Matt Gannon takes a final look 2024 Sentry ahead of the opening Tee Shots. He breaks down what the golfers had to say in their interviews, shares his final betting card, and answers any questions LIVE.
Thursday January 4th and we are we are officially back we have golf today a few more hours I decided to do this show uh on the day of golf because we’re in Hawaii we got a bunch of time to kill over on the east coast usually this show
Will be coming to you live around 900 pm. 8:30 p.m on Wednesday night pre- tournament but I decided to do it Thursday morning give you guys something to watch rather than Jersey Jerry because obviously I know you’d rather be talking about PJ tour than Jey maybe not honestly because that he’s very
Entertaining but nonetheless we have golf to talk about we are going to be talking about a ton of things uh interviews narratives I’m going to be going through my final card I’m going to showing be showing you like how I organize everything uh just the the in the weeds answering questions whatever
You guys want to talk about um let’s let’s get right into it so first thing I’m going to talk about is I’m going to talk about a few narratives and interviews and then play players that I think you should Target by what they said or don’t Target by what they said
So let’s get right into that the first guy I’m going to talk about is uh Nick Taylor Nick Taylor was very adamant about how this is a President’s Cup year President’s Cup being in Canada and also the Olympics he was like this year all this stuff going on it’s probably the
Biggest year of my career and he talked about how last year he got that win obviously at the Canadian open and it kind of propelled him he also mixed at the Phoenix Open it took his game to another level because Nick Taylor has won before in his career but we all know
He’s been a fairly middling player a player that doesn’t have a high ceiling game but it just gave him a lot of confidence also he said he’s been here since the 22nd of January I mean 22nd of of 22nd of December and has played nine holes every single day he said he was
The first one here and he’s just been practicing so much just to get himself acclimated with this course and just to get himself super ready to play this golf course and start his season strong so that made me really really like Nick Taylor uh in DFS in whatever Market you
Can get him and I’m going to throw him in a bunch of lineups uh I already did last night but I think I’m really strong on Nick Taylor just by what he said because he’s ready to play he said he likes the golf course and he does well
In these scoring conditions that are minus not necessarily minus 30 but easy scoring conditions those are Nick Taylor conditions So based off what he said he’s been playing here since the 22nd loves the place I am down with Nick Taylor thoughts on havlin firing his firing his coach from Cameron Kerr
Definitely did not expect to see that because uh when havin went made the move to Joe Mayo he it was the the flip he needed the switch he needed figured out how to chip figured out how to do all those creative around the green shots um I’m not sure
When exactly it happened but if you go look at his Strokes gains Strokes gained numbers around the Green from the Hero World Challenge at Albany they were not good so I don’t know if that has any uh any reason for that or it was just like
Time off and he started tripping bad but I don’t think it’s too much of a poor decision on hain’s part because I mean he learned it already he learned he learned those technique techniques it’s not like he forgot them maybe he won’t be able to fine-tune them as well but
It’s not like one guy is going to has all the secrets to golf I mean tiger had Tiger has had a million different coaches a million different swings so I think havin will will be okay even before he had Joe Mayo his game was world class besides the around the green
Play so I think that’s just going to continue to come with time and he will be he will be okay all right another interview narrative I’m gonna talk about McKenzie Hughes real quick um he is only here because um obviously Rah left for live he bumped into the 50 the 50th spot
After being 51st and he got the sentury so he had a tournament planned I mean a vacation planned to the Dominican Republic with his family and had to change it last minute to Hawaii because he was playing in this event and he didn’t I mean he could have missed it
But he wanted to play in this event so he said that he was not playing much golf was not really prepped and has his entire extended family plus his immediate family on vacation with him and it’s been a mess to handle everyone while practice golf so I’m just thinking he’s here on
Vacation he’s worried about his family being in the right place at the right time and he hasn’t been playing much golf of late that’s either gonna do one of two things free him up and just play Lights Out golf or he’s going to be super behind the eightball I’m going to
Go with the ladder and I’m going to fade him in a matchup that’s going to be the first matchup I am going to talk about uh let me just zoom in on this so you guys can see better so every day I’m gonna play I’m gonna bet a match up this
Is my uh golf meca let me see if I can zoom in on this 125 here we go all right so even more of a zoom 150 right here first round round one matchup Matt Wallace minus 115 over McKenzie Hughes I am taking that I’m
Gonna I do I’m gonna do a match up about to win 250 every single day for just a single round matchup uh so I like that for various reasons obviously I said that uh Wallace I mean McKenzie Hughes has a lot on his plate a lot to deal
With with all that vacation stuff but mck uh Matt Wallace I talked about him earlier the week has been playing so much golf he played an entire DP World Tour schedule finished second at the DP World Tour Championship he has a win at a coastal Resort track last year he is
Ready he’s been playing good golf it’s a course that makes sense for Matt Wallace so I’m going Matt Wallace minus 115 over McKenzie Hughes and that is today so you still have time to get that in if you could find it all right we will go on to
The next narrative real quick let me switch my screen around and the next guy I’m going to talk about is Scotty and I just thought was super interesting what he said um talked about his break after the ryer cup I’m going to qu quote this verba verbatim I took a nice break after
The Ryder Cup and then I had a good start at the hero a good start at the hero would usually mean yeah you played you played all right got a nice few holes in finished t-15 the dude won and looked as dominant as ever and he was
Like yeah I got a nice start at the hero so if that just shows you what Scotty’s mental is and what Scotty’s Baseline of where his results are at that I mean what else do you need to know he said he’s been playing Great Golf and he feel
Like he said also said he had a nice putting week and I feel like the ball is coming off the blade tremendously so that’s a scary sight Scotty putting extremely well I don’t know what to make of it he’s the highest price goar for reason I don’t I don’t think you should
Bet him at whatever five six to one but I think he should be in your lineups I mean he’s played well here before and he’s playing Great Golf I mean he’s as much as a free Square as anyone has been a free Square over the last year and a
Half two years so I think Scotty is a great play now now let’s do the Colin morawa thing the Colin morawa thing uh obviously he’s one of the most popular golfers this week everyone in their mother’s betting him he has great chorus history I am on the record for fading
Him this week and I have a few reasons for that I will start by some of the quotes he said some of his focuses on this week were towards Community Service uh to help the Maui fires obviously a tragic thing that happened in Hawaii and we know his background with the Hawaiian
Ties he has with his father’s restaurant or grandfather’s restaurant but he was doing a lot of community service while being back in Hawaii to help out I mean good guy call like cheers to you but I am saying he’s focusing not he’s entirely focusing on him but his focuses
Are elsewhere is all I’m saying he came back to do some community service and play golf rather as than most guys are coming back to play golf so combined that with I don’t think this is a golf course that suits Colin morawa at all I know his course history is amazing it it
Is like I’m not go the numbers are the numbers he has played great golf at this course but but I want Colin morawa on a golf course that demands Precision Driving narrow iron dispersion not massive greens and the widest Fairways on tour and I don’t want col I don’t
Want a golf course where I need Colin morawa a guy who’s notoriously struggled with putter to have to get to 3500 like I just don’t get it I truthfully don’t get why he plays well here and I’m putting my foot down I don’t think he
Will play well here so I am fading him in all areas and I’ll pull up my screen again uh talk about the next bet I guess um hold on let me get the screen up the next bet is going to be there you go you you guys see it it’s under the 5G
Bets and those are the five Grand Golf bets that I do uh Tuesday afternoon with sgn I tweet I put those in YouTube a YouTube like two- minute video five minute video I’m going to be betting havin minus 135 V morawa I’m going to put 200 on that I’m going to be risting
200 because I have I’m giving myself 500 to spend rather than 5,000 to spend um so 200 to spend hin minus 135 against morawa I just think I mean this this line books feel sharp books know that hlin is a better golfer at this point of
His career and I think the books are are agreeing with me they don’t see this as a Colin morawa course so I’m going to go with havin minus 135 over morawa and we have one more uh narrative to talk about and that is going to actually two more
Uh Xander just a quick tidbit he took the Bahamas off to because it usually ends up being more of a vacation for him and but he didn’t want that he wanted to focus on the golf so he played a bunch of practice and now he’s back here and I think that coincides with
Xander I I might throw Xander Xander in my lineups a little bit late like late late swap because um because of what he said he took the Bahamas off it was too much of a vacation usually and he wants to focus on the golf he’s been playing
He’s had great success at this course so I think that shows where Xander’s mental is like he wants to wants to focus he wants to win win more than he does because he doesn’t win enough so uh just a quick nugget on Xander I think he’s locked in and then finally uh Patrick
Klay uh he just noted that this course uh you need to have a lot of history around here there’s a lot of ins and outs and intricacies that you just get from playing here that you don’t always know and that kind of makes sense because first timers have not fared well
Here rather than guys who have came back and played so I just thought that was interesting not get that backed up some historical course data so now I’m going to share my screen go through these final bets and then answer any questions if they come up so let’s go here’s the
Betting card here is how I set it up every single week risking $500 to return $3500 with a win it winner that’s a 7x strategy that Cameron Kerr knows very well he is a he’s a perpetrator a implementor a guy that knows how to set
Up a card which many people on this app twitter.com do not know setting up a card okay it doesn’t matter how you want to set up your card yes Roi is very important as Cameron Kerr typed in the chat but I can’t get to there we go Roi
Very important uh no matter how you want to do it uh you have to have some sort of plan we we see every single week guys on Twitter touting guy golfers sub 25 to1 sub 15 to1 and then like a a 12 to1 sprinkle if you want to do that week in
Week out you have to hit hit an outright every like two to three weeks to remain profitable it’s it’s truly impossible you cannot do that it’s if you do text me because I want to know your secrets but you cannot so the way to set up a a
Card find your risk amount multiply it by it doesn’t have to be seven 7x Roi multiply it by any amount so obviously 500 time 7 is 3500 I set my card up so no matter who wins will win 3500 for example Hatton 35 to1 I have $100 on them here let’s see
If I can I I have $100 on them 35 100 35 3500 it’s not rocket science Cameron young 50 time 70 3500 so no matter who wins it will return this 3500 amount this just keeps everything structured keeps everything on plan this means I only have to hit one winner every seven
Weeks to remain profitable and you might you might be saying well that doesn’t seem fun why would you only want to win one every seven weeks I promise you if I hit one winner every seven weeks if I hit two winners every seven weeks I will
Be making a lot more money slash losing a lot less money than anyone else okay so your Roi is six point that’s that’s exactly he has a plan six and two3 and I’m not saying you have to do sevenx as long as you have a plan it makes sense
You just can’t be throwing away around 15 to1 10 to One 8 to one every single week it’s impossible I just want to do a quick little tidbit on ROI ROI any questions on how I set it up uh let me know but talking about the card a little
Bit uh I you could see I went with a a specific type of golfer I faded the top of the leader top of the board just because numbers and I feel like everyone took a lot of time off no one’s really sharp right now I just think that widens
The path for everyone in the field so that’s why I went down the leaderboard a little bit and took some took some not not necessarily bombs but just second tier guys guys that can get low and I went with I’m not going to go through every single one of these golfers but I
Went with golfers that all play a similar style of game they hit it long besides Russell Henley actually Russell Henley it does not fit this equation everyone else on this on this list hits the ball really far hits the ball fairly maybe inaccurate but then you could do
That at this cough course why do Fairways on tour hits the ball really far super inaccurate and and then from there they can get hot with either their irons or either their Putters all of these guys have shown uh the ability to spike with their irons or Putters they
Can get super low if they need to so I’m just going with the guys who a bunch of guys who can just bomb it out there and find a way to get hot with their irons or Putters or wedges and Putters I mean it’s going to boil down to uh the guy
Who finds the hottest putter so you can talk about whatever you want but it’s going to be yeah this seem this is the card that you might see is this is this seriously copied from Twitter so if okay this is what I’m saying people bet this
Scotty sheffler 6 to1 so this is what if if he hits one outright I don’t even know if he no he’ll profit he’s probably betting like one unit on each but he would have to hit an outright every two weeks if he structured a card this way and he still
Wouldn’t make that much money he wouldn’t make that much return on his investment but it is what it is I’m just trying to help I’m not trying to call anyone out but it is fun to call some some people out so sometimes so let’s move on so and the reason I went with
Russell Henley just a guy who loves loves first round so I kind of just transfer that to like first start of the Season just gets super hot and he loves a birdie Fest he can get as hot as anyone with the putter with or with the
Uh iron so there good course history too but I just like that free bombit and just get hot narrative so I went with these looser looser drivers 35 to 76 fit a card in and I actually have see for 83 is my total risk I could bet one more
Guy so this is I’m like 7.2x Roi for the for the for the police counting I I’m like 7.2 RI um I was going to bet Grio 200 to get this to the the number I’m looking for but I just don’t really think he has a chance but it is a good
Number on Grio who I kind of like this week all right I’m gonna run through the five Grand Golf bets again uh if you want to go watch the video and in more to for more in-depth analysis of this you can go down there it’s on YouTube a
Golf gam podcast I already explained this hin so Cam Davis fits that narrative a bomber who can get super hot and he’s been playing good golf played in Australia a little bit I think he could definitely fit inside the get inside the top 20 got plus 112 there’s
Definitely better numbers out there uh feno top five I he’s one of my favorite outrights from this list so basically go coincides with that $50 on that and then two first round leader just sprinkles can’t lay first round leader 20 to1 Russell Henley first- round leader 37
To1 guys that can get hot out the gates just I love l so just give me some uh give me some uh uh what’s the word give me some feel of Klay I don’t know what I’m saying right now I wanted some Klay so that’s where that’s how I got
Klay this isn’t North Korea if you want to bet three guys under 20 to1 for minimal Roi it is it is it is he is correct by that so you yes just don’t do it just don’t do it all any more bets and I any more bets that should be it for next
Next I will be talking about the prize picks and the UN and the underdog plays I’m going to go with a $100 two leer every day this year so theala over five birdies theala is a I explained this on YouTube as well go go check the YouTube
To uh see have a more in-depth analysis theala a very loose H golfer makes a ton of birdies very volatile and a ton of bogeys I think five birdies should be the minimum he makes in this field and Russ Henley under 69 and a half a guy
Who loves first rounds and at of course where everyone’s going to be going super low 69 should not be too much to ask for from Russell Henley all right Colin morawa for the prize picks entry I know I’m talking about fading col more CWA but over 15 and a half Greens in
Regulation should be very straightforward these are some of the biggest Greens on tour biggest Fairways on tour I would not be surprised if Colin Mor morawa hits 17 or 18 greens today and then wiam Clark a guy that I bet outright so obviously I like him to
Go under 69 in round one uh bomb it out there bomb it you could you could hit that slice like you did did on on 18 at the US Open and be fine at this golf course so he should be able to get under
69 in a field in a golf course like this finally I will talk about my uh my DFS pool and and there there’s the contest I’m in yeah so I’m in the 300K driving range and the Mayo which is probably the best and most affordable DFS uh pool uh
My heaviest guys are Matt Wallace and Scotty sheffler now I might find a way to get Xander Schley in here just kind of looking at ownership let me take a look at Xander schley’s ownership real quick see if I want to take a switch so I’m seeing Scotty come in at around
29% Xander 25 so at that point probably not I just gonna keep Scotty because I think say Scotty is just better okay let’s go back to this screen so just gonna run through the guys Matt Wallace I talked about him already 83 Sheffer 83 and I like to have different this is I
Mean it’s not successful for everyone but I found success every single week in this in this space by betting different guys than I’m playing in DFS and putting it putting different guys in DFS than I’m playing in betting so it’s always like that last guy off your car like damn I
Should have been on him so I just obviously I could find a way to to everyone in this field nearly not everyone but I could find a way to a lot a lot of guys so I just like to bet my guys play my DFS guys usually one of
Them will win me money so that’s just way I like to divy it up I’m not going to run through all these guys why I like them why I don’t like them but that’s the DFS pool I went through the narratives and that’s about it this is
This is the golf Mecca I can share this if you want it you will H you guys can have this uh whenever I update it you guys can use it I will yeah just DM me or in my Discord me I could send you a link to this because
I could share it everything you can everything I do will be posted on here and yeah pretty straightforward but just wanted to come on here and talk for a little bit about what I do um I’m super excited for this event and just this show will usually be Wednesday night but
Just wanted to do it um today any questions you know where to find me and I will be back Friday maybe not Friday at night because the golf won’t end till really late maybe Saturday morning to do the the mid the Midway update show but we’ll
Announce that sooner or later and I will find you guys I’ll talk to you guys soon so peace out
