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Chat would be on my side what would have been genius is if you just like screen recorded all of it on like your iPhone like ahead of time you sold those on the on the dark web North Carolina it’s the best the the content that we put together before the show starts is
Unquestionably better than the content we’ll be putting together now what’s going on everybody NBA deeper dive it is Monday January 15th I am Josh Engelman I’m joined by Eric linquist and we are brought to you by bet MGM we’ve got a five game slate ahead of us the early
Games are in play NFL is on I’m sure Eric and I will have a fine time trying to battle the Buffalo Bills for eyeballs right now I can’t imagine why anybody would want to watch we’re not winning hit that like button subscribe to the channel hit the notification Bell so you know when
Everything goes live Eric what’s up uh sometimes man uh the the the conversations that lead into the show they’re like the thing that you hold on to and it’s like oh yeah this is why we do this these are good um I’m here in Arizona I came out to go see my folks
Last second G to go to the Kings Suns game tomorrow looking forward to that g to go to the new draftking sports book they have like a dinner spot over at TPC Scottsdale going there tonight so uh excited just to have two days here hanging out with the puppers and
Bouncing around Scottsdale and head back Wednesday morning but a pretty light day of content today tomorrow and then yeah back on the grind with golf on on Wednesday what do we got for golf this week uh we got an unbelievable field actually it’s the AMX which is generally
A throwaway event it’s three different golf courses that they play in Palm Springs but this year you have Scotty Sheffer Xander schle uh you have like five of the top 15 players in the world playing in this freaking event out of the middle of nowhere I don’t know why I
Don’t know how but they’re all playing in it and uh I’m very much looking forward to it Jordan kleb we probably to go now we probably need to go yeah to the Oh you mean to the event to the event yeah I’m I’m guessing Saturday I mean there’s just too many
Good golfers in this damn field now I want to go yeah buy out to Palm Springs yeah you are I will be in Nashville this weekend no that’s fun what are you doing there it will not be fun uh if you want to take a second right now type in Nashville Tennessee
Weather here we go Nashville well I mean everything on the east coast is butthole right now so there’s that oh yeah so uh we’re going to be there Friday through Sunday and the low on Saturday is seven oh Jordan we talked about this earlier
The high is now up to 20 yeah it is 16 right now yeah that low the the high of 20 on Saturday was a lower number earlier today so starting to get a little toasty up in Nashville all that hot chicken yeah you’re going to need it 13°
Right now what what what is going on it’s brisk it’s brisk it’s 56 for me here was 65 out earlier so uh I don’t own the clothes that will keep me warm when I get there that’s not going to be the fun part oh man well enjoy it’s
60 chilly here yeah it’s awfully chilly uh yeah let’s rock It’s awfully chilly all right let’s start it off here folks Chicago Bulls fourpoint underdogs in Cleveland to 22 total we are still waiting on the news for Patrick Williams he is questionable everybody else on the Chicago side appears to be available on
The Cleveland side basically the same thing only Max stru is playing the role of Patrick Williams in that he is also questionable 10 to 15% ownership on Caruso V Patrick Williams and Zack LaVine 10 for Kobe white 10 for D rozan so it’s kind of just like flat ownership
To the six main dudes from the Bulls and it’s kind of how I see it yeah it’s kind of what it should be I mean the usage is going to be hit or miss with some of these main guys I mean Kobe white you expected him to take the largest hit the
Last two games it’s actually come down a little bit to 18.9 20.5% usage but the minutes are there in such a pronounced way still that it’s hard to say that he’s some kind of a bad play 7200 the tag starting to come down to reflect it Zack lavine’s kind of my main question
For you shooting guard small for forward now played 41 obviously that was overtime 35 and 36 minutes now the last three starting to see that ramped up and the usage has been awfully spotty still 13.6% usage his first game back 14.5 last game there’s going to be one of
These games where he goes out he inflates to a 30 35% usage and you just kind of need him if this is that spot obviously Cleveland you don’t think of it being the most appealing match up on 109 implied team total here but like eventually we got to see that form of
LaVine again right you would think I mean you I would guess he would want to like shoot more and prove his prove his worth not that anybody really needs to see what’s get the hell out of Chicago yes yeah yeah you would think that I just don’t think they can trade him I
Don’t think anybody wants him yeah it’s kind of like the Jordan pool thing so they should just get on the phone with Washington swap him out for Jordan pool just swap just Jordan pool is the sloppy like seconds but now thirds but now nobody like absolutely nobody wants him
Like I doubt there’s a g-league team that’s like yeah we should give Jordan P minutes right now no I don’t you couldn’t he’s got to be one of the most untradeable things that exist in the league right now if not number one yep’s not too far behind though but that said
I’d like to play him today at least a little bit 7300 that eligibility yeah I’m just gonna play 20 lineups on the way to the sports book and like for me I think having some LaVine in my life is going to be the way that I go with this
Basketball team Kobe White 7200 of the tag is at least there and then Vu Center is one of those positions where Vu is always somebody that you can kind of star highlight Center but now that that young just eternally is sitting there at 4100 and you know can step into any type
Of a role with this team I I guess there’s some savings that you kind of need at center today between him oen uh Dorian fitty Smith has Center eligibility none of these guys look great in terms of a fantasy Point per minute guy but like um or sorry not
Fantasy Point for map in terms of value but like you kind of need the savings so 7500 I prefer cetol grin we would really prefer cetol grin with the SGA news so there’s an opportunity to just play a lot of him instead of v and I think
That’s probably the path I’ll go yeah right now I’m basically sitting neutral on everybody for Chicago except for Patrick Williams I’m a little bit heavier on him I think it’s just price and flexibility for what this slate is but Caruso right around the field Kobe white d rozan right at the field Vu
LaVine right at the field but 24% of Patrick Williams which I’m not surprised by and we do show him as a very positive leverage play in the boom bus tool right now if he ends up out would you play IO considering 29 minutes last timeout was
Kind of in foul trouble but like not really I mean 5k it just feels like him and Patrick Williams either one can be in the closing lineup On Any Given night um 5K IO at least I would entertain a share or two in the event that Patrick
Williams was out but I don’t expect it no I mean he’s he’s such a bad per minute dude like you’re if he plays 28 minutes you’re hoping for 21 fantasy points so at that point you’re talking about like 4.2x his salary it’s functional on a five gamer he he goes
From completely unplayable to guy that will show up in like sub you know somewhere around 5% of lineups so it unlocks him a little bit but it doesn’t unlock him the same way it unlocks Patrick Williams if he just simply plays much better way of saying
It I try I try Cleveland side’s a little different now we do need the max stru news but we have single digit ownership to everybody on Cleveland highest own dude Donovan Mitchell 9% little bit different on FanDuel a $4,500 Sam Merill is currently pulling 32% ownership I
Think the ownership on Mitchell is kind of crazy if I were playing this slate tonight I would be jamming him 46% is what I have at this moment and it wouldn’t be going anywhere you know we’re talking about a guy that’s projected for basically like 37 and five
Today we have this like giant question mark hanging on top of SGA for later on in the night SGA pulling 22% ownership Mitchell play pulling nine I think relative to salary these guys should be a little bit closer I like kind of flipping the script on both of them and
It also lets me into a situation where maybe I don’t have to get like I don’t have as much Shay that I need to swap off of a 1030 I’m with you I’m very much interested obviously if Max dreu ends up out as well Donovan Mitchell Sam Merill
Even at 5K I mean Sam merell is the most popular guy on this team I think there’s got to be the assumption that Max truce would be out for me to get to him at even 9% ownership here at the moment he’ll actually look functional in the
Event that you get stru out there but Donovan Mitchell no doubt for for me is the guy you want to get to the usage is going to be outrageous he’s a 1.35 DraftKings points per minute guy he’s coming off of what 452 and six that seems useful um playing massive minutes
In any competitive spot which for all intents and purposes four-o spread that’s what this is so I’m completely with you I’m a little bit flored you look at the boom bus tool as well nearly 5% optimal percentage difference between the ownership and that so you’re getting some nice leverage not something you
Generally run into at the top of the range getting like a a multi-positional piece like Donovan Mitchell point guard shooting guard so there’s four different spots you can play him at and then you’re getting massive leverage to boot with it and maxu fans up out you’re
Going to see maybe an extra tick up in usage like for me this is kind of like a no-brainer tournament play you just group it by the boom bus tool and you’re going to play more than the field I like it that said I don’t have anything else
Here from Cleveland very small amount of Isaac aoro a couple shares of Jared Allen who at 8,500 is just at a price tag that is Monumental for his career it’s really hard to get anything else for Cleveland if you get stru out then obviously you’re going to get to at
Least a little bit more of Sam Merill and that creates a little bit more value but I don’t think stru being out like you feel better about getting to Isaac aoro you certainly feel better about getting any shares of Caris LeVert you do feel pretty good about getting Sam
Marill you you certainly probably feel better about Donovan Mitchell too but I don’t think it creates anything amazing this game sucks 222 total we’ve got three other games right around 240 like it’s just a different environment 8,500 Jared Allen or 9100 bam atabo it’s an interesting discussion
Because with the way that Jared Allen has been playing 1.4 DraftKings points per minute over the past 30 days he’s been a lot better than bam we might have Jimmy Butler out there making uh things a little bit harder bam 1.28 over the past 30 days I think it’s easier to get
To Jared Allen I think so too and that’s where I’m kind of getting at we’re seeing bam atabo with nearly 10% ownership Jared Allen is at five and a half I ran a crunch before it beforehand I ended up going in The Sims tool and poking around
A little bit uh we’re both you know you’re not playing this late I’m playing it a lot lighter than normal and for me it’s just going to be running 20 lineups do I have a couple with Jared Allen yeah I I probably do considering he’s 5% but
There’s no doubt that like Chad Hol grin is that guy that star centerpiece you kind of want to have in the back of your mind at Center and that game goes on forever like we’re not going to know that SGA news for a long long time I’m
Assuming that he plays I not I don’t even know how I would flip a coin for it right now I suppose but I lean towards him being in I suppose but in the event that you get that that run out where it’s just I would want to have every
Center spot available to get to chat um and so there’s like an opportunity cost of locking up a center position early so just keep that on your radar for the news like the the timing of the news is more important than the news itself Jared Allen is somebody that if we got
To lock and you had just the opportunity to to get different in one spot there I would be just fine with him playing even like in one lineup anything else for Cleveland no Max dreu being out obviously can lead to the Sam Marill thing I don’t want to
Play him at 9% um in the event that you have Max dreu in and in the event that stru plays I don’t completely hate him against Chicago um no the short shooting guard small forward you could run into a couple shares but nothing appealing the way that Donovan Mitchell is that’s a
Great shout out by you 46% would be a hefty number it would that’s the kind of guy like when I if I ever see big stands like that they’re the kind of dudes that I hope that they’re on I don’t ever want it to be on Trey ly like it is from time
To time I want it to be on Donovan Mitchell I’m jamming Roy O’Neal tonight that’d be fun yeah like that’s the kind of thing that when it happens it’s like oh this will itely fail but when when you watch a game you and you turn this
On it’s like all right I’m cheering for Donovan Mitchell to go crazy like that’s just a much more fun experience yeah I will say I’ve never gotten Sam Marill correct so everybody should play him tonight at I have zero there we go schedule for the rest of the night
Quite easy NBA live before lock is coming up next and then everything just ends that’s it we don’t have anything else for the rest of the day very simple go watch some sports everybody stay inside if it’s cold where you are are because lots of people Northern Ohio Oklahoma City St
Louis uh guitar man saying that it’s negative 37 wind chill so you should move you know just like things like that terrible oh seems terrible you know they have places where it doesn’t do that yeah I’m never ever leaving the Southwest ever I’m never moving North
That’s the only way that I can say say it I don’t care where I am on the planet but cold weather will only exist for me if I’m traveling there on the opposite time of their cold weather so if you want to get me to Maine you better have a house there in
June it’s a good call you should use our Avatar go to stochastic docomo grab our logo use it at DraftKings FanDuel owner box Yahoo because if you finish in the top three of a contest with 5,000 or more entries you’re in luck you get one month of whatever you’re looking for at
Stochastic probably the NBA Sims package it’ll get you projections ownership boom Bust The Sims tool itself the contest generator post contest evaluation really fun stuff to look at uh lineup generator as well premium Discord stop by say hi all we need you to do is tweet your
Result at stochastic HF show us your contest show us the lineup that you had in let us show you off and we can reward you with a month of stochastic whatever you want Miami Heat one point underdog in Brooklyn 220 total this team is never the same team they’re like a chameleon
Every day they play there’s just like a couple different pieces in and a couple different pieces out somebody else ends up on the team that you didn’t know was there today is no different it just never stops for these guys Jimmy Butler now questionable he has been out for a
Bit with a sprained right first MP joint which is a thing that I’ve never heard of in my life Tyler hero is available Heime hakz got hurt yesterday in the middle of uh smashing in the first half a guy that I had a stand on obviously
He’s out uh Kevin Love out Kyle Lowry doubtful Caleb Martin available no ownership coming in here single digits across the board on DraftKings yovic is getting some love on FanDuel at 4,900 uh bam is getting some love there 16% owned at 9200 I don’t have a single
Share of the Miami Heat at this moment yeah nor should you probably however I only have this as like an eight and a half man rotation um I don’t know what they plan to do like I I feel like I’m making a mistake with this team
Right now so if we just work through it I mean I think the minutes are pretty easy and Consolidated amongst hero I think Butler walks into 30 32 minutes Duncan Robinson 32 34 minutes yic bam at a bile like I think that’s pretty clearly like going to be your starting
Five Josh Richardson Caleb Martin Heywood High Smith I mean to have just like eight guys and then I’m just kind of throwing a minute or two towards guys like Orlando Robinson just to try to like spread it out a little bit because otherwise I do get to a couple of these
Pieces and that’s where I think it’s difficult it’s like I’m almost forcing myself away from playing a team that probably is just playing eight guys today and that feels incorrect so that’s why the BAM metal bio thing is kind of interesting between him and Jared Allen
Bam out buy a 1.32 Fantasy Point per minute guy Jimmy Butler he hadn’t been as good this year with a 1.09 rate I mean he he’s always going to be Jimmy Butler a good two-way player and then ramp it up there come play off time per
Usual but with no Kevin Love No Hami hwz I mean yic feels like the guy that could be sneaky here at 5500 the tag is going to keep everybody away but he’s nearly a Fantasy Point per minute player and 0 N8 DraftKings points per minute this season
So like I think he’s the guy I want to get to but now he’s just power forward and it’s just a cluster you know what because there could just be no usage left to go he can have a decent rebounding rate from time to time but if
You run into lineups where it’s at a bio and high Smith on the floor with him this is just such a gross spot so like I think yic or Tyler hero would be the guys I would get to but I’m not getting to anything here otherwise so it just
Sucks yeah I I think the only two guys that I can get to here are bam and Tyler hero um not that I would have any problem getting to yovic I’ve been trying to get that dude right for two weeks now and I continue to fail they just project really poorly they’re all
Like at 4X their value or below for me the only guys that are actually rejected like real players AR bam and Tyler herro like I don’t think Butler even at 8100 is feasible today I how many guys do you have in the rotation too six uh eight and a half nine I don’t
I don’t know if the 10 like I don’t know if it’s orando Robinson Thomas Bryant you know combine those into one guy it doesn’t really M matter to me all that much um you know Jamal Kane could play with no uh Lowry out at this point too
So I don’t really know who that ninth guy is I don’t think that it matters considering I can’t get to one through eight either yeah and that’s exactly it like I think my brain is just engineered when I see stuff like this I’m like oh there’s
Got to be a tournament play here there’s got to be value here and then you run the Sims tool and it just has nothing pop up and you’re like oh the priors are correct so maybe don’t overthink it but again it’s just like my old tournament
Brain trying to say hey you you gotta like something here so like I had a share of yic I had two shares of Tyler hero when I built out 40 lineup which is kind of what I was planning on I’m just going to play 20 today so like I doubt
That they end up coming through the cracks at the end all red hit us with the Super Chat not ideal though I got screwed the 5 to 158 promo for B MGM is not in New York well that sucks for you old rat I’m sorry I’m sorry good news only five
Bucks Saving Grace I was gonna say that’s the way that I look at it$ five dollar I um I’m not even like well I’m not going to put it $ five dollar can be a lot of money it depends where you are if you live in in New York proper $5 is
Like onethird of your cab ride to get anywhere but um I apologize if there was some kind of a mixup for you there obviously all the promo stuff that’s not something Josh and I are in charge of whatsoever it’s just one of those things where when there’s great opportunities
To get people money not necessarily sure of all the stuff in the States but you want to be taking advantage of it if you’re 21 and over if you gambling probably going in hter Gambler thank you for that you’re welcome all right I’m sorry but he gave us$2 in order to [ __ ]
About five which is pretty ironic ol rat’s a good guy he’s a good guy I know he is he’s fantastic that’s why I said it that way where I appreciate it Brooklyn looking a little bit different than Miami uh 15 to 20% ownership well call it 10 to 15 on cam
Johnson Dorian finny Smith and Nick Claxton you’ve got around 20 to Mel Bridges and 35 to Dennis Smith Jr coming off the bench I’m getting to these guys I’ve got a lot more ownership to Brooklyn than I do for Miami leading the charge Mel bridg is 7,300 shooting guard small
Forward eligible uh pulling 19% ownership I do think he is very interesting to talk about in relationship to an 11% owned Zack LaVine we’re talking about two guys at the exact same price the exact same positional designation both in games that are relative unappealing similarly
Is owned but I am getting to Bridges as the most exposed guy I am under on Dennis Smith Jr at 4,800 he scares me a little bit but could continue to play more minutes they seem to have soured at least a little bit on diny what’s
Opening up for you on Brooklyn not a ton actually so you’re getting to Bridges I’m not quite there on anything um in my first run there I’m a little bit worried that at some point in time we get like Lonnie Walker in in some kind of like a
Pronounced way way um I this is this is where it just gets a little bit obnoxious because he’s outside of Claxton like or dayon sharp I supposed to but like Lonnie Walker is going to go out and when he is on a floor Chuck I
Have no idea what to make of the minutes because he’s like out of the rotation but he played 25 on the 11th and I mean I just have no clue where he’s at or what their intentions are with him ever it’s like he could be a guy that just
Comes in and Snipes other guys I don’t think he’s going to be own enough I I don’t think there’s really any point in try to take shots on that with you know I have been projected for 10 minutes so it is what it is but I think it just
Takes down Cameron Johnson Spencer deny like enough of these guys because I just have such uncertainty in going to them and I’d just rather Embrace some risk coming up later you have a great game environment in Indian Utah obviously you have a great game environment with OKC
In Los Angeles that could turn into value and it’s like do I want to Lo lock up lineup spots with a bunch of these dudes knowing that things can break my way a little bit later in the night I don’t know I guess it’s something for
You guys to we out what your what your risk tolerance is to it but like not that 20% maau Bridges is any kind of a major problem but he’s only a 1.03 Fantasy Point per minute guy and now if you run into Lonnie Walker getting and resurfacing himself you’re talking about
A guy who’s going to have a 25% usage sharing the floor with him which really caps what that upside can be and the game environment just sucks I mean it’s only a 111 team total going up against Miami obviously the salary at 7300 is Nifty but like for me I kind of prefer
Clon if I’m going to get to anything from Brooklyn uh which is weird to say about a shooting guard small forward cheap Mel Bridges I don’t trust this team in any way and that’s sort of where you were leading with that Lonnie Walker discussion I I have you know like we’re
Seeing Spencer dwy be the point guard like d but like Dennis Smith Jr is sort of like the point guard that is getting to love you have Lonnie Walker who played a bunch of minutes last time out you would think they want to integrate him a little bit more they certainly
Have the minutes to do so we also talked to cam Thomas his last time out get Ultra Ultra hot just went absolutely insane in the last game he was much more popular this morning than he is now he is basically unowned they can move so much around like they have no loyalty to
Dorian Finn Smith he’s probably not on the team in a month they have no loyalty to Royce O’Neal he’s probably not on the team in a month these guys are going to end up on contenders is my opinion so maybe you do start playing Lonnie Walker a little bit more
Right now hell maybe you start playing Lonnie Walker a little bit more to see if he has any value to be shipped out if he can pick up any sort of heater it’s the guys like Bridges and like where he’s kind of just gonna be there and I
Don’t really know what that means for him I just really like that price and positional combination but I want to keep a close eye on his ownership in relationship to LaVine because if those guys start to separate from each other in any way I’m going to want to flip-flop their ownership yep that’s
That’s a perfect way of explaining again I’m just kind of playing not Devil’s Advocate but like for me I’m just not getting to him as much if I’m prioritizing the evening games which is kind of where it seems my lineups are heading and so 7300 if he fits in with
Your lineups I’m not saying don’t play them but be aware the Cameron Thomas has a 30 plus per usage and a Lonnie Walker 25 plus percent usage that could play anywhere from like six oh for for Cameron Thomas you’re you’re definitely going to see floor time of some kind 18
To 32 minutes like that’s fory toally CH the way you look at Ma bridges on a day-to-day basis we head to Boston now Sixpoint favorites in Toronto 239 total we got the news earlier today Jaylen Brown is going to be out for this one that could dramatically changed the entire scope of
This slate there was not really any ownership coming into Boston before boy oh boy did that change call it 15% to Derek white Drew holiday and Chris ABS porzingis 23 coming into Jason Tatum scattered ownership to a couple of the other guys from Boston but the big one
We need to talk about a crisp 40% to $3,900 small forward power forward Sam Hower uh I have 203 minutes for Sam Hower we have 24 minutes for Sam Hower we have him massively overed but that tends to happen for these kind of guys where like they can they might not be in
The optimal but they’re still the functional value you need I’ve got him in 82% of my lineups right now I I think it’s really hard to get away from this value because we just don’t have it anywhere else yep that’s the way I look
At it too I have him in uh let me double check he was my highest St player earlier and yep we have where does it go 82% all right so uh that was out of 150 though I’m only playing 20 it’s it’s going to be one of those things you look
At a guy like Sam Hower and you’re just like what what am I doing like I got to be able to fade this people are donkeys and then you start running the Sims tool and you start playing out iterations of this slate where SGA is in Aaron n Smith
Is in and you’re just kind of toast now I think you want to be playing a lot of him even if that news breaks that way because Sam Hower at 3900 the usage is way down 76 Fantasy Point per minute guy but it’s got to see a little bit of a
Usage influx here considering this whole point of being out on a floor is the ability to knock down a three occasionally and then just you know be that just be a stick figure on defense with long arms so there’s that Jaylen Brown off the floor that should give a
Little bit of a boost here to some of the other ancillary pieces but Jason Tatum 9700 we talked about Donovan Mitchell I love him and I really love Jason Tatum on this slate I would really be mad at myself if I didn’t have a lot
Of SGA and he’s in at 102 but the ownership’s kind of already there 22 at 22% so like I don’t think he comes in like any lower own so I kind of like the idea of Mitchell and Tatum in these early games and then maybe you can build
Some value around it later but as you said before Sam Hower is just kind of like a guy who fits well or just way too easily into lineups assuming that he ends up starting of course by the way we got an ownership update eight minutes
Ago I don’t know if you have that in front of your face but just wanted to let you know that we do have a new run of things since we’ve gotten started thank you uh iunu available to play dalen Terry available to play that is really only relevant information if
Patrick Williams is not available to play yeah that that seems to be the case um what do we have for that updated ownership on him so Sam Houser is still 40% in our new stuff like that’s I I’m just fine being overweight to that considering small forward power forward
Eligibility what do you want to do with the rest of this Boston team though just kind of pick and choose your your starter or you’re like your star so to speak do you feel I’m assuming you don’t really feel all that different whether you have Jason Tatum or Chris ABS
Porzingis or Drew holiday like it all kind of just works for you if you get a a Boston Celtic dude in your lineup yeah pretty much 1.33 DraftKings points per minute is Jason Tatum that goes up to 1.45 with Jaylen Brown off the floor this season and that’s a pretty hefty
452 minutes sample size I mean that’s kind of what you would expect to have happen for a guy like Jason Tatum but then the obvious trickle down effect is some of these other guys that are cheaper that fit into lineups like how do they compare I like Derrick White a
Lot 1.25 DraftKings points per minute without Jaylen Brown on the floor 194 minute sample size holiday I mean you kind of expected him to to take a backseat a little bit more so to to Tatum and brown but like he’s taking a back seat to Derek white now too so 7200
For Derek white I like a little bit more and then Zinger I thought I would be playing a lot of but it’s just not showing up for me right now and I’m not sure why 7900 against a Toronto front court that you know obviously doesn’t have a lot of answers for step back
Three-point shooter Kristof porzingis here in this spot Samer massively undersized um you know obviously they a lot of different iteration or not Samer but um Pascal sakam we got to just kind of sit here and figure out uh how they’re going to go about playing defense I mean we all watched Anthony
Davis eviscerate this front Court defensively they don’t add a whole lot of anything here we’ll talk about Thad young here as well this kind of ownership but uh kind of just not spraying and praying but prioritizing Jason Tatum prioritizing in a big way Sam Hower then it’s Derek white for me
In the pecking order and I wish I was getting to porzingis and I know that he projects out PR pretty decently well what is that like 5x but um for me just not showing up in lineups at the moment yeah I only have uh like I have a little
Bit of all these guys 10% porzingis 12 holiday 14 Tatum very much under on Derek white the $7,200 price tag I just have a hard time running it down all the time even though he’s been at 1.1 fantasy points per minute over the past 30 days to me it’s just assuming this
Breaks the way that we wanted to now like I expect the starting lineup to be holiday white Tatum Horford porzingis yeah that’s what I meant earlier I was going to say so Sam Hower playing 24 minutes I mean he can step into a starting role they played this exact
Same Toronto time that was his last start on the 29th but that one was no uh Brown was in for that one so that was kind of just like a that was a choice that they were making it was see he get more minutes and he’s going to still get
North of 20 just by being the bench guy even if he doesn’t um but there’s more to come from Samer if you need it that makes and at 3900 it doesn’t take much yeah on the Toronto end we’ve got about 15% ownership coming into to Gary Trent
And quickley about 10 to Pascal seak four to Scotty Barnes who might as well not exist in this discussion Point there’s a lot to talk about for Toronto then we’re around 20 for schruder 20 for Barrett 26 for Thad young I could not disagree with this more I don’t
Understand what’s really happening here it it’s really odd to me I I don’t know what’s causing this ownership disparity I don’t even necessarily mind looking at Thad young and thinking like oh he’s 26% owned today you can’t have him be 26% owned and have jont Porter be at three
When these guys are separated by a 100 bucks especially what what we just saw the last game like J jont Porter played pretty Dar well I know it was a massive blow out there where Utah just went completely berserk 31 minutes though for jonte Porter I don’t know it feels as
Though that’s uh I’m kind of with you because jonte Porter he’s over a Fantasy Point berm minute guy so far I know it’s a small sample size and just getting going he’s put all like what 14 15 NBA games total in his career but like I’m
With you I I’m a little bit confused why we don’t have a little bit more coming into jonte Porter that was something that if you go through some of the lineups for like late slate stuff from the other night there were a lot of top players that were playing more jonte
Porter and definitely was kind of a mistake on my side not to have but like now you can Rectify that mistake pretty easily when you see 26% going towards that young as the the like quote unquote safe play between the two but like we have jonte Porter projected for more
Minutes so I yeah I see it exactly the same way you do where I’m a little bit confused what’s going on with it here I think the other discussion point that I’m just confused on is Gary Trent having double- digigit ownership here because there are many ways where these
Minutes continue to hover around 2200 like or sorry like 20 22 minutes here because sh wrote her quickly like getting involved quite a bit on the floor together RJ Barrett uh you know obviously going to a true Center I guess like a Jon Porter for a lot of these
Minutes as well like I just don’t see what the utility of having a double digit owned Gary Trent is when there’s so many other pieces in later games here like in the N Smith range in if sga’s out like there’s so many guys that I wouldn’t want to have like a 20-minute
Tops Gary Trent who’s a you know 18.7% usage but like overall just a terrible Fantasy Point per minute guy over the course of the Season 74 why is he double digit owned I just I I have him I don’t I don’t want to have him by the way 52
Yard rushing TouchDown for J uh for Josh Allen Jesus you gotta be kidding me in case you need that um I I did I did not because I basically got off all of my Josh Allen because yeah I’m a fish you said it anyway uh 4,300 for Gary Trent point guard shooting guard
Eligibility um I think it’s just a function of the slate and the position that’s causing it to happen like who do you like more Gary Trent or Sam Hower today Sam Hower by a mile interesting okay like I’m not so sure that those guys are all that different really yeah um there’s
$400 is a lot I mean there’s there’s at least that to 13% in ownership I think probably makes up for that a little bit too yeah I would say that you know there’s probably an argument to be made for that so um way good yeah I think for me it’s
More of like all right I’m playing a 3900 Sam Hower because he gets me other things in a lineup there are other opportunities other guys that I can have access to 4300 I I just kind of like go immediately to Indiana and I look at like Isaiah Jackson he’s 4600 you’ve got
Um you know a number of pieces like Jordan a war has shown up in that rotation maybe we see him continue to to be there in the event the nce Smith isn’t there but like he played 18 minutes in a competitive spot against Washington with no n Smith so like I
Think there’s a chance for him to potentially be there at 3100 uh you know obviously OKC everybody’s appealing like Isaiah Joe 3,800 would be the absolute nutties and he’s much cheaper there you know L Dort cassen Wallace kenri Williams like there’s so many of those guys that would be far more appealing
Obviously those games are much much later and so you have to kind of make up your decision it’s like I’m more inclined to to take in $3,900 fund value that everybody’s jamming and know that I’m holding hands with like 40 50% of the field and that’s
Kind of the other thing where the Sims tool kind of just gears you in that direction because like Gary Trent you you really are trying to get different there but you’re playing a 1V one Sam Hower for $400 cheaper and then just hoping that he goes out and Flames
Throws quick but I think Samer we’re projecting for more minutes he’s cheaper for me it just kind of feels like it’s all right but yeah as you said 30% difference in ownership is definitely still a thing are you liking anything else for Toronto no I mean I’m Emanuel quickly
Stand I bet on him I 6,900 now it’s pretty tough sharing the floral lot here with Dennis Sher two were starting to accumulate sample size but you know that that assist rate is going to be an issue with they’re going to be sharing more floor time together and it’s not Gary
Trent out there but um Pascal sakam 8K not really getting there either did you say you were getting to any Scotty Barnes because obviously 8,800 he’s $1,000 dollar cheaper than the two guys that we want to get to and Donovan Mitchell Jason Tatum on the other side
Of this game but like 8,800 for the sake of getting different the guy is over a 1.3 DraftKings points per minute player and uh he is very very good with point guard small forward eligibility I’m just not getting there today not a single share I’ve got a little bit of Thad um a
Little over on RJ Barrett I’m neutral on Pascal seaka neutral on shuder quickly over on Trent like I mentioned but yeah I find Scotty Barnes very very difficult to get to holy [ __ ] the Spurs are running down the Hawks only down six now stop it no that means Trey young went
Like way over that number by now yeah what did you need yeah well it was at so I mean at 31 and a half half was the was the deal and 31 and a half was yeah he’s at 33 I just saw he had 29 at half so I
Knew I was like I was on Slim margins there and wiim Bama is at 28 I need him to go under 33 and a half very badly Spurs out scored them by 15 in the third quarter they’re up 11 in the fourth quarter but they’re still down nine
Guess that’s what happens when you build a bit of a lead I hate it here well if you like uh money and uh if you’re not ol rat bet mgm’s got a hell of a deal for you today if you click the link in the description or the one that
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Most states is 21 or over and if you or someone you know has a gambling problem please call or text 1 800 Gambler Indiana Pacers seven-point dogs in Utah 245 total single digit ownership to everybody on Indiana right now the problem for the Pacers is that there’s a
Q tag on Bruce Brown there’s no Tyrese halberton there’s a q tag on Aaron n Smith we need those Q tags because they will create some value but if everybody is in I find it really difficult to find one guy on the Pacers that you like they
Kind of all just look the same yep it’s uh all the tags have been adjusted to a certain extent but if neith is out I think there’s at least something we can mine out of this I mean there’s uh God Isaiah Jackson I have such an Isaiah Jackson problem every slate like this
Where he’s 5% owned but he’s 4600 and we know that he’s going to play backup center minutes to Miles Turner more than likely 18 and 20 with the last two and and seeing him be more of like a fundamental part of this rotation again yeah there’s a minute’s downside but
Like there’s also chances for him to play blowout run they seven-point dogs there’s chances where Jackson plays really really well which happens quite frequently 1.25 DraftKings points per minute guy I mean God at 4.7% I’m playing more of him than I should um so there’s that Jaylen Smith 5400 I think
He would obviously look a little tick better Bruce Brown Jr not really getting to that one here at the moment and even TJ McConnell I got a couple of shares of I I’ve brought him up a lot of times even at 7K and knowing that he’s coming
Off the bench but 25 minutes 26 minutes there are chances that he lands into those kind of spots and he’s the best fantasy Point per minute player on the entire team besides Cali Burton so it is what it is um I I don’t know it’s a team
That I think because of the game environment obviously the tags are not conducive for what you’re trying to do on any slate but like on a five gamer like this I think finding ways to just get to a couple of them over the field which isn’t all that hard kind of
Something I’m willing to embrace and hope n Smith lands out I was over a quite a bit on N Smith earlier I’m not now I’m two Xing on nard no one should be surprised I have 8% he’s four and then I have 12% of OB toppen but I’m just unless we get n
Smith and or Bruce Brown out I think this be this like entire situation becomes really really gross yeah it’s pretty gross in general but yeah it’s just all these like MP shooting guard small forward dudes that are like 5,500 to 6500 how do you trust who you get because I don’t yeah you
Don’t trust it but I will say one thing is that it’s an hour and a half until the OKC Lakers game tips off and like we don’t know the way that news is going to break or what time that news is going to drop but like if you get to 9:00 p.m.
Eastern time and this game locks and then you get the news afterwards like it’s all right to have a couple of these guys like there’s massive upside with the game environment alone 245 total 119 implied team total like that’s not nothing obviously it’s not reflective of like the rotation and the salaries or
Anything like that but like if you had Benedict Maan 6400 to go out and just Chuck it every single time down the floor I wouldn’t be surprised 23% usage it can be a thing that occurs for you I think if you made me play one guy in one
Lineup right now it’s disturbing to say out loud but I I still think Isaiah Jackson would be that guy for me all righty Utah it’s very different call it 15% ownership to Colin seon John Collins Kelly oin keontay George Chris Dunn lri marinan and Walker Kessler you also get Jordan Clarkson at
34% you’ve got Simone fonio at eight everybody is getting love for Utah it probably helps to face the 26 rank defense and number two team in Pace I’ve got a bunch of these guys but some guys I just don’t have at all some guys I’m 2x in the field I’m neutral on Clarkson
I think you just kind of have to have a bunch of Utah I just don’t know if you have any confidence in the guys that you’re getting but I’m more than 2x in L marinin so I’m getting the guys that at least have real talent yeah that’s probably a good way
To do things is like getting to guys who are more likely to score points I like that I hope I hope I like that Jordan Clarkson 6700 I mean the guy has been outrageous for the last month and a half um you’re looking at low 30s pretty much
Every time he touches the floor might Mis rotation in some type of blowouts but he’s probably a reason for some of the blowouts here of late um it’s a team that’s what eight- two in their last 10 I mean this is a Utah team that’s starting to figure some stuff out and
This is obviously the number one matchup you would want on the other side them are Washington uh one or two in some capacity because they bring pace and they bring really no defensive presence besides Miles Turner on the days he decides to play defense so Jordan
Clarkson I’m just fine getting to him a 34.5% ownership yeah that that’s fine I think it gets a little me messy when you talk about oen and Kesler being the next two in terms of ownership here I get more marinin I anybody listens to me I I always get overweight to Lorie marinin
Because the minutes also so have a chance to Trail up here shortly we could be seeing 34 35 36 minutes for him in some of these competitive spots they’ve played a lot of blowouts recently the Denver game wasn’t even all that competitive the Toronto game was definitely not competitive and so you
Know you have a seven-point favorite here we have them in for just 33 minutes 35 36 is well within the range of outcomes and that would be awfully fun small forward power forward 8,400 1.3 DraftKings points per minute those are all really nice things so there’s a lot
Of interest I have specifically in Clarkson Markin in I just don’t find a lot of value here to mine out you named the two two of the three guys that I’m getting the most of the third is a guy that you did not uh tend to enjoy and that was Walker oh okay
There you go Walker kler h 5K Center I think it’s just a little bit of that is just like running away from The Fad young ownership too and it’s funneling me a little bit I only have them in for 21 minutes we have them in for 20 do I
Love it no but just Center’s kind of weird on on this slate today so I’m kind of punting it to a degree uh I’m getting a bit of fonio at 4600 considering he’s only 8% owned he’s a guy that is just out there and always a part of their
Stuff minutes have been trending down a little bit though so I’m I’m I’m mildly nervous like I don’t have John Collins I do have a little bit of Chris D which I hate but the position really gets you there he’s only 10% own it’s not too bad
I think ultimately you just need to have a bunch of Utah their aggregate exposure is 146% so you’re talking about like one Utah guy or two Utah guys and basically everything that you see built I have just I have basically the same amount of aggregate ownership it’s either just big
Stands and not a lot and like so I’m I’m sort of like taking extremes instead of where you see the ownership today is basically just like Giant averages I’m either doubling it or going to zero okay I mean that’s on a five game slate I
Have no problem with it on on five game sleep with no value I have no problem with it I just think you know maybe something shows up from OKC maybe it doesn’t um for you with Walker Kesler it’s like you have him for 21 minutes I
I think for me it’s just a little bit different when I have him at 20 and then I have Isaiah Jackson for 17 and it’s like well Walker Kessler is pulling 16% ownership to like a sub five% Isaiah Jackson he’s got the better Fantasy Point per minute rate obviously it’s
Close to being neutral in terms of projection when you talk about that difference and then the difference in their Fantasy Point per minute rates but yep I I totally get everything that you’re doing here with Utah I think as we talk about these centers whether that’s Walker Kessler or you mentioned
Isaiah Jackson I think the moral of the story for all of them is I don’t know why people aren’t paying attention to jonte Porter yeah I I think honestly that might be the the guy that we talked about 4200 like there’s a pronounced it’s upside coming his way at some point
In time like that this could be one of those I’m trying to think of like the center rotations that we’ve seen where it’s like 22 26 but 26 towards the bench guy I think that’s Walker like two months or like a month and a half ago yeah that’s true but jonte Porter me
4200 and once people see it once it happens you can’t capitalize on it the same way like that’s the that’s the other part of it like he’s 3% now right if this ends up being the flip if this is the opportunity that jonte Porter gets to play over Thad young for any
Kind of a pronounced run you’re missing the boat because then everybody he’s going to be popular next slate so I do think that like doing these last couple shows with you like jonte Porter is the guy that like oh maybe I should be playing more on this slate than I am but
Like can’t really do anything about it now because everything’s filled yeah and like it’s not I’m not saying to jam him or anything but if he’s projected for three or four perc ownership and you’re like all right I’d like you know 15 or 16 that’s a pretty big stand that
Doesn’t necessarily have to ruin the rest of your night and you’re get like you you see all these other centers like Walker Kessler already at 16% ownership he looks like a nice gpp play I am very very very here for it now final thing for me to touch on is going
To be you guys using the promo code drive to sign up for the NFL Sims Max package that’s going to take you all the way through the Super Bowl if you wanted to check out what we’ve got on the NFL side it’s $99 to finish off the season
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The season I think it’s a pretty good deal again promo Cod is Drive $99 to close out the season final game fantastic 10:30 start enjoy it OKC onepoint favorites in Los Angeles 238 total the elephant in the room is the Q tag on Shay gilis Alexander he’s projected for 22%
Ownership we’re seeing 22% going to Jaylen Williams as well 10 to 15 on chat Isaiah Joe and Lou Dort scattered ownership to everybody else there’s not much to say like obviously play Shay gildas Alexander if he’s in he’s really good there aren’t that many pay up
Options I have no qualms getting there I kind of like Anthony Davis on the other side more no matter what but it’s not the point it’s Shay like everybody gets it I don’t think we need any like real Shay thoughts so do you like anything for OKC if Shay plays other than
Shay other than Shay no uh confidently just agree that like we like Shay we like Shay we like Shay very much chadol grin I always get around the field or a little bit over again he’s been the best rookie in the NBA until Victor wanyama second half against the Hawks it would
Appear but sgaa uh [ __ ] guys he’s very very good at basketball and if you need me to tell you that I I don’t know 1.6 DraftKings points per minute you go to his prop market and 31 and a half 32 and a half in the points in the in the in
The prop market right now you’re looking at assist Baseline you know sitting six six and a half in this kind of a spot no D’Angelo Russell on the other side is kind of sad um where like the opportunity of no D’Angelo Russell because like you know I I I assume that
He ends up playing basketball here tonight but we don’t know that for sure he got downgraded to questionable so uh usually that leads them towards being out but like I kind of want him to be in for SGA just to watch him toou with D’Angelo Russell and Austin Reeves a
Little bit but he’s going to do that against good Defenders he is outrageous he is good you should get to him I think a little Jaylen Williams is right 22% feels a little bit extreme here but like yeah if sga’s out now we can like flip
It cuz this is this is where I think like Josh giddy ends up being the guy that what does his minutes ceiling look like with with sgaa out he doesn’t really normally get like a massive bump but he has been playing a little bit less I think you’re probably projecting him for like 31 okay cuz it it just feels like from a ball handling perspective I like they can have other guys rotate in but we haven’t we haven’t seen like the the Josh giddy games of last year where he would get up to 32 34 minutes like he’s been pretty hard capped all year around
That 30 number like he hasn’t exceeded it in I don’t know how many games it is now it’s been like an eternal amount but like I’m it’s just one of those things where I think about it from a tournament perspective depending on when the SGA news drops he’s either going to be in
And then we know OKC looks exponentially less appealing or he ends up out early and everybody floods to gy and I just think that I would be willing to play way over the field on chat Jaylen Williams Dort Joe Wallace kenrich maybe like gets maybe a little bit more but
Like I do think gidd is the one guy that I’m at least apprehensive about and I have a feeling that people will end up jamming if that news comes before lock so just something to keep in mind because I think he would be a very interesting part of of this slate
Considering 1.15 DraftKings points per minute player you would see an increase to it but do you really see an increase to the minutes I’m not sure yeah if we get Shay out I mean you’re obviously wanting to get to as much of OKC as you can at that point the entire scope of
The team changes if it happens after nine o’clock the value becomes less interesting it’s probably just unlocking ad or Lebron for you in those situations um but like Cas Wallace is going to become like a really nice play giddy is going to go from what he is now
To like very popular Jaylen Williams will become very much more popular Chad more popular I think vasel misic becomes just a hair sneaky in gpps I don’t know if it’ll matter I don’t know if he falls into enough minutes but he’s one of the few guys that are left on this team that
Has like point guard style qualities as well if they want someone else to run it K Wallace isn’t like a huge assist rate guy um so he’s kind of just maybe would be if SGA isn’t around but I would like I don’t think it’ll project well and it’s a total
Flyer but I get nervous they might dust off like they might dust off Trey man and just start him and keep everybody the same so they played Trey man 18 minutes on the 11th but that is also a game in which people played for the Oklahoma City Thunder that day is that
Good that did happen but Mich has been playing a little bit more you know four out of the last five games he’s played around 12 minutes he he’s got the skill set to step into that role and try to organize the offense a little bit more I
Just don’t know if they would want to do it but 3300 point guard you know if Kon Wallace ends up getting like 40% ownership after it happens meich will be unowned he’s also Al to not play at all I just want to put that out there very
Much so like I I think the most likely scenario if he ends up being out is that you see Getty start at the point and Wallace ends up playing shooting guard and playing a b load of minutes but you know I think that’s kind of the Assumption most people would have yeah I
Think they’re either starting Wallace or Joe in that situation yeah Lakers side though 13% ownership to ad 11 to LeBron there’s no cam reddish here I think ad is the best play on the Slate that you can pay for although don’t get me wrong I do love Donovan
Mitchell but 10,500 power forward Center the matchup fits him like a glove OKC not a great rebounding team by choice and even if they had the choice uh Chad holer is is going to have some trouble trying to move around Anthony Davis if Anthony Davis wants a rebound I think he
Is very live for like a 3020 day today I’m a big big fan of AD and the fact that you could put him in at Power Forward is the icing on the cake yeah and the fact that you know OKC 101 possessions per 48 minutes sixth fastest
Team in the NBA so you’re getting the track meet style deal there there’s nobody download yeah C hom grin’s built like a pencil that that’s useful for a guy like ad to to go up against he’s got about 70 pounds on him so useful as well
I mean that’s the thing that I think always gets underrated for Anthony Davis and some of these spots people talk about how injury prony is he has a big body over 250 pounds down in the post and can step out knock down shots one.5 DraftKings points per minute player 37
Minutes 38 minutes as many minutes a night as he can handle in these spots because they just don’t want to play Jackson Hayes anymore in the backup five role they’re going to some small ball you know Christian Wood style lineups now because it’s just working better for
Them Anthony Davis is awesome um he is he’s definitely the guy from a spend up perspective that I would want to get to the most of and then also you know I’m giving a little bit of a boost to some of the OKC guys to kind of rotate around
Stuff there I’d be okay getting to a little bit more shade than I currently have and and kind of living with that as well and maybe trimming some of the ad but um yeah there’s there’s no question that you see a 13% Anthony Davis on a five game slate against a team that
Doesn’t have like any semblance of a big body down in the post this should be really fun for him and as you said OKC one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA by choice but it is what it is anything else for the Lakers like obviously you know if you like LeBron
Play LeBron you 9900 small for powerful but the rest of the team looks terrible Christian Wood 4500 I I’m getting to a little bit of him more of like he’s played himself into this rotation and he’s been better than what he’s got right now for a Fantasy Point per minute
Rate 093 here that’s largely in part because now he’s sharing floors with Anthony Davis or LeBron James LeBron James specifically at times and Austin Reeves isn’t exactly a fantasy zero D’Angelo Russell’s not a fantasy zero both of those guys over a Fantasy Point per minute rate but um nothing that I’m
Appealed to like that I’m super excited to get to um probably G to be more of like a showdown type play I mean if Christian Wood is 4% owned and Thad young is 20s something percent owned again if you don’t want it to be jonte
Porter oh Kyle Lowry on track to play uh there’s some news for Miami that kind of came out of nowhere oh so now more uh they from yeah so great you went from zero to like negative shares of Miami guys that’s cool anything else you want
To add before we toss this one over to live before lock nope let’s get ourselves out of here go uh enjoy some football here this evening as well I’m sure we got an NFL show for that one coming up don’t we I don’t think so no
We don’t okay we’re done NBA live before lck coming up next and we end this you’d be surprised I actually read that off at uh the 615 Mark but I wouldn’t expect you to listen to that feels like Adam’s still here anyway thanks for being here everybody hit that like button shout out
To B MGM Jordan behind the virtual glass I’m G get on out of here enjoy your night peace m Oh The Good luck Jesus Jordan this guy what is happening everybody it is Monday night and I know there’s a football game on but guess what we got an NBA slate upcoming as well and myself and Matt Bellman are here to break it down for you we also got rich who’s
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Good uh no news is good news so uneventful which is always good over here um I was going to say there is a football game going on right now but we’re doing this show at a perfect time it’s halftime of the game so people can tune in get their NBA news while you
Know instead of watching whatever halim’s going on and other than that I’m good how was your weekend it was good uh and the football game is [ __ ] also which is more reason for you guys to watch this and prepare for the NBA slate because the bills are up 21 to7 right
Now I assume they’re going to end up winning in a blowouts so yeah stick around well we got the NBA slate here to go ahead and talk about and yeah it was it was a good weekend I had my dad came up and visited from Florida he just left
A little while ago my brother he’s in med school he came and stayed for the weekend as well because my dad was here so it was good hung out with the family and got to spend time with them in between the shows that I did over the
Weekend so it was it was all well and good and ready to talk some more NBA DFS just like most other days of the week here starting with the Super Chat that we have from Ace of Spade who wants to know the best options for DK tiers today
Which always I’m prepared to talk some DK tiers here and in tier one for me uh we do have some interesting talking points here about some players because SGA is in tier one He’s listed as questionable to play here’s what makes it easy for me to say go with SGA here
Is that we also have Anthony Davis and LeBron James in this tier so in a scenario Matt where SGA was to get ruled out it’s pretty easy to go well I’m just going to play Anthony Davis or Lebron James instead because they’re in the same tier they’re playing against each
Other but this is a massive piece of news on this late so outside of tiers how are you approaching the SGA situation with him being questionable heading into lock and this game being so much later than the other games that it stands the reason that when we get an
Update on SGA status all the other games are probably going to have already locked I’m with you and just for the tier question I prefer Davis over Shay anyways like I don’t know if that’s a hot take or not I think they’re projected very similarly i’ see Davis
With a slightly higher projection so I prefer him there as far as the Shay news goes I think there’s a lot of Merit in like backloading lineups tonight the two main games specifically this game is much later than any of the other games the problem is this game still doesn’t
Start until 90 minutes after that Indiana game that said if Shay is out I mean guys like Jaylen Williams Josh giddy Chad holgren Cas Wallace all of them become some of the best players on the Slate so I think it behooves you to like be able to get exposure to all of
Them even if it means sacrificing some early guys knowing that if Shay’s in you know you’re gonna have to maneuver your lineups in a different way and then Shay becomes a really good play so I like it either way to be honest yeah and I really do like getting to SGA right now
And this is one of those situations it’s very difficult to project for in terms of ownership projections because you know that’s that’s Based on data but there’s going to be a lot of people who just get into lock that otherwise might have played as that go yeah not putting
This guy who questionable into my lineups right now so I think in large field gpps he’s going to be very very low owned today so that also brings me to and we’re gonna also continue with the rest of tiers but I also want to tie
This into Ka aell asked me a player that I really like in single entry for right now it’s SGA I like the flexibility gives me by having him in and the piece who I assume is gonna be very low owned if he does ultimately end up playing
When you say very low owned like what do you think I would guess that he ends up coming in if he plays and if the news comes out when I think it’s going to I think he’s like 5% own in single entry maybe less so you’re saying if like the
News comes out at like 10 that he’s in like 10 Eastern yeah then I don’t I don’t think people play him at that point I think it’ll be hard for people to play him I think he’s a little bit higher owned than you think just because
People want to play him but I don’t have any qualms with your argument I was just curious as to what you thought that would ownership would come in as and and by the way this is specific to single entry I think he’s going to be extremely
He’s going to be under owned in large field tournaments as well if he plays but I think especially in single entry where a lot of people are just playing you know like one two oh single entry only one lineup right but people are generally like hand building one lineup
For single entry they’re just gonna be like hey no no SGA for me today don’t want to deal with the headaches of which I understand so sgaa I think is a pretty strong contrarian option that people aren’t going to want to get to and if he doesn’t play you’ll have to make some
Alterations there but tier two this is very easily Jason Tatum for me tier three Chris opsp is both Boston guys benefiting from Jaylen Brown sitting out tonight tier four I’m going with Mel Bridges but there’s a lot of guys who are really close here Bridges Derek white nick Claxton demard Rosen I can
Make a good case for Derek white here but since I already picked a couple of Boston guys and other tiers I’m gonna go with Mel Bridges in tier four tier five Chad holgren who already looks good as is but look even better in a scenario
Where if SGA does happen to sit out and then tier six I’m going to be going with Jordan Clarkson there so thank you very much uh e is spade for the Super Chat and those are my best options in each tier and if anybody is watching in the
Discord Channel you want to add us over the course of the show throw those questions in and we will certainly be answering them as we go uh let’s see what else we have on the Slate so in terms of injuries SGA is the big one He’s listed as questionable LeBron James
Questionable but he’s always questionable it’s super annoying because one day is going to get ruled out we’re going to get blindsided by it but we can’t consider these questionable injuries to be serious because these questionable the in report every day but are you like me Lebron fesi were calling
On this tonight yeah definitely I know he did Miss like it might have been their last game but I’m sure he was ruled like out before then it wasn’t this questionable when these guys are questionable I expect they play the worst questionable designation that I could remember seeing in in recent
Memory LeBron James going for the scoring record last year he’s he’s got all his friends from high school are there his kids are there sitting courtside his wife all of the celebrities are there like everybody played High School Bass with is there listed his question the injury Court
Like there was just no chance he was sitting out that game and that just goes to show just how ridiculous the Lakers injury reports could be with these scenarios so anyway I don’t take LeBron being questionable very seriously I do take SGA questionable seriously we’ve got D’Angelo Russell questionable Bruce
Brown is questionable Aaron n Smith is questionable Patrick Williams is questionable Kyle Lowry is questionable though reports indicate he’s going to warm up and intend to play it seems like he’s well officially probably more towards the probable side so that’s what we’re looking at as far as players who
Are currently questionable right now outside of sgaa are there any other of these players that are questionable that could massively impact your lineups in any kind of way no just no I mean it’s sgaa and then you know the trickle down effect isn’t really that big for the
Other guys I mean you know depending on what happens certainly guys will look you know better or worse but it’s really the SGA news is all I’m personally waiting for how about you yeah it’s mainly going to be the SGA news other stuff you know run it through the late
Swap tool here here over at stochastic and it’ll be you know little things that end up changing like D’Angelo Russell is out then yeah there’ll be some extra value that opens up from the Lakers that would change but like nothing that would cause me to massively overhaul my
Lineups in the same way as if SGA was about to be ruled out so let’s talk about that scenario and let’s assume right now that we just have flexibility and we could kind of get to whoever we wanted to I want to give people a sense
Of who’s going to benefit the most in a scenario where SGA doesn’t play so let’s talk about it from a couple of different angles here Matt first off where the minutes go and then second where the usage goes so in a scenario where SGA is
To be ruled out who do you expect would be the cheap guy that you’re most apt to want to get to definitely the cheap guy is K Wallace should step into really big minutes uh he’s a rookie out of Kentucky you know he’s already in the rotation so
I would expect him to be a heavy part of the rotation the sleeper there is Trey man who is a better fantasy guy than case and Wallace I would expect Wallace to play more but I think Trey man is would become very viable in like large
Field gpps um so yeah how about you yeah I’m gonna also assume that it’s going to be Wallace is the guy who would benefit the most as far as the cheap guys go particularly because we’ve already seen his minutes kind of start to Trend up now here’s the downside
Dog [ __ ] as a fantasy producer K Wallace this year is playing 21.4 minutes per game averaging 14.084 case and Wallace but still that would make him viable on this sort of slate for sure now if we talk about the other end of things in Cas Wallace yeah that would
Be a cheap guy that I’d be trying to get to Terence man could potentially see more minutes Isaiah Joe is another guy so isaia Jo I already have some lineups in right now with him in so my expectation would be that in terms of players that be prioritized and be like
Isaiah Joe and case Wallace and then maybe Trey man is more like a tertiary value option I’d be looking at from OKC but now as far as the other guys go right the players that are normally part of the line up Chad holgren Josh giddy Jaylen Williams I’ve got some data
Pulled up here on the usage for the Oklahoma City Thunder when SGA is off the court and there’s some there’s some interesting stuff here Matt first off who would you guess leads the Oklahoma City Thunder in usage in minutes that SGA has not played this year Jaylen Williams yeah easy Jaylen Williams there
Here’s something that I didn’t really expect to see because Josh giddy hasn’t been shooting the ball as much this year he’s a 23.3% usage rate in minutes that he’s played Without SGA something else as well with with with uh with Josh giddy is that his minutes have been on
The decline this year like we haven’t seen him play a whole bunch I would think that he stands to gain the most even vers some of the the minimum salary guys he STS the game the most in terms of playing time that I’d feel good about like Josh giddy I think would really
Really see a change in what we could expect for his ceiling of minutes if there is no sgaa on the court so here are the recent games that we’ve gotten out of Josh giddy from a playing time perspective 27 minutes last game that was the most that he had played in a
Meaningful amount of time because before that 27 minutes 22 minutes 20 minutes 26 23 22 26 26 21 so Josh giddy’s minutes haven’t been really as high this year as it was in previous years last season we saw Josh giddy average 31 minutes per game he’s not played over 30
Minutes since November 12th it’s been a long time two over two months and Josh giddy last played 30 minutes if sja is out I feel pretty good saying giddy plays north of 30 minutes today in a competitive game so Josh giddy would look much better in a scenario where
There is no of SGA as with Jaylen Williams but Josh giddy is somebody who I don’t get to really much of right now that I would be prioritizing and get into as many lineups as possible if SGA sets I’m with that I love jayen Jaylen Williams in that scenario giddy you
Talked about Chad Holmgren those are the main three and the one you know you mentioned how case Wallace is not a good fantasy producer and he’s not so on one hand you know he’s gonna play more minutes with the likes of Giddy and Jaylen Williams tonight but on the other
There’s gonna be no Shay so maybe he has a little bit higher usage in this spot than he otherwise might normally not not saying that’s for sure but could see it I mean honestly Shay is so good and takes up so much usage that everyone gets a huge bump doesn’t mean they’re
All gonna play well but everyone gets a huge bump on paper yeah and that’s also true as well it’s not like it’s not like we have to say there’s only one player every single other player on the Oklahoma City Thunder would look better one thing that
I was a little surprised by Chad holgren this year only a 23.3% % usage rate when we’ve seen SJ off the court now sure that is the same number as Josh giddy but I thought we’d see a little bit higher of usage for chat but I guess
It’s harder for him to actually get the ball in those kind of scenarios where SG is off the court he still does lead the team in fantasy production with SG off the court this year 1.27 DraftKings points per minute for chatt minutes without SGA 1.31 FanDuel minutes that
Leads the team in both categories the other players this year that are averaging over a DK Fantasy Point per minute when SGA is off the court jayen Williams both of them I’ve said before it should be illegal team should not be allowed to have two players on the same
Team with the same name too confusing but there’s Jaylen Williams Jaylen with a Y and then Jaylen with an E so they both score over a Fantasy Point per minute but j a y l n Williams not some to be considering either way for today
And then Josh gidd is the other one so of the guys that actually get rotation minutes Chad holgren Jaylen Williams Josh giddy all of them average over a Fantasy Point per minute the closest to that of the guys who come off the bench Trey man 0.95 fantasy points per minute
When he plays without SGA which is probably the majority of his minutes because drayman’s mostly been in mop-up duty this year so that’s kind of a a rundown of everything we’d be looking at for OKC if SGA doesn’t play but is there anything else you would add to the SGA
Situation no not really I mean I think we covered it I think if he’s out you want as much of OKC as you can get to if he’s in I want him we got a very interesting question Discord here I like where your head is at I love money is
His name and I love money is asking us thoughts on Fading the first three games and focusing on the last two games so I love money I presume you’re only playing one lineup today and you’re trying to figure out the best way to navigate for the different news situations what do
You think of this strategy Matt should I Love Money be fading the first three games on this lead just playing the last two games giving themselves maximum flexibility when I I don’t know if should is the right answer but I think that is a totally viable way to play it
I mean I think if sga’s in you’re a little bit hamstrung just because all the best plays then are really expensive like the Lakers guys are expensive SGA is expensive if SGA ends up being out I think that’s the optimal way to build because I don’t think five OKC players
Six OKC players in that scenario is a bad play however you’re you know going in that if he’s in you’re not totally screwed but you’re just really hamstrung in ter in terms of building a lineup so I don’t know if shoulds the right answer I think it’s viable you could you could
You’re very dependent on SGA sitting if you do that though very dependent because if you get into that scenario and then SGA is in you’re kind of [ __ ] because so much of the good value so much of the good value have already happened and my favorite pay up option
On this slate is Jason Tatum and you’re gonna be missing out on Jason Tatum if you aren’t playing the earlier games because right now if I look through let me look at my exposures so the two later games are Lakers OKC and Utah Indiana the guys
That I think you really want to be getting to from the early games this is another way we could break it down as well Matt is who are the players from the early games that we feel like you have to have some exposure to even if you’re only playing one lineup these are
Players who I think you should definitely want to have in lineups or at least consider uh Sam Hower Jason Tatum Dennis Smith Jr is another one for me kind of unfortunate but that just kind of is the case with with this slate and then also Thad young who’s going to be a
Popular play in the front court and going up against the Boston Celtics kind surprised th young has been priced up a little bit more aggressively especially on DraftKings considering he’s been playing pretty big minutes for Toronto is there anybody you would add to that list or take away from that list that
Are high priorities for you for the first three games on the Slate so for me and this is another reason I think it’s more viable than you do there isn’t anyone in the early games that I think is like a lot you have to play them I
Think the guys you mentioned are all good plays but for me if Shay is out the other guys are better plays so like you are taking a risk but none of those guys are like the you know jayen Hardies without Luca type of plays they’re good plays for the Slate but the slate
Doesn’t have that many good plays there isn’t a ton of value yeah as of right now not not a ton of value and if SGA is is out that would certainly change it but so the one guy that I think you absolutely want to have
From the early games and I agree like I have Sam Hower a bunch right now I if if SGA was to be rolled out I’d probably regret the amount of of Sam Hower I have right now but I I would not want to forgo Jason Tatum on this late with
Jaylen Brown out and then also Jason Tatum being pretty reasonably priced Jason Tatum on FanDuel is 10,000 and then on DraftKings he’s just below 10K so he is my overall favorite spend up option right now is it Tatum for you is there somebody else that as of right now
You do like spending up for I like Anthony Davis a lot um and again like our tools are think they’re very similar plays they’re back toback in the boom bus tool Tatum’s getting more ownership because of the price because of the price tag but it’s not like he’s coming in as
Big chalk either the other part of this which I think that we didn’t really touch on is that Indiana Utah does have a lot of good plays so if you get the Shen new like maybe right before that game that he’s in you can play a lot of
Mid- tier from that Utah game you’re really screwed if you get SGA is in after that so we see this very eye to eye um I don’t like Tatum as much as you do but I think you could be fine either way on that stance like he’s 23% owned
You know I think he’s a good play he’s 21% chance to be optimal so I think he’s a really good play but not a must like he is for you yeah it’s uh he’s my favorite spend up option right now it also really helps the positions he’s
Eligible at at the forward spots that’s something else that I think makes him look pretty good and then also I will read off his fan fantasy production with Jaylen Brown off the court which is good shouldn’t surprise anybody and you know in all scenarios Jason Tatum is a very
Good fantasy producer but this year when you take Jason uh when you put Jason Tatum on the court without Jaylen Brown 1.45 DraftKings points per minute which is a very high Mark there for Jason Tatum so consider one and a half fantasy points for minute for this guy and then
If he’s going to be playing minutes in like the mid to upper 30s as we expect you’re looking at a pretty hefty projection for Jason Tatum there so that is my favorite spend up couple other questions that we have coming in in from the super chats as well as questions for
Us in Discord and don’t forget if you guys want to be in our Discord Channel Sign up for any package at stochastic docomo affordable one we have is the NBA lineup generator package less than $15 and uh later on because it doesn’t look like we’re GNA have some kind of crazy
Influx and news so let’s say maybe like 15 minutes Jordan 10 15 minutes we’ll build some lineups in the lineup jener we’ll put them up on screen for FanDuel and DraftKings and we’ll see what looks good there so if you guys want to sign up for any package at stochastic use one
Of the links that we have below and then you get access ACC to her Discord shy get at me whenever you want over the course of the day at night uh middle of the night if you want to send me some you know nice messages or sex me in the
Disc all all fair game I answer I’m I’m I have to do anything there there are people who are in the Discord map people don’t know this I am absolutely obligated to answer any kind of requests or questions I get in the Discord channel so all day all night I’m in
There you guys can at me whenever with questions really about anything uh but uh some more some more Super chats as well as the question in Discord first here uh true rages he’s got his entire cash game lineup here and wants to know if we have any issues with it so yeah I
Do have a couple of issues so he has Dennis Smith Jr Sam Hower case Wallace Tatum jonte parter Keon George 80 Chad holgren wants to know what he should take out I would not play case Wallace in a cash game I wouldn’t play jonte Porter in a cash game either same I do
Have kind of an interesting you know point that kind of messes how me and you feel together I don’t think there’s anything wrong with just playing Jason Tatum and then waiting for the late news because like we said you’re already screwed if Shay is out so like if you
Play Tatum like you’re just basically playing him over Anthony Davis in my opinion which SGA being out doesn’t really affect how you feel about Anthony Davis I think that’s viable play Tatum and then not no one else I think you should play Same Hower in cash games
He’s projected oh I was just talking about the first question not about the cash game question okay yeah yeah yeah so as far as the cash game goes we uh see that true rages doesn’t have Sam Hower in his cash game lineup Hower is projected for 40% ownership he’s
Probably going to be like 70 to 80% owned in cash games in tournaments do you need to have Sam Hower no because if SG gets ruled out other value opens up but I I have a whole bunch of Sam howage my most rostered value play and I really
Think you’re screwing yourself in cash games if you don’t play them because if SGA plays then you just don’t have access to one of the best overall value plays on the Slate it’s also going to enable you to eat easier get up to some of the studs that you’re looking at getting to
So I really think you should be playing Sam Hower in cash games I don’t like jontay Porter or Cas Wallace for cash on this like Cas wall looks great if SGA is out but that’s that’s a big dice to roll for a cash game where you’re not looking
For a top 1% lineup you’re looking for a lineup that beats most of the lineups in the field not all of them James wall oh yeah sorry go ahead I mean he’s probably not gonna score great anyways even if Shay is out he’s definitely not a cash
Play because your second point that I was about to say you’re trying to beat the entire field you’re just trying to get in that top half all right let’s see what we end up getting toh for other questions next one is James McGruder wants to know best play at each position
And favorite cheap values okay so let’s go ahead and go position by position for DraftKings because I know James is a DK player here and we could go with our favorite players at each position match starting point guard will go back and forth and let’s start at point guard
Where I’m going to go with Dennis Smith junor how about yourself it’s so hard to answer without having the Shen news but I guess you know saying he’s in I’ll agree with you nsj all right so let’s go to shooting guard then shooting guard my favorite
Guy at shooting guard that is going to be Jordan Clarkson Clarkson for me too next position we got the small forward spot small forward that is currently Sam Hower for me how about you it’s small forward I like him anyways and I love him if shs
Out give me Jaylen Williams yep so I kind of want to throw in like uh so Jason Tatum for me a power forward I’ll throw in Jaylen Williams as well so one of the ways that I do think is very reasonable to play this slate is to give
Roi boosts in The Sims tool to other guys from OKC that we already would view as like okay plays that would really benefit in the absence of SGA so the two guys that stand out the most to me that we should be doing this for are Jaylen
Williams and Josh kidy I gave both of them positive y boost makes him show up in a little bit more of my lineups and it’s going to do a couple of things for me gives me more flexibility F sh is out but then also just guys that I already
Would be fine with having them in some lineups here so I think that’s the best way to play it in The Sims tool we just got Gary Trent out does that do anything for you time Gary Trent is out Patrick Williams is also out so rich is updating
The projections we’ll bring him in in a couple minutes but yes it absolutely does especially because this is a slate where we didn’t have a whole lot of value it’s it’s two pieces that came out in a row here so it’s Patrick Patrick Williams being out that’s not going to
Really move the needle in any kind of real profound way for me Gary Trent being out though this is gonna kind of force Toronto to play some bigger lineups and then also let me go ahead and look at Toronto because no point was I expecting Gary Trent to be sitting and
Now all of a sudden we have to start asking like hey does jont porter maybe come more into consideration per the for the Super Chat we had before where somebody at jonte Porter in his lineup because before when Gary Trent was out you know there was like OG anobi could
Just play 40 minutes every game but now we do have some minutes that are available Off the Bench I think that Dennis Schroeder is one guy that we have to look at as being a little bit of a stronger option I think we’re going to see more of Sher and quickly play
Together than we otherwise would have yeah uh now Toronto all the main guys I don’t think there’s anyone like Off the Bench that I like but all the main pieces now all just look a little bit better I think you can put um RJ Barrett in that mix too like quick Le
Schroeder and Barrett all look better yeah let’s see what are these guys price point so I was already getting some exposure to Schroeder and to quickly I think it’s pretty reasonable to expect each of them to play a couple more minutes I agree with you on RJ Barrett as well uh jonte
Porter is somebody who once again like not like directly benefiting from the absence of Gary Trent but I I just have to think this means a little bit more of a trend towards Toronto playing bigger lineups so there isn’t one guy that I want to jam from Toronto but it’s just
Across the board a little bit more Thad young a little bit more Dennis schroer a little bit more quickly Barrett is that more or less how you’re seeing it as well yeah 100 perc I’m looking to see now if uh OKC plays tomorrow which they
Do a TNT game against the Clippers so I have no idea how that affects the shanus if it does but maybe makes me lean slightly more that he might not play I don’t know who do they what is the matchup that OKC has tomorrow again TNT game against the Clippers his former
Team for whatever that means yeah could be we could end up we could end up seeing him I mean he’s young my if he sits it’s just because he’s physically unable to in my opinion they’re not yeah for sure for sure yeah but uh pretty interesting and let’s bring Rich in here
If you wouldn’t mind Jordan and let’s ask him a couple of things first Patrick Williams just ruled out does that really significantly change anything rich because at first glance like all right there’s some extra minutes to go around here for Chicago but not anybody who becomes like massively desirable for the
Bulls is there anything that I’m missing there no you’re pretty spot on with the bulls rotation uh Patrick Williams missed last game and I assumed that Dal Terry was going to get a lot of his minutes when he was out but he he didn’t he barely got any and Javon Carter oddly
Enough saw a big bump in minutes that game tonight they’re playing Cleveland so I wouldn’t be surprised that Chicago could definitely get away with having some more small ball lineups because V and Drummond will be handling the the five um yeah yeah and also just to back
Up your points some of those end of bench minutes I mean we saw 23 for Javon Carter it doesn’t really make him massively desirable Terry to your point only played three so the Bulls Patrick Williams out we’ve seen this doesn’t really change all that much but then the
Gary Trent news that kind of comes out of left field and Matt and I were kind of speculating here like all right what are we going to do for Toronto and I think it makes a lot of guys on Toronto look better not one guy who goes from
Like an unknown guy to a jam type play but who’s the value option Off the Bench that you do think potentially benefits the most is it jonte Porter or is it somebody else um no I was asking I was asking Rich M no you’re good uh the the guy I think will benefit
The most you kind of touched on that as well is I think you take a harder look at Dennis schruder I think he will play alongside Manuel quickly like you said a lot more and then I think the starters just get a couple extra minutes they
Stay out for a little bit longer a time and then they just rotate like Jaylen McDaniels and Chris bue in for a couple more minutes as well it’s not really a Gary Trent out and all his minutes just go to the next guy on the bench kind of
Thing yeah and let’s go ahead and check some of the projections here because we did just get that update that rich pushed through so Jordan if you wouldn’t mind pulling that up on screen we could let uh Rich get back to the Discord and updating project in case there’s any
Kind of other breaking news that comes in let’s just do a recap of some of those projections that rich just updated so let’s go to the Toronto Raptors if you wouldn’t mind pulling them on screen here Jordan and we could see what some of those updated numbers look like for
This team now because we’ve got uh oh never mind I Gary Trent update not quite pushed through yet but will be soon I thought it was for some reason and then I just looked at it incorrect we’ll come back to this in a second when it is all
Updated but in the uh in the interim let’s get to more of your guys questions here so we’ve got uh the Super Chat we answered that one from James mcder although does this change anything Matt who’s your overall value play favorite value play on the Slate um man with Shay
In there’s the value is so dirt on this slate um you brought a lot of good VOC with you the show today by the way oh thank you I’m gonna say no matter what Cas Wallace like because I think he’s in play either way but if Shay is out I’m
Fine playing him over Houser even if Shay is in I think they’re like the exact same price so give me uh Cas Wallace I am going to go with Thad young for now Thad young is gonna be the guy who I answer for uh this question and
Now let’s get back into the Discord Channel and see what some of the people in Discord have for us as far as questions are concerned and cool of course go to open up Discord and immediately closes on me here we go Nick Rue Nick is getting to a ton of Dennis
Smith Jr across his 20 lineups any good pivots first off I don’t have an issue with getting to a lot of Dennis Smith Jr who’s your favorite pivot off of Dennis Smith Jr though Matt my favorite he’s 4,800 um my favorite pivot off of him is man uh maybe Chris
Dunn it is a Keon George for me Keon George $4,900 projected about a third of the ownership of Dennis Smith Jr only a $100 salary difference between the two of them so I think that’s the easiest way to go from one guy to the other would be paying the $100 extra and
Getting yourself to Keon George instead of Dennis Smith Jr I’m well overweights the field on George I think he’s a good contrarian play but Dennis SM junr I think is also a a good-looking chalk option on this slate I’m right there in line with the field on him and then Rico
Rod 1980 wants know favorite FanDuel single entry option so if you’re building a one lineup on FanDuel right now Matt who are one or two guys you’d want to prioritize for a FanDuel single entry for a FanDuel single entry um pulling up the data right now I’m gonna go with Anthony Davis um
Oh no yeah I’m still gonna go with Anthony Davis uh coming in with a little bit of leverage number one in our boom bus tool um you know the power forward eligibility that really helped so give me Davis 23% chance of being optimal only getting 20% ownership give me AB
I’m going to go with Bruce Brown who still only sub 20% owned despite some of the success that he’s had in showing upside in recent games without Tyrese halberton halberton remains out and I do think that Bruce brownon who’s going a little bit underrepresented on fand where the pricing is a little bit
Tighter today and he’s only $5,800 so Bruce Brown who in my set of lineups here I ended up more than double the field on him good option to be getting to grown grown Simba wants to know who our so say this this grown Simba he always wants to
Know about the Exotic plays of the day Matt who who’s your favorite exotic play of the night and now keep in mind that when we ask this question Eric he’s only allowed to answer a white guy but you we gonna open up the door you could whoever
You want it to be for whatever reason who’s your exotic play of the night I am gonna go with a white guy give me chat HR oh look at you yeah look at you no matter what SGA in or out I I really like that game so give me chck I’m actually gonna
Answer let me see which way do I want to go I’m gonna go with Keon George we got they asked that question in chat earlier about a good pivot off of Dennis Smith Jun went to Keon George I’m gonna stick with Keon George as somebody who’s good to be
Getting to for this late exotic play of the night keante George crack in tiles he is late to the show but the Sims are showing all the Sam maral I want he wants to know is that gross also wants to know if we have any good pivots so one thing I’m going
To ask first is which site are you playing on you’re getting yourself to a lot of Sam Merill I am going to assume that you’re getting to more of Sam Marill on FanDuel than DraftKings because I get to some of Sam Marill building DK L not a ton but if you build
FanDuel L you are going to be getting to a lot of Sam marrow so Kraken tiles oh actually for owner box all right so I was 0 for two there it was uh none of the above he’s getting to him on owner’s box so let me pull up the owner’s box
Pricing because I don’t know it off the top of my head here and find a good pivot for him on owner box all right so if we go ahead and look at the projections page and now also by the way Jordan the Raptor projections are
Updated so we could show that on here in a second as well but owner box the price on Sam Merrill is 3,100 all right so that’s just a crazy price they have samal Min price on owner’s box that is totally fine at the owner box price
$3,100 if he was 3100 on DraftKings we’d be jamming them over there as well so I’m good with owner box there Kraken tiles i’ say stick with them as far as pivots go there’s nobody really Sam Marill is guard eligible at $3,100 the next best projected backourt player that’s closest to Sam
Marell it’s nobody there’s nobody in that price range that’s anywhere close to them there are no pivots so stick with Sam marrow Tim Lee flag plant is there a low on guy that you’re planting your flag in today Matt just aggressively plant that flag in there
And be like this is who I’m playing who who you playing you’re flagging I don’t think Chad hren is getting that much ownership is he uh let’s see we I think we might have an ownership update and what is the most recent yes we’ve an ownership update
From one minute ago that’s at 60 seconds in in uh Celsius time chedr 16% owned well I’m gonna go even lower than owned lower owned this is a deep gpp play only if Shay is out Trey man okay okay Trey man I know you mentioned him before
Nobody’s gonna be playing Trey man today so I could certainly see him being somebody who if you wanted to go to him he gets right on SGA and him also being the guy who’s going to get the minutes low probability outcome if you hit on those things you get yourself a low
Tournament win on a small slate only five games I see 50 wants to know our favorite pivot off of Hower if anybody who’s the player priced around Sam Hower you like getting to Matt I think I know your answer is going to be Jon Wallace yeah I knew you were gonna say
That let’s see 3900 with forward eligibility I’m gonna go with same same thought different team Isaiah Joe Isaiah Joe Hey Joe and we are caught up on those let’s see if we’re caught up on the super chats here which we are Jordan you know what we’re going to do here Jordan let’s
Build some lineups in the lineup generator for the people we’ve got about 15 minutes to go here so should be a good amount of time for us to build some lineups in the lineup generator if you guys want to copy any of these lineups make some adjustments to it this will
Give you ample time to go ahead and do and we’ll talk about what some of these lineups look like let’s start by building Draft Kings lineups we’ll do balanced ones we’ll do balanced lineups Matt was texting me before the show and said he really wanted to build balanced
Lineups lineup jeror so go with that and don’t forget if you guys want to sign up for the lineup jeror there’s a link for it below it’s less than $15 it’s going to have lineups built for you get access to our Discord Channel also our ownership projections our player
Projections they are in here as well so if you look at a lineup that you like but maybe there’s a player or two you want to make a change to you could pull up that lineup individually and you could swap some of the players out and from there you could see what our
Ownership and player projections are on them and if you right now look at the ownership that we have on screen those are of the lineups built the players we got to the most so it’s a good idea of which which players our data is viewing as most optimal for this late so Sam
Hower Jordan Clarkson Dennis Smith Jr Alex Caruso do you have issues with any of these players you’re seeing showing up at the top of our lineups matad is there anybody who isn’t showing up here you would maybe want to get more of no I mean I think when you’re looking at this
Stuff you kind of let the tools do the work and I don’t see any like glaring problems either way how about you no I mean it’s fair fairly in line with what I am getting to as well uh that is more Alex Caruso than I have but
Maybe when I rerun lineups here for the absence of Patrick Williams maybe he’s somebody who shows up in more lineups I hadn’t thought really a lot about but that’s one guy there 38% of Alex cruso seems like a lot to me but I’ll see when I rerun lineups here for the updated
Projections maybe that will get me to more of him uh there is certainly a chance that he plays more minutes here in the absence of Patrick Williams but is he somebody you put a lot of thought into getting Alex Caruso no but I do think he gets the biggest bump with no
Patrick Williams like he’s obviously not going to have a ton of usage with d rozan LaVine and Vu but he should play a bunch of minutes now um our tools like him so yeah I think that he honestly might look like the best piece of Chicago just priceing considered I mean
All the other guys are still a little bit too cheap for their upside but fairly priced for their median outcome meaning V LaVine and D rozan like those guys are usually around 8K they’re a little bit cheaper than that they’re all in so you don’t feel comfortable with
Any one of them but ultimately each one of them has big upside in any given game and uh before we build FanDuel lineups I want to ask you because I know you are uh getting yourself to some Wallace for tonight in the event that SGA plays you’re going to leave Wallace in your
Lineups you’re going to be trying to swap him how would you handle that kind of scenario since it seems like you’re reserving yourself some spots for case Wallace at some point if I do that and I don’t get the SGA news till late I’m going to have to play some of these guys
That I wouldn’t want to play with SGA in and just get lucky Wallace is definitely one of them because he’s cheap enough where he can get there anyways like he’s playing minutes so Wallace is someone that I would play regardless if SGA were in right now he certainly wouldn’t be a
Priority for me but at under 4K we just don’t have a lot of those guys on this slate so yeah I think Wallace is a fine play regardless a lock for me if SGA is out all right all right definitely makes sense to me on that standpoint then
Looking through some of the other players overweight to Jason Tatum I’m cool with that you guys know that I like Jason Tatum a whole bunch on this slate so let’s go and build ourselves some FanDuel lineups now Jordan Klein let’s see what let’s see what’s cooking over
In the FanDuel world and same deal we’ll build balance lineups and we’ll see what shows up there and don’t lock anybody in skip that but uh real quick before you save anything oh never mind I was going to say let’s just look at one of these lineups here
And we’ll see what it is that’s showing up on screen just kind of want to give people an overview of what the lineups look like here if you just found one you wanted to play but this lineup here we’ve got Drew holiday and Colin seon in the point guard spots Austin Reeves and
Isaac aoro in the shooting guard spots LeBron James DeMar rosen Aaron n Smith fad young Nick Claxton rounding out the lineup and then if you ever wanted to make any swaps just click on like Claxton just so we could show people what it looks like yeah and then if you
Ever wanted to swap him out you’ll see all the other players that are available at the position what their Fantasy Point projection is in ownership so help you make some of those decisions so that’s uh some of the ways you could customize some of the lineups that show up here in
The lineup generator but let’s go to the end Jordan save and discard some lineups here and then we will see what it is that we’re getting for total exposure for FanDuel purposes and lots of sand meral not surprising so that’s why before Matt we had somebody ask us about Sam Marill it
Ended up being an owner’s box question I thought it was a FanDuel question because Sam Merill is so much cheaper on FanDuel than he is on DraftKings that he’s showing up a lot only $4,500 for Sam Marill on FanDuel he’s 5K over on DK it’s a good amount of exposure to Sam
Marl 68% so just 1% short of being the optimal number as far as I’m concerned here Matt because you got to throw in cheap jokes when you’re doing DFS shows here was it creative absolutely not was it hacky absolutely do I regret it in no
Way at all 68% of Sam Marill are you okay with him being the most roster player on FanDuel or if you’re building lineups would you try to take him out out of some no his price point is just there on FanDuel so I completely get it um on DK
It’s a different story especially with stru in like if stru were out he’d be a fine play on DK with stru in he’s a fine play on FanDuel I’m not gonna say he’s a must but he looks like a really good value play yeah he is overall the best value
Option I think we have right now on FanDuel so 4500 for Sam and we’ve seen the kind of upside he has it’s been infuriating I don’t know how many times you’ve been on the wrong side of Sam Marl this year I know for me it’s been
More than a couple but we’ve seen games where he goes out he has like you know he’s played six minutes in the first quar it’s like oh my God hit every single shot that he’s hit already and you get Sam Merill has accumulated a lot of fantasy points really quickly but the
Pricing is tighter on FanDuel today it is on DraftKings outside of Sam Marill which is what really does make him Elevate up the board there is there anything else you’re seeing on screen that stands out to you in any kind of way no I can’t say there
Is yeah if we look at some of the pay up options uh we’re getting to LeBron James Anthony Davis not as much Jason Tatum as I would like for my own personal taste but I I clearly have no issue with the Anthony Davis LeBron James’s of the
World or anything like that so let’s go ahead then and uh go back to just talking about the slate in general and once again a Roundup on some of the injury situations because we haven’t really gotten too many of the important updates over the course of the show Gary
Trent getting ruled out out of left field that was something but we still got SGA is questionable LeBron is questionable tend to think that one is fake though D’Angelo Russell is questionable and then we do officially have Bruce Brown as questionable as well as Aaron neith so talking about the
Pacers situation Matt if nce Smith Andor Bruce Brown are ruled out what would you be trying to get to more from the Pacers because that is still a situation that exist that could provide us value later and what should be an upce matchup against the Jazz all the pieces from
Indan look better like they’re all secondary now with Albert and out but like Isaiah Jackson even at 4600 his minutes become more secure Jaylen Smith it’s a good match up against Utah so yeah everyone in Indiana becomes more viable or yeah on Indiana not like a must anywhere but certainly like Indiana
A lot more real quick on the Toronto news knowing that who do you like more now schruder or Dennis Smith Jr I mean they’re in such different price ranges right I mean we got Dennis schroer $600 more expensive I’m doing one final run of my lineups here I think
I’m still going to have more of Dennis Smith Jr but I don’t think it’s G to be like massively different between the two of them I think Sher is just now too cheap for his potential role tonight I agree I think he’s a very good option he
Was already looking too cheap no I’m with you dsj does also yeah so both of them uh if I was only playing one of them well here’s one way to look at if I could only play one I think I would lean towards Dennis Schroeder though yeah
Okay and then what about for the rest of the guys from Toronto what did you end up doing with uh everybody else considering the Gary Trent news I think shrer is the only must for me like I said I like all the other guys I like all the other guys we talked
About but it’s still a tougher spot against Boston so I wouldn’t mind you know seak looks good be looks better quickly looks better but shuder is the guy I really feel like I need to play personally yep I’ll get a one final update in and run a little bit against
The clock but no real big issues here want to double check to make sure that there aren’t any questions that we missed in the Discord channel uh we did I see Hef love asked uh RJ Barrett or Colin seon do you have a lean between
Those two it’s Barrett I do have to go back on something and it’s something I’ve mentioned multiple times on this show Trey man very very leery of him now because I just looked I know Shay has missed one game this year it was November 3D against the Warriors really competitive high-scoring game treyman
Did not touch the floor so it doesn’t mean he won’t play tonight but like even if Shay’s out he’s a really really risky play so I I just can’t do it so then what is so you said before that he was going to be your contrarian guy to get
To is there somebody else you put in that space yeah I’m going to put now Lou Dort in that space who’s under 5K sees a big bump if Shay is out I don’t have an issue with that uh somebody else who kind of in the same
Vein as Josh giddy isn’t playing as many minutes this year as we’ve seen him play in previous years and uh could definitely pick up extra minutes in the event that there is no sgaa out there on the court Rico Rod 19 1980 wants to know our favorite Center option for a FanDuel
Single entry if you were just playing one center tonight on FanDuel Matt which direction would you go I well there’s not like one Center who I view as being predominantly better than other ones I’m gonna answer Anthony Davis for now which does a couple things for us number one
He’s already a pretty good pay up option also is going us a little bit more flexibility considering the SGA news because they’re playing in the same game against each other if you do get a situation where SGA is out maybe you can maneuver your lineups a little bit and
Downgrade him to chat and upgrade somewhere else so my favorite overall Center option I’m going to go with Anthony Davis how about for yourself same also because yeah the power forward eligibility is nice but that doesn’t mean you can’t play him at Center and it’s not a loaded Center slate it’s
Actually you know there might end up being better forwards on this slate so I’m gonna also go ad and if you want a true center it’s chat y hey I can totally get behind it especially because we more or less just gave out the exact same answer there and
All right making sure that we’re all caught up on all the questions with a couple minutes left to go here which we are so here’s something I want to ask you before we get to lock here what has changed your lineups the most over the course of the
Show honestly the Trent news because shrer becomes a must for me um and I like everyone on Toronto more so like even sad young there’s just more minutes to go around every everywhere just don’t think they’re going to pull someone off the bench that they haven’t been playing Trent plays good minutes I
Think all the starters and the know guys off the bench that already get Run play more what do you think about fad young versus jonte Porter just on like a one V1 like because it’s weird to me that Porter is more expensive that also means that Porter won’t get nearly the
Ownership but does that even matter uh so I have just under 10% exposure to jonte Porter whereas F Young is in about half of my lineups so I really really do prefer that young I think he’s going to start he’s going to play bigger minutes and that’s kind of
What we’ve seen them do recently they’ve they’ve given fad young a pretty Long Leash um surprisingly it was not something I ever expected them to be doing and has he been good in those minutes from a real life perspective not really but he’s been effective from a fantasy standpoint and we should expect
That to continue as long as he gets big minutes so the two value plays that I currently have the most exposure to are Sam Hower and Thad young are you thinking about pivoting Thad young lineups to jonte Porter considering it but I think Thad young is
The better play like I just don’t think it’s needed in smaller field type stuff certainly if Porter draws the start you go there easily yeah but Porter’s minutes um last game were a little bit fugazy just because there was a lot of blowout run um I also am biased towards not
Playing him I have a funny story story about jontay Porto I’ll tell you after the show oh is it is it private it can’t it’s not it’s not for the airwaves no it’s not private but I did say it to I think Josh on One show and my wife who
Never lets me live down this story was like you can’t be telling everyone this story well I mean I’ve I’ve got stories well listen my my there was a contractor that texted my dad over the weekend and had said that it sent a very long message to my dad that his mother had
Passed away and my dad who does not read anything it was too long we mes room to read he did the uh kind of the I’m sorry that happened or or I’m glad that happened to you kind of scenario so my dad doesn’t read any of the message he
Gets this really long message from a contractor about how a guy’s mom passed away and my Dad gives him a thumbs up and in LOL because he just didn’t read the message so it can’t be worse be it can’t be worse than that no it’s not
Worse than that I mean if if we have no more news I’ll just say it now I think the audience demands it okay so this has never happened to me before I have to preface this story by saying that it’s never happened to me prior never happened to me since but jonte
Porter is the brother of Michael Porter Jr so not that that’s relevant in this story but I’ve known about him for years now because Michael Jun Michael Porter Jr was a highly touted Prospect went to Missouri etc etc so his younger brother kind of came up in his wings this must
Have been like five years ago this point you know early days of of Twitter for me I wasn’t I haven’t been on there like forever so all of a sudden I see jonte Porter like on my for you page something like giving away free Xbox or Playstation or something and I’m
Like first tended direct messaged me get it so of course I’m in his DMS right away because I’m like all hyped on it ends up being a scam I cash at this person like I don’t know 15 bucks or whatever and it was 100% a scam my wife
Was like the whole time it’s a scam I don’t know why I didn’t listen to her it was a scam and she still brings it up to this day so yeah I don’t know if I can play Jon Porter after that even though it was not his fault so uh people in the
Chat they are they’re claiming you already told this story I did I said that’s why I wasn’t gonna say it I told Engelman this story I thought I thought you were just so I I wasn’t on that show you with Josh I thought I just thought
You were too embarrassed to well no I said the story to Josh and then my wife who I told to listen to the story was like you cannot let people know that story you sound like such a fool hey i’ I’ve spent money on worse things I would
Say uh people don’t know this because people people wondering like hey why why does he do so so many shows 75% of the money I make here goes directly to Twitter pornbots I sign up for every every single one that replies to me I sign up for all of their services I’ve
Got nothing out of it so far I’m not going to stop though so I get it I understand where you’re coming from thank you guys thank you very much for watching if you’ve not done yet like the video subscribe to the YouTube channel support Matt bellman’s content around
Here so he could recover the $15 that he lost to jonte Porter bots so guys once again thank you very much for watching the show we will we we will be back here tomorrow to break down another NBA slate so peace out and have a good night Everybody
