Sia Nejad joined the hosts of ‘A Numbers Game, to preview this week’s action on the golf course, as the Arnold Palmer Invitational kicks off in Florida, featuring some of the PGA’s top players in Scottie Scheffler, Rory MclIroy and more!
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Victor havland will zator hii Matsuyama who can get redot and is coming off a win and Keegan Bradley who has very good course history here those four all go out in the morning I like all four to potentially be maybe tied at the top all four for first round leader the numbers
Told the story they always do one of those idiots who believe in analytics this is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gone be in all right Arnold Palmer Invitational you got a bunch of plays Where Do We Begin sir I guess we should begin with the outright Market I
Mean listen this is a this is a condensed field we’ve got only 70 players and there’s probably only 20ish 25 that can win this tournament because we know at the API at Bay Hill it’s a really really tough test I’m zeroing in on Victor hland I’m zeroing in on ludvig
Oar and I’m zeroing in on will zator who for some reason really isn’t getting respect in the market but he’s certainly getting respect from me I’ll start with Victor hin a very underwhelming 2024 so far but if we look at what he did his last time out I believe that was the
Genesis Invitational the ball striking seemed to be back it was just the short game that really hadn’t caught up quite yet but he’s been very good at this tournament last two two top 10 finishes including a second place finish and when it comes to course fit he’s I mean
Listen total driving ball striking all those things that we want around the green play has actually improved for him he can find a hot Putter and we know he has good course history here so I mean I I think when it comes to Superstars whether it’s Rory or Victor hland or
Scotty Sheffer or we can name a couple Patrick Klay I think they can turn it at any given moment I don’t think I need to see more from Victor havin before I bet him at 16 to1 here so really like that and by the way he rates out really well
On difficult courses in difficult Fields uh so does Will zuris by the way so I like him in that 30 to1 range and then finally I’ll just close with ludvig uh ludvig is one of those guys that we certainly haven’t seen the Apex of his game yet but when he marries the ball
Striking with the putting he can really beat anybody I think he’s a great course fit cuz total driving driving accuracy off the te distance all that stuff it’s really going to come into play here it’s why I like will zator it’s why I like Victor havland and again it’s why I like
Lude B Oar you took Zur top 22 I did yeah will zator again I don’t think this should be a plus number we’ve got you know a 70% field like I said I really think in the top 20 Market yeah some people are going to sneak in there
But will zator over his last two tournaments if you just look at the ball striking that back injury that I know me and Kelly were probably really worried about two or three weeks ago it seems like I can’t the health of of will zator it seems like it’s a very distant thing
Of the past the way he’s been striking the ball the short game is there for him he’s been good on this course and again the ball striking is great for will zorus lately so a top 20 on this particular difficult test I think it’s a great number at plus 110 I would have
Thought this was more like minus 110 you want to give me plus money I’m all over it yeah I should probably say top 20 also or top 20 as well instead of me saying top 22 people were like I don’t see a top 22 Mark that’s pretty good see
I I’m with you I found a lot of I felt like I found a lot of value in the top 20 Market this week considering there’s only 69 guys going in this tournament is I I yeah I definitely would would would recommend people checking those markets
Out if they’re betting this by the way we should say Scotty Sheffer is the short shot to win there no surprise here at plus 650 Rory mroy the only other person in single digit at plus 850 you have a couple matchups as well seea yeah
Let’s go to Ben on over Tom Kim speaking of underwhelming I kind of referenced that with Victor hoflin but again I think he can turn it around Tom Kim has been okay I mean if you actually look at The Strokes gain metrics he’s he’s been
Okay but Ben On’s also been like I would say more than okay especially in the ball striking department off the te and on approach Ben On’s been very good and that’s going to serve him well specifically on this course uh Tom Kim by the way both of their short games a
Little checkered but Tom Kim’s ball striking it just really hasn’t been there consistently and I think benon has a huge Edge over Tom Kim so I’m getting minus 115 in a tournament matchup over Tom Kim I’ll take that and then speaking of course fit Cameron young minus 120
Over Jason day Jason day has some good recent history some some good experience here too but Cameron Young from a course fit standpoint is really really good and it looks like the game is really picking up we kind of expect the ball striking the off the te game to be there but we
Don’t necessarily expect the putter to be there but the Putter’s starting to come around so the only way he loses this matchup in my opinion is if the around the green play really catches up to him because sometimes that can be his downfall but on this course you know
While around the green is going to be important I don’t think it’s going to be super difficult necessarily so again I’m going to go with Cameron Young’s ball striking prowess and I’ll give you a round one two ball matchup again 18 holes round one for tomorrow morning I
Think it starts at like 7:30 kind of a lot of juice on this one step joerger minus 140 over CT pan these two guys are in two universes I think the Market’s just a touchdown on stepen jger because he missed the cut last week but he’s a
Good course fit he’s a good player generally makes the cut so I really like him in round one over CTP all right seea 30 seconds you’re a man who doesn’t want to be known as a first round leader guy yet you’ve hit a bajillion of them who
Are your first round leader bets here I have but none this season yet I’ll do it in 20 seconds Gil Victor havland will zator hii Matsuyama who can get red hot and is coming off a win and Keegan Bradley who has very good course history here those four all go out in the
Morning I like all four to potentially be maybe tied at the top all four for first round leader hurus hii King and Bradley CA NAD by the way s i a n e j a d bringing it back to the whole spelly thing for the Monumental Sports Network
Thank you see you great seeing you man
