Join in the action of UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov with Fight Night Picks as the Allen bros. flow through a 12-fight night of action headlined by cardio machine Sean Strickland (26-5) as he looks to fend up up-and-coming talent Abus Magomedov (24-5-1)!
#UFCVegas76#UFC #MMA
2023 Prediction Results:
Craig: 154-94-6
Matt: 152-96-6
2022 Prediction Results:
Craig: 333-174-3
Matt: 338-169-3
2022 DWCS Predictions:
Craig: 8-2
Matt: 6-4
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
0:00 Welcome to FNP!
3:43 Guram Kutateladze vs. Elves Brener
14:15 Alexandr Romanov vs. Blagoy Ivanov
24:25 Ivana Petrovic vs. Luana Carolina
34:37 Joanderson Britio vs. Westin Wilson
42:24 Yana Santos vs. Karol Rosa
49:12 Kevin Lee vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
1:00:20 Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Brunno Ferreira
1:08:17 Ismael Bonfim vs. Benoit Saint-Denis
1:16:46 Ariane Lipski vs. Melissa Gatto
1:23:13 Max Griffin vs. Michael Morales
1:30:57 Damir Ismagulov vs. Grant Dawson
1:39:23 Sean Strickland vs. Abus Magomedov
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48 Comments
If the same Lipsky shows up again as in the last fight, she wins here. Made great coin vs Aldrich when in training vids you could see a new Lipsky. She may lose, this is not a confident pick, but at these dog odds she gets a sprinkle at ML.
Something about Romanov will scares me. He looked like he didn't want to be in there his last fight. Mentally I think he is done. Him and Daukus flash in the pans.
LFGetintoit
You better not go against Ruziboev, he is no joke. Just dont bet on him either. Just stay away from that fight. The chances of Ruziboev winning is much higher than the odds
You take pride in pronunciation and you love Canada
As you said Riziboev is usually the nail until he finds a finish, especially the fact that he gets mounted quite often. My biggest issue with picking him is that he's been fighting people with awful records and even losing to some.
I AM into it!
The thumbnails lookin good for this one boys
What's the best fight to bet on
"…And as we always say, lick my balls!"
Hola lads! That last card was spectacular. Holy Chepe Mariscal!! I would have called that FOTN: Peek did more to earn it than Emmett did. And Loik vs Rebecki. Not great for my bets; second worst loss of the year so far. Robertson didn’t show up. I could have still been profitable despite that. Then Ribas did show up (but might have left her fight IQ in the dressing room) and Barber won anyway. Great showing for Barber. Both my girls not doing it sank my picks (otherwise winning parlays that including Magny and Brown). I did cash the main fight to go the distance (sometime I bet what I consider the most ridiculous outcome as a sort of ‘insurance’) and Allen R1 Sub (thankfully he pulled a Gunnar and went for the sub despite the GnP finish being available). And Onama saved me from a total wipe out.
I totally agree with Matt that the scorecards should have gone against Guram against Gamrot and for him against Damir. Obviously it’s not a hot take to say I think Guram wins this easily. I’ll predict R2 TKO.
The heavies? I hope Romanov does land a slam, so that I don’t end up getting narcolepsy from watching the fight. I have no strong read, but I’m leaning Romanov. He should win R1, I’m not sure Ivanov does enough to consistently win the other two, and he’s got the higher finishing upside. Low confidence, and that too, assuming Romanov actually trains for the fight and doesn’t show up looking terrible like last time.
I think Petrovic is more likely to win the fight and she’s the pick. But I’m not expecting a blow-out. At present odds, if I bet it, I’ll be Carolina.
Dude with the marvel comics name is going to getting merced by Brito. Probably in R1.
Does Santos even try anymore? She doesn’t seem to want to win like she used to. It’s like she’s thinking, “Might as well get these paycheques while they’re available…”, type of thing. Rosa by decision.
If I had any degree of confidence we where getting healthy, motivated Kevin Lee, I’d pick him. And he’s not the sort of fighter who’s ever not live. I’ll take Rinat.
I agree that Ferreira should find the TKO.
Bonfim is excellent. He should win. He’s the pick. I’ll say decision, since I don’t see him finishing Saint-Denis. If he does it’d be late. R3, hrmm… That said, what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger and EZDS damn near killed him. I wouldn’t be shocked if he defied the odds and somehow Paul Craiged victory from the jaws of defeat. Either in R3? Might just give that a little something…
Lipski looked good last time out, and has definitely been growing into her potential. Still, I’m surprised you both picked her. I might bet her, because the odds are tempting, but I’m going to predict Gato by submission (and round).
When’s the last time Griffin fought someone young and hungry? It think this is a bad opponent to go back to it with. The odds tempt me to hedge Griffin by decision, but Morales is the pick, and I think he lands the TKO finish.
I suspect Damir’s health issues are serious. Absent them, I think he would have been quite competitive with Tsarukyan, and maybe won the fight. Absent them, I would pick him to beat Dawson with relatively high confidence. Dawson by decision. Maybe split.
Strickland by decision, probably after dropping the first round (or two).
Thanks lads! Best of luck, y'all.
I'm taking Kutateladze over Brener, although those odds are crazy.
I've got Romanov over Ivanov, but I'm not excited about it.
Petrovic is too much of an unknown to me. I'll go with Carolina in a decision.
Brito.
A Santos win would not surprise, but I'll take Rosa. Decision.
Probability of an Abus win 90%. R1 KO 40%. He is is just too hungry and talented. I wouldn't put a penny on Sean this time he is getting destroyed. Other great bets are fight doesn't go the distance and R1 KO, R2 sprinkles at +700/+900. This one is ending early.
Thanks guys, good work 👍🏼
Fakhretdinov over Lee.
The odds between Ferreira and Ruziboev are closer than I thought. I'm going with Ferreira.
I agree that Middleweight is not better than BW, FW, LW & WW. Just based off roster size & names I would argue Middleweight is better than Heavy & Light Heavy. Middleweight just has nearly double the fighters HW & LHW have.
I am a Flyweight fan so I can’t say it’s better than FLY, but MW has nearly double the fighters Fly has right now as well, which is only because the UFC refuse to build 125 into what BW-WW are. There’s enough prospects out there to make Flyweight a 60+ man division like BW-WW if they would just do it.
But anyway I don’t mind Abus getting a ranked opponent after beating Stoltzfus, but it does suck seeing guys like Caio Borralho & Fluffy Hernandez take on quality opponent after quality opponent and still not get a ranked opponent.
I guess once people realize the UFC doesn’t have a step by step path to become ranked & everything from number of fights to matchups are all kinda random it all makes some sense. In a sense since it makes no sense it makes sense😂😂😂
Appreciate what you guys do!!
Going against Ferreira this time. Bet/picked him last outing against Robo and now everyone loves em (didn't have a clue who he was before though). Ruzi RD 2-3!
Enjoy the fights this week guys, and thank you as always for your breakdowns on this card! 👊
11min spent on the guram fight jeez
Bonfim's win over McKinney pushes me over the top to take him over Saint -Denis. Saint-Denis has a pair of UFC wins, but neither opponent has beaten anyone.
I've got Gatto over Lipski. Via finish, although unlike you guys, a decision would not completely shock me.
Abus hasn’t fought anyone noteworthy and hasn’t been to a 4th/5th round. He certainly has a chance but I can’t see how anyone could be confident in him. Strickland arguably beat Cannonier who we know is the real deal. If Strickland survives the 1st half of the fight there is a good chance he drowns Abus.
I have to pick Morales over the veteran Griffin. I'll go with ba decision. Griffin is tough to finish.
I’m gonna need to see Ivanov birth certificate. No way he ain’t 49
Red flags notwithstanding, I've got Ismagulov over Dawson.
I'm leaning Strickland over Magomedov.
😮 I didn't realize Gordon Lightfoot is dead 😢 What a great singer songwriter we lost.
Ngl when you guys showed the image of guram and elves without saying lets get into it i said what tha…. then it went away and i knew i had been conned (probably on accident lol).
Took Carolina few days ago that line was way off
Abus is going to front kick Sean like Charlie Murphy did Rick James.
Please do not take my ABUS cheerleading the wrong way. Sean is one of my favorite people walking the Earth. Liking someone and betting are two different things that you MUST separate.
Abus will completely dominate Strickland.