NBA PRIZEPICKS Player Prop Picks / Bets for Thursday, December 21st, 2023

Eric Polzin breaks down this NBA PRIZEPICKS Player Prop Picks / Bets for Thursday, December 21st, 2023 slate.

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*PROPS PROCESS*
My process with NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB PrizePicks and Underdog videos is to show you which lines have the best value behind them. Show you why or why not they will be a good bet. The goal is to give you the viewer enough information to make an educated decision on how to attack the favorable lines that we get.

I will also show which prop numbers we are getting that do not align with the NBA Injury News that we have received thus that day.

If you do not agree with one of the bets do not make them. Know that this is gambling. If a line changes (not in favor of the bet) that means the bet is no longer as good of a bet, and thus probably should chase the bet.

The idea is by attacking the best numbers that we get we can profit in the long term as we attack the best bets with the best EV

“Today’s Bets” Record Since 1/28/2023:
Units Profited = 405
Win % = 60% (884/1482) *12 ties.
(This is a measure of the bets I highlight at the end of the video. This includes all sports. This also includes the Taco Tuesday bets where I tell people to bet 5 individual bets)
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All right everyone welcome back into another props video give me touching on the top prop bets today in NBA I’m both priz and Underdog also touching on some other sports like NHL college basketball in NFL let’s go and get into it so first

I I do want to start with the bad beat I mean this is just painful guys uh Donovan Klang he got injured with like 13 minutes left in the game did not return he was well on his way to getting that over for that to miss that was very

Much painful especially concern the fact that basically all the other prop pets were not sweats at all you might see this one like it if you weren’t following it they blew out uh that team and so he wasn’t going to get that over kind of lucky there but that is super

Frustrating to have that type of bad be it’s one thing for a player to like miss out on a prop and what not but for him to get injured to not have a 10x on this that was uh very uh brutal but let’s start with this video with showing you

Guys the best EV bets that we are currently getting as it sits right now so we got a couple of decent NHL props uh Owen is going to be favored as a push right here about a 56% chance for that to be a push uh the data really does

Like him to get over that but all in all not a bad Prof Mark Stone under assist good Eevee bet Michael mats under um assist good bet there get into some football ones Russell Wilson over 26.5 pass attempts that one has about a 54% chance to hit uh Clark tackles and

Assist under Jaylen Johnson over 2.5 tackles and assist Byron young over tackles and assist at 3.5 we are getting some pretty good bets uh an interesting one for tonight would be Jamal Williams under 5.5 rushing attempts that one is seemingly going to be a good one so

Right now guys we are getting some pretty good bets for a punch of other sports not in NBA so that’s going to be an interesting starting point uh we’ll see if we get some good college basketball props throughout this video as well let’s gohe and start out with

All the best profets that we are getting right now in NBA we’re going to get into the game by game breakdown all right so starting with the first game we got the jazz versus the Pistons a onepoint spread 236 or so for the over and under

Now looking at the injuries this is kind of noteworthy I mean we definitely need to see what happens here kante George currently a game time decision if you were to sit uh we’d be looking at horn Tucker again he was someone that I mentioned uh on their last game that

He’s someone that’s really going to benefit with those players out that ended up happening I do still think Colin saon is going to be a a player that we can trust in terms of production kind of had an off day if you will yesterday five H fouls maybe was playing

A little bit more uh timidly but really the assists just weren’t there other than that points were basically still there 17 shot attempts still up a little bit less free throws but all in all still had a very solid game but yeah Horton Tucker kind of operating uh out

The point guard a little bit more no shock that his usage went up no shock that his points went up and also his uh assist went up that was expected uh very awesome to see so he someone we’ll take a peek at if we’re getting any good

Propet for him and then let’s take a peek at uh to or the Pistons Killian Hayes game time decision we got to get news on that we also need to get news on Isaiah Stewart if he is someone that sits with Jaylen durren already out that

Could mean that uh bagley’s going to get a lot of run and also James wisman would get a lot of run in that game so definitely fascinating we need to see one if we’re getting any good prop bets there but also kind of which prop bets

We’d want to be going in on so yeah let’s take a peek at Keon George right now now it I would assume that he’s going to sit he did travel with the team though okay and he has been participating with on court activities so like it would make sense you know on

The back end of the back toback why they would have sat him on one of the games and so if he playsight it wouldn’t be shocking but at the same time that’s going to be the exact reason why we’re not getting any prop pets for Utah he is

A big mover in terms of who we would expect to be productive in that uh for that team oh boy just refreshed us to see if we got any uh Utah props we got LeBron James free Square so we’re going to have to apply that here and while I’m

There let’s just take a peek what are currently the best EV bets for underdog not too many actually uh shock shock shuck shuck I mean really just Russell Wilson or Josh Allen those two don’t love that too much but yeah uh we’re not getting any Utah props for either team

It makes but again if keontay George is out I think we’re just looking at horn Tucker to have that high usage rate to get a lot more assists and to get a lot more points the biggest question mark I have is like which one of the players is

It going to be Lori marinin or is it going to be John Collins having a good game they both actually could have a good game in this one John Collins mens have been down though and so we’re probably just looking at Lorie marinin to continue to play well I think the

Reason why John Collins mens have been down is because Walker Kessler is going to continue to play about 30 minutes or so so with that it’s tough to trust John Collins so if we get some John Collins props maybe his minutes are a little bit more limited than we would typically

Want looking at Detroit let’s see if we’re getting any prop pets for them and we are we probably should be getting K Cunningham bonovich as we are uh looking at right now I personally don’t really see a big edge with either of these two like they are kind of the heart and soul

Of this team if you will in terms of like this game is projected to stay close so like bonovich to get over his points rebounds and assists I don’t mind but with him it’s like if we’re betting his his points rebounds and assists we could just bet his over points because

It’s so uh close to his actual points rebounds and assist so I don’t mind this one I think that’s a good bet in a game that’s projected to stay close we know that the issue with uh Detroit has been game staying close and so this would be

One in which I think they have a good chance to play well and looking at K Cunningham as well like I don’t mind the stacking opportunity there again it almost feels like we’d want to chase the points a little bit more there with him rather than points rebounds and assists

I will say if we get news that Duran’s out as well as Isaiah Stewart yes we’re expecting James wisman to get some more minutes probably around 25 maybe to 30 uh Bagley as well will basically be capped at like 25 minutes and so with that Thompson here I think would be a

Good candidate to get close to 30 minutes or so and so if that occurs I know that his role has been reduced with bonovich being back but I could see him having a bounceback game and so I’d be very interested to see if they where

They put his point at because if we get news that Stewart sits urance sit it should be closer to his average and so if it’s below that by a significant amount I feel pretty comfortable betting that over let’s move on into the next game we got the pels versus the Cavs two

Point spread 229 for the over and under uh the Cavaliers are coming in off of a back toback so we got to see kind of the news on that um we already know that Mo’s out we already know that Darius Garland is out but Donovan Mitchell is

Really the big mover there okay as expected Craig Porter had a really good game with Donovan Mitchell that was something I touched on yesterday for you guys as well as uh Jared Allen no we didn’t get any Craig Porter props but we did get some Allen props those kind of

Cash pretty easily and then I will say guys I’ve been testing out DraftKings pick six and they had Max dreu at 15.5 points I absolutely loaded up on that uh and he he ended up with 18 kind of a late uh cash there but that was night

And so again kind of an annoying video to start the day because we don’t have the news on whether or not Donovan Mitchell’s going to play and so obviously if he sits I think we would just be looking at Craig Porter to play a lot of minutes and to be the one that

Kind of benefits the most with him on like he really had a great game now a lot a lot of blocks actually he didn’t really shoot the basketball too well but he he’s a solid fantasy producer just when those two players are off the court one those two guards off the court so

That wasn’t shocking a little bit shocking with Sam Merl kind of really having a great game 16 shot attempts uh 14 three ball attempts I mean that was crazy obviously he was shooting the basketball pretty well to get up 14 shot attempts you’re not expecting that every

Single game they might actually try to trap you into a bet with him tonight I’m not saying that he’s not going to have a good game but I feel like that was kind of his ceiling game yesterday so so all in all again Donovan Mitchell’s out and

They try to get us with some meral props probably not doing it dreu is someone that really started the game out poorly yesterday shooting the basketball guys really bad and then got hot in the second half I think he was like one for six to start the game second half was

Much better he might have actually been like 0 for five and hit two free throw no I don’t know he had a low point he had two points going into the half I believe so he shot much better in the second half but this is what we’d be

Expecting with Mitch off the court if Mitchell’s on the court probably not getting an edge there with him but his points was set at 15.5 throughout the day yesterday was then bumped to 17.5 you can see got the over there I feel like that was the correct call did have

A lot of turnovers so wasn’t exactly playing the best uh Caris LeVert his Ms are going to be capped at 27 but his usage spikes up about 5% with Mitchell and Garland off the court uh he had himself a good game but he is a little

Bit too difficult to trust on a per night basis very hit or miss and then Allen I do expect to have a good game again only played 30 minutes in that game little bit shocking there didn’t get into foul trouble or anything I think that was partially due to them

Having the lead at the end of the game uh Utah kind of of following them are not wanting Cavaliers not wanting Utah to foul Jared Allen but all in all with a match up against the Pelicans Jared Allen’s going to need to get a lot of minutes because Jal has simply been

Going off and another annoying part here guys looking at the Pelicans injury report we need to get news on their whole Squad okay so jayal questionable game time decision Zion questionable game time decision Herbert Jones questionable game time decision obviously if those players sit we’re looking at suj mccum to have a great

Game we are also looking at Brandon Ingram to have a good game and so we take a peek at the projected starting lineup it is truly a game time decision it is truly a toss and so it makes sense why we’re not getting props for that

Squad just yet and it’s also kind of weird I just want to point this out guys like if we get news that Donovan Mitchell’s out like that’s you see this matchup rank it’s not going to be as difficult of a matchup just throwing that out there like CJ mcc’s going to

Have a great game with him off the court you look at his season average points at 20.4 if it’s set at that and those players are ruled out or even if Zion just ruled out I’d be fine betting the over especially with his assist as well

Guys if that side is average I would also be fine betting the over there uh he just gets a massive increase in usage and that would be expected in this game and also Brandon Ingram as well um shot attempts go up a little bit probably would get closer to 20 shot attempts in

This game uh so again if his points prop really if all the props are at as averages I’d be fine betting the over there uh if Zion’s out and also Herbert Jones being out would also be a big mover that would basically mean that you’re getting Murphy Daniels to get

Some minutes I wouldn’t want to touch those guys too much though those secondary options they’re a little bit too more difficult to predict so let’s go ahead and move on to the next game we got the magic versus the Bucks magic are coming in off of back toback the Bucs

Are not uh we do see that Jaylen Suggs currently a game time decision we do know that Marquel folz is out and then uh Joe Engles currently a game time decision this is another one of those things where I do think it’s worthwhile to look at the injury report if Engles

And Suggs sit Cole Anthony is going to have a massive game most lik especially going against the buck do want to call that Giannis is currently a game time decision and because of that we are only getting jiannis prop and the reason why is because if he plays his lines are not

Going to change at all if he sits that drastically changes the whole bucks squads out so let start out with Giannis here take a peek at his injury are questionable quite clearly if he sits L gets a bump uh Brook Lopez gets a massive bump and so looking at the

Production with Giannis off the court guys um minutes are kind of what you’d expect but really just looking at who benefits the most Brook Lopez does get a massive bump in his production averages one rebound per 36 and he is someone that you know if a game stays close he

Probably will get 36 minutes averages about 4.1 more points per 36 he’s just going to be around the rim a little bit more averages about three more shot attempts per 36 usage goes up 3% uh fantasy points goes up about uh four as well so he’s someone that definitely

Would benefit Bobby poris does as well but he’s a little bit more hit or miss his usage rate is like 40% per 36 with Theos off the court uh but the the issue is I don’t think we can project him to get 30 minutes in this this game so

Really to me it’s either going to be it’s going to be both it’s going to be Brooke and it’s going to be Dame benefiting the most Dame has been someone that has been playing well now he does get a more difficult match up against I guess going against Orlando

Sure Orlando has been good against guarding opposing point guards but I don’t think we’d be too worried about it get his per 36 production and he is someone that we we can probably Bank on G 36 minutes averages 34.3 points per 36 with Giannis off the courts 5.8 rebounds 7.8 assists steals

Don’t really change but get 23 shot attempts up so a slight increase there gets a 12% bump in his usage rate which is just massive and so that tells me that honestly the lines probably won’t adjust for uh that bump enough and then looking at Chris Milton as well he also

Gets a 133% bump in usage rate okay probably not going to get 36 minutes probably going to be capped at around 33 or so uh but his production gets about 6.9 more points per 36 again we’re probably not expecting him to get 36 minutes and averages almost an assist

More rebounds stay the same so really it’d be a great stacking opportunity do I expect Yannis to sit I don’t know but if we do get some props for the bucks before that news comes out as we could I don’t mind the idea of chasing upside of chasing those prop lines changing when

Yannis is ruled out and potentially gaining a big Ed now looking at Orlando I don’t really know why we’re only getting benero props right now we have all the injury news that we should need except for obviously Eng Les and jayen Suggs and don’t get me wrong that’s

Important information but that does not change like vogner’s outcome too much it does change Cole Anthony for sure and if we we look at Cole Anthony guys if marel folz J uh Joe Engles and Jaylen sugs are off the court Cole Anthony is going to

Have a good game most likely I mean he cannot shoot the basketball poorly don’t get me wrong um Cole Anthony’s per 36 production is 21.1 points 6.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists now you might be asking well will he get close to 36 minutes he typically never does I would say he

Would have a great chance to get 33 or so minutes if folz is out if Engles is out and if Suggs is out like we have seen that occasionally throughout the season that’d be a big piece of news obviously someone like Gary Harris would get a little bit more run uh Anthony

Black is someone they’ve been kind of running out 20 minutes or so but he’s not that good and then the player that uh gets a bump as well is Vagner gets about a 1% bump in usage but that I mean that’s really about it maybe just you

Know brings the ball up the court a little bit more um to me that’s probably just a little bit too thin so yeah for the props that we’re getting for Orlando right now to me I don’t think we really need to go in on either of these uh you

Know limited board let’s go ahead and move on and next game kind of sucks today I’m kind of having to give you guys a lot of per 36 um if down statements which is fine you know we can gain a big Edge doing that but I would

Like it to be a little bit more direct uh looking at the Pacers versus Grizz so kind of tilting yesterday Miles Turner was like three uh fantasy points off ging his over he crushed it in the first half seemed to be you know a lock to hit

As long as Charlotte kept it close and I think it was the closing minutes of this the first half they gave up it started to become a blowout which is a little bit annoying and then Charlotte never got a pack uh looking at it the Pacers

Are going to be pretty much good to go high scoring game again uh two and a half point spread so again there should be a little bit of a stacking opportunity here close game uh looking at it guys Luke Canard out Marcus Smart game time decision we need to get news

On that if Marcus Smart is still out with Derrick Rose being out we’re going to be looking at Job Morant to you know have another good game now was funny um the coach came out and said that he was going to play 31 minutes or so in his

First return back and I was just like who knows honestly what happens he played a little bit less minutes than he typically would but he’s he’s still at 35 minutes in in that game so I think that’s what we’re expecting to get in this game what’s funny guys is that he

Went 0 for five from three and still had 34 points now we got a lot of free throws we can see got a lot of short shots in there 24 so kind of crazy there but obviously had himself a good game and really he should have himself a good

Game tonight as well uh what was interesting okay margus Mark doubtful as well uh what was interesting is that Desmond Bane really took a drop in his production but he still had 19 shot attempts up so it kind of just seemed to be an off game for for him again if this

Game’s going to be that high scoring I would expect him to have a good game and then jiren Jackson Jr had three blocks in that game had a lot of points had a pretty solid game as well this is going to be a good match up for him and so for

Memphis those are going to be the three players I think that we really want to concentrate on so let’s go ahead and take a peek uh desm Bane over turnovers maybe potentially there Desmond Bane over points you that’s okay 24.5 we can see one of the sports BS are kind of

Favoring uh 25 for the line but they probably be favoring the over there uh let’s see here it’s it’s very thin and I’m actually curious once we get some f score props out guys that could actually be the way to attack this for Memphis because all the lines that we’re getting

Right now are probably correct we we take a peek at the points rebounds and assist like Desmond Bane it’s probably tough to get there with jawb it’s it’s probably more of a wait and seee approach you know we probably would rather want to bet on jaw to have a good

Game tonight against the Pacers like he should be able to get the over points rebounds and assists but again that’s probably a little bit too thin then we take a peek at jiren Jackson junior you know again probably a little bit too thin here so yeah it’s they’re kind of

Tough to get to the Grizz so let’s go and take a peek at the Pacers hopefully a little bit easier to predict all right so again we’re only getting hurn props I it’s late enough in the morning that we should be getting more props in this

This is kind of weird I guess football is back so they’re not as sharp I don’t know it’s weird uh looking at Halburn yeah he only played 28 minutes in that game against sh that game was a Blog had a ton of assists uh that’s probably something I expect to continue again

Tonight against Memphis like he’s just been playing really well and so 12 assists is a lot don’t get me wrong but given the nature of this game that’s projected to stay close and that’s that’s the biggest thing with the Pacers it’s like can they can they have it one

Game that stays close right it’s been a while uh but if it does obviously he’s going to be on the court a little bit more if he’s on the court a little bit more gives him a good chance to get the over verus if he’s playing 35 minutes in

This game instead of 31 that’s huge right and so I do think that he has a great chance to have a really good game like this number points rebounds and assist at 40.5 I think I would almost be fine but in the over now it it is worth

Noting that five straight games of knocking in the over is definitely concerning but again I think that’s a little bit due to his minute and if you just wanted to do assists you can do assists that’s fine all the props that we’re getting from him are about 50/50

Then for what’s worth Miles Turner did play 25 minutes again was really productive in those 25 minutes that he played but everyone else is back for the Pacers you got Isaiah Jackson back he played about 15 minutes Jaylen Smith was back yesterday only played 8 minutes but

He was someone that was playing about 15 to 25 minutes or so and so with that it’s going to be tough to predict for The Bigs like obviously Turner is the number one there but those backup minutes it’s going to be difficult to figure out and maybe maybe Turner’s

Minutes are going to be capped more so now at least in the regular season so it might be more difficult to get there with Jaylen Smith being active Okay so moving on to the next game we got the Bulls versus Spurs fivepoint spread uh

228 and a half for the over and under we do know that wemi is going to be back tonight so no free squares with Zack Collins and whatnot um he he’s a game time decision but he’s expected to play uh Deon vasel is currently questionable with the illness Calin Johnson currently

Questionable with a back injury I don’t know if we’re going to get props for this game either it’s such an annoying slate uh looking at the Bulls LaVine still out tordy Craig still out uh Caruso was back yesterday so he’s expected to play again tonight let’s go

Ahe and start out with the Spurs seeing if we are getting any and we are we’re actually getting a decent amount here let’s take a peek at the injury report for them okay so that’s why cin Johnson is expected to play so is wemy and and

Vasel he’s going to be go he’s good to go so with that let’s see if we’re getting any good prop bets kin Johnson under rebounds and assist 10.5 53% chance to hit let’s see what that’s like compared to his Norm uh we can see averages about 10.5 on the season uh

Only projected at 8.7 tonight not sure why uh points per minute that’s not changing you know really 32 projected minutes versus 33 uh DVP that’s probably why the projections low a little bit more difficult matchup but uh yeah all in all it’s probably the correct line

All in all probably difficult to get to but given the match maybe you are favoring the under there uh that’s little under threes made again probably don’t want to touch that cin Johnson 1.53 I want to take a peek at that and Jeremy soan 9.5 points those are two

That I want to just take a peek at so Calin Johnson threes down last game which was surprising against the Bucks and maybe that’s why his usage went up though I mean he got to the free throw line a bunch and and that’s probably part of the reason as to why if you’re

Getting to the free throw line no need to force up threes prior to that though guys four threes uh attempted eight 4 9 11 so he had been shooting a lot more three balls up until that point and maybe it’s just Wy being out tough to

Say for sure but I I could talk myself into that if we’re struggling to get props and then Jeremy soan I’m probably not doing this one but I’m curious 11 shot attempt 7 10 9 11 yeah probably just difficult to get to um 9.5 is probably just correct so dang we are

Kind of struggling to find really good prop bets for NBA right now it’s it’s annoying uh let’s take a peek at the Bulls I do kind of expect Kobe white who didn’t have a bad game last game but I do expect him to have kind of a

Bounceback game so Kobe white last night still played 33 minutes that game was a blowout 7 for 18 still had the shot attempts three for six from three I mean he still had a great game that game just blew out and so he only got three or 33

Minutes in that game with this game surprisingly projected to stay close I think we can Bank on him getting closer to 39 minutes in this game and so it could be one of those situations where him coming in off of a bad game we could be getting some good lines for him and

The data is not saying that we are because well I don’t think the date is caught up like I don’t think prize picks is caught up I don’t think the average Sports we has caught up 22.5 points again if he’s going to be get six more

Minutes I would be okay by in the end over uh rebounds you can see he been crushing gets a good match up against the Spurs I should mention that the one I probably want to go on the most is going to be points rebounds and assists because he has been having more rebounds

He has been having more assists he has been having more points and so to me I do think that there’s an edge there and again going against the Spurs that is going to be a good matchup uh to me that’s one that I like again we’re

Hoping that he gets closer to the 39 to 40 minutes that he had been getting prior to last night where the game ended up just being a blowup that happened and I I think ad left that game I think that was part of the reason as to why I know

There was like a weird turnover that LeBron had where he did a low no look pass behind his back bringing the ball up and Anthony Davis was hurt shockingly right uh weird weird play uh looking at V rebounds at 11.5 is kind of a good one

That’s popping up you know the Spurs are weird because they suck at defending bigs but they’re also not terrible it’s the weirdest thing uh again if this game stays close he gets a few more minutes him gain the over rebounds wouldn’t be too crazy last game against the Spurs 16

Rebounds in that game 36 minutes I don’t want to say that’s what we’re expecting but like he should be able to have a good game against them like I do expect him to take advantage of an easy match because he typically is someone that can take advantage of an easy matchup and

Then you got Demar D rozan I’m actually curious how did he do against the Spurs last time out 39 minutes 7 for 24 not the best in terms of shots but 10 assists six rebounds 20 points still had a good game so you can see he clearly

Got the over points rebounds and assists I’m seeing this as I think we have a little bit of a stack and opportunity here for this game with h Chicago like easily could do Kobe white over points rebounds and assist again I think that that’s going to be a good option in this

Game could then run out Demar de rozan over points rebounds and assist I will say um assists would be fine as well but really I think we’re just looking at points rebounds and assists kind of just game sacking this game hopeing this game stays close and then you could do vu

Over points rebounds and assists that that one probably seems the most safe in terms of getting close to his line but 11.5 rebounds that the data kind of likes that the best but again guys we’re not getting any great EV bets just yet kind of a frustrating slate so let’s go

Ahead and move on to the next game I will refresh the data at the end of this video to see if we’re getting any better Propet I guess we got two more uh Clippers versus the Thunder uh 236 for the over and under we actually got three

More games my bad sorry probably need to pick up the pace all right so Clippers versus Thunder 36 four and a half point spread Clippers we got to see news on Paul George if he sits that’s going to obviously mean that um Kawhi Leonard James Harden are going to have good

Games again like they had last game I would imagine that we’re not going to get any good prop bets for the Clippers just yet we’re not because of that so it makes sense let’s move on into OKC there seeing which lines we are getting Josh kiddy yeah Josh kidy is definitely

Interesting points at 10.5 rebounds at 5.5 Josh giddy lately has actually been playing better and sure it’s a more difficult matchup and sure the minutes are still not there but he has been playing better I don’t know what to do with that guys like uh like projected

Minutes if he gets 28 minutes then yeah we can see all the data based off those minutes getting about two more minutes would like the over there so it is uh I guess we could bet that I guess I’d be fine with that all in all probably feels

Still too thin chat homm over points rebounds we’re getting a slight Edge there compared to Underdog um the average sports with line it’s actually interesting average Sports Line would have at 24.7 Underdog has at 25.5 for some reason I would say price Pi is probably correct but at the same time I

Can see betting the over there from there probably a little bit too thin so let’s move on into the next game got the Lakers versus the Timberwolves uh 6.4 is going to be the spread 224 and a half is the over and under um I think Anthony

Davis did come back let’s just take a peek yeah he was fine so he still played 38 minutes interesting there so looking at the Lakers again I don’t know why we’re not getting any props for them just yet I guess it makes sense they’re probably expecting someone potentially

Set on the back toback maybe it is Anthony Davis maybe it is LeBron you know when they’re playing they’re getting heavy minutes and so I I guess I could see why Minnesota just got feasted by uh embiid and so potentially maybe maybe we’re looking at um Anthony Davis

To actually have a good game Minnesota we’re going to get some props let’s just take a peek there uh seeing if we’re getting any good prop bets just yet um not really too many again probably a little bit too thin uh carony towns did hit the there was a couple of props I

Kind of likeed for him yesterday I think it was points and rebounds was the best one that one ended up hitting pretty easily uh today gosh it’s such a tight board today it’s it’s shocking I don’t really like any of those let’s go Ahad and move on to the last game on the

Slate which is going to be the Wizards versus the Trailblazers honestly could be the best game on today really a close game you know four point spread or so uh 240 for the over and under so high scoring game close scoring game two teams that my strategy with them as

Literally been all right when the games are or with these teams if we can get the games to stay close their lines are always a little bit too undervalued or overvalued for that matter when games Willow out so there’s been an edge there and so tonight I’m probably going to

Spend too many units on this game than I should let’s go ahead and start out with Washington and tyus Jones is probably the first player that I I want to look at but also Daniel Gafford Denny as well let’s just take a peek at all these really um Jordan P maybe kyak kusma

Maybe but again when games are staying close we’re seeing players like tus Jones get some more run the issue is games typically never stay close you look at this game against Phoenix don’t get me wrong he was playing well but he got a lot of minutes in that game

Another close game against Philly 31 minutes in that game played well in that game uh let’s see the issue is we never get any close games Charlotte 35 minutes that was a close game Milwaukee 31 minutes and so when games stay close he is a player

That I think we can be looking at and guys the data is not going to like any of these like it’s it’s annoying let’s just take a peek at tus Jones in general um points rebounds I’d probably be fine with honestly points rebounds and assists I’d be fine with really all

These I think I’m kind of fine with betting the overs assuming that the game stays close like to me assist is probably the best one as long as he is getting close to 30 minutes I think I do like that one the best but really let’s

See where points and assists is at 19.5 I’d be fine betting that over as well but yeah assists is probably my favorite one at 6.5 let’s take a peek at Daniel Gafford again if the game stays close Gafford is someone that should be getting close to 30 minutes in this game

Maybe even more than that again against Phoenix really crushed it look at some of those other games that stay close Milwaukee Charlotte around 30 minutes in that game so again when the game stays close you some of that benefits uh points rebounds and assists I’d be fine

With Ben the over those two tyus Jones Daniel Gafford I’m most likely going to be looking at Fantasy score when that’s made available but at this line I’m perfectly fine by the over there you know we’re not too worried about DeAndre Aiden defense and then Denny as well um

Denny and also Kyle kzar are the two players for Washington that’s kind of been a very consistent source of production on a night and night basis now Denny a little bit more hit or miss but all in all the minutes are typically there for him he’s someone that you

Could toss in at the end of a game stack Kyle kusma is someone that I do expect to have a good game but his minutes have been down a little bit recently so actually let’s take a peek at KY kzo what’s his points rebounds and assists

At 35.5 I could see bet in the over there in this game against Portland like we’re not too worried about the defense I think we could so now I hope we are getting some props for Portland sharp is out that’s the biggest piece of injury

News that we have with him being out I don’t think that changes much I I just think we’re looking at Simons to continue to have good game I’m not too worried about the Washington defense and Simon is someone that has been getting heavy minuts when games stay close 35.5

Is where his points rebounds and assist prop is at and if we can expect him to get like 39 minutes in this game like he typically has been to me this is a low line to me this is something that we would on a Target uh at the same time I

Could see why some people maybe don’t want to use it I’m very curious to where his fantasy score prop line is going to be because not too many turnovers for him and he has been getting about a steal per game we can see points at 26 that’s very high that’s elevated for the

Game that we have like I don’t mind that but all in all maybe a little bit too thin points rebounds and assists I’d be fine with but again I’m probably looking at doing fantasy score for him as well when that comes out Jeremy Grant points

And assist 51% let’s take a peek at that you know he gets a very good match up if he’s going to be shooting around 20 shot attempts I probably like that the best 26.5 means he basically been there hoping the game stays closed I think I’m

F b that over again I think we have a good stacking opportunity here I personally think that the Washington players are a little bit undervalued in comparison but all in all not bad all right guys so just looking at NFL right now uh mostly kind of want to look at

Today but I do just want to remind people that with this prize pick sheet we do have the BET type listed in there and so right now we’re getting a goblin for deont Johnson that’s massively undervalued uh compared to what he’s supposed to do and so if there’s a free

Square profit that you really like that you want to really increase your likelihood of cash in with that you could toss that one in there the pay out’s not going to be good I just want to point that out but that’s kind of the only way I I would recommend using a

Goblin uh let’s take a PE at just the standard ones that we have so interesting here we’re getting some decent fantasy score props um and then some other props so like Tamm Hill over fantasy score four I mean that’s not too crazy right that’s him scoring a rushing

Touchdown that’s him maybe catching a couple of passes like he is someone that is involved in the offense I don’t mind that Tyler higgy over 5. five that’s also not terrible he plays a lot of snaps um yeah I honestly I get it I get why that’s fair in the over and then

We’re also seeing here um we got we got a couple of tackles and assist prop Jamal Williams again um under his Rush attempts that’s a decent one there so yeah we got a couple of decent ones for tonight’s game let’s take a peek at college basketball for tonight so

College basketball we have around three really good ones for the under bets again I don’t this kind of crazy I was hoping we get a couple of over fantasy score bets to me those are more fun let’s just take a peek at those so Tyson we can see he’s been over this three

Five straight game maybe it’s because it’s a little bit of a lower scoring game that could be that they’re favoring the under I’m guessing that’s why looking at the game log and whatnot I don’t know if I exactly like that one that could be one where I could easily

Get talked off of now it’s not like he’s been crushing the overs too much I mean it’s been right there so I guess I could see potentially maybe why the day likes it we got uh two other ones in that same game here probably a little bit closer

Again if this is going to be a more difficult match but I guess that could correlate if you want to run those out and then the last one is Arthur under fantasy score he someone in the last game had a terrible game and you guys know by now I I don’t really like

Touching players coming in off of a bad game kind of a decent over and under as well I don’t know those all seem to be a little bit too thin and the timing of it guys literally as I was trying to finish the video they came out with some

Fantasy score props so Kyle kma over fantasy score that’s seemly going to be a good one I’m fine with that Jordan pool’s fascinating that they’re liking the over there that the data is Denny’s okay what I don’t like is that they don’t like Simons for over I guess I’d

Be okay with that Daniel gafford’s definitely pushed up as is Ty Jones like those are much higher than I would have thought they would be but at the same time like when we go through it I guess I’d be okay with Simon’s over fantasy score again just betting on the game

Staying close Kyle kozma you know getting a couple more minutes I’d be fine B the over there Grant we probably don’t need to do Jordan p is interesting I don’t really know what to do with that all in all the data lik the over we can

Default to that uh Ty Jones over fantasy score I’m okay betting the over there uh Kamar is definitely interesting I think we’re okay betting the over there as well his minutes should be locked in regardless and then Gafford yeah if the minutes are going to be there I’m fine

Bet the over fantasy score even if the data doesn’t exactly like that and then like I think we we do have a stacking opportunity the next best one is going to be aen for over 12.5 rebound let me just take a peek at Underdog for you

Guys uh probably a little bit too thin here vasel for over 6.5 rebounds and assists is really the best one uh these ones are all being favored as Poes we don’t need to touch those um interesting there and then I’ll take a peek at college basketball and Underdog then

I’ll give you guys the bed the day then get an out of here um yeah nothing too much for Underdog so let’s give you guys some bets for today all right so let’s start out with some other sports other than NBA uh I’m fine using this one this

Is one of the better ones that we saw on the day and then Tamm Hill over fantasy score uh Tyler hiby over fantasy score the data likes those two I’m perfectly fine using those uh personally I don’t really like these but I wanted to make

This a six flip bet the data does like it and all in all more times than not I kick myself for not trusting the data then I do the opposite we’ll see what happens tonight for those now yesterday I ran out a stack of the Pacers vers

Charlotte game did not work out you know I was hoping on that game staying close it did not all all I don’t think it was a mistake you know that was part of the risk so this game is supposed to stay a little bit closer obviously and it’s

Higher scoring I I like these prop pets a decent amount again I’m going to toss in the eight in one actually I’ll just show you guys that tossing this prop bet to make it a six slip bet okay so that that’s where I’m going to be the most

Comfortable that is going to be all for today’s video make sure to give a like And subscribe guys do appreciate that if you guys want to access to the 95 sports.com prize B Underdog cheat sheet is available for just $10 a month let’s have a good slate today and as always

Guys let’s keep cashing