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PGA DFS Golf Picks & Bets | MEXICO OPEN | 2/20 – PGA DFS & BETS



Our PGA DFS experts ANALYZE the MEXICO OPEN taking place this weekend. Find out who they are recommending for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups!

#PGA #DRAFTKINGS #FANDUEL #DFS #MEXICOOPEN

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What is going on everyone AP over here rer Sports bringing to you once again we have the uh PGA DFS and bet show I’m here with my guy Snyder uh coming off a fun week last week of the Genesis I mean Snider like I I I uh I missed on the

Main slate I locked Scotty and Scotty’s putter just continues to to be a point of frustration um I think he the putter was a little bit better and then it’s like it’s always like with with these golfers when when one thing that they’ve been struggling with when that comes

Back it’s like then now they’re struggling with something else but um I don’t want to hit on that too much Scotty’s gonna turn it around uh world number one obviously uh but how was your week at the Genesis yeah it was a good week overall

Was super heavy on zot Torres I had him to win at 60 to1 too so that would have been really nice if we could have got there but I think three of my four top 20s came in the soldiers just absolutely printed last week uh all three soldiers

Finished inside the top 10 so that was great to see so I just had a little too much uh JT and Scotty to really like smash hard in DFS but it it was a it was a good productive week all in all though I was I had ended up being in line

Exactly in line with the field on JT and everyone knows I’m a JT guy I just man anytime he plays with his his guy tiger it’s like he sucks I don’t have any stats to back that up it’s just the eye test type of thing it’s like he never

Gets it done when uh when he’s with with h with tiger and he was chalk absolutely busted uh JT just you know the JT uh crew absolutely including myself absolutely in shambles but no I went on I went all in basically on on Scotty and

It was a a f it was an okay week for me actually it was round four Showdown that uh really you know salvaged kind of my week I think we hit the nail in the head with that round four Showdown show we had hii we talked about the Xander and

Can’t lay Fades and everything just kind of you know fit together flawlessly if you played that core less your boy Bo Hustler you basically had three golf that were the stones in round four uh showing and and and big hos I mean man he struggled on on round four but

Overall uh yeah in straa my my guy so my my kind of thesis behind sep straa was I wanted golfers last week that were going to hit and pound Fairways that were big off the te but would hit these Fairways and usually my guy SE straa is reliable

In that category usually he’s a beast off the te uh just you know Stripes it hits Fairways farway to T to green and uh he he was not having it at all so he’ll bounce back the Florida swing will get back on staka we’ve had a lot of

Success with him uh in the Florida swing but we are at the Mexico open it’s a unique event usually we do a screen share we’re gonna do a screen share but usually we’re screen sharing saber Sim The Sims are not ready yet I know I just talked to our sabersim partners and I

Believe they’re running them this afternoon or later this afternoon so I’m just going to we’ll be uh screen sharing a few other other things just some some free stuff from data golf as a as a visual as a reference point um for us to talk through but Snyder give us as I

Bring that up and as we highlight a few things talk to us about the golf course this week yeah we head to Mexico here for the last event before the before the Florida swing begins uh by danta valarta is a part 71 that measures 7,456 yards features 13 holes with water

In play wide Fairways here measure at around 41 yards on average allowing golfers to just bomb away here uh which is going to be needed at this longer track uh has shorter rough here too it’s not going to be too penol here only two inches long and then the setup here is a

Little different we’re going to have five par 3es here four par fives and then nine par fours two the par fives are going to measure over 600 yards then there’s four par fours that are going to play over 500 yards as well so bombers and long iron plays a must here with

This large amount of approach shots coming from 175 to 200 plus uh as it heavily outweighs the tour average there so that’s G to be something to keep an eye on and some other key stats be looking at this week Strokes gain approach uh off the te distance with an

Emphasis on diff distance birdies are better gain OPP opportunities gained and then putting with an emphasis on p po greens yeah very good so this is one of the weakest fields that we’re going to see all all year long um the vents this event has been in place now for two

Years Tony feno won last year it was John uh yeah John ROM the year be no John ROM won last year or Tony no Tony feno and John ROM the year before is that right Snyder yeah yeah and the optim so the big I’ll explain what I

Have up in front of us here in a second but the big decision point is like what do you do with Tony feno we had this uh question last year is what do you do with John ROM what do you do with Tony feno the odds to make cut top 20 top

Five and overall win are absolutely insane I mean we’re not going to see odds that look like this for you know one golfer at an event any other time this year so the question always in my mind becomes do you just lock them and move

On and uh we’re going to break that down we’re going to answer that question for all of you going over last year and looking at the player that won the F the flagship event 200k up top it was a John ROM fade build it was Tony feno gillo uh

Brandon woo Stephen Jagger OE and Austin smotherin who ended up being the key guy at 6,900 and 1.5% ownership he uh T5 so that’s going to be I think for for us you know Snider is like multi entry players that truly is like the question because when I look

At this and what I’m looking at right now is just data golf a free re resource free tool anyone can go out there and pull this up look at it uh right now it’s they got Tony fee now 85% to make the cut you know

56% roughly top 20 almost 8% odds to win absolutely insane and so I I wanted to highlight that because you know after F now drops pretty pretty quick and so it’s going to be the interesting discussion point that we talk about this week I’m going to

Share a different T tab from data Golf and uh and again I I I like this tab just because we always go tier by tier on the show they have a broken up tier by tier we don’t have our you know the Sims and stuff ready yet so we’re going

To share this um let me switch that all right let’s hop in so we have Tony Fe now 12K um and then you know Thomas uh dietre down at at 101 we’re going to talk about this 10K and up range the interesting thing this week is we have

Golfers now that are 5K that are so they lowered the uh the the the floor price of these golfers and so if you want to really get uh risky out there you know you could fully punt with some absolute dust balls down in the 5K range to be

Able to maybe fit uh multiple golfers in because the question here becomes if you lock in feno do you have to fade all of the other golfers in in this range so let’s just say you you lock feno or let’s just say you plug in Tony feno and

Then you you plug in a guy like Thomas dri you’re left with 6.9k left per position or per golfer it it it forces you to completely neg neglect like the the upper 9k range if you go that route so I do think it’s an interesting discussion Point Snyder let’s kick it

Over to you what are you doing with this 10K and up range yeah looking at this top tier range we got fena at 12K uh the odds the odds are good for him he’s like right around seven to1 I think to win this event but you look at his ownership

It’s going to be I don’t see any way that we see I don’t see any way possible that feno is under 35% owned here so I think he’s gonna be closer to like 40% I think when everything is all said and done people are going to see that

History and just Jam him in there but when you look at the at his uh recent form in the metrics what’s going on with his game uh and I I do think we’re going to have perfect weather here it looks like at least right now it looks like

We’re going to have low winds here I mean perfect scoring conditions here with temperatures in the 80s and I’m seeing winds under 10 miles an hour every day this week so uh I think the highest wind speed is going to be right now Saturday afternoon at 8 miles an

Hour otherwise it’s going to be in that 3 to seven miles hour range so I think we’re going to see a winning score in that low to mid 20s here so and you look at Fen now’s putter minus 3.5 minus 3.7 minus three minus 2.2 minus oneus 1.8

Minus 2.8 I don’t think he’s gonna be able if he’s not putting that good I don’t see a way where he can uh get to like minus 25 under and win this uh can he top 10 absolutely let me show you something real quick Snider so this is just

Another thing that I love to look at um you know free resource so anyone can go out there and look at this with data golf um I looked at the same stuff so at this track I prioritize a couple things one bombers uh we have wide Fairways one

Some of the widest that they’re going to see these guys can grip it rip it and then I want to see solid approach play and and I stop you just because I had the same battle inside my own head with Tony Fe now and and so I I dove in I

Looked at it got into the weeds and really started looking at it the putter has been the biggest issue here but on these uh past palum greens right um bad putter it’s like these greens on tour when you look at it and when you look at

Our guy Andy LA’s article you know he highlights the fact that these greens are easy they’re easy to put on and when you go down here and you look at Tony feno’s struggles with his Potters the last time he gained significant stroke spotting and you know we’ll call one one

Stroke pretty pretty significant relative to the field he won and where was that at it was here the Mexico uh all rounds right there in in in the uh in the 60s and so I man I’m willing to overlook so basically what I was what I’m saying Snider is I’m willing to

Overlook his shortterm or I guess longer term putting woes here for the fact that he’s going to absolutely bombit here this course sets up so good for him I think the approach play looks really good um looks very similar to the setup that we saw last year so I’m willing to

Overlook a little bit of the putting woes just because I think Talent the cream is going to rise to the top here and that is definitely Tony F now but but keep but keep going um unless you have some additional thoughts kind of on that as well and on these green surfaces

No that’s fine uh if he wins I probably am not going to do well this week though so I think I’m going to get off him fade feno Snider yeah I I think hogard is just as good as feno when you look at them one V one I mean hoggard’s going to

Be 25 30% owned as well I think those are the two spots that everybody’s going to and fenal right now in the betting markets feno’s only a minus 150 uh Edge against him and you salary adjusted I think that’s pretty much uh even money I

Think when you take salary in the cap in the in that with that so we’re getting a $1,300 savings uh from hogard F now and he’s only minus one plus 125 I think if you figure in that salary plus the odds I think it’s closer to even money and

I’m just GNA ride with hogart at half the ownership or maybe half the ownership or somewhere around there maybe a third the ownership so I’m just gonna roll there I mean we’ve seen hogard uh he won six weeks ago he’s had a couple of top two finishes on the on

The world tour as well uh the DP World Tour in feno just really hasn’t shown that upside since a year ago I mean could he get on on this track yeah and just light it up like he has the last two years definitely possible uh I think

I’m gonna go with hogart he played here last year too didn’t do as good but he’s definitely transited into a much better golfer over the last year so I’m gonna ride with hogard I’m gonna fade gorillo at 111 I can’t pay that type of price tag

For him I don’t think he’s any better in these 9k guys to be honest with you so off gorillo probably off pH I mean Fen now is a cash play if you’re playing cash games just put in fenal for sure I’m off him and then I think I would

Rather play Olen over uh drie if that was a 1V one there it looks like they’re going to be relatively uh close to the same motor ship within five% maybe both in that 10 to 15% range olon is just coming off of a win uh overseas he’s

Been crushing the DP World Tour there as well he’s got five top 10 in his last seven starts over on the DP so Olson’s rolling in with some good mojo so I like olon and hogart are my top two options in this 10K range yeah very good I man I’m really

Torn I’m leaning towards lot so a few things go on in my head I’m leaning towards locking Fe now you you make a good point and I do think that you could potentially make uh vow Thomas dri build type of or type of build work I do think

It is tough though I you got to have a lot of confidence in your punt play and there are few that have kind of caught my eye but it does feel maybe a little too thin so something I’m going to debate the other route is you know

Getting him in at like 70% range I think I’d be fine with that and then maybe like Gill uh Guillo I’m I’m fine with that fade 111 uh price in relation to everyone else in this range I honestly I would just rather have Thomas cetri uh I

Prioritize guys that can you know uh hit the ball far here and you can see he’s gaining you know uh 10 yards you know 12 yards 19 yards on on the field so dri definitely a guy that can hit it far something I I really like I do worry a

Little bit about the uh short-term apprach game from him uh as well but again I I have a t like I think Fen now I mean that’s a bold fade Snider um I fully get it especially in large field tournaments but it is an extremely bold

Fate I don’t think I can go there um so yeah for for me up top in this top tier range the main consideration is do I lock V now and move on or do I get him in that 70% range something that I’m going to definitely toy around with I

Want to see what the Sims look like too once once saber Sim has the contest uh uh Sims ready to go hogard I’m with you I have a ton of interest in him um and then it’s just Thomas erri I I do think gilo definitely a guy I can fade let’s

Keep it going let’s get into this 9k range Snider Mark hubard all the way up to Keith Mitchell I think there are a few really nice plays in this range uh what are you doing with the 9k range yeah definitely the one name that I’m hearing talk talked about a lot around

The industry early on is uh hey Taylor pendrith everybody’s kind of looking at him he did play here last year he finished 30th he’s got a few uh quite a few top 15s his last seven events five top 15s in his last seven events so he’s definitely a guy that’s gonna warrant

Know 20 to 25% ownership he’s a fine option there you could even start teams here in this 9k range I think you could play a team with like Jagger pendrith and like our guy Rio’s down there Rio’s at 9200 he was a soldier a few weeks ago

He finished 11 three weeks ago I think he’s right back in the in the mix here uh he did he was the last alternate like last minute last alternate in his last event where he did miss the cut but he was like a super late edition so maybe

That had a little bit to do with it he’s been playing great uh besides that I mean he was crushing it on the other tours so I think Rio is right there Mark hubard is Al always a guy I like to play he’s got pretty good course history here

51st and his first trip top 20 last year 9k is a good price tag for him in this range was top five a couple weeks ago as well so I think Mark hubard is a guy I’ll be looking at um and then Ryan Fox

Is a guy he can bomb off the te he’s averaging over 300 yards off the T he’s got some upside uh and then uh EVR Eric van run your lineups he missed a cut in his last a trip out but played here last year was 33rd don’t know if I’ll go

There I think I’d rather play like a Patrick Rogers or Taylor pendrith and him uh pendrith is good off the tea distance-wise and then uh Jagger too I think Jagger’s fine I mean a lot of these guys if you want to mix in these guys I mean you can

Make a case for all these guys I think they’re all within you know Baseline point point two strokes of each other so they’re really close Keith Mitchell can definitely get hod he was top 20 last week jger was in the top five two weeks ago got two top 20s here as well and

Then Patrick Rogers has two top 10 here hasn’t played that good in his last couple events but he’s definitely got the upside in the dis length off the te as well yeah very good the uh Taylor pendrith so I brought his stat profile up and man really impressive you hit the

Nail on the head there I mean T9 uh you know T10 out out in Hawaii this is a guy that um I mean I also like looking at this I can see quickly this dude was absolutely Nails man like all rounds there in the 60s that’s obviously

Something that we really like to see a guy that can score especially when you head out to an event like this where scoring is going to be an absolute premium to to have especially in DFS formats you know we saw it again here at the farmers too a couple rounds in the

70s but you know he it’s a really nice scoring day there in round two and uh yeah distance checks the Box um you know approach game has been fine as well I like that call on Taylor pendri the guy that I wanted to highlight Stephen

Jagger um I have a ton of interest in him too so you know he showed some upside there at the farmers and he’s been a cut making machine I’m not worried about him you know as far as like cut making goes this definitely feels like a spot where I feel pretty

Good about Stephen Jagger making the cut here he also checks the box as far as distance go he’s consistently uh gaining gaining distance on the field I’m not as worried about accuracy here because these Fairways are easy to hit so you get a guy who can bomb it or or drive it

You know who has solid uh distance but the accuracy is sometimes off I’m going to lessen that a little bit here since the fairways are so wide and uh he shown nice recent form so Stephen Jagger definitely someone I have interest with you know Snider could you make the case

I mean if if you want to be the ultimate contrarian so this is the other thing I do I compare these ranges and in my opinion I don’t see a lot of separation between the 9k range in like the AK range um we’re going to talk about this

Range I think there’s some really nice plays down here but as far as like separation between the 10K and up range and the 9k range I mean is there any world where you could make the case where you just fade all 10K and up and live in this balance build route which

The balance build route I mean it would have been popular last week popular on those um um these events where pricing is a little bit softer I mean is there any world where you could potentially do that or is that just a bad move this week I I think you could definitely do

That I think there’s plenty of win equity in this uh range below the 10K range I mean as we’ve seen already on tour I mean every event but last week last week I thought Luke Liss was going to win that and it was going to be

Another 100 to one I mean the the PGA Tour is a little more watered down uh as some of the big names have left so a lot of these guys I mean they there’s win Equity here in the K range I think uh if fena doesn’t win um there’s a lot of

Good win equity and in the in the advantage from going even build is if you find the winner in that range you you’re so much more likely to have that much more top five top 10 top 20 Equity with the rest of your team going even uh

Versus like a phen out and having to kind of dip down into the the bottom range there it could get a little thin with uh trying to find some of those little cheaper guys making the cut where I mean I think all these guys in the AK

Range should make the cut and should be somewhere near the top of the leaderboard uh coming down this Sunday yeah let me go back to this uh tab real quick I me we talked about it so Stephen Jagger he’s up there you know High make cut percentage and this is you know

Predictive uh analysis Thomas dri too and then uh who was it that you were you were liking in that range you Ryan Fox so he’s pretty high up there uh Jer ranks the highest in my model he ranks fourth overall in my model then hub’s in the top 10 as well

Then ninth it is just insane to see this type of you know eight% almost you know five and a half percent from from two guys so like I mean take those two guys and it’s and it was even higher last with Rah and Tony feno and it would have

Been even even higher but um you know obviously will Al torus that would have been the guy that I wanted to play over Tony Fina but obviously he withdrew um as did Will Gordon um so yeah really really interesting discussion let me go back over this

Tab so yeah just to sum up the 9k range for me I’m I feel like I’m eating some chock here but you know Stephen Jagger Patrick uh Patrick Rogers I I think you could make the case you know starting in this this this range too adding Keith Mitchell in there

99.9k um we do have the Florida swing coming up and uh um what is it uh Keith Mitchell absolute bomber on uh Bermuda right I believe yeah so kind kind of waiting waiting to play Mitchell until the Florida swing but uh I like the Taylor pendri call as well so I think uh

Jagger and pendrith gonna be the two that I’m leaning on in this 9k range let’s go down to the 8K range another range I think is really really interesting a lot of really strong plays your boy Jake knp I’m gonna highlight him when you talk about him I’ll bring

His player card up and Cameron Champ a very very good discussion Point as well what are you doing with the AK range yeah there’s a few guys that jump out at me at first I think Davis Thompson’s gonna start to maybe get steamed up a

Little bit as the week goes I think he’s gonna right now he’s projected to only be uh right around maybe 12 to 15% owned right now uh he’s a guy I’m definitely looking at he ranks high in my model he’s really good birdie a better guy as

Well his distance off the tea is fine it’s right around 298 I think uh so he’s fine he’s a good long iron player as well which is something I’m really looking at this week I I weighted uh 175 to 200 and then 200 to 225 pretty highly

And then driving distance as well with it with a birdie or better as well and then I just used uh the other metric I have here in my model is uh just just flat out Strokes gain total so some of the guys in this range isn’t going to

Have like from the different tours and stuff uh from the world tour and stuff aren’t going to have those type of metrics I’m really looking at so I added just a just a full face Strokes gain total in there as well so Davis Thompson ranks high for me um Alejandro toast I

Guess he’s 8K we’ll get to him in a little bit my guy Jake Napp he just nukes it off the tea as well really good um he can make some birdies too so he’s a guy I’ll be looking look at look at this player card here I

Mean this dude you’ve been you’ve been spot on on him but I mean obviously the farmers was you know incredible he absolutely can grip it and rip it I mean going back to the corn Ferry tour averaging what 40 yards on the field distance wise I mean and look look at

This run that he had I mean I I’m gonna be I’m gonna have a ton of Jake NAB with you uh at this event I mean very impressive player card from him yeah he had a really good performance there a couple weeks ago 28th in his last trip

Out I think he’s a very strong option and I don’t see his ownership really getting too crazy either it’s right there n 12 to 15% where I have Davis Thompson right now so I like both of those guys I think I’m gonna be off cam

Champ at this price tag though I know he can nuke it off the te but he’s just horrible form coming in does have good course history so I think that’s going to uh bump up his ownership a little bit so I’m gon to be off champ I think right

Now I’m going be off a champ this week uh I’d probably rather play Ry over him he’s just a little bit cheaper right there for 100 cheaper uh so he’s a guy I’ll be looking at he’s got decent course history here he’s played here twice got 24th once and then missed the

Cut on so he’s a guy I’ll be looking at Justin sa is a guy with good upside and then Michael Kim here was 30th here last year he’s got a couple couple of spikes uh on tour here and he’s 88,200 in this field is just a great price tag there

Uh and then my guy MAV is here too uh MAV McNeil 8100 I think MAV might be a guy that you could argue I think M Mt McNelly should probably be in that 9k range in this type of field we’re getting him at 8100 he’s kind of he was

Working his way back yeah boy back he was top 10 his last he was top 10 in his last start he’s been kind of working the Kings out the last few weeks and then kind of popped uh couple in his last event uh got six so he played here once

Uh last year made the cut just didn’t really do much but uh I think he’s finally kind of healthy you know kind of like we saw from zelot tus last week that Z was was what was his injury again and do you do you remember when it

Happened uh I’m not 100% sure I I have to Google that I would too I don’t I don’t follow Mavis as close I figured you might know just he’s your boy so um but I know that I I know that the struggles there I I mean you know were were heavily tied to

Uh you know the the injury that he was overcoming so yeah I think Doug gim will get a ton of ownership too with his recent form I think I’m might I think I may be off of Doug gim at that price tag if he’s gonna see an elevated ownership I’d play some

Of the guys around him so let me make the case for cam Champ here because this is this is something that we do it seems like once or twice a year uh or at least I do at least I do Cameron Champ just he has the the like what three courses each

Each uh year where I consider him at it’s like it’s always like the Detroit open or like the uh the rocket the rocket mortgage classic any of these tracks where you can just bomb it away and it it it fits Cam Cameron Champ and if we look at his stat profile here

Which I have up um I’m G to argue why I’ll be I’ll be playing him this week rips it with the driver we all know that we all know Cameron Champ can absolutely rip it struggles with putting and uh you know the the approach play which was a

Little better at the Phoenix Open a little uh better but I am putting a premium on distance the tru’s gained off the te this week and at the Mexico and um again he he wasn’t crazy putting or anything like that but these greens I’m willing to overlook the fact that

Someone is a bad putter if they had if they check those other boxes that is can you grip it and rip it and can you can you bomb it and um and and he absolutely can and I thought he did great uh the thing about it too where you’re finding

If you can bomb it and find these Fairways which you can um it really is going to make things easier with your approach play too so I’m back on Cameron Champ uh at the Mexico open it’s like look at it like his form was terrible coming into this event too it just

Didn’t matter like it didn’t matter it’s just the perfect course fit for him and that’s look that’s where I’m playing I know he’s going to be a little bit over owned because people just see uh how he played here last year but I’m not basing

It just on that it’s more of this is like the perfect in my opinion one of the perfect courses um you know for him it’s why too I like I consider him at the Masters and he’s had success at the Masters too because wider Fairways he he

Can absolutely bomb it and uh you know that’s that’s what we’ve seen from him even though he’s like in shambles that you get you get like a a Target golf type of place any Pete die type of tracks you’re never considering a guy like Cameron Champ but I’m gonna be back

On him here and uh I mean every round there in the 60s too obviously that’s uh exactly what we want to see so uh I’ll be back on cam champ this week as far as others in this range Jake nap I’m 100% with you on him Charlie Hoffman I’m not

I’m not chasing this guy uh maybe he’ll maybe he’ll beat me again but I’m not gonna go chasing him man we’re paying a premium Now for Charlie Hoffman I can’t do it I’m torn on kind like I really want to pick and choose um golfers in this range because with my strategy

Let’s just say I lock in or I’m very overweight Tony F now um I’m going to have to gamble down in kind of the the value range and so I really want to be cautious and pick and choose and I think cam champ uh Jake knap two guys that I

Could also consider getting very overweight on because in those Tony fow builds they don’t take up a lot of salary like if you go fow than cam champ it’s actually a pretty nice build path when you look at it so uh I like this range a lot of ownership though is going

To be Jake knap and Cameron Champ let’s get down to the 7ks Snider uh we’re starting to get that into that punt range I still think they Some solid plays down here but what are you doing with the 7ks yeah I kind of mentioned this guy a

Little bit ago he’s popping in my model alihandro toasty uh he’s been uh quite the popular name though I’ve heard around the industry I think he’s gonna see a little bit of ownership uh not sure if it’ll get two out of hand right now it’s right around 10% which is

Definitely fine from uh for toasty I think he’s solid option he’s top 10 here last year he’s got a win eight eight events ago and then four events ago he was uh sixth place so uh I think Toy’s a guy we could look at this week uh hopefully he doesn’t get too much

Ownership our guy the Nebraska guy nasty NES right there he’s got a couple made Cuts here he was third a couple weeks ago as well but just mixed in that third place finish with some uh four Miss Cuts but he’s definitely got the upside that we’re looking for in this 7K range he’s

Definitely in play I haven’t been playing uh Johnny Vegas last last event he actually played well I was kind of worried about his injury as well but last week he looked much better so uh so maybe we can get to Vegas there in his last event he was

22s um KH Lee H her feelings a couple weeks ago not sure I’ll get there Carson Young’s got some uh raw upside he was 15th here he’s got a few made Cuts in a row so Carson young at 74 is definitely fine and then uh Bor was uh I think he

Was ranking pretty high in my model yeah uh Bor uh is seventh in my model for the last 50 rounds when I run it for the last 50 rounds uh he’s a guy just really good Strokes gain total he ranks first in my model last 50 rounds for strokes

Gain total and H first and birdie or better so uh Bor is a guy I’ll be looking at there 73 um there’s a lot of decent opt options in here we got our guy uh Andrew noox right there we play him in some of these type events especially some of

These weaker type fied events he was 15th here a couple years ago 49th last year coming off that big top 10 finish so uh I think Novak is definitely a guy we need to look at and then Chris gups another bomber off the te that we kind

Of Target from time to time more so in these weaker type field events uh he’s averaging like three over 310 off the te so a gup is definitely a bomber that I’ll be looking at as well Matt Wallace I don’t know if I can make that work

I’ve heard his name talked up a little bit I’m generally just not a Matt Wallace guy so I probably won’t get there yeah Andrew Novak a guy that I uh I’ve played from time to time I feel like with the lack of of options people might gravitate towards him just a

Little bit due to that uh D due to his finish in the last event that he was at anytime this guy gets a top 10 though he always it seems like he struggles the next time he tees it up so that would be my reservation with him I’m not going to

Sit here and say that I’m fading Andrew Novak uh but that would definitely be my my res reservation the guy I want to highlight you talked about Johnny Vegas I like him here it’s it’s again this is we we know we know Vegas can absolutely

Rip it the dude can you know as far as like driving distance goes he can hang with the big boys and I just think this is a course that really really fits his game I like what I saw with the approach game uh you know gained Strokes on

Approach last week as as well so t or no few weeks ago Phoenix Open uh t22 so I I think this is a great event for him um these guys that like you got to take advantage of the these events where the fields are really weak a guy like John

In the Vegas definitely needs to take advantage here he needs to score well and he needs to finish well um as far as like the season goes because these events aren’t going to get any easier the are not going to get any easier so

Uh when I can get a guy like Vegas and I can get a track that just s fits his game he’s just another one that I’m gonna be very overweight on uh especially at 7600 the other guy uh that I wanted to highlight that you mentioned too was

Yeah Chris gup just another guy that can absolutely bombit and this is why I like this the sheet too uh um looking at the this golfers profile absolutely rips it averaging you know well over what like 20 yards um driving distance relative to the field it’s the accuracy that kills

Him again not concerned about that this week I’m I’m willing to overlook guys that are a little bit wild off the tea because of how wide these Fairways are um so Chris gdup definitely one of these value plays that I have some interest in Scott Stallings is another one that I

Have some interest in as well 7,300 I think is a very fair price tag for him you know the nasty NES the chess and Hadley um you know as far as like uh ball striking and scoring goes I’m fine mixing them in I don’t think I’m going

To make either of them a priority and then I do like Alejandro toasty like you mentioned was awesome here last year let me just pull up his uh his uh what was it wasn’t he uh like inside the top 10 yeah here we go yeah yeah t T10 last

Year three rounds in the 60s finished with a 64 Alejandra toasty definitely someone that we can we can get on and play uh but again this is this is the range that I’m going to have to get uncomfortable with or or comfortable with playing because if I want to get

Overweight Tony Fe now you might take a different approach because you you’re you know talked about fading Tony Fe now I just don’t know if I can do that so I’m gonna have to get uncomfortable with plays down in this range and so Johnny vas you know Chris got up uh definitely

Some of the some of the ones that I like Scott stallins as well the goal for me is just to not get ere exposed to any one of these players this is going to be the kind of range where I have my guys that I’m going to get very

Overweight on that we talked about and now this is kind of the sprinkle range and you’re mixing and matching trying to find that right combination that’s where this this range is for me and especially the next range that we’re going to talk about in the sixks uh let’s let’s go

Down there 6K range SNY I’ll kick it right back to you uh T dunks our boy Tyler Duncan right at the top uh Dylan woo up there as well uh really big range a lot of options here what are you doing with the Six GS yeah there’s some

There’s some actually some decent guys here we we’ve got the 6K range and then there’s over I think there’s over 50 guys in that 5K range so uh the 6K range is pretty big I think there’s right around like 40 or so guys in this range

Uh a Dion Woos right there he was 15th here last year oh man look at wa Jay we got to do this with the uh what what our boy James was say every time I do like the dialon W the dial oh I’ll go broke

James I will go broke if do this keep going uh I like this valam macki guys he’s popped a little bit uh did win uh seven in seven events ago that he played and he has a win has a couple made Cuts in a row at

6,700 hits the ball off the team pretty well uh right at 3 300 yards off the t uh is a guy I’m going to look at some uh struggles a little around the green but he’s pretty much good across across uh across the board there stats wise and

The Jacob Bridgeman is another guy I’ve been kind of watching uh guy off of the Corn fairy tour he’s a guy I have some interest in at 6600 um I think I seen a match up with him Jacob Bridgeman yeah you always you always got these corn fairy guys dial

That’s where I have no idea who they are I mean yeah look like he’s shown upside I I can get on board yeah I like him quite a bit here that valam Mack is a minus 130 favorite over Aaron badley looking at the matchups there for him uh

I I like some uh Joe heith there as well another guy that most people probably won’t know I’m gonna have a little bit of him mixed in as well I think I seen a match up with him he’s matched up with uh Parker Cody or cudy how you say that

Last name uh uh Vincent Way’s got some upside I’ll look at him Ben Kohl’s this guy we played and on the F swing there in those weaker tyght field events I think Ben Kohl’s made the cut here in his only start here I think he’s a guy

I’ll be looking at uh on in this event he can make some birdies um Ben Kohl’s is Guy um just checking some other guys here my model that popped in the 6K range Matty Schmidt Jacob Bridgeman’s 13th overall in my model so that’s that’s makes me like him even more a

Little bit uh potential potential Soldier maybe potential Soldier for sure Mr Bridgeman really good with the long iron play he’s 10th in uh 10th and 175 to 200 uh that proximity bucket so that’s that’s strong Parker Cy Ben Kohl’s is up there like I said so yeah I

Think my top option are going to be uh Bridge Ben Kohl’s And we got a Patton kazy there too I mean he’s he shows some upside in some events like this then I did gloss over Joseph bramlet the dude can nuke it off the tea was top 10 here last year so I think Joseph bramlet Joseph bramlet is

Like a really solid he’s kind of like a boom bus play kind of like your Cameron Champ called there I think those two are kind of similar plays yeah I have I have bramlet so this is his player card up I have him as kind of one of those guys

Again that I’m going to sprinkle in he checks the boxes when it comes to driving distance it’s can he put the other area you know the other areas of his game kind of um can he put it all together uh again easy track this is the

Place to do it get the pound the ball get it out there deep into the Fairway and uh hopefully your irons come come to your short irons come to play and uh you know bramlet another guy that I’m fine sprinkl in I’m with you on Parker Cy I believe

6,500 I like what I’m seeing here really good with the driver and we’ve seen really strong approach play over the last couple weeks I believe he’s also uh let me pull this up I I swear at the AMX he like missed on the number yeah so I

Mean he he was right there he was good obviously at the farmers and then at the Sony Open too he was made the cut uh but again didn’t perform too well but he showed up a lot of upside there on the corn fairy t tour so this is in my

Opinion going to be a track that he should be able to uh that should fit him really well at least from a stats perspective when you look at what he does with the driver so uh Parker definitely going to be a guy that that I

Am on and um let me go I had a few others highlighted uh one of them was yeah Jorge C uh Campo I believe is how you say his name I so I believe this is he’s making his debut uh PJ tour uh debut

Here so um and he’s coming off a a fifth place finish there on the Euro tour so I have a little interest in in him he’s just one of those flyer type of plays momentum going in the right direction um and again I’m looking for punt plays I’m looking for Value to free

Up my Tony feno uh you know my my my Tony now builds cuz he’s 12K I’m going to need that value uh to make that work so I think though you know I played uh I pulled up uh my uh my allocation from last year and I played Garrick higo at a

Very high clip last year and he sucked he was cheeks man he was ass cheeks he was terrible and I played him because you know he he can bomb it but man the iron play was just absolutely horrendous I believe he miscut here and you can see it again he checks those

Boxes that I’m looking for uh but he definitely didn’t get it done and again like uh yeah he missed the cut here so he really struggled and again these guys that I’m talking about I’m not locking them in um not all of them are going to

Do very well they just have the stat profile that I’m looking at uh to where I think this course fits them and so that’s the the angle that that I am essentially playing but of course Snider I’m going to be mixing in your uh your soldier just because they’ve been on

Absolute fire one thing I haven’t done for everyone is I haven’t asked hit the like button hit the like button hit the Subscribe button it helps us out a lot here over at roner sports to be able to bring this content to you for free each

And every week we so no NBA right now but we have shows we have the RPS hat trick show coming on after this show uh it’ll be we’ll be done and then they will it’ll be our guy Wy and and Saul Goodman will be on that show and then we

Have a college basketball show uh premium only with our boys Steve boy no one does it better in the college basketball streets than our guy Stevie Boon so make sure stay tuned uh uh check out those shows if you’re in the NHL streets tonight and if you’re in the

College basketball streets tonight as well Snyder let’s get down let’s uh go to this 5K range let’s wrap this thing up um again a new new thing here it allows you to I mean this could be trouble too like you could absolutely be dust if you start if you lock in F now

And if you lock in another stud and then it forces you to play guys down in this range and if they end up sucking which a lot of them are going to end up sucking you’re going to be in a really tough spot this week so what are you doing

Down here in the 5K range are you fading it or is there anyone down here that you think is viable to play I’m gonna try not to play many of these guys I mean there are some just some absolute dust balls down here some of these guys I’ve

Never even heard of before uh but I think there’s a couple guys that we can find down here uh just looking through a little bit uh our Guy Peter Ma netes at 5900 we’ve played him uh in some of these weaker tight field events doesn’t have the best course history leading in

Was 15th a couple weeks ago and finished 15th in one of his trips here before so he has some course history here a little tiny bit of recent form heading in but uh he’s a guy I’ll I’ll look at uh Troy Meritt always has some good birdie

Upside uh MJ defu has some good birdie upside we saw at a couple times last year he’s long off the tea he can Bomb It Off the te um Tom Whitney is a guy yeah Tom Whitney’s a guy I’m looking at though he’s a guy off the corn FY

Tour that’s caught my eye coming in um into this year uh had quite a few top 10 on the corn on the corn faery tour there it was kind of like a boom bus golfer there so he’d either like missed the cut or he was either top 10 so he’s boom bus

Guy uh he was Miss aut at the MX but then he finished top 15 at the farmers so I like the upside that Tom Whitney’s bringing here in this type of a field at 5.7k he’s a guy I’ll be looking at Tyson Alexander’s got B good birdie

Upside uh Nicholas eav Verana is a guy that made some Cuts there uh during the fall swing I don’t know how to pronounce that dude’s name but he was making Cuts during the fall swing made the cut here last year didn’t finish well but at

Least was made the cut at 5.5k and then there’s one guy down here a couple guys down here I was looking at Scott piery at 5.3k uh he generally plays well at some of these weaker tight field events he’s been top 40 in both of his trips here um

Has missed the last three Cuts but he was right in that 25 to 40 range for four straight events so I think Scott piery at 53 there’s some solid upside there Scott gesi is a Nebraska guy uh 52 and then Ben Taylor at 5.1k as horrible

Recent form entering but was top 10 here last year for 5.1k but I really don’t want to try and force many of these guys in if I don’t have to yeah I I’m with you I don’t want to play many or or any of these guys at all if I don’t have

To uh we got our boy uh you know Mr Panda Norman Jong 5800 and now like he’s again G to be a guy that I sprinkle because he misses a ton of cuts and but he’s shown upside you know corn fery tour uh winner miss a ton of cuts and

Then he’ll randomly you know a T2 t16 11 so it’s just like this dude is terrible and then he’ll make the random cut I know he was like highly touted as a prospect up and coming um you know years and years ago and never really panned

Out to be the golfer that many people thought that he would be golf tough man it’s really tough it’s uh you know I’m a bad golfer and uh I mean yeah I’m uh I’m what like an 11 I mean I’m not a not a good not a good golfer but can hold my

Own but I mean to get to this level it’s just insane like I we it’s not we’ve golfed with a lot of really good golfers scratch golfers and they’re just still miles away from from these guys it’s tough game game um and again with that

In mind I like I get the Scott piery call um my guess is you’re not going to be playing him though uh like 5300 it is enticing but man this guy seems like he’s on his way out so I think the move down here is just

Limit like I might sprinkle a few of these guys in maybe like David lipsky um like like some of these guys that have over the last year have shown me something just a little bit of something Peter manetti as well I’d throw him in there I might sprinkle them in outside

Of that like CT pan as well I’m I’m just not going like Callum terum I maybe another one I want to avoid this range though as as much as possible even though I listed off like five guys there at the end uh so even though it fits up what I’m trying to do

I still want to limit uh golfers in this range overall Snider let’s uh let’s finish the shows up the show up since we got the hockey guys coming on here in a little bit are there any uh or let’s get to the winners unless you have any

Matchups that you want to uh talk about uh there was one matchup I seen that kind of caught my eye just because he was such a big favorite Sam Stevens is minus 157 versus Alex Alexander Bor that kind of caught my eye just because it was one of the biggest favorites on the

Board um not seeing anything else really too big uh Bobby Mack is minus 140 against Ryan Palmer that’s a pretty big uh Edge there for him uh our guy Rio is minus 140 against McKenzie Hughes so that makes me like Rio even more uh with him uh in that 9k range then Davis

Thompson is I’m looking at Thompson and hub I like both of those guys and Thompson’s minus 127 against hubard right now so it’ll be interesting to kind of keep an eye on these uh see where the numbers move um there’s some money coming in on Ryan Fox

A little bit coming in on Ryan Fox early against Jake knap uh he’s minus 120 and Jake naps plus 100 so that’s interesting and then naps naps plus 106 against EVR uh and then Patrick Rogers is actually minus 120 against Taylor pendra so maybe that’s the leverage you want

There uh I know Taylor pendra is GNA be pretty popular and uh he’s an underdog to both uh Rogers Andy’s uh Keith Mitchells minus 132 against Taylor pendrith as well all right very good uh let’s get to our winner Snyder um let’s pick who who think’s gonna win and then give uh I

Think these type of events it’s good to take a little like a get some really really long shots in there too I mean it’s a weak field uh a lot of variant crazy stuff happens you might as well embrace it and uh create a card that has

A lot of upsid so uh give me who you think is going to win and then a longer shot uh this week that you’re going to put some money down on I’m going to go with Jake knp is my winner at 40 to1 odds so I’m going to go nap there and

Then let me scroll down a little bit and find a guy that’s down here quite a bit um let’s go with let’s go with Jacob Bridgeman that’s he’s anywhere from 90 to1 to 125 to one let’s go Jake Bridgeman I like it it does get tougher

Down there I so again I always I I wish and I I have to go and shop around there’s there’s potentially uh you know better odds out there but again at these type of events I’m always gonna throw a little bit down on Cameron Champ he just

It just seems like he always wins one random event every other year or so and it seemed like he’s due to do that so cam champ 50 to one might be better odds out there I just have draftking sports book up right now cam champ one shot win

Over Tony Fe now is my prediction there but I I do like cam champ as far as like a longer shot I I wish I got better odds on Johnny Vegas 55 to one GNA just pound him I think in the DFS streets for sure uh a longer shot I gotta go Scott

Stallings 90 to one I’m gonna go check the odds too to see if we can get some better odds too but I just think that weak field the guy can comp pounded he hit his driver far this is the perfect event for him just to to get something

Going so I’m going to have a little bit of money there on Scott Stallings uh Snider any final thoughts this week I think we pretty much covered it but I’m GNA have a much deeper dive uh in uh The Playbook and we’ll have all that all that stuff up later today the Playbook

Will be up the cash chart will be up round one Showdown will be up tomorrow the soldiers will be out tomorrow as well so uh stay tuned for all that uh we’re going to keep everything rolling here as we uh get through this event and then we’ve get we get a couple big

Events in a row with the API and the players coming up yeah very good uh we had so The Strokes game show was recorded yesterday with Wy and our guy Andy La his article is up he has the his other premium article that typically drops tomorrow um in addition to the cash

Chart in the Playbook that Snyder does the cheat sheet will also be live tomorrow for RPS uh members only obviously and uh and again if you’re playing NHL tonight make sure you stick around we have the RPS hatrick show coming up with Wy and Saul uh Goodman

And then after that for premium members only Steve Boon’s gon to be talking to us all about college basketball awesome slates there so make sure that you guys are uh watch watching that content the free content the premium content they’ll get you straightened out they’ll let you

Know what to do I unfortunately can’t play those things tonight so uh kids activity good thing these these certain kids activities that I have tonight fell during NBA Allstar week because uh it makes it a little easier for me and you know it it it gives me some credit to

Buildt up with the with the wife so uh for that those uh for Snider I’m AP everyone have a really good week this week and let’s run here

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