Dial it up in the desert with our experts’ American Express 2024 PGA DFS preview & best bets!
Can Scottie Scheffler (5-1) find his winning form, or will J.T. Poston (30-1) pop off at La Quinta Country Club?
PGA analysts Conor Coughlin & Bo McBrayer get sipping on “The 19th Hole (S4 E3).”
00:00:00 Intro & Cheers
00:11:30 American Express Courses Breakdown
00:17:58 2024 American Express Best Bets
00:50:18 2024 American Express PGA DFS Core Plays + Fades
01:18:20 Outro
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Good evening guys welcome back to the 19th Hole as always live on in between media make sure you like And subscribe hit that notification Bell give it a jingle for those notifications for any in between media publication this is the 19th hole and this week we are going back to the
Mainland the contiguous 48 states for the American Express which is in the middle of the desert in Palm Springs linta to be exact at the Nicholas Court at PJ West let’s hit that Drop I gotta go off solo view there he is Connor welcome back good evening to everyone we’re we’re back in Cali for the West Coast Swing the American Express not to be confused with any other tournament we like to bet on the PJ tour this might be in the bottom
Three for our least favorite tournaments on the PJ tour schedule not nothing against the tournament I’m sure it’s great for Southern California Charities the format however should have gone by the wayside a long time ago they got rid of the match play before this one that’s
A travesty Connor how do you feel about the American Express oh just love it like can’t can’t wait man just cannot cannot wait to break down this absolute crapshoot of a tournament but I we uh we did learn last year that if we trust numbers you can find some value still so let’s
Especially here especially here because uh I predicted a long shot winner last week and it came true except it was such a long shot that nobody had him nobody was betting him nobody was putting him in their lineups and the casinos won hugely on the Grayson Murray playoff
Victory at the Sony Open last week congratulations to to Grayson Murray great story uh however for our for our bankroll not good for any betters it was all good for the casinos last week so we got to get back on our grind and find this week’s long shot winner because as
John Ron put it last year when he came through with a nice Victory here at linta this is a putting contest and it’s unfortunate that we have to Traverse three different golf courses only one one of which even has shot link so good luck even tracking the progress of your golfers this week
Because uh nobody knows anything unless you’re on the grounds themselves good [Laughter] luck yeah it’s a treat it’s a treat and you you know you said something right in the beginning that I wholeheartedly agree with and I cannot believe that they keep this piece of [ __ ] around but
Got rid of the match play which I thought the match play man I maybe I’m in the minority but I thought the match play was awesome like I love the match play they should have make instead of getting rid of the only match play tournament on the PGA tour schedule they
Should change the format to match play on other tournaments because it’s it’s just more compelling golf 150 guys doing stroke play for four days I mean it’s nice but match play is just like the the mental games that you can play face to face with another golfer especially with
That much money and status and all that all these things that are tied into PGA Tour card membership it’s insane how much pressure these guys are under already but having to Duke it out with another golfer on the same course at the same time that’s where the that’s where
The suspense comes from so I implore the PJ tour to actually make more match play tournaments in that same group play vein as the WGC was uh it I already missed the tournament it’s the the missing weekend where it used to be hasn’t even come up
Yet it won’t for months and I already missed that tournament because it’s not going to be here yeah it’s going to be disappointing I don’t know maybe you can catch some Liv that’s an alternate format yeah I guess it’s they’re getting better players every day I swear if it
Keeps going the way that it’s going it sounds like Windam Clark’s gonna jump and that John Ron team’s gonna be something man I think Windam Clark is the perfect guy to jump to live because he’s striking while the oil’s hot this is exactly like he he went years and years
Completely irrelevant but he wins a major and he wins another big tournament pretty much back to back and now he’s got millions of dollars in his pocket and he’s got attention on him for the first time ever and here you go Liv is gonna offer that guy seven figures to to
Defect take all that money and run Wendy that’s that’s it’d be crazy not to take that money right now yeah you I I I mean we’ve been over this before and I know that sometimes it’s an unpopular opinion that I have but I I can’t fault these guys man if
That were me I’m getting that bag yeah mean as as dis as as bad of a taste as it leaves in a lot of people’s mouths where the money comes from these guys are all free agents they’re all independent contractors you should never count somebody else’s money for them
Because it’s none of your damn business and if somebody’s going to get a bag then let don’t stand in their way don’t don’t give them grief for doing something that you would do in a heartbeat speaking of counting other people’s money um as I do recall I uh
Handed out an ass whooping again to the IBT office crew this week in DFS I’m still counting that money up yeah I mean it’s it’s a good way for you to go a couple weeks without depositing into the app so congratulations just another dominating start to a
Season yeah I mean we we did pretty well betting side too we of course did not come up with the outright winner of Grayson Murray but we did get a top five finish out of Russell Henley who missed the play off by one shot disappointing finish for him on the last three holes
Bogy 16 killed him PA on 18 was horrible horrible fate to miss the playoff by parring a very easy hole and then you had AA batia who paid off at a top 20 rate but missed a top 10 payout of six to1 by one shot uh that would have been
Nice but speaking of AA Who’s hotter on the pl on the planet than that guy right now we’ll get to more of him uh let’s see what are you drinking tonight I gotta know what you’re drinking Connor because I mean the whole chat’s buzzing Wendy ear’s on time which is unusual for
Her she’s already making old person jokes in the chat with with uh with royal royal is old he just retired congrats to him um but they want to know what you’re drinking so a good friend of mine uh hooked me up with a single barrel Buffalo Trace that
Uh the tting panel on so I am uh breaking that out tonight and like I was telling you before um it is pleasantly surprising because a lot of times these Buffalo Trace barrels are very like smooth and like sweet this one’s got all the typical smooth sweet caramel vanilla
All that stuff but it’s got like an intense like kind of alcohol burn to it so it’s got a real like Savory sweet type of vibe going on so I’m I am loving this and uh uh as I also told you I’m gonna be uh indulging in it to eliminate
Some of the shoulder pain from uh handling the snow Upper Midwest yeah and and maybe it is your aging that has gotten you more sensitive to those spicy Ry notes in Buffalo Trace so maybe it’s just that maybe you’re losing your Edge there Connor I don’t
Know man I know Ryan I know I know burn and this is burn it’s just hot it’s not spicy it’s just hot this one’s just hot oh Mr scampers is in the house what are you drinking are you sans’s booze this evening or what oh no
No no no no no actually quite the opposite I’m getting more booze for the buck this is Evan Williams bottled and bond probably the best value tasting best tasting value Whiskey on the market uh bottle of $1 17.99 at the grocery store and as far as all the bourbon
Notes you love at a decent 100 Proof to get 100 proof that tastes good at 1799 uh you can’t beat that no that’s that’s a go-to that’s a standby like you serious this is a camping camping musthave it just it goes to prove that uh people that spend 60 70 80 bucks a
Bottle on the hype brand are missing out because some of these bottom shelf $20 bottles are every bit as as solid as those expensive ones and I remember when the price is the hype like it’s not like the juice is any better Buffalo Trace is
20 25 bucks now who knows it might it it actually is in other states where you can’t get it as easily it’s 50 60 bucks it’s Eagle Rare here is 30 bucks and other places it’s 80 because you just can’t find it or so many people bought
It up from hype that the price has to go up bourbon’s crazy like that the price has nothing to do with the flavor in most cases no definitely if you and if you go back and watch some of our content probably the most ever green part of our
Older content is us talking about our our like sub what what we used to do B was it only bottles under 30 yeah yeah some good some really good ones go back and watch some of that I also used to bartend on the show with a bunch of uh
Like kind of poorly strung together artifacts from my uh my alcohol so we both we have both made cocktails live on this show and some good cocktails honestly like oh yeah like if you don’t go back to watch the old golf content just watch like the first 10 15 minutes of old
Shows holy cow like we had some good times electric stuff the content was fire now Bo and I just have too much knowledge to drop every week so we don’t have time time to uh to make cocktails we got to get into things but we’re still drinking just a little neat or On
The Rocks nothing fancy and of course Royals an OG he okay let’s get into the beding side actually let’s go talk about the course here let’s hit the drop for cadd notes uh and Connor you can you can drum up uh everything there is to know about three
Different golf courses at the same Resort in the coach Valley I just have to point this out because they were within Arms Reach when I saw scampers comment these aren’t Navy strength but two of my favorite Gins like literally are like ey Lev for me so this one castle and key edition three that’s a good one that’s a great my my
Daily driver when I’m drinking Jin is you can’t spell that without my name so I just call it Bose yeah you should but yeah no see see if we can snap right back into the alcohol part of the show and just keep pulling bottles all right
So uh trust me I think it’s more engaging content than the American Express but we’re gonna do it oh definitely there’s no question uh unfortunately there’s no signature drink for the middle of the desert so water is what you should drink at the American Express so without further Ado the
American Express 2024 four we are in lint California Peru uh we got a three course rotation here everyone’s going to play all three of the courses and then we’ll double up on the stadium course finishing up there on Sunday um the three courses are the Pete die that I
Just alluded to the linta country club the Nicholas tournament course all are running at a par 72 uh your die is at 7187 yards L 7060 Nicholas is at 70 uh Nicholas is at 7159 so varying uh information about what kind of grass we’re on essentially we’re
Bermuda you may have some like POA and Ry overseed here and there but essentially these are going to play like Bermuda um big things with the cours is there’s over 90 bunkers on each course so there’s a lot of sand um not that it necessarily matters tremendously here um
Interestingly and I didn’t realize this that close to half of the holes have water in play and I think there there’s actually a stretch on is it the stadium or the tournament that there’s a stretch of like six holes that have water off the tea it’s yeah I don’t know I don’t
Remember it’s it’s unimportant but there is water here so beware of EVR yeah don’t play Eric Van royan if there’s water anywhere near like we like we nicknamed him the the acronym EVR for Eric Van royan isn’t even sufficient enough to give him a proper nickname he is the Willow Branch
He will find water without a doubt um some of the some like the weather can get a bit iffy here you can get some wind um you can get some moisture right now the wind is going to be like super mellow um not subject to change but um
It does look like depending on how the fronts move through we’re going to get some rain either overnight uh Saturday into Sunday or kind of mid morning Sunday um but it’s going to be like really moderate shouldn’t affect much not at all I would put the projected
Score at somewhere between 23 and 27 uh that’s kind of about an average of what we’ve been seeing the last few years there aren’t a whole ton of Trends here um or or at least not a whole lot of direct correlations um people that have been playing well or have got a few
Starts under their belts tend to tend to compete here um but it’s pretty much a getable course by everybody um approach game is important again this week as it always is but um it’s really about capitalizing on your opportunities knocking the ball close not giving any
Putts up um and that’s really a big part of what I was looking at is just guys that are giving themselves those opportunities inside of 10 feet like even even a guy like Scotty sheffler that’s been struggling with the flat stick nobody has more opportunities or more looks at birdie than sheffler um
Which is how he’s been able to compete here I think over the last 18 months but um and just for historical sake uh John ROM uh last year at 27 seven under um Hudson Swafford at 23 the year before SE wo at 23 the year before that and
Then Andrew Landry at 26 so you can kind of see we’re right in that range um not a whole lot it could be a favorite and it could be nobody Hudson Swafford is a two-time champion of this event and he’s not even in the field even though he
Just won two years ago that should tell you everything you need to know about the AMX is it could be a favorite like last year with John Ron who I think was 4 to one to win and we of course didn’t play that crazy short odds but he won
And killed the chalk for everyone like everybody betting on that tournament pretty much lost because even if he won with ROM it wasn’t going to be a very good payout uh so you can bet Scotty sheffler here at five and a half to one or you can bet a completely Buckshot
Approach to a bunch of long shots and pray for the best uh stats that I’m looking at are a correlation between t to Green stats which of course create the opportunities for scoring along with putting especially in recent rounds I think I went down to the last 24 rounds
To find the hottest Putters in this event uh to correlate with ti Green stats that’s kind of what I was looking at of course part five scoring with each course having four very getable part fives it’s going to be very important to get the guys who can make birdies or
More importantly Eagles when the opportunity arises yeah I can’t say that I have much different than you I think I think once we get into our model building Etc in a little bit here like I think how we weighted things was different but in general I and it’s not exclusive to us I
Think pretty much everybody is kind of looking at the same same mix of stats and it’s really just about building a well-rounded golfer for the course because pretty much anybody can pop up here so yeah let’s uh let’s talk about the batting side of it with Club Twirls what
Do you say Connor you good I love it I got a refill All right Club twils we’re taking the odds from DraftKings Sports book you can use any of the books pretty much available to you the lines are going to vary pretty widely from book to book at the same time a lot of the same guys are favored across all
Of the books so starting at the top you have Scotty Sheffer five and a half to one you have Patrick Klay 10 to one and Xander shafley 11 to one anybody here you’re willing to throw some skin on Connor uh so I do like Klay and I do
Like Xander um same same got the California Roots we’re in double digits on both of them I’m actually showing Xander I think at 12 to one so that’s even better I think I prefer Xander uh to Klay um me too but I think if you got
Room on your card I think they’re both really really live here um correct I said you got the SoCal Roots um they both play well here they both are Elite in this field um ta to Green numbers off the charts and I think what you’re going
To get tell me right now is that you’re leaning towards Xander because he’s got a better short game if you can if you say hey Klay and Xander are equal from ta to Green who’s got the better short game it’s Xander yeah and I think I think the two
The two other pieces that ien Xander on just are the um the proximity metric that 15 to 175 he’s just better um and then um opportunity gained as far as that stat that I said was a big one for me this week that looks inside of 10
Feet Xander’s number three in this field klay’s 33rd um Klay also is like not an excellent par three scorer and I think that par threes and Par fives are where you’re G to make hay this week and so if I got to pick one it’s Xander but historically Klay has done really well
Here um and obviously Klay is still an elite ball Striker so well and plus it’s a proam so with all the celebrities on the course they’re already playing sixh hour rounds can’t does have to rush through his process in any stretch because he’s going to have a bunch of
Duffers playing with him the whole the first three days really so that might still be slow for him I don’t want him to feel rushed so I mean Harmon Harmon’s just as slow did you see that that little pitch shot he took eons to to even get ready for his
Address oh my God watching Harmon stand over a drive on the t- boox is excruciating it it’s I’m like dude are you going to go like are you going to especially with how automatic he is off the te like as accuracy wise like dude you don’t have to think that hard just
Do it muscle memory is there for you like the results are great so what’s taking so long I mean he’s a pro and you and I play rounds of golf in under three hours so I mean shots have six figures riding on each one of them
So I guess I get it it’s it’s understandable it just doesn’t compute because we’re used to be to whiz around a golf course in four four and a half hours just to get home to do to fix dinner or something like that like it’s like six hours on a round and that’s it
You you might as well just be living by yourself you might be going home to fix dinner I’m trying to get to the bar the 19th hole Yeah I gotta I gotta drink off my round almost every time but um but yeah no so getting back to the
Odds though I I think KL Xander and then oddly I I’m going to take a few shots at minu Lee I think it’s early but I like the 25 to1 he’s been on fire um I I don’t love I don’t love minwoo this week but you and I have been banging that
Drum so loud for minwu Lee if I’m not there when he wins like he’s gonna make most of my cards until he does he’s like batia for me but you’re with me on batia this week so I can’t even argue with you uh we should take some shots at minw
Especially at 25 to1 especially in a tournament where Firepower is going to be needed I mean who has more Firepower than than Min Le the dude’s a birdie making machine but can he do that four rounds in a row on three different golf courses hard to say uh he’s still young
He’s still very talented but the mental game I don’t think is quite there yet but it could be at this course at the at this event we could see enough out of menie to win it especially if things get closer to 30 underpar like if you start to see like perfect conditions where
Everybody’s scoring minwu can hang with anybody out there uh I’ll stick with a guy who just plays well here every single year and that’s sjm at 20 to1 he’s as automatic of a top 10 pick as they get as it gets he’s also been playing out of his mind the last six
Months so give me sunjay at a place that he loves and a place where if you got a guy from 150 yards who do you want closer like him him and Scotty it’s sunjay and Scotty for who do you want from 150 yards to
Stick it close uh I and of course he’s a better putter than Scotty by a long shot so this this could be a breakthrough win for sunjay who just seems to get a top 10 every time he comes here H without I think he hasn’t even won this tournament
Yet so it’s shocking but I I’m I believe in him yeah I I agree with you and it’s for me it’s just a matter of room on the card like I I think sunj definitely sets up perfectly here I my my biggest thing with sunjay is I think he’s just gonna
Be that like a little bit like what we’ve been talking about with Tommy Fleetwood like he’s he’s always gonna be there but he just doesn’t seem to win as often as you you think he should given the setup but I’m with you like this seems like this seems like it should be
A slam dunk for sunjay so it’s a pass for me but it’s nothing to do with how much I I think he could win it’s just can’t bet them all it’s it’s the odds and it’s a tournament where you don’t want to be aggressive on your betting slip because it’s a absolute crapshoot
Like we’re going to say the favorites are who they are but chances are we’re gonna have a guy with triple digit odds win this tournament and I guarantee it would happen last week I didn’t think it would be 500 to one but like I was right in a
In a really wrong way with I don’t like being right when I’m right to such an extreme where it hurts everybody uh this might be another kind of 100 to 200 100 to One winner because everybody’s in play When the conditions are this Prime for scoring every single one of the guys
In this field is capable of going out there and shooting four rounds in the mid-60s and winning this thing there is nobody in this field that has no chance to win every single person here can do it that that’s 100 per true but I think
This like 30 to 50 range is where we get the winner from this year I I I kind of like where you’re going with this because there are four guys in that range that we’re both looking very closely at starting with the postman who does deliver on Sundays course records
61 at Yi on Sunday that’s pretty good right he went from he went from barely making the cut to hey look I got a top 10 yeah it’s better than pretty good I mean dude this guy has been ridiculous over the last going all the way way back
To The Travelers I think was the last time you missed a cut right and you look at what he’s been doing just in the last like three to six months I mean he finished up second at the 3M open seventh at the Windom uh proceeded to
Finish in the top 25 of the next two tournaments third at the Shriners fifth century sixth at the Sony Open and I mean he is just peppering greens he’s making more birdies than anybody else in this field he’s arguably the in this field yeah the third best in the world
Uh that should tell you everything you need to know about JT posting is he makes birdies and a lot of them and so far I haven’t found any metric that points me away from JT Poston for any kind of bet or DFS lineup especially betting because 30 to one for
A guy who’s stringing together top fives like they’re like they’re just a regular stroll through the park that’s that’s an insult to have a guy that’s running this pure still be 30 to1 payout at a tournament where everything he does well is accentuated yeah I think if there’s any
Any that you can throw shade at him on it it’s the fact that you know he is not necessarily the best off the tea um but I think here like we didn’t talk much about thousand yard courses I mean this is nothing also there’s like outside of
Like going directly into a hazard like the rough here is next to non-existent um you know you’ve got I mean I I don’t see there being a whole lot of penalty for being a little Wayward off the tea especially with the approach game he’s had and on top of
That if you do Miss greens like poston’s been one of the best on any aspect of short game so I uh I absolutely love Poston here I think in a in a bigger field 30 to1 is ridiculously short for JT Poston but I think in this field I think it’s
Actually a good price on them like I think given the current we’re on and so I’m really excited about that one it’s uh it seems like a little disrespect but not as much as a guy that we like down at 55 which we’ll get to yeah and that’s one that’s
Fallen considerably in recent days uh Eric Cole’s there 30 to1 as well I think he’s just like Poston but not not even as good off the te as poon like he’s awful off the te and great at everything else uh not running nearly as hot as Poston
Air Cold’s good Burns is another guy that has done well here in the past SoCal guy great putter but Tony F out here 35 to one this is I mean you hate him with a fiery passion Connor but Tony feno on events where the the winning
Score might be 30 under par there’s only a few out there there’s 3M there’s the the rocket mortgage and there’s the MX and Tony feno does well in all of those because if you need a guy to make birdies and Eagles who better than the guy who if
You have narrow Fairways and long rough you pretty much just toss them aside as an easy fade but any interest at all in Tony fena this week from the guy who hates him more than anybody else absolutely not and not because my bias Tony feno has really not done all
That much in the last call it even a whole year I mean he does he does his he shows up to a couple tournaments or whatever he does make birdies but I mean I would not say that Tony Fen now is even approaching being in form over the
Last 24 measured rounds with fale he ranks out 133rd for me um he’s been abysmal on the putting green I think the only person worse than him that you would call Elite is Scotty Sheffer um and then what was once like a prolific scorer I mean his birdies are better
Gained over the last 24 rounds is actually in the lower third of this field so I I don’t like the Tony feno Resurgence thing sure maybe that’ll happen at some point this season like he’ll find it but I for me I don’t need a whole lot of
Reason to not buy into Tony Fen now because I think he’s a total 50-50 proposition he’ll either compete or he’ll slam that trunk and I uh I’ve been burnt by Tony fow too many damn times so I will let you ride solo on everybody who’s watched the show
For the last four years is well aware how much Tony feno has burned Conor specifically I seem to just play him at the select few tournaments which I’m going to do again this week because I still think he has the chops to hang around in this type of place but you’re
Right he could very well miss out on the 54 hole cut at aita I just don’t see it happening um but you’re right we we teased it earlier but AE baa 55 to1 that is as insulting a line as you’re ever gonna find for a guy who’s playing
So well this is the hottest golfer on the planet right now and he was 60 to1 last week and damn near won the thing and this is a very similar length course that’s going to require plenty of scoring and it’s even more in his wheelhouse where because putting on
These three courses is exponentially easier than it was last week the Sony where it might have tested O’s new broomstick putting style and it didn’t even he was amazing again on the greens this guy is going to win a tournament very soon it might as well be this week
When we’re getting a 55 to1 payout yeah I think I think he’s right there with uh Eric Cole and JT Poston in terms of form right now um and if you look at him I mean he’s a similar similar guy especially in this fall
Swing I mean he’s got he’s got a ton of of top 20 and top 15 um performances I think the big thing that actually surprisingly to me I did I wouldn’t have said this without looking at the stats but surprisingly what’s been holding him back lately is Ben is off the te game
And now he’s not Elite off the te but he’s also not been gaining normally he gains between one and a half to two strokes off the te at least on the in the last eight nine months over the last few tournaments that’s the part that has
Held him back um and so he’s made up for it um specifically he’s made up for it around the green like last week he was missing greens but he was recovering so nicely um in the put that’s uncharacteristic because he’s as good of on approach as anybody yeah and I think
I think that that’s kind of the the Silver Lining to what he did last week is as I look at it he rates out number one for me uh from 150 to 175 and which I think is going to be the vast majority of the shots that these
Guys are looking at and the other the other complimentary piece to that is that if AE gets the driver back to even even his flat average of that about 1.2 to 1.4 Strokes per game strok he’s going low low he’s gonna win this tournament um so I think there’s a lot less
Variables than that price would indicate so I would go book it at 55 to1 before it slides because I think over the next 24 to 48 hours people are going to get a little hip to it so speaking of hip to it what in the world is going on with
Ricky Fowler’s odds he opened this week as 30 to1 equal to Poston and Cole he’s down to 65 to1 and for people I don’t understand this is a So-Cal native who’s done well at this tournament many many times over his career and he’s playing pretty well the
Last calendar year he rates out well on most metrics I mean there’s a couple spots where like on approach he hasn’t been quite as good uh putting he’s been streaky but Ricky Fowler at 651 just seems like a misprice and it just seems like it’s going the wrong direction are
We missing something here with Ricky Fowler why is he sliding so far I think the biggest thing with Fowler actually is I was looking at him because I’m kind of with you like I think it’s I think the price is kind of odd because I think
He does fit into the same type of golfer that we’re talking about when he’s on um so I think he should be priced more accordingly with these guys I think the probably the differential for him over even the last even when he was playing well is that putter is just not Ricky
Fowler it’s not the same as it was even when he was having his run of really bad golf the putter was still at least somewhat saving him yeah um so I think if you look at the Putter and and Ricky also used to have an elite short game almost like um spe
Spish um andian spean and that that has kind of gone away too so I think Fowler is more volatile in that if the off the te game or the approach game are misfiring at all like he’s not saving himself with the short game um so I I
Don’t know like I think this is a really good spot for him I think it’s a good place to bounce back um because he’s had some kind of subpar performances lately um so I mean I don’t hate it and especially if that number is Gonna Keep diving diving diving like I will yeah
They’re just looking for suckers like us I guess yeah I don’t know you he seems it hanging a number they’re about they’re about to hit my number here seems risky man he could he could win at any time it’s Ricky Fowler all it takes I know he’s got crazy Talent so so
Looking at 80 to one here’s the here’s what we do on this show is there’s there’s a guy that the stat models will say is a must play and everybody’s gonna flock to play this guy because he pops up in the top five of every single stat model
Uh and then there’s a guy at the same level of odds that’s a much better option to bet and play in DFS the first guy player a is Alex noren who is the Dak Prescott of the PGA Tour where the stats look great but then it’s all empty
Calories because he never actually wins anything he never actually gets top fives or top tens he just makes it look good on the stat sheet so he can fool somebody else at the next tournament and the second golfer golfer be is Adam shank who has the worst name
That a professional golfer could ever have and yet he’s probably going to contend in this tournament because he fits every single metric we’re looking for including recent form this gu is on a little bit of a heater and 80 to one on each of them norin or shank Connor
First off I should have L into this with weedem boys I forgot you’re a Cowboys guy I don’t know I I I turned it off pretty early so I don’t even know what really happened yeah it’s probably better you don’t watch but uh actually this is gonna
Surprise you and um I think I think we’re probably gonna be early on it but I have a lot more interest in uh Keith Mitchell and Daniel burger at that 80 number yeah Burger’s coming back Burger was injured for the last year and he’s back and he fits this course like a
Glove yeah I think I think he’s like um I think he’s a class above these guys like I like he’s sure for sure but the uncertainty of what he’s going to look like coming back from what he came back from that’s what scares people but I think Daniel burger from a year ago
Should be in contention be like 30 to one but I do think you have to acknowledge though that like any statistical model you’re going to run Daniel Burger is still gonna pop and and and that’s the only reason to be honest I didn’t even realize he was playing like he just
Popped in my model I saw him and I was like oh [ __ ] Daniel Burger’s back but then you see an 80 to1 number on him and he’s just that much better a golfer like Adam shank is g to be popular for whatever I think I think noren is a
Little bit Ricky fower esque where like if nor puts it all together um for four rounds like norin noren’s an elite player too so I think if I had to choose one of the two you gave me I think it’d be norin but oddly like I I’m a little
Little into Keith Bermuda Keith Mitchell um I don’t know over seated Ryan poana Keith Mitchell’s not the same because even though it’s Bermuda it’s dormant Bermuda which is why they overseed with the ryy and the poe you got to remember with Keith Mitchell we we are quick to
Dismiss how good he is off the te he’s also pretty good on approach it’s mostly it’s mostly his yeah and His short game in general is abysmal he’s he’s uh he’s Southern United States Corey Connor that’s probably pretty he is Heartland Cory Connors but I do think and I can’t take complete
Credit for for this statement but I do think with Daniel Burger you’re probably not going to see him at 80 to1 like very often like I think I think this may be a week where we might be a minute early but the sheer fact that we can bet
Daniel Daniel burer at 80 to1 I I think you got yeah that’s it’s noteworthy because we’re talking Daniel Burger is one of the best Collegiate golfers to ever live that’s how good this guy is talent wise uh this he was a he was a prodigy and injuries have kind of
Derailed that from our recent memory but yeah don’t don’t discount Daniel Burger’s ability to win a tournament even if he hasn’t been in the competitive atmosphere in a long time uh the stats don’t lie and my stats came up with him at third in my model I believe
Oh let’s pull it up here I I can add this to the stage here oh yeah can you see that okay I mean I can’t anything because I’m in here with you but hopefully people can see it okay yeah burger is 11th in my model which is pretty darn
Good yeah I think like I said I I think that’s I think it’s definitely worth worth a few bucks I mean 81’s a great number on him so um I’m just not as sold as that on that range like to be honest there’s just not a lot of people in
There like I like to have somebody in that range because I think you can find values there but like I I’m not super sold on on really anybody in there other than other than laying down some money on Burger we skipped over Cam Davis unfortunately I’m only playing Cam Davis
And DFS so we’ll talk about him on the draftking side of this this but uh number one in my model blew my mind since he’s not better than seventh in any stat it just came down to how I waited it so yeah I’m not betting on Cam
Davis because I’m not a sucker but uh I’ll I’ll definitely hinge on him making some DFS points for me uh yeah we’ve gone over all these other guys we kind of skipped over Tom Kim which will cover in DFS batia Aaron Ry another DFS sleeper under under 8K that will get too
But notice Scotty sheffler there at fifth that’s why that’s why we’re not necessarily going to throw money on him in the betting realm because the putting matters here and really it does the correlation between putting and ball striking I think carries a lot of
Weight yeah I I think so I think so too I think putting I think putting matters but ultimately like the you got to you got to kind of be firing on all cylinders and before we get into DFS though there are three guys that you and I brought up last week um
That we need to bring up again because their odds are really aggressive and that’s Jake Jake knpp at plus 110 that’s uh real hope you bet on him to make the cut last week thanks to me I played him in DFS and it worked out okay yes it did um Rio hudsoni who
You’re gonna hear me talk about every week this dude is Elite do not um plus 130 like that is a hell of number on him um and then the other guy that I’m more sold on than Bo is is Ben Kohl’s at plus 150 this is a course that
Would make a ton of sense for Ben Kohl’s to really compete at so then very consistent scores a lot of points um on the DFS side also scores a lot of birdies in real life um very very consistent player and plus 150 he’s he’s that same kind of cut that we would have
Had back in like the the 30s to 50 range when we were talking earlier he’s just a lesser known so it’s a really really good value down there um and then Carl yuan is another guy who’s been on a hell of a run also plus 150 same type of deal
So I don’t know if you’ve got anybody super deep but those are the ones I’m looking I do I do uh one guy that popped up last week and there’s not that many dissimilar things about Wy versus these three courses very similar length um more more par like par 72 versus par 70
Is the biggest difference here more part five holes to Traverse but Austin EO pops for me in a big way and he was damn near good enough to win last week at Wy uh this guy’s playing way better than 130 to1 and in a birdie Fest where
Anybody can come from the back of this pack to win Austin e wrote playing hot putting hot give me the guy who’s playing Great Golf right now because when it comes down to it the stats matter Less in this event than recent form recent form plays so much of a part
Of this tournament because if it’s a putting contest like John ROM said last year then I want the guy who’s putting so hot that he he can’t be stopped and there’s a reason why all these guys are on the PJ tour it’s because they’re damn
Good at golf and they can get hot like Michael block is in this field and Michael block would be a non story if it wasn’t for this guy getting absolutely tor blazing hot at the PGA Championship last year nobody would have known for him outside of Palm Springs if it wasn’t for
A professional golfer getting hot at the right time and Austin ecro is red hot right now and 131 is crazy to me and the other one is our guy Dylan Dylan Dylan Dylan Dylan yeah the five best rappers in the world 200 to one and we’re talking about if you’re
Going to correlat ball striking to putting who better than the guy who’s in the top 50 in ball striking and top 10 in putting Dylan woo great short game passable from TAA green 200 to one for a guy who’s just a cut making machine these days uh give me the give me the
Couple bucks on his outright but top 20 bet and cut making bet Easy Money Easy Money on Dylan woo yeah you’re going to get zero argument for me like I Dylan woo I I’ll put Dylan woo somewhere somewhere in my uh my financial commitments week on week
Whether it’s into DFS or whether it’s into betting but Dylan moo of course every time we mention Dylan mooo shout out Southern Oregon of course of course um can we just can we just take a moment of silence by the way before we move on for Kevin kizner who is plus 1500
Like like K you want you want the I’ve done Dumber [ __ ] with five dollars bet this week put five bucks on kizner hey that’s three grand that’s an insane odds for kizner I know he sucks lately but holy cow like well he’s he’s gotten he’s gotten into broadcaster mode
Now so uh once that happens I don’t know if he can ever recover from it because getting your mind into a golf tournament for four days that’s that’s tough when you’re when you’re getting paid to put a mic and clip it to your shirt it’s and wear makeup so yeah it’s it’s a
Different animal for kids I don’t know if I would do the same thing yeah I just I can’t do that one if anybody gives you 15500 to one on anything you take it it’s true two bucks to big three grand I think I think they can handle that yeah
Yeah anyways that’s uh that’s all I got um yeah you got anything else let’s do some DFS or you got any prop bets you want to throw out there before we move on I do have one that actually I think is a pretty legit one um I’ve been
Biging in these top five finish parlays lately I got Klay and shafley to finish in the top five together both of them plus 1100 yeah I I think that’s pretty solid for those two because I genuinely think that they for those two yeah that’s a pretty I would hope I would hope for
More of a payout from other golfers but like those two are pretty solid that’s especially since they’re both pretty pretty great all around everywhere they go like you can’t find two more consistent guys than those two and then their event history here is Stellar so
Yeah I mean 11 to one to get two guys in the top five let’s do it especially two guys [ __ ] it let’s let’s run it let’s run it two guys that we both like let’s do it yeah that we think might win who have good course history who are absolutely
The cream of the crap in this field yeah I 11 I’ll have to I’ll have to thank you when they’re in the two-person playoff on Sunday I think there’s a pretty good shot that they’re going to be uh the last group out Sunday that’s that’ll be
Nice that will be nice all right let’s pull up the drop for the DFS let’s try not to slam any trunks Connor lucked himself into a six for six lineup which is why he won because his two guys that made the cut on the number were the only
Difference between him getting first and or third because I had a really good lineup and I had two guys narrowly missed the cut because my four guys that made the cut blew yours out of the water sorry Connor but I’m a little bitter that my four guys weren’t as good as
Your six guys well we got to give a little shout out to our newest writer at IBT aie because a Azie was spanking me for a good three days he was doing what now yeah well you know you know so aie aie Aussie’s our new props
Writer he’s gonna be big part of what we do this season and I invited him to the contest with Seth our fearless leader and he said he was gonna make some donations early on the season while he learned how to play golf DFS and he had
A pretty strong show honestly he I don’t know if he aggregated our picks like Seth did but that’s all Seth does he Aggregates our picks and then adds Callum Taran like he’s a witch’s brew and just put in the eye of nude at the end like a
Garnish Callum Taran garnish I think if he picked a real golfer other than colum Taran he might have beaten you but that’s there’s trueth to that but I there’s a couple of our listeners that I might have been out at the bar playing a little golden te with and I kept saying
Over and over I cannot let the new guy beat me come on come on guys yeah he beat me but that was because I I missed out on a couple guys making the cut my four guys that made the cut were Stellar I was I was feeling it in my other
Lineups with the other with when I got the six for six I did pretty well but let’s let’s get to not slamming trunks Connor God this would be a wrestling Well Connor top of the board Scotty sheffler number one player in the world uh is I I have a feeling this tournament on DraftKings for DFS is going to be 100% about leverage because if you’re playing chalk at this tournament you’re just asking to be burned yeah so I was actually that was
Going to be the first question I was going to ask you because we hadn’t talked about it was how you’re approaching this slate for me I think it’s going to be a lot of single entry so that allows me to eat some chalk um I
Think I think I only gonna have to have one or two different guys in my lineup and I can play the plays I want to play I think in the gpps I’m gonna have a really hard time playing enough lineups to get leverage on the field with the
Guys I want to play so I think I’m sticking to higher dollar single entry this week I can see that being effective because uh the gpp guys are going to be maxing out and their player pools are going to be humongous they’re going to have a buckshot approach to this whole
Thing which honestly in that position is exactly what you should do for this kind of event is have a large player pool full of of long shots and whatever you get is what you get but you’re not going to want to chalk it up at the top in the
Gpp here because it it provides no value to bet alongside other guys who have the same idea we’re going to see a lot of chalk in these gpp lobbies and single entry is a way to get there higher dollar amounts where you’re GNA have a lower winning score that’s that’s the
Ticket so even if you could combine those two with a high entry fee single entry tournament uh where your picks are against somebody else’s picks and it might meain the difference one or two golfers in your lineup versus the other ones make a huge difference uh that’s
Where you probably should live in DFS this week because you’re going to want to save some bankroll for the next three weeks because we got Tory Pines we got Riviera we got Pebble Beach coming up on the on the schedule those are going to be excellent Fields extremely strong at
Legendary golf courses and I don’t want to spend a bunch of money on a crapshoot like the IMX honestly this just what this tournament is all about is I mean hopefully we don’t see this format ever again but prams get a lot of attention especially in the Charities down in the
Area where they are played so who knows but I’m fan of this event for betting or for DFS because nobody knows anything about anything we know a lot but even even we’re looking at each other just shaking our head going what the hell’s going to happen this week and nobody really knows
No that’s true but I mean I think I think to the point and then we can get into the actual plays but I think to the point like right now like I’ll tell you two guys that I really want to play um are Rio huni and Ben Kohl’s and the
Beautiful thing about that is I can stack my lineup however I want outside of them because no one is playing them Ben CO’s is at projected 4% Rio’s projected 8% both of them showed up and performed last week they’re guaranteed three rounds like my confidence is high
That I’m going to get at least 80 plus points out of either of them as my last man in even if they don’t make that Sunday cut so I I think you can eat a ton of chalk here if you if you’re deploying the strategy we just talked
About and playing single entries I think we can give you some leverage plays um if you’re going to try and take a shot at gpps um but I I’m definitely rolling out more of a more of a condensed uh condensed uh player pool yeah and I’m doing the same I think
I limited to 24 golfers this week which is very small for me I’m usually 35 to 40 strong uh but to avoid entering too many lineups and risking too many too much of my bankroll I think it’s smarter to stay close to the vest this week and
Roll with the guys that have Supreme confidence and like your your two guys are are long shots technically but value-wise you can fit any lineup with for with any golfers in it when you start with those two so that’s a pretty smart strategy Conor I mean I hate to
Give you all that credit but sometimes sometimes you make a hell of a lot of sense ah yeah it’s my cross to bear but let’s do some plays so start starting at the top um Believe It or Not Scotty sheffler is um sort of Leverage up at
The top uh Scotty is love to see it you love to see it so I’ll tell you this like where I’m very very hot to trot on uh Klay and Xander um in the outright Market I’m more excited to here so yeah chalky as hell yeah so I’m going to be
Um as far as uh over 10K is concerned the only guy that’s going to find their way into my rosters probably is gonna be Scotty um and even that I may be just skipping the whole upper tier altogether because of the because of the projected roster ship there just because that is
The absolute starting point for everybody and there’s a ton of value in the nines so yeah and I I hate to agree with you again but um I found myself in cash lineups starting with Xander and sunj and then you’re left with 7200 per the remaining four players and that’s really
Tough to do in this field is find four guys that an average of 7200 and make a good optimal lineup so where I love these guys and I think they’re going to do well you have to build a six-man lineup that’s going to do something for you especially if you’re really the 54
Hole cut is going to be pretty harsh on us we’re going to get three rounds of points and very few people are going to have six out of six lineups what that means is if you have a six out of six lineup this week you’re going to win
It’s it’s gonna be very hard to lose if you have a six out of six lineup after 54 holes honestly so for for me it’s Scotty for you it’s Xander up top yep and then I’m I’m sure you’re gonna have some sunj shares yeah and I’m starting
Some lineups with sunjay as well instead of going expensive uh I have I have a good mix of starting points at 10K or above but where I want to start is with two guys over 10 and it just makes a a really rough lineup I mean I I think honestly where
I’m finding myself gravitating towards is starting at uh doing like a minwoo JT start Mino JT Poston minwoo and then Poston um not that either one of them isn’t uh bordering on being a little chalky like minwoo is at about 133% right now um Poston is at almost 20% but
I think starting there and having those two is a unique way to do it um and I think the upside on both as we already talked about with uh Poston uh the way he’s playing right now he can definitely win um and then as Bo alluded to with
Minwoo I mean minwoo can absolutely win as well and he’s actually trending on a trajectory better than Poston if you look at recent performances especially including uh some of the DP stuff and the Australian tour so I think that those two as a combo to start your
Lineup is a really um easy way to get unique quick um and still maintain some value in return so that’s kind of that’s kind of where I’m leaning right now especially because I’m going to be doing a lot less rosters I’m building an absolutely filthy disgusting leverage
Lineup right now that starts with JT Poston and goes Chris Kirk Eric Cole not even I I just logged in JT Poston oay batia and Daniel burger and I have 88,200 left for my last three spots so help me out here yeah dude that’s filthy and we can
Definitely get in there um that’s nasty that’s like that’s like scraping the bottom of the barrel the start and then getting going even further down well what’s what’s nice about it is actually and this is a really unsexy play but rates out really well so to give you
Another idea um and this is probably a little more geared to our gpp crowd but um 8,700 for Shane Lowry Shane Lowry rates out number six in my modeling he’s not a fun guy to play uh he’s frustrating he’s a lot like Tony feno sometimes um but Lowry when you look at
The off the te game and you look at par five scoring um as well as U par three scoring uh Lowry is is pretty high ranked in this field as a matter of fact he’s inside of the top 10 in all those metrics um I liked your call out earlier
A little bit about Cam Davis at 8,400 as well I just put him in I just put him in I think I think he’s going to end up with some higher roster ship but what I like about Cam Davis is he’s he’s right there he’s been right there for quite a
While and he scores a lot of points so for our purposes in DK you’re getting at least three rounds out of him that’s a lot of point out so this lineup ranges from 9100 to 7500 I got Poston I got Eric Cole I got o batia I got Daniel
Burger and I got Rio hitsun and Cam Davis yeah I don’t I don’t hate much about that it’s a gpp lineup I mean really we got a couple guys in single digits there that are going to be really hard to duplicate like nobody’s really playing Burger yet because they’re too
Scared I’m not afraid to play burger and as a matter of fact you were right like you got a couple more of the guys going down the board here that I was going to call out like batia 100% I’m GNA play Burger is definitely in my player pool
Um as well so I like those plays and then when you get into the sevens like I’m like the high sevens like Stephen Jagger man has been playing roab bombs yab bombs showering that [ __ ] all the boys are getting laid it’s my new not now Chief I’m in the [ __ ] Zone [Laughter]
Buddy oh man that’s a throwback yep if Stephen the internet was great Stephen jger wins we’re clipping that for the next show um but yeah Stephen jger actually um joking aside off the te game’s excellent uh apprach game has been really solid the last uh few starts he’s an excellent
Power five scorer um in 7900 I think that he’s every bit as good as some of these guys in the upper eights especially the current trendy’s on so I really like some shares of Steph Jagger um and it looks like I can’t see it real well because I’m still in the uh
Producer window but if you’ve got them in yours i’ let you talk about them a little too with who Stephen Jagger uh he he popped up kind of middle of the pack for me but uh especially in the ball striking metrics he’s great uh he just he didn’t correlate really well in the
Greens for me which is it kind of drags him down a little bit uh but at the same time the guy price adjusted in DFS is fantastic uh and then yeah the the zotor thing is interesting I was going to ask you about that because uh we both love
Willie Z friend of the show uh coming off back surgery hasn’t quite been in a form yet but we’ve seen some encouraging signs and spurts in his first two starts this season 7900 of course rates out well here what do we think I mean is this
Worthy of a player pool spot yet or we are we waiting longer on Willie Z I think if you’re playing gpps I think he’s a really solid play like I I definitely would have him in my pool like if I had if I had a player pool of
35 to 40 people like zalatoris would be in there at like probably five% um just a a nice way to get a little different um and really he hasn’t been doing anything that’s going to get people on him is it right there is he like ready to ready to round back into
Form I don’t know if I’m there yet I think there’s still a lot of things that he does really poorly like his putting is still you can’t even watch it it’s like it’s like cam young bad it’s gross I mean so I do I think it makes Conor’s
Putting stroke look good then we got problems dude we got to get out and play because that’s the only thing I do well um but but I think zotus is going to have a Resurgence I just think we need to get a few more starts for him I I
Don’t think he’s there um and I mean realistically you don’t need to play him here you’re going to get three rounds out of out of a lot of other guys so this is just it no need to force alatus yet he ain’t gonna win so so you’re not
GNA miss out on too much I don’t think I kind of agree I like I like the story I want to be part of that resurgent storyline that we’re going to get later this year when Wily Z just gets hot and starts making some putts because as a
Ball Striker this guy’s phenomenal like he’s so much fun to watch hit an iron shot but yeah it he’s got a long way back to get where he wants to be uh how I mean let’s let’s skip right down to it are there anybody in the sevens that
You’re looking at because I have quite a few in the sevens and even a couple more in the sixes that I would love to put into my player pool um so in the in the sevens um well I’ll let you I’ve been talking a ton you
Go ahead with your sevens I’m trying to reload my screen anyway so all right so we got the geez this is tough all right I’m going to create a new lineup here and I’m going to start down there like you did earlier you had you had a couple guys that were
Cheaper Aaron Ry I’m kind of mixed on him because he rates out well here however this guy does not score DraftKings points like he just doesn’t he he burns us even when he plays well I don’t necessarily like him in a birdie Fest but he rates out so well
Here Adam shank I think I think I like Adam shank more for $100 less I’m probably out on both of them and mostly because I want to be heavy on uh Rio I really believe in the Rio like I really believe that Rio is the real
Deal um if you look at his performance like I said across the rest of the world like this guy is way Elite for where he is priced um so that’s two guys 7300 I need you to pick between Okay Christian bazen hoot rates out well here Austin eout hotter than Fish
Grease who’s my third one no who do you who do you prefer between those two oh Bez Bez or EO one one rates out well here based on the core structure and the other one is just playing playing awesome so I would probably lean probably Bez probably Bez I think
With e root his Pro his his approach from the proximity ranges we’re talking about it’s just not good um at least with with Bez who’s a little little bigger a hitter um he rates inside the top 30 from that 125 to 150 um so that
Mri’s up really nice for him and then in terms of like bogy vens um Bez is also in the top 15 in this field over the last 24 rounds so I would lean Bez um between those two I think I have Bez avoids birdies just as well as he avoids
Bogies that’s true but like you’re in a price you’re in a price range where like Sam Ryder is right there and like no Sam Ryder hasn’t done a ton of stuff lately but excellent from those approach ranges um he’s a cut maker he’s a cut maker uh
And he’s a huge birdie scorer um over his last 24 measured rounds he rates fifth in this field for birdi or better average so like Sam Ryder at $7,200 um I think if we were talking about Sam Ryder at the beginning of last season Sam Ryder would have been
Probably probably up into the mid sevens low eights so I think there there is some value with Sam Ryder here right now all right and I got two guys that you both you like both of them but I’m gonna make you choose Ben Kohl’s or chess and Hadley Ben
Kohl’s really Ben CO’s I like I like both of them in my pool honestly yeah I they’re actually a really both of them are starred in my in my model I so chess and Hadley rates out better for me um but Ben Kohl’s just to me
Is got the higher upside like as I look at the two of them like I I think Hadley Hadley probably has more pedigree but I think that I think that Ben CO’s like legitimately could win like there’s like there there he has that level of upside whereas like I don’t see chess and
Hadley doing that like I see chess and Hadley scoring a fair amount of points for you but like I that I don’t see an alternate reality where chess and Hadley wins okay anybody deeper that you’re looking at uh deeper than that um I got love for Ryan Moore again this week
Continues to rate out really well um what has he done though I think I think what’s weird about it though is is it like does he need to have done anything really I mean to return value at 6 00 I mean he’s still make the cut unlike last week that
Would help yeah but I mean he’s he’s that he’s that guy right like you look at before that like missed the cut at Sanderson then he went 13 38 fifth eth and then missed the cut at the Sony um you know before that he had a similar
Little streak where he was like 25th and missed a cut 64th missed a cut 14th missed a cut so like you get some volatility with Ryan Moore and I’m not saying that he should find your way into every lineup and he’s not going to find
His way into my single entry but if I’m doing gpp um his apprach metrics rate out pretty damn well um for a guy as a matter of fact he’s second from that 150 to 175 range he’s also fifth in uh bogey avoidance also has a similar problem you
Mentioned before where he doesn’t score a ton of birdies but I think it’s $6,900 um it’s pretty pretty good return on investment so yeah and uh let’s see I’m going down here noteworthy names Ben Silverman who I had never even heard of until last week made some noise Silverman yeah
Canadian corn fairy tour middle of the ground and the corn fairy tour made it inside that top 20 for limited eligibility on the PGA tour this season finished 18th at the Sony I just I mean I don’t really trust a guy I’ve never even heard of but he popped a
Little bit Camilo vas uh just recent form gu putting the lights out but like ball striking wise he’s still bad he’s just somehow just makes a ton of putts and finds himself into contention 6500 for a guy playing well seems a little cheap for your gpp and that’s about it Justin low looks
Okay on this model but he’s so cheap that I don’t find myself needing to go down that far yeah Pearson Cy would be the lowest one I’d go at 6200 just because of his talent but he’s ice these days so you’re going to call me a liar
And I’ll send you a screenshot so you believe me after the show I played a showdown slate on Sunday that I captained uh Norman Chong yeah well check it out so I took Norman Chong as my captain and then I he’s cheap I took the the other main top
Four guys that were going to go out in the last two pairings as my as my the rest of my field and so I mean it ended up working out because he actually scored a few birdies he didn’t finish great but he scored enough points to make it make sense so
The only reason I bring that up is in a no essentially a modified no cut type of deal like he might actually be somebody if you’re way the hell down here 6400 like he’s a real player um who yours truly did gamble on last weekend so he is somebody we aware
Of um but yeah I mean outside of the coties are down here and then I mean it’s pretty rough like Jason duffner rates out okay but he’s always um God what a year is it but yeah outside of that like there’s not a whole lot down here like I want to
Believe that like brand sneaker may eventually like have some kind of a like mini comeback you’re seeing more and more of that with some of these guys that you know their name and they just all of a sudden pop so I mean he’s somebody down here here who’s a again a
Real golfer that you’ve heard of that does have the upside to compete and win at tournaments he’s done it um it’s just been a long time so but I’ll tell you what in my honest opinion if you’re building to a point that you’re down here you’re doing something wrong
Because there’s a lot of ways to build really solid lineups up top can I let you in on a secret the first lineup I built I was down here and I knew I was in the wrong I did I was like I did something wrong
It was the first thought in my mind it was like I shouldn’t be here oh I got in super yeah it was like a it was like the scene in super bad where you got closed in the room where they were doing cocaine and they’re like oh yeah you’re
Jimmy’s brother sing us a song who’s that guy this line for the bathroom oh I’m nobody no no you’re you’re the one with the beautiful voice uh the part that I always remember from that movie is uh uh when he’s sprinting away from the cop cars and he’s like
Kids a freak fastest kid alive nailed that uh but yeah Royal maybe we’ll maybe for the majors we’ll do an extended format where we do a cocktail for the Masters we got to do an an aelia yeah I mean that was a classic so yeah we’ll we’ll get a little more
Cocktail in our life not that I need any more cocktail I’m numb my shoulder effectively tonight all right who you got winning this damn thing um as as I’m really really torn but I think I think it’s AA batia I think he does it I think go let’s [ __ ]
Go it’s it’s Deeper Than You Know Than probably I normally go for the for my pick of the week but I think I think it’s AE I will Co I will coign that pick and I’ll throw in Sun JM just for the the favorite aspect the 20 to1 Sun
JM I I cosign AE since we never agree so since we’re co-signing that one I would I would say next up I think I think Xander gets it I think Xander gets it if oay doesn’t and I have all three of those guys on my betting slips so there
You go Connor and Bo agree again and if you look back to last year we won a lot when we agreed so yeah we do agree we do agree on a lot of stuff this week so that’s either means we’re all gonna make a bunch of money all dozens of people
That have listened to us well nobody knows [ __ ] about [ __ ] this tournament so who knows or we’re all gonna be uh drowning our sorrows on Sunday but hey I do that win or lose yeah me too especially being a drown the joys with the Sorrows because
At the end of the day we still wake up and poop and eat and go back to bed it’s like I was just about to say I’m being a Vikings fan I got nothing to go live for anymore other than I don’t know maybe the Packers losing
Eventually I if anything I know that the Cowboys are exciting yeah they’re going to be riveting on their couches at home this weekend oh yeah mean well that’s what happens when you come completely unprepared to a home playoff game you deserve to lose and get embarrassed and
The fans aren’t going to back you up guess what I’ve been a fan since I was 5 years old you know what that means I haven’t seen the Cowboys really not let me down in 27 years so imagine the scar tissue built up to where I know that no
Matter how many great things happen during the regular season I just know that nothing’s going to come of it so like even going into the Green Bay game I was like we could very well get blown out off this field and by the second quarter I knew that was going to
Happened it was over so quickly that I just smiled and said well I guess we’ll see you again next year because that’s what the Cowboys do every single year and so yeah I’m just scarred by it I’m jaded and I have no hope that they’re ever going to win again in my lifetime
And that’s because of Jerry Jones guess what guess what same Dallas Time same Dallas season we’ll see you next year yeah but I uh yeah so hopefully everybody uh enjoyed tonight we ran a little long but uh that’s what happens when the cocktails start flowing and you’re talking about a
Tournament that neither Bo or I want to disagree on immensely so we got to find other stuff to talk about along the way so glad to have every winning score winning score uh I’m gonna stick with uh I think it gets in that 24 range somewhere right
In there I’ll say 24 I nailed last week did you see that I did see that yeah and where I went higher scoring last week than you you I think you were like 21 or whatever and I was like were you 19 or 20 something like that but I just went
Under under a little bit at 17 and then this week I’m going to go lower than you I’m going to say 29 wins this yeah 29 first round I let’s go OE let’s see let’s let’s see what let’s see what the kids got I’m going to say AE with like an
Aster like I don’t know what course he’s starting on but if he gets a good draw um I’m gonna a again these are the this is another thing we didn’t cover is your first round leaders you want to go with the linta course as your as your first- round
Leader pick somebody who’s going to play linta that day or if you got a really strong lean just go Nicholas or linaa yeah I don’t is so easy yeah I would I would look that way and also also honestly if you’re gonna if you’re gonna
Look at it that way pick a course draw and pick a pick a early tea time get out get out before it dries out at all and uh yeah pick people that are throwing darts because that’s that’s the name of the game this week so look for strong
Approach and look for one of the easier courses for first round leader awesome all right from Connor I’m Bo join next week for the farmers that’s going to be a good one I can’t wait for next week actually a real a real event I hopefully next week I’m not like
Hopped up on pain meds and biof free and I can feel my shoulder again I’m like I don’t care if you are Tory pin gets everybody up oh hopefully I’m a little more with it we’ll see you next week oh crap I had the drop up and I lost it there it goes A
