2024 The American Express | Golf DFS Preview
Look who’s back?!
Who’s Your Caddy? — the Golf DFS show from Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF (Women of Fantasy Football) — returns for a new season! Kelly Singh and Adam Hallas are your caddies for the 2024 PGA Tour season, and they’re here to help you win some money playing DFS! 💰💰💰
This is episode 38 of Who’s Your Caddy?, and Kelly and Adam are previewing The American Express! With no Jon Rahm to defend his title, will guys like Sungjae Im and Scottie Scheffler claim the crown? Kelly and Adam have ALL the answers for you!
Are you subscribed to the Club Fantasy FFL and WOFF channels yet? If not, SMASH that SUBSCRIBE button and never miss an episode!
Join Kelly and Adam every Wednesday morning at 9a EST! And as always – Please gamble responsibly. xo
00:00 Intro
00:53 Adam Hallas joins Kelly Singh for “Who’s Your Caddy?”
02:00 Last Week’s Results
04:55 Cashing on Bets
06:20 PGA West Course Preview
08:37 Top Tier Picks
11:58 Kelly’s Picks
17:40 Adam’s Picks
17:47 Mid-Tier – Adam Schenk vs Aaron Rai
23:52 Will Zalatoris Alternatives
26:08 Off of Patrick Cantlay?
27:23 Other Picks We Love
29:17 Outro
******************
We have a new sponsor! Do you know there are more ways to enjoy sports betting and daily fantasy sports? Well, Betstamp funnels all of them into ONE PLACE for you to get the best bang for your bets! Use the link below to see what sports books and DFS sites are available in your state, and receive a deposit match for whatever site(s) you sign up with! You’ll start making money in no time!
https://bit.ly/3NRLdXm
******************
If you’re not already, be sure to follow WOFF on the socials!
YouTube: https://bit.ly/46dMQor
Twitter: https://bit.ly/3PfuUDf
Instagram: https://bit.ly/46fN2nv
And while you’re following accounts, you should do the same for Club Fantasy FFL!
Facebook: https://bit.ly/3rg52PF
Instagram: https://bit.ly/3ZiDPIB
Twitter/X: https://bit.ly/3PDDzAT
******************
Need more Golf/PGA talk in your life? Be sure to follow Kelly and Adam on Twitter!
Kelly Singh: https://bit.ly/3PCX6kH
Adam Hallas: https://bit.ly/3RVPUQP
#americanexpressgolfdfspreview #americanexpressgolfpreview #americanexpressgolfpreview2024 #americanexpressdfspreview #theamericanexpress2024 #theamericanexpressgolf #theamericanexpressgolftournament #theamericanexpressgolftournament2024 #golfdfs #golfdfspreview #pgatour #pgadfs #draftkingspga #fanduelpga #clubfantasyffl #woff #womenoffantasyfootball #dfspodcast #theamericanexpressdraftkingspreview #theamericanexpressbettingpreview #americanexpressbettingpreview #amexgolf #amexgolfdfs #amexgolfdfspreview #sungjaeim
Hello and welcome to who’s your caddy I’m your host Kelly Singh and in this episode we’ll briefly reflect on last week’s picks and then dive into the upcoming PGA Tour event the AMX my co-host Adam will give you some background on the course and we’ll both
Give you some of our favorite picks to build out your DFS lineups this week so hold tight Oh you caught me rubbing my eye this podcast is meant to help take your DFS golf game and even some of your prop bets to the next Lev levels so whether you are a beginner or a seasoned Pro we hope you’ll find this podcast helpful but before I continue rambling
On and on and on let me bring in my co-host the goose to my mavick or probably the other way around Adam halis Adam hey how’s it going hey what’s happening not much not much a little golfy golf last week was our um kickoff episode for the 2024 season I was a
Little bit nervous I’m not going to lie because looking at the results I’m very happy with them but um there were some that fell out and miss the cut that I had no idea would miss the cut like theala missed the cut coocher missed the cut we were talking backstage about
Hadwin missing the cut he wasn’t on my list but he was on yours and I was just like oh my goodness what is going on how did you do last week um outside of those I would say had had lost and SE um I inexplicably in my my crunch for
Fantasy crunchers put in David lipsky as my what the type pick and put him in there and he was uh more of a virus than a supporter and uh he he was at plus one round one I was like all right come on buddy come on let’s do this round two
He completely the bed first four holes he went into the water and like I think he had like nine Bogies two double Bogies three birdies I was like well I could have done that um so he completely kind of fell apart which is fine
It’s so I I I I played really light so I was like okay that’s fine yeah i’ I um I played pretty light on my lineups this week too just getting a feel for everything starting off our new season um I checked back on my notes
And rattled off 14 players that I had at least marked in my notes where I either gave them as a name or gave some data behind it of those 14 10 of them made the cut which means 71% of those picks went on to score throughout the entire tournament so
That’s good news two of them in the top 10 four in the top 20 seven in the top 30 um what was really interesting I look back on my notes I didn’t put this in our show notes but uh three people from the show KH Lee Cam Davis and Matthew
Nouth all tied for 30th oh and Adam spencon all tied for 30th which I found to be pretty amazing that’s what are the odds of that the that four players named in the show all made the not only made cup all tied for 30th I thought that was
Funny that is that is pretty funny um the other thing I was going to say too like cashing last week would have been hard because I think 20 to 30% of people had six six out of six was a very high percentage typically you see between
Five to 10% on most what we call multi-entry um uh contests so yeah you really had a really had to have the optimal lineup to have a good you know Roi very true we didn’t talk about this last week but when you’re making your um
Prop bets some of the prop bets I like to do the most are those who land in the top 20 that’s one of my very favorite prop bets so feel free to use these players in those top 20 top 10 top fives um and any combination of that in your
Prop bets because you would most lik be able to cash there if you didn’t cash in your DFS so just something to think about um yeah do you do that funny story we can’t do that yet in Missouri um side um but I would say coincidentally enough the Cardinals are
Trying to lead the way on getting gambling associated with Missouri now it’s going to be a hard case because I’m sure the lobbyists on the Kansas and both Illinois side are saying no no no no we want to have that percentage so I get it it was very hard Road here
In Arizona um with our all of our Indian gaming casinos but they came to an agreement and things are going well um but this week Adam we’re talking about the AMX played in linta California I love linta and it’s at PJ West tell us about this course yeah so the tournament usually
Does a three course rotation uh but only shot link information is on the stadium course so if you have players team off on Thursday that are not on the stadium course uh you’ll just have to catch up on their scores and not necessarily track the
Shots that being said there are a lot of there is a lot of water on this course um holes five six 7 and then 10 11 12 and then 13 um all have water on them and it’s not like a little bit of water on some
It’s like right next to the green or off to the left of the Fairway um this course is a fairly short course it’s under 7200 yards um last year’s winner I think was at minus 27 um so it can be a birdie Fest and more more often than it will be again
This week um typically people that play in the Sony and then play in this do well and now you could take that as they’re just getting experience and warming up getting into the season or the coures play similar in the fact that like they have a similar rough similar
Feel in the at Fair ways they both play similarly in that it’s a relatively Resort like course so that makes sense um and some of the names that we’re going to talk about today are many of the names that made the cut not only made
The cut but did very well in last week’s tournament so all of that makes a lot of sense we’ve been toying with the um way that we want to execute on this show kind of the flow but I always come back to just giving a handful of players I
Don’t like the formula of this here this here this tier that feels boring to me but I do always end up saying this is a top tier I’m going to start with the top tier you’re going to spend the most of your money on one of these players uh
You don’t have to there are plenty of players uh that are not in that 10,000 plus tier that you can build a line up with but we’re going to share with you a couple in 10,000 plus range that we love like and I’m starting my actually my
First two in the 10,000 and then another in the 9,000 you made a note for me that these happen to be the highest rostered golfers um in the field which is fine with me I’m among the people that makes me feel good about my pick and it also
Makes me want to put them in some prop bets but I’m going to start with sun JM at 10.1k on draft Kings um he’s projected for 98 points which is quite a few if you’re not familiar they’re usually like 105 might be tops he tied for fifth two weeks ago at the century
And I just love that he is second in par fors um is putting average is first his birdie average is first I love Sun JM this week and I wouldn’t be surprised prize if he didn’t win putting that out there now he does have a good course
It’s always been in top 10 top five I could see him trying to pull it out this week um it’s going be tough week even though it’s a birdie fest last the cut for the past three years has been around minus 6 and minus 7 um so last week was
At minus two so that gives you any indication what it’s going to be like this week I think sanj is a pretty good pick but who do you like um so in this range I like Xander um he’s number eight in my model and he ranks well for approach around the Green
P die courses and it has pretty good history here it’s weirdly has slightly less ownership um it’s still fairly High you know it’s tiptoeing into the teams uh but he does well on this course especially in approach we’re looking at 150 and 175 and he does pretty well in
Par fives and those par fives you need to do well in order to get those points get those birdies um so I like Xander in this position I like Xander too um I did a Model that was pretty much just like a base model no super flare to other than
What I typically look at um course fit course history performance and stuff like that but Zander came out third and sung J fourth um in this model just throwing that out there it’s leading with Scotty and and Patrick kley but we’ll talk a little bit more about them
Later well I’m moving on Adam I’m moving I’m moving along I’m not going to say here and just keep giggling I promise um I mean I could but so we have the next TI which is it’s not even a real tier I’m just saying these are
Players that are in the 8 to NK range they’re still pretty pricey but I wanted to make sure I threw out a couple that I had my eye on and why and I know that you have a handful or that you still would like to talk about in um I’m not
Sure if all these are in the same you’ll have to tell us I know that some of them are much not as expensive but uh we have JT Poston and he happens to be along with sun JM one of the most highest rostered in this field and I’m okay with
That because I’m going to Zig somewhere else 9.1k on DraftKings projected for 91 fantasy points tied for fifth at Century along with Sun JM and he also plays six last week at the Sony Open but I like his stats they’re not quite as showy as Sun Jay’s um but they’re great they’re
In the top top of the field for sure birdie average 12th putting average 23rd scoring average 19th um Strokes gain 23rd I think that he’s a very well oh I’m looking at oay dang it let me repeat that Strokes gained six greens and regulations 18th putting average 26 scoring average
Fifth par 4 23rd birdie average 19th still very tops tops up there for 9.1k that is what you get and for the first two tournaments scoring up there in the top six not too shabby I’m going to pay for it what do you think about
That I like JT bson um he’s in my list as well or pool um overall when I crunch lineups um I looked at his projected ownership I was like for JT um but given that he’s pretty good he’s been doing great Century he was fifth Sony Open he was sixth um he’s on
A roll his putting has been terrific his round the green has been terrific and his approach has been terrific and so I I can see why people like him especially at 9100 which I still is think a little expensive for him um especially we have Xander and Scotty shuffler in this field
Um but um I can see why yeah I can see why too um but when you also when you look at his um percentages like you can start looking at the percentages to make the cut and all of those pieces of data it does
Shake out for him to be among the best I mean 72% likelihood to make the cut all the way down to like a 10% to make the top five that’s a really high number by the way to make the top five in a field so um if anything about these projections
Are true then you are getting a value even at 9100 um because there are some that we’re going to talk about later that are just not good values and you can pick up somebody far less expensive and get the same kind of stats but I like it I think
It’s I like sun JM I like JT Poston I also like OE batia and not quite as expensive 8.2 on draftking still projected for plenty of fantasy points 86 of them in fact and then he tied 14th at Century and 13th at Sony and I think what I like best about
Him is he again I already accidentally gave some of his stats but birdie average is 12th parfor is 29th um scoring average 19th that’s what we want them to do is score for us so um I like that 88.2k for a buta is he in your pool as
Well a is not actually he is in my pool um I do have someone around that range um in the 8000s um I put Eric Cole who’s 8,800 he’s rounds 18% ownership which is little High um but his percentage to make the cut is fairly high as well um
And so he ranks fifth in the field for approach ranks fourth and putting um not great off the T 122nd but I really only need him for his approach and putting um so we’ll see how he does on the water holes um you know hopefully
He’ll take it easy a bit but he did well with Sony Open he did 13th century he was at 14th even though it was a um no cut event he do still did fairly well there yeah for sure you have a handful of names here um do you want to dive in
Deeper with any of them all of them do you just want to mention them go for it this is your time Adam oh thank you um so a little bit my other pool is a or other list of guys is Adam hadwin I’m going back to him only because he played in
Sony I think he plays well here of course is set up for him and gosh darn it he’s going to do well finally and then Taylor Montgomery he needs to be in this field as well I think he’s number two in my model um again my models
Heavily wed an approach around the green and putting and par five scoring and so he’s going to shake out well here he’s been doing well how many times can you say well in one sentence um but um he did pretty good at Sony Open TI for
Third or 13th um herings number one in in my model for um shots gained on total um ranks fourth in putting so I think Tor montgom can do it um his ownership is at 16% his salary is at 8,100 a fairly good percentage to make
The cut so I like them here um and then I also have EVR Eric Van ruin yeah buddy at 7 500 um he’s got good value and at 12% ownership at 7500 price I think everyone else is jumping on that batt Ang too now he didn’t he made the
Cut he made the cut at Sony but barely he kind of went backwards Saturday and Sunday tied for 52nd but round the green his approach and he’s done very well here at L um so I’m hoping a course history and his uh approaching around the green help him out
There I hope so too he’s in my pool and also he’s on my fantasy team for fsga and um I’m hopeful that he does well this week as well yeah when we talk about mid-tier golfers there are so many that we could talk about but what I
Wanted to do was grab two of these mid-tier golfers that are very similar stat um stats and salary range and projections and everything and kind of look at them what are we getting for our money when we look at Adam shank and Aaron Ry shank is 7.6k on DraftKings Ry
7.7 both projected for 84 fantasy points and then they have some different skill sets neither of them are great putters I must say they’re very average when you look at the entire field 69th and 70th in the entire field so they’re actually kind of below average to be honest and
Putting but if we want to talk about Greens in regulation and just getting onto the green with the approach if he’s trapped in the sand Adam shank is our man third in greens and regulation first out of the sand didn’t do too shabby at the century tying for 29th then we have Aaron
Ry he is first in driving accuracy I mean that’s great he’s starting out great he doesn’t quite have the approach skill that Adam shank has he tied for 57th at the Sony so if you’re spending a mid salary and these guys actually have better stats than the other people in said tier
Which would you choose Adam who lands the green pretty much every hole or Aaron who has an excellent drive it’s like a Choose Your Own Adventure it is for sure it is so I’m GNA flip to page 34 for Adam shank um because I think green regulation outweigh driving accuracy on
This portion of it um we kind of look and take apart the winter what have the winners done while they’ve done well in par five scoring um they’ve done well in approach and they’ve done well and cutting um and their short game has been fairly well as fairly good as well um
Ball striking has been those top 10 finishers have been gaining 1. or more in their ball striking and about 1.2 in short game so I would definitely take the approach in putting in part five um in greens and regulation way more than I would in driving accuracy I’m so glad
You said that because that’s the direction I was leaning as well I’m shank I just find it interesting when I see um in some of the stat sheets that we CL you know climb through when they get the same kinds of points projections similar salaries similar percentages and
It doesn’t quite feel right so I’m with you I like Adam shank at 7.6 can dra King’s far more than I like Aon Ry so I just thought that was a fun little segment to throw out there it was yeah another fun what were you gonna say I
Was just going to say driving accuracy in the pass for winners has been less than 60% well there we go I mean we really want to look at driving accuracy when we know it’s a narrow course for instance um so I don’t necessarily think that’s
The case this week but I just wanted to call that out but another kind of fun thing I stumbled on as I was pulling together my picks this week was there are a handful of golfers who are wildly overpriced um and you can get a golfer
With a lesser name but similar odds for far less um one of them I don’t have in my notes is Ricky Fowler wildly overpriced in my opinion you can do far better um with an Austin necro or a ta Tor Montgomery um actually I like Taylor Montgomery better in that case than he
Happens to be in your pool better than Ricky Fowler this week they have similar chances similar stat lines I would not pay 9,000 Plus for Ricky Fowler this week but the one I really wanted to talk about and really stood out with to me was Will zat Taurus um
7.9k which is not a king’s ramp handsome he has a 52% chance to make the cut says the model but that is far lower than others in this tier um Stefan jger for instance um same price 67% chance to make the cut zator is projected for 77
Fantasy points again far less than those in his tier Jagger’s projected for 86 points so I’m not paying up for zalot Taurus or any kind of hype I’m gonna pay for Jagger at the same price or why don’t we pay $1,100 less and add Joseph bramlet who has a higher
Percentage chance to make the cut at 55 and he’s projected for one more Fantasy Point at 78 save some money have the same outcome potentially and I just found that really interesting I know you came across something similarly um but yours is more around the roster ship of those players yeah
And honestly I was looking at two players Patrick hentley is at 22% ownership and he’s pretty he’s in the top tier range right he’s in the 10,000s and at that point I I was like I was looking at I was like SC sheffler’s projected to be less owned I was like
What now it could be that it’s his first time back he’s going to you know get some of his you know rust off so maybe people are kind of easing back a bit um I was like well if I didn’t go for Scotty who else would I go for and I was
Like well maybe Jason D um and Jason D did okay at the century again a no cut um type tournament but if you’re entering the season season and you want to shake off the rust you want to go with no Cup Tournament um now he didn’t play last
Week and typically that goes against the grain of those that do well this week um so I’m looking at pivoting off a c l and either putting in yes I know cotti sheffler or Jason day okay I like that I like that a lot because we can’t fit everybody in you
Can’t fit all the top tier players in so it’s important I think to make those comparisons and have reasons why you would drop down or maybe choose a different player at that same price y other players I’m considering this week I just want to throw them out there
Before we wrap up because um it’s important we’ve already mentioned two of them on my list a few times safan joer uh Eric Van royan I like them a lot this week and Sam Burns I also like a lot this week uh on the more value side Alex
Mly seems to fit well in my model so I wanted to throw those out there for you guys to peruse at your leisure did you have anybody else you wanted to reiterate this week Adam well I was looking at my list I was like well
Dang it I already said Jason day but um Tom Kim is also up there for me um I know he’s not one of those like value value added players that you typically throw in your roster to help facilitate the top tier guys um but he’s
Kind of in the middle of the pack and I think he does well this week I like Tom Kim this week too to be honest with you I tossed his name around a lot uh he comes out 11th in my model um still in the top 70
Percentile to make the cut of all all the field so I like that um you like that for props as well if you guys are into props I am just not in the state just not in that state yep well I think that’s about it anything else you want
To shout out to the peeps no um if you have any questions just give us a hoot a tweet an X I don’t know anymore on uh on our handles at Mr Alice or at Kelly we’d be happy to have a conversation somewhere on the social
Medias on on the social medias credit I don’t care I’ll find you be sure to like subscribe share comment tell all your friends and as Adam said you can find me at kellyan Phoenix Adam MRIs on the app formerly known as Twitter thank you Club Fantasy and women of fantasy football fall for
Your support of our show and we’ll see you guys next week Bye
