DFS Golf Preview: Genesis Invitational Fantasy Golf Picks, Data & Strategy for DraftKings

DFS Golf Preview: Genesis Invitational Fantasy Golf Picks, Data & Strategy for DraftKings. Ben uses the Stokastic PGA DFS data to break down the course, tournament field, and best PGA DFS picks for the Genesis Invitational 2024.

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00:00 Fantasy Golf Strategy
2:00 Course Preview
5:00 Top Tier
12:45 Mid Range
22:10 Salary Savers
28:25 Hot Take

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#genesisinvitational #PGADFS #GolfDFS #Genesis #FantasyGolf

What’s up everybody Ben razy here for stochastic to talk a little Genesis Invitational you guys know the drill BJ strategy show we’re going to dive into the salaries the course talk about a little Waste Management get to some of the tools and hopefully find some Diamonds in the Rough to craft the

Lineups welcome everybody if you’re here for the first time hit the like button if you’re returning for the thousandth time hit the like button subscribe we want as part of this community and I’m excited to bring this show back it was on hiatus it was on Hiatus we heard from

The people it’s a little different right now you’re going to be stuck with me for the next half hour we’re gonna have some fun with it we’re going to be building our golf content up Masters is coming it’s right around the corner but this is a big time event it’s a special field

Special format we got Riviera it’s G to be very very exciting but first things first let’s talk a little Waste Management before we get into the tiers before we get into the salaries shout out to Nick Taylor that guy when he gets going is unbelievable I’m sure a lot of

You watched it while you were watching the Super Bowl uh Charlie Hoffman it’s the year of the 150 to one shots there’s no doubt about it thought Scotty Sheffer was going to do it and again you know we saw kind of a back and forth but we’ve

Seen this formul a lot right now it’s not just of course you need to realistically have that under unless it’s Nick Dunlap you know that under the radar winner but then that construction of top tier sprinkle on that mid-range that’s what’s been working I think this week’s going to be a different we’re

Going to look at the salaries because this is just an absolutely loaded field uh and when we talk about that I I think it’s really going to change kind of the mentality of is this a non-cut is this a cut uh it’s just such a weird dynamic to

Have that going on where we’ve got you know 70 golfers top 50 make the cut and 10 shots of the lead uh so realistically almost everyone’s going to get through and that that’s going to be fascinating but before we dive into Scotty sheffler and Rory mroy and all those guys let’s

Talk about this course let’s talk about Riv Riviera we see it all the time it’s a staple with Genesis this is the course uh three par fives so you get those chances long no doubt about it 7,300 yards it’s a test at a par 71 but it’s

Not long and crazy distance in the sense that every shot is but your irons in particular are something that I think you need to focus on your Par Four distances if you’re really looking at Stats something you need to focus on so ball striking obviously total driving I

Think is important long irons 150 to 200 range I think is important again that coincides with the par fours that we’re going to see here uh now I could just keep rattling off stats because it’s a it’s a roundabout way of saying you need to do everything because around the

Green is very important here you’re gonna have some weird lies you’re G to have to get up and down from out of some hazards and whatnot that is important and then if you can roll it on PO greens I think we found ourselves an all-around player if you can find that guy just

Play them no doubt about it but it’s not that simple for obvious reasons but for me when I’m thinking about it kind of taking the same uh as waste management at TPC Scottdale give me a ball Striker that could flip a putter more than someone that I think has Elite short

Game and can work in and out of trouble who doesn’t hit it too far off the tea I think that’s just a really tough recipe at of course like Riviera I don’t see that succeeding for the most part uh I’d rather have that there are comps to

Augusta I’ve seen that thrown around I do see it I think that’s where if you really want to boost around the green that’s part of it you get some funky lies things like that you can be creative and you can score that’s the other thing this is not easy by any

Stretch but you can score at this this course we’ve seen Genesis on the you know schedule forever there’s no doubt about it that if you put together and you stay out of the thick stuff you can hit these big greens and you can you can roll them in uh and that’s what we’re

Going to have to figure out because it’s not just about the course it’s about the field so I already said this but let’s go through it real quick and then we’ll dive in to the top tier you’ve got 70 players it’s an Invitational top 50 and ties and anyone

Within 10 shots of the lead realistically you’re almost talking about a non-cut you know you’re going to have a couple guys kind of like the Masters who get thrown out uh and the rest are going to be in all the big names should make it through you need to

Score you need to outscore your placement points all that type of stuff we’ve got Tiger Woods in the field I’m not sure uh that’s going to be the move this week but it is very cool that’s a good thing for golf no matter how he’s playing it’s a good thing for golf to

Have him in the field so that is where we’re at with the field it’s an elevated event and every name it’s a master’s quality field minus the live guys uh that we’ve got what do you say we get into it here we go I brought up on the

Screen this is part of our you know revamp data Hub which I’ll be talking about again we’ve got some really sick tools not just the Sims and lineup Genera and all that which I will get to but this data Hub is fantastic it makes my life a lot easier Scotty Sheffer Rory

Mroy Xander and havin are the 10K plus options you’ve got two in the 11s you’ve got two in the tens thousand difference between Rory and Xander where do we go uh well the easy answers you can go anywhere here I mean these are they’re the best players in the world you can

Start with any of them and it doesn’t really make a difference in my mind but you can’t play everyone so who’s getting squeezed well according to the leverage here and again this will update as we get closer to lock Xander would be the guy outside looking in and I love to see

That because for me he’s the guy that’s outside looking in it’s not to say he’s not a good player it’s not to say that his driving can’t really translate to what we’re doing here but we haven’t seen a ton of him in 2024 he’s been pretty solid he was third at AMX Ninth

At Farmers 54 at Pebble Beach and when you look at him he’s played Genesis a bunch pretty solid he’s making the cut every time handful of top 15s you know a ninth way back in 2018 it’s nothing that Xander’s doing wrong per se uh and the

Irons are crisp you all round gain is there but you’re just weighing the opportunity cost around him you’ve got three of the best naturally you’ve got Sheffer and Rory then you’ve got Victor havin who you know for quite a while now the short game around the green can he survive

With that it’s still an issue but it’s not nearly as big of an issue uh as it was now the question with havin a little more than these guys is we haven’t seen as much of him State side we saw him at Pebble Beach and he was not good his

Irons were off uh I think I’d have him third uh but you’ve got Rory and you’ve got Jeffer if I can get the money to go get one of them that’s where I want to be uh Rory was doing some things in the midd east then he played at Pebble I’m

Not going to overrate what’s going on with a couple rounds of golf but he was another one that uh it wasn’t good to say the least his irons were really not there sure he can turn that around he didn’t even putt well either this is just a guy that translates to every

Single course he’s got plenty of success at Genesis uh you know fifth the fourth it’s Rory and then let’s work backwards to Sheffer who you know he could have won last week just another 12 and a half Strokes gained T to Green he was flat with the putter which when

Scotty sheffler he’s so good when he’s flat with the putter he basically uh is on the short list to win which is just insane and when you see that you kind of Wonder okay well what happens if he gains three Strokes putting five Strokes I he’s just going to win uh he grades

Out pretty nice positive leverage on three of four here so for me I’m going to have exposure to all them because again I think you can make enough teams and get over but I I’ll go Rory one Sheffer 2 havin three and Xander four but mixing and matching do think you

Compare Xander with one of the three that’s an interesting build you’re going to have to omit the 9k range which is the second part of the top tier let’s get to that a little bit because when you go down you obviously can’t play all of these guys if you’ve doubled up north

Of 10 HMA morawa kley aberer JT and spe uh you don’t have a ton of guys that jump off the page here I think that aberer is the trickiest of the bunch he grades out pretty well no doubt about that it’s this age-old question of how

Good is he because he looks fantastic he was ninth at Farmer second at Pebble but now he’s priced like he’s fantastic he’s priced like he’s one of the world’s best players in a field against the world’s best players it’s going to be be tough for me we’re going to see where ownership comes

In we’re going to see how these updates I I like JT more JT gained again across the board Waste Management I bet this is now the third week I have bet JT if you want stuff on the betting side go over to odd Chopper golf we got you covered

Right there no doubt about it but JT is just firing on all cylinders uh and then you’ve got above them I think is a fascinating range maxol is not playing well there’s no doubt about it there’s really no way to spin it this is a guy that certainly has the talent but he

Missed the cut at the waste management he loves this tournament Genesis is his just playground he’s been unbelievable here he won in 2021 second in 2023 uh obviously he’s a California guy definitely definitely you know it’s something that translates and you can see why with this

Game I’m just not sure the game is really there right now morawa long irons ball striking will he bring the putter you know it’s very hard to know with him uh uh I like what he’s been doing he was 14th at Pebble Beach miss the cut at Farmers which is a little

Disappointing but he really melted I watched that because I needed him badly there I’m very comfortable morawa in this spot I think that uh he makes a lot of sense same with Klay it’s just a range that you can you can definitely pepper no about about it when I look at

The 9k range priorities JT morawa and Klay uh spe is spe I think that he’s almost the exception to every rule because because when I think of him I think of a short game specialist a wizard but at times he ball strikes like you wouldn’t believe then he loses it

Completely and he’s hitting the ball into the ocean it’s very very difficult to know what we’re going to get with Jordan spe I think he’s always in play for tournaments again I I’ll let the tools The Sims lineup generator do the work for me with a guy like that I don’t

Have a strong take I’m not going to manually boost him most likely uh and that’s something I’ll talk about in a little bit about what you can do with this data but for me speed is just indifferent I prefer JT strongly so top tier we know

What we got we got the best players in the world on this first page uh 10 of them and you’re going to be able to mix a match how low would I start I think moraa is probably around that range Mora at Klay you can double

Up you can take three of them not starting in the eights or anything like that I think there’s just too much win Equity at the top particularly in a in a tournament that’s a basically non-cut uh that’s a little a little aggressive uh let’s get to the mid-range

Um before I do though right off the bat I just want to mention if you are watching this which if you’re hearing me you are this data it’s all part of all these packages from lineup generator to The Sims get involved Discord is in there too if you are looking to be

Better with golf to refine your process if you say hey I’ve been watching these shows and you guys have changed up I love the live chat discord’s where you want to be that’s 247 you hop in there you talk about this we’ve got a great community that is using this very same

Data to formulate stuff again this is all part of the Sims you see the contest generator you’ve got post contest lock you can do all these things you can examine your lineups if you haven’t thought about this stuff I know for the Masters in these big tournaments

Obviously there’s going to be a ton of people using this I really believe test it out now get familiar with the process so when the when the majors come it’s not the first time that you’ve seen these typee of tools it’s not the first time you’re using the Sims or lineup

Generator even being in Discord so if you want to take a chance and test this out for the week the link is below read about it come on in when you get in there make sure you tag me say what’s up uh love seeing new faces in there but

Let’s move to the mid-range let’s talk about this because when we go here we’ve got Tony F now who another guy bet and Tommy Fleetwood uh another guy can’t quit so you’ve got got two options right at the top of the eights that I really do like I think they’re the easy pairing

With one of the 10K options start with Fleetwood he’s not really doing anything uh 31st at Pebble Beach irons weren’t there puttering wasn’t there I I like this course for him though quite a bit I think that Genesis fits he’s played it a handful of times he’s made the cut

Uneventful I think he’ll have his best finish uh po splits are fine doesn’t mind a difficult track then Tony fow he loves genis loves Riviera 47th at Pebble I don’t really care about that sixth at Farmers I do care about that he gained seven strokes with the irons

That’s a good course uh when you talk about Tor and there’s no coincidence that he’s had a lot of success at farmers and he’s had a lot of success at Genesis a pair of runner up finishes over the last six years Tony fow can win this tournament there’s no doubt about

It he’s in the mid-30s in the betting Market I like Tony F now uh quite a bit this week he’s an easy play for me I think he fits a lot of builds not not starting with them but easy easy second man in uh for what we got going on here

So looking at the AK range once again you know when we get below a guy like Fleetwood you’ve got Sam Burns you’ve got thela cam young Fitzy wendam Clark Adam Scott Tom Kim there’s a lot of names here a lot of names a lot of I’m not gonna say potential value uh because

Again that’s not something that I think is how i’ classify it but there’s just a lot of opportunity here I’m going to bring the leverage column over again I love that you can just customize this very easily um and I’m actually going to put it next to projection so we can see

And then I’ll scroll down once again uh again Burns theala these type of guys no one really jumps out cam young this is a name that I do like positive leverage here really good off the te thought that he was very dangerous last week uh at waste management and he he did Flash

Some signs of that I I still have questions about how good is Camy young I think that’s a question that will be determined at a later date but I’ll tell you this much if he gained Strokes putting like he did in Phenix he’s gonna be very dangerous gained four strokes

Off the te and five Strokes putting that’s a deadly combination I call that the cam champ uh if you continue to do that watch out uh this guy’s GNA be no joke with that going down I think Fitzy long iron’s ability uh wiam Clark is

Always boom bus we just saw him win I still think that think it I guess it’s a hot take if you’re gonna tell me one random guy misses the cut at an event like this I feel like Windam Clark is that type of player uh a little erratic

At times but there’s no doubt he’s a world class player the guy’s done it at the highest level he’s taken down a a major uh you know Wells Fargo type the guy knows what he’s doing I have no issues with him toughest play for me is going to be

Tom Kim here I’m not exactly sure what to do with him I he’s great with the irons at Phoenix he came in 17th I don’t love this course for him I think that it will test him particularly off the te and is around the green game if I had to say what’s

The weakest part of Tom Kim’s game I would say it’s around the green but for me he’s a pretty reasonable play at 8100 again I’m going to put him in the speed bucket and and that bucket is not just uh kind of atypical skill sets it’s I’m

Not going to mess around with their boost I’m not going to do anything manually if I get them I get them if I don’t I don’t I’ll let the tools do the work last couple guys here Jason day sunjay uh what is going on with sunjay if

Anybody knows what’s going on at sunjay please tweet me at jazz RZ DFS guy’s grinding as he always does but he’s been killing me I had him last week 66 at Waste Management lost nearly five Strokes with the approach and three Strokes putting I still firm believe

That sjm’s going to turn it around not sure I’m going to keep paying to find out though when he does I’ll reevaluate if he burns me he burns me rather play will Z I’d rather play Tom Kim I’d rather play Fitzy and cam young and certainly the guys in the upper

AIDS when you look at Jason day uh third guy that I have no feel for um I know we’re going through all the players but it’s 7 man field we can kind of do that hegan will z uh those types not a lot to say there Russell Henley Eric Cole C woo

Benan MC putts Chris Kirk decky Ricky Cory Connors uh a lot of names here I’m not gonna say again a lot of value but some names that jump off the page Eric Cole grades out really well Cory Connors grades out really well Cory Connors my favorite play last week he did not kill

Me he did not uh do anything that made me any money either he was just kind of indifferent he soared through the cut he came in 28th he has gained off the te in every event dating way back into 2023 the guy’s automatic he’s also lost

Around the Green in six of seven so that’s what you’re giving up ball striking good around the green bad can you get away with that here that’s going to be the question you know it depends how many greens he hits in regulation can he Mas it Eric Cole guys’s almost

Automatic at finding the weekend which isn’t a huge deal here because almost everyone’s going to do it his approach numbers are outstanding he’s also lost around the green and five straight that’s the type of stuff that I think we’re balancing Eric Cole’s a lot weaker

Off the tee than some of the guys around him but I do think he fits some of the skill sets here a lot of pure iron players decky iron long iron specialist he’s got a green jacket uh I like him 7,400 was a a price that I was a little

Shocked at I have a video out on this very Channel my Top Value plays and dei’s on it because I’m treating values as like 7500 and Below couldn’t believe it um that was something that was really really surprising and of course some on DraftKings here before I bounce out of

This video I will get you uh we’ll we’ll flip it to FanDuel and we’ll see what’s going on there as well but to me Dey really grades out well Connors Harmon even Ricky I think you could build some really fascinating lineups where you take Scotty or Rory one of your favorite

Nines and then pepper the low sevens take four of the guys on the screen right now really really attack the lower mid-range and see what we can get uh because to me this is one of the best opportunities uh for that so we’ve got that don’t really have anything else

Here again all these guys are going to be very close in projection you see it on the screen Ricky’s kind of towards the bottom but he’s got a lot of Boom bust in them there’s no doubt about that and we’ll see the these numbers will update it’s one of many reasons you want

This data uh and you know as we get information if anyone of course withdraws or anything that will change uh what we got going on what else do we’ve got we’ve got Cam Davis Nick Taylor who again when he gets going watch out Adam hadwin not playing good

Golf sep sta boosler Harris English then we’ll get to the cheapies uh Cam Davis is an attachment to if you think it’s going to play easy and you want off to te Maniacs who can really score he’s got that his ceiling is very good his floor

Is he’s missing the cut um hadwin really tough Seth straa grades out well again that leverage score is something that I noticed definitely want to keep that in mind when I’m building I might add a little more to the pool B hostler you know he’s a name that’s bounced around

You know in some of the weaker field events he’s obviously not 7K in a field like this he’s going to be he’s making a lot of cuts his last Miss was at Windom back in August of 2023 uh 41st at Phoenix he gained and everywhere except the putter that’s very

Atypical he’s a great putter notoriously now PO is not his preferred surface bent grass is and that’s something to keep in mind but if you think that Bo Hustler can really roll it in I could I could see that uh I could see him as a dart throw kind of like

Harris English in some ways but to sum up the sevens I really like that mid sevenk range the Connors Harmon uh you know up to when you get a little higher Eric Cole pen Ley types down here SE straa again that’s about it maybe maybe Cam Davis as a

Splash but I I don’t really love this range I’d rather dip to the cheapies to the salary Savers let’s get to them these are the guys uh that you know 100 to one in the markets looking for a first PGA Tour win not as consistent not playing as well

Overmatched all that type of stuff uh now I will say if you get one of them right you’re going to be in business whether that’s DFS or betting it and allow me to just take a second and and mention this uh I I talk about it all

The time on odd Chopper OD Chopper golf if you are in any of these following states Indiana Arizona Kentucky Ohio New Jersey Virginia Iowa Colorado and Louisiana bet 365 is in your state and that means very very good things how about $150 in bonus bets bet five get

150 it’s that simple look at it it’s on the screen and it’s available if you’re in one of those States all you have to do is sign up the link is below bet five win or lose you get 150 bucks you can use it for golf college basketball the NBA NASCAR I

Don’t care what you use it for it’s there for you it’s an opportunity for you and it’s one not to miss out on you gotta be 20 plus 18 in Kentucky if you have a gambling problem go win 100 Gambler now I mentioned the salary Savers I mentioned those type of builds

Can we find guys in the in the upper sixes the Grio of the world well that’s a guy of course that I’m gonna talk about I love Grio I’m not gonna say I love him for this tournament I do think he fits he hasn’t have a ton of success

At Genesis but you know he’s a more well-rounded player now the putter is not a liability anymore around the green is crushed with the irons that’s what Grio does he’s sub sevenk I think he’s going to be fine I think Patrick Rogers another guy that we’ve seen his ability he California guy

Can get it going uh gain off the te see what we can do there and again some of these numbers are going to bounce around but those two names right at the top stuck out to me uh kind of when I was looking there now we get to the real

Dumpster dive and it’s Luke list at the top 6600 I can make a case though Luke list knows what he’s doing uh he’s off the tea very strong a guy who’s won uh an event on the PGA tour Luke Wiis is a winner I know it I know it seemed like

It would never happen but it did happen and when I saw it uh at Farmers that’s the kind of course that I don’t mind comping then he wins at Sanderson Farms that’s totally different uh but to me LC list has what it takes to attack Genesis he’s played it mixed bag a lot

Of middling 25th 29th 20th 30th ball strikes the hell out of the ball POA is not a good surface he doesn’t have a surface though uh putting is just not his thing if he survives around the green we’re going to be in business now he’s lost six straight times around the green

That’s the big issue but he’s gained five out of six with the approach and five out of six off the T that’s very powerful very powerful that is what we really want from a guy in this range uh and I think we get it we’ve got senson right there I think is

Fine tiger does show positive leverage I I don’t know what to do with him um probably not for me I’d rather play Lucas Glover who as long as he sets an alarm he should be okay uh he’s got horrible course history but he’s another guy if you’re if you’re grouping irons

I’m okay with that uh I actually think in a field like this an elevated event you know they have to fill out the 6K range these are not nobody’s these are guys who can play especially in the mid to Upper sixes these are players that I feel okay with Taylor Moore uh is

Another one making Cuts consistent last man in you could do a whole lot worse then it gets pretty bad I’m not gonna lie the very bottom I’m not sure I’m I’m looking to go to uh these type of players Nick Dunlap Charlie Hoffman JJ spawn Woodland Hardy I guess

But even so I don’t love the course for him Grayson’s lost it uh I don’t chase Johnson please don’t play him Sheamus Sam ryer if you’re in a pinch and you’re saying I love this lineup I love this lineup and I don’t care I just need a

Guy who’s gonna get through give me 72 holes uh outscore their placement points and give me a 33rd or something and the rest is is everything I want it to be Nick t uh Nick Taylor Nick Hardy would be my choice the guy makes cuts now he

Doesn’t do anything with them he’s got a lot of 47th out there he came in 66 at Phoenix 47th at Pebble 37th at Farmers 42nd at Sony 47th at Sentry I mean none of those are grabbing a lot of placement points but he is making the weekends uh

He does have some skills that I think can translate around here particularly off the T now as irons are hit and miss uh the field is much stronger and I think Riviera is a much different test than some of the birdie Fest but when I

Look at this that’s a guy that I really can get on board with if you were in a jam I want to stress that the most if you are in a jam so we’ve got to the bottom of the range G to do a couple things before we get out of here

Including giving you a hot take in just a second but I did promise go to FanDuel very quickly uh and again I’ll just you can this is all sord and customizable all this stuff again it can be words I’ll go to The Leverage uh these are the top Leverage guys currently on FanDuel

You’ve got day putam Sheffer Connor cam young these type of players these are guys to consider if you are playing over there and again this is just the data if you want to run the Sims lineup generator uh it’s all here for you all different types of uh tools that fit

Your process you know it really is just a One-Stop shop for what you need um but I’m just highlighting the day-to-day in terms of the strategy show and again if you have any questions about any of this hit me up on Twitter at jazzer asdfs we appreciate it be on the lookout for

Greg’s content as well Eric the whole team we’re getting involved here we couldn’t be more excited I love this tournament this is one of my favorite tournaments to be to be honest so make sure you’re checking out the links in the description to take advantage of of

Not just the deals or really see if this type of data and these type of tools can help make your golf process uh fantastic and better before we get to the biggest tournaments of the Year hot take time you guys know the drill I’m going to say something potentially egregious and

We’re going to roll with it I don’t even think this is this crazy Tony feno he’s gonna do it I think Tony feno is gonna win uh you’re talking about mid-30s 33 to one I believe is what I have on my ticket he loves this course I think the game is actually

Pretty close T greeny was fantastic at Farmers he was good at Pebble just really couldn’t putt I’m asking Tony to find a way to flip that Putter and get us over the finish line if he does that Tony fenel can do that with the putter he will have a chance on Sunday good

Play in DFS good bet as well I’m gonna call for Tony feno to give it a run for us and hopefully make us a lot of money in all forms of golf this week there we have it appreciate everyone for tuning in it’s been fun it’s been real you’re

Gonna be seeing me do this every week we’ll get it we’ll get it sorted out we’ll get it rocking We’ll add some things maybe I’ll do some lineup generator segments as well even run the Sims at times we want to show you guys all the tools and what we’re using to

Build our own lineups and bring it to you uh that’s what we’re about here at sastic and we couldn’t appreciate the support anymore it really is appreciated it makes doing the stuff fun I’m gonna bounce in out here normally I say for me and Jordan climb behind the glass this

Is all me all me solo show uh but for all of us here at stochastic have a great day ahead enjoy see you next week same time same Place