Can Tony Finau make a RUN at The Players Championship? Golf Picks & PGA Tour Props | Links & Locks

Action Network contributors and golf betting experts Spencer Aguiar and Nick Bretwisch join Roberto Arguello to discuss their favorite golf bets for this year’s Arnold Palmer Invitational on the Links and Locks podcast presented by bet365. Click here for more golf picks: bit.ly/GolfAction

Subscribe to Links and Locks podcast here: www.actionnetwork.com/podcasts/links-locks

00:00 – The Players Championship Best Bets
11:47 – Course Preview
16:59 – Outright Bets
29:40 – bet365 Promo
30:21 – Other Picks
39:37 – One and Done
448:16 – Rapid Fire Picks

#pgatour #golfbetting #golf

Get our free mobile app: https://myaction.app/youtube
https://www.actionnetwork.com/
https://www.tiktok.com/@actionnetworkh nq
http://instagram.com/actionnetworkhq
Tweets by ActionNetworkHQ

Individuals must be 21+ to participate in sports betting and iGaming in the U.S. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER in the U.S. or visit: https://www.actionnetwork.com/general/responsible-gambling.

In Massachusetts, please call 1-800-327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org for 24/7 support. LiveChat with a GameSense Advisor at GameSenseMA.com or call 1-800-GAM-1234.

#AuthorSpencerAguiar #AuthorRobertoArguello #BlueWireVideo

Hello you beautiful degenerates and welcome to links and locks the action Network’s golf betting podcast presented by bet 365 alongside Nick brwi and Spencer agar I’m Roberto Aro and this is your players championship tournament betting preview it is the best field in golf at least outside of the majors

Coming to you live from TPC Sawgrass the stadium course this week we’re really excited for what should be an awesome tournament to watch for my money the best three hole finishing stretch really the best back nine in my opinion on the PGA tour and I’ll play that at any major

Best three holes best nine holes to finish I’m super excited uh guys we are coming off a winning week Spencer you had an outright hit on Scotty Sheffer so congrats to you didn’t even have to sweat could have put your feet up and relax on that back nine coming at the

Arnold Palmer Invitational so Spencer I will give you the box what is your best bet this week we were talking a little bit about this off air I I think this is a fun week for outright bets DFS contests are very intriguing I always try though to be straightforward about

My thoughts on an event when we record this show I don’t know how else to say this guys this board is brutal for betting didn’t really like any of the matchups because of the lack of structural appeal when you dive into TPC sass I am going to give one for this

Section I do think that this play is about as volatile as you can find because of both of their Prof files um this is probably not the greatest selling point I think this bet probably goes miscut versus miscut I we have been really good historically at hitting

Those but uh I’m going to take a golfer who’s outside the top 60 of my model I’m going to oppose a golfer who’s 137th for me chessen Hadley minus 115 over your boy Roberto and Vincent Norman all right chess Hadley minus 115 over Vincent Norman Nick what’s your

Best bet for the players well I have about two bets for the time being as Spencer mentioned uh very tough board for me to find Value on um I hate to even say this name I’m gonna go with Tony fenale 62 to one outright to win and I’m gonna

Mute all right where he be now Tony F now after skipping the API Nick is betting him outright to win the players my best bet this week I’m gonna go with Eric Van royan for a top 40 he is plus 130 where ties pay in full before we get

Into that cap and Tony feno Spencer why are you backing chess and Hadley against my boy Vincent Norman probably more of a fate against Norman than anything like Norman presented this extremely Boomer bus profile inside of my model he was a golfer and you kind of pinpointed this

Roberto like the critical ball striking metrics that we’ve seen recently have been great but when you look at what he’s provided there’s really been no results that he has shown from that he hasn’t posted a top 35 since his win at the barbasol in July uh the off the and

Green and regulation metrics are going to generate Intrigue for him I think if he puts the pieces together here and brings his aame there is much more upside on what Vincent Norman can provide than chessen Hadley it just came down to the sheer downside of the short game and the weighted proximity metrics

For me that made him one of the better fade can to consider inside of my sheet he ran the critical range of 0 to 150 yards with his irons that’s something that I’ll talk about a little bit more on the show of why I like that distance

104th overall with his approach game and then he landed 133rd and expected scrambling for what is a very volatile TPC Saw Grass track it just so happens like I don’t know what the reason is behind this maybe it’s the lack of upside that Hadley presents our best bet

A couple of weeks ago that I presented on here was Hadley over coocher for the same reason that coocher that Boomer bus profile that I was trying to take on um and we’ll see here this has been if you just look this year he Hadley’s gotten the best of

Norman for the past eight tournaments if you stretch this back to July of 2023 he’s also beaten him each time that they’ve been matched up together I don’t necessarily disagree with the market if you look and this is probably the one time I’ll ever give this answer you

Might be able to actually wait and get a better price here because the market seems to be moving against and backing Norman I understand the reason for that this is low upside with not really a ton of like safety to begin with in Hadley against a profile in Norman that at

Least has upside to him and then a floor that is as low as you can possibly find so normally in these tournaments with cuts I try to take on that volatile profile um you know we’ll we’ll see this is kind of an All or Nothing thing right

Now for Norman if he’s on the first page of the leaderboard after day one because of that ball striking there’s that potential but some of the those weighted proximity numbers were really tough for me to ignore inside of my sheet I know that by the way was like the most

Energetic pitch I could ever give about why a play is the best bet of the week for me but it just kind of explains what this tournament is I think that makes a lot of sense Vincent Norman has been exceedingly poor around the green and with the putter losing with the putter

In every start all six so far this season on the PGA tour losing with on the round the green five out of and five out of six including each of the last five and none of those have been particularly close chess Hadley at least can putt uh and has had a couple strong

Around the green performances I will back up Vincent Norman and say that in his four starts on the DP World Tour those were all top 30s since uh the end of last year’s TOUR Championship so he does have some strong results just haven’t been on the PJ tour so uh just

Want to cover our bases there because I know you don’t uh bring you don’t bring in a DP World Tour into your model um so just wanted to say that but also I thought you made a joke on Matt coocher having Boomer bust potential because I

Thought you called him a boomer I just misheard that and I don’t know how high of a ceiling he has but doesn’t matter he finished like almost dead last at uh the cognizant classic so you catch that bet on Hadley and best of luck to you

This week I think if I have access to it I might tell you as well um Nick Tony finina didn’t play last week we saw him most recently in Mexico at the Mexico open at V defending his title he finished I believe 13th there at vanta but he shifted his putting style that

Toe on his putter not as high in the air why do you like him this week at TBC saw graphs well my numbers pretty much think it’s Scotty against the world this week so obviously I’m not going to take Scotty sheffler at the six to 701 range

So this is a peer number grab for me so in terms of things that I’m looking for I’m sure the whole world is looking for just Elite ball Strikers in Elite Form Tony feno grades first for me an expected Strokes gained approach um damn near from all ranges too so the short

Wedges everything and there’s long wedges this course just demands a lot the bunker percentage for me expected sand save is good the scrambling is good the short hands around the green when he does Miss a green regulation is good really it’s just the putter if his putter was performing just a little bit

You know is kind of like the reverse Scotty Sheffer like he did gain Strokes putting in Mexico with the new putting form so you know maybe the toe down is all he needed so I’m kind of going to bet on the same thing that everybody is now betting on especially in DFS with

Chasing Scotty sheffler is that he learned how to putt I’m going with uh with Tony feno here in my best my numbers best ball Striker overall and 62 to1 is a crazy price when my numbers have it at 45 again you know it’s probably Scotty’s tournament to lose but

I’ll take him on with a high upside High pedigree guy like Tony feno who should be able to handle the P die um runoffs and all that good stuff with all the trouble bunkers water everything so with how volatile it is give me a long number on Tony

Feno I love it I found 65 to want in the market so everybody be sure to shop around but I’m also Tony now this we so let’s ride come on Tony has he ever heard us though like on this podcast history and also real quick congrats to

Spencer on skyt to chefo last week but more so congrats um just for you know his mental well-being and everything web Simpson T30 that’s that’s a big win for the agar household right there so you know I’m sure he would return that Scotty sheffler winnings for web to be a top 10

Last week but still top 30 web Simpson is back Spencer’s back this is this is Big Stuff guys I mean take all my money if you can give me a web Simpson top 10 in a tournament especially of that stature last week shout out web at uh the API the AR

The uh wake Force connection proves true again uh moving back this week to TBC s grass for the players my best bet is EVR Eric Van royan plus 130 for a top 40 where ties are paid in full at our sponsor bet 365 I like DVR for a variety

Of reasons first off his approach play is really hot uh gained on approach in six sorry seven straight tournaments and this is a top 40 bet in his start so far on the PGA tour he’s got eight of them and six of them have been in top 40s the

Other two a t52 and a miscut at the Phoenix Open where I believe he was on the wrong edge of the wave split there still gain on approach in that week so I really like the approach play first off it’s a club down course so even though

He is above average in driving distance I like that he can set himself up with some approaches uh where he can take advantage and he’s a really strong putter almost won the cogniz and classic in in the Palm Beaches when he finished his round on Sunday gained almost Two

Strokes per round on putting that week we saw him win in the fall at El cardal as well don’t have any data from that tournament unfortunately but going back to last season in 2023 in his last five professional starts with data game jokes on approach every single one of them so

I think you just got a really high floor on approach I don’t know how high his ceiling is I did bet him outright by the way uh at 120 to1 just a little sprinkle out there don’t know that he gets it done outright but I like his floor and I

Wanted to be more invested in him been looking for some matchups haven’t found anything that I love but I like that the one weakness in his game is around the green which I don’t love this week I want guys to be able to scramble because you’re going to have to do it from

Trouble eventually but last week he was fifth in the field in Strokes gained around the green at Bay Hill uh so I hopefully he can keep some of that momentum going I know it’s very different without the thick rough on this golf course that we saw last week

At Bay Hill but it’s going to be tough firm and fast conditions I think he’s long as he can get to the weekend he’ll have a really good chance of cashing this top 40 bet and by the way he didn’t play here last year at the Players but

Two years ago in 2022 gained over three Strokes per round on approach alone and he finished tied for 13th so I like that he has upside there also in his other appearance at the Players which really was an appearance it was 2020 so he just played one round but he gained a stroke

And a half off the te so he’s put the pieces together here he’s had the pieces before at the Players he hasn’t put them together quite yet he’s only played one time when one official that that was a t13 I’m not reading too much into course

History this week but I know he’s got the goods to get it done and among the other names in that top 40 Market I really liked his at plus 130 where ties pay in full so give me EVR right there guys let’s jump into our tournament or

Our course preview for TPC sass Spencer I’ll give that the floor to you in just a moment uh we’ll do the course preview we’ll get into our outrights we’ll go through the rest of our cards then we’ll do a little oneand done discussion by

The way Nick and and I got jumped by two people last week so we got some catching up to do and then we’ll go through the rest of the card uh and any rapid fire at the end but guys let’s get into that course preview Spencer I’ll let you have

The floor first I think there are a few interesting notes about tpc’s sress that will make this both a challenging course to handicap but also a little easier this year than we may have had let’s say 10 seasons ago in running numbers uh the first factor that came heavily into my

Model into play inside of my model was this move from May to march in 2019 the summer temperature in May when you look at this course gave us a Bermuda surface that was still dormant playable but dormant from the winter and created this fiery test that made stopping your irons on these smaller

Than average greens nearly impossible the lightning quick surface that we’ve become accustomed to over the years will still be in play but I guess more where I’m going with this answer is that the Bermuda grass gets overseed on all parts of the course which creates much softer

Landing areas that end up allowing shot shaping and control with your irons from anywhere on the track there are 17 holes with water you have 88 bunkers all of that’s put into place to cause Havoc for the field The Strokes gain around the green answer is the really interesting

One we’ve talked about that quite frequently so far at the beginning of this show I still think it’s going to be Amplified because of the smaller putting surfaces I will say though I think it’s hard to weigh numerically just because you get these shaved runoff areas that do allow multiple options to be

Considered when you’re trying to get up and down from the surface for me that meant that I decided to run my model with a little bit more of that hint of three putt avoidance I mixed in some of The Strokes gain around the green but if

A golfer was good with his three putt avoidance but wasn’t a good good around the green they got a boost in my model so there was a handful of names and ironically Eric Van royan was one of those options for me that kind of got that bigger boost here from what we’ve

Seen in 2024 from some of his totals so I do think the Pete nature of force layups is going to be critical to account for when you run a model the rough isn’t penal but this course best suits a golfer in my opinion that can be

Creative you need to be able to salvage par you have to be able to avoid those critical mistakes because of the 17 holes that have water that come into play and then you do need to be able to control your iron sense implosion potential is going to be waiting for

Anyone who’s a little off with their game one of the things that I got different with my model and I’ll talk about it in the outright section at least the two biggest cories for the or the the the biggest Cory when I combine these two things together for Success

Came from How could a player scramble and how was a player from zero to 150 yards when you combine those two things together that was like the high-end success that I found almost every single year from the players that were either winning this tournament or really working themselves up the leaderboard

And uh there are two names for me in particular when we talk about outrights that saw that same profile of a Scotty Sheffer last year or a just Thomas in 2021 so I like this from an outright betting perspective for as much as I’m talking badly about this tournament in

Other areas of the board but um like Nick said this best before we even came on air and this was more of a DFS answer he was giving with it but it’s like to Scotty or not to Scotty this week and that’s what makes it so difficult

Because if you believe Scotty’s going to win then you should limit your exposure across the whole board in the outright Market if you actually think that you can take him on then there are abilities and chances to do that so it kind of just comes down to what are your

Thoughts about Scotty before anything else so Spencer what are your thoughts about Scotty I like Scotty now here’s the problem with it I guess is the downside that would come into play at least beyond anything else it’s this is a highly volatile course maybe the most volatile course

History sort of return that we can get I talked about it last week and I mentioned how Scotty at to one I don’t usually go to the top of the board but when you can limit the the inability that he has to make putts and he made

Putts last week which was even better you can credit that to the putter change you can credit that to maybe whatever the reason is that you want to go to with it but when less putts need to get made upside starts taking into more of a count of these ball Strikers and

Scotty’s one of those names and I and I think that’s why he won the PLAYERS Championship last year my biggest concern though is just this overall volatility of the course so when I built this Scotty was by far and away for the most part the number one player for me

And expected win Equity the biggest surprise though came into play is that and that’s by the way any halfway decent model is going to give you that answer like that’s not we’re not Reinventing the wheel here by saying Scotty’s good at golf or Scotty should be the projected favorite if you don’t have

That answer there’s a problem with the way that you’re building your model but I think for me the biggest thing that I found the takeaway from is that Sam Burns had this wild Ascension for me up in my model I kept running different filters to try to to navigate away from

This answer that I was getting but um I thought proper price on him as outrageous as this is going to sound was 18 to one he opened at 40 to1 the start this week I think some of that and and maybe Nick can be credited about this a

Little bit he was on Sam Burns this season and I know it didn’t necessarily result in wins but there were a lot of performances that Sam Burns has been working himself up the leaderboard and my model was a little bit late to react on it it just this week decided to make

This massive reaction from what we’ve seen I think if we don’t get the performance that he got on Sunday I’d be very curious to see what this price would have been that 78 kind of took him out of sight out of mind of the implosion potential that came into play

But uh my sheeton produced five top 10 grades out of the six categories I ran that included being one of only two golfers to land inside of the top five for weighted proximity from under 150 yard yards and projected scrambling at TPC sass I keep going back to that

Answer as it being the best correl expectation for high-end success so really like that return that I got from Burns and then the other name that fit that answer was Max hom I grabbed him on Monday at 33 to1 this has been a ticking time bomb in the space like this number

Has been I’ve seen it as low as 22 to1 at Shops um earlier today you could still find a 28 to1 out there which I thought was still value but you’re going to have to shop around here cuz this is a golfer when you look at his profile he’s produced back-to-back top 16

Finishes on tour he has two top 13 results here over the past two seasons and then as I go back to the answer that I keep talking about of those two categories my model saw him rank first when combining that so when I try to back test this for prior results Sheffer

Ranked number one for that last year before he won Thomas was number one in that area in 20121 it’s going to take a lot more than just that combination if he wants to win the title but it does enter him into an elite production territory when I’m

Trying to mimic the results from past leaderboards I took Jordan spe at 40 to1 I am very notoriously on this show not a Jordan spe person most weeks like I make more of this argument about I’m not a call and morawa person I think that’s also a very um proper statement to be

Said but there’s very it’s very infrequent that I come on this show and I talk about why I like Jordan spe but uh he saw this expected total driving increase and a weighted proximity increase inside my model that raised his ceiling output to kind of jump into that

My model thought spe Baseline for total driving was 54th in this field he jumped to 21st for sass it saw him increase his we to proximity by 22 spots I obviously I’m still gonna have some of my concerns about this Boomer bus nature that he has

And I guess that one’s not a joke about Matt coocher there and it’s not a joke about spe getting up there and age either with it but um I don’t know there’s red flags there’s an upside profile that I like I thought this 40 to1 drift was just a very interesting

Thing and then uh I took Brian Harmon at 70 to1 I came on a lot of shows last week and I talked about Brian Haron being one of my favorite fade candidates that I could find on the board I think that makes his 12th Place finish in the

5.6 shots that he gained with his irons that much more impressive than it may even look on paper he has two top eight finishes over the past Four Seasons at this tournament uh that’s going to show the potential upside and then the surging approach metrics for him really do provide this critical outlook

For a venue that ex that landed him as an expected top 35 player in weight to proximity um when you add that to a short game the top five returns for similar green complexes I think you get a major championship golf for here um which probably pains Nick to hear

Because I know Nick is not the biggest fan of Brian Harmon but I’m in on Harmon this week I have him written down as a quote unquote sleeper I don’t think he’ll be a sleeper but yeah Brian Haron made my list the good list the first

Time ever yeah I mean I think that that kind of shows how much Intrigue there is around Haron this is just a much better course fit so if he could perform at the API you put him here at a tournament that I would expect the upside 70 to1

For a major championship winner was just way too high in my opinion like I I thought 40 to1 was more of the proper going rate for him want to touch on a couple of those first off uh shout out to the military veteran who last year found himself

Right of the Fairway on the 18th hole on Friday afternoon when Jordan spe was one behind the cut line sprayed his shot right looked like it was destined for the water the military veteran unbeknownst to him had his kneecap right in the way of a Jordan spe drive that

Thing ricocheted off there I don’t remember how far it went but it was more than I thought it was going to happen uh he gets a 42 to spout stays out of the water I don’t know if it went in the ferry if it stayed in the short grass or

If it sh stayed in the rough nonetheless speed knocks a fairway wood up near the green gets up and down makes the cut should have bought that guy drinks for the whole weekend uh shout out to to that guy uh hopefully Jordan spe doesn’t need his services this year I was very

Intrigued by uh M by Sam Burns and maxom of course I bet ma Sam I bet Max Homa last week outright uh at API and I used him for one and done uh I mentioned him was one of my guys I was considering here wanted to get different I got

Different used him Scotty wins doesn’t matter um I have Burns at 45 to1 really like him on Pete die courses done really well at Austin Country Club for the match play we saw him in contention when Nick had him at the AMX at another Pete

Die course as well this year so I like that coraly I like Bermuda Burns uh you mentioned that this isn’t a pure Bermuda grass surface with the POA overseed uh given that it’s March but same service that we saw at the WM Phoenix open so I

Like Sam Burns I like the upside uh the driver’s been really accurate so if that continues I think that gives him a really good chance he’s also uh eighth in par five scoring this year and only five holes play under par at TBC Sager historically that’s the four par fives

And the driveable par 4 12th so got to take advantage of those holes and I think Burns is well positioned to do so I also have Willie Z at 33 to1 I love how straight he is off the te and I think that’s really going to play this week uh he

Has been strong throughout the bag since the AMX when he was still shaking the rust off I mean crazy to think that just like what four months ago he was at the Hero World Challenge shooting like an 82 so finishing dead last behind Tiger Woods in his first start uh yeah so zor

Shot 81 sorry uh in that first round and he shot 79 two days later at the Hero World Challenge so it’s come a long way the putting stroke still does not look perfect but he’s maximizing what he can so far with technology with the Mallet uh with the

Broomstick so I think it’s serviceable at 33 to1 I like his chances here to stay hot with his irons and moving on I got Tony Fen out at 65 to one he actually leads the PJ tour in par five scoring this year he also did not play

Last week so avoided some potential big numbers shout out to Tommy Fleetwood um moving on I also had Keegan Bradley at 110 to1 there were a lot of guys in this 11 10ish to one range that I considered but eventually I narrowed it down to Keegan Bradley positional ball Striker

Who can absolutely get it done we saw him compete at the Sony open this year also above average and par five scoring average I think that on a on a club down on a club down course he’s got a really good chance and 110 to one was too long

I think he should have been closer to 75 same rationale for Cam Davis uh guy who we have targeted on Club down courses before he has UPS on approach gained 1.4 Strokes on approach per round last week in a really strong showing he is a guy

Who gets hot in spurts so this is really just an upside play I don’t like him really in any other markets uh so give me Cam Davis he’s had he had a top top 10 here last year as well uh so we can do it but I’m not leaning on past

Performances at TBC sress as you mentioned Spencer it’s about as volatile as it gets on any golf course on the PJ tour I also mentioned Eric Van royan he’s third in part five scoring this year and uh um I really like his putting upside and we mentioned the momentum

With around the Green from last week and then finally I have my one sew kimes long shot of the week for the players give me a pure ball Striker who can just have the week of his life and really show the potential that I think I have preached on this podcast many times

Before Kevin you 250 to one knew it knew it I bet him uh with up to five places for a quar of the payout on our sponsor bet 365 16th in par five scoring average this year he can take it back if he can take it back into the par fives and just

Tread water everywhere else he’s got a chance he does still have to put bad news um I have a couple guys who just missed the card that I’m considering Hideki matama 40 to1 klay’s 28 to one out there didn’t see him up above 22 23 to one until today now he’s 28 so

Thinking about that Max hom I was really bullish on him last week Spencer being bullish on him this week he is out there at 28 to1 so that is very enticing and Colin morawa you guys aren’t morawa guys I am I think I bet him one time since we

Bet him at the zoza when he won this year that didn’t work out for me whenever we bet him I’m very intrigued on a course where his driving accuracy is an advantage over a lot of others and where his iron play will be rewarded on these smaller greens like Kevin Yu he

Still has to put to get the ball in the hole so I’m nervous I think that Maxa at a very similar price gives me a little bit more upside on the par fives and I like the putter more so I’m kind of leaning toward H at 28 to1 now that that

Price has popped so haven’t added to the card but I have room got uh 66 units in play this week so still have room for one more at least uh depending on how we do it might save it for inter tournament as well that’s my plays we got Spencers

Nick who you got on your card outright to win the players besides Tony Fina that is it the only other play I have right now and it’s kind of gross I dug pretty deep I I did think that this was kind of a strange number my model put

Out but it had Ben Martin to make the cut closer to minus 110 so I moved on Ben Martin to make the cut at plus 115 I think that is his ceiling is making the cut uh maybe a little bit High but you know he’s an older golfer seems to be in

Better form with the ball striking I know he’s not making a lot of cuts but he did miss the cut on the number at PJ National and then miss a cut by two at um the Waste Management Phoenix Open there which I do not think is a good

Course fit for him at all I think more of a plotter short of course hit Fairways scramble a little bit is a better spot for Ben Martin he does I believe have a top five finish here um damn near 10 years ago though was like

2015 or 2016 when I was diving deep into Ben Martin into why my my number said he’s okay I guess we’ll put it it that way but yeah that is the card right now 37 units at risk in total I’ll probably move on Xander Schley um we can maybe

Touch on this more in the rapid fire but I I certainly have plenty of room in my card um was hoping Spencer had another matchup other than the Hadley one because it does look like that is moving in Spencer’s direction as I refreshed throughout this show um but we’ll see

What maybe we got an inod play but my numbers seem to really loves andersa too so Xander shley and Tony feno guys that I probably talk about every single week on the show um with the same exact output every single week so I don’t know

If this is a good one for me to keep my mic on last week we used uh we made an inpod play on Ben an over minu Le I did uh I tailed Spencer in fading Min Le that worked that did work I made two

Bets fading MW Le both of them hit I believe it was Z tus over MW Lee was the other one um so shout out to Spencer for for grabbing my attention there and as we look at some odds for potential inod plays this week a reminder that the

Links and locks podcast is proudly presented by bet 365 bet 365 doesn’t do ordinary that’s why you get more boost with them than anyone else every day they power up the odds on hundreds of bets to get you a chance to win more bet 365 boost specific markets your winnings

And even parlays and they don’t stop there keep an eye out for their biggest and best odds with the incredible super boost check out the Boost and see why it’s never ordinary at that 365 must be 21 or older and present in Colorado Indiana Iowa Louisiana New

Jersey Ohio Virginia or 18 and older in Kentucky gambling problem call 1-800 Gambler or 1-800 bets off in Iowa terms conditions and restrictions apply all right gentlemen we’ve gone through our outright cards Nick you’ve gone through the whole card Spencer anything else that you have uh besides the Hadley matchup and outright

Do you want to go first Nick Yeah question all right I do find I’m looking at guys kind of looking at this with Spencer’s mindset guys that I’m fading uh Taylor pendrith is one of those my numbers absolutely hate him they don’t love the other guy but what about Kurt kittama over Taylor

Pendrith I I know I know Kurt blew up last week but his ball striking is in Elite Form pendrith I guess has semi course history here but I think Kama is hitting the ball the best in his career obviously he won the API last year missed a cut at the Players the next

Week but I feel like he can get it done decent scrambling numbers too so minus 115 over Taylor pendrith is out in the market right now is that an inod play or is that I mean it’s miscut against miscut I guess but I still think Kurt kyam is on the better

Side of that I think you probably broke that down perfectly I I considered it myself for that reason um my model does not like pendrith whatsoever the problem is I didn’t necessarily and it would be the same answer I’d give to Hadley there was just

A little bit more safety I guess in the profile of Hadley in certain ways maybe because of some of his putting that he could do from off the green there but it’s a very similar answer for kittama there where I think that if you’re comparing him versus

Pendrith you’re on the right side of the matchup um my concern is that this goes miscut miscut though yeah I don’t know how many of those I can actually stomach this week what was the price on this one nickus 115 I would have it atus 130 but again

Fair yeah are very high on Kitty ama’s recent data and again I waited the API extremely extremely minimal just because the volatility of that and again you have guys like Tommy Fleetwood you were saying before the air lost five Strokes on approach on one hole like that data

Sample size is certainly going to skew anything if you keep that tournament you know in relative weight to any other you know if you’re pulling like the last 60 data or whatever you’re doing but so I try to take that with a grain of salt other than that his iron play looks

Fantastic and the scrambling are too I like kyama I mean I punched my best bet on him Phoenix Open top 10 couple weeks ago uh yeah which great course for him which this I don’t think is but anything against Taylor pendrith I think I’m I

Could stomach if you guys were in but it doesn’t sound like Spen or soul I like it I don’t love it I think they’re very similar golfers I think kyama is a better approach player by a little bit uh not an insignificant amount but by a bit um but otherwise they’re very

Similar golfers long off the tea the one thing that gives me a little hesitation is that pendrith hasn’t had many strong results and when he has had them they’ve come on courses without data so it’s that might also be just a sample error uh because you look at his fall he had

Four he had three top top 15 finishes and two of them there were no data and this year he has one top 10 that was and sorry and this year he has one top 10 and that was at the Farmers Insurance open and we didn’t have data from one of

The rounds as well in that tournament so I wish we had a little bit more of that data so there’s a little bit of a sample buyer beware there but I do think overall kittama is a better golfer kittama is is in better form throughout last week playing as the defending champ

It’s going to mentally do something to you I like the spot of being able to buy the dip on kittama against a golfer that I think he is better than it’s two golfers for me that are outside of the top 60 and expected Strokes gain total

For this course um one of the reasons why I guess to keep going back to the Hadley play whether or not it’s right or wrong it remains to be seen But Hadley kind of possessed that very similar profile of being like a top 60 guy barely working himself in the the

Massive difference when I’m looking at all these players and then like I throw Vincent Norman into the mix Vincent Norman was 133rd for me so like that’s where kind of just the the profile of a golfer I was looking to take on is why I went that direction but like I said at

The beginning I looked at that play that Nick just talked about I think that it’s probably the right side in theory of where the proper value is if you were to make me pick which side I like which I think last time I gave this answer it

Didn’t go well with it so I mean take that for what it’s worth but um I think it’s the right side of the matchup if nothing else yeah I think I think it’s kyama or nothing uh on that one I don’t think there’s a huge Edge uh I had a couple

Matchups that I wanted to discuss I had Matthew Pavone minus 120 over Nikolai hoard neither of these guys have ever played at TPC sass I did take a peek in Spencer’s model and I know and I saw that there were very positive Returns on Matthew cavone any thoughts on him

There what has happened to hoard that like even beyond anything else what has happened to hoard recently I this is a very shocking like a couple weeks ago when we talked about hoard I gave him glowing reviews of how I thought he was a top 20 player on tour and every single

Result that we’re getting with him is just going in the wrong direction right now um I don’t know if I have a massive take I kind of with pavon was considering against straa I didn’t end up going that route that was another bet that I ended up passing on just because

Of what we got last week from pavon but um my model really liked them for whatever that’s worth which would make sense I’m pulling there’s very limited data that I’m getting from him on the PGA tour and a handful of those either resulted in a win or a top five

Finish yeah it’s still a small sample size but going into last week I think was top two in both Strokes gain putting and approach so that’s a recipe for Success no matter where you go I like Pavone I think Boyard without being able to capitalize on his driving distance

Advantage give me pone and his really strong putting I think he’s more of a positional player even though he does have the win at Tory Pines this year he doesn’t have Elite distance but I like how he plays I think he’s a mentally really strong golfer which plays around

Here but you got playing well so don’t read tooo much into that I just really like Pavone I’m probably going to sprinkle this one uh point2 units or smaller uh just because it’s really ble golf course but I’m bullish on him overall and they’re both first- timers

But at this course but gim me Pavone I think he’s a better golfer than hoard who is still suffering from Spencer ritis after I believe Spencer used him for oneand done at Mexico open at vidanta uh good luck to L Oar o o Berg trying to bounce back uh both of you

Guys using them last week I believe um I also had a couple I had another uh two matchups that I wanted to run by you guys Ben on plus 105 over Corey Connors is one that I’m considering reference Cory Connor is minus 125 in that matchup

And I also saw Tony fenale minus 110 over Corey Connors I think they’re this is a matchup that I thought would have been perfect before the Mexico open when Phenix really couldn’t putt because Cory Connor also can’t putt but I feel a lot more optimistic about fow’s putting than I do about

Connor’s however Connors could still two Putt and shoot two under every round and win this matchup and get the top 10 this week I’m hesitant in fading somebody in Cory Connor who has such a great ability ball striking but it’s not just the putting where Fina has the advantage

He’s significantly better around the green and Nick mentioned this earlier so that’s why if I had to bet one of these two I’m leaning toward fenal minus 110 over Connor I do want to fade him because of that lack of short game prowess combined with the lack of

Putting which I think gives him a somewhat Vincent Norman like downside not quite that far but in that uh type of downside I think they’re similar golfers in their weaknesses thoughts on this one guys I’d probably give the same answer of you if you made me pick one of the

Two sides I’d probably go the fenale route over Connors but yeah I I don’t necessarily want to oppose Connors this week I I think he’s fairly priced where he’s at yeah I like Connors a ton I like feno a ton I’m indifferent on Ben on I

Know the market is down on Ben on this week which is kind of surprising to see especially with how well he’s striking the ball but I don’t want to pick on Cory counters I don’t think is my my short answer I’ll probably just put a little

Couch on the fow over Conor’s one but nothing significant not an official play uh fellas let’s hop into oneand done let me pull up the standings here um we got clipped because two of our colleagues here at Action Network had Scotty Sheffer last week so Trevy is in the lead he is

772 th000 clear of second place of Josh golden who is in second who also had Tony or who also had Scotty Sheffer last week he is $7,000 ahead of Nick who is $5,000 ahead of me so we basically got a three-way tie per second almost and then $3

Million behind the leader we have Fifth and Spencer falling down to eighth this week uh Spencer I’ll let you have the floor first who are you considering this week and do you guys still have sheffler available well I would have used sheffler last week if I did and that’s

My biggest gripe to this contest who starts at the century and and and better yet who uses Scotty sheffler in the first tournament at the century talk about having no self-control and just burning sheffler the very first tournament of the year and sitting here last week as really the

Only outright that I talked about on this show um I ended up adding hoard at a at a later point in the week with it but it was a sheffler or nothing tournament and I’m sitting there and I wasn’t able to use him and it sucks because I’m in another one and done

Contest I I’ll humble brag this for a second since I’m in like last place in this action one I have 9.3 million in the other contest I in because I took shuffler because I took Windam Clark at Pebble I have done everything wrong in this contest I’ve used all the players

In the wrong portions of the schedule I think for me it’s going to be and by the way Nick that was that was a I don’t even know what to tell you right now you used one of my Bluffs against me you played ber after you said oh I’m going

To play Rory mooy did I did I guarantee it thought I mean I’ll find the clip you you damn near guaranteed it with it my bad myad and you know I guess it wouldn’t have mattered because I don’t know exactly what route I would have gone that would have been right since

Scotty wanted and I didn’t have him available but I’m probably gonna take either Sam Burns or Max H I’m gonna try to start telling the truth on this show of what I’m taking which is what I did last week I I gave an honest answer with

O Bergie ended up being the pick it just um he started so slowly that I’m I was happy I got any money from him if I’m being honest I will take the floor next I used hom last week so Spencer uses hom I can’t use him this week

I really am open to discussion on what my pick should be I’m not I’m not super confident in anybody I my thoughts initially coming into this context were this is the biggest purse Scotty won here by a zillion shots five to be exact last year I’m going to use Scotty this

Week but then heading into Riv I was like a nobody’s talking about Scotty this week nobody can really putt at Riv Scotty can’t putt he can’t hit in the water there’s less variance on this golf course I’ll use Scotty at Riv that backfired no win for Scotty now I’m

Afraid of using somebody really big because of the water I also want to use somebody really big because it’s the biggest purse of the year so got to C capz this week I am in between will zotor Xander shafley and Patrick Klay I don’t believe in betting on will on I

Don’t believe in betting on shafley or Klay uh which is why I’m still in a pickle by seeing that 28 to one number by klay’s name uh which has me thinking crazy things but I think I’m Gonna Save Klay probably for Memorial or mirfield Village for the memorial and I’m I’m leaning toward

Willly Z right now just because he’s so straight off to T I think he’s going to at least get a top 20 and get some more get at least a sixf figureure Payday for me this week Nick what do you thinking in one and done yeah I’m trying to look

At the weather to see if there’s going to be an edge for late early it looks like that’s potential but it’s like 25% chance of rain it’s Florida so that could mean 150% or a 0% chance so take that with a grain of salt I have Scotty

Available I’m that way but I think my close second I’m not going to play Harmon if Spencer’s going to play Harmon or H I’m sorry I would play Brian Harman would be second I’ll let Spencer have H he can enjoy 30 second finish or whatever it’s going to be I’m okay with

Brian Harmon but again I need to see the weather I think Tommy Fleetwood could actually make a run at this course because no one wants to play him I’m okay with Tommy Fleetwood think from a game theory perspective and we don’t even have to talk about individual names with

This it’s Tomy food’s even with to Sam burns like let’s let’s talk about that and the market loves Tom hogy it’s massive favorite to him I know he’s a favorite dog to Max hom so I don’t know I I like Tommy Fleetwood but again I don’t know if there’s a weather Edge

Probably a DFS player super large field one and done but in our tournament I’m probably just better off going Scotty sheffler or uh but I think I want to use Scotty at pusta so I’m going to save him and play Brian Harman this week as what I think because it’s such a volatile

Tournament that we’re looking at and then it’s yes the biggest payout of the year but the downside that comes into play if you incorrectly use somebody is is going to be very pronounced here I think some people are going to go too far off the beaten path

Like I don’t like we we can leave this nameless because I mean like I could see people I’ll give one I could see somebody using like Doug gim here and saying that this is like my model likes him he’s a player it’s a volatile tournament I’ll save everybody elsewh I

Think you’re going way too far if you go that direction even the Tom hogi answer to an extent like I like hogi in the biggest purse of the year I don’t want to use Tom hogi when he’s a very popular name so to me it’s all the guys that you

Guys talked about it’s like the xanders I think Brian Harmon’s probably as deep as I would go on the board of a name I would consider because I think he has legitimate win equity and he’s also a top what 1015 golfer in the world currently so you’re going to have to use

Him somewhere at one of these bigger events you would think now I don’t know if throwing him in the biggest one would have been the game plan at the start of the year but I think it’s also a way to get different and unique so I kind of

Like that Harmon I think Xander because of his made cut streak is also interesting he’s more of a built-in safety than a lot of these other golfers um Xander would probably be if there was a secondary name I was going to throw in it would or third name besides Burns and

It would probably be Xander but but I I think I just have to kind of shoot from the hip right now and try to find as much win Equity as I can to get back into this so it will be Burns orom for me since my model like their upsides the

Best quick trivia question guys no cheating I bet you guys can game two I bet you guys can even at least two of these three guys but who are the three guys who are gaining at least 0.9 Strokes per round on approach so far this season on the PJ tour how many

There are three one of them Scotty shefer so there’s two others Tony fale and morawa no I’d say Mora’s irons have not been as good like that’s why it’s probably it’s probably hogi I mean with the way hogi is performing yeah hogi or hogi or uh Cory Connor it’s probably

It’s probably hogi fow and and sheffler as the three def it is three Spencer so third is Tony fow gaining 989 Strokes on approach so nearly one then a dog you jump up nearly two strokes uh or two10 of a stroke on approach sheffler is 1.98 so significant gap between fow and

And Sheffer in third to Second and then hogi is 1. 1227 in first what’s impressive is that Sheffer and fow have done it in 18 and 17 rounds whereas hogi has had 27 so very consistent play very reassuring but he’s going to be chalky in DFS this week because everybody’s

Mentioning the stat uh everywhere so shout out out to Tom hogi hopefully he can keep it up but I wouldn’t necessarily count on it uh however we saw him we’ve seen him do it before and he’s played well around here so we’ll see how he does this week fellas let’s

Get into our rapid fire we’ve already discussed Scotty Sheffer enough so let’s keep it moving Rory mroy is 13 to1 Justin Thomas is 20 to1 and Xander shafley is 24 to one Nick I know you like Xander but if you had to punch a ticket on one of

Those two other guys which one would you take I was committed to Xander JT who’s the other guy Rory mroy oh I I would take Rory at the price Spencer I I think we’ve reached the point and and I’m not even saying that it’s a bet but I think we’ve

Reached the point with Xander where these numbers are starting to drift back up into what my model always deems to be a territory it’s really hard to get there with the lack of win Equity that we have seen But Rory and Thomas at the prices

That they were at were two of the bigger fade candidates for me so I wouldn’t want to bet them at that price if I had to punch a ticket on one of them I would rather take the larger price on Xander and kind of just know what I’m signing

Up for there I think that mooy and JT have decent chances of missing the cut this week but I also think they have really decent chances of winning I’d probably take the JT just because it’s a bigger number and I don’t trust sandrew to win but moving on we got some other

Guys at 24 to1 in Patrick Klay and Victor havin along with Max H here on bet 365 Jordan spe also 27 to1 and Willie Z is 27 to one excluding guys you bet on who do you guys like here I’ll start with you Nick be all day I think

Uh Spencer liking him means a lot to me and I think it’s a fair price for a guy if his irons Catch Fire he can absolutely light this place up Spencer so I have the tickets on home and spe it would be one of those too if I was going

With names I had if I don’t have them available I’ll take Victor hland um I’ve kind of been very bullish on hovind’s chances throughout the entire year and we have yet to put the pieces together during any of these events I do think that the ability for him the putt from

Out off the putting surface uh is a benefit for him there have also been benefits for him in pretty much every other tournament that he hasn’t been able to really use to his Advantage but there’s a reason why jain’s been really good at this venue I I wouldn’t be

Shocked maybe asking for him to win is a is a big statement here but um I would not be shocked if we didn’t see him start turning the pieces back around in his favor at some point it’s uh like when I when I ran this I’ll give this

Answer very quickly I just took and you would think guys who play well here are the ones that are going going to produce the best results but when I ran every single hole and I essentially ran a simulation based off of what they have done at this course in the past the top

Projected win Equity player based off of that uh which is a wild way to run a model but the top projected win Equity player was Victor hlin there so I kind of thought he had the best safety on a lot of these holes I really like him this week I just

Don’t love the recent short game numbers so yeah the scrambling bad that has kept me off I had him last week but who knows we could we could do some crazy stuff between now and what I have to submit one and done and everything else later

This week moving on to the 30 to1 range we’ve got Colin morawa at 30 to1 eki matama 32 to1 ludvig oberg at 32 to1 as well if you had a punch ticket on one of those three guys Nick who would you take still believe in

Oberg give me them give me him I don’t I don’t love the cor I don’t know I kind of feel like I do love the course for Spencer no one no one’s gonna talk about him this week oh give me it I will go with oberg number one

Player in my model and expected total driving for this venue we have seen kind of I mean historically for him is over the span of like 10 to 15 tournaments but we have seen historically that some of these Club down venues have presented a bigger upside for him uh than these

Other test where you would expect him to be able to use his distance I think this is a very nice bounceback spot for him and as Nick said nobody’s going to discuss him so I think for DFS he becomes a really intriguing play for that reason and even if we’re talking

Upside markets here I I think maybe it’s asking too much for him to actually win this tournament but I think he’s intriguing in a lot of different ways I was trying to figure out a way to to get exposure to him in in any Market I haven’t necessarily found that yet

Outside of the DFS answer but I like him and you couldn’t you couldn’t pay me enough money to bet Colin morawa I’m just gonna take that stance like I I Colin morawa and I just do not gel together I’m uh real quick in pod change I’m going with Victor H one and done

Confirmed I I want to add one thing to Victor havlin that we we didn’t talk about so I kind of mentioned this at the beginning of show and I just think it’s good to wrap back around to this while the around the green game has been absolutely terrible and I’m talking

About this three putt avoidance that can be a really big propeller for him if you look this season he’s inside of the top 10 of my model and expected three put avoidance so um I think that’s a really big answer for hin for why the upside is

Actually more in play this week than maybe even some of these other contests I think that makes a lot of sense and oberg the last time we played played a signature event on a course that wasn’t super driver heavy and had some smaller greens pble Beach he finished second behind our guy wiam

Clark so still lots of upside for vict so lots of upside for ludic oberg excited to see him play at the Players I believe for the first time yes it is for his first time this week moving on to the next wave of golfers we got wendham

Clark at 37 to1 right on Q Shane lry 37 to1 Sam Burns is 45 to1 Tommy Fleetwood is 45 to1 I know you guys each have a bet on burns and and uh Nick I know you’re considering Fleetwood but outside of those two guys who do you like in this range

Nick why can’t I just say Fleetwood all right you can get you can say Fleetwood I’m going with Fleetwood no one’s going to talk about him either I’m I’m okay now that we talked about that whole the 10 cup I’m I’m still a Fleetwood believer even if I throw Russell Henley

In the mix here I do love the Russ bus but I don’t I I know Spencer believes in his putter I don’t I think that his iron play is not nearly as Elite as where it has been I’m not going to buy the peak price for someone that doesn’t have the best part

Of his game working as good as it usually is obviously you know a bad Iron play for he’s still going to gain a stroke around pretty much approach but he’s relying on that putter I know Spencer’s data says that it’s probably for real I’m not a believer I’m going to

Go with Tommy Fleetwood still Spencer if you gave me Russell Henley as an option yes and I can’t take Sam Burns I will take Russell Henley because I do believe in the putter it’s been something that I’ve talked about I know this is not a pure Bermuda surface but

Even if we remove the Bermuda aspect to this and you just look at similar green complexes that are going to present present this soft uh texture to it but also the Speedy Green still with it he jumps from outside of the top 80 and expected putting to inside of the top 10

For me so I think that this is a legitimate putter that we have and while I agree with Nick some of the proximity numbers leave something to be desired he also still has the scrambling game I’m looking for his three p avoidance is inside of the top six and a lot of these

Shorter distances that he has with his irons which is what I’m looking for to be able to salvage par in the spots he’s inside of the top 10 of my model in that area so I I think Henley is legitimately sharp with all the movements that are

Occurring with him I I think there’s a reason why he’s a favorite against every single person that you can find if I was directly comparing I would still rather have Sam Burns that’s why I took the Sam Burns ticket that I did but with Burns getting removed here I will go with

Russell Henley I I think he’s an intriguing person and I I didn’t mention this on the show I’m not necessarily going to get there um and a lot of different ways like I think there’s two really interesting placement bets to consider this week I think Russell

Henley plus 190 for a top 20 would be one of them I think that’s a different way that you can try to get exposure to him I think the second one is Adam hadwin at 3 to one that’s where Tai’s pay in full to come top 20 I think

That’s another spot to credit Nick once again where Nick was probably correct on being early to the table and for whatever reason it just never came to fruition the way that it should have I think now this is a spot for hadwin to potentially put the pieces together and

I hopefully give a top 20 here at 3 to one all right fellas last rapid fire question we’ve got a handful of guys here at 50 to1 first off Spencer’s boy Jason day next Cameron young Spencer’s other guy then C wo Kim whom we all love

Nicks boy Brian Harmon’s also 50 to1 now sahit theala is 55 to one and minwu Lee is the final golfer under 60 to1 he’s also 55 to1 so among day young SE Kim Harmon deala and mimu Lee who would you take an outright ticket on if I gave you

One for free Nick Cameron young I uh I think you know everybody was on him last week I think this is a good course for him I do I think as much as Spencer kind of talked about his way to plot around and and obviously he could hit it very

Long at Arnold Palmer I think that that is a really good spot for him his putter has been good um did not show up last week at all but the approach game is there he’s actually hitting Fairways too I think that this is a dangerous spot in

A good price for a guy with the upside of Cameron young I may go him in one undone is that okay what do you guys think can I change again what are the rules I mean you can CH I all I’m going to say Nick is after last week’s Fiasco

Whatever the pick is when we leave here I’m just a fraud no matter what yeah I mean that has to be the pick at this point you can a million more times until we wrap this up though getting [ __ ] on here what you guys are are you okay with Cameron

Young I like the appro the approach numbers are very encouraging when you look at he gained over one and a half in Dubai when when Rory just just beat him then he gained over one two of the last three weeks Genesis and API tough golf courses gain on approach every single week super

Long putter is vola the putter has upside it’s not like he’s a terrible every week he’s got upside he can gain over stroke round damn it all right I know Spencer you don’t take my word for anything anymore but I may lean Cameron young in

One and done him or Victor what do you guys think quick answer i’ take Victor I would take Victor also all right I’ll save Cameo and then for AUST if I don’t play Scotty really keep throwing C balls your guys way Sor right proceed spens I’ll give you the guys here uh it

Is Jason day Cameron young seu Kim Brian Harmon all at 50 to1 sahala 55 to1 and minm Lee at 55 to1 among those who would you rather have the free ticket on well Brian Harmon if I could take somebody that I’ve taken I will play

This one by the rules because I I do think there are some intriguing people to consider here um one of them would be sewu kimy lost 8.6 Strokes last week gain 9.1 T2 green I think that’s a very consistent return maybe like on the extreme end of it but if you look at

What he’s done at Bay Hill in the past it’s been a lot of results like that where he’s lost over four strokes with the putter um he kind of put all the wrong pieces together there for it to go in the complete wrong way but tournament

Here that you get to where you know he was a little bit better than a neutral putter he gained over a stroke during the year that he won it I think something like that can still present the upside for him I think SE Kim a very intriguing name and then just to mention

Him I’m not going to have an outright ticket but I think he’s worth mentioning after all the discussion last week minw Lee was the name that came up up on every single podcast of whether it was a DFS answer or whatever it was like was

He playable or was he a value where he was and I kind of took a stance that I thought he wasn’t even playable in DFS necessarily he was going to have a ton of ownership I said he was the 41st ranked player in my model he came in

44th place there so I don’t know I mean it’s kind of what I expected I do believe that this tournament for him we get an an increased price in some areas of the board with it I think this is a better tournament for him um I don’t know if he necessarily finds that

Highend upside to actually win this tournament but some of those par five scoring numbers that he can put together here and we’ve seen what he’s done at this course the time he’s played it I do think minw Le some volatile Dart throw type of option it is

You could do a lot worse than him as a buyback spot after he kind of upset everybody last week and you look at what he did last week ball striking one of his best weeks of the Year almost as good as two weeks ago at the cognizant classic in the Palm

Beaches but he lost stres with the Putter and around the green I think it’s a sneaky by low spot on minu Le this week uh we keep we we faded him last week in our matchups because of some of the ball striking but the ball striking

Came to play yeah um think maybe we got a little bit lucky based on how we were handicapping it but overall still learning about M Le’s game we mentioned on the Pod how he had that run of strong play in Australia but there was no data

So still trying to figure out what the puzzle pieces look like when he does play his best golf and when we’ mentioned short game is important here he’s got that down gained over two strokes putting per round in his T6 here last year so little putter more putter

Reliant than I would have liked if I want to bet on him here but he is hot on approach so maybe he’s just a streaky player uh like we said those strong results in Australia came in backtack weeks so perhaps he staying hot and he has some upside all right fellas great discussion

There where can we find your work this week starting with you Nick yeah I’ll actually be doing a DFS breakdown this week on stochastic decom then you could find all of uh Spencer and I DFS work at better gopod on Twitter and then Best Bets at extra Network all right Spencer

Where can we find your work this week you can find me on Twitter at tof sports I will have my outright betting article I’ll get a little bit deeper into what we talked about today there I try to go back to back after hitting Scotty last

Week and then you can find all my in tournament matchups over here at Action Network it was a three and 0 week last week which even without the Scotty win um that was helping the Salvage a lot of the tournament for me so uh we were able

To find some value Grayson Murray plus 130 over Tor Mo on Sunday Tom hogi over uh or sorry Taylor over yeah over Taylor Moore and then Tom hogi plus 115 over Jason day on I believe that was Friday or Saturday you can correct me Roberto

If you know which day it was there but uh I there’s there’s been a lot of value to be found in these inter tournament matchups and that’s kind of the thing that I continue to try to talk about on every single show it’s that if you can

Find a market that you have an advantage in and for me it’s the tournament Bets with just the way I run my model compared to the pricing I think that it’s a very advantageous way to find an advantage and so over 70% this year on

Those and we’ll try to keep the hot run going yeah those have been a lot of fun to read I’ve also really enjoyed the internate bets not only reading your articles but using some of the guys whom you mentioned as fade Targets on this show who maybe we can’t find a matchup

Pre- tournament but they play well or somebody else plays really well and you can find a match up against them and before the tournament starts you find a lot of guys who are similar types of players matched up against each other which is tough to generate much of an

Edge but you got different players based off of one round where there’s maybe an overreaction and you can capitalize there so I think that is the new matchup Market to take advantage of and Spencer has demonstrated that over 70% this year so definitely check that out this

Weekend I’ll be tuned into to that you can find me here at the Action Network uh with all of our golf content might have a little special players related article tomorrow so you you can be sure to find me on Twitter Roberto a213 if we do that tomorrow afternoon late evening

Um also made an appearance on the eyes on golf podcast earlier today my friend Jeff eisenband is going to put out a little March Madness themed golf bracket where you pick three players from each School uh I can’t tell you who won but I can tell you that the Cardinal did not

Win unfortunately uh so be sure to check that out on wherever you get your podcast as well but big thanks to you guys for hopping on the show for giving me your time this was a blast as always want to give a big shout out to our producers Noah neher David Payne and

Matt Mitchell and everybody else at the Action Network very excited for the players championship and here’s to hoping you hit the green at TPC sass for