FIRST THINGS FIRST | Nick makes his Week 16 predictions: Take Cowboys as 1.5-point underdogs

FIRST THINGS FIRST | Nick makes his Week 16 predictions: Take Cowboys as 1.5-point underdogs

Oh do it live from New York it’s the show that’s in the holiday spirit it’s the second hour of first things first today why one person here spoiler alert it’s me has San Francisco on upset alert you do too Brew actually I do double spoiler alert meanwhile do the Eagles

Need a blowout win to give Brew some bass in his voice when he talks about his Super Bowl pick but right now we’re not on camera he’s doing the toes thing with his fing camer for a while Cowboys headed to Miami for America’s game of the week on Fox Cowboys of course are

Three and four on the road and take on a Miami team that is six and one at home they’re at the top of the AFC East two in Dak both playing excellently and we just pulled this graphic out of nowhere fantastic job numbers very similar you

Claiming that Dak is the belt of the ball but two was just quietly in Miami wild putting up the same I’m the only one who’s been defending Tu you don’t say he’s better than Dak he’s not I don’t think you’ve been defending Tu Nick okay I think you’ve been using

Tua to tear down pery and I’m not even trying to make it a pery conversation but that’s what he been doing how in the world is party in MVP conversation with tu is not great that’s not like building up Tua Tua sitting there like I’m catching straight no he’s not okay let’s just

Have and I think I’m really surprised brew that you don’t Wilds wild wild has the memory of a goldfish and not like with Ted lasso where it’s a good thing where it’s just like the whatever happened in the NFL last week is the only thing that’s ever happened Miami

Won by 30 Dallas lost by a lot so Dallas is GNA lose like that’s the that is perfect sense by the way yeah I know that um I’m surp because so so many of the fundamentals that you believe about the Miami Dolphins pop up in a negative column in this game

That they’re break dancers and not Fighters Dallas is some Fighters now I understand there’re a speed defense but they are a tough we nobody would argue they that they’re not fight that they’re not a tough defensive front they’re not like s Francisco Baltimore can City I

Agree but they are tough and they have a dominant defensive front and Miami is banged up on their offensive line additionally Miami has had trouble all year against good team and by trouble I mean gotten blown out do you Dallas listen that is a fair critique of Dallas

Brew what are you laughing about I’m just like you sit here and say Miami has had trouble all year against good teams as if Dallas has it I know last night that the Rams became a good team is Philly you love you I’m just saying they

Both have had problem who do you think is winning the Super Bowl Philadelphia okay did Dallas Crush them they beat him okay yeah they and they beat Dallas too got it so I what I was about to say before you started giggling like a funny you said it like they have both had

Trouble both no no no but Miami is wingless Miami has not competed well at all they don’t have a single against good teams they competed well against Kansas City okay I mean it was 21 14 I sure okay so there’s one game against a good team that they’ve held it to one

Score they don’t they have no wins against good teams right no wins and so I’m just saying that so many of the fundamentals that you believe in are true about Miami apply in this game and you believe in Miami that surprised me I think I think both teams are very

Similar I think neither has really proven themselves against the good teams you’re right Dallas has a great win over Philadelphia but they’re still two and three now against teams with winning records because of the Rams last night Miami’s 0 and3 haven’t played obviously a lot of teams with winning records but

Played Kansas City tough held that offense to 14 points lost by a touchdown all right the the Buffalo game was just got out of hand all right and then Philadelphia beat him by like two touchdowns right but not a terrible loss and other than the Kansas City game

Those games took place on the road those losses to good team so my point is this and the Kansas City game wasman German right but Miami is good at home all right and they’re second best team record-wise at home one Dallas obvious the best Miami good at home Dallas bad

On the road okay and then Dallas can be run on now I get it that uh Miami’s not you know a bunch of bruisers that are going to pound the ball at you four yards not three four yards in the cloud of dust they got game Breakers though I

Mean eight Chan averages almost nine yards a carry which is ludicrous and it’s a lot of carries you know and mostard is very good and then they got the the receivers so like if you try to do too much to take away the receivers

The Run game is going to get you if you do too much to take away the Run game Tyreek gonna have a feel they assuming he plays so I I look I think it’s a good game I wouldn’t be shocked if Dallas wins but I’m going with miam what’s your

Score um I’m goingon to say I didn’t write one down I’m going to say 31 31 27 I have we seen Miami look like Miami forget forget against good team against an excellent defense are the Jets good or not why did I they’re like the Jets are good and they give

Quarterbacks problem that’s the the Ty the the why did the that that’s a fair point why did the Chiefs beat the Dolphins because Tyreek G gifted you a touchdown okay without that what would it have been 14 14 got it so point being why did Miami only score 14 points in

That game you guys have a great def we EXC me we the the because the Chiefs had the physicality to disrupt the receivers had the physicality to win up front throw off the Dolphins timing if you don’t think Dallas’s front and the Gilmore Bland Corner combination can do

Something at least similar I think you I I you I think the Chiefs are better against the Run see that’s my concern about Dallas in this game the run then of course it opens up the P time now for a segment so hot my grandmother claims

It’s just hot chocolate but when my son asked for a sip while we were carolling she said scoffed and said this would knock you on your ass wow because it’s that grandma you’ve never cursed on the show it’s upset alerts I didn’t that was a quote Oh My Grandmother Had a little

Bit of something in her hot chocolate little hot toe she say that to Billy or russing again it’s fictitious sorry but regardless I’m just trying to say it’s a hot segment brw you’re up first with a hot hot upset I think this one is hot I

Think you guys are gonna be surprised by this Pittsburgh Steelers it over the Cincinnati Bengals you know this hurts me to say this cuz I’m from Cincinnati okay but I’m I’m objective the Steelers everybody’s down on lost three straight the receivers aren’t trying right they’re not BL like is not this the

Perfect setup for a Mike Tomlin team to come out right and say oh my God there’s Tomlin I just a year ago like certain or year or two that it was going to be his first losing season and somehow he avoids that so I think there’s that and

On the other side Nick you’re gonna hate this and you too maybe since I heard you on the Bill Simmons podcast thank you Jake Browning is about to turn into a pumpkin in front of everyone okay look he’s been great for three four games all

Right we’ve seen it we see this all the time Ryan Fitzpatrick will give you four great games Joshua dos look like a pro bowler for about four or five games all right and then when teams get some tape on you so on and so forth just the the

Get the kid in uh with the Giants nowmy Tommy deito been looking great for a while and then last week happened so I think this is the week unless you think Jake Browning is like all that this is the week he becomes the regular Jake Browning again high school so this guy

Just the a point on each side of it one is I don’t believe tomlin’s ever lost four in a row Tomlin as a home dog is one of the Best Bets in Vegas you know over the course of his career flip side to that the Steelers are playing practice squad safeties this week

Because they one guy got suspended for the year mink is in you’re dealing with injuries and I know the Bengals aren’t going to have Chase they’ll still have Higgins and Browning has played well the other Counterpoint that was not mentioned in that entire dissertation Just Two Words Mason Rudolph that’s

Tough he’s not wild what based on what based on what I don’t know I feel he got I feel like he got B I feel like he got bopped in the head just I got bopped in the head he’s a horrible player wild you have ma Jones IND do

Stockholm syndrome where any quarterback that ever shows a flash you’re like might be good first of all M Jones is much better than Mason Rudolph I don’t know about that we’re not turning this into a ma but we can if we want hubs can we go Mac Jones here go okay uh it’s

Time now for the Pu of T Phil of football to make his upset alert I don’t know if you’ve seen the show before but the reason they call me the pucks of ton Phil of football if you you live in a log covered with fur actually just a

Coincidence uh it’s because I can predict the future the headline here is Ravens win weird like wow that’s a weird headline what do you think’s going to happen well I think you got a a clash between two great defenses and I think eventually one guy is going to do something weird

And Kyle Shanahan in the post game is going to be like we played great I don’t know I don’t know how we’re supposed to stop that I don’t know what we’re supposed to do it’s just got to be my flat brim hat off to you Lamar Lamar

19-1 his career against the NFC he’s 4-0 this season Lamar is an underdog he says he likes to be an underdog everybody says that Lamar actually means it 8 and4 against the spread 11 and one so e easily take the points even though I’m predicting he’s straight up 287

Weird game from Lamar he does some amazing things 287 Ravens all right time now Wilds for a hot hot segment yeah no well let’s I mean I hope you got worse just sell it Nick show it listen let’s just deal with it guys listen I’ve been here before

This is we were 21 and 27 on the year uh two of those losses were just dominant in the wrong direction you might say Nick when have you been here before all your TV picks every year you had a winning record that’s true but once upon

A time before I was on TV I was down so much in a season I tried to sell my prized card collection at a pawn shop found out it was worth way less than I thought ended up having to donate plasma just to cover the debt wow this is

Something you should tell your therapist telling America right now it’s Christmas time it’s holiday season and I don’t want to have to cancel Christmas which means got to go three and 0 I’m not going back to plasma clinic America Indie plus two and a half Arthur Smith

And 22 against the spread after week five in his career ind’s a playoff team they’re well coached they’re going up against Taylor hinek and Arthur Smith the wrong team is favored give me a break inding straight up and I’m getting the points next Detroit laying three at Minnesota guess where Minnesota plays a

Dome guess who the quarterback for the uh Lions is Jared G guess where he likes playing a doome thank you Wilds Jared G in a dome 32 and 16 against the spread conversely Nick Mullins in any environment if it’s professional football 5- 11 against the spread Detroit clinch the division first time

In 30 years lay the three points and lastly even though these two dopes disagree Dallas getting a point and a half Dallas won nine straight by an average of 19 points coming off a loss last few years Miami’s offensive Line’s way too banged up Miami Miami’s next two

Games are way bigger Dallas meanwhile knows Philly is vulnerable and maybe just maybe they think oh wait San Francisco could lose to Baltimore maybe the one Siege Back available for us so the picks for this week Indy plus two Detroit minus 3 Dallas plus one and half

That’s a 3 and0 weekend gosh darn it we need it you got it we need it I just want you to know