2024 THE PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP, Fantasy Golf Picks & Plays | Fantasy Golf Degenerates

2024 THE PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP, Fantasy Golf Picks & Plays | Fantasy Golf Degenerates

Kenny Kim and Ryan Baroff preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 THE PLAYERS Championship picks. The guys give their Fantasy Golf picks and best bets for the event at TPC Sawgrass

Episode “361” | Bloods, Crips, and Scottie Scheffler

#THEPLAYERS #FantasyGolf #PGATour

Sub to the Mayo Media Network: https://bit.ly/YTMMN

Use code “MAYO” at Underdog for a deposit match up to $100: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-pat-mayo
Get 10% off any Monthly Plan with code: “MAYO”: https://shipitnation.com/
Get 20% off https://www.fantasynational.com/FGD

SHOW INDEX
Intro – 0:00
Recap – 2:05
Underdog Pick’ems – 15:24
Course Preview – 22:20
DFS Strategy – 31:05
Tiers – 32:52
Bets – 57:11
Outro – 59:02

Video: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
Apple: https://bit.ly/FGDApple
Spotify: https://bit.ly/FGDSpotify
Google: https://bit.ly/FGDGoogle
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/FGDStitch

Ryan Baroff Twitter: https://twitter.com/RBaroff427
Kenny Kim Twitter: https://twitter.com/KendoVT
Fantasy Golf Degenerates Twitter: https://twitter.com/FGDegenerates

Message and data rates apply. Must be 18+ (21+MA & AZ, 19+ AL, NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

I’ been getting dirty money Jordan Bing Penny STS while I’m flipping these biring On what is going on DJ Nation Kenny Kim here bringing you another fantasy golf generous podcast this week for the players got to shout players because it’s all caps the players as usual H not as usual sometimes as usual I have here with Mr Ryan bar off Ryan how are you I

Know tambo’s not here this week so hold on tambo’s not here this week because um his wife and him are celebrating their 10-year anniversary and normally I i’ be like what how are you gonna miss the players but 10y year anniversary and his wife let him become a pro DFS player

After he had a really good job so he has to go he has to go but of course we have our resident pH Mr bar off Ryan how are you my friend I’m good man happy be here happy iary to Tambo I I was talking with them offline uh last week because I

Celebrated my 10year wedding anniversary last Friday so hopefully we got some good mojo yeah I don’t think I’ve had a relationship last 10 years of my life except my dog that would probably be like the only Rel those are the good like friends and [ __ ] you I have a car

Of like two friends that I’ve had for more than 10 years that I still laugh no relationship that long [ __ ] and the longest relationship I’ve had with a [ __ ] is my dog yeah and so I love that dog it was 13 years old it was the saddest day of my

Life when she she passed away yeah um all right so let’s go ahead and talk about uh before we talk about uh what we need to talk about for this week let’s uh go and talk about a little bit of shipet nation this show is brought to you and presented by shipet nation.com

They’ve got you covered for all the major sports for DFS content tools projections education and more go to shiping Nation and use promo code Mayo to get 10% off any of their monthly memberships all right so let’s move on and talk a little bit about this past week um Bay Hill H

You know finally we we got a big dog win but the way he won was just not that exciting it’s it’s scary sheffler when he when he does what he did this past week making what all 16 of his putts inside 15 fet on Sunday he actually lost

Strokes with his approaches um on the front nine on Sunday uh and gained a three-stroke lead uh so I mean real scary stuff if you’re if you’re a pro uh and you see Scotty doing what he did with that new mallet putter um I would definitely be worried I know Shane Lowry

Said he was speechless about the way he was playing the guy shot 66 when everybody around him was just imploding I don’t know if anybody in the final few groups even broke par um not the exciting finish that we’d like but the domination of Scotty sheffler was something to behold um and

It’s scary now especially from a betting standpoint I you know five five and a half to one you gotta think about it you gotta think about it now um what’s your think of the event this pment yeah so uh I didn’t watch too much until uh back n

On on Sunday and at that point it was over so I didn’t watch too much of it anyway um I was tracking a lot of it but look we we’ve been saying this about Scotty for a while right the week that he finds a putter he’s going to win by a

Touchdown and I I I don’t think this is going to be the only time it happens this year um it’s a perfect golf course for him you have to hit it far but you have to hit it straight uh iron play is key your short game is key um everyone

Sort of has the same shots around the green at beay Hill those little chunked runs out of the thick berm rough which Scotty is very good at he grew up in Texas playing on pretty similar graphs so yeah I mean awesome week for him honestly he’s he’s pretty easy to root

For um it sucked that like Rory ejected and and sort of others ejected especially sucked because we all had a zor’s ticket and he was up by four on back nine on Saturday before I don’t even know what happened made a couple lead doubles so that was annoying but um

Yeah awesome to see Scotty cross the line for the first time in a year I think a year 51 weeks since last year’s players other guys who played well when Clark looks like a guy you got to think about playing in in these designated events these Signature Events he just

Seems to come up and ball out in these type of events Shane Lowry another back-to-back really really solid weeks for Mr Lowry and I think last week was B was probably more important because more impressive because he’s like never made a cut there yeah right like he’s never

Made a cut there he’s coming off you know the runnerup finish the week before the cognizant and you know had 5% owned 6% owned mostly because of his course history that was a nice little GB nice little gbb play uh I had a shot ton of them didn’t really help me uh didn’t

Really help me probably my worst week uh of the year it’s gonna happen this Florida swing is so volatile uh you know if you if you can get through the Florida swing with being up in DFS you’re doing something right uh because this stuff gets a little wild uh

Sometimes but um you know other guys who were in there Benny on another 10 top 10 Homer with a good finish out there one guy who really sort of impressed to me and I know he finished like dead last okay but Jake na right he comes in on

Saturday and shoots I don’t know 80 79 or some some some God awful number he shoots that um he gets that what the the he shoot a 12 or something on the six hole or nine something like some humongous score on six on Saturday but then he comes back Sunday when you know

The average score was well over over paw for the day and he shoots even paw like to me that’s like that’s like Moxy you know what I’m saying having your worst round as a PGA tour pro and on one of the hardest courses you know in the in

On tour and then coming back and shooting even part beating 80% of the field pretty impressive I thought I I I don’t know about you but that oppressed the hell out of me uh for this guy I I have high hopes for for Mr Jake knap um

Anybody else catch your eye this past week I’ve been uh a big nap fan for a while bet him a bunch last year um I I still don’t think we’re talking enough about wind FL um what he’s doing obviously won a major one multiple Signature Events almost won this one I

Think I mean he’s he’s arguably a top three player right now probably for sure a top five player um and then matama he just seems to continue to Trend up obviously um there are some pretty good number out there over the weekend he’s now cut down to like 28 which we’ll talk

About this week but I think again 32 yeah I got 45 yesterday think he’s he’s playing better and we saw um a few years ago when he got hot towards the end of the year like he can stack wins he won hero and Phoenix and right he can stack

Them so and you gotta think you know he’s been in the lead I guess technically Tim Anders Tim andera would believe that he’s won a players already since Hideki was in lead before the world shutdown uh in 2020 going into this event uh so yeah I mean he he’s

Playing well there’s a lot the the the the crazy thing is the guys that are playing poorly coming into this event and how are we going to deal with those guys because you know the thing about s grass and we’re jumping ahead a little bit but it’s my show and I could talk

Whatever the [ __ ] I want to talk about so you know we’re jumping ahead a little bit but like when it comes to Saw Grass like course history is not really that big of a deal it’s like right in the middle but it seems like there’s a lot

More variants when it comes to course history and and current form tends to be a bit more important going into this event and there’s a lot of guys up top who do not have the best current form um now it’s funny I was looking through my

Article from last year in my notes and I guess you know every year I I add some notes on top of my article so I go back and and look at it I could see stuff that I wanted to you know mention um for next year and the big thing on my

Twitter on my notes was uh this note that I made myself hold on let me here let me find it here um roster all players who are good would have missed Cuts or played poorly recently and you that’s sort of goes against what what most people talk about when they get to

The players we we’ll get there soon enough um anything else you want oh let’s talk about Windam Clark a little bit more um did cheat it was pretty [ __ ] close bro like I mean it’s it’s it’s hard when you zoom in like that but

I mean I think all all he was doing give himself a better lie that’s the one thing I no he was just testing the LI that’s the essence of the rule like you have to like give yourself a better lie when you do that and that ball just sunk

More to the bottom guess it moved but it did not improve yeah I think he was just testing what club he wanted to get behind it you know if he was going to wedge out or not the first time something like this has happened this

Year if you remember I guess a month six weeks ago he had that incident where it looked like he deliberately stepped behind the ball uh in high rough to possibly give himself yeah a better line now that one people sort of debunked so what I’ll say is when you’re playing

Better golf you’re on TV more right yeah yeah I mean that’s what it seems like and you know the thing is you got a a lot of hate this weekend not because of that that uh because of his comment about how he would like you know top 100

In the world he’d like these events he’d like the PGA Tour to shrink and just be like the top 100 when he hasn’t even been top 100 in the world for a year right Rory said the same thing but Rory’s earned enough clout where yes it’s probably not what people want to

Hear but they’re not going to give them like crazy amount of [ __ ] for saying what he said wam Clark’s a newbie you know what I’m saying easy to say when you’re playing well yeah yeah exactly and easy to say when you’re playing well for the first time in your life and

You’re 30 years old and you’ve really only been playing well for a year right that definitely rub people the wrong way and I could see why uh when it comes down to but the guy’s GNA be good um I you know I I I think the thing about him

Is he has that banana cut but it’s pretty safe like whenever he’s nervous you know what I’m saying he aims left hits that banana cut and usually it’s in the middle of the Fairway uh now that doesn’t really that’s that’s not the best thing for him at certain majors um

Because you know you’re going to be nervous a lot you’re gonna go to your go-to shot and Augusta that shot’s a pretty tough shot to hit you’re gonna be I mean VJ say h that yeah yeah VJ sing Hit that shot tiger hit that shot Jack

Nicholas hit that shot it’s uh it’s it’s because you’re taking the left side out of the golf course so you kind of know that if you miss you’re going to miss a few yards right so yeah but I mean the thing about it is like if you listen to

Sheffler like how far above he is with everybody else like the way he talks about off the te play when there’s a lot of water like he decides to you know he has a little bit of he plays he could play a cut um and if water’s on the

Leftand side yeah right and he plays a cut he know he’s going straight over the pond if he hits the water he’s gonna have to bring it back almost back to the tea so even though he’s even in that situation he’s comfortable enough y to

Hit the draw where if he hits the draw and he misses at least he’ll be able to drop way farther up ahead yeah you know like that’s the thought process that Scotty’s going through off the tea who’s become I mean the best golfer off the tea in the world with the craziest

[ __ ] swing where he he he looks like he’s doing a [ __ ] [ __ ] walk like like like he’s like he’s he’s the [ __ ] cryp like he’s wearing all blue in LA in the hood and like doing his little cryp walk thing that’s what it looks like he’s doing when he’s swinging that

[ __ ] club it’s it’s unbelievable but like the thought processes that he goes through like when you hear interviews and afterwards it’s basically like a step above what everyone else is thinking the guy is so in tune with his his stroke and how he goes about going goes about beating the golf course with

His type of game it’s it’s scary if he he’s he’s stking the [ __ ] out of it yeah again I think everyone handles that differently and like you can call it you know pressure or uh yeah water danger whatever you do like I know like when I

Play golf right my Miss if I get nervous or if I get fast whatever is I pull the ball left so I know naturally that if I’m you know in that mindset I’m just going to aim a little bit more right right Scotty Doesn’t worry about that

Because he doesn’t miss he can carve it right he can carve it left he can hit it high but um I think the very I think the most underrated part of his game actually is probably the the accuracy off the te because he’s not the longest

But he obviously gets it plenty far he’s pretty long he not he just splits the [ __ ] Fairway I mean splits it so yeah he’s on un believable um other news this past week talk a little bit about Anthony Kim yeah going in there in his final round shootting at 65 65 you know

In the final round didn’t finish dead last you know what I’m saying beat beat four or five guys uh I know a lot of people are making fun of him because of of he shooting what 12 over blastic I thought it was super impressive that he

Broke 80 you know what I’m saying like I don’t know what everyone else is thinking I thought you were going to say shooting something else yeah like you haven’t played competitive golf in 12 years and dude’s out there shooting like 76es that’s right seems pretty [ __ ]

Good to me right and this past week and and the stuff that he’s talking about where he doesn’t have an equipment deal his clubs aren’t even fitted my [ __ ] clubs are fitted yep for myself he’s a goddamn Pro and his clubs aren’t even fitted you know and he’s out there

Shooting 65 impressive in my in my book yeah no I think he’s going to be a right I mean look he’s never he’s never going to get back to where he was but uh this is a process like I mean give him the year maybe give him even more than that

To see because you have to consistently shoot those numbers and I think now I didn’t watch anything I I I I saw some clips and uh looked at the stats it seemed like it was very putter driven on that Sunday but it’s fine you know shooting 65 is 65 yeah yeah yeah pry

Impressive stuff all right so before we move on to this week let’s do our underdog segement uh of course we are our new sponsor Underdog I will say it was a great week for myself this past week uh on Underdog fantasy I made a three bagger on Friday night it was

Sheffer over four and a half birdies will zuris over four and a half birdies and Rory who was at the time in 3 first to sneak inside the top 10 uh by the end of the third round now what Underdog does is they have these things called Scorchers right

Where it’s like a little jalapeno like next to like uh next to like the the the pick them either higher or lower and if you pick that what happens is it adds to your multiplier so I think in that in that in that uh pick them I had two

There were two Scorchers I think it was the Rory uh and it was the zalatoris over four and a half yeah um higher than 4 and a half I’m sorry and um really uh it hit and it hit at 13.5 multiplier so it multiplied my bet

By 13 and a half only on a three bagger I want two grand on that one bet it was $150 pickle and I won two grand so you guys gotta make sure you go out there and test it out go to it go to the site

Uh type in promo code Mayo get a deposit match up to $100 what were you going to say yeah I was playing some of those so um I really just started playing Underdog golf uh recently but I was doing a lot of NBA stuff uh I’m a Cavs

Fan so you know I know the Cavs very well I know their matchups very well I know their injury news very well and I I I felt like it was pretty exploitable there just if you knew guys were going to be limited if you knew guys were

Going to miss games uh because even getting like a couple points um on you know points rebound assists whatever couple points of clv makes a lot of difference um you know when you’re doing those so um and and I’m GNA be 100% upfront with you guys uh the way

Underdog paid me was they put a whole bunch of money in my account right my Underdog account I cannot pull that money out until I spend the amount that they gave me so that means I have to do well like I have to play well like if I

Don’t play well I could lose all the money they gave me and I don’t get [ __ ] right so like I’m taking this [ __ ] [ __ ] serious every week yeah and so I’m gonna go ahead and go over my Underdog pick them for this week it’s a two bagger for the first round three and

A half times multiplier I feel so confident in this I went Max bet 250 bucks Wow first one it’s going to be Scotty sheffler under two and a half Bogies sayah sagala over three Bogies okay and now here’s my my my thought process in the last 10 Rounds that Scotty Sheffer has

Played at the open CH at the players at the players and it includes his miscut three years ago okay in his last 10 Rounds he has had he has he’s had more than two bogeys once in one round out of the last 10 right and that one he had

Three okay um and so even even year he missed the cut he didn’t even have three bogeys in a round like I think it was like the first round uh in 2022 right where he had three bogeys only time in his career he’s had more

Than two and a half Bogies I’m I’m sh I’m going lower than two and a half for scotting and I’m going above three for fala fala has played this uh six rounds at this course first off the two times he’s played he’s finished 74th and he’s

Missed a cut okay in every single in five of his six rounds he’s had four bogeys or more in five of the six rounds he has played at TPC Saw Grass he has had four bogeys or more all but one round and that one round he had three

Right so so that’s going to be my pennies off so it’s going to be um let me make sure I say this correctly so everyone can join in if they want to um now I can’t find it ah here we go so Scotty Sheffer lower than 2.5 Bogies

Or Worse say tala higher than three Bogies are worth this it worse this is from Thursday’s first round I’m Max betting it and it pays out 3.5 times Ryan what’s your what’s your go-to it’s yeah that’s good I so I have not been as successful with the bogey birdie props

Um I was doing really well with like Fairways and greens and part five score but I went um all on first round score so first round Strokes um we’ve got three unders a little bit off the board on these but the first one we talked about lowers yes sorry lowers yes not

Unders lowers so uh first thing we talked about Hideki so lower than 70 and a half for Hideki um you just mentioned he was first round leader in the co year that didn’t count uh he’s just playing great right now so um I want to get as

Much massama this week as I can number two um another guy be jeted hardore last week but plays this Sports very well Tommy Fleetwood lower than 71 uh first round strokes and finally even further off the board our ejector from two weeks ago Eric Co there’s a 71

A half so we are going lower than 71 A2 I think this is a a perfect horse fit for Eric Cole probably better than Honda for sure better than beill um I really like Eric Cole this week as well I’m really glad you have that because as of

Now he’s in my cash lineup there you go not the cash game Cornerstone and 10 so you can get one but he’s in my cast line of this week Fleetwood I sort of like as well Fleetwood was my fade of the week last week of course he missed the cut uh

The one thing that’s been going really well for me is my fade of the week over on gubs corner I think we’ve had 10 weeks week so far this year none none of my fa the weeks have finished better than 29th um and it’s like $8500 or more pretty good for every

Single one of these guys for all 10 weeks so you know I might not be picking the right winners but I am picking the right losers he there you go so before we get into this week let’s hear a word from our sponsor Underdog fantasy is the easiest place to play fantasy sports

It’s also the fastest growing fantasy app in the industry whether you like head-to-head or pick them games personally I like the pick them games pick whether your favorite players will have a higher or lower stat total in this week’s event for a chance to win big pick between two and five

Players to build a pick them entry you can win up to a 100 times your money in a single night can also make Rivals picks which pits two players against each other this past week I used it for roaring shooting under 70 in round one

And spe more than two and a half Bogies in round one sign up today with promo code mayo and get your first deposit doubled up to $100 as well as an instant pick them special must be 18 years or older and present in the state where Underdog fantasy operates terms apply concerned

With your play call 1 18005224700 or visit www.ncpgambling.org all right so the uh top golfers in the world they had the pon ofer Florida for The Players Championship at TPC Saw Grass with a huge purse every golfer wants to come here try and earn a healthy paycheck and test their skills

On a semi difficult course another reason golfers like this course so much is because any type of golfer can win here there is no type that consistently does well everyone has a chance as you can see with some of the past winners um Tim Clark KJ Choy Stephen Ames Fred Funk

Paul goo’s finished like top three here backtack years you like I said everyone has a chance uh that’s what makes this tournament so great and why it could be very difficult for DFS purposes uh there are so many dangers on this course and everybody can fall victim to

It at some point in time uh the tournament moved from May to March a few years ago I actually went to the first March year it was 2019 uh when we’re already won um and so there are going to be some differences uh compared to when they played in May uh the biggest

Differences are probably the greens the rough and the wind change uh the greens are overseed with poetry realist this time of year which could them which could lead to them being more receptive uh this should lead to better scoring conditions than when they played in May weather permitting and you’ve seen some

Of that here recently with like 17 under 15 unders winning this event um the grains aren’t your typical Bea because of the overseed uh some say the greens are um you know very smooth and easier to putt on with these type of grass conditions uh the prevailing winds at

Saw Grass differ from March to May the biggest issue when it comes to Golfers and the wind change is probably 17 and 18 uh with the prevailing winds like North to Northeast now uh you know it’s going to make the final two goals dramatic and more difficult if that’s

The way the wind is going um you know if the wind blows hard golfers are no longer going to be hitting like a wedge into the 17 and will likely be pulling out driver on 18 instead of a hybrid or an iron um tiger said that when he’s played this

Um in the early spring he’d hit six iron into 17 you know Jason day hit two iron wedge on 18 the year he won in May uh but in 2021 he said he might have to play driver five iron uh these changes make it difficult to use course history

Prior to 2020 I mean you could still look at it still going to give you a decent judge but I wouldn’t make that be all and all and also the stickiness of course history at this event isn’t that great I think it’s like 25 26 out of 42

Courses so it’s in the bottom half um and that’s mostly due to the variance of all the trouble that’s there you know two bad shots you’re in the water it can knock you out of the damn tournament uh if it comes down to it um the weather

Always a huge Factor uh in many iterations of this event as of Monday morning it doesn’t look like it’s going to be crazy maybe like 20 mile per hour winds but of course you know make sure you check back there have been some crazy wave differences I remember a

Couple years ago everyone was on one wave it flipped and went the other way so definitely some stuff like that at this event um a couple of trend this is from Jeff olook at the fantasy grind on Twitter um 11 of the last 13 winners

Have had a top five prior to their win in the same calendar year the last 16 winners have had a top 25 at TPC saw graphs before their win the last seven winners have had a top 25 in the prior tour start before their win so a lot of

Form coming in is helpful um now let’s get to the meat of the Course TPC s grass Pete designed par 72 plays around 7200 yards four par 3es and four par fivs three of the par fives are reachable by most and the par five ninth can only be reached into by the longest

Of hitters there were a few changes to the course like I spoke about uh the bunkers have been redone another water hazard was added um and the 124 added a new t- box to make it a drivable par 4 and of course most importantly many of the green complexes were redone and the

Grass and the green switched from mini Vera Bermuda to Tiff Eagle Bermuda but of course you know the Poetry real is going to be overseed that’s going to be more important uh with the date change overseeding the fact that greens are now you know five years old they’re going to

Be a little bit more they’re going to be pretty receptive yeah I would think uh they’ve had about seven to eight inches of rain so far this year so you know a decent amount of rain and with that PO trival on top it usually softens the green just

A little bit but we’ll see how the course plays because this course can literally be played in any man that they want that’s how much control the PGA has over this course and how it plays um now off the t golford is going to face narrow Tree Line Fairways bunkers and

Water in playing on almost all shots off the tea uh there’s a lot of water here 24 Acres of water like most Pete D designs many different types of dog legs on many of the holes this is going to lead to players hitting less than Dy on

Many of the holes played the rough you we’ve seen has been up from about 2 and a half inches to three and a half inches the last couple of years so that can make the course play a little bit more difficult also it should be Lush because

Of all the rain that they have um and then of course uh it’s it is going to be easier to control shots out of um the overseed than it would be of the P pure Bermuda even From the Rough uh the fairways have a lot of mounds and

Undulation they can be firm if the course is dry I’m missing it in a rough on the right side of the course can make the golfers approach outs even more difficult because like the be die does these things called Stadium Mounds like he usually does this so fans can

Actually have a better View and you know be above the players so they can look down and watch the players play but if you miss to the right you’re gonna be hitting on these weird lies sometimes maybe like baseball swing lies like a Dey shot that he hit out of the water uh

Last week that was just simply amazing um you could see some of those type of shots no water but you know hitting it on these mounds and you’re going to have some weird lies um now um if if golfers miss their Miss Rod shots they’re going

To have these baseball swings it’s a lot of water is on the left side of the greens it makes these baseball type swings even more hair raising since the ball is going to be sitting on a draw hook line on approach shots golfers will see very small greens bunkers surround

Most greens and once again a lot of water was going to be surrounding them uh the greens themselves multi-tiered undulated and tricky typical Pete die design since 1992 there have been more three putts on this course than any other non- major course on tour um again the Tiff Eagle Bermuda overse with po

Trivialis they’re going to be fast s meter raing around 12 12 and a half the outcome of the tournament will probably down come down to the final three holes pretty nerve-wracking but it can’t be played under par if golfers can get over nerves any intimidation factor 16

Reachable par five lot of trouble around the green you’ve seen like three to eights here from leaders in the last few years um and I know um RCB made like a double on 16 uh you know when he was in the lead here I think it was like

2019 2018 something like that uh but you’ve seen like drastic changes on the leaderboards in these last three old of course 17 is the island green 18 tough tough Par Four um you know it’s a long tough Par Four since 2003 the 18th hole played about 2100 Strokes over Paul uh

The tournament could definitely be won or lost on these final three holes bar what are you looking for in golfers this week yeah that was pretty good um a couple things I will just sort of reinforce it you said um it has definitely gotten harder since they

Moved it from May to Mars there’s no doubt about that uh I think you always want to look at the weather conditions here wind rain we saw it a couple years ago when those guys were out there shooting 880 a storm and there was a massive wave edge you probably won’t see

Anything like that again but you know anytime you’re here in Florida you have to look for that um I’m very interested in the rough length because it does vary here I think most things that you’ll look at this week are going to say that the rough is long but that is certainly

Not always the case um I don’t expect it to be as long as it was at Bay Hill last week and these guys were laying up and shipping out at some places so definitely be aware of that um one of the things that I do like about this

Course is if you in position every B is a birdie B right every B is a bogey B but every B is a birdie bow as well because you are going to see more of those approach shots with wedges than you’ve seen uh I guess really the last

Few weeks especially last week at Bay Hill you were seeing a lot of those approach shots from outside of 200 yards you’re going to see a lot more from that 125 to 150 this week so if guys can find the Fairway be on the right side of the

Fairway and we get some half decent whole locations um I think you’re going to see some low scores early in the week yeah well typical P die like his Mantra is you know if you’re playing well you could score really well on his courses but if you’re playing bad you could

Shoot some wild ass high schools you know and that’s sort of why I like that’s why I like Pete di courses because you know you sort of have to be like on your game yeah um it’s hard to come into these type of courses and try and find something that you’re missing

Now let’s get to the top of these tiers because there’s one guy that I I I I’m looking at um 25 to1 you could find him and you haven’t seen anything under 20 to1 on him and God knows how long um it’s gonna be Victor hoflin at $10,100

Um I I made the bet but oh you know he is not playing as well as he normally is but that value number to me it screams value for a guy who’s played this course very very well um and you know is just a couple of tweaks in his game to becoming

One of the best players in the world like we saw uh towards the end of last year um I think I I when it comes to DFS in this range when we go havin all the way to shefer I’m playing Scotty probably GNA be 50% I’m also going to be playing

The lowest owned golfer in this 10K range because you just find some wild crazy [ __ ] that happens um in these events and catching a guy who’s an elite golfer who is single digigit owned is going to be a score on this and I think

I don’t know if anyone in the in the in the in the in the 10K range will be single digit know but there probably going to be somebody close to it um I think it’s Canley who’s going to be the single digit owned guy but I don’t know

If I have enough to go with Canley I think I think havin might be the second lowest St and I might go with him um what are you doing in this 10K range and and I know you’re going to start with Chef are you playing Chef of course yeah

I I I play Scotty every week uh I I didn’t play enough of him last week but I yes I I will certainly be playing Scotty especially because again we have the 5K Dynamic pricing and I think there are guys in the five and sixk range that you could feel pretty comfortable with

Um and sort of we’ll talk about them later but guys that have been making cuts and and showing top 10 upside guys that have won here uh that are shown some Recon form so I think a lot of options there um I also bet Victor hin I

Was kind of torn so I did most of my betting over the weekend I FanDuel had some some early lines up but but I wanted to add one more and I was looking at at either Victor or K morawa and I saw 28 on moin this morning and that’s

Just too big of a number that’s too big right like I had I I saw 25 he’s played well here the last two years he um he showed enough both at Riv and at Bay Hill obviously like the finishes weren’t great but he showed enough that the ball

Striking is coming back a little bit and I do expect been a real struggle I expect it to come back a little bit again you think so but why the [ __ ] did he fire quite as important here like I think he can ball strike his way around

This golf course where he’s not going to need it so and especially if it’s not going to be as windy uh you know we’re not going to see 25 30 mile prior win yeah there’s GNA be a lot of lot a lot of greens hit especially from Elite ball

Strike no for sure and so I will the only thing that I I will push back on here is I think the lowest own player now this guy always gets ownership uh in DFS because he’s consistent but in 11,300 Xander shle uh when people are going to be playing Scotty sheffler and

Playing Justin Thomas I don’t think I don’t think he’s gonna get to 10% if Xander is the lowest I’m definitely playing and there’s right definitely playing plus there’s a narrative that he doesn’t play so well in Florida right like that’s out there and like yeah kentley hasn’t been great

But I mean kentley is a thousand cheaper than Xander and I think that is going to make a difference so yeah yeah I think I actually think Xander and Klay are probably the two lowest I think Lori would be fourth low I think Scotty is

One JT is two havland is three and then Rory is four in terms of ownership up there yeah Rory makes a tempting I went all in on Rory last week and then [ __ ] me and so of course I’m gonna have this recency bias where you know like H do I

Want to go through this again but if I’m already playing 50% Scotty I do not think I could play and look you could Jam two of them but I think and again we’ll talk about this down the road but the obvious value plays that we’ve been

Playing at like 7K 7100 are now 8K this week you know Cory Connors Benny on Brian marman Tom hogi like those guys are all more expensive which makes it very difficult for you to play in more than one stud and that stud is going to be Scotty shot there are trends that go

Against Scotty doing it again I mean no one’s won back toback players dude Scotty won like five times in a row last year when he got I know but I’m just saying he’s never won back to back uh you know um was another stat where okay

The 16 of the last 18 winners have been AM PM and Scotty’s PM am so a couple of Trends I’m just trying to play Devil’s Advocate there it’s not gonna stop me from playing his ass but you know there are you know things out there where you

Know you can look at him be like I’ll fade him you it could be the right play I mean the guy’s going to be 35% own in gpps and any golfer that high owned you have to double take and think about fading right but when it comes to Scotty

I can’t do it especially not on this course especially not after what happened last week and especially me not betting him I’m gonna need some Taste of him somewhere right you know that’s why I got him in the underdog uh two bag here and I’m gonna play the [ __ ] out of

In DFS uh so hopefully that that works out let’s move on to this 9k range two of my cash game cornerstones are going to be in here I bet both these guys as well willly Al Horus at $9,900 the game looks like it’s there probably should have been more closer to

Scotty last week than he than he was um Iron game’s fine ball striking is fine hunting looks better give me a little Willy Z you know you start your cash lineup with guys under 10k you have a lot of flexibility a lot of flexibility I know a lot of

People are going to start with Scotty uh and that’s fine uh and even if a lot of people do I’m not too worried about a big because they’re going to have to dig deep into the dredges uh to get it they’re not going to be able to get two

Guys probably above 9k um in their thing and I’m gonna have two guys above 9k my second is gonna be Hideki matang again guy who wins in bunches playing really really good golf iron game strong he’s doing the thing where he’s hitting the ball and being angry that it’s like

Eight feet away you know what I’m saying like when you see like more of that from AI like that means he’s like he’s missing his spot by like a foot to and he’s getting pissed right that’s how dialed the [ __ ] he is when it comes down

To it so pretty easy those two choices for me for my catkin cornerstones other than that I mean I’m gonna look at homma I’m gonna look at Clark and I’m GNA look at Lowry but I’m not sure who I’m playing out of those three who are you going with in the 9k

Range yeah tough range uh I would say my two favorites just you know you throw out the would probably be the top two right zalot Torres and Mama I think riding the recent Forum the recent iron play both are probably the two best course fits in this range I just again

At the price I will only be able to get to one of them uh if I had to pick one it probably be zorus but it’s it’s very close um I like a lot of these guys in terms of course fit I think you have to

Go to colum morawa I’m I’m willing to overlook the the it’s strangely hasn’t played better here yes but he’s perfect for he’s proba going to end his career without winning here I’ll say that right and I think you’re getting him at a a pretty good price and probably a pretty

Low ownership here um I’m not going out of my way to play Clark or speed their moment here um aberer could be sneaking um he was again pretty disappointing last week but I think he’ll be better at the shorter irons um he’s done well on some shorter courses played John

Dearwell obviously Won Won RSM so yeah yeah it’s weird that he plays a lot of that bomber narrative playing on good short course is alla Woodland some other guys he’s sort of fitting that mold nowadays yeah I and I think the one that I’m struggling most

With his Burns and I kind of said it last week because uh he’s just playing so well right now uh I’m not a huge Burns guy in general especially when he’s popular but he’s just playing really well obviously putts well um anybody who looks at conc courses is

Going to see Valar and that’s you know probably going to skew the data a little bit here but I I still think Burns is is cheap enough he also has a very early morning tea time which I know we like here so I guess for me uh Burns morawa

Zalot Taurus would be my top three so let’s move on to uh the 8K range my third cash game Cornerstone is gonna be Cory Connors I think he’s $8,300 of course you want to come in here with a solid ball striking solid iron game and you know his iron game’s always been

Good but in the last three weeks he’s gained almost 14 Strokes on approaches in his last three event so he’s pretty [ __ ] dialed when it comes to uh his irons and he’s you’re fairly accurate off the tea uh you don’t really see him um making like too many Big Time

Mistakes I mean you see a good amount of bogeys uh and stuff from him but you’re not seeing like doubles too many doubles and triples uh and stuff like that from he doesn’t really unless something crazy happens on the green and he like three putts or four putts which can’t happen

Uh with Cory Connors uh but I like the way his iron game looks I really like the way uh that’s you know it’s looking in the eye test so he’s going to be my third cash G Cornerstone I really like Tony fenan here at $88,500 I don’t know

How popular he’ll get it seems like he’s sort of been lost in Loop here uh this whole season right but he hasn’t been horrible right he’s had some decent finishes uh out there uh and you know ball striking he’s going to be fine Tia

Green he’s going to be good um I think I like Tony and maybe discounted ownership a little bit just because you look around him theal is going to be popular Henley’s going to be popular Sun Jade’s gonna be popular you got Korea Town all down in the bottom of the AK range which

I’m probably playing a lot of those guys down here another guy I do like a lot see like last year last week he was basically the Korean Scott of shefle right I mean like like his ball striking was [ __ ] Immaculate uh and then I think he gain like nine Strokes T the

Green um but he lost like 8.6 strokes but him like literally 8.6 strokes but him like the warps it was horrible uh and so but the ball striking was there uh and you know he’s won this event before so he has to have some type of good confidence uh coming into here and

I like sunj um you know I like this 8K range a lot I like the 8K range probably more than a lot of the 9k guys um I like sunj he showed a little bit like last week it feels like the game is is coming

Back a little bit um you know coming to a course where course fit this should be perfect for him um you know if you go to whoever’s site and look at the course suitability model he’s gonna be up top um and so I think I take a peek at Sun

Who do you like here yeah pretty similar I was a little annoyed because my favorite three in this range all have late afternoon tea time on Thursday but but you know it is what it is um yeah you mentioned course Conor I think you have to keep playing him you don’t have

To bet him because he’s not going to win he’s no the upside is a little bit limited uh the putter has not been very good recently um but again probably a very safe guy for a top 20 top 25 here for cash um I like Benny on a little

More than SE wo um I could obviously see the argument for both I caught a 100 to one on him yesterday and I think Benny is close to winning and yes it would be a big leap to win in a field like this somebody asked on Twitter if he could

Win this and he said maybe yeah that was me oh was that you [ __ ] around today but yeah I he won the European blers right at at course very similar to this um has played well at the Windom I think he has a second and a third there everyone

Knows windham’s of course comp yeah some Cuts here obviously lives in Florida now he’s a much better putter now than he was uh he drives it a lot further than he was so I like him and I think he’ll be lower own than see a little bit um

And then I do um mostly so data golf just put their stuff out and they have they have SEI wo as like their number three overall value this week so really a lot um and then so you mentioned fow so I bet I’m at 60 to1 this morning I

Really had no plans to do that but I yeah with play hard to hard to hard to pass that up I know so I ran a model last night he was second in the model and I know it was okay because sh was first but he was second and I he doesn’t

Really hit the course that well but I think um I think there’s a path here for him so uh I bet him this morning and then I think the fourth guy is Henley so Henley also got the morning tea time he’s gonna be popular but I I feel like

I need to find a way to get some Russell man the exposure this week he’s been play pretty good golf he played pretty well last week uh the guy the GU is again gol IR play is pretty [ __ ] important here right I mean you want to

You want the ball striking guys you want good iron players and he’s definitely one of them and we’re going to go to the 7K range and go to another guy who’s my final cash game Cornerstone who Iron game has been basically studly uh for the last I don’t know for for a little

Bit of for a little while I’m going to go with um Hollywood hogi at $7,800 as my final cash game Cornerstone I mean if you look at his is his iron play right last three rounds last three events 8.2 Strokes gained approach yeah uh at Arnold Palmer 4.6 Strokes gain

Approach uh at the cognizant 6.8 Strokes gained approach um at the Genesis and then the other two waste management was 3.7 no not great right for him at Double Beach 3.7 the guy’s iron game is solid that’s what you’re looking for he came top five last year um he’s been playing

Good golf it’s a pretty easy uh cash play for me so my four cash game cornerstones for this week they are going to be will alator at 9900 if I’m right right Will’s 99 99 wiie at 99 Hadi at 98 Cory Connor at 83 and um hogy at 78 still leaves like

14 plus uh you know 144 or something like that left to fill out the rest of your lineup and of course it goes all the way down to $5,000 now um and then of course you guys know who my fifth guy is because I do like Eric Cole uh this

Week the bounce back this seems like a great course for him um so I do like Eric Cole a lot you know top 10 in my model I don’t understand why Harrison was play so bad here like I don’t understand like I want to play him yeah

I know course history is like not that big of a deal here when you miss like 87 Cuts in a row at the same course you start to worry uh so I’m probably not going to play him even though I want to uh just because of how horrible he is at

This event Adam hadin Adam hadin another guy in his upper 7K range uh that I’m gonna play he’s had some really strong finishes here recently well above average in a lot of the stats I’m looking for who you looking at in this upper 7K yeah I so I I think there’s a

Lot of options so again I caught a very early number on on Brian Haron so that doesn’t reflect this price tag it’s like 100 501 yesterday but I think he’ll be very popular um and he makes a lot of sense plays this course well plays concourses well um I think he’s probably

The best overall option in the range I you know I can’t argue with Tom hogi it’s just the price is a little bit crazy I would say like in this range I’m going to be targeting recent iron play more than anything so um if you look at

That the top well one is DOI obviously uh number two is Keith Mitchell who I’m also very very high on and you probably will never guess this in the 7K range over the last you know 12 15 rounds who’s the third best in short gain

Approach in the whole 7K range I have no idea Cameron Davis I do like him a lot so Cameron Davis um he basically LED an approach well I think he did lead an approach at Pebble obviously was a shortened event um he led an approach on

Sunday uh at Bay Hill and he had another really good week maybe it was the MX or something where he spike in approach um really really like him this week he’s also done a lot of his damage on on shorter golf courses uh he finished six

Here last year now that was on back of a really hot putter but if he did it once why can’t you do it again right um and I think he’s going to be fairly low owned so for me it’s uh Herman Mitchell and Cam Davis are probably going to be the

Three guys that I play with most sounds good uh in the bottom range here yeah I like camer Davis a lot um I’m definitely going to play him he’s my favorite play uh in the bottom range I like Jake Napp I’m just going to keep

Playing him like I said what what he did on Sunday uh really stuck out to me like everyone’s gonna see his plus 12 score right and they’re not going to pay attention to what he did on Sunday to go in and play your worst round as a pro as

A PGA tour pro on Saturday embarrass yourself on whole six right we shoot a 12 on that hole and then they come back Sunday and shoot one of the best scores of the day right you’re top top 20% of the day and it shows a lot to me

Personally right and so I like him I think he’s going to be a stud I’m gonna play him at $ 7200 we’ll see if he really pans out to where you know I would like him to be because I think the guy has star potential um but I you know

At 7200 bucks I’m gonna take that risk after seeing what he does for the last three or four weeks just how silky smooth uh his swing is and everything like that I’m gonna have to play him down here in the 7K range my only concern with n uh which you saw a little

Bit last week but you also saw on Sunday in Mexico when he won it his Miss off the te was that snap hook to the left and I feel like the snapbook to the left is a big problem here so yeah all the waterers stay away from that yeah yeah

Yeah yeah that true hopefully clubs down because a lot of that was with a driver sure he’s not g to have many drivers here yeah so hopefully he clubs down and Miss isn’t as extreme um let’s go down to the 6K range like you said there’s a

Lot of dudes here that I like Nick Taylor you know again really strong finish last last week guy I think he’s played he’s had some top finishes here at this event uh I got him at 110 to one I know people were getting like 150 to

One uh or better uh I got him 110 to one uh for Nick Taylor I mean Matthew pavon I do you not play this guy no matter what the [ __ ] the course is if he’s going to be $6,700 I mean the up side is obviously

Sky y this guy right I mean like the guy has done well on easy courses the guy has done well on hard courses like it’s time to really pay attention to this Frenchman because the guy’s playing really good golf and at $6,700 [ __ ] yeah yeah I’m I’m GNA go go ahead and play

Leon another guy e gr 6,500 bucks a week after his win he goes out there and shows off again with another top 25 in a in you know in a much much stronger field when it comes down to like his stats and stuff really crushes the par

Three barely three putts you know really good from 150 to 175 above average uh around the green this guy seems like he’s going to be another guy in that mold who could be you know take that next step uh to becoming a star the guy’s got mad game mad game and it’s

$6,500 yeah I’m gonna go ahead take that risk um you know Novak’s gonna be the popular guy three state top 10 down there it’s hard to ignore that at 6400 putham coming off you know a really solid finish last week at 6,300 who do you like in this range so um my favorite

Uh was Aaron Ry I think when you look at corfit he’s very very consistent obviously the type of player you want to he he hits a ton of Fairways really good wedge player uh not going to make a lot of mistakes so if the scoring gets tough

And he gets in the right side of the wave uh which for now he is he’s got a very early Thursday time um I think 6,400 for him is uh is very good he’s also the same price as Andrew Novak who I assume is going to be very popular off

Of those what it three top 10 in a row now yeah um and again maybe popular off of Austin ecro as well who just won um I’m going more for that long-term form so Aaron Ry makes a lot of sense uh straa at 6,500 I think again because

He’s a big dude people think about him as as a bomber but really he’s not he’s a really good iron player um hits a lot of Fairways can putt really well um it’s going to like Bermuda a lot lot better than he liked the PO even though we’re

Overseed here I think he’ll be perfectly fine um I do like Nick Taylor you mentioned I do like Doug gam but I I I feel like the ownership is going to get a little bit out of I can’t play cwe Doug anymore man every time I R him he

[ __ ] sucks makes a lot of sense here but I he does he was one of my cash game cornerstones last year yeah I think back I yeah I think for me it’s gonna be ownership so um Ryan number one sta number two and then a guy that I [ __ ]

Hate but at this price at this golf course off of a really good finish Billy Oro a 6600 um his ball striking and putting was great at Honda I think he finished ninth or eighth uh he hasn’t played this Sports well but obviously plays it a lot

He lives here in Pont ofra I could see him again in the top 10 or near and he’s gonna be what four or five% on this week yeah 5K Rangers even some guys I mean the first guy that sticks out the mine is Ryder what does he what Sam Ryder I

Always love Sam Ryder 56 I think like a 50 something I got him at like 400 to one yeah with eight places I want to I want that for sure yeah I went Ahad and took that b he one of the best iron players in the world yep right I mean in

At least in the last 50 rounds the guy has solid iron play of course that’s something look like Justin lower yeah um had a pretty good finish U you know just a few weeks ago again his iron play is his strength couple of guys in the 5K

Range that I do not mind play at all there’s a lot down here so yeah if you’re strictly looking at at sort of form iron play I think Justin lower makes a lot of sense um Carson young I assume is going to be popular we’ve been

Playing him and betting him a lot this year he’s way down at 5,500 um I played web Simpson last weekend in Showdown uh the iron play wasn’t great I think it’ll be better at this golf course one thing that stood out to me he gained off the te in all four rounds at

Beill a web he’s at 5900 obviously W here um if you look at comc cores now again web was a much better player but he’s won Heritage he’s won Windam um he’s won somewhere else too uh Travelers I think he was close at he’s one here

Obviously but he um yeah gained all four rounds off the te at Bay Hill which tell me he was hitting a lot of Fairways because you know he’s not hitting the ball long so Webb makes a lot of sense but I say Webb Parson young um and then I mean Steve

Stricker has been dominating the champions tour for five years he’s got a 5200 he can make a cut here uh upside not so much but Elite witch player hits Fairways and has been playing a lot of golf and a lot of good golf recently so uh if you’re you know very very

Desperate for a 5200 punt I do not mind Steve sh sounds good all right so I got some bets for this week and I have already made them um so I’m going um aand 24 to1 zot tus 27 to1 MH um Hideki 32 to one um Nick and then the rest of these

Are all with eight places I can think I got five bombs Nick Taylor 110 to1 eight places Austin ekro 150 to1 eight places novat 150 to1 eight places Justin Su 250 to1 eight places that H that putter can get hot and Sam Ryder 400 to one with eight places

Yeah those are some fun ones we’ve seen long shots uh pretty much contend every year there were a bunch up here last year as well so you can certainly see it um mine was a little more balanced so uh Justin Thomas 25 Victor hin 28 I got the

Matama 45 yesterday Tony Fen now at 60 Benny an at 100 and then that Brian Haron 150 I would honestly I would bet him down you know if if there were still 80s or yeah see 80 out there is okay anything under that I I would probably say

Away well one and done for me it’s probably gonna be Chesler interesting yeah big big price pool uh if you have it new Sheffer I I you know I can’t think of a better time other than he’s going to be popular and it’s hard to go back to back here um I

Expect him and JT probably to be the two most popular um so if you are looking for something more contrarian I would take a look at at at probably hlin um maybe coling morawa but uh yeah if you have Scotty this is a very good spot to

Use all right Ryan I think that’s GNA be it tell them where tell everyone where they can find you brother yep on Twitter R Bar 427 uh here with you guys as much as I can be DMS are always open and uh let’s have a good

Weekend oh yeah one thing I did forget the winner of the YouTube comment from last week it’s going to be uh at Mr rline 16 so we’re going to go ahead and send you an invite to go against Tambo myself and Ryan in a format also dup uh

From last week he wasn’t able to get in so we’re gonna make put him in this week’s so it’ll be a fiveman this week to get into the Tournament of Champions at the end of the year still haven’t worked out what we’re doing with the list newon League yet hopefully

Something happens here soon with Underdog fantasy make sure you go to Underdog fantasy see use promo code Mayo get a 100% match uh the deposit match up to $100 you could find me on on X at Kendo VT you can find my article every week on gups corner.com use promo code

Kenny save yourself 30% on the membership to gups corner all right so it’s going to be a great field hopefully the weather stays good it should be a fun watch let’s win some [ __ ] money DJ Nation getting dirty money Jordan Bell thir stacking penny stocks while I’m

Flipping these birds sing on S Rock trip them up with the words and I think my Third