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BELICHICK OUT IN NEW ENGLAND AND HANK IS SAD, NICK SABAN TALK + SUPER WILD CARD PREVIEW



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00:00 Intro
03:06 Head Coach Frenzy
33:27 Browns vs Texans Preview
42:44 Dolphins vs Chiefs Preview
52:09 Steelers vs Bills Preview
58:13 Packers vs Cowboys Preview
01:06:23 Rams vs Lions Preview
01:14:26 Andy Staples
01:47:23 Aaron Schatz
02:19:51 Fyre Fest Of The Week

Bill Belichick is out in New England and Hank is sad. We talk about the exit, his legacy and where he’ll go next. We also talk about the wild 2 days that saw Pete Carroll, Nick Saban, and Belichick all leave their jobs. Super Wild Card Weekend picks and preview for every game Saturday and Sunday. Andy Staples joins the show to talk about Nick Saban’s retirement, best Nick Saban memories, and who’s going to take the job next. Aaron Schatz from FTN Fantasy joins the show to talk about DVOA, which he invented, and how it applies to teams in the playoffs. Weaknesses and strengths for every team and who he thinks is over achieving and under achieving. We then finish with Fyre Fest of the week 

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Is she going to be there I don’t know assume so I mean we had this whole breakdown the other day yeah about the network okay Jake do you know that uh the box is another word for vagina yes okay all right all right going along with the J not going to make those

Actual jokes I didn’t know I didn’t know wait what I thought we were talking about sweets I was okay you guys weren’t all right on today’s part of my take we have a packed packed show all of the coaches have been fired or retired so we’re going to talk about Bill bellich

Pete Carroll we have Andy Staples on to talk about Nick Sabin who’s going to get that job his legacy why he was the best college football coach of all time we also have a great interview with Aaron shatz the inventor of dvoa we finally

Got to the bottom of what dvoa is and he talked about the playoff picture what teams he thinks are overperforming underperforming what units he should you should be uh looking out for especially when you’re betting this week weekend we’re going to preview every game and then we’ll finish with firefest it is a

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Not a lot to do it’s that was shocking the fact that it happened bang bang bang it was Pete Caroll uh last time we talked to you guys was on Wednesday but P Carol got fired on Wednesday morning Nick Sabin retired Wednesday night bill bellich got fired on Thursday morning

Just these things happen in threes three of well Nick sav’s the best college coach of all time yes bill belich is the best NFL coach of all time yes and Pete Carol is probably a top 15 football coach of all time maybe even top 10 I’d say maybe he’s probably top 20 college

Coach of all time and top 20 NFL coach of all time he’s best duel he’s 14 all time in NFL wins he’s got two national titles in college football yeah I would say if you like put it all together Pete Carroll has an argument for being a top

10 football coach of all time yeah and Ron Rivera Fire that’s Mount Rushmore of coaches right there I’ll tell you what so Henry Hank was getting uh on us PFT because he thought that the fake news media ourselves Mike Florio as we’ve been reporting consistently all year reporting consistently he was like well

Black Monday happened and Bill welek still the coach of the New England Patriots and he was kind of needling us like hey you guys are wrong I’m not going to ask k for an apology but I it wouldn’t hurt to say you were right yeah

Just once no I was just all I did was ask when it was going to happen you guys didn’t have an answer for me well we we said Thursday morning I think we don’t know the predictions we said at some point this week yeah I I I got to say

When I woke up in the morning on Thursday morning I get up at 6:30 in the morning and I there was I think he got fired at like like 7 in the morning on Eastern Standard Time uh I saw it and then I just sat and looked at my phone

Waiting for Hank to wake up yeah notific wake up he has to wake up yeah uh what does belich do now I was just asking Jake before he started taping the show does he does he have to go for interviews do you bring bill bich in and

Be like so describe to me your coaching flot like what does Bill bich have to prove is it just like some owner calls him up he like hey congrats you’ve got the job if you want it yeah some owner calls him up is like hey Bill we want to

Bring you in uh and he’s like all right do I have full control he’s like yep you got full control or if he even has to go to an interview he just wears all six of his rings and they’re like oh that’s nice yeah bring your resume with you

Bill I’d like you to print out your CV and have it on our desk yeah but but the real story is Henry yeah our our Dear Henry well no we want people want to hear from you you don’t remember a time when belich wasn’t your head coach no I

Don’t uh I do not I was what I think 8 years old when they won in 2001 so I don’t remember anything before I barely remember that season to be honest so it’s it’s very very sad my my childhood is over which is appropriate cuz I’m 30

Um greatest coach of all time greatest run in sports history and it’s over here’s here’s a fun stat I got from Adam schfer um since the Patriots hired bich in 2000 the other 31 teams have used 162 head coaches in 224 total coaching stance that’s crazy that’s nuts

It’s I mean it’s an insane run of Excellence I actually Hank can I make you feel a little bit better please I actually think this was a good time for it to happen because he had this year that was bad right last year what did they finish they finished like eight not great

Either it wasn’t great but it was like a competitive is year uh if you had kept Bill bich and he had done one more really bad year then it’s the memories start to sour a little bit whereas now yeah there was four or five years after

Tom Brady but I think that those like four or five years kind of wash away as the time goes by and it’s like we just remember you know the the wins and the Super Bowls and the six Super Bowls so in a weird way I think you should be

Happy because it could have gotten worse and then it would have been like what is going on here yeah yeah that’s fair and yeah you always remember the good times the greatest times greatest times we’ ever had where where because of Bill Bel because of Tom Brady because of the

Patriots I will always love him I’ll always appreciate him he’s probably you know him and the Patriots organization and that run has probably ruined my perception of football people always get mad at me like you don’t know what ball you don’t know the draft that’s because of Bill belich and the Patriots always

Being in contention always expecting Excellence always you know the season doesn’t start till right now that’s over I’m going to have to deal with a new coach new GM I’m going to have to actually start paying attention to the offseason stuff and and all that and it’s

I’m not looking forward to it I’m I’m I’ve been trained to expect AFC championship Super Bowl at the minimum right yeah and I’m not ready to you know go back to being a normal person he kind of ruined football for you in a way Yeah

Just they were so good for so long that I now just have to like and it’s also weird it’s like a it’s like a stepmom situation like whoever comes in stuck somewhere no it’s like whoever whoever comes in like how you know are you ever really going to love them well what if

It’s would you rather be Jared mayo or Mike Vel I would like it to be a former player I I the Vel one like I and I could be way off base here but I I think Vel is fun to say and I like I love Vel

He’s a great guest on this show fun the name is fun to say no it’s fun to say like we want Vel and I was saying it today like I want Vel I don’t know that like he’s as tight with the organization as uh people might

Think they just put him in the Ring of Honor though a couple and inside source told me um that inside source being Will Compton who was here in the office today that maybe Rabel going back to New England for the Ring of Honor might have

Had the Titans be like huh maybe he just wants to go back there well that was a report that came out today oh okay so will just told me that yeah he read the report and then he said Hey Big Cat this is what I’m hearing yeah um yeah

Apparently when he went back there and he said so many glowing things about the Patriots organization he was saying like this is don’t take this for granted because not every place is like this he went back to Tennessee and Amy Adam Strunk was like why’d you say all that

Stuff yeah what’s going on you like them more than you like me and he’s like yeah probably and who would blame him for that so it feels like I would absolutely love reel yeah it feels like he’s got the love for the Patriots so why wouldn’t would you rather him or Jared

Mayo because there was the argument could be made like there was a lot of smoke this year a lot of smoke about the coaching staff and guys not getting along Jared Mayo was part of that coaching staff I would rather reel referring guest friend of the program

He’s proven it proven it yeah Super Bowl champion obviously Mayo is too but I would I’d rather vable just proclivity to the show so okay good use of that word yeah good good use proclivity it’s funny that you said that was it uh kind of yeah proximity is what you’re looking

For yeah proclivity yeah we we know what you meant yeah it’s funny that you said like if he had stuck around another year because that is the ultimate bellich way right fire a guy one year too soon rather than one year too late and this

Year was bad but again I think that what if you as long as you don’t Stack Up like five six bad years the memory will fade away and you’ll just be like oh yeah yeah that Bailey zappy year that was weird and you won’t even like really

Remember it how do you hire GM um interiew inter what like what you talk to Ernie Cory he says he he recommends Bill poon Bill poon then recommends like one of his fail Sons that’s gonna be GM done getting like deal dealing with a new coach and

New GM well if it’s Rael unheard of he might be the GM too really I don’t know he’s he wanted more control in Tennessee I don’t know that they give him complete control I feel like craft is going to want a GM and a head coach to be

Separate right now unless it’s a guy like Mike Rabel who he trusts who’s part of his family that’s a different you know situation you think do you think that craft is gonna like belich do you think belich is gonna have a say in the new head coach no he’s got fired what do

You mean Hank but they it was you’re you’re in denial right now he’s no longer part of the organization what they said bye to him it’s not like Nick Sabin Nick Sabin will have a say in the he probably gave them a list of names he’s gon off in the facility yeah yeah

Because he retied bill bich got fired he doesn’t it was a mutual parting of ways but okay wait hold on but like him him and hold on no but but okay it was a mutual Bel probably wants mayo because that but but it was a mutual parting of

Ways do you think Bill belich wants to go find a new job do you think Bill Bel didn’t want to stay where he’s been and won six super Super Bowls cuz I I would imagine he probably wanted to stay yeah of course okay all right that was that

Was a dumb question I just thought you know him and him and craft are super super close obviously again like but they both know Bel is is aware of how bad things have gone and he’s like yeah probably time to you know mix it up but

You should go with J may I he probably gave him a suggestion I just don’t know if CRA would be like yeah I’m just going to take whatever you say think I didn’t ask if he’s going does he have a say he does not have a say bich the GM was the

Worst part of bich and now you want bich the GM to hire the next head coach I’m not saying hiring my question was does he have a say I don’t think so what you gonna say Max I think that there’s a chance he did want to leave really I

Think that he might be at a point where he doesn’t want to do a rebuilding coaching team and he wants to go to a a place that has guys he doesn’t want to fix his said it was Mutual yeah I think there’s a chance that like he’s like I’m

Too old to go through a rebuild and get back to winning Super Bowls I need to go to a place where I can win superl like that and if he was like if mayo and my son around like I’ll hold on but think his son is staying around hold on wait

Back up for a sec I don’t think so I I think it was all Bells out if that is true max like Bill bich will not get as much control anywhere El else than what he had in New England well I think regardless they like they were taking

Away the GM right but he but he he he would always still have more control than the GM if they hired a GM because he’s Bill bich true like that is his place he he he six six Super Bowls like I maybe there’s a world where he was

Like I wanted to leave but I feel like you wouldn’t want to leave a place where you have the Run of it but I’m looking at it like if the we’ll get into the rumors I I assume but like if the Cowboys are on the table I think

That there’s a chance that he like that could be a mutual parting of ways if he’s talked to Jerry Jones and been like and was like I can take over this Cowboys roster now rather than go to the Patriots but he wouldn’t have any control yeah but I I think that he might

Just be like I he may be willing to go to a give that up for a a team that could win now I I think he can probably see some Silver Linings to it but I don’t think there’s any possible chance that was like nothing in life is totally

Mutual right no there’s no way that like I yeah PFD is exactly right like I bet you bill boek today or you know when he wakes up he’s like you know what this might not be a bad thing but there’s he wanted and especially like he’s a

Historian of the game you don’t think he wanted to break the record with the Patriots the team that he made his entire career there like he definitely wanted to stay sure uh but there’s there’s some silver linings for him especially if you’re right if he can go

Find a roster that’s ready to go right now and and win a shitload of games cuz like he probably there’s a part of Bill belich is like I kind of need to win another Super Bowl so that we’re even on the Tom Brady one yeah it’s the Brady

Effect so there there a number of teams that are interested right now I I just like to say on behalf of the commanders I don’t think I’m interested any longer bill belich because now that he doesn’t have a team it’s like uh do I really do

I really want that like he was way more attractive as a candidate when he had a job now it’s like oh this unemployed guy wants to work for me so I’m more interested in other other people but what is Shan hit rate on photoshops you

Forced him to do no I’m just saying like at the time there was a material change the material change was he got fired I don’t want a fired coach I don’t want a re a retread like belich um be a wash out yeah wash out we’ll Circle back to

That come on it’s the same like six guys that keep getting highed in the NFL they never do anything good I don’t want belich but you want more like a strong silent type like Ron Rivera or uh or or Mike Vel like a guy that you know you

Know he can coach so when it comes to um the teams that that are looking at belich I know that the Falcons are looking at him yeah which would be very funny and I I did put out my worst case scenario because I do think that belich

Would go to the Falcons the Bears would trade Justin fields to him belich win a Super Bowl with Justin Fields it’s possibility they got a good roster yeah uh the Chargers that’s another option for him and then there’s a mystery team that’s still in the playoffs I love a

Good mystery team and I’ve got I have three candidates for the mystery team okay and two of them would be great for the show yes uh the Dallas Cowboys yes if if Mike McCarthy loses in in the first maybe even in the second game if they get their ass kicked in uh

In the divisional round I could see Jerry Jones being like we got to make a chance we got to make a change bich che’s out here and just having that for Hank I would really I think that would take the sting out of it do you think do

You think because it doesn’t on paper make any sense because Jerry Jones that is it’s his show like Bill belich doesn’t seem like the type of guy who wants his owner doing radio hits talking about his coaching job every single week that doesn’t make sense do you think

There’s maybe a chance like belich and Jimmy Jon Johnson are are friends I think do you think maybe Jimmy Johnson was like hey you know what Jerry Jones isn’t that bad of a guy he’s gotten better I’m in the Ring of Honor he’s gotten a lot better recently so maybe he

Has a change of heart that one would be weird to me just because of the power and Jerry Jones has shown it doesn’t matter that it’s Bill bellich it’s Jerry Jones team yeah and and I think if it was the Cowboys um bellich you know Jerry Jones has said publicly like I

Want to win another Super Bowl before I die he’s thinking about death all the time right like any second Jerry thinks he could die so he wants to get maybe a new head coach in there if Mike McCarthy can’t get the job done so that’s option

One option two which would be great for the show is the Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia max if they fire serani I would love to see that I would love for you to get for you to get Hanks leader I would love that Max yeah um I’m worried about the playoffs right now uh it’s

It’s about winning on Monday night but it’s not a must-win though I thought yeah I thought you’ve already given up on the playoffs yeah no spoiler um but favorites if bill bich came to the no everything I’ve seen is that no one in Philadelphia wants Bill belt yeah

Would you want it for football reasons cuz I actually would not want him on the command football I want him strictly to troll Hank I want I would I may I am I’ve convinced myself for football reasons yes but I think that is fueled

By H wait hold on time out time out what do you mean you wouldn’t want him for football he’s the best coach of all time I want him for football reasons yeah you you already have a roster so that that’s kind of what I was saying he’ll go find

Like he’ll go find like a fifth round you know linebacker like a Mike Vel and just be like oh he’s the best player now when I was talking earlier I was saying Cowboys but I was really thinking Eagles because like I think if Bill bellich had that roster it would be a whole

Different ball game yeah honestly if you went to a team like the Eagles or the Cowboys it would make way more sense than go to the commanders which is a multi-year rebuild right it’ be great for just entertainment in general the Eagles roster is getting older like the

Window is short uh so it’s like I’m all right having an Old Coach who’s going to come in and be like we’re going to win and we’re going to win right now while the while our window is still available we’re going to go win so the the third

Mystery team I think might be the Bucks yeah I agree I think it could be the bucks he might be doing it might be the bellich bowl Monday night yeah yeah winner advances loser gets the go bich yeah yeah which would you rather Max would you rather win game lose next

Round or lose this game and get bich I win I want to win so you don’t want but if you’re guaranteed next round’s window yeah the window’s closing dude dud when Jaylen Herz might make too much money for bich that might be a sticking issue the other one that would

Be very interesting but would never in a million years happen because Kevin stansky might win coach of the year but just doing the Full Circle Browns get him and Sabin back there that would be hilarious like and he is a he is a historian of the game MH like but he

Hates them what do he hate them that’s different owner yeah because they moved to Baltimore yeah yeah so Hank oh they’re their their current owners a douchebag too but yeah yeah Jimmy Hassen yeah he defrauded like yeah tens of millions of dollars from truckers uh Hank I want to get a little sentimental

Is that okay please what is your favorite Bill bich memory where do you begin I mean mine was when he didn’t high five those kids at the Lions game oh yeah that was the best mine was all the cheating I me oh wait are you going are

You back to Commander PFT yeah okay yeah okay the Cincinnati press conference and just how that you know catapulted the season that was a Super Bowl winning season that was a great press conference great moment anytime he threw a challenge flag every press conference like that

Was you know I don’t watch I I still would watch the press conference is Monday morning like Periscope tune in Bel belich press conference like laugh out loud funny all the answers snap face the way he would play dumb and just not give anyone anything but he knew what he

Was doing he was doing it intentionally and then he would open up randomly about like a punter you’d ask a question about punting and he talked for five minutes about formations and and plays from the 1950s all the Super Bowls the PF you tweeted PFT the the taking the time off

The clock against the Jets like just when he would do the little he would when he would prove like his vast vastly Superior knowledge of the game of football just just for fun just to prove it the drop kick Doug fluty like just to do a drop kick because it was like a

Cool moment in a football thing there’s a lot yeah when he would put like a when he got mad when he got uh he they poured the Gatorade ice bath on him and he got furiously mad yeah that was hilarious cuz his dad was right there I’m not bringing this up just to

Mention Hernandez but that one season when they didn’t really have any running backs and he’s like I’m just going to turn my tight end into a running back and it worked and it was awesome like uh the Danny Woodhead years were incredible when he did that time traveling thing

Against the Jets it was so funny because you got to see belich on one sideline then Adam gase on the other and he bullied Adam gase into draining 40 seconds off the clock and Adam gase just sat there like a helpless puppy and the smirk that crept over belich che’s face

On the sidelines was so Priceless like I know the rules more than anyone else in the world yeah the uh also anytime it got anytime it got cold yeah like when he when he would just bundle up and just look so miserable he yeah I mean he’s a

Like the the the sadness of uh the the last day in a half is like Sabin bich Pete Carroll are alltime like character fodder for when we watch football yeah like they are the three of them like you know their antics you know like the style they have you can depend on them

So yeah it’s changed he was a fan of Barcelo his sons are you know big fans of Barcelo met them a bunch of times over the year never got to meet Bill but uh like he probably knows who you are they were they were you know obviously

Part of a huge huge bill bich none of us are probably sitting here if it’s not for Bill belich you could make that argument easily I would say maybe Tom Brady who you give more credit to belich okay really players make plays players make plays but like

Like 2001 that was that was bich yeah I mean it’s true bar stool doesn’t exist without they the Rams like Jack and and Brady yeah the I mean obviously it’s Brady too but I it’s it’s I don’t I don’t think it’s one or the other it’s

Not one or the other there’s it’s a chicken in the egg situation what if he goes to one of these rosters that are really good and again doesn’t do well oh do you still say it’s bich over Brady oh good question Maxwell that would that would probably change things I don’t I

Don’t if it’s belich over Brady it’s still close but I I do think I I think it’s it’s both but I think the the Tom Brady prime years they lost two of those Super Bowls yeah they also won a bunch I know but I’m saying like 2001 you can you can

You know obviously Tom Brady made that fourth quarter drive but it was like the defense that won that Championship but then Brady has one without him no I know I know I’m just saying it’s not like I don’t I think it’s if it’s it’s 514 whoever you want to call it it’s it’s

Not it’s not uh one or the other so you would say that bill bich as Batman is undefeated in Super Bowls Tom Brady as Batman has no I’m just saying like people that want to say oh just because Brady won1 it’s definitively Brady but when Brady was playing his best football

18 and0 like he was the MVP they still lost those Super Bowls I don’t know if that helps your argument but I do agree like it’s the answer that no one wants to hear because in sports talk like everyone wants to be like well

It’s one or the other you got to pick a side you’re I mean you’re right that it’s both of them they both need each other they both said that yeah you need the other you Brady’s never Brady without belich belich che’s never belich without Brady that’s a fact so um where

Do you want him to go Hank Dallas okay you would become so much more of a Cowboys oh yeah I’d be bigger Cowboy I I said it I said it on the show as it happened with the Bucks like I’m rooting for the I’m rooting for the Patriots

First bucks second the only way I’m not roting for the bucks is if they play the Patriots in the Super Bowl which obviously didn’t happen but I was a huge Bucs Fan I’m a huge Tom Brady fan was rooting for the bucks in every game that he played except for last year against

Dallas um but if he goes to Dallas I’m going to be the biggest Cowboys fan even bigger than I am now okay well it’s going to be exciting to see where he goes because it’ll be funny just seeing him in different colors like that alone will be just Atlanta would suck it also

I have a I have a feeling this is not an Atlanta guy it’s not really Dallas guy I don’t know if it’s this might not be what happens but I have a feeling belich might lighten up a little with his new team like he might just a little little

Bit he’s still going to be bellich check if he goes to a warm weather place he might lighten up just a little bit if he goes to Philly I don’t think he will yeah probably not yeah I’ll probably get harder than Phil he’s not going to

Philly I hope he goes to Philly now if he goes to pH I think the charger as of now the charger my what would you do if he went to Philly I would love it it so much you would be everything I just said

I would not apply if he goes what if he goes to Philly and you guys wi super what if he goes to Philly and wins multiple and Max happy it’s your fault we would blame you for Max’s happiness you shouldn’t have kicked him out no but Philly fans are scumbags they would not

Appreciate him they would treat him like a piece of [ __ ] like it would not it would be if he started winning football games oh man it would be so great like just seeing all for this show belich to the Eagles and the Eagles starting hot

And then having like a tail off and Max starts blaming bich and Hank starts blaming Max and it’s just sign me up if looking at chess we might have to do a spin-off PMT CLE corn we just we just do Max and Hank if we’re looking at talking

Bich at chess pieces cuz bellich loves that he coached Lawrence Taylor yeah he loves that he coached Tom Brady what’s what’s the one player out there on a team that might be available that could make a guy like belich be like I want to coach that guy it might be Michel

Parsons Michael Parsons or Max Crosby Max cros get build to Vegas yeah why not Bosa TJ watt TJ oh to to pittsbur that would be weird if he went to Pittsburgh that would that would fit though I don’t think that they would hire him in Pittsburgh because belich is what 70

Years old like Pittsburgh they have to keep their they’re contractually obligated to keep their coach for at least 15 years you can’t really hire a 70y old I actually think the more I think about it the interview is probably just going to go um hey Bill we’d like

For you to coach here are you going to bring your son with you will he do the licking thing yeah is your son going to be working on the sidelines yeah well uh either way I’m excited to see what happens what transpires for both Hank your Patriots and where bich

Ends up uh we should talk briefly about Pete Carroll Pete Carroll fired um that I I alluded to it on Sunday a lot of people online were like that’s crazy but it felt like the Seahawks have like if you look at it they’ve kind of been the

Same team the last five years like a little bit of success but also maybe underachieving most years uh do we think there was also a weird report that uh maybe it had something to do with them smoking cigars in the locker room after the Cardinals game so

But that was actually because one of the players had had a baby and he had saved them but either way Pete Carol like I just I that’s not like Pete Carol’s a bad coach he got fired it’s just he’s 72 and the Seahawks are like we’re kind of

Doing the same thing every year even the last few Russell Wilson years where it’s like competitive is maybe make the playoffs but never really be a Super Bowl Contender uh do you think Pete Carroll still wants to coach I don’t think so so it sounds like he’s going to

Remain maybe in in the Seahawks organization if he wants to as I don’t know probably not GM but like advisor yeah conary yeah he’s the hand of Paul Allen yeah yeah okay that makes sense I mean Pete Carrol alltime coach and if he won that I think he would be a slam dunk

Top 10 football coach if he had won that Super Bowl uh that they lost the Patriots yes yeah he was he was one hand off away yeah and he was yeah an incredible college coach incredible uh NFL coach uh also a guy that like I feel

Like he’s at the top of the list of guys you’d want to play for yeah he also he ages in Reverse so it wouldn’t shock me if he just if his hair turned darker after he got out of the game a little bit more tan looked another 10 years

Younger like Pete Carroll is he does not look as old as he is but then you look at you know if you’re a team like the Seahawks you’re probably not going to be great next year yeah maybe not great the year it’s it’s going to be a process to

Get back to being an elite team decent roster that’s the thing do they want they don’t want like an older guy leading that rebuild right he also now can go spend more time with his twin it’s true right he’s gonna find him first or he’ll get to the bottom of the

911 investigation yes one or the other really what he’s up to um so we are going to talk about Nick Sabin with Andy Staples we we have him on talking about Nick Sabin everything uh that’s going on in Alabama who’s going to be coaching their next I I had one thing that I

Forgot to bring up about Nick Sabin the stat that’s crazy Nick Sabin it’s not just the national titles it’s the fact that he literally never had a down year he had one year in 2010 where he lost three games with Alabama uh besides obviously his first year so from 2008 to

2023 he had one single year that he lost three games that’s crazy in a college football with 18-year-old kids to only have one year where you could be like oh that’s down Year and that also was the year that they lost to Cam Newton the iron ball with that crazy comeback by

Cam Newton so it’s like they didn’t really Sabin always just beat everyone he was supposed to beat and then like once or twice every couple years there’d be a team good enough to beat him yeah the best college football coach of all time I want to play this call not even close

That happened today on the Paul fine bomb show so um Paul fine bomb has the best callers in the business um they started talking about replacements for Nick Savin and they started tossing a few names out there Paul fine bomb mentioned dbos swinny as being a name

That could come to town this is Legend that’s his name this is Legend from Alabama calling him and his reaction is perfect if it’s Sweeny I’m pouring gasoline on myself and set myself on fire on the 50 yard line you can guarantee it if it’s dbo Sweeney I’m

Pulling my arm off and taking that contract fracture and beating the hell out of myself no damn D do you hear me that’s from the Alabama Nation get it right you’ll be judged on this one right here brother you’ll be judged on on this one right here man Paul I don’t know

Brother I don’t know y’all pray for me pray for me help me Jas I like that he slipped into a little like Hulk Hogan there just dropping some brothers yeah come on brother Paul come on PA pray for me brother no damn Dabo break my own arm beat myself in my own

Compound fracture paile yeah oh I mean yeah Dabo like we’re going to talk about with staples but like he Dabo would be is he was the guy for a while that everyone thought would be at Alabama but he has not adapted at all yeah I’m interested to know what what Sabin does

In retirement I kind of hope it’s Tommy Reese enough people you think you think they promote from within if there’s enough guy I mean Dan lenning obviously saying he’s staying if enough guys in that top three four and the buyout is not you know is the buyout too much I

Don’t know like we’ll see we’ll see that would be that would be a nightmare scenario a lot of pressure a lot of pressure not want that if I’m lot of pressure a lot of pressure uh okay should we get into Super Wild Card Weekend super Wild Card Weekend I am so

Excited for these games I’m so excited we have to again I have to remind everyone you have 13 Football games left and after this weekend it will be down to 7 so embrace it enjoy it there’s like Saturday can’t get here quick enough so so excited so let’s just do it let’s

Talk about these games we maybe give some picks thoughts uh you guys ready to dive in let’s do it all right Browns at Texans first game Saturday afternoon which is uh the perfect spot for the Texans Joe flacko he said uh what was his quote where he’s like we’re going to

Do something in the next five weeks that we’ll remember for the rest of our lives I think he said to his team okay um little presumptuous but that’s okay that sounds good I mean Joe FL we yeah we’ve said it before we know they’re the Browns their defense is Elite we know

Joe flaca was on the couch a month and a half ago but if there’s one guy one guy in the world that can make you feel like hey maybe the magical Run’s about to happen it’s Joe Flaco yeah he’s got a good record on the road in the playoffs

Yep seven and five uh Flaco is uh coming off the heels on Christmas Eve of dismantling the Texans defense y so you can say yeah CJ strad didn’t play in that matchup he didn’t play in that game pretty big factor but CJ strad also doesn’t Play Def he was Mari Cooper game

Yeah Zari Cooper game what do you have 265 yards receiving something like that um which it also you can make the argument that CJ stad not playing that game might work in the Browns favor in this game too because CJ hasn’t seen that defense yet Jim Jim is gonna he’s

Going to dial something up he’s gonna have some [ __ ] it’s going to be dialed up guys are going to pin their ears back guys will be flying around out there I’m trying to think of what other cliches I he’s gonna he’s going to do some [ __ ] CJ

Stroud’s never even dreamt of yeah he’s going to put I don’t know if he’s going to put him in hell because CJ Stroud seems like a good guy yeah but he’s going to put him in purgatory for a while he’s going to make him think and

Uh rookies don’t really win that much in the playoffs so obviously Brock P won last year in the playoffs before that you know the last rookie quarterback to win the playoffs it goes all the way back 11 years before that so Russell Wilson when he also beat another rookie

Quarterback RG3 in the playoffs but yeah it’s it’s 1735 and one a rookie quarterback against the spread a rookie quarterback going up against a quarterback that’s played in in in the playoffs and there’s four of them this weekend yeah it’s it’s CJ Str it’s Tua it’s Mason Rudolph it’s Jordan love yeah

So I I think I like the Browns this weekend I think the defense is the defense is Super Bowl caliber I I would agree with you um the thing that I keep thinking about the Texans uh obviously like they’ve finished the season strong uh tank Dell injury was huge but they’ve

They’ve still you know won the I think they finished what four- two I believe uh yeah or yeah four- two so they finished strong but the teams they played in that stretch um Indie Tennessee Denver Arizona those teams uh are bottom third of the league in defense the Cleveland Browns are very

Very good defensively I think there’s maybe a little like you might get into a point where it’s like as great as CJ Stout’s been this year this is a different animal this is a different beast and this is a team that’s that’s completely different uh than the teams

That they’ve been beating down the stretch one big question is Denzel Ward because he hurt himself in practice today yes so he hurt his knee in practice uh I saw a report that he was questionable for Saturday and then uh Ian raport came back and said that they

Think he’s going to play so I don’t know if he’s going to be 100% but that would be that’d be pretty significant for the Browns defense yeah so although theyve the Browns the one thing about the Browns is they are battle tested with injuries theyve played pretty much every

Every iteration of lineups this year on both offense and defense yeah they do next man up yeah I mean I mean it’s like Denzel Wards missed games I mean miles Garrett W didn’t miss games but he was hurt for a few games he’s been hurt yeah he’s he’s been hurt like their offensive

Line has missed you know all types of games like in terms of shuffling everyone around Nick chub Nick chub got injured like 10 years ago yeah so if there’s one team that you can be like all right well they could probably still still bounce back from injuries is

Probably the Browns I’m I’m very excited to see if the Browns happen to win two playoff games what H what goes on with the Deshawn Joe Flaco discourse are they going to be able to afford Jo FL I would like to do the discourse right now uh

Who would you rather have taking Flo as a human I’m taking Flaco even better human being than football player even better human being than deshun Watson’s as a human being DeShaun Watson way way better football player than human beings correct way better insanely a large gap maybe the biggest ratio one of the

Biggest ratios OJ well not guilty yeah Hernandez also not guilty because it was vacated after yeah you know yeah Darren Sharper Darren Sharper way better way better football player much better the tight end nerd nugget oh yeah murder guy Mur nugget well that was the offensive

Lineman um but in in today’s game I would say that deshun Watson has the biggest football to good guy ratio yes I would agree uh Henry rugs is he’s not in the league Aaron Rogers yeah oh yeah good point how many grandmothers has did

You guys see that we got in a good luck off oh with who uh so uh uh Tony Diggs who who is a former cooworker of our ours who we love uh who works on the Pat McAfee show tone digs tone Diggs well his name’s Tony um and he got in a good

Luck off with Klay Travis oh w i take the pat mackery show side on this uh who won I believe Clay did the last good luck so Tony did Tony won all right so Tony has the luck yeah yeah he yeah he he said uh yeah t Tony started saying

Like uh what was it uh good luck and then Klay Travis came back and was like good luck with your show and then Tony was like no you good luck Clay’s like no good luck I like that yeah good luck off has clay tweeted good luck or well played more frequently

Yeah he said uh you guys legit said he was done for the year yesterday now he’s suddenly back talking about Rogers which that wasn’t the case like I don’t know why people started conf Rogers I think does stops doing the Pat McAfee show after the season’s over and he like

Comes on every now and then and then like a bunch of reporters were like he got fired from the Pat McAfee show which was very bizarre and Clay took and took it and ran with that and was like oh man this is like McAfee went woke yeah they’re yeah they fired Aaron

Rogers so then mcafe in a good heel move brought Aaron Rogers on today okay I like that also it’s very interesting to see everybody that covers Sports media that hates Aaron Rogers do nothing but tune in the Aaron Rogers interviews and transcribe every second why are they

Giving this guy so much free attention meanwhile they’re literally tweeting out bar for bar everything that Aaron Rogers is saying lot of hand ringing yeah lot of lot of what what are we going to tell the children yeah shut the [ __ ] up It’s Entertainment shut up we we’ll get to

The uh Jason Whitlock Stephen A Smith in a little bit you fat bastard you fat bastard it’s It’s Entertainment guys uh so I kind of like the over in this game too okay good weather yes very good one yeah um I do too I I I I like the Browns

I like the Browns offense I like to Texans offense Brown’s defense obviously is is out of this world but I still think CJ Stout is going to get his well you just said really bum me out what cuz I love all the Dome overs and I realize it’s just because there’s no weather

There’s no weather yeah yeah cuz it’s such a contrast is NRG Stadium a dome it’s got It’s got a retractable roof right going roof closed indoors yeah it’s indoors okay no you just you said one line and it just like light bulb in my head hey you [ __ ] yeah

If it’s inside it’s over I might have to take the outdoor overs just to prove a point dude the outdoor I can lose money both indoors and Outdoors Outdoors the weather’s goingon to be crazy all right so you have a nerd nugget for us Jake yeah for the playoffs I actually uh

Researched one for each team if that’s cool with you guys so we’re doing two nerd nuggets we’re just going to do one for each game no no go ahead go give us the two for the Browns since Joe Flaco has taken over as Browns quarterback he

Has led Cleveland to a 4- in1 record as a starter and became the first player in NFL history to record at least 250 passing yards and two touchdown passes in his first five games with a team yeah cuz he’s Elite his [ __ ] Joe Flo that was a good that was a good nerd

Nugget because it was just Joe Flaco Elite also it is a retractable stadium in Houston yeah but but it’s going to be closed yeah yeah yeah and then for the Texans are the first team in NFL history to win their division with a rookie quarterback and a first year head coach

Uh C.J stra de or the fifth rookie QB and first year head coach Duo since the merger to make the playoffs do you guys know the last one rookie QB and first year head coach to make the playoffs there five there’s been five total rookie QB five and

Rookie head coach to make first year head coach first year head coach to make the playoffs Andrew Luck and uh who it was pag Chuck Pagan yeah also Chuck pag good that was good also o9 Mark Sanchez and Rex Ryan uh then two and 08 Matt Ryan

And Mike Smith and Joe flacko and John Harbaugh Mike Smith okay yeah I remember that guy Jesus yeah it was like he was like he Mike Smith was just creat a coach on Madden yeah he he looked like uh Phil leotard if Mike Smith walked by

Me on the street it would I would never never be able to pick him out yeah he looks like an insurance salesman Mike Smith and his name too yeah it’s just it really is a creative coach yeah uh okay good nerd nuggets Jake uh all right Saturday night Dolphins at Chiefs by the

Way tune in to our stream we got Nikki smokes and Frank the Tank it should be something we’re going to stream Cowboys or sorry Browns Texans as well uh we have Jeff D L coming and our our great producer Kevin zupy who’s a diard Browns

Fan he’s the one who uh I when DeShaun Watson went out for the year I came in early and he was just on the phone with his dad and he was like we’re just never going to catch a break like he was about to cry he loves the Browns and Jeff DLo

Is uh everything is the apocalypse with Jeff DLo yeah he is actually just like a a cleaned up version of Frank the Tank yeah he just says instead of like biting his hat Jeff will just say brutal game’s over absolutely brutal yep classic Browns like Jeff they they just lost the

Coin flip and he’ll do Ash brutal so it should be great streaming great streaming uh okay Dolphins at Chiefs Saturday night it’s going to be cold very cold dangerously cold as a matter of fact that’s what the weather service says oh no no children and dogs outside dangerously close the latest

Forecast approaches a windshield of -30° whoa -30 you shouldn’t be outside no one should be outside but they’re going to be like you know what [ __ ] that we’re going to put 90,000 people outside at the same time but I kind of like you got to go to that game if you got a

Ticket because that’s like a that’s a badge of honor game ne30 is so cold it feels like you’re vaping every time you breathe yeah like every hit yeah your nostrils like the the your nose hairs freeze up everything so we’ve talked about the candy ass jerseys uh Aaron

Shatz by the way has some great info about everything uh the actual numbers about these games not just us guessing on whether it’s indoors or outdoors and Cy ass jerseys but the Dolphins uh as a franchise I believe I don’t oh yeah under 50 degrees they’re 15 and 42

Straight Up 2 and 19 straight up in the last 21 games as a franchise under 50 degrees and Tua in his coldest starts in the NFL or college 29 degrees he almost beat the bills remember last year the snowball game oh I remember 3 yeah 36

Degrees uh they got killed by the bills in 2021 37° they got killed by the Titans in 2022 Tua does not play well in the CT and those games are not negative 30 degree windchill correct that’s 37 degrees is warm no can you I I don’t see

Two a winning this game I want to wait and see what do we know what jerseys they’re going to be wearing that will make that will make a direct impact on how I choose to bet this game so everything that I look at with the dolphins tells me that the Dolphins are

Going to struggle lot because even like like Andrew vanle got hurt um I know that zaven Howard and Javon Holland are both like game time but they should play um jayen Wadd should play but their defense even last week gave up 21 points and a punt return to the bills but if

You look at that game the bills had two Red Zone turnovers a turnover at the 40 and they got stopped at the one going into halftime the bills with 400 plus yards of offense could have easily scored you know 35 40 points in that game yeah the good news is I don’t think

The Chiefs are as good on offense as the bills are so that’s yeah but they might they might just do PCO they might just say this guy the way that he runs he looks like a cold weather running back let’s just feed the guy so all that yeah

Like I I agree with you and that might be the game plan but then again obviously Andy Reid yep Andy Reid Andy Reid will have to fight himself Andy Reid I just I feel like five points is too many points and I think that What’s

Happening Here if you told me gun in my head who’s going to win this game I’d say chiefs but what have the chiefs done this season that show you that they can like beat teams consistently by five points or more nothing right nothing and we’re doing the flip switch and I don’t

Know if the flip switch is there for the Chiefs this year I think it’s going to be a lot of they’re gonna have to like if they’re going to get back to the Super Bowl it’s goingon to be like grinding it out field goal games like tough tough football games not blowing

Teams out like on some of their Super Bowl runs you know remember that Texans game like like I don’t know I just I think five points is too many points Counterpoint the weather I know I mean the the stats that you had for Tua um

You can just watch Tua when he plays in the cold he looks very uncomfortable going on the road Arrowhead is like one of the top two or three hardest places to play in general in the NFL and I don’t know I feel I feel like the Chiefs everyone’s disrespecting them and for

Good reason this time like they have not give us anything to believe in but I still think that the Chiefs in the playoffs with Andy Reid with Patrick Mahomes they can be the Chiefs they can be the Chiefs they can they can take care of business against the Dolphins I

Think everyone’s thinking that too and that’s why I kind of like the Dolphins it’s it’s one of those situations where everything when I look at this game says Chiefs and that makes me think Dolphins well you’re right I mean the Chiefs have not been good right and it again I don’t

Think that I don’t I don’t think the Dolphins are going to win this game um it wouldn’t shock me if they did but I if you know like if I had to do percentages like dolphins probably win this game I don’t know 25% of the time

But Five Points I just I don’t know I think the Dolphins either win or lose by 17 plus I could see that yeah I think they might be just like see I think they’re going to lose by down from blowing the division or they might just have a chip on their shoulder that

Everyone’s counted them out and win the game I think they’re going to lose by three I think I’m going to take the Chiefs okay okay with Frank the Tank I’m not going to say anything I do have my prop of the Year super wild card prop of the Year Travis Kel score touchdowns

Plus money now okay and the Dolphins are not great guarding the tight end and I do think that like when you get to the playoffs Patrick mes be like who can I trust Travis Kel is the guy I can trust is she gonna be there I don’t know

Assume so I mean we had this whole breakdown the other day yeah about the network okay Jake do you know that uh the box is another word for vagina yes okay all right all right I going along with I know I didn’t know not going to

Make those actual jokes I didn’t know I didn’t know wait what I thought we were talking about sweets I was okay you guys weren’t all right what do you mean us I I wasn’t talking about a vagina yeah you are I don’t think I don’t recall that at

All she will be there though I would assume so and she’ll be bundled up in that warm Suite yep while all the while all the poppers common folk freeze their balls off the maybe a baked potato girl’s going to be there you remember her the the lady I think it was at a

Chief’s game a couple years ago she was eating a baked potato to keep herself warm in St just brought one in as a hand warmer if cared about the people she’d let everyone in her box if she really cared about the people she’d take a couple extra flights on her private jet

Back and forth maybe get the degrees up globally so it’s not that cold there but ask yourself this what’s the warmest place in that Stadium it’s going to be Taylor’s box yeah it’s very cozy right so let everyone in the Box I I almost said something and I

Didn’t and I want credit for not saying what I was about to say what would you have said I’ll text it to me I’ll say it I was just going to say I’m not going to say it I’m not going to say it okay text

To Hank make him say it okay Hank will you say it probably not do the nerd nugget well yeah also I just had a fun name the Burr nugget about the cold weather let’s go back to how many nuggets are we going to doet for the Dolphins they’ve won Okay g

To do like Gucci man what’s up I know who that is like what’s oh okay uh for the Dolphins they’ve won just one road playoff game since their 1972 undefeated season yes they had to go on the road in the postseason despite being undefeated they had a different format they like a

Rotational home site thing uh but the good news for Miami going into Saturday night the Dolphins are three and0 all time in the playoffs against the Chiefs never lost the Chiefs in the playoffs for the Chiefs that their nuggets stinks cuz it’s all in like the 70s and 80s but

It’s facts doesn’t doesn’t doesn’t relate to this game whatsoever but but it’s factually correct it is factually correct but I like my nerd nuggets that maybe help me you want like pres you want money yes right that helped the the audience learn something that they don’t know that could maybe their money yeah

Well maybe they knew it and forgot it because it was what we’re not going to say it Hank don’t say well text to me no I texted to Hank he’s not going to say Hank you text it to me no at this point I don’t think we should say it no I I

Don’t want to say it but I want to see it so Hank text it to me we’ll bleep it no no just text it to me we’ll bleep it I won’t say it either no we’ll just we’ll just keep it unset meanwhile for the Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes

And tight end Travis Kell have connected for 14 postseason touchdowns and get guess what they need one more to tie Tom Brady and Rob gronowski for 15 which would be the most touchdown connections between a quarterback and pass catcher in NFL postseason history I like to

Guess what that you added in there it’s my super wild card prop of the year yeah so one more they would tie bradi and Grant for most ever in the playoffs so with Hanks texting to you he might just be changing so this is a g classic game

Of telephone yeah I don’t think he I think he’s changing it yeah why are your notifications silenced you’re off the clock no I just want to get distracted during the show well you’re he’s texting me word by word yeah so he’s just making it up okay you know I’ll say it yeah yeah

Yeah I can’t not say it he’s so annoying [ __ ] it uh okay Sunday Sunday Sunday we have the Pittsburgh Steelers going to the Buffalo Bills and no TJ watt no TJ watt uh they do have herbig who’s pretty good but what I see happening in this game it’s a

Lot of points right I 10 points now all the way up to 10 I would not be shocked if the Steelers cover the spread because that’s too many points and it’s going to be a weird game it’s also yeah classic Steelers Voodoo yeah yeah they might

They might muck it up a little bit I see a lot of plays where herbig gets upfield because he likes to do that him and TJ both like to do that they like to they like to uh R like Rush hard off the edge and they leave that little Gap there on

The end and Josh is just going to eat that up he’s going to I think that Josh is going to have a big day running I’m so I think the bills are going to win this game uh not a crazy thing to say when they’re 10-point favorites and I

Like I’m I’m bullish about the bills stop the glazing I’m bullish about wait till you hear Aon chatz talk about Josh Allen people are going to be upset about that uh I’m bullish about the bills because if you look back at last year and that Bengals game and that playoff

Game and they got bullied absolutely bullied the bills now do have a legitimate running game it’s not just you know remember when the last couple years where we trick ourselves and be like oh the bills have a running game because they ran into a you know 50 55

Yards like oh they can kind of do they have a running game this year yeah they have James Cook who’s been awesome Josh Allen is a part of the running game and and Leonard Fett can be a bully in cold weather playoff Lenny playoff Lenny so I

I do feel differently about the bills in a game like this where they’re not going to get pushed around like they did last year I also I I agree with your take that like the the Steelers can there’s something about the Ste Steelers that like they’ll just keep teams in a close

Game and it’s like a perfect matchup with the bills who when they’re favorites by double digits they keep teams in in a close game right right there have been a bunch of games this year where the bills have played way worse teams than them and and they

Somehow keep it close I think there’s also just something about the Steelers helmets in in January in like December football weather it’s football weather and you see black and yellow and you just you’re not going to score more than 25 points it’s it’s the anti-d Dolphins

Yeah yeah the uh bills uh the last seven times they’ve been double digit favorites they have lost against the spread okay so that tracks that’s that’s that’s a nerd nugget that could maybe you know put people in the right direction that does they do they do [ __ ]

Around they [ __ ] around there was a uh there was a rumor that they might move the game to Cleveland because of the snow because of the lake the lake effect there’s a lake in Cleveland there’s a lake in Cleveland in fact it’s one of the things it’s most known for is it’s

Actually the same Lake if they did that they’d have to do it on boats they have to move the game on boats like they have to get the teams on a boat go to and then travel across Lake Erie for it yes that’d be good uh I hope that doesn’t

Happen why would they do that think in case it’s like dangerous conditions but I I also heard people say I heard people say that that is it’s a rumor but apparently it’s like the emergency site for the game [ __ ] that yeah it’s buffal you can’t do that for a playoff game the

Bills fans will be doesn’t matter there is no emergency situation for Bills fans just yeah their life they live in an emergency right they’ll be fine they know how to deal with this weather uh you’re gonna be so drunk so drunk I hope fit’s there with his shirt off it will

Be interesting because the I do think the Steelers can run the ball a little bit and Nai Harris fun fact from our friend Jersey Jerry uh Naji Harris in the last three years has more rushing yards than Chris mcaffrey how was thata missed an entire year but he’s been telling everyone that stat

Okay yeah it’s true he’s yeah he’s been walking around with that stat in his back pocket just dropping it on people and most people don’t really like he said it to me immedately I was like Chris mcaffry missed an entire year so [ __ ] yeah so I I like I like the bills

To win obviously but I don’t think that they cover yeah I like the Steelers money line whoa you hate all our friends you hate our friends got be dog you hate our futures got be a dog that wins okay why does it have to be the one that me and

Big cat have the biggest future on all right sorry why can’t it be the Dolphins cold oh true why can’t forgot about the C why can’t it be the Packers cuz the Cowboys are at home yeah but you won’t be there to root on your Cowboys true because I’m gonna be there

Next week oh look ahead looking ahead Saturday uh right now it says current current uh conditions for Sunday are 21 miles hour win that’s not that bad no it’s not bad and snow I’m excited for that we might have to bet the over if the snow is coming down and there’s

Loose footing and yeah there’s running around bring back Shady McCoy yeah okay uh what’s your nerd nugget in this game uh you kind of mentioned it Big C but Steelers running backs Nai Harris and Jaylen Warren each rushed for 750 yards this season they’re the first Steelers

Running back Duo to each rush for 750 or more in the same season since 2004 J Bettis who also played for the Rams M and du Staley oh okay that’s a good nerd nugget I like that one two big boys in that back field good work Jake thanks

And for the bills despite struggling down the stretch Bill’s wide receiver Stefon Diggs recorded a 100 plus reception season for the fourth year in a row making him only one of four player in NFL history to do that he also became the first player in bills history with

Four straight 1,000 yard seasons I don’t so Stefon Diggs obviously is still very good yeah he just didn’t put up like Elite numbers down the stretch right but there’s some games where he just stinks yeah I don’t know what’s going on with that guy him and Gabe Davis both I think

Gabe Davis he’s like full go he’s lined up in the backfield some plays too Stefan Stefon digs just yeah I’ll say it he’s got bad body language sometimes yeah it’s the mouthpiece yeah figure out the body language I I do think the bills are very dangerous to go to the Super

Bowl glazing glazing alert um but yeah this the fact that they get two home games here if they beat the Steelers yeah this is a bad day for dads to to look at the screen and see you got Stefon Diggs and Pickins with the mouthpieces everywhere yeah this is

Mouthpiece match up yes also bonus one these two teams have met three times in the playoffs and the winner of that game in the playoffs has gone to the Super Bowl all pre-2000 so I know it’s not helping you but I still think that’s cool okay okay uh Packers are Cowboys

Henry your Cowboys uh did you guys see Jerry Jones earlier this week classic Jerry Jones just making headlines to [ __ ] up his own team can’t can’t get out of his own way after uh the game against commanders he said about Mike McCarthy’s future we’ll see how each game goes in

The playoffs yeah always good to to go a game by game well CU you know he’s got bill on the line yeah and then he he had to he had to clean it up and so he went back on air a couple days after and he said I was a little surprised

Talking about the previous comments I don’t know how I could be any clear coach McCarthy is under contract for next year so that’s not an issue for him yeah yeah okay that that definitely okay coaches don’t get fired yeah secondly I couldn’t be more pleased with what’s

What he’s done and how he’s coached I certainly have sat down here right in the middle of the playoffs and started talking to him or I certainly haven’t sat down here right in the middle of the playoffs and started talking to him about a contract why would you do that

And by the way he’s the busiest cat in all Texas I just love that last line it’s a great line busy catela Texas he um he is Mike McCarthy is a cat just a fat Tabby he’s well within his rights to say like we’re going to take Mike McCarthy in the

Playoffs on a game by game basis yeah exactly don’t say it out loud yeah like like great for morale yeah um hey Mike better win this game otherwise you’re fired it’s a it’s a big game for Mike too big game big game going up against the Packers as the coach of the Packers

He’s 2- 0 well I think he’s 2-0 in Dallas Green Bay playoff games so the Packers won during the 2014 season that was Tony Romo’s final playoff game that was Aaron Rogers pass on the sideline was that the de Dez caught it Dez it was 2016 20166 yeah the the one

In Dallas was the Aaron Rogers one of the I’ll say it one of the best passes ever yeah he like contorted his body and like it like it like was like a Sidewinder pass that was the Mason crossbar game yes where he had that kick that did funny business in that pass was

Look it up it’s like that pass and like the Eli Manning Mario Manningham pass yeah best passes ever yeah um Dak is one in five against the spread in the playoffs interesting his one win being last year against the Bucks okay against the spread uh I think I might make this

A nuclear missile whale play on the over and the cowboy I don’t know how the Packers are going to stop the Cowboys and I also don’t really know how the Cowboys are going to stop the Packers because Jordan love has been that good yeah I mean the answer is the

Dallas defense is much better than the Green Bay defense but the Dallas but Jordan love has been playing great and the Dallas defense while good they are kind of Front Runners they’re good against Bad te home right so I guess we’re going to find out if the Packers

Are actually a bad team after this game’s over we also have uh my my one stat from Sports info Solutions every week uh Packers defense plays middle of field coverage uh so cover two cover four on on 50 2% of their snaps and Dak is highest in the league on target rate

Against that defense okay I think I think there’s going to be a lot of points in this game uh would you say that it’s too early in the playoffs for a team to do a uh gimmicky situation like a home white out I think it might be too early they’re using their white

Out no the Cowboys are doing their white out this weekend a white out that’s college basketball yeah that works when you’re doing it for a student section you can’t do it for an NFL team yeah I don’t know if all the fans are going to get the memo

Oh They’ll all get the memo they’re crazy yeah yeah yeah yeah they Jerry Jones probably has like I wouldn’t imagine if Jerry Jones has a hotline to everyone’s phone in Dallas Hank what color is your uniform that you wear to Cowboys games yeah yeah I’ve

Never been to a Cowboys game oh but I’m just saying next week the one that you own I know you own a Cowboys jersey I have a Dak Prescott Jersey what color is that one it’s white oh oh good wow that sucks because they probably won’t do the

White out next week yeah probably not do you have your jean shorts I don’t have jean shorts I can probably get some by next week also shout out the anonymous person who sent me uh the Ravens purple camo oh nice pants those are the best I

Appreciate that I just showed up in my office today they’re the best pants in the world I just love that every NFL team at one point had those pants they did it as like an experimental fashion drop thing yeah and then the Ravens just bought the [ __ ] out of them and they’re

Like we’re going to keep these around just for Baltimore yes yes um yeah I like this over a lot I like this over a lot you guys want to ride with me yeah def this a will play yeah I like this overall what’s it at right now 50 and a

Half that’s what I’m going to bet it at I’m probably goingon to take the over on every game yeah why not yeah let’s parlay him yeah big okay nerd nuget for this game self fact checked as C it January of 2015 Mason crossbar January of 2017 okay oh

So it was a 2017 game in in Dallas that he had the throw yeah January 2017 look up theow 3431 uh Packers they have scored at least 34 points against Dallas in all four of their games at AT&T Stadium I know that’s an Aaron Rogers stat but that’s the longest streak by

Any NFL team versus Dallas at AT&T with no team doing it more than twice in a row also Green Bay is the only NFL team with four plus wins and no losses against Dallas at AT&T Stadium so that franchise has a lot of success here so they’ve got four wins at AT&T Stadium

Four plus yeah four plus I don’t know if it’s four exactly but they not lost there the Cowboys are going for their third playoff win at AT&T Stadium so this would just be dominance over the franchise as a whole yeah I mean the only one of those was playoffs but still

Yep um and then for the Cowboys nerd nugget of the week nerd nugget of the super Wild Card Weekend put this one on the wild meter in Dak Prescott’s first career playoffs start in 2016 he was in his first year as a starter against the Mike McCarthy Leed

Packers team in Jordan love’s first career playoff start in 2024 he is in his first year as a starter against Mike McCarthy LED Cowboys team interesting okay yeah okay yeah Mike McCarthy going against the Young Guns yeah first career playoff start Mike McCarthy I’m watching on the

Sidelines he was going against his body and he like threw it and it like it actually like curved we can we can all agree that Mike McCarthy is fired if he loses this game right depends on how well okay the problem is it depends on how but the when you’re like Mike

McCarthy loses a playoff game the how is always just a terrible Mike McCarthy mistake you can find a reason you can find something that done well no because if he loses by 1520 points then he’s fired because he got blown out if he loses by seven points okay it’s because

He did some birdb brained activity on the sideline here’s a way that Mike McCarthy could lose this game and not be fired first quarter uh bang bang play on the sideline someone rolls up on Mike McCarthy ACL and concussion has to go to the hospital I shouldn’t laugh at the

Thought of that but that would that would probably keep his job you can’t fire a guy who’s got a acln concussion in the hospital I was going to say if Dak gets hurt that’s another way he could probably keep his job yeah he could probably keep his job that way but

Yeah Mike McCarthy will do something dumb we I mean we if the Joe patno I I’d say maybe if Mike McCarthy uh either gets rolled up on the sideline like joea shoot him like a horse at that I was at that game or if handed that at joea we

Knew or if uh before halftime he runs to the locker room because he has diarrhea like joea yeah I think either way would be an elegant way to save his job it’s all flushed out um also if they lose this game uh the seven seeds never beaten the two since they added the

Seven seed three years ago that’s not that that’s five six games six games but like I’m saying if they lose that would be first time they will happen eventually yep uh great uniform match up in this game classic it’s I mean this Packers Cowboys Cowboys ners Packers

Ners that’s the ’90s mhm yeah uh okay favorite game of the week I think we all can agree Rams at Lions Sunday night Hank has been correct in correcting us everyone’s talking about Stafford going back back to Detroit this is the Jared golf Revenge game yeah it

Has to be like that is and I actually like that all the stories about Stafford because that makes the Revenge game even better for Jared yeah this is 100% Jerry GF Revenge game Shawn McVey tried to take some of the sting out of this because he knows that it’s the Jerry go

Revenge game right he admitted he’s like yeah there’s a lot of things that I wish I could have done differently when I traded Jared and let him know ahead of time he like deeply regrets how that went down I actually don’t think he regrets it he just knows that this is

The jerro golf Revenge game and he’s trying to like make nice with him in fact all the all the Rams are trying to make nice with Jerry G because Aaron Donald texted him this week and he said I’m proud of you wow he told jar they that’s some that’s some yeah pting on

The head yeah there’s that actually adds fuel to the fire they’re trying to go so they’re trying to kill him with kindness yeah Jared just don’t don’t respond to any of those texts they’re trying to get at you did you guys see the bar in Detroit Thomas McGee that is banning all

Stafford jerseys I love that move they they released a statement saying please refrain from trying to enter Thomas McGee on game day with Lion Stafford jerseys uh you’ll be turned away at the door it’s our first home game in 30 years use common sense M I like it

That’s that’s sports fan it’s a big time Common Sense play wear anything but a Stafford you cannot wear Stafford Jersey if you’re a Detroit Lions fan on on Sunday night the thing that makes me so nervous about this game is there’s such an imbalance of upside and downside for

Each fan base depending on winning or losing like if the Rams win the Lions fans are going to be devastated it’s going to be the most devastating thing that’s happened to them in the at the end of a season that was great and Jim haro’s probably gonna

Leave the next day maybe uh but if the Rams win how happy are Rams Fans really going to be what do you mean like Rams Fans they you just want a Super Bowl they don’t have like a dieh hard rabid fan base there are Los Angeles Rams Fans

Yeah yeah no I see but I mean like it’s it’s such an imbalance in terms of the potential heartbreak and then if the Lions win it’s huge for that City it’s huge for every fan if the Rams lose they’re like oh [ __ ] it we’ll just go to

The beach yeah I yeah I see what you’re saying I agree um I like the lions in this game you’ve been saying Rams all week and I’ve switched I I’m because sometimes when you think like going with your gut I said Rams all week I’m betting the Lions

I’m going to take the Lions just because I don’t I don’t want to make blood money off the Rams winning I will lose money gladly if the Lions lose but I want to make money with the Lions winning the also here’s a fun little fact about the

Rams uh we’re going to talk to Aaron chatz about the Special Teams which I think will show up uh like you know they’ll have a blunder they’ be like oh [ __ ] that was bad the Rams are one and six against playoff teams this year their one win the Cleveland Browns Joe

Flaco I believe his first start when he went to LA so I don’t know they they kind of they kind of kicked the [ __ ] out of like the Cardinals and the Seahawks a bunch went 4 and0 against those guys it went to overtime against the Ravens though they did go to overtime against

Ravens and then punt return yep then punt return right so yeah I think there is a little bit of the the Ravens games like o they can they can go toe totoe but yeah they their their wins their season uh was four four wins what what

Did they end up with nine wins 10 wins so four out of 10 of their wins were against the Cardinals and the Seahawks throwing the commanders and Giants there I don’t know I I think the lions are better I think the lions are better I I’m scared of the Lions secondary but

And I don’t is leaport is definitely not playing right so he took reps at practice today and he said that he feels good if you saw the the video of the injury it it looked bad his knee like bent it bent outward to the side and everyone’s saying there’s no chance you

Can play on this apparently I don’t know maybe they they might just they might just be saying like he took reps and feels good just to make the Rams have to think that he’s playing he says he’s optimistic about playing according to the Detroit Free Press okay he’s young I

Think also the Lions if they’re smart and Dan Campbell’s a smart coach I think they just run the ball down their throat they’re probably goingon to run Dan Campbell’s probably going to go for it on a couple weird fourth downs I’m nervous I’m very ner this is I’m excited

About this game but in in so far as that it makes makes me feel alive how scared I am about this game I think the lions are going to do it I hope I hope you’re right Hank what do you think Lions yeah I think the lions are going to do it I

And I do like you’re right when the line came out on Sunday I was like o Rams three three and a half and for the first four days of the week I was like Rams Rams Rams and then I was like wait you’re an idiot remember that you’re an

Idiot go against your gut I felt so smart about the Rams right if you if you ever like everyone knows this when they gamble if you if you if you put something in and you think it’s win it’s never a win yeah and that’s how I was

Feeling about the Rams so now I’m like I’m all lions there’s there’s no chance they wear the gray jerseys right oh my God that would be the that would make me bet the r yeah me too yeah that would be the biggest mistake they’ve ever made if

You’re the liines you wear you wear the blues you have to wear the blues you can’t go you cannot you cannot wear those ugly ugly Grays all right nerd nugget for the Rams we have some Milestone watches defensive tackle Aaron Donald needs one and a half sacks to

Pass Kevin green and become the franchise leader in sacks in the post season also Cooper cup needs five receptions to pass Marshall Faulk and become the franchise leader in postseason receptions okay find it interesting the Faulk is the uh postseason leader in receptions yeah really good on the ramps yeah uh

And for the Lions they the first team in NFL history to have four different players produce 850 plus scrimmage yards and 10 plus TDS in a season David Montgomery jir Gibbs I’m on ra St Brown Sam lorta potty we need Sam leor to play

Yeah I don’t know if he is yeah we need him to play also you guys see the moon thing got tagged in that a lot oh we have a way and gibbis yeah the moon was a wax and Crescent the last time the Lions wanton to play off g game the moon

On Sunday would be a wax and Crescent okay good enough for me all right good enough for me I’m in great love that Lions all right Monday Night Football last game Eagles let’s do this Sunday okay yeah are you sure yeah let’s do it Sunday oh we could do it Sunday it’ll

Yeah we’ll just do it Sunday you sure yep we usually prev Monday Night Football never cuz there’ll be less games to talk about on Sunday running late I’ll Grant I’ll Grant you I’ll Grant you the Monday just also because I would like to know who’s actually playing for the Eagles that actually

Does make sense yep okay let’s do a sun all right let’s get to her can I just ask you a question though nope how do you how do you feel how do you feel about Jaylen Herz finger uh not great we’ll talk about it on Sunday

Okay follow question is it still not a must-win we’ll get to that on Sunday okay okay all right well let’s get to our interview uh we got Andy Staples talking Nick Savin and then we got Aaron shatz talking NFL playoffs before we do that pardon my cheese steak big news we

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Stake.com all right here he is Andy Staples okay we now welcome on uh one of our good good friends it is Andy Staples the on three Network we thought we had to have him on because Nick Sabin has retired the goat so Andy we want to talk about everything including Nick sabin’s

Legacy what made him special as well as who’s going to take the job job but let’s start here when you hear the news on Wednesday what were the emotions was it shock was it you know sadness to walk us through what you’re immediate like 20 20 minutes after were thinking I was

Shocked because I thought watching him this season that he enjoyed it so much that it would kind of re-energize him because he he’d been complaining about the changes in the sport and and not seem to be having as much fun and I realized Nick sain didn’t always look

Like he was having fun but you kind of tell he liked this team so much he liked that it grew over the course of the year he liked that it wound up where it wound up winning the SEC beating Georgia and I thought okay this this will put him put

Him in the right frame of mind to keep going for this because I always thought Nick s always complained about any sort of rule changes in up front but then behind the scenes he was always working to turn those to his advantage and I just kept think oh well he’s just

Figuring this out and so when the the news comes down like damn that’s it it’s really over right and I always wonder like what would the celebration be in the rest of the SEC when he finally retired because like think about how many coaches this guy got fired yeah

It’s crazy aubert’s had five coaches right since he’s been there yeah he would get guys fired and then he’d bring them in to work as an assistant for him yeah and then send them back out rehabilitate them like a like a a refuge for an animal that you found out out in

The wilderness that got like hit by a car nurse it back to health and then release it into that that was Andy when I was like looking at all the stuff and obviously there’s some crazy stats out there you know seven national titles all these things you know there was a stretch

Where he he lost like whatever three games in in a a long stretch the the sing the single stat that wowed me the most is that Nick Sabin ended his career 11-1 in SEC Championship games like that’s insane that’s insane like that he just he just bullied an entire region of

The country for the better half of two decades I’ll never foret getet the first one the first one he was in was LSU Tennessee in 2001 I was I was a BS beat writer covering in for the Chattanooga Titans Free Press they had just gone down to Florida in the game that had

Been moved because of 911 so it was the last game of the regular season Tennessee beats Florida wins the East and everybody in the state of Tennessee is making rosebowl reservations because the the national title game was the rosebowl against Miami and every single person in the state of Tennessee they

Had beaten LSU earlier in the season and Sabin had plan for them and he lost his starting quarterback and he still won the game anyway and that’s when you knew like this dude is an absolute Wizard and then he just kept going and kept going

And so yeah the’ 08 Florida team was the only one that got him in the SEC Champion here’s here’s another one Nick sabin’s Alabama team spent or no Nick Sabin himself LSU in Alabama 109 weeks at number one Jes in the AP poll I think that’s more than any other program yeah

Perod that’s that is crazy there’s all sorts of crazy stats like he had more firstr draft picks than he had losses at Alabama um just just crazy crazy stuff and what he ended up I think six of his losses at Alabama were in the first year

So you can kind of like subtract those and then look at what his record was post his first year after he got everything installed there and it’s just crazy to see what he was able to do U Monroe U Monroe got more publicity for beating Nick Sabin in his first year

Like that’s the answer the trivia question for every everyone’s like oh yeah Nick Sabin first year lost to UL Monroe yeah so d i I mean from the outside we look at Nick Sabin and he always seems like a little bit Surly on the sidelines he’s grumpy until you know

He wins a national championship then he smiles for about 30 seconds and then he gets back to cruin right so um but inside uh his program I know that his players love him so can you tell us from like a a player perspective what type of

Guy Nick Sabin was and why his players seem to love him so much he’s apparently a Relentless [ __ ] talker at practice and they love that like terion Arnold who’s one of the corners this year was on my show and he was explaining it to me he’s

Like he’s like Sabin is going to needle you the entire time especially if you’re in the secondary and it’s not like you can’t look at it like he is being mean to you like if you give it back to him he appreciates that especially if you

Can play and like I Know M Jones NFL career has not gone the way they wanted it to but like when Mac was the scout team quarterback ma talks [ __ ] to Sabin all the time and Sabin loved that uhhuh that’s awesome I I also love the the

Sabin story I read a long article his um I I think he had hip surgery recently so he might not still do it but he had the basketball games that he would play with his entire staff and I loved it because it was it was clearly the sign of his

Competitive nature he wants to see his other guys be competitive but there was the undertones of like he might stack the teams a little bit so that his team always won which is the UL he called all the fouls yeah he called the fouls yeah but like that’s I would imagine there

Was a lot of [ __ ] talking in that as well just being competitive at all times 100% And like I always say people say you know how does he coach and and you see these these CEO head coaches like and like Bear Bryant was up in a tower

All the time Nick Sabin was on the field and until recently he was throwing passes to the corners before practice and ever like Jeremy puit used to always say you know who the real DBS coach at Alabama is it’s Nick Sabin but he actually would act like the ga who

Worked for the DBS coach half the time and he was he wanted to be and and I asked him about that he wanted to be ground level because he’s like you can see the problems before they really surface on game day he’s like I don’t want to be surprised by things and

That’s why I stay so so in it yeah yeah you mentioned M Jones it’s got to be a really weird day for him huh yeah yeah well then more Bill O’Brien probably too so I think he’s he’s all right with that that would be funny if they came out and they’re like

Uh I know Sabin won seven titles but we saw m Jones in the pros and like he wasn’t able to coach him to the point where he could be a pro bowl multi- Pro Bowl team maybe Nick s retired out of Shame yeah he’s like I can’t believe I

Gave bill this guy M Jones killed both of them yeah uh Strange Day for M Jones but um with Nick Sabin he he was football he is football he continues to be football I’m always curious to know what these kind of guys do when they

Retire uh I don’t know if he’s going to be able to stay away from the game maybe he’s just going to change completely and go live on that Lake in Georgia that every coach lives on and go fishing all day take up golf I don’t know what do

You think sabin’s going to do like in his personal day-to-day life I have no idea and this was part of the reason why I didn’t think he was going to retire I actually asked Kevin steel their defensive coordinator who had worked with him on multiple occasions I asked

Him this like a week and a half ago right before the Rose Bowl I said I said what the hell is he gonna do all day and Steel’s like I I have no idea I have no clue he’s you know he’s got the Mercedes dealerships yeah he’s got that Ferrari

Drive he can hang with Miss Terry they can you know they went to Italy last year maybe they want to go see the world but I I can’t imagine him without the structure of something that lasts from 7 a to to 11: P.M every night like what is

He going to do I would love to see him on TV like personally if Lee Corso retires put Nick Sabin in that spot build game day around him I would listen to anything he says because if you’ve ever watched they they do a show the Alabama coaches show after each game and

He breaks down one key play one of the things and there are many superpowers that Nick Sabin had but one of the things he was great at is making even the dumbest person understand these complex Concepts like he can explain quarters coverage to any person on the

In the world in about 15 seconds yeah like he’s just he’s a good teacher period and so I would love to see him explaining things on College G plus he’s funny as hell lowkey like he’s very it’s a very dry sense of humor half the time

You think he’s being nasty but most of the time he’s actually joking I I love that idea the other idea I saw thrown out there uh which would be genius I think belich still wants to coach but if belich and Sabin created a consulting firm they could just name their price

Like they they basically are the deoe of of uh or the McKenzie of coaches and it’s like teams just bring them in for a week to fix their problems don’t you think they’ just stick Cheney the whole thing though we found the perfect person and it’s us yeah we can we can handle

This yeah it’s it’s Bill O’Brien yeah that’s weird no idea and if you don’t like Bill uh Josh McDaniels is a is a reasonable replacement for him so I when I saw the news that that Sabin retired and then 18 hours later belich che’s gone I had the thought like these are

Probably the best NFL coach and the best college coach of all time and they leave their jobs within 18 hours of each other that’s got to be the biggest Coincidence of all time or or they want to team up and do something together yeah so I honestly

When the when the belc news came out on Thursday morning I was like did did Nick call him and say hey can you give me a day yeah I would shocked I I likened it to like uh you know a couple in their 90s and the and you know the husband

Dies and the wife dies two hours later it’s like wow they just their heart broke she died from heartbreak I it would it be the craziest thing in the world to imagine a Nick Sabin and Bill podcast oh oh my God that would be amazing that’s you’re you’re boxing us

Out P one of them starts dating Taylor Swift bich we’re [ __ ] we’re [ __ ] I don’t know you don’t think that Miss Terry would do numbers I think that Miss Terry’s got a lot of stands out there that would pay that yeah maybe oh maybe bellich golden Bachelor yeah oh bich golden Bachelor

And just one of Miss Terry yelling at Nick like that’s a that’s a one day a week one off and because he he will listen to everything she says like I’ve done the the the radio show with him and she sits right there in the front and

He’s looking at her like is it okay what I just said is that cool that’s great I know he’s not doing that with anybody else it’s like Aussie Osborne and Sharon yeah the best was when Miss Terry did the video and was like can we not swear

During uh uh the song you know where where they sing it what what between the third quarter and fourth quarter and everyone was like what no Miss Terry like listen you get a lot like we love you but we’re still going to swear you know [ __ ] Tennessee and all that it’s

It’s Dixie Land Del light I mean it’s a it’s a song by a band called Alabama about having sex in a truck in Tennessee so I mean it does really run the gamut yeah yeah people forget that it’s just it’s literally a song about Tennessee

And they sing it at Alabama gam I’m I’m curious to know from your perspective if you were to take these three things and uh rank them in order of how they contributed to Nick Sabin no longer being the coach at Alabama it’s him walking away uh one Michigan winning the

National championship two Georgia becoming dominant with the exception obviously this year’s SEC Championship game and then three the nil era of college football which one of those three what in what order would you put those well I think that the nil stuff would be number one out of that bunch

And we’ll see if there’s there’s something more personal going on I mean that’s for for Nick sabbin and and Company to to say but I do know that was the nil part was was something that bothered him and I always looked at it is a problem maybe he couldn’t solve

Because there were certain things that he he figured out how to deal with when they changed the recruiting rules over and over again to stop whatever it is he was doing he would just adjust on the Fly and keep recruiting number one classes when the uptempo offens has

Drove him nuts he’s like do we really want this to be football and he wasn’t asking so much his warning and saying basically okay if we want to do this I’m going to take the best athletes in the world and do it with them and see how

You like that and so he did that but in this case with the nil like he cannot make more rich people in Alabama Texas is coming into the SEC Oklahoma’s coming into the SEC they got to deal with LSU Tennessee’s very well-funded like you can’t make more rich people to

Fund this thing even though they care deeply about football in Alabama you’re not going to have as many people as that care deeply about Texas and Texas A&M football because they just have more people yeah but I I did see the stat that like the the calculations of what

Nick Sabin made for the University of Alabama was like over a billion dollars because essentially in his time the uh out of state attendance or you know enrollment at Alabama has like skyrocketed they’ve the total enrollment has gone up by like 20 20,000 people and then the tuition for out of state is

Like triple so it’s like they did the calculation it’s like he’s made over a billion dollars for the University of Alabama yeah that was a good column I Wonder oh yeah I wrote that when he got his last cont when he got his last contract yeah no his hiring actually and

This is coincidental coincided with the state reducing funding for for the University and so they had to go get more out of state students and the football team success allowed them to get many many more applications from out of state to take better quality out ofate students and yeah I I think I

Pegged it at 250 to 300 million a year to the university that he was worth extra damn yes someone stole your column and put it in a tweet that’s what I saw oh that’s that’s fine screenshot all that hard work and but it’s okay that was for another company so it it doesn’t

Matter yeah so all right so you you mentioned one thing that I’ve always admired by Nick sa and his ability to adapt like because I think that’s really the story of Nick Sabin the winning the championships with defense running the ball the Greg maroy is no offense to him

But like the these quarterbacks that don’t go on to be like incredible pros and then switching it where it’s like like that Alabama wide receiver room four years ago was would have been the best wide receiver room in the NFL at the time with the guys they had and the

In Tua and even M Jones like what is it about Nick Sabin that he was able to stay ahead of it while so many teams aren’t able to to find that that’s that’s I mentioned those superpowers so there’s two other ones that that I that are very important one is that

Adaptability the others getting 18 to 22 year olds to perform in a consistent manner over and over and over again but the ad ability piece especially when you’re talking about coaches that make this kind of money that get gotted up like nobody’s business they’re woried that would make anybody say well I’m

Right I’m just G to keep doing what I’m doing but he always was looking at what is somebody else doing that they might be doing better than me what can I change to make myself ahead of the curve to make sure that I never fall behind

Because one one thing he said to me I asked him in 2017 I was in his office I think it was the week before Auburn game and I said you know do how will you know when it’s time and he said I will leave before I am content to watch it go down

Like he did not want to have a sunset period like Bobby Bowen did at Florida State he wanted to dominate till the end right and so I just think he always was trying to stay one step ahead and I remember I I did the the guest hosting

On the radio show the Thursday before the Texas A&M game in 2012 so that was when Johnny mans came he predicted every single thing Johnny Manzel would do that day basically predicted they would lose that that Alabama would lose like it was 100% correct but on the sidelines that

Day he had linebackers who were 220 is pounds and they’re looking out at the Alabama linebackers these are official visors high school kids and they’re looking out at the Alabama linebackers that day and going huh I don’t other than CJ mosy I don’t really look like

Any of them those guys are like 250 pounds and the coaching staff is like yeah Co coach wants us to get smaller linebackers so we can deal with offenses like the one you’re about to see so he was already planning on how to deal with that yeah that’s an awesome story yeah

It is uh in terms of Alabama’s job opening right now would you say that as far as Jobs go is this is this a great like top three job is this the best job in the country or given the limitations that you just said with nil is it not

You know one you’re following the footsteps of Nick Sabin so that’s going to be tough um and then combined with what they have to offer to recruits is it not that great of a job or is it still like yeah it’s Alabama football anybody should be interested it’s still

A really good job because it’s a place where people care so deeply about football it’s a place where people will pull in the same direction like there there’s and I think Sabin showed them how to do this that everybody who’s who’s a rich person who has influence at

The University doesn’t need to have influence over this if you just trust the coach trust the ad you can you can watch it work just give them the money and let him go that’s something that Texas has has been trying to to fix and deal with A&M’s always trying to fix and

Deal with that I’ve always said Georgia is the best job I guess it was like 2015 when I when I flipped Georgia to my number one best job and I still think that’s true I think it’s easier to recruit to Georgia uh so Kirby’s got the

Best job he’s showing why right now Ohio State’s probably a better job because the way you dominate that state you’ve got tons of money tons of people Alabama is a little bit harder than those jobs and Nick Sabin made it look easy but it’s hard because not only do you not

Have as many really good players in the state of Alabama you also have to deal with auburn and there are times when Auburn has a really good recruiting head coach like Gus Malon was fantastic at Auburn he just wasn’t good enough to be better than Nick Sabin right and and

That’s the problem like but Hugh free is there now Hugh frees is going to recruit like a madman he’s gon to get Talent at Auburn so like whoever gets the job at Alabama is going to have to fight tooth and nail for every single good player

That comes out of Alabama yeah so can we yeah can we just toss some names at you yeah yeah sure um sarc so that’s okay this is a good question sarc does he have a better job at Texas because there’s no Nick Sabin in Alabama now right right that’s a

Great point right he’s actually made his job easier yeah I mean I’m sure Kirby Smart was like the happiest person alive when Nick sain retired yeah because I I wonder about that like you could go to Alabama and yes Nick sav’s infrastructure is all there you used to

Work there so you’re going to keep a lot of the stuff the same but the thing is the stuff that Nick Sabin wanted that he couldn’t solve for at Alabama you have at Texas right you know you have a good nil setup and and all sarc has to do

Which is Believe Me much easier said than done is get everybody to pull in the same direction at Texas but it does feel like he’s getting that yeah all right so what about Lane kein I know that one is obvious ly talked about a lot it seems like everything I’ve read

Lane kein would be a home run higher but maybe the people at Alabama There’s a little division in terms of internally whether Lane kein would be the right coach yeah they worked with Lane I don’t know if everybody who worked with Lane wants Lane to come back to Alabama I

Also wonder if he’s not in the perfect spot right now right because Old Miss they’re not expecting you to win national titles they don’t really care how you do your job just go do it get it done Alabama you are every little tiny thing you do at Alabama gets scrutinized

Like this is the thing that back in the in the day Dennis franchon ran away from Alabama because he couldn’t handle that like you are the biggest celebrity in the state you are more powerful than the governor and you have to be able to accept that part of it and accept the

Scrutiny that comes with it and does Lane want that I I don’t know I I really think he’s in a great place at all Miss for him uh you know I that said I think be a hell a lot of fun if he was an Alum

Yeah it would yeah would you’d have to take the call right yeah okay oh you oh absolutely take the call who else all right here’s here’s a big one okay Urban Meyer he’d want it he’d want it you know all these other jobs that his that his

Name is popped up for I don’t think he would have wanted he would want this one I just would Urban Meyer be successful in today’s college football is my question would he be able to deal with nil and players having agency we saw how badly it went when he was with the

Jaguars it’s the same now in college football like you have to have the respect of your players and you can’t tell them I’m gonna send you on the next bus out of town yeah because they’ll be like peace out I’m gonna go to Auburn or I’m gonna go to Tennessee and I’m gonna

Beat your ass right so I don’t think that that’s necessarily the the the greatest fit for this era of college football this has been 10 years ago I said absolutely he he’s going to kill people there uh but I you know I thought Dan Lanning would be a good fit but he

Has said he’s going to stay at Oregon uh so that that one’s that one’s out I got another name yeah go ahead okay you thr this name I I don’t know if he’d want to leave the situation that he has because obviously it’s been a resounding success year one but Deo

Ryan I yeah demo Ryan is an Alabama grad I think you have to call him but he just put the Texans in the playoffs he’s also never coached in college so that’s the one where you’re not sure how he would go because I threw when I did a list of

Candidates I threw Mike Vel on there and I threw Dan Quinn on there but both of them have coached in college right we’ve seen them as recruiters we know they’re good recruiters now you look at Deo Ryan you hear him talk I don’t think Deo Ryan would have any problem recruiting H the

Recruits moms are going yes can can I look at you my son’s coming to play for you does that mean I get to look at you some more okay but but no I I think I think you call but he’s he’s in a really good and I think

Anybody who’s in the NFL right now doesn’t want to deal with nil doesn’t want to deal with the transfer portal they’ve got a better like they get paid the same for Less work so I don’t yeah that makes sense I I had one more and

Then I want to hear what you have to say just because it was very funny uh Pete daml our guy nit Stu caught this Pete DL tweeted uh the buyouts for the the coaches that could potentially be at Alabama and then he edited the tweet and added James Franklin’s name so James

Franklin clear his agent called Dam’s like hey what about it was so funny it was like Dan Lanning Sark Lane kein and then you see you can look at the edited tweet and then James Franklin gets put in there I’m not gonna kill Pete on that because

Pete is uh Pete is a hell of a reporter and I’ll be honest I’ve gotten those calls too like from the agent like hey why isn’t this guy on the list like oh my bad I just forgot um but no I I The Landing thing with the $20 million

Buyout I think that Oregon had to to do something to make sure they didn’t lose their guy because they lost Willie tiger after a year to Florida State they lost Chris Ball to Miami so I think they they wanted to make sure he stayed but you know kayin deore he’s got a12 million

Buyout I think it’s funny because I spent you know in in Houston over the weekend all these Washington people are asking me like are you you think kayin dor might take Michigan of Harbaugh Le like I don’t think you have to worry about that like if Harbaugh leaves I’m

Assuming they’re promoting Chiron more but now that the Seahawks job is open and and the Bama job is open I’m like I don’t know kayin Bor might might consider those um he is he is a phenomenal coach and and been successful at every level so I think he’d be great

The other guy in the situation for this fan base I I hope this doesn’t happen but it makes a lot of sense is Mike norell at Florida State oh that makes a lot of sense he’s he’s been recruiting in this area like Florida state has to recruit against

Alabama Georgia Florida LSU like that’s you’re already in that world you’re just not in the same conference and we learned what happens when you’re not in the same conference when they went 13-0 and got left out in favor of one loss Alabama so if they call if you’re Mike

Norell I think you have to listen to that call like because because you now look the 12 team playoffs coming that wouldn’t have happened to Florida State next year you can win at Florida State you’ll be able to compete but will you be able to compete for national titles

Year in year out I don’t know at Alabama we know you can okay I like that what about uh Dabo is dbo getting a call obviously Alabama guy y uh I courtesy call maybe okay but you can’t win in Alabama if you don’t use a transfer portal right yeah I don’t think Alabama

Would want Dabo because he everything you said about Nick Sabin adaptability Dabo has shown to not be that yeah and that’s the thing like unless dbo comes in and says I’m going to be a completely different coach than you’ve seen the last five years and I don’t think that

That’s davo I don’t think that’s in him and I just can’t imagine it because like look at what Nick Sabin did in the transfer portal and it wasn’t it wasn’t a lot but like Jameson Williams when they needed a really good receiver they went and got him and that Tyler Steen

The Tackle last year they they went and got him I don’t think that that dbo would be willing to if he’s not willing to do that now at Clemson why would he be willing to do it at Alabama um this is probably not a good name for it but

I’m going to say it anyways Jimbo Fisher o nope no no I well as adaptable as Nick Sabin was Jimbo was that stubborn yeah and I think that’s that’s where they diverged I mean if you think about it Jimbo was Jimbo is probably the best guy after the guy in

College football history he replaced Bobby Bowen and three years later he won a national title now a little bit different situation because Bobby had had some bad years before he he left but Jimbo in 2013 was at the front front of you know the Forefront of the sport and

He’s just not now and as as great as he was and as great of a guest as he was last week like I just think maybe he’s he’s gonna enjoy some of that buyout money and not uh not worry about this right now I I feel like the best guy

After the guy for his own personal game was Mel Tucker will he get a call will he get a call no and now if Sab had still been there I would think Mel Tucker was a prime candidate to be an analyst at Alabama right oh yeah rehab I I think I

Guess Kirby has to start taking those guys now cuz Mel work with Kirby at Georgia so I my guess is is the Nick sa what Mike lockley the Maryland coach called it the Nick Sav and witness relocation program I think Kirby’s got to take that over now I think it’s

Probably in the contract so so who’s who would be your guest if you had a guess right now the weird thing is they did say Nick Sab I saw a report that Nick sain was like we’re going to have someone in the next 72 hours so they’re

Going to move fast uh but who who would you guess right now well as we’re recording this on Thursday like I I don’t know if they’re going to have they might have a hire before this episode drops yeah so it could be fast so uh if

I’m wrong you feel free to laugh at me here uh I’m gonna say Mike norell that that is gonna be my guest that sounds mean though it feels mean to even think about that it does feel mean it does feel me I know Florida State fans will

Look at where I went to school and think that’s why but I’m just I’m just connecting Dots here that’s all I’m doing but I I could very well be wrong so everybody feel free to laugh if I got this wrong but I do it does feel like

You know when when you hear Landing is already out like this is moving pretty fast yeah I’ve got my best plane tracking guy on it so I’ve got a plane tracking guy uh because it is plane tracking season I use him for college and NFL he actually dm’ me yesterday

Morning and said hey I think Sabin is retiring today based on these flights that are going from like his hometown uh to Alabama so he had this earlier so I’ve got my best guy on it I know that you have long stored history dealing with plane trackers it’s plane

Track great oh it’s unbelievable I so yeah I I feel like I knew about Flight Aware long before anybody else and I actually was the reason that the University of Florida blocked their tail number on Flight Aware when I was a beat writer uh I i’ had written a story about

It after they hired Urban Meyer but the funniest part during that search so uh I was covering Florida for the Tampa Tribune Jeff Darlington was covering it for the Orlando Sentinel he’s with the ESPN now he he sees he sees a flight going from Salt Lake City to Gainesville

Florida which is a strange like not normal they’re not direct flights between those two places and obviously Urban Meyer was at Utah so he goes to the airport and I call him because I knew it wasn’t the hire wasn’t going to be made we both find out you know it’s not it

And so I call him like what what was the plane he goes it was a liver someone’s life is being saved well those are the best livers I would imagine would be in Utah right yeah exactly exactly so some some Florida man was getting a a nice Utah liver a nice

Fresh Utah liver yes all right so uh I had one last question Andy this has been awesome uh roback question rhob bac.com use code take 20% off your first purchase roback is wonderful clothes sponsor uh qips polos hoodies joggers shorts fleeces vests everything roback.com the best in the business I

Know Andy wears it all the time as well uh what is success for the new Alabama head coach how much time does this person have because it is like it’s a great job but it also comes with a lot of pressure so I could give the politically correct oh

It’s going to be fine they’re going to be a little more realistic and you know you don’t have to win a National Title every year nah nah screw that Paul this dude better win every freaking Game Y no it you your job at Alabama is to win the national title every year

That is your job yeah yeah actually s been doing a podcast with Phyllis would be incredible right just get rot believe she’s passed but that would that would have been amazing we Seance yeah yeah a Ouija board with all the greatest Scholars so if if the new guy doesn’t

Win a National Title in three years maybe let’s say goes to the playoff two out of those three years wins an SEC Championship but no national title is it going to be like is Alabama going to have patience knowing that yeah patience is is probably better in this situation

Than having to go back and and keep finding new coaches or are they going to lose it and be like this is no one can fill Sabin shoes the Alabama fan base will not be patient but I think the administration given like if if the the person is making reasonable progress

Toward national titles like if they’re in the playoff if they’re winning playoff games then the administration’s probably going to be fine with that but the fan base will be raising holy hell if they’re not winning national titles in three years yeah all right tough job

To fill very tough job very tough job to fill I remember when they did that coaching search was it price that uh Sports Illustrated wrote that article about yeah go read that article if you haven’t yet about the things that that price was was it a mark price it no Mike

Price He was the yeah he’d been at Washington State and uh the The Establishment in question is called ‘s Angels yeah the uh in the Pensacola so I I’m not sure which side of the state line it’s on I think it’s on the Florida side of the of the of the floor Obama

Line it’s one of those places where uh it’s close to the state line so you can easily escape the police if you have to correct yes all right well Andy thank you so much as always this was awesome uh we’ll talk to you soon thanks guys thanks

Andy Andy Staples is brought to you by Chevy Silverado the Chevy Silverado has commanding and Unstoppable grit legendary capability and dependability too we’ve all spent time seat time as they call In The Biz behind the wheel of a Silverado and we’re not just truck guys we’re Chevy truck guys you know

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Chatz okay we now welcome on a very special guest someone who is very very smart about football uh much smarter than us and we’ve never quite fully understood how smart he is it is Aaron shatz he’s a chief analytics officer of ftn fantasy uh you can find him at FN

Fantasy or ashat NFL he created dvoa and we want to talk about the playoffs but we have to start here because PFT and I think we’re we’re huge football fans we understand we’re smart enough to understand that dvoa is smart and important we have never understood what

Actually is dvoa so let’s start there Erin okay dvoa measures the success of every play based on the down and distance and then Compares it to a League average Baseline that’s adjusted for situation and opponent okay that’s the short version okay better than zero means good offense lower than zero means

Good defense and overall it just measures your efficiency on a play-by-play basis okay better than zero means good offense so can you give me example like in the NFL this year what is the best team in terms of offensive dvoa and what is the number that’s associated with them so San Francisco

Was at about 32% okay okay is actually one of the top 10 offenses of the last 40 years whoa okay okay that’s good to know and who was the worst team this year uh the worst offense was the New York Jets oh interesting okay so so it’s basically

Everything that we see is being confirmed by the numbers right I mean sometimes Advanced metrics don’t quite look like wins and losses right a really good example this year is back after week 12 Buffalo was 6-6 and Philadelphia was 10- one and yet we had Buffalo Fifth and we had Philadelphia

Ninth right so sometimes Advanced metrics will look a little bit different than the ey test because it felt like the eagles were winning a lot of close games and the bills were turning the ball over a lot but when you looked at the underlying metrics the bills looked

Like the better team and that was borne out by the rest of the season yeah so when that happens and then you have the rest of the season you have the Eagles fall off a cliff and the bills finish out with wins to get the number two seed

Are you just like fist pumping and you’re like yes everything that that I’ve created is true yeah basically I like to be right I mean I think anybody who does this any any of us in the advanced metrics world like we all like to be right we like to be proven right I

Mean we want games to be fun and interesting and players to make cool plays and everybody has a team they root for I’m a Patriots fan but uh not a good year for us so I was more rooting for my numbers than I was for the Patriots this

Year yeah so so back to dvoa real quick when did you invent it and like what can you just tell us the backstory of of the invention of it and like how you tinkered with it to fine-tune it to get get it to a point where you’re like I

Trust these numbers and I trust what they’re telling me yeah 2002 is when I started doing it I started playing around with football analytics when nobody else was really doing it I was inspired by a book called the hidden game of football that came out in the

80s uh and then had a new edition in the 9s so I had the ’90s Edition you can actually go and buy that book now they republished it well I wrote the forward to the republication uh so that gave me the basic idea for success rate which was to

Judge plays based on the down and distance you know 45% of needed yards on first down so like five yards 60% on second down 100% on third or fourth down and then I added to that by comparing players to average because when I originally did it I ended up with Mike

OT as the best running back in the league that’s a good stat yeah yeah you should have ended right there but the is allot I mean the reason why allot came out so good is because he always gets the ball in situations where success is more likely like third and one right so

When I redid it by comparing to a baseline I ended up with priest Holmes as the best running back in the league and that made more sense you screwed up you screwed up you had it right with allar made it perfect yeah that’s that’s a good stat yeah uh you what you what

You accidentally did was you Quantified grit have you ever have you ever tried to make a stat to quantify the unquantifiable no man what I say is is uh intangibles are called intangibles because they are intangible I actually I kind of I kind of agree but I think that

Me and big cat could give you some parameters for like how to quantify grit like the number of wins a team has in colder weather like you have to wait cold weather games a little bit more you have to wait uh like the percentage of roster breakdown uh what players they have from

Like Pennsylvania and Ohio on each team yep that sort of thing uh the number of players that play injured too yep uniform colors uniform colors unform colors are very important black you need black yeah you can’t have candy ass you have the Dolphins like the Dolphins

They’re they do bad on our grit metric right but um what is dvoa plus oh oh I I’m not sure where you uh saw dvoa plus you should make a dvo dvoa plus weighted dvo I have a thing called weighted dvoa okay yeah which is um weighted towards

More recent games so it gives more strength to more recent games but yeah we could add grit I mean my favorite coaches are the coaches like Dan Campbell who are both analytically sound and want to rip your kneecaps off yeah yeah yeah they have the combo The

Perfect combo all right so talking about dvoa this year and and like I said we want to talk about the playoff matchups but what is the one team that did not make the playoffs that you were like they were way better than people realize and what’s the one team that’s in the

Playoffs that you’re like this is not the signs of a playoff team there wasn’t really a team like that this year that didn’t make the playoffs but was really good the closest is Jacksonville who finished 10th but they almost made the playoffs and they faded at the end uh I

Mean the Chargers were a little higher than you might expect um and the other way around there weren’t really any bad teams that made the playoffs the lowest team in dvoa that made the playoffs was Tampa Bay at 18th M so none of the teams that were

20th or below made the playoffs this year it’s actually kind of a weird year like that usually there’s like something like last year’s Vikings and Giants bad teams that make it anyway and there are really good teams that don’t make it because they don’t have a good enough

Record and this year that didn’t happen okay okay what about um what about against the spread I would like to harness the power of your brain for financial gain um if you look at the first round matchups is there one where the spread doesn’t really line up with

What the numbers say yeah the biggest one for me is Philadelphia and Tampa Bay I actually in my projections I have Tampa Bay very very slightly favored oh okay and I believe the line is Philadelphia by two and a half yeah it is if you if you look at the weighted

Numbers right that give more weight to recent games Tampa Bay is 15th Philadelphia is 21st they’ve just completely Fallen apart and I mean I you know it’s not ridiculous to think Philadelphia can win but I mean I think it’s kind of a 5050 shot and so given the line I would

Take Tampa or I’d buy the extra half a point and take Tampa plus three So when you say weighted like this is accounting for uh the team you’re playing because if you’re playing a bad team you’re obviously going to have more success is it it counts for the game situation I

Would assume like you know a blowout you you throw out those fourth quarters I downweight plays in the fourth quarter and blowouts yeah but when I specifically talk about weighted dvoa that means waited towards the end of the season okay okay that’s all right that’s that’s that makes sense I’m I’m an idiot

You you did say that so in terms of these playoff teams um we we like what are what are some red flags for certain teams like for example I know the Rams special team is like horrifically bad so like what are other red flags that you see in your numbers that people maybe

Don’t see or not expecting good or bad like this team is playing way better than people think think or this play Team this phase of the game they are struggling and this is going to be a red flag for them come uh January I mean some of these are things that people

Know like people know that the Packers defense has declined I think people know that the Texans can’t run the ball I think people know that the Chiefs are bad against the run that that’s a really interesting one because the Dolphins are third running the ball and the Chiefs

Are 27th against the run and you think it’s going to be so freezing cold you’re going to depend on the Run except the Dolphins don’t that’s not a power running game it’s like a misdirection and speed running game so I don’t know is that really better in the cold right

I don’t you know that’s finesse running yeah that’s finesse running um the Chiefs have definitely declined in the second half of the season I think everybody knows that about the offense but their defense has declined a little bit too in the second half of the season

Um the lions were number one in run defense oh which is like wow where did that come from like you don’t think of them as having the Personnel to be really good against the run and Kiren Williams was really good for the Rams this year so that’s like a

Really good matchup this year I also have some numbers that break down players like with blitzes versus not blitzes for example uh stoud CJ strad is not as good if you Blitz him and the Browns defense is insanely good when they Blitz 3.5 yards per play with a

Minus 45% dpoa when they blitz so they should Blitz drout okay okay what about the Browns offense it feels like Flaco stepping in you’ve seen a lot of the good Flaco he does have a couple of those interceptions where he’ll just say you know [ __ ] it and throw it downfield

Sometimes it works as almost kind of a punt so um in Flaco’s uh in his like example in particular do you wait uh interceptions based on you know a 30 yard interception that might back a defense up as opposed to you know somebody undercutting like a curl route

Yeah a good example is Josh Allen this year right Josh Allen had a lot of interceptions but a lot of them were either on fourth down right where if it’s an incomplete and an interception are no different or they were like deep interceptions and yeah because what I do

Is I measure interceptions based on where the line of scrimmage is and where the ball went and what’s the average return based on that right because if you throw interception at the line of scrimmage those are more likely to be returned as a pick six than if you

Launch it downfield for 40 yards so yeah we weigh interceptions based on like how long they go okay so with the Browns in their case their defense as you mentioned incredible especially when they Blitz um they’re offense seems to be serviceable that seems to be doing enough is there a historical comparison

To these Browns that could tell you that they have the ability to make the Super Bowl sure I mean a good historical comparison would be the 2000 Ravens M yeah right um the 2000 Ravens defense is not as good in the regular season as people think it is once you adjust for

Who their opponents were that year uh they were fantastic against the run but they didn’t have a lot of sacks but they had a serviceable offense and the defense got hot in the playoffs and played better than it had in the regular season and was like insane in the Super

Bowl and they won it all so I mean that would be a good comparison for this year’s Browns do you have so like I know kenpom who does college basketball analytics he always has like here’s a list of 10 teams that historically are able to win the title it’s never

Deviated from that do you have a list of teams that they have to be this this and this in the three phases of the game and we’ve never had a winner outside of that no because there have been some weird ones in the last 20 years one of the

Interesting things is I have dvoa going back to 1981 the the top teams from 81 to 2000 were more likely to win the Super Bowl than the top teams from 2001 till now and you’ve had teams like the 2007 Giants and the 2011 Giants that if you

Tried to create some sort of Baseline and say you have to be this tall to ride the Super Bowl right they wouldn’t be that tall right basically okay so it’s hard to say that like even the best teams in dvoa don’t win the Super Bowl

Often as you think they should a lot of them lost in the divisional round like the 87 49ers and the 2010 Patriots and the 29 Ravens who are a little bit of a cautionary tale for Ravens fans yeah that’s interesting you mentioned the uh the Niners as being the best team in

Terms of offensive dvoa uh what is the best team in terms of defensive dvoa we have Baltimore number one at minus 23 and Cleveland number two at minus 21 okay okay so Baltimore um can you talk to us a little bit about Baltimore because it seems like their offense is

Different it’s much different from the 2019 team that you mentioned so it’s interesting because Lamar Jackson was more efficient as a passer in 2019 but film Watchers will tell you that he’s better as a passer this year like as far as like progressing off his first read and not necessarily scrambling first

Thing that he’s a better passer this year interesting yeah so so the Ravens Elite on defense how is offense their offense was fourth but that includes the storm game with Tyler huntler play hun Tyler Huntley playing if you uh before week 18 they were second okay okay all

Right so and then now going back real quick to special teams because I do I’m always fascinated with it especially in January playoff football because it feels like a lot of people forget special teams and then you see it in in playoff football it’s like here’s a Mis

Kick or here’s you know even like the 49ers Giants uh uh NFC Championship game where they fumbled a bunch of punts so who is uh the best and the worst special teams units going into these playoffs that we can be like this is an edge that people aren’t probably seeing the best special

Teams unit this year was Philadelphia oh okay although historically they were not as good as the best special teams unit usually is but Jake Elliot the kicker is very good yep and the worst by far by far was the Rams yeah the Rams were the sixth worst special teams unit in dvoa

History like really bad punting punt coverage and the field goal kicking I mean they’ve changed field goal kickers like 137 times yeah uh they’re special teams like it almost cost them against the Giants it absolutely cost them the game against the Ravens right punt return and touchdown and overtime uh

Their special teams are terrible yeah and so would you say like this is it would be a statistical anomaly if the ra if the Rams figur out way to win this Super Bowl because in a Four game playoff because they don’t have a buy at some point that’s going to rear its ugly

Head it’s going to show up and it’s going to show up in a bad way yeah I would say it’s likely that that will happen at some point along the way also their defense is not good their defense is like 22nd right so as great as their

Offense has been for the last few weeks and it has been really good for the last few weeks the defense is me and the special teams are terrible and it’s really hard to make it through four wins like that yeah so the lions run defense you said is number one which is that’s

Very surprising to me to hear because well I know their defense is bad but maybe their pass defense is just astronomically bad so what is their pass defense ranked their pass defense is 16th on the season but it’s 25th since week 10 oh okay oh right Gary Jacobs in

Particular just fell apart okay okay in terms of um like an underrated uh individual player in these playoffs somebody that might not be you know household name Superstar but is there somebody that jumps out to you as being like hey statistically this guy is actually playing very very well right

Now uh oh that’s tough um because a lot of the players that are coming to mind are guys that everybody knows I mean I think not everybody knows how good Kiren Williams was this year the Rams running back yep um I think people don’t realize how good Levante David the linebacker

From Tampa Bay is we have a stat that we keep called defeats which is a basically it means Splash plays turnovers tackles for loss plays that prevent a third or fourth down conversion and David is like in the top five every year of his career and this year he’s like sixth or seventh

Even though he’s older like he’s still really really good that’s a that’s a good one that that people don’t have come to mind can we talk real quick now full disclosure we are um big Josh Allen guys friend friends with him we get criticized a lot because people watch

The game and he does have one or two interceptions feels like a game where people like he stinks we don’t think he stinks what do your numbers say in terms of uh how Josh Allen is overall taking into account that he will turn the ball over yeah so I have a very interesting

History with Josh Allen because the method that we used to project quarterbacks from college hated him and at my old site we said some mean things about him when he was a prospect and said that he basically had a 2% chance to become good and he did yeah really good I love

What you’re able to do you’re like my numbers said this yeah computer rankings I said it and rivers Macau wrote mean things about him in our book and like he he he won man he came out and was awesome and he absolutely is awesome despite the interceptions like I

Said the interceptions that Allen throws are for the most part not as bad because they tend to be downfield or on fourth down and we don’t talk about the fact that he had the lowest sack rate of any quarterback this year right those are negative plays too and he doesn’t take a

Lot of sacks so like he was in quarterback value I think we had him third this year in total quarterback value including passing and running or he may have been second and unlike Brock perie he’s not helped by the scheme and the teammates in the same way right

There’s this General sense that you plug anyone into San Francisco’s offense and they wouldn’t be as good as pery but they’d be good right and that’s not true of the Buffalo offense and so Allen does so much more of it on his own it’s a really interesting thing at the top of

The league right now because you have this group of quarterbacks that are definitely helped Along by scheme and talent Tua goth herie and then you have this group of guys who are like really do it on their own momes Allen Lamar Jackson Dak Prescott oh that’s that’s

Interesting so yeah I I we’re going to clip this and just and to shove this in everyone’s face next time Josh throws an interception because this is is good to know because it does feel like those quarterbacks that can win in spite sometimes are the ones that are winning

Super Bowls where it’s like they can they can kind of carry everyone it’s not they’re there they’re doing a good job but if things start to fall apart they fall apart pretty quickly as well yeah I mean Diggs declined a little bit this year you know and they had conc but you

You look at the receivers that he has right look I don’t think the receivers that he has are as good as the receivers that Lamar Jackson has in Baltimore when everybody’s healthy right yeah right he has Odell Beckham and he has Z flowers and he has baitman and um you know when

Andrews is healthy and likely is pretty good and uh you know Buffalo he’s got conc and he’s got Diggs but digs declined a little bit this year and Shakir is you know has his talents but he’s not like a great receiver and Gabe Davis is pretty material so yeah yeah we

Always talk about flipping the switch which teams can like flip that switch in the playoffs and it feels like the Chiefs always get discussed in that conversation except for this year this year everyone has kind of written them off is there a a historical example of a

Team that’s able to just flip the switch get from really bad to really good without I’m not talking about adding like a key player having a key player come back from injury at a time is there an example of a team just like turning it on in the

Playoffs yeah I mean there are a lot of examples in history of teams that didn’t have their best regular season in the year they won a championship a really good example is the 2012 Ravens like the 2012 Ravens were better in the regular season in the years before and after

That year but flacko got hot and their defense played much better in the playoffs than it had in the regular season and they flipped the switch and they went on a run and they won the whole thing yeah so it absolutely happens like as much as my numbers love

The Ravens and 49ers ahead of everyone else there’s definitely a chance that one of these other teams does it that they flip the switch and they just go on a four- game Run where they play really well and they win it all what’s your favorite like statistical anomaly like

That in terms of super past Super Bowl winners where you’re like did you actually know that this Super Bowl winner like they’re they were their defense was not Elite and they did they did flip the Swit I mean I’m a Patriots fan so my favorite not as good Super Bowl winner is the

2001 Patriots that’s you know that was very early in my football fandom days and it was a wonderful experience they had never won before and Boston hadn’t won a title in anything in years and uh that was fantastic the the team that really stands out though is the 2008

Arizona Cardinals even though they didn’t win at all at the end uh because that team is the worst dvoa team to ever make the super Super Bowl in part because they played a game in the snow in New England late in the season where they got killed by like 40 points like I

Always think of it as the game where the Patriots won by so much that I went out to shovel snow in the second half and didn’t even watch it because the game was so one-sided and yet Arizona bounced back and made it to the Super Bowl and

Nearly won the Super Bowl it also was a game that probably made CT Warner hate outdoor football yeah he wants a dome everywhere and now it makes sense yeah okay so this is all fascinating you you mentioned you you do some draft stuff like I know you probably aren’t finished

With everything but right now like kale Williams Drake May Jaden Daniels what are your your numbers saying in terms of success haven’t done any of it yet unfortunately I don’t have an answer for you I do know that the film people that I tend to trust are higher on Jaden

Daniels than I think the rest of the public is right now okay and I know that it matters that Michael KX is older mhmh right like the fact that he’s what has he played six years in college like that matters when you compare him to a guy

Who’s got three or four years because the the amount of development space that he has in the NFL is going to be less because he’s coming into the league older right okay interesting so um what is what’s the next stat up what’s a number that me and big cat should know

And talk about so that we can feel smarter than everybody else I mean everything that NFL NextGen stats is doing is pretty awesome and um I love Sam schwartzstein and the Thursday night Amazon Prime nextg stats uh broadcast and the Big Data bow competition this year is about tackling

And trying to measure tackling better than just number of tackles so there’s going to be some really interesting stuff that comes out of that during the combine the other stat I would say is Kevin Cole who used to work for Pro Football Focus and now does his own thing called unexpected points on

Substack has a really cool plus minus metric that’s based on like grouping players it’s complicated statistical analysis but allows him to compare the value of players at different positions to each other including like offense comparing offensive linemen to skill players when you’re talking about offensive player of the year which is

Very hard to do so I would say to check out Kevin’s blog unexpected points and his plus minus stat that is a pretty awesome stat yeah I like the idea that so we we could actually end up in a world where we could put Trent Williams next to Patrick Mahomes and say like

Which is the better player yeah although first of all quarterbacks just because they touch the ball on every play quarterbacks will always come out as the most valuable players in the league and U this year pan su he has pan suul as the top offensive lineman partly because

Williams missed a couple of games yeah okay um what about quarterback wins actually I’ll I’ll I’ll adjust that question a little bit what about uh can you talk about quarterback rating the quarterback rating system that we’ve all grown up with goes up to 158.3 I think

As the perfect game do they just invent that are they is there some guy that’s just watching TV and he’s like that feels like 147 game what goes into quarterback rating and is it a valuable stat for anybody to pay yeah the problem with quarterback rating is that it is

Built to measure quarterbacks in the 1970s not quarterbacks now and the game has changed quarterbacks have higher completion rates lower yards per attempt they throw fewer interceptions so the like numbers the way the numbers work in quarterback rating that’s why when you look at lists of best quarterback rating

Ever it’s like Steve Young and then all modern quarterbacks right because it’s not designed to it’s not designed to measure modern quarterbacks and on top of that it doesn’t include sacks and it doesn’t include rushing and it’s not adjusted for opponent so there’s a lot of reasons

Why other Advanced stats are better to use than passer rating What’s um what’s the the the best team to lose the Super Bowl I assume it would be the 18-1 Patriots but if yeah what’s the second best team then just so we can give a ring to someone some fan base that that

Should have deserved one the second best team that lost the Super Bowl I I I know the second best team that didn’t uh the best team that didn’t make it to the Super Bowl is the 2010 Patriots who lost to the Jets in the divisional round in the

Uh Wes Welker joked about uh Rex Ryan foot fetish and got suspended for the first quarter game uh I think that the best team in dvoa that lost the Super Bowl is the 1983 Washington Redskins oh look at there another ring there we go another

Ring bft love the team that lost to the Raiders but they were like really really good during the regular season and that was a very surpris that was a really surprising Super Bowl yeah I think Marcus Allen just ran through her face in that game ridiculous Hunter S

Thompson wrote a whole thing about it it was painful um what’s the best team I think I know the answer to this actually but um what’s the best team in terms of dvoa that has not even made the playoffs going back to 1981 the best team that missed the playoffs was the

2004 Buffalo Bills oh oh we thought it was going to be the Chargers where they were number one number I think they were number one they were really good on offense and defense and their special teams cost it for them no because in part because I’m measuring special teams

But U the best teams that missed the playoffs are the 2004 bills and then like a bunch of those dick verile Chiefs years huh interesting that’s interesting they were number one in defense and special teams that year they went into week 17 and all they had to do was beat

The Pittsburgh backups to make the playoffs and they couldn’t do it they lost to Tommy Maddox and Willie Parker oh so what about the Steelers this year the Steelers I feel like they broke everybody’s brain because they you know they were getting out gained and they

Were finding a way to win games somehow they had inconsistent quarterback play inconsistent offense just across the board in general but what do your stats tell you about uh the mo more recent version of the Pittsburgh Steelers are they a legit playoff team like do they

Deserve to be in this play in these playoffs yeah they do dvoa likes Pittsburgh more than other metrics do this year in part because the opponent adjustments they played a really really hard schedule of defenses in the first half when their offense sucked so bad so overall for the season they actually

Come out 15th on offense and then sixth on defense oh okay so they’re definitely like in that grouping with like Cincinnati and Jacksonville missing the Playoffs but Houston and Green Bay making the playoffs and they’re definitely a legit playoff team they’re a legit 10 and seven it’s not it’s not

Like they’re like 25th and snuck in somehow yeah they’re going up against the bills n and a half Point underdogs is that is that about right yeah with TJ watt out I mean uh if you ask me who I would take in that game I would take

Steelers plus n and a half it’s hard to quite quantify just how much it means to lose TJ watt but I do feel like because the bills are so inconsistent there’s a reasonable chance that they’re going to win but they’re going to win you know they’re going to

Make it closer than it needs to be right and that’s a pretty big line but yeah when you take TJ watt off the Steelers and and the fact is picket was a little bit better than Rudolph huh once you once you adjust for the schedule we’ve

Been saying that yeah we have the Ste are not quite as good yeah as they were earlier in the year so this has been this has been fascinating Aaron we really appreciate your time I have one last question it’s a rowback question rhob bac.com promo code take 20% off

Your first purchase qips polos hoodies joggers shorts we definitely going to have you back on because I could I could listen to these numbers and an explanation of the game all day so my last question to you is we know the Ravens and the 49ers what do your

Numbers say as the team that uh the third team that’s like hey this team people are maybe not talking about them because it is all Ravens 49ers right now we do that a lot with the one seed but what is that third team the number two teams in each conference are pretty

Clearly Buffalo and Dallas okay well that be not just the number two seeds but the number two teams by both dvoa and waited towards the end of the season dvoa um are definitely Buffalo and Dallas so if somebody’s going to win this thing other than San Francisco or

Baltimore it’s probably going to be Buffalo or Dallas and there’s a good chance that Dallas breaks that ridiculous streak of not making it to conference Championship game since 1995 or whatever it is yeah that would be quite the Super Bowl oh my God that would be incredible yeah I I almost feel

Bad for Bill’s fans in advance of that yeah that would be that would be tough to mentally get ready for that I talked to a Cowboys guy did a Cowboys podcast and they were talking about what would be the most emotionally satisfying path for the Cowboys and he was like we want

To go to the Super Bowl and play the bills again like we want that’s that’s meaningful to Cowboys fans they want the bills again that’s mean yeah is like what the heck you don’t that’s not that’s not satisfying you’ve already gotten your satisfactory no I mean the satisfactory thing I would assume would

Be to beat the Ravens or to beat the maybe the Chiefs beat Patrick Mahomes in super that’s what I thought was to beat the Ravens because the Ravens were so good this year but he felt like um it would be more meaningful because the history that they have that’s so mean

That’s chicken [ __ ] on Dallas yeah he just knows they’ll win because just history tells us they’ll win um all right well Aaron thank you so much we really appreciate it man uh everyone go follow ashot NFL on Twitter uh the ftn fantasy uh Network so thanks

So much for your appreciate it and it was it was great talking to you yeah man it was really great to do the show ftn fantasy.com dvoa that’s where you find all my stuff and then like you said Twitter and threads and all the social networking sites awesome sounds thanks

Aaron Aaron chat is brought to you by pelaton you can forget the noise and pressure around Fitness at New Year’s start in a way that works for you I didn’t know that pelaton was coming back as an Advertiser this week I got back on the pelaton two days ago I’m on two-day

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Started with pelon’s New Year offers head to One peleton.com deals terms apply that’s one peleton.com deals okay firest the week before we do that Stephen A Smith versus Jason Whitlock was incredible listen to me you fat bastard it was great Stephen A Smith having to say that he had to call

Everyone in his life his Pastor yeah so before he he went in on Jason Whitlock he talked to his Pastor asked in advance for forgiveness for the rant he was about to do he talked to uh every female in his life and apologized in advance he

Talked to his family and then he just talked yeah he talked to God yeah he’s like Lord forgive me for what I’m about to do but this this fat bastard is just too fat yeah it was incredible just went in on him and I Jason Whitlock is like

Stephen A Smith didn’t play college basketball or something I don’t know yeah J Jason had a lot of things to say say about Stephen A Smith yeah so uh credit Stephen A Smith for holding his tongue all these years and then just unloading oh he also he called like the

ESPN Executives and said yeah hey just so you know pre-apologize I’m I’m sorry for what I’m about to say but uh man it was a good podcast yeah yeah uh okay Hank firefest uh yeah my fire Fest is that I am not going to Dallas this weekend Oh

No I was invited you can you guys gave me permission I looked I looked at flights they were expensive the weather is a little wonky also the hotel Factory you don’t have anywhere to stay I was worried about uh getting out and getting back didn’t want to miss too much work

It was a Sunday I always kind of said if it was a Saturday I’d go and then the fact that it you know was a Sunday game kind of threw off my plans yeah you would never miss work no and I’m doing dry January I’m locked in I’m preparing

For this stand up I’m I’m I’m training and and practicing my routine very hard so I don’t want to ruin that by going to Dallas getting wasted doing the whole thing it’s G to be a blowout game anyway what’s the whole thing who’s gonna blow out who the Cowboys are gonna blow out

The Packers oh okay cowboy’s going to win next Saturday back door cover be in Dallas no it’s going to be cover to cover next Saturday be in Dallas that’s the plan if the game is next Saturday if the game when the game is next Saturday Okay most likely be Sunday

No just okay sorry sorry sorry all right PF we’re ruin for you Hank yeah for the Cowboys for no for you personally actually yeah I am rooting for the Cowboys this week thank you I’m not I’m 100% rooting for the Cowboys this week uh my firefest is pretty

Simple Blake has diarrhea and so uh I haven’t been sleeping much the last couple nights because in the middle of the night he’ll just wake me up because he’s whining and so I have to let him outside and then I have to sit there and

The worst part about it is uh it’s very cold outside so you let them out and then you have to keep checking on him and he just gets in that stance you know like you know the poop diarrhea stance and he’s already [ __ ] out everything that he caning but he’s trying to [ __ ]

Out more and he won’t come inside and so I have to just stand there in my pajamas out on the porch being like come on Blake you’re not [ __ ] anymore there’s nothing there um but he’s okay he’s fine I’m so sorry that you’re you didn’t get to sleep through the night

Yeah I know it’s it stinks like can you imagine waking up in the middle of the night because something that you take care of has to poop it’s the [ __ ] worst my son has a bathroom in his room and uh he shares it with his brother but

He comes in at 3 in the morning every single night because he says he likes my bathroom more yeah it’s probably better but yeah Blake is like I like your bathroom more my bathroom stinks but he just he likes it you know what the crazy thing is is Blake doesn’t have

Diarrhea during the day you got to just not like it sucks but you just got to not feed your dog for a day not feed him for a little that’s that’s the only way it’s rice and just don’t give any food for a day yeah he’s just got an upset Tommy and then

It’s just you hear the first wine and you’re like okay I’m going to be up for the next hour yeah that sucks yeah I feel bad for you yeah um my firefest I’m not going to Clay Travis myself here because thankfully my daughter doesn’t have this but I forgot totally about

Lice there’s a lice outbreak after school I completely forgot that lice exist yeah how come we haven’t figured that out I don’t know I like I was I got the email I was like wait [ __ ] oh yeah lice everybody had us so scared back in elementary school like don’t share a hat

With somebody don’t put your don’t put your uh uh backpack in a sandbox the sand sand like lice can live in sand oh I didn’t know that yeah so that was the big thing like if you put anything in a sand box the lice can jump around in

There what do you have to do if they get lice do you shave their heads no I think you just got to get the special soap okay yeah I think they have soap but I just did you guys remember lice exists no I forgot about lice that’s just

Another thing I got to worry about lice yeah [ __ ] kindergarten of course you did you probably have right now you sick I mean you’re the one who’s going to bring lice lice to this office oh I’m going to start doing headbutts with every I did I was thinking a lice outbreak partial

Sports would be very fun oh that would I should actually go to my daughter’s it would be very fun I should go to her school and just start you know just rubbing my head on every kid that be weird that would be good yeah yeah you

Should do that that’d be weird uh but yeah lice exist I had no idea I I I thought that was something we fixed like Chicken Box don’t exists anymore yeah they all get the shot right I have a scar I’m B my eyebrow for what chickenpox oh yeah but like that we

Figured that one out yeah polio doesn’t exist is there a lace vaccine I how the [ __ ] you haven’t gotten rid of lice I don’t know someone figure it out lice should not be a thing anymore [ __ ] lice someone’s gonna be like well the ecosystem or something yeah what do lice

Do they’re parasites no they do nothing how do they even start where do you get them from I don’t know where do they start when a when a growing little kid’s hair when a l and another Lous love each other very much they make baby lice I’m

Going to do a little quick that’s where the term lousy comes from lousy yeah cuz an individual lice is a louse and so if you say someone’s lousy it means you’re dirty lice you’re musty lice are [ __ ] gross pieces of [ __ ] yeah [ __ ] Li we’re anti- podcast Li

Are bed bugs one’s got to go bug cuz Li are really they are just like a little kid’s problem bed bugs can very easy solution I think you have to put that shampoo in like twice and you’re done yeah did you see that there was uh somebody I think they went viral

On Tik Tok that went across Europe and um they were just spreading bed bugs like a real life Joker they would just check into hotels and then put bed bugs on the mattress I saw there was like an outbreak in Paris or something yeah yeah it’s because this one person this one

[ __ ] jeez another good reason not to go to France I’m looking at light right now they’re gross [ __ ] gross all right Jake um so my fire Fest is I’m going to be at a wedding during the dolphin game but I might not be because I might be stuck

Here because of the snowstorm yeah so welcome to Chicago it’s either a canceled flight or watching the dolphin game at a wedding yeah I’m beginning to understand why people get fat it’s just you you don’t go anywhere yeah we got a week coming up that’s going to suck in

The winter time it’s like you stay inside you eat food you drink beer but we don’t really have an excuse cuz we work in a gymnasium it’s true like that is the one thing that like if we worked in our old office with the weather we’re

Going to have next week I would be very upset but I like when I get upset I’m like oh let me just shoot some threes Monday high of negative one Tuesday high of negative2 yeah so shoot some threes yeah just shoot some threes uh okay good show boys tight

Show very tight oh do we have enough time to talk about eagles bucks bball three hours uh 40 eight 71 18 20 three 21 99 pug come on pug what the hell is it unplugged no 43 43 by the way I was at the Blackhawks game on Tuesday night and we had taped

Earlier and I hope that the awls who I met they’re like they try they guess a lottery ball is like tell all your friends 10 I hope they got money off that I should start we should start trading that early just a secret society where we just tell people yeah that’s

Good that rule love you guys

46 Comments

  1. You guys are really kissing Stephen As ass for just insulting someone and not addressing a single thing they pointed out 😂 between Peloton sponsors and boot licking I’m surprised you haven’t publicly endorsed Pfizer

  2. PMT before the superbowl is understandably stale. The whole cast is on twitter 24/7, they've already read all the takes, all the breaking news, placed their bets. Now you expect them to be funny? They've worked so hard all week. Can't wait for the first PMT after the superbowl where they stop pretending to enjoy being a football show.

  3. I knew the lowest DVOA was NY jets before he said it, I’m a jets fan 🤣🤣

  4. PFT and Big Cat teaching Hank how to be a loser (draft order, "mutual parting" coach firing, hiring a GM) is the best new development on the show

  5. Thanks for the upload boys! I hope anyone who reads this has a good day. You’re not alone.

  6. 2010 jets vs patriots divisional was also the first time Brady lost a playoff game in foxborough

  7. AWL’s, This episode proves Max doesn’t know ball. Can’t even locker room talk about the Eagles. Max ain’t built by Philly.

  8. Why am I only finding this show now, cancel your dumb pick show sponsored by Chevy, with two def players that don’t know where there are on a given day, bring in the jersey Jerry for this show, wtf cancel all that other dumb shit

  9. Crazy crazy idea. There was a report that Andy Reid might retire after the season. What if Belichick went to the chiefs. 🤯

  10. As a fan of PMT and the Pro Football Football show, why didn't anyone catch Big Cat's slip up about Dolphins vs Bills last year, Tua didn't play it was Sky Thompson

  11. Got the lotto nearly went with 28 but then everyone went low 36 had a pull but ultimately 43 felt cozy. Bout choked on my cheese stick

  12. Max is wild. To have a coach that took you to the Superbowl last yr and be willing to move on from him this quick is wild

  13. What’s funny is that Mike Smith is the best Falcons coach of the past 20 years besides Kyle Shanahan but the Falcons didn’t keep either

  14. Max needs to check his role, when PFT asks a question, you answer. When the button is ready to be pressed, you press it.

  15. Jetski painting behind PFT is literally just typing "Fat Boston Connor with small sunglasses, wearing a shirt, on a Jetski" into an AI image generator

  16. I think Bill would like to coach in the NFL to get the all time win record. But he would have to surrender control of the roster which will be a major ego check for a man in his 70s

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