudden it’s just one of those weeks where he makes putts and we’ve seen those weeks where he can make puts it just feels like everyone’s just like if it comes

Down to Henley or feno people are gonna click on feno if they could save the money and go to Connors they’ll go to Connors that he might get left by the wayside unless it’s people running stat models because they’ll see like holy this guy rates out well yeah yeah

It’s a interesting range because again there’s a lot of volatility you got a guy like theala who can come out of nowhere and just contend um you know Fitzpatrick has been a pretty popular golfer much more expensive uh even in these loaded Fields he’s been dog

You know sunjay has been bad but bounce back little it’s a I think it’s an interesting range uh for for sure this 8K range and they’re the few guys that will get some ownership the lower and guys that closer to akk and then like Henley people will be on but outside of

That um I think a lot of people will even try just to get that 9k range if they can there’s more stability up there so interesting range uh for sure 7K less golfers obviously because they added the 5K range which again I’m a bit do you

Like the 5K range because I do uh I I do because I usually find like one or two losers that I really like that I can plug into my lovs like I have my guy this week that just I just pray he makes the cut and that’s how like even at the

Uh at the cognizant when I won the $150 like I had Chan Kim at 5,400 bucks or whatever he was like I just needed him to make the cut and that was good enough down there again I think right he is but Carson young is down there and he’s the

Play I like Carson young I’m a Carson young guy so we’ll we’ll uh we’ll agree when we get down there I’m gonna there’s a few guys I like in that 5K range we’ll kind of touch on when we get down there um you know playing as much Scotty as I

Am you got to sell yourself on a few options down there and there’s some I think that are playable but we’ll hit the sevenk first before we hop in uh do us that favor hit the like And subscribe helps us out a ton Brian Haron has had

Success here the course sets up well for him 79 Keegan Bradley snuck by last week very popular Keegan Bradley was a guy that was pretty surprising in terms of ownership last week got way up there I think he was like a a top three owned guy and snuck by the cut line finished

Like 30th Harris English uh was part of that group that fell apart um on uh in round four hogi you kind of touched on him uh playing for Nomo golf good result last year he’s going to be owned at 7,800 uh JT Poston probably a little overlooked this week Eric Cole Adam

Scott a ton of people last week but I think they’ll go back to him I think they’ll forgive and forget uh Chris Kirk Keith Mitchell uh CZ Milano Grio I I I’ve been playing Grio and he’s been playing well 7,400 for him um you know Ricky no thanks uh

EVR continues to play pretty well 73 300 then it kind of falls off I think a lot of these guys in the lower sevens um will go pretty overlooked including including your boy Jake neap that that made you a nice little pretty penny there from the beach so I think a lot of

People stick with the uh upper sevens here I think the lower sevens goes a little overlooked but some solid options in this 7K range what are you seeing here yeah I think you need to kind of pick your poison here like you said I think the people will go back to Cole

And you kind of hit on the key name like I bet Herman to win I bet hogi to win I’m G to play those guys but JT Poston I think is the name he’s the perfect pivot off of Tom hogi and he comes in with basically no ownership the biggest

Coraly course to Saw Grass is Windam where he is he either won or come in second place he came in second place there and he won the Heritage another Pete die course another short course he won at um TBC deer run as well so it’s just kind of the perfect course for him

He’s missed the cut the past two years but who cares like everyone misses the cut here he was t22 the two years before that and again this is a guy who was like 28 to won a month ago in tournaments now he’s 10 and something to

One like it didn’t change all that much for him he played poorly at Honda no he always plays poorly at Honda it happens every year he was top 10 at RI top 20 at Pebbles top he was 11th at the American Express sixth at the Sony fifth

At the century like this’s a guy with five top 20 finishes and eight starts this year at a course that is much better for him the stats on approach have been horrible the past few weeks but he is someone that can get by a Lot

Like H with his putter if need be or he can kind of click it back he’s still hitting a ton of Fairways which is great I I think that he has the potential here especially at the low ownership like if you’re starting to make your pivot

Stands these are the type of guys that I would want to go to rather than being like Oh well I really like I can’t play sheffler he’s two owned let me play Xander instead who I really don’t like I’d rather just play Scotty but playing with JT Poston instead of hogi yeah yeah

Poston has to be low own with the names around him like you know people are playing Harmon you know people are playing hogy you know people are going to play Cole Scott um you know probably even Chris Kirk like there’s just no way Poston gets any sort of ownership and he

Was on a nice little heater prior to the last couple events I mean he still made the cut but the finishes have not been great and he’s at a course where um you know I think it sets up well for him so I mean Poston has to be what two three

Four% own somewhere in that range or lower perfectly honest with you just he’s a name that you just people just look over I asked someone about him the other day he like I didn’t even realize he was that much I didn’t see him there yeah yeah I mean the I mean because it

Is a price I mean he is 77 yeah so it’s showing like two three four somewhere right in that range and uh man yeah I kind of overlooked him a little bit myself to be honest with you before kind of just going through this um but I

Think it makes sense do you have any interest in those guys in the bottom I know we kind of teased nap a little bit he’s down there at 71 Justin Rose Cameron Davis Jagger any of those dudes yeah Jagger and Davis for sure I like and I probably will play Jake knap I

Want to see what the ownership comes in because he might get residual ownership coming through like if he in ends up as a double digits type of guy which I don’t think that he will like I haven’t projected like 5% right now I’ll play some Jake knap at that ownership because

The approach was actually great last week he just legit could not drive the ball that didn’t land in the water he just got and maybe he learned from it last week that he was far more reserved off the tea at Honda when he knew all the water was lurking because he didn’t

Need to overpower that course is first time at bill being such a long course I think that he felt like he needed to challenge a lot of those par fives and he took on too much water and just you know one slight degree off and all of a

Sudden you’re swimming and you’re in such a huge hole saw grass is a lot like PGA National in that way where you don’t have to get aggressive off the tea D get hit like a driving iron off every te like Bryson did that year just not worry

About it and continue the hot approach like he still gained over two strokes on approach that was top 15 in the field last week he just happened to lose 11 Strokes off the te yeah well he got caught by that six hole as well I think

He put two in and then he uh hit one like 250 yards so he’s laying up at that point I think he did he took like a 10 or maybe even 11 he took a big score on that six hole so 12 he took a 12 12

There it is yeah 12 even bigger than I had anticipated so I again I I think these guys at the bottom very low owned um keeper cut option is a guy that neither of us mentioned and um he has a Canadian so curious to get your opinion on Adam

Hadwin yeah I was kind of leaning towards cutting hadwin’s ass anyway but he’s up there well I mean he has to go overlooked similar to the JT Poston stuff um you know after talking through with you I think I definitely prefer Poston now I mean Poston was a guy you I

Currently don’t have in my player pool but I would be interested in adding him hadwin I’m good with cutting so and the chat agrees with you too a lot of cuts coming in for hadin cut cut cut gone hadin cut so that that no one likes

Hadwin so all right well maybe maybe I should add him back in though now because everyone feels so strongly about yeah but people will just look at he’s made the cut at the players in his last six times he’s been he was top 10 last year 13th year before that he’s not

Playing bad golf he’s not a bad option it’s just I just prefer the guys around him for just pure upside purposes yeah I think I agree with you all right we’ll keep it moving two more tiers we’ll go through and it’s going to be a go a little quicker because less options down

Here but I I will be down here I’ll be in the 6K range I’ll be in the 5K range I think there’s legitimate guys I know a lot of people are excited about Denny McCarthy right at 6,900 um I actually think I prefer Nick Taylor I you know you are against the

Canadians and I’m in on the Canadians like Nick Taylor’s always been my boy 69 for him Hustler playing great Doug Doug gim though is a big talking point this week Doug gim is going to get ownership he’s playing phenomenal golf $6,800 I think he’s played well here too in the

Past right does he have good course history or course history he played in the the group with Justin Thomas the year that Justin Thomas won on Sunday and he just kind of it was flatlined a little bit but I think he was a stroke or two off

The lead going into Sunday that year he’s played Pete D coures really well obviously he’s playing Great Golf right now he’s an easy fade if he actually does come in at like 15% ownership I like him a lot but he’s no like there are like legitimate quality players

Surrounding him here and maybe he does level up and goes out and wins the tournament you know great for the gim Reaper I love him uh I would be happy to see him win but like pavon is $100 cheaper that’s crazy uh just with the way that he’s been playing so far this

Year Billy love him by the way he’s I mean I he’s one of those guys like I always say this about certain guys if you’ve been playing him you got to stay on him and I’ve been heavy on pavon every week There’s no way I’m going away

From his ass this week at $6,700 like so in on pavon yeah hor show in Florida uh he popped back up all of a sudden at the classic at PGA National he popped up at the Sony earlier this year the short courses where he can use his use his

Fairway advantage to his Advantage not put it in the water keep it clean and just like not listen I’m not expecting Billy Ho to come inside the top five he might come like t31 or something like that I don’t like him as much as ekro though ot’s at 6,500 we just watched him

Do this and win at a very similar course he’s played well at Pete die courses in the past he is one of the most accurate players in the field so again along the lines of Russell Henley and Cory Conor and Adam Scott now we have Billy horel

And Austin e guys that their upside might not be to the very top but their downside listen they can all miss the cut it happens you hit one bad shot you’re done but it feels like their floor is a little bit higher to just survive to the weekend and that’s all

I’m looking for right now I’m just looking for guys down here to make the weekend and hopefully they start making some putts and then they do have upside but they need to get there first and that’s always the hardest part of this tournament is finding those ones like

What do you do with like everyone’s on Aaron Ry it feels like at 64 because he’s another one who just hits every single Fairway great ball Striker can’t putt but Andrew Novak is right behind him who has been awesome the past three goes top 10 in each of his past three

Starts and it seemed like people wanted him at the beginning of the week now it seems like no one wants to play him I’m playing his ass I’m definitely playing him I mean how well I I don’t care like I I love guys that are on these little

Heaters like conf golf is a game of confidence and when you get it rolling man sometimes it can be hard to slow it down I me definitely in on him you know if deciding between Novak or Ry I am definitely on Novak over Ry uh fine playing both you know probably not the

Same lineup but I’m totally fine playing Novak and Ry keeping them in my player pool but if deciding between one of the two it’s Novak for me over Ry and then there are three guys down here at 61 6 661 and 62 that I am playing they’ll be

In the pool and they all present different types of unique skills but they all have one common tradeit is that when they make the cut they finish really well so either they might come dead last and that’s the volatility that they have that’s why they’re 6,100 but

Kevin Yu is one of them I know that Kevin Yu is most definitely one of them like why wouldn’t you play Kevin Yu right now yeah he might come 133rd but in the other starts when he doesn’t miss the cut so far this year third six nth

Yeah yeah I think that there’s a lot of validity to that point like you said like you know some of these guys down here the goal when you’re playing a guy at 6K is make the cut that’s priority number one do you think this guy can

Make the cut and a lot of times you’re thinking all right this guy’s going to be 40th 30th you know going into the weekend can he move up the leaderboard can he get into contention not even into contention can he get into the top 15 Kevin Yu has proven when he makes the

Cut he has the chance to win tournaments or being contention to win and that is kind of the goal in playing this game get as many guys in the lineup as possible that you think can win I I think Kevin youu is a great play at 6100

Yeah so there’s him um then there’s Taylor pendrith who actually did play well here and people think of him as a bomber plays well at bombers courses that hasn’t necessarily been the case he’s been pretty bad the past two weeks but here’s his statline since last year

Since the swing season started Miss cut miscut ninth miscut 10th miscut eighth 15th third so when he makes the cut he makes a run and bti is the other one like B is really accurate off the te he just gets way too aggressive with his approach shots and that’s what he did

Did at Honda like he was playing well then water water water and it probably ends up going the same way here but again in these soft conditions you might want to take a chance on some of these guys who can go hunting at flag sticks if they can get the ball to stick

Because with baa you see it like he switch to the long putter he putts a little bit better now and you’re going to know after like nine holes whether he’s going to be there or not uh he might be seven over after nine holes that’s always a possibility with old

Oxay but if he gets there and he’s feeling it dude will start firing at pins he’s that way like can you can watch him feeling it and when he’s feeling it he’s playing well and when he don’t got it he don’t got it and you’d rather him you’d rather have a guy that

Does the the seven over you know through the first nine than miss the cut on like the the last hole going into the weekend like it’s such a better feeling to know you not even have to sweat it like you know this dude’s just out like missing

The cut on the last hole it’s a defeating feeling uh for for your lineups one last guy though uh any thoughts on MAV mcne I’ve been playing a lot of him I intend on staying on him this week yeah it makes sense you always play mad mcneel at places that have

Small greens and this does have some of the smaller Greens on tours around 5500 square feet per like his approach play is horrendous like it always is but he’s driving the ball well he’s chipping well and he can be one of the most electric Putters on the PGA tour uh he’s not

Going to make my player pool but I understand why people are playing him all right before we get into the 5K range we’re just going to hit on the marketing points two more times I’ll do mine and then uh Pat will do his we got the promo going Masters 15 um you can

Use it on any package over at shippin nation.com and the reason it’s title Masters 15 because if you choose a monthly package it’ll take you all the way through Master’s week which man the prize pools are big for the players I can’t imagine how big they’re going to

Be uh for the Masters so definitely look forward to that you can use this code on any package if you do use it on a six-month or annual package we be selecting one person and giving them their money back on that package so head on over shiping nation.com use that promo code

Masters5 uh and then also Pat Mayo has his partnership deal going on with Underdog so tell the people how they can win part of that $5,000 giveaway well I just noticed I’m frozen on the page but uh you know it’s a good look for me so I

Apologize for that I’d have to thumbs up something it always happens to tampo like if you hold your thumbs up thumb up at the screen or something it freezes maybe that’s what it is but yeah promo code Mayo with Underdog fantasy you can help out me you can help out Tambo with

All that stuff so the support over there is very much appreciated uh you know we need to collect some new people to come over play on Underdog and we’re going to have a you know contest every single week the old Pat Mayo Experience open is Shifting over there we already ran a

Bestas ball draft for major season that filled within three days I think so they were uh they they priced that one a little bit small but I am giving away $5,000 as well for The Players Championship you can find that in the description of my videos over on Mayo

Media Network or you can find the link in my newsletter as well five winners $1,000 a piece but you need to have an underdog account to do it you just need to fill out a survey that takes about 15 seconds and you are in it plus it gets

You into some other Pat Mayo experience things that might be coming down the pike including pickham contest uh like season long sort of contest with that with Underdog money up top plus the ability to win your entries every single week anyway so a lot of that stuff would

Go a long way as well look at me just yeah it looks like I’m I’m giving you I’m trying to hold you up here give me your plays Hooper I’m taking you out the thumbs up though it keeps happening to tampo like for some reason one of the versions of uh streamyard

Like if you do the thumbs up it just instantly freezes so maybe I need maybe we both need to update our game capture HD maybe that’s what it is I’ve had nothing but problems with this camera that I’ve been using so maybe I just need to do something else yeah all right

Uh 5K range and you know obviously I’m a fan of the 5K range to talk about every week think it should should be here to stay and it has been most weeks um obviously a lot of wrisk down here but reward because if these guys make the

Cut and can kind of work their way into the top 20 have a big Advantage um you know gives you the the opportunity to roster more Scotty sheffler if you want Rory or you know if you plug in one let’s say you just plug in like a let’s

Put in random person chessen you’re immediately at 8900 per spot you can do you know one of these 5K guys and then you know Five Guys in the eight and n9k range a lot of different ways to go if you want to roster guys in the 5K range a couple

Names that stand out Taylor mois Made every cut this season um the Finish is not great but again I mean you’re just hoping they get through and kind of move up the board uh a little bit I usually play a lot of Adam shank it has not been

Great as of late um but he might stay in the player pool Mark hub’s a guy I’m always on I’ll stay with him um and then there’s some risk riskier guys at the bottom Robert McIntyre I mean I have a problem with Bobby Mack like I played so

Much of him last year he’s competing in the strongest field now he just freaking sucks but I just have to continue on with him you mentioned Carson young whom I like as well at 55 Ben Silverman’s been kind of playing well ET varia Lee hajes I’m not saying I’m playing All

These Guys these are just guys that I think you can potentially look to and if you want a a full punt all the way down at the bottom um for me it’s going to be Mr Harry Hall 5K flat so you know eight to 10 guys I thing you can consider down

Here does a lot for roster construction um you already mentioned Carson young so uh I guess go ahead and and dive into him and then anyone else down here that appeals to you yeah I mean it’s really just Carson young like you could go with Sheamus power you could go with chess

And Hadley I think those would be the three but realistically it’s Carson young for me he plays Pete die courses really well he’s made every cut since the Sony he was eighth in Mexico and the only reason he played very poorly at The Hondas he lost like over four strokes in

Terms of short game which is I mean he’s not great around the greens but that is just a pure aberration for him the he’s one of the more accurate players on tour the approach has been amazing so far this year like that’s what you want accurate guys off the tea guys who can

Light it up on approach and hopefully they can make some putts and you don’t really find the combination of all those things in the $5,000 range all that often so like even by like my simulations he has a 20% chance to come inside the top 20 this week which is

Crazy um that just to try to look at everything which I mean he has a 55% make Cut Rate which is crazy for a $5,000 guy like normally those guys are like 30% or something like that so the numbers really like him which you know inevitably means he’s goingon to be in

Dead last place but that’s well you got one one thing in your favor though uh Cameron young is also in the field and apparently he plays better when Cameron young is in the field yeah because people get all fired up because they always bet on Cameron young and they see

See young rising up the board like oh here he comes and it’s like oh no who’s this mini man that’s that’s Carson young so I would I would caution against Harry Hall by the way dude sucks off the te yeah I played him when was the last

Event I played him and he made the cut and I’m a loyal I’m loyal to my my guys that he made he made the cut in Mexico because you can’t go out of bounds in Mexico maybe it was a waste management Waste Management I played him he

Finished 41st at the waste management so uh I got to give him a second chance I think Pat another place where you can’t go out of bounds okay well you’re he has not gained on the field in Fairways since the 20123 fortnet which is 13 tournaments ago yeah yeah 5K though

That’s great I mean that’s hopefully hopefully your five of six can really compete yeah maybe what does that get you so I I pulled it so a 5k guy get 9k per roster SP spot so if I can get five dudes to finish in the top 15 I’ll be

Set with my Harry Hall dead last lineup there we are not too bad yes anyone else in the 5K or just kind of sticking there with Carson now it’s Carson and then after that it’ be chess Hadley and then after that it’d be Sheamus power all right well kind of went

Through everything talked about some roster construction some weather hit each tier uh you are going live at what 7:15 Eastern you said on your channel yeah 7:15 Eastern on Mayo media Network I will hopefully uh be more lively looking than I am in this picture where

I am Frozen uh and then I’ll be doing that for 45 minutes leading into the dg75 welcome back stream pump to see James yeah very excited to see James back he’ll be on his channel uh at 8 Eastern so make sure you tune in to that he’s excited I talked to him yesterday

Very excited to be back I know the people are excited to have him back so cannot wait to to watch that he does a phenomenal job on those streams and uh man very excited to have him back any final thoughts before we get on out of

Here I mean let’s let’s go Justin Thomas let’s get a win I’m with you I could I could definitely do that Justin Thomas is going to be a big part of what I do this week so if Justin Thomas wins I’ll be excited and hopefully I’ll have a lot

More money in my pocket come Sunday um make sure you get on over shipping nation.com make sure to tune in tonight Mayo media Network 7:15 Eastern and then dgen at 8 Eastern check out all the content good luck in your contest this week looking forward to seeing those

Shiping Nation logos at the top of the leaderboard we’ll be back next Week oh