NFL DFS Preview: Week 17 NFL DFS Picks, DraftKings Lineups & FanDuel Lineup advice with Neil Orfield and Scott Barrett ( @FantasyPoints )
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Welcome to outside the box for week 17 this is a stochastic and fantasy points collaboration we’re going to take a look at the tools for both stochastic and fantasy points to identify the best plays on DraftKings this week I’m Neil orfield I’m your host you can find me on
Twitter at player Q DFS I am here with Scott Barrett from fantasy points you can find him on Twitter at Scott Barrett dfb really looking forward to diving into this L this should be a fun one week 17 we’ve got a lot of we’ve got a
Lot of high totals on this late so it’ll be fun to dive into this s but scottt has been sick all week he’s had covid this week was not feeling well didn’t didn’t do a lot of the content he usually does so if you uh if you’re
Dying for some Scott bear content this is this is one of the few places you’re gonna be able to find it this week uh and of course Scott just took down a big tournament two weeks ago so you probably want to listen to what Scott has to say
Scott are you uh how are you feeling today uh I was feeling I’m like way better all all the way back but I just picked up a headache that’s like so painful it’s making me nauseous but uh I can I can definitely power through I I
Will just say um if there was ever a week to kind of like dweight my opinion it would be this week like I’m really not that smart like my entire Edge over everyone like I think I’m great I think I’m like one of the best DFS analysts um
Uh I just don’t think I’m that smart I think what gives me my Edge is I I just put in an insane amount of hours and I have like an amazing research process that’s been carefully cultivated over many years and perfected and so I I missed like three full days and and
That’s gon to be huge for me so um but I’m gonna do my best I I you know I still actually feel pretty great about this slate so uh I’m excited to dig in uh I think that you are underselling how smart you are uh for one thing but also
I think that you know even if you haven’t had the time to dig into this week as much as usual like you’ve been doing this all year you did it all you know you have years of experience digging into the data so I think we’ll
Be fine we we’ll find uh I don’t think people should be devalue in your opinion I guess I guess is what I’m trying to say I think that we’ll be we’ll be able to identify some of the best plays on the Slate anyway these are also like typically our most profitable weeks is
Like I I usually smash the last month of the season so ni um yeah definitely definitely want to take advantage of that uh this slate which again it looks like a fun one yeah uh before we dive into this we should take a look at last
Week’s late just I’ll take a look at the mmaker winner but before I look at the I got to say Scott you know you you uh I talk about the the rb2 sometimes that gets overlooked last week your call was Chris Rodriguez from the commanders two touchdown game out of Chris Rodriguez
That one worked out okay yeah that was that was the entire thesis of the play too it’s like ah he could fall into the end zone twice and lo and behold yeah it’s just that one was easy the week before um he he played on six of the
Team six snaps inside the 10 yard line so we know knew he had that role and uh and and you kind of put me on it too because like I I think before we started doing the show I would always just like ah I’m not playing at rb2 screw that but
Uh there’s there’s there’s upside there and it’s cheap and you know no one’s playing that so um I think on the lineups I had with him I I stacked with Commander defense which didn’t really work out as well but um but yeah yeah finally a super Galaxy brain hit nice
Love it I mean finally you’ve nailed I mean rashed Rashid Jed at low low ownership a couple times there been Noah Brown that was like a I mean probably drove up the ownership I think you’ve had several of those Galaxy brain plays that absolutely smashed this year uh so
Hopefully we can find some of those again this week uh but first we’re going to take a look back at last week real quick and I pulled up the milly maker winning lineup now the Joe flacko I mean what you really needed from the stack was Amari Cooper Joe flacko to a lesser
Extent and then n joku look good too sadly for me Scott the only exposure I had last week to either Joe flaca or Amar Cooper was the lineup that you and I built on this stream we had we did a double stack of this exact Joe Flaco
Amari Cooper David nooku uh it otherwise did not go so well for us because we had we had two uh ring Backs runbacks from the Texans in that one we had dein single who was kind of disappointing and Noah Brown who was very disappointing so
They kind of Tanked that stack for us uh but got got the the the important part right which was the the primary stack here uh really went off Joe flacko for 30 Amari Cooper 54 and a half David nooku 16 and a half that stack absolutely smashed last week Tamir Gibbs
25 points against the Vikings usually a pretty good defense toir Gibbs did not care uh Bree Hall another another player that I think we were on a little bit last week were yeah 43 fantasy points for Bree Hall like we just had some massive scores last week that offset I
Mean Tyler Lockett a player that I love last week he didn’t really get it done 16 fantasy points made it in here but it really it wasn’t because of Tyler Lockett uh KJ Osborne 20 and a half fantasy points I know you are not a KJ
Osborne fan um but he’s been a guy that there have been a few weeks this year that I’ve been on KJ Osborne uh did not get the 20 fantasy points out of him at all until this game so that was uh disappointing and then of course we have
Mike Evans who’s been smashing all year discontinues his smash paired with the Bucks defense also uh any other anything that stand out to you in this lineup um yeah so uh I uh put in the most money I’ve ever put in in DFS last week I played the 555
Millie and uh I came close to finishing dead last um I I made four lineups I I put the three into like a three entry and then the lineup I went with was a uh Dallas Miami game stack at low ownership and like that obviously didn’t work out
And I I think that was I think I’ve discovered a hole in my game so I’m kind of like glad that you know I sucked last week I you know gonna fine-tunes the process a little bit but um the uh the three entry Max lineups one was a flacko
Double the other was a Mayfield double with you know Calvin Ridley on the bring back and obviously that smashed and uh a a bunch of our subs smashed last week one guy won 100k someone won 30k and bunch of stuff like that and a lot of those lineups had um the flacko double
Plus the Evans Ridley mini which was just like so awesome yeah um and then Bree Hall versus Garrett Wilson like I knew one of those guys was gonna just go nuclear I I felt really good about my my stance on the running backs that week so
I was just kind of like wish casting it would be Wilson because I I I felt a little less confident in the wide receivers um shout out to John Proctor who was all over Cleveland doubles and Amari going nuclear because um you know I I was worried about game
Script initially but it’s like no no no no Flaco is the guy who like they’re they’re trying to make a playoff push so like now is their chance to let him air it out uh build rapport with the receivers I thought that was a really
Good play uh but yeah that last week was a unique week where it really came down to just um did you have Bree Hall did you have Amari Cooper did you have the Evans Ridley mini um but this yeah but this person might have been a time traveler because KJ Osborne yeah after
Hockinson and Addison both go down with injury um yeah last week was a a really fun slate um didn’t work out great for me but I think that was just a you know a bad process decision I hopefully rectified yeah it didn’t I feel like I
Had a lot of the pieces you needed last week like it went fairly well for me like I didn’t I think I actually may have profited I might I might be totally misremembered oh no I think I profited because my my handbuilt uh like high
Dollar lineup did well uh but I had as I said just one one lineup with Amari Cooper and it was the lineup that you and I built that maybe Min cached I don’t even know if it did Minash so it was uh really you needed Amari Cooper to
Do any real damage last week and sadly it was weird because I wasn’t like not on Amari Cooper like I actually drafted him in some Underdog drafts but just I for whatever reason I look at my lineups after he’s going off I’m like damn it
Somehow I I ended up with zero in my final player exposure which you know he wasn’t something that I was like super targeting but he was something that I had interest in and just did not end up getting there as much as I should have so that was disappointing uh but this
Stephen looks like he took it down with just two lineups here so congrats to Stephen lots of numbers probably a bot right step lots of numbers uh time traveling bot for sure yeah looking at the the top lineups here I mean we had Star Pack another single
Entry uh is in second in the melee orilia nine that is not me orilia for for the record nine lineups third place like we had a lot of you have to go down to like ninth or 10th place to find tan guys who I honestly am not familiar with
Tan guys 150 lineups we got a few of those in the top but a lot of single entries you know two three entries making it to the top last week so that it’s kind of kind of cool to see even as somebody who plays a lot of lineups I
Love to see the guys who don’t play a lot of lineups winning some money uh all right should we dive into this L start with some quarterbacks yeah let’s do it all right so starting with uh this is the stochastic top Stacks tool are just I’m sorted by top stack odds right now
And the top stack on the Slate is Philadelphia actually we usually start by let’s take a look at the highest owned quarterback so we can talk about how much interest if any you have in those highest owned quarterbacks that’s interesting we’ve got Tyrod Taylor up so we’ve got Jaylen Herz at nearly 18%
Ownership Tyrod Taylor 11% Brock pie 10% so starting with those three Scott how much interest do you have in these quarterbacks um yeah I’m not really into uh Jaylen Herz as much as everyone else uh it’s just like maybe we should have started with this big picture macro view of the
Slate it’s the big three of CMC kir and and Tyreek and uh you know paying up for quarterback limits the availability of getting to those plays uh it’s also like Herz I think is I don’t know I I think he has overrated stackable upside like we
Haven’t seen a gpp winning score out of Devonta Smith or AJ Brown and maybe since late October um it’s also a game where you know uh shouldn’t be competitive should be massively runhe heavy uh obviously the counterargument is you know he’s Herz is the goal line back so it’s just
Uh 17.6% that’s that’s not how I’m going to be approaching the Slate I probably won’t have any exposure and I’ll feel fine you’re wrong about that for the record you’re gonna have at least one all right all right that’s fair that’s fair uh but that’s really just like how
I’m approaching the slate and how I’m getting unique um but uh yeah let’s let’s let’s do a little detour and talk about uh what I’m viewing as like what defines the slate and that’s that Christian mcaffrey is a God he’s the you know best most valuable fantasy player since Prime leanian
Tomlinson uh he’s also extremely matchup sensitive this year like not really because like you know he’s going to score 22.5 DK at an absolute minimum regardless of matchup but like this season when facing bottom five defenses he’s averaging 39.8 DraftKings fantasy points per game and now he gets the best possible
Matchup uh since firing Jack Del Rio Washington still has easily one of the worst uh pass defenses in football and now they’re down two starting quarterbacks and a starting safety but also easily the worst or rivaling Arizona the worst uh run defense part of that’s a function of Ron Rivera going to
Two to more two High coverage uh lighter fronts for the running backs but again he’s a God in a nuts matchup uh he has like plus 400 odds to score three touchdowns this week uh just an absolute freak of nature um and then Kiren Williams it’s basically the same thing he’s drawing
Half as much ownership as Christian mcaffrey he’s 1300 cheaper um he also has an easy top five matchup against the Giants and like CMC he’s been very uh has unrivaled upside in favorable matchups against bottom 10 defenses he averages 33.9 DraftKings fantasy points per game
Um I think the Rams should have the best um average starting field position of any defense I think they’re they’re gonna have a ton of Red Zone drives and and what do we know about Kiron is he leaves all players in Red Zone xfp per game really the focal point of the
Offense inside the Red Zone and then Tyreek Hill uh 9300 uh 12 we’re showing 12% ownership which like seems crazy low um and it just like goes back to the thesis of the Jaylen Wadd play which you know made me a lot of money uh Rich rebar had the stat on plays
Without Jaylen Wadd Tyreek Hill has run 120 routes 57 targets basically uh being targeted one out of every 2.1 routes that’s insane volume and like we know that I don’t know one Tyreek Target is worth like two Targets to anyone else uh so just three guys with massive break
The Slate upside and so one of the things I was talking to uh about with uh Russ who who won a million dollars one of our Miller yeah yeah earlier in the season and again like you know I was like critiquing my play from last week because I didn’t think the process was
Good and like a few of the the the conclusions I drew one is like I I get to excited about these low owned High total game Stacks like Miami Dallas last week just because like the the upside is massive if that is the game you needed
To have and no one else had it uh but that’s like not really where I think my Edge is my Edge is more just like um and it’s the same thing with like paying up for for players like if if a guy is uh really expensive in low owns I like like
You know or or having a stars and scrubs build that the the Feld isn’t being drawn to in that given week but like that’s not my Edge I feel like it’s more just targeting the six to 7K range and just trying to have a lineup with um
Guys scoring 20 to 20 every single guy scoring 20 to 25 um but this week I just want to have that one unique lineup where I have all three and no one else has all three where it feels like you know Infinity gauntlets or whatever that
The Avengers movie is sure um where it’s just like these guys all have break the Slate upside uh and and like the floor is is still re like even a bad game seems really high for all of these guys and it’s Unique and that we’re late in
The season a lot of value has opened up um and I don’t know this is just like what I’ve been I I’ve been going back and forth on is like I feel like you need to maybe three is crazy I I don’t know but uh I feel like you need two on every
Lineup that’s really interesting so so you think you need two of CMC kyen Williams and Tyreek in every lineup is gonna be your approach yeah so we can go back to quarterback um based based on what I just told you yep should it surprise you that I like
Tyrod because Tyrod stacked with Darius Slayton uh you know can can fit you you theoretically all three and then would it surprise you if I told you Brock p is easily going to be my highest owned quarterback because well I have a hard time imagining CMC
Flops but there’s this is just a nut spot like I was saying you Washington the worst run defense right now or them are Arizona but like no one else Beyond them comes close and then the worst past defense over the last five weeks across the full season and they’re down two
Starting quarterbacks and a start safety and I think Kyle Shanahan you know wants a Get Right game for pie you know after being embarrassed last week uh and this is the most potent offense in football that could just do whatever the they want this week and so um it would
Be it would be pry no CMC with Debo for sure and then probably KD on DraftKings because he’s cheaper uh but maybe iuk like I I could see iuk hitting as well um and so so that’s what I like a lot all right we’re going to we’ll flush out
The receivers once we get to receivers but definitely pry uh stands out to me as well something that I have a lot of interest in one of the first players I looked at on the SL I like yeah that looks like an elite stack and as you
Said great leverage off of CMC so uh from what I’m hearing you are not very interested in playing pry with CMC or do you think you’ll maybe do some of that too I think uh you know like in the double spy I’ll have that but uh outside
Of outside of you know small field high dollar I I would just try and Chase the upside and like hope hope it’s a um I don’t know a pry game like py goes nuclear Shanahan wants to you know rebuild his confidence or put him back in MVP consideration whatever again
It’s I don’t know they could do whatever the they want this week yeah exactly I mean that I kind of love that uh thinking about it like that of like and I think I’ve I’ve said it several times you know uh like earlier in the
Year when I was on Devonte Smith a lot of the time I was like well the ego should be able to do whatever they want maybe they want to get the guy going that hasn’t done it all this year I sometimes like it’s because it’s impossible to like really know to like
Sim it out to be like okay the the coach is gonna want to get that guy the ball so like it’s not gonna pop in any kind of simulation but like just thinking through like what are the motivations here I could definitely see that being a motivation for Kyle Shanahan wanting to
Get Brock bir’s confidence back up and this would be a great spot do it against his Commander’s defense so I love that thought of this isn’t super relevant but it’s just like an interesting fact I guess but uh yeah pton Manning used to do that with his receivers like if
Demaryius Thomas went off this week he’s like all right Eric Decker next week it’s you and uh like he talked about that like he said that’s that’s what he does and like that’s just like kind of insane that he’s playing it at that sort of level but um yeah I mean like yeah
These narratives are real like you got to factor that in yeah um we were asked what is Galaxy bra we were talking about uh Galaxy brain plays Susie asked what is Galaxy brain I was trying to think of like what is a good definition for Galaxy R it mostly just
Means like uh thoughts that most people aren’t having I guess no it’s like you’re thinking way too deep on something yeah too like negative oh you think that Galaxy rain is naturally negative I don’t think of it as necessarily a negative that that was what somebody responded in chat with the
Same thing so maybe I’m wrong about the definition you open up your third eye and you’re just trying to you’re thinking you know deeper than you probably need to but like not necessarily a bad thing I don’t know yeah you can pull up you can pull up unorthodox thinking yeah unorthodox okay
That’s good that’s good all right yeah so that’s all we mean when we we say it’s a Galaxy rain playay it means like yeah it’s not necessarily coming from any kind of projection or the tools it’s just like it’s us you know opening up our third eye and looking at you know
What could happen um all right let’s talk about some so we’ve talked about the the top three so you have that’s funny that you like Tyrod Taylor he was the one that I’m like all right well that’s a clear L I can write off Tyrod
Taylor but uh you make a good point as far as just lineup construction maybe I’ll have a little bit there um I I think I like Jaylen Herz a little bit better than you do although it’s a fair point that they haven’t really done it like the stack has not been working out
It’s just such a great matchup that I have some I I’ll be playing some some Philadelphia stacks for sure um moving on down um what do you think about Houston Stacks this week with CJ Stroud returning against a pass funnel Tennessee defense maybe people have kind
Of forgotten how good CJ throut has been this year any interesting going there yeah I I I think like the the counter argument to it it has like won me over and that’s just that you can capture all the upside by just playing Nico Collins who’s an amazing play he’s a great play
Um but I don’t know dton Schultz could do it um Noah Brown you know you know I like him I just don’t think he’s anywhere close to full health um but yeah yeah I mean this was one of the biggest cheat codes in DFS is like and
Stroud was you know like it was him and Dak Prescott as like the two best quarterbacks in fantasy just averaging 350 plus yards per game over their hot streaks and uh he should be fully healthy so I I I think that’s a good call I don’t know that I’m gonna land on
That this week but but I like it and I’m I’m definitely gonna have a lot of Nico all right let me let me just open it up to you rather than asking about individual cours I’ll open up to you and then if you don’t name anybody that I
Want to talk about I’ll I’ll ask about them uh who who else are you thinking you are interested in this week uh I will say jacobe brassette was gonna I was gonna be all probably highest own quarterback but uh Aaron Wilson’s reporting that he is uh out and same how
Is going to start um outside of that uh maybe Baker you know he’s just been so money uh he’s been fantastic and you know the the dub stack uh has been potent whether that’s Rashad white and Mike Evans or Mike Evans Chris Godwin um actually you know who I like more than
That Matthew Stafford another quarterback who’s just been absolutely on fire uh you worry about this game being a massive blowout but he his best games have kind of come in positive blowouts uh Shawn McVey has always kept his foot on the gas deep into the fourth quarter um and this is
Just like a team that’s just given up and it’s a bad defense um and uh you know I love kirron Williams but you who knows maybe it’s maybe it’s a Matthew Stafford game or maybe you could play both I I that that worked for me a couple weeks back um Jake tri’s really
Into will Levis he’s into Justin Fields he he wrote those guys up for me in the Slate breakdown um there is one quarterback um I’m sorry Neil I’m just gonna have to like not mention who that is and what the stack is just because uh
One it’s like it was kind of Johnny was on it first and then two I got uh sources information on it and uh um so like Russ sent me a lineup and it was basically the exact same lineup I already had and then another sub sent me
A lineup and it was exactly the same lineup that that Russ had so um I don’t want that to be too owned more owned than it’s than it’s already gonna be so uh that if you want to know what that is you can you can hit me up on the fantasy
Points Discord but uh I’m just gonna keep that that one stack secret for now okay well you don’t have to tell us what the stack is but I do want to ask you about some quarterbacks as well yeah yeah let’s do that um so you I’ll try
And if you ask about it I’ll I’ll try and play it cool okay sounds good um all right so the other Stacks that I wanted to talk about I already asked about Stroud um first of all any interest in some momes against I mean Cincinnati’s
Defense has been so bad I know it’s it’s tough to know who who’s gonna pair with often the the receivers have not been getting there any interest in some Mahomes against Cincinnati yeah I get it I mean that’s a nuts matchup and he’s momes uh it’s just
He hasn’t been good for fantasy for two months now and you know what like everyone’s just blaming on the receivers but he’s not playing well he’s not seeing the field well shout out Greg Cassell who you know uh went on a mini rant about this uh on the Ross Tucker
Show a couple days ago uh and uh he’s you know he’s not that cheap and like what’s the stackable upside Rashi rice obviously but I mean Kelsey kind of looks like he’s two games away from retirement three games away from RE retirement um not the same old Kelsey so
Um that’s not something I’m going to land on but but I I understand it I get it I don’t I wouldn’t fault you for for going that route okay and this one I’m just going to tell you guys what Scott Galaxy R play is uh and he’s he’s not
Going to tell me if I’m wrong uh I’m GNA guess that it’s Josh Allen playing against New England it’s obviously not a matchup that like uh jumps out at you that you want to play against the Patriots however uh they do have a 27 implied total Buffalo really needs to
Win so I have interest in and you can see her 3% ownership going to Josh Allen 7% chance of being the top stack for Buffalo I’m probably wrong for for the record I have not read whatever Scott wrote so I’m just specula like that’s my
Guess is that it’s Josh Allen uh do you have any interest in Josh Allen Bild Stacks this week well well my mystery quarterback wasn’t in my slate breakdown this is kind of developed lately more recently so yeah that’s that’s going to be in Discord if you want to find that
Uh Josh Allen again no I think this slate is defined by those big three players with slate breaking upside so I I’m really going to try and I’m really getting away from the high price quarterbacks like the highest priced quarterback to me who I’ll be playing is
Pie uh and with Josh Allen it’s like okay he has six rushing touchdowns in his last three or four games that’s awesome but he’s not really doing a lot through the air he’s not really efficient um we’ve seen with Joe Brady taking over uh the team going massively
Run heavy by pass rate OV expectation and uh uh who do you stack him with Gabe Davis scores zero two it of every three games Stefan Diggs has been a ghost for two months um the tight ends cannibalize each other’s production in a part-time role uh khil Shakir is a
Part-time player as well so uh it’s just not something that gets me excited okay so I my Counterpoint I actually kind of love it when a player that I know has the talent uh and they should want to get him the ball hasn’t done anything recently because it’s just going to
Drive people away Stefon digs to me is the guy that I want to pair him with and and I I I get it like he has been a ghost for a long time he is on my main fantasy team he has been letting me down for months so I totally understand not
Wanting to go there but I sort of love it when it’s like I know that this is their best receiver they know that this is their best receiver they’re trying to get to the playoffs they should want to be getting him going I don’t know I have
Interest in the the Josh Allen Stef on but I should have known that I should have also known that that was not your stack since you’ve already told me that you don’t like playing the expensive guys this week all right 0 for one in terms of guesses I’ll keep so then I’m
Guessing because you don’t want to play expensive guys you’re not going to be playing another couple that I have interest in are Kyler Murray Justin Fields two quarterbacks that I have interest in who are I think a little bit more expensive I could be wrong about
The price tags there but do you have any interest in either of those two yeah again uh Jake Jake made a compelling argument for Justin Fields uh uh Atlanta just really vulnerable to hyper mobile quarterbacks I think quarterbacks are averaging 10.9 yards per carry on scrambles shout out to Graham Barfield
For that stat uh but my issue with both quarterbacks it’s the same it’s just lack of healthy receivers I don’t think DJ Moore is healthy Cole KET isn’t healthy mares Brown is out um and it’s like the nuts matchup for uh for Arizona side uh particularly their perimeter wide receivers and it’s
Just like okay Greg dorch is is fine but outside of that I don’t trust anyone Trey McBride okay yeah like that’s obvious but is that enough for a ceiling game I I I don’t see that happening okay um and then the only other uh so I don’t
Think I’m going to Carolina maybe uh I could see that being a Galaxy bre play I’ve seen a lot of people in chat talking about Carolina and they are standing out as Jacksonville the worst against quarterbacks I was going to go to the other side of that game to CJ
Bethard which I I don’t have a ton of confidence there but that’s somebody that I’m man Carolina’s been a lot better than I realized against the pass recently so maybe that was that was the reason I wanted to go there as Carolina has been so bad defensively for most of
The year but looks like over the past five weeks they have been a little bit better um so that was one that I was goingon to bring up well why not Bryce young in the best possible matchup H he finally had a good a good game finally because I’ve been playing him
All year and he’s been letting me down yeah I guess I guess he did finally have a good game and he is a rookie quarterback who theoretically should be getting better throughout the year and as you said does have the I did not realize until looking at this uh just
Now that this is the best possible matchup I knew Jacksonville I had heard the Rumblings they say that they want to force teams to throw on them apparently they’ve been doing that so over the past five weeks yeah way giving up way more schedule adjusted fantasy points to quarterbacks over expectation both in
Terms of pass and the rush uh so you it sounds like you do have some interest in a very cheap Bryce young yeah I don’t know that I’m gonna land on that but I I do I do have interest uh DJ CH too like I know that feels like chasing points
But the guy just scored 30 DK he’s 3600 he 3% owned in a top five matchup yeah I think that’s that’s a really strong stack we you know I think we’ve talked about the fact that DJ T was my highest exposed quarterback in beste ball and literally did zero the entire year while
He was on my team and then the week after all of my DJ CH lineups were knocked out he goes off for touchs 98 yards yeah so brutal I I’m so mad at DJ tur right now um anyway uh all right any other quarterbacks that you want to talk
About um no I’ll just say we we didn’t get to my mystery quarterback and that’s that’s fine don’t don’t don’t put your pressure on me all right I’m not I’m not going to I’m not going to force Scott to talk about his mystery quarterback uh
You can go find it in your Discord you said you put it yeah all right there is a mystery quarterback out there who uh is going to put up five fantasy points because there’s no other good quarterbacks on this slate I don’t even see it no I’m sure I’m sure I’m just
Missing somebody all right um let’s move on talk about some running backs here pull up our highest owned running back so we’ll start with the highest ownership going to Chris I we’ve already talked about Christian mcaffrey at length uh we can talk about the chalky running backs in general mcaffrey zamir
White at 27% ownership saquon Barkley at 16% earlier we had Clyde Edwards Air who is now questionable um yeah this clearly clearly this is not going to be correct that’s going to that’s going to change I think it’s just a matter of we don’t really know if he’s playing right now um
So maybe some sites have him out some sites have him projecting Well Point per dollar I don’t know anyway um mcaffrey zamir white sequan Barkley uh what’s your level of interest in these top three in terms of ownership again yeah Christian mcaffrey should score 50 DK this week uh he’s an
Awesome play um zir white I think is an excellent value um I don’t know he’s averaging 20 carries 2.5 targets 17.5 DK fantasy points per game the last two weeks without Josh Jacobs um it’s an easy top three matchup against the Colts uh you can worry about game script you
You can you can play Jonathan Taylor as a leverage play um but I kind of think Vegas is wrong and I think Raiders win this game and uh I think they do it through zir like they did last week you know they I don’t think they had a
Single completion in the final three quarters of the game uh and the Colts are just so bad against the run like I could easily see 100 plus rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns for zamir white so um yeah I think I think he’s a really good play I think uh sequan
Barkley uh not really into the Giants or Barkley just because they have like a 13-point implied total um I just think there are better plays but but I I get it would you consider in a ram stack like if you’re going with the Stafford
Stack maybe as a as a runback no I I like Slayton this week okay that that’s what I would do that’s right um all right so those are the I guess those are the chalky options um we already talked about also Kiren Williams we’ve got them
At 10% ownership he should be he should be 30% yeah it’s funny he doesn’t look good here and yet I’m still like I still I’m I’m salivating that playing some Kiren Williams against the giant so I think I’m going to that’s the spot where I’m going to play him anyway despite
Negative leverage could end up biting me but it’s such a good spot for kyn he gets so much volume against a bad Giants defense yeah hard not to love Kiren this week um any other running backs that we haven’t talked about already that you want to talk about yeah Zeke seems a
Little light at 6K the the guy is averaging 15.5 receiving fantasy points per game the last three weeks just um that’s like insane volume like you just if you just look at running backs who average let’s see what he’s done the last three weeks let me pull it up I can show uh
The bcow report yeah so damn 61 expected fantasy points over the past three weeks I did not realize that they had like literally zero other running back doing anything Kevin Harris 17 snaps 11 carries it’s been the Zeke show entirely for the past three weeks yeah so that’s 15 carries per game and
8.3 targets per game like if you look back over the last decade all instances of a running back getting eight targets and 15 carries those running backs average I don’t know 28 fantasy points per game and so like I know Zeke you know might be somewhat washed I know
That this is one of the worst offenses in football with like an extremely low implied point total um but that’s still just like crazy usage crazy volume also uh an 86% snap share that’s massive um so so he’s another strong Val I I prefer zamir but um Zeke is definitely up there for
Sure um I feel like we need to talk about the uh Chiefs running backs also because like as I said clad currently is questionable to play um we have the price on 5300 great match up against the Bengals so there’s some possibility cly air uh plays at this
Point I feel like it’s slightly more likely that he sits because they called up Keon Ingram from the practice squad uh they also have l Michel per there what is your level of interest in C if he plays or if he sits any other backup running backs for the
Chiefs well I think Pacho is going to play and I think CH is gonna uh I thought Pacho was was not going to play he he got a limited practice in on Friday um and CH just has an illness um basically like i’ I’ve devoted zero
Thought to this and uh I’ll wait till the news hits and then come up with something but um yeah it’s kind of a little too murky for me right now again I do think most likely is is both guys play interesting all right I was I’ve been working under the assumption that
Buto was out uh so I guess that’s just a keep your eye on the news situation because maybe somebody will come into play but we’ll have to see who is starting I guess I was I incorrectly was thinking that peka was already ruled out
All right um well let me just open it up to you what other running backs do you have interest in um well there’s James Cook at the top he’s a he’s a good really good play um Jonathan Taylor again I’m not really into him but he he works as zamir white
Leverage um you can play javante stacked with br Bron’s defense that’s fine um I like bejon Robinson quite a bit uh you can sort of quibble with the upside just you know Tyler alir is there um but I mean like the volume has been great the Volume last week was awesome
Um he had what 75 rushing yards and 10 targets um yeah 72 rushing yards 10 targets seven catches 50 receiving yards um and uh this is like the nuts matchup the Bears are if you go back to schedule go back to schedule adjusted and click on receiving under running
Back do it do it for all the full season yeah so they’re like twice as bad against running backs to the air as anyone else um and again he had 10 targets last week that is sort of where he excels um I don’t know Johnny kind of
Talked me back off of him just like does he have slate breaking potential I I feel like he should and he’s just kind of running bad like he’s not breaking off any long runs like his longest run of the year is is 38 yards and then 32
Yards and he didn’t score a touchdown in either one like when he was coming out of college you’d think there would be a little bit more Bree Hall to his game and we’re just not seeing that um but but yeah I mean he’s he’s at least very
Interesting okay but again really to to me like the running back position is CMC Kiren zamir maybe Zeke um I will say for leverage um Raheem moer or Devon H I keep I keep playing this I keep like desperately wanting to see this hit and it just hasn’t happened happened these
Last few weeks and I think it’s because both running backs are seriously hurt yeah um and I think you we saw Jeff Wilson mix in more last week and so I’m probably not going to play it but just like the theoretical upside is clearly there we saw earlier in the season uh
Both of them score you know like 35 DK a chain the sort of player who only needs you know a handful of touches to to do it but um yeah probably a little too thin for me this week yeah that was uh I want to say I thought
They put up 99 total fantasy points between them in that game against the Broncos most are in Nan may maybe I misremember and that’s also that’s on DraftKings where you get a bonus for yardage and stuff too but it was it was insane you might be right yeah yeah
Looking at looking at last week 15 snaps for Jeff Wilson 19 for moster 35 for aan and then Al and gold obviously can be in there with one of the halfbacks but um all right uh what about uh travac CN against Carolina maybe again I I was uh
Incorrect about Carolina being bad over the past five weeks let we look at running back um yeah I guess Carolina the defense has been better recently than it had been earlier in the year early in year they were just an awful defense looks like they have really picked it up yeah and
Um and ET tien’s like really falling off a cliff like he was a top three fantasy running back the first half of the season and then just nothing since then um yeah I’m not I’m not really into it but I could see it happening you know
They just go super run heavy uh with bethard and you know he’s a good player but yeah yeah I wouldn’t Target it yeah it was one of those like one of those similar to digs to me where it’s like yeah he hasn’t done it recently but we
Know he has it in him but yeah may maybe he’s fallen off enough that it’s not as uh as interesting as I want it to be any others that you want to talk about I I don’t think so uh what about Galaxy brand Kenneth gainwell against against the the
Cardinals like could be a spot where I feel like I’ve tried doing it hasn’t really worked out but gainwell continues to have a pretty good role for the Eagles let me look at last week um yeah I mean 29 snaps last week to Swifts 42 three targets they have the same
Route participation uh Swift clearly still the guy though 20 rushing attempts last week to gain well six just thinking like maybe if the game gets out of hand the Eagles do I know last year it happened frequently where the Eagles would uh get off to a big lead and then
They would stop passing in the second half uh I don’t think they’ve really done it as much this year maybe it just hasn’t they haven’t been in that situation as much this year but there’s a part that’s like well maybe they just go to gainwell at that point but he he
Is a big enough part of the offense that maybe they just go to I don’t know a third running back that Rashad penny has not been active but whoever else they would would want to play at running back just trying to think of a galaxy R playay there maybe I’ll have a little
Bit of exposure but i’ I’d obviously like gain Mo a lot better if he was the stone minimum he is 5100 which is kind of a hefty price tag for somebody who doesn’t get that much volume yeah I I wouldn’t chase that um he’s kind of why
I don’t really like Swift this week uh it’s just like way more of a committee and we know Jaylen Herz is the goal line back um similarly like I’ve heard single ter hyped up uh he had like a 35% snapshare last week with DAR a Goomba W
Mixing in a lot more scroll all the way to the top uh Rashad white he’s he’s a good play it’s just like you don’t really need to say anything about Rashad white at this point and uh keep an eye on Kenneth Walker status I’m pretty sure
He’s gonna play but just in case he’s not obviously Zack shanet becomes like a Nuts play who who allows you to pay up for uh the big three- week keep talking about I feel like Rashad white is like 18 to 24 fantasy points every week like
He never has like that like need to have it 35 40 point game but he also never bust he’s just been consistently like pretty good and like good enough that he could be in a winning lineup um that the price deag keeps coming up so 7600 you
Kind of need the high end of his range and obviously he could go higher than that that’s kind of where he’s been in kind of a thin band but he obviously could just score an extra touchdown or something um JT did you talk about Taylor I think you yeah I’m not super
Into it it’s just it works as leverage against simir white that would be the argument okay uh Eckler kind of surprised me I I thought that they were going to start uh playing the backups a little bit more they they said that a few weeks ago um more recently however
In this most recent game I mean Austin Eckler 66% snapshare 15 rushing attempts in that game uh also 51% rep like clearly the number one guy for the Chargers really could have killed me on the the Saturday slate last week because I was playing not playing very little Eckler and playing Isaiah Spiller
Instead and that uh didn’t bite me because Eckler didn’t get into the end zone somehow but uh any interest here against the Broncos yeah not not for me but but I I get it okay um all right any other running backs or should we move on to wide
Receivers no let’s move on all right Tai Spears is that a a Galaxy R play that could work I don’t know that’s uh maybe yeah I’m not I’m not into that but could work we just look real quick at the Titans yeah actually out snapped Derk
Henry last week but nine to 19 rushing attempts 60% routes I mean non carries six targets like he’s he’s out snap Henry multiple times like that doesn’t matter to me if those are meaningless uh you know pass blocking snaps but you know six targets nine carries that’s
Fine I I just I it’s a little too thin for me questionable upside all right I think I I might have a little bit of exposure just because they do have a decent match up against the Titans but but I get it yeah it’s a splitting
Carries it’s a little bit tough uh all right at wide receiver sorted by ownership we have de Mario Douglas he’s 4,300 our highest owned wide receiver about 20% Tyreek Hill number two at 16% Z flow 16% Michael Pitman 14 rushy rice 14 uh of these top five are there any
Major fades for you do you think the ownership is fair do you want to go way Overexposed to any of them yeah let’s talk about the top seven um a lot of bad plays here dearia Douglas top three Cash play Bad gpp play he’s he’s maybe not
Bad but at this ownership like I’m not going to be playing him he’s uh the Patriots knew jacobe Meyers which means you know he’s gonna get eight or nine targets 50 to 70 yards and zero touchdowns as zero touchdowns in the year so questionable Tournament winning ceiling and he’s carrying ownership
Tyreek Hills should be 33% own this week awesome play Insane break the Slate upside Z flowers again probably top five cash playay probably not a good GP P play I don’t think he’s hit 880 receiving yards at all this season he he he’s good for like one deep Target per
Game and then a bunch of screens bunch of low a DOT screens uh so he’ll get those pprs but again uh carrying ownership questionable ceiling Michael Pitman I think um I think he’s a good play you can you can make the same argument maybe overstated ceiling but um just one like Tournament winning
Performance this year but to me I don’t know he just reminds me of Keenan Allen just the usage the volume is so good with Garder muu uh and he’s he’s great he looks great he’s he’s balling out uh just just for those who are only listening to the show and not watching
It it looks like Pacho cleared the protocol he’s gonna play tomorrow so there’s your answer there um Rashid rice again another top five cash play um strong value uh really seemingly supplanted Travis Kelce as the chief’s number one receiver um he’s getting a lot of designed looks like Z flowers uh
Which is good you know that raises your floor um he’s he’s this is a nuts matchup Terry mclen I I could get on board with this ownership if pret was starting if not not really about it uh we know you know uh McLaren’s best came game came with
Like two drives uh with uh jacobe brassette whereas C Howell isn’t playing well and like we know he just locks on to slot wide receivers as he’s done dating back to college ju Del Robinson why does he ever get ownership I hate it like it drives me insane the guy has no
Ceiling especially now with Darren Waller back um that’s bad I feel you use the example of W Robinson every time we’re talking about a player with no stealing you you hate W Robin I don’t hate him as much as you do uh when if he when he is getting low ownership because
I’m like he had he’s had games where he’s had like I don’t know like 15 or 16 fantasy points without scoring a touchdown so to me it’s like yeah I mean I get it like he doesn’t have that like single play necessarily big he’s not
Going to put up a big score on a single play like that type outside but like if he gets eight catches for like a 100 yards which I think is possible and a touchdown like I don’t know it’s uh may maybe maybe I’m I I don’t think he has a
100 yard upside Waller back I don’t think even close he’s also not a full-time player um and it’s a bad offense with like a 13 Point implied point total yeah yeah um this week I think I’m with you I’m just I’m pushing back a little bit on the the no sealing
I mean I think he like there have been weeks where it’s like if he just scored a touchdown too that would be enough like he would have had a a big game so it’s like I I I agree with you like he doesn’t have maybe the 30 Fantasy Point
Ceiling that you uh sometimes want but like at his price tag I don’t think I don’t hate him as much as you do I guess I guess is what I’m saying I think that the the the lack of cealing is maybe a little bit overstated well part of it
Part of it is I I think there’s a lot of cheap players who are interesting with upside this week sure and he and he’s coming in a 10% ownership so this week I think I’m I’m with you that that is too much and obviously the tools say 6%
Chance of being optimal so uh the tools agree with you in that sense also um all right uh oh yeah you brought up uh Pitman so I was just going to look real quick at week 16 stats for the Colts who was running the routes for the Colts and
We have KY well Pitman was out yeah yeah okay uh but then the the number two receiver just looking okay we had Alec Pierce and Josh DS both running significant routs along with DJ Montgomery who I would expect to be supplanted when Pitman comes back uh
Just trying to figure out uh you know always thinking through who is Scott’s mystery quarterback and that is another another name that I was thinking about throwing out there everybody in chat thinks that it’s Derek Carr but we we don’t need to continue that discussion just look definitely not Derek Carr you
Guys don’t don’t know me well enough uh apparently um yeah can we go back to wide receiver though yep because I I found something else that kind of annoyed me um Brandon iuk at 9% where is dvo Samuel eight% okay all right well Debo should
Probably be 28% I think so you like Debo I guess you said that earlier you like Debo better than iuk and I I wanted to talk about come back to why you like Debo better than know in in recent weeks it’s been pretty clearly Debo has been
Better than iuk he’s he’s gotten I guess last week iuk ended up getting there right at the end but in general Debo’s been better recently uh but you just think you trust Debo you think going forward he is the better play so this is the nuts matchup for both wide receivers
Um they’re down two starting cornerbacks and a starting safety and this was already the worst secondary in football uh these two wide receivers are going to spend most of their day against um a a quarterback who’s played zero snaps in their career and the only cornerback worse than that guy Emanuel Forbes and
So should just go absolutely nuclear uh why I like Debo more is well he’s just been more productive since week 11 he ranks behind only Tyreek and fantasy points per game iuk ranks 20th and so like our sources told us last year to to prioritize iuk over Debo because Debo
Showed up to Camp fat and out of weight and uh out of shape and looked like and what happened the year before that was he put together one of the greatest fantasy wide receiver seasons of all time especially on a per touch basis this year I think he’s back to being
That guy uh just like one of the biggest outliers in the game I think I think Debo’s fully back um but what really gives him the edge is the schematic matchup Jack Del Rio out of the picture Ron Rivera comes in what does he do increases the rate of Zone and jacks up
The rate of two High coverage Debo Samuel shredding to High coverage really the guy in that coverage scheme at 39% first read Target share versus auk’s 23% that’s a massive difference again both guys could get there or it could just be iuk um but um just the simple math to
That makes makes it easier for me to to lean Debo um and I again I I think this is a week where you you need at least one 49ers player on every single lineup non-negotiable uh you you have to have that every single lineup needs at least
One 49ers player do you feel as strongly about any of the other like the the Eagles or the Rams I feel like are are both like man they should be able to absolutely Crush they’ve got some star power do you not feel as strongly about any other team as San Francisco it’s no
Definitely San and like I’m going to have multiple 49ers on on lineups but bare minimum one uh it’s the nuts match up on on both sides of the ball and uh most potent offense in football and uh yeah they’re gonna they’re gonna smash just to to clear up some confusion
Because a lot of people have brought up in in chat my understanding of the jacobe brassette versus Sam how situation jacobe ret was named the starting quarterback then now has a hamstring injury so Sam might be forced and even though even though jacobe Bret had been named the starting quarterback
Now brasset is injured and it is it looking like Howell is going to play or do you have any read on who yeah yeah Howell starting per Aaron Wilson oh yeah and that just came out before before the show okay so we so Howell is is the
Starter now even though it had been reset now he hurt his hamstring okay um all right I I’ll uh continue talking do you have other wide receivers that you want to so so you like uh Debo better than auk I think that was good to to flush that that out but obviously both
In play this is such a an elite matchup for both of them uh so as you say just play a San Francisco player everywhere you probably won’t regret it um any other wide receivers that you love this week yeah Nico Collins should should probably be 20% um I don’t know what’ll
Wind up as seems like he started getting steamed yesterday um but just that was the biggest cheat code in in DFS right it was uh must play at least one Houston wide receiver on every lineup when CJ strout is healthy and now tank Dell is not there Noah Brown is seriously banged
Up Collins has been one of the best most efficient uh wide receivers in football this year uh one of the most productive and in home games he is pretty wild home road splits um and yeah he’s just he’s just a sick play um I also really like
Chris olve I haven’t really heard too many people talk about him he’s a little banged up but just look at what he’s done he eight he’s had at least eight Targets in each of his last eight healthy games averaging 10.1 he’s eclipsed 90 receiving yards in each of
His last four averaging 23 DraftKings fantasy points per game and he gets an easy top three matchup against the Buccaneers pass funnel that that really struggles against wide receiver ones um and struggles in the slot which is where he gets about like 45% of his targets um
So really like Collins really like olave um really like Curtis Samuel now that Howell’s back he’s only 4,400 um and then and then we can we can start to flirt with the cheap guys a little bit if you want yeah yeah let’s let’s go flirt with those cheap guys um before we
Do that I I just want to make sure no concerns about Nico Collins 45% R participation I assume that was just he’s returning from injury last week we oh oh yeah like if he if he has that this week he’s an absolute bus but he’s
Just a nice uh Boomer bus gpp play um and uh yeah I would bet on that that uh increasing looking at the injury report uh I remember being optimistic on this but let me just double check that and Noah Brown I I did not even realize that
Noah Brown is banged up he was something that I was really interested in at 5100 um but it’s uh you you just don’t think that he’s fully healthy so he’s not going to be you’re not expecting much there yeah so Nico Collins got in full practices Thursday and Friday that is
Huge uh Noah Brown got in one full practice on Friday but was limited throughout the rest of the week yeah I don’t know I just I just I I just think he’s been uh seriously banged up for a while okay but that that could be a wrong
Read um all right we do have uh several other wide receivers I want talk about but let’s just take a step back real quickly to Isaiah Pacho just I just want to now that we know that Pacho is playing and it was a cuss so not something that I would expect to really
Limit him in any significant way uh do you think that you will have any interest in PCO this week um switching back to running back just real quick because we have I don’t know again I I I need to give that more thought but okay I don’t think so all
Right I’m just thinking it is kind of the nut match up Cincinnati no you’re right you’re right um I don’t again it was really just CMC Kiren it just has me drooling yeah I get that I get that um yeah I think that somebody that we’ll have to
Look at listen to you know our shows tomorrow figure out what the ownership is on peo tomorrow because really hard to gauge right now because he’s not in the tool so I have no idea what his expected ownership would be but it will
Be I mean nut mashup if he does end up I mean it sounds like he is going to go so somebody to consider if he comes in at low ownership we’ll continue talking about wide receivers uh let’s start flirting let’s start flirting with these cheap wide receivers uh who do you like
Of the cheap guys uh well I saided like Darius Slayton and a Tyrod Slayton stack can allow you to defit a lot of the expensive guys we like um he is the Giant’s only every down receiver 93% snap share since the week 13 by uh Tyrod
I think is a is a big upgrade for him uh particularly as the team’s deep threat Taylor’s accounted for just 23% of the team’s dropbacks but 40% of the deep completions um Slayton hasn’t seen a ton of volume with Tyrod but a 14.7 yards per Target average which is Hyper Elite
Uh Rams have seen a league High 78 deep targets come against them um and they’ve they’re the the number one match up for perimeter wide receivers over the last five weeks so um kind of everything pointing uh towards I guess just like really good upside for a player who’s
3,400 um but again you know the volume hasn’t been there it’s it’s thin it’s just deep threat versus Rams checks out perimeter wide receiver versus Rams check out checks out um you could play Demarcus Robinson too puka is a little banged up Robinson’s clearly uh um like
A 97% route share guy because the Rams live in three wide receiver Personnel um really good volume uh in recent we weeks leavs the Rams and air yards over the last three um and uh you know it’s a good matchup for all receivers there uh I like DJ ch
Um I know that feels like chasing points again it just doesn’t really matter when he’s 3% owned 600 off minimum price and he just scored 600 uh 30 27.8 DraftKings fantasy points last week top five matchup and who knows like maybe Carolina like figured something out they
Kind of tweaked Adam felin’s uh usage a little bit they had him playing out wide more and maybe that that’s what F like can help fix the offense I don’t know but um he’s fine he’s another good cheap option Brandon Johnson is another one especially if Marvin Mims sits um and
I’m pretty sure he is gonna sit um I’m a big fan of the back backup connection and so he has the the backup connection with STM nice I like that um I just remember that I played uh Darius Leon in my single my single entry high stakes
Lineup that I handbuilt and I was like oh this is my great contrarian play he ended up being like 35% owned in that contest that was that was disappointing so uh I don’t know maybe he won’t be as contrarian in higher stake stuff but yeah he’s been looking great recently uh
You mentioned Demarcus Robinson I like that call GRE dor is fine and a nuts matchup I was about to I was just about to ask about the Arizona guys so is is dor your favorite of the Arizona receivers any interest in Wilson or more no no uh you know how I’m like the
Shahed Whisperer which is like really just like I play him in zone heavy matchups and I avoid him in Man heavy matchups this one is more of a man heavy matchup by the way which is why I do like olve okay um Wilson is the same
Thing like I think he still has like zero yards per route run against man so it’s just a a rough rough spot for him uh dorch has a great schematic matchup I don’t really know how much that matters the small sample but it’s just uh this is a player I’ve always loved I’ve
Always thought was like really good like he went undrafted and I was like no this is a guy who should have went early day three um and so I just like the player and it’s it’s the best possible matchup against the Eagles and you I know you
You also uh famously hate Rond Del Moore personally on a personal level you hate Rond Del Moore who was another one of my highest own best ball players uh who let me down this year uh so so no one so so it’s just dork for you of the wide
Receivers for Arizona we’ll talk about tight ends in a bit as well but it’s Dort your favorite all right that’s it’s good to good to know because I I’ve been on Michael Wilson maybe I’ll consider going to some dorch instead um let me see if I have other sounds like uh so Z
Flow is very very much questionable would you want to play any obj baitman anybody else if flowers ends up missing uh I would upgrade likely a good margin and that would be it um we we uh speaking of you being a the Rasheed whisper I I don’t want uh I
Want to put your unblemished record on the line once again so it sounds like this is not the week for Shahed for you yeah I don’t think so I don’t think I mean you can you could still play him for sure because uh without Michael Thomas his his route shares come up
Considerably his Target shares come up considerably uh he’s a great deep threat uh you could say maybe regardless of scheme and uh this is a great matchup for a deep threat um but no I I I think it’s an aive game okay um you said that
Pukaa is banged up which I did not realize that he’s I know a few a couple weeks ago he was hurt for a little while I think a shoulder injury um so I’ve been I’ve been saying I want to play some maybe try the double stack of
Cooper cup and pukerua is it bad enough and I know you are uh it’s a way that you and I differ to some extent is you you just don’t want to play injured guys like if if you have questions about a player’s injury status you like to just
Say I’m not playing that player is that the case with Huka for you this week no no I I think he’s a good play this is kind of like last week with with Bree Hall and Garrett Wilson um where like you know either one could definitely go
Off it’s just uh I I feel very convicted in Kirin and he’s not drawing the ownership he should so I’m just gonna play Kiren but if Kiren was drawing the ownership he would I I would I would have a lot more Stafford Stacks with with puka on it okay uh Devonte
Adams 3% ownership yeah uh not for me it’s just uh haven’t really seen a ceiling with with uh Aiden oconnell he has had some bad matchups which might have played a role but it it’s just not how I would go about it again like ve very into Tyreek and the 49ers receivers
And Nico and alve and that’s kind of where I would go to pay up no Jaylen waddle do Cedric Wilson or bar has become interesting to deal yeah I was thinking about this before the show because to me it’s just when one of the guys is out they just
Target the other one on like 50% of routes um and it should just be the Tyreek Hill show like it was the jayen Waddles show the week without him when he won me 25k or earlier in the season when model missed it was the Tyreek show
But you know like what if it’s what if it’s not uh Tyreek is bang up um and the the play would be oh actually I don’t know I was going to say it’s Cedric and I feel good about it do you want me to do you want me to
Look at last week uh you no look at look at um the week that waddle missed actually yeah can you do last week plus what was it week three the week week three and last week okay I appreciate you easy easy to do take okay there we
Go okay so this is not very clearcut so click on routes chase claypool’s out right is he is he rul out already so yeah it looks like a a massively disgusting gross committee so I guess WIS in play yeah all right so we and we have uh as we
Talk we got Greg dorch got some other cheap options I don’t necessarily need to go there figured it was worth bringing up at least um so you said that you don’t have interest in doing Philly Stacks uh it’s a spot that I think that I have more interest in than you but we
And and I’m GNA force you to build one with me uh but uh AJ Brown versus Devonte Smith do you have any interest as either of them as a one off uh it would be Devon Smith in the the nuts coverage shell matchup okay everybody in chat still thinks that
His car they’re still debating whether Carr is your quarterback uh he he would have he wouldn’t have said no he’s not my quarterback if he’s not he’s not my quarterback it’s not it’s not mystery quarterback um and then finally uh DeAndre Hopkins Revenge game uh but also
A great spot against the Texans who have been much worse against receivers I believe let me let me double check that this is true over the past five um yeah Houston third worst against receivers over the past five games any interest in DeAndre Hopkins against this
Former team you become such a pro at navigating these tools I I love it Neil yeah a lot of experience at this point um so yeah uh Hopkins has not only the nuts on paper matchup but it’s also the nuts schematic matchup based on the the scheme that Houston tends to run we
Should expect like a 15% boost to his uh fantasy expectation uh the issue I and like Houston just gave up 50 freaking fantasy points to Amari Cooper last week the concerns with this is well Hopkins had this exact same match up two weeks ago and he had nine targets and he
Scored three fantasy points and not only that but like okay he’s said three games with 25 or more DK and then seven games in the single digits he’s really been a DFS bus this year um and so I kind of just think he’s a little overrated and
He’s drawing ownership um but I I get it it’s the I was on him two weeks ago and he flopped in this matchup yeah uh and who knows maybe maybe the regression hits this week but I believe uh today is Festivus Scott I’m I’m kind of just
Making that up but I want to continue airing Grieves so I’m going to say that this is Festivus I got knocked out I led the league in points in my main League All Year led the league in points I had I needed like 10 points total out of
Hopkins and Derrik Henry against the Texans in round one of the playoffs they put up like five total fantasy points combined 20 Touches for Derrick Henry and they just did absolutely nothing so yeah I hate them I hate you so much Titans I still might play some deand
Hopkins though I don’t know just just because of the matchup despite despite busting two weeks ago I think I have a little bit of interest there anything else you want to talk about with wide receivers or you want to air I don’t know I think I’m good good
Um Mike Evans Chris Godwin I mean Godwin insane Target share the last three weeks Mike Evans just been you know like an absolute print Fest this year um I probably won’t get there but uh there there I can’t fault anyone for playing either of those guys okay all right
Let’s move on to look at some tight ends those guys make sense for mini Stacks I guess the Tampa or or Baker double yeah uh highest owned Travis Kelce Trey McBride Gerald Everett uh what’s your level of interest in these three High owned tight ends man I have no interest
In a 7K Travis Kelce like again we were talking about Christian mcaffrey Kiren Williams Tyreek Hill as like the expensive pay and like Kelsey cannot come close to sniffing those guys and they slay breaking potential or their you know just Flatout median projection um he’s he’s overpriced by a wide margin
In my opinion and he’s chalky that that just doesn’t really make too much sense to me um I I think he’s three games away from retirement uh I think you know the injuries have taken its toll I don’t I don’t think he has like the high-end wide receiver one upside he used to
Offer which made him such a cheat code um so I’m not really about that but he makes sense for a mome stack uh Trey McBride uh not really much to say here he’s just he’s awesome I love him uh if you look at like his Target share his targets per
Route run is xfp per game and you contrast it versus wide receivers you know like he’s one of the better values of the Slate so he’s a great play um Gerald Everett I also think is a really good play uh that’s been East stick’s favorite receiver by a wide margin he’s
Uh I think he has more than twice as many targets as anyone else with stick um he also had a season High route share he was just a part-time player but Donald param was a healthy scratch uh so that jumped to 74% uh Keenan Allen Josh Palmer both I
Think are gonna sit out this week so um yeah he’s he’s your cash tight end of the week um strong for for tournaments um there there’s a few more I’m I’ll probably have more exposure to chok cono I’ll just say is probably a little overrated uh he’s had this big usage
Spike but that’s because uh Josh Wy and Travon Wesco were out and those guys are are now back so um he’s he’s probably a little overrated uh Isaiah likele is a really good play um what made the Mark Andrews Lamar Jackson stack so potent is he wanted to play zone coverage against
Him so the cornerbacks wouldn’t have their backs turned to to you know kind of keep him contained as a runner um and Mark Andrew like why that works so well is Mark Andrews is just like an elite Zone beater um but uh likely’s done really well in that role and so it’s a
Super Zone heavy matchup um I I like him this week I think he’s a really good value um Schultz makes sense you know again just uh the the CJ shroud sheet code we been talking about no tank Dell Noah Brown I think personally is banged
Up so he would make sense as the clear number to uh price has come down from you know when we were chasing him a couple weeks back uh George KD I think is a is an awesome play um so again I’m San Francisco obsessed this week and the
Argument for him is he’s what like uh 2K cheaper than Debo 1500 cheaper than iuk um and you could argue he has like comparable upside to both um he leads all tight ends in games with 22.5 DK fantasy points or more by a wide margin he also has two more than either
Debo or iuk um he’s he’s averaging nearly three yards per route run since week 10 um so I yeah I’m GNA have a lot of pry doubles this week and uh it just kind of it could be iuk and and Debo in the nuts matchup but it you know KD fits
Easier he’s cheaper um we we went back and forth on our show whether or not Washington is actually good against tight ends it’s kind of unclear to me at at the at the bare minimum it’s they’re extremely vulnerable to wide receivers and maybe so much so that you know KD’s going to
Be the clear three but but um still just that price point the upside I I think he’s a great value and a and a really good play yeah looks like in the in the last five weeks uh just based on schedule adjusted they’ve been better against tight ends than you’d expect but
They’ve just been so bad overall it could just be a usage thing for tight ends over those five games yeah Johnny looked into it on the show I think like Jake Ferguson left one game early with an injury and then there was like another thing that was weird Waller kind
Of smashed them um when he was still banged up okay like it seems like it should be as good of a match up as any other position for for the ners I forget who their guy is who covers tight end I I kind of needed to dig into that just a little
Bit more but okay um but yeah regardless of the matchup you know it’s it’s a nut spot for py he’s gonna have all day to throw and just does your Eagles hate uh extend to Dallas Goddard no I I just I I don’t really have a read there it’s all right own
Fine fine okay fair um any other tight ends you want to talk about or should we maybe look at defenses briefly and build some lineups yeah I think Evan Ingram might be the best tight end player this late oh yeah so you like the uh the the CJ bethard Evan Ingram connection
Um yeah when when Lamar Jackson went down Johnny and I just went all in on Mark Andrews every week and like we that made us so much money some quarterbacks just like lock on to the tight end and that really looks like CJ bethard uh he’s targeted Ingram on 41% of his
Throws that is insane uh a lot I mean Calvin Ridley’s second with a 177% Target share No Christian Kirk Z Jones very banged up um and like E look at what uh Ingram’s done since Kirk went down uh it’s like highend wide receiver one volume uh I don’t know why we
Shouldn’t be viewing him exactly as we would if like David and joku was on this slate and joku just kind of went off on Thursday night so um yeah I really like angram I don’t remember exactly when Kirk went down but uh week 13 okay so we have one game here with
Kirk yeah but just barely oh um yeah Ingram 84% route participation uh 42 Targets in that span yeah he’s been he’s been Elite and that’s uh over 10 targets per game Productions there and you the most prodive player 75 yards per game sorry just saying for for most of the year you
Were not on Ingram and then uh you’ve seen that he’s like recently the the things have changed for Ingram like suddenly he is getting the usage that you want to see from a tight end yeah he um he has like five Endzone targets over the last four weeks and across like the
First 12 weeks of the Season he had two it was something like that and so uh same thing for Red Zone targets as well um last he he’s eclipsed 80 receiving yards in three of his last four games has three touchdowns over that span um so I think he’s an awesome play he’s
He’s a guy I’m considering you know putting in the flex um in some spots all right uh any other tight ends you want to talk about Um yeah I’m Lucas crawl I I have a I have a good feeling about him that’s that’s all I’ll say if you if you need a punt if you need a punt I would play him over Austin Hooper interesting all right so Lucas crawl last week 41 no this is the last
Four weeks um yeah he’s a guy that i’ I’ve Loved for a showdown and I know he scored a touchdown last week uh I have not really thought about him on the main slate but yeah 30% rep 2 five Targets on just 30% route so if you if you bump up that route
Participation a little bit suddenly the the target share is going to look really interesting for crawl yeah that’s interesting um runs a 45240 255 pounds um I mean backup is this also a backup connection thing another backup connection that’s right yeah all right interesting um all right do you want to
Look at defenses at all I don’t I I need to do more research on defense the one thing that I will say I love that Sam Howell is playing for the Niners defense because Sam Howell takes sacks uh takes a lot of sacks uh so I I like that uh
That’s one defense that’s going to stand out probably The Field’s going to be there too though uh all right you want to build some lineups we got a uh what’s it called where the pay to talk to you Super Chat oh we got a Super Chat oh yeah uh thank you James James
Says hire hire FR or Auto who’s higher Higby probably Higby let me look on FanDuel to see if Higby is also 5K guessing that’s just a auto correct Higby yep okay Higby frith or Cade auton Auto yeah K Higg firemouth or Kon do you have a preference
There yeah those are three guys I didn’t even spend any time on so I don’t I don’t really know all right let me let me think who which I guess I guess um Higby right wh which which team has the highest implied point total just chasing touchdowns on FanDuel right think it
Could be that easy well let me let me uh since since we got a Super Chat I’m going to pull it up in the boom bus just to tell you what the what the boom bus tells us of those three tight ends um and we Scott we haven’t done a single
Plug the entire show so feels like a good time to say you can find the links for all of our stuff in the description of this video I’m looking right now this is the stochastic boom bust I’ve been flipping back and forth between stochastics tools and fantasy points
Tools um and you can find the links for all of them so this one is uh stochastic this the top stack stochastic a lot of these this is the fantasy points data Suite all of these tabs I guess these these are a lot of repeating but you can
Uh sort of differently and then this is also fantasy points so you can find you can find the links for all of this stuff in the description of this video uh the boom bus comes along with our NFL data packages um all right so looking at FanDuel tight
Ends I’m going to sort by salary so we have Fri mouth higgy kton uh looks like our best odds here Pat frith has a 3.8% chance of being optimal he’s also 4.7% owned so if the rest of your lineup is if you have like some contrarium pieces maybe you just go to
The best bet in Pat Fri mouth if your lineup is pretty chalky I think I would pre I would prefer uh Tyler higgy as The Slight positive leverage there of course these numbers are all so close together that like slight positive leverage if if the ownership comes in slightly
Different than we’re expecting you know it’s kind of hard to to know exactly but currently we have a little bit of positive leverage on Tyler higgy uh he’s also nice leverage on a lot of other Rams players who were going to I guess they’re not getting that much ownership
But it’s a great spot for higgy I think my preference overall I’d probably go Higby over fryou over auton based on the boom bus tool it’s GNA be how I would answer that question um all right let’s make some lineups Scott is that are we ready to
Make some lineups let’s do it all right fantasy football millionaire wait I want to do the the Sunday slate is this the right one yeah yeah okay we don’t have a Saturday slite right all right drafting all right there there are two lineups
For sure that I want to make as I said I want to force you to make a a Philadelphia stack with me just so that you have some exposure to it because I like it I also want to try doing the uh you you want to play all three studs in
A lineup with Tyreek Hill Chris mcaffry and kyen Williams I want to try doing that also for one of our lineups uh do you have a preference for where we start Scott and then of course we can make another one whatever you want to do no
I’ll just say for this when we’re doing this I I really want you to take the Reigns I think uh you’re the better um lineup Builder and like DFS player I gave you a a list of like a bunch of plays I like and and you use your your
DFS brain to kind of fit together a lineup that gets as many of those names as possible and is well correlated all right let me see what I can do I’m gonna so I’m gonna start with this Herz stack and Smith Smith would be my preference
Over AJ Brown okay yep that was that’s the hard part for me is the that part of it uh and then we can do a we can either do Goddard or we can do the runback with uh McBride I’m going to start with McBride and think about I’m going to do
Dorch for sure because I know that you love dorch and I love that uh that correlation there throw him in here the DOR chamber as some call him uh and then the tight end do I want to go McBride and GD they’re both fairly inexpensive uh let’s
Start let’s start with just McBride for now and then I’ll think about adding GD later uh now we need some salary savings we’ll go to defenses could we just uh show off one of our tools for a second because like you said we didn’t really
Plug anything can you go to uh our new wide receiver coverage tool in Fantasy Point yep all right and so again I mean AJ Brown could go nuclear just because Arizona’s secondary is trash it’s just like I mean Smith has been outperforming him since late October but yeah click on
Go to the search option and just click Eagles what what makes it easier for me is just like look at AJ Brown minus 10 versus Devonta plus 5% um AJ Brown’s really kind of just been very jaggy just a guy-ish against too high coverage and so um I would feel better about Devonte
Smith in the matchup but I mean with both guys like we haven’t really seen a true uh tournament winning score from from either one in a while and but it was AJ Brown kind of or at least with with a healthy gu so if anybody wants to use this to
And this is one we talked about good I’ve gotten at navigating some of the tools this is one that I’ve tried a couple times I’m like I don’t really know exactly what I’m looking at here is coverage grade just like your number one metric for like this is a good matchup
Obviously expected fantas points per route run that’s already going to factor in like a player’s usage which we have uh we look at also but his coverage grade just like you your go-to for like this is a good match up versus a bad matchup or is it a combination of things
Yeah so um I would stick with the schedule adjusted that’s more important that that’s more predictive um but this is something that really helps in DFS especially to break ties or to navigate game Stacks um and even within that it matters a lot for some players like the
Rased Shahs Michael Wilson’s of the world um but for some teams it doesn’t really matter that much at all but um this is one instance where it does matter it’s just uh who benefits from the scheme that this defense typically runs and in this instance against an
Arizona defense that runs heavy uh uh two High um to High coverage uh Smith benefits whereas AJ Brown uh you you can question whether there’s going to be a sealing performance because uh he has struggled or just not really seen a lot of volume against two high looks this year okay
I like that uh we we got a super chat too Scott uh and this is not a super chat that you are going to like so uh so Mike Davis he sent us some money and then followed it up Scott with is it Browning your sneak quarterback uh you
Were asked directly in a Super Chat Scott so I know I know it is not it is not Browning is not uh subscribe to Fantasy points.com get in our Discord and uh I will tell you who it is and why I love that approach though Mike for the
Record just like just asking I’m going to send you money so you’re forced to answer I love it that was great um but yeah sign sign up for fantasy points Scott doesn’t want to say it uh because because because other people gave him the idea so he doesn’t want to uh give
It’s that it’s also sources it’s also right now everyone in our Discord is building the exact same lineup okay and so I don’t want it to be too steamed all right all right uh back to building our so so we got Devonte Smith in there good uh showing showing the reason for
Devonte Smith there we’ve got the full game stack here I’ll think about adding Dallas GD later for now I’m going to think about which defense I want to throw in here I could throw the Patriots versus Josh Allen it’s kind of interesting yeah I’m with you you all
Right let’s do it let’s I mean 2300 that makes some sense 5500 left per player um do we want to go cheap at run I mean we have I know that you love a couple of these more expensive running back so let me see if I can find a cheap wide
Receiver to throw in here Noah Brown a little bit banged up oh someone just asked if uh the coverage shell tool is is helping to produce winners for me yeah that was a a big reason why I was all over jayen Wadd against the Jets um George Pickins had like the best matchup
Last week and he went absolutely nuclear um you know there’s no Holy Grail stat but uh this is something that I I found to to be very valuable for DFS where you’re trying to find out higher performances at at low ownership like this it it also works for props like
It’s it’s not break baked into the prop uh Market when matchups are um and you know it’s certainly not impacting DFS salaries or ownership so um again it’s not a Holy Grail stat there’s like definitely some noise to it but uh I I I find value with it but you could just
Read my articles because I kind of I do all the heavy lifting for you so Herz zamir Devon Smith dorch Slayton there’s a lot of the see this is why I don’t like paying up for Herz is like there’s a lot of these stars and scrubs
Lineups and I’d feel so much better if it was a stars and scrubs with uh more of the big three than than a quarterback and just kind of hope my my cheap quarterback I know that you hate uh Alec Pearson sometimes make fun of me for even suggesting him however he fits in
Really nicely here he would be a nice runback to zamir white nice little mini stat correlation there in this lineup all I’ll ask is that you you have to you have to pick from players that that I I mentioned specifically by name oh okay
All right who so I have 3900 so I I put in CMC I force him in here because of your rule that we need to have at least one Niner in every l i could switch out CMC and put uh KD into the flexx or get
Rid of Darius Slayton I guess I could well I also mentioned DJ CH I mentioned Brandon Powell um all right let me see was there 3900 tight end I don’t think so um but yeah what what happens if you drop to kirn who does that get
You because he’s one of the big three true now we have 5200 left what was I want to say KD’s 56 so this lineup does not currently have a Niner in it um that breaks the rule that breaks the rule all right so then so then trade trade McBride with
KD oh no that wouldn’t make sense would it no no keep McBride in there I mean McBride what about uh no I could put KD and I could put uh GD in there so we’d still have the correlation we’ve already got bring back interesting what if we do that let’s see
KD and now we have oh we have plenty of so we have even more we if we don’t want to throw but we could put GD in there now we have 700 left over doesn’t quite get us up to CMC with Kiren let’s see uh is there a Slayton
Upgrade or or you know what it would be it would be stacks of mirror with Raiders defense Raiders defense oh yeah and then we and fits perfect right yeah I think so there you go that was a well-built lineup That is a well-built lineup we got the double sack we got Herz with
Devonte Smith and Dallas GD we have Greg dorch as the bring back in that one we’ve got your guy Kiren we’ve got zamir white in there uh we got our Niner in KD and we’ve got the Raiders defense paired with this is a really well-built lineup
To be honest like in terms of all the correlations got the full-on game stack yeah well done yeah well done well done this this is what I wanted from you and you you nailed it I mean you you did the the final puzzle you found the final pieces of the puzzle
There um all right so now I want to build this one starting with your your core three of Tyreek Hill and then both of the stud running backs so now we have 3,800 left for players so we’re gonna have to go cheap at defense here do you
Think we go to the Patriots defense yeah yeah I I like Patriots D they’ve been resurgent somewhat uh and Josh Allen very turnover prone um uh quarterback would be I guess Tyrod Slayton that would make sense all right where is but we could also do Bryce young plus uh shark we could also
Do I don’t know bethard Ingram we could do my mystery quarterback except we can’t can’t mention the mystery quarterback all right um let’s start with I didn’t realize tyr’s only 4600 that’s that’s why he’s getting so much ownership yeah okay and then we’ll go Slayton so now we’re up to 4166
Remaining per player probably fit a cheap tight end in there who did all right you like Gerald Everett quite a bit sounded like um yeah yep oh we could go to your guy Lucas scroll 2800 we could we could do that let’s let’s go uh Everett for now let’s
Put zamir white in the flex that leaves us 3900 at wide receiver um Char I guess you want to unless you want to take out zamir and see if there’s something else we can do um well I mean we could throw in another relatively inexpensive tight end in the flex maybe
Um we do Ingram I have an Ingram yeah just is he affordable what is this price tag 57 okay he’s more expensive than zamir yeah I’d rather i’ rather play as air yeah we could upgrade the Patriots potentially Bangles yeah they’ve been so bad against Kansas City though yeah I
Mean does Kansas City fear you that’s good point they just gave up two defensive touchdowns last week so they shouldn’t but but I I still think the the patriots feel better do you think would you rather play the Bengals than the Patriots defense I don’t really know to me it’s like the
The uh Patriots defense is better and also uh I think a better match up for a defense I think Josh Allen a little bit more turnover prone in general than momes yeah but uh Lou Amaro kind of has owned uh momes historically no okay or
Held that is not a trend that I’m aware of but um yeah let me we could do it um no it’s not really true I mean he he hasn’t been bad but he has held him in check um two of three games under 260 passing yards I don’t know I just remember that
That playoff game where like it was the worst half of uh mom’s career in the second half uh we are getting a lot of people Scott asking where to join your Discord uh so we put the link to stochastic Discord which which you should also join
By the way uh but the the data that we’re talking about the the quarterback play the secret quarterback play will be in the fantasy points Discord so yeah can you go back to schedule adjusted and I’ll I’ll show you where to click yeah so scroll up go to Media top
Right and then Discord chat right there yeah I think you need to be a subscriber first though so Al uh and then click plans all the way at the top right that’s where you go to subscribe okay yep so there you go plans up here to get to subscribe and then
Once you are subscribed you can go to Media sign up for the Discord this this is this isn’t like the be the best play in the world again like P is gonna be my highest own quarterback but uh this this is just one I don’t feel I can give away
On this show it’s fun I feel like you’re putting a lot of pressure like or or like people are now like really really want to know this secret quarterback and it’s like not even like your top five quarterback for you it’s sounds like no no it’s it’s it’s going to be number two
For sure oh is it really okay yeah interesting um all right so how are we uh I feel like we’re like we’re almost there with this lineup but I feel like we could maybe I don’t know let me Patriots defense I mean we can leave 300 on the
Table that’s not the end of the world do we have a tight end that we like better for 3,800 no I like I feel good about Everett okay we could downgrade Everett to CW but I mean yeah yeah ever look um what about what yeah we could do CH to
Brandon Powell but I kind of like CH yeah I mean we could just leave it like this there there no reason we need to upgrade when we’re 300 away this work for you all right yeah uh oh we do have yeah we have the the bring back so we’ve got Tyrod Taylor
Here with Darius Leon we have kyen Williams is the bring back in that one we have your Niners player in Christian mcaffry in this one along with Tyreek Hill so we have all three of the studs we’ve got DJ char against Jacksonville Gerald Everett against Denver zamir
White against the Colts and then the Patriots defense going up against Josh Allen I think it’s strong I think it is a strong lineup I don’t I don’t mind leaving 300 on the table even though it feels like an incomplete puzzle uh you know there there’s nothing wrong with
Leaving some salary on the table all right let’s do another lineup Scott and this one why don’t you build out like the the core to it why don’t you tell me where you want to start with this lineup uh and then we can build from there um Brock pie Debo Samuel George
KD we could we could do IU consider a KD but let’s start here and see if we if we want to change later does that make sense you know let’s put auk in there too and then we want to do a fullon iuk with KD
Also ye yeah but I don’t think I don’t think we’re going to stick with it I see we’re going to start here and then we’ll adjust based on how much salaries left over take some out later all right defense Curtis Samuel oh you want to put Curtis Samuel okay for the BR back
Yep Sam how is addicted to slots got it um zamir white 4400 left for player should we fill in a defense and then we can see what we have left Patriots Zack shanet Zack shanet so are you uh would you would you take sharan out if we get
Kenneth Walker in yeah for sure I’ll take take that out okay just uh and then uh and then I don’t know Zeke for the stack so we have 300 left over once again all right so fullon new your game sack this is like a good core right um
But let’s say let’s say this is a little it’s a little too much let’s take out one 49ers player and oh we got the news that that Walker’s gonna play so we got to take out sharan a too all right got him take out
Auk got it and let’s take out Zeke who I don’t I don’t know as a must okay so we’re sticking with the core game stack of py with Samuel and KD with uh Sam other Samuel as a bring back let’s try let’s try kirn all right throwing Kiron in
There still have 4800 left per player with one wide receiver and one Flex we’ve done a lot of dorch or may maybe we just did the one dorch lineup um we could go back there was a cheap option Demarcus Robinson Brandon Powell or was it uh Brandon Johnson is who you
Like yeah what about Slayton or did you just say we have too much of him I just want to see what he gets you he gets you Zeke again I think right so you could do that what about um what about what about likely in the
Flex what does that do how much is he can you click on just click on tight end scroll down yeah you just want to see that like the cheapest no I just wanted to see where where U where angram was versus likely and where oh yeah angram is expensive
Ingram’s up at 5700 yeah yeah um I still kind of like him as the wide receiver one from that game though all right click out of Slayton out of likely or no yeah I think I liked I think I like the slate and Z combo the
Best okay but but but you take over you take over um all right well so is that the exact combo that worked I feel like there was something that we we almost landed on a lineup That Could Have fit Trey McBride I’m forgetting where it was
Exactly it was before it was before we put Kiron in there we had ah never mind okay um well let me let me see what happens if I put Tre McBride into the flex I might be wrong about this oh yeah then we had 3700 I don’t know might might have been
A couple iterations ago so maybe we’ve uh adjusted too much well this one fits Char perfect true how do you feel about that so we got the the game sack with pie Debo KD and Curtis Samuel as the runback got zamir white Kiren Williams DJ char Trey McBride and the flex and Patriots
Defense yeah I like it does that work yeah these are a lot of the the teams I I seem to be building I mean it looks like a strong lineup to me man DJ CH getting it done at the worst possible time um how did how did
Papa Gates play him on 10% of his Millie lineups last week did he really I missed that the guy the guy was averaging 1.7 fantasy points per game over the last 10 weeks crazy uh malakar uh sadly we do not do FanDuel on on the show um I yeah sorry
I’m not I’m not prepared to to build a FanDuel lineup haven’t really looked at the the pricing um I mean obviously a lot of what we talk about on the show is also relevant to FanDuel because we’re largely just talking about like the trends and stuff within teams but um I
Have not even looked at the FanDuel slate so I don’t think we are prepared to do that uh and and Scott as a former FanDuel employ uh is disgruntled and and hates them no no they did they did fire me and John Proctor though back in the day
Technically many years ago many years ago right yeah yeah uh I we wrote for number fire and then they bought number fire and then we tweeted out something critical of Fant got fire that’s funny that’s great um all right uh do you do you want to do one more should we should
We close up the show do you have any other like lineups that you feel like you want to build on the stream or we have we done the the core lineups that we had interested I’m I’m good if you want to squeeze in another one we can
Then let’s squeeze in one more just for because it’s fun we don’t have that many shows left this year unfortunately I know this being week 17 so let’s do one more let’s take down the Millie this week how about okay um so let’s do a balanced balanced
Build with with two of of The Big Three two of The Big Three all right um so my favorite of the three are the two running backs personally but uh let’s do that you could say Tyreek is not fully healthy you know not not an amazing
Matchup I think that’s I I I I tend to I think just over overweight matchup and to me it’s just like Baltimore is so scary that I I don’t like it but then it’s like tyer Hill is gonna end up getting 15 catches and probably house
One so um all right uh we’ll start we’ll start with the running backs though and then we will build from there I also think that there’s a number of wide receivers who are kind of interesting on the Slate now let’s see which which are the wide receivers that you are on so
You don’t love Noah Brown uh we’re probably not gonna be able to do that I was thinking about doing a CJ Stroud stack but I don’t think that’s going to work with both of these um so we’re gonna have to go a little bit more balanced at wide receiver let’s build
Out the wide receivers and then see which quarterback or if a quarterback really makes sense with our receivers um you said balance and I was just about to say well why don’t we do uh do a brace young stack that’s not really the the balance type of Stack let’s see uh Debo Nico
Olave We’re not gonna have the salary we only have 45 85 left no I’m not saying all three of those guys but I’d want at least one Debo Nico olve Rashi rice up there Pitman up there um all right let’s start with well who’s the cheapest Debo Niko olava is only 6,800
You maybe after you talked about how Derek Carr is not your guy maybe we’ll have to end up playing him because we won’t have the salary for anybody else you’re right you’re right um um is there a bring back there that that makes sense for for you I think all those guys are
Kind of expensive for Tampa yeah I mean I’d love to play um Mike Evans but he’s 7,800 what is Godwin Godwin down at 6100 um we also I mean I would say would love to put Rashad white in there but he’s also pretty expensive probably not going to
Work so we could try doing Godwin I don’t know let’s do um let’s do zamir and let’s do Patriots defense and Everett to kind of figure this out yep that makes sense how how much is Schultz again 4200 40 I want to say 47 but let’s see uh no 43 interesting we could
Do if you didn’t have concerns about Noah Brown being banged up we could try doing Schult a Noah brown but with stoud I mean that’s interesting I don’t know we’re actually G to have the salary for it let’s let’s see if we did if we come close
Yeah 3250 left per player it’s not going to work um could take o out of there and go to another cheap receiver what would you think of that if we if we try replace olve with Noah Brown um and then we would have 4,100 left per
Receiver what do you think of that yeah I don’t really love it okay all right let’s let’s undo stoud Brown uh and see what we can do from there all right so we had olve in there so we’re going to need a cheap I mean we could go back to another Tyrod
Stack Tyrod to Slayton yeah I don’t know maybe we just killed this lineup this one’s tough you don’t like this lineup you don’t like the way it’s coming together well let’s see let’s see uh let’s let’s drop back down from Schultz you want to go crawl oh crawl
That’s interesting yeah let’s give it a shot I like the name too it’s just a good strong like guy you want to cheer for crawl sounds like a villain yeah you’re right um all right so let’s cheap wide receivers who do we want to throw I mean do do we could do
Go to with uh stum with coll we could we do Levis Levis and put Hopkins in there yeah can we fit that probably yeah now we have 3,900 left over could we could switch zamir white to um Schultz if we wanted to as a run
Back don’t have to yeah can you can you click on Collins and we maybe we’ll just take out one of the the big two running backs okay where are you there we are all right so now we’re 3,300 over uh if we took out mcaffrey we would not have any
Running backs here um yeah sorry we would not have any um Niners in the lineup all right take it take out Kiren I’m G to move zamir white up to the running back slot yeah take out craw take out crawl um Schultz good call now also go
Cono well we have 35 con might is he 3500 uh Everett oh Gerald Everett is that’s good point or dorge we’ve got some good options at 3500 yeah we got some really good cheap options here Hyatt uh so who do you like we got Slayton I feel like we’ve done Slayton a
Couple times already yeah we’ve done ever a couple times um could go dorch uh you don’t really like Michael Wilson let’s see yeah I like dorge I I like that trayon burk’s double stack I don’t know I’m like the world’s biggest trayon Burks hater I know I know
That about you that’s true um all right should we just go dorch yeah all right where’s oh yeah oh CH is 3600 where are you dorch missing oh he’s 42 oh damn duh all right so we yeah that was uh so we had we had
Shark in that range we also had slate is 36 oh really so it’s Slayton at so I there are few Slayton Gerald we drop we could drop down from Patriots we have one option down below being the commanders against San Francisco I mean brck just threw four interceptions last game
Right uh we could do that do you want to do that and then we we still let’s just go break the slate and and hope he does it all right break the Slayton for us I like it boom all right I like it that that looks like a strong lineup just a single
Stack will L us to DeAndre Hopkins then we’ve got niik Collins and Dalton Schultz from Houston got mcaffrey zamir white Chris olve Darius Slayton and Patriots defense rounding out the lineup looks good all right that is going to do it that is our final lineup for the show
Apologies to malach car and the FanDuel lovers out there uh couldn’t do it um Scott how you feeling how you feeling now after after two hours on the show I’m feeling good my my headache’s gone but now I have to pee really bad so all
Right well we are going to wrap it up so scottt can go pee I got my NBA live before lck coming up uh by the way I think we emac really wants to briefly touch on the Saturday Night Football slate too so if you want some coverage
Of that emac and I will be talking about that as well thank you all very much for watching go find the links in the description of this video to whichever tools you want to check out both stochastic and fantasy points good luck this weekend
13 Comments
What's scott's sneaky QB?
Thank you for all your hard work guys! (Especially when you’re really sick Scott)
Dude just dont do this if you don't want to share your thoughts….
I bet it’s stidham
Great show!
Kelce works for Big Pharma now.
It’s Will Levis
mystery QB coming from the LAC and DEN game for sure
His secret QB has to be Bryce Young. Cheap stack with Thielen/Chark. Could easily fit at least 2 of the 3 big plays he was talking about. Great matchup as well. Makes too much sense
Edit: For his sake I hope it wasn’t.
This whole show feels cloudy and about half value today. Don’t brag about a great play and not talk about it.
After watching the video after the fact, gotta think the mystery QB is Stidham. Sutton ruled out, Scott mentioned Krull at TE, had all his measureables. Stack Stidham with Jeudy and Krull….
Do remember that Scott has subscribers and he isn’t going to give away all his plays behind the paywall. I would be angry if I paid and he did. it’s a fine balance he needs to maintain.
Well, that analysis shit the bed…