NFL Week 16 Picks Against the Spread, Best Bets, Predictions and Previews

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Katie Mox, Will Brinson, Alex “Propstarz” Selelnick, and R.J. White share their best bets for Week 16 of the NFL season.

Intro (0:00)
Week 15 Recap (0:51)
Bengals @ Steelers (2:08)
Bills @ Chargers (7:49)
Colts @ Falcons (14:06)
Packers @ Panthers (19:32)
Browns @ Texans (23:00)
Lions @ Vikings (25:27)
Pick Six Parlay (28:38)
Commanders @ Jets (33:00)
Seahawks @ Titans (36:52)
Jaguars @ Buccaneers (39:42)
Cardinals @ Bears (44:47)
Cowboys @ Dolphins (48:56)
Patriots @ Broncos (53:29)
Raiders @ Chiefs (55:28)
Giants @ Eagles (57:12)
Ravens @ 49ers (59:35)
Best Bets Recap (1:02:52)

What’s up everybody welcome back to the P six podcast today we’re looking at week o we’re looking at week 16 15 I believe 15 16 of the NFL season sorry it says 13 there um Katie MOX here joined by Will Brinson and sports lines finest RJ white and Alex selnik this episode of

Pck six is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook make every moment more if you like winning picks make sure you sign up at sportsline.com and use the promo code pick to get your first month for just $1 dollar the last episode of the feed had Brady Quinn and Le doible I feel like

I’m maybe looking at the wrong thing here oh no I’m not right um okay yeah reading lines between Arthur Smith and drawing up an NFL naughty or Nic less oh wow I got to check that out if you want to check it out too make sure you do on

Our YouTube channel or anywhere that you get your podcasts um the week 15 recap fired up Harry I cannot stop going three and three I can’t stop going it’s RJ not the best week for you but you are still above 500 oh no we’re right at even too I am one above 500

Shout out Miss MOX leading the way well you know I I thought I was gonna have more what if we all finish exactly 500 I mean it’s in play yeah have to change the name of the podcast to the the the pick three and three instead of

Six I think I’m I think since I I think I think since I switched from picking five which I was just doing basically because of like the you know the circum millions and and you the super contest like that’s the format ever since I switched to picking six I’ve gone three

And three every single week well yeah maybe maybe that’s a sign that you got to pick seven or something more today um all right we’re going to get uh right into the um this week slate of games just to make sure everybody knows that you know we’re kicking this

Off at about 2 p.m. on Thursday so lines and odds are subject to change all the way up until game time so make sure you check with your book before tailing starting things off here the Bengals oh wow this line moved to two and a half um

At the Steelers and this total is 38 and a half this morning you could find it in some places at one and a half um I like it at two I guess for this sake I got to do the two and a half um still under a

Field goal look I just think that Jake Browning looks really good um and Mason r off or whoever they’re putting forward at um quarterback does not look that good Jake browning over 300 passing yards um in the three games that they have won yes the Steelers won the first

Matchup 16 to 10 I do see this being a bit more of a lower scoring game but the Steelers offense just can’t seem to get anything going and I don’t think that they’ll be able to today I know that there is no Jamar Chase um but they

Still have weapons you look at T Higgins he had w a couple of touchdowns last Saturday Tyler Boyd going to get more in the mix um this week and I just trust the Cincinnati offense more than I do um the Steelers so that’s my play for this

Game um but RJ you’re on the other side yeah I I figured now that Katie has taken the lead in our little competition here I I need to take some shots and see if I can get on the opposite side of her on some so once this line got up to two

And a half I said let’s throw Pittsburgh in best bet plus two and a half these teams played in week 12 in Cincy Pittsburgh out gain Cy by nearly 200 yards only one by six so didn’t look like as much of a blowout as it was in

The stat line there Pittsburgh was minus two in that game and the last three weeks of course have been diametric opposites three wins for ciny talk of Browning as being a potentially an NFL starting caliber quarterback and Pittsburgh had those three bad losses two of them to two and 10 two and 10

Team so I understand they’re not being a lot of trust in them but that has swung the line by about eight points when considering HomeField advantage and that is just too much with the ciny injuries not just jar Chase but DJ reer at defensive tackle and that’s gonna open

Things up for the Pittsburgh Run game that means Mason Rudolph isn’t going to have to do as much with his arm the ciny defense is is very beatable as we’ve seen against some opponents and I think the Pittsburgh defense going to do enough like they did in that week 12

Game to keep it close and give Mason Rudolph and and particularly Jaylen Warren and a Harris a chance to go get the win there with Cincinnati’s defense tied for last 10 yards per play just got lit up by Nick Mullin and Tai Chandler so I don’t think uh it’s it’s you know

Um expecting too much to think that the Pittsburgh running game which has been pretty solid at times and Mason Rudolph can get something done here so I got Pittsburgh plus two and a half best bet of course if you can get a line in that

One and a half to two and a half range perfect to tease this one up as well yeah oh sorry oh sorry yeah I was say a prime prime spot for a teaser for sure I mean like you’re looking at a home team low totals not much scoring you can add

You know C six on there and you’re getting you get eight and a half you got so much wiggle room there and I I sort of think that with the you know Mitchell trabis being benched Mason Rudolph coming in I’m not saying that may you

Know I’m not going to go shout out to our boy Chris I’m not gonna go full traps here for Chris trapasso and say that Mason Rudolph is Gonna Save the season or anything but um I do think maybe what’s that is that what he said

No he’s was very high on on Rudolph as as Bas Rudolph was his was his number one QB and actually he ended up not being as wrong as you know maybe it seemed like at the time but um I think that you can you know I think you can

Make the case that Mason Rudolph might be a little more aggressive down the field George Pickins have been under Fire this week for being a lazy blocker he should come out motivated you know he’s had some big games and capable of getting down field so you get a you get

This Pittsburgh defense you get one or one deep shot down the field to Mason Rudolph or I mean to uh from Mason Rudolph to George Pickins and all of a sudden you just sort of force you know Cincinnati to try and fig like I don’t think Cincinnati’s gonna blow them out

Of the water here and so I like that as a teaser leg for sure uh quick quick question and then I’ll get to you propar so I have um I’m in the fantasy playoffs up against all the fantasy football today guys I’m really really close with

My opponent this week I think I have like a 51% Edge I’ve got Miami defense which won it for me last week but then I have the Steelers consensus I should play the Steelers this week right yeah I think Steelers are probably the better option there but I would

Definitely be looking at the waiver wire I was gonna say yeah Wire yeah I mean in one league with those guys Eagles were available and that’s Heath’s number one you know defense and I’m playing Heath so I made sure that was the waiver claim I put in

Above ball cu have because I’m ahead of Heath and Heath doesn’t didn’t have a great defense in his lineup so even though I had the 49ers defense I’m like snatch that you know and luckily somebody else snatched the Jets ahead of ahead of me so um I think this is really

A good week to probably go look at the waiver wire who you who are you up against in the in the playoffs Katie uh I believe I’m well I I think I beat Dave Richard last week um suck it Dave yeah uh I’ll find it but let’s move on to the

Next thing oh prop Stars what were you gonna say I just think I don’t think people outside of the state of Ohio realize how well Jake Browning is playing right now he’s been absolutely phenomenal uh again no Jamar Chase but he spreads the ball out I have a

Tremendous amount of confidence in him especially after watching him handle Minnesota’s Blitz he carved up an very good and underrated uh Vikings pass defense so I think he’s going to have a fine game I think he’s going to spread the ball out I don’t think the Jamar

Chase injury is going to be nearly as big a deal uh as a lot of people think so yeah I like Jake Browning this week quite a bit I’m up against burkson and we are literally 5050 we’re both projected about 116 so I I gotta be

Smart um so I will get on that waiver while wire look at Indie versus Atlanta okay thank you next game obviously that’s me I always forget it’s always like the first one I forget that I’m not doing it but it is the Buffalo Bills at the Los Ang Ang Chargers the

Bills now up to 12 and a half this line opened I think at 14 fell all the way down to 11 and a half has climbed back up to 12 and a half now Buffalo you know playing eent stick here total of 43 and a half has

Ticked up L looks like it might tick up you know juice a little bit to the over man I think this is a I I don’t think this is a difficult spot to handicap in the sense that to me it all comes down to whether or not the bills are going to

Be ready to like is there any sort of let down for Buffalo after winning these two games against Kansas City and then blowing out Dallas at home like and I don’t think there is because you see Josh Allen only throw for 94 yards he

Says you I feel like the guy on the you know the kid who didn’t do any work and the class project that gets an a he he needs to come and play and this should be a buffalo home game I think there’ll be plenty of Bills fans out in

La that’ll want to go check this game out and Chargers fans why would they show up they’ve already fired the coach Easton stick is quarterbacking so I I think Buffalo shows up here but it is a lot of points RJ a lot of points um this definitely

Feels like a let down spot I mean if they’re trying they can name their score against this awful defense but I don’t know if they’re up for it after that run of Philly casy Dallas um they do need to gain one more game on Miami in the next

Two weeks to be live for the division in that last week and schedules do line up well for it because Miami has a a tough schedule from here on out um buffalo’s defense more vulnerable versus the run but the Chargers offense just 27th in yards per Rush can’t expect the Chargers

To score much year I think that initial line move um which the look ahead was nine and a half you like you said opened around the 13 and a half area people bought it down um based I think off of the fact the look ahead was so low and

That the coach got fired and we see this bump where um you know once a coach is fired uh you might have a short-term value bump for some of these teams and I think a lot of people realize that daily um might have lost the locker room there

So maybe we see them come out play a little harder um here and keep it keep it close I think if it does um you know result in anything it’s going to be the under coming in that spreads a little bit too high for me to play I mean I

Could see Buffalo running away with the lead and winning a 2713 type of game but I could also see the offense not showing up um and it being a little bit lower scoring so if I’m gonna play this I’m gonna look for a 44 and play the

Under and I’ve got two official plays here starting with Josh Allen to throw two or more touchdown passes I just think this is a really good spot especially considering the price on most books you can get this around even odds or around minus 115 uh I just think this

Chargers pass defense they rank in the bottom five in nearly every defensive passing metric EPA pff’s coverage grade it’s just GNA they are very generous to posing downfield explosive passing as well so yeah I think there’s going to be some shots taken from Josh Allen which correlates with my next play which is

Gabe Davis who is in quite the funk right now to go over 30 receiving yards he can get this on one reception considering uh he has the deepest a DOT average depth of Target of any pass catcher on Buffalo’s offense and he runs a route on almost every single uh Josh

Allen drop back so Elite route participation playing against a defense that again gives up a lot of explosive downfield plays I’m confident that Josh Allen is going to test that at least a couple times I think he hooks up with Gabe Davis for at least a couple deep

Passes in the process really like both of these props let me can I follow some real quick with with with Alex so I noticed one guy on there is not on there is James Cook and coming off this massive game now I was about to put

James Cook in over rushing prop then I got to thinking if this is a blowout like it’s projected you think they they rest him a little bit after that high volume game and we see more latavius Murray like I would have loved to bet a latavius Murray over I couldn’t find one

Um so is that a reason why you’re not going with James Cook here you’re worried about the workload a little bit coupled with I just think that you know coming off these big games I siki’s rightfully going to receive a lot of attention and I just find that the line

Just doesn’t have a lot of value at the current number would be uh my best explanation for why I mean I love James Cook I’ve been playing him all season long I just think uh we’re getting him you know sort of high at this present number I’d still lean over I think he’s

Going to have a big game but yeah I I also think too that like and I’m playing Allen and like the only League I made the fantasy finals in so like I’m fully I fully understand like that I think that this is after a 94 yard outing against just a team that

Is you know they’ve had they’ve had a long time to prep because of the the the B it feels like years ago the Stan fired um You’ think the defense will want to show up and and have a little effort but like the Chargers this season is season

Is toast and I think it is a possible like Josh Allen explosion if you are going and I think you should to bet Josh Allen to win the MVP still 12 to1 you can find it like 12 15 to1 range good value Brock per like Brock py

Can win the MVP I don’t think that’s crazy at all but if Lamar Jackson and Brock py lay eggs on the defenses play really well on Christmas night and Brock P and J Lamar Jackson don’t have huge games and Josh Allen explodes in this island spot against a bad Chargers

Defense and all of a sudden the bills are really the top like the Dolphins lose and the bills are really the talk of making the playoffs and making this run and nobody wants to play the bills Josh Allen is going to get MVP love so

If you want to get your Josh Allen MVP bets in do it before this game I think he has a monster game I also think that’s a good angle and I just think Josh Allen hasn’t had one of these signature three four passing touchdown games in a long time he needs to remind

Everyone and again with the MVP awards still up for grabs and then just to uh you know kind of let everyone know what he’s capable of I just think the opponent is perfect for him having one of these signature ceiling games things you love to hear if Josh Allen is your quarterback in

Fantasy all right let’s move things also also like let’s just let’s just point out that Brock party just sort of the default MVP you know nobody really wants to give it to him anyway go ahead Katie we don’t have enough we don’t have enough time for this we don’t have prop

For the whole show I need you to I need you to reain yourself in over there Bron you don’t want to piss Mo off today Colts at the Falcons uh Falcons laying one and a half or is it the Cults I can’t see on that screen

FAL Falcons are favor yep minus one and half total 44 and a half uh no Michael Pitman in this game but Jonathan Taylor is expected to return very very slim line here no Best Bets for this game but RJ any thoughts are we sure it’s no Michael

Pitman because he was out at practice on Thursday and and I think he did he had a full practice I believe I don’t think he was limited from from contact so if he plays in this game it feels like this line which swung you know swung huge

Once we found that the Taylor hinei was in might need to swing back a little bit um you know early line move moved way too much based on that Carolina loss they look ahead had the uh the Falcons favored and it jumped all the way to the

Colts being favored um and and I wouldn’t read too much into that now you know this is where I have it at one and a half but now with those Indie offensive weapons trending up with Pitman practicing with Taylor practicing you know I think there might be a little

Bit of value here on Indie even though Atlanta’s defense very good seventh in yards per play Third on third down second in the red zone um we’ll see if they can get healthier on their defensive line they’re going to need it against this Indie Run game and we know

That Atlanta just plays awesome at home and terrible on the road um so this is the spot where if you’re gonna back him you want to back him but um I think my play here was if I wasn’t gonna play the Steelers straight it would be a Steelers

Colt um teaser here Sixpoint teaser if you can get Indie at plus one and a halfs you can get them up to seven and a half because they’re our top five in sack rate and interception rate on defense they could generate some big plays and keep this one

Close yeah I mean the the look the Falcons you Taylor hinei Logan Whiteside you know Desmond Ritter whatever you want to do like the there’s this offense um I saw a I saw Connor Allen tweeted it out and I apologies for the analytics person who didn’t who put it together

And I can’t remember his name but it’s basically using like the data and trying to determine who are the best and worst play callers and in like graphical form and Arthur Smith was like the worst play caller like double in terms of like the the the value given the negative value

Given assigned to him like double what Bill O’Brien was as the second worst play caller and like the top two guys it was like Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reid and like and then like Mike Mike McDaniel and Mike Mike McCarthy like it passes the analytics pass the eye test and it’s

Just hard to see a situ like it’s hard to see a situation where we get anything resembling a good offensive game plan from the Falcons in this spot even with Arthur Smith’s seat heating up he got the dreaded Ved Confidence from Arthur Blank um I I think Indie with a full Jon

The Taylor fully I think they G like an estimate on Wednesday Wednesday practice where he’s like full practice and then Michael Pitman limited both guys should play it’s hard not to like the Colts in this spot do we okay sorry one I I’m I’m really into my fantasy team right now

I’ve got aan and I have um Jonathan Taylor would we start Jonathan Taylor over aan this week yes I got CMC is my first okay I kind of want to see who’s ruled out or questionable on both defensive lines that they’re playing because there’s some key injuries there Jonathan henkins

Is out on the Dallas line is going to be easier for aan and we saw the injuries that the Atlanta um off defensive Line’s been dealing with so we kind of a little bit of Base it on the injury reports I feel like the volume’s going to be

Better for Taylor even coming off an injury um so that’s probably your your if you if you feel like you need a ceiling play aan obviously to play but if you feel like in a close matchup you just need the high floor play it’s going

To be tailor yeah Zack Moss has yet to practice so if it’s going to be Taylor in the back field s Zack Moss he should be in line for a significant work I’m going to win I’m going to win I mean I want to at least Brinson what um yeah so

Speaking of fantasy teams and Katie I like jokingly say this is not this is not a a personal fantasy advice podcast uh so for my fantasy I got here I have to ask no no no I asked about my dads all the time uh heend he lost in the

Semi-finals for those those wondering for my for I’m in the finals trying to be back-to-back champion of my home League um really shove it in everybody’s face that I do this for a living and uh and win some money I’ve got to decide I think between Aaron Jones and Michael

Pitman assuming both are healthy would you go which one would you guys go with dude Pitman I narly won in the semi-finals and Pitman like Pitman going out I mean like he was on Pace like Gardon rinu was locking in on him and he he looks like he could like is ready for

Another blowup spot I’m a little worried about I got Jonathan Taylor on that team too if that matters is it PPR no which is stupid but it’s not um I would base it on AJ Dylan’s status I think if AJ Dylan sits uh Aaron Jones should be in line for a pretty

Hefty workload uh if Dylan does play he’ll siphon or cannibalize some of uh um Aaron Jones’s touches and in that scenario I’d probably lean Pitman I think higher touchdown potential for Pitman either way though so I think that’s kind of your your ceiling play there okay cool speaking of Aaron Jones

He and hopefully not AJ Dylan no offense AJ Dylan love you as a person don’t care about you as a player I mean don’t need you as a player this week are going to Carolina where they are four and a half Point favorites and I have this as a

Best bet you guys remember last week when I went on that rant about how nobody was going to be at the Falcons in the Panthers game in in in Charlotte because nobody cares about the Panthers in Charlotte right now because they’re terrible and the weather was going to be

Awful and then it was the worst weather game maybe of the year so far tons of win although it’s not like like every was like well the wind and the rain are really affecting no you know what’s affecting this Arthur Smith and this terrible Panthers offense like they

Weren’t going to score anyway and the wind and the rain kept it down submerge those totals Green Bay is going to go into a absolute coffin it is going to be dead silent in that Stadium you think a bunch of people are going to drag their families out on Christmas Eve to go

Watch the Panthers get their asses kicked by the by the Packers maybe if there’s some Packers fans might fill up that Stadium for all we know it is not going to be jammed is it going to be like 2020 they’re going to they’re going to pump In Crowd

Noise there’s you can’t Pump In Crowd noise because there’s I mean there’s be like a hundred people there why would anybody go to this game like you’re like like you’re gonna sorry Jesus had to go to the Panthers game I know they’re two and 12 but you know my bad no people are

Gonna go like be with their families and open up presents I mean maybe there’s some stuff where it’s like oh you know what the tickets are cheap it’s Christmas Eve let’s go do something fun it’s not not fun there’s nothing fun about the Panthers they’re terrible they’re miserable to watch and the and

The Packers are going to bludge at them here um the Falcons would have budge at them but the Falcons are are are apparently not good and the weather was really bad the weather is gonna be fine in Charlotte it’s gonna be sunny like 60 degrees little crisp Breeze out in the

Air perfect Christmas Eve weather the last thing you want to do I mean I guess maybe people go they’re not GNA cheer for the Panthers Packers going to light them up give me the Packers is the best bet I’m taking the under in the game Green Bay was let down by the defense

Against Tampa they can’t possibly be the case here against Carolina offense has 3 second and yards per play just cannot score touchdowns they finally got their second win of the Season without scoring a touchdown so you know it’s it’s a great thing for them to put a win on The

Ledger there but it’s not like they played well Carolina offense has had 200 plus net pass yards and just one of Bryce Young’s 13 starts 200 plus net yards in passing has to be like the Baseline for for a competent offense and they just cannot get there they’ve done

It once they’ve had just six offensive touchdowns since their week seven by but I say it every week week their Carolina defense continues to shine they’re now eighth in yards per play they’ve given up 253 yards per game since their week seven by that would lead the league if

They did it over the full season 261 leads the league right now they’re playing like a topof the league type of Defense in terms of allowing yardage some of that is that their offense is not threatening at all so teams don’t have to try to run up the score on them

Or or throw the ball at all or whatever but but that just leads to having these low-scoring games so maybe the line goes up if Green Bay gets some good injury news I’ve seen some fives out there um I would not be comfortable playing them higher than this if you’re gonna play

Them I make the line around four and I think the under is the way to look so best bet here for me is under 37 and a half just gonna be another Carolina game where there’s not that many points scored yeah that’s proba I would also

Say too well I was gonna say too that Adam thielen receptions over is probably a pretty good look uh Joe Barry been criticized all week for playing that soft Zone especially on like third and short and he’s probably GNA run it out again and Adam thel should eat up a ton

Underneath on those on those Zone coverages all right the Browns laying two and a half at the Houston Texans this total 40 and a half uh Brinson big uh Joe flago guy you’re laying this two and a half yeah uh this line was Texans favored when it looked like CJ stra or

Like come the opening line Texans are favored because we assume C.J stra was gonna play he’s now I don’t think I don’t know he’s been ruled out but I mean it looks like he’s he’s not he’s not gonna play I mean so Keen again yeah I mean look you’re getting you’re

Getting you’re getting case Keenan against a Browns defense that’s really really good um if Joe Flaco doesn’t make some just dumb dumb mistakes in questionable weather against the Bears I think the Browns blow out the bears bears are a much better team um offensively than than Case Keenum I

Think um and you know I just in my opinion we see something similar to what we saw with the Tex with the Titans except Joe Flaco is better than will Levis and the Browns get a lead and just keep the Texans from coming through the back door or winning I think Cleveland

Is like legit live for the number one seed too by the way RJ yeah good luck with that um Houston won on the Run game in defense last week was Stout out they’re gonna have to do that again here um because I don’t think you can expect anything about Case Keenum against this

Defense even though we know this defense does not play well on the road they’re allowing more than 30 points per game on the road but I do like the matchup if Nico Collins is out Noah Brown was fine as a wide receiver one and but it was a

Really good match up against Tennessee that is a pass funnel as we know the offense needs Collins back I believe he is trending toward playing though I think he did did come back to practice so um we’ll keep an eye out on that I like Houston’s chances better if he

Plays Cleveland’s offense definitely stepping up with flacko but they have to avoid turnovers that was the issue last week Houston’s defense allowed just 3.2 yards per play against Tennessee a very strong game from them kind of out of nowhere because they’re typically pretty bad against the pass so I think flea

Could throw it on them I did like Cleveland early in the week I should have should have jumped on it um expecting that that strout injury might be a multi-week injury um how he banged his head on the uh the the turf there but at this number probably a stay away

From me I don’t really want to lay two and a half with the Browns on the road um but I just can’t count on Houston to score of 10 if I’m going to play this game I almost put this in as a best bet for us I go the Houston team total under

19 and a half I just don’t think Houston’s gonna get to 20 um but do want to see Colin’s availability before making that determination because we do know the Browns can struggle on the road all right sorry I muted myself the Detroit allance headed on the Arad to the Minnesota

Vikings this is a game with some pretty massive playoff potential I mean the Lions can clinch the division with a win um Lions can actually clinch a playoff spot with a even if they lose worth noting I suppose Minnesota needs to get back in the needs to stay in the mix I

Mean they are they’re definitely they they’re certainly you know still um in the playoffs but with Green Bay losing and they got to play the Packers next week like everything is on the line here for the the Vikings to try and make a push with Nick Mullins as a quarterback

I like the lions in this spot indoor game you’re going to have of course a Ry crowd in Minnesota but Jared gof indoors they smashed the Packers Outdoors but it was earlier in the year when it wasn’t that cold and they know that if they go

On the road and beat the snot out of a Vikings defense that is really really aggressive and you have a great offensive line up front you have these weapons that can eat underneath in omon state Brown and Sam La pora so you can just if you protect and and and get and

Like take care of those blitzes you have a really good chance for jarro go to have a nice game you get the Vikings on their heels you get downhill with David Montgomery and you can you dump off to jir Gibbs if you need to as well I think

The Lions smashed the Vikings in this spot they got right against the Broncos extra day to rest and recover and get ready like the Lions is the best bet here trust the LI sorry just if I trust the Lions defense I mean they they allowed less than 26 points for the

First time since their week nine by last week pass offense from Minnesota I think can have success with Mullen so on the road I’m not sure I trust Detroit’s defense I think it could be an overgame back and forth um I I kind of like going

Over 46 and a half and it feels like it’s just gonna land on the three and it’s gonna be a push yeah that’s I was gonna ask you prop star too I mean looking at Justin Jefferson props or even for Fantasy seems like a good one to Target this week because even though

Nick Mullins is volatile right and he makes those mistakes he’s still getting the ball out having a ton of pass yards so it could still be a good week for Justin Jefferson uh yeah absolutely I think RJ hit the nail on the head they’re going to move the ball between

The 20s even if he does make some mistakes and if he does make some mistakes that might just honestly lead to more opportunities and more passing volume anyway so his style of football I think just kind of uh sets up high passing environments and then the running back I was really impressed with

Tai Chandler it looks like even if Alexander Madison is going to be active it’s going to be the Chandler show he had a phenomenal game uh last week both made a big impact on the ground and through the short area passing game as well so I think he’s going to handle the

Bulk of those carries and just that Dimension having a viable rushing threat really made the offense a lot more dangerous as well all right love to hear we are going to take a quick break here and we come back it’s the uh P six parlay that is yet to win yet but again

This is our week you’re watching pick six be right back the Fighting Irish make their second ever appearance at the Tony the Tiger your sunbolt when they take on Oregon State Friday December 29th on CBS and streaming on Paramount plus welcome back to pix six podcast the

Time has come for the pi six parlay where we each select a game of a four leg moneyline parlay but there are some rules first person with the best record the previous week gets to add their first leg and then the second and so on ties are broken based on record one of

These has to be a dog um I last week we went half and half again uh the Chiefs and the 49ers cashed Giants and Packers um did not am I the person that put the Giants on there I think I am sorry guys um all right so I get to go

First this week um shoot not prepared her let me pull up fandel real quick you me I’ll go the Chiefs CH their 10-point favorites so what’s their money line is minus 500 I’ll bring it up yeah uh okay so as I get I’m on the free internet that’s probably why I’m delayed

Um sorry my apologies the uh the Chiefs are a good choice I like the Chiefs you said filibustering to try and get to the page with all the bets Chiefs minus 500 we’ll toss that in the parlay uh I mean do I really want to mess around here

Or so doesn’t matter we try to get cute it doesn’t cash just do whatever your heart desires well I was going to take the Eagles but you know what’s interesting is like this whole thing with the circus the circus Survivor thing where the you know there’s like 10

People left now and one dude is simply refusing to chop apparently like some people have the Eagles and some people have the 49ers and like the people with the Eagles are like well we don’t want to chop because you know because you have to play a Christmas Day game and

They’re like we have the Eagles that feels like a really good bet you know 49ers could lose I mean that’s not out of out of the realm of possibility the Eagles really shouldn’t lose right I mean they’re 10 and a half Point favorites but after the last three weeks you’re kind of

Like and so I want to take the Eagles but I’m I’m I’m a little a little nervous about the Eagles um however so you know what I’m just gonna take the bills the bills aren’t the bills might not cover but the bills are going to win

Because they know they need to win out to win the division potentially and take down those dastardly Dolphins um he said trolling Harry I will take the billus 770 and that will put uh Alex on the clock here I’ve got to take my Eagles I think they’re gonna win game against

Deito and the Giants they’re not losing four in a row here give me the Eagles I know it’s I like how this sets up though so we’ve got the we got those three teams in that gets us to minus 195 that’s obviously a lot of juice you

Wouldn’t want to lay it but RJ who is not afraid to be aggressive take a dog all right RJ what you got well I got to take a dog and the question is do I take the the more likely dog that’s around the plus 100 range or do I go for

It and go a little bit wi go for it all right so we’ll go for it we’ll take the New England Patriots at plus 235 this is a very low scoring total we’ll get into the game in a second 34 and a half Denver’s defense sets up well to to for

New England to have some success all they’re gonna have to do is run the ball against this awful awful Rush defense um and not have Bailey zappy do too much and we know how good that Patriots defense can be when it shows up and it’s not like that the Broncos have been

Putting up big point total so you could really see one of these low-scoring 17 16 games where where the Patriots come out on top maybe with a defensive score it’ll take but I think that the the line should be my power ratings to the line should be a little higher it just seems

Like a bad bad matchup for the for Denver and I could see the Patriots winning the game all right I love it that is a uh that’s a spicy one doesn’t feel like the way just Denver plays too they’re so slow six and a half is a lot

Lot of points to be laying with him even at home even against Mac zappy the Chiefs minus 500 the bills minus 770 the Eagles minus 850 and the Patriots plus 235 that’s a four-leg parlay that pays out plus 407 that’s right a 4 to one parlay

You’ll love to see it this pick six parlay segment has been brought to you by FanDuel sports book make every moment more more all right um oh I love that the meme with kylo Ren all right moving on the commanders at the New York Jet this

Is this is the game we talked about on Monday that absolutely nobody wanted to touch with the 10- foot pole but seems like we’ve got some bets on it Jets L three this total 37 and a half um Brinson you you’re on the Jets here yeah and um the reasoning is pretty

Simple I don’t know if you guys and PFT cometer who is very a very funny human being um did an incredible breakdown of of this sequence of events at the at the end of Washington’s game against the uh Rams who I believe I had his best bet as well

Uh and it was like the most lethargic and pathetic goal line offense by the by the commanders that you will ever see and they should be trying Ron does want to get he does want to get fired but I think he knows he’s getting fired I think everybody that

Building knows they’re getting fired they traded away their pass rushers they don’t have a defense they can’t stop anybody and they were just loafing around down 14 points down two scores they’re just loafing around the goal line you know they’re like scrambling around is ridiculous this team is in I

Don’t know if they’re in tank mode I think they’re just in um what I’ll call Bahamas Bowl mode they it’s like dudes are planning vacations like they they they know it’s time to go like to Nassau and they don’t want to deal with going up to New York and playing on that Turf

Against a Jets team that the one thing you worry about a little bit is Rogers Rogers finally announces that he’s not gonna play um and now he’s I mean ridiculous I think I think they’re actually bringing the guy back who they cut because there was a big

Fuffle about that yeah yeah yeah I mean dude like Rogers you’re taking the guy’s cash just so you can practice getting real man um but I just think I think Zack Wilson and the Jets come out and sling the ball around and play pretty well on offense because

The Washington defense is terrible and we see the Jets roll the commanders here maybe um it’s shocking how much better Bret looked than Howell um I can’t trust him to score points on the road against this Jets defense so I can see Washington kind of maybe getting

Shut out maybe not getting quite close to shot out but not scoring that many points if Zack Wilson is out with the concussion I can’t really trust the Jets to score points even against a 32 rank pass defense here I’m not trusting Trevor Simon to move the ball a ton even

Though Washington has allowed multiple touchdowns and Western’s finest Trevor Simeon thank you very much okay well well may maybe maybe I’ll change my tune now that I know that Washington has allowed multiple touchdowns in 13 straight but the Jets offense has multiple offensive touchdowns in just

Two games all year how do you only have multiple offensive touchdowns in two games in the NFL in 2023 when the rules are dictated towards scoring does not does not compute to me the Jets defense by far the best unit in this game they can dictate what happens here um I think

If they’re going to cover they’re going to need to pick six Washington has thrown four pick sixes this year um but even so so throw all that out even if the Jets offense can score points against this bad Wasington defense I don’t see how Washton helps push this

Game over it’s at 37 and a half right now my Best Bets going under that 37 and a half I don’t I don’t see how Washington scores enough points to keep to get that total anywhere near the over I would tend to agree with this

Game as well with RJ’s side of things I like the under here just looking at props in it I initially wanted to back Bree Hall um against his Commander’s run defense but they have been so poor uh opening up lanes for him and the Run blocking is just non-existant it’s just

Not inspiring a lot of confidence in pretty much uh any member of this Jets offense so I think the under is a very sharp look RJ speaking of games that might not feature a bunch of points the Seahawks are playing the Titans in Nash Vegas on Sunday with the line that has creeped

Up to Seattle minus three um I believe just for the record we locked these at one o’clock Eastern time and I believe the line was Seattle minus two and a half unless RJ you’re uh you’re uh going against your own rules and policies here it was two and a half

Last time I saw it before we hopped on I think it just moved to three there’s PL plenty of Two and a halfs out there like even on the site that I used to monitor all the books it still says two and a half for fand Al a must adjust move but

Definitely look to get it at two and a half I don’t really like it at three um but I do like it at two and a half I mean the schedule finally lightens up for Seattle after they played a sequence of the Rams 49ers Cowboys 49ers again

And then Philly and so the defense should finally play better coming out of that stretch and they actually played pretty well against Philly and and that was without Jamaal Adams Devon Witherspoon herds had his worst passing game of the year I can’t imagine what they’re going to do to Tennesse um no

Matter who’s at quarterback could be will Levis um but if he can’t go it’s going to be Ryan tanah Hill and I think maybe at this point tanah Hill’s a downgrade um you know we didn’t didn’t really expect that when they made the switch but Levis has shown enough that

That he has a higher ceiling in the passing game um and Tennessee’s offense just looked awful after that opening drive touchdown last week just 121 yards and 10 drives at home against a bad Houston pass defense um I’m worried about the Tennessee defense tier tart

They got rid of a big loss for their Rush defense we saw what happened there Devon single T rolled all over them um we’ll see if they get any healthier here but Seattle I think will be able to lean on the Run game no matter who’s at qu

Back and it’s looking like it might be goo Smith so that deserves an upgrade too um Seattle shows up for this game to stay in the playoff race Tennessee we don’t know what they’re going to do because they’re not used to being out of a playoff race under M varable they’re

Always right there to the end or they’re they in the playoffs so I’m interested to see if this team shows up for these last few weeks um but I like best bet Seattle minus two and a half get it at two and a half at three it’s not it’s not a play for

Me yeah I agree with you 100% I’m also laying this two and a half I like it much better than the three so shop around for that line um and really just echoing everything that RJ said Seattle playing for their playoff lives right now and the Titans are already

Eliminated uh will Levis like you said may miss this game even if he doesn’t you know ankle injuries are really tough especially for mobile quarterbacks you look at how um uh my why I blanking his name Sunshine from the um Trevor Lawrence how bad Trevor Lawrence has

Looked over the last couple weeks with that high ankle sprain Gino Smith um likely active in this game and all the momentum is with the Eagles right now after that really stunning upset not the Eagles the uh Seahawks after that stunning upset of the Eagles um on Monday Night Football also the Titans

Pass defense you know resembles swiss cheese you look at lock at Mecha um and even jsn I think should have pretty big numbers um against that pass defense so I uh I really like Seattle here as well speaking of the Jacksonville Jaguars um and who’s unfortunately a quarterback I

Forgot uh they’re at Tampa Bay they’re laying one and a half this total is 41 and a half wow it dropped quite a bit it was 43 it’s Dro down to 41 and a half prop Stars you’ve got a prop for us I do and it’s a prop that we played quite a

Bit early in the year that we’re going back to the well and that’s Rashad white to go under 73 rushing yards this is a big big number for white who’s really been phenomenal over the past five or six weeks making a huge impact on the ground in the receiving game as well we

Backed him actually a couple times successfully but I just think we’re getting a really big number here so we’re going to sell High sell at Peak in my opinion here at 73 and a half yards this is a tough matchup the Jags the strength of their defense

Is certainly their run defense they rank in the top 10 in nearly every rushing uh defensive metric EPA allowed per Rush Run Stop win rate so I just think this is going to be a game we’re going to see minimal rushing volume from Tampa Bay who are are against Jacksonville who are

A significant pass funnel I think we’ll see Tampa Bay air the ball out a bit more and if Rashad White does make an impact it’s going to be more uh catching passes out of the back field rather than just rushing I think it would take a tremendous amount of volume for him to

Eclipse this number against this Jags run defense so we are going to go under 72 and a half rushing yards the one concern I would have about the Rashad white think I you’re right like Jacksonville’s run defense much better than his pass defense Trevor Lawrence on Thursday not spotted at practice dealing

With that concussion in concussion protocol which leads me to my bucks best bet um a two and a half fine I had I like the buck minus one and a half I’m I’m on a bunch of Road Chalk this week what could possibly go wrong with that

Um shout out to my old bets column at at Fan housee where RJ and I work together uh Road Chalk yeah right did we beat it f yeah um yeah RJ and I’ve known each other for like RJ has known me for far longer than he would care to

Acknowledge the uh but yeah like I think Tampa Bay Baker Baker playing good football Dave Canales has got this offense kind of cooking Mike Evans has had has had an awesome year caught a touchdown but was fairly limited last week I think this is a blowup spot with

Like throwing deep shots to to Mike Evans against his bad defense and like I agree with you 73 and a half that’s a huge number for a for a for a rushing total even for a guy with the workload that that white gets the one concern I

Would have is if Jacksonville is running out CJ bethard and they can’t score does does white get a bunch of carries so but but to your point prop I mean like it’s they might just throw to win and just get a lead and dump off to to Chris

Gowin underneath or or Kate utton but I think big spot for Baker probably playing some DFS RJ like the Buccaneers a lot here interesting uh Futures play to make here is that um we see the Indie injuries trending upward with with Pitman looking like he’ll play tail

Looking like a play now it looks like stad is not going to play for Houston and we see this line trending down for the the Jaguars Trevor Lawrence if he doesn’t play that that’s swinging enough where you want to go jump on the Colts in your divisional AFC South bets right

Now I mean you could really see the tenor of this division change um by the time we get to you know I guess it’d be early late afternoon Sunday 4 pm or so because I think all the games will be over by that point so um so yeah nothing

In this game really for me um even if Florence plays I think in the line flips back I think that Line’s probably a little too high so I do agree with the play on Tampa Bay here um the Jag Jaguars defense is a problem 28 in yards per play getting rolled by any

Legit offense and I think Tampa Bay qualifies at this point they can get it done with the pass and not have to land rely on the run that much so if I’m gonna lean anywhere it’s going to be Tampa at two and a half which is where

It’s moved now I’m probably not playing it um but but yeah I would look to maybe Colts you know to to divisional Futures there if you want to do anything related to this game yeah that’s that’s it that’s a good look with the Colts too uh

Real quickly RJ I’m curious do you think the Buccaneers minus 178 to win the division they still have Carolina um does that seem like a uh is that too much juice delay that divisional bet um it feels like a lot I mean I don’t I need to see the last three games

For Tampa because um the the key thing in that divisional race was that they had to play so a much tougher schedule based on winning the division last year and if they’ve gotten through all of that at this point then you just figure that they look like the best team so um

If you want to just take them it is a lot of juice I think the the value to take them was a few weeks ago and and predict ing this type of run from them since they did look like the best team um so you’re probably not getting the

Good value there probably look for Value in other places not that division because I don’t see any of the other team stepping up um so yeah so if you can go go find a time machine and tell yourself three weeks ago to play them I think that’s probably the play there

Note to self find a time machine note to self you know what I almost did a very brinon thing and asked everybody where you would go if you what year you would go to if you had a time machine but instead Katie why don’t you ask us tell

Us about the Arizona Cardinals in Chicago Bears okay wait just want to check in with prop stars are you still good or do you have to hop off he’s gonna he’s going to jump off at the break after this game okay yeah but if he has any other bets he should just say

Them before the bre I do I have two more bets Okay cool so let’s get into Arizona and Cardinals and Chicago Bears the Bears laying four and a half this total 43 I don’t have a play on the actual game but I am going to fade um James

Connor under 50 and a half rush yards here he’s been balling out he’s hit over this number and four of his last five games but the Bears Rush defense has been really stingy and probably one of the big reasons why they’ve kind of had this late season um success they’re

Fourth in yards per attempt at 3.6 and the Bears are favorite favorites here at four and a half so likely playing um from behind the Cardinals willby which tends to lend itself more to the passing game so I will take James Connor under the um the 50 and a half but yeah what

Are your two best props STS before we get into the break yeah it’s Jaylen Herz over one and a half p passing touchdown against the Giants as well as AJ Brown over 72 and a half receiving yards uh the Eagles this is a get right spot for

Them in my opinion and they’re going to make a statement against the Giants obviously losing three straight games unable to close games as well the proverbial foot on the neck just hasn’t been the case with this Eagles team if we look at them compared to last year where they were really successful

Closing games out in the second half uh yeah just hasn’t been the case so I think we see Jaylen Herz and this Eagles offense be very aggressive I think they’re going to run up the score against this Giants pass defense that’s completely overmatched AJ Brown has tremendous historical results against uh

The Giants really no one capable of covering him on that defense so I think the Eagles offense uh led by obviously Jaylen Herz and AJ Brown make a big statement against the Giants you said my my crappy earphones I didn’t hear foot on the throat proverbial foot on the throat I was

Like I heard foot on you know I’m not gonna tell you what I thought I heard but it like that’s not that’s not what you do RJ any thoughts on uh Cardinals and bears I’m sort of agnostic here but tend toan to is taking the points yeah

Well if you’re going to take it do it with FanDuel because four and a half is like the market high right now for it’s mostly four at places and I even think he might be able to find three and a halfs at that point I love the Bears um

Their offense struggled against an elite defense almost won anyway last week in a tough road game much easier matchup here this Arizona defense 29th in yards per play 31st on third down seems like they’re getting worse week by week I expect Chicago to put up some points

Here and I expect their defense to shut it down I mean their Elite versus The Run Cleveland of 29 rush yards can take away the one offensive strength of Arizona that Katie’s talking about with Connor and Arizona’s 29th in yards per pass and they just struggle to have

Success Through the year against San Francisco even with the high score to fight despite the San Francisco defense being pretty beat up and they were playing in catchup mode and they still couldn’t do anything so I would look to play the Bears I almost put it as a best

Bet at four and a half because I do think the line should be like six and a half um but because the Val the value in the market wasn’t there everybody else has four and there is some three and a halfs um available you know play it at

Those numbers don’t play it at four and a half all right props G to jump out of here when we go to break but first the holidays are here the NFL and CBS is gifting us some great matchups including the Browns taking on the Texans beginning at noon Eastern with the NFL

Today then on Christmas Day at one Eastern unwrap more fantastic football when the Raiders face the Chiefs happy holidays the NFL is on CBS and streaming on Paramount plot Cowboys can who’s going to win the fraud Bowl between the Cowboys and the Dolphins we’ll tell you

Next on the next NFL Monday QB you know Prescott and Pie and momes and Herz but who will we call the greatest QB of them all recap the Christmas weekend action on CBS Sports Network that voiceover artist was something else I wish they would ask me to do the

Voiceovers they do I wish they would too I wish but I don’t know that guy was pretty good and he it was like a very yeah sounded like a Christmas movie sounded like a Christmas movie he was set QB of them all I like it I like it what else do we like

Brinson oh uh Cowboys and Dolphins Cowboys on the road in Miami Christmas Eve will Harry producer Harry will he get coal in his will he get will he get uh Cowboys themed coal in his stocking or or or some land shark beer courtesy of Dolphins owner Jimmy Buffett

Rip to the great Jimmy Buffett um look this is the fraud bowl for me Cowboys can’t win on the road haven’t been have don’t have a a good road win they have two Road wins they blew out the Giants in week one and they beat the Panthers

In Carolina like what do you want a freaking golf clap like like you wi at home congrat ulations you you know but you can’t do anything on the road lose to the Cardinals lose to any good team they play meanwhile the Dolphins can’t beat a good team they don’t have a

Single good win on the season it’s crazy they are own three against against teams above 500 and only score 17 points in those games so RJ I ask you which team is the bigger fraud the Cowboys or the Dolphins I don’t think either one are actually frauds I think they both I

Don’t either I just think it’s fun to say things they do very well and and even Miami on defense for fourth and yards per play they have played an easy schedule like you say especially lately this is their first tough test since week nine key thing here is the big

Injuries on both offensive lines it sound like Zach Martin’s going to be okay we’ll we’ll TR keep an eye on him in practice reports not sure about the state of the mi in the offensive line but they can neutralize that a little bit because of how quick they get the

Ball out with Tua and so if they’re doing that um I I think that they can still have success there and then they can just run the ball all over Dallas especially if Jonathan henkins is still out they need him back to solidify the

Run defense and if he is is out I think Miami can do what they need to do running the ball this line has been coming down in some spots it was even available for pickham at one spot uh on Thursday for a little bit I don’t think

It’s still available there now I lost my chance because I would have I would have taken the Miami Dolphins at pick them at home um and hope the best for the injuries but if the line’s going to be any higher than that probably just to

Stay away maybe look at the over if if I’m okay with the the injury reports um in tyreeks back and the the offensive lines don’t look as bad as they looked early in the week yeah I think it oh sorry I’m on the other side of it I’m

Taking Dallas money line on this one mostly more of a gut play like you said you know to fraudulent but not fraudulent teams by the way people on the internet are very mad at you for calling um these teams fraudulent I don’t know if you’ve taken to look at

Those comments they not happy they not happy with you Brinson um but look when I look at these two teams who do I trust a little bit more I hate myself for saying this but I actually trust Dallas a little bit more they’re 0 and three on

The road this season but if you look at who they lost to it was the 49ers it was the bills and it was the Eagles um all on the road those are three of the best teams in football and not to say that Miami isn’t but to the point that it’s

Been made probably a lot and beat to a dead horse on the show they haven’t been able to beat a winning team I think that Dallas gets their stuff together they had some bad breaks in that game um versus the bills and I think they come

Out on top because they’re in a very serious push right now for the um NFC East so I like that but I’m also going to take Devon hen over on his receiving yards this is at 24 and a half moer is just getting all of the work um when it

Comes to in the Run game I expect that that happens a little bit more but Anan has been steadily growing um in the receiving game especially with Tyreek Hill even though he’s probably good to go he may be slightly limited which is going to favor Anan a little bit here

And actually over half of anan’s perceptions on the entire year have come in the last three games 11 of 21 have come um in these last three games he’s had at least 24 receiving yards in each of those last three games very very high

Total 51 and a half 50 and a half um depending on where you got it could be a shootout which of course lends itself um to the passing game as well so I I do like that over for hm but I’m I’m taking I’m taking the

Boys but it feels like it go either way so I even though I was like at at money at money line if I’m getting minus 110 on the Dolphins um if it’s a pick them I like them but I couldn’t really talk to you out of taking the Cowboys I think

Can go either way and if you can if you have Cowboys plus one and a half available definitely a good teaser Team all right now to a game that’s less exciting the New England Patriots at the Denver Broncos Broncos laying six and a half that’s still their total 34 and a

Half um RJ you are taking the points with New England here which is very interesting to me yeah even though my power rating say it should be a little higher and Denver should be seven and a half I might be a little too high on my Denver rating um they got steamroll last

Week by Detroit and Detroit was in a good spot at home and you can argue that Denver is in a good spot at home now against the bad team but that Patriots defense fif in yards per play largely effective against the Chiefs despite the final score Denver has topped 300 yards

Just once in the last seven games they typically play in that 280 to 300 320 yards type of offense and that just isn’t conducive to me to to winning a game by margin you know seven plus um it’s going to be a very low total gain

34 and a half not going to be a lot of scoring so even though the New England offense only had only three of their 12 drives go over 10 yards I think they’ll get some offensive weapons back here and play a little bit better here against

That the Denver defense that is 30th in yards per play 32 in yards per you know in versus the run you know yards per Rush allowed so that lines up well with what New England wants to do just pound the ball with Zeke pound the ball with

Stevenson if he’s back and then go play defense and it’s going to be a low-scoring game and don’t let Denver get to 20 um so I think it’s going to be one of those type of ugly games everybody’s not going to be watching it because they’re going to be you know

With family doing their presents and everything on on Christmas Eve and Denver can sneak Denver can win this game by like three or four I think New England’s going to sneak out the cover and potentially get the win and get us the cash on our pick six parl wow yeah

And the other thing too is that Denver Denver plays really really slowly so you’re talking about Patriots like if you get if they get going with Zeke as as RJ talks about in The Run game and rre Stevenson comes back ton of pounding the football ton of extended long clock killing drives and

Denver is happy to reciprocate SE pton and Bill bich matched up plenty of times I don’t think pton will do anything too silly to try and uh try and be aggressive here who will happily burn clock let’s get to the Christmas Day games raidas at the Chiefs as we mentioned on

CBS Chiefs minus1 over under 41 and a half I think this line has creeped up a little bit RJ the consensus probably people want to take the uh the the the points here because the Chiefs can’t blow anybody out but the Chiefs the chief did just blow out the Raiders and

This game is in Arrowhead on on Christmas day maybe a get right spot for Patrick Mahomes yeah that game was 10-point a 10-point line in Vegas a few weeks ago and they as you mentioned they covered so why is it only 10 here you know this is a team that got back on

Track against a very good defense against New England last week um and you figured that they should be able to have do whatever they want to do against this Vegas defense uh the Kansas City defense up to six yards per play they are first in sack rate as well I just can’t see

Vegas going out and scoring even 17 points in this game and that’s typically like their ceiling when they’re not playing teams like the Chargers when they who they rolled up like last week um so I think it’s going to be a come down spot here for Vegas the Chiefs

Defense can create some short fields for the Chiefs offense um and they need to find a rhythm going into the playoffs I know they’ve kind of been sleepwalking just expecting to win that division but now is the time to kind of get it going and get in the Rhythm because you know

You’re not going to get that byy this year it doesn’t look like so you need to be ready to go once week 19 hits um in mid January so my Vegas rating might be slightly too high I think I I may need to adjust him down a little bit and I

Would still make this line 10 and a half I’m just not interested in playing the Chiefs at this number I do think you’re right that people are going to want to play the Raiders and it might come down a little bit and if he has a single digits I might look to the

Chiefs I agree with you there um one more you got one more game Brinson oh sorry uh Giants at the Eagles Eagles minus 11 and a half over under 42 and a half oh hey now 13 and a half that number has spiked wow that is a big big

Jump I originally was thinking I would take the Giants in the spot Alex prop start was talking about it it really is just a absolute getri spot for the Eagles you hear Jaylen Herz talks about commitment post game it’s you know I was like um I had uh when I left earlier I

Had to mute it because Ryan Clark was yelling in my ear but um on the TV you know like SP es sports ESPN was running like Jaylen Hertz first comment since commitment d d like everybody’s criticizing the Eagles AJ Brown’s been going on tweet St storms left and right

That’s a really high total for him 70 something receiving yards considering how just muted his production has been it does feel like an absolute blowup spot for an eagles offense that has been criticized the Eagles defense comes to play against Tommy DeVito who will happily take 10 sacks in this game um

Eagles defense definitely the best yeah well he won’t happily do it but he’s gonna take a sacks you know um and I think RJ it’s hard to back take the points here with the Giants yeah I have a Best Bet as at 11 and a half when you

Know when we finalized our lines um I actually took it at 10 and a half on sports line on Tuesday um coming out of that that Seattle game I didn’t care that they lost that game this is they just had a brutal schedule um and um you

Know they’re finally done with it they get the Giants twice in Arizona from here on out great bounceback spot that positive Giants run Came Crashing Down against the Saints defense that’s been beatable particularly against the run and they couldn’t do anything there the Giants defense did have a solid day but

This is the first Elite offense they’re seeing since they played Dallas and and Dallas scored 49 points and had 640 yards of offense this could be a major game for the Eagles offense here if they want to go out and blow them out and I think they do because they need to prove

To themselves that they’re still that team that started the season 10 and one after three straight losses so it’s time for the Giants to pack it in my line for this was always 14 Eagles minus 14 so I’m not surprised that the Market’s finally pushing it up and getting it

Where it needs to be at 13 and a half probably to stay away at for the people listening to this if 13 and a half is in the market um but I did like it when it was 10 and a half 11 and a half early in

The week just a reminder that prop stars on Jaylen Herz over one and a half passing touchdowns and AJ Brown over 72 and a half receiving yards uh final Christmas Day game is the Baltimore Ravens at the San Francisco 49ers Niners laying five and a half this total is

It’s still 46 and a half it is this one didn’t change um too much y’all already know the deal well first of all this is a huge matchup for both of them it’s the two best teams in each conference um yes two two best teams in um each conf

Conference and have the best records in the NFL and they also are on the longest winning streaks active winning streaks in the NFL I’m doing the Niners team total it’s 11 and four okay it’s 26 and a half at this point um the Ravens obviously have

Been a very good defense but they’ve not seen a team that scores at least 30 at home which the 49ers have had at least 28 in every single home game this season except for uh when they lost to the Bengals and that was the uh the game right before the bye where everything

Changed so yeah I don’t know why y’all don’t tell me on this every single week and I’m talking to the audience I’m not criticizing it it’s got a incredible record you should do it every week I mean yeah yeah it’s not a h pick it’s a

Winner yeah do it this week too because Baltimore’s defense their first in yards per play but the RAM showed a couple weeks ago they might not be as good as the the metrics say they’ve had a pretty easy schedule most of the year and then

They went out and gave up five and a half yards for play to Jacksonville and this was Trevor Lawrence not being at 100% in that game even before you know he obviously up a concussion at the end of the game game is now questionable for this week so this Baltimore defense I

Think probably has more downside than the metrics say the San Francisco offense Unstoppable first in yards per play 400 plus yards and six of the last seven 27 plus points in their last six they’ll get their points and the team total you’re getting it a little bit

Lower than you have been in recent weeks because of the matchup so I think it’s a good look to play it here I probably will be taking it if I can get a good number like this um that beat up San Francisco defense had their first bad

Game in a while at Arizona we’ll see the the the the injury report if they’re healthier I think they can cover this number I think they should probably be sixo favorites at home against anyone right now and it looks like the market is even giving us some fives and could

Potentially dip to four and a half at some point and so I just the 49ers are probably a good value against the Ravens and against really anybody at that line at home so that’s what that’s I’m gonna be looking to play their side if I can

Get a little more value in it and I’m probably gonna be looking to play their team total as long as it doesn’t get out of hand yeah I mean these these Christmas games just feel like remember Alvin Kamar scored six rushing touchdowns one year for Christmas we’re

GNA get it’s either going to be AJ brown or Christi maaf one yeah one of those two dud one of those two dudes is gonna and like I can already picture uh my cousin Aaron is playing my dad in the in the binsanity fantasy finals she’s gonna

Be at our my parents house on Christmas night drinking my dad’s good red wine and giggling as her Christian mcaffrey plunges into the end zone over and over again on the TV of my parents’ kitchen and my dad’s like get out of my house like you know it’s going to be a whole

Debacle so yeah I think I like the Ravens in the spot just because it’s five and a half but the Niners can blow anybody out at any point in time first team since 2009 to win six straight games by 12 points or more and I I agree

With you guys team total love the ners team let’s just all take the Niners team total over as the best ride yes I I love a squad right on that all right that’s going to do it for our show merry Christmas everybody let’s take one more look at these picks Brinson Green Bay

Minus four and a half Cleveland minus 2 and a half Detroit minus three the Jets minus three and Tampa Bay minus one and a half add the 49ers team total to my over to my Best Bets as well in the spirit of Moxi and and good cheer and

Whatnot and I need a six pick because my Rams were the other pick and they’re playing tonight ah yes love it I’m taking Cincinnati minus two and a half uh also laying the two and a half with Seattle James Connor under 15 and a half rushing yards Dallas money line I’m also

Taking hn over 24 and a half receiving yards and of course the mock special San Francisco team total over 26 and a half I am taking Pittsburgh plus two and a half the Packers Panthers game to go under 37 and a half the commanders Jets

Game to go under 37 and a half the Seahawks minus two and a half the Patriots plus six and a half and the Eagles minus 11 and a half I can go Ahad and read Alex’s two Alex has taken Josh Allen over one and a half pass

Touchdowns Gabe Davis over 30 and a half receiving yards rad white Under 73 and a half rush yards Jaylen Herz over one and a half pass touchdowns and AJ Brown over 72 and a half receiving yards all right everybody again happy holidays hopefully you enjoy the

Christmas holiday that is going to do it for our show make sure you join us all week long for more NFL coverage remember to like comment and subscribe on the YouTube page um Brinson what what are the Super Friends doing this week I’m assuming on Sunday is there uh Monday

Monday night Monday night recap we will be with you on Christmas come join us as we throw it in Jesus’s face by working on Christmas night you’ll be the jolliest bunch of you know what this side of the Nut House forever listening to the audio version only make sure you download and

Leave a Fest star review tell your friends to listen to watch the Pod again Merry Christmas y’all we’ll see you next week or Christmas Day