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Sports By The Book Ep. 103



Join our Sports Book Crew as they share their expert sports betting advice on ‘Sports By The Book’ here at the South Point Studio.

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Welcome in it’s Sports by the book here at the South Point Studio pleasure to be with you as always on a football Friday alongside over 40 plus years experience in Nevada alone for each of these gentlemen Chris Andrews sports book director behind us here at the South

Point and then of course Vinnie malulo Bal Hall of Famers as well gentlemen we’re down to four we started with 32 we’re down to four in the NFL I know three more games that’s all we got you it’s ouch kind of sad really but you know this is what we look forward to

Every year so great time that’s uh well Chris can we say for the third consecutive weekend it’s the best weekend of the year in football hell yeah of course look at that board you kidding you got the four best teams in the league playing tons of action on

This one so that’s that’s that that I the last two weeks I love that line like hey it’s the best weekend the year with super Wild Car week and then it was the best week in the be the best weekend of the year uh in two weeks from absolutely

Absolutely when when uh the winners of these two games Converge on this city for the first time for a Super Bowl which I I just want to start there real quick before we get into these games because Jimmy mentioned this a little bit yesterday when he popped in with us

Just the the the evolution of this city and the least how it’s perceived by by The Shield yeah to now here in 2024 hosting a Super Bowl where 10 years ago that was unfathomable 20 years ago was beyond unfathomable oh yeah yeah you know there’s some there’s

Some things though over the years that they have kept quiet like Bob Martin used to tell me and Bob Martin’s been gone for what Vinnie 30 years again yeah he said he would get a call from the NFL office every week Bob Martin was the Babe Ruth of bookmaker right who were

The moves not who you know who were the moves this week and they were I think they were checking referees that’s what Bob always thought he says and he Bob was a brilliant brilliant man and he thought he caught uh a couple of Trends with some referees with the moves and

Results he thinks the NFL was following that too so they may have said a bunch of things but they didn’t mean them they never met him I think I saw Bob cus one time he said he was interviewing somebody said if you had this little red

Button and you had to tell time was Pete Ros up all you have to do is press this red button and they’ll never be betting on the NFL again would you press that button and Roselle was squirming I got out of it somehow there’s no way he’s

Pressing that button I mean we all know that you know we talk often times I say we Chris Jimmy and myself we talk about our Network you know guys and and and ladies that we’ve worked within the industry for a long time and there’s nothing better than to have a good

Network in whatever whatever your Endeavor is in life well I can I can tell you that security agencies law enforcement uh and including the NFL security division had a great network with law enforcement officials who in in our industry because many of them were colleagues in a former life whether it

Was a police department uh the FBI whatever the case may be which is which is great well I can tell you I made presentations to the NFL security division before you know any any even talk of Las Vegas was uh was taking place and um they wanted to and they always did to

Chris’s point they always kept track the NCAA always kept track the NCAA had a a system in place particularly after the Arizona State uh basketball scandal back in 1994 1995 to where they would monitor the betting line I mean and so um we always encouraged that kind of dialogue

To to take place um they didn’t really want to publicize it okay fine and we didn’t really either but it was done professionally and uh it was quite an educational experience and now here we are not only with our own team uh in in the Raiders but now uh the

Biggest sporting event single event uh in in world has just taking place here yeah I mean it this in the World Cup final which that’s basically basically the two biggest events in the world in the world at this point uh which hey the World Cup final will be in uh Arlington

Texas in two years so yeah they haven’t announced it officially but the reports have uh pretty much pointed it to Jerry Jones and Company down there see that uh so uh it’s again it’s it’s gonna be a fun week G be a fun week it’ll be a fun

Week on property here as well we’ll uh we’ll be breaking that all down next week previewing what’s going on on property here a week the Super Bowl what’s going on in town we’ll have all sorts of Super Bowl coverage the week of the game as well so stay tuned for that

Uh here at the South Point Studio all right well let’s try to figure these two pieces out that will be here in two weeks uh to play for the Lombardi let’s start on the AFC side the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Kansas City Chiefs of course we know

Ravens dominant second half a week ago beating up Houston getting the Texans out of there they actually into two matchups against the Texans the Ravens did not allow an offensive touchdown only touchdown was that kick return or that punt return I should say a week ago dominant second half they look like the

Best team in the NFL Kansas City if you look at the box score they were better against Buffalo watching that game felt like a coin flip ended up being a coin flip bass misses the kick Kansas City gets a first down and they Advance uh to

This game where they will be without all World guard Joe thuny who was officially ruled out earlier today and Chris we’re now four across the board here you’ve been at four uh for about two days now yeah I went fairly quickly yeah and you’re four and 44 and a half on the

Total Ravens of course favorite well it was one of those deals I did open at three and a half because I was really impressed with the Ravens and uh Aaron Shotz who was been on the other show that we had and I respect him you know I mean listen people have different

Opinions and metrics that they use but Aaron shot said you know really if you look at the Kansas City game you know they were much better than buffalo on their dvoa but I watched that game and I was way more impressed with the Ravens and I’m worried about some injuries with

Kansas City and you mentioned the Ravens did not give up a touch defensive touchdown last week you know what else is unique about that no turnovers they didn’t convert any turnovers they I mean it was just solid defense that’s what they played and I listen I know there’s

A bit of a magic around momes I think if any other quarterback is under Center for Kansas City this is probably like a seven-point game I really think it’s six and a half maybe seven but you have to give Mahomes respect I mean there’s no doubt about it

And he listen if he wins this game would I be shocked no I would not I’m really impressed with the Ravens think their defense is terrific I think you mentioned another injury for Kansas City you know they’ve had a few lately I think the Ravens are relatively healthy

Including Mark Andrews uh I think that uh right now there’s just a lot in the Ravens ballpark but I will say one thing and we’ll get to it in the next game too I think there’s a lot of pressure on the Ravens way more than on Kansas City has

This been a game that people have been more gravitating towards if they’re betting Kansas City not quite Super Bowl like but taking a stab on that money line price as opposed to taking taking the points especially when it was at three and a half earlier in the week no

But in the next game they’re doing that but I want to tell uh right now in a matter of fact we just took uh a pretty good whack on U on the Ravens money line I I was I was at $2 I was really kind of low because I was get

You know I you know Jeff to your point you’re not completely wrong I was getting some pretty decent play on the Kansas City money line but some guy came in you know I mean they you know 20 dime parlay you know what I mean with the and

He he got that good price he got two minus $2 which was you know pretty good at that time uh but we’ve moved up pretty good we’re up to open at a165 we’re up to 215 so that’ll tell you right there there’s been a lot of money

On the favorite and uh I I when I opened three and a half but when I saw fours popping up I told my people I said if you see any fours as long as it’s not crazy go to four because I think that’s the right and better number no question that uh

The the Ravens are the healthier team uh Chrissy mentioned Andrews comes back he’s been actually practicing uh pretty much unrestricted I think for the last couple weeks week I thought he might have played last week uh but he didn’t um we saw what happened to remember a

Couple years ago when um the the chiefs were in the Super Bowl against the the Buccaneers and but they had two at least two offensive linemen that were out you know was tackles back in the center I think well Humphrey played in that game

But it was the the uh one of the guards didn’t they they had a cluster they had a cluster okay but um I don’t think that there’s the the amount of depth uh with with Kansas City uh as there is with the Ravens and so you know peo I know he’s

Listed his question I think he’s going to go uh but look they’re they’re the healthier team now on on the other side the chief’s defense is really what’s carried them when you think about I mean it is about momes um and I I think to Chrissy’s

Point Not only would they be closer to a touchdown dog without Mahomes I don’t think they’re in a game without mahom so uh I I think that uh you know I I think there’ll be more support uh for for the Ravens uh in in this game in terms of

The uh uh you know both you know both both favorites are starting to to draw some uh some attention The Raven more on the on the money line as Chrissy mentioned and we’ll get to the fact that the Niners uh number moved earlier today already so um but look two really public

Teams going at it in this in this in this match too in the AFC game and uh uh I think that’s certainly people are familiar with him and they’re going to uh to to certainly show up and and and play and again we’ve seen what may I

Don’t even think we’ve seen 10% maybe 9 and 5% somewhere between five and 10% in the betting action I think tonight being Friday it’ll start to pick up as people start coming to town well I I would also say too you you mentioned this and brought this up with Jimmy as well it’s

Four public teams this weekend the Lions have become a public team in the last couple couple a couple years hon I think last year when they got on that win streak that was when they crossed over to being a public team we saw it at the beginning of the year with the future

Book especially in the division and throughout this year four public teams and boy but let’s remember you know when we open the future book a year ago at this time the Ravens and Alliance were both the same at 30 to one I mean there so it’s and it’s not that’s not like a

Long shot it’s still a nice price but it’s a nice well you’d love to have a ticket now but but the thing about it is is I’m not going to say that the uh uh the the lines are are not they’re not a Cinderella but there’s more I think

There’s a little bit of there a Sentimental uh Team I think to to a lot of folks uh not the professional betters there’s nothing nothing s professional betters you know what’s what’s Prof what’s sentimental the professional better cash having the money in the pocket but it it it certainly adds to

That that element will add to the general Public’s partici participation but for the most part uh you’ve got three teams that have have been traditional public teams and in the last couple of years the lines have certainly been that and again remember we we mentioned it yesterday uh they were they

Were pretty pretty good favorites to win the the NFC North and and they certainly did well and again you know the Ravens going into the year was just one of those where because the bang I again I thought the Bengals were undervalued the market ended up being right in part

Because burrow got hurt oh yeah sure um but it it’s it’s so interesting to see the the evolution of this Ravens team through the year where if that the back-to-back wacky losses at the beginning of the year to where they lost to mchu at home and then lost that game

To Pittsburgh they had no business losing and then really I since that lost the Pittsburgh all right so they lost to the Steelers the last week of the year who cares they played their backups and they lost that coin flip game to Cleveland which was a wild game when

Cleveland was at uh I would argue their Peak uh this year they’ve been dominant Ravens have been have been this quiet dominant Team all the way all the way through and here we are and I think you’re right with what you said where if it’s all right maybe Joe burrow maybe

Josh Allen those would be the only two guys that you could put in place of Patrick Mahomes and this number is not seven yeah that’d be the only two but to your point about you know the questions about the Ravens was you know Jackson has not finished the last two seasons

Prior to this one healthy and that certainly was my question I mean I you know I had that now we you know burrow I know he’s had a a couple injury issues over the years but I mean we we kind of thought burrow you know was certainly

Going to be the dominant quarterback in that division uh you know and of course he wasn’t but you know because of the injury but I think the Ravens I mean they they have listen everybody has blips of course I mean go back that Detroit had some bad ones a ners wa you

Know I mean you know we can go through every one of these uh but I think that right now they’re healthy oh yeah and I think uh think they’re playing some great football well that was the other thing during that a little blip at the beginning they were unhealthy yeah I

Mean that game against Indie they were without nine starters is that right yeah and they still should have won that they lost it right at the end right yeah yeah I just again it’s sometimes this happens sometimes it’s just right in front of our face of who hey the dominant teams

Right in front of our face but we just missed it for a chunk of the Year kind of feels that way with Baltimore and and uh I’m I’m not touching this solely for one reason that’s because number 15’s on the other side I can understand that and

Like you know our good friend Dave damashek said the curse of sposta oh yeah who’s supposed to win the Ravens are supposed to win yeah I want to talk about the total for please yeah you know CU we opened at 46 there may be some weather I’m not

Sure a a little bit of rain and and and 10 m hour winds yeah so we’re down to 44 and a half um you know I’m not the greatest total guy and matter of fact that’s a big weakness in my handicapping but a couple things I looked up Kansas

City defensively has given up more than 20 points four times the Ravens twice you know so I know a lot of guys are expecting fireworks from two great quarterbacks one’s going to probably be the MVP the other one’s the MVP the last decade you know so uh you know you were

Expecting some fireworks but I think don’t overlook these two defenses and I got to tell you Kansas City if you look at their offensive numbers all year not that great but their defense has really kind of carried them all season so I’m not saying I like uh the S the total one

Way or the other but I certainly understand the move I can see the total coming I totally agree with what Chris said but the public will they’re going to ro for points I can tell you this it’s not this is not public sentiment going from you know coming up to the

Counter and saying give me under 46 so and I got to say Vin said we’re going to do 90% of our business from here on and he’s probably pretty darn close probably I mean with roughly 9,000 College basketball games on a Saturday you’re going to have a lot of tie in if folks

150 150 games tomorrow yeah legitimately flat 150 yeah there you go lunacy but hey so in the sports by the book tomorrow morning I already sent the I already sent the list to Sean which was only a third of them and it was like

Oh my God how are there so many games uh yes 8:30 tomorrow remember 90 minutes on the weekends the other 25 games will be on Sunday uh no not even it’s like like nine on Sunday this is crazy you have Alex in with you tomorrow I do yes thank

Goodness yeah no kidding thank goodness uh I I wna I want to bring up uh few more things on this game before we uh shift course here uh you guys are more props than usual up for these games as well uh front and back on both games uh

For for the AFC and NFC sides here yeah we just uh yeah I talk to my people and I got to give them a lot of credit I just try to get up as many as you feel you can get a solid number number on you

Know and uh they they put together a pretty good package I think you know we don’t do a lot of player props during the course of the season but we did we got a bunch of them here for this game and you know everybody has different

Props and anybody comes on this show we tell them feel free to mention you took a prop somewhere else you don’t have to just bet our stuff you know but I think we got uh what got four alternative four alternate alternate point spreads in each game two alternate totals in each

Game you know a bunch of player props uh you know all kind of scores by half for the game and frankie’ll be very happy I finally went to 10 on Detroit the first half oh wow 10 under I moved it strictly cuz Frank is such

A you bet it on his bet yeah well you know over he better over I can’t wait to tell Frank that that’s move the move that needle you know props are there’s several elements about props first of all I mean obviously they they can continue to grow in their popularity but

I I think Chris brings up an important Point getting your staff involved with it because they you know what it it really gives a little bit of juice uh you know kind people love to participate in the in the Pro the staff loves it and you can get involved because you can’t

Think of everything yourself so um I remember a year that uh uh I walked in when right after the uh the Super Bowl was determined I said you know nobody nobody’s leaving today uh to even go go on lunch and uh I called out for lunch

And just said I said just what would you what what would you want to bet on in this game and um you know what you you just because they’re fans too and and they like to play and you know which is fine uh the other thing is the props are

Really the ultimate shopping experience you know we were talking off air about you know Pros coming in and you know they may steer clear of the Super Bowl but they’ll be involved considerably with with props oh definitely and definit def itely shop because there’s opportunities to uh you know to whether

It’s it’s middle or you know you can you know put yourself in a in a nice uh a nice position with the props so and again for us uh it helps uh you know this creates more business you definitely if you’re if you have a position that you may have some exposure

On you can help get off it with with props so it’s a it’s it’s a great it’s one of the better uh things that’s happened and uh part of the evolution of our business well in uh in about 10 days or about a full a week actually not even 10 days in a

Week in a week you’ll have a giant manual packet against against the wall there with all the Super Bowl props well I’ll tell you what we used to put them on pink paper just to distinguish we can’t get enough pink paper to do it anywhere I I finally thought well I

Guess we’re going to go with white I don’t know I mean you can’t get the pink you were still doing it in 2019 the Super Bowl before the pandemic Kansas City 49 I remember it being B that we’re going to try to get the pink

Again don’t count on it it might be just on a white sheo you got any pink paper suppliers out there listening please get of CH yeah but uh you know it’s uh and I’m happy to see the amount of props even for for for this game again where again

You’re you’re like you said Vinnie it’s and by the way we still have we have the futures for the Super Bowl we have the xacta still have the Exacta projected game proed ones that remain what is the one that you would do the uh the worst on Chris probably just a chalky

Baltimore right no no no lions lions yeah Lions so I mean I kind of I’m GNA be rooting for the ners on Sunday uh at this point in time I would say one through six would be a thing of beauty you know but uh yeah because I got I

Mean I’m in real good shape really with the Futures but I mean the Lions I’m in fine shape but just not as good as the other three teams right Lions over the Chiefs 150 to one on the the opening price of pre tournament exactor yeah

Yeah pretty good price if you have it I think it’s I got 20 to one on my sheet I don’t know if I’ve moved it since then CU I mean these things are Dynamic you know constantly moving all these things Yeah by we have yes NOS on both on all

Four teams and you know and all we got the four possible matchups if they don’t play you get your money back you know so we got some play there too so what do you what do you have to if chalk prevails this week is you have that pick

Right now in Baltimore no I got I opened a pick I went to the Niners one back to pick I’m now Niners one Niners one okay by the way that’s that’s very fair it because not all anybody that has this and again it’s not a criticism uh that

Has the projected or the potential matchup up it’s action what I mean by that is if it doesn’t happen you don’t necessarily get your money back so che check your house rules s Point that’s very generous Ravens four against Kansas City I before we uh we take a quick break do

You think this gets through four by the time we kick or no or is it more likely to come the other come back I’ll tell you the truth if they were kicking off like right now I’d probably go back to three and a half to get a whack on the

On the on the favorite you know so I don’t know but I mean they’re they’re taking the four but uh you like I said I’ve seen some sharp guys coming in playing the money line at this point I don’t know if that’s going to translate

To a point spread or not it might uh you know Jeff sometimes you just don’t know sometimes these things just turn around and you I get guys asking me where do you think this number is going to if I knew where it was going to go I’d go

There now oh you you would have already moved it then I would have moved yeah you know you don’t know somebody comes up with a six figure bet or or more and says hey I’m interested in this you know if that happens then yeah you know you

Want to lay the FL oh yeah okay well then might then you might go higher so you never know this is the early game noon Pacific 3:00 local time in Baltimore Maryland for the Ravens and opposite no Ravens are early no but you said did I go did I go backwards a

Second time I’ve done that this week 3:00 local three three on the East Coast yeah three three local Baltimore oh in Bal okay you said local I’m thinking local in Vegas and noon local my mistake my mistake what time is it I have I have made that mistake we don’t fly in from

The East Coast every day Jeff in case you didn’t no we don’t no well have to have to get Jimmy on uh on Mr gone I’ll talk to Mr gone about that maybe we can arrange that oh man uh excited for this one it’s uh when it was all said and

Done I do think we ended up with the the two best teams in the AFC oh I think so uh I know Buffalo had the weird year where they were B where they were mediocre and then turned it on late no Miami for a chunk of the Year could have

Been considered the best team in the AFC could have not saying they were uh but we ended up with the two best teams in the AFC I don’t know if we did in the NFC but who knows maybe Detroit will prove us prove Pro me wrong on Sunday

Evening all right we’ll take a quick break a week get back we’ll look at the NFC game we’ll also uh also ask these uh to fine gentleman about some college hoops questions because it has been uh Topsy Turvy to say the very least in college hoops to begin the first two

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Texas holdom and Mississippi Stud so get out of your room and come join in the [Applause] fun welcome back in it’s Sports by the book here at the South Point Studio I’m Jeff parles alongside me Chris Andrews sports book director here at the South Point Vinnie malulo uh Gone gaming South Point A+ hair thank you thank you always appreciate it rats yeah sorry sorry don’t rub it

Iny uh before we get back uh to the NFL the NFL side of things I I just want to ask you guys real quick because tomorrow is legitimately we talking about I said it earlier it is 100 there are 150 college basketball games tomorrow MH and that’s not a a uh

A a misclick on what I’m saying here you there are seven today by the way there is one good game tonight Wisconsin takes on Michigan State which is quite the good game you guys have three and a half with the Badgers laying it at at home at

Cole tonight uh but but on a day like tomorrow where there’s 150 games and it’s all from the power five down to the the bottom conferences in the extra board which you put those games up on the day on the morning of just how how does a day like this go especially well

With this going to be bleeding into Sunday with all those with the two NFL games well I’ll tell you you know I got usually two people at a time working the you know the numbers say and I’ll you guys worry about the hoops and the hockey I’ll take

Care of the football and that’s the only way you could do it you know and uh I’ll be at my desk and some don’t you take a lunch break no not really I eat lunch at my desk you know on days like that you know because really I tell them you’re

Going to have your hands full with the Hoops I’ll take care of the football go from there you’ve got to dedicate staff to to by sport when you have a situation like that and and then of course then there’s the endgame yeah now we got two

People on in game so you you know it it’s evolved to to that to that point Jee and so um look numbers are will move very quickly because again let’s remember this yes you’ve got 150 games but there are folks out there and to their credit the and it’s smart it’s

Difficult to tr to track and keep track of all 350 uh 355 close to 355 College basketb D1 college basketball teams that’s just on the men’s side don’t forget the women’s side has gotten extremely popular as well uh and you know great game last night by the way between LSU

And and South Carolina down in uh South Carolina beats LSU bad and rude great game um but you know so but there there are players out there they’ll follow a conference and it’s not necessarily one of the power six and I always say power six in basketball it’ll go back to Power

Five next year uh with the realignment but you have to include the the Big East uh in in in college basketball as a as a top conference so um you know you you’re you’re going to look at you know there are folks out there that’ll look at the

Northeast conference or the uh uh you know the Sun Belt or the the swack you know the Southwest Athletic Conference and and and look for uh opportunities there so numbers you know from our side account what do we numbers have to move quickly and and move in in in a bigger

Increment too you’ll you’ll you’ll see often times the case so you want the action uh but it’s very respected uh particularly outside of the uh the power six conferences it’s funny Vinnie says that and I’ve had people over the years young handicappers young bets ask me for

Advice so the first thing I would tell you try to find a smaller Market y to bet into yeah you know if any mentioned you know the the Northeast conference or you know some of those you could find things that I mean I know Richie bacheler are good friends

Following all those but I’m not following those conferences that closely or maybe a bet you know first quarter totals in the NFL something like that find a small Market you could specialize in and you build your bankroll from there and that that’s what I would give advice to Young handicappers Who want to

Get into this business and want to and want to be serious about listen if you’re not serious you just want to entertain yourself go bet the Big 10 you know go bet the ACC bet bet the SEC you’ll have a lot of fun and you might

Win a couple of bucks at the end of the year here or you might not but if you want to be serious about it I would start with the the smallest Market you feel you get a handle on and go from there oh go look at the big West the Big

Sky the uh sure the uh the extra board conferences the South Patriot League that’s exactly was talking about plenty of plenty of places to go uh and again with that said there are there are still spots in these power conferences that you can you can go but those markets as

You’ve said they’re tight absolutely more information on those team yeah makes those markets much tighter uh on the college hoops front I still I still funny looking at the schedule where there again legitimately today eight well at the Ryden game how about a Ryden game you like that nine games today

Including that Arkansas State uh Cajun battle where the Cajun are up 13 on the redwolves in the second half uh Cajun close fivepoint favorites uh again they’re just again 150 games tomorrow whatever whatever you want in college tubes yeah in that one and and let me

Tell you you talk about when we’ve been saying it for a long time how wide open it is just look at look at in this last look at last night where Arizona goes goes up to uh Oregon State and and loses outright as yeah exctly unable so and

That’s not the first time by the way with Arizona that happened this year they did the same thing up at Washington state right well they yeah they they were I think they were 10 in that game they were double double digits for sure they got bet up in that game too so

Fascinating because this college basketball year and I don’t know if it’s a transfer portal I don’t know if it’s if it’s guys are just more experienced I don’t know if it’s just both of that I don’t know if uh it’s just hard to play on the road this year in college hoops

Uh every any result is in play this year it doesn’t in the past it just felt like there were things that would could like all right Oregon State an 18 and a half Point Underdog they’re not they’re not going to be competitive in this they to

Win this game and not only not only the game they came they came back from double digits in the second half took a nine-point lead blew the nine-point lead in 90 seconds and it went out a buzzer be there last night you know one thing I

I will tell you you brought up a a good point about uh being on the road being on the road that weather impacts college basketball teams more than say pro teams and I and I’ll tell you what what I mean say Vinnie what the hell are you talking

About they play indoors check thank you an they it’s it’s a challenge to get to certain places Oregon state is not necessarily easy we saw what Kansas last week getting Morgan Town you got to fly and your flights your flights are are are are altered then you’ve got to you

Know get bus rides and things like you’re completely taken out of your Rhythm I mean it’s always the case when you’re on the road right but you you know coaches Co and coaching staffs build in Provisions to deal with that but but even with the best laid plan

Plans when it weather impacts what happens and so uh that’s something you you know that’s a that’s something that some pretty sharp handicappers I know that they taught me a while back pay attention to where these games are and not just who the team is playing but how

How difficult it can be particularly in the winter to get to some of these venues and again I think that listen and credit Oregon State last night because uh but we’ve seen this out of Arizona this year and ever since um ever since that loss to Purdue right I mean they’ve

They’ve not they’ve not been the same they’ve they’ve really I think underachieved compared to what that very different than when when they went down to Cameron and and and beat Duke down there but I don’t think Duke is as good as uh a lot of folks thought that uh

They were uh going into the season so um pay attention to uh to weather like I for Arizona just since they they absolutely annihilated Wisconsin yeah put almost put a 100 on him beat him by 25 and that was at home and yeah but since that like you said they lost that

Neutral game was in Indie it was a Purdue home game let’s not lie to ourselves right the game here a double overtime game against FAU FAU found a way to beat them shot the light shot shot terrific that day uh and then I mean got drilled by Stanford who isn’t

Any good lose to wazo lose to Oregon state who’s arguably the uh worst team in the Pack 12 I just I lot of talent lot of talent our good friend Jeff Fogo had an interesting stat about FAU in Arizona today so uh I think FAU might be

Like one and six or something against the number since then and Ariz even worse maybe FAU has been awful against the number because they’re playing in a conference where they’re big favorites every night just hard to cover uh those numbers and also I I I I don’t remember

If if this was you Chris or you Vinnie one I forget which one of you one of you two said this especially in these college basketball leagues where we used to say this about Gonzaga and we still say this about Gonzaga we’re they’re getting every team’s best shot every

Single night it’s kind of happening with Florida Atlantic right now in the sure they’re not a secret anymore they’re not a secret they’re that final four appearance was no fluke based off of what we’ve seen early in the I’m going to give credit to my friend Chuck edel

Who I haven’t talked to in a while but it’s really sharp handicapper but he told me one of his angles that he looks at every year is teams that are great in the preseason before they start playing conference games and sometimes that number gets overinflated now you’re playing conference games that kind of

Know your system a little better and you know you’re usually you know you talking about a Gonzaga you’re usually getting some nice points or FAU of course now you’re getting points and all this so Chuck I hope I didn’t blow inning for you but uh you know I think uh Chuck’s a

A1 handicapper and by the way I a hell of a guy too a really good friend I I like him a lot you know Chrissy brings up a an important point because along those lines and we were talking about some of the smaller conferences there are teams out there like a Texas

Southern before conference play begins they go play anybody they go play all the all the big schools okay they’ll they go up to Oregon they’ll play any anybody and they’ll and on the road because nobody’s going to go to their place and they do it to find out where

They are and how they stack up against the power six conferences and really better prepares them for their own conference play so it it certainly it pay attention to to those teams too because you say oh my gosh this team is you know you know one and seven going

Into a conference play well they get into a conference play those eight games were against Power Six schools why I’ll tell you what that’s a big Advantage by the way Florida Atlantic don’t forget they have everybody coming back this year so the transfer portal did not no

They were negatively impact them were a team that was unscathed their biggest thing is they moved up in weight class in conference they went from went they went into the American you which and good for them because it should make for you know better prep for the postseason

Uh uh this year as well so anyway lots of lots of angles to pay attention to when it comes to the college hoops Let’s uh shift back to the NFC title game Debo Samuel no injury designation now he is in yep seven and a half yeah he is in

The whole Market has joined you at seven they really yep really yeah I I always say though Jeff I like to be first rather than last I really do yeah there’s uh one uh one book in town that has National that has a national brand that uh they got a

Juiced seven or seven no they have a seven flat actually I know who they are okay yeah a little surprised actually uh Peyton and Eli might need to get on that uh but uh seven and a half Chris you moved there you were the first one to

Move to seven and a half on this game and the Market’s there with you now uh Debo Samuel is going to play the weather I mean the weather is just perfect for the end of January much to the chrin of under better no I I mean

Look at 51 I I actually I will Almost Never bet totals early in the week because it’s still a weather report it can be wrong yeah I bet 51 over just because got a good number you moved it to 52 didn’t you no I wasn’t Frank I

Couldn’t couldn’t do that but it was just one of those where it’s weather’s perfect the Niner defense has had its little bit of struggles over the last six weeks hav really been the same since that Jacksonville game where they destroyed the Jags um and what’s our

Critique of Jared gof all the time you can’t play in cold weather yeah 65 degrees with no wind that’s ideal for a kid who’s from that area of the country yeah I you know I think both these quarterbacks you get some scrutiny sure a lot of it deserved listen you’re in

The NFL you’re a quarterback you are going to get scrutinized I hate to tell you I mean we’re still scrutinizing Patrick Mahomes and and we’re GNA try to get Scott casmar on our show at one point and Scott I’ll tell you Brady’s the most overrated quarterback that’s

Ever live so that’s interesting to get that I can’t wait to hear that but he has numbers to back him up pretty interesting guy I’m not that I agree with him I really don’t but uh I I’m not sure I want to debate him in a public

Forum either but I think both these quarterbacks I I really think both will play well tomorrow again I’m not a totals guy um with the weather the way it is it would be hard for me to bet this one under a lot of Niner and over parlay so

That Revelation you know um you know the thing about it is these two quarterbacks do get overshadowed by by the other game look at the other two quarterbacks right I mean so um the thing about golf though uh in terms of you know weather and

Which is not going to be a factor this week it’s about pressure and I think that that’s where he’s going to and I’m sure you know Dan Campbell and his staff are addressing that right because U the Niners like to bring pressure but Niners defense has not uh uh they they’ve

They’ve been prone to uh to to to giving up points right so and I think that also has contributed to to to play on uh on the over as well so um look it’s it it’s still it’s it’s a good a public team in terms of the Niners a traditional public

Team in the ners you’ve got a a public team over the last couple of years in Alliance and and of course a terrific story because uh they’ve they’ve never been to a Super Bowl so you know there’s that sentimentality uh element so um but another good game this number Jeff I

Know you’re going to you know where where do we where do we see it going it’ll be impacted obviously by any carryover from the first game let’s remember these two games have concentr traded handle right so you know every week as the playoffs move along uh and

The handle continues to grow so that you know we we there’s a big difference between carryover on a on a Sunday night during the regular season on a Prime Time game uh you know with everything going to it this is this is a situation too where you mentioned those 150

College basketball games there going to be a few of those that are going live uh to these games makes you say that on uh on Sunday there going to be uh I can tell you right now I can tell you right now there will be plenty of and I don’t

Think I don’t think this bet will win just throwing it out there there going to be plenty of Kansas jhawk money line is an underdog tomorrow against Iowa State yeah with Kansas City chief Underdog money line on Sunday out there uh like you said I mean I’m sweating

Already because I know that’s coming oh it’s it’s definitely coming by the way I like Iowa State in that game tomorrow so hopefully you won’t you’ll knock those out pretty quickly there Chris well the other thing Vinnie was talking about the carryover one thing to watch uh usually

The pattern usually I again I’m painting with a very broad brush here if you’re betting the NFL betting parlays it’s usually dog dog or favorite favorite over to the over dog money line to the dog money line or favorite money line that you so that first game is going to

Have a lot of impact yep one way or the other on that second game and uh you know we’ll see how it goes you know uh but that that is the general pattern that you see over the course of years the worst is over over oh well

Again that’s that’s that’s what we call in the studio the nicera oh nicaro effect the over over over over oh Chrissy 45 years from now we’ll be talking about the nicaro effect yeah no question yeah really we’re going to get in some cryogenic chamber or something

45 years from now what else would we do cut we’re going to be like Ted Williams what else would we Ted Williams and Walt Disney both of the uh the Frozen heads um you know uh just just going back to a point that that you said there Chris and

And you’re 100% right on just the scrutiny of the even for the elite quarterbacks everyone’s going to get scrutiny but for these guys in this this game where look jerich Go’s already been in the Super Bowl yeah as wild as that may seem to some but but three points on the board yeah

Ask our friend Zack White yeah well I’m still I I know that was not a good result for you it was not a good result for me no it’s funny it was a great result for the game but Z oh I love Zach he’s a great guy and I tease him about

It all the time beat me out of 100,000 on that prop but like I said Michael gone loved it he loved it we got publicity all over the country and we had a good day now if we had have lost and Zach beat me out of 100 wi have been

So good but we had a great day Zach beat me out of 100,000 it’s not like Zach took the money and ran by the way so he’s still betting me all the time God bless him Zach I hope you’re listening I I do think he’s a hell of a guy and

Great respect he’s a sharp sharp guy there’s always a a prop or two that you Crystal say hey W you’re not going to believe this how about how about the one with with the when the 49ers and and the Falcons game I think it was the when the

Game was sitting on uh nine on was it wasn’t that wasn’t that the game Falcons Falcons Patriots Falcons Patriots Falcons Patriots wasn’t it wasn’t it on 11 no it was on N for a while and we that was going to be a big one and you start scoring some CRS early and everything

Like that and all of a sudden I think Nick or somebody said hey you may want to take a look at this oh yeah yeah total number of points in the game and not not time on the game clock but time on the real clock sat there at 9ine for

About 45 minutes yeah I mean and that was not even though they wounded up that’s the year they came back from the 283 def Chris you don’t have to remind me and everyone else I had I had Atlanta plus the points that day still stings

That was one of those where I did not need that to land three Tampa by three New England by was a bad number for me and when Brady got the kickoff I said Tom whatever you if you’re up there get in the end zone cuz I know he’s going to

Go score is he going to score a field goal or touchdown go get the touchdown I’ll lick my wounds the rest of the way you know but six was okay under the old Rules by the way yeah right well no that was the uh that was the F that was the

So that’s the only Super Bowl that’s ever been gone overtime that game the 283 game that was the touchdown if they didn’t scor the touchdown they yeah would would give the ball back to Atlanta yeah uh well yes the new the new rules the new rules we still haven’t

Seen an action yet in the postseason we’re never getting an overtime game again apparently even if a team scores a touchdown the other team has a chance has a chance and that’s a playoff specific overtime rule you know it’s going to be fascinating the first time

That comes into play who knows maybe it comes into play this week maybe it comes into play in two weeks you never know who just from a game strategy perspective yeah you want to defer I think so you want to defer in these new rules where you want you get you get the

Hammer you get the ball second even if a team goes down scores a touchdown on you they kick that P you can come down and say you know we’re going for two we’re going to go end this thing right now uh one thing the NFL didn’t quite think

Through on that one but uh that doesn’t come much of a shock but back to my point on the quarterbacks real quick um when we’re dealing with guys who are perceived to be middle tier quarterbacks where I think both of these guys are somewhere from that 8 to 13 range yeah

Upper middle yeah upper middle I think they’re 8 to 13 they’re they’re really in what I call the Kirk cousin Zone more more at least okay yeah at least for what the past of people perceive KT cousins to be I I’d go on record saying i’ think

Either these guys over Kurt Cousins uh off off a kill’s injury right now I think I would too well regardless yeah uh but but my point my point goes for this where the total’s only going to go up because of of what Vinnie said the

Public is going to come in on this game but you know there’s going to be National pundits after this game if this game goes like 3128 oh no no one expected the shootout you know that’s coming Chris I just can’t wait to say the Niners upset the the Lions

By well I don’t think we’ll get that though this year no I well I mean we’ll get we’ll get tomorrow in college hoops we’ll get Iowa State upset Kansas Iowa State upsets Kansas as a four-point favor no it’s not the case it’s not an upset like I know that’s you you know

That’s coming at see it all time just remember pundits don’t book the games no yeah I know that uh I do have a question on Detroit though go ahead uh just with the way that this season has gone for them where you have a franchise that I

Mean this is their second NFC title game ever they’re one of the four teams that has never played in the Super Bowl uh just for for a team that and we talked about it earlier they’ve become this public team it just is this just one of those

Where you have people that are coming in wanting to bet the narrative bet the fun story here just kind of blindly sure absolutely yeah where do we get to the Super Bowl if they win well I mean if they’re there I know they’re going to

Get bet BL yeah they’re going to I mean yeah we we’re seeing that sure and I mean almost everybody I talk to that doesn’t a have a financial interest or B isn’t a Niner fan they all are rooting for Detroit and I don’t blame them you

Know I don’t blame them yeah why not I I agree ch’s spot on with that I mean again there’s again I don’t I’m not going to say that Detroit is Cinderella but they’re definitely the sentimental uh yeah and then of course uh as we know here in Vegas Niners are one of the

Teams that people always uh sure come flying in in bed I know it will be mostly uh a lot of uh a lot of red in here on on Sunday afternoon well I got to tell you though Detroit right now they’re I think they’re coming into town

Too won’t won’t be more than Niner fans but I think a lot of Detroit people are going to show up in town for this one well and it’ll be again for the super bow again two weeks from now uh we we talked about this last week I it doesn’t

Matter who wins the NFC championship at this point with these two teams those ticket prices are spiking regardless because it’s either going to be Niner fans who when they came and play the Raiders last year was it 802 Niner fans in that game well you know I spent a lot

Of time in Northern Nevada which means I went to San Francisco Northern California quite a bit a lot of money out there a lot of money very much so and then for the Lions I mean if it’s your first Super Bowl appearance in franchise history uh it’s uh going to

Going to going to spike those ticket prices there’s always a a response to the Super Bowl in Las Vegas I mean Las Vegas typically outd draws the host City and and it’s it’s about the experience I mean let’s face it there’s and and so this year

It’s got to exceed that I would think espe first of all look at the inventory you mentioned that on on Twitter yeah that was a great tweet yeah yeah I think a lot of people agree with me how many people are going to come for the Super

Bowl about the same that come every year whether it’s here or elsewhere and uh I you know listen I guess and I’m a little cragly on those things I guess it is good for the town that we are in the rotation I think we will be from now on

In some ways it’s good for the town but I think you know the the shortterm effect is not all that great because it is going to raise prices and this town’s going to be well it’s always nuts every year with the well I mean the super I mean look

The Super Bowl and you mentioned it like it’s always crazy in this T it doesn’t matter if the game was in was in London it would still be crazy in um and it’s just curious and you’re right this assuming that nothing like the NBA All-Star game when now was here nothing

Like that happens this week which I think it’s pretty sayfe bet nothing like that would happen um this is going to be in a rotation this is going to be City it’s going to be the three West Coast cities here Phoenix and LA mhm along with the two Floridian cities of Miami

And Tampa and New Orleans those are going to be basically Dallas still hasn’t had it since that one with they’re saving it for for when they go well they they everyone’s still blaming the weather that week where it was all that iced over well you also don’t want to see

Dallas got Pittsburgh lost that Super Bowl of course there’s a lot of things I don’t want to see in life I can’t help but I will say this the final four here is going to be a that that I’m in favor 27 27 right like that final like for us

MH is always like a little disappointing you know it’s never as big it’s the first four days that are big oh yeah and the final four is a good event especially the championship game on Monday night I mean it’s good it’s not bad we’ve had some really good results

And some couple not so good ones but mostly good results uh but it’s not as big as the first four days and I think having the final four here uh I think that’ll be a a great Boon for this town you get the you get the superow 2028 you

Get a Super Bowl you’re you’re because final fours are now in Super Bowl style venues obviously so yeah no I mean look and the national the college football national championship was supposed to be here in two years and they moved out to Atlanta for whatever reason still don’t know why that why

That moved out get we’ll get it I’m not too worried about it uh but uh again as we open the show with it just is amazing how different things are today in 2024 uh as opposed to forget 20 years ago 10 years ago been quite honestly seven years ago before the golden

Knights played their first game yeah and now uh and and really uh I I really do have to imagine that the initial success of the knights kind of paved the way for everyone of like hey this is we’re good it was never really taboo to begin with

But it’s clearly not taboo right right they they knew it they just didn’t want to admit it of course of course all right well when this is is all said and done Chris just uh going through some some other things the second game will end at about 6:45 here in Vegas

MH when will the first official line be out like moments after that game soon as we can get it loaded in the computer soon as get loaded in the computer yeah we’re we’re we’re victims of we’re slaves to technology as soon as we can get that thing in the computer it’ll be

Up and then uh and then as you said it’s really a few day process for getting all the props out uh yeah bits and pieces throughout the week you’ll get the you get the uh the coin toss and those other [ __ ] coin toss the safety that kind of stuff will be on

Monday and uh and I still say who would bet the coin toss but okay a lot of people actually bet the coin a lot of people you got to bet it here Sean why don’t you and there we go uh and then uh of course uh is there any

Is there anything new that you guys might try this year prop wise do you think I I I I don’t think so we’ really got it we’re settled in the last couple years we have a pretty good map you I’ve saved for I don’t know five or six years

The menu so we kind of got it down pat and uh I get and Michael gone likes about 300 props he thinks there plenty so I I don’t see a Str but of course we always have like the Saturday before the game we get some crossboard parlay of

Which the media loves oh they do and nobody bets it’s true nobody bets them get $100 $100 here 250 here now if I make a mistake they’ll beat down the doors to get in there but I try not to do that I think it depends on well you know the

Matchup Jeff you know if there’s something uh you know to tie into the thing about props too is listen you you can make a million props but you want to make them as easy determine as well clear make them clear make them understandable uh make them you know to

Where you can you grade them immediately uh once the the NFL puts that box score out you know you can’t put out something so complicated that it’s you know you you need a uh you know an attorney to uh you know to to interpret it and break it

Down for you so you know there’s always those WN to be attorneys out there oh God yeah every year and the one I finally had I can’t do it anymore I had will there how many lead changes or will there be change of lead after Z you know

And I gotten so many beefs with that you know guys were saying well it was tied when it was 20 to 20 and then they kicked the extra point made it 21 20 you know so that doesn’t count you know I mean I just I can’t even remember what

The argument was finally I just bought the guy dinner I says I can’t pay it but I’ll buy a dinner at the steakhouse that’s the best I can do probably ran up the tab on me too oh I’m sure he did he’s still in there yeah still in there years later uh again

Regardless of the matchup it’s the energy is always there for Super Bowl doesn’t matter but as as I said before uh I truly feel that we got the two best teams in the AFC the NFC very well may have beened being the two best teams but it’s definitely the most

I know as you said Dallas is the kings of of of June uhe but uh I think we at least ended up with the two most intrigued leing teams in the NFC yeah uh getting to this point one way yeah I would have said Philly if you asked me

Two months ago but uh well then they turned into the Carolina Panther they would have lik to been the Panther and I think you know KC is you know got a great National following but I do think that Baltimore is clearly the better team and I think Baltimore uh

Against either one of the teams in the NFC will still be a great matchup Casey might be a little bit but we’re you know very a very fine line would be the difference um the both home Fields but are strong I think Baltimore’s stronger than San Francisco agreed but I also think the

Kind of a what brings San Francisco back and uh or up I should say in Baltimore back a little bit is I think Kansas City proved what it was like to go into a hostile environment last week uh we haven’t seen that at allons yet so um you know

HomeField probably more of a factor in in the second game I think although Baltimore’s home field I’ve rated now tops in uh in the NFL well I would say excuse me I interrupt you but I would say to the other thing to make a case for the dogs

Is I think they’re both playing loose and free house money house money with both those teams absolutely well and you mentioned it at the top of the show there’s a ton of pressure on Baltimore there’s a ton of pressure on San Francisco for Kansas City n this cares

This is and they’re and they’re the defending champ this is defending we’re here every year this this is the worst team we’ve had since Patrick Mahomes is taking over we lost all worst offense this is their best defense I think since since he’s been there well you know what and I don’t I

Don’t like to invoke the New England run because it’s just oneof a kind but if this Kansas City wins the Super Bowl it’s kind of a frightening sight for everybody if this is if this team that their offense was for a good chunk of the Year middle tier at best yeah that’s

A little frightening for everyone and for the Lions hey Detroit Lions they’re not supposed to be playing in late January that’s just what the franchise is uh but it’ll be a lot of fun uh we’ll uh Vinnie we’ll hear from you on Sunday morning uh and tomorrow morning as well

Just on how these games have gotten bet over when do we have l v Caro we have Lou actually on Monday now oh Monday that’s right that’s right Lou will be on Monday with Alex uh Alex white and Matt never oh okay and he will be here

Previewing the big game yeah along with some hockey glad to have Lou on the roster absolutely look not many people sharper than our guy uh we will uh we will check in uh with with Matt Hamilton on Sunday uh to preview the games uh of course Matt uh

Used to be of NFL Networks now uh up in Adams producer as well uh former uh actually former staff member of the Detroit Lions back in the day as well so uh we’ll get uh his thoughts on the NFC and AFC Championship game on Sunday and you and Alex and Frank are credential

Right for the we we will we will have content through the week good we have content radio row we’ll have content through the week all right buddy uh don’t want to give away too much all right Jimmy’s calling me back there he’s got people he want I think we have fans

Behind us have fans Jimmy want to introduce me to Jimmy Jimmy’s has the most fan of all not even close not even close not even close he’s calling for help it’s like it’s like traveling with McCartney when you’re with Jimmy Chris viny pleasure as always we’ll see you guys again next

Friday we’ll know the match up next Friday good luck and all your plays for today that you may have it Alex and I are back tomorrow 150 not all of them but a lot of them previewed tomorrow for college hoops on Sports by the book here at the South Point [Applause] Studio

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