Zach Trivett (titletown2121) & Kyle Marley (BigMarley3) break down their favorite MMA DraftKings and FanDuel picks and plays for UFC Fight Night. They also give you some strategy and process for how they plan to attack the slate.
#MMADFS #DraftKings #FanDuel #UFC #MMA #DFS #FantasySports #UFCPicks #MMAPicks #SHIPIT
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All systems go clear for Lift Off What’s going on everybody we’re back after a month break UFC always does it it’s always a nice time grinding content throughout the year every single week nice little break NBA on NFL on but I’m excited for some fights back on the screen 100K up top NFL playoffs NBA MMA
Saturday canra off a better weekend there big Marley how are you doing how was your break hope everything been going well over the holidays yeah man I’m good I’m I’m glad to be back I always go into the break like looking forward for a refresher because
Sometimes I do feel a little burnt out but like a week is plenty for me you know I don’t need a whole three weeks I was really struggling that last week but I can’t wait man I love having these fights and football on the same night
Hopefully we just double up on both of them but we have all sports for you over at shiping nation.com go sign up if you haven’t yet you’re missing out if you haven’t signed up absolutely yeah as big Marley said we have weekly monthly six Monon and annual packages golf going on
MMA going on golf Showdown NBA NHL NFL man next thing you know MLB will be here all the money to be to be made right here if you B the flagship of every contest if you say DraftKings just anything on DraftKings the main sports you’re looking at I mean NFL’s got to
Have a milli or something so you’re looking at seven figures right there obviously that’s a makea wish of all makea wishes but man uh MMA 100K NFL NBA get in the streets and all of them of course always play responsibly but I’m very pumped for this
Card 12 fights at the Apex we got pricing we’re talking little pre-show it’s a pretty tough card I think with a lot of big favorites my takeaway the mid tier is absolutely loaded especially three fights Bruno Ferrera Phil hws Jim Miller Gabriel benitz and Matthew seberger Preston Parsons three fights
All in the mid tier all price F and I think that is where if I do leave salary I will be jamming those fights a lot otherwise the dogs someone’s going to come through I think but pretty tough to pinpoint which one in my opinion any broads slate overviews before we go
Fight by fight no I think that was a good one I think the mid-range is very important this week I think the upper range is where it’s tough and I would be fine uh spending or I guess saving salary on this card and just loading up on that mid-range not forcing in all
Your salary with whoever it is in the 9k range but there’s just so many like decent plays up top where I can’t really separate them from each other uh but there’s also not a lot of complete fades for me on this card which I always try
To ex out as many people as I can I always hope for like six or so if I can but I feel like I’m I’m maybe like three on this card maybe we we’ll see if we can even get there but I’m hoping that you can help me clear some things up on
This show there’s a couple fights I have questions about that I don’t really feel great about how they’re going to play out but the metric make me feel one way film made me feel another so we’ll see I’m looking forward to talking talking it out yeah for for sure I think you
Said another important part like I can up top the 9,200 and above I mean you can even go 8,800 I think Joshua van is a very strong player we’re about to touch on him but it’s hard for me to like rank him when I was doing the tier
Rankings number one I put Jean Silva just because he’s in a tier of his own in term of money line inside like minus 900 minus 800 to finish but still he could put up 110 and that not be enough because these other 9k guys at their
Prices have just as much upside so yeah I think that’s a great broad slate overview three fights in the mid tier upper tier I’ll be mixing and matching of course gotta find some Fades as always but all of our content will be up on the site projections ownership got a
Lot of sports going on a lot of familiar faces in chat Ben’s in here Dana’s in here Robert Peña smarty Ross K Sean Smith Joe Madness appreciate y’all out there appreciate all the love as always and I see you in chat in Discord as well fight by fight 12 to
Talk about weighin are going in right now a lot of people already have weighed in everyone has made weight thus far but still waiting on a couple Fighters so fingers cross is always to keep all 12 first fight of the night bottom to top Joshua van taking a fipe buez 8,800 van
7400 buez looking at the odds van minus 255 buz 2115 on the way back this fight’s minus 170 to finish Bunz plus 275 Joshua van plus 125 my initial thoughts great fight to Target 8,800 van you look at his output two USC fights over nine significant strikes per minute
Buz on the other side making his USC debut big age discrepancy in this one um he’s fought good competition looks like a primary Grappler Van’s only loss has been by submission I’m kind of looking at a class of styles van on the feet with the volume and the pace bues needs
It on the mat I’ll be having both sides of this fight to start it off I’m going to get my water I forgot it you break down this fight I’ll be right back yeah I like this fight as a curtain jerker I mean Van’s definitely a solid Prospect
He’s super young he’s like 22 23 years old and he’s got solid boxing already I love this kid’s Pace he’s landed I think it’s it’s almost 300 total strikes in his first two UFC fights which I always love to see uh where where you can get a
100 points from a guy without even having to look to wrestle that’s a guy that van is uh I do think he is going to have the Striking Edge in this one but he’s going to have to keep it striking most likely uh Boonies is the most
Dangerous Grappler he’s faced so far and then on that first fight that Josh van had they mentioned like he hadd only been grappling for six months or so so at this point that gives him like a year of grappling and I just don’t think he’s going to be on Boon’s level on the
Ground and I also think Boonies is pretty decent on the feet he not going to be able to hang with Van volume wise he’s probably going to get doubled up tripled up and striking but I I do think he’s pretty dangerous he throws some hard shots it wouldn’t shock me to see
Him clip van and then jump on a neck and and tap him out or something like that I don’t think he has great wrestling but if he can get the fight to the ground I think he could be dangerous there and maybe grind out minutes on the ground
But more likely in my opinion end up getting a finish so I do like Boonies as a contrarian gpp play in this one I will be overweight to him but on the same side I am picking van to win I think he is just the minute winner in this fight
He probably does stuff most of the takedowns or gets back to his feet and then either makes it a clear decision or finishes them late just that volume adds up and he ends up getting a stoppage at some point so I like van as well I think
He could score just as much as that 9k range so I’ll be in on this fight a good amount probably I don’t know 60% of my life UPS or so maybe more will have this fight I’m thinking but give me van to win I’ll probably have more leverage on the
Underdog I i’ gree everything you said what do you think ownership is um I haven’t checked let’s see you have posted it yeah you posted it I I I’ll get it over to the site so right now we have um buz 14% and Joshua van 26% yeah both those
Numbers and again our ownership Shad out Marley has been phenomenal over here sheets has been keeping up with it and it has been one of the best in the industry so shout out to you there and at that ownership I’ll be overweight on both guys or I want to be overweight
Like you said van even if he doesn’t finish he scored 106 last fight he did mix in two takedowns I’m not expecting any of those so would be high 90s but he landed 20 significant strikes in that first round and then landed 70 plus in the second round the dude just throws
Volume for days he’s young can push a pace I just I think munz is a solid all run fighter I’m not sure he could keep that pace on the feet and the volume so I got van by late finish similar to your thoughts wouldn’t be surprised with the
Decision but I love the upside like plus 125 to finish if he finishes you know there’s volume behind it so I love it for that price um and you get that discount from the analias the Nolan of the world and I like your call with bunes if he wins he probably wrestling
It’s probably on the map maybe a submission and dogs are pretty tough to come by he’s at I mean tier rankings I’ll give it away he’s my second on the 7600 or below price tag there so yeah ton of interest in this fight like what I’m seeing from the ownership numbers
Keep it rolling what’s going on big Driggs appreciate you hanging out with us man two or second fight on the card Tom Nolan taking on Nicholas ma looking at the odds or Nolan 9200 ma 77,000 Tom Nolan minus 350 ma plus 285 on the way back couple of these big F or
Like big uh favorites to finish inside the distance prop minus 12200 for this fight to Finish Nolan minus 285 ma plus 300 again looking at the metrics minus 12200 to finish minus 285 for the favorite plus 300 for the dog this fight under one and a half minus 285 all of
That screams gotta play some of this fight M has been awful in the UFC Trey ogon just boxed his ears off last fight is a primary Grappler who’s never knocked nobody out so man it’s hard to get behind him but he’s going to be low
Owned and this fight if he does win it’s going to be by a knockout so all of some at low ownership it’s not a fun click though because I think he’s bad and I think he gets schooled how do you see this one going yeah I do man I don’t know this is
A tough one I think that just looking at these guys Nolan looks like the better Striker he’s goingon to be taller longer he’s th he throws straighter shots and he’s got more Tools in his Arsenal where mat is really just looking to take his opponent’s head off that’s the only Edge
He has in this fight in my opinion well I guess two edges would be pure one punch power and then experience Nolan’s only had six fights so far so I mean he looks good against these scrubs but Ma looked pretty damn good against scrubs too I thought before he came to the UFC
And then he’s just looked like trash in the UFC and then we got Nolan is a finisher Ma has been finished in every one of his losses so that’s kind of what’s leading this minus 1200 inside the distance line but I was shocked when I saw minus 1200 inside the distance to
Be honest with you um I think that there’s a decent chance this goes the distance I I think I might bet that this does Go the Distance I like the over one and a half as well um but I think that the line is probably a bit too wide I I
Just am not sold enough on Nolan coming to the Big Show against a more experienced guy maybe he isn’t a high volume guy he’s a little bit worried about that power coming from ma that could make it a closer fight on the scorecards and then like we mentioned Ma
Has huge power he could also knock Nolan out so it’s knockout or bus probably either way for the win on MAA but that’s the only way he’s gonna have any chance of scoring well I don’t think anyone’s G to be on him so for that reason I do
Want some ma exposure give me a very low on knockout or something like that uh but just pickwise I had to go with Nolan I think he could win by any any method here he’s probably the higher volume Striker the better Striker overall more likely to take the fight to to the
Ground more durable um so I actually picked him to win a unanimous decision so that minus 12200 inside the distance a little bit too crazy to me I do think if he does win a unanimous decision there’s a decent chance he’s not on the optimal lineup so I was going to put
This as a like four star on the rankings but that minus 1200 is just sitting there right next to when I’m typing I’m like I I got to go five star I got to go with the metrics over what I I think so for me it’s going to be like five star
On ranking but when I end up doing my lineups I might end up under on this fight and I’ll change it to a fourstar if that’s the case yeah that all makes sense I mean Nolan’s going to be one of the more popular fighters on this card
Like he’s 9200 and there’s so many good upper tier plays but ankia is 95 Silva’s 96 like that 400 300 that goes a decent long way on a slate like this and that prop minus 285 minus 350 favorite we have 43 and 10 for the ownership right
Now and that’s that’s why I Ted Moda green like M green it’s not a fun overweight stance but when he wins I think it’s by knockout like I just can’t ignore these metrics I maybe if you want to do it like plus 650 is the best I see
On the market for fight goes the distance right now for how you’re talking especially sounds like you were think like it is really weird there’s a couple fights on this card that are juice like we’ve never really seen minus 12200 usually this feels like it’ be
Like a minus 600 spot or something like that so yeah maybe a little value on the over and if you told me this fight goes the distance I probably would full fade Tom Nolan the upper range is just too good there so I’m going to side with the
Metrics I’m gonna I like both these guys very well might be more overweight tomata than Nolan because 10% if you go 20 definitely not going 80 something per Nolan and double in the field there so two fights to start off the card and two fights I’ll have a lot invested in and
Want some optimal scores um to start it off and again this isn’t the Apex uh you can maybe benefit wrestlers a little more smaller cage easier to grab I wouldn’t be surprised if Nolan takes it to the mat not sure ma really has much off his back but wouldn’t be surprised
To see a striking match either appreciate you hanging out with us Matt as well good to see you in here we’ll keep it rolling again appreciate all the likes coming in people are still weighing in as well looks like over half people have made weight hopefully the
Rest make weight as well we’ll keep you updated third fight on the card Jean Silva Weston Wilson biggest favorite on the card is Jean Silva 96 00 Wilson 6600 Silva minus 900 money line over minus a th000 at a lot of places W Wilson plus 600 roughly on the way back another
Monster inside the distance prop minus four 1,400 for this fight to Finish Jean Silva minus 800 inside the distance won Wilson plus 800 Silva in round one is minus 15 so yeah the books are saying Wesson Wilson is cheeks Jean Silva is going to walk right through him he’s
Giving up some size UFC debut I don’t know it feels like weson Wilson’s just awful and that’s where the line is that way I don’t know if Jean Silva deserves to be over minus 10,000 against anyone you tell me your thoughts there and can he pay off this 9600 price T and be
Optimal yeah I I wasn’t like sold on Silva at all so there’s no way I would bet this line on him I don’t see any value at all if there’s any value on betting the underdog to be honest with you but just going back and watching Wilson there’s just no nothing good
About this guy’s game I mean his submission grappling is decent but he can’t control where the fight’s going to take place he kind of just needs to jump Guillotine or try and grab a dude’s ankle or something like that but once the fight’s on the ground like these
Silva betters are gonna be sweating it out if that happens but I do think that Silva’s probably the better wrestler can use it in defense to keep the fight standing he’s going to be walking Wilson down throwing bombs Wilson doesn’t eat shots well so I think Silva probably
Puts him away probably puts him away early you said minus 150 to winning round one that’s 60% right there that’s making me think I need like at least 60% of this guy in my lineups like 96 is a tough price to pay but when we’re comparing money lines it’s only you know
What a hundred bucks more than the next guy on DraftKings but uh a wide margin more likely to win wide margin more likely to win early and in the first round minus 150 you don’t see that very often so yeah I got to go with Silva as
The preferred play I’ll get as much as I can afford but I am fine with whatever amount I need to go down there’s so many people I’m fine going down to if I need to in order to like my lineup somewhere else more but on the Wilson side I I
Think he’s I mean I don’t know about somewhat live but I it would not Shock Me completely to see this guy grab a neck just jump G Guillotine and and get the tap at no ownership I think it’ll be like 5% ownership something like that so
I might double the field go go 5 10% ownership with my 150 but if I’m just making 20 hand builds I’m Xing him out and it would be silver or pass man we’ve been locks up on these first three fights I really love to see
It in that last question I was going to ask you like how many lineups would it take you to finally cook weson Wilson’s name for me it’ probably be 75 maybe I know I’m not getting there in 20 I’d say if I make 50 I’ll have 50
Uh at least one yeah that sounds good that makes sense and I I bu the slate plan for 20 entry and Below they had that $3 20 entry Max hay maker they used to run now it looks like they’re trying to transit or they’re kind of transitioning the $3 150 Max can still
Obviously put 20 teams in there you don’t have to Max it but when I am doing 20 or below or building single entries and stuff like that I’m definitely not getting any Wesson Wilson Jean Silva like if I land up if I love my script
And I have 30% I’d be good with that because there’s so many other viable options up top that the price tag he could score 110 and still not be enough but I love my whole script and he has and I have 70% I’d also love that as
Well so that’s kind of how I’m with this upper tier I’m just whatever I like for these dogs like I want to get the mid tier and the dog exposure to where I like it and then up top I’ll juggle these other guys around but yeah I mean
He probably walks in here destroys them would that be shocked if won Wilson won I mean we’ve seen a lot of crazy we’ve seen crazy things happen in this sport so he could kick him in the nuts and it be a DQ he could he could talk a lot of
Bad things into existence but yeah definitely want some Silva no Weston Wilson Ry Shan Z Green in here easy bets people watching live what’s going on appreciate all you hanging out familiar faces as always hope everybody out there having a great Friday plenty of money to
Be made on this weekend and yeah you missed that $320 entry Max it was really the nut contest that is why um when I’ve been doing content the past three years four years whatever it may be I directed it to that contest because Fitz Bank girls there’s $1 20 entry Max stuff too
And I just man I’m not good at single entry stuff in MMA man like you can have the six for six get everything right but the 9,300 guy outscores the 9400 guy by two points and that train of 12 people you take the second nuts and you get
Paid pennies essentially instead so I it’s an mme sport for me dialing some exposures but hey each their own little rent right there we’ll keep it rolling I’d say I’ve moved into I like doing the 150 and that $3 yeah and then for me the 20 or less is usually the big contest
Like for this week in $20 I’m not GNA throw 150 lineups on that so if I do play it I’ll probably limit myself to 20 lineups or less that’s what I’m thinking this week too I used to Max every single week the MMA but a they shrunk it a
Little bit like it used to be like 15 bucks 28,000 people this week’s 20 bucks like 19,000 or something um and I was getting my ass kicked for a little while too so I’m starting to do that thing too throw like 20 to 50 to set whatever may
Be and then I can play more condensed there whereas the 150 like you’re saying if I I will Max the $350 I will have some Weston Wilson in that where I’m not doing the bigger stuff so we’re doing it very similar there let’s keep it rolling next fight
On the card just reason what easz bets was saying interesting one freed bosot Taylor lapis 8,900 fed 7,300 for aapis looking at the odds in this one fi minus 280 lapis plus 240 this fight is plus 180 to finish so unlike these first couple this is expected to go the
Distance fed plus 225 lapis plus 650 and looking at odds or ownership we have fared at 21 and lapas at 13 that feels maybe a little high on fed I hope it’s 211% so he was one of my Fades and 20 entry and Below would I be
Surprised if he goes out there gets four takedowns top control maybe finishes it no plus 225 isn’t bad but man this upper tier is so loaded I couldn’t click everyone’s name on 20 and Below him and his brothers been known be defensively sound slow down the pace lamp is pretty
Solid takedown defense so if he can’t get those I really don’t think he hits the ceiling so it’s doger pass in terms of DFS but I respect the bosra brothers and think they’re so solid that they’ll probably win an unanimous decision and I won’t really want much last is solid
Though I said a little bit of lapis underweights fade fed I don’t love this fight much at all personally but I don’t think it’ll really be owned either what are you seeing yeah it could be high just because I’m kind of the opposite on this one for me it’s going to be
Favorite or pass I’m definitely not forcing basharat into my lineups because I do think he could just be a a somewhat low volume where he’s not going to score well if this fight takes place on the feet for too long it’s also a pretty close fight on the feet lapis is a good
Striker uh but what I do like is I mean I love the bash rap Brothers everything about their games to be honest but I think fared is the better and more likely Grappler of the two and in this matchup where you might not even be the better Striker you should be looking to
Grapple and that’s how he’s going to score a lot of points in this matchup is on the ground I think he could finish him on the ground in any round but I also think he could get six plus takedowns whenn all three rounds and still score 100 points on the card
And I also thought you know just the name bashat in DFS probably does stay a little bit low owned so I was kind of like you know what I need I need to get a little bit of Leverage to basharat here I don’t know how much I’m G to end
Up getting I haven’t done lineups yet but I do think I will be overweight on basharat maybe I’ll be around that 21% and I’ll put I’ll end up putting it lower on the expected ownership but I just don’t really have any interest in lapis I think he is really in play for a
Knockout but he averages 69 points in decision wins if he gets a decision win here I’d actually take the under on 69 points so I’m going to probably ex out lapas out of my player pool I think he’s in play as a live dog who needs to keep
The fight standing if bashra is spending extended time on the ground even in a win I don’t think lapis is going to get there but that’s why he would be in play just as a live dog he’s cheap but for me it’s going to be favorite or pass I
Think basharat is in play for a 10x or more scorer in this one I don’t think he’ll be too owned in his best path to victories on the ground yeah no I me like the more you talk about it I thought the same thing like lais when I
Click that lineup it’s 11 favorites win 10 favorites win or like none of these cheat dogs win and 70 somehow is enough because all these upper tier guys score a lot like I hate the ceiling for him F definitely yeah you can paint a picture his wrestling all of that I just when
I’m comparing him to like Marcus McGee Joshua van Tom Nolan and where would you rank him of those four um so I’m putting McGee is the one I’m looking forward to your your breakdown on yeah I like his just ground upside if he gets to take that like so I
Have him so we’ll get there but right now I’m gonna rank him last that is and then be it would be between basharat and Van I’m not sure so I guess I’m sorry I’m a little bit more interested in how how should I put basharat and Van
Are similar to me but I’m much more interested in Van’s opponent than I am in bats so maybe that puts bashat as two Nolan will be first that that makes a lot of sense I like like the thought process those are and we’ll play a lot
Of Ls but like if the ownership and you loved all your ownership and like you had more McGee than bastra I don’t think you’re changing anything um unless it’s a wide margin but that’s important the rankings up here because I’m struggling with these top guys fed is going to be
One I’m leaving off and 20 and below and it is scary like he he definitely could ruin my night wrestling he’s a good fighter I I do understand that I think all these guys in the upper AK 9k range um you can pay you can see a clear path
To a big score from him and on the optimal so let’s get right to that fight Marcus McGee Gaston Banos 9100 McGee 7100 Lanos looking at the odds minus the odds have come down so sit about minus 215 is Marcus mcino he opened minus 375
Balano is plus 184 on the way back this fight is minus 25 to finish earlier in the week it was minus 250 so some money kids come in this past couple days on Banos and on fight the over and then looking at the odds to finish McGee minus 120 inside the distance balanos
Plus 360 so yeah my take is I just love this fight Banos is one of my favorite dogs if it’s on the the feet which Marcus McGee has been a primary Striker he doesn’t hasn’t shot for takedowns I mean Banos this line Looks off so I think
That’s why some money’s come in on him but if Marcus McGee comes out there and tries to wrestle I mean his sub propop is plus 225 actually now it’s plus 200 yesterday when I was writing up plus 225 so I think it’s clear as day if he wins
Which he’s over minus 200 it’s going to be a takedown and he probably just Subs them could be in the first round could be second whenever but give me wrestling and or top control upside which I guess that’s kind of why you’re saying fared as well I just I I respect lapis’s
Takedown defense and ground game a lot more than I respect blanos at the end of the day so that’s kind of the only thing but you can see a lot of comparisons in that fight blanos on the feet McGee on the ground I’m picking McGee and I went
Back and forth because I’m not 100% certain McGee would lose a striking match I’m 99% certain balanos is losing on the mat so I think he has more pass but but when talking dogs and cheap guys I’ll definitely have a good amount of Banos too I like this fight and last
Thing before I throw it to you our ownership right now we have Marcus McGee 22 that’s music to my ears Balano 17 I love that for sure and I’d probably be overweight on both of those so what do you see in this one yeah pretty much the same except
For I just I don’t I haven’t seen enough of McGee’s ground game to like trust that he’s going to go there I do think that balanos was bad enough on the ground though where that was really what made me pick McGee as the winner I kind
Of think this is a striking match and if it is then the line’s definitely off give me balanos as my play but it’s it’s pretty close on the feet I don’t have a real preferred play in a striking match but if this fight’s going to go to the
Ground it’s going to be McGee taking it there I don’t think he’s a great wrestler I just think he’s more of a power wrestler where he’s just he can just grab onto his opponent or like you know double leg him like aot like a football tackle um he’s in play for that
I don’t know how great his control game would be but I think he is live for the submission and he’s got power on the feet too so he’s definitely in play for The Knockout the metrics are what are what are making me want this fight and I
Think both sides are in play where McGee he could get a knockout he could get a sub Mission either one of those probably score well but if he’s not Landing more than let’s say two takedowns in this fight I think he’s scoring less than 10x in a decision here and on the Balano
Side I if he’s spending any time on the ground or Against the Cage he’s not going to be scoring there he’s already not very high volume on the feet he’s not going to be looking to wrestle so I think we need the knockout for any real upside from Banos otherwise we’re
Shooting for a 10x type of win so I don’t know what I’m going to do with this one the film is kind of telling me that I want to hope that it goes the distance with McGee winning and him just not scoring enough and I want to get
Away from this fight um but at the same time the metrics are telling me it’s probably a good one to Target so I don’t know this is the one I’m most confused on you liking it and being highing on on it make me want to Target it more uh but
I think right now I’m gonna when we finish I’m gonna do all my fight rankings and all that stuff and then I’ll start building my lineups right right now in my head I think I’m going to avoid it with any hand builds and then I’ll kind of let the optimizer do
Its thing um and if it gives me you know 20 to 30% of both of these guys and so be it uh but it’s the tough one for me I don’t really know yeah the more you’re talking about I see all the cases you’re saying and I’m getting I’m a little more
Hesitant on it but then I look at ownership and it looks actually be pretty low owned cumulative ownership wise man I know I’m GNA be playing blanos as a dog because when you compare him to some of these big punts like I like it more than Nicola I like it more
Than Johnny Walker I like him more than Arlovski like there’s only so many dogs down here that I like so I know I’ll have hit that side but maybe I will I don’t know maybe I’ll change McGee to underweight fared to underweight and just like some of my
McGee ownership to fared but then I’ll probably be underweight on both but I’m not completely dead if fared wins I can see like they both I guess have the same path like fared can wrestle and get a lot of top control I guess he’s probably more
Willing to wrestle than m is but if mgee does it man like I think it’ll be easy see I think that bashra is a really good wrestler and Grappler whereas think I don’t think that about him it’s just that this matchup makes him look he would be yeah no it’s really the matchup
For me too like and I respect lapas is taked down defense so the match Up’s way worse for fared where I know he’ll wrestle more yeah that’s tough I’m gonna have to think about that too all of our content will be up on the site though
Mine will be up finished after the show hoping 30 minutes after something like that everything will be up um but a very interesting fight one that you have me thinking a lot too l in here saying he’s here to troll Marley Matty Ice my man
What’s going on good to see you yeah Lou man I saw you at a midnight show last night what the heck I can’t stay up that late I’m an old man these days I’m gonna have to check the the replay on that one I was definitely in bed at midnight as
Well slept good over here let’s keep it rolling next fight on the card uh Matthew said mid- tier fight one of the three mid- tier fights i’ absolutely love Matthew Sam Berger Preston Parsons 8,400 samles Berger 7,800 Parsons this fight is minus or it’s a coin flip on
Each side so yesterday when I was writing it Samos Burger was minus 130 we saw a lot of line movement Samos Burger open plus 130 Parsons was the favorite at minus 150 couple minutes later seberger got by at minus 125 was sitting it about there for a couple weeks and
Then as of late parsons’s uh the past day has taken some money and it’s now a coin flip FES minus 175 to finish seberger plus 150 parsons’s plus 215 inside the distance I mean this is just a classic Clash of styles for me seberger waned to keep it on the feet
Parsons will be chaining takedowns can he get those takedowns or does sollberger who hits like a truck find the chain of Parsons and put them away is how I see it so 8,400 7,800 I’m gonna have more I don’t have a strong lean on the winner I like seeing the line move
In Parson’s favor but I wanted him to be less owned because a lot of seberger lineups build a team have seberger take seberger out plug in Parsons there’s $600 you’re leaving right there on a very close fight so just for that reason alone I think I’ll probably have more
Parsons but if ownership gets crazy now and that 600 difference let seberger way less owned I think I maybe want to go that side so I’ll be keeping a close eye on ownership in this one right now we have it seberger 28 Parson’s 26 and if that is the case I definitely we’ll
Probably have more pressent par persons and again I’ll be using in a lineups having sbl bger in taking them out leaving salary what do you see in this fight um again minus 110 a piece yeah that could be one I end up adjusting because I I did ownership first and then
I went and I adjusted our our info so I changed all the lines and line that I changed it went from minus 130 uh to minus 110 on seberger but it also went from like minus 300 inside the distance to plus uh sorry minus 175 so more people are starting to think that
To go all three but yeah I might move Parson’s ownership up because now with that line movement is going to come more ownership uh so I might up him and lower seberger or maybe just up him I’m not sure yet it keep it brings me back to
That Jeremiah Wells I think Court McGee fight fight it was something like that 8 or maybe it was another seberger fight I think it was the seberger Jeremiah Wells it was 8,400 7800 and money was coming in at Wells or semelsberger at 7,800 but the 8,400 he
Stayed the same and like he ended up being a little higher owned because people play the leveling game like you would think Parsons would be way higher owned but I’m I’m curious to see what you’re going to do on ownership because it’s one you say it yeah um but yeah so
The way I’m thinking it now is that Parsons will be higher owned seberger will be a little bit lower owned and I just like both sides I think if Parsons wins it’s going to come on the ground whether that be five plus takedowns uh and scoring well in a
Decision or just getting into the ground and submitting this guy at some point he’s live for both of those types of wins but seberger is gonna have a bit of a striking Edge in this one I don’t think Parsons is a good wrestler I just think his best work would be done once
It hits the ground and see bergger is just a little bit too patient off his back he doesn’t have great takedown defense he doesn’t have a great get up game um so it’s more so I think he’s in play to use his wrestling to keep this fight standing and he’s just got big-
Time power he knocks down most of his opponents and Parson eat some shots so the way I’m picking this fight to go down is seberger getting an early knockout maybe after he stuffs a couple takedowns here or there but if he doesn’t get the early knock knockout out
Then Parsons probably does come back and wins this fight whether it be a decision or a submission so just a great fight to Target right there in the mid-range uh but with this recent line movement I’ll be overweight on seberger and now probably underweight on Parsons where I would have wanted to
Come into this card with Parsons as an underdog that I’m pretty interested in so I don’t know lot a lot of changes on this one what up John in chat yeah what’s going on John we got Dennis in here burgers talks making him hungry I’m
Hungry too I have a Euro after this so I’m excited for that Nickel in here what’s going on that boy in that screen he’s going to be fighting for a big one pretty soon Sean V in here as well um yeah it was good shout on the minus 300
Inside the distance to minus 175 that’s huge line movement pretty late in the week I still I’m gonna have a lot of this fight but of the three so I’m ask this before we keep going mid- tier fights Phil HW Bruno Ferrera Sam Berger Parsons Jim Gabriel bitez rank those
Fights one to three on interest yeah I love those fights um it’s tough yeah I don’t know Mine mine’s Phil HW Ferrera won yeah the fact of H’s chin Ferrera never getting a third round and the inside the distance prop sburg or Parsons is too the inside
Distance scares me a bit but I think it’s just if Parson wins it’s a lot of takedowns control seberger would be KO and Miller bonitz I don’t know it’s a banger as well but I could see it staying on the feet more so on a second round knockout
Or so but I don’t know what are your thoughts that’s tough but yeah I would say Haw fight first and then the next one It’s just tough between those next two uh and I think I’ve gone back and forth between fourstar and five star on
Both of the other two so I’m not sure I you can go to my fight rankings though uh and check tomorrow I’ll have it official uh and you can see if it’s a festar or a four star and you can decide which one I like more that way love it
And then someone asked has Fighters made weight yes I am seeing every single fighter except manell cop hit the scales right now and everybody on point for wait so waiting on one love to see that baby hope we keep all 12 right there keep it rolling next fight on the cardan
Appreciate everyone hanging out appreciate that like button and if you want all of our premium MMA content those fight rankings slate plan projections ownership golf content NFL NBA NHL monster weekend over here head over to shipin nation.com weekly monthly six-month and annual packages all do include the Discord except the weekly
Package no better price get over no better Community head over shiing nation.com let’s keep it rolling to I mean man a very interesting sanction fight Waldos cordz aasta taking on Andre Arlovski 9500 aosta 6,700 for orlovski this fight is or Costa minus 750 Arlovski plus 550 this is minus 260 to
Finish I mean what arosi 98 years old nowadays and does he have does he pose any threat offensively for Costa to be worried about this line looks pretty accurate to me I don’t know man but I guess how does 9500 ankle’s in the range we got Silva in the range we’re talking
About manell cop Joshua van like this upper range is tough so what’s your thoughts cop always last you are right yeah uh I’m gonna X Arlovski out in this one I think the only way he’s live in this fight is just if Cortez a Costa respects him a little bit too much goes
Out there makes it a slow Pac striking match and we probably still need some poor judging but I mean that’s damn near likely at this point but that’s the only way Orlowski is live I mean I guess they’re heavyweights he could Land one big shot but I don’t even really think he’s live
For a knockout to be honest so his path to Victory is still not going to score 10x in my opinion so I’m just going to s lowski out here and then with Cortez a Costa it’s just $99,500 is the what makes it tough because we really need a
First round knockout for him at that price he’s not going to be going out there looking to wrestle at all he does strike with decent volume but not decent enough to pay off $9,500 without a finish and I’m thinking if we even make it to the second round he’s probably off
The optimal lineup so we probably need a first round knockout from Cortez a Costa and I think he’s like plus 145 to win in round one that’s decent but I’d still rather pay up for Silva if I can I’d probably rather pay down for Nolan but that’s what the field is doing
Too and that’s kind of what puts me on a Costa maybe I can get a little bit different by going up here $9,500 aosta and he can get a first round knockout maybe even a 60c knockout uh so I will get a little bit of exposure there the
Way I see it though is probably 20 to 30% something like that because I do prefer those other uh those other Fighters if we’re just talking raw and more likely points but damn these are Big Boys Ari’s 44 years old aosta looks like a solid Striker it’s just that he’s
A little bit too green and the price tag is what just makes it a little too hard yeah I mean I’m definitely fading alosi he’s the easiest fade on the card probably for me um him and weson Wilson but it’s definitely close between those two as
Far as ownership so yeah well we have above 9200 Jean Silva High I’m going to go highest price these top four guys 9200 above Sila 49 a Costa 27 ankalia 40 Tom Nolan 43 so of those top four three of the four above 40 and I agree on that
Aosa is the odd man out so just for that reason alone I’ll be eating mid-tier chalk I mean lowy’s 44 yeah I joked at 98 44 years old I mean man Osa could easily just walk through him and make it like cake maybe he’s a little gun shy
And just they stare a little bit there’s definitely a concern there but we’re talking one.5 ownership discount from all these upper guys there in chalky lineup when I’m playing the mid- tier stuff I gladly will click a coast over Silva ever ankle of just ownership wise
If an ankle ey of team’s duped 25 times and this one’s duped five times like give me that five time he’s not five times more likely is ank live to outscore Costa or any of these guys up top I believe believe so that’s how I’ll
Be using it in a vacuum though I do prefer ankali with the extra five 10 minutes and the wrestling upside I do prefer Jean Silva probably Tom Nolan for the 300 savings too but it’s an ownership game duplication game so I will be mixing in a Costa owski easy
Fade there couple fights left on the card five fights a lot of bangers to end the card here including this one mid- tier fight Bruno Ferrera Phil HW 8300 Ferrera 7,900 Phil HW Bruno is minus 130 Phil HW plus 110 fight’s minus 700 two finish uh Ferrera is Plus or ferer is
Minus 125 inside the distance Phil HW plus 155 really curious to get your take on this fight so I’m gonna throw it to you right away yeah I think that Phil HW has a very weak chin Ferrera has big time power could only take one shot for
Ferrera to win this this fight and it could come in 60 seconds and he could just break the Slate at $8,300 but skill-wise man hos HW is better everywhere HW is a better Striker HW has big time power too um but HW is a much better wrestler and it would be a
Lot safer of him to go out there and look to wrestle to where you can hide your biggest weakness um so I have to pick HW in this one I think the wrong guy is favored I mean Ferrera is minus 130 to win but 125 of that is to win
Inside the distance he’s knockout or bust and I do not like paying juice on knockout or bust fighters to win uh so I’m gonna be on HW HW will be one of my higher owned underdogs on the card I think he could go out there out strike
Ferrera I think it’s G to be a TKO either way I think at some point Haw is gonna knock him out if he is winning this fight or he’s gonna go out there and wrestle and finish him on the ground that’s kind of how I see it going down
Or he’s going to go out there and he’s going to be winning this fight until he gets knocked out so either either way we’re going to get a high score in this one five star for sure I’m going to load up on this fight but I see me having
Maybe 50% HW and 35% forrera something along those lines I I’ll have a lot of both of them but I’m more likely to be overweight to HW and whatever that puts me like in line with or or a little bit overweight to Ferrera yeah I couldn’t
Agree anymore I’m glad I throw it to you first you saved me a lot of words we’re lock up on most of these fights different on some but our ownership right now 33% fer 28% Phil HW yeah like you said I think the wrong Fighter’s favored he’s better in every way like
Should he not be favored just because his chin I mean maybe F’s got the power and his chin isn’t we’ll find out but give me the guy that could go out and wrestle and just dominate on the mat could get his own knockout has the like
FR has never been to a third round Phil HW has fought the better guys more experienced like as plus money it made it really easy for me definitely could get chin checked that’s again why I like playing multiple lineups if I was only playing one more than likely I’m
Clicking Phil H’s name um but that’s why I like playing multiple because for definitely could chin check him your boy Phil HW one point or he can get you five points and you only play one lineup and you’re dead however more times than not give me Phil HW in this spot um I’ll
Have some for a best mid- tier fight probably my favorite fight on the card talking DFS because of the pricing I’ll probably have the most ownership to this fight it’s going on G Kyer this fight too so I was there live and I I will always remember this fight this
Fight of all fights I’ve ever watched live which a couple cards sticks out the most he gave Don win the biggest ass kicking I have ever seen and like sitting right there every kick every punch it was vicious it was DC was like after the fight obviously boy oh it was
Don wi just like broken um I’ll never forget that moment Phil Hall’s game as bad of an ass be as you can and I think it was herb de let that fight go too much but he definitely has all the skill in the world just got to keep his keep
The chin keep the chin intact and don’t fall down I mean Ferrera couldn’t have done that even to to dur win no I no I mean dur win was that was scary that was definitely scary we’ll keep it rolling showed a lot of toughness and appreciative toward these MMA fighters
What they put their bodies through couple fights left a banger right here Ricky Simone Mario Batista 8600 Simone 7600 Batista Simone minus 185 Batista plus 160 on the way back this fight was plus 120 to finish money now is coming down the over so plus 145 is what it’s sitting at
Now as far as my take on the fight I’m just I mean I’m a big Ricky Simone guy um chain wrestle for days averages over five takedowns per 15 Batista averages over two takedowns Batista throws good volume Ricky Simone a solid Striker himself the level competition though
Where it comes to man Simone’s fought all the dudes Mario Batista has been beating up on some Bad Dudes I think the skills there arguably lost to Dean Black Shear he’s a good fighter but I think Simone’s just black Shear’s a Dollar Tree version and Ricky Simone’s the the
Walmart version or whatever may be similar Fighters but Simone’s just better in pretty much every area I think he gets takedowns eventually striking is good he mixes it up we just see a classic Ricky Mo Ricky Simone decision win right here so I I like Batista as a
Dog 7600 if he wins I think it’s a high Pace fight reversals maybe he gets Tak down maybe knocks him out if he wins I think he scores well but I’m on the Simone side here what about you yeah I love this fight I’m high on both of
These guys but Ricky Simone’s just a guy that I’m always going to like on DraftKings just because I I love his wrestling and I love his Pace he could go out there and land 10 plus takedowns in really any given fight and I just am always going to be on those guys on
DraftKings and that is what ultimately gave me the edge to Simone and picked him to win in this fight the line made it a little interesting though because I think it’s pretty close and I do give Bautista the Striking Edge in this one I think he’s the better Striker I think
He’s the more dangerous Striker I think he’s the higher volume Striker uh and he’s also good on the ground too it’s just that he’s not going to be able to outpace Simone in the wrestling um so I’m just going to be heavy on this fight
And the way I put it in my know I haven’t done any lineups but in my head I see me probably having about 40 or so percent Simone 30 or so percent Bautista so I have more lineups with Simone but that would give me more leverage over
The field on Bautista where I’m probably right there along along with the field on Simone ownership and I’d also be fine with Bautista over Simone in my single entry if that’s what I end up having to do to like my lineup I’m just going to
Make it a point to Target this fight I want it in more than half of my mme lineups uh but I’m going to probably start with Simone in my lineup start building it out and if I need some salary I’ll drop down to Bautista and then start seeing what I could do with
The lineup but great fight should be fun should be high uh High paced but I’ll take Simone to win 2928 man either you and I are winning all the money or losing all the money because I just because we’re picking Simone I think you made a good case
Looking at our ownership 39% Ricky Simone 22% Mario Batista it sounds pretty accurate to me and with that being said the Thousand difference how that makes lineups like I very well probably will I’ll be more overweight to Batista than I will Ricky Simone even though he’s not my pick you get leverage
Off of Simone playing Batista he’s still going to be owned but you a lot different roster construction it’s easier to leave like 500 on the table Etc and he can be one of the highest scorers on this slate in a win like this is going to be a high paac fight it’s
Going to be a great fight if he wins he’s definitely stuff in takedowns maybe getting reversals catches the chin of Simone like the pass there in this fight for a big score so at that ownership yeah I like I’ll be playing a lot of Batista but I also like Ricky Simone
Another one of the best fights on the card real life and DFS in my mind so that was the fourth last fight on the card three fights left again three good ones appreciate the like button out there take one second right now give us a thumbs up subscribe button helps us
Out keep doing these shows we’re decided to be back almost every Friday after the little break Banger right here some old men going at it 40-year-old Jim Miller 35-year-old Gabriel Benitez still doing the damn thing especially Jim Miller looking at the odds Jim Miller minus 149
Bonita is plus 129 this fight is plus or minus 250 to finish plus 300 earlier in the week some money on the over now minus 250 Jim Miller plus 135 inside the distance Bonitas Plus 175 so I got two questions for you on this one is Jim Miller goingon to look
To get it on the mat or if he gets a submission do you think he’s just grabbing the neck or something like that and how does it play out on the feet if it does play out because I Jim Miller he’s been that dude on the feet as of late but bonitz his
Kicks I’m a sucker for those calf kicks and that body kick and I’m just not sure Jim Miller’s legs can take all the damage and still fight on a feed for 15 minutes so another one I’m very interested to see what your thoughts on it um yeah I think I actually think the
Wrong guy’s favored in this one uh I we got Jim Miller 41 years old or I think he’s about to be 41 years old and his best work I feel like has come of late especially DraftKings wise his best work has come of late going back to like
2018 he’s got I think it’s his last yet his last eight wins Miller is averaging 104 DraftKings points in those wins that’s that’s pretty Dam solid and he’s going out there he’s blasting guys on the feet he’s an even better submission Grappler so I do think his bigger Edge
In this fight would be the grappling uh I don’t think he’s an amazing wrestler to go out there and just say all right we’re gonna we’re grappling in this fight um I think bitez is dangerous too bonitz could grab his neck if that’s the case and tap Miller out in my opinion uh
But I do think the biggest Edge for benitz will be the Striking department and then more so after the first round I just think Miller’s going to be super alive in the first round maybe the better fighter everywhere in the first round but I expect his best work to come
In the first half of this fight and then him to start slowing down I’m not sure he’s gonna win that first round but I like bonitz to go out there and win the second round mostly even the second half of the second round and if it gets to
The third round I like bonitz more in that round than I do Miller in the first round so I’m picking bonitz to win the fight I think he could win by any method but I’ll take him to win two or three rounds on the scorecards maybe he could
Get you know a knockdown or takeown mixed in there to help out his score but I I just don’t know what these guys would score in a decision win I guess like I don’t know how how high their ceiling is if I’m right if this does Go the Distance but they both have
Finishing upside uh maybe Miller’s finishing upside would be more likely early and bitez could possibly be more late but man bonitz is dangerous early too so I don’t know I’m going to be heavy on bonitz I feel like The Field’s going to be a little bit too heavy on
Miller where to where I don’t want to match it so I’m thinking I’ll be like half a field or so on Miller and maybe I’ll double the field on bonitz yeah I Gabriel bonitz I’ve always done a succer for him because of the kicks I have been buying in on this
Miller run as of late too I know I like this fight I mean looking at ownership so I put in eventually and or at the end of the slay plan like I I’ll play the ownership discount if it’s Miller or if it’s bonitz if one looks way more
Popular looking at ours right now though Miller 26 bonitz 33 I think it’s somewhere around there I think ownership’s gonna be pretty tough on those mid say what I put 33 for bonitz yeah you have 33 or no I’m sorry yeah you do yeah you you have 33 okay I
Might I feel like I probably I might have put that in wrong we’ll have to I’ll go back and check it after this though chiping Nation subscribers be sure to check it out afterwards yep it’ll be on the site pretty shortly I get we’ll get projections in there the
Ownership maybe it’s Miller 33 Bonita’s 25 I don’t know something like that I’m kind of just if I like everything else on my exposures this is a fight I’m good with a lot of fluctuation like it could go to decision and like you said I don’t
Know how well it would score I mean I think I if you tell me it goes a decision I think Miller has more pass because maybe wrestling and can be on top but I don’t think you really want it if it’s staying on the feet Bonita he’s
Dangerous man like what he was doaba even before he got finished yeah he was piecing him up I love his kicks and stuff so yeah I mean I I like I I said I lean Miller slightly I think I’m on the bonitz slightly too but I’ve always been
A sucker for his kicks um we got two fights left and I don’t know if you saw man I was a little worried seeing everyone set to the scales except cop M or 129 and a half for 125 so hopefully Nicola takes the money takes the purse
We’ll get right into that fight but 12 fight to 11 wouldn’t be fun now in terms of my interest in this fight I’ll be underweight I don’t like it too much Manel cop Matas Nicola 9k cop 7200 Nicola cop minus 270 roughly Nicola plus 230 this fight minus
135 to finish um cop all the finishing UPS or Equity minus 110 Nicola plus 775 this is a rematch from almost three years ago ncol won a split decision close decision both guys scored awful I don’t know man like I think cop and BOS were my least two favorite in
This upper tier would I be surprised if cop gets a first round knockout no but he very well a second round knockout might not be enough for him if he doesn’t let his hands go um I don’t think he offense or wrestles so looking at his first round prop he is plus 375
In round one there’s just a lot of other better first round upside there so I think he’ll be pretty low own looking at our ownership maybe with this weight Miss even more 28% cop and where is um 9,072 Nicola 16% so 208 and 16 I’ll be
Underweight I guess I prefer the dog I think if I had to pick but I’ll throw it to you on this one I definitely prefer other fights for sure it’s one of my least favorite fights and does the cop waight Miz do anything for you as well
Um no not really uh I mean actually probably if he’s not injured it probably helps him like because the biggest worry for him would be getting taken down and I feel like the people who Miss weight it just helps them out with their wrestling more so or even defensive
Wrestling but I I hope this fight stays more so because I think that the field will be on cop and I just I I want to fade this fight mostly uh I just I don’t like the volume from cop I also don’t think he’s going to be looking to wrestle especially in
This matchup maybe he lands one taked down possibly two throughout the course of 15 minutes but I think cop is in play for that knockout we probably need it to come in round one like you said so with my mme maybe I’ll Max him at 20% just to
Match that round one inside the distance line but with my hand builds I’m I’m really trying to fade cop I am going to pick him though to get a knockout because I I think the first fight was close but it was he was really more so coming on strong towards the end and
There were some parts where I was like man I feel like I had money on Nicola so I was like sweating the Nicola side but I was like damn I’m about to lose this fight I’m about to get knocked out and I still think cop might have even won that
Fight but let’s say he did win the fight he scored 58 DraftKings points and that’s not going to cut it especially at 9k uh and then on the other hand Nicola did win but he only scored 71 that’s not even 10 X’s $7,200 salary here so I
Don’t see any real upside for Nicola here I guess it would be a submission but even if he wins I’m not expecting much more than that 71 that he scored last time so I don’t have much interest in Nicola he’s in play as a live dog
Sort of like a Taylor lapis but I like him more because he’s looking to get the fights to the ground where lapis is looking to strike so I’ll get a little bit of nickol out I said basically the same thing I I’ll Max him at probably
20% in mme too but with my hand bills I’d rather get away from it go to Underdog so I think have higher ceilings so it’s like a 20% Max on both but I’d prefer to be closer to zero than 20 I’m thinking yeah I love it a late knockout
Probably um makes it a close first or second round and then he comes on lands some big shots and then ends up putting them away at some point I’m in agreement for sure and yeah this is an interesting point because he has and I wrote it up I feel more
Confident that he’ll let his hands go but if you look at last fight against Felipe dos Santo it was do Santos really doing the forward pressure and making cop fight in that one because you just go one fight prior so the last fight was September 9th of last year the other one December
17th of 2022 David Dvorak he only landed 58 significant strikes to dorex 33 so he was fine playing that game doubling him up Landing the bigger shots and winning a decision there and then you go earlier in the career the N Nicola fight the Pantoja fight stared in the mirror
Knocks out oday with 15 seconds left in the round only Landing 19 before that the zus fight and the uh Felipe’s fight he definitely let his hands go there and he put it on Zas two knockdowns 53 significant strikes through four minutes but I’m more confident than earlier in
His career he let his hands go I could still see him Nicola just being more passive circling around and cop not going for it completely but if you think he will he’s another guy in the upper tier to mix around at a fraction of the ownership as Nolan ankle eye of stuff
Like that last fight on the card that’s the co-main event please say it does stay if it doesn’t of course projections ownership slate plan everything will be updated to reflect that last fight Main Event time another rematch the last two fights of the night are rematches an
Magad anali Johnny Walker 9400 anv 6800 Johnny Walker uh ankle ey minus 550 Walker plus 400 this fight is minus 500 to finish and looking at the odds ankle have minus 300 inside the distance Johnny Walker plus 550 ankalia plus 200 in round one so this fight was it took
Place um a little while ago pretty actually pretty recent ankle nothing was really going on in round one they’re trading some punches ankle did secure a takedown he landed an illegal knee I think anive I said he was gonna be a future champ he’s so boring he kind of
The judg has took that away from him against Yan and I think Dana does wants anything but him to be the future champ but I mean he keeps winning fights besides the Paul Craig fight he threw away he’s a good wrestler he’s a steady Striker he’s not a DraftKings guy though so at
9,400 I still like him because I I think he knows he needs to be aggressive he needs a finish fights to like show Danea something I think he finally realizes that part the props are good even if he how this fight goes a decision what four or five takedowns 18 minutes of control
Time like that’s all on the cards I’m not sure how long they’ll stand with Johnny Walker so yeah I’ll be playing some ankali again story of this slate I’ll be mixing and matching these guys up here but I have anive number two in the tier rankings right now that I think
Are very interchangeable up top but yeah no Johnny Walker for me though he he can [ __ ] he can live uh he’s live for a big shot break the Slate that way I think he’s probably over own though for the five rounds how do you see this fight
Last one of the night yeah I agree I have these guys pretty similar in ownership and that is pretty much talking me off a walker I mean he’s definitely got first round knockout break the Slate ceiling but if he doesn’t get the first round knockout I
Feel like it’s going to get worse and worse as this fight moves along and the only advantages he has would be like speed explosiveness and one shot power early in the fight anyways so if he’s not getting the knockout I just don’t see how he’s winning this fight even
With a low volume ankali he’s still the better Point fighter in this one he’s the better more skilled Striker but his easier and safer path to Victory would be to wrestle where he really isn’t gonna have to worry at all about Walker off his back um so I like his wrestling
Upside and that’s what’s making me want to be possibly overweight to him I also think he could knock out Walker in any round have upside there as well it’s just that is his low volume and if he is winning a low volume fight what’s forcing him to go out there and get
Takedowns when it’s five rounds he’s probably trying to conserve his energy a bit wouldn’t shock me at all to see ankali go out there and score 79 points in a decision win or something like that so it’s definitely not an all-in main event but I feel like the
Field is going to be fairly low on this Main Event compared to others and when I originally started with my ownership I had these guys down like probably 10% each but I was too low overall so I threw all my extra on the main event and
That that’s what put ank alive up to like the 40% range but I feel like that’s almost a higher range I could see him being closer to 30% in this one and if he is closer to 30% then definitely put me down for some leverage but if
He’s at 40% I might not get too much maybe I’m at like 50 Max or so I don’t know I don’t know what I’m going to do with this 9k range um I just know that I’m fine mixing it around I’m fine leaving money on the table and I think
If I’m not eating or if I’m not uh um playing any contrarian spots then that’ll be my my plan I’ll just make sure I’m leaving money on the table and maybe I’ll even cap it on the solver at like 497 or 498 something like that yeah
So I think I think the anive we so we have 40 and 34 right now again um it might be changed it’ll be up on the site shortly after the show I think the anive ownership’s probably right if anything I think you’re hot on Walker a little bit
Maybe 28 25 I don’t know again you’ve been way better at ownership than me I’m just I always look at it I have my own thoughts obviously going into the show and stuff like that what people will do if I had to guess so if anything you’re
Hot on Walker I think an probably in that 40% yeah I want to say I started at like 28 Walker so maybe I do end up going back down to like 28 and then put that six on the Parsons and then still maybe a little bit more on the Parsons
Or something yeah yeah I no I think that sounds right as well either way I think Walker’s over owned anath has he has pass like you said it’s definitely not an Allin fight for me and especially not playing any Walker and 20 entry and Below like maybe I only play 40 ankle
Live zero Walker so over half my lineups don’t include this fight there’s enough other ankle live gets you 105 that’s not a lock to be on the optimal is how I’m looking at this card with the others in the 9k range so I don’t want to make a
Complete huge stands up top when anyone can get there I’d rather make more stands in that mid- tier certain fights there be more concentrated on dogs this week than I am favored so I guess that’s the story of the Slate what’s up going on Siggy our man three and a half pounds
As always yeah hopefully that fight does stay on again hopefully keep all 12 fights 4 pm Eastern in the Apex always good talking fights big Marley any final words for the people n man we’ll have everything posted soon um we got PGA going too so I’ve been looking at Tambo
And Hoops picks for that I had a I only did one lineup last week but it cashed so I was like you know what we gotta play this PGA a little bit more now that I I know what I don’t know what I’m doing but I know who I’m following at
Least so yeah we got all sports for one price you you just can’t beat it and then we also have the best Discord around so go on sign up I feel like the Discord alone is worth it so you guys won’t be disappointed 100% yeah some people like Discord only uh package hey
Our discord’s great but it’s uh so yeah there’s no Discord only get the content I mean just alone I think it’s worth our price we pay with the content Discord everything is worth it just for the Discord but MMA golf NBA NHL NFL so much going on this weekend again weekly
Packages don’t include the Discord you get all the content though if you want to give us a try 25 bucks otherwise monthly six Monon and annual $69 a month $59 a month it comes out to for the six-month plan $49 a month that comes out for the annual plan lot of fun
Things ahead though um just it’s a great time over here at Chipen nation.com one of the best times of the year in terms of making some money appreciate it easy bets Maddy ice everyone out there good luck this weekend win something big get some shipping Nation low goes to the top
For big Marley I’m title toown have a good one stay safe be Bless Yeah w
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WE BACK
Welcome f**kin back!!!
Algo 💪🏼
Fight night baby!!!! Beterbiev tonight too, wooohooo!!!
The mighty mullett!! @titletown2121