FTN’s Walter Waddell talks all things College Basketball. He looks at the College Basketball DFS slate and shares a few CBB DFS Picks and College Basketball Props to play at PrizePicks.
#marchmadness #collegebasketball #cbb #BigEast #Big10 #ACC #SEC #Pac12 #MWC #CUSA #AAC #Big12 #collegebasketballpredictions #collegebasketballpicks #cbbpicks #MidMajors
🚨 FREE Prop Shop Betting Tool: https://www.ftnbets.com/prop-shop
FTNBets Free Trial: https://www.ftnbets.com/checkout/133
FTNDaily Free Trial: https://www.ftndaily.com/checkout/604
—–
Discover more ➡ https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLd…
—–
📚 Discounts at the BEST Sportsbooks:
https://www.ftnbets.com/sportsbooks
—–
⬇ Promo code “DUB” for 20% off!💰
🤑 https://www.ftndaily.com/pricing
🤑 https://www.ftnfantasy.com/pricing
🤑 https://www.ftnbets.com/pricing
—–
🏈 🏀 ⚾ 🏒 ⛳ 🎾 ⚽
Start Betting NOW:
BetMGM: https://mediaserver.betmgmpartners.co…
—–
DraftKings: https://dksb.sng.link/As9kz/zky9?_dl=…
—–
PointsBet: https://join.pointsbet.com/2riskfree?…
—–
FanDuel: http://wlfanduel.adsrv.eacdn.com/C.as…
—–
Caesar’s Sportsbook: https://www.williamhill.com/us/welcom…
—–
Caesar’s Canada: https://wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.c…
—–
🏈 🏀 ⚾ 🏒 ⛳ 🎾 ⚽
Win at DFS NOW:
Prizepicks: https://prizepicks.com/welcome?invite…
Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-ftn
Monkey Knife Fight: https://wlmonkeyknifefight.adsrv.eacd…
—–
⬇ Check out more from FTN Network:
* Daily Fantasy Sports: https://ftndaily.com
* Season Long Fantasy: https://ftnfantasy.com
* Sports Betting: https://ftnbets.com
—–
✅ TWITTER BETS: https://twitter.com/FTNBets
✅ TWITTER DFS: https://twitter.com/FTNDaily
✅ TWITTER FANTASY: https://twitter.com/FTNFantasy
✅ IG BETS: https://www.instagram.com/ftnbetting
✅ IG DFS: https://www.instagram.com/ftn_daily
✅ IG FANTASY: https://www.instagram.com/ftnfantasy
✅ FB BETS: https://www.facebook.com/FTNBets
✅ FB DFS: https://www.facebook.com/FTNDFS
✅ FB FANTASY: https://www.facebook.com/FTNFantasy
—–
FTN Network is your one-stop shop for all things fantasy sports and sports betting. Whether it’s football, basketball, baseball, golf or other sports, we have you covered. If you like quick-hitting analysis and advanced statistical breakdowns for the NFL or a long form deep-dive into your favorite stats for the NBA with top-of-the-line projections and an optimizer, the FTN Network is here for you. expert advice on best bets, value plays, props, picks, sleepers, waiver wire pickups, we’ve got it all.
You the make around Hello and welcome to the CBB Super Show presented by the ftn network I’m your host Walter wedell AKA dub Deuces 85 coming to you live from the Pacific Northwest 9:3 :0 on the west coast well past midnight for those of you on the East Coast thanks for tuning in thanks
For checking out what we have to offer if this is your first time seeing what the Super Show is all about allow me to tell you what we do here we talk primarily about college basketball from a DFS perspective with a big focus on DraftKings we also talk about prop
Betting opportunities prize picks and other fun things that have to do with CBB if you’re returning thank you and welcome back glad to see you pull up your usual seat and please all of you everybody new and old do us a favor hit that like button it really does help I
Know I watching YouTube videos with the with the kids and all that everybody begging for likes it’s like man what a lame thing that they’re doing but you know since you guys have been hitting you with those likes it has been making views uh go up and we’ve also been
Finding ourselves with some new subscribers as well so I’m very appreciative of that more content that we do the more eyeballs that find it makes it all that much more worthwhile and we had a fun time in the Discord today ftn daily.com ftn bets.com if you
Go over there and check out our Discord we have lots of fun stuff going on lots of green screens plenty of winners one of our longtime Subs Aaron took second in one of the big tournaments on the night slate there prize pools you know they’re they’re not the greatest but
Still you know it’s it’s better than getting kicked in the teeth with a with a golf shoe as as one man said uh flee said in what one of those poly Shore movies back in the day I think it was son-in-law um you know winning three3 $500 for $600 something like that it’s
It’s not a bad deal you know so that that definitely um adds up over time still lots of the Season left we’re entering into the last few you know 10 11 days of Jan January then we’ll be into February and before you know it we’re going to be talking about
Conference tournaments and then it’s going to be selection Sunday then we’re going to be in the tournament and it’s just going to go fast super quick from there still plenty of opportunities there are still a ton of qualifiers left so if you’re still trying to get into
The Mania yes we call it Mania here none of this bracket whatever business that they’re going with it’s the Mania damn it uh still lots of opportunities there I love how they’re spreading it out pricing tighter little bit today we saw some good results not as tight as it was
Earlier in the season but lots of goodies happening there the projection sheets seem to be working well for those of you doing the mme thing and single entry folks seem to have had a great day today as well and props are really picking up as well shout out to Mike
Coutry who’s the props Master at ftn things are clicking on all cylinders let’s get into the Slate we have a 12 gamer on DraftKings and by the way if you are watching live or even on demand feel free to drop into the comments comment section there or the live chat
Interact with me throughout if you have questions comments concerns I will address those throughout and uh let’s get into it so the 12 gamer is the featured slate that’s what we’re going to be talking about here there is also a four game night slate that seems to be
The new format here for DraftKings breaking up slates into two I do like the fact that we have a 12 gamer though I like it better than these like you know eight game main eight game night like I get why they’re breaking them in half like that like I think everybody
That plays knows why right because it kind of obviously makes more rake but it also kind of washes out a little bit of the edge there because it gives you a smaller player pool to work with so there’s a better chance of overlap there uh the night slate was nice because
There were a ton of plays we like that ended up doing well that just weren’t that highly owned and if you faded zachi like we did and it worked out so that’s what ended up happening there um on this 12 gamer here there are a plethora of
Solid matchups that we’ll be able to Target and that I don’t think they’ll be enough time to talk about the night slate after but there will be coverage throughout for both of those slates and there will be sheets for both of them as well so if you are an ftn Discord member
Or just an ftn Sub in general you’ll have access to all of that content as it hits the uh the site and the Discord so there you have it all right first game on the Slate here LSU versus Georgia this is an interesting one here LSU versus Georgia this is a game between
Two programs that are fun for DFS purposes but maybe not the best real life programs George is a three and a half Point favorite which is kind of suspect to me but I guess that is the day and age we live in LSU is in some Powerhouse right now this year anyways
Total of 155 on the Ken pal page here it is a 7873 prediction for Georgia to win LSU playing in a top 50 Tempo very quickly is to be expected Georgia playing 80th in Tempo I do think the over one 55 is live very very live this is a better
Georgia team under Mike White they’re 13 and5 coming off a close loss to Kentucky in which they gave up 105 points but they did score 96 so that’s something and they also beat a very tough South Carolina Club on the road which is going to end up being a really good win I
Assure you LSU uh 11 and seven under Matt McMahon recent loss the Texas A&M it was a close one and then a win over a a suddenly suspect Old Miss team looking at the usual cast of characters or the starters for LSU that they like to go with Jordan Wright Jaylen Reed
Jaylen cook Mike Williams and will Baker now we saw Jaylen Reed jump into the starting lineup there the last two games after missing a game late December came off the bench for two or three games there and now he is back into the starting lineup where he’s played 31 and 28
Minutes I like what LSU has for their roster I think that they have a a a pretty strong strong six7 man um a guy like Jaylen Reed sitting there at 5K in a a very favorable matchup against Georgia is truly appealing now he is a versatile forward he does shoot threes
He can bang a little bit down low and he doesn’t have the most a appealing game lcks which may keep his roster ship down a little bit low um where it should be honestly High because I think he’s going to end up being one of the better plays in that
Range when it comes to rates for Jaylen Reed not going to jump off the Page by any means 16% shot rate 21% usage rate shooting about 33% from long range does have a 5% block rate and an over 20% combined rebounding rate as long as he
Continues to start I think we have to consider him because he’s going to play over 30 minutes as a starter uh they have the always hanging over their head Carlos Stewart status uh dealing with a knee issue um he was suited up he did play there against
Texas A&M got 14 minutes so um that is something to to be aware of there I think he’ll end up getting closer to 20 minutes and Beyond they brought him in to play him but at the expense of who you might ask um probably Trey hannable maybe a little
Bit of of um Tyrell Ward the rotation gets a little bit deeper there but Reed is safe so we can still utilize him if we want the top pay-ups on this team and guys that we want to look at for usage purposes Jordan Wright it’s wild to see
His price at 9k vany the last couple of years he’s typically been a 7K guy and he’s put up some very big numbers I don’t know that I’ll be able to get to this price for him uh this is a pretty steep jump going back to the old Miss
Game a couple of you know last week put up a near 60 um seven steals that was a just you know the absolute nut game for Jordan Wright because of those steals he does have solid enough rates 27.3% shot rate 25.4% usage rate shooting 36% from long range drawing almost five fouls per
40 he does it all but that is a very high price however he is getting a favorable matchup so you running the mme train there you running some extra lineups you can get exposure no doubt the price on Jaylen cook though man that is a tasty meatball he hasn’t been great his last
Three under 22 fantasy points in all of them just the 19 minutes against Auburn he’s a turnover machine right now that’s not great played 30 against Old Miss played 26 against Texas A&M he has a very high shot rate 32.5% green light we knew him from his
Tain days just one of my favorite dudes when he was with Tain not as favorable here for LSU but he definitely plays in a a variable way that is a cam Thomas light if you will peripheral is may be somewhat suspect but he’s going to shoot
A ton and he does have the capability of scoring 30 real points usage rate is 30% he’s only only shooting 28% from long range that is something that is going to have to change here for Jaylen cook who has typically been a 40% three-point shooter throughout the course of his
Career so 27% it’s it’s I don’t know if it’s a matter of him getting you know bad shots I haven’t watched a ton of LSU I try to watch all of the Power five teams you know at least a couple of games a month for each uh the last time
I watched them live was against Vanderbilt so I’m a little bit behind their three or four games I’ll have to I’ll have to definitely watch this Georgia one here to see but looking at his efficiency right now it’s certainly not very good but the price point of 67
Is super appealing so cook is going to be high up our uh priority list for sure in a game like this gives us a steep discount from Jordan wri where you take the steals out of the equation more often than not I think they’re going to be pretty close in fantasy total there
At least from a value standpoint will Baker at 6’2 you know he’s a gpp special um 6 36 you never know what you’re going to get there the match match up is great for him as well um and then you get down here in the price like 42 for Trey Hannibal who
Again seems to have lost some minutes there with Stewart so I’m not too keen on using him uh below 20 at 42 uh Mike Williams not the Mikey Williams that you might be thinking of but a a more consistent and secure and one that’s actually playing college basketball Mike Williams uh minutes have
Kind of dropped a little bit for him as well he had a really nice game against Vanderbilt that was one that did watch live and was very impressed but super raw and also not going to be getting a ton of shots usually he did take 10 against Texas A&M but with the guys
Around him especially like Jaylen cook Jordan right he’s not going to be getting those shop volumes very often 49 is a somewhat appealing price but the ball is just not going to be in his hands quite as much with the composition of what this roster actually is uh you
Do have Tyrell Ward there he played 22 minutes at 41 doesn’t have a ton of upside but his pric has Dro so much he’s basically making value consistently whether he plays 15 or 25 minutes so I do like him at 4-1 he’s one of those values I’ll
Probably end up being a little bit overweight on just because I think a lot of people ignore them it’s kind of like with the South Carolina guys today there was a big kind of a big surprise for me with the way value shaked out right like
The Duke Ryan young was going to be super chocked then we get the news that Mitchell and roach are going to play so people start jumping off and for good reason uh but when it came to South Carolina they you know there’s no sto we know jacobe Wright and Zach Davis are
Going to play a bunch of minutes and they did and they played pretty well they were super low owned like s% on jacobe Wright and I know he doesn’t start but that just seemed like a kind of a a simple play there which allowed you to fit some other stuff I’m not
Going to sit here and say Tyrell Ward is like the best value on the Slate because he’s certainly not but I’m taking that 16 to 18 from him at 41 all day long especially because it’s going to allow me to fit more of those seven to 8K guys
And looking at lineups today some of the top end gpp winners didn’t have anyone shout out to to belly for pointing this out earlier in Discord uh didn’t have anybody above like I don’t know was it 8K or below 5’2 so the uh Return of the balance Betty lineups the Revenge of
Balance Betty part two and then Hunter Dean sitting there at 38 don’t feel very good about playing him did have 22 minutes but um I think he’s just a very lowend play there at 3 on the Georgia side we have a a a Bonafide DFS stud at times in jabri
Abdor Rahe 44 against Kentucky kck’s becoming a very fantasy friendly matchup he’s 71 now because of that explosion 57 would have been a very appealing price but I can appreciate DraftKings lifting his price up to 71 because that means he won’t be 70% own like he would have been
At 5’7 so that is worth noting uh if you want a little cheaper options you can go down and look to maybe like a a Noah Thomasson who’s there at 51 still playing over 25 minutes um not the Niagara version of himself he was very good for niagar but he hasn’t had the
Same role but he is taking a ton of shots the problem with Thomason much like other scoring dominant players is there’s just no peripherals upside whatsoever he may take 15 shots and score 17 real points and still fail to get you 20 so that’s not a great great
Spot there for him at 5-1 but the matchup is right if he can knock down some shots and just you know it wouldn’t kill you to get a rebound or two Noah you do have Silas demy there he’s priced up at 692 he’s playing extremely well this is the kid coming into the
Season that I was very interested in a lot of people would talk about blue Kane and the transfers that they got but to me demory looked like a guy that was going to be a stud in Bonafide Alpha for them quicker sooner rather than later and that started to happen now as you
See he scored 30 plus fantasy points in three straight games over 30 minutes in all and he is somebody who does love to play defense got to love that um so he’s he’s a good play at 69 there but it’s a higher price as well but we can
Definitely get there I don’t think many people will like that price point for him so that should keep his roster ship down as well nice little sneakier play there with demur because I think people would just go to abdur Raheem for 200 more or perhaps look down and get
Somebody like a Justin Hill who’s playing a lot of minutes is relatively safe at 5’7 I don’t mind mind him either or like I said maybe take a byow opportunity with Noah Thomasson or RJ Melendez although melendez’s minutes have suffered he’s playing less more these days less more he’s playing less
These days uh we’re also seeing the uh the youngster blue Kane his minutes were trending in the right direction until the Kentucky game I do think we see him get closer to 20 minutes again in the spot against LSU which does put him in play at 43 another one of those cheap
Values where we’re we’re not going to be getting the the 67x he’s not putting up 30 but he is getting you value at 43 he’s probably going to get 16 17 18 fantasy points and there’s really nothing wrong with putting a guy like that in your lineup especially if it
Works out or you hit the jackpot and he goes for a career high or something like that all right moving along here to Providence and Sean Hall I can’t what can I say about Sean Hall that I haven’t already said um this is a team that continues to surprised me
They are 13 and six which is a far better record than it looks on paper coach Holloway has just been running through the Big East wins against Yukon Providence Marquette Butler St John’s and Georgetown it was a triple overtime home loss to kraton 9794 a game that just wouldn’t end if
You had no exposure to that game that became especially very painful to you um they also have a loss earlier in the the conference season against Xavier which was a 20-point blowout at this point I do feel like me and cutri talked about it last Monday Sean Hall peaking a
Little bit too early it’s mid January at the time this triple overtime gut punch lost to kraton now they’ve got a a you know home game against Providence Saturday they’re on the road against Marquette then they have a road game next week against depal which should be
A gimme game and a look ahead spot to Villanova I just I feel like it’s going to start falling off the rails here for Sean Hall and they do end pretty tough with straight games against Butler kraton Connecticut villain Nova and then they do end their season against the
Paul at home which would be a gimme game there um looking at Sean Hall it’s always going to be about kadary Richmond he is priced up accordingly at 94 again we go through this with kadary he’ll jump up to 95 94 then he’ll drop back
Down to 85 right now coming off of the 60 triple double in the the triple overtime against kraton 21 Points 11 rebounds and 11 assists warranted there he played 51 minutes now at this point it’ll have been four days ago when the game tips off these are youngsters you
Don’t necessarily have to worry about legs or anything like that where if it was a quick turnaround I might be a little concerned but cader is a great play overall pretty well matchup proof at this point Providence is a tough club they’re not as scary as they were with a
A fully healthy team Bryce Hopkins around they’re kind of suffering a little bit there but they do have the chops and the defensive presence and a guy in Devon Carter to harass kadary Richmond now they did hold him and I say hold him almost sarcastically to 33 and
A half fantasy points which would be under value here at 94 but his stat line was still supremely sexy right 16 points eight rebounds and six assists last time against Providence so as far as pay UPS go kadari Richmond is very very good in this spot here I want some gppp lineups
With cader and Devin Carter on the other side but that’s going to cost a lot of salary as Devin Carter is damn near 10K now so we have to get a little creative to make that happen but I do think it’s worthwhile because if this game goes
Down to the wire you can rest assured it’s going to be Carter versus Richmond the entire way oneon-one isoing each other I love it as far as other plays go we kind of ran out of of Jaden bet AO you know shares now we’ve been rostering
Him a bunch of times under 6K he finally busts out because of the triple overtime game 15 points five blocks 10 rebounds in 45 damn minutes uh that has cost his price to go to 68 I’ll go ahead and and jump back off of bako here we like I
Said we’ve been waiting for a blowup game from him from some time his price remain cheap he wasn’t great against Providence the first time when they did win he had four points six rebounds bunch of turnovers in just 19 minutes little bit of a different environment here without
Hopkins but uh I I would probably go ahead and and recommend fading a 68 Jaden Beck Bako that just seems a little bit too high price for me as far as the other options go Dylan Adu at 66 not really in play 48 minutes in the
Triple OT he had 12 rebounds but not a big score for this team so if he’s not having a a game where maybe he’s hot from long range like he showed against St John’s there’s just not going to be a lot of upside there at that 66 price
It’s just they’re all going to be priced out because of overtime so it makes it a little bit difficult aside from paying up for kadary and just calling it a day same with alamir D at 65 I’m just rarely paying him he’s not a peripherals guy either a lot of times I
Like to take his unders which he has punished me lately so I haven’t been taking them he has scored 20 real points in four of his last five games so he is definitely on fire right now but he does have some regression coming and do when
He has bad games they are very very bad uh last option here you have Dre Davis 72 guard forward eligibility that’s always nice priced up um he’s kind of just like a last guy in type for me if you land there I’d be fine with it I’m
Not starting my lineups there though and and it’s not as if the matchup is really all that great anyways um so really we’re just talking to Derry Richmond here on the seaten hall side when it comes to Providence as I said you knew you knew coming into his
Career Devin Carter he showed it at at South Carolina in spurts small spurts that he had the the upside to be something special and now that he’s on this Providence team and he’s in an offensive system um that he can showcase his skills he is just a ridiculous
Player and he is worth every bit of that near 10K price tag looking at it he’s playing 77 and a half% of the available minutes he has a 27.1% usage rate 27.7% shot rate defensive rebounding rate of 24% which is top 90 in the country for a a guard of 63 uh assist
Rate of 21% top 350 a block rate of 3% a steel rate of 3% and he’s still hitting 38% of his triples for good measure while also drawing five fouls per 40 only about 69% from the foul line so we need to bring that up to about 80% there
Uh you know to be truly Elite but even on two-point field goals highly efficient take out his threes shooting 60% on non- three-point shots means he’s getting to the wreck a metric F ton um and he’s actually shooting at 37% the highest of his career he’s been a 28% career three-point shooter throughout
His three-year career um in seven Big East games he has the third Best Shot rate fourth best usage rate second best defensive rebounding rate and think about all the um front Court players that are in the Big East that that are you know semi- Elite rebounders or guys you think of as being
Dominant down low and you have Devin Carter here leading nearly leading the pack in that metric 10th in assist rate sixth in steal rate um 10th in fouls drawn rate 17 best three-point shooter and the eighth best two-point shooter Devin Carter just an absolute stud how
He didn’t end up in Miami I’ll never know but I’m sure Providence fans are glad they got him um you know what you’re going to get up for him in any matchup he had 40 against seen Hall last time out and that was with just 10 real
Points he doesn’t need to score to put up these big fantasy numbers but when he does that upside is massive against the Paul 257 and four the nice thing is he still played almost 30 minutes in a game in which they won 100- 62 it was never competitive except for the first you
Know quarter of the game they win by n near 40 he still plays 30 because Providence doesn’t have have the depth to sit him for very long now you insert him into a close game in which either way it’s probably going to be within two
To three two to five points so Carter is GNA have to play 36 to 37 minutes he’s going to project Bonkers he’s going to go off in a in a a fashion that is just slight melting and you look at before the last two he had three straight
Double doubles 10 and 10 25 and 10 and 31 and 13 just an Absol abute monster of a player that Devin Carter is now it’s a lot of money paying for him and cader I understand is is probably not going to be a move that many people do but when
You look at the Slate as a whole there aren’t a lot of pay-ups those are the two most expensive guys then you have Tyler Kik against AP Paul which if they let him play 30 plus minutes he’s going to do nasty things to them we talked about Jordan Wright a little expensive
For my taste jir young is going up against Iowa we have to Smith just just absolutely destroying um but these are all reasonably priced considering there’s nobody that’s 10K on the Slate so you can still fit those two and another guy above 8K and and get away
With running a bunch of like sub 6K guys on this large slate that’s going to give you a lot of Firepower there I’m usually a little bit more of the balanced Betty variety and I prefer that build but I’m going to be hard pressed not to use
Devin Carter in a lot of my lineups tomorrow um I probably won’t have as much kadary Richmond but I will have a lot of Devin Carter and like I said I will have a pairing of both you also have Josh odoro at 79 playing a ton of minutes that’s a
Nice little price dip for him he’s been almost 9k I don’t know where this this price dip went like we praise or I praise DraftKings for having somewhat tighter pricing and and reactive to guys you know having blowup games he scored 37 Plus in back-to-back games drops
Almost a thousand makes not a lot of sense at all Sean Hall is a front court that is susceptible to foul trouble they don’t have a lot of depth and they do give up big games overall to opposing bigs odoro had 23 and three against them
I’d like to see a higher rebound number from him consistently but Carter’s just such a beast on the glass it doesn’t leave a lot for him but odoro is knocking down shots he’s taking threes he’s getting to the foul line he is a very gifted scorer at multiple levels
At 79 that’s just a to me it’s a blatant Mis price and I do think that’s where a lot of people will end up going with their ownership on this slate when it comes to the friar the rest is starting five you got ticket gains at 5’9 he doesn’t really
Move the needle too much these days he’s kind of just like the dreaded fifth starter you know he’s out there have decent games once in a while but most of the time he’s the fifth option Jaden Pierre has worked his way up to 66 that’s not a price I’ll pay he has
Scored over over 20 fantasy points in four straight he’s playing quite well but we’re only two weeks out from him being 46 so I’m not prepared to pay 66 for him and it’s not as if he’s a lock to do anything especially at that price now you have some values here that are
Very irritating in that you know one game it’s gar Dell one game it’s Corey Floyd one game Raphael Castro Castro just played 23 minutes scored 28 and a half fantasy points against PA but that was in the blowout and he did get some additional run because of that typically
We’re going to see him play 10 minutes so I don’t know that that’s going to be something that continues he is very good though and has performed at a very good fantasy Point per minute number throughout his his career he just doesn’t play long spurts gar Dell he played 23 he’s not
Been great man I’ll tell you for all the draft talk that he got coming in this season he’s really a raw Prospect he would be wise to come back next year where I think he could blow up for sure he’s only 39 as a starter kind of interesting but seesaw with Cory Floyd
There and even if he doesn’t start I think those two are just looking at splitting that spot they’re going to play 20 to 22 minutes each that’s just basically how it’s going to be Floyd as a starter at 37’s just okay um but you’re looking at probably a 2X number
More often than not he did put up 20 against Sean Hall in their last game against each other 7.6 rebounds so he did fairly well um but I don’t know that we can count on that but he is a value option that we can certainly consider to
A degree just because of what he allows us to do um and we have seen Rich Baron play 10 plus minutes at 36 in three of the last four just an okay option there more of a cheap if be look and somebody that we don’t need to consider all that
Much all right Maryland versus Iowa now Iowa they have been a a seeve for a long time and they always have have studle DFS options they’re playing at the seventh fastest Tempo this year they have the 18th most efficient offense per Ken palom numbers top 50 team coming off a
Tough loss against Purdue but this is a team with nice wins on the road against Minnesota which is always a tough place to P play they kind of blew the doors off of Nebraska a convincing win over ruter um this team is is starting to look pretty good better than I would
Have expected now on Friday we had our guy Razzle on the show and he had mentioned that there’s going to be a game for Tony Perkins to blow up and I hope he followed his own advice because he did have a huge huge game against
Purdue 10 of 19 from the field 24 points five rebounds four assists put up a 41 now it’s a second time in three games he’s put up 40 DK points he’s still priced at only 77 I don’t love the matchup going up against the Maryland backc court but Perkins is going to play
A lot of minutes here and is definitely somebody that uh I think the fantasy Community overlooks way too often when it comes to Iowa people are going to be looking to you know sand Fort uh Freeman cricky dicks they’re not they’re not going to look at uh Tony Perkins as often so he’s
A nice little leverage play there even though the match up’s not great but for gbps absolutely leads the team in usage at 25% has a shot rate of 24.5% as well while also rocking an assist rate of 24% likes that number 24% uh pton Sanford at 78 he’s just been
So good this year it you know I I figured he was going to have a semi breakout um but the way he’s he’s played and and looked like the this is the new age Joe whis Camp to me you know wh camp and Garza so lethal together for for so
Many years for Iowa this year’s team you’re starting to see Owen free it might be a little lazy to compare him like that but you’re seeing Freeman kind of operate in that Garza role there with his Ascension and San for very comfortable in the whis camp roll where
He’s just chucking shot after shot and they have a guy in Freeman and cricky who H they keep the defenses honest and when they’re not or they cheat over Sanford makes them pay 49 of 128 attempts he has taken 128 threes through 18 games that is a a lot that is a lot
So Sandford is a a nice option there too they have him priced accordingly at 78 again not the best matchup there’s some downside there because of it but he is a big part of this team playing 30 plus minutes the front Court a little less interested just going up against Julian ree there’s
Going to be some foul issues there we might see a you know the ref uh was it James breeding who’s just a horrible ref who’s making his rounds trying to be the new Bo barosi feel like he’d be in this game here uh but Freeman there’s foul
Trouble written all over him for this game it is at home going up against Maryland but I think the front Court of Julian Ree and and geran mo will give Freeman a little bit of problems there if he can stay on the floor and like against Nebraska played 32 minutes then
You’re talking about a guy with amazing rates great Fantasy Point per minute number and will absolutely shatter 76 but there’s no guarantee he will be able to stay on the floor due to the recent bout of foul trouble he has so that 76 price point is appealing because it has
Dropped almost a thousand from where he was just last week which was 85 which was getting real crazy but he’s very very good we’re do to talking about own Freeman a lot next year and probably a n9k player throughout when you look at Owen Freeman’s rates you have to really take
Note and it’s it it does look like an Ascension towards a Luca Garza type uh top 100 offensive rating shot and usage rates above 21 1% combined rebounding rate of 28% a block rate of 8 and a half% and a steel rate of 3.1% his foul rate’s really not that
High for total season but in conference play it’s ballooned past five and that has been an issue for him so be aware of that before you plug him in not much of a discount to Ben cricky at 74 he’s gone through a lot of inconsistency he
Started off in the noncon being a hero then he got into conference play kind of tripped up a little bit there had an awful game against Wisconsin just blew up against Minnesota and then Purdue 36 minutes just a lot of of not much from him in 36 minutes putting up 14 that’s
Tough this will be a slightly better spot for him against Maryland but I wouldn’t expect him to put up a huge number here um I I not super high on the Iowa guys in this particular spot outside of San for and Perkins for for a little bit of Leverage because I do
Think people will take some of these guys uh we do have Josh dicks who has played 27 plus minutes in four straight games got in there as a starter blew the doors off of Minnesota 214 and five follow that up against the tough Purdue team with 9.7 assists put up another 25
Fantasy points highly efficient price hasn’t all the way caught up he should probably be over 6K here um you look at Patty Mack who hasn’t played um since the 12th against Nebraska dealing with the ankle issue um he did try to practice on Monday um and it sounds like
He’s getting closer to playing but I I think he’s going to end up being out here and if that’s the case they’ll remain with that that starting five that they’ve been rolling which does include Josh dicks who like I said is playing extremely well still a little bit
Underpriced there for the role to continue and when you look at their bench you know without uh Patty Mack l lades demal tough one right uh Evan Browns and desante Bowen sometimes Brock Harding like they don’t utilize their bench very often they’re going to play their starters big minutes 30 plus
Baring any foul trouble so Dix is in a prime position to continue to perform and produce here people don’t always look at this you know they ask for Value everybody’s kind of mind is like I got to give you a sub 5K option to be value
But in in the way that pricing is this year anybody in the 5 to 6K range below 6K has to be considered a value so 56 Josh dicks is a great price I didn’t mean to rhyme that just happened all right on the Maryland side again I had mentioned for the pay up
Side jir young fantastic play 86 I think he’ll go under owned for the most part there’s just so many other looks there right around his range without any 10K guys it is easy to fit him in but he tends to be on the lower own side and
It’s especially a large slate of 12 games but he is the all everything on the perimeter for this Maryland team they don’t have the most talented roster if we’re being honest right they have young they have julan Reese both priced over 8K they are hard carrying this team
Dante Scott has his moments but there is no consistency there with him at all we know the Freshman deshun Harris Smith he is going through his struggles you know first year playing a Big 10 conference schedule it is tough but his price is down to 49 because of his recent
Struggles against Northwestern and Michigan State I am interested in him here against Iowa because still playing a bunch of minutes sub 5K definitely in the value pool Jordan Gano at 48 his minutes are back on the rise it seemed like that he was left for dead and the
The coach speak that continue to happen with each press conference after maryn would suffer a loss there would be a a a presser in which the staff and specifically Kevin Willard would mention I got to shake up my starting lineup maybe I need to get Jamie Kaiser more
Minutes I need to get you know jari long more minutes and outside of an injury he just has refused to mess with his starting group and now he’s even playing Jan mo more minutes and outside of the last game against Sparty Jordan’s been playing better so he earned more minutes
But he’s really not that effective he’s playing out of position and he’s just not the right fit for this team so um he’s only 48 they’re going to continue to force minutes on him then I guess we have to at least consider him to a degree going up against his Iowa team
But I would much rather they play Jamie Kaiser who minutes are torpedoing very quickly uh decent enough rebounder not the best shooter he does take volume when he plays but his minutes have just completely evaporated so can’t talk about him or use him very much and then
Jari long who did play 21 minutes in their last game uh you know you got the the spot starts there when they had some injuries he’s only 36 pretty much their their primary uh you know Reserve option and the only guy that they can really count
On so I think that 20 plus minutes may actually continue There worth somewhat considering him if you want um some exposure to this game without breaking the bank all right next game Miami versus Notre Dame Notre Dame and Miami Miami has a plethora of injuries popping up and this
Is a this is a product of having no depth running your starters just into the ground consistently since last year with this group um you know losing Miller Big Time hurt painful getting Matthew Cleveland in to take that role made sense they had a similar archetype he’s
Done well but the team just hasn’t looked the same they haven’t been quite as good um they have a fine starting five and into their bench they’ve got some you know they’ve got Young young upside pieces but they need to figure out a way to get consistency to where they don’t
Have to play these guys 35 Plus minutes every single game and they’re getting these these dings these Cuts these bangs these bruises these these injuries and they’re just piling up it was a surprise for NORAD nir not to end up playing in that game against uh or their last game
I should say was it against um Syracuse that was a a a real tough pill to swallow there uh had to had to rework a lot of my CSV on that one they did end up starting Michael and the wo who is only 37 played 33 minutes and was fairly
Productive seven points five rebounds um if we see that omir can’t play again and with the way the dis slate is it’s larger so it does go into the next tier of you know five and six o’clock on the east on the west coast like today we had
All the games lock at the same time basically the Miami game was at least on the first and second wave so we’ll know a little bit of information there with what Miami is going to do and we’ll be able to react to that if no omir can’t
Play it is a favorable matchup against Notre Dame we would have to consider noo being one of the better value options on the entire slate there at a sub 4K price point the Notre Dame front Court isn’t Penn State level bad but it’s not very
Good um and this would be a spot that he could do some damage in looking at Nook in his rates to be expected his usage and shot rates are low but he does have a 23% combined rebounding rate and he has a block rate above 3% and he does a
Very good job of drawing fouls when he’s in depaint he is it is in obviously short burst because he doesn’t play a lot of minutes there but he got thrown into the fire against Syracuse and honestly they lost but he played quite well throughout um so that would be our
Value play to look at we did see Kon George get into the starting lineup there against C played only 18 minutes which is basically what he’s been relegated to with a a healthier roster uh meaning with Nigel pack um and wuga popper back into the starting lineup and
Healthy and playing George regardless if he starts seems like he’s just going to be stuck at like a cap of 20 minutes they brought benley Joseph Off the Bench which I personally thought was the move earlier in the year but then Joseph plays 29 minutes off the bench and
Actually probably out played Kon George for a lot of that time now George did have foul issues there but Joseph just ended up being uh more effective there in the second half even though they ended up losing Matthew Cleveland had a big game 1612 and four Nigel pack had 19
Wuga popper had a disturbingly terrible terrible game he’s quickly becoming one of the uh the tougher plays to Peg there um he’s only priced at 7K though against Notre Dame I think he would deserve another chance there just not effective Syracuse plays a different type of style there he just was not
Himself he’s a bit of a Streaker player shot volume’s going to be there though and I I do like him in a bounceback spot here probably my favorite Miami guy honestly you got packet 75 Cleveland’s 81 if NORAD plays he becomes the most obvious and favorite play because of his
Rates and what he’ll what he’ll do to this Notre Dame team but no omir I do like popper a whole hell of a lot and obviously noo on the Notre Dame side this is a fine spot to Target them Miami because of the short rotation the fatigue the injuries that are piling up
And the quick fast uptempo style uh that they play top 75 in the country they do have a tendency to bleed fantasy points to multiple positions so Notre Dame does have some guys that can take advantage of this now Notre Dame they don’t have the best offense and what I mean by that
Is it’s one of the worst uh 3 10th in offensive efficiency they do play a slow pace they are getting a nice Tempo boost here they’re a terrible three-point shooting team they do have Marcus Burton who I think has he started off the season really hot many people label him
A non-con hero still has phenomenal rates across the board eighth in the country in usage rate 20th in shot rate 32nd in assist rate only shooting 30% from long range tries to do a lot of of driving and and generating points at the line that is something we could see him
Do here in this spot against Miami he’s a little bit pricey at 76 but what that’s going to do is is keep him a little bit on the lower own side but if you go through the logs and look at his shot attempt 16 14 18 21 16 no shortage
Of shots being taken there and while Notre Dame has a seemingly endless rotation of guys in and out of the Dog House one constant on this team has been Marcus Burton in his playing time so he’s certainly worth the shot there if you’re looking to use
Anyone uh Jr Co he’s priced at 62 he has a knack for getting hot from long range I think this is a spot where he is very solid for gbps because I think he’s going to take a ton of shots they’re all going to be threes for the most part he
Is rebounding quite well contributing in other categories as well and without nor Chad omir that’s only going to enhance his ability to do some of those things like racking up rebounds with wouldn’t like him as much Kevin andji is priced at 5K nobody else on the team besides
Jrco and Burton are priced above 5K ngi played 35 minutes against BC RIS recently it’s the third time in five games that he’s eclipsed 30 minutes not a very great Fantasy Point per minute player but that 5K range getting a little bit of salary relief there he’s
Not going to shoot much he’s not going to score but he’s he’s liable to grab 12 to 15 re rebounds if we can get him to score a couple block a few shots he’s paying off that 5K price tag in a spot where there should be more possessions
So I actually like keba there and think he’s potentially a main team look Carrie Booth 49 playing 27 minutes in their last game he is also a solid look another one kind of like keba not a big score he does take more shots he just doesn’t make them but he rebounds
At a high level certainly like him as well looking at Notre Dame they did have some changes in their starting lineup they’ve they’ve gone with a few different looks but I think they’re they’re honing in on the keba Burton booth jrco and Julian Roper starting five Tay Davis is one of those players
That was in the doghouse and then Micah Shrewsberry son Braden ends up playing about 20 minutes off the bench that is the rotation that they run anybody else to look at there Shrewsberry is 48 playing a a a decent role Off the Bench and somebody who can score in in quick
Burst also has the green light to shoot shooting about 33% he’s taking 104 threes and and honestly that’s probably way too much for the role he’s playing but he has the green light nearly a 23% shot rate then you have Tay Davis here um somebody with a ton of upside but I I
I’m wondering if this is a system fit issue now you see you have a game Duke he played really well um nine points five rebounds had a couple of steals a double double against Georgia Tech then follows that up against BC where he just completely struggles can’t even be on
The floor can’t defend anyone on BC and that is why he couldn’t get minutes so GP looked there at 47 but his price has come down to a level where I’m certainly interested there if he were to be back in the starting lineup especially but I
Think coming off the bench might be a little bit better of a situation for him um we’ll have to see how that plays out but I want a little bit of exposure there to him rer at 46 as a starter I would suspect we see rer shares Galore your head-to-head opponents he’s priced
Up a little bit from where he’s been but 28 minutes 26 23 and 24 over his last four games clearly healthy in it in the starting five playing that price will probably continue to go up uh I don’t think he has more upside than about you
Know 18 to 20 fantasy points but at 46 that’s all we need so we can use Julian rer there like I said I think he’ll be a little bit on the chalkier side there so keep that in mind as you’re building out your player pool and figuring out your
Exposures next game here NC State versus Virginia you probably expecting me to talk about uh a DVP spot against Virginia because I usually always do but I’m I’m ready to admit the changes that Virginia has made defensively and strategically has led to a situation in which we can’t really Target against
Them at all these days we know guards against them are pretty much a nogo and ordinarily we can use bigs against them and we’ve been able to do that with some real success unfortunately it hasn’t been super successful since the clock or the the calendar turned to 2024 so I don’t have
Much love for any of the players here on NC State and it’s a shame because they’re all priced super cheap like DJ Burns at 5’4 that’s a great price for him but we know minutes are Capp he’s not going to play typically more than 18 to 20 sometimes he does fouls are a
Problem there but the the way that Virginia is playing bigs now he’s he’s not very favorable we had the mo diara experience he continues to play a lot of minutes he’s only 44 like I’m not fully jumping off there by any means he only played three minutes against Virginia
The first time so he can’t really derive a lot from that he did have four fantasy points so more than a Fantasy Point per minute um but we’ve seen him continue to Trend up he’s he’s just been such a solid look for us we’re the only ones in
The industry that have been using him um still producing you know he had the the 27 against wake but even the 17 against Virginia Tech at 45 so I’m I’m probably still going to have shares there but I’m not going to drive home and in the point
Of saying like we got to exploit this we got to exploit this um we just really need to have exposure to him but I don’t think we want to have any main team looks here for this end State team and it’s a damn shame because again the prices are really cheap Jaden Taylor
Back-to-back great games only priced at 5’1 just an absolute terrible spot here against Virginia the last time Virginia played NC State uh it was ugly across the board and that typically tends to be the case for Virginia games altogether right um it was a 7660 win for the wolf pack
And in that one Jaden Taylor did have 15 points points but nothing else DJ horn had 14 and six but there wasn’t a lot of other fantasy goodness there Dennis Parker had 15 ree beakman had 10 assists 12 points Isaac mcney hit a bunch of Threes 18 points Ryan Dunn had 16 and
Seven and then they had six points three rebounds from Jordan Miner Off the Bench this was right before miners started getting you know more minutes playing in the starting five and becoming a really strong value option I do think we go back to Jordan Miner as as long as he
Continues to start he’s only priced at 44 there’s a lot of available value on this slate We’re Half just about halfway through and we’ve named at least six players under 5K that we can use in all formats and feel okay about it Minor’s just been a a pretty automatic value
Look in the starting five and we’ll continue to do so here uh eight minutes against NC State he had 10 fantasy points so you give him 22 24 in this one I think he’s easily paying that price off Isaac mcne 56 they’ve got him priced fairly I think he’s a good look a
Good like stylistically a tough cover for NC State but if he’s not hitting those threes we know the deal he’s just not going to pay off so very Reliant upon his three-point shooting he shot six of nine against Georgia Tech in their last game paid off that way 68 for
Ryan Dunn that’s a good price for him anytime he’s under sevenk he’s a little bit too similar to Reese beakman on the the offensive side uh but I do prefer dun only 68 I think he’s got a a really good matchup and a good chance to put up 30 plus here
Against this NC State team which is something he did in their last matchup he’s probably my favorite player outside of Miner who’s obvious and chalk I like him over reys beakman now beakman for the last two years has been a Brand favorite play but as the alpha more expensive player haven’t found myself
Using him quite as much now he put up 50 against Georgia Tech would expect some to want to chase that generally you’re going to see him in that 26 to 32 range he had in 33 minutes like I said TW ten say 12 points put up
32 against NC State I just want to save a little bit of money there I don’t necessarily believe he’ll go back to putting up 50 again but we know that is an option with his strong peripherals and when you look at the Virginia rates beakman has worked his usage rate
Up to 27% this year he has an assist rate of 43.7 that is the second best Mark in the country steel rate of 4.5% shooting about 32% from long range so he’s just dangerous enough there in a shot rate has also moved up to 26% so
Beak is solid when you look at Ryan Dunn his usage is below 20% but he does a lot of things that that get him fantasy points in other ways 31% combined rebounding rate just vicious on the glass has a block rate of 10% talking about a 68 kid who’s probably like what
210 soaking wet he’s out there just blocking shots making plays 17th best block rate in the country steel rate of four and a half percent which is top 25 he and beakman are both in the top 25 for steel percentage only shooting 25% from long range that’s not his game but
He does a lot at The Rim uh turns defense into offense with turnovers I just I’m a really big fan of dun in this matchup so that’s where I’m going but I will have exposure to done and some of beakman there not looking to stack Virginia but we’ll have them in various
Lineups Auburn versus Alabama this is one we want to certainly Target anytime Auburn’s on the Slate especially lately they have been getting into some high scoring Affairs we know the way that Alabama plays we want to get exposure to those for and against um right now Ken palom has it 8583 in favor
Of Bama it is an away game for Auburn they’re 16-2 they have the fourth longest win streak in the country right now at 11 their last loss was on the road on December 3rd against appy State tough loss there and they lost the neutral Court their first game against Baylor
They have been mowing through the SEC double digit wins over Arkansas Texas A&M LSU Vanderbilt and Old Miss I mean say what you will about Bruce Pearl the way that he runs his rotation is undeniably and certifiably frustrating but it’s winning them games and obviously he doesn’t care about our
Fantasy world 77th in Tempo top 10 in both offens and defensive efficiency Auburn is playing a style that is just really fun to watch on the other side Bama 25th in Tempo second in offensive efficiency 66 in defense coming off that double digit loss to Tennessee again anytime Alabama’s on the slate
Especially lately we’ve been wanting to Target against them the issue here with auburn we know at least should by now you should that they have that deep rotation and looking at their last game there which did end up being a blowout all that enabled Bruce Pearl to do was
To stretch out his rotation even further they played 11 guys double digit minutes in that game through a bunch of guys who never play Watkins and such on the floor for for two minutes there at the end as well typically we’re going to see a group that includes Denver Jones
Janai broom Jaylen Williams Aiden Holloway Chris Moore Katie Johnson Dylan Cardwell Trey Donaldson shout out to Trey he’s my dude Jad Baker and chanie Johnson yes all of those guys are going to get minutes and they’re generally between 18 to 22 it’s maddening it really is maddening because this is a
Spot we want to Target these guys Janai broom at 8K that’s a fantastic price for for him I don’t know how he’s been you know nicked up and and had some some injuries and ailments here nothing that’s really caused him to miss any significant time but this is such a good
Spot for him to potentially get a double double if he doesn’t pick up Road fouls or a bad whistle whatever you want to call it there is a massive slate breaking upside there for Janai broom in this spot and it’s crazy because he rarely plays above 30 minutes if we ever
Saw him play like 35 I I mean it’s there’s there’s no cap to what he would do um especially in this match up like 35 minutes against Bama like there would be no lineup you could possibly make without broom in this spot so I love him in this matchup
I certainly am going to be prioritizing him the only thing that could derail us would be fouls but you know and we also haven’t had the greatest luck with 8K underpriced big men 8K Joel Sorano Armando Bott they’ve been struggling their price keeps falling how do we fade
Them I don’t know I can’t fade an 8K broom I just can’t do it uh 7K Jaylen Williams as far as minutes go he’s like the only other one that if somebody’s GNA get close to 30 it’s generally G to be him uh this should be a much more
Competitive game so I think we do see him hit 30 plus Chad Baker coming off the bench in that last one that was an ideal baker has been probably the third best player on this team throughout this season um I want to see him start it hasn’t happened yet there’s been
Rumblings about it he does play technically for Bruce Pearl starter minutes and in a close competitive game we will see him play 22 to 25 so he’s also somebody we can look at uh rates wise you know 20% shot rate shooting 40% from long range in SEC play five games
Now he has made 47% of his threes Chad Baker just found himself a home in this Bruce Pearl system playing extremely well um 61 might feel like a lot for a bench player but I I think he has a lot of upside he’s a great overall GBP play
Aiden Holloway at 52 that’s really cheap for him in this spot against Alabama I we haven’t seen him explode in a while uh his best game was against LSU most recently when he had 13 and three for 22 fantasy points but he’s had a lot of of tougher outings here in conference play
And that just has to do with the fact that he can’t get above that 22-minute Mark either it’s just the way it’s going to be Trey Donaldson at 47 we hit hard on a Trey Donaldson game um I think it was back in I want to say December
Sometime uh he’s back under 5K because of the minutes the last two games he’s been pretty Dreadful probably can’t trust him enough in GBP or in cash games but for gpps and large field gpps all that stuff he’s an excellent play doesn’t necessarily need to play huge
Minutes to pay off because of his solid rates um we’ve seen him put up in 19 minutes 30 before uh anytime he slips under 5K I have interest he will be in my player pool overall but he won’t be a priority value but it’s another sub 5K
Play that we can utilize to fit some of these others um as far as Katie Johnson goes he’s 44 you know how it is with him seesaw like he he might as well be playing for Arkansas like it’s actually a shock to me that ktie Johnson doesn’t play for Arkansas
Because he’s totally a muscleman guy um you know out there start Play eight minutes then he comes back have a huge game like it’s just I don’t know if he transfers again or if he has an eligibility like I wouldn’t be shocked to see muscleman make the call but then
Again he calls everyone in the portal uh FIU transfer Denver Jones another guy stuck in that 20 minute just you know Purgatory all the way down at 4K now you at FIU he was a high usage guy big- time score but it it hasn’t quite worked out here the SEC when you
Watch Auburn games you’ll see him out there in his his shifts the SEC seems like it might be a little bit too fast for him and that’s why he’s just not doing well even when he does get additional minutes or just when he’s on the floor he’s not doing a whole lot um
On the Alabama side it’s usually Mark Sears or bust for me anytime he’s under 8K I’m generally ripping off huge shares of Mark shears so sitting here at 76 my plan will be to play a lot of Mark Sears uh it’s just way too low of a price for
A guy that leads the team and basically every relevant category you can think of um had a a a little bit of a um uh an ailment there missed some minutes in one of the prior games but kind of bounced back in a nice way he’s up to 10th on
The kenpom player of the year rankings he’s maintained a near 50% shooting percentage from long range that’s on 93 attempts has a usage rate and shot rate above 26% an assist rate above 22% steel rate of 3% just feel like America in general and fantasy community and and
Basketball fans are not appreciative of what Mark Sears has been able to do on this Alabama team and I think a lot of it has to do with the fact that Alabama’s sitting at 12 and six right now and I don’t think anybody believes they’re they’re going to end up being a
Anything other than like a playin team for the tournament and that’s probably the case they’re going to need this win over Auburn um big opportunity here for them to to get us you know a meaningful win for the resume when we’re not talking about Marx SE we’re generally going to be looking
To the cheaper options I don’t like Grant Nelson when he’s in these kind of matchups um meaning opposing front Court guys who can abuse him Janai broom can ab abuse him Jaylen Williams can abuse him you saw that against Tennessee he fouled out in 17 minutes no shot at
Containing ID do or any of those athletes on the vs and I think that’ll be the case here with auburn so Nelson’s a fade for me for that reason and Aaron Estrada who is just the all everything High usage guy for hofra for years um outside of his huge game against
Missouri which was du pardon the fact that Mark Sears had a to go to the locker room for a period uh he ended up blowing up that game but for the most part he hasn’t had that same role you can see he’s he’s had some adjustment issues to being second fiddle there to
Sears and and it’s been kind of tough to justify using him this year so that means if I’m not using Sears I’m jumping down to the next tier of pricing which would be Ryland Griffin who has played extremely well the Tennessee game you can throw out because the BS are just
They’re playing you know on another level right now with the way things are and they’re a very good team team scary team indeed um with Ryland Griffin playing these these additional minutes at least in the last five games it has led to a a much stronger uh fantasy
Asset here his price had ballooned up to almost 7K there which was obviously too much he’s dropped 1K down after a a 12-point performance against Tennessee I do like him here at 55 in this spot against Auburn defensively the tigers are are really causing problems but when you
Look at Griffins across the board and what he’s able to do not as the alpha will have weaker Defenders on him I do like him um in conference play his shot and usage rates have ballooned past 22% he’s shooting 36% from long range also 70% overall um sixth best in the
SEC Ryland Griffin going to be a big play next year with no Mark Sears but uh right now you can get him at a discount and I do think he is main team worthy if you want a nonar Sears Bama asset the trail right sell at 45 as long as he
Continues to play over 20 minutes and I think he will that’s in consideration that’s another sub 5K play that you can put in your list there um and then you have Nick Pringle all the way at 43 if he’s not fouling he is producing and will pay this price off but he’s going
To have a doozy of a Time on Broom as well because they’ll want to have him on Broom over Nelson once Pringle picks up the instantaneous two fouls that I believe he will then you’re going to have you know some problems here so GBP look another sub 5K play sure but don’t
Expect a lot there from Pringle Sam Walters if he plays 15 plus minutes at 39 he’s a chucker three-point shooting Galore but there’s no guarantee those minutes will be there for him all right next game Mississippi State versus Florida hey what’s up Alex how you doing my man I
Uh just got done talking about NC State so I apologize probably best that you didn’t hear it I didn’t trash them or anything but um you know kind of down down overall in our pack man uh liking the Virginia options in that one and of course Still Still price cheap but
The Virginia has just taken my DVP against their post and and shat all over it so kind of kind of looking away there um all right moving on to the next one here Mississippi State versus Florida the Florida Gators have been a a a team that defensively in SEC play a complete and
Utter seeve uh they they’re playing at the 18th fastest Tempo here under a a good coach in Todd golden but they’ve lost three of their last five and and they were you know there was close loss to Kentucky but they got their doors blown off by Old Miss not competitive
Against the vs whatsoever and they actually struggled against Missouri for a time there before eventually pulling away I was high on Florida to start the season from a DFS perspective and I still I still am for the most part but I think overall this Florida team is is
Starting to uh uh you know fall out of favor with the media the masses and even for DFS purposes I’m not that excited for them anymore defensively Mississippi state does have the chops to kind of slow them down the prices are getting affordable on some of these guys like a
Walter Clayton who has upside there at 7K reliant on his scoring ability but I feel like secc defenses have solved him to a degree uh price keeps dropping though he’s actually in Play We Know that uh Tyreek Samuel at 72 probably can’t use him in this spot he has the
Athleticism and he is a very strong rebounder and he can score uh but I do worry about him going up against this Mississippi State front line and then Zion pulling at 73 one of the consistent minute Getters at the guard spot you have a lot of of rotating between will Shard uh Walter
Clayton Riley cugel who just won’t die um so it’s kind of hard to Peg these Gator guards at time but you know Poland’s going to play but you do have to pay the the higher price there for him qel has scored 20 plus fantasy points in four of his last five games
And that’s against tougher opponents like Tennessee like Kentucky although they’re not turning out to be very tough he’s 57 I I I I’m worried about qel being a a computer play tomorrow on the sheet but I’m I’m probably going to be a bit underweight there compared to what
Maybe others would be uh we do have a fair amount of sub 6K plays so we don’t have to feel obligated to use Riley Cel I had him pegged as a big breakout star this year and you know as a starter to start it off the season in the noncon he
Was having some some pretty big games he had a nice game against Virginia early in the season had a pretty nice game against Wake Forest a big one against uh Baylor but in conference play it’s just not been there for him but he’s starting
To pick it up maybe he gets back in the starting lineup I think the only way I could I could justify playing qel at this point is is if he was in the starting lineup coming off the bench I’m just a little bit too nervous there uh
Will Richard’s priced at 5K so you can throw him into your player pool in that range not a priority play but somebody that you can definitely look at uh and then you have Alex Condon and Micah Han logged in usually trading minutes there in the post uh Michel was playing so
Well last game ended up getting 30 minutes Condon just the 15 Condon has a very high Fantasy Point per minute number and great overall usage rates um but I don’t have a lot of love there for any of the Gators what I want to do is utilize these Mississippi State guys I’m
Not afraid to stack them on the road against Florida starts obviously with tlu Smith who has been absolutely phenomenal can’t miss since he got healthy um really really disappointed Dynasty wise I got offered a a pretty booty trade whereas where somebody did offer to Smith this is when
Before he came back but I had to give up a really good Prospect for him and I at that point I wasn’t even really sure when he’d be back and now I’m kind of kicking myself for that because he looks like he’s completely Unstoppable 33% usage rate 29% shot rate
Block rate above 2% he has a combined rebounding rate of 33% assist rat’s teetering between 14 and 15% we like it we take we we’ll we’ll do it 66% from the field not a three-point shooter but man he is just so Unstoppable at the Collegiate level going up against this
Florida Front Court who they do have shot blocking they have Rim protection they have athletes but at this point I think too is just the guy um you know some tough matchups too South Carolina game he kind of struggled there but we know he just played the 20 minutes did
Have 20 fantasy points Tennessee you know in 29 minutes there 30 that’s like a down game for him now we’re seeing him put up 41 against Kentucky 41 against vanderbelt vanderbelt is obviously worse than Florida and it’s a road matchup so you never know when fouls can can rear
Their ugly face but I don’t know that we can fade tolu Smith yet I’m pretty sure he’s gonna have to get up to 9k before we can really consider that and even then matchup dependent to a degree but I think to Smith is just a guy that I’m
Comfortable paying for now um I know he hurt us at times last year but I’m ready to forgive him I think that he’s the absolute nut play there are three guys above 8K that I I just I feel like I have to have we have the value to make
It happen let’s roster too Smith and let’s ride win or lose we just got to keep playing him right now the other options on Mississippi State they’ve been projecting extremely well I haven’t played much outside of too Smith but there are some nice pieces here um the starting five typically
Cameron Matthews DJ Jeff of course tlu now uh Shaquille Moore and Deshawn Davis but they have a relatively deep bench they go 910 deep Josh hub’s got to get his 25 plus minutes the high usage high shooting freshman sha Jones and Trey Fort have begun to get more playing time
Again we saw Trey Fort playing really well early in the season and now he’s kind of getting those minutes again and Jimmy Bell who has gotten cast as side for tlu Smith but still playing 10 to 15 minutes held down the fort while tolu was recovering from injury um the cheap
Prices on the Mississippi State guards is what kind of attracts you to them right deshun Davis is only four five minutes have have started to decline because of hubbert’s Ascension we’ve seen this before with Davis though he had other points in the season where minutes were were going below 20 and
Then suddenly he’s playing upwards of 30 35 again so I am interested at 45 I don’t find him to be a priority I won’t start my lineups with him obviously um there’s about seven to eight other sub 5K plays that we’ve already talked about that I would take over him but if you’re
Doing the mme thing I think it would be gross negligence not to have a few shares of him at 4 five um other than that you have Shaquille Moore at 53 don’t have a lot of love for him and I haven’t I usually take his unders probably will look at those um
And then DJ jeffes at 5’9 which this is like the the ultimate last guy in price and player DJ Jeff’s at Memphis uh his second year I believe he came in as a preseason conference player of the year didn’t live up to those expectations uh you see playing next to
Tulu it’s made life easier for him he’s playing really well paying off a price like this sub 6K I think it’s certainly possible against Florida and if there were God forbid foul trouble against tlu Jeff would be able to step in and take more of that rebounding shares get some
More shots and really be well on his way to paying off this price point so DJ Jeff to me is a a fairly sneaky option on this slate especially for non tolu Smith lineups keep that in mind um and then Cameron Matthews priced at 68 it’s
A little high for me with too around he’s not the alpha you know doing less got that price has to come way down Josh hub’s price has gone up anytime he’s under 6K I’m interested he’s playing big minutes you see he’s just taking a ton of shots the problem with him right now
Is those shots aren’t falling one for 11 against Kentucky four for 11 against Vanderbilt three for 11 against Alabama five for 11 against South Carolina I don’t know if he’s got a thing where he has to shoot 11 shots only but he’s not been making them he was eight for 15
Against Tennessee so he got hot against them but we’ve seen him really brick a ton of shots the volume continues to come there he is nothing more than a GBP play right now but he is our guy you remember way back in the first part of
The season when I said we got to roster this guy he shot poorly everybody’s like where the hell did you find this guy Walt and now you see Josh Hubbert is the guy so we like him we’ll use them we got exposure all right next game on the
Slate here shees this is a long this is a big slate man this is a very big slate oh at Virginia no fun you’re right it’s going to be a an ugly one and they’ve just they’ve seemingly solved the big man crisis there all right this game
Here between Villanova and St John’s is interesting uh both teams have had guys in and out of the lineup Villanova currently 117 after losing a close one-point game to Yukon at home kenpom has this 7472 in favor of the Johnnies um when it comes to St John’s there’s
Some frustration right now for the DFS community and especially me they’ve lost three games in a row and I don’t know that the Johnnies are cursed they haven’t seemingly made the tournament in a long time this seemed like the Surefire year to do it revamped roster around Sorano they bring in the goat
Rick patino they’re just you know aside from an A early December well I guess it was late December loss to Yukon by four they rattle off four straight beat Butler Villanova Providence these are great wins then they lose a close one to kraton then they lose a close one to
Seatan Hall then they lose a onepoint game to Marquette they’re continuing to drop these close games they have I think they’re they’re teetering on like this being a musket win game it’s a must-win game as much as a late January game can be right there’re still a lot of season
Left so if they lose they’re not dead to rights but morale wise I don’t think you can afford to slip into a fourth straight loss now when they played Villanova the first time it was on the road they did take care of business 81-71 and our guy Joel Sorano had 20
Points eight rebounds three assists and a steal in 33 minutes of action the problem since then is that Sorano whose price continues to Tumble uh he’s just not playing that well and there’s a few reasons why this is happening and it at first it was speculation like maybe this is what’s
Happening and I I do watch almost every St John’s game I like the SC him a lot I for being a West Coast guy I do consider myself a a pretty big fan of St John’s maybe the biggest on the west coast I don’t know um but it is damn frustrating
Because I like the team I love Sorano but I don’t know if we can consider him a main team option anymore uh 11 points9 rebounds against Marquette which theoretically like that’s pretty good but not for what he normally is expected to do 23 Sean Hall awful he
Played 18 minutes no foul trouble just a a a situation in which patino was sick they got the interim coach in there and I don’t know if he was trying to teach life lessons or or be um you know uh some kind of smart guy by not playing
Their best player but all it did was get them a loss so congrats I guess uh and he’s only hit 30 plus twice in the last five fantasy points wise the minutes have been all over the place the shot attempts are dwindling the rebounds are dwindling now here’s what the reasons
Are it’s no longer speculation when you watch these games healthy Chris Lum he just he’s so used to being the alpha from his ivy league days like that’s there’s just no way around that so he rebounds at a high level and he’s taking a ton of shots because he truly does
Believe that this is his team and patino is letting him operate that way so that’s taking rebounds and shots away from Sorano then you have just an absolute monster of a of a player one of the more well-rounded players in the Big East in RJ Lewis who has incredible
Angles on his rebounds he is a a Mis Cleo in action on the court like he knows where the ball’s going to bounce off the rim very solid intelligent basketball player about a smart as they come IQ wise can score knocking down shots 18 shot attempts against Marquette
That’s coming directly out of sorano’s total the rebounding that Lewis has done is coming out of sorano’s total those two players have absolutely killed killed his value while it makes them a more well-rounded team it makes them less predictable when it comes to Fantasy purposes it has murdered Joel
Sorano’s value now he’s only 7.3k I kind of alluded to this earlier when I was talking you know prices how do I get away from this price point uh especially with the Sorano like you know an 8K geni broom which I was just talking about like that’s really cheap
But 73 Sorano that should be a Lock and Load he had a massive game against villain Nova to be clear DVP wise Nova doesn’t have the chops in the front Court to hold Sorano to a bad game however his teammates do have the chops
To hold him to a bad game and if his minutes fail to eclips 30 I don’t know that he’ll pay this one off now he’s getting cheap enough to where if he he bricks hard and puts up a 22 25 he’s nearly paying it off so now he’s now
We’re starting to think like you know I’m fading Jo Sano but he’s so cheap now even if he fails how can he fail so it’s 73 against villain Nova at home that’s a tough one to get away from I’m really curious to see where the industry falls on
This I think Lam and Lewis are are both like semi Elite plays themselves in this matchup for the same reason I would say Sorano is um I like both of them I’ll have exposure for sure but uh this is a really tough decision and I I don’t know
Quite where I stand on this I won’t be cing him tonight I know that tomorrow um but I’m I’m pretty sure I’m going to have lots of exposure because I I don’t know that I’m disciplined to not use him there it would almost be better if he
Didn’t start and then I could just walk away and be okay but that ain’t happening uh Jord because of patino being sick with the hi I mean the flu sorry typo uh that LE led to the players having some illnesses right so so Jordan Dingle missed a couple of games with uh
With an illness there I do think he’ll be back uh we did see nahim alen um missing an action in the second half there he’s he got a uh an ankle sprain early in the Marquette game um he’s going to miss some time some serious
Time there he had to get help to the locker room um so that is a benefit to a degree only because it takes a player out of out of the rotation but it’s not a player at sorano’s position and probably just means more RJ Lewis for
The most part um there is a player at 45 I want to highlight and zubie is4 who had the 22 minutes against Sean Hall absolutely detonated against them followed it up with 12 minutes against Marat put up 14 I think zubie now who has has scored 14 plus in three straight
Is going to continue to see a role on this team I think his minutes are going to be fairly secured um he’s not super cheap at 45 and and certainly don’t want to be loading up on him but it is another sub 5K play in the player pool
That we want to utilize especially if we think the Sorano you know downslide continues um but that’s he’s a I mean this is a talented kid highly rated recruit that just walked out the door on Kansas and Bill self didn’t bat an ey and you’re seeing how much talent he actually has
Um Brady d laps there at 39 extra minutes for him with noene uh you know played 33 there against Marquette I think the couple of games he blew up there were more of an anomaly than not big rebounding shot blocking games but at 39 28 plus minutes that’s another
Value look there um at this point the way this this slate is shaking out I think you you select two three four guys up top that you really really like lock them in and then rotate these various values around them and just hope for the best I think that’s how it’s going to
End up ultimately playing out um at least that’s how I think I’m going to end up doing it and then lastly Dennis Jenkins there at 75 solid option has been below 30 fantasy points and three straight but he had a pretty big game of 183 and five against Villanova in their
First matchup uh I don’t don’t mind Jenkins usually look to his props I’ll probably do that with him and then roster between Sorano Lum and Lewis with a little bit of zubie mixed in there for good measure Villanova side of things you have a what I believe to be at least
Uh on paper a healthy Justin more although I don’t think he’ll ever be healthy um you know the the knee issue has played 30 minutes in back-to-back games hasn’t looked himself obviously has had barely any explosives um has relied on three-point shooting more is only priced at 5’9 which is a
Really strong price for a player of his caliber however I am worried that injuries have ravaged him to the point that we’re just not going to see that explosive Justin Moore again this season maybe not ever like we’ll see him again and he’ll be good again maybe one day
But I think this season Justin Moore’s probably cooked um now he did have 22 against Yukon 15-5 7 and9 shooting which we’re getting to a territory here at sub 6K where that’s not not horrible um but I don’t think we can use him on the road
I’m a little bit worried there and I think St John’s could give him some problems uh so I will probably be underweight compared to what the rest of the field would be but I I do think that sharper players will look at that injury and and his history and and probably back
Off Eric Dixon at 75 a very solid like safe look not a ton of upside but this is a matchup in which I could see him doing quite well 26% shot rate 26% usage rate shooting 34% from long range 9 and a half% offensive rebounding rate certainly a guy he had
14 and four against them the first time that’s kind of like you know his statline putting up 25 to 28 fantasy points won’t hurt you might not win you any tournaments but he’s he’s certainly a solid piece to fill out in your roster if you wish um we have some value looks
We have several guys under 5K here Tyler Burton at 55 if he can get the random foul issues that have popped up here out um I do like him at that 55 price Burton has been a guy I don’t want to say we’ve been the Burton Whisperer or anything
Because we haven’t but we’ve had some pretty tremendous luck using Burton you go back to the UCLA game the Kate game we got some real big performances out of him once his price went above 7K kind of jumped off and we’ve seen him stumble a bit had some fouls minutes have gone
Down with uh more around shots have gone down hasn’t been that great of an option but we’re talking about 5.5k here is at least in the conversation here as a high priced High usage guy at Richmond for years I refuse to believe that he’s just
Washed up now all of a sudden it’s wild to see Mark Armstrong above 5K above almost 6K anything above 4K but we are here sitting at 54 had a bad game against Yukon H that monster against Marquette 24 real points he was so hot from long range hit five of nine that’s
Caused this price to balloon I don’t think that you can realistically pay that price for Mark Armstrong or at least I can’t there are other guards in there all playing 20 plus minutes such as hakee Hart TJ bomba Jordan longino who is back and and pushing through his
Ankle issue um and then of course you have the always fun Brenan howan who has major upside when given minutes I actually kind of like him at this 41 price with nobody on him a plethora of other options in the rotation suddenly Villanova is kind of deep but Howen is a
Guy who just when he gets on the floor he starts chucking and when he gets hot and he’s been real hot lately he ends up not being able to leave the floor um so I do like him at 4-1 I think this match up against St John’s uh it’s worth some
Exposure all right next game Arkansas versus Old Miss one thing I know about this game is that there’s going to be points um both of these teams have the offensive weapons to score and the defensive uh the lack of defensive intensity throughout to give up a lot of those points now Old
Miss they have the defensive Maestro at the helm they’re in Chris beard but he doesn’t have all of his type of players in and we’re we’re talking about a Chris beard defense that is in the like 150s you know in in efficiency wise so we’re
Not in our mom and pop years of Chris beard right now so this isn’t your normal team there defensively there’s going to be a lot of points the total in this game is 154 A5 I honestly think that’s about six to seven points too low if that ends up
Being the case we’ll see kenpom has it 7974 in favor of Old Miss but I think both teams play into the 80s and I think it’ll be pretty easy as well um have Allen Flanigan 27 and a half% usage rate Matthew Morell 25% shot rate Jaylen Murray who has not fallen off
With Brandon Murray back I thought he would 24% shot rate shooting 46% from long range Jaylen Murray has remained hot as ever even with Brandon Murray around looking at the last Old Miss game and how the minutes have begun to shake out we have 30 plus basically locked in
For murell flanny and Jaylen Murray breakfield is probably going to play 25 to 30 Mo Cay and jary and sharp are going to split those minutes at the center and then you’re going to see Brandon Murray TJ Caldwell Austin Nunes Rashard Marshall basically phased out in non blowout situations Brandon Murray’s
Playing 20 plus minutes big- time producer for Georgetown a season ago he showed flashes at LSU two years ago obviously didn’t get the same level of of play with the play didn’t have the continuity with the guys like Flanigan maray all these new players together because he missed the first two
Months of the Season waiting for his waiver he has played 20 plus minutes in four straight games and I know I can feel everyone that’s watching rolling their eyes Auburn game 22% usage rate I know it hasn’t panned out yet fully in the Box Score but we are talking about a
Brandon Murray play that is only 3.8k he’s playing 20 plus minutes he’s given this opportunities he’s taking shots he’s just not hitting said shots let’s take a look at Brandon Murray’s rates real quick I don’t know if I can get away with this one either there could be a
Chance for a very low score for me or a GBP taked down with the way this [ __ ] this is shaking out um Brandon Murray has nowhere near the level of rates he had at Georgetown so far uh overall through nine games 15% shot rate in conference play that number is higher
Just under 18 has a combined rebounding rate of just 9% which is below his career right now 2% block rate actually almost 3% in conference Play 1 and a half% steel rate he is shooting 33% from long range so that number is slightly improving and he has a fouls drawn rate
Over two and a half so none of those rates are going to move the needle nothing there says he’s suddenly going to break out all I have to go off of is the type of player we know he is from years past he was the legit Alpha all
Everything for Georgetown last year and like I said for LS you he had flash games where he put up some big scores when you look at old M bench out Shar outside of sharp sometimes they start sharp sometimes they start Cay and they happen to start Cay last game outside of
That situation they’re not really going to dip into their bench for very significant minutes outside of Brandon Murray foul trouble for any of the Morell Flanigan Jaylen Murray Trio will result in additional time for Brandon he’s like I said already locked into 20 maybe we
Get a spike game to 25 he’s only 38 he’s going to wake up eventually why not wake up here in a matchup with so much fantasy goodness all over it against an Arkansas team that is clearly frazzled musclean just completely gone off the rails with this roster that he’s made I
Think Murray’s gonna do it and I know I said that last what was it the LSU slate I I said that in the LSU slate played 22 minutes what can I say except you’re welcome but he had two points and I get that wasn’t great but he’s
38 and the talent is there what does he actually have to do at 38 make three shots maybe pull down two rebounds block a shot give us an assist maybe maybe four shots let’s do four shots two of them being threes we’re there we’re
There and this is a guy who put up 30s and 40s last year different system different conference not the alpha sometimes that’s hard for guys but damn I don’t know Brandon Murray at 38 is a is a that’s a tough one for me to get away from you guys may not agree there
But uh I I am going to be very excited when that slate locks and Brandon Murray shows as 4% owned in every contest um might not still be excited when the game ends but I will be at the beginning on the Arkansas side it it’s just like it’s
Just not fun like I Arkansas slates are are fun in that we know there’s going to be a lot of fantasy points but Jesus if you can pick out the Arkansas situation not named Shaman Mark and about 50% of the time dvo Davis good freaking luck uh
We did see llis start the last two games he had a monster game with nobody on him because nobody believed that llis was going to play more than three minutes uh this was against Texas A&M he ended up playing 31 having a huge game now it’s worth noting Ellis’s usage rate the last
Two games has been above 26% if he continues to start I guess we can lean towards that but we have numerous games this year where he did start and played four minutes nine minutes 12 minutes six minutes it’s nowhere near a guarantee and we’ve seen muscleman do this most of the time he’ll
Do it for one game and then bench the guy we will see him occasionally do it with with multiple games Ellis is sitting there at 39 and I know that’s going to be the question like hey do we trust L Ellis what are we doing with L
Ellis what do we think and I’m gonna be over here like have you heard about Brandon Murray but uh L Ellis is just it he’s a great player and if he’s playing 20 plus minutes as a starter at 39 Old Miss defensively is a hack job right now it’s
And suddenly this slate is becoming just way too much value not enough pay UPS it’s going to be completely off the rails it’s going to be a fun slate for the most part so a tough decision to make there because L Ellis did take nine shots in his last game uh played 23
Minutes against South Carolina now he went a long stretch where he got benched by muscleman and everybody’s like damn it why did I play LLS because there was ownership on him that next game people did go for it as a starter um and he ended up semi- panning out because he’s
Not even 4K I mean he was 38 last time Scott 15 he’s priced at 39 now he doesn’t really have to do a lot so uh that’s going to be a tough one we’re also seeing Chandler Lawson gets starter minutes back-to-back games 25 he is only
Priced at 4K I have seen this before with Chandler Lawson though I am very nervous about him I am not certain that he won’t get rugged in fact I if I had to predict one player to get rug pulled it would be Chandler Lawson so keep that
In mind if you’re considering him you have Keon menafield who’s only 42 started off hot very hot played 32 minutes against Auburn two minutes against South Carolina suddenly sticking around for America’s team the purple and gold Washington Huskies doesn’t seem like such a bad thing does it
Keon by the way I love the portal and I love the fact that kids can jump in the portal whenever they want been having some people argue with me on Twitter for some reason about some words I said about Will Rogers never said anything negative about Will Rogers just thought
It was a weird look for him to throw footballs on the sidelines for a team that he never played for and then hit the portal but now he’s back so apparently apparently some people are trying to dunk on me for that but uh I never said the portal wasn’t fun all
Right uh you have a a khif battle who at any minute could jump in the starting lineup could play 25 minutes he is dealing with an ankle issue so that is partially the reason why he’s not seeing a ton of minutes right now you have Jeremiah Davenport who’s leaning into
About 20 minutes right now priced at 39 it’s just it’s so awful what this team does because of muscleman for DFS purposes and it’s so similar to Auburn but at least with auburn we know guys are going to get 18 to 25 minutes we don’t know that with anyone on AR
That’s not named Tramon Mark or dvo Davis sometimes I guess Travon brail but they’re priced accordingly although dvo Davis is only priced at 44 I would say he’s a safe bet to get 30 plus minutes but he hasn’t particularly been great shot only three of 13 from South
Carolina he took one shot against Florida he took four shots against Auburn six shots against Texas A&M you know why he’s not taking that many shots although he took a bunch against South Carolina probably an anomaly but the reason why is there not enough basketball to go and when this roster
Was being made with all these ball dominant guards you can’t help but ask how is this going to work it’s not it’s actually not working and it’s you have a roster with LLS Clea battle Keon menafield dvo Davis Tramon Mark Jeremiah Davenport a lot of ball dominant guys
You can’t even get the kid Laden blocker extra minutes leaden blocker should be playing 30 minutes a game this kid is Uber talented any other roster in the country would be happy to play in big minutes and he just can’t saw he put up 26 against Florida only 17 minutes there
Against South Carolina not as good there but he’s priced at 37 as well if you have a infinite amount of lineups and you’re playing large field gbps I would probably just tell you to to rotate through these values and hope for the best find yourself that core and start
Spinning and rotating and uh maximizing that core by rotating these values around and hoping that you hit the nuts that way if your core hits you’re going to have a big night and that’s typically how I tell people to mme anyways all right next game Marquette versus dealul depal is a bad
Team the end um he the the the era here for Tony subfield has to be coming up to an end can you imagine or or believe he’s been there for three seasons already and it’s gotten progressively worse uh only three years ago dep was 15 and 16 which feels like damn they were
Good then uh 10 and 23 last year three and 15 this year just not enough Talent not good enough coaching um this is going to be a tough spot Marquette is just going to absolutely destroy them Marquette is 18-point favorites total is 147 and a half I think Marquette wins this one
Handily sizable margin 20 plus points with ease we do have some plays on the depal side that we can at least consider and I got on the last appall slate for GBP I made some some you know I run the opto do whatever but I made some hand
Bills and and I had a double depal lineup that didn’t seem that bad uh you know game against Butler Elijah Fischer who we loved at 48 panned out well for us but also KT Ramy who sits there at 44 put up a big game against Butler 124 and
Two hit a couple threes the main reason for ry’s in in introduction to some of my lineups there was was not because I had some kind of crystal ball that told me he was going to put up 24 but the minutes were trending up 25 against Villanova 26 against
Providence he ended up playing 24 against Butler with the situation being this dire for depal Caleb Murphy dealing with the wrist issue that is keeping him out um guy can never get healthy Chico Carter who missed the Butler game there uh sounds like there’s an a potential for him to miss additional
Time we’ll see what happens there that had something to do obviously with KT Ry playing extra minutes there against Butler but even beforehand that was trending up so we have a bit of news here to track when it comes to depal whether it’s Caleb Murphy or chico
Carter but there is going to be uh a lot of I think KT re me in my lineups there which is a semi chase but looking at the rotation they ran seven deshun Nelson finds himself on the bench Jaylen Terry Elijah Fischer Jeremiah Odin who’s just awful right now been taking his point
Unders they’ve been hitting easily Church Hill abass and Jaden Henley then ma ettien deshun Nelson KY Ry so they would be running a seven to eight man rotation again blowout yes they’ll get blown out out but they’re going to be playing a lot of that 78 man rotation 25
Plus minutes so I like Ramy at 44 I think I’m returning there uh fiser is 5K at least knowing he’s going to play 30 plus without Carter he’s a pretty strong play they’ll be turnovers there’ll be bricks there’ll be a lot of ugly basketball played marquette’s going to
Rough them up but there’ll just be enough peer volume for these cheap options to pay off and that’s kind of how I’m looking at it Jaylen Terry is taking over as the on this team quickly we saw from Jaylen Terry last year a lot of games towards the end of the year
Where he just looked like the guy uh obviously you know coming into the season slow uh had to get back to his conditioning but it seems now that jayen Terry has woke up and he is playing extremely well and suddenly becoming the best player on this team but he’s priced
At 63 that’s going to be difficult I I would be fading him recognize how good he is but I’m going to go with the ER options in fiser and Ry uh when it comes to Marquette Tyler kic 92 it’s expensive for kic it’s to Paul what do you what do
You want to say I think the blowout certainly hurts um because there’s so much value he doesn’t even have to put up 40 plus you can plug him in there and get 32 34 and and that’ll be enough um because of the nature of this slate and
And kix’s pretty much a lock for 10 plus assists going to get some steals um how much he’ll actually need to score means to be determined but uh KX is obviously a monster play here as are anyone in the starting lineup here for this Market Club 8.3k Oso agodor
Nobody in the front court for depal will have any chance against him I got to give it to Oho coming into the season I felt like he was too weak to defend opposing bigs especially physically violent and posing bigs he’s held his own time and time again and offensively
He’s developed a a tremendous amount of post moves he has been a very consistent scorer and he’s just putting up 30 plus effortlessly and I think he’ll do that again here against depal so I I want some Oso uodo that is probably the play I would be more involved in than kic and
That has a lot to do with the construction and makeup of the of the uh the player pool there’s a lot of guards that I want in just below his range so I can afford to leave kic on the sidelines and I have to and play Oso in the hopes
That they both put up a 32 to 40 and I’m just getting that discount with Oso while also filling a forward slot which can’t be understated when you’re you’re building your various lineups here uh igodo does have an 11% offensive rebounding rate 4% block rate 21% usage rate again doesn’t look all that
Physically imposing but he just has tremendous post moves footwork and it’s just a Super Hyper efficient player of late cam Jones 28.8% shot rate mostly going to be a shooter we know that about him his price has been pretty solid and and we’ve seen some ownership on him because
Of it comes into this one at 67 I think anytime he’s under 7K you want to give him that consideration I don’t worry as much about the blowout hurting him I think he’ll still put up close to 30 minutes which puts him you know in line
For a 4X Plus game in this matchup so cam Jones also high on my list it’s depal it’s really all I have to say um other than cam Jones Tyler kic Oho you have Stevie Mitchell and David Joplin but both are are priced a little
Bit High Mitchell at 5’8 who um did have a nice game against St John’s it’s kind of a higher price for the the fifth option on the court so I’m not as big on him there 67 for David Joplin that’s going to be a tough sell an excellent
Matchup but he’s so far priced out at that that I think you just try to find the amount to go to Oso teic or you just slide over to cam Jones same price at 67 I feel a lot better about Jones than I do Joplin at that price and Joplin we
Like him we used him but we can’t pay six7 for him bench wise there are two options 4K Ben gold who is a Rootin tooten rebounder um somebody getting about 20 minutes off the bench and with the you know Chase Ross out Sean Jones out it’s really minimized the availability of of what
They have on their second unit uh which means Ben gold and Zade Lowry The Freshman are going to absorb most of those Reserve minutes and the starters even in a blowout are going to be pressed into big minutes and playing 30 plus more often than not um Lowry is only
36 good opportunity for him to get a nice spike in minutes and what it will turn out to be a likely blowout I think he’s a sneakier value Lowry is uh to me somebody who is is probably going to be a longtime starter for this program
After colic leaves this year uh when you look at the stuff he’s done rates wise and just his shooting ability and what he brings to this team um as only a freshman he looks very very interesting and I think he does see a nice spike in
Minutes there if they do want to give coer Jones some additional break in breathing room there after they build a big lead which I am expecting to happen all right next game on the Slate here we have Illinois versus Northwestern Coleman Hawkins is the best player ever I
Suppose um AP .1k that would ordinarily be just such an easy fade of Coleman Hawkins and think about Coleman Hawkins throughout the the years we’ve we’ve had him at four five we’ve had him at 5K and and he’s had some big games but and he’s played next to some some really talented
Players but right now he seems to be the alpha on this team with Shannon you know obviously Terry shanon’s back came back and played uh what was it 28 minutes but but Hawkins is just taken control and you’re still seeing a good amount of production from Marcus domask as well
What’s happening is that Illinois is just leaning so hard into their starting lineup that they’re they’re putting up some massive massive numbers the matchup against northwestern’s not particularly great I don’t love it but they did play Northwestern back in early January so just a couple of weeks ago and they hung
96 on them um we are talking about a a huge number against a generally good defense of Northwestern typically now in their last game against ruter they brought Terry Shannon Off the Bench he played 27 minutes they they still have the starting group Coleman Hawkins domas
Quincy garer uh Luke good and then they had Ty Rogers Ty Rogers played 14 minutes Justin Harman played 29 Off the Bench Terry Shannon played 27 Dane danger just six have no idea why danger doesn’t play and then they ended up playing the rest over 30 minutes so Luke good and Ty
Rogers suffered while Harmon and Shannon thrived and both of them had great games um Harmon’s there at 53 it’s a reasonable price for him I probably if it was a SL a slate which we were starved for Value I would probably be looking at that one a little bit more
But as is I don’t want to chase it um we have an endless amount of of options below six K which we’ve talked at length about he did put up 29 against Northwestern earlier this month so it is interesting it’s intriguing definitely um Terry Shannon there at 77 that sub 8K
Price on Shannon has to be considered uh if he doesn’t start maybe that’s not the case but as a starter playing I would think 35 Plus minutes that’s likely going to be too cheap for Terry Shannon we know how good he can be domas 78 Hawkins 81 garer is the cheapest of the
Four pack there at 7K and he has also been playing well 30 plus in three of his last four now going back to the Northwestern game and why they just absolutely dominated in the the way they did their defense showed up in a big way Brooks barnheiser played 37 minutes and
Was absolutely Dreadful shot two of 13 from the field Ty Barry had 14 bu buy had 20 but no peripherals if you can believe that and their bench outside of Luke Kung hunger was completely non-existent they got nothing from Li Lian langborg Illinois just lit them up
That was the game in which Marcus domask put up 32 five and six that was the game in which they did not have Terry Shannon didn’t matter no Terry Shannon no problem um they missed him for what was it about six games that first game against nor or Fairley Dickinson their
First game of the year against Northwestern and they hung 96 without him now they have Terry Shannon it it seems like it’s going to be a Open Season here against Northwestern and got to give this Illinois team credit with the way that they’re playing I I don’t
Think that they’re fraudulent you know I talk about Sean Hall peing at the wrong time the same might be said about Illinois but this team just looks different um I I it would be worth looking at some final four tickets for a team like this
They are built to win in March I can tell you that right now on the Northwestern side we had our our mild love affair with Luke hunger um minutes just aren’t there for him he’s only priced at 35 can’t really justify using him anymore uh Nick Martinelli at 45 he
Had been a value piece for us but we have so much other value we don’t need to go there and at this rate even at home going up against this Illinois team I’m not playing any of the Northwestern guys Brooks barnheiser I know he put up 52 against Nebraska I’ll let others
Chase that he’s 83 um booo at 78 he’s been the consistent option for this team it’s probably a little on the cheap side for him but there’s just better options there for us overall and the last game on the Slate Iowa state versus Kansas State now the Cyclones were on I believe
The second slate of Saturday there was some pertinent news that came out there and we were able to take advantage of it as a group tamin lipy ended up missing the game due to shoulder injury which he is considered day-to-day and trending towards a game time decision for the
Upcoming game here but ended up missing that game um and without him that obviously opened up a lot for the other Iowa State players specifically their guards um they end up beating TCU by one without lipy which huge Sean Gilbert just destroyed his props absolutely eight Curtis Jones who steps
Into a bigger role there and extremely cheap he had a huge game 17 points two rebounds four assists seven steals phenomenal obviously can’t project that um and those Gilbert and Jones Trey King was okay uh Robert Jones pretty ineffective Milan uh mom covich he had 10 points four steals just defensively
Iowa state had 18 steals they forced TCU into a ton of turnovers um I think lipy returns but if he doesn’t then the same thing’s going to happen we can go right back to Gilbert who is priced up uh above 7K now at 72 but we have this
Value aters disposal so Gilbert even at that price has to be considered without lipy and then you have Curtis Jones who goes from 51 to 61 now if lipy doesn’t play Jones isn’t as big it is only onek more I get that but we don’t have to
Force him in there at 61 the matchup against Kansas state is relatively neutral all things considering and take away the seven steals from him at the 6K price probably not quite making value maybe just just a little bit over um so I would be all over Gilbert but not
Jones this time which I know is different from over the weekend but just wanted to make that clear on the Kansas State Side you have some all relatively cheap guys for their roles Arthur columa is the most expensive at 77 now I don’t usually like to Target guys against Iowa State’s
Defense they are nails they do play a style that frustrates guys so Kuma isn’t probably going to be in my player pool cam Carter’s looked rather pedestrian lately they’re at 74 we always love Tyler Perry High usage guy takes a ton of shots plays a lot of minutes but I
Think Iowa State frustrates him as well so typically not going to be too high on him here in this spot and and they’re just a team that I like to look away from it’s way too large of a slate at 12 games for us to have to feel obligated
To Target against an elite defense like the Cyclones now I always like when it comes to Kansas State my guy will McNair he’s priced at 5’7 it’s a reasonable price point for him and if you have to have somebody from this game for some exposure he would be the one I would
Want but overall I would write off Kansas State in your main lineup Target Gilbert if lipy plays if lipy or lipy doesn’t play if lipy does play he’s 8K coming back from the shoulder issue I’d probably be a little bit underweight on him but generally I like him he plays so
Well contributes in all categories but coming off that shoulder injury I do want to take a wait and see approach with him so that last game there will be one of the uh lighter exposed ones for me all right that finishes up the Slate
That was a long one I know uh let’s get into KES and there’s just there’s so many options on here it makes it relatively tough um and I don’t want to sit here and be like let’s core Deon Carter the most expensive player but I there’s very little doubt about me rostering Devin
Carter in as many lineups as I can so I won’t officially core in but just know I’m not fading him um the first core option here has to be one of the tremendous amount of players in the seven to 8K range I absolutely love the matchup for
Him I think he goes slightly overlooked because of all the different options that there is above 8K and in between eight and NK um too Smith is going to be very popular so it’s just going to cause our guy Janai broom to go Overlook so I
Am going to core broom 8K against Bama I’m also going to tag him with the Posh play of the day label because why not I expect him to be on the lower own side especially on the road but he’s going to absolutely terrorize Alabama so that is our guy there core play number
One um secondly we’re going to go over here to the LSU side going up against Georgia I really want to just pull the trigger on the 5K Jaylen Reed but we have so much you know different plays we can utilize uh 67 Jaylen cook this is a
Great bounceback spot for him I expect him to play close to 30 minutes and I expect him to take 15 plus shots um so we are going to rock with a sub 7K Jaylen cook as core play number two and lastly there all these value pieces
Where could we possibly go what who who would we want to use because there are a lot and you wouldn’t expect me to use this guy because you know we’ve we’ve touched on quite a few but I am going to as of right now and it’s it comes with the caveat the
The message the aster if you will that this is not a safe play Brandon Murray at 38 against Arkansas he’s gonna get 20 minutes he’s gonna get 20 minutes guys and uh I he can’t shoot this poorly forever what happens if he makes like you know three threes couple steals like what happens
Then you know at 4% so we’ve got some we’ve got a a vintage Super Show core here with what I project to be lower owned guys than jayen cook Brandon Murray and janiv broom will be all over too Smith and Devin Carter probably like everyone else but with this slate the
Way it is you literally can roster whoever you want the nice thing is that the values all have volatility so there is going to be some big swing and misses there and if your pay up puts up a 3X score instead of a 6X score you’re going
To be dead to rights that’s how you want to approach this slate here play who you want rotate the values and tilt to win because there was a lot of people in our Discord tilting Isle it today he got the job done in the second
Half way to go shout out to jaywin for his excellent tilt job love it all right that’ll do it the four game night slate which starts extremely late it’s Utah Washington State Colorado State Nevada New Mexico and San Jose State Colorado versus Washington let’s go um that’s a
Pretty nice slate we’ll have lots to say about that one tomorrow throughout the day in the Discord article will be out in the early afternoon sheet I will be working on when I get done here thanks a lot for your continued support on the show make sure on your way out if you
Haven’t done so already you slap that like button for good measure and we’ll be back Friday night same time same place take care guys be easy I’m Out Around
2 Comments
You go hard bro. Not going to find a more in depth breakdown FOR FREE anywhere else. Appreciate the hard work!
Love the show great breakdown