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Wait you can back around Hello and welcome to the CBB Super Show I’m your host Walter wedell AKA dub Deuces 885 some of you know me by that some of you know me by Walt we are brought to you by the ftn network which is becoming a world famous entity thanks to all the hardworking folks that we
Have both working at ftn and those who are subscribed and working together in a really excellent Community I’m excited to be here tonight talking with you guys about college basketball this is what we do if it’s your first time checking out the Super Show allow me to welcome you
And tell you what we do here is break down college basketball main Slate from a DFS perspective in a game by game format tried and true we’ll be giving you a core group of two to three players that we’re really really high on any applicable prize picks although the board’s kind of light
Right now and any betting and or prop opportunities which I also like to primarily talk about the draft King sports book it’s just what’s easily available to me if you’re watching live or on demand I do appreciate that if you could do us the honor of hitting the
Like button to show your support commenting throughout asking questions comments concerns sharing throughout socials and and everywhere else I would definitely appreciate it but if nothing else a simple easy like on the video helps us a tremendous amount college basketball has been wild so far as we
Enter the new year of 2024 it’s very clear that we are in for a treat as we enter into conference play parody is wild we just saw a game in which Illinois was getting dusted by Purdue and despite their best attempts to collapse hold on to win and that just
Shows you that nobody’s truly dead at any time anybody can beat anybody and there are a plethora of games tomorrow that have some interesting spreads honestly really good betting opportunities this is one of the first Saturdays I think of the Season where I’ve looked at the lines ahead of time
And thought wow there are a lot of what I think are soft lines of course Vegas no always knows that they say I think there’s three or four spots that we can really look at and and get in uh decently in an optimal spot and and hope
That it plays out but I’m really really happy we’re winding down College foot football we have the uh Natty on Monday between the you know America’s team the Washington Huskies and those other guys America’s villain the Michigan Wolverines there will be a Sunday night CFB version of the Super Show on which
Myself and Jake coek will break it down in full from The Showdown perspective as it is a showdown slate then we’ll close the chapter close the book on college football and we’ll just be doing college basketball for the next two and a half three and a half months nothing but
Shows articles content wall toall college basketball Monday nights Tuesday nights Friday nights as we get into February we will be adding Wednesday night and then pretty soon as we get into March and and you know right before conference tournaments we’ll be doing five out of seven days a week shows
Possibly more you guys know during the tournament we really get into the grind pricing for DK all year has been phenomenal if you are guys are new some of you are still kind of you know checking in with college basketball we’ve had some new Subs who have checked
Us out there are people who have played college basketball for the first time just this week and there is only going to get better pricing on DK especially has been relatively tight all year long that’s given us a massive Edge the last couple of slates pricing has been a
Little wonky a little more soft which has led to some higher scores and of course penalizes the mistakes more but but we have had a good week we had a little bit of a weird slate two days ago but we are continuing to do our thing
Nothing gets us down we tilt our faces off celebrate get to those green screens any way that we can let’s get into the Slate here and now and start talking about what we love college basketball all right Mississippi State versus South Carolina this is a great slate and
There’s a a phenomenal amount of games all day not only do we have this 12 game main slate but we have a afternoon slate and a and a night slate as well showdowns Galore there is just a ton there’s something for everyone uh we will be definitely playing all of the
Slates there will be the article for the main slate tomorrow morning as well the afternoon will be Discord only content um it’s just really difficult to to you know throw all these slates into a a viable breakdown uh and then there of course is the nine game night slate
Which will also have it the proje ction sheet that we’ve been working with the last week and half uh will be on the main slate I will try to update that for the other ones as well not sure that’s going to be possible but there will be the screenshots posted in the Discord
With the minutes and point projections for everyone in the main slate I know you guys have been enjoying that we’re still fine-tuning it seems to be working okay all right Mississippi State versus South Carolina Mississippi State thre Point favorites the total of 136 now we have a variety of totals here some as
Low as 127 a half you can imagine who that might be some as high as nearly 170 and that might surprise you what game that is this particular one is 136 looking at this first game it doesn’t really move the needle too much for me Mississippi State is a team that
Is far more legit than I think people realize under Chris Jans they have the top 15 defense uh play at 171st Tempo offensively they’re middling definitely but their defense really makes things happen they have losses to Georgia Tech and Southern they suffered in back-to-back games back in the end of
November early December winds over Washington State Northwestern Arizona State a decent North Texas team and ruter in a semia away neutral Court game there uh Ken pal score for this one 70 to 69 in favor of Mississippi State I do not think even though it’s a road game
It’ll be all that close and I don’t think they’re going to win by 20 either but I think they clear that three relatively easy and we’re talking about a 78 npoint win for this Mississippi State team uh coming off the big win over bethon cookman um the typical
Starting group for this team we’re gonna get into some really important news here Cameron Matthews DJ Jeff DeShaun Davis Shaquille Moore and Jimmy Bell however the great news was tolu Smith the star the stud Center for Mississippi state did return after a long Hiatus dealing with with injuries and ailments played
19 minutes off the bench 16 points nine rebounds and a block granted it was against a very old you know overpowered and and undermanned bathon cookman just you know obviously not the opponent to test out there but it was good to get Tulu into the game get into a little bit
Of a rhythm it won’t be a very long time before he ends up back in the starting lineup a typical starter last year’s rates for tolu and what we expect him to get back to 30 point 5% usage rate 25 a half% shot rate shoots 58% from the
Field a draw seven and a half fouls per 40 which was fifth best in the mark last year uh 38% combined rebounding rate and a three and a half% block rate fourth best offensive rebounding rate in all of the SEC just a season ago so you know
How important tlu Smith is who might he be jumping into the starting lineup for I would say probably Jimmy Bell we saw Jimmy Bell minutes wise he played 18 ton of turnovers now Bell did a nice job Manning the the five and and taking care of business there for Mississippi State
While they waited for too to get back so that was a a a a really good experience for him that’s going to be key for them later on as he’s probably like I said going to be moved to the bench but he’s got that experience and if something
Happens like foul trouble which is something that can be a problem at times for tolu at least Bell can step in there and give them quality minutes now too steps into this one at 8K if he jumps back back in the starting lineup against South Carolina I think it has to be
Certainly in consideration here very tough to to want to go right to him especially if he doesn’t start that would be a a probably uh nothing more than a gpp look there but as a starter 8K I do think that’s a relatively advantageous price for us to go ahead and look at
Um P up the sheet here I have to add his name uh yeah I don’t have him on my sheet yet all right so I like him for sure as a starter AK how how could you not right uh as far as the rest of this Mississippi State team I they haven’t
Been a a real fantasy Boon and and their games aren’t really something that we necessarily want to Stack by any means and and usually we’ve been staying away from them as a whole now cam Matthews has had a phenomenal season and has developed himself into a a a sort of
Alpha player for this team which he will have some regression now that to’s around but I do think he’s solidly in position as the number two on this team and you see you know against a very tough North Texas team nine real points but he put up 51 fantasy points thanks
To five steals 12 rebounds seven assists and three blocks he had six steals against bethon cookman so I don’t mind Cameron Matthews exposure but obviously that’s going to be something that we’re going to have to temper expectations with with too around especially with uh anticipation of higher
Minutes uh as far as our guy Josh hubard 62 just a luxury play um you know this price just isn’t going down enough we need to get him into the 5K range he’s going to be an ultra stud next year especially if he sticks around but
Really just looking at too here I think for the most part on the South Carolina side prices are pretty I guess would be advantageous against a lesser defense uh they feel like they’re probably priced appropriately otherwise Mei John sticks out to me at 68 is somebody with upside
For sure at that price point we know he can gas up and put up a 50 of his own takes a high number of shots for the South Carolina team but I think he’s going to be bothered by this perimeter defense he’s not going to be able to
Drive like he wants to on that front Court either uh South Carolina looking at it they’re 12- one which is a great job by coach Paris they haven’t played the strongest noncon they do have a nice neutral Court win over a Virginia Tech team that is better than they look on
Paper uh Notre Dame which they should have won a tough George Washington team and winup losses the one loss against Clemson and that was a close loss at that they had Clemson on the Rope so uh definitely a team that I think is going to look like a little bit of a pretender
When it’s all said and done they’re going to have some guys on this team that are a bit non-con Heroes Mei Johnson does lead the team in usage at 29.4% and at shot rate 31.2% both of those numbers are in the top 90 36% three-point shooter 20.2%
Assist rate drawing almost six fouls per 40 uh 68 like I said it’s an advantageous price for him but tread lightly I I don’t know that he’s going to be able to do the things he wants um we’re probably looking at a sub30 fantasy point game here for him anyways
But again a gbb look sure um then you have a bunch of like options at the value spots here guys like Zach Davis who have been playing 17 to 20 minutes it’s it’s really just speculative looks there I don’t particularly love this game it’s a 12 gamer so let’s move on to
The next one which is Marquette versus Sean Hall Marquette fivepoint favorites versus the Pirates a total of 144 and a half looking at Marquette uh you got Tyler cck up top there going up against this seatan Hall team that’ll be an interesting battle between him and kadary Richmond I think
Both perimeter defenses are going to cause a fair amount of turnovers doesn’t necessarily hurt us all that much here on DraftKings Kix back up to a price approaching that 9k range where he’s more of a luxury not a must he’s in that mid-30s range he’s definitely you know a
4X performer but I think a big slate like this we could be looking at a relatively high scoring slate obviously there’s going to be some landmines I don’t know that kic is a priority play for me but he’s obviously somebody that we want to consider just how good he actually
Is the Sean Hall front Court to me can be taken advantage of they have have J Jaden Bako but then they have a lot of kind of uncertainty at the rest of the front Court spots this would be an Oso uodo spot but six8 he’s still kind of
Just priced in that kraton range from last year remember the kraton starters were all like priced between seven and 8K they weren’t underpriced they weren’t overpriced they were just okay and that’s kind of how I feel about Oso here especially after coming off a two for 11
Game against kraton in which he did pull down 16 rebounds that’s a pretty big anomaly I don’t necessarily think see him pull down double digit rebounds anytime soon again but that is interesting to see that his type of upside does include that now because I really would have never paid him for a
Big 16 rebound game uh we had our our time to shine with David Jin as a value he’s been playing well as of late which has has his price going up uh we do have Stevie Mitchell who returned he’s sitting there at 43 I guess he can be considered you
Know he’s going to play around 20 minutes he’s got low r kind of a fit bitter if you will um not really a a highlevel value option there they’re still going to play Chase Ross you know 18 to 25 minutes as well basically splitting with Mitchell just
An okay option on the seat in Hall side kadary Richmond there at 84 I’m curious to see what the ownership might end up being here 41 kadary Richmond because we’ve seen throughout the course of his career he’s usually pretty chalky when he gets in the low 8K 7K range now he
Sits there at 84 coming off a a game in which he took 16 shots in the first half he had a monster like 20 plus fantasy points ended up finishing with 33 and a half against Providence um kind of a a lackluster second half he does that
That’s the one problem I have with cader when he’s on he is one of the best slate Breakers in the game but he goes long stretches of time where he just is not scoring fantasy points at a high level and sometimes you just scratch your head
Like how could this guy with the ball in his hands 247 possibly go five six seven minute stretches with no fantasy points at all one of the very very uh tilting things that he does but when he’s on point you’re talking about a guy who can score 20 real points pull down eight
Rebounds drop eight or eight or nine dimes put up a very big score overtime potential in this one absolutely I think kadari Richmond will be up for this game and this is one that I’m really intrigued and probably the one that I’ll be watching in the morning um I will be
Jumping around streaming North Carolina Clemson is on this slate that’s going to be a fun one but I uh find myself intrigued by Marquette games lately so I I’ll definitely be checking this one out the starting group for seaten Hall let’s pull that up uh with Dylan Adu in there
Uh a strong win over Providence by the way I wasn’t expecting that we know of course Bryce Hopkins did get injured which we’ll talk about uh Dylan ad USU alamir do Dre Davis kadary Richmond and Jayden Bako pretty lean on the bench right now Elijah Hutchins Everett who
Did have some starts earlier in the year Isaiah Coleman and then the other younger guy there the sophomore jaquin Sanders the bench doesn’t really give them a lot Isaiah Coleman has shown promise but they do rely on their starters a lot which means Adu dos Davis and Richmond are all pretty much locked
Into 34 plus minutes barring any foul trouble uh and sometimes those guys do have to play with fouls that’s something that we will see from from coach Holloway at times because they don’t have anybody else um so it’ll behoove Marquette to be attacking the rim trying
To draw fouls early and often I think that’ll be a strategy that we do see them utilize on the seatan hall side outside of Richmond everybody’s price that’s relevant above 6K you do have allir Dallas at 53 I am not tempted to use him scoring Reliant takes tons of
Shots but lately I’ve just been taking his unders on props um whether that’s P anytime his scoring uh is projected at or they give us a 13 and a half prop line usually take the under so I’m not tempted by the 53 price of Dos there and
I think at this point the industry has kind of written him off as well he was chalk for a little bit at the end of last year but he’s just not a player that I like to use at all so you’re deciding on if you want to go to
Richmond or you’re pretty much fading this one I think for the most part moving on to the next game here we have ruter versus Iowa this is an interesting one this is one I kind of you know had a side eyed about Iowa six and a half Point
Favorites the total is 152 and a half as usual we know it’s going to be on the higher scoring side because Iowa plays at a a a Tempo uh that’s very fast they’re ninth in the country right now in Tempo ranking defensively they are very lackluster we know they give up a
Ton of points they just gave up 83 to Wisconsin’s offense uh you know they they scor 100 plus against Northern uh Illinois they give up 90 to a a pretty mediocre Michigan team 90 to Iowa state which Iowa State offensively you know they get after it on defense they’re not
The most efficient offense in the world at times they give up almost 90 to Purdue uh over 70 to Sean Hall 80 to North Florida 80 to Oklahoma and Porter moser’s group 90 to kraton so getting the picture here that Iowa gives up ton of points ruter is coming off a game in
Which they lost a close one to Ohio State but they had a big performance from Derek Simpson and I had been on Simpson early in the year expecting him to break out but he was very lacked luster to start the season found some minutes Falling by the wayside and he
Was getting pulled very early and not even starting some of those games but with the jichael Davis you know injuries that happened or or the ailments if you will um I know he did return but with him uh having to sit at least one game that opened the door for Simpson to get
Back into the starting rotation and it it is just a bone bruise for jichael Davis but he didn’t start last game and when he did come in he played Just 12 minutes they still utilize Simpson a ton and in that game he played 34 minutes
Took 16 shots and had a usage rate of 30% when you look at the rest of what ruter did in that game against Ohio State uh they got a nice performance out of Noah Fernandez as well um and moat mag but Clifford all marui was non-existent really didn’t do a whole
Lot Andre hayatt was fairly non-existent although he did rebound well and they didn’t get anything off the bench Gavin M griffi had uh a hit a three and then they got two point basket from Austin Williams but no one else on the bench scored just five bench points Simpson
Went on to score 23 eight rebounds which is phenomenal I would never have expected that two assists and two steals um again took 16 shots so Simpson he did jump in price from 46 to 6K but he’s getting this dream matchup against an Iowa team that not only should he be
Able to score on all the shot attempts he’s been taking in fact 14 plus shots in three straight games but he’s also going to be able to cause turnovers and he’s going to rack up Steals and you’ll see he has eight steals in his past four and that is something that is starting
To uh become pretty consistent for him um not not to mention the rebounding that he’s been doing and the high assist rate in conference play and the last five games in general Derek Simpson is a very good play at 6K especially if you want to go with a more balanced approach
Do I think he’s going to be chalk at 6K maybe not but this is a good spot we’re not chasing by any means he is just a really phenomenal Target for this this squad especially with Davis probably looking at a sub20 minute roll at least for right
Now um if we think Simpson’s going to be Chucky here Noah Fernandez at 5’7 is an interesting pivot we saw him score 17 against Ohio State recently he’s nowhere near a consistent option and somebody that I would normally want to put into a main lineup but for gpp purposes sub 6K
Fernandez playing you know 30 32 minutes absolutely in this spot especially if he takes anywhere near the 13 shots he had against Ohio State I don’t know that that continues we’ve seen before that four seven six shots not the biggest shot taker but it is something to be aware
Of uh jichael Davis sits there at 4-1 if he got back into the starting lineup that could work um definitely something to keep an eye on but I am a little bit leery there of him if Andre Hayak can stay out of foul trouble in this game
Against Iowa I do think he is a posh play of the day candidate I’m not gonna give him that official designation and if you’re new basically that’s just my version my variation of a sneak play um I think hayatt is way too athletic for this Iowa team I think he’s going to
Pull down a lot of rebounds all over the place if he can get some putbacks great if he can hit some threes great he’s been taking a ton of them very versatile this is a really Elite gpp spot here for Andre hayatt don’t know that I’ll be
Brazen enough to plug him into the main there because there are random bouts of foul trouble that he will get because of the nature of the way he plays but I’m very very comfortable with him and think he’s going to be a matchup problem for this Iowa team a little bit value here
At 5-1 with Maat mag playing 30 plus minutes if that’s the case in a competitive game like this one should be we just saw 33 minutes out of him against Ohio State now he is a lower upside guy but 5-1 in a traditionally hardto fill forward spot definitely
Something to at least consider not a priority play but if you fall into that range and you need a forward there are worse things in life than playing Maat mag that is for sure um and then you know last Ley talk talking about Clifford Omar rui kind of
Sad to be like lastly because usually start with him right uh price continues to dip it got up there to a a astronomically high level that we just couldn’t touch because of the nature of how ruter plays they’re a team similar to others with dominant big man
Sometimes they forget how to make an entry pass or they completely ignore him in general we saw that happen to Armond Bott for a time in the last few weeks although they seem to have rectified that in their last game alar rui has moments where he just doesn’t shoot
Doesn’t get the bone if he’s not rebounding at a high level he’s not getting those putbacks either um you know the Liu game they featured him he had a ton of shot attempts 15 and he just crushed it but then you see that game against Ohio State they didn’t
Really work the post he had six shot attempts you go back to a tough game against Mississippi State where he had three shot attempts and all of a sudden you’re talking about a a really risky player here because he’s not being fed the ball and he’s not going to generate
Anything besides those rebounds and block shots shots and if he’s not rebounding or worst case he’s fouling this could go sideways really really quickly the 79 price point is definitely intriguing I agree but he’s nothing more than a gpp look at this point uh this is
A matchup he can take advantage of but on the road against Iowa I feel like refs are going to hose him with any bit of aggression that he shows I foresee foul trouble in his his future here so tread carefully there I would rather take the discount on Andre Hyatt
Although the same foul trouble does appli to him it’s less of a risk for him than it is Amar rui uh and a 37 you know if we get 20 minutes for Gavin Griffiths he’s at least somewhat interesting but he’s still a pretty raw Prospect overall for Iowa going against ruter we
Saw Ohio State they scored almost 80 against ruter there were some pretty big performances from jamus and battle who scored 22 points Bruce Thorton scored 24 and Rod Gil had 117 and two um when you think of r you typically think of a slower Pac team with a strong defense
They’re actually 13th in the country in defensive efficiency so we typically don’t want to Target against you know uh coach P’s team and I think that’s going to be the case here with Iowa looking at the Iowa group here and what they just said against Wisconsin you have Owen Freeman in the starting
Lineup now which is great High Fantasy Point per minute player High usage played 36 minutes in that game against Wisconsin 14 and 13 he is definitely the real deal this freshman I’m not going to sit here and say he’s the next Luca Garza because that’s a bit of hyperbole
But he’s certainly looking like he’s going to be the next great fantasy Iowa front Court player at this stage very early in his career is’s gonna be inconsistency but I think in the next year or two you’re going to be talking about Owen Freeman 9k plus as a guy
That’s putting up 40s and 50s uh with regularity Payton Sandford Who We Love dead eyee shooter Tony Perkins Patrick mcaffrey and Ben cricky who is the uh transfer that came in with a lot of hopes from Valpo had some big games in the noncon as we enter the conference season I do
Think Ben cricky is a very big favorite for a noncon hero and if you don’t know what that means because you’re new to the show basically a player who tears it up throughout the non-conference you know they’re playing teams like let’s say North Carolina A&T and valarezo and you know NC Central
Teams that maybe don’t have the the Firepower of the p5s right and they’re putting up big numbers and sometimes it can be hard to decipher then some people think when they go into the conference play that’s going to continue and then you learn real quick paying NK for Ben
Cricky isn’t the right deal because he’s struggling in conference games now he might be fine but uh he’s definitely a player that I think will become a a bit of a non-con hero and his price is going to have to dump down a little bit more
It is sitting there at 68 which has a uh you know some Intrigue to it by far um he did have a nice game against Michigan 24-8 so he’s shown himself to be capable in these spots um and the price is the cheapest I believe it’s been all season
But I just want that to come down a little bit more low 6K range I don’t know that he’s going to rebound all that well he struggled against Wisconsin and Steven prow he had major foul trouble throughout they just did a really nice job neutralizing him which did allow on
Freeman to play all those minutes Freeman comes in at 69 gpp Galore I mean he is he’s the real deal uh from a Fantasy Point per minute standpoint if I give him 36 minutes uh here let’s go to Iowa I don’t have this ready or else I
Would have shared my screen I don’t want to share it in its raw form here and I’m also like not a prodigy or anything when it comes to this um so if we give him 36 minutes which is what he played last game uh he just projects like nuclear
Totally nuclear right so I mean his his rates are are phenomenal I think we’re probably looking at like 20 let’s say 27 minutes still puts him way over 4X even at the 69 price point so I this is one of those plays that I’m a little bit
Leery about just like uh kakaa for Utah the other night when he projected super well and I kind of warned everyone like hey need some more games under the belt in this role to to really kind of uh normalize him he ended up playing like 14 minutes I don’t think Freeman’s in
Danger here playing 14 minutes I know that as long as he starts we can feel comfortable using him um the the starting gig has been his the last uh five games now the UNBC game was a blowout Florida A&M was a blowout both of those he played under 20 and the
Michigan game was the first game in which he started in his career uh he played 18 minutes in that one he had two fouls relatively early which took a lot of the first half away he did end up playing a lot of the second half there
So I’m I’m at least confident enough to tell you that he’s going to play 25 minutes as a floor baring any foul trouble and they’re going to need him especially his skill set um he just reminds me so much and it’s lazy of me because it’s it’s Luca Garza but man the
Way he plays is just so so good and he’s gonna develop his offensive skill set he reminds me of uh Garza on offense already and like um I was uh like like uh uh not mois say who is on who was on Memphis I gotta look now I gotta look I usually remember
All these names let’s go back to like a Dedrick Lawson on defense and his Memphis years that’s that’s what he makes me makes me feel like talk about hyperbole right but uh own Freeman man I I just I don’t know I pride myself on being early on guys and I am really
Really into on Freeman right now uh interesting price on Payton Sanford at 66 fits the midrange balance type of build 30 plus minutes like he just played against Wisconsin gonna take double digit shots we know that um he is a relatively sound option uh not my favorite going up against ruter but
Definitely someone we can consider uh does have a shot rate over 24% and he’s nearing 40% on his three-point attempts which he has 92 on the season which is by far the highest on the team um he is an absolute chucker and then Tony Perkins who’s there at
73 just coming off a near 40 against Wisconsin they relied on him heavily as well second time in the last three games that he scored over 20 real points don’t mind Tony Perkins but I certainly uh you know preferred last year getting him at
45 and 5K 73 is a bit steep for me I’d rather take Sanford or Freeman and neither of them or anyone on this team is going to be a priority for me that’s for sure um you have a little bit of value here with guys like Dante Bowen
But his minutes have been falling away you have Patrick mcaffrey there at 5K um he’s always going to get minutes but he is kind of the inverse uh of Freeman low Fantasy Point per minute player at least recently um so I’m I’m not really too
High on any of the Iowa use at this point either North Carolina versus Clemson Clemson three-point favorites total nearing 160 so definitely one that will be on the higher scoring side what is up we got Alex in the house NC State Casey Casey Marcel yeah man Casey morcel
Gatorade Player of the Year at one time you know I somehow forgot that I was talking to someone today about uh Gatorade Player of the Year in the DC area and you know seeing Casey Marcel’s name it was uh experienc for sure but yeah we’ll we’ll see we you know we got
A we got a DVP spot in that game and I and I don’t know if it’s more so but we’ll get there anyways UNCC versus Clemson starting with Carolina let’s go down and talk about Seth Trimble who played 23 phenomenal minutes against Pittsburgh in a game that they controlled pretty well
Pittsburgh showed flashes but anytime they did Trimble just was grabbing timely rebounds hitting shots that he normally doesn’t hit and just overall being a a menace on the defensive side it’s his second game in a row that he’s put up 21 fantasy points uh this is something that I’ve been waiting for a
Long time on Seth Trimble all through last year I was hoping that he would kind of kick it into that next gear as a a pedigreed you know uh recruit now he loses his his spot kind of to Elliot kadu and terms of younger guards uh only
Has a spot start way back in the you know November time against Northern Iowa and as minut as just haven’t really been there and and he hasn’t been a fantasy option because of it but we have seen him play 20 plus minutes in three straights starting in December 20th in a
Close win against Oklahoma then the Charleston Southern blowout and then recently against Pittsburgh Trimble is only 4-1 if we think these 20 plus minutes continue Off the Bench and if they do he’s absolutely in play as of value even against a Clemson team capable of making life difficult for the
Tarel so it’s kind of a a you know tread lightly because if the minutes aren’t there it’s a disaster but if he plays 20 22 minutes again I like his chances of maybe not necessarily putting up a 20 plus score but hitting 4X and getting value at the minimum um speaking of
Elliot kadu sitting there at 46 his minutes have sort of leveled off as well now he was in amazing major foul trouble against Pittsburgh which kind of opened the door for Trimble to play so we might be looking at the blowout against South Charleston Southern the fouls on Kad do
There against Pittsburgh might those minutes for Trimble be more of a mirage than something to expect going forward it’s possible neither of them are are you know core plays but I do have an affinity for Trimble and think he deserves more minutes cormack Ryan at 57
He’s at least going to take a ton of shots we know that he can pay that off get 24 25 fantasy points and okay look as far as as anyone on this North Carolina team he’s probably the easiest to get to in your main lineup just know
That if the shots aren’t falling I I don’t know that he’ll be able to do enough other uh stats to actually pay that price off Harrison Ingram at 75 the doit all guy he is massive when bott’s not playing well or RJ Davis not hitting shots Ingram does a little bit of
Everything 15 rebounds against Pittsburgh anybody that can put up 35 fantasy points while scoring only seven real points is somebody you want to heavily consider um now we you know the cam Thomas season we didn’t care about peripherals we just rostered them but typically we want those guys who are
Going to give us those consistent heavy High upside peripherals and that’s something that Harrison Ingram has done in his role with North Carolina they may have whiffed getting our guy Dalton connect who’s in Tennessee but I think they did a phenomenal job of Landing Harrison Ingram and he’s actually played
Pretty well in this Hubert Davis system say what you will about Hubert Davis he’s playing well now North Carolina 39th in Tempo top 25 in defensive efficiency top 12 in offensive efficiency the close neutral Court lost to Kentucky and Yukon they also lost an overtime neutral report to Villanova I
Think that game played today I do think they’d win that game for what it’s worth and then the solid wins over Tennessee Arkansas Florida State Oklahoma and Pittsburgh so North Carolina’s certainly playing well uh Ingram as far as his rates 20% usage 21% shot rate but he is
Making 43% of his threes think a lot of people maybe turn their head you know sideways a little bit and not realize like this guy that’s not scoring all that much when he’s taking threes 56 attempts he’s knocking them down um two and a half% steel rate 2% block rate
Offensive rebounding rate of 8% really like Harrison Ingram again if you’re going with that more balanced approach he’s a great look somebody who is just kind of continuously putting up 30 to 35 fantasy points and I do like him here in this spot uh you have the 9k RJ Davis I
Haven’t I’m trying to think back to a time this season that I’ve used RJ Davis I don’t think I have um certainly didn’t use him at 95 against Pittsburgh he you know kind of had a down game for his standards but we know he’s going to play
Most of the game he’s going to take a million shots contributes in all categories this is is is definitely a spot for RJ Davis to step up and have one of his Banger 40 plus uh Fantasy Point games when you look at the various pay-ups you’ve got Dickinson versus a
Beatable TCU you’ve got Kevin mcculler who’s been just absolutely god tier uh Devin Carter who’s gonna have to carry a lot more of the load now PJ Hall who had a down game the other night but I think he does bounce back Janai broom who is my dude and then of course Sorano
Richmond who we talked about kich we talked about and Baylor irman even in the same game Armando Bott so there’s a variety of pay-ups you can use I I don’t look at it and think that RJ Davis is is like a lock in load at 9k the best pay
Up but he’s definitely very good speaking of Bott 83 had this been last year and you told me like hey you’re gonna have Bott in low 8K range i’ have been like wow it’s GNA be 90% own because how could you not roster arain Armando Bott at 83 um but I’m not so
Sure uh I am not not feeling a Bott game coming here against Clemson I think they’re going to neuter him a little bit on the offensive end and I think his rebounding upside is a little bit stuck here unless they get PJ Hall into foul trouble Ian shiin who’s taken that
Hunter Tyson roll kind of talked a lot about that last time Clemson was on the Slate they do a good job of of of rebounding and on the glass and I wonder what kind of you know statline we’re looking at from Bott and if he doesn’t
Get into foul trouble he should get over 30 minutes which puts him very much in play but I just don’t see this one going the way that most people would probably imagine it to so I’m kind of leer on Bott in this spot I think on the road
Foul trouble is a very big possibility I worry about him actually getting enough shot attempts still to pay this off uh because I don’t know that we’re going to see one of his big you know 15 16 rebounding games not against this Clemson team at least that’s my take
Right now could be totally wrong about that we could be looking at 70% own Bott in the morning uh but there are definitely better spots I think we can Target but uh last game it was good to see Bott get back on track they worked
Some offense for him he did well on the glass and and overall he got himself to the foul line made things happen generated those things and he’s actually a automatic when it comes to the free throw line 80% shooter from the foul line which is kind of a you know a an
Anomaly for big men at time but uh not a Bott hater love him but I’m just kind of tempering expectations compared to the rest of the industry on the Clemson side PJ Hall at 88 come on down not 98 we get a 1K discount after back-to-back games under 30 definitely time to start
Loading up the PJ Hall shares uh he had massive foul trouble against Miami they were in full control of that game but once he got into the foul trouble and couldn’t get himself out they quickly faded without PJ Hall it just shows you how important he is to this team Clemson
Has built around him in such a wise way they’ve got role players who all play a specific spot and and have their own you know aspect of the game that they add for PJ Hall but you take him out of the key cog and the Machine there and and
You’re talking about a a team incapable of keeping up with a Miami team that scores over 90 points and we did see that happen so barring foul trouble look for PJ to have a big game this is the cheapest price point he has been in quite some time uh looking back I think
The last time he was like under 9k was way back in November early November at that there is Bigga time upside in this spot now Bott is somebody who does a nice job of drawing fouls 5.6 per 40 he gets people in trouble PJ Hall looking
At it he draws about 5.1 fouls per 40 so something’s got to give here Ian shiin is probably going to be there as well uh you also have RJ Godfrey who will be available Off the Bench to to you know do some things and frustrate and harass
Bott as well it wouldn’t just be strictly PJ Hall there have some Ingram on him as well uh but 88 is a very fair price very high on PJ Hall as usual that’s my guy um if I have the Affinity to build a stars and scrubs lineup or
Hey I do that semi balance thing and I have the the salary to pay for one guy PJ H definitely trending towards being that one guy Ian shiin is a bit high at 7K but he continues to produce another double double against Miami uh re I just
Honestly fits that spot next to PJ Hall so well as the hunter Tyson doesn’t shoot threes like Hunter Tyson but he rebounds just as good um he can score a little bit coming off a 33 against Miami I’m not crazy about paying 7K for him i’ I’d actually rather just find another
500 to go to Harrison Ingram or or or pay up for PJ Hall but every time I think shiin is a write off he continues to produce and I was pretty high on him last game didn’t end up using him but I did like him in that spot um but 7K
We’re starting to talk about a a real high price and it was about this time last year when Hunter Tyson or or or uh season ago where he started to rise and getting up over 8K and you had two guys on Clemson above 8K and and nobody used
Hunter Tyson so it it might become a situation where we overpay a bit for shiin but we get these big scores out of him um other forwards on the team Chanty Wiggins 55 playing big minutes uh he’s okay at 55 we know he can pay this off
But upside is is kind of lacking there consistency definitely lacking I like RJ Godfrey but he’s he’s up to 49 here which makes it a little hard to play him he is getting consistently 18 to 20 minutes in the Five Spot there and he does have a a a chance at more minutes
Here against this North Carolina front Court guards wise Joey Gerard who plays a ton of minutes right now sliding right into his Syracuse role high volume High usage rate taking any shot that he wants a ton of Threes he’s actually been pretty efficient right now and he’s
Scoring at a very high level Joey Gerard props anytime you see them at 14 and a half 13 and a half 15 and a half you want to slam the over on those points props for Joey Gerard uh Chase Hunter at 63 now Hunter is kind
Of my sneak but he’s playing well lately he’s he scored 22 plus and three straight and his price has ballooned we’re not getting him at that low 5K range which is really where we want to be able to use him now he’s about the fourth or even fifth option on offense
At times in this revamped Clemson team but he plays his role very well he initiates the offense and lately he’s been taking more shots 15 attempts against Miami some of that had to do with Hall missing time though but he has taken 10 plus in three of his last four
So Chase Hunter trending in the right direction yeah well I I I gotta tell you man I try to pay like I you know I I look at recruiting and I try to be aware of McDonald’s all Americans but somehow I didn’t know that Casey morcel was a a Mr
Mr basketball Gatorade Mr basketball so it was a confusing time is what I should have said um Kentucky versus Florida all right this is the game this is the game I I let me I gota even double check because I’m I’m worried I wrote it down wrong um
Three and a half Point favorites for Florida which I think that is probably we’re gonna see a lot of money coming on Kentucky I have a feeling um my buddy Rob who’s a big Butler fan he has the dog profile you guys probably know him uh if you don’t he’s always tilting on
Twitter he’s already talking about and he’s world class Jinx by the way that dude can jinx the BET like no other he’s just like backing the the truck up on Kentucky and I kind of feel like that’s probably a pretty Square thing to do people playing Kentucky plus three and a
Half against a Florida team that does give up a lot of points the total oh now it’s one it’s 168 and a half at the time it was 169 so they brought it down a little bit but still 168.5 almost 170 points now we know from experience on weekends especially casual
Players come in which we love more more to fill up those contests that football money’s looking for something to do uh and I know the NFL is playing also but I’m expecting some some non- Grinders to play and what they do is go to those totals and find that highest total game
On the Slate and start jamming players in and when a total of nearly 170 is on the Slate that sticks out because you’re looking at you know 136 139 127 134 139 140 like there’s a lot of kind of lower scoring games on the Slate so it just
Sticks out like a sore thumb and there are definitely options we want to consider as well and all of the you know my early tinkering of my uh you know numbers here Kentucky guys are just projecting to be absolute nuclear um it it’s shaping up to be a a Kentucky
You know mini stack Florida guys obviously as well like like Reed Shepard at 79 is is projecting crazy Trey Mitchell of course Rob Dillingham who’s been awesome DJ Wagner who 64 price point like all those guys are going to be over 4X for me um Florida Let’s
See we have a couple busted prices on this late too by the way which we’re going to get to in a minute all right there’s Florida um Alex Condon who’s been awesome Tyrie Samuel projects well Zion polling um Micah hand loged in which probably gonna get into some foul
Trouble but we’ll see um will Rashard so there’s there’s some really good options on this this side so starting with Kentucky um very condensed rotation this Kentucky team I mean this might be one of the best Kentucky teams aar’s had in a very long time
Um and he’s had some good ones you know that run there in the mid 2010s uh those teams were absolutely phenomenal and I think we’re we’re talking about one of his best teams since the ad team and I know there were some after that were just as good but
This squad is the real deal um built to Perfection filled with one andone players which is the Calipari Hallmark but getting Trey mitchellan there who as an undersiz five I thought Kentucky was just going to get abused used and abused by by you know solid front Court players
And he’s really held his own and he’s done a phenomenal job as a rim protector hitting threes TR mitro has fit into this roster extremely well Antonio Reeves an upper classman experienced guard able to keep it all together and and you know for the team they get Aaron
Bradshaw in there there’s another shot young seven foot shot blocker uh and then of course Reed Shepard and and Rob Dillingham who have been just absolutely ridiculous DJ Wagner who’s starting to come around and and and live up to his recruiting ranking and then you have the other freshman Justin Edwards who many
Believe to be the best of all of the Freshman coming in and he’s actually not been very good compared to the rest but you just know there’s an explosion game somewhere inside of him will ready to come out and he had a really nice outing against Louisville sitting there at 55
So I’m have some interest in Edwards as as well it starts with Reed Shepard as the most expensive at 79 playing mid 20s minutes not really going to be too many opportunities where he plays more there could be if this you know ends up in overtime or goes down to the wire and
They they need to go to him but he’s just been so efficient on a a per minute basis uh just ridiculous absolutely ridiculous and his usage and shot rates are are not that eye popping right they’re both below 20 but his true shooting percentage second best in the country effective field goal percentage
Second best in the country fourth in three-point shooting he’s making 56% of his 50 attempts 5.7% steal rate which is top 10 in the country like the the the Reed Shepard has been just ridiculous he’s doing things that I think most people thought Justin Edwards
Was do and if you’re talking about a guy at almost 8K who is playing mid 20s minutes and not starting it would be an easy like oh I’m not using him but Shepard has just been so good in this role uh did have that start against Wilmington by the way
Played 39 minutes but he’s usually coming off the bench playing 24 to 25 minutes and he’s paying this price off so uh don’t don’t shake your head and and you know thumb your nose at this one because he could very well be one of the highest scoring players on the Slate
Even though everything you know that we know from years of playing DFS a bench player at 8K playing mid 20s minutes is normally not the play but he very well could be uh Rob Dillingham kind of the same situation playing you know low to mid 20s his efficiency hasn’t quite been
The same level of shephards but he has a very high usage rate 30% High shot rate at 30% both of those lead the team also coming off the bench shooting 45% on his triples 4% steal rate 33% assist rate which is top 40 in the country so Dillingham and Shepard both off the
Bench about the best players Off the Bench you could possibly find at least the way that they’re playing right now I do not think either of those guys are noncon heroes as well would be a classic spot for them to be the non-con schedule of Kentucky was okay they played Kansas
Right on a neutral uh Miami which they just blew the doors off them a tough St Joe’s team that they needed overtime to win uh North Carolina on the neutral um and and of course a tough pen team which gave them a a run for a while till they
Faded out and then obviously they played Louisville so I I don’t think they’re non-con Heroes I think ultimately those two are are very solid now you go to the other options on this team Antonio Reeves who’s there at 75 the primary score if the game stays close when they
Need and they need buckets we know Reeves is going to be the one to be taking those shots generating points at the free throw line he’s very safe anytime under 8K because we know he’s he’s he’s a threat to score 20 real points uh and at 75 you know he could
Theoretically make value on his his scoring alone with you know four five six threep pointers that he can sometimes hit um he’s hit eight in the past two games alone so Reeves at 75 is a very sound economical play that I do like Trey Mitchell at 71 going up
Against the Florida Front court now he’s not as much of a priority to me uh he has been really good the last two games but consider the opponents Louisville and Illinois State he’s not as tough against teams that do have size and Florida does so I I worry a little bit
About his rebounding upside here at 7-1 he’s more of a secondary play at best for me uh and the same could be said for Aaron Bradshaw who sitting there at 61 minutes are are stunted at 20 Max shot block rebounder but he’s not going to be
Much of a score 61’s just too high now his price is coming down a little bit after he put up that 41 against Penn but it’s it’s not low enough yet once we get into the five mid five range for Aaron Bradshaw we can start talking business
Uh then you have DJ Wagner at 6’4 Who projects as one of the better options even though people are going to look at his logs and maybe you know not that great Louisville he really wasn’t good against Louisville probably had a little bit of an emotional thing going on there
Right because that was the team that you know his family’s been involved with for a long time and was heavily favored to go there until a a late change to Kentucky uh but generally I think we see in a close game Wagner play 30 minutes here uh scoring wise he is pretty
Reliant on it but he does do other things he has an assist rate over 20% making about 31% of his threes uh it’s funny because he and Edwards were the two that most people were like wow they’re going to be one and done and so great and it’s been Dillingham and
Shepard who have really kind of just showed out while Wagner and Edwards have been just kind of not mediocre but not to the level that we expected but at 64 Wagner is absolutely a main team option now if you can stomach Justin Edwards at 55 you’ve got something here um we need
Him to play 25 minutes at minimum but I think there’s a good chance we do get that from him now he is a Fowler uh I think a lot of what happens here with Edwards is trying to force a play trying to make a play you know when you come in
With all these expectations and you struggle the way that he has things start to get real you know that hoop gets tiny you start stressing out you’re you’re worrying about everything and and you’re forcing shots you’re trying to make plays you’re trying to make a steal
You reach you try to block you body him like he’s overthinking and when you watch Kentucky games there’s there’s uh I’m not a psychologist but you can tell when somebody’s kind of overthinking things or the way they hang their head on the way back after a Miss shot these
Are all things that I pay attention to when I’m watching games to see people’s body language and and situations and just try to see in these games how guys are acting because at the end of the day we’re we’re we’re we’re putting this you know our our funds and and debating and
Analyzing 18yearold kids right sometimes 27 in the case of DeAndre Williams But ultimately kids and if you are raising kids like I am you know how emotional those little bastards can be so with that being said uh and I say that with love to my kids you just never know
Sometimes with with emotional players and and how performances can be um and you can never truly guarantee a you know something’s goingon to go right look at last night’s KJ Simpson performance holy what a terrible game and Arizona’s defense is good but there’s no way in
Hell KJ Simpson should have been just barfing all over himself like that that was awful to see um so I I don’t know I’m saying I’m rambling on about that to say that Justin Edwards at 55 is a very sneaky option that I think people aren’t
Going to use I think he’s absolutely a main team look if we can guarantee over 20 minutes I think he pays this off at a pretty high clip he’s still starting so that’s good um has a shot rate above 20% he’s only making 26% of his threes but
He is a fairly strong rebounder um does have a solid steal rate over 2% 8 and a half% offensive rebounding rate I have still high hopes for Justin Edwards this a classic Buy Low opportunity for him and we’re also looking at a situation here for Kentucky where uh guys like Adu
Tio uh who did miss the Illinois State game um is considered day-to-day Highly Questionable him being out would be approximately 16 to 17 minutes to float around there and that would kind of seal the deal for Edwards to get that work on the Florida side and I love this team I
Love when they’re on the Slate stacking for them stacking against them they’re just involved in fantasy friendly game Galore playing at the 13th fastest Tempo top 30 in offense top 60 in defense now kuy’s Tempo is 23rd in the country so you’re talking about two teams that want
To push the pace under Calipari and Florida coach Todd golden now Florida has a early season loss to Virginia a close neutral Court to Baylor and a loss to Wake Forest that they probably should have never lost but it was a road game they have beaten Pittsburgh Florida
State Richmond and Michigan took double overtime in that game both teams scored a 100 this is one that I could see ending up hitting 200 as a total I know the 170 is pretty high I know people will probably automatically want to take the under on something like that I think
Both these teams are going to find scoring to be relatively easy and we’re going to see some really big stat lines for numerous amount of of players in this game prices are are pretty high though for the most part so you can’t just stack them in mindlessly starting
With Tyrie Samuel who transfers in from SE and Holland has just been absolutely phenomenal for Florida the season he has had so far I think is better than anyone could have imagin averaging over 14 points per game and over eight rebounds 32 and a half fantasy points per game a
22 and a half% usage rate 32% combined rebounding rate top 30 in effective field goal percentage then you’re talking about a 5.5 fouls per 40 rate 3% steel rate three and a half percent block rate does it all only thing he can’t really do is shoot threes but he
Is Uber athletic uh he is going to be up for this one I think we see 30 plus minutes from Tyreek Samuel 7 s’s a high price but you gota think of he’s been over 8K for a week or two now getting him at a slightly depressed discounted
Price he’s awesome he’s great he is the top Florida play for sure lazy to say because he’s the highest price but if if if you know sometimes it works out that way it works out that way he does the most on this team from a uh multicategory standpoint so I like
Tyreek Samuel if you can get there some tough decisions will have to be made here in this game though um Walter Clayton who’s sitting there at 74 he had the monster game or Monster first half I believe it was against ECU his uh his girlfriend had just given
Birth early here uh he is very scoring Reliant he has major slate breaking ability we’ve seen that throughout in the first part of the Season especially and he put up that 45 against Pittsburgh back in November I always like Walter Clayton 74 is a a decent price I don’t
Think he’s a main team look right now uh he may end up being one later but at the moment he’s more of a gpp look because his streaky shooting other guys who did project well Zion Pullin which at 69 I don’t know if he’ll get enough minutes that’s that’s
One where I probably disagree a little bit initially with the with the numbers uh he’s also had some you know lesser games and and played some lesser opponents when he actually went off so I need to see Poland in a few conference games here before I really start pulling
The trick pulling the trigger on Poland if you will um but at 69ine he’s also a a gpp look and Condon who is just like G to be ridiculous next year uh possibly this year if he starts getting more and more minutes but High Fantasy Point per
Minute guy um great rates across the board really Elite rebounder somebody that I could see getting those additional minutes playing maybe 25ish even and if that’s the case he can definitely be a main team look probably better suited for gpp right now because of the presence of Micah Han logden um
And Tyreek Samuel but he is really working himself into a a a rotational role where they’re going to have to just start giving him more minutes uh will Rashard over 6K is probably a no he’s generally going to be in that low to mid 20s um he started to really play well
And doing what a lot of us myself included expected Riley qel to do qel was on a lot of breakout lists mine included he has not been good to the month of November he was very solid but once the calendar turn to December it was like he completely got monstar and
Forgot how to play to a degree it’s suffered his minutes have suffered his shooting has suffered especially two for five four for 16 one for six two for 10 and two for eight over the last five now qil as his price was dipping below 7K it
Was like and now we got to use him I Court him for a game or two but he’s just failed us time and time again we are looking at a Buy Low opportunity at 5’8 but I am not confident in him I much more confident in Edwards I think the
Path to minutes and success are better for Edwards and I think they’re far worse for qel especially with Will Rashard playing better Zion Poland’s presence Clayton taking a ton of shots there’s just a lot of other options here on Florida and you’ve got some guys like
You know Tyler Hof who have have gone off randomly so there’s a lot going against Cal here in this spot I think uh I think he’s just a wait and see play right now I don’t even see him having that much upside for gbbs at this moment
All right moving on to the next game here we have Georgia versus Missouri Georgia or Missouri fivepoint favorites 148 total this is a game between two teams where outside of of DFS players and the fans of those programs I don’t think many outside of those two groups watch either of these
Team’s games um and probably you know as a DFS player I bet you can probably say that you’ve watched maybe one Georgia game this year if that this is not a fun team to watch they’re not a very um efficient DFS team either they do play at the 108th fastest Tempo they have
Won a lot of games recently which is a surprise they haven’t lost since November 19th against Providence uh wins in that stretch Florida state which Florida State’s turning out to be kind of lousy and Georgia Tech and then a bunch of Mercer High Point Mount St Mary
So I think this is a spot for Georgia where they have a winnable game against Missouri then they’ve got games against Arkansas Tennessee Kentucky LSU like the the losses are going to start piling up here I believe for Mike White the starting group here for Georgia typically is going to look like Silas
Demoray who is an intriguing freshman jabri abdor Rahe RJ sunahara Noah Thomasson and Russell tshua the bench pieces Dylan James Justin Hill blue Kane and RJ Melendez as well as Jaylen Doos we don’t see a lot these days of Frank an salum you might remember he was fantasy relevant for a
Week a couple years ago at Syracuse and our guy Matthew Alexander Moncrief who uh we all wanted thought and had hoped he would become a elite player at this stage but it just ever worked out for him looking at it RJ Melendez leads the team in usage at
25.4% Noah Thomasson leads the team in shot rate at 27.7 there isn’t a lot to love Silas demy at 5’8 is the most playable talking about a guy who can definitely hit Forex in this spot against a Missouri team that I think is is definitely taking a step back from
Last year we’ve seen performances up from Sha East he’s been the best best of his career yet but Noah Carter has taken a clear step back and and they don’t have the same type of weapons on their squad they did last year they weren’t able to fully replace them so this is a
Susceptible Missouri team I do like Silas dem’s chances at playing well and breaking value um shooting 31% from long range three and a half% steal rate 22% assist rate and a usage rate above 20% for Silas would have liked a little bit cheaper maybe in the lower 5K range but
He’s definitely playable at 5’8 uh more so than the guys above him 61 Noah Thomasson who has erratic minutes and RJ Melendez who has a nonstarter is looking at about 20 minutes off the bench and he just Chucks a lot when he gets in there and he can get hot he’s also rebounding
Really well he’s always been a kind of a a sneakier quality high quality rebounder he’s been super efficient recently which is why his price is 63 and he’s been paying off but it’s hard to get get behind the guy playing about 20 minutes at this price
Point uh Chri abdor Rahe who had a really nice first month of the Season same thing he’s been kind of victimized by by erratic minutes now they had a a blowout win uh last timeout which did cause him to play less but even in the more competitive games we’re seeing him
Hover around the mid 20s range 55 is definitely in play he scored 29 plus fantasy points in two of his last three more of a gpp look though I I just don’t have a lot of trust for abdurahim right now I could see him getting some ownership though as the Slate approaches
Just looks like one of those guys in that range that just you know people are getting uh last minut in spots around that range he’s he’s definitely somebody to look at uh I still have high hopes that we see minutes increases consistently for blue Kane an intriguing
Freshman with a scoring ability um very reliant on that to get fantasy points probably not in play at 44 but it wouldn’t surprise me for him to pay off if he gets 20 plus minutes on the Missouri side Shaun East sitting there at 75 now Shaun East again has has taken the
Reigns as the guy on this Missouri team Noah Carter was destined to be the alpha but his scoring is really plummeted and and he’s having some pretty rough outings there uh for what my expectations were for him Shaun’s playing 81.5% of the available minutes 24% usage rate shooting this might surprise you
57% from long range third best Mark in the country slightly ahead of the boy Reed Shepard only two players shooting a higher clip in front of him Michael aay from Pepperdine and Chase Cormier from wafford wafford AKA three-point Shooters you um also Tamar Bates on this list top
Five and three-point shooting so Shan East and tomarrow bat’s teammates lethal three-point Shooters both shooting above 55% a ridiculous Mark uh NOA Carter 22% defensive rebounding rate has a shot rate the highest on the team at 24.3% shots not falling as well as they are for East 25% on double the
Three-point attempts 4.5% block rate we need Noah Carter I like Noah Carter compared to where East is at 75 like he’s good in this spot against Georgia but there so many other seven to 8K guys I think it’s a little bit harder to use East also they have a rotating group of
Players around and they do seem to take turns with their production but in closer games like this is projected to be East should see 35 36 is minutes and if that’s the case certainly a worth a look at 75 but if you haven’t been using him to this point you’re now buying it
At the highest price it’s a little bit uncomfortable for me and I’m sure it is for you as well Noah Carter at 67 just went through his rates forward option fouls come and go he gets a little bit streaky he just hasn’t been making his threes and that’s something in the past
That we could rely on him for um he’s never been like this dead eyee three-point shooter but he had very streaky games with Northern Iowa and last year he had games where he just couldn’t miss shots um but he needs to back off he needs to attack the rim he
Can’t just rely on his three-point shooting right now because he’s just not making them 30 points in that blowout win over Central Arkansas shout out to my guy Carl doter Jr for central Arkansas talking to him and his dad on Twitter recently oh not sure if you guys heard
That but all right uh wasn’t expecting that anyways Noah Carter is a really good GBP look I don’t think we can use use him in in our cash games single entry main team lineups at this stage but if there was a game for him to break out and establish himself and kind of
You know still plenty of time to to take that Alpha role this would be the game um Tamar Bates sitting there at 5’9 shooting an elite mark from three-point range as we just mentioned he shot lights out 25 real points against Central 35 fantasy points uh I don’t
Know that we can pay this 5’9 for him he’s generally under 5K he’s been a value guy minutes trending upwards they’re definitely relying on him but 6K for Tomar Bates it just feels a little bit Reckless to me and those minutes should continue to be there as there is
No Caleb Grill who is dealing with the wrist injury uh he will be starting to practice coming back but right now there’s still no Caleb Grill and those minutes are going to tomarrow bats almost never like Nick honor who sitting there at 56 if you look through his logs
Not just this year but over the last you know two three years of his career outside of the lone season for forom where he was awesome he has never gotten back to that freshman level and he’s just way too inconsistent always an economical price but never gives us the
Production that we would love to see uh in him channeling his early success there at Florida one freshman to note um who is going to be a a really really intriguing player as the season goes on and definitely into next year is Anthony Robinson uh he going to be an elite
Player he’s not there yet and you’ll look at it and watch him play and be like what do I see that that you guys don’t but um I really like the way that he operates he’s going to be a absolute lock down Defender already is just needs
His offense to develop reminds me a lot of Corin Johnson in that regard defensively he is a a monster but the offensive game is still too limited all right moving on to the next game here we hit the second half of the slate and then we’ll whip through here and get to
Some props and betting opportunities St John’s versus Villanova uh St joh or Villanova four and a half Point favorites a total of 143 and a half I do like betting the Johnnies here not a a big proponent of Villanova we still have a banged up Justin Moore dealing with the knee issue
Um I think there is a at least a chance better than than you know last game of him playing we’ll see how that shakes out if he doesn’t play Hakeem Hart is just I don’t know man a star at this point I don’t think we’re playing him at
56 uh but without Justin Moore we have to consider it because he’s playing these big minutes without him he’s scoring again like we saw it his first year at Maryland haven’t seen since he’s contributing in all other categories he’s usually a three and D guy and he’s
Out there for his defense but without more he’s gotten more opportunities and he has definitely taken advantage of them although if you didn’t get him at the sub 5K price you probably miss the boat because 56 is a little bit more risky there Jordan longino same thing playing over 30 minutes in competitive
Games 55 it’s a little bit out of price for me on him you still have TJ bomba in the mid 5K range only a gppb look because of his erratic production Mark Armstrong playing that 20 25 minute role remains cheap has not developed really not in play even though he’s only 39 we
Saw Brennan howan play in a massive first half against Xavier kind of fell off in the second I don’t know if that’s going to be a new thing without more he’s kind of interesting at three5 but I don’t want to chase that that’s for sure um and then you have of course Tyler
Burton who had his best disappearing act against Xavier was awful and then Eric Dixon between the two Dixon versus Burton the price difference is negligible only 300 I prefer Dixon who has put up really good numbers against St John’s throughout his career um there is a St John’s Twitter personality uh
General Frank I think is what he goes by he had posted head-to-head stats between Sorano and Dixon uh and Dixon had gotten the best of him early on in their first like two or three matchups recent matchups sorano’s gotten the best of them it is because of Dixon having the
Ability to shoot three Sano having the ability to muscle him down low I really like Dixon at 69 though I think he has the chance to put up a huge number 35 40 fantasy points certainly in play here against this St John’s team he is my favorite Villanova option on St John
Sorano suffers from the bait same thing that Bott was and that his guards weren’t featuring him and Chris Lum was a little confused about who the actual Alpha on this team is which was leaving Sorano to have to put up his his offensive game on putbacks but lately
We’ve seen more of Sorano getting in on the Block getting to do his post moves he was very solid 14- 12 against Butler 1411 against Yukon 18- 14 against Xavier 20 and 10 against forom 14-4 against HRA that was one of his worst games in a
Long time that was just a very oddly played game and they screwed around and almost lost to a Hoster team that they shouldn’t have and they had a massive size advantage against so you have Sorano in that 85 range they’ve dumbed down the price a little bit Bott PJ Hall
Sorano all dipping under 9k certainly has to be in play for that reason alone and the Villanova front Court does not have the toughness that Sorano has so as long as as coach patino has his guys running the offense through Sorano there’s no reason to think he doesn’t have another massive monster double
Double danis Jenkins the high usage all everything for this team putting up just huge scores back-to-back 40s priced at 76 certainly viable without more Villanova would have no chance and even with more I mean with a bum knee Jenkins should be able to do whatever he wants
We know he’s going to take a ton of shots he has a high shot rate uh High assist rate just has really worked out well for this team uh I think between the two of Sorano and Jenkins I would personally lean towards Jenkins just because we know he’s going to have the
Ball in his hands and Sorano is a little more susceptible to if his guards are going to be sharing the sugar as they say I still like RJ Lewis he was Major chock two games ago against hofra then he went up to 6-1 against Butler we were
The only ones who really used him in that one still had some early foul trouble but and he still paid off 25 fantasy points in 21 minutes the big thing is he took 15 shots against Butler and I think a lot of the hopster game he
Had 10 rebounds his presence was part of the reason why sorano’s peripheral numbers struggled and that was rectified a bit in the Butler game and Lewis was also like I said in foul trouble so he played less minutes but he’s still a really good option at 6’2 that nobody’s
Going to use and he’s got a pretty high Fantasy Point per minute number taking a ton of shots and is just somebody that I think could potentially be a a slate breaker winner type as long as he stays on the court um 30.5% shot rate 29%
Usage rate both of those lead the team through the four games that he’s played 26% combined rebounding rate 5 a half% steel rate drawing 6.4 fouls per 40 now a lot of those numbers will normalize once he’s played more but it’s clear when he’s out there he’s taking shots
And patino definitely believes in him now the starting lineup with uh the last game here and ledum back after missing the game against uh hofra danis Jenkins Jo Sorano Chris Lum Jordan Dingle and RJ Lewis what happened was Glenn Taylor did not get the start
For the first time in quite a while and ended up playing less than a minute I think he logged 30 seconds I think is what it was um which is kind of alarming he’s been a value play that we’ve looked at and have been able to utilize
Throughout the season but if he’s back to not starting uh you can’t use him if he gets back in the starting lineup then he’s fine and he’s usable but I think at this point the lineup we knew the presence of Lum was going to probably hurt Jordan
Dingle and I didn’t think they’d pull loose from the starting lineup because of his presence it ended up hurting Glenn Taylor now Dingle played only 20 minutes he was relatively uh you know ineffective in that one after playing 29 minutes in the hster game and being extremely effective the pen transfer
Just has not fit into this team there’s a bit too many guards for him to go from a a alpha roll on pen to the you know sixth option on a team it’s just not working out for him he’s only 52 which is a really nice price for a player of
His caliber but he’s just not got the role the minutes the shot attempts with ledum Jenkins Lewis and Sorano in front of him uh and also the emergence of Brady Dunlap perhaps who just barely plays at all this season and then against Butler he’s super effective he’s block he blocked Jay Thomas like
Viciously blocked Jaylen Thomas which you know a butler Center I made the comment the other day that it was kind of like when Jordan you know psyched and and shook Brian Russell in the finals and his soul left his body and that’s like one of those like alltime career
Ending moments for Brian Russell it wasn’t to that level necessarily but it sure felt like it because I don’t know if you guys have seen Brady Dunlap he’s he’s he’s one one of those dudes that is on Tik Tok and he just doesn’t look like he would be blocking a tough kid like
Jaylen Thomas but he also was knocking down threes with Reckless abandon 13 points two rebounds a blocking the steel 20.5 fantasy points at 37 now we’re not going to run to roster Brady Dunlap because he usually plays under 10 minutes but after a performance like that and patino rode him so hard we
Could see a another game with Dunlap playing 15 plus minutes I think a lot of it had to do with the hot hand he was playing really defensively he was the best player on the court for a time uh and obviously anyone playing Elite defense is going to get playing time in
A rick patino system um so tread carefully there we’ll talk to our guy still in the Discord and see what he thinks about it but uh I would say he’s probably not going to be a a factor in this one but we’ll see and then nalen four for playing
Consistent 20 plus minutes he is there as a value if you want him but still a believer in Lewis and Jenkins is just about as safe as it gets Auburn versus Arkansas we now arrive at a busted price on the Slate um looking at it Auburn two-point favorites I know a lot of
People are already talking about betting Arkansas I just a no bet for me both of those teams I don’t how you could trust either of them honestly uh for betting purposes 157 total we know the deal with auburn it’s really come to the point with with Coach BR
Where unless a guy is so cheap uh you really can’t use them because competitive or blowouts we’re GNA see nine 10 11 guys maybe even 12 some games where he thinks he’s Leonard Hamilton you know uh light here or something because we’re seeing the starters Jaylen Williams Janai broom Aiden Holloway
Denver Jones Chris Moore playing 15 to 25 minutes then we’re seeing Katie Johnson Trey Donaldson who I love Chad Baker Cheney Johnson Dylan Cardwell and sometimes Lear Burman who are playing Five to 25 minutes now Chad Baker has been for a while the consistent six-man but now his minutes
Have taken a tumble and he also is barely eclipsing 20 and this is just leading to a situation in which we really can’t use any Auburn guys in anything other than gpp lineups like you’re an mme guy you get exposure to this team because they play Fast they’re involved in high-scoring games usually
They have an absolute slate breaking stud in Janai broom but 23 minutes for Janai broom is not enough he needs to be playing more we saw him play 28 against pen he put up 52 52 but he played 19 minutes against the UNCC Asheville team that they should
Have been able to take care care of they didn’t and they ended up just getting pelted and he played 19 minutes scored six real points had 22 fantasy points but if you’re paying almost 9k for broom you don’t want to see all those 20 Fantasy Point games that he has and all
Those sub 202 minute games that he has it makes it extremely difficult now Trey Donaldson had been our guy early in the season we were getting some pretty nice games off the bench for him um but that was at 42 now talking about 53 hard to use him Aiden Holloway sitting there at
55 he was chalky on certain slates but at this point we’re not getting enough minutes for any of these Auburn guys now again Auburn plays a style they’re top 70 in Tempo top top 15 in offensive efficiency top 20 in defensive efficiency should have note that um but
They are just not playing a rotation tight enough for me to get excited about them right now and I I’d like to think as we get into conference play coach PE tightens that up a little bit but I don’t know if he will and it’s just s
We’re all suffering because of it okay I know you you you care about the DFS Community Coach bro do the right thing all right Arkansas this is the team in this game we want to talk about khif battle comes with a injury designation he is dealing with an ankle
Issue he has been practicing it sounds like he’s going to be fine he suffered a sprain in game I don’t expect him to miss time but you know those ankle in you know injuries those those can be tricky and he could theoretically see less minutes because
Of it now looking at that game against Wilmington they gave up 90 to them that Wilmington team they’re they’re not so bad at nine and three with a win over Kentucky on the road might have forgotten about that uh they gave Arkansas a game anyways Arkansas scored 106 and the
The starting lineup there dvo Davis Travon Brazil traman Mark Chandler Lawson which you know that can sometimes be Jaylen Graham Chandler Lawson Kai Mitchell Jeremiah Davenport we know those guys are gonna just they’re G to be like the token fifth guy in that starting lineup and play 9ine to 12
Minutes not worth using but Keon menifield the Washington Huskies transfer did get the start against Wilmington after making his debut back on December 16th against lip scum now he wasn’t part of the the NCW uh NCAA like you know wave of of guys being eligible he wasn’t a two-time transfer it was
Only his first time his was academic so he was academically ineligible until that point now that he’s eligible they got him in there he played 19 minutes against lipom Off the Bench uh two points or three rebounds you know shot one for three what you’d expect from a
Guy who hasn’t played you know in a couple months abalene Christian plays 28 minutes off the bench 11 points six rebounds two assists a better performance to be sure four for eight from the field gets the start against Wilmington placs 35 minutes usage rate of 32% in that game 17 free throw
Attempts this is what Kean metafield does this is where he’s at his best four rebounds five assists a huge huge night for him metafield is a hell of a a bucket getter he can drive to the hoop on anyone there are very few Defenders that can keep him on the one and one
From getting to the Lane and when he drives he usually ends up at the foul line that is how good he is at Washington he was fantastic I hated seeing him leave um but seeing him on Arkansas looking at what his rates are already developing into and what kind of
Player he’s going to be here he has to be rostered in all formats in every lineup possible and DK made that relatively Easy by pricing him at only 4.6k I have them tentatively penciled in for about 27 minutes um now keep in mind the musclean rotation like certain guys
Like Chandler Lawson could play 30 have a big game and then the very next game not start and play three minutes or he could start and still play three minutes that’s a a very real thing that that muscleman does with all of his players it makes it really difficult to use
Anyone on aranson for the most part we’ve just used when he’s priced cheaply Travon Brazil sometimes Tron Mark but I don’t get the same level of nerves that I do using other Arkansas guys and and even if Medfield was priced at like 6K I think I’d still be talking about using
Him um at 27 minutes I have him at around 22 23 actual fantasy points and I think he’s probably primed for more than that in this game against Auburn so a very obvious play there at 46 there’s your value there you go a gift 90% owned shocked if he’s
Um I mentioned Brazil he’s our he’s been our dude but 67 I’m just okay there it is lower than he’s been in the last month or so we know he has major upside but uh he’s consistently dealing with ailments as well we saw you know he suffered the season ending injury last
Year now he’s got an ankle that’s kind of spiked up and I I probably not using him right now until we can get him healthy Tron Mark at 64 he is mostly a scorer for this team he does it very well but the introduction of Medfield certainly has me worried although he
Scored 25 reel against abene Christian and 18 reel against UNCC Wilmington 17 reel against lipsum so the presence of menafield has not hurt Mark Mark and menafield have been scoring a lot if not most of the Arkansas points when they’re on together dvo Davis at 6K you know the
Deal with him already you saw him pop 37 against Wilmington I if you want to chase it I mean you we’ve been having him for three years now if you don’t understand the Dynamics at play with a player like dvo Davis he’s just not a
Guy you can chase he he will go from eight fantasy points to 40 in the blink of an eye he can go from a nice first half to a poor second half vice versa like there’s just no using dvo Davis at 6K and anything other than a cheap all
Line at this point you should know that if you’ve been playing at all but if if you’re newer just know dvo Davis it might look good that last game very unlikely he replicates that as he’s just very inconsistent uh Chandler lawon at 5-2 relatively easy fade there you see
Him going from case in point look at his last two games 24 minutes against avalene 27 fantasy points then he goes to nine the very next game that is just so typical with Chandler Lawson in the way that muscleman uses him same thing he does with Jaylen Graham and McKai
Mitchell now L Ellis coming into the season Arkansas fans were excited about Ellis I myself was not um Corey one of my my good buddies who’s a Arkansas Super Fan you know he just couldn’t couldn’t get enough Lis and talking about him and I and I said I just I
Don’t understand where he fits into this team with a guard heavy group he goes from a Louisville team with no guards at all so he gets to play the entire game take every shot he wants to a AR saw team with menafield who wasn’t eligible
At the time Tron Mark uh dvo Davis khif battle like there’s just way too many options here where does he fit into this and he played a lot of minutes early in the season but as soon as his inefficient high volume style of play was more of a detriment to this team
Than it was to Louisville because again they didn’t have anyone else he minutes evaporated literally overnight went from playing 30 plus minutes to sub 10 and I don’t know that those minutes are going to come back really wonder if Ellis is is kind of wondering or or kicking
Himself thinking that he might have chose wrong where to go here so he’s only 46 which gez I mean llis at 46 30 Fantasy Point per game guy can’t even use him uh we do have Laden blocker there whose minutes are evaporating as well with the presence of Medfield he’s a
Really solid youngster I think he’s got a bright future we saw him put up some big scores there in the middle of uh November to into December but you can’t really use him right now because of the fact that menafield is going to get those minutes and there’s really nobody
Else on this team you can use Jeremiah Davenport same thing goes from a situation where he’s playing a uh heavy minutes big role for ciny now he’s barely playing for Arkansas but you see against lipsum 27 points or sorry 27 minutes 23 fantasy points then he goes
To four and five minutes in back-to-back games there’s just no Rhyme or Reason to this rotation at times it probably wouldn’t even shock me if menafield played four minutes after playing so much but I don’t think that’s going to happen I I it seems like he does that to
His wings more I think menafield is is certainly locked into a role so he’s the only one coming out of this that I’m confidently using in my main but again everybody is is going to be using him not a secret Providence versus kraton now kraton’s 11o favorites the total is
139 this is one that screams betting Providence but we do have to make the recognition that Bryce Hopkins is out for the season after sustaining a ACL tear and when he went down in the game against Sean Hall I it it it didn’t look good you know you at this point we watch
Enough sports when you see a guy go down like that you instantly know it’s a blown knee a torn something like he’s done and that’s truly unfortunate so Providence will have to go without Bryce Hopkins and somebody who averaged 15 points nine rebounds per game that is a
Big big blow not a great three-point shooter in fact he’s a big detriment in that side of things but he does so many other things for this Providence team and suddenly a a frier squad that is rolling at 11 and three under Kim English first coach uh first year coach
After Ed Coy went to Georgetown looks like they could potentially be in trouble in as they get into the heart of their conference L uh schedule without Hopkins 26% usage rate 27% shot rate this is a very big loss for them it does elevate the remaining players obviously
Devin Carter who has uh blown you know all of his previous career highs out the water in terms of efficiency has really broken out as a star player playing 75.8% of the available minutes but I expect that to go much higher he will beat in the game for most going forward
25.1% usage rate 24.8% shot rate has the highest defensive rebounding rate on the team if you can believe that at 22% 63 guard out there mixing it up getting boards and he has a 4% block rate this dude can jump out of the gym uh 59% on two-o field
Goals 39% from long range Devin Carter is a dude at 89 it’s a high price but kraton you know he’s he’s just putting up 40s like it’s his job I think we’re going to see him play likely 38 39 possibly all 40 minutes like there’s just not going to be an opportunity for
Them to take him out and and they he’s shown that he can play these heavy minutes um I don’t necessarily worry about fatigue in January but if it continues into March tired legs could be a thing but right now I think we can continue to ride Devin Carter and he’s
Going to put up some big numbers you also have my guy Josh ooro who is really really playing well he just absolutely obliterated Butler right before Christmas 1914 and six that was a fun one uh in the loss there against Sean Hall 21 shot attempts only two of them
From long range so aduro was getting a high volume and he is going to absorb a lot of Hopkins shots as well now he didn’t rebound well against seen Hall which is a big reason why they lost but he still put up 30 fantasy points 81 for
Oduro is a high price I get that going up against Ryan Cal brener foul trouble could be in play yes but I don’t know that odoro they’ll have the luxury of of sitting him even he gets into foul trouble so I really like the odoro play
As well maybe a little more on the gpp side there because there are some risks that aren’t there for Devin Carter but it is a discount nonetheless and somebody that we have to consider then you have the other two members of the starting lineup before Bryce Hawkins goes out ticket gains who
Sits there at 58 played 35 minutes against the hall but only only a a terrible game at that I I think ticket is uh an okay option the price of 58 is intriguing appealing yes but I don’t know that he is somebody at this point that we can realistically rely on right now
Because 35 minutes 6% usage rate two points that’s pretty tough that is a a Beyond fit bidding game there but he is going to play Heavy minutes he look at his last four 35 41 32 and 29 minutes now he’s going to be tasked with playing even more absolutely in consideration
Jaden Pierre same thing 35 Plus minutes only 46 reliant on his scoring he can get hot he’s very streaky who takes Bryce Hopkins starting spot that is the question um looking at it uh after the Hopkins went down we saw those minutes basically go to Corey Floyd and gar Duell we still
Had oduro playing the five gains is tall enough to play some small ball four so they could bring in Floyd or Duell that’s the three uh we also saw a little bit of Raphael Castro there he played six minutes but uh I do think we start to see Castro play more that’s
Especially going to be true here in this matchup against kraton and Cal brener if ordoro gets into foul trouble we we’ll see some more of him Castro does sit there at 4K um gpp look at best but he is somebody that has upside you’ll be surprised to hear he was good on their
Foreign trips and their exhibition games he deserves more minutes and now we’ll probably get a chance to see those now the likely starter stepping in there between dual and Floyd this is where we’re going to get our other bit of value here depending on that starting lineup uh gar is
36 look looking at it uh future NBA draft pick now we tried to use him early in the season um didn’t have a lot of success there with using him so he’s obviously super raw but there’s going to be an opportunity for him to possibly
Play 28 to 30 minutes and it might be a situation where they’ll ride the the hot hand and if that’s the case scoring wise I think Corey Floyd might be a little bit more interesting who’s also 36 uh also has a a decent chance at peripherals here but neither of them are
Home run you know plays by any means but sub 4K getting starter minutes there certainly on board we’ll see it could be Castro if Castro to start then we can play him at 4K but I’m just kind of gonna lean into whoever does start there my personal preference would be gar
Duell when you look at rates here uh he has a usage rate over 16% a assist rate of 23.2% shooting 31% from long range defensively this is where he can start to really impact games he’s a very good Defender for them when he is out there
Four and a half perc block rate three% steal rate Cory Floyd shot rate of 15% now he’s only made 16% of his triples he’s taken the same amount as gar and he’s made four compared to eight uh drawing just over two and a half fouls per 40 doesn’t have any other
Particularly eye popping or or relevant rates to speak of so it is a a I think more minutes for gar as a better for DFS situation but again we’ll wait and see how that shakes out and who actually gets the starting spot before we decide
Kraton B it’s a Twan it’s a two horse race for using kraton guys I don’t even really love Cal Bruner even though I think he could do well in this matchup against Providence 76 is a nice price price for him certainly in play but to
Me I think you got to decide on if you’re using anybody in this game that is for kraton Trey Alexander or Baylor shyman both are just electric High upside Elite fantasy options they do all of the heavy lifting for this team uh both have usage rates above 26% both have shot rates of
27.1% they are so similar in almost every category defensive rebounding rate 20.9% for Baylor 17 .5% for Tre Alexander both of them have Assist rates of 22% and both are shooting above 30% from long range it’s uncanny how similar they have been and how consistent they
Have been as well 84 for Baylor shyman 82 for Trey Alexander these are both nice prices Alexander has hit 31 plus fantasy points in four straight games against the likes of Alabama Villanova Marquette in Georgetown um Baylor shyan a little bit higher upside I’d say than Alexander and he’s maybe even a little
More consistent but I do still lean into Tre Alexander just a little bit more but Baler is an elite rebounder we know that he can shoot three seven for 13 against Marquette just a very good viable option there I do like the idea of using one of those guys but still Providence defense
Even without Hopkins you know has to be respected um and and honestly Hopkins defensively probably one of the weaker links of that group um so I I don’t know I don’t know that I really want to start targeting against Providence just yet but we’ll see Cal runer as I mentioned 76 is okay
And then there’s really no one else like Ashworth who comes over from Utah State sitting there at 5-1 it just hasn’t worked out like if we could squeeze about 20 fantasy points out of him here at 5-1 he’s he’s okay uh and he definitely could but uh he’s just a very
Low-end option Mason Miller there at 48 operating as the fifth starter no real upside side there if he’s low 4ks we can talk but at 48 almost five I don’t really see it as a a necessary you know play All Right Moving On we got the last
Three games here and then we’ll be done the matchup here between West Virginia and Houston now Houston is 21o favorites in a conference game that is rough 134 and a half total that is extremely tough now West Virginia side is really intriguing they don’t have Jesse Edwards but they have played
Really well even though they’re not necessarily winning games with Ray battle back my man rayquan battle grew up just north of where I live great player uh you know didn’t work out for the Huskies unfortunately goes to Montana State just goes absolute nuts and now he gets himself to West Virginia
Gets the waiver after you know the court talk and and he’s just been phenomenal 37 a half% usage rate a shot rate of 44% this is in three games 31% from long range steel rate of five and a half percent and he’s actually rebounding a little bit too always love Ray battle
The 79 price for him it’s too let’s be honest it’s too cheap it’s not 67 like when he was playing Ohio State and surprisingly he wasn’t like super chalky that day um but he’s just phenomenal but playing against Houston I usually have a rule where not trying to use players
Against Houston too often except for when it’s on a smaller slate or we’re into tournament time um it’s going to be a tough decision because I think he could get handcuffed but at the same time he’s going to take 20 25 shots uh and that kind of volume
Is just it’s ridiculous he’s gonna make shots they’re not gonna hold him zero he’s probably not going to rebound as as as well as he has since getting the waiver but uh that’s probably the toughest decision for me on this slate is whether to roster Ray battle or not
In a tough spot against Houston uh they have Noah farakhan uh eligible as well played the last three he’s been a very strong consistent scorer for them as well so far took 18 shots in that Ohio State game he’s there at 5’9 somebody to at least consider I’d be less likely to
Use him against Houston in battle but those are the two guys that have really been kind of crushing it they’ve got Kirk now uh really inconsistent for Fantasy wise as well shots not really falling a cook a cook under 6K I think he’s probably destined for foul trouble
I don’t know that we can really consider using him either now West Virginia has bled fantasy points at multiple positions so we do want to look at Houston exposure here with Houston they’re a team that frustrates though right like you’ve heard me kind of complain throughout the years Jamal
Shed like roster him falls on his face don’t roster him blows up the Slate it’s it’s kind of a a LoveHate relationship but this matchup doesn’t get much better in a conference game for this Houston team Jamal shed is only 71 which is more than reasonable for the amount of
Minutes he’ll play and his role on this team he is a very strong secondary you know uh type of play I’m Not coring him but he is a guy that I’m absolutely looking to roster if I land there um 23.4% usage rate he has the fourth highest assist rate in the country at
42% eighth highest steel rate just under 6% he’s actually making 39% of his triples now he’s only taking 36 compared to Manny Sharp’s 82 and the 106 of LJ CER however this is a career high to this point of 38% if it continues and he
Took over 123s in each of the last two seasons so look out for Jamal shed who has suddenly become a a a dead eyee three-point shooter and always consistent with his peripheral stats um LJ Cryer a bit more reliant on his scoring ability this would be a game
For him to do extremely well in I do think he’s a nice gpp look shot rate of 29% highest on the team so certainly looking at CER you have Manny sharp here um you know the team is going to be uh without Terry arenos a very you know key
Younger player doe for a bigger role um with him out we’re seeing Manny sharp absorb a his minutes and more going from this upper teens low 20s per minute player to you know 28 29 30 minutes per game at 6K Manny sharp in this matchup believe it or not is it’s probably even
Better play than CER shed um sharp is knocking down a high clip over 36% of his threes as well shot rate has ballooned 26% his usage rate has actually become the highest on the team at 25% as well drawing 5.4 fouls per 40 sharp has just kind of exceeded all
Expectations for me and I think most people uh very good look at 6K if you can’t get to shed at 71 and you’ve got you know to save 1100 sharp is one of the the stronger 6K plays on the Slate by far Joan Roberts had the questionable
Tag dealing with a knee issue now he’s going to be available know he comes into it with the true questionable tag I don’t know how many minutes to expect though with this this knee issue I think we could see Roberts um you know who did miss that that last game end up playing
Somewhere between 12 to 15 only uh and if that’s the case he’s obviously not worth looking at but if he doesn’t play then you do have a bit of intrigue here for sub five K option Joseph tuger another younger player who absolutely dominated against Penn in 21 minutes 13
Points s rebounds two blocks two steals hit a career-high 31 fantasy points tuger is a guy who fits the system extremely well so he would be in play without Roberts um and then of course you have Javi Francis who last year was a high Fantasy Point per minute uh Guy
High usage rate this year it hasn’t necessarily clicked for him although in the last two games with Roberts sheld he scored over 22 fantasy points in each in about 20 to 22 minutes so his minutes are still kind of capped out in the 20s which is tough uh but he’s definitely
Absorbing the rebounds of Roberts and even picking up some extra shot attempts going from two to three shots up to seven to eight in the last two so Francis and tuger are two guys to be aware of if Roberts ends up not playing with Roberts playing I think what
Happens is they just cannibalize each other and they end up all just playing some minutes and then you throw in you know mik Wilson into that for 18ish minutes and it it just kind of clouds everyone um still not enough minutes for Damien dun who is only 47 we know his
Role from Temple and what he can provide us and he even put up a nice 11 point six rebound three steel 24 Fantasy Point game against Penn recently for Houston uh that 47 price point is certainly intriguing for Damen Dunn but he’s just another one of those guys kind of stuck
In a 20 minute roll so it it really just becomes shed crier and sharp for your main lineup picking one of those uh for me shed is the guy that I want to get to I’m not prioritizing him and if I don’t have the salary once the rest of my
Lineup is built I will look to H Manny sharp I do think I want one of sharp or shed in my main lineup though so that is kind of how I’m approaching that TCU versus Kansas man this is going to be a tough one uh Kansas ninepoint favorites total
Of 152 when it comes to Kansas you know it’s really just Kevin mcculler or 100 that can s now there are other guys who are providing strong fantasy numbers at times KJ Adams for one sitting there at 68 uh Dean Harris who is Mr he only
Scores when he has to putting up 20 plus fantasy points per game and then you have the Freshman elarco Jackson who played 27 minutes against Witchita and scored 20 fantasy points at 47 to be aware of uh and Johnny Fury who sits there at 39 playing about 15 to 16
Minutes certainly a GP value we saw Nick Timberlake play additional minutes against Yale we did predict that to go backwards against witcha State uh with Fury back that did happen Timberlake’s just not playing so again the real decision for your main is if you got the
Salary and you’re GNA pay up for Hunter Dickinson or mcculler now I don’t mind Dickinson at 95 obviously we just saw him completely destroy wit toss State 22 and 13 uh he has had double digit rebounds in each of his last five games that includes against UMKC Yale witchat Indiana and
Missouri TCU front court is a little more violent than any of those teams they are dealing with a jacobe Kohl’s who has not uh been healthy or available recently um they do have Xavier cork but he doesn’t have any hope of defending Hunter Dickinson and Manny Miller is
More of a inside out guy so I do think this is a matchup in which Dickinson can and probably will dominate but the way Kevin mcculler has been playing for $300 less it’s really hard for me not to want to go there especially in a matchup against TCU where I think he can
Definitely exploit them Muller’s numbers have just been really solid and dating back to his freshman year when he was a Min price option he was always a pretty good peripherals producer right but now he’s scoring and taking a ton of shots and his ability to score 30 re on top of
Already strong secondary stats makes him have that slate breaking upside especially that we’ve seen over the last month of the season um fifth now on the kenpom player of the year rankings Dickinson has fallen out of the top 10 numbers wise 85 . 4% of the available
Minutes for Muller 26% usage rate 26 a half% shot rate and assist rate of 23% drawing six fouls per 40 making 46 or sorry 40% of his three-point shots which is a career high previously shot 30% for Kansas last year 31% for Texas Tech over the previous three years hard
To imagine CER in his fifth season and he’s having an absolute monster monster season so between the two if you want to pay up for a Kansas guy I’m going with mcculler even though I think Dickinson has maybe a slightly better matchup I just can’t imagine not paying for
Mcculler right now if you are paying up at all on the TCU side we don’t have to shy away against Kansas it’s not as if they’re you know they are a strong defense but you can certainly look to guys against them and and they can and
Will put up some numbers now TCU a team I liked starting out especially when they’re healthy they were rolling but jacobe Kohl’s who has been dealing with a foot like a stress foot injury uh and actually it’s been kind of quiet they they did not play in the last game but
He’s been questionable and he’s also been playing with that issue so I guess it’s been a lingering foot issue that they didn’t really talk about and then explains why Cole’s production kind of fell off a cliff a little bit sitting there at 53 I think he’s he would be a
Really nice option if he hadn’t just missed some time and he wasn’t still dealing with that injury so as of now you just can’t use him even at 53 uh Charles oanon Jr he’s dealing with an injury as well a thumb issue he is expected to be available they’re going
To need him you know to at least log some minutes there uh he’s not a play necessarily but it does impact guys like zavier cork who saw those additional minutes without obannon and Kohl’s uh Avery Anderson who had has been seeing a nice little Spike and then obviously
Trevan Tennyson who has been starting over Jamir Nelson has played 30 minutes in back-to-back games and played pretty well I think they probably will still ride with Tennison as a starter but the Kansas perimeter D is where I get especially worried uh and if Nelson isn’t starting and it’s Tennison there’s
A good chance that he’ll have Harris on him for a time and if that’s the case tenon’s going to get Bagel so be very very careful using him Ernest UD day who had the monster 47 against Texas H Corpus Christie in 20 minutes his price goes from 48 to six don’t chase that
He’s not going to put up 50 against Kansas so it really just leaves you with a really appealing priced jir Nelson at 62 which if he’s not starting I don’t really want to use him and even if he does start that means Harris is going to
Be on him so I think Nelson’s a fade even at 6’2 let that price come down even further have a bad game be 55 and will Tech uh Micah PE at F 7K Emanuel Miller at 77 they’ve been the best two players on the team with Nelson going through some struggles recently and
Getting benched Miller’s had a couple of down games recently that has got his price down to 77 I do think he stays out of foul trouble for the most part in this game uh but rebounds wise I don’t think he’ll find much success in his overall upside is going to be dramatically
Impacted by that so mainly on the Kansas side here um and that’s mostly to do with the fact that TCU is going to have more players available and the prices of the players that they do have are not very advantageous all right last game on the Slate Virginia versus NC State let’s get
It Virginia versus NC State NC State one and a half Point favorites total of 127 and a half so the lowest total on the Slate as usual right you’ve got Virginia on the side here against a tough NC State team overall now pulling it up guys pretty much know the story on
Virginia top 15 defense one of the slowest paced teams in the country offensively they’ve had their struggles uh 11 and three they they did you know suffer that embarrassing loss to Notre Dame followed it up with a win against Louisville now Ken pom has them as
One-point losers to NC State on the road this will be a same situation as Notre Dame if NC State comes out hot hitting shots Virginia just simply won’t have the ability to keep up but if it plays slower NC State’s missing shots or they’re you know they’re not exploiting
Three point shooting against this team then Virginia is able to grind it out and and eventually wear them down so that’s that’s going to be the plan of attack for Virginia you have ree beakman at 79 he’s always a a a decent enough option you know you’re going to get
About 28 to 30 Fantasy Point floor his price dropping to 79 from 85 definitely makes him more viable it seems like DK’s dumbed down some of the prices for this slate which isn’t necessarily ideal and then you have Ryan Dunn there at 72 coming off his near 40 against Louisville very similar players
In that they they you know contribute in rebounding assists you know multiple categories scoring can sometimes be spotty for both which is why it’s kind of hard for me to pay the prices for them uh if they could at least just you know done especially score somewhere between 12 to 15 real points
Consistently he’d be a totally Elite option but he just doesn’t do that uh they did pric Isaac McNeely back up we got on him at 45 poorest first half but he got hot in the second half ended up putting up 25 which did raise his price
Up to 54 from 45 another 900 he’s in play for sure against NC State but at 54 he’s he’s nowhere near a plug in play like he just was don’t like Jake Groves here Le Bond surprisingly played just eight minutes against Louisville that that definitely was something that I
Expected to be closer to 20 he didn’t score any real points but he did have 10 fantasy points because of his high level peripherals rebounds steals block shots gets assist Bon’s a very active player when he’s out there he’s just not very offensive I wish he was playing a 20 to
25 minute per game role because I think he would be capable of putting up 25 fantasy points a game while scoring less than five real points don’t have a lot of interest in anyone else on Virginia for NC State not really on the guards right like this
This guards group um against Virginia I feel like they’re going to struggle like Jaden Taylor who’s my guy sitting there at 61 uh CH three of 13 against Notre Dame that it took some late game hokes by Burns to finish them off it’s pretty tough to get to him versus Virginia then
You look at Dennis Parker the The Freshman he’s prob probably going to struggle in this game can’t use him uh DJ horn who plays multiple positions he might succeed okay because of his ability to rebound but he’s 697k little bit of a high price there Alex who mentioned Casey morcel a
Revenge game of sorts if you will played 35 minutes against Notre Dame 13 fantasy points in 35 minutes typical Casey morcel I can’t roster him but he’s 49 if he ends up being chalky then whatever where I’m looking of course is the DVP spot now the last slate Virginia was on
They played against that Louisville team myself and Mike krie both wanted to exploit that DVP by using Brandon hutley Hatfield now bhh played 33 minutes in that game unfortunately Louisville is just so porous everywhere else he couldn’t get any shots off five shot attempts so he had nine points five
Rebounds two assists and a block obviously didn’t get it done in his 7K price range there but he played 33 minutes and he was okay on the glass they just couldn’t get him any shots looking at the wolf pack and DJ Burns who comes in at a a you know
Unappealing to most price of 7.1k the gamewinner against Notre Dame on what appeared to be a a somewhat bued play as he wasn’t the primary there but he made things happen Burns is a tough athletic just you know Monster of a player minutes are capped we do see him
Occasionally hit over 30 and when he does he’s a he’s a mammoth but we’re probably looking at mid 20s minutes here for burns which at 71 obviously isn’t the most ideal we want him to be playing over 30 um but when you look at his rates and what he provides for this team
25% usage rate 26% shot rate a combined rebounding rate above 20% and assist rate of 19% got a little bit of that Derek walker uh you know archetype and a foul rate uh that he sorry draws fouls over 3.1 for 40 3.9 for 40 called and a
Block rate of 3% so yeah you know contributes all over um Burns is a bit undersized but still the Virginia front Court does not have the the bodies to stop him from doing what he wants in the paint he should be able to get off shots
And I really hope we see him approach 30 minutes because I feel like a big rebounding game is going to be in store for him now when you look at previous history against Virginia going back to February 7th usually like to go back and and point out like hey this worked out
Really well that against this team now he played 21 minutes eight points six rebounds and assist and a block but he turned it over six times and had four fouls he was very bothered in that particular game and it it didn’t quite work out for him there
Um I believe that was the only time they played Virginia but I’m still liking Burns I still am a believer in this DVP I I will likely get exposure to him somewhere I will be put to the test if I want to use him in my main after getting
Burned by bhh I know Burns will have sub five% ownership and he might not even have like two or three percent anyone using Burns tomorrow will probably be in the ftn community at that um 15 shot attempts against Notre Dame though I think it’s it’s worth mentioning he’s
Taken 10 plus shots in four of his last five and he’s just going to be too much for this this Virginia front court if he can stay out of foul trouble he is going to be phenomenal I think you could see him put up a 35 in this spot uh going up
Against Tennessee in a game uh 7970 he put up 155 and five five assists the dude gets doubl down he kicks it to the outside guys hit shots he’s playing that quarterback role DJ Burns this is your opport Unity DJ don’t let us down my friend all right that is the Slate we
Started a little bit late tonight I know it went long uh definitely you know these late night shows can be tough I appreciate everybody who continues to support them I will have time stamps um in the comment there so that you guys can click to certain games that you want
To hear uh let’s do a core real quick props and then we’ll head out so looking at it this is a you know a variety of different options on a slate like this it’s uh definitely going to be a fun one I’m going be up late tonight writing and
And updating my my minutes projections looking forward to uh to a fun one no show in the morning so you know I can kind of wake up do my thing and not have to uh rush around there’s no college football we can just focus clearly on what we need to do here
With college basketball all right um so first core is going to be Keon Benfield which is I believe should be industry chalk at 46 right there’s just no other way around that um core play number two one of Jamal shed I said I wasn’t in to core but looking at that
That West Virginia matchup or Manny sharp right now I’m I’m leaning in on Manny sharp at 6K will give us some flexibility there with our lineups to to do what we need to do but I just really like this spot for Houston targeting against West Virginia more often than
Not and then the third core this is really tough because this doesn’t have a ton of like Super Slam placees there’s a lot of different ways that you can go on this one and I feel like we’ll see a big variety of of lineups but going against the grain a
Little bit here Tyrie Samuel of Florida against Kentucky I don’t know if in the morning when I go and actually make my lineup that he stays in but this just feels like a spot sub 10% home spot where he’s going to continue to play at
A high level and put up another 35 to 40 at 77 so Samuel ten natively penciled in there as the third member of the core but I would anticipate tomorrow morning uh that being slightly different as it stands we’ll go Manny sharp Keon menafield and Tyree s
Samuel all right props wise there’s not a lot on prize picks and and I looked at it before the show because the fantasy scores goes up in the morning um there’s none up right now that I particularly love uh there is core ma Ryan 17 and a
Half P which is a decent enough over um I do like Trey Mitchell under 21 and a half PR I think he sees his rebounding numbers go down in this one um and then I like Eric Dixon going up against the St John Squad here uh just missed his PR
Yesterday by one and it was at 23 and a half I do like that over 23 and a half against this St John’s team he has good history against them all right looking at DK props real quick there were a couple that stood out to me all right
Um so bla kinson is struggling right now they’re going up against Louisville which he could absolutely obliterate but the the P number is a little high at 24 and a half so I’m going to take the under 24 and a half at minus 115 against Louisville on the road till he proves to
Us that he’s got his shot making ability back and I I just I don’t feel like he he might have a decent enough game but 25 combined P seems like it might be a little tough for him so we’re going to hit the under on that one I do lean into
My Andre hayatt call that is my sneak play against Iowa 18 and a half P at minus 125 am taking the over there feel pretty good about Hyatt uh if I end up pulling Samuel out of my core it would probably be for ha that’s how high I am on Andre
Haatt Denis Jenkins it’s it’s 22 and a half this Jenkins is going to do nasty things against Villanova probably an 1875 type statline so over 22 and a half P we’re riding with Jenkins Eric Dixon’s there at 23 and a half as well probably do some some parlay stuff with those
Guys tomorrow and the uh the DK kiosk tomorrow when I when I go there in the morning and then there was one more uh Manny sharp over 19 and a half PR at minus 120 I just Houston anybody playing West Virginia is going to be great but I’m especially
High on this Houston guard group against them they are just going to be so phenomenal however they have wasted good matchups before so be be aware of that there is a prop here that I am taking as well the point prop for Manny sharp at
14 and a half it’s plus 100 um I think we see him take like 50 16 shots um and and hits that number so uh taking a little bit of plus money there at 14 and a half it is a number he’s hitting three of his last four and
Playing a 30 minute roll here against West Virginia Manny sharp should do us well it would help having Francis out just because that’s one less person taking shots but we’ll we’ll take that on Manny sharp all right that will do it we are all wrapped up on the big slate here
Again remember there will be Discord content meaning a player pool and a core for the 12 game afternoon slate and the nine game night slate there is a very jammed together you know the the the last few games are 11 a on the main slate PST the afternoon slate starts at
11:15 that’s just going to have a lot of overlap it’s going to be chaos don’t know that the sheet will be updated past the main slate but we’ll definitely try our best and be in contact throughout the day I don’t have work at the other
My day job so I’m going to be on the laptop streaming games watching TV in Discord posting starting lineups thoughts everything in between injury news all that stuff please make sure if you don’t have a sub that you check out ftnd daily.com and see what we’re all
About for your first month if you don’t like what we have you can cancel easily but if you do find that it’s a worthwhile thing to have and in the Discord in the news and making money green screens trips to the windows all that if that’s something you like
Definitely check it out thanks everyone be back Sunday night for the CFB Super Show where we’ll be talking about your team the Washington Huskies in depth see you guys Later you come back around
1 Comment
My play is on San Diego state-9