Golf Players

2024 American Express Picks, Bets, One and Done | Rory Gags, Sponsors Leaving | 2024 Sony Open Recap



Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2024 American Express Picks and recapping the 2024 Sony Open.

Get 20% off https://www.fantasynational.com/mayo with code “MAYO”
Join Mayo Media Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/

American Express RAKE FREE DraftKings Listener League: https://bit.ly/24AMEXPMEDKLL

RUN THE SIMS PROPS SNIPER PACKAGE (Code “MAYO” for 10% OFF): https://www.runthesims.com/mayo
Code “MAYO” 10% OFF at Ship It Nation: https://shipitnation.com/?aff=Thepme
Sub to the Mayo Media Network: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
Use code DOP at Prize Picks for a deposit match up to $100: https://bit.ly/DOPPrizePicks

#FantasyGolf #DraftKings #GolfPicks #SonyOpen #AmericanExpress

SHOW INDEX

00:00 Intro
1:13 Sony Open Recap
23:59 Rory/Sponsors
29:01 Amex
37:39 Top Odds
50:17 50+
1:06:51 Quick Picks
1:12:38 One and Done

FACTOR MEALS — Head to FACTORMEALS.com/Mayo50 and use code MAYO to get 50% off. That’s code MAYO at FACTORMEALS.com/Mayo50 to get 50% off!

Squarespace — Go to squarespace.com for a free trial, and when you’re ready to launch, go to squarespace.com/MAYO to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain.

Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
Google: http://bit.ly/GooglePodPME

Pat Mayo Twitter: https://twitter.com/ThePME
Pat Mayo Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ThePME
Pat Mayo Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thepme/

And it’s a very good marketing campaign for sober January you got Chris Kirk now sober wins Grayson Murray now sober he ends up winning so who’s not drinking this week let’s go with that guy and I was wasted yesterday experienceat experience bat experience bat experience experience welcome to the pat

Mayo experience American Express picks bets one and done plus a Sony Open recap so you good people out there smash the like to the episode and sub to Mayo media Network additionally what I need you to do is subscribe to the Mayo media newsletter it’s completely free it’s

Down in the description if you’re just watching this somewhere else go to substack Mayo media Network you can find it that way as well that is where Mike Hol is going to live every single week for the foreseeable future I hav put a quick lookout for the or the quick quick

Preview for the American Express out there already but I need your help sharing it around only because people don’t know where to find it now because it’s in there it’s not super SEO friendly when it’s in a substack newsletter but that’s where it’s going to live for the moment It’ll Get Set

Directly to you and again it’s completely free Jeff fineberg on the line with me benan broke your heart didn’t he yeah I look weathered it’s not really benan I I just got deep into the sauce I I had a good D up been am related like I was deep into it uh you

Know deep into it with some buddies enjoying the football winning bets and that was just a fun sweat but two second places to start the year with Ben and and sahit is like a kick in the nuts because I feel like I could have seen them both

Winning like they both left it out there and I don’t know I feel like there’s a moment on an overnight past the first round where I three guys who are the favorites and Davis an and Kirk but then there was a moment where I like hated myself because I swear on was

My final pick um I reluctantly made him my one and done less so reluct I reluctantly bet him and that was over Keegan and that decision was nothing to do with odds like I never bet Keegan why start now um so I was hating myself on so many fronts and then Grayson takes

It I don’t know that was a big kick in the nuts cuz I saw so many people had on so many people had Keegan I don’t know usually we’re a little weather we’re deeper into the year before I don’t know get face planted that hard in golf but H I know

You won big so congrats thank you and I I’ll review it with Tambo on the Draft Kings show on Tuesday I won the $5 on DraftKings which was really nice I saw that the lineup would have come in second in the big 20 for 15,000 bucks

But I wasn’t going to play 35 lineups into the $20 so I don’t ever get rattled about things like that but it wasn’t just me I ended up winning was it 5,700 bucks you know that’s tax-free American money so in Canadian dollars that’s like you know 7500 or something like that

Taxfree which is always really nice but Sam viewer of the show ended up winning the big 250 uh at for or I guess he was in for 750 three lineups in the 251 20K that’s amazing uh Paul’s buddy and viewer of the show Maddie ended up playing a

$25 20 person to make the cut parlay how much did he win Paul 32 Grand 32 Grand shut out Maddie it’s amazing what oh 20 that is crazy uh good for everybody I might have sounded like somber when I congratulated you cuz I said people are going to think

Like I’m not actually happy I’m happy I’m when people win I’m happy doing this for fun Stakes are low early in the year I’m not gonna whatever but I after been on M the putt pad I irresponsibly like tripled down on the Rams plus the points

Ah see we got a gift with that too because I don’t feel like the ram should have covered that game but more on that on the spread pick show we I know but that’s like what Piza tells you exactly what not to do like just be

Like of the emotional I’m not I’m trying not to bet on a Monday morning emotionally but after that golf tournament ended I made an emotional bet so I guess I’m happy that came through but yeah credit all you guys big Winners and Tambo hit another ticket uh you

Bringing you guys bringing home the American monies yeah Paul came top 10 open you in the nuts no playoff result changed your result like you were just watching that like you know as us Keegan and on folk were you know thinking we’re in trouble this Grayson hits the palm

Tree on one drive he gets a a great lie on a drop on the other 18 like oh oh my god when I relive it I get a little annoyed well I’m not annoyed until I actually relive it and then Ben in on sa Saturday on 18 what a [ __ ] well there’s

A few things that I wanted to get to uh one I said because you know I’m C rich now at least temporarily uh I I cashed out most of that money um because that’s what I do on DraftKings I like to have a set amount that I have in there at all

Times and anything above that it’s almost like my gambling accounts once I get two two up um it goes back into like my just gambling account where it stays and you know if I have to reup I reup from that account but just I have to get

It off of there before I spend it all uh that’s always been a good strategy for me over the years but I have two winners to give away I said anyone that retweet retweeted the tweet that I put out uh that I would do that and I said you know

You probably want to use fantasy national.com Mayo for 20% off because that’s how I did it uh Vince puso is one of the winners I sent you a DM on the X machine shout out Vince long time long time I recognize that one long time V pulo 8 on X and

Then Dale who just has one name Dale he’s like [ __ ] P we got DG Wildcats one you are also a winner of 100 bucks so I sent you both DMS shoot me your PayPal I’ll PayPal you 100 bucks that’s how this works so thank you all very

Much for sharing around that I did well because that’s how I sell subscriptions to Fantasy National so it’s working so you know I’ve covered the 200 bucks already Paul just sent me a picture of his friend’s ticket I haven’t read a book that long since the seventh grade

Like on I listen to them on audio now but I would have thought that’s fake I swear to God if someone tweeted I mean like that’s fake what is that they would would let you make like I feel like they’d even cut you off out a certain

Like number of legs like holy sh yeah 32,000 $ 32,8 3.34 off the $25 bet that’s amazing but the that’s like Jericho’s list of moves the 104 or 10,4 like we’ll have to go to commercial break and come back and we’ll still be reading it yeah like what [Laughter]

Wow how much Paul I mean I I don’t recall who finished at minus two and who finished at minus three as the cut came along but I assume that he got this win because Poston missed that putt on the 36th Hole uh it was what Damon Damon yeah

Damon sorry yeah he had Eric coleon there so you needed the minus two to happen so here’s the thing that I didn’t want to complain about Jeff if the cut is minus three and not minus two I win way more money on DraftKings way more that sucks can I ask one more

Question about this ticket did he leave because he’s got a lot of the chalk I mean that’s not a complaint that’s just um you’re complaining the guy the the guy hits a 2,000 to one t you’re like played too much chalk no no no I want to make a joke that ties back

To our orbit did is he like in the orbit did he leave Fitzpatrick off because Tim made him as oneand done or that was just random or a hunch let go didn’t like him okay yeah I know look like it’s all the incredible ticket I don’t know if he’s a full-blown andercust

Believer okay yeah no that was my um that was my thought because like I was thinking like which chop could have blown up this ticket obviously he didn’t have it um incredible shout out Maddie well that just means I need to bet mty Schmid this week I wanted I wanted to

Reason two anyway and I think this is going to be my reason does Maddie like the bills like does he need to cash out before he goes heavy on a Monday afternoon football game after he just won 30k like okay so out of it so I did sort of like

A live cut sweat because my wife went out on Friday night so I was at home with the kids it’s like oh it’s Friday night at 9900 p.m. what am I going to do it’s like oh I’ll tune into the Sony then they go off air I’m just like um

Everything just started breaking right for me needed R cuz I thought it was going to be minus three I think data golf had it set at minus three like 90% or something like that because number nine and number 18 are the two easiest holes on the course you can make Eagle

You can make birdie at over a 50% clip so if that had just gone through and people had done that the people coming down the stretch the cut would have been minus three so I was tweeting it out Rose ends up saving his ass making a

15ot par putt on 17 then making the birdie out of the bunker on like an 11f footer so I was like oh this just th things are just absolutely break breaking exactly how I need them to break but then to get to minus three and

Then Damon gets to 18 he has 4 feet to push the cut so he eliminates like Connor and Eric Cole and a lot of like the big chalk on DraftKings and just I had none of them none of these guys at minus two I didn’t have any of them I

Don’t think I did none of the big ones my bigger lineups at least anyway and Damon just pushes it that I saw him take to Twitter uh the next morning be like yeah everyone owes me a few beers on this one do you think he intentionally missed the putet no I

Don’t me um I don’t no I don’t even think that but I think those guys they’re so jokes and they care about everything that they walk around the locker room like they they’ll to guys to their face that you owe me like 4K like I just let you play the weekend

Like pay the [ __ ] up as a joke yeah so so that’s what happened in the cut sweat I had a lot of fun putting it out and just the one thing I will say to people now I appreciate that you’re engaged with me when I’m going through this but

Like I’m clearly following along with everything that’s going on you don’t need to update me on older tweets of what’s happening because I’m doing it all in real time in terms of a thread like yeah I know that Alex SMY like [ __ ] off and like I I put that out in

The Ether I know that he had a 60 foot putt for Eagle like I put that out in The Ether you don’t also need to tell me that at the same time but you know people get excited Jeff so I can’t complain they’re excited they like engaging with I don’t know that’s like

Part of like doing something that’s actually getting engaged with like that’s part of it right yeah like you know what I’m trying to say but that’s just part of it I’m sure the engagement people are just enjoying it I’m sure that the engagement just helps out the

Visibility too I just want to throw that out there so we go to the weekend uh I thought I was sitting pretty good because I think benam was the betting favorite going into the weekend and then it was Chris Kirk and Cam Davis two guys

That I had Chris Kirk I don’t know what happened to his magic putter but it went away I I think he was like third in approach for the week and he lost around the greens like three Strokes lost three Strokes on the green I’m sure most of

Them came on Sunday and like I took a look at the board because there were seven guys within I think it was seven strokes of the lead like everyone who had made the cut and some of these odds were crazy I ended up reupping on Nick

Taylor with the top five each way I knew I should have done the top 10 at 275 to he ended up coming in seventh he just needed one more stroke he needed two more and it’s funny those two strokes were he missed a 5- foot Eagle on number

9 on Sunday and then he missed uh he had the par putt for 5 feet and blew that on like 14 that was I mean that was my week right there it would have been like a five six chop for the top five but it would have been well worth it because

There were Chasers like you knew that the Chasers were going to come the moment that the wind died down as Paul kind of pointed out to me before the show like this is one of the best finishes in a while like it was thrilling guys just went nuclear for a

While you had that stretch of four holes where everyone was making birdies and Eagles and then you get to the you get the nerves like 17 is a tough hole it’s a long par three and then even on 18 if you don’t hit the Fairway you might end

Up like Keegan and just have the world’s shittiest lie uh and I feel like just running it back in my head we we seem to get exciting finishes here on the regular a lot of it has to do I think with you don’t have your very elite of

The elite players but you still have enough good players in the field because a lot of people are making their season debuts and it’s a course where any skill set plays like it is somewhat of a putting competition yes but if you’re just dialed in with your wedges you can

Go make those putts like benan should have won this tournament he had the eagle putt to win that he barely missed on the 72nd hole and he he he had a four-footer that didn’t even like come within a foot of the hole in the playoff like that was insane oh yeah golf

But he’s riding for him now though right how is he not playing this week that’s incredible I guess yeah he’s so comfortable and won 700k use him in my one and done so you unless he wins he’s not going to top that that felt

Good you bet Benny an like I I had a horrible feeling about the putt it’s easy to say after truth is I flip back to something football and when I flip back it was like brace Grayson the camera was like right on Grayson like a

Look of like the disbelief I just won he just missed so I’m like oh no but I know bad I don’t know man what must have been going through his head before that one and then as Grayson drops his he’s like now I have to make this honestly been like one of us

Literally he probably would have been the same head space as me and my buddies know we always make fineberg cut out Henley kind of blew it he missed a like a three or four footer I think it was on 17 that lipped it out and then he

Couldn’t get it done he got in the bad Li as well on 18 and he had an 11-footer to I guess would have got into the playoff and he missed that but here’s what I want to throw out because it never benefits me and that’s maybe why I

Hate it so much but Carl Carl Yan crazy Carl my guy love you crazy Carl but he puts it in the bunker on 18 and then he takes I don’t know it was either a hybrid or a fivewood or something out of it and he Skies it over the grand stands

And then he just gets a free drop basically on the green and then Grayson gets his free drop because of the line of sight like that’s a bit more that that’s fine I suppose because you know that’s something that’s in the way and I guess that the grand stands

Are technically in the way but can we just come up with a rule that if you hit it into the [ __ ] Grand stands it’s out of bounds or at least you have to lose a shot somewhere it’s ridiculous everywhere this did ROM did it last year yeah R did it even crazier he

Bounced one off like he did one where he actually used it as a backboard and it went to like four feet to the pin um but yeah it’s it’s it’s such [ __ ] I don’t know I if I’m on the right side of it I guess I’m not complaining you just

Hope you are but I I hate it I hate it too it’s really freaking tilting I can’t believe Grayson made the putt though I can’t believe he made the putt I’m way more shocked Grayson made that putt then I am Benny missed his like unequivocally not even close I think it was a

40-footer so Grayson makes the 40-footer in the playoff I think for the previous 18 holes on the day he had made 27 feet worth of putts like he probably should have won this tournament going away if he had made a putt at any point on the front nine

Yeah but there are no Grayson backers on Twitter telling me about all the putts he was missing so I didn’t know that there was one guy one guy tweeted me his screenshot of a in-game live he used the fantasy National like live leaderboard and bet Grayson at 50 to1 so shout out

To that guy yeah probably because there a lot of name he had no name value he was still loitering and Carl youan I just want to ask you is he becoming like a good short course guy or is my perception like cuz I watched him imperson a Canada play really well and

Have a lead for a bit um I feel like his name’s been popping up a lot more are you I mean I I can’t recall what he did in Canada but are is it a chance that you’re not confusing him with CT pan I don’t want to do this but maybe

Because in Canada I I called Brandon I called Brandon woo Dylan woo I knew right away I made a mistake so uh I I think you might be on to something with this he was 18th in Canada pan was second or third he was third in Canada

He tied with Hatton he missed the playoff by a stroke or two but yeah he was t18 in Canada he was fourth in Bermuda a shorter course like I mean he’s also like not good sometimes too so that kind of goes with it but he went like three like in his previous like

Last year was his rookie year previous to that I think he he won the corn Ferry like he won three times on there let’s see yeah Sony 21 kft Championship fifth Pinnacle fifth yeah I mean it’s probably where you want him all of his it’s not that he’s a short course specialist

Because he still sucks on some short courses but all of his best performances are on short courses so yeah throw him into that Roa look out for him at Heritage or the PLAYERS Championship is Henley cursed he won this tournament in his rookie season I think it was like 2013 2014 it feels

Like he has a chance to win it every single year and then gags it at the end that seems accurate what I I honestly looked right through him this week it was like 20 to1 22 to1 last week I mean 22 yeah yeah should we talk about grayon

I mean the guy just won a tournament that’s back-to-back triple digit winners to start the season on the PGA tour and it’s a very good marketing campaign for sober January you got Chris Kirk now sober wins Grayson Murray now sober he ends up winning so who’s not drinking

This week let’s go with that guy and I was wasted yesterday um yeah great story it really just shows you know golf still has that special way of you know because these events and not all events are filled with stars you get the opportunities for these sort of personal

Interest story I’m really curious to see how if I don’t mean like the mainstream like you know I don’t think he’s going on like the Today show I don’t mean it like that but I am curious to see if this one gets leaned into a little Kirks did last year and this one

Was um this was a lot right like Grayson was a loaded gun in many ways like I don’t know whether that pun intended or no pun intended but there was a lot there and he was a Whipping Boy he was the butt of jokes and even was it in Canada last

Year where Rory he was sort of like you know at a tour meeting you know he’s speaking when he says something he’s kind of talking on behalf of the Have Nots Rory tells him to play better he’s going to the Masters it’s a loaded convo um I don’t

Even know what to say but you have your way with it i i i d because of what H if people don’t know what happened with Grayson I mean I barely remember at this point but I’m pretty sure he was just dming a minor or something like that on

Instagram like four years ago or something isn’t that what happened it was something very no Jeff Rose he probably had but yeah it did seem like he was something about girls and Proms and then into DMS uh that’s my blurred memory of it I don’t think we’re too far off not like

He did anything but he was cringe and gross yeah it it was a very bad look so I think that bad look think is probably still on him this is step one I guess hard to lose that though it is yeah but getting the fact that like he’s you know

Kind of rehabilitated his life obviously everyone enjoys a good comeback story and like Grayson was a real guy for a while like he was someone even at points last year when you looked at the barbasol or something you know he started playing really well on corn F

Like I guess when he sobered up and like kind of got his life back together the guy’s an immense talent and he’s been around for a while now I can’t believe he’s 30 years old I remember when when when fan Vice started that’s when I met

RZA so RZA and I were doing a show for fan Vice and we always had the Grayson Murray rule on DraftKings this must have been in 2015 2016 whenever it was so that I guess eight years ago so dude was like 22 at the time and that’s when all

The stuff happened everyone hated Grayson Murray but you always got the Grayson discount because no one wanted to play him because they hated his guts so much that he was always like a great DraftKings play um so it’s funny how much stuff changes over the course of

Eight years but listen it could be a very good Redemption story but he’s got to stay on the straight and narrow and just not be an [ __ ] kind of thing yeah 100% And to see that he’s um you know he’s doing well he’s got a fiance this is this is just absolutely

Lovely he’s going to the Masters he’s tough 50 in the world um and full credit to him for for because we’ve seen a lot of guys like fine bottom in golf and embarrass themselves and really never even come close to anything like this if this

Happened in like July Pat it would be a bit of news like ESPN would find a way to talk about it but it’s the playoffs and you know it’s the Cowboys there’s just no air for it even in like the sports landscape that I don’t know that’s going to crack anything but we

Know and good for him if he wins again that’d be crazy yes I can see him winning again somewhere this year because it’s not like just because he’s top in the world that he’s like well I’m playing the majors and all the elevated events and I’m not playing Bunny Ranch and those

Types of places like we’re going to see him in some of these scrub tournaments valpar yeah I know I mean like if he actually like can Elevate himself then like the love to glom on to the story sure I I think that’s all I meant yeah he could totally win again there’s a

Bunch of jabon fields why wouldn’t a guy like this be in Mexico just you know pay check well who knows now if he’s in Majors what a scheduled change is but that’s a lovely part about getting the win like your life changes in the sense that like you can plan a vacation

Now like you can set a schedule and decide where and when you want to play and with that you can do other things to make your life way more normal I would tend to agree and listen he had his card before and then he ended up losing it and now he’s rallied back

And he’s got it back again so here we go let’s get into the American Express you sent me something this weekend um about is it Farmers Insurance is pulling out of Tory Pines after this year yes yes Pat okay yeah you got my juices going with that um another one another one goes

Down RBC oneye deals left on both Pat there have been no words it is not looking that’s the next one people are looking at for a bad you’re going to see a tweet everyone’s going to be like oh [ __ ] trouble do you think that’s the reason

That the field this week is so good protect a sponsor I don’t know why maybe it’s location don’t Xander and Pat always sort of come out here yeah may maybe it’s not significantly better than it’s been the past few years because Sheffer normally plays this you got the big

Three with Sheffer kley and Xander JT is making his season debut but that’s more circumstantial because he he didn’t yeah he wasn’t in the tournament of champion so he wasn’t going to play Sony so this is very logical but we’re getting like this is like the first time

Lowry’s ever skip the Middle East swing on the DP World Tour we probably should have talked about that too we can in a second uh so you’re getting him you’re getting sunjay and Tom Kim Sam Burns feno they like it’s a pretty good field Ricky I mean but Ricky normally plays it

So maybe it’s not significantly better but this one makes a lot of logical sense like if you’re going to skip Sony and with the way that the schedule sets up this year with Pebble being in elevated event and then Phoenix being the week after then Riv being the week

After that that I think that Tori is the one that everyone’s going to skip now which is it sucks because I love that tournament it’ll be interesting to see because without ROM and if you’ve lined it up where Tor could be in a in an ugly spot sure as for Lowry

Um I feel like he I feel like I saw something where remember a couple years ago Rory like made a commit I think he ended up winning Player of the Year despite not winning a major he’s like I’m not doing Middle East anymore I’m like he moved it’s early when he like

Moved to Jupiter but now he’s moved back I think full-time he’s like I’m GNA be a PGA Tour golfer this year I think I saw something about about Lowry on that but but Rory always I don’t know what to make of his appearance but it feels like

Rory Rory always ends up doing Dubai and then Abu dhab and then maybe whatever the hell the other one is and maybe he’s only playing like two but he used to do it a lot deeper yeah but he always and then he finally started to show up to Tori right

Yeah so he’d show to T at the end of January but he usually like plays one or two with them did you watch what happened to him on 18 so I woke I put it on I lit like maybe it must have been a minute after the t-shot went into the water um

Yeah but your boy Fleetwood get win F would gets a win I wasn’t invested in the tournament I think it I that might have been the reason benan couldn’t win because Fleet Fleetwood had your Mo for the day my guy my guy La almost won yeah Max mo was just taken for anything

Connected to me in a in a golf in a golf standpoint but um yeah just quickly back to the farmers thing I think it’s a very bad sign if Corporate America is realizing they don’t need golf a lot of these relationships that are dying were ones

That were clearly started in the day of tiger and were extended multiple times and I don’t know I mean I look at it like anyone sponsoring a golf tournament it must just be a CEO who likes Golf and wants to get out there it’s like an ego

Play but maybe they’re realizing like N I can just go to the golf event and play in someone else’s pram I’m not really sure but it’s a bad sign like these aren’t we know we have a lot of events like there’s the one in Texas that was

Like the dean and Duca like there’s a lot of events we are it’s okay we’re sort of used to sponsor changing but Staples are leaving the tour Wells Fargo Honda um Farmers that can’t be a coincidence that cannot be a coincidence well if you’re a CEO and you

Don’t want to spend the money getting your company name as a title sponsor you can probably just join the American Express pram because we got a proam this week everyone gets three rounds the three course rotation and there’s only cameras at the stadium course there’s only shotlink at the stadium course so

Unless you’re shooting a 59 and someone’s going to run out with a handheld camera next to you and maybe they’ll follow around one of the featured groups this is probably the time to get in cuz this is the real Jabron pram it’s like Carlton from Fresh Prince Ray Romano stunt double George

Lopez and a bunch of accountants from Big firms yeah this is truly like the executive proam it’s the executive proam like some big time Executives like the headhead honchos get into Pebble Beach but you’re right these are just a a lot of the number crunchers at like Humana or uh

Windom you know get get to come here and I’m I’m sure it’s lovely what a lovely time but we’ve long discussed it it’s probably the worst viewing experience of the year it’s almost like he can set it and forget it um with your bets although I think you can sometimes like the Ted

Potter Jr was that PE no that was Pebbles but you you get huge live numbers because like a books and some of the books will be so lost and there’s some lesser names that could be making a move and you could relate where they are on a

Course or what they got coming like you could catch a huge number on a player with a little name value to take you into Sunday or something so if you have any inkling about people leaving for live this might be the one to go do it

Rah has won it twice Hudson Swafford has won it twice yes he went to live and then in between you have like an Andrew Landry like in 2019 this is the site of Tim pretending like he called Adam long to win this tournament despite not knowing who he

Was so we’ve seen that Landrew that was probably my biggest like number win ever that was odd longest yeah so 2020 200 to1 Andrew Landry 600 to1 for Adam long beating Phil and hadwin in the playoff in 2019 and sford was Triple digits as well uh the second time that he ended up

Winning um as John Romas once famously put this this is a [ __ ] putting contest that’s all it is and if you can attack from proximity Beyond 200 yard and generate a bunch of Eagle opportunities and just not put yourself into shitty situations at the stadium course because that’s essentially what this tournament

Comes down to so the potential it’s funny because you do have the double with ROM but other than that like favorites have not been all that great here you have your long shots SEI wo got his win I think he was 40 to1 when we

Hit duffner I mean I I I spoke about this on the research show but the only reason that I had so much money on Danny Willet to win The Masters in 2016 is because duffner beat lingor in the playoff here chipping it off the rocks

And I had so much money in my account I was like sure let’s throw a hundred bucks on Willet why not yeah that’s great when you hit the F you made the bet you’re just leaving leaving some of our uh duffner chips on the casino floor they land on Danny Willet triple digge

Oh great memory you’re absolutely right like we probably would have been on will it anyway but the fact that it was such a big pay was um we hit the winner and he probably won in Europe and isn’t isn’t what’s in Europe this week the major the Master’s

Crossover one or or that I mean that’s a joke but it’s that event isn’t it it it is it’s the Omega Masters I believe or at least that’s what it used to me I actually have no idea I I listen you can tune in DP World Tour picks and Bets

With Tom and sky on Mayo media Network I believe that comes out on Monday evenings um at least it will for the foreseeable future but I have no idea I just have not not been let’s see here uh the hero Dubai Desert Classic so yeah used to be the Omega Desert Classic in

Dubai um Brian Harman is playing in that and he played in Hawaii last week Terell Hatton is going over there cam young is over there you get some Ryan Fox Adam Scott is playing my guy I that’s a pay to play right that’s a pay to play is it

So they like that yeah and you got some live guys as well like Neeman in the field uh who else here it’s a pretty good it’s a I mean it’s not a better F in the American Express but it’s a pretty damn good field at that Alex Fitzpatrick he’s playing faked

Richard Manzel Johnny Manzel’s brother Sharma so we got some guys over there last year’s winner was Tommy Fleetwood uh no sorry Rory won last year Rory has been very good at this tournament over the years but yeah in back-to-back years Willet won this then he won the Masters

Then Sergio won this then Sergio won the Masters then we were like oh how Tong’s going to win The Masters and then he did not win The Masters that I remember cus picked him to win The Masters that year didn’t know who he was he’s like yeah but he won that

Tournament that all the winners win olison looks like I mean just looking at recent form and course history at this course olison looks like a good bet I don’t know what his odds are he played well last week I believe or I just saw a shot of his go viral I’m

Not sure he was eighth last week yeah I’m not betting it well I don’t think I’m betting it maybe [ __ ] as well I mean this seems like I’ll just bet [ __ ] and thirsty Lawrence and be on my way and wait for those guys to come over

To the PGA tour let’s get into the uh the American Express in general like I said it’s a three course rotation heavy on putting um small greens at two of the courses so I put in the list in the newsletter of the smallest Greens on the

PGA tour Pebble 3500 square feet is the smallest but the linta is 4700 that is sixth smallest and then PGA West The Stadium Course the Pete die course is 5,000 that is sixth smallest six sixth and seventh smallest on the PGA tour the Nicholas ones are pretty big and all

Four of the par fives at the Nicholas course have an eagle rate over 4% so you can make up a lot of Strokes there but I think people get confused thinking that the stadium course is harder it is harder because you can make some giant numbers at the stadium course but by and

Large it’s also quite easy like the the low scores at all three courses are super low it’s just you don’t really see like 79s happen at the Nicholas course where if you hit it into one of those like death bunkers and there’s a bunch of water at the stadium course but if

You’re just playing good golf you can pick that place apart we saw SE wo do it the year that he won and he was just like I am firing at every pin and making everything I just remember yeah to me it’s just the memories of The Big Numbers at the stadium course like

You’ll see but guys still go super low there it’s almost this could be a bad example but from a scoring standpoint it’s kind of like the players at times cuz if you’re in your spots you still can crush it shoot a 63 oh yeah for sure

I where I have the note it’s going to be in the column later I already wrote it up but yeah since 2020 the field has made birdie or better at the stadium course 27% of the time when they find the Fairway that’s insane like as a whole

Course and it’s a less than driver course cuz there’s Force layups CU it’s a Pete die course so you can make a ton of birdies this is somewhere where I can’t believe Hunter Mayan never won here but this would be the type of course where I just want guys who fire

At pins hit Fairways fire at pins that’s all I want yeah I mean I don’t think anyone’s doing anything else you got to be really out of position here to not be just trying to pin stock would tend to agree it’s a Pro app like it

You know I I I always enjoy rounds are going to be long enough I I always enjoy I can’t remember if this progam goes into Sunday I don’t believe it does I think it concludes after the three rounds but like when you watch on Saturday and most of the better players

In like the Roa of courses will play The Stadium Course on Saturday because that’s the preferred TV window to actually get some of the names that you know into the broadcast but it’s going to be like up against football so no one’s going to care anyway but when you

Like watch Thursday and Friday the channel coverage it’ll be like oh there’s I don’t know Davis Thompson and Bo Hustler playing in a group together and then you also see like the other dudes in the group they’re just absolutely terrible they’re just waiting for them like CU like Pebble Beach is

One thing but at this course like you know some of the bunkers at the stadium courses they’re like 30 feet down like these guys are [ __ ] dead if they’re in they just pick up the ball dead dead you’re going bunk to Bunk too yeah you want to talk about the top

Odds we can i’ I I’m not here for any of them but like I said if some of them wanted to set it and forget it and tune in Sunday see one of their Elites there good luck cheer’s five and a half klay’s nine Xander nine if I had a preference

I’d probably bet Klay but I’m not going to do that out of those three I like can’t lay the best but that’s me it is a goddamn putting contest so I could see how you would break it down between those three as simple as that I guess that would give some people pause

Who would be tempted to play Sheffer versus this field is that it’s a putting contest but he could hit to three feet on these greens sure the problem in proam in accountant conditions in enant with accountant pin placements he could hit to three feet all day every day for

Sure but then he might miss half those puts maybe maybe uh but n just my exposure still early in the year isn’t high enough to even want to consider one of these guys and I just don’t I’d rather try to find a long shot yeah like like

The fun of it like I don’t know yeah I I’m with that’s embarrassing because this is the golf thing Pat where if one of those guys win where we like the golf betters were snobby and that like we don’t even like give props to the guy

Who hits the five to one the nine to one like congrats man that’s not how you bet golf yeah congrats on congrats on six Xing your money with Scotty sheff well I have no money I don’t want to give you props for 6X in yours yeah like Sheffer could win here he’s played

Here A bunch of times his best performance is third that was four years ago I mean these are the types of greens that we like that they’re basically very similar to the ones that we see in Phoenix where obvious obviously he can putt there no problem it’s just I think

More of the field is in play this week as we’ve seen based on some of the long odds over the years that someone with a hotter putter is just going to catch him I think all things being equal canl has lingered around this course Xander made an albatross in the final round last

Year he shot a 62 and ended up coming in third but he was kind of out of it he was coming off of injury at that time too and we didn’t really know where his head was at so let’s jump down a little bit so those are the big three I have no

Interest in betting any of those guys Thomas is 18 to1 which I thought was a pretty unfair number then you have sunj at 22 Min woo seeing for the first time at 25 Tom Kim at 28 and Jason day at 30 to1 fun fact about Jason day Jeff he is

Tim’s oneand done pick this week see if Tim can get off the mat after Mis cutting with Maddie Fitzpatrick yeah I I [ __ ] up by the way uh I I picked Chris Kirk on the show but in the newsletter like the cheat sheet I wrote down Justin Rose for some

Reason so it’s actually Chris Kirk that I’ve gone through not Justin Rose so you still have me by like $900,000 no that’s a good correction I remember you picking Kirk not that I would have remembered in two weeks from now but I do remember you picked Kirk right in front of me

Um I’ve seen Thomas as high as 25 at Philip Rivers I still I’m sure he’s super motivated to get going and have a bang so that’s one I could look at sunj seems like he’s pretty populars I like sunj sunj Tom Kim would probably be my guy yeah Tom Kim Tom Kim

Minwoo and sunjay would be my three guys that I’d be looking at here in this range like I I actually don’t mind day I think day could play really well here but it’d be those three because of the odds where i’ be gravitating towards I’m

Not going to bet all three of them so I have to figure that part out maybe we can talk that through but that’s where I would want to be I think totally like it all it’s minwoo’s first start I I’m all in on minwoo so like I joked with some other events at

The century I think he’s going to have a monster year I think I’ve bet him at three of the four majors so that’s like betting the team you pick to win the World Series to win game one of 162 so I’m I’m maybe we’ll see if I’m mentally

Strong enough to Pivot off that but Tom Kim right now Tom Kim would be the one that I I trust the most I’ve already backed him this year don’t want to get into The Well of that um but I I agree with the the assessment of those three

I’m not here for Jason day I’m not betting it day was what was he t18 a year ago this was kind of like the first flash of like huh top 20 for Jason day that’s pretty good then he like went on his run of playing really well Tom Kim

Tom Kim was rebounding the week after he was the favorite at the Sony Open and he ended up making a really nice charge towards the end but like those names stick out in our minds but you do have this collection of guys just after them be it burns Fowler Poston who just

Posted a 61 at the Sony was T6 here last year as a t7 in 2019 it’s a good course history Eric Cole was there at 35 you know Windam Clark 35 feno 35 Kirk 40 Cameron Davis 40 all the way down to 45 like Lowry SEI wo Kim btia are all there

Ricky yeah I mentioned Ricky um and then you have your guy Jeff he’s back Daniel Hower bger 45 to one how long in how long into the week until he’s 100 to one yeah I don’t understand in that one one bit um I’m sure it’s higher at other

Places but you could wait wait that one out a lot of interesting names and it’s a punning contest so there’s a lot of player profiles you could just bet like your Eric call like your post in you can get cocky and be like I can bet that

Profile at 80 to1 100 to1 150 to1 if I want to as well um JT would probably be the the one I would trust the most I feel like of the names you just read off I not sure if you said hadwin hadwin’s further down the oh JT

Poston I thought you meant Justin Thomas oh sorry yeah wow the good the good JT is who you’re talking about and just to to rewind one moment because I’m obsessed with minwoo but would you not I mean that’s a talent play but would you not

Agree like why do I want to play if a guy who I believes like skill set is perfect for a PGA Championship isn’t what he does well like totally mitigated at this [ __ ] show not really I mean he absolutely crushes the ball off the tea

And you’re going to be forced to lay up a little bit here uh he’s a really good putter so I think it actually kind of plays to his Advantage a little bit because he is so good with the flat stick talk to me baby talk to me listen

He won twice during the swing season he won in maau he won in Australia he comes into the season with a ton of hype the only push back I would have against him and Justin Thomas is 14 of the past 15 winners played at least one of the two Hawaii events and they

Didn’t yeah totally and if you’re if you’re looking for a reason not to take those guys along with Lowry like that’s your reason I don’t think that actually means all that much that’s just a fun nugget because most people do play one of the two Hawaii events I know

But in trying to like make a card find for the we say it every week you’re trying to find reasons to not bet someone sometimes that’s enough so you can go that way if you wanted to uh one thing I will kind of throw back for minwoo he doesn’t have a

Ton of experience at Pete die courses but he played two of them last year he was sixth at Saw Grass and Ninth at The Travelers so maybe minwoo is the play maybe he is the play um see like I seen fena as high as 40 which is tempting but I think I’d rather

Playing Adam hadl one so I think Chris Kirk might be the play again like he played amazing last week and legitimately could not make a putt like it was infuriating to watch you’d be like Chris Kirk to 8 feet Miss Chris Kirk to four feet Miss Chris Kirk to 13

Feet oh is that a three putt fantastic if he can just turn the putter back and this has been like the Sony’s been a good course for course for Chris Kirk over the years the putter couldn’t comply but he’s obviously still in good form and now you’re getting an even bet

And it’s I’ll be at a stronger field this week but you’re still getting a really good number on him I could I was there last week it probably wouldn’t take much to talk me talk me back into it I don’t I feel I see I see a 55 on Kirk at

Places Burger is down to 60 there already do you think I I think the burger will be above 100 to1 by the time like Tuesday night rolls around yeah I I agree and what’s funny is you took a lot of heat for the will zalot tourus thing

Last week I know I saw him as high as 80 maybe even higher in some places before last week actually went off he closed at 125 to one in some places and so yes you were wrong at the open last week but you were just a week early because opened 100

Today well when you don’t play well that happens do you have interest in SE wo or even like Windom Clark I I ran the modeling and it likes Windam Clark the best of any player I could see that you mentioned the live thing there’s live rumors he’s

Joining John ROM’s team Pat so oh really I did I did not hear that yeah that’s a rumor uh it’s been an early groggy morning I’m not sure if that comes from something that’s actually Ed or credible but that I saw was sort of out there in our

Orbit uh so there’s that tie in to to Winners uh future Live players uh have enjoyed success here I don’t I don’t I mean I feel like my card’s going to be a mixture of guys who totally can’t pot at all and just a we Putters like uh hadwin or McCarthy or

Something like that do you buy into All Desert Golf is basically the same and there are guys that just play well in the desert I don’t believe that all Desert Golf is the same that’s fair um but I like I don’t believe like I feel like there’s

Different kinds of of desert courses and there’s different kinds of native area on the on the courses like on different Des courses the only reason I point this out is because I do see some similarities not necessarily in how the course is shaped or set up or whatever

It might be but just a lot of similar names tend to play both not so much in Phoenix because that’s always a heart like a better field although the guys that play well in Phoenix do tend to play well here but between Vegas for the Shriners in this event like those those

Are both like the hadwin class Classics Tom Kim has won that one twice he’s come inside the top five here you have like JT Poston finished third in Vegas earlier this year he has the two top 10 at this course could be something that’s all I’m saying lonto even lonto was t13

In Vegas this year he was second like two years ago so I just desert that’s Desert Golf that’s I mean yeah it’s desert they had to when I played TPC Summerland they had to give me my own custom club that I had to use to hit out of the native area so

I didn’t ruin the other clubs oh interesting feel like a lot of like native area oh yeah the shot tracker this week oh this is just a turn away but if you are committed and in it you can catch some heavy life but I would almost

Rather not go down that rabbit hole and enjoy my life okay let’s move further down the list right now we can swing back to the top there’s someone else that you want to talk about a little bit later on but we’re into the Taylor Montgomery who I

Really like this week baa is just posting 55 to On’s at draftking sports book Jagger putam hadwin norin this is the Jeff fineberg range hosler hogi Davis Thompson dietre shank Ry Keith Mitchell zalot tus is down here now Billy horel who had a nice Sunday at the

Sony Open uh you had mentioned hadwin I really like tayor Montgomery I was on Montgomery here last year he blew it uh near the turn in the final round but it was really encouraging to see him gain so many strokes on approach last week at Sony and couldn’t make a putt to save

His life he’s usually someone who’s kind of the opposite terrible on approach good at putting so if we can find like a healthy balance of that this week I think we might be good to go with Taylor Montgomery I’m a big fan of that potential recommendation I did say

Hadwin but I I sort of Bening both I’m I could be a I am it doesn’t take much for of sign of life from Taylor to get me that twinkle in my eye again to just funnel money down his pit so I I could totally see I could

Totally see that one but this is the range that I’m kind of looking at I don’t even mind norin which I’ve seen as high as 80 but and hadwin as high as 75 but this is also where it’s like you said it to me last week no one [ __ ] wants Jeff

Fineberg value you Hunter no one wants that it’s a goddamn American Express um yeah I feel like I’d see the board better if if if I had a winner already like yesterday be easier to click one I wanted to look at down the list at 90 to1 at DraftKings right now

Is EVR another guy who’s had some success at this course in the past and just he had the win in Mexico a very emotional win but even his first two starts the senty and the Sony like the the approach play has been really good and he was another one like Montgomery

That just couldn’t make a putt now that’s kind of power for the course for evier that he can’t make a putt and there might be just simply too much water at the stadium course for him not to find the middle of but it’s it’s a longer odd for someone who’s playing

Pretty well and I don’t really distinguish a whole lot like once you get to a certain level here let’s say the norin range I know norin historically is a much better player but there’s not really anything differentiating noren and EVR over the past two years that everyone from like

60 to 100 is very much in the same bucket to me I would agree with that um I could see why you people might you and others could be attracted to EVR I don’t know I’m in this range and like to me looking at losers like that

Other side of well because I’m going to bet a lot of guys who can’t putt I’m looking at like Justin s Ben Griffin maybe I’m just a sucker and getting like sucked into that because they can putt but um don’t mind just your Justin Su here yeah which is probably scary thought

Love’s a good short course did he he was 54th here a year ago was top five at Honda top 10 at The Players shorter course he hasn’t play he didn’t play last week right no he didn’t play last week he hasn’t played since the RSM and like he actually he may have

Went over to Australia I don’t quite remember but that would have been December anyway who really cares doesn’t really fit it higo I went back and I watched the highlights from the past three years I forgot that this was the tournament where higo made like eight straight birdies on Sunday last

Year he does that like three times a year by the way he’ll just go unconscious for nine holes what are you looking at there uh just Taylor penrith popped up that’s what I mentioned Sam won 20K on DraftKings that’s who was in the lineup because Tambo and I were arguing

Between Nick Taylor and Taylor pendrith last week of who was the better play and Tambo just said why don’t you play him both so that’s what Sam did and that’s how we won there it is but Taylor Taylor is interesting I bet Taylor last week um

He’s 130 to1 yeah Nick Taylor I don’t why is he 130 to1 in this field so honestly that’s a debate I’ve already had with myself just staring at the board like why I not that you only need to bet not that I need to bet any

Canadians or that I could only bet one Canadian but Taylor 130 seems to be like the Canadian I probably should bet more than Adam hadwin me the guy who’s won three times on the PGA tour is a guy that you might think is a better bet than the guys who

Like never win or haven’t won in the past eight years yeah um despite you know one time being handic cammed around uh laquint was it linta that’s here uh yeah so I totally agree I was waiting for you to shout out Nick Taylor I knew you had to seeing

Those numbers this morning after it was great great little run um great little run last week someone else I just need to open because I for peace of mind I in that’s my first bet of the week Nick Taylor I played it at 125 to1 with the

Five placements if you don’t know what placements are that means you get the win and the top five Equity along with it I’m going to be doing a show with the model Maniac sometime soon as we talk through each way markets top five top 10 with ties without ties to see where the

Value actually rests with a lot of these things just to try to I mean I need to know this stuff to make me a better better and I’m no mathematician or even a math magician neither that either but uh he is so he’s going to break this down for me

Can I I need your opinion on someone because I can’t see it clearly okay but also I’m so fragile that if you tell me it’s good like I would just bet it uh detry cuz the Ping I can trust I can trust and he always Fields battlefields

He likes to linger I feel like you can trust dri’s putter till the he’s like benan you can trust his putter until the moment he needs to make a putt I can trust it long I have has drie ever won ever no but the great thing about drie

Is you can bet him at a big number he will be like 12 to one live if you want to take these him top 10 then No but ah it’s not worth four days to me did B did Bobby Mack make the cut or

Did he miss the cut he made C I think he missed it I think he struggled a bit no no he struggled day one he was inside cuz he was one of the guys who was flirting with the cutline let’s see Sony Open I saw it was three over

On on I guess was Thursday yeah Sony Open leaderboard cuz he’s a 200 to one which I just thought was strange that just yeah that is strange just ultimate disrespect for for a guy who was on the Ryder Cup team he was on the

Rer Cup team right or did he miss it you know he made it he was remember him and Ros sort of went around together yeah he went 7166 67 or 71 66 69 67 so it wasn’t a great week he came T5 he got a big

Half in his singles I feel like maybe I’m wrong anyhow uh I’m more concerned I’m more concerned about what he did last week to see how he’s playing I just thought it was a big number on a guy who’s very talented okay e Ro had a nice little

Swing season some decent results coming home and showed a bit last week ot’s good do you think he wins this year because he’s flirted the past two years with some wins he just can’t keep it together um there’s a lot of losers who win and there’s a lot of events I don’t

Mean necro a loser so yeah sure I’ll say he can he can win I don’t I I feel like I mean don’t you just have to just like fire off some numbers here and just live with the results uh I I would tend

To yes I I agree if you get got by the top you get Gau but I think that we need to try to find the right guys in order to do that with um there is one at 200 to one which I was kind of really

Surprised about and I I have to go look and what he did I I have looked at it this morning but I totally forget what happened at the Sony now in terms of like overall stats but using fantasy national.com Mayo I can easily do that

So let’s go to that and I want to see how he did he did make the cut he came 73rd of all players last week so he finished at minus one so he’s one of the worst players who made the cut he lost 9.4 Strokes putting but he gained TI

Green over five Strokes he’ been awful in his three starts leading up to at the end the year and at the C Century which he was a part of he’s 200 to1 and his history here um 14th 11th 21st and four starts that he’s played it is Sheamus

Power like if his TD green is actually back isn’t this sort of like the perfect place for him cuz he’s someone just going to fire at pins and generally speaking he’s a pretty good putter he was just terrible last week yeah I mean I’d rather bet him than

Say like MAV McNeely there we go both guys to one right in front of him here yeah that seems like a good like for a quality of player with actual win Equity at 200 to one seem’s pretty good trying to load up sh Kim here is this an sh Kim

Jam like what what like give me the cell job give me the SJ on shk I don’t I just notice I I just notice him I I don’t know no sell job I feel like the numberers too high but maybe it’s fair and I never bet it

Anyway there’s no cell job let’s just move on is there anyone else like he’s a guy I would never bet so I even waste oxygen sure I’m just you know trying to see here who else would be on this list of potential guys who are way down that we could go

To how did what about toasty I I feel like would break down um let’s look at this do you like toasty at all like he he just might become one of my guys cuz he’s an [ __ ] no I I like your support of him I totally get that aspect of it

But that’s separate from the betting I’m how much how much would they give you to bet a chess and Hadley not enough problem huh remember when he blew it and higo won at pal Meadow yeah that was a desert course it was a native area sure yeah I don’t know how we quantify

It because like desert course doesn’t mean there’s got to be Cactus coming out of the ground no it’s just like a native area off the Fairway is how I would say so let’s see here where is that who I I don’t mind chest and if I could get I thought I could maybe

Find who’s got the biggest number huh you know who else so that tournament at the paetow cuz I mentioned hego won he’s the one who made n straight birdies at the stadium course last year Hadley ended up in T2 do you know who else was T2 with him that

Week sink I don’t know Hudson Swafford who won here twice Johnny Vegas was also T2 he’s won here before EVR top 10 EVR write down that name Hustler top 20 you’re gay is he here yeah he is he’s like 70 to1 Sheamus power top 20 lock me into

Sheamus power I’m making that bad at 200 to one I don’t mind your Windom Clark now that I’m back in the middle yeah so are we done with the the absolute goobers at the bottom yeah because as much as I talk about it as the real strategy everyone knows my card’s going

To come out it’s just going to be like guys like 30 to se 670 like I don’t know how to go too far back although I had some fomo last week watching it maybe happen I might have to join this Nick Taylor Wagon at these big numbers

Because that that I can definitely get behind yeah he was close last week he was just like a shade off he couldn’t quite get it going when he needed like the day that he needed to get it going was Saturday when I think he was second in approach in the field and just

Couldn’t convert on anything but on the weekend he was he came second on Saturday I believe and approaching I think he was sixth on Sunday and just the putter couldn’t the putter carried him the first two days is and then it abandoned him on the weekend a lot like

Chris Kirk in a weird way so if we can just kind of get them to mesh everything together but the big difference this week between last week when we’re looking at it in terms of how these courses all play is you got to beat up

On the par fives like you got to make Eagles this week so if I just sort by Eagles gained let’s do that very briefly and see if there’s anyone who we’ve been talking about that pops up there as well sort by last 50 rounds Eagles gained toasty number one only 14

Rounds got minwoo Lee Matty Schmidt boom boom so Schmid Schmid’s gay Dylan woo anywhere near that Dylan Woo is Dylan woo Chan and youu no that’s someone else isn’t it that’s Brandon U Dylan woo hot fire dialon dialon woo no he is not near that but Pearson C is he’s 40th in 24

Rounds he did not play well he and my guy ad Adrien Dum who I think finished 10 over per I don’t think he’s playing this week oh no he is playing there he is he’s right there Ary oh they’re calling him Ary I like that I like that change ER Dumont

De good you bet Michael block this week no he’s here yeah he qualified for it wasn’t even what do you mean he qualified uh there was some sort of like Cal like they I believe that they had like two open spots for California pros and they run a tournament and he

Qualified I saw what’s his name a young uh I saw sponsors exemption got to a young uh Dunlap sounds like you’ve really done the research on this one Nick Dunlap is like a top a young Prospect um Nick Dunlap is a guy who’s in this field

He looks like he’s 13 years old yeah so there that’s sort so like he’s a he’s um like a future star uh I think okay five things to know about Nick Dunlap okay here we go he won a lot at his levels Rises to the occasion that’s the

Number one thing you know from this pgatour.com article about Nick Dunlap uh the second oh he won the US amiter and the US Junior same as Tiger Woods yeah I wasn’t just I mean maybe I should have known his name but I know I

Just when I saw he’s here that did I did be like oh he seems like he I think he’s important no he lipped out a putt to have the first ever 59 in Collegiate NCAA history so that’s a name to watch this week just for golf fans he’s the number

Three am in the world right now so yeah yeah good good shout on that I didn’t know who this guy was all right I do you want to have the discussion I mean let’s go to the Quick Pick so I can tell you where I’m at

Right now I’ll have all of this in the column that’s in the newsletter so sub to that newsletter and share it around for me please I’d really appreciate that Nick Taylor 125 to1 with five placements Sheamus power 200 to1 with five placements Matty Schmidt 150 to1 with

Five placement points those are going to be my five like three bombs and the top okay is there anything more obvious than betting JT posting this week like am I GNA like because I didn’t bet benan last week after loving him going into the week and just didn’t bet him am I gonna

Be there on Sunday and be like I really should have bet JT Poston because he’s one off the lead potentially outside of like those big three uh that we sort of both decided we really like minwoo Tom Kim sunjay in that next tier and you could even argue it’s the same tier JT

Is my probably my favorite I’d rather bet him than Kirk than feno than Burns then all those other guys in the mid 30s I feel like what’s the biggest number you’ve seen on JT uh 45 I think maybe 50 yeah let’s see what’s it at DraftKings it’s 35 at

DraftKings right now like in real time um at my other book it is 35 as well so he’s down to 35 now Kirk’s at see I I still think i’ pref maybe this is Pat Mayo value Hunter getting into it but Windam Clark at 45

Or JT post at 35 seems it doesn’t seem crazy but to look at it you’re like what one one of these guys is ranked top 10 in the world yep so I didn’t mind your Windam shout too yeah so Windam JT Kirk so for me those and then behind

That it was like Montgomery hadwin yeah so Monty is probably going to be a play for me wam Clark’s probably going to be a play for me Chris Kirk I’m iffy on maybe I’d go with post him but then I have to decide of who I want between

Sunjay minwoo and Tom Kim doing the research is there chance you skip them all no I think I got to go with one of those guys and sunjay I think is the very logical choice but I think he’s going to be the pick this week like I

Think that sunjay and Poston are gonna be every like the two most popular bets I haven’t um not going to lie I mentioned I Wok up a little cloudy I have not seen a a ton of JT touting but it could be out there makes sense because as we’ve talked through it he

Does feel like I don’t know he feels more perfect than the other guys in that range at least for me at least for me see I just I just see what sunjay did at Sentry and maybe that should have no bearing on this where he was just firing and just

Made so many birdies and he’s played really well here he he he was just bad on Saturday he was just in neut neut on Saturday if he did anything on Saturday he would have won he shot one over on Saturday he yeah so it’s between sunjay Tom Kim

And minwoo for me I think but I I don’t need we said we’re trying not to be as impulsive on a Monday morning I can hit my bombs that’s great I can bet on those guys and maybe they can come through wouldn’t that be glorious but if I’m

Going to invest some real money at the top I said Monty Clark Kirk they’re on the short list one or two of sunjay minwu and Tom Kim that I really need to think about JT post I don’t think that I’m going to get there on them you don’t think you’ll get to post

It I don’t think so no yeah makes sense it’s a lot of names yeah that’s what I said I got I I I don’t want to commit to one or two now because then I can’t think about them later on like I’m doing a show tomorrow with Tambo all have another another

Newsletter coming out on Wednesday evening breaking down the final plays and everything like that so I just want a little bit more time to gate on what’s going on without having to pounce on a Monday morning try to pounce on a good number if we can find it I mean if

Poston’s already down to 35 he might like crack 25 by the end of the week and I don’t see any real difference between him and Kirk and there might be 40 points of difference between them by the time Wednesday rolls around yeah I think we’re kind of in a

Very similar place in terms of like the names under 50 uh um that you’re swimming around m Kim Lee Poston Clark Kirk uh and I Yeah hadwin Montgomery that’s gonna be what I’m about but I will say the bets Tom Kim Nick Taylor I’m gonna have those as as soon as we’re

Done those are two bets I’m gonna put in here um in real time not at I don’t think it’s doing it at draftking sports book no but at a different place Daniel Burger’s already down to 80 to one yeah they haven’t taken a dollar they’re not going they’re not going to

Take a dollar but it was like wi last week like they didn’t take a dollar they didn’t take a dollar and then I’m sure some people bit as the number got like huge and you can hope for the best and it’s not hard to talk yourself into

Adding you know betting adding a a guy that large name we didn’t mention who played really well last week and just had a great run on DP last is matu pavon he’s like 175 to one in this field does he do anything for you if Sky bets him I’ll bet him fair

Enough like I can’t bet like if Sky thinks that that number’s way out of whack versus what that guy’s capable of versus the field then I’ll I’ll look at it and I’ll probably add it just because I trust sky but if Sky’s not even there

On this guy how could I be that’s fair one and done picks for the week you sir are in the lead which I joked was like the first time in seven years you’ve been leading the one andone but I might not be off on that in the race for in

The race for the Mayo cup zero people selected Grayson Murray no it feels like one and done feels good you burn and like I never and like like he could become great but um I do feel good I’m going I’m gonna get stupid and cocky like I’ll just burn it like Adam

Hadin I don’t want to take a good player I will take let’s see you have $738,000 I have $16,000 with Chris Kirk and Tim took Matthew Fitzpatrick who missed the cut so Tim is taking Jason day you’re taking Adam hadwin can I switch but you go I

Can’t take your guy no go ahead I I don’t have a pick yet anyway anyway who do you want to take and I you couldn’t even take this guy I’m switching I’m taking Kirk you’re taking I’m going to play the form form player we’re gonna hit the putts he’s gonna play just fine

This week I’m taking Kirk I’ll take Taylor Montgomery as my oneand done for this I was thinking about you know what his odds would have been Pat a year ago at this tournament I mean I bet I could only IM I bet him at this tournament so

I remember they were 50 to one they’re almost exactly what they are right now oh wow I think way lower I remember Wild Card Weekend watching a game just like Fawn a football game fawning over this guy it’s only because people played in this tournament last year like Sheffer

Was here ROM was here so it pushed that goo like that subset of goobers like down the board um I like it I could I could piggyback that with a bet I I’m into Taylor Montgomery okay that will do it on the pat Mayo experience I’ll return on

Tuesday with Tambo to break down the draftking Slate a unique tournament and we’ll be breaking down our head-to-head matchup and my lineup which W me 5K which is always fun to do uh Jeff you and Andy are doing the odds Checker stuff yeah oh um that should be out

Tuesday morning me and Andy giving our our picks for the MX over at odds Checker Andy had Keegan last week I had an so you know like a lot of people that’s going to be a normal theme a lot of sad golf podcasters except Pat yeah except for me

Apparently once my outrights were dead I was like oh maybe I can win money this way wouldn’t that be nice uh oh tambo’s good doing a thing at shipet Nation as well if you go to shipit nation.com use code Mayo you get like 10% off they have

Like a golf only package if you want to supplement fantasy National with like the color that goes behind it and some breakdowns exclusive videos that stuff so you can get 10% off any of their memberships for golf only and then tomorrow on the show if you’ve used code

Mayo in order to get that ship and Nation package you uh are in a draw to get a full year compt but only if you use code Mayo for sign up for the golf package so go do that as well if you were thinking about doing it this is the

Reason to go do it and maybe you’ll end up getting it for free so do that smash a like while you’re here rate and review and sub to the Mayo Pat Mayo experience audio podcast and the newsletter as well fired up for the week hope you are too

Jeff and I will return with cust on Wednesday for the NFL spread picks if you’re missing that it’s going to come out same time as it normally does jam-pack week all right I’m Pat Mayo thanks for watching I’ll see you next time P Mayo ferous ferous

12 Comments

  1. Get 20% off https://www.fantasynational.com/mayo with code “MAYO”
    Join Mayo Media Newsletter: https://mayomedia.substack.com/
    American Express RAKE FREE DraftKings Listener League: https://bit.ly/24AMEXPMEDKLL
    RUN THE SIMS PROPS SNIPER PACKAGE (Code “MAYO” for 10% OFF): https://www.runthesims.com/mayo
    Code “MAYO” 10% OFF at Ship It Nation: https://shipitnation.com/?aff=Thepme
    Sub to the Mayo Media Network: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
    Use code DOP at Prize Picks for a deposit match up to $100: https://bit.ly/DOPPrizePicks

    SHOW INDEX

    00:00 Intro
    1:13 Sony Open Recap
    23:59 Rory/Sponsors
    29:01 Amex
    37:39 Top Odds
    50:17 50+
    1:06:51 Quick Picks
    1:12:38 One and Done

    FACTOR MEALS — Head to FACTORMEALS.com/Mayo50 and use code MAYO to get 50% off. That’s code MAYO at FACTORMEALS.com/Mayo50 to get 50% off!

    Squarespace — Go to squarespace.com for a free trial, and when you’re ready to launch, go to squarespace.com/MAYO to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain.

    Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
    Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
    Google: http://bit.ly/GooglePodPME

    Pat Mayo Twitter: https://twitter.com/ThePME
    Pat Mayo Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ThePME
    Pat Mayo Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thepme/

  2. P Cantlay 9/1 JT Poston 33/1 T MONTGOMERY 66/1 A Dumont De chassart 300/1 Pierceson coody 500/1

    N HOJGAARD 25/1 M Thorbjornsen 90/1 A ARNAUS 150/1 C Shinkwin 250/1.

    N Korda 7/1 LPGA Tournament of champions

    Gutted with Rory and B AN

  3. How do u guys feel about Min Woo Lee 50-1 at WMO early odds at dks. good number? or will it rise or drop guess it all depends wat he does this week.

  4. Grats Pat! Lets keep in rollin’! I like R. Moore for DFS. Putnam and Poston for Outright. Sprinkle Montgomery too. Great Fucking Show the BEST!!

  5. Oh ffs! Day was my pick this week! 😩
    There’s no way Cust is hitting one this early in the season… but then what if he does and I changed my pick.. I HATE THIS!

  6. I don’t know why players wouldn’t play in all 3 upcoming So Cal tournament’s. Even if they miss a cut the expenses are low and no airline travel to deal with. You simply rent a car for 3 weeks and a short drive. For example, All 3 courses from where I live are between a 60- minute drive.

Write A Comment