NFL Week 17 | Best NFL Picks & Predictions | Lindy’s Locks

Lindy’s Locks: NFL Edition! Week 17 NFL Picks & Predictions from Eric Lindquist.

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Week 17 NFL Picks & Predictions

00:00 Best NFL Bets Week 17
1:51 Patriots vs Bills
4:42 Falcons vs Bears
7:46 Raiders vs Colts
11:58 Rams vs Giants
15:27 Cardinals vs Eagles
18:10 Saints vs Buccaneers
22:49 49ers vs Commanders
25:34 Panthers vs Jaguars
28:37 Dolphins vs Ravens
30:36 Titans vs Texans
32:22 Steelers vs Seahawks
35:14 Chargers vs Broncos
38:48 Bengals vs Chiefs
42:18 Packers vs Vikings

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#NFLPicks #NFLPredictions #NFLBetting #Week17 #nflpicksagainstthespread #NFLPicksToday #NFLPredictionsToday #NFLBestBets #NFLBets #SportsBetting #BettingTips #BettingPicks

What’s going on everybody Eric linquist at stochastic here on the OD Chopper Channel coming to with a week 17 edition of NFL Lindy’s leans likes and locks hit that like button subscribe button notification Bell goes a long way for me on this video goes a long way for you

That way you become aized whenever great content is going live here at our Little Neck of the YouTube Woods pretty decent little week last week uh in the NFL streets NBA has been just vicious here of late you get closing line value terrible things happen you don’t get

Closing line value well you’re screwed anyway it’s just been one of those things where looking for a little run good but we had it in the NFL streets Jonathan Taylor the massive lock there and New England ended up on that one pretty heavy as well plus seven and a

Half wish I had just taken the money line and not been a coward and just trusted my gut basically sending Russell Wilson into retirement or maybe we’ll see what happens see if another team gets a shot I feel like Russ isn’t that guy that’s going to play on a a league

Veteran minimum but we’ll find out uh if he can Joe flacko he’s know Joe flacko it’s wild to watch any who we’ve got week 17 here I’m not going to cover the Saturday game although it is incredible I have two plays posted in the premium Discord so if you want those you can

Sign up for that down below again 15 bucks for the week to get all of the OS Tools in addition to being able to get into that premium Discord and hang out but yeah two plays that I’ve got posted from that one we are covering Sunday

Only here on this one and well it’s a bit it’s a big slate again Detroit and Dallas the only game that isn’t going to be going on there from that one but yeah I guess I’m done here I got to just make sure that uh we get to the plays here

Here lot to get to I know a lot of you don’t want to hear me talk how about how about hearing me stall about my talking I don’t want to do that either producer Jacob hi long day for us both here grinding from morning till night

Let’s get ourselves the heck up out of your Friday night coming to you for Sunday’s edition of l l and locks producer Jacob let’s get to the pcks today begins with nothing else other than the team that I’m very happy with here at the moment New England plus 14 plus 14

Going into Buffalo for this 40 total I’m a little bit skeptical about what my brain’s thinking here but it’s actually not my brain doing it cuz on the surface I would absolutely say oh Buffalo 13 yeah I mean or just stay away from this game in general because you know these

Massive double digit dogs well little bit uncomfortable to be getting to but I’ve got one on this late coming up a little bit later but I’m leaning towards the Arizona one but in the New England side of things I’m leaning towards taking the points so much that I fired

It up here for a little bit of a score I do think that you’re you’re seeing Ezekiel Elliott the best version of him since the Cowboys days I mean this version of Ezekiel Elliott put him in the Dallas offense right now that’s funny to think about isn’t it bayy zappy

Making him confident and maybe this is just like the glaring example of running backs don’t matter nearly as much as we think they do they’re they’re far more replaceable in the marketplace although again Zeke made some really nice runs really nice cuts and gotta say I I’m

Just impressed by what New England was able to do in Denver there it was a sloppy ugly game but points were put up in that second half no doubt about it was at least entertaining if nothing else as for the Buffalo side of things

It’s not that I’m going out of my way to pick on them it’s just that I think 14 is a lot to be getting for a New England team that you know obviously one of the greatest coaches of all time here on one end of it like you can make the Tom

Brady argument you can make the bill bich AR argument but like at the end of the day think they’re both pretty good I don’t think bich wants to get fired by Craft here in the offseason I don’t think that that’s something that he’s exactly thrilled about so I bet this New

England team plays pretty motivated pretty decent football do they have any kind of wide receiver cor no but Demario Douglas is better than Juju Smith Schuster he’s not as good as Kendrick foren that’s for sure he’s been the alpha when healthy he’s on the IR he will not be playing football at any

Point again this season Devonte Parker is pretty dust and Jaylen rager did have one nice catch that I saw there in that game watched pretty much every second of that New England game mainly because we ended up on it pretty heavy but think I’m just going to be keeping this one

Very very light it’s not that I think Buffalo a team that’s treated us very well this season goes into Kansas City cashes that moneyline ticket they lose to Jacksonville which seems like forever ago but we were happy for that one that ended up handing out but it’s that New

England’s defense can do just enough to potentially keep this can’t 40 total you start talking about NFL spreads they’re pretty damn efficient except for these ones where the public money is going to come in on Buffalo cuz people love to bet some favorites here so I’ll take the two touchdown number

Here you’re pushing it a number of times as well but New England plus 14 here maybe we can get that one point to go our way go ahead and lose by 13 that’s just fine by B got a couple of wonky spots on this slate I think this is one

Of them Atlanta going up against Chicago talked about it last week Chicago Justin Fields DJ Moore thought there’s definite Rapport there you should just be chucking at your number one but DJ Moore gets dinged up there dinged up with that ankle ends up returning but really nothing to note just helpful to play

Arizona and have a a running quarterback in Justin Fields who could just do whatever he wanted to there it’s not going to change my impression of Justin fields or this managerial side the the the Chicago pairs are still very very open the the the jury is open on what’s

Going to happen here with the quarterback in the future these last two games they’ll leave a certain taste in their mouth in in in Chicago Paris fans mouths here I don’t know why I’m talking about taste and mouths but here we are I do think Justin Fields is better than

You’re probably looking at most of the quarterbacks in the draft unless you know somehow some way you can just I don’t know Chicago’s got a number of cracks and obviously the Carolina thing matters more Chicago they’re going out and winning football games so yeah they have the two first rounders it’s

Going to be fascinating to watch in the offseason but while the season is actually going on here Atlanta Arthur Smith took a a big jump forward and tried to save his job by switching to Taylor hinei and hinei really showed out against Indie uh looked good 69.7% completion percentage his best in four

Appearances so far this season 229 yards through the air obviously they had gone back to Desmond Ritter but Taylor hinei you know what he’s going to be he’s going to be game managerial to some type even though days of your in Washington you think if Taylor hinek as the guy who

Went out want to playoff game just went chucked it all over the lot four touchdowns to one pick here on the season more game manager style and all of these targets are not really deep targets by any means the h i mean what 6.9 yards per catch uh per reception

There against Indie that wasn’t Crazy by any means and you have Drake London you have Kyle Pitts who actually have pulses but these are pretty efficient numbers that exist on them here as well the one guy that I think you want to at least talk about and obviously he’s had a

Strange rookie season to say the least but top 10 pick ban Robinson here the guy that they spent a lot of equity on Chicago Bears defense has been really really good at stopping the Run 80.7 yards per game that is number one now in the NFL as other teams have started to

Agress outside of that number but I am am pretty damn positive friends three and a half receptions is a little bit low I just think we might be getting a little bit better than plus 129 which sounds wild to say but again think you’re not going to be able to do

Anything you want to on the ground so the Tyler alir run into the back of the line of scrimmage or whatever else I think these are going to turn into dump offs and I think Bashan Robinson if I can get a little bit better number because this seems to be well it’s

Actually a little bit better over at Caesars than it is everywhere else think you can actually dip your toes into the sand here but I’ve got a lot of plays on these 14 games that we have on Sunday so this goes on the outside looking in it

Is positive expected value if you want to fire it up odd Chopper actually has a grading out with like a 2% expected Roi right now as well so fire it to your card if you want to it’s not there for me yet but it very well could be come

Sunday oh my boy I’m so proud of you Jonathan Taylor even though they get completely Blitz CRI there in Atlanta they get in the Box Jonathan Taylor the lock ends up coming through there very early in that football game he did nothing the rest of the away but he

Didn’t need to friends but you’re looking at another week of Jonathan Taylor having the entire backfield and Zach Moss going to be out for this one that is a massive piece of news as for Josh Jacobs on Friday afternoon practice report downgraded to doubtful so he’s going to be missing his third straight

One that means a healthy dose of zamir white which has been a healthy dose of goodness for them 17 and 22 rushing attempts that’s 39 total rushing attempts here and he’s put up well carry the 170 214 yards rushing not adding a lot there in terms of receiving three

Catches over the course of that span but he is going to be on the field a metric ton and hey they just rode him straight into Kansas City’s linebacker core over and over and over again and they weren’t able to do anything to slow him down there that defensive line really not

Doing much and 2014 Victory there for Vegas probably one of the more surprising results of the entire season thank God I wasn’t on Kansas City it’s going to be gross we’re going to have to talk about them that is actually the game that that I have my

Lock from the one lock that we have on this 14 gamer again lots of really good spots but only one that I think you want to be jamming on this slate and yes it will be a prop for all you people that want your outright to go ahead and you

Know Skip on through if you don’t enjoy I don’t care a lot of you guys pretty much every major book has props and and people who text me and say that they don’t have access to props that’s first of all sad because there should be ma major access for everything and if it

Has to be pick them it has to be pick them that’s just fine it’s a beautiful way to go about playing and getting your fantasy betting exposure but in this spot specifically friends I’m looking at Jonathan Taylor two plus touchdowns because he’s going to play every single

Damn snap he possibly can Indie has better than a 50% chance to make the playoffs according to NFL nextg stats you got to go through some of these motivations and what teams are playing for in Vegas they’re playing to develop they do have a defense that can get

After it uh you know really put a pass rush on but are they going to be able to slow down Jonathan Taylor in this much improved a much better performing offensive line despite last week and what we saw there we’re not going to talk about it I don’t think they can so

You give me 20 touches here for Jonathan Taylor in any capacity I will take my chances Michael Pitman back should help the dynamic vertical vertical of this offense there we go just bullshitting my way through Jonathan Taylor just a lean to score two touchdowns best available

Number plus 450 at Caesars but I have in my notes please God go over 500 and I will fire this instantly so be on the ready again Jonathan Taylor there sitting minus 150 in this spot specifically supposed to Atlanta I know Atlanta’s generally good against the run

But thought there were going to be lots of opportunities there think we wait and see on this one so don’t bet this yet unless you see plus 500 next to it which case then alert me over on the twitter.com at Eric linquist would love to join would also love if you guys

Checked out bmgm simply because one you’re G to get a great deal and one of the major important things you can do uh to in order to build and sustain your bankroll is taking advantage of all these promotions that Sports books have for you to join them so that’s $1,500 in

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1800 Gambler back to the picks we go the Los Angeles Rams another team that I’m actually happy with again there’s been some really easy reads here in recent weeks and I’m I’m of the mind that you know as you get closer to lock it’s Friday when I come to you with some of

These videos I’m generally trying to get exposure in the outright Market on Monday or Tuesday I’ll I’ll have tickets that I’m really really looking at being early to this is not one of them because I thought we could get a better number as the week went along here cuz the

Giants really outperformed a little bit towards the end of that football game with Tyrod Taylor stepping in for Tommy DeVito no more of this I I would assume I would assume I don’t know I heard he like double charged people or like jacked his right up 2x I mean I

Understand taking advantage of Fame and your you know your 10 minutes and things but like aren’t you supposed to want to be like the guy that has a long-term contract rather than the guy who’s doing like in appearance here and appearance there and like really really pushing the

Limits you should just be sleeping right like Tom Brady and his cryo chamber doing whatever back in the day I don’t think he was out at Italian joints at T Tuesday and Wednesday night till Infinity o’clock doing meet and greets although that’s pretty cool when you think about it just now when you’re

Double charging anywh who Tyrod Taylor friends comes in against Philadelphia end up getting that cover there I did not end up on that so that’s fine by me but 33-25 there uh high high scoring Affair that’s for sure but Tyrod Taylor gets the start here you’re paying attention to Wale Robinson who’s

Questionable entering this one that actually matters because there seems to be seems to be some interest in just having ju Robinson out there a ton trying to see if they actually have something there Darius Slaton uh probably not going to be part of the long-term plans Jaylen hayatt Isaiah

Hodgins none of these other guys really have worked out thus far and Darren Waller what happened bro what what what are we doing where are you just looking for him on the field last week really liked it thought the snapshare would go up and it did but you

Know if you’re going to run wind sprits go hang out with Kelsey Plum he’s married to her I believe right I think that’s who it is anyway we’ve got the Rams minus five and a half now half point is a big deal when you’re talking about this isn’t necessarily your three

And your seven your your seriously key numbers but you give me the half through six I’m going to take that here with the Rams side of things you’ve got Nua you’ve got cup you’ve got a Rams team that’s really starting to kick it into gear and since uh one two 3 four five

Six week 11 here since they came off of that bu Stafford was actually dinged up is what it was on the front end of it since he came back from injury he’s had the highest qbr in the league pretty wild pretty wild how good this man has been 93 quarterback rating 37 nearly

3700 yards 23 touchdowns to just nine picks like this is a really good season here for Matt Stafford a couple years removed from that Super Bowl but the newa guy he is very freaking good and I’m just happy that we on this program week one made him a lock and took the

Over of that receiving and we got our season started off on the right foot there are some rocky times in the middle of it but we have wred the ship at least we’re positive that is what matters here but I am looking friends at the Rams here minus 5 and a half this

Giants defense shouldn’t be able to do much against the Rams offensive unit that has really started to figure out how to move the ball oh by the way Kiren Williams could not L A man more saquan Barkley please just take it easy on him

Please take it easy on him minus 5 and a half here Tyrod Taylor also don’t run all over the place that’ be useful said this is another double digit one where I really want to take the dog I really really do but I’m going to show caution

Arizona plus 12 a half here going into Philly and I’ve got another double digit one that’s actually coming up I’ve got three technically that I’m interested in only two that I’ve pulled the trigger on and this is not one of them but let’s talk through it a little bit Kyler

Murray dinged up a little bit but sounds like he’s going to be good to go it’s really all been about James Connor and his his abilities when healthy now he was out weeks 6 through nine but since his return and then kind of came back alongside Tyler Murray think that was

Intentional he’s been awesome not just over the course of the Season averaging nearly five yards per carry but last week 67 yards through the air he led the Arizona Cardinals in rushing and receiving pretty good asset there and James Conor there you know where he’d look great right now

Pittsburgh oops again maybe running backs do matter from time to time when they can do all of the things rather than having two guys who do like none of the things Jaylen Warren from time to time AI Harris was good at the beginning of the year and nobody wanted to talk

About that but he’s not good in general any who we are continuing our merry way here Philadelphia they need to get themselves some wins uh getting the one seed a little bit more realistic for everybody there like legitimately everybody considering San Francisco just lost that dud we’ll talk about them here

In a second as well but they lost that dud at home to Baltimore on Christmas oh that’s a little coold in your stocking that’s for sure but Jaylen herdz friends this tush push is getting out of control like it’s it it was out of control far

Far far long ago I mean this is just absurd though but 15 rushing touchdowns on this season now 15 makes it feel bad for DeAndre Swift every time he goes down on a one yard line and Angel loses its wings it’s really sad I don’t know why I’m doing

The Christmas analogies now again it’s almost New Year’s I’ll say Happy New Year’s later but yeah Philadelphia secondary is garbagio but can Arizona take advantage of that with Malcolm Brown now on the IR for the rest of the season a healthy dose of Michael Wilson and Greg dorch and yes maybe even Purdue

Legend rondale Moore coming down the pipeline there for Arizona I’m a little bit skeptical little bit skeptical but it is projecting out as my best play so I got to at least give it to you as a lean plus 12 and a half here on the Arizona side uh no totals really

Interesting card this week considering I don’t have a single anytime touchdown after last week having three of them on the card and then here I don’t believe there’s a total on the card absolutely anywhere so yeah this is this is another one where it’s on The Fringe of playable but

Again 14 games way better spots to get to let’s continue on our merry way I like this one and this is an odd Shopper special because again you can go up and sort by positive EV you can basically take a look at what is available in your

State find the best lines for your state and then you can take advantage of the best number that is such an important component to sports betting and not enough people care about it so let me try to just tell you to care about it for one second why would you go to the

Grocery store and pay a buck 5050 for something that you can pay a buck 25 in the exact same aisle because again everything’s on your phone you should be able to get access to other things and yeah I know there’s a lot of people who might not be in legal states and you’re

Able to take you know you got to take the lines that you’re given in certain spots or there’s certain lotteries in states where they are just completely hemorrhaging you with juice you got to be comparing lestone no matter where you’re playing you want to have access

To multiple Sports books it is so damn important to being profitable at this long term because otherwise you’re not going to get enough volume in to be able to to turn over a massive profit and then well it’s just problematic just is problematic but check this out we got

Producer Jacob here on the other side he’s doing a phenomenal job pulling up everything here why not take a look over at odd Shopper here as we’re talking through some of this because I think that this is a phenomenal opportunity he’s in the great state of Nevada and

You are taking a look at Alvin chra 30 and a half receiving yards you simply go up to the top you find yourself 30 and a half receiving yards for Mr Alvin CRA in your spot now as he’s looking that up here takes all of about 20 seconds to be

Able to pull it up here compare the odds across multiple books in your state he doesn’t have it available right now that in Nevada so we go to New Jersey or another arbitrary State and yeah this has been up to been up to 32 and a half

From where I got it at 30 and A2 but this is still an extremely valuable play a 1% expected value little bit different than the 3% that I got a little bit earlier but I don’t care these are the kind of things that really give you an

Edge and then you look at the side of the screen the evh it tells you how long that bet has been at that specific number it gives you the true odds what that break even number is going to be on the specific wager and then you’re going

To get access to the best line because when you go down and you look at the Sportsbook you can see FanDuel Sportsbook it shows up on the far right side of the screen if you haven’t signed up for it yet you can take advantage of

It there or you can pull down the drop down menu to see huh is there anything at minus 117 or better that I can take advantage of when I look at the books across the marketplace now Fanatics has 30 and a half listed the number I got it

Earlier points bet has that as well earlier now it will change based on what state you’re in it’ll show a little bit different numbers but again that’s the beauty of the tool take advantage of that friends wanted to show you through an example how you can go about easily

Finding positive positive EV bets just by using the tool so Alvin chimra over 32 and a half receiving yard something I’m interested in here obviously the buccaneer side of things beautiful beautiful that you’ve seen Baker Mayfield play ridiculously well and Mike Evans is out of control has Infinity

Yards 1,163 and 13 tutes on the season but guess what this is the best play here currently on the board still like it at the the the number that you’re getting here 32 and a half or 30 and a half depending on what state you’re in

Take advantage fire it up thank me later and hey if you want to sign up for odd Chopper check this out this is where you can sign up down below friends the OS premium tool the Discord Insider access everything you know and love not just the positive EV tool that we just walked

Through very very briefly there for a very low again that positive EV very small compared to some of the ones that exist on the top of the board don’t want to give you all of the best plays here that exist on the positive evv tool but

Gotta say there’s a lot more overs in the NFL streets than what you might expect coming into this uh coming into this week that’s for sure so uh if you are somebody who lik to bet those overs you’re GNA really like the top of the board here at odd chopper for week 17

But you sign up for that you get the premium betting tools the positive EV tool that we walk through the the parlay Builder which Aton walks through on this channel all the time and then you also get these other beautiful things such as the fantasy Optimizer if you’re in a

Non-legal state to check out uh Underdog prize picks things of that sort and then to top it all off the Arbitrage betting finder the free tools everything you can know and love over at odd Shopper all for the low price of $4.95 weekly $49.95 monthly but it gets even better if you

Use at the link below promo code Lindy l i n d y That’s My Name expert picks Discord premium tools get 20% off all of it when you sign up below $12 was would be what it becomes here for a week and yeah $42 there for the month of odd

Shopper premium come hang out in the Discord the water’s warm I’ll see you guys there all righty y’all back to the picks we go the San Francisco Giants coming off a spanking they were bad bad spankings even though I don’t think you can do that in the year ofert 2023

Anymore I don’t know time s were different back when I was a kid but San Francisco minus 13 a half Washington I was also a bad kid so there’s that Washington here jacobe brette now questionable for this one I’m reading the tea leaves here let’s let’s sit down

Let’s let’s have a little chat about week 17 in the NFL if you believe that Ron Rivera is getting fired at the end of the season and they’re just going to have him be like a like a pseudo coach for the next two weeks like I believe well then you

Might think jacobe brassette just came down with like fake injury like a fake cough kind of like I I don’t think Jobe pret is actually hurt what I think is that management came in and said yo we can’t play the guy who’s looked awesome at the tail end of both games the last

Two weeks and you got to put sack how old yeah Sam Howell back into the mix because we need to lose football games and get a better draft position because this season is lost we suck 49 a half total is pretty large here too 50 total pretty large anywhere

You’re looking at these but yeah San Francisco they should be 13 and a half Point favorites here and everybody want to freak out about Brock py you should freak out if you bet Brock py to win the MVP like I did at what 15 to one earlier

And now you know what I can do with that ticket I can wipe my ARs with it probably because that’s not winning me any money unless Brock py throws for five tutes here in this spot which is live but it’s probably going to be a lot

Of yakity yak don’t talk back with Deo Samuel yards after the catch Brandon yayuk is really good at the footballs and of course Christian mcaffry Buffs they turn into like oh you’re such a genius Jimmy Garoppolo you he wrode the coat Tales of that for many many a year

It is a successful thing although I will always have a soft spot in my heart for Jim MC grappo beating Lambo field into Oblivion there in the freezing cold the freezing Tundra of Lambo field that was beautiful stuff but as I look at the board for tomorrow guess what I’m firing

Up San Francisco well it’s not tomorrow it’s Sunday San Francisco is going to absolutely bounce back with the fury here Baltimore is phenomenal they’re phenomenal football team did I probably undervalue them yes but Aton chander did not with his absolute slacking that he ended up throwing out there he was all

Over the Baltimore side of that one wish I were a smart kid from time to time but hey I’m not going to miss out on the hook here San Francisco 13 and a half big number but something tells me we could be seeing Sam Howell after all here as jacobe Bret very suspicious

Limited participant with a hamstring injury and questionable what’s he been doing that he would have a hamstring injury he’s played like two quarter sorry my voice went San Francisco minus 13 and a half if you’re a Carolina Panthers fan if you are a Carolina Panthers fan all three of

You listening to me right now how happy are you that Bryce young went out and played a football game last week you got you got to be pretty damn happy now you lost which is again something that you’re not trying to do because you don’t have your first round

Pick so it doesn’t really freaking matter to you but it’s good to see Bryce young with with a pulse a 110 quarterback rating 23 for 36 312 yds through the air added a little bit rushing but one thing that’s really weird to me he’s had a fumble in every

Single week since week 11 he hasn’t lost all of those but like got to work on a little bit of ball security maybe a walk around Pete marianovich style does anybody understand that reference Pistol Pete used to go around with the basketball just dribble around in his

Hometown that’s how he got to do all the glow troter Pistol Pete must have been fun watch back in the day he was like basically Jason Williams before Jason Williams not the one that was bad the B the good basketball one the the really good passer anyway Carolina plus six here

Entering Jacksonville this is a disturbing spot for sure disturbing you got CJ Beth starting here what should have happened two weeks ago because Trevor Lawrence decided to try to play hurt you know how that went Baltimore beat up on them Tampa Bay beat up on them he had a really bad outing for

Trevor Lawrence specifically against that Tampa Tampa Bay team he himself four fumbles over the course lost three of those the last two weeks which is pretty wild to see as well yeah I’m looking at turnovers turnovers matter gotta win the turnover battle just prefer to have the teams

That aren’t stupid with the football that helps but both of these teams are kind of stupid with the football but you know what Bryce young I was shocked to see this number and I almost locked it if not four just Market based approach and knowing that people are betting

These numbers into certain spots and knowing that the market you’re getting closer to Sunday it’s getting more efficient again I’m getting to on Friday but I I played this yesterday and I still think it’s a decent enough number I got in for what two yards less it was

Was sitting at 166 a half it’s at 168 and a half currently here on Bryce young maybe there’s some momentum that we can take from last week I I mainly take away that Green Bay was pitiful and disgusting and Jer Alexander wanted to

Go out for a coin toss and it is what it is but then he got himself in trouble and knew it was coming and now he’s suspended for a game which talk about when we get to the Minnesota spot because it’s such a weird thing but I

Can’t even tell you about it but Bryce young averaging not nearly this over the course of the Season well over this 19.8 Jacksonville’s defense I don’t trust them here and then you’ve got some young receivers that are starting to emerge a little bit in Thelen uh he’s not young

Jonathan Mingo that’s who I was trying to say DJ CH he’s been around the block a couple of times he have revenge in his heart against his former team I don’t know but I’m willing to find out again if you missed this number it’s okay because CJ bethard probably healthier

Than that of one Trevor Lawrence I’m just going to go to the Bryce young passing allotment here 168 and a half I like it half unit next play the Baltimore Ravens oh what can possibly be said the Baltimore Ravens just eviscerated destroyed belittled Brock py in the San

Francisco 49ers the team that was unbeatable even though the 49ers I guess they had a play a monsoon in Cleveland that was one of those losses that was kind of me but either way San Francisco friends we know how good they are we know that they’re Baltimore is just

Phenomenal too defensively put the clamps down pay very close attention you do have the Z flowers piece and that makes me a little bit uncomfortable but what makes me more uncomfortable than anything is that these numbers have not moved at all three three and A2 three three and A2 three three and

A2 I mean this is you want to bet flipping coins have fun with it enjoy I’m not in the business of that although I do think it’s one of those spots where well everybody wants to get on the Baltimore side at three and everybody wants to get on the Miami side at plus

Three and a half or everybody I’m just saying that that seems to be the prevailing wisdom here I just don’t really know what else I would do besides betting Miami plus three and a half in this spot you got Tyreek Hill another weak under his belt hopefully he can

Continue to get healthier but no jayen waddle out there you will have a team in Baltimore trying to key in on him and they are phenomenal at stopping wide receiver ones this season you saw the numbers there on that NBC coverage pretty wild but but I don’t really want

To do it I don’t really want to do anything other than watch observe and appreciate this football game I just don’t have a bet from it I I think both teams are very very alive to Win It although obviously I’m taking the plus three and a half here I’m just taking

The points for a spot that should be competitive I’m excited to see Harbaugh versus McDaniel this is going to be an AFC matchup for years and years to come you would expect arbaugh is going to be there till the day he dies he is just so damn good at coaching especially in the

Preseason Street came to a close this year that used to be free money anyway Miami plus three and a half I’m just going to observe don’t bet this game Tennessee and Houston coming up here next I’m going to get a move on here I’m going to get a move on CJ stoud back

Into the mix going to be playing football here baring catastrophe off of the concussion uh what is not the concussion injury report that is not a real place everybody that’s basically like never oh my mouse just died awesome get to to go barefooted for the rest of this one barehanded it’s like

I’m everybody remembers that keep your door open Erica no it wasn’t do anything lot of Lucky ladies back in South Dakota anyway we’ve got Tennessee will Levis going to be playing football here in this spot it sounds like so he’s in line to start again which is good cuz

Ryan tanah Hill sucks he is very very bad at the footballs relative to well Levis who again just looks super jacked out there playing football that’s an awkward segue but anyway CJ Stroud friends he’s the guy who really matters here obviously there’s no tank Dell that’s problematic but Xavier Hutchinson

Playing a lot more snaps shout out to Iowa State my guy uh Robert Woods is completely dusted but Nico Collins and Noah Brown off of the injury report healthy for the first time in a long time together you add them to Dalton Schultz here and I do expect CJ strad to

At least be able to go Chuck it around the lot a little bit I do think tenness Tennessee secondary still exploitable I think you want to be on niic Collins 59 and a half for saving yards it’s minus 110 at bet 365 so if you have access in one of those States

And it’s only available in I believe Six States right now it used to just be four I was able to fire it up in Iowa those were good times but Nico Collins over 59 and a half receiving yards minus 115 at bmgm hey good stuff right behind me

That’s a decent number as well fire it up friends ah kind of want to fire this one up because it is so much better at a book again should have fired this up at bet 365 before I left Iowa I was going across the border from South Dakota to

Iowa over the course of Christmas those were good times my parents were confused well no they completely understood but like also why are you ignoring your family shut up ma merry Christmas though gotta go meatloaf Pittsburgh plus three and a half here going up against Seattle and uh

Yeah this is a strange spot for sure Pittsburgh they’re hot they’re cold they’re yes they’re no they’re up they’re down Katy Perry song you know the one I think you might anyway you’re looking at Mason Rudolph the rednose reindeer it’s no longer Christmas so does this continue on I don’t

Know but he started last week and they won by a lot 3411 completely bulldo Cincinnati it’s almost like somebody called that one last Saturday too that was nice again last week was nice and especially in the outright Market really hit on just about everything there uh

That was useful that was use ful except for one spot Saturday night that was stupid Saturday afternoon was nice thank you Pittsburgh anywh who continuing on our merry way DK metf off the injury report now going to be playing football they least least on the injury report they

Expect him to play he’s tending to stiffness in his lower back yada yada yada love the Pete Carrol BS I just I can’t with that guy I just can’t he’s a damn dirty liar a lot of coaches are damn dirty Liars but either way Kenneth Walker Jr sounds like he’s going to be

Good to go game time call though so just be on high alert could end up being Zack shanet I’ll take a shonet on on Ice don’t drink chardonay with ice that would be bad although I know people who do that it terrifies me yeah welcome to

South Dakota everyone but DK metf here I think this is the guy I kind of want to start highlight if he’s healthy and he’s good to go here four and a half receptions is a broken number on him but plus 120 at bet 365 is very different

Than plus 106 on FanDuel so this is kind of on the outside looking it as well I don’t want to have every game have a like from it this is positive expected value as well okay when you have 14 games on a slate I hope I can find you

One bet that stands out with at least positive expected value of some type just matters how large your bank roll is how much you want to be exposed to one specific day and then you can kind of find that approach from there and hey OS can help you with all of that odd

Chopper here the tool itself will tell you exactly how much you should be betting based on your bank roll on each specific play based on the OS rating yes that is a beautiful thing that I want to get to more in depth here especially as I start getting into the Tik Tock

World DK meta over four and a half receptions I will never do that again this is one of the like sneaky good spots like amazing amazing spots now the one thing I did fire up when I was over in this parts of Iowa was as soon as I

Saw Russell Wilson was going to be benched for Jared St I did my due diligence I went back and I watched two starts that Jared STM had last season one went really really well one went not so well it’s surprising to me at least that the one that went

Really really well was when he was in a Vegas Raiders jersey against San Francisco it was incredible how good he looked as I was watching the tape and I’m not a big like go back and watch the tape guy I like to on Sundays hey you can’t watch every

Single game at once you can go to you know do what everybody does and NFL Red Zone I do the same thing but you know doing the all 22 and doing all the other things do your due diligence if there’s something you’re curious about go back and watch stuff and obviously easy for

Me you know working here doing whatever else hey I need to find tape on whomever I need to get that film or I need a I’m saying this as if I’m a football coach I’m just freaking gambling on these guys but uh wanted to be able to go out and

Watch Jared stum and what he did against San Francisco and I got to say there’s a lot of reasons that I think Shawn pton should be excited about this switch from Russell Wilson to Jared stum is really the reason that they did it he looked freaking spectacular against San

Francisco poised in the pocket was getting pressured obviously but didn’t matter whatsoever and that was a very serviceable defense obviously the next week not so good not so good but he’s had an entire season to sit watch wait and now he gets a Chargers team with no Brandon Staley he gone facing Easton

Sticking company the only thing I’m really worried about is can the Chargers keep this remotely close well the spread tells you they can plus 3 and 1/2 here been bet down from 6 and 1/2 to 3 and 1/2 it’s weird to me that the marketplace is so off on Jared STM and I

Guess maybe this is going to end up being a blind spot for me on this card it is what it is it’s going to be something is a huge blind spot for me in DFS but there’s two pieces of news that I want you to be paying very close

Attention to because this could change how much you feel comfortable as you person the viewer the one watching and trusting me with your money I I’m just saying you got Marvin Mims questionable with a hamstring now and you got Jerry Judy questionable with a sickness now those are two really important players

Because courin Sutton is not expected to be suiting out uh whatsoever already been ruled out here on Friday’s practice Report with that concussion so I don’t know if I want Lil Jordan Humphrey and Brandon Johnson to be the guys that I’m relying on here in this spot Adam

Troutman is Greg doul on the IR still I mean this is just so disgusting oh Lucas Cru looked all right to me last week even though they lost that football game and we bet against them and it was beautiful but I want to just at least

Put it out there that Jared STM is somebody on my Raider Easton stick is not but Jared stum over one and a half passing touchdowns I bet it if you want to join me I was able to get plus 235 it’s down to plus 210 at bet 365 and

Even at plus 195 at bet MGM I think it’s all right but again if you don’t have Judy and mims in there Mims I’m really excited to see what he can do Unchained from Russell Wilson cuz he hated him apparently and also there’s no courland

Sun this week but I want those two guys in to really make this like a Bonafide thumbs up otherwise it gets a very meager thumbs up but the plus money it’s awfully nice if you have bet 365 you’re doing it wrong not to get better than plus 200 on this barring what happens

With their injury statuses we’ve reached the lock portion of the program and I’m just going to say this is going to be a remember me spot I’m going to throw it out there it’s now dropped to 6 and a half and now it’s doing doing exactly what I was hoping Cincinnati no Joe

Burrow who owns Arrowhead and you know burad and whatever the heck like whatever Joe burough is pretty good at football but guess what Kansas City they’re better they’re they’re really really good they haven’t played like it this offense has been very monotonous and probably the first time under Andy

Reid even going back to like Alex Smith who from a game manager perspective was doing just enough but like this is definitely something that’s alarming at least for Kansas City but it speaks more to the fact that even with like cadarius Tony who I Know Travis Kelce has his

Back listen to the podcast it is what it is but he’s going to be out here for this one cadarius Tony that is and then you’ve got a wide receiver room where you had to get Rashi rice on the field non-stop nice to see that and Justin

Watson starting to get ramped up a little bit here as well mainly because it’s not panned out for Mar qua scandling as sad as that is coming from Green Bay over to Kansas City Richie James I think he’s a freak athlete good punt returner Once Upon a Time in San

Francisco that’s going to kind of be his role here as well well but there’s really nothing in terms of skill position players now the running back position is very very interesting here it’s the only reason I’m not recommending this from a spread perspective it’s dropped a half point

And probably for good reason probably for good reason Pacho he is questionable here with that concussion SL shoulder he’s got to get off of both of those issues but then Clyde Edwards air popped up on Friday he’s got a rumbl in his tumbling he’s got an illness not sure

How bad of an illness again some guys get Donovan Mitchell illnesses where they miss four NBA games like he just did over the course of the last week and a half other people they can play through it instantly and it’s no big deal they really need somebody otherwise

It’s going to be a healthy Jose of Keon Ingram who’s on their practice squad and then L Michael perine who actually showed up there in week 16 for like one snap so really good stuff but here’s the thing you know who’s I didn’t bring up yet Travis Kelce Travis Kelce from

Patrick Mahomes is going to get beat to a pull an absolute pulp against the Cincinnati team that is giving up the second most yards to the tight end position here the second most fantasy points if anybody gives a about that as well uh I do I do I do some of

You play in your playoffs you do too this is such an unbelievable smash spot so I don’t care if Taylor Swift is in the stands or not think those splits are pretty dumb and don’t be one of those people just be one of the people who bet

Travis Kelce atus 140 over 5 and a half receptions if you had this number earlier in the season you would have jammed this to the moon and this is recency bias that it’s findest and here’s the thing the same way that I locked in 36 and a half 35 and a half

Passing attempts there and we were able to cash in those the New England one was a brilliant second half I don’t think Kansas City can effectively run against anybody unless Pacho gets his ass back there so we’re going to be waiting on that one but it doesn’t matter there’s

Going to be plenty of opportunity teams have been doubling Kelsey doing whatever else so people can call him wash say he wants to retire say he doesn’t care but just watch Travis Kelce is going for a bajillion on Sunday so prepare yourself I’m going to also take his old 100 plus

So it’s going to be fun times Travis Kelce over five and a half receptions though minus 140 at ESPN first time I’ve given them a shout out here on this program oh that’s the best book ESPN bet check it out and the last play H smash the like button because again lot of

Analysis here now I’m Apple Mouse Green Bay Minnesota hey I’m in a bad mood why am I well jiah Hall is going to be starting for a football team I’m not thrilled now obviously injuries play a big part in what’s happened here for this freaking Vikings team and it’s just

Brutal and we haven’t been able to run a football effectively until Tai Chandler showed up and by the time he did it was too damn late it’s too late Baby Alexander Madison needed to be out there for certain passing down situations if not just to protect KK cousins who if

Any body remembers last season got obliterated well this season he was playing unbelievable football and then of course how bad can you possibly run as a Vikings fan answer as bad as humanly possible and yeah so Kurt Cousins is out then we go get Josh dobs

We start haul he gets binged up dobs comes in plays unbelievable and now on the back of skid like little loss loss loss well might as well just develop Hall see if there’s anything there mainly because Nick Mullen he sure a’t it either but Green Bay coming off of a

Pretty disappointing to Carolina completely shot themselves in the foot there obviously NFC North was long and gone Detroit had that one locked up long ago but Green Bay trying to play themselves into some kind of contention here it’s kind of wild Aaron Jones got back into the mix that’s good for them

Good news because I find him to be very important to the complexion of this offense but the only thing that I like is just Jordan love to go throw it all the way around the lot Minnesota’s defense which said they really hadn’t faced anybody in a hot second and it’s

One of those things where you kind of know your football team better than most people do so people who don’t like to bet their teams you just have to be honest about what you’re betting and why you’re betting it you can be honest about how bad your defense is and yeah

Do I think that we have been much improved in recent weeks absolutely but in a dome in Minnesota going to be a lot of Packers fans there always are mixed amongst everybody there in US Bank Stadium this is a spot where Jordan love is going to go nuclear 2 41 a half

Passing yards not going to lock it if only because there are some wonky game scripts again they’re one point dogs which I’m a little bit surprised to and a man stronger than myself would be firing up their money line in addition to Jordan love going out and throwing it

Around the lot but I feel pretty confident that 2 39.1 per game here has been getting better and better and more acclimated until that Carolina kind of collaps wasn’t all his fault he had a rushing touchdown two passing touchdowns it is what it is but nearly 3600 yards

Now through the air for Jordan love this season good stuff from the technically rookie because this is first year playing but I want to be invested to 41 a half passing yards I like it odd Shopper likes it plus 110 is the number you’re getting over a draftking sports

Book again shop for the best lines sign up using promo code Lindy down there it’s 12 bucks a week then 12 bucks a week to get the best if you’re doing $20 a bet and you’re not double-checking with the market-based approach or if you’re not asking me questions in

Discord you’re probably doing it wrong so do all of those things and I’ll see you here for week 18 let’s get going and that does it for another edition of Lindy’s leans likes and locks you know what to do go to that comment section below let me know your favorite plays

That exist here on the board for this lovely slate that we have before us on Sunday again week 17 it’s insane to think that we’re nearing the end of our boarding walk Wild Car weekend is going to be wild to say the very least going to be bringing you some special editions

Here of the Lindy leans lies and locks going to be awesome maybe have to do some Showdown specific ones because I’m sure there’s going to be news and I know that they Saturday Sunday Monday it’s the best time of the year I know January 15th I’ll be at the DraftKings

Sportsbook at Scottdale Arizona hanging out you want to come kick it with me for Monday Night Football I shall be there going to be awesome yeah throw out my location there you go going to be awesome stuff it’ be awesome if you guys checked out bmgm if you checked out odd

Chopper going to be awesome all the way around but that’s going to do it for me here I feel pretty good about the card here this week weird did not see anytime touchdowns there on it a little little couple of these long New England that’s

Going to be a weird one to start off the car but let’s get ourselves the heck up out of here tons of football on Sunday tons of football later here as the season goes along we’re nowhere near the end friends the NBA Lindy’s L likes and locks check us out every single Monday

Through Friday awesome thank you producer Jacob per usual long one today but always was going to be on a slate of this size until next time friends I’m Eric linquist best of luck in the NFL streets on Sunday